1 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: Live from our nation's capital. This is Bloomberg Sound On. 2 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 1: We're on the timeline for two things for sure, and 3 00:00:09,280 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: that is the debtonoment. And also, but pos probably been 4 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: seduced by the notion that we can get off fossil 5 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: fuels much quicker than it can happen. Floomberg Sound On, Politics, 6 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 1: Policy and perspective from DC's top names, fighting with knowledgeable 7 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: about the issues around affordable housing. Has anybody there has 8 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 1: been around Excess government spending always causes inflation? Inflation purchased 9 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: the chorus families in this country. Bloomberg Sound On with 10 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:43,239 Speaker 1: Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. Democratic leaders still say they 11 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 1: are still on track to vote as soon as tomorrow. 12 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 1: I know you've heard me say this before, but it 13 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: is my job to report. And we'll have the latest 14 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: from Speaker Pelosi, from Chuck Schumer and their plans for 15 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 1: infrastructure and reconciliation still a bit muddy at the moment, 16 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 1: but we do have a new or from the Joint 17 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: Committee on Taxation and we'll talk about it ahead with 18 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 1: Congressman Kevin Brady of Texas, ranking member on the House 19 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: Ways and Means Committee. Later we get to explore the 20 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:13,679 Speaker 1: progressive mindset following the elections and heading for apparently votes 21 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,399 Speaker 1: on Capitol Hill with Adam Green, co founder of the 22 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:20,960 Speaker 1: Progressive Change Campaign Committee. Our panel today, Democratic strategist Roger 23 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: Fisk of New Day Strategy and Studio with me here 24 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 1: for the hour, along with Republican analyst Doug High, former 25 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 1: deputy chief of staff for Republican House Leader Eric Cancer. 26 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: We are hearing new talk of urgency from both ends 27 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 1: of Pennsylvania Avenue today to pass the Biden economic Agenda. 28 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: White House Deputy Press Secretary Karen John Pierre just brief 29 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 1: reporters a short time ago the President is has been 30 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 1: very clear he wants to get this moving. There's an 31 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: urgency along with the members of both chambers have have 32 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 1: been very clear and getting this done, making sure that 33 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: we're giving relief to the middle class, that economic release 34 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: that they so deserve. Speaker Nancy Pelos he was asked 35 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 1: repeatedly a short time earlier by reporters on the Hill 36 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: about the timetable for votes. When is this going to happen. 37 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: You get the sense she's been asked this a couple 38 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: of times that she has a little fun with reporters 39 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 1: you expect to vote tonight, and is it possible that 40 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 1: you might just vote on the infrastructure built, considering everybody 41 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 1: seems to be bought in and saying it's ready for 42 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 1: a vote. Okay, so you build back better today, and 43 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 1: what are the big hurdles you have to overcome. I'll 44 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: let you know as soon as I wish to. But okay, 45 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 1: you're just worried about your own schedule. I know, I 46 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: know that. But the fact is is that our members 47 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: are engaged in very thoughtful deliberation with each other. You 48 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: don't hear the stuff on other programs, right, We bring 49 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 1: you into the briefings for the real stuff, the real moments. 50 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: People actually do laugh from time to time. You're in 51 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: the bubble and all this after the Joint Committee on Taxation. 52 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:01,239 Speaker 1: You got this. You file us in a way that 53 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,679 Speaker 1: j CT you'll sound smart at The Cocktail Party later 54 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 1: released its score for reconciliation, showing taxes in this spending 55 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 1: plan would raise one point five trillion dollars over ten years, 56 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: remembering we were at one point seven five Right House 57 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 1: ways and means, Jair Richard Neal says the bills paid 58 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 1: for when you include I R. S enforcement and drug 59 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: pricing provisions. And we begin today with someone at the 60 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 1: center of the tax debate. That would be Texas Congressman 61 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 1: Kevin Brady, ranking member on the aforementioned House Ways and 62 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:33,919 Speaker 1: Means Committee. Congressman, it's always great to have you. Welcome back. 63 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: Do you agree with this JCT analysis on taxes? In 64 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: this plan? Is it actually paid for? Like the chairman says, yeah, 65 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 1: I don't think it is. I think it's full of 66 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 1: budget gimmicks that don't cover the cost of it at all. 67 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: And I do think unleasing eighty thousand new I R 68 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:52,880 Speaker 1: S agents are is not going to create four hundred 69 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: billion dollars in new revenue a net. Uh. They're using 70 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: budget gimmicks on the drug pricing, is you as well? 71 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 1: I we count them about a half a trillion short, 72 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 1: or at least in question on the pay for US 73 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: Where they are accurate, is there is one point two 74 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: trillion dollars encrypting tax hikes on American businesses, including our 75 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:17,839 Speaker 1: small businesses as well. I think that's going to have 76 00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 1: a I think a crucial impact on our economy going forward. 77 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 1: Are they being disingenuous then, or or is the chairman 78 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 1: using different maths than you are one. Chairman Neil Uh, 79 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:31,360 Speaker 1: I'll just tell you I've worked with him a long time. 80 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 1: His word is good. He's got a ton of character, integrity. Uh. 81 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: The scores that they're using are what they've been given 82 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 1: by the Joint Command on Taxation. What they don't have 83 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 1: is from the Congressional Budget Office on things like the 84 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: I R S figures and the drug pricing, which traditionally 85 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 1: have been much smaller than what the White House has 86 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 1: said it is. So I think it could come in 87 00:04:57,120 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 1: significantly under at this point. You know, I think Chairman 88 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: Neil is is using the data that he's been given 89 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 1: so far. I guess I should ask you, Congressman, is 90 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: the tax provision the provisions plural? As you understanding this plan? 91 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 1: Are they are they done? Are they fixed? Or are 92 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 1: we going to go back to talking about billionaire taxes 93 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 1: and unrealized gains? Yeah? Great question. So it seems to 94 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:22,280 Speaker 1: be changing. I noticed just the two thousand page bill 95 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 1: that was dumped on us yesterday afternoon. They added a 96 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: bunch of what I might call tax pork. So they 97 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 1: added new tax breaks for trial lawyers, for labor union dues, 98 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:39,359 Speaker 1: subsidies for hiring local media journalists, new tax break for 99 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 1: recording artists, and then they're still right now I think 100 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: debating how incentive about how big of a tax break 101 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:49,359 Speaker 1: do they give the wealthy by repealing the salt cap 102 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 1: that's in current law today. So it seems to be 103 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: continuing to change. I I don't doubt it will change 104 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: some more. So what's going on with salt by the way, 105 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 1: it's in, it's out now, it's back in apparently, And 106 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,159 Speaker 1: we're looking at at least what I'm hearing is a 107 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 1: five year suspension. Can you add to that? Yeah, So 108 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 1: it's probably not because I think there's about four different 109 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:14,040 Speaker 1: proposals in play. Some of them are just budget gimmicks, 110 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:16,359 Speaker 1: So you repeal it for two or five years, and 111 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:19,600 Speaker 1: then you extend it for two or five years. Either way. 112 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 1: That is, you know, at five years extensions about half 113 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:28,040 Speaker 1: a trillion dollars in tax breaks, most of which go 114 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 1: to homes making more than a million dollars. They're also 115 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:34,719 Speaker 1: looking at increasing it from ten thousand to a figure 116 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: like seventy thousand dollars for several years and then putting 117 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:44,039 Speaker 1: it back in place in later years or permanently. All 118 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 1: that to say it seems to be a moving target. 119 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: They seem to be, you know, moving the Rubik's cube 120 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 1: a hundred different ways to figure out a path forward. 121 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: I don't think they should be changing it at all. 122 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:01,440 Speaker 1: The ten thousand dollar cap is double national average for 123 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:06,440 Speaker 1: the salt deduction and only goes of Americans if you 124 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: if you itemize, you get zero from lifting the salt 125 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 1: CAPA and that's what most Americans are. Don't idomize. Congressman 126 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: Kevin Ready makes news right out of the gate here 127 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: on the j c C analysis. Are you also making 128 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: news and that you know how to solve the Rubik's cube? Well, 129 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 1: mine would be don't hammer us with higher taxes. Uh, 130 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 1: and and don't make it the labor shortage worse, which 131 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 1: I think they do in this bill especially. I think 132 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: we're in a crucial time tomorrow's October jobs report. Presidents 133 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: coming into this with a lot of lack of confidence 134 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 1: in his competency in leadership. Dreadful jobs growth last two months, 135 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: economy potentially flatline third quarter. He's a million jobs short 136 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:55,119 Speaker 1: of his promises from the last stimulus, so he needs 137 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 1: a big number, and we're following it pretty close to me. Well, 138 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: we hope there's a big number because that's good for 139 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 1: all of us, I suppose, But Congressman absolutely, do you 140 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 1: have a sense of where we are? Congressman, I like 141 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 1: to talk to you. I know this is a democratic 142 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 1: exercise in reconciliation, but we like to talk to you 143 00:08:10,520 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: because you're a straight shooter and you normally tell us 144 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 1: what's on your mind. Are you hearing about a timetablor? 145 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: Are you gonna be called the votes up or down tomorrow? Yes? 146 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: So the latest sort of the latest conventional wisdom around 147 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 1: here is the potential for a vote tonight on the 148 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 1: tax and spending bill and then a a infrastructure vote tomorrow. 149 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: I think that's what Democrats are hoping for. We'll know 150 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 1: if there's an announcement of a rules committee meeting they 151 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:41,959 Speaker 1: have to set the rules for debate on thoset two bills. 152 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: Uh my guess is the signal, the white smoke signal 153 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 1: would be if rules committees called back to set the timing, 154 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 1: then we'll know they believe they have the vote. Yes, 155 00:08:52,840 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 1: we're watching the same chimney together here, Yes we are. 156 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 1: We heard from OPEC today rejecting please from the White 157 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:01,719 Speaker 1: House to boost production essentially handed the matter right back 158 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:04,439 Speaker 1: to the US, giving us a choice of tapping the 159 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:08,320 Speaker 1: strategic reserve. Or maybe there's another answer. I tend to 160 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 1: ask you whenever you're on with us, is there are 161 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 1: enough demand for more shale drilling? And I'll start getting 162 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: angry tweets, But is that a conversation happening in the 163 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 1: industry and in Texas well? It should be. It makes 164 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: no sense for us to be begging foreign countries for 165 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 1: more to buy when we've got the capability to do 166 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: it right here at home. But the Biden administrations, you know, 167 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 1: just seems to hate the oil and gas industry and 168 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: won't give an inch on this issue. It's one of 169 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 1: the reasons, you know, gas prices are so high. My 170 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 1: home heating and others are willing to be higher, uh 171 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 1: later this winter, And so I think it's they've they've 172 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 1: got a blind spot here in Americans are paying for 173 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: it in these higher gas prices. But you would need 174 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 1: his okay to start more or resume shale drilling. Is 175 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:54,680 Speaker 1: that I don't think the energy industry, facing the relentless 176 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: attack from the White House and Congress, including about a 177 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 1: hundred billion dollars of tax increases in this uh, in 178 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: this spending bill. You know, I think it'd be irresponsible 179 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: for them to move forward without a signal from the 180 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:09,839 Speaker 1: White House that they're not going to take action to 181 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 1: shut them down. Texas Congressman Kevin Brady sounds like you 182 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: are standing by for some votes in the next forty 183 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:19,760 Speaker 1: eight hours. Well, we are working to stop the bill, 184 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: so I'm hopeful you never see that white smoke. Well, 185 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 1: I know what your vote will be. Congressman Kevin Brady 186 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:28,040 Speaker 1: of Texas, ranking member, House Ways and Means Committee, Thank 187 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 1: you as always for coming back to talk to us. Sir, 188 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: you're listening to Bloomberg. You sound on with Joe Matthew 189 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:39,959 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. The headline on the terminal Pelosi aims 190 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:43,840 Speaker 1: to herd caucus ahead of votes. Easier said than done, 191 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:47,559 Speaker 1: as I read from Bloomberg, Government House Democrats seeking to 192 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 1: hammer out the remaining differences inside their caucus on President 193 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 1: Biden's tax and social spending measure with a vote. As 194 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 1: I read, it's right in front of me here, not 195 00:10:55,120 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 1: a typo, a vote possible as early as tonight. It's 196 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 1: like Kevin Brady just said, Well, it happened tonight. Tomorrow. 197 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:05,560 Speaker 1: This weekend should be a working weekend, according to the 198 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 1: Majority leaders Denny Hoyer, and so we assemble the panel 199 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:11,319 Speaker 1: to get into all this post election what could happen 200 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:13,319 Speaker 1: by the end of this week. We're joined by Democratic 201 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 1: strategist Roger Fisk of New Day Strategy, longtime veteran of 202 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 1: the Obama White House. We could go back to the 203 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:25,080 Speaker 1: Kerry campaign as well, former Boston Boys that he must 204 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 1: be honest. Republican analyst Doug High with us on the 205 00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 1: line as well former Deputy Chief of Staff Republican House 206 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:33,839 Speaker 1: leader Eric Canter. Thanks to both of you for being here, 207 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:35,720 Speaker 1: and Roger is great to have you in studio. This 208 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 1: is a good day for us as we try to 209 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 1: understand exactly what's happening here on Capitol Hill. You heard 210 00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:43,280 Speaker 1: Kevin Brady, you were sitting here as we were discussing this. 211 00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:45,360 Speaker 1: Do you think a vote is even possible in the 212 00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 1: next Yes, is the short version, And thank you so 213 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 1: much for having me. It's it's good to be anywhere 214 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 1: as um. But I think the urgency that came through 215 00:11:57,480 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 1: very clear on Tuesday. It's it's too late to pivot 216 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:04,080 Speaker 1: away from this. Uh, you know, it's it's essentially so large, 217 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:06,720 Speaker 1: and there's been so much time invested into this. The 218 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:09,199 Speaker 1: the idea that this would be set aside or something 219 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 1: like that just based on the results of Tuesday, I 220 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,839 Speaker 1: think is um not realistic. Once this is so far 221 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: down the aisle as it is, so, I think, you 222 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:22,840 Speaker 1: know nothing, nothing beats bad news better than more news. Right, 223 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 1: There's just kind of a natural kind of pipeline to 224 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,199 Speaker 1: these things. So the best thing that these folks can 225 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:31,040 Speaker 1: do is push forward and try to get this done 226 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:34,200 Speaker 1: and then on the kind of implementation. And they just 227 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:36,680 Speaker 1: want to make sure that there's hard hats and shovels 228 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:40,079 Speaker 1: out there by no later than March or April, because 229 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:43,959 Speaker 1: I believe that the elections of the fall are largely 230 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 1: determined by what people experience in the spring. Doug High, 231 00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:51,160 Speaker 1: you're no stranger to this process or whipping votes for 232 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 1: that matter. You were chief of staff deputy chief of 233 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 1: staff for Eric Canter. Do you feel that same urgency? 234 00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 1: Do you see the Democratic leadership moving this as quickly 235 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 1: as we're talking about here, And I say that quickly, 236 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 1: my gosh, it's been months. But with regard to this week, yeah, Look, 237 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,560 Speaker 1: certainly leadership has that sense of urgency where the rest 238 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,840 Speaker 1: rank and file members are. I just don't think we 239 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 1: know and that urgency was in place with leadership before Tuesday, 240 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 1: you know, a week before Tuesday, a month before Tuesday. 241 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: And one of the things that surprised me on this 242 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: just operationally were the number of times that we've been 243 00:13:24,000 --> 00:13:27,199 Speaker 1: promised as recently as Monday that we would have a 244 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:31,360 Speaker 1: vote today this week, and they've blown through deadline after deadline, 245 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:33,560 Speaker 1: and it's not clear to me why this week would 246 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 1: then be different than any other week because the pressure 247 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:37,839 Speaker 1: points are now gone. Well, I think the answer that 248 00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:40,520 Speaker 1: Roger was saying to that question is elections, right, is 249 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 1: that is that not a motivator? Well, it's sure it's 250 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 1: a motivator, but it would have been more of a 251 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:48,320 Speaker 1: motivator a week ago. You know, you had Terry mccaullub 252 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:51,680 Speaker 1: on the stump saying, essentially, Democrats, I don't care what's 253 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 1: in this thing. You just need to demonstrate that you 254 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 1: can get any kind of work done. And then, you know, 255 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: I think Democrats also have the challenge of they don't 256 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,080 Speaker 1: know what's in this bill, and uh, you know, as 257 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi rather famously said in two thousand ten, two 258 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: thousand nine. I guess we have to pass it to 259 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 1: find out what's in it. That may be the case 260 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 1: for Democrats right now, but there there's still that disconnect 261 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:17,080 Speaker 1: between leadership and the ranking file members. Is that a 262 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 1: fair assessment, Roger? A lot of lawmakers have said, I'm 263 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 1: not voting on anything unless I can read it first. Yeah. 264 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 1: I I disagree with very very little of that. It's um. 265 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 1: When things are moving this quickly, you know, you could 266 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 1: basically hit print at your computer three hours ago, and 267 00:14:31,640 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 1: then the document that you would have in your lap 268 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 1: right now could be very very different by the time 269 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 1: the sun goes down today. Um. So I I agree 270 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:43,000 Speaker 1: with his point, Um fundamentally. Well. So let's say that 271 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:46,360 Speaker 1: there's a vote tomorrow. UH will say there's a vote tonight. 272 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:49,640 Speaker 1: Let's let's be hopeful here. Uh do both end up 273 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 1: moving at once, Roger? As we have heard repeatedly, progressives 274 00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:57,000 Speaker 1: need to see UH some assurances on reconciliation before they 275 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 1: get to infrastructure. Nancy Pelosi knows that she's been hearing 276 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: this all long. There must be a mechanism for this. 277 00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 1: When you dissect the language that Chairwoman um Jayapaul has used. 278 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 1: I think starting about a month ago, she was starting 279 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 1: to kind of telegraph a little bit of willingness to 280 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 1: accept some kind of theoretical guarantee, which would be to 281 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 1: say that as long as there's an agreement in place 282 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 1: that will bring this up within a you know, a 283 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 1: couple of weeks or a month or something. I think 284 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 1: I saw just a little bit of distance between the 285 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 1: two major pieces of legislation open up and and and 286 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:32,520 Speaker 1: I took that to be her kind of telegraphing a 287 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 1: willingness to do this vote trust the president line is 288 00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 1: what you're talking about. We trust president? And then and 289 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: then how much how much wiggle room is there where 290 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: that trust can still be regarded as something real and 291 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:48,320 Speaker 1: and you know um as a as A, as an 292 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:53,280 Speaker 1: honest obligation, but then still giving room for the legislative 293 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 1: machinations to actually happen, because I just I don't see 294 00:15:57,720 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: these things happening in the same twenty four hour period, 295 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 1: and probably not in the same week, and maybe not 296 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 1: even in the same month. Does every Republican vote no 297 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:10,960 Speaker 1: on bipartisan infrastructure because there is this this sort of connection, 298 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 1: this implied connection, or is there a good reason for 299 00:16:13,600 --> 00:16:17,280 Speaker 1: House Republicans to vote to improve roads and bridges. Well, 300 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 1: I think you'll certainly see a few Republicans vote for 301 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 1: whatever package ends up getting put In places we've seen, 302 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 1: you know, over the past few weeks and really last 303 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 1: year and a half, some Republicans have really been incentivized 304 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 1: to challenge leadership. It's a small group, but that exists. 305 00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:37,120 Speaker 1: After that, I think the reality is politically, especially given 306 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 1: the shape and and makeup of congressional district when you're 307 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 1: in the when you're in the minority, your job, in 308 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:47,239 Speaker 1: part especially to your to your constituency, which is overwhelmingly 309 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 1: of your party, is to not help the other side 310 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:53,680 Speaker 1: do anything. So we're watching for the white smoke. In 311 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 1: the words of Kevin Brady, the Congressman from Texas, ranking 312 00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 1: member on House Ways and Means with us at the 313 00:16:59,880 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 1: top of the hour here says, watch the Rules Committee. 314 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 1: You want to know when they vote. That comes first, 315 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,480 Speaker 1: And any of us who remember the last conclave know 316 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 1: exactly what he's talking about. They say, there could be 317 00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: a vote tonight, maybe tomorrow, and it could be a 318 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 1: working weekend, and we're joined to talk about all of this, 319 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 1: and namely the role that progressives are playing the sort 320 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:22,159 Speaker 1: of positions that they have been taking, and it seems 321 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:23,760 Speaker 1: to be one of trust at the moment based on 322 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 1: what we're hearing from Representative Giant Ball, joined by Adam 323 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:30,200 Speaker 1: Green now he's co founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee. Adam, 324 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 1: thank you for being with us. Are progressives on board 325 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:37,080 Speaker 1: to move forward? Absolutely? And progressives have been on board 326 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:40,200 Speaker 1: to move forward for a while. My understanding is that 327 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 1: when this happened, it will be two bills happening pretty 328 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,200 Speaker 1: much at the same time. The larger Billback Better Plan, 329 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 1: which is the crux of the Biden economic agenda, as 330 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:51,880 Speaker 1: well as the biparsion infrastructure bill. The Progressives has head 331 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,960 Speaker 1: along Let's put them together, and that effected the last 332 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 1: couple of weeks is that that larger bill has really 333 00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: taken shape, not even more consensus around it, and I 334 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,879 Speaker 1: think most people are ready to do this. Listen to 335 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 1: what Speaker Pelosi said earlier when she was asked about 336 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 1: this very thing. Are you voting on these two bills? 337 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:10,479 Speaker 1: I think many of you know. I was really very 338 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:13,800 Speaker 1: unhappy about not passing the BIFF last week. I really 339 00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:17,200 Speaker 1: was very unhappy because we had an October thirty one deadline, 340 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: and I thought that that was eloquent, but not enough, 341 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,399 Speaker 1: I guess. So now we're gonna We're going to pass 342 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:27,800 Speaker 1: both bills, but in order to do so, we have 343 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:31,280 Speaker 1: to have votes for both bills. And that's where we are. 344 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 1: So does that suggest adam at the stair down between 345 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 1: progressives and moderates now, I guess, or the issue they 346 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:38,600 Speaker 1: say that they want to see a score, they want 347 00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 1: to read the bill first. This sort of stareoff continues 348 00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:46,600 Speaker 1: on Capitol Hill. Yeah, you know, I think some of 349 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:48,920 Speaker 1: the reporting on this kind of muddy. Some of the waters. 350 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,040 Speaker 1: You know, even calling them moderates is not accurate. Most 351 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:56,680 Speaker 1: frontline House Democrats, people who won swing districts by two 352 00:18:56,680 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 1: points three points, and most even moderates conservative Democrats are 353 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 1: ready to vote and pass this thing. There are a 354 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:10,119 Speaker 1: few I would call them, um, you know, either narcissistic 355 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 1: or corporal lined or conservative Democrats who are not generally 356 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:18,000 Speaker 1: from swing districts. One guy want his districts by forty points, 357 00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:21,119 Speaker 1: not with forty points, by forty points, another person by 358 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 1: twelve points. And these people are just like obstructing the bill, 359 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 1: asking for more and more details. As it's a late pactic, 360 00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 1: and you know that is in contrast and the majority 361 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:32,639 Speaker 1: of the caucus, I mean, even Christian Cinema is on 362 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:34,840 Speaker 1: board at this point. And that's why most people are saying, 363 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 1: let's just get this done, especially after the Virginia New 364 00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 1: Jersey election results. One of the major messages I think 365 00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 1: most Democrats have taken from that is as we ask 366 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 1: voters for their trust, in order to keep that trust, 367 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,880 Speaker 1: we have to deliver. And if we don't deliver, enthusiasm 368 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 1: goes down because why would I you know, why would 369 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,919 Speaker 1: a mom working two jobs or three jobs, you know, 370 00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: worried about her kids at night, you know, barely any 371 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,640 Speaker 1: to any free time to spare her go and vote 372 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 1: if it's not going to make a difference in there 373 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,119 Speaker 1: in that person's life. Right, what this will do is 374 00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,560 Speaker 1: give that person childcare, that person lower cost prescription drugs 375 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:12,200 Speaker 1: and healthcare. Right. If that person has an elderly parent, 376 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 1: you will address long term or or home care. There's 377 00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:17,879 Speaker 1: so many things in this that will just make the 378 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 1: hassle of everybody of people's lives better, generally paid for 379 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:24,360 Speaker 1: by millionaires and giant corporations who have been using loopholes 380 00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 1: to his avoid paying taxes. It's a super popular bill 381 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 1: which gotta get done, and I think at this point 382 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 1: there's just a few calcisims Democrats who are not Progressive 383 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:34,879 Speaker 1: Caucus members, who are potentially standing in the way. But 384 00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 1: I'm actually optimistic that they will get mine, especially given 385 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:41,680 Speaker 1: the election results this week. Adam Greeny, I recall a conversation. 386 00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:44,400 Speaker 1: You're you're, you're, you're causing me to recall a conversation 387 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:48,160 Speaker 1: I had with Ianna Pressley, the progressive so called member 388 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:53,879 Speaker 1: of the Squad, progressive congresswoman from Massachusetts, and she was 389 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:55,920 Speaker 1: making the point a couple of weeks ago that these 390 00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 1: are not options for real progressives. Childcare, she said, is 391 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 1: must have, not a want half, climate change provisions, must 392 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:08,520 Speaker 1: have not one have paid leave the same deal. Prescription 393 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,640 Speaker 1: drug prices. Not all of these items, though, are are 394 00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:15,240 Speaker 1: apparently going to make it in to the final bill. 395 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:18,040 Speaker 1: When you look at the initial wish list where we 396 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:21,479 Speaker 1: started here, this number has been whittled down quite a bit, 397 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,880 Speaker 1: and not everything will make it in. Bring us inside 398 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,440 Speaker 1: the minds of the progressive lawmaker, is there are a 399 00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 1: thought that, Okay, we're getting as much as we can 400 00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 1: at least to go ahead with this, or we're going 401 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,399 Speaker 1: to come back again next year, maybe with reconciliation and 402 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 1: get the rest. Yeah, I will say that. You know, look, 403 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:40,160 Speaker 1: progressives are extremely pragmatic. I think everybody knows that that 404 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,679 Speaker 1: they're not gonna get everything they want. Um, probably the 405 00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:47,000 Speaker 1: most important must have is climate because like the world 406 00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:50,240 Speaker 1: is at stake literally if we don't act now, and 407 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:53,160 Speaker 1: we can't can't play games with that. So while many 408 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:56,040 Speaker 1: programs have been whittled back to one to four years 409 00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:58,639 Speaker 1: of funding, Climate gets full ten years, which is the 410 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:03,880 Speaker 1: maximum allowed in this law. Um, you're not getting provision though. 411 00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 1: That was the centerpiece of the of the climate though. 412 00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:08,919 Speaker 1: Is there an effort or a thought that there will 413 00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 1: be an effort later to bring that back or we 414 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 1: walk in all affort? No? Absolutely, I mean look, I 415 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 1: mean ultimately tillions and trillions of dollars of investment will 416 00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,200 Speaker 1: we needed just for climate? This would be about five 417 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:22,280 Speaker 1: fifty five billion. But the good news is that we 418 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:24,280 Speaker 1: have reconfigured that you know, the money didn't go down 419 00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 1: where you know, there's lots of stuff that we can do. 420 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,600 Speaker 1: This will this was destined to be a down payment 421 00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 1: on the larger set of stuff that will need to 422 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:34,360 Speaker 1: come later. And part of what Joe Biden did negotiate 423 00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:37,320 Speaker 1: with Joe Mansion is all right, if you objected certain provisions, 424 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 1: give me the same money. We'll find other stuff to find. 425 00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:41,680 Speaker 1: But all of it is chipping away at our obligations 426 00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,679 Speaker 1: under you know, to to address climate change. But to 427 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,719 Speaker 1: your point, you know, a week ago there were actually 428 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,320 Speaker 1: three major things missing from this bill that are actually 429 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 1: put back in. One was negotiating allowing Medicare to negotiate 430 00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:59,560 Speaker 1: lower price prescriptions with the big farmer companies. It leave 431 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 1: us back in um and that there's one more those 432 00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,720 Speaker 1: and they those make it palatable though for progressives to 433 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 1: vote for this it does it have to come before 434 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 1: infrastructure or is that rope a dope over with Well, 435 00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter if it will come before instructure. What 436 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,560 Speaker 1: we're hearing is that what Pelosi will likely do is 437 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:23,359 Speaker 1: schedule uh, this larger billback better bill one day, probably 438 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 1: do infrastructure the next day, or it will probably be 439 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:28,439 Speaker 1: in that sequence which addresses all the trust issues. No 440 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,199 Speaker 1: need to have an artificial fight there. Adam Green, co 441 00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:34,359 Speaker 1: founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, appreciate you're asking 442 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:39,560 Speaker 1: my questions. You're listening to Bloomberg. You sound on with 443 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 1: Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. So the progressives are on board, 444 00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,960 Speaker 1: most of the moderates are. The Speaker Pelosi says she's 445 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 1: still hunting for votes New York Times with the headline 446 00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:56,160 Speaker 1: House Democrats hunt for votes to pass Biden's domestic agenda. 447 00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:00,159 Speaker 1: So we're not there yet. At least midday today we 448 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: were not. I played for you the comments from Speaker Pelosi. Earliers. 449 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:05,880 Speaker 1: It does now the votes. That doesn't mean it won't 450 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,520 Speaker 1: be the case tonight. And we're joined by the panel 451 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:12,000 Speaker 1: as we reassemble our panel for today, and our experts 452 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:15,600 Speaker 1: are Democratic strategist Roger Fisk of New Day Strategy, and 453 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:17,960 Speaker 1: we're joined on the line by Republican analyst Doug High, 454 00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 1: former Deputy chief of Staff, or Republican House Leader Eric Cantor. 455 00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:25,520 Speaker 1: What's your thought after hearing that conversation, Roger, And know 456 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,119 Speaker 1: that they're whipping votes up there right now. We're waiting 457 00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:30,200 Speaker 1: for rules to come together. This whole thing is gonna 458 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 1: be one full smash, you know, after waiting months and months, 459 00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 1: it's gonna be breakneck. All of a sudden, we're voting 460 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 1: on everything at once. Do you feel that way? I 461 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:39,959 Speaker 1: don't know about everything at once, but it definitely seems 462 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,520 Speaker 1: like something's coming. Imagine being Speaker Pelosi right now and watching, 463 00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 1: for example, if American Airlines drops a couple more flights 464 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 1: or something. I mean her the margin is so thin, um, 465 00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:53,720 Speaker 1: But that's an encouraging message coming from your previous guest 466 00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 1: representing kind of the Progressive Caucus and from Chair wound 467 00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:01,399 Speaker 1: gianpolic I. Like I mentioned, I think people are getting 468 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:04,680 Speaker 1: to a point where they realize this needs to be punctuated, 469 00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 1: This needs to be implemented, and shovels need to be 470 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,160 Speaker 1: in the ground next spring if they have any hope 471 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 1: of of proving that they're following through on what they 472 00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:15,879 Speaker 1: promised the American people and having that reflect itself in 473 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: the results of next fall. Doug High, I bet you 474 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,400 Speaker 1: remember the good old days of shovel ready jobs, back 475 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,640 Speaker 1: when Roger was working for President Obama. But what what's 476 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,399 Speaker 1: going on right now behind the scenes? You actually know this, 477 00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 1: you lived at What What is happening as they whip votes? 478 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 1: Are people being called into the Speaker's office? Is this 479 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:34,640 Speaker 1: being done on the phone? What kind of arm twisting 480 00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 1: is happening all of the above and include every member 481 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 1: of leadership. They're meeting with Stenny Hoyer, they're meeting with 482 00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,680 Speaker 1: Jim Clyburne, they're meeting with their the leader of their 483 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:45,880 Speaker 1: state delegations. And the whole goal is trying to get 484 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,440 Speaker 1: to two eighteen votes. And it's one of the things 485 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 1: that when I worked in House leadership, sometimes we were 486 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 1: successful at sometimes we weren't. And what Nancy Pelosi will 487 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 1: not do, it's bring up a vote that's going to fail. 488 00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,920 Speaker 1: So if they announced that there is an actual vote, 489 00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:03,240 Speaker 1: not a goal for a vote, that means they've got 490 00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 1: the votes to pass this. But there's still a lot 491 00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:07,720 Speaker 1: of moving pieces, and you know, listening to Frankly the 492 00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 1: traffic update when we were at Commercial, I was reminded 493 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,879 Speaker 1: that every single person who's taking the Holland Tunnel, everybody 494 00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:16,919 Speaker 1: who's listening right now on the C Street going to 495 00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:21,399 Speaker 1: Atlantic Highlands in New Jersey, the salt tax issue is 496 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 1: a big deal for them. And that's not just divide 497 00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:27,919 Speaker 1: necessarily between moderates and progressive that's a geographic divide as 498 00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:31,119 Speaker 1: well New Jersey. Having lived in New Jersey in North Carolina, 499 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:35,280 Speaker 1: property taxes sales taxes, income taxes are very different in 500 00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:39,240 Speaker 1: those states. You know. We heard Kevin Brady talking about that, uh, 501 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:41,479 Speaker 1: and he's not too pleased about it. We had a 502 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 1: member of Congress from southwestern Virginia with us this time 503 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 1: last night. He said, how come my people need to 504 00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,199 Speaker 1: pay for your your bad tax policy up in New 505 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,000 Speaker 1: York and New Jersey. Yeah, and all those states get 506 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,040 Speaker 1: to pump their own gath let's not for a day 507 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:57,880 Speaker 1: spoken like in New Jersey. And what do you make 508 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 1: of that? Uh, Roger, the salt cap. This is something 509 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,240 Speaker 1: that's been in and out so many times. We as 510 00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:05,359 Speaker 1: we just discussed with Kevin Brady, it appears to be 511 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:09,040 Speaker 1: back in a five year suspension. This is what Alexandriacascio 512 00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:12,200 Speaker 1: Cortez at one point was calling a gift to millionaires. Yeah, 513 00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:14,800 Speaker 1: you could categorize it that way. It's very interesting when 514 00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:17,040 Speaker 1: you get into looking at the federal pie and what 515 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 1: states um contribute what. For example, thirteen of the fifteen 516 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,800 Speaker 1: states most relying on the federal government are red states, 517 00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:26,760 Speaker 1: and some of the governors thereof have made no small 518 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 1: national name for themselves off boasting of their fiscal austerity 519 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:34,240 Speaker 1: and things like that when you a South Carolina, Louisiana, 520 00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 1: Mississippi is getting a one dollar and twenty cents one 521 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,320 Speaker 1: dollar and thirty cents back for every dollar they put in, 522 00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:44,760 Speaker 1: whereas a Connecticut, of Massachusetts of California is getting seventy 523 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:49,560 Speaker 1: eight five cents back. So there is a donor uh 524 00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:53,439 Speaker 1: dynamic between some states. So when people get into a 525 00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: conversation about exactly what state is paying what in terms 526 00:27:57,080 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 1: of taxes, they might be very surprised about who comes 527 00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:01,639 Speaker 1: out on the losing end of that. What do you 528 00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:04,320 Speaker 1: make of that, Doug, I think it was hockem Jeffries 529 00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:05,919 Speaker 1: who was who was drawing the line. I think as 530 00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:10,800 Speaker 1: Roger just was between maker states and taker states. Yeah, look, 531 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:12,760 Speaker 1: it's it's a real it's a real issue. You know, 532 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,520 Speaker 1: as a conservative, what and I've talked to some Democratic 533 00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:17,879 Speaker 1: members about this. You know, one of the things that 534 00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 1: I know frustrates conservatives is that that the answer is 535 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:23,680 Speaker 1: never that these states can to reduce their own high taxes. 536 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:25,520 Speaker 1: And you know, having been in New Jersey just a 537 00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:28,879 Speaker 1: few weeks ago and hearing complaints about every level of 538 00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:31,399 Speaker 1: taxation that they have, that never seems to be on 539 00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 1: the table. It's up to Washington to provide a deduction. 540 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,399 Speaker 1: I understand if you represent New Jersey, if you're Josh Gottheimer, 541 00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:40,720 Speaker 1: and you've been working relentlessly on this issue, where maybe 542 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:42,840 Speaker 1: five years isn't good enough for you need ten years 543 00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 1: for assault deduction. This is again where these things aren't 544 00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:50,400 Speaker 1: just ideological, they're geographic. Producer Matt Shirley just put a 545 00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 1: list in front of me here from Money Geeks actually 546 00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 1: ranks states by federal dependency. Those most dependent states Number 547 00:28:57,400 --> 00:28:59,800 Speaker 1: one New Mexico, I was surprised to see, followed by 548 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:05,560 Speaker 1: West Virginia, Mississippi, Alaska, Montana, there's your top five, followed 549 00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:10,200 Speaker 1: by Kentucky, where of course the Republican leader in the 550 00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:13,680 Speaker 1: Senate is from. While we have you here, I want 551 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:15,960 Speaker 1: to ask you about something else big that's happening today. 552 00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:19,320 Speaker 1: We could get a vote tonight on infrastructure reconciliation. If 553 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 1: we do, you're gonna hear about it on Bloomberg. But 554 00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:24,160 Speaker 1: there's another big headline on another day, we'd probably be 555 00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 1: talking about this a lot more. And that's President Biden's 556 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,920 Speaker 1: vaccine rule for employers. This is something that's been considered 557 00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:33,560 Speaker 1: rather controversial. This impacts companies with a hundred employees or more. 558 00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:36,880 Speaker 1: And I see the Bloomberg headline Biden's vaccine rule is 559 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:41,840 Speaker 1: here and half of employers are not ready. Is this 560 00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 1: good politics? Roger? I think I know how you're going 561 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:45,720 Speaker 1: to answer this. This is going to go through the 562 00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:48,520 Speaker 1: Labor Department, through OSHA, apparently a rule that will require 563 00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:51,640 Speaker 1: companies with a hundred employers or more, but they're there. 564 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 1: This could lead to an enormous number of lawsuits as 565 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:58,200 Speaker 1: government tries to tell private business what to do, well, 566 00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:00,080 Speaker 1: what to do should they wish to do? Because this 567 00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 1: with the federal government right, Like what I one of 568 00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:04,960 Speaker 1: my takeaways from Tuesday, and I'll loop this back to 569 00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:08,720 Speaker 1: your question. I promises the cartoonish ways that some of 570 00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:13,160 Speaker 1: these issues are um presented on the Republican side, for example, 571 00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:18,200 Speaker 1: critical race theory, Attorney General Garland calling parents domestic terrorists, 572 00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 1: all these things that essentially get incredibly cartoonized and exaggerated 573 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:28,959 Speaker 1: and kind of metastasized into these existential kind of um threats. 574 00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 1: So my point in that is to say Biden is 575 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:37,040 Speaker 1: going to get essentially caricatured as a big government, you know, 576 00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:40,160 Speaker 1: kind of authoritarian when it comes to the vaccine no 577 00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:43,040 Speaker 1: matter what he does. So he might as well at 578 00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:46,479 Speaker 1: least post some numbers so that he can go with 579 00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 1: data and present his you know, his record and his 580 00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:53,440 Speaker 1: justifications thereof to the American people, because fast forward to 581 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,040 Speaker 1: next fall and they'll be saying the same kind of 582 00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:57,880 Speaker 1: stuff about him anyway, So I might as well have 583 00:30:57,880 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 1: the numbers to UM to show for it. Well, it's 584 00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:01,800 Speaker 1: an interesting approach. And this is different than what we're 585 00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,160 Speaker 1: seeing in New York right where municipal employees were walking 586 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:07,440 Speaker 1: off the job because there was not an alternative for testing. 587 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,120 Speaker 1: This actually would come with an alternative for regular testing 588 00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:14,000 Speaker 1: or or covering your face masking up at work. Doug Is, 589 00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 1: is this a problem for you as the White House 590 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:21,040 Speaker 1: gets involved in private business? No, again, I think it's 591 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:23,760 Speaker 1: it's really an issue of who's doing UM business with 592 00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,200 Speaker 1: the federal government, and politically for Joe Biden, he knows 593 00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:30,640 Speaker 1: that ultimately when you look at everything that happened on Tuesday, 594 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 1: it all ties into COVID one way or another. The 595 00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:37,040 Speaker 1: whole issue of schools in Virginia began with schools being closed, 596 00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:40,560 Speaker 1: and more schools closed in Virginia than anywhere else. Obviously, 597 00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 1: the economy, inflation, the supply chain, all these things that 598 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 1: we look at. Even border security is of extent. COVID 599 00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:50,120 Speaker 1: affects all of this. The best thing that Joe Biden 600 00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:52,480 Speaker 1: can do for the country, much less for his own 601 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:55,760 Speaker 1: re election, is to get us past where we are 602 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:59,040 Speaker 1: right now and worrying about other variants and you know 603 00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:00,800 Speaker 1: all the things that have going on with this, to 604 00:32:00,800 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 1: get America really back on track. We see issue and 605 00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:08,640 Speaker 1: issue after issue where Democrats, not just Biden, are underwater 606 00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:12,840 Speaker 1: in polling. But more than anything, it's really the right track, 607 00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 1: wrong track, and that all goes back to COVID. I 608 00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,320 Speaker 1: want to add to that, right, No, I actually completely 609 00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:20,600 Speaker 1: agree with it. I'm old fashioned. I think good policy 610 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,080 Speaker 1: makes good politics. He said he would follow through and 611 00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:27,200 Speaker 1: and flatten this, flatten these numbers, and that's that would 612 00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:30,959 Speaker 1: be perfectly politically valuable and relevant for him to do 613 00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,200 Speaker 1: exactly what he told the American people he would do. Wow, 614 00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,160 Speaker 1: we're all agreeing on a lot of stuff here. We 615 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,680 Speaker 1: got a job's report tomorrow. Uh. Kevin Brady, who was 616 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,400 Speaker 1: on with us at the beginning of the hour, Doug 617 00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 1: was referring to the President being a million jobs short, 618 00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:48,160 Speaker 1: of of of his goals. That too is tied to 619 00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:50,320 Speaker 1: COVID as we wait for people to come back to work, 620 00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:52,160 Speaker 1: and we're not always sure why are they afraid of 621 00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 1: the workplace? Are they waiting for for childcare? Maybe they're 622 00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:58,200 Speaker 1: dealing with with with an older person in their family 623 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,360 Speaker 1: who can't get out of the house. How much is 624 00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:05,960 Speaker 1: that going to be uh blamed? I guess on President Biden. 625 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:10,560 Speaker 1: If if these numbers continue to lag projections by economists, Yeah, 626 00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:12,320 Speaker 1: it's a real part of it. And also you have 627 00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:14,320 Speaker 1: a lot of people who just have decided I don't 628 00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:15,960 Speaker 1: really need to go back and do that anymore. It 629 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,000 Speaker 1: turns out I didn't really enjoy it. You know, I would. 630 00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,040 Speaker 1: I would can see that not every voter thinks about 631 00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 1: what's happening in downtown Washington is being critical for their lives. 632 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:27,040 Speaker 1: But if you go to if you still go to 633 00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:30,280 Speaker 1: downtown Washington right now, it's a ghost town, that's for sure. 634 00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:33,000 Speaker 1: People aren't going back to their offices, which means they're 635 00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,480 Speaker 1: not taking the subway, they're not taking the bus, they're 636 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 1: not getting sandwiches for lunch or cocktails and you know 637 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,840 Speaker 1: whatever at dinner. The town is still a ghost town, 638 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,000 Speaker 1: and that's still happening in a lot of cities throughout 639 00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:47,040 Speaker 1: the country, and that's ultimately where those jobs numbers. You know, 640 00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:49,080 Speaker 1: that's a big part of where those jobs numbers are 641 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,680 Speaker 1: and why they've been lacking. I was struck coming back 642 00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:53,320 Speaker 1: to d C. Rodger to see how quiet it is 643 00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:56,560 Speaker 1: here compared to New York, Boston, wherever else where. People 644 00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 1: are starting to come back, where there are traffic jams. 645 00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,600 Speaker 1: How important is that number tomorrowful, President Biden. I think 646 00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:04,880 Speaker 1: it'll come in probably very close to where it's been. 647 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,400 Speaker 1: When I was listening to Representative Brady's comments earlier, I 648 00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,480 Speaker 1: was thinking back. You know, nineteen is presented as kind 649 00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:14,040 Speaker 1: of the the halcyon year of the of the Trump presidency, 650 00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:18,200 Speaker 1: and I remember clearly February of nineteen, the job's report 651 00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:22,760 Speaker 1: was forty jobs. May often was seventy thousand jobs. Really 652 00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:28,360 Speaker 1: weak and anemic numbers. Biden's shugging along at that's pretty 653 00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:31,080 Speaker 1: solid given what we've been through in the last eighteen months. 654 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:35,120 Speaker 1: Great conversation with Roger Fisk and Doug High. God, there's 655 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:37,120 Speaker 1: a lot of smart people around here. I thank you both, 656 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:39,160 Speaker 1: and great to have you in studio with us. Roger, 657 00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:41,799 Speaker 1: let's do this again soon. Thanks to the Congressman. We'll 658 00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 1: meet you back here tomorrow, same time. This is Bloomberg