WEBVTT - Interview with Jeffrey Sachs: Masters in Business (Audio)

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<v Speaker 1>Masters in Business is brought to you by the American

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<v Speaker 1>Arbitration Association. Business disputes are inevitable, Resolve Faster with the

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<v Speaker 1>American Arbitration Association, the global leader in alternative dispute resolution

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<v Speaker 1>for over ninety years. Learn more at a d R

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<v Speaker 1>dot org. This is Masters in Business with Very Ridholts

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. This week on the podcast, I have

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<v Speaker 1>Professor Jeffrey Sachs, and this is really a fascinating conversation

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<v Speaker 1>and it doesn't get very wonky. We talked about all

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<v Speaker 1>sorts of things, from sustainable investing to where President Trump

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<v Speaker 1>should be spending his infrastructure dollars. Uh. There are so

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<v Speaker 1>many things that Professor Sachs has experience and expertise in.

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<v Speaker 1>If you are all interested in macroeconomics, in sustainable investing,

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<v Speaker 1>in a variety of issues that lie at the intersection

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<v Speaker 1>of politics, technology and economics, then I think you'll find

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<v Speaker 1>this conversation quite fascinating. So, with no further ado, my

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<v Speaker 1>conversation with Professor Jeffrey Sachs. This is Masters in Business

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<v Speaker 1>with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today

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<v Speaker 1>is Professor Jeffrey Sachs. Of Columbia University. I am going

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<v Speaker 1>to give you a greatly abbreviated version of his CV,

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<v Speaker 1>otherwise will have no time left for questions. He is

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<v Speaker 1>the University professor at Columbia. It is the highest rank

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<v Speaker 1>the university bestows on any faculty member. UH. He is

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<v Speaker 1>an economist director of the Earth Institute. He's written numerous

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<v Speaker 1>New York Times bestsellers, The End of Poverty, Commonwealth, and

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<v Speaker 1>the Price of Civilization. His most recent book is Building

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<v Speaker 1>the New American Economy, Smart, Fair and Sustainable. He has

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<v Speaker 1>advised countries such as Bolivia, Poland, Slovenia, Estonia, and Russia

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<v Speaker 1>as to how to become market based economies. I can

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<v Speaker 1>describe his background forever. But rather than just dwell on

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<v Speaker 1>his advice to the World Bank, to the Organization of

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<v Speaker 1>Economic Cooperation, to the World's Health Organization, why don't I

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<v Speaker 1>just say, Professor Jeffrey Sachs, welcome to Bloomberg. Hey, Verry,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you very much. Great to be here. So our

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<v Speaker 1>timing couldn't be more auspicious, because we've entered a uh

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<v Speaker 1>somewhat new era, it seems, following the election and questions

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<v Speaker 1>about jobs and productivity and sustainability and inequality are everywhere.

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<v Speaker 1>So so let's let's jump right into this. In in

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<v Speaker 1>one of your books, you reference that you had an

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<v Speaker 1>economic vision beyond g DP. What does that mean? We're

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<v Speaker 1>pretty rich in this country. And if you just look

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<v Speaker 1>at our total output, our gross domestic product and divided

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<v Speaker 1>by the population, were at some dollars or so per person,

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<v Speaker 1>pretty darn good. It's risen basically three times in the

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<v Speaker 1>last half century. And yet we don't feel so good.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is a paradox. It actually even has a

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<v Speaker 1>name in academic economics. It's called the Easterland paradox, named

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<v Speaker 1>after a professor at a University of Pennsylvania who tracked

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<v Speaker 1>the data and he looked at how Americans think about

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<v Speaker 1>their happiness over the last fifty years. And the economy says,

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<v Speaker 1>the economy is going up, but the happiness is stuck.

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<v Speaker 1>And I just looked at the very most recent data

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<v Speaker 1>and not surprisingly, the happiness actually going down. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>even treading water anymore. So America Americans feel that we're

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<v Speaker 1>off track. Uh, there's a lot of unhappiness, disgruntlement where

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<v Speaker 1>at each other's throats. We don't trust our government, We

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<v Speaker 1>don't trust each other, and that means that we're not

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<v Speaker 1>getting what we would have expected to get out of

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<v Speaker 1>all this affluence. And in this sense, since an economy

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<v Speaker 1>is basically to serve the human purpose, it's not to

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<v Speaker 1>make numbers in a table of G n P. It's

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<v Speaker 1>to help make us prosperous, healthy, happy, and it's not

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<v Speaker 1>happening right now. We need to look more deeply at why. So,

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<v Speaker 1>so let's discuss that Thomas Picketty's book really resonated with

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of a lot of people. Uh, it was

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<v Speaker 1>really a very deep dive into economic inequality. But when

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<v Speaker 1>we look at the data, inequality has been expanding for decades. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>why has it taken so long for this to reach

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<v Speaker 1>a boiling point? Well, I think it is like a

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<v Speaker 1>boiling point, which is that you can put the pot

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<v Speaker 1>on the stove and for a while you don't see

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<v Speaker 1>any bubbles, and then it does start boiling. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that exactly, you know, you warm the frog who

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<v Speaker 1>just sits in the water until they're they're gone, And

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<v Speaker 1>I think that for us, Uh, we see really now

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<v Speaker 1>for almost four decades a rise of inequality, and for

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<v Speaker 1>a while we were just into the greed is good category.

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<v Speaker 1>In the eighties that was a new boom period. And

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<v Speaker 1>then with the end of the Cold War, we thought, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>now we're going to have our big peace dividend, and

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<v Speaker 1>then we went back to World War War UH in

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<v Speaker 1>at the start of this century. And yet all through

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<v Speaker 1>this the economy has expanded, technology has improved, and inequality

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<v Speaker 1>has widened, and more and more Americans say they don't

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<v Speaker 1>like government, they don't trust each other, and they're not

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<v Speaker 1>so happy. So it's really, in this sense, very peculiar

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<v Speaker 1>unsatisfying moment for America. And I think the election of

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump, which is a signal of the most divided

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<v Speaker 1>we've ever been in in the last century, UH is

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<v Speaker 1>really making us take another look at all of this.

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<v Speaker 1>I just read a fascinating study, and I'm sure I'm

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<v Speaker 1>getting this slightly wrong. Something like a third of the

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<v Speaker 1>opponents of Obamacare don't realize the A c A and

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<v Speaker 1>Obamacare are the same thing. How much of this discontent

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<v Speaker 1>is genuine people are actually hurting, and how much of

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<v Speaker 1>it is a product of people being either uninformed or misinformed.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that the discontent is real. I think the

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<v Speaker 1>mood is surly. We clearly have a real cultural divide

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<v Speaker 1>in this country, because when you look at the election map,

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<v Speaker 1>the big cities by and large go for the Democrats,

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<v Speaker 1>and the rural areas and the smaller towns and the

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<v Speaker 1>suburbs more or less go for the Republicans. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>not true just in the most recent elections. So that

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<v Speaker 1>division is really quite real. The perceptions of the world

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<v Speaker 1>are quite different. Um, and why we're not able to

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<v Speaker 1>use our clear much greater wealth, our ability to solve problems,

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<v Speaker 1>to camp this down. Why we are at the boiling

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<v Speaker 1>point is a bit of a mystery. Not every country

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<v Speaker 1>is like ours, that is at each other's throats. Were

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<v Speaker 1>not alone in this though. By the way, it's Brexit

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<v Speaker 1>and France exactly. All of that signals that this cultural

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<v Speaker 1>divide is real. I'm very rital. You're listening to Masters

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<v Speaker 1>in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today is

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<v Speaker 1>Professor Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University. His latest book, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm grabbing it right here, Building the New American Economy, Smart,

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<v Speaker 1>Fair and Sustainable, with a forward by Bernie Sanders. So

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<v Speaker 1>let's talk a little bit about the new American economy

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<v Speaker 1>as much as we've been hearing that globalization is the enemy,

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<v Speaker 1>how accurate is that compared to the rise of robots,

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<v Speaker 1>the rise of artificial intelligence. It's been famously said by

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<v Speaker 1>some venture capitalists software is eating everything. How much of

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<v Speaker 1>this is technology and how much of this is really globalization?

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<v Speaker 1>Globalization is not the enemy. Globalization is the reality. We

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<v Speaker 1>have global scale production systems, global scale payment systems, global

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<v Speaker 1>scale communication systems, global scale internet, and it's gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>that way because is it's just so productive. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>what makes a world economy that's now a hundred twenty

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<v Speaker 1>five trillion dollars uh, And that means a world economy

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<v Speaker 1>that is about seventeen thousand dollars per person on this planet.

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<v Speaker 1>Really amazing, unbelievable productivity. And that's why globalization is not

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<v Speaker 1>going away, because we depend on it for prosperity. How

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<v Speaker 1>much does technology enabled globalization? Well, technologies everything, even something

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<v Speaker 1>that one might not even think of as technology, a

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<v Speaker 1>standardized container that you can load and unload. That was

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<v Speaker 1>an invention in the early nineties sixties. There's a wonderful

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<v Speaker 1>book called The Box that's the history of you got it.

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<v Speaker 1>It's really quite fast and and you know that seems

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<v Speaker 1>pretty basic, but it was the ability to standardize international

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<v Speaker 1>trade that was fundamental, or the rise of East Asia.

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<v Speaker 1>But more than that, of course, computer assisted design and

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturing and then ubiquitous broadband and standardization of information systems

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<v Speaker 1>and digitization are of course transforming the whole world, transforming

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<v Speaker 1>every sector of the world, disrupting every sector of the

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<v Speaker 1>world on the whole, adding to our well being and

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<v Speaker 1>our productivity, but not uniformally. That's a big part in

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<v Speaker 1>any technology revolution. You have people that are left behind,

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<v Speaker 1>people who are put unemployed. Uh, And the decency of

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<v Speaker 1>a normal society is to say, we continue with progress,

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<v Speaker 1>but we make sure that we don't open up large

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<v Speaker 1>pockets of poverty. And so you're really addressing something right

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<v Speaker 1>here that is key to the discontent that's out there.

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<v Speaker 1>What is the proper role of government in supporting a

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<v Speaker 1>middle American blue collar working class that are losing their

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<v Speaker 1>jobs to technology. What's the proper response. The proper response,

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<v Speaker 1>which should have been a response already thirty years ago,

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<v Speaker 1>is we're here to help with retraining, with real skilling,

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<v Speaker 1>with the tuition coverage, with the support for your children

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<v Speaker 1>to get a decent education. That's what normal good societies do.

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<v Speaker 1>I would put Canada in that list. I had put

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<v Speaker 1>countries in Scandinavia, put Germany in that list. In recent decades,

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<v Speaker 1>in the United States, we had an odd lurch from that,

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<v Speaker 1>and that started on January twenty Ronald Reagan stepped up

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<v Speaker 1>to take the oath and he said, the government is

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<v Speaker 1>not the solution to our problems. Government is the problem.

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<v Speaker 1>And we had, for the first time in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States in modern American history, a president who said I'm

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<v Speaker 1>here to preside over the dismantling of basic functions of

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<v Speaker 1>government because government is the problem. I think it was

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<v Speaker 1>a lousy diagnosis back in nineteen one. We've lived with

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<v Speaker 1>it for thirty five years, and uh, we're in our

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<v Speaker 1>thirty sixth year of that right now, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's a big mistake. It It appeals though, for one basic,

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<v Speaker 1>overwhelming reason. Everybody in our country loves tax cuts. And

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<v Speaker 1>so if you say we were gonna cut government down

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<v Speaker 1>to size, and we're gonna give you our umteenth middle

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<v Speaker 1>class tax cut, everyone jumps up and says, hussah. And

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<v Speaker 1>this is really a big problem. I I say that

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<v Speaker 1>fundamentally America is failing the marshmallow test. Uh, you know

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<v Speaker 1>the famous cost of can we delay gratification for a moment? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>clearly the richest people in our country can't because they're

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<v Speaker 1>so desperate for their next tax cut, and a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of other people are enticed to believe, uh, we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to give you another tax cut. But what we're really

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<v Speaker 1>doing is gutting the budget so that the budget can

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<v Speaker 1>no longer provide decent education. It can no longer guarantee

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<v Speaker 1>basic healthcare, it can no longer provide a childcare. It

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<v Speaker 1>can't guarantee as so many countries do, paid vacation, which

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<v Speaker 1>for Americans, oh my god, how could it be? But

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<v Speaker 1>most high income countries the world have guaranteed paid vacation.

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<v Speaker 1>Most high income countries in the world have guaranteed maternity,

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<v Speaker 1>even father's the time off for for newborns. It's decent,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you think, Okay, we worked so hard as

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<v Speaker 1>a civilization for hundreds of years to get this wealth.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's enjoy it a little bit. Let the mom stay

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<v Speaker 1>home with the kids. But I paid for it. What

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<v Speaker 1>I find so fascinating about the tax cut issue is

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<v Speaker 1>I don't ever recall there being a schism amongst the

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<v Speaker 1>top one percent of the top one percent on issues

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<v Speaker 1>like tax cuts. So you have on one side of

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<v Speaker 1>the aisle Warren Buffett and Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates

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<v Speaker 1>and a run of left of center hedge fund managers

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<v Speaker 1>who are worth billions who say, you know, I pay

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of taxes, but I also, as was famously said, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>taxes are the price of living in a civilized society.

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<v Speaker 1>You know. They can't spend this money, so they're trying

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<v Speaker 1>to figure out ways to give away billions of dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>They don't need more tax cuts. It's not going to

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<v Speaker 1>do anything for their incentives, for their work effort, for

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<v Speaker 1>their creativity. These people want to make a mark on

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<v Speaker 1>the world. It's not that they need another billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 1>They're trying to form new companies, new technologies, anticipate the

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<v Speaker 1>new ways to do things, and there's saying, really, stop

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<v Speaker 1>it already. Of course, others are saying, my god, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>only twenty three on the Forbes list. I gotta get

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<v Speaker 1>to sixteen on the fourth How did you show your

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<v Speaker 1>face at the club as number twenty seven billion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>net worth? You know, my friend down the block has

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<v Speaker 1>a twenty three billion It's absurd and and and that

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<v Speaker 1>is a big part of it. I'm Barry Rihults. You're

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<v Speaker 1>listening to Master's in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special

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<v Speaker 1>guest today is Professor Jeffrey Sachs. He holds the title

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<v Speaker 1>of University Professor. It's the highest rank Columbia bestows on

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<v Speaker 1>any faculty member. He's written multiple best sellers, most recently

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<v Speaker 1>Building the New American Economy. Let's talk a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>about the global fight against poverty and hunger. Um. You

0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:55.000
<v Speaker 1>were at Harvard for a long time. One of your colleagues,

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:59.400
<v Speaker 1>Stephen Pinker, wrote a wonderful book called The Better Angels

0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 1>of Our Nature Sure, and within it he describes how

0:16:03.960 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 1>despite the terrible parade of news we see, there's never

0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:11.080
<v Speaker 1>been a better time to be a human on this planet.

0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 1>Uh inequality on a global basis has shrunk, Poverty has shrunk,

0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:20.080
<v Speaker 1>starvation is shrunk. War wars are are less. Less people

0:16:20.120 --> 0:16:23.840
<v Speaker 1>are dying in wars than ever before. Violent crime has

0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:27.920
<v Speaker 1>fallen into record lows. The number of children who are

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:32.600
<v Speaker 1>nutritionally deficient are at all time lows. So what does

0:16:32.640 --> 0:16:37.760
<v Speaker 1>this say about the fight against global hunger and starvation.

0:16:38.400 --> 0:16:41.200
<v Speaker 1>It is indeed good news. The only footnote I would

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:46.120
<v Speaker 1>add to the list is that on war, my god,

0:16:46.160 --> 0:16:50.600
<v Speaker 1>we're so bad at peace that don't believe trends. Just

0:16:50.720 --> 0:16:54.840
<v Speaker 1>keep fighting against new wars. But on all the other trends,

0:16:54.960 --> 0:16:57.320
<v Speaker 1>I think they're real, and I do think they're long term.

0:16:57.320 --> 0:16:59.320
<v Speaker 1>I wrote a book in two thousand five called The

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:01.960
<v Speaker 1>End of Popery where I said, we could end extreme

0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:06.160
<v Speaker 1>poverty on the planet in our generation. That's indeed what

0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:11.080
<v Speaker 1>the trends show. For me. It's not only good news, though,

0:17:11.119 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 1>it's a little bit of anguish, because when you see

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:18.280
<v Speaker 1>that suffering can be stopped because we have the tools

0:17:18.320 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 1>to do it, and it's not stopped even though the

0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:26.040
<v Speaker 1>numbers of those trapped in poverty are going down, you

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:29.320
<v Speaker 1>perhaps feel a little bit more anguish. And that's how

0:17:29.359 --> 0:17:32.359
<v Speaker 1>I feel about it. We have nearly a billion people

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:36.600
<v Speaker 1>still in extreme poverty as a share of the world population.

0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:40.600
<v Speaker 1>The estimates are that it's around ten percent of the

0:17:40.640 --> 0:17:47.399
<v Speaker 1>world population. Now what used to be back before the revolution.

0:17:47.920 --> 0:17:51.879
<v Speaker 1>Uh and uh, I know that we could bring it

0:17:51.920 --> 0:17:55.239
<v Speaker 1>down to essentially zero in a short period of How

0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:58.159
<v Speaker 1>would we do that? I was involved over the last

0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:02.119
<v Speaker 1>fifteen years, and something called the Millennium Development Goals, which

0:18:02.119 --> 0:18:05.760
<v Speaker 1>were the u n's objectives to fight poverty. I recommended

0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:09.320
<v Speaker 1>back in two thousand and two thousand one that we

0:18:09.480 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 1>established a new fund to fight AIDS, TB and malaria.

0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:17.919
<v Speaker 1>I was delighted to hear just yesterday talking to some

0:18:18.000 --> 0:18:20.760
<v Speaker 1>of the experts that there are now eighteen million people

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:25.760
<v Speaker 1>around the world alive because they're getting access to the

0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:30.680
<v Speaker 1>medicines that fight the AIDS virus. And I misremembering, did

0:18:30.720 --> 0:18:34.920
<v Speaker 1>you work with the Bush administration AIDS program in Africa? Absolutely,

0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:37.920
<v Speaker 1>that was a wildly successful program and by the way,

0:18:38.040 --> 0:18:41.200
<v Speaker 1>very interesting because I went in to see Condoles Rice

0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:45.399
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand one February at the National Security Council

0:18:45.440 --> 0:18:47.439
<v Speaker 1>in the situation room with the White House, and I

0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:51.400
<v Speaker 1>pitched a US program for three billion dollars a year

0:18:51.440 --> 0:18:54.240
<v Speaker 1>to fight AIDS, and Uh, she was very nice. Had

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:56.560
<v Speaker 1>the NSC there asked me back in a couple of

0:18:56.720 --> 0:18:58.960
<v Speaker 1>couple of weeks after that, I came back a second time,

0:18:59.359 --> 0:19:02.439
<v Speaker 1>and then the President's Economic adviser walked me out of

0:19:02.440 --> 0:19:04.159
<v Speaker 1>the West Wing and said, Jeff, you know that was

0:19:04.200 --> 0:19:07.600
<v Speaker 1>pretty good, Uh, pretty persuasive. But don't hold your breath,

0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:10.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, this is just not our thing. Well, it

0:19:10.720 --> 0:19:12.800
<v Speaker 1>turned out to be the president's thing, by the way.

0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:15.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he came into office knowing that he

0:19:15.359 --> 0:19:17.600
<v Speaker 1>was going to be the great AIDS champion. But by

0:19:17.640 --> 0:19:21.880
<v Speaker 1>some measures, it's the most successful program under the Bush administration.

0:19:22.320 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 1>It surpassed all its targets. Not only did it work,

0:19:25.880 --> 0:19:29.560
<v Speaker 1>but the President said in a op ed afterwards, said

0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:33.119
<v Speaker 1>this is my proudest legacy. Wonderful, thank you. It's great.

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:36.960
<v Speaker 1>And so Obama went in to see early in two

0:19:37.000 --> 0:19:41.119
<v Speaker 1>thousand nine and I pitched a similar thing, and he said, no,

0:19:41.280 --> 0:19:43.800
<v Speaker 1>we don't have the votes. And I was pretty disappointed

0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 1>by the way, you know, because it's not a matter

0:19:46.320 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 1>of votes, it's a matter of leadership. And strangely enough,

0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:56.399
<v Speaker 1>neither Clinton or Obama really did much in international assistance.

0:19:56.520 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 1>George W. Bush, who I disagreed with on a lot

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:03.080
<v Speaker 1>of other things, became the champion of fighting disease abroad.

0:20:03.720 --> 0:20:07.720
<v Speaker 1>With Trump. You know, he comes in with the reportedly

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:10.960
<v Speaker 1>pretty surly attitude towards AID. But you never know because

0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:13.919
<v Speaker 1>he may say, and rightly so, by the way, that

0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:16.879
<v Speaker 1>for a small amount of money, we could ensure that

0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:20.600
<v Speaker 1>kids everywhere are in school and don't get radicalized. That

0:20:20.640 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Speaker 1>would be a really smart investment future security component billion dollars,

0:20:25.680 --> 0:20:29.280
<v Speaker 1>and you'd be able if we pulled together, say with China,

0:20:29.359 --> 0:20:33.080
<v Speaker 1>with Germany, with others, into a global fund for education.

0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:37.880
<v Speaker 1>We could stop the child soldiers, we could stop the radicalization.

0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:40.360
<v Speaker 1>We could stop the fact that kids are growing up

0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:44.399
<v Speaker 1>without schooling and therefore can't get jobs in the one

0:20:44.600 --> 0:20:46.960
<v Speaker 1>I think you have a trip coming up to d CS, Well,

0:20:47.000 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm ready to go any moment. I'm very rich Helts.

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:52.960
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My

0:20:53.040 --> 0:20:57.560
<v Speaker 1>special guest today is Professor Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University,

0:20:57.640 --> 0:21:01.359
<v Speaker 1>formerly of Harvard, and let's talk a little bit about

0:21:01.960 --> 0:21:07.040
<v Speaker 1>UM infrastructure, sustainability, and and some changes that are taking place.

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Let's start with infrastructure. We heard from both candidates during

0:21:11.600 --> 0:21:16.639
<v Speaker 1>the election that they each wanted a trillion dollar infrastructure.

0:21:17.040 --> 0:21:20.240
<v Speaker 1>If you were tapped by the president to say, Jeff

0:21:20.280 --> 0:21:22.520
<v Speaker 1>I need some advice as to where to spend the

0:21:22.560 --> 0:21:26.159
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars on on US infrastructure, what sort of advice

0:21:26.160 --> 0:21:28.480
<v Speaker 1>would you give him? I would tell him how to

0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:31.680
<v Speaker 1>get good advice, because what I would do is say,

0:21:32.240 --> 0:21:34.840
<v Speaker 1>let's go down the block from the White House to

0:21:34.880 --> 0:21:40.440
<v Speaker 1>the National Academy of Engineering. We have the world's leading engineers,

0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:46.480
<v Speaker 1>and get some really good advice on connectivity, on smart grids,

0:21:47.119 --> 0:21:51.800
<v Speaker 1>on renewable energy, of which our country has unbelievable amounts

0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 1>from onshore wind, offshore wind, solar power, hydropower. Uh, and

0:21:57.320 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 1>let's make a system design. You know, when I was

0:22:01.359 --> 0:22:04.399
<v Speaker 1>growing up, which is a long time ago, UH, the

0:22:04.480 --> 0:22:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Interstate Highway system was being built, started in the fifties.

0:22:09.480 --> 0:22:12.400
<v Speaker 1>I was one year old when that was the first voted.

0:22:12.960 --> 0:22:16.920
<v Speaker 1>It went on for thirty years. To me, very interesting

0:22:16.960 --> 0:22:19.199
<v Speaker 1>because what do we do in our country anymore that

0:22:19.400 --> 0:22:22.879
<v Speaker 1>takes thirty years. But that was an important investment. It

0:22:23.000 --> 0:22:29.200
<v Speaker 1>went through Eisenhower, Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon, Ford, Carter. UH. It

0:22:29.280 --> 0:22:34.000
<v Speaker 1>was basically a across all the political lines. We paid

0:22:34.040 --> 0:22:36.560
<v Speaker 1>for it with the gasoline tax and said we want

0:22:36.560 --> 0:22:39.679
<v Speaker 1>to have a modern highway system. Now we need a

0:22:39.720 --> 0:22:43.159
<v Speaker 1>modern grid. We need to bring the wind power from

0:22:43.200 --> 0:22:47.160
<v Speaker 1>the Dakotas to Chicago, to the population centers. We need

0:22:47.200 --> 0:22:51.080
<v Speaker 1>to bring the immense solar energy of the Majabbi in

0:22:51.119 --> 0:22:55.280
<v Speaker 1>the American Southwest to California to Texas to with the

0:22:55.320 --> 0:22:58.639
<v Speaker 1>rest of the country. We need to bring fantastic offshore

0:22:58.720 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 1>wind of the America in northeast to New York City.

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:06.920
<v Speaker 1>They just sunk a few UH offshore winds far off

0:23:06.960 --> 0:23:14.480
<v Speaker 1>the coast of Montauk recently, first major wind projects in

0:23:14.520 --> 0:23:16.600
<v Speaker 1>the Northeast. This is great stuff. And one of the

0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:19.040
<v Speaker 1>companies that's going to be doing it in our neighborhood

0:23:19.160 --> 0:23:22.240
<v Speaker 1>is stat Oil, which is interesting because it's the oil

0:23:22.280 --> 0:23:26.159
<v Speaker 1>and gas company of Norway. But they learned how to

0:23:26.280 --> 0:23:29.320
<v Speaker 1>drill offshore well enough that they now how to know

0:23:29.440 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 1>how to put in offshore wind with that same manufacturing

0:23:35.800 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 1>and construction expertise. So they're going into the wind business,

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 1>which is fantastic. And the problem is the President, unfortunately,

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:48.240
<v Speaker 1>is kind of stuck in nineteen eighties infrastructure. When he

0:23:48.280 --> 0:23:52.879
<v Speaker 1>thinks of infrastructure, apparently thinks of the Dakota UH pipeline

0:23:52.880 --> 0:23:55.600
<v Speaker 1>and he thinks of Keystone pipeline. That's the last thing

0:23:55.600 --> 0:23:58.399
<v Speaker 1>we need in the century. We just don't need that stuff.

0:23:58.440 --> 0:24:02.439
<v Speaker 1>That's billions of dollars down the drain. We need twenty

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:06.120
<v Speaker 1>one century infrastructure. Obama made the same mistake, by the way,

0:24:06.160 --> 0:24:10.000
<v Speaker 1>because in two thousand nine he said, we need infrastructure,

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:12.680
<v Speaker 1>but it should be shovel ready, and I thought, oh

0:24:12.680 --> 0:24:15.679
<v Speaker 1>my god. You know that's okay for the w P

0:24:15.800 --> 0:24:18.679
<v Speaker 1>A and three, but but why do we need shovel

0:24:18.760 --> 0:24:23.000
<v Speaker 1>ready infrastructure. We need fast rail, which is going to

0:24:23.119 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 1>take years to plan and design. Well, they never did

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:28.520
<v Speaker 1>their homework. So let me push back a little bit

0:24:28.640 --> 0:24:30.280
<v Speaker 1>on some of the things that have been going on.

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:36.080
<v Speaker 1>The idea of these things being a multi decade economic multiplier,

0:24:36.760 --> 0:24:41.240
<v Speaker 1>like the the interstate highway system, makes a ton of sense.

0:24:41.680 --> 0:24:46.240
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't seem the political political will the marshmallow test

0:24:46.320 --> 0:24:48.640
<v Speaker 1>as you described it, as there. And look no further

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 1>than the gasoline tax which was instituted by Eisenhower for

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:59.120
<v Speaker 1>the highway trust system. It's been frozen. I want to say,

0:24:59.160 --> 0:25:01.919
<v Speaker 1>you've got it in exactly right. It has been frozen

0:25:02.359 --> 0:25:07.199
<v Speaker 1>since I think it's about eighteen cents a gallon, not

0:25:07.440 --> 0:25:12.080
<v Speaker 1>inflation adjusted, nothing twenty five years ago. Unbelievable. And and

0:25:12.160 --> 0:25:15.119
<v Speaker 1>that trust, the Highway Trust Fund is is depleted. And

0:25:15.160 --> 0:25:18.919
<v Speaker 1>now the other issue I have to raise politically is

0:25:19.000 --> 0:25:23.560
<v Speaker 1>we've seen certain states like Arizona and New Mexico, Nevada,

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:27.720
<v Speaker 1>and Florida. Some of them have introduced lash legislation, and

0:25:27.760 --> 0:25:32.199
<v Speaker 1>I believe Nevada and Florida both have um Nevada passed it.

0:25:32.280 --> 0:25:34.679
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if it if it passed in Florida

0:25:34.840 --> 0:25:40.720
<v Speaker 1>that rolled back the mandate that consumers could put solar

0:25:40.840 --> 0:25:43.720
<v Speaker 1>on the roof and sell it back to the utility.

0:25:44.000 --> 0:25:47.000
<v Speaker 1>Are we going to see each of the states succumb

0:25:47.080 --> 0:25:51.280
<v Speaker 1>to the persuasive abilities and money of local utilities and

0:25:51.280 --> 0:25:55.720
<v Speaker 1>and make this a stillborn technology. It's even more crazy

0:25:55.840 --> 0:26:01.879
<v Speaker 1>because all these places are in despert risk of climate change,

0:26:02.200 --> 0:26:05.040
<v Speaker 1>whether it's rising sea levels which would submerge a lot

0:26:05.080 --> 0:26:09.840
<v Speaker 1>of Florida, whether it's a drought exactly, whether it's you know,

0:26:09.960 --> 0:26:14.240
<v Speaker 1>massive drought or what happened in UH in our state

0:26:14.640 --> 0:26:20.040
<v Speaker 1>with Hurricane Superstorm Sandy. UH and we just to clean

0:26:20.119 --> 0:26:23.600
<v Speaker 1>up is billions of dollars. And to take what's called

0:26:23.960 --> 0:26:29.080
<v Speaker 1>adaptive measures is price tag of forty billion dollars. And

0:26:29.359 --> 0:26:31.840
<v Speaker 1>we're paralyzed because who's going to pay for that? So

0:26:32.240 --> 0:26:37.720
<v Speaker 1>I think this question of long term thinking probably is

0:26:38.200 --> 0:26:42.040
<v Speaker 1>America's weakest point right now. UH. And it's the first

0:26:42.119 --> 0:26:45.960
<v Speaker 1>thing that I would say to our leadership, understand what

0:26:46.160 --> 0:26:50.080
<v Speaker 1>made America great in the past, whether it's the highway

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:53.000
<v Speaker 1>system or going to the moon. The President John F.

0:26:53.080 --> 0:26:55.680
<v Speaker 1>Kennedy did not say we'll go to the moon next month.

0:26:56.040 --> 0:26:58.480
<v Speaker 1>He also didn't say we'll go to the moon next century.

0:26:58.560 --> 0:27:05.359
<v Speaker 1>He gave a decade timeline, and amazingly they made that timeline.

0:27:05.640 --> 0:27:09.480
<v Speaker 1>We need bold goals, transformative but they're not going to

0:27:09.600 --> 0:27:12.959
<v Speaker 1>happen overnight, and they require planning, and they require the

0:27:13.000 --> 0:27:16.480
<v Speaker 1>best of our engineering, and they require the politicians to

0:27:16.560 --> 0:27:19.560
<v Speaker 1>get out of the way and say, well, help fund this.

0:27:19.960 --> 0:27:23.560
<v Speaker 1>But let's get serious thinking involved in what we really

0:27:23.560 --> 0:27:26.159
<v Speaker 1>want in our energy system, what we really want in

0:27:26.200 --> 0:27:30.520
<v Speaker 1>our transport, what information technology makes possible, because our cities

0:27:30.760 --> 0:27:34.080
<v Speaker 1>should look completely different. Let's in the next thirty years,

0:27:33.920 --> 0:27:37.480
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about the electrical grid, because there's a strong

0:27:37.680 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 1>argument to be made that it is a national security issue.

0:27:41.720 --> 0:27:44.919
<v Speaker 1>If our grid, forget that it's patchy and subject to

0:27:44.960 --> 0:27:48.240
<v Speaker 1>brownouts and blackouts, if it can be hacked. Do we

0:27:48.320 --> 0:27:54.040
<v Speaker 1>have a national security problem with the grid that is outdated, outmoded,

0:27:54.359 --> 0:27:59.240
<v Speaker 1>and vulnerable. Well, we certainly do, and I'm hardly the

0:27:59.480 --> 0:28:04.240
<v Speaker 1>cyber warfare expert, except that all those that I know say,

0:28:04.280 --> 0:28:07.119
<v Speaker 1>we have a problem. Everybody has a problem, and we

0:28:07.240 --> 0:28:12.760
<v Speaker 1>better not go into U into cyber war because there

0:28:12.800 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 1>won't be anything left. Because we depend on these information

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:20.159
<v Speaker 1>networks and our systems depend on it. Of course we

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:23.479
<v Speaker 1>need to take defensive actions. We need to have work around.

0:28:23.560 --> 0:28:26.320
<v Speaker 1>The whole idea of the Internet originally was a resilient

0:28:26.440 --> 0:28:29.520
<v Speaker 1>system that could where computers could be connected even if

0:28:29.760 --> 0:28:34.560
<v Speaker 1>one part of the network goes down, so to do sustainability.

0:28:34.600 --> 0:28:37.000
<v Speaker 1>But I do think it would be much smarter if

0:28:37.040 --> 0:28:39.960
<v Speaker 1>we work together with the Chinese, work together with the

0:28:40.000 --> 0:28:44.520
<v Speaker 1>Europeans and said we want smart systems that can save

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:47.960
<v Speaker 1>us all from climate change, in which we're in a

0:28:49.480 --> 0:28:53.720
<v Speaker 1>in a way also protecting ourselves mutually because we've designed

0:28:53.840 --> 0:28:56.120
<v Speaker 1>systems that we're not going to attack each other and

0:28:56.160 --> 0:28:59.080
<v Speaker 1>hack each other to death out of those systems. What

0:28:59.080 --> 0:29:01.440
<v Speaker 1>what about you mentioned bandwidth? What do we need to

0:29:01.480 --> 0:29:04.320
<v Speaker 1>do When I look around the world. You look at

0:29:04.400 --> 0:29:09.400
<v Speaker 1>parts of Europe, but especially East Asia, the bandwidth is

0:29:09.680 --> 0:29:12.680
<v Speaker 1>ten x hours and it's a quarter of the price.

0:29:13.000 --> 0:29:15.800
<v Speaker 1>Are we doing wrong? I don't know about you, but

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:18.040
<v Speaker 1>I sit in my flat in New York, and I

0:29:18.080 --> 0:29:21.400
<v Speaker 1>can't get the interest, and it's it's dropping and it's

0:29:21.880 --> 0:29:26.400
<v Speaker 1>miserable service. And then of course we just had the

0:29:26.440 --> 0:29:32.040
<v Speaker 1>Attorney general file lawsuits saying that that the speed UH

0:29:32.840 --> 0:29:37.280
<v Speaker 1>that is advertised is phony. And I hope they called

0:29:37.360 --> 0:29:42.760
<v Speaker 1>me to testify it because this is ridiculous. But Americans

0:29:43.000 --> 0:29:46.360
<v Speaker 1>stopped wanting to pay for things because we were given

0:29:46.400 --> 0:29:51.560
<v Speaker 1>this line somehow that government can't make any of these investments,

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:54.760
<v Speaker 1>so we shouldn't pay taxes. UH. We've ended up with

0:29:54.840 --> 0:29:59.600
<v Speaker 1>decrepit infrastructure. UH. In most of these other countries, these

0:29:59.640 --> 0:30:04.360
<v Speaker 1>are partly public at least, if not holy public, at

0:30:04.440 --> 0:30:06.720
<v Speaker 1>least they're regulated. That's the other thing we have is

0:30:06.760 --> 0:30:11.160
<v Speaker 1>don't regulate anything. Another crazy another crazy idea about just

0:30:11.280 --> 0:30:13.760
<v Speaker 1>minimum standards. You go to Europe. I could be in

0:30:13.800 --> 0:30:16.320
<v Speaker 1>a farm in the middle of nowhere and I get

0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:19.800
<v Speaker 1>far five bars on on the phone in New York

0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:24.680
<v Speaker 1>City with Verizon, which is someone described Verizon Wireless as

0:30:24.720 --> 0:30:28.120
<v Speaker 1>the tallest midget. They're all terrible. Verizon is the best.

0:30:28.880 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 1>You lose calls in the middle of Manhattan. It's it's astonishing.

0:30:33.120 --> 0:30:37.840
<v Speaker 1>Why forget regulation. Why isn't there at least minimum mandated

0:30:37.920 --> 0:30:40.840
<v Speaker 1>standards that if you want to use the public airways,

0:30:41.000 --> 0:30:44.000
<v Speaker 1>or if you want to be granted a temporary monopoly

0:30:44.440 --> 0:30:48.680
<v Speaker 1>to run run broadband, that you have to meet these standards.

0:30:48.680 --> 0:30:52.800
<v Speaker 1>Basically because these companies are more powerful than the politicians

0:30:52.840 --> 0:30:55.880
<v Speaker 1>who just stand at the side and take handouts from them.

0:30:55.920 --> 0:30:59.000
<v Speaker 1>And uh, and then we get the line of let

0:30:59.000 --> 0:31:01.800
<v Speaker 1>the companies run everything, and we end up with monopolies

0:31:01.840 --> 0:31:04.440
<v Speaker 1>all over the place that are under performing. So I

0:31:04.480 --> 0:31:08.960
<v Speaker 1>can fetch about about bad internet and mobile service today.

0:31:09.080 --> 0:31:11.320
<v Speaker 1>I could not make a phone call for several minutes

0:31:11.320 --> 0:31:13.840
<v Speaker 1>this morning in New York. I just could not. It's shocking.

0:31:14.760 --> 0:31:18.120
<v Speaker 1>We have been speaking with Professor Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University,

0:31:18.520 --> 0:31:22.640
<v Speaker 1>author most recently of Building the New American Economy. Be

0:31:22.760 --> 0:31:25.600
<v Speaker 1>sure and check out my daily column on Bloomberg View

0:31:25.640 --> 0:31:28.560
<v Speaker 1>dot com. You can follow me on Twitter at Rid Halts.

0:31:29.000 --> 0:31:33.400
<v Speaker 1>We love your comments, feedback and suggestions right to us

0:31:33.880 --> 0:31:38.520
<v Speaker 1>at m IB podcast at Bloomberg dot net. I'm Barry Ridhults.

0:31:38.600 --> 0:31:42.040
<v Speaker 1>You've been listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio.

0:31:44.440 --> 0:31:47.000
<v Speaker 1>If you're having a business dispute, the process can be

0:31:47.080 --> 0:31:50.280
<v Speaker 1>slow and drawn out, especially if you rely on litigation

0:31:50.320 --> 0:31:52.800
<v Speaker 1>in the courts, you can wait for years before your

0:31:52.840 --> 0:31:55.920
<v Speaker 1>case is resolved, and the longer your case proceeds, the

0:31:56.000 --> 0:32:00.000
<v Speaker 1>more your case can cost. Not with the American Arbitration Associate.

0:32:00.000 --> 0:32:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Creation arbitration or mediation with the American Arbitration Association is faster.

0:32:05.160 --> 0:32:08.840
<v Speaker 1>In fact, nearly of our cases settle prior to hearings.

0:32:09.560 --> 0:32:13.480
<v Speaker 1>A d r dot org resolve faster. Welcome to the podcast.

0:32:13.520 --> 0:32:16.640
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much, Professor sax Well. I honestly don't

0:32:16.640 --> 0:32:18.960
<v Speaker 1>know what to call you. You don't seem like a

0:32:19.040 --> 0:32:22.080
<v Speaker 1>Jeffrey to me. I am I have always been jeff

0:32:22.120 --> 0:32:26.120
<v Speaker 1>Jeffrey professor, so um, thank you for doing this. This

0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:31.280
<v Speaker 1>is really fascinating stuff. We've been talking um within my

0:32:31.400 --> 0:32:36.400
<v Speaker 1>office about the sustainability issues and E s G questions,

0:32:37.160 --> 0:32:41.840
<v Speaker 1>and the old argument was, listen, investing is hard enough.

0:32:41.960 --> 0:32:47.440
<v Speaker 1>Put your money to work, don't set any disadvantages to yourself,

0:32:47.880 --> 0:32:50.120
<v Speaker 1>and at the other end of the tunnel, take your

0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:54.160
<v Speaker 1>profits and deploy it to whatever entities you think support

0:32:54.240 --> 0:32:57.760
<v Speaker 1>your values. That isn't the case anymore. There isn't a

0:32:57.840 --> 0:33:04.480
<v Speaker 1>disadvantage investing annably, and some studies have suggested that UH

0:33:04.680 --> 0:33:10.080
<v Speaker 1>companies with broad women representation in the boardroom do better

0:33:10.120 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 1>than the average company. Companies with a more diverse workplace,

0:33:14.360 --> 0:33:19.680
<v Speaker 1>Companies that have social responsibility for whatever reason, maybe it

0:33:19.720 --> 0:33:22.200
<v Speaker 1>means that they've checked off all their other boxes and

0:33:22.240 --> 0:33:25.320
<v Speaker 1>this is the last thing, or they don't have liability

0:33:25.400 --> 0:33:28.680
<v Speaker 1>for giant oil spills and the like. What do you

0:33:28.880 --> 0:33:32.080
<v Speaker 1>look at when you when you think about sustainable investment.

0:33:32.880 --> 0:33:36.800
<v Speaker 1>I think right now, if you look at the divestment campaign,

0:33:36.920 --> 0:33:42.600
<v Speaker 1>for example, on fossil fuels, if more University and Downward

0:33:42.640 --> 0:33:45.440
<v Speaker 1>said heated that call five years ago, they would have

0:33:45.480 --> 0:33:48.720
<v Speaker 1>saved a lot of money. Because in the interim there's

0:33:48.760 --> 0:33:52.360
<v Speaker 1>been a sharp fall of oil prices, and for a

0:33:52.400 --> 0:33:56.480
<v Speaker 1>reason that's now understood to be a long term decline,

0:33:56.920 --> 0:33:59.720
<v Speaker 1>which is that we really are shifting from the use

0:33:59.760 --> 0:34:03.720
<v Speaker 1>of drew carbons to renewable energy. Over time, it's become

0:34:03.840 --> 0:34:10.600
<v Speaker 1>cost competitive. As I talked to executives in major oil companies,

0:34:10.960 --> 0:34:14.600
<v Speaker 1>they say, we're not undertaking any more projects were the

0:34:14.680 --> 0:34:18.359
<v Speaker 1>marginal cost is more than forty of barrel. Really yes,

0:34:18.440 --> 0:34:21.640
<v Speaker 1>and it may be below that because they say, we

0:34:21.680 --> 0:34:24.440
<v Speaker 1>know that there's a huge backstop in the Middle East

0:34:24.680 --> 0:34:28.000
<v Speaker 1>and we don't want to get caught in that overhang

0:34:28.200 --> 0:34:31.600
<v Speaker 1>of massive amounts of reserves when we know that a

0:34:31.640 --> 0:34:33.600
<v Speaker 1>lot of reserves are going to have to be stranded

0:34:33.640 --> 0:34:36.240
<v Speaker 1>in the long term. So why should we be investing

0:34:36.280 --> 0:34:40.440
<v Speaker 1>at sixties seventy eight dollars marginal cost and coal is

0:34:40.480 --> 0:34:44.200
<v Speaker 1>the same way. Yes, that was a campaign that started

0:34:44.239 --> 0:34:48.120
<v Speaker 1>for pollution and climate control, but if you had heated it,

0:34:48.360 --> 0:34:51.799
<v Speaker 1>you would have avoided investing in bankrupt companies they made,

0:34:51.960 --> 0:34:53.320
<v Speaker 1>They took on a lot of debt, They did a

0:34:53.360 --> 0:34:57.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of bad mergers and acquisitions. We don't need killed itself.

0:34:57.160 --> 0:35:01.520
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't destroyed by regulations. Well, cole is going to

0:35:01.560 --> 0:35:04.600
<v Speaker 1>be phased out over time, even though there's a lot

0:35:04.680 --> 0:35:08.400
<v Speaker 1>of it. It's either so dirty or so carbon intensive

0:35:08.840 --> 0:35:12.759
<v Speaker 1>that investors are not going to invest in new coal

0:35:12.840 --> 0:35:16.120
<v Speaker 1>fire power plants and regulators are not going to allow

0:35:16.160 --> 0:35:18.560
<v Speaker 1>them to be built. You watch the line of coal

0:35:18.680 --> 0:35:21.120
<v Speaker 1>plants going from the upper left to the lower right

0:35:21.320 --> 0:35:24.840
<v Speaker 1>and natural gas plants, which is still of all the

0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:29.280
<v Speaker 1>carbon based fuels, the cleanest, at least on the emission ends.

0:35:29.320 --> 0:35:33.000
<v Speaker 1>There are questions about how much methane natural gas releases

0:35:33.040 --> 0:35:36.080
<v Speaker 1>when you're when you're drilling it, but those two lines

0:35:36.120 --> 0:35:38.759
<v Speaker 1>are have passed each other. We used to be majority

0:35:38.920 --> 0:35:43.239
<v Speaker 1>coal generation for electricity, and I think that recently it's

0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:46.560
<v Speaker 1>either about to cross or recently crossed, and we will

0:35:46.600 --> 0:35:50.440
<v Speaker 1>be generating the majority of our electricity from natural gas

0:35:50.480 --> 0:35:52.560
<v Speaker 1>and coal is going to be a footnote eventually. I

0:35:52.560 --> 0:35:55.000
<v Speaker 1>think that's right. But I would say that the next

0:35:55.160 --> 0:35:59.760
<v Speaker 1>crossing lines will be gas and renewables, because the gas

0:35:59.840 --> 0:36:02.080
<v Speaker 1>is going to be phased out and the renewables are

0:36:02.160 --> 0:36:04.000
<v Speaker 1>really going to be phased in. And there are a

0:36:04.080 --> 0:36:07.640
<v Speaker 1>lot of breakthroughs, especially offshore wind that's going to come

0:36:08.280 --> 0:36:12.320
<v Speaker 1>very soon. And I think the integration of electric vehicles

0:36:12.360 --> 0:36:14.799
<v Speaker 1>and intermittent renewable energy is going to be a very

0:36:14.800 --> 0:36:17.800
<v Speaker 1>big thing as well, because we're going to have fleets

0:36:17.840 --> 0:36:23.680
<v Speaker 1>of tens of millions of battery battery smart batteries around

0:36:23.719 --> 0:36:26.120
<v Speaker 1>that carry us from place to place, but also our

0:36:26.120 --> 0:36:29.759
<v Speaker 1>balancers of the grid. And so once we start with

0:36:29.800 --> 0:36:34.560
<v Speaker 1>the electrification of personal mobility, that also is going to

0:36:34.640 --> 0:36:39.520
<v Speaker 1>accelerate dramatically the shift to basically intermittent renewable energy. The

0:36:39.600 --> 0:36:44.000
<v Speaker 1>whole genius of Tesla having the auto manufacturer of the

0:36:44.040 --> 0:36:48.080
<v Speaker 1>battery plant and the solar plant in one is right now.

0:36:48.400 --> 0:36:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Your TESLA emissions depend on where you live. If you're

0:36:52.000 --> 0:36:56.319
<v Speaker 1>in the Northwest, well your emissions are zero because it's hydrocarbon.

0:36:56.680 --> 0:36:59.040
<v Speaker 1>If it's part of the Midwest and the Northeast, well

0:36:59.080 --> 0:37:02.480
<v Speaker 1>then your test is emitting coal emissions. And in much

0:37:02.520 --> 0:37:04.759
<v Speaker 1>of the rest of the country it's natural gas. So

0:37:05.560 --> 0:37:10.520
<v Speaker 1>having an end to ends the while while the sun

0:37:10.560 --> 0:37:13.799
<v Speaker 1>is shining, you're storing energy in a battery, and at

0:37:13.920 --> 0:37:16.880
<v Speaker 1>night you're charging the car up with essentially solar means

0:37:17.239 --> 0:37:22.000
<v Speaker 1>that is truly a zero emissions vehicle. And Elan Elon

0:37:22.120 --> 0:37:26.520
<v Speaker 1>Musk is telling his friends and he's told me that

0:37:26.640 --> 0:37:30.520
<v Speaker 1>he's got the President Trump's ear, and President Trump's interested

0:37:30.520 --> 0:37:33.920
<v Speaker 1>in building out solar. We'll see, boy, I hope Ellen

0:37:34.040 --> 0:37:37.040
<v Speaker 1>has the president's ear. He's putting some effort into it

0:37:37.160 --> 0:37:40.359
<v Speaker 1>because that would be a breakthrough that would enable us

0:37:40.360 --> 0:37:44.360
<v Speaker 1>to get behind a Trump infrastructure plan if it's really

0:37:44.400 --> 0:37:48.520
<v Speaker 1>sustainable infrastruct When when you look at certain companies that

0:37:48.560 --> 0:37:51.520
<v Speaker 1>you wouldn't think of his green or cutting edge or

0:37:51.640 --> 0:37:55.920
<v Speaker 1>left of center. In many states, Walmart is the single

0:37:55.920 --> 0:37:59.879
<v Speaker 1>biggest producer of solar energy. They have these giant facilities,

0:38:00.000 --> 0:38:05.480
<v Speaker 1>warehouses and stores, mostly below the Mason Dixon line filled

0:38:05.520 --> 0:38:09.320
<v Speaker 1>with these huge flat roofs. Why wouldn't you go solar?

0:38:09.360 --> 0:38:12.200
<v Speaker 1>And the cost now is is really competitive. We're seeing

0:38:12.280 --> 0:38:17.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of surprises. As as I mentioned, we have

0:38:17.719 --> 0:38:21.240
<v Speaker 1>a stat Oil becoming a great champion of offshore wind

0:38:21.400 --> 0:38:24.880
<v Speaker 1>and other companies. I know a lot of the European

0:38:24.920 --> 0:38:29.960
<v Speaker 1>oil companies are going in that direction as well. I wish, frankly,

0:38:30.040 --> 0:38:34.040
<v Speaker 1>in our own country we'd see Chevron, Exxon Mobile, the

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:38.960
<v Speaker 1>coke industries also realizing get out of the twentie century,

0:38:39.000 --> 0:38:43.040
<v Speaker 1>at least diversify, get into the century. Come on, guys,

0:38:43.640 --> 0:38:46.719
<v Speaker 1>what's amazing is I was in Berlin not too long ago,

0:38:47.360 --> 0:38:51.680
<v Speaker 1>and when you're flying into Germany and you look down Um,

0:38:51.719 --> 0:38:54.120
<v Speaker 1>which I always love to do when I when I

0:38:54.120 --> 0:38:57.799
<v Speaker 1>traveled to um different parts of the world, and I'm

0:38:57.840 --> 0:39:01.520
<v Speaker 1>astonished at the amount of it's a farm and then

0:39:01.520 --> 0:39:04.000
<v Speaker 1>a wind farm, and then a cattle farm and then

0:39:04.000 --> 0:39:06.359
<v Speaker 1>a wind For you fly into Frankfurt, or you fly

0:39:06.400 --> 0:39:10.640
<v Speaker 1>into Berlin and half the countryside are these giant wind farms.

0:39:11.360 --> 0:39:14.959
<v Speaker 1>I've never seen that. Rarely. Occasionally you'll see a wind

0:39:15.000 --> 0:39:18.440
<v Speaker 1>farm here or there. Same thing in Italy, parts of

0:39:18.440 --> 0:39:22.360
<v Speaker 1>the coast. You see all these winds on lands on

0:39:22.440 --> 0:39:25.280
<v Speaker 1>top of these big cliffs. We are way way behind

0:39:25.320 --> 0:39:26.880
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to wind and g E is a

0:39:26.960 --> 0:39:30.520
<v Speaker 1>huge manufacturer of wind turbines. Yeah. I think here we're

0:39:30.760 --> 0:39:35.280
<v Speaker 1>stuck in the lobby and basically the Chamber of Commerce

0:39:35.320 --> 0:39:39.080
<v Speaker 1>and the American Petroleum Institute, the Koch Brothers and x

0:39:39.200 --> 0:39:43.200
<v Speaker 1>On Mobile and Chevron have really held the United States

0:39:43.239 --> 0:39:45.960
<v Speaker 1>back from the twenty one century so far. And it's

0:39:45.960 --> 0:39:49.399
<v Speaker 1>a small number of very powerful actors, but a lot

0:39:49.440 --> 0:39:52.520
<v Speaker 1>of companies know that that's the past, not the future.

0:39:52.560 --> 0:39:56.440
<v Speaker 1>It just seems that they want to squeeze out one

0:39:56.800 --> 0:40:02.759
<v Speaker 1>last bit of of funding um UH from hydrocarbons. But

0:40:02.880 --> 0:40:06.480
<v Speaker 1>what worries me is if we start putting billions and

0:40:06.520 --> 0:40:09.360
<v Speaker 1>billions more into new pipelines and so forth, that's just

0:40:09.520 --> 0:40:13.000
<v Speaker 1>money down the drain. That's not federal money though. Isn't

0:40:13.040 --> 0:40:16.440
<v Speaker 1>that paid for by um I was on the impression

0:40:16.440 --> 0:40:20.080
<v Speaker 1>that those pipelines are funded private sector. Well, some of

0:40:20.120 --> 0:40:23.960
<v Speaker 1>it will just be private bankruptcies. Well, better listen, you

0:40:23.960 --> 0:40:27.359
<v Speaker 1>know what, you sometimes have to make your bed and

0:40:27.400 --> 0:40:31.520
<v Speaker 1>if you take the loss, hopefully when there's a spill

0:40:31.719 --> 0:40:35.680
<v Speaker 1>or some you know, third party externality. It shouldn't be

0:40:35.719 --> 0:40:40.520
<v Speaker 1>thrown off onto onto those third parties. Those externalities should

0:40:40.520 --> 0:40:42.399
<v Speaker 1>stay with the investors and not go to the tax

0:40:42.600 --> 0:40:46.080
<v Speaker 1>That's correct. I just hope that wall streets, you know.

0:40:46.160 --> 0:40:49.279
<v Speaker 1>I think they should be smart enough not to underwrite

0:40:50.040 --> 0:40:54.640
<v Speaker 1>this kind of junk because these are just bad investments.

0:40:54.640 --> 0:40:57.120
<v Speaker 1>So that's interesting when when we look around at the

0:40:57.200 --> 0:41:02.839
<v Speaker 1>rest of the sustainability quest, jen's what else is driving

0:41:04.920 --> 0:41:09.200
<v Speaker 1>the technology? What is driving the investment um Further, is

0:41:09.280 --> 0:41:15.360
<v Speaker 1>it simply what what Professor mere Stateman said. There's a

0:41:15.440 --> 0:41:20.000
<v Speaker 1>utilitarian function of investing, and then there's an expressive emotional

0:41:20.040 --> 0:41:23.920
<v Speaker 1>side of investing. Is it merely people wanting to feel

0:41:24.080 --> 0:41:27.920
<v Speaker 1>good about their investments or is there a credible thesis

0:41:27.960 --> 0:41:31.440
<v Speaker 1>that this is the future? I think the only one

0:41:31.480 --> 0:41:33.440
<v Speaker 1>that really makes a difference in the end is the

0:41:33.520 --> 0:41:36.680
<v Speaker 1>latter that this is what our future should look like.

0:41:36.840 --> 0:41:42.440
<v Speaker 1>And that takes people moving beyond their very narrow world

0:41:42.480 --> 0:41:46.280
<v Speaker 1>of comfort and trying to understand the science of climate

0:41:46.360 --> 0:41:49.359
<v Speaker 1>change or the future of technology. And if they do,

0:41:49.560 --> 0:41:51.800
<v Speaker 1>we're going to get to the right place much faster

0:41:51.880 --> 0:41:55.200
<v Speaker 1>than people imagine right now. It's interesting that a lot

0:41:55.239 --> 0:41:58.160
<v Speaker 1>of the Republican grandees in the last few days and

0:41:58.239 --> 0:42:01.439
<v Speaker 1>said we need a carbon tax. That was stunning. Yeah,

0:42:01.480 --> 0:42:04.279
<v Speaker 1>they've been finding that for how long? That exactly? And

0:42:04.320 --> 0:42:08.200
<v Speaker 1>that was very straightforward. And some of the leading members

0:42:08.239 --> 0:42:11.200
<v Speaker 1>and thinkers of the party and they're breaking the taboo.

0:42:11.680 --> 0:42:14.560
<v Speaker 1>But when I that's really a Republican if you think

0:42:14.640 --> 0:42:18.480
<v Speaker 1>about it, it's a market based solution to an issue

0:42:18.680 --> 0:42:22.000
<v Speaker 1>of climate change. You would think that would be right

0:42:22.040 --> 0:42:25.600
<v Speaker 1>in their wheelhouse. When you talk to a member of Congress,

0:42:25.680 --> 0:42:31.799
<v Speaker 1>especially Republican member, there's just one thing that's on their

0:42:31.800 --> 0:42:37.120
<v Speaker 1>mind election Koche brothers. And they're they're afraid either they're

0:42:37.120 --> 0:42:39.600
<v Speaker 1>getting the funding from them or they're afraid of the

0:42:39.680 --> 0:42:43.759
<v Speaker 1>Koch brothers financing an opponent in the next primary that

0:42:43.960 --> 0:42:47.920
<v Speaker 1>they've been Um, I forgot the term where where they

0:42:47.960 --> 0:42:52.080
<v Speaker 1>get primaried and uh, someone with who's been in Congress

0:42:52.080 --> 0:42:55.520
<v Speaker 1>for four or eight terms loses because someone out flanks

0:42:55.560 --> 0:42:57.920
<v Speaker 1>him to the right with a lot of money. Used

0:42:57.960 --> 0:43:00.719
<v Speaker 1>to be they were sort of flaky candid dates. Now

0:43:00.760 --> 0:43:05.560
<v Speaker 1>they're well funded, depocketed, uh candidate, that's the story. And

0:43:05.840 --> 0:43:07.759
<v Speaker 1>those two who have a lot of wealth and are

0:43:07.840 --> 0:43:12.359
<v Speaker 1>ready to spend it have oil interests, and if they

0:43:12.440 --> 0:43:15.200
<v Speaker 1>instead had wind interests, believe me, we'd have the fastest

0:43:15.200 --> 0:43:17.800
<v Speaker 1>build up of wind power in any country in world history.

0:43:18.000 --> 0:43:24.920
<v Speaker 1>One would think strictly from a diversification perspective. You don't

0:43:24.960 --> 0:43:27.879
<v Speaker 1>want all your your chickens in one basket. You want

0:43:27.920 --> 0:43:32.360
<v Speaker 1>to be diversified. Look, even Saudi a Ramco is diverse, right,

0:43:32.480 --> 0:43:36.640
<v Speaker 1>even they are building solar energy and the biggest oil

0:43:36.680 --> 0:43:40.560
<v Speaker 1>reserves in the world. Exactly is that not a giant hint?

0:43:40.920 --> 0:43:42.799
<v Speaker 1>All right, let me switch a little bit and talk

0:43:42.920 --> 0:43:48.040
<v Speaker 1>about UM. You you had ref referenced earlier, the transportation

0:43:48.239 --> 0:43:53.680
<v Speaker 1>grid UM and smart factors with that, give us a

0:43:53.680 --> 0:43:56.360
<v Speaker 1>little details what what you're referencing with that, because what

0:43:56.440 --> 0:43:59.239
<v Speaker 1>I think of as smart grid, I'm not sure if

0:43:59.239 --> 0:44:01.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking of the same thing you are. First in

0:44:01.440 --> 0:44:05.080
<v Speaker 1>the cities, and you know, I'm a proud New Yorker

0:44:05.080 --> 0:44:09.399
<v Speaker 1>that owns zero automobiles, and I love it. I love

0:44:09.480 --> 0:44:13.360
<v Speaker 1>the fact that we can walk, take the subway, have

0:44:13.520 --> 0:44:17.520
<v Speaker 1>public transport, or if if I need to, can call

0:44:17.560 --> 0:44:21.520
<v Speaker 1>an uber, I can share the vehicle, hail a taxi.

0:44:22.040 --> 0:44:24.680
<v Speaker 1>This is the way to go in general, which is

0:44:24.719 --> 0:44:28.320
<v Speaker 1>that I think car ownership is really going to plummet

0:44:28.440 --> 0:44:31.600
<v Speaker 1>and sharing the vehicles, which is of course much more

0:44:31.640 --> 0:44:34.960
<v Speaker 1>effective use of the capital. It's not just sitting of

0:44:35.040 --> 0:44:37.360
<v Speaker 1>the time in the parking lot, it's on the road.

0:44:38.040 --> 0:44:41.640
<v Speaker 1>That's going to come to be the predominant way that

0:44:41.680 --> 0:44:44.480
<v Speaker 1>we use vehicles. If you, if I look at the Uber,

0:44:45.440 --> 0:44:47.600
<v Speaker 1>I think it's their ten or their twenty year plan.

0:44:48.280 --> 0:44:53.359
<v Speaker 1>They're anticipating nobody owning cars and they have a multimillion

0:44:53.440 --> 0:44:56.680
<v Speaker 1>car fleet of self driving vehicles. This is exactly right.

0:44:56.880 --> 0:44:59.759
<v Speaker 1>And what they're doing in Pittsburgh with Carnegie Mellon is

0:45:00.040 --> 0:45:03.839
<v Speaker 1>absolutely the way that things are going to go, which

0:45:03.920 --> 0:45:07.440
<v Speaker 1>is get the driver out of there, redesign, reconfigure our

0:45:07.560 --> 0:45:11.000
<v Speaker 1>traffic flows so that self driving vehicles are acceptable and

0:45:11.040 --> 0:45:14.080
<v Speaker 1>are safe. Uh And I think we're pretty close to

0:45:14.120 --> 0:45:17.000
<v Speaker 1>doing that as well. And um this is going to

0:45:17.080 --> 0:45:20.840
<v Speaker 1>be tremendous saving not only of carbon emissions, but of

0:45:21.440 --> 0:45:26.239
<v Speaker 1>money per se of the cost of vehicles. Because the

0:45:26.320 --> 0:45:30.640
<v Speaker 1>automobile was was the biggest ticket item for households, perhaps

0:45:30.920 --> 0:45:35.360
<v Speaker 1>other than their residents. Um. And it's not going to

0:45:35.440 --> 0:45:37.200
<v Speaker 1>be that way in the future. And young people don't

0:45:37.239 --> 0:45:40.640
<v Speaker 1>want to own cars anymore. And they're right, because we

0:45:40.680 --> 0:45:42.560
<v Speaker 1>should be in a way that they share when they

0:45:42.600 --> 0:45:46.160
<v Speaker 1>need them. And that's that I only have you for

0:45:46.200 --> 0:45:48.839
<v Speaker 1>a few minutes longer. So before I we run out

0:45:48.840 --> 0:45:52.040
<v Speaker 1>of time, I want to jump to my my favorite

0:45:52.080 --> 0:45:56.600
<v Speaker 1>questions that I ask all my guests. Um so you undergrad?

0:45:56.680 --> 0:46:00.480
<v Speaker 1>You were you were Harvard undergrad, Harvard master's, Harvard doctorate?

0:46:00.520 --> 0:46:02.279
<v Speaker 1>Is it right? That's it? So let's let's talk a

0:46:02.320 --> 0:46:05.880
<v Speaker 1>little bit about your mentors. Who who your mentors? Uh?

0:46:06.239 --> 0:46:11.120
<v Speaker 1>My advisor was Marty Feldstein, and you could do us.

0:46:11.360 --> 0:46:17.200
<v Speaker 1>I had had very good education. Uh. And when you're

0:46:17.800 --> 0:46:21.960
<v Speaker 1>at Harvard, very lucky. You go up and down the U.

0:46:22.719 --> 0:46:25.400
<v Speaker 1>The mass have to go to m I t so

0:46:25.480 --> 0:46:29.600
<v Speaker 1>Paul Samuelson and Robert Solo and Frankolman Digliani and other

0:46:29.640 --> 0:46:33.680
<v Speaker 1>Nobel laureates were there. And at Harvard I was able

0:46:33.719 --> 0:46:39.320
<v Speaker 1>to meet the giants like Simon Kuznets, who basically invented

0:46:39.360 --> 0:46:44.880
<v Speaker 1>the National income accounts and development economics. Alexander Gershenkrone, one

0:46:44.880 --> 0:46:49.359
<v Speaker 1>of the greatest historians of world economy. And you know,

0:46:49.760 --> 0:46:54.600
<v Speaker 1>as I have aged, I appreciate all those greats more

0:46:54.800 --> 0:47:01.239
<v Speaker 1>and more because they they imbued a certain ideas that

0:47:01.560 --> 0:47:04.400
<v Speaker 1>at the time you know, maybe weren't the fanciest theories,

0:47:04.400 --> 0:47:09.440
<v Speaker 1>but we're the kind of deep understanding of what is

0:47:09.520 --> 0:47:12.160
<v Speaker 1>this field and what does it mean to understand an

0:47:12.200 --> 0:47:17.440
<v Speaker 1>economy that decades later? Really, for me was the greatest

0:47:17.440 --> 0:47:20.560
<v Speaker 1>part of this education. And um, let's talk a little

0:47:20.560 --> 0:47:23.800
<v Speaker 1>bit about books. We we we referenced a few briefly.

0:47:24.040 --> 0:47:26.839
<v Speaker 1>What are some of your favorite books? What what are

0:47:26.840 --> 0:47:29.080
<v Speaker 1>you reading now and and what sort of books do

0:47:29.120 --> 0:47:32.680
<v Speaker 1>you enjoy? If you saw my house or my office,

0:47:33.200 --> 0:47:37.960
<v Speaker 1>I have about I think it's about fifteen thousand volumes.

0:47:38.640 --> 0:47:41.759
<v Speaker 1>So I my wife says, I'm just transferring Barnes and

0:47:41.840 --> 0:47:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Noble volume by volume, but the house. I love books.

0:47:47.040 --> 0:47:50.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm generally reading ten or fifteen books at a time,

0:47:50.719 --> 0:47:53.360
<v Speaker 1>meaning that I read a few pages of one few pages.

0:47:53.440 --> 0:47:57.839
<v Speaker 1>I love history, I love reading about technology, I love philosophy.

0:47:57.960 --> 0:48:02.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm reading a lot of neuroscience these days, because basically

0:48:02.719 --> 0:48:06.000
<v Speaker 1>we're at the cutting edge of knowledge, and a book

0:48:06.080 --> 0:48:09.200
<v Speaker 1>is the way to join someone who really knows what

0:48:09.280 --> 0:48:14.080
<v Speaker 1>they're doing, uh, into peering into the future. So I

0:48:14.239 --> 0:48:18.840
<v Speaker 1>just have a great time in trying to understand where

0:48:18.840 --> 0:48:21.680
<v Speaker 1>we're heading by reading a great book that's at the

0:48:21.680 --> 0:48:25.719
<v Speaker 1>cutting edge. The phrase I heard recently is deep generalist,

0:48:25.840 --> 0:48:28.879
<v Speaker 1>which seems like a contradiction in terms, but really that's

0:48:28.920 --> 0:48:32.600
<v Speaker 1>what you're describing. I love it. It's very frustrating because

0:48:33.280 --> 0:48:36.640
<v Speaker 1>the ripples of knowledge are much faster than you can

0:48:36.719 --> 0:48:39.920
<v Speaker 1>keep up with them, but I keep pretending to try. So.

0:48:39.920 --> 0:48:43.120
<v Speaker 1>So we mentioned earlier the box how the shipping container

0:48:43.200 --> 0:48:46.640
<v Speaker 1>made the world smaller and the economy bigger. I have

0:48:46.719 --> 0:48:48.480
<v Speaker 1>to ask you about a book that is so right

0:48:48.520 --> 0:48:52.400
<v Speaker 1>in your sweet spot? Did you ever read Windfall, The

0:48:52.480 --> 0:48:57.560
<v Speaker 1>Booming Business of Global Warming by Mackenzie Funk. No, it's

0:48:58.000 --> 0:49:01.440
<v Speaker 1>I highly reckon, very good because said basically starts with

0:49:01.480 --> 0:49:05.919
<v Speaker 1>the theme this isn't a debate on global warming. This

0:49:06.000 --> 0:49:09.480
<v Speaker 1>is let's follow them, follow the money and see what's happening. Well,

0:49:09.520 --> 0:49:12.520
<v Speaker 1>that is absolutely the right approach, and that's why I

0:49:12.520 --> 0:49:15.640
<v Speaker 1>said it's so right in your sweet spot. And then

0:49:15.800 --> 0:49:19.640
<v Speaker 1>a previous guest was a run Sundarajan n y you

0:49:19.680 --> 0:49:22.160
<v Speaker 1>when he wrote a book The Sharing Economy, The End

0:49:22.200 --> 0:49:25.200
<v Speaker 1>of Employment and the Rise of crowd. I've read that one,

0:49:25.239 --> 0:49:28.040
<v Speaker 1>so I found that to be a fascinating conversation. Right,

0:49:28.200 --> 0:49:31.000
<v Speaker 1>what you're talking about, uber and left? Tell me give

0:49:31.040 --> 0:49:33.200
<v Speaker 1>me a couple of books that you're reading currently that

0:49:33.239 --> 0:49:39.160
<v Speaker 1>you're really enjoying. I'm rereading Aristotle, so I would encourage

0:49:39.200 --> 0:49:43.719
<v Speaker 1>everybody to read the Nicomackian Ethics. You know, it's very

0:49:44.320 --> 0:49:47.440
<v Speaker 1>It's true, it's two thousand, three hundred years old, but

0:49:47.600 --> 0:49:50.680
<v Speaker 1>it deserves to be on the best seller list. Basically,

0:49:50.880 --> 0:49:55.280
<v Speaker 1>it is Aristotle's idea about what is a virtuous life

0:49:55.640 --> 0:49:58.839
<v Speaker 1>and how can we have a virtuous society? And I

0:49:58.880 --> 0:50:02.600
<v Speaker 1>think that that is a pretty darren good vision that

0:50:03.120 --> 0:50:07.080
<v Speaker 1>has withstood the test of twenty three centuries. Funny you

0:50:07.160 --> 0:50:10.280
<v Speaker 1>said that I'm reading Meditations, But there you go, markets

0:50:10.320 --> 0:50:12.799
<v Speaker 1>really and it's one of those things that you're not

0:50:12.800 --> 0:50:15.400
<v Speaker 1>going to sit down and plow through it on a beach,

0:50:15.480 --> 0:50:17.239
<v Speaker 1>but you pick it up, you read five or ten

0:50:17.280 --> 0:50:20.320
<v Speaker 1>pages and you have to stop and say, that's really interesting,

0:50:20.480 --> 0:50:24.920
<v Speaker 1>and it's really wonderful because you know, the ancient Greeks,

0:50:24.960 --> 0:50:27.480
<v Speaker 1>this was the first time they were thinking the biggest thoughts,

0:50:27.520 --> 0:50:30.600
<v Speaker 1>and some of them got such deep truth that they

0:50:31.000 --> 0:50:35.239
<v Speaker 1>got almost too. But it's thousands of years old, and

0:50:35.320 --> 0:50:38.799
<v Speaker 1>it shows you that a great book, the Meditation Um

0:50:39.040 --> 0:50:41.400
<v Speaker 1>give me one more, by the way, the single biggest

0:50:41.480 --> 0:50:44.799
<v Speaker 1>email request I get from listeners is hey, get me

0:50:44.840 --> 0:50:48.600
<v Speaker 1>a few book recommendations from your um, your guests, they're

0:50:48.640 --> 0:50:52.400
<v Speaker 1>also accomplished, they're also knowledgeable. I love to rely on

0:50:52.400 --> 0:50:55.480
<v Speaker 1>on on those sorts of folks recommendations. So I hope

0:50:55.560 --> 0:50:57.520
<v Speaker 1>it's not too cheeky to say, please have a look

0:50:57.520 --> 0:51:01.360
<v Speaker 1>at my book. It's really short. Uh So I would say,

0:51:01.680 --> 0:51:06.800
<v Speaker 1>I haven't finished this, but I read two of your books,

0:51:06.840 --> 0:51:09.439
<v Speaker 1>and I'm trying to remember You've written so many it's

0:51:09.480 --> 0:51:14.520
<v Speaker 1>tough to keep all the titles straight. Um. The sustainability

0:51:14.560 --> 0:51:18.920
<v Speaker 1>book from OH five, Well, the Age of Sustainable Development

0:51:19.000 --> 0:51:22.960
<v Speaker 1>is a rice of civilizations. Civilization good. That's the one

0:51:23.000 --> 0:51:25.759
<v Speaker 1>that I think is really fascinating because you were a

0:51:25.760 --> 0:51:28.759
<v Speaker 1>bit ahead of the curve laying out a lot of

0:51:28.760 --> 0:51:32.640
<v Speaker 1>the problems that we face today. Well, I had watched

0:51:32.640 --> 0:51:35.560
<v Speaker 1>the problems build. I travel a lot, so I see

0:51:35.920 --> 0:51:39.000
<v Speaker 1>other countries that are working better than ours, and I'm

0:51:39.040 --> 0:51:42.480
<v Speaker 1>trying to share some of some of that what I'm

0:51:42.520 --> 0:51:46.040
<v Speaker 1>seeing as well. So let's talk about what happens next.

0:51:46.080 --> 0:51:50.240
<v Speaker 1>We we've discussed the rise of popular populism around the world.

0:51:50.280 --> 0:51:53.680
<v Speaker 1>It's not just a US phenomena. Uh, it's it's France,

0:51:53.760 --> 0:51:59.239
<v Speaker 1>it's Italy, it's not only Inland but possibly Germany. What

0:51:59.480 --> 0:52:03.720
<v Speaker 1>is the next political shift that's that's going to take place.

0:52:04.840 --> 0:52:08.280
<v Speaker 1>We're really at a knife edge right now because if

0:52:08.640 --> 0:52:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the world becomes a battle of strongman uh and uh,

0:52:13.960 --> 0:52:17.480
<v Speaker 1>it could go that way. It's really dangerous if, on

0:52:17.520 --> 0:52:21.879
<v Speaker 1>the other hand, people who are really doing serious and

0:52:22.160 --> 0:52:25.560
<v Speaker 1>leading things in the world tell the Donald Trump's and

0:52:25.600 --> 0:52:28.440
<v Speaker 1>others cool it. We don't want to blow apart the

0:52:28.480 --> 0:52:31.040
<v Speaker 1>world economy, we don't want to start new wars. We

0:52:31.080 --> 0:52:35.920
<v Speaker 1>want to actually solve problems. Then we can absolutely go

0:52:36.280 --> 0:52:39.280
<v Speaker 1>in in the good direction. And I think that we're

0:52:39.760 --> 0:52:41.959
<v Speaker 1>at a shaky moment right now. We don't know which

0:52:41.960 --> 0:52:45.960
<v Speaker 1>way it's going. But we've seen just in the last

0:52:46.000 --> 0:52:51.960
<v Speaker 1>few days that some of the really irresponsible initial actions

0:52:52.000 --> 0:52:57.480
<v Speaker 1>of Trump are being walked back. For example, Trump came in,

0:52:57.680 --> 0:53:00.920
<v Speaker 1>tried to stir up things with China, took the phone

0:53:00.920 --> 0:53:04.279
<v Speaker 1>call with Taiwan, said one China policies up for grabs.

0:53:04.360 --> 0:53:07.360
<v Speaker 1>Yesterday in his call with the president Shi Jigping, he

0:53:07.400 --> 0:53:09.800
<v Speaker 1>said no, no, no, we subscribe to the one China policy.

0:53:09.880 --> 0:53:12.440
<v Speaker 1>I say, thanks God. How much of this is just

0:53:12.560 --> 0:53:15.600
<v Speaker 1>a guy who's never held elected office, never been really

0:53:15.640 --> 0:53:19.120
<v Speaker 1>involved with government. It's gonna take a while. I'm I'm

0:53:19.160 --> 0:53:22.279
<v Speaker 1>being given the benefit of the doubt. Isn't it gonna

0:53:22.280 --> 0:53:24.080
<v Speaker 1>take a while for him to kind of get his

0:53:24.200 --> 0:53:27.399
<v Speaker 1>legs under him and figure out, Hey, how do these

0:53:27.480 --> 0:53:31.279
<v Speaker 1>levers of power actually work? Well? You know, I think

0:53:31.280 --> 0:53:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the most worrisome thing is these are complicated issues. These

0:53:35.640 --> 0:53:41.040
<v Speaker 1>are not Twitter susceptible issues. And either he gets serious

0:53:41.200 --> 0:53:45.960
<v Speaker 1>or we're in trouble. You noticed that yesterday he or

0:53:46.000 --> 0:53:50.200
<v Speaker 1>a few days ago, he slammed Nordstrom for dropping his

0:53:50.280 --> 0:53:54.040
<v Speaker 1>daughter's line, and Nordstrom stock rose five percent. So maybe

0:53:54.080 --> 0:53:57.080
<v Speaker 1>there's a half life on the bully pulpit of trying

0:53:57.080 --> 0:54:00.959
<v Speaker 1>to scare CEOs of companies by using Twitter. I think

0:54:01.160 --> 0:54:05.480
<v Speaker 1>one thing in our world is everything so fast that

0:54:05.840 --> 0:54:10.040
<v Speaker 1>and everything ages so quickly that maybe the Twitter play

0:54:10.200 --> 0:54:14.760
<v Speaker 1>is over. Today the Financial Times has run a story

0:54:14.920 --> 0:54:18.960
<v Speaker 1>saying that they've looked at all the tweets against businesses

0:54:19.040 --> 0:54:21.920
<v Speaker 1>and there really is no impact on shares. There's a

0:54:21.920 --> 0:54:24.719
<v Speaker 1>little wobble and then it just goes exactly And I think,

0:54:25.440 --> 0:54:28.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, maybe everyone's saying, Okay, that's Donald in the

0:54:28.920 --> 0:54:33.640
<v Speaker 1>middle of the night. Uh, and that's the old But

0:54:33.719 --> 0:54:37.160
<v Speaker 1>maybe that's already passe. That's the old stuff. And if

0:54:37.160 --> 0:54:39.120
<v Speaker 1>that is, that would be good, because that is no

0:54:39.200 --> 0:54:42.480
<v Speaker 1>way to run the US government. My suspicion is there

0:54:42.480 --> 0:54:46.360
<v Speaker 1>are certain leaders who are very detail oriented and others

0:54:46.360 --> 0:54:48.960
<v Speaker 1>who just want to plant a flag of victory and

0:54:49.040 --> 0:54:53.680
<v Speaker 1>let others fill in um the details. My suspicion the

0:54:53.719 --> 0:54:57.920
<v Speaker 1>tax reform as a perfect example. I suspect he wants

0:54:57.920 --> 0:55:01.279
<v Speaker 1>a victory, doesn't matter what the victor is, and a

0:55:01.320 --> 0:55:03.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of what he's gonna do is just going to

0:55:03.200 --> 0:55:05.840
<v Speaker 1>defer to people like Paul Ryan and say, give me

0:55:05.920 --> 0:55:08.839
<v Speaker 1>some corporate tax reform, get it done. Yeah, I win,

0:55:09.000 --> 0:55:11.560
<v Speaker 1>and move on to the next. But there I think

0:55:11.600 --> 0:55:16.239
<v Speaker 1>there's really one huge distinction that I would emphasize, which

0:55:16.280 --> 0:55:21.280
<v Speaker 1>is that we've had for years now government by lobby

0:55:21.320 --> 0:55:24.319
<v Speaker 1>behind closed doors in Washington. That's was true of the

0:55:24.360 --> 0:55:29.480
<v Speaker 1>Obama administration, it was true of of Bush before him.

0:55:29.600 --> 0:55:34.560
<v Speaker 1>That kind of governance also does not work. What we

0:55:34.640 --> 0:55:38.719
<v Speaker 1>need actually has some expertise right now. We need the engineers,

0:55:38.840 --> 0:55:41.920
<v Speaker 1>we need the technologists, We need people who are going

0:55:41.960 --> 0:55:44.799
<v Speaker 1>to look at the budget not from a partisan point

0:55:44.800 --> 0:55:46.799
<v Speaker 1>of view, but from a twenty year point of view,

0:55:47.200 --> 0:55:51.760
<v Speaker 1>and we don't have that yet. And you know, maybe

0:55:51.960 --> 0:55:55.120
<v Speaker 1>it's better than a tweet to have a Congress do it,

0:55:55.200 --> 0:55:58.680
<v Speaker 1>but it's not good enough to have the lobbyists write

0:55:58.680 --> 0:56:04.840
<v Speaker 1>our legislation. We need serious national deliberation right now. It

0:56:04.920 --> 0:56:07.200
<v Speaker 1>has to be in the open. And instead of having

0:56:08.360 --> 0:56:16.759
<v Speaker 1>basically illiterate or scientifically illiterate politicians opine about things like

0:56:16.840 --> 0:56:20.040
<v Speaker 1>climate change, we've got a nation of the world's top

0:56:20.080 --> 0:56:23.279
<v Speaker 1>scientists and engineers, and they're the ones that should be

0:56:23.320 --> 0:56:27.200
<v Speaker 1>empowered right now to be helping to give solutions and

0:56:27.440 --> 0:56:32.719
<v Speaker 1>away forward. Let me ask you a question that that

0:56:33.000 --> 0:56:36.360
<v Speaker 1>responds to that, what do you make of this sort

0:56:36.400 --> 0:56:44.880
<v Speaker 1>of drumbeat against expertise? And I don't mean just climate change,

0:56:45.320 --> 0:56:51.840
<v Speaker 1>but we've seen a sort of uh conflation between pundits

0:56:51.880 --> 0:56:59.360
<v Speaker 1>and talking heads and actual engineers, technologists, scientists. It looks

0:56:59.400 --> 0:57:04.000
<v Speaker 1>like we're lumping together people who really don't know but

0:57:04.080 --> 0:57:06.560
<v Speaker 1>are happy to talk about it with people who do

0:57:06.719 --> 0:57:09.120
<v Speaker 1>know and may not be talking about it as much

0:57:09.160 --> 0:57:13.919
<v Speaker 1>as they should. I talked about climate change a few

0:57:14.000 --> 0:57:17.400
<v Speaker 1>days ago in a interview and then of course got

0:57:17.400 --> 0:57:20.920
<v Speaker 1>to I rate barage of emails, and so I answered

0:57:20.960 --> 0:57:25.040
<v Speaker 1>one of them, and somebody may charge as you ignorant guy,

0:57:25.240 --> 0:57:28.080
<v Speaker 1>don't you know that so and so is true of

0:57:28.440 --> 0:57:31.600
<v Speaker 1>some completely false thing? And I wrote back, I said, oh,

0:57:31.680 --> 0:57:34.040
<v Speaker 1>that's interesting. Can you give me a citation for that?

0:57:34.280 --> 0:57:39.360
<v Speaker 1>The greatest response? And he wrote back immediately with the website.

0:57:39.400 --> 0:57:41.920
<v Speaker 1>I looked at the website. It was actually quite interesting.

0:57:42.200 --> 0:57:48.000
<v Speaker 1>It was a real website, completely phony, and then it's

0:57:48.040 --> 0:57:52.800
<v Speaker 1>cited an institute in California, so I of course never

0:57:52.880 --> 0:57:55.400
<v Speaker 1>heard of it. I googled it. It doesn't exist. So

0:57:55.440 --> 0:57:57.400
<v Speaker 1>I wrote back to the guy. I said, can you

0:57:57.440 --> 0:58:00.480
<v Speaker 1>give me the address of this doesn't exist? There were

0:58:00.520 --> 0:58:03.320
<v Speaker 1>footnotes and if you followed the footnote, it was too

0:58:03.720 --> 0:58:08.680
<v Speaker 1>absolutely non existent journals. So this is it is a

0:58:08.760 --> 0:58:13.040
<v Speaker 1>problem because it's like artificial intelligence. It's an alternative world.

0:58:14.280 --> 0:58:17.920
<v Speaker 1>People people live in it and they're bombarded by it.

0:58:18.280 --> 0:58:20.920
<v Speaker 1>And I said to the guy finally in frustration, because

0:58:20.920 --> 0:58:23.720
<v Speaker 1>I was trying being very polite and back and forth,

0:58:23.760 --> 0:58:26.720
<v Speaker 1>and it was Dr Jeffrey Sachs, you have better things

0:58:26.760 --> 0:58:29.360
<v Speaker 1>to do with your time, because on behalf of humanity

0:58:29.400 --> 0:58:33.680
<v Speaker 1>than talking to one bubbles. I'm trying to understand, though,

0:58:33.800 --> 0:58:36.120
<v Speaker 1>and and so I said to him, finally, why don't

0:58:36.160 --> 0:58:39.480
<v Speaker 1>you go to a local unit, your local college or university,

0:58:39.800 --> 0:58:43.320
<v Speaker 1>He said, I tried that they're filled with the same nonsense.

0:58:44.720 --> 0:58:46.640
<v Speaker 1>What are you gonna do? Well? You know, there have

0:58:46.720 --> 0:58:49.640
<v Speaker 1>been studies that have shown that certain people live in

0:58:49.720 --> 0:58:53.480
<v Speaker 1>a news bubble that's really not news. And it's not

0:58:53.600 --> 0:58:59.640
<v Speaker 1>just that they're uninformed. It's worse, they're misinformed and democracy

0:59:00.000 --> 0:59:04.000
<v Speaker 1>ac choirs and informed electorate. And that seems to be

0:59:04.040 --> 0:59:07.320
<v Speaker 1>a big problem. Especially we live in a time of

0:59:07.480 --> 0:59:14.880
<v Speaker 1>expert systems, of super sophisticated transport, communications, of power generation.

0:59:15.240 --> 0:59:18.080
<v Speaker 1>We have seven point five billion people on the planet

0:59:18.160 --> 0:59:21.680
<v Speaker 1>that need to be fed to safe water, public health

0:59:21.800 --> 0:59:26.600
<v Speaker 1>every day. That requires tremendous knowledge and expertise. And if

0:59:26.640 --> 0:59:32.160
<v Speaker 1>we absolutely close off to the expertise were doomed, there's

0:59:32.320 --> 0:59:35.200
<v Speaker 1>no way we survived that. So this is really a

0:59:35.200 --> 0:59:37.800
<v Speaker 1>major thing. But our government is out of that business

0:59:37.840 --> 0:59:41.160
<v Speaker 1>because it's been lobbyist seven And I'm not just talking

0:59:41.200 --> 0:59:43.640
<v Speaker 1>about right now. I'm talking about during the Obama period,

0:59:43.640 --> 0:59:46.240
<v Speaker 1>and I'm talking about this is a multi decade problem

0:59:46.360 --> 0:59:48.920
<v Speaker 1>and we have to get out of it quickly. And

0:59:49.000 --> 0:59:53.040
<v Speaker 1>let me get to my um last few and favorite questions. So,

0:59:53.080 --> 0:59:55.840
<v Speaker 1>when you're not at work, what do you do to relax?

0:59:56.160 --> 0:59:58.120
<v Speaker 1>What do you do to kick back? I'm at work,

0:59:59.720 --> 1:00:02.560
<v Speaker 1>so I was gonna ask, uh, what what do you

1:00:02.560 --> 1:00:05.560
<v Speaker 1>do to exercise? What do you do to stay mentally

1:00:05.800 --> 1:00:09.480
<v Speaker 1>or physically fit? Another reader question, by the way, Well,

1:00:09.680 --> 1:00:12.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean New York is the perfect place for that

1:00:12.320 --> 1:00:14.640
<v Speaker 1>because I walk, I walk, I walk, and I love

1:00:14.640 --> 1:00:17.520
<v Speaker 1>it since I got the Fitbit. People don't believe me.

1:00:17.560 --> 1:00:21.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm doing fifteen steps a day and it's it's I

1:00:21.480 --> 1:00:24.200
<v Speaker 1>walk from here down to my office. It's thirty blocks

1:00:23.960 --> 1:00:27.280
<v Speaker 1>that that's what that is. So you work with a

1:00:27.320 --> 1:00:29.960
<v Speaker 1>lot of students, a lot of millennials. If someone came

1:00:30.000 --> 1:00:33.240
<v Speaker 1>to you and said, I'm interested in a career as

1:00:33.480 --> 1:00:36.640
<v Speaker 1>becoming an economist, what sort of advice would you would

1:00:36.640 --> 1:00:39.360
<v Speaker 1>you give them? I always say, whatever they're interested in,

1:00:39.600 --> 1:00:42.320
<v Speaker 1>stay with your interests, don't do it for the money,

1:00:42.320 --> 1:00:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Remember why you did it, and be serious because you'll

1:00:45.720 --> 1:00:48.600
<v Speaker 1>you'll love it in the end. So, whether it's public health,

1:00:48.640 --> 1:00:53.000
<v Speaker 1>whether it's engineering, whether it's business, there's enough for people

1:00:53.080 --> 1:00:56.280
<v Speaker 1>to enjoy their lives. But the worst reason is, oh,

1:00:56.320 --> 1:00:58.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to go make money. I know it's awful,

1:00:58.280 --> 1:01:01.720
<v Speaker 1>and then I'll do something later that's that's a terrible mistake.

1:01:02.360 --> 1:01:05.560
<v Speaker 1>And my final, uh and favorite question, what is it

1:01:05.640 --> 1:01:09.160
<v Speaker 1>that you know about the world of macro economics today

1:01:09.200 --> 1:01:14.200
<v Speaker 1>that you wish you knew thirty years ago? Everything? Really? No?

1:01:14.440 --> 1:01:17.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean I I knew a bit then, but God,

1:01:17.800 --> 1:01:20.520
<v Speaker 1>I've been on a learning curve and it's wonderful and

1:01:20.560 --> 1:01:24.240
<v Speaker 1>I feel that that is so much fun. How to

1:01:24.480 --> 1:01:30.800
<v Speaker 1>put together the macro economics with culture, society, climate. It's

1:01:30.840 --> 1:01:34.160
<v Speaker 1>the interconnectedness which has really grown on me over over

1:01:34.200 --> 1:01:38.000
<v Speaker 1>the decades through the real life, that our problems don't

1:01:38.040 --> 1:01:42.040
<v Speaker 1>come packaged in narrow packages. They come as broad as

1:01:42.080 --> 1:01:45.320
<v Speaker 1>the world is, and so we better understand those interconnections.

1:01:45.480 --> 1:01:49.320
<v Speaker 1>We have been speaking with Professor Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University.

1:01:49.440 --> 1:01:51.960
<v Speaker 1>If you enjoy this conversation, be sure and look up

1:01:51.960 --> 1:01:54.800
<v Speaker 1>an inch or down an inch on Apple iTunes and

1:01:54.840 --> 1:01:57.640
<v Speaker 1>you could see any of the other hundred and thirty

1:01:57.720 --> 1:02:01.800
<v Speaker 1>two or so such conversation sans. I would be remiss

1:02:01.840 --> 1:02:05.800
<v Speaker 1>if I did not think. My recording engineer, Medina Taylor

1:02:05.880 --> 1:02:10.520
<v Speaker 1>Riggs is our booker. Mike Batnick is our director of research.

1:02:10.920 --> 1:02:14.960
<v Speaker 1>We love your comment, suggestions and feedback. Please write to

1:02:15.080 --> 1:02:19.320
<v Speaker 1>us at m IB podcast at Bloomberg dot net. I'm

1:02:19.360 --> 1:02:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Barry Hults. You've been listening to Masters in Business on

1:02:22.840 --> 1:02:25.880
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