WEBVTT - A Top 1% Manager’s Strategy

0:00:00.400 --> 0:00:03.840
<v Speaker 1>Strap on your parachute. It's time for What Goes Up

0:00:04.120 --> 0:00:13.880
<v Speaker 1>with Sarah Ponzick and Mike Reagan. Hello and welcome to

0:00:13.960 --> 0:00:17.840
<v Speaker 1>What Goes Up, a Bloomberg weekly market podcast. I'm Sarah Ponzek,

0:00:18.120 --> 0:00:21.200
<v Speaker 1>reporter on the Cross Asset team, and Mike Reagan, a

0:00:21.320 --> 0:00:24.440
<v Speaker 1>senior editor at Bloomberg. This week on the show, an

0:00:24.440 --> 0:00:27.880
<v Speaker 1>election like no other. At the time of recording this episode,

0:00:28.000 --> 0:00:30.200
<v Speaker 1>the next president of the United States has still not

0:00:30.320 --> 0:00:33.720
<v Speaker 1>been declared. There's questions over the Senate too. But even so,

0:00:33.880 --> 0:00:37.239
<v Speaker 1>stocks stage their best post election rally and history and

0:00:37.320 --> 0:00:40.920
<v Speaker 1>text talks are back on top. So what's the deal, Mike, Well, Sarah,

0:00:40.960 --> 0:00:42.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, but I will tell you. What the

0:00:42.640 --> 0:00:44.680
<v Speaker 1>deal is with the end of the show is that

0:00:44.800 --> 0:00:47.240
<v Speaker 1>we will finish off with the craziest things we saw

0:00:47.240 --> 0:00:50.280
<v Speaker 1>in markets, of course, and uh. The deal is for

0:00:50.400 --> 0:00:52.919
<v Speaker 1>listeners out there, if you saw something crazy, please give

0:00:53.000 --> 0:00:55.840
<v Speaker 1>us a call on the Bloomberg Podcast hotline and leave

0:00:55.920 --> 0:00:59.120
<v Speaker 1>us a voicemail and maybe we'll play your crazy thing

0:00:59.160 --> 0:01:02.920
<v Speaker 1>on the show. Number is six four six three to

0:01:03.120 --> 0:01:08.440
<v Speaker 1>four three four nine zero. Uh and sorry, Sarah. Very

0:01:08.480 --> 0:01:11.520
<v Speaker 1>excited for this week's guests. As you know, I usually

0:01:11.560 --> 0:01:15.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm excited regardless who the guest is, but especially excited

0:01:15.319 --> 0:01:18.480
<v Speaker 1>this week first time on the show. He is a

0:01:18.520 --> 0:01:24.040
<v Speaker 1>portfolio manager at Buffalo Funds. His name is Jamie Quare. Jamie,

0:01:24.080 --> 0:01:26.760
<v Speaker 1>welcome to the show. Thanks for having me on. And Sarah,

0:01:26.760 --> 0:01:30.200
<v Speaker 1>that firm name again is Buffalo Funds. You know, Buffalo

0:01:30.280 --> 0:01:32.959
<v Speaker 1>Funds are like regular funds, just with hot sauce on top.

0:01:33.480 --> 0:01:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Of course, you know Buffalo That was in my favorite

0:01:35.240 --> 0:01:37.759
<v Speaker 1>slace night. I heard our other guests grown at that joke,

0:01:37.840 --> 0:01:40.240
<v Speaker 1>I think, which is not a good sign. Uh. And

0:01:40.319 --> 0:01:43.640
<v Speaker 1>that voice that is our very own Chris Nag, executive

0:01:43.760 --> 0:01:47.040
<v Speaker 1>editor at Bloomberg for Markets. Chris hasn't been on this

0:01:47.080 --> 0:01:49.640
<v Speaker 1>show in a while, but he's got his own fan

0:01:49.720 --> 0:01:53.960
<v Speaker 1>club out there who demands his appearance occasionally. So obviously

0:01:54.120 --> 0:01:57.840
<v Speaker 1>very powerful fan club. They've managed to keep me keep

0:01:57.880 --> 0:02:00.240
<v Speaker 1>me off the show for about nine months. If we

0:02:00.240 --> 0:02:03.160
<v Speaker 1>weren't living through a pandemic right now, we weren't doing

0:02:03.200 --> 0:02:05.520
<v Speaker 1>the podcast through Zoom, and we were still in the office,

0:02:05.560 --> 0:02:07.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, you would be on more often. Yeah, I'm

0:02:07.880 --> 0:02:10.280
<v Speaker 1>Sarah's boss, I would point out at this point. But anyway,

0:02:10.600 --> 0:02:14.200
<v Speaker 1>your evaluation period is coming up. So we're having we'll

0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:16.160
<v Speaker 1>have Chris on for every episode for the rest of you.

0:02:16.320 --> 0:02:18.880
<v Speaker 1>But but Jai, of course I was joking about the

0:02:18.919 --> 0:02:21.320
<v Speaker 1>hot sauce, but not a joke about how hot that

0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:24.240
<v Speaker 1>that small cap fund has been doing really impressive. I

0:02:24.240 --> 0:02:27.560
<v Speaker 1>want to get into your specific strategy because it's obviously

0:02:27.600 --> 0:02:29.920
<v Speaker 1>you're doing something right. But before that, I want to

0:02:29.919 --> 0:02:32.720
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about just small caps as an

0:02:32.760 --> 0:02:36.679
<v Speaker 1>asset class um. You know, obviously, if you're you're looking

0:02:36.760 --> 0:02:40.600
<v Speaker 1>at just the Russell two thousand, uh, still down on

0:02:40.639 --> 0:02:44.120
<v Speaker 1>the year last time I checked, really been underperforming the

0:02:44.280 --> 0:02:47.000
<v Speaker 1>SMP with all the mega caps for a few years. Now,

0:02:47.760 --> 0:02:51.120
<v Speaker 1>what is sort of your outlook for not your fund

0:02:51.200 --> 0:02:54.440
<v Speaker 1>and your specific stock picks in the fund, but just

0:02:54.560 --> 0:02:57.360
<v Speaker 1>the small caps as an asset class in general. I

0:02:57.400 --> 0:03:00.480
<v Speaker 1>think there's this kind of notion that maybe a need

0:03:00.840 --> 0:03:03.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of a big fiscal stimulus, uh some kind of

0:03:03.800 --> 0:03:06.280
<v Speaker 1>blue way from the election that that looks like it's

0:03:06.320 --> 0:03:09.880
<v Speaker 1>not going to happen. But what's been holding small caps

0:03:09.880 --> 0:03:13.799
<v Speaker 1>back compared to the mega caps in the SMP, And

0:03:14.000 --> 0:03:17.600
<v Speaker 1>is there any reason to believe that the whole asset

0:03:17.680 --> 0:03:20.320
<v Speaker 1>class can can sort of turn around and sort of

0:03:20.320 --> 0:03:23.480
<v Speaker 1>close up that performance gap. Yeah, I don't know if

0:03:23.480 --> 0:03:25.760
<v Speaker 1>that's totally fair, and i'd separate a little bit the

0:03:25.840 --> 0:03:28.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of the growth versus value performance that we've seen

0:03:28.560 --> 0:03:31.320
<v Speaker 1>within small caps. So certainly the value names have been

0:03:31.400 --> 0:03:35.680
<v Speaker 1>dramatically underperforming growth this year, but growth in small cap

0:03:35.760 --> 0:03:39.600
<v Speaker 1>has done quite well. If anything, I think that's probably

0:03:39.640 --> 0:03:42.320
<v Speaker 1>going to continue to to go in terms of being

0:03:42.440 --> 0:03:45.600
<v Speaker 1>a in favor of growth going forward. So, you know,

0:03:45.880 --> 0:03:48.520
<v Speaker 1>things probably would have been a little bit better for

0:03:48.720 --> 0:03:51.640
<v Speaker 1>small caps over the last couple of days if um,

0:03:51.680 --> 0:03:54.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, there had been a massive stimulus, which looks

0:03:54.080 --> 0:03:56.920
<v Speaker 1>like obviously it's not going to come through with with

0:03:57.040 --> 0:04:01.320
<v Speaker 1>kind of a split Congress. But overall, um, everything continues

0:04:01.400 --> 0:04:04.360
<v Speaker 1>to be quite solid and the outlook is still very

0:04:04.440 --> 0:04:07.760
<v Speaker 1>strong for small caps. Earnings have gone quite well. Um.

0:04:07.920 --> 0:04:10.480
<v Speaker 1>You know, we still have the same I think concerns

0:04:10.480 --> 0:04:12.280
<v Speaker 1>that everyone else does in terms of kind of what's

0:04:12.320 --> 0:04:14.720
<v Speaker 1>going to happen with covid UM, But you know, we've

0:04:14.720 --> 0:04:17.720
<v Speaker 1>got an accommodate of fed UM. I think it did

0:04:17.960 --> 0:04:20.800
<v Speaker 1>will eventually have a little bit more stimulus that comes

0:04:20.839 --> 0:04:24.080
<v Speaker 1>probably next year, maybe as a skinnier package that may

0:04:24.120 --> 0:04:26.920
<v Speaker 1>come in the lame duck period. But overall, I think

0:04:26.920 --> 0:04:29.200
<v Speaker 1>the autook for small cap is still still quite solid.

0:04:29.640 --> 0:04:32.520
<v Speaker 1>So Jamie, just keeping it broad for now with the

0:04:32.520 --> 0:04:35.440
<v Speaker 1>outcome of the election, Yes, it's still unclear, but is

0:04:35.480 --> 0:04:37.400
<v Speaker 1>there any reason to believe though that the status quo

0:04:37.480 --> 0:04:40.359
<v Speaker 1>and markets is going to change over the next twelve

0:04:40.440 --> 0:04:43.560
<v Speaker 1>months three years, Let's keep it a little shorter, say

0:04:43.600 --> 0:04:46.360
<v Speaker 1>twelve months with the outcome that we've seen, even though

0:04:46.640 --> 0:04:49.039
<v Speaker 1>at least as it stands, it doesn't look like markets

0:04:49.080 --> 0:04:52.080
<v Speaker 1>getting exactly what we were told it was pricing in

0:04:52.080 --> 0:04:54.719
<v Speaker 1>ahead of time. Yeah, you know, I think from the election,

0:04:54.920 --> 0:04:57.240
<v Speaker 1>I think the results really kind of threaded the need

0:04:57.279 --> 0:04:59.960
<v Speaker 1>of pretty perfectly, and just in terms of you know,

0:05:00.040 --> 0:05:02.200
<v Speaker 1>what would have been the best for the markets and again,

0:05:02.240 --> 0:05:06.440
<v Speaker 1>like you mentioned, especially for growth investors. Um. Again, because

0:05:06.480 --> 0:05:08.520
<v Speaker 1>we have a split Congress, we're not going to have

0:05:08.520 --> 0:05:11.120
<v Speaker 1>a huge stimulus, so that you know, the market overall

0:05:11.240 --> 0:05:13.680
<v Speaker 1>really likes to see gridlock, and that's certainly what we're

0:05:13.680 --> 0:05:16.600
<v Speaker 1>getting from here. Um. And you know, it really takes

0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:19.440
<v Speaker 1>off things like you know, tax increases on both the

0:05:19.440 --> 0:05:23.320
<v Speaker 1>corporate and personal side. Um. You know, the interest rates

0:05:23.360 --> 0:05:26.480
<v Speaker 1>are probably gonna stay pretty low given that we're probably

0:05:26.480 --> 0:05:28.640
<v Speaker 1>not going to have this big reflationary period that was

0:05:28.680 --> 0:05:33.120
<v Speaker 1>expected if if we boosted stimulus pretty dramatically. So yeah,

0:05:33.160 --> 0:05:35.159
<v Speaker 1>like I said, I think it's really is kind of

0:05:35.200 --> 0:05:38.640
<v Speaker 1>status quo and and really the best possible outlook that

0:05:38.680 --> 0:05:42.359
<v Speaker 1>we could have gotten from the election we got. You know, Chris,

0:05:42.400 --> 0:05:45.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm thinking back to when I started working for

0:05:45.120 --> 0:05:48.599
<v Speaker 1>you with Bloomberg. I'm really gonna date myself here, way

0:05:48.600 --> 0:05:51.719
<v Speaker 1>back in early two thousand and seven. Uh, George W.

0:05:51.839 --> 0:05:56.120
<v Speaker 1>Bush was was still the president. Uh, you know, obviously, Uh,

0:05:56.160 --> 0:06:00.120
<v Speaker 1>there was that two thousand and eight election, Um, and

0:06:00.120 --> 0:06:02.320
<v Speaker 1>there was certainly some talk about while is Obama gonna

0:06:02.320 --> 0:06:04.279
<v Speaker 1>be good or bad for the stock market, but really

0:06:04.320 --> 0:06:06.960
<v Speaker 1>the whole world was was just distracted with the financial

0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:11.200
<v Speaker 1>crisis at that point. I don't ever remember politics being

0:06:11.440 --> 0:06:15.000
<v Speaker 1>this important to markets as they've been in the last

0:06:15.240 --> 0:06:21.040
<v Speaker 1>few years, the Trump the Trump uh administrations specifically, How

0:06:21.080 --> 0:06:24.640
<v Speaker 1>do you look at the intersection of politics and markets

0:06:24.720 --> 0:06:26.919
<v Speaker 1>going forward? I mean it's I feel like the business

0:06:26.960 --> 0:06:29.960
<v Speaker 1>page and the political pages of the newspapers have been

0:06:29.960 --> 0:06:33.000
<v Speaker 1>fused together in the last four years. Are they going

0:06:33.040 --> 0:06:36.040
<v Speaker 1>to be attached at the hip going forward? Is the

0:06:36.040 --> 0:06:39.560
<v Speaker 1>political narrative under a Biden administration going to also be

0:06:40.040 --> 0:06:42.479
<v Speaker 1>the market narrative, do you think, uh? Or will that

0:06:42.560 --> 0:06:46.120
<v Speaker 1>wear off eventually and we'll be back to ignoring politics

0:06:46.200 --> 0:06:48.320
<v Speaker 1>like we used to. Yeah. I mean what I would

0:06:48.320 --> 0:06:50.320
<v Speaker 1>say is our role in the press will be, no

0:06:50.360 --> 0:06:52.440
<v Speaker 1>matter whether it matters or not, it will be to

0:06:52.480 --> 0:06:54.679
<v Speaker 1>make sure that those narratives are joined at the hips,

0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:58.080
<v Speaker 1>whether they deserve to be or otherwise. What what I mean.

0:06:58.400 --> 0:07:00.200
<v Speaker 1>I do feel like that's sort of the the key

0:07:00.240 --> 0:07:01.640
<v Speaker 1>thing and the point that there is I'd be very

0:07:01.640 --> 0:07:04.039
<v Speaker 1>interested to hear how our guests feels about that. I mean,

0:07:04.320 --> 0:07:07.440
<v Speaker 1>there's a perception right now because of whatever some of

0:07:07.480 --> 0:07:11.120
<v Speaker 1>the big personalities, possibly possibly because of things like Twitter,

0:07:11.360 --> 0:07:14.880
<v Speaker 1>that no matter what happens on Earth, Uh, it gets

0:07:15.160 --> 0:07:18.400
<v Speaker 1>dialed back to politics. And I wonder if you know

0:07:19.080 --> 0:07:22.760
<v Speaker 1>it actually does matter significantly more now than it did

0:07:23.040 --> 0:07:26.160
<v Speaker 1>back in the you know, Obama period or Bush period,

0:07:26.600 --> 0:07:29.240
<v Speaker 1>or if it's just something that we we as journalists

0:07:29.280 --> 0:07:31.760
<v Speaker 1>like to ascribe like everyone else. I mean, you look

0:07:31.800 --> 0:07:34.120
<v Speaker 1>at the beginning of the Obama period, there was a

0:07:34.200 --> 0:07:36.840
<v Speaker 1>lot you know, there was nothing like what's going on now, obviously,

0:07:36.840 --> 0:07:39.880
<v Speaker 1>but there was a fair amount of naysayers willing to

0:07:39.920 --> 0:07:42.880
<v Speaker 1>speak up against his likely stewardship of the things like

0:07:42.920 --> 0:07:45.640
<v Speaker 1>the economy, in the stock market, and certainly in the

0:07:45.680 --> 0:07:49.400
<v Speaker 1>stock market, nothing could have played out anymore against the naysayers.

0:07:50.000 --> 0:07:51.680
<v Speaker 1>And to me, I look at something like that and

0:07:51.720 --> 0:07:53.920
<v Speaker 1>I say, there's any of this is Is this just

0:07:54.440 --> 0:07:57.800
<v Speaker 1>an imagined correlation that we should you know, to some

0:07:57.840 --> 0:07:59.880
<v Speaker 1>degree stop talk. But I wonder what our guests thinks

0:07:59.880 --> 0:08:03.400
<v Speaker 1>of how much of his investment philosophies premised on anything

0:08:03.400 --> 0:08:05.560
<v Speaker 1>having to do with the government. Yeah, so Jamie, let's

0:08:05.600 --> 0:08:07.920
<v Speaker 1>pose that question to you. Then our markets and politics

0:08:07.960 --> 0:08:11.160
<v Speaker 1>actually tied at the hip, and should they be. I

0:08:11.200 --> 0:08:13.400
<v Speaker 1>think they've been that way for the last four years.

0:08:13.400 --> 0:08:15.400
<v Speaker 1>But I don't think there will be as much in

0:08:15.440 --> 0:08:17.440
<v Speaker 1>the next four years. I mean, clearly we had a

0:08:17.520 --> 0:08:21.200
<v Speaker 1>very polarizing figure in the White House, which certainly I

0:08:21.200 --> 0:08:23.880
<v Speaker 1>think brought a lot more attention to that post than

0:08:24.240 --> 0:08:27.200
<v Speaker 1>other than I Otherwise we would have had um But

0:08:27.560 --> 0:08:28.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think it kind of is going to

0:08:28.800 --> 0:08:30.960
<v Speaker 1>go back a little bit more to you know, more

0:08:31.040 --> 0:08:33.160
<v Speaker 1>like how it was when Obama with an office, and

0:08:33.160 --> 0:08:36.120
<v Speaker 1>when not every day had an event with a controversial

0:08:36.160 --> 0:08:39.120
<v Speaker 1>tweet or something that was controversial that the market needed

0:08:39.200 --> 0:08:41.800
<v Speaker 1>to figure out. You know, there are a few issues

0:08:41.840 --> 0:08:44.120
<v Speaker 1>that will have to think about, you know, come early

0:08:44.200 --> 0:08:48.160
<v Speaker 1>next year, when most likely Biden has inaugurated. But um,

0:08:48.400 --> 0:08:50.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, I just don't think it's going to be

0:08:50.960 --> 0:08:53.840
<v Speaker 1>quite as much of a focus going forward as it

0:08:53.840 --> 0:08:56.960
<v Speaker 1>has been in the past. And quite honestly, just to

0:08:57.000 --> 0:09:00.720
<v Speaker 1>mention one thing, in terms of how we manage money, UM,

0:09:00.760 --> 0:09:02.840
<v Speaker 1>it has very little to do, quite honest with who's

0:09:02.880 --> 0:09:05.040
<v Speaker 1>in the White House. Um. You know, we had a

0:09:05.080 --> 0:09:06.960
<v Speaker 1>few names here and there that would have probably done

0:09:07.000 --> 0:09:10.040
<v Speaker 1>better if the election had turned out different. But the

0:09:10.080 --> 0:09:13.520
<v Speaker 1>way we invest, um, you know, with our process, it

0:09:13.600 --> 0:09:16.120
<v Speaker 1>really kind of depends on what are the underlying long

0:09:16.200 --> 0:09:19.720
<v Speaker 1>term trends that we see that are really impacting the

0:09:19.760 --> 0:09:22.520
<v Speaker 1>companies that we invest. Uh, and that's going to change,

0:09:22.520 --> 0:09:24.920
<v Speaker 1>not going to change regardless of who's in the White

0:09:24.920 --> 0:09:27.720
<v Speaker 1>House or how much controversy there is in politics going

0:09:27.720 --> 0:09:29.880
<v Speaker 1>on at the time. Jam's gonna say, I don't get

0:09:29.920 --> 0:09:34.400
<v Speaker 1>the impression that you really thought about positioning for for

0:09:34.440 --> 0:09:37.120
<v Speaker 1>this election too much at all. You seem to look

0:09:37.160 --> 0:09:42.400
<v Speaker 1>for companies that have sort of a longer secular story, Uh,

0:09:42.640 --> 0:09:44.440
<v Speaker 1>that is you know, I don't know if that was

0:09:44.480 --> 0:09:46.760
<v Speaker 1>on purpose or it just so happens that the companies

0:09:46.800 --> 0:09:49.320
<v Speaker 1>you're looking at are a little bit insulated from sort

0:09:49.320 --> 0:09:52.079
<v Speaker 1>of the whims of the market. But walk us through

0:09:52.400 --> 0:09:55.640
<v Speaker 1>how you do go about picking stocks, because I feel

0:09:55.640 --> 0:09:59.200
<v Speaker 1>like this the small cap universe is so large that

0:09:59.240 --> 0:10:02.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm always reus how managers like you start narrowing it down.

0:10:02.559 --> 0:10:04.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, does it start with some sort of stock

0:10:04.600 --> 0:10:09.160
<v Speaker 1>screen for evaluation or growth metrics, or is it more

0:10:09.640 --> 0:10:13.840
<v Speaker 1>sector specific targets. Walk us through sort of how you'll

0:10:13.840 --> 0:10:16.040
<v Speaker 1>pick your next stop. What will be some of the

0:10:16.040 --> 0:10:18.800
<v Speaker 1>criteria you're you're out on the look for. Yeah, sure,

0:10:18.880 --> 0:10:21.400
<v Speaker 1>let me start with our process, Mike, so um, you know,

0:10:21.440 --> 0:10:24.480
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty unique, but I think pretty intuitive. We really

0:10:24.520 --> 0:10:27.760
<v Speaker 1>start with kind of looking at We've identified twenty six

0:10:27.840 --> 0:10:29.960
<v Speaker 1>long term trends that we think are going to underlie

0:10:30.000 --> 0:10:32.760
<v Speaker 1>the secular growth opportunities that we'd like to invest in.

0:10:33.200 --> 0:10:37.679
<v Speaker 1>So these are things like corporate outsourcing, increasing demand for communications, bandwidth,

0:10:37.760 --> 0:10:40.400
<v Speaker 1>e commerce, stuff like that. And generally these are long

0:10:40.520 --> 0:10:42.880
<v Speaker 1>term trends, they don't tend to change much. We usually

0:10:42.920 --> 0:10:44.840
<v Speaker 1>think about them being here for at least three to

0:10:44.880 --> 0:10:47.400
<v Speaker 1>five years before they can kind of be considered a

0:10:47.440 --> 0:10:50.160
<v Speaker 1>trend for us. UM. It really keeps us out of

0:10:50.200 --> 0:10:53.440
<v Speaker 1>really deep cyclical companies and UM really we think it's

0:10:53.480 --> 0:10:55.120
<v Speaker 1>going to give us a good positive tail when for

0:10:55.160 --> 0:10:57.520
<v Speaker 1>the companies that we invest in, then we have a

0:10:57.520 --> 0:10:59.680
<v Speaker 1>bottoms up effort where we go and we look to

0:10:59.720 --> 0:11:02.760
<v Speaker 1>idea to find what we call premier companies UM. These

0:11:02.760 --> 0:11:06.400
<v Speaker 1>are ones that have solid revenue growth. We like companies

0:11:06.400 --> 0:11:09.240
<v Speaker 1>with high recurring revenues that don't have to resell their

0:11:09.360 --> 0:11:11.640
<v Speaker 1>entire book of business every quarter to make their numbers.

0:11:12.120 --> 0:11:14.560
<v Speaker 1>And we like proven management teams that we know we're

0:11:14.600 --> 0:11:17.720
<v Speaker 1>gonna under promise and over deliver relative to the targets

0:11:17.720 --> 0:11:20.080
<v Speaker 1>they set out for the street, companies with high margins

0:11:20.800 --> 0:11:24.640
<v Speaker 1>UM and that are hopefully increasing scalable business models UH,

0:11:24.640 --> 0:11:27.080
<v Speaker 1>and ones that really have kind of a sustainable competitive

0:11:27.080 --> 0:11:30.280
<v Speaker 1>advantage versus their peers. So a lot of our ideas

0:11:30.320 --> 0:11:32.559
<v Speaker 1>really kind of come out of what we shake out

0:11:32.600 --> 0:11:36.080
<v Speaker 1>from those twenty six trends. You know, in addition to that,

0:11:36.160 --> 0:11:38.600
<v Speaker 1>we have a lot of experience. We average about twenty

0:11:38.679 --> 0:11:41.160
<v Speaker 1>nine years among the three of us that manage this product,

0:11:41.960 --> 0:11:45.360
<v Speaker 1>and so you know, knowing those companies that since we've

0:11:45.360 --> 0:11:47.040
<v Speaker 1>done this for a long time, we know the companies

0:11:47.040 --> 0:11:48.959
<v Speaker 1>that are kind of stuck in small cap and are

0:11:48.960 --> 0:11:52.320
<v Speaker 1>not likely to ever get out of small cap. We

0:11:52.400 --> 0:11:55.800
<v Speaker 1>know those companies. And since we follow you know, particular industries,

0:11:55.880 --> 0:11:59.040
<v Speaker 1>we know there's when there's a cyclical change in the

0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:02.600
<v Speaker 1>space that we cover, or maybe some one that's gaining

0:12:02.640 --> 0:12:04.240
<v Speaker 1>market share within that that we need to kind of

0:12:04.240 --> 0:12:07.000
<v Speaker 1>take a look at a closer level. But that's really

0:12:07.040 --> 0:12:10.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of how our ideas really shake out. In addition

0:12:10.520 --> 0:12:12.840
<v Speaker 1>to you know, of course corporate management teams going on

0:12:12.920 --> 0:12:15.079
<v Speaker 1>the road doing zoom calls, he says, instead of in

0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:17.960
<v Speaker 1>office meetings. We look at the I p O market

0:12:18.000 --> 0:12:21.000
<v Speaker 1>as well. So um, really our ideas came from a

0:12:21.000 --> 0:12:38.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of different places. So before I get into some

0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:41.960
<v Speaker 1>of those specific picks, Jamie, I want to talk about

0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:44.880
<v Speaker 1>secular growth on a broad level. This week, the narrative

0:12:44.920 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 1>has been all of a sudden that we might not

0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:50.000
<v Speaker 1>get the blue wave that was expected. We've seen bond

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:52.640
<v Speaker 1>yields come down, and all of a sudden, secular growth

0:12:52.679 --> 0:12:55.440
<v Speaker 1>has really come back and vogue across the markets. I mean,

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:58.400
<v Speaker 1>by Thursday, the NAZAC was up more than nine percent.

0:12:58.520 --> 0:13:01.480
<v Speaker 1>It was pretty unbelievable. Is is there any way to

0:13:01.640 --> 0:13:04.840
<v Speaker 1>actually explain this that, after the run that the NAZAC

0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:07.160
<v Speaker 1>has already had, this here, all of a sudden the

0:13:07.240 --> 0:13:10.440
<v Speaker 1>market gets an outcome that wasn't necessarily expected and you

0:13:10.480 --> 0:13:13.920
<v Speaker 1>get a nine percent boost in less than a week. Yeah,

0:13:14.000 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 1>not really no, But um I would say, as we've

0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:20.839
<v Speaker 1>discussed a lot ourselves, I mean, the thing with the

0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 1>nastack goes up has become this sort of kind of

0:13:26.240 --> 0:13:30.240
<v Speaker 1>funereal like I believe we were using the word buzzard

0:13:30.320 --> 0:13:33.199
<v Speaker 1>like kind of symbol over the market at this point.

0:13:33.240 --> 0:13:35.719
<v Speaker 1>It is not. I guess on one level, there is

0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:39.680
<v Speaker 1>a cycle, there's a growth stock kind of optimism involved

0:13:39.720 --> 0:13:44.800
<v Speaker 1>in that. But another just as uh watertight interpretation of

0:13:44.800 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 1>what's going on there is that it's people expressing a

0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:52.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of defensive pessimism about the economy and COVID. Why

0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:55.360
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't you express such a thing right now? And you

0:13:55.360 --> 0:13:58.960
<v Speaker 1>know you've got these basically bulletproof, as you have reported

0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:03.120
<v Speaker 1>on before, almost in assailable intangible assets that do nothing

0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:05.880
<v Speaker 1>but to throw off money, and you know you're safe,

0:14:05.920 --> 0:14:09.080
<v Speaker 1>like like you would buy toothpaste stocks or whatever in

0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:12.679
<v Speaker 1>the seventies. Now you buy basically all of the instruments

0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:15.959
<v Speaker 1>that we're now talking over. I mean there's some Google,

0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:20.760
<v Speaker 1>there's some uh Apple, there's probably some Facebook involved in

0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:22.360
<v Speaker 1>what we're doing right now. You can't avoid any of

0:14:22.360 --> 0:14:24.720
<v Speaker 1>this stuff. So people are buying that stuff like crazy

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:27.600
<v Speaker 1>just because they need similar to part money. And God knows,

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:30.600
<v Speaker 1>it's gone done nothing but gone up basically since forever,

0:14:30.680 --> 0:14:33.520
<v Speaker 1>as far as the last five years are concerned. So

0:14:33.640 --> 0:14:35.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure that there's some kind of signal about

0:14:35.720 --> 0:14:38.400
<v Speaker 1>the economy or good tidings or good time. There may

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:40.760
<v Speaker 1>very well be the opposite in that, and that, you know,

0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:45.040
<v Speaker 1>I guess for lack of in the absence of better evidence,

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:47.680
<v Speaker 1>is what's happening again right now. People are just doing

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:50.360
<v Speaker 1>what they've learned to do in a Pavlovian way. I

0:14:50.360 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 1>guess the fear comes in when you have such a

0:14:52.800 --> 0:14:55.640
<v Speaker 1>concentration in such a few names. I mean, what is

0:14:55.680 --> 0:15:02.080
<v Speaker 1>the top four weights in the SMP are inde right now. So, Jamie,

0:15:02.120 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering from your perspective, when you're assembling of fund

0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:09.080
<v Speaker 1>like yours, do you worry about sort of um, Obviously

0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:11.960
<v Speaker 1>you're not going to have a concentration of individual names

0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 1>that high, I would assume, But do you worry about, say,

0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:18.480
<v Speaker 1>a concentration in specific sectors. You know, I'm looking at

0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:21.760
<v Speaker 1>the small cap fund a lot of biotech, healthcare, pretty

0:15:21.800 --> 0:15:25.480
<v Speaker 1>heavy waiting there. Do you at least mentally or actually

0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:29.320
<v Speaker 1>have written down somewhere any type of limit on on

0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 1>the waitings of sectors or is it just flow from

0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 1>your process and you don't you're kind of agnostic to

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:38.800
<v Speaker 1>to what sectors you're you're loaded into. Yeah, we do

0:15:38.880 --> 0:15:42.800
<v Speaker 1>have some limits on industry waitings about they're so high

0:15:42.880 --> 0:15:45.200
<v Speaker 1>that quite honestly, I don't think I would ever get

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:48.560
<v Speaker 1>close to kind of what stated saying our perspectives, but

0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:51.880
<v Speaker 1>certainly we have to think about that. Um. You know,

0:15:51.960 --> 0:15:55.000
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned biotech. It is a very very large part

0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:57.240
<v Speaker 1>of the rest of the two thousand growth index. And

0:15:57.320 --> 0:16:00.240
<v Speaker 1>quite honestly, these are companies that aren't aren't really kind

0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 1>of what we spend a lot of times doing. They're

0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 1>heavily reliant on the capital markets to fund their future growth.

0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:08.360
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of binary risk that comes with you know,

0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:12.720
<v Speaker 1>clinical stage assets, whether they're able to hit endpoints and

0:16:12.800 --> 0:16:14.600
<v Speaker 1>stocks her up a ton, and if you miss it's

0:16:14.680 --> 0:16:18.520
<v Speaker 1>lick out below. So, um, you know, we we try

0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:21.600
<v Speaker 1>to find areas. So in healthcare it's things like you know,

0:16:21.680 --> 0:16:25.000
<v Speaker 1>diagnostics or you know, some tools companies that we can

0:16:25.760 --> 0:16:29.040
<v Speaker 1>get exposure to healthcare with businesses that we can actually

0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:32.240
<v Speaker 1>feel good about owning. Um. But certainly, yeah, we kind

0:16:32.240 --> 0:16:34.800
<v Speaker 1>of keep an eye on what's in the benchmark. We

0:16:34.880 --> 0:16:38.440
<v Speaker 1>don't run our portfolio relative to what's in the bench

0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:41.600
<v Speaker 1>market really comes more from the bottoms up ideas that

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 1>we're finding. But um, yeah, like you said, we we

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:47.880
<v Speaker 1>don't have a huge concentration within any particular name, and

0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:51.440
<v Speaker 1>we don't like to have huge overweights or underweights, um,

0:16:51.640 --> 0:16:54.120
<v Speaker 1>relative to each individual sector that we will make a

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:56.800
<v Speaker 1>little bit of sector bets here and there. I'm looking

0:16:56.800 --> 0:17:00.040
<v Speaker 1>at your performance right now, so here to day, a

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 1>ninety nine percentile one year, ninety percentile goes on three year,

0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:08.199
<v Speaker 1>five year. I'm curious this year though obviously it's been

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:11.719
<v Speaker 1>a pretty dynamic year in the midst of a pandemic

0:17:12.119 --> 0:17:14.359
<v Speaker 1>the election, even though you might not factor that into

0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:17.240
<v Speaker 1>your process too much. I wonder if there's anything this

0:17:17.320 --> 0:17:19.600
<v Speaker 1>year that's really changed your outlook and how do you

0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:23.400
<v Speaker 1>change any holdings or boost holdings within the portfolio. Yeah,

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:26.159
<v Speaker 1>we did do a few things, um, you know around

0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:28.800
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic obviously made it a little bit different from

0:17:28.880 --> 0:17:32.320
<v Speaker 1>kind of a normal year year like you talked about overall,

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:34.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, our process doesn't change again like I spoke up,

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:37.919
<v Speaker 1>but certainly when you see a you know, pandemic, and

0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:41.640
<v Speaker 1>it's definitely an effect. How uh it affects the consumers.

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:43.280
<v Speaker 1>So we had a lot of names that kind of

0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:46.240
<v Speaker 1>had rallied in to say January names have done you

0:17:46.320 --> 0:17:48.479
<v Speaker 1>know quite well that we kind of said, all right,

0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:51.240
<v Speaker 1>consumer can be pretty weak here, so we cut back

0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:54.399
<v Speaker 1>quite a bit on those consumer names. And then of

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:57.600
<v Speaker 1>course when um, you know, the pandemic hit, you really

0:17:57.640 --> 0:17:59.320
<v Speaker 1>got to take a look and see, you know, what's

0:17:59.359 --> 0:18:01.919
<v Speaker 1>the truth stickle cality of some of these businesses. You know,

0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:05.199
<v Speaker 1>how recurring are their revenues, you know, is what's their

0:18:05.200 --> 0:18:09.120
<v Speaker 1>opportunity to be like once things start to recover. Um,

0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:11.439
<v Speaker 1>So we did make some changes on what you know,

0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:14.119
<v Speaker 1>we sold in consumer, but a few things here that

0:18:14.160 --> 0:18:17.280
<v Speaker 1>we thought would actually kind of be beneficiaries. Certainly that's

0:18:17.280 --> 0:18:20.600
<v Speaker 1>our trends go. There's some trends that actually accelerated through this.

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:23.360
<v Speaker 1>You know, I mentioned kind of e commerce and increasing

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 1>demand for communications bandwidth. Um, you know, we we like

0:18:26.960 --> 0:18:29.199
<v Speaker 1>to take advantage of some of those areas that you know,

0:18:29.240 --> 0:18:32.600
<v Speaker 1>we had some socks that still got whacked despite you know,

0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:35.080
<v Speaker 1>the fundamental is actually probably improving. So we kind of

0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:39.280
<v Speaker 1>adjusted our portfolio accordingly. And so you know, that's part

0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:41.120
<v Speaker 1>of the reason basically why I turnovers up a little

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:42.840
<v Speaker 1>bit higher than kind of on the normal years. We

0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:46.320
<v Speaker 1>did try to take advantage of of some of those opportunities.

0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 1>One thing I love about looking under the hood of

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:51.919
<v Speaker 1>small cap funds is a lot of names that aren't

0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:54.520
<v Speaker 1>exactly household names. You know, you think about how the

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:57.960
<v Speaker 1>like I was saying, the markets dominated in the large

0:18:57.960 --> 0:19:01.160
<v Speaker 1>cap area by such a small number of name small caps.

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:03.480
<v Speaker 1>It's always intriguing to me. Sorry, I feel like we

0:19:03.480 --> 0:19:06.640
<v Speaker 1>should list the some sicker symbols uh in Jamie's funds

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 1>and see if NJ can can identify the stocks. I

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:11.320
<v Speaker 1>like it. It's a game other than prices, right, and

0:19:11.359 --> 0:19:18.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm not the target of it. Okay, yeah, okay, Chris,

0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:20.919
<v Speaker 1>all right, I'll start with an easy one because this

0:19:20.960 --> 0:19:26.040
<v Speaker 1>is what I actually recognized. Ticker symbol love Southwest. No, No,

0:19:26.200 --> 0:19:29.399
<v Speaker 1>that's all you, Madel. This is l O V like

0:19:29.480 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 1>the old Al Green song. H. I don't know, yeah

0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:35.679
<v Speaker 1>I did, I would. I didn't know the symbol, but

0:19:35.720 --> 0:19:39.600
<v Speaker 1>it's love sack, which is those bits bank chairs. Right.

0:19:39.600 --> 0:19:41.640
<v Speaker 1>What do you like about love sack, Jamie? What got

0:19:41.680 --> 0:19:44.400
<v Speaker 1>you into that that name? Yeah? So what initially got

0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:46.800
<v Speaker 1>us into it is the stock and they had great

0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:49.440
<v Speaker 1>products um and the stock actually kind of gotten beaten

0:19:49.520 --> 0:19:51.680
<v Speaker 1>up because of China terrorists as they sourced all out

0:19:51.720 --> 0:19:55.119
<v Speaker 1>of their goods out of China. But you know, we

0:19:55.160 --> 0:19:57.000
<v Speaker 1>actually kind of took a test drive, went over to

0:19:57.040 --> 0:19:59.800
<v Speaker 1>the store, like to the products, found them really compelling.

0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:02.480
<v Speaker 1>A Like you said, they have basically a modern version

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:05.240
<v Speaker 1>of a bean bag, and they've been getting into sectionals

0:20:05.240 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 1>which they call sactionals, and they have a lot of

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>innovation around kind of new product there that we got

0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:13.320
<v Speaker 1>excited about. And Stock was, you know, we thought very

0:20:13.400 --> 0:20:16.400
<v Speaker 1>very much undervalued. One of the things that they did

0:20:16.480 --> 0:20:20.840
<v Speaker 1>exceptionally well during the during the pandemic time was you know,

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:24.800
<v Speaker 1>they had about nineties showrooms that they had, Uh clearly

0:20:24.840 --> 0:20:27.720
<v Speaker 1>a lot of those got closed, so they they furloughed

0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:30.560
<v Speaker 1>some employees but actually got some and kind of got

0:20:30.600 --> 0:20:33.880
<v Speaker 1>them online and readjusted their marketing campaign to more digital,

0:20:34.560 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 1>and sales actually kind of took off from there. So

0:20:37.640 --> 0:20:39.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's a product that can be delivered to

0:20:40.000 --> 0:20:43.119
<v Speaker 1>the home through FedEx, and it's it's one that you

0:20:43.119 --> 0:20:45.760
<v Speaker 1>know for a you know, kind of smaller cap uh

0:20:45.960 --> 0:20:48.920
<v Speaker 1>team that manages it. They've done an acceptable job and

0:20:49.000 --> 0:20:51.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of pivoting this period through the through the pandemic,

0:20:51.840 --> 0:21:10.359
<v Speaker 1>and I've done quite well, Sarah. I've got one of

0:21:10.359 --> 0:21:12.679
<v Speaker 1>them right in my basement here where I'm recording this

0:21:12.680 --> 0:21:19.040
<v Speaker 1>podcast from. So there. Yeah, that's that's uh, that's why right, Well,

0:21:19.280 --> 0:21:21.080
<v Speaker 1>here's here's what. I'm not gonna put an ad on

0:21:21.080 --> 0:21:23.199
<v Speaker 1>the spot again, because, like I said, you're en evaluation

0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:26.600
<v Speaker 1>time is coming up. I'll put you up. I'll put

0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:32.240
<v Speaker 1>you on the spot, Sarah band I am cheating because

0:21:32.480 --> 0:21:35.240
<v Speaker 1>I have J's portfolio lists up in front of me,

0:21:35.320 --> 0:21:38.960
<v Speaker 1>So I'm gonna go ahead and say Bandwidth, this is

0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 1>a two and alp pcent waiting in his portfolio and

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:47.800
<v Speaker 1>basically software based communications for customers. Jamie, talk us through

0:21:47.880 --> 0:21:50.639
<v Speaker 1>that one. What's uh, this seems to be kind of

0:21:50.760 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>a theme in your picks series. Um, you know soft

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:59.000
<v Speaker 1>sort of next generation soft communication software. Is that is

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:03.880
<v Speaker 1>that fair? Yeah? That is extremely fair. Again, software, it's

0:22:03.920 --> 0:22:05.359
<v Speaker 1>kind of tough right now because a lot of the

0:22:05.440 --> 0:22:08.280
<v Speaker 1>high growth names have some really high valuations. But uh,

0:22:08.680 --> 0:22:11.199
<v Speaker 1>this is one I think still on evaluation basis, you

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:13.800
<v Speaker 1>can make a really good case for So they actually

0:22:13.880 --> 0:22:16.560
<v Speaker 1>have really good software expertise and they carry a lot

0:22:16.640 --> 0:22:20.560
<v Speaker 1>of traffic for the next gen cutting unified communications companies.

0:22:20.600 --> 0:22:22.560
<v Speaker 1>If you've ever heard of ring Central or eight by

0:22:22.600 --> 0:22:27.240
<v Speaker 1>eight or Microsoft Skype for business, even companies like Zoom.

0:22:27.320 --> 0:22:31.000
<v Speaker 1>If you dial into a Zoom call instead of going

0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:33.399
<v Speaker 1>over the internet but actually dialing us your in your phone,

0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:36.919
<v Speaker 1>you're on Zoom's network. So all of their customers are

0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:41.280
<v Speaker 1>big share gainers. They've seen really nice accelerating growth. It's

0:22:41.320 --> 0:22:46.040
<v Speaker 1>again really highly recurring revenue. They've actually been getting into larger,

0:22:46.080 --> 0:22:49.959
<v Speaker 1>more strategic accounts, and they've actually been expanding internationally. They

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:52.359
<v Speaker 1>did it starting organically a couple of years ago, but

0:22:52.560 --> 0:22:56.200
<v Speaker 1>recently made an acquisition of a coming called Voxbone out

0:22:56.240 --> 0:23:00.399
<v Speaker 1>of Belgium. Uh, that's really going to accelerate their growth

0:23:00.960 --> 0:23:05.399
<v Speaker 1>into Europe overall. That was highly creative as well. You know,

0:23:05.520 --> 0:23:08.280
<v Speaker 1>the margins there. They've kind of been investing for the

0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 1>last couple of years in sales, but they're actually starting

0:23:10.560 --> 0:23:13.439
<v Speaker 1>to show some good margin expansion. So and again, like

0:23:13.480 --> 0:23:16.920
<v Speaker 1>imaged evaluation, it's just over kind of eight times next

0:23:17.000 --> 0:23:19.960
<v Speaker 1>year's sales. If you look at the sas comp group,

0:23:20.000 --> 0:23:22.440
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of probably twice that much. So it's one

0:23:22.440 --> 0:23:24.919
<v Speaker 1>that I think, although it's done quite well, it's got

0:23:24.920 --> 0:23:27.880
<v Speaker 1>a lot more to go from evaluation standpoint. Al Right,

0:23:27.920 --> 0:23:29.880
<v Speaker 1>I feel like that that kind of thing is vastly

0:23:29.920 --> 0:23:32.680
<v Speaker 1>more relevant, big surprise than who's in the White House.

0:23:32.720 --> 0:23:35.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean, again, not that this stuff is in any

0:23:35.240 --> 0:23:39.560
<v Speaker 1>way reliable as a specific timing tools. We are learning

0:23:39.640 --> 0:23:42.160
<v Speaker 1>this week in a way. I mean, we had last week,

0:23:42.160 --> 0:23:44.439
<v Speaker 1>we had this gigantic sell off that everyone putting us

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:47.600
<v Speaker 1>sort of wrote off to valuations and people are you know,

0:23:47.720 --> 0:23:52.440
<v Speaker 1>COVID was alienating people from finally from the big fang structure.

0:23:53.200 --> 0:23:55.399
<v Speaker 1>And now those stocks are up whatever you said, or

0:23:55.400 --> 0:23:58.000
<v Speaker 1>we're ten percent ten percent in three days, So that

0:23:58.160 --> 0:24:02.440
<v Speaker 1>that bit of valuation stem didn't quite work out this time, Jim.

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:04.760
<v Speaker 1>Yet you know that Chris brings up a great point

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:08.680
<v Speaker 1>about valuations I always wonder how a small cap manager

0:24:08.840 --> 0:24:13.160
<v Speaker 1>approaches valuations. Obviously, if you're looking at forward estimates UM

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:17.600
<v Speaker 1>for small cap companies not necessarily always a robust analysts

0:24:17.640 --> 0:24:20.639
<v Speaker 1>coverage for some of the smaller names, especially, do you

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:23.439
<v Speaker 1>just sort of do all that work yourself or the

0:24:23.440 --> 0:24:25.560
<v Speaker 1>analysts on your team and you don't rely on the

0:24:25.560 --> 0:24:28.800
<v Speaker 1>cell side for their estimates. How do you sort of approach, uh,

0:24:29.240 --> 0:24:32.440
<v Speaker 1>figure out valuations on on some of the less covered names. Yeah,

0:24:32.480 --> 0:24:35.640
<v Speaker 1>we'll usually take a look at able to go through

0:24:35.640 --> 0:24:39.200
<v Speaker 1>a model and kind of decide where the upside could

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:42.439
<v Speaker 1>be relative to street estimates. Obviously, you want street estimates

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:44.720
<v Speaker 1>lower than where where you think they're gonna come in

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:47.359
<v Speaker 1>because certainly missing estimates can be pretty devastating for these

0:24:47.400 --> 0:24:50.080
<v Speaker 1>small companies. UM. But yeah, you really got to dig

0:24:50.119 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 1>into the model understand um the drivers of of the

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 1>top line and margin expansion UM and really, again I

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:00.320
<v Speaker 1>think it goes back to the inn if since he

0:25:00.400 --> 0:25:02.280
<v Speaker 1>has that class, you know, if you're able to go

0:25:02.320 --> 0:25:03.960
<v Speaker 1>in there and really peel apart where you think a

0:25:04.000 --> 0:25:07.359
<v Speaker 1>company could make UH, and if it's vastly higher than

0:25:07.400 --> 0:25:09.160
<v Speaker 1>where the street is, that's where you can make really

0:25:09.160 --> 0:25:13.160
<v Speaker 1>good money, So those consensus estimates sound like they even

0:25:13.200 --> 0:25:15.040
<v Speaker 1>though they're a little thinner, and then maybe the number

0:25:15.080 --> 0:25:17.320
<v Speaker 1>of estimates you get, they still matter a lot for

0:25:17.480 --> 0:25:21.440
<v Speaker 1>the small caps. Uh. I guess you know, it makes

0:25:21.480 --> 0:25:25.960
<v Speaker 1>me think, you know, the whole passive craze uh in

0:25:26.040 --> 0:25:30.960
<v Speaker 1>buying index funds tracking the SMP is not as popular

0:25:31.040 --> 0:25:33.760
<v Speaker 1>on the small cap level. Is that just a perennial

0:25:33.760 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 1>opportunity for active managers in the small cap space that's

0:25:36.920 --> 0:25:41.320
<v Speaker 1>less efficient, sort of less covered market. Yeah, I think

0:25:41.359 --> 0:25:43.520
<v Speaker 1>it kind of is. You know, I'm still amazed when

0:25:43.520 --> 0:25:46.600
<v Speaker 1>I talk to people who kind of either index or

0:25:46.680 --> 0:25:49.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of smart data their small cap exposure, just because

0:25:49.600 --> 0:25:52.359
<v Speaker 1>it is so inefficient, and you know, as more money

0:25:52.400 --> 0:25:54.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of moves into those, I think it's actually making

0:25:54.440 --> 0:25:58.359
<v Speaker 1>things a bit easier for active managers. Um. You know,

0:25:58.480 --> 0:26:00.960
<v Speaker 1>you you kind of to be careful when you say

0:26:00.960 --> 0:26:04.000
<v Speaker 1>things like that, but you know, we tend to see

0:26:04.000 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 1>things that just they either get to valuations that are

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:08.760
<v Speaker 1>just too high because you know that, you know, people

0:26:08.800 --> 0:26:11.399
<v Speaker 1>who have multi factor models that they're you know, just

0:26:11.400 --> 0:26:14.040
<v Speaker 1>continuing to drive them higher higher, and you know you've

0:26:14.040 --> 0:26:16.560
<v Speaker 1>got nothing but downside. I mean it really I think

0:26:16.600 --> 0:26:19.320
<v Speaker 1>brings out a lot more opportunities and that's great for

0:26:19.359 --> 0:26:22.280
<v Speaker 1>active managers and small gap So one lest question for you,

0:26:22.359 --> 0:26:25.280
<v Speaker 1>Jamie before we get to our crazy things. Mike mentioned

0:26:25.359 --> 0:26:28.520
<v Speaker 1>love Sack and Bandwidth, and your other top holdings are

0:26:28.560 --> 0:26:31.000
<v Speaker 1>all in the healthcare space, in the Tera Lovengo health

0:26:31.080 --> 0:26:34.320
<v Speaker 1>care d X. Can't that be a really tricky space

0:26:34.359 --> 0:26:36.239
<v Speaker 1>and you have some really high flyers, you also have

0:26:36.320 --> 0:26:39.159
<v Speaker 1>ones that don't do so well. So how do you

0:26:39.200 --> 0:26:41.520
<v Speaker 1>go about actually sifting through the space and trying to

0:26:41.560 --> 0:26:43.680
<v Speaker 1>find ones that you don't think are going to fall

0:26:43.720 --> 0:26:46.919
<v Speaker 1>on the wrong side of the equation? Yeah, like I

0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:49.440
<v Speaker 1>mentioned earlier, it's kind of tough that, you know, biotech,

0:26:49.640 --> 0:26:51.960
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty large the index, and that's really an area

0:26:52.000 --> 0:26:54.399
<v Speaker 1>that we kind of don't like, the binary risk and

0:26:54.440 --> 0:26:56.760
<v Speaker 1>the reliance on the capital markets. So we've done a

0:26:56.760 --> 0:26:59.600
<v Speaker 1>few things. We we get pretty active and say the

0:26:59.640 --> 0:27:03.199
<v Speaker 1>tools space and even the healthcare diagnostic space, and that's

0:27:03.280 --> 0:27:04.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of a one area that we actually like a

0:27:04.800 --> 0:27:09.280
<v Speaker 1>lot right now is especially genomic diagnostics. Um, you know,

0:27:09.320 --> 0:27:11.439
<v Speaker 1>if you think about it, we've sequenced the human genome

0:27:11.440 --> 0:27:14.040
<v Speaker 1>about twenty years ago at a cost of hundreds of

0:27:14.080 --> 0:27:16.720
<v Speaker 1>millions of dollars with now that same sequence costs underd

0:27:16.720 --> 0:27:19.960
<v Speaker 1>a thousand dollars. And so we're able to incorporate that

0:27:20.880 --> 0:27:24.000
<v Speaker 1>data into screening tools and diagnostic tools with a lot

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:28.040
<v Speaker 1>better accuracy, a lot less invasively, UM, and we can

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:30.080
<v Speaker 1>test for a lot new things of new things. So

0:27:30.280 --> 0:27:35.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, oregon transplant rejection, identifying cancers or in genetic

0:27:35.119 --> 0:27:40.159
<v Speaker 1>mutations or monitoring for cancer relapses. UM. There's a huge

0:27:40.200 --> 0:27:42.840
<v Speaker 1>market that's opened up because of this, and so you know,

0:27:42.880 --> 0:27:44.680
<v Speaker 1>we try to find companies that we think are gonna

0:27:44.680 --> 0:27:46.560
<v Speaker 1>be able to take advantage of that, Like those names

0:27:46.560 --> 0:27:49.119
<v Speaker 1>that you talked about, Nitaria, care to X, those are

0:27:49.119 --> 0:27:52.719
<v Speaker 1>good examples, sir. I feel like I hear your puppy

0:27:52.800 --> 0:27:55.880
<v Speaker 1>Marley in the background there, wondering if you can hear.

0:27:55.920 --> 0:27:59.119
<v Speaker 1>I feel really bad. She's really upset right now. I

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:02.040
<v Speaker 1>think she's demanding some crazy things. He is demanding some

0:28:02.119 --> 0:28:05.280
<v Speaker 1>crazy things. She's demanding me to come get her. She's

0:28:05.320 --> 0:28:10.639
<v Speaker 1>demanding stand clear of the craziest things we saw in

0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:14.880
<v Speaker 1>markets this week. Anyway, you know what, I'd never start

0:28:14.960 --> 0:28:17.080
<v Speaker 1>with the crazy things. I'm gonna start with the crazy

0:28:17.160 --> 0:28:20.040
<v Speaker 1>things just because mine is kind of obvious. And it's

0:28:20.760 --> 0:28:23.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, we woke up Wednesday morning. We have no

0:28:23.359 --> 0:28:25.440
<v Speaker 1>idea who the president is. We have no idea who's

0:28:25.440 --> 0:28:27.920
<v Speaker 1>going to control the Senate. We do know this sort

0:28:27.960 --> 0:28:32.600
<v Speaker 1>of nightmare scenario of Trump Trump not necessarily going quietly

0:28:32.600 --> 0:28:35.960
<v Speaker 1>into the good night is unfolding before our eyes. And

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:40.880
<v Speaker 1>yet we see this the most incredible stock market rally, uh,

0:28:41.240 --> 0:28:44.560
<v Speaker 1>we've seen in a while, especially post election today. You know,

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:46.560
<v Speaker 1>talk to my book a little bit here, but I

0:28:47.120 --> 0:28:50.040
<v Speaker 1>had a story out suggesting that a a Biden win

0:28:50.120 --> 0:28:53.840
<v Speaker 1>without a blue wave uh taken over Congress would not

0:28:53.880 --> 0:28:56.800
<v Speaker 1>exactly be friendly to the market. And I will piggyback

0:28:56.840 --> 0:28:58.560
<v Speaker 1>off of you because my crazy thing was also a

0:28:58.600 --> 0:29:02.240
<v Speaker 1>bit obvious, just the fact, uh, Tuesday evening, as the

0:29:02.240 --> 0:29:04.880
<v Speaker 1>results are coming in, and we knew that Sam had

0:29:04.960 --> 0:29:08.720
<v Speaker 1>had changed the limit rules and they had announced this

0:29:09.240 --> 0:29:12.840
<v Speaker 1>dynamic circuit breaker essentially if one of the index futures

0:29:13.240 --> 0:29:16.560
<v Speaker 1>rise or falls three and a half percent within sixty minutes,

0:29:16.960 --> 0:29:19.560
<v Speaker 1>And it happened, and we got a all of two

0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:22.440
<v Speaker 1>minutes trading hall. You know, by the time by the

0:29:22.480 --> 0:29:27.320
<v Speaker 1>time we got a story out, it was over pretty

0:29:27.360 --> 0:29:29.360
<v Speaker 1>good stuff. Chris, you got anything crazier than that for

0:29:29.400 --> 0:29:31.719
<v Speaker 1>the week. I mean I would just say Mike building

0:29:31.720 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 1>on yours and building on seris to a degree big

0:29:33.800 --> 0:29:38.480
<v Speaker 1>rally on Wednesday, But they equalated SMP was flat, which

0:29:38.480 --> 0:29:40.800
<v Speaker 1>is amazing. The regular weight it was up two and

0:29:40.840 --> 0:29:43.680
<v Speaker 1>a half percent or whatever, The natstack was up it's

0:29:43.720 --> 0:29:47.600
<v Speaker 1>traditional eight thousand percent, and the and the equal equal

0:29:47.640 --> 0:29:52.200
<v Speaker 1>weight was flat, meaning meaning that um, everything else in

0:29:52.240 --> 0:29:55.720
<v Speaker 1>the index other than basically tech, basically the thangs didn't

0:29:55.720 --> 0:29:57.080
<v Speaker 1>do anything. I mean a lot of it fell to

0:29:57.240 --> 0:30:00.720
<v Speaker 1>bit JV. You must with you're holding, you must see

0:30:00.760 --> 0:30:04.240
<v Speaker 1>that a lot these sort of massive reactions to some

0:30:04.320 --> 0:30:07.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of press release that most of us cannot understand

0:30:07.640 --> 0:30:12.320
<v Speaker 1>in in the biotech or healthcare industry, that that must

0:30:12.360 --> 0:30:14.840
<v Speaker 1>be a pretty common occurrence for some of those stocks

0:30:14.880 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 1>you hold. I guess actually it is, especially with biotech.

0:30:18.920 --> 0:30:21.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, even on data you may think

0:30:21.720 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 1>is kind of okay, if it's kind of just missed

0:30:23.520 --> 0:30:26.040
<v Speaker 1>a little something, Uh that's sometimes I'll just go and

0:30:26.080 --> 0:30:27.640
<v Speaker 1>punish it. I mean a lot of it is just

0:30:27.680 --> 0:30:29.920
<v Speaker 1>based on kind of you know, what was sentiment going

0:30:29.960 --> 0:30:32.800
<v Speaker 1>into it, and uh, you know, any disappointment. I mean,

0:30:32.840 --> 0:30:35.320
<v Speaker 1>we have one stock today that Uh, you know, we

0:30:35.400 --> 0:30:37.560
<v Speaker 1>like a lot um. I thought it was kinda a

0:30:37.560 --> 0:30:40.440
<v Speaker 1>little bit more of a turnaround. Uh, and they came

0:30:40.480 --> 0:30:43.680
<v Speaker 1>up with good numbers, raised guy stocks. I mean, it's

0:30:43.680 --> 0:30:45.440
<v Speaker 1>about the last that class, and you just gotta be

0:30:45.960 --> 0:30:49.480
<v Speaker 1>put your chin strap on and get going. How about you, Jamie?

0:30:49.480 --> 0:30:51.600
<v Speaker 1>Have you did you see anything crazy this week? You

0:30:51.640 --> 0:30:53.840
<v Speaker 1>know a lot of what you mentioned. I mean there

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:56.320
<v Speaker 1>was just a few things, you know, at last regards

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:58.200
<v Speaker 1>with your election, I was kind of really shocked that

0:30:58.280 --> 0:31:00.400
<v Speaker 1>Republicans ended up picking It looks like it's gonna be

0:31:00.440 --> 0:31:03.640
<v Speaker 1>about six seats in the in the House instead of

0:31:03.680 --> 0:31:07.080
<v Speaker 1>losing five to fifteen, which that if that was a

0:31:07.120 --> 0:31:12.080
<v Speaker 1>big surprise. That was pretty surprising. Yeah, alright, good stuff

0:31:12.120 --> 0:31:14.800
<v Speaker 1>all around, Sarah. I I feel like I neglected the

0:31:14.840 --> 0:31:18.920
<v Speaker 1>alternative asset class this week. Well luckily though we did

0:31:19.000 --> 0:31:22.000
<v Speaker 1>get right in. Uh. People are getting creative on how

0:31:22.000 --> 0:31:24.560
<v Speaker 1>they're reaching out. This one was a Twitter dm um

0:31:24.560 --> 0:31:28.640
<v Speaker 1>from at Quintessential. So it's piggybacking on something that you

0:31:28.720 --> 0:31:33.280
<v Speaker 1>highlighted recently, which is that very expensive asteroid. People love

0:31:33.440 --> 0:31:36.120
<v Speaker 1>this asteroid. But he said, he said, Mike may have

0:31:36.160 --> 0:31:38.120
<v Speaker 1>found this already. He gave you credit, and then he said,

0:31:38.120 --> 0:31:39.880
<v Speaker 1>if not, definitely one of the crazier things I've seen.

0:31:39.920 --> 0:31:43.360
<v Speaker 1>Wonder what type of modeling is used to determine asteroid value?

0:31:43.400 --> 0:31:46.080
<v Speaker 1>And then he sent me a link about the ten

0:31:46.120 --> 0:31:51.520
<v Speaker 1>thousand quadrillion dollar asteroid, which it's not just iron, it's iron, nickel,

0:31:52.080 --> 0:31:58.160
<v Speaker 1>and plenty of other materials as well, where metals like gold, platinum, cobalt, iridium,

0:31:58.160 --> 0:32:01.200
<v Speaker 1>and rhenium to Mike, so add that to the iron.

0:32:01.520 --> 0:32:03.680
<v Speaker 1>Someone's got to figure out a way to wrangle that

0:32:03.800 --> 0:32:06.480
<v Speaker 1>aster I think Elon Musk I think it's gonna bring

0:32:06.520 --> 0:32:08.960
<v Speaker 1>that sucker home. I have no doubt. I think that's

0:32:09.440 --> 0:32:11.360
<v Speaker 1>I've said before. I think that's what's embedded in the

0:32:11.400 --> 0:32:13.800
<v Speaker 1>Tesla's valuation, is that Elon is going to go out there,

0:32:14.320 --> 0:32:16.840
<v Speaker 1>He's gonna he's gonna latch onto that aster all right.

0:32:16.920 --> 0:32:19.080
<v Speaker 1>Unfortunately that we're gonna have to leave it there. Jamie

0:32:19.080 --> 0:32:21.080
<v Speaker 1>Player and Chris n G thanks so much for coming

0:32:21.080 --> 0:32:24.080
<v Speaker 1>on the show this week. Thanks thanks for having me.

0:32:33.480 --> 0:32:36.680
<v Speaker 1>What goes up? We'll be back next week. Until then,

0:32:36.920 --> 0:32:39.520
<v Speaker 1>you can find us on the Bloomberg Terminal website and

0:32:39.560 --> 0:32:43.080
<v Speaker 1>app or wherever you get your podcasts. We'd love it

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:45.080
<v Speaker 1>if you took the time to rate and review the

0:32:45.080 --> 0:32:48.000
<v Speaker 1>show on Apple podcast so more listeners can find us,

0:32:48.400 --> 0:32:50.920
<v Speaker 1>and you can find us on Twitter, follow me at

0:32:51.240 --> 0:32:54.480
<v Speaker 1>at Sara Pantzack, Mike is that pretty anonymous, and you

0:32:54.520 --> 0:32:59.120
<v Speaker 1>can also follow Bloomberg Podcasts at podcasts. Also thank you

0:32:59.160 --> 0:33:01.880
<v Speaker 1>to Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Radio and the voice of the

0:33:01.920 --> 0:33:05.160
<v Speaker 1>New York City Subway System. What Goes Up is produced

0:33:05.160 --> 0:33:09.040
<v Speaker 1>by Jordan Gospore. The head of Bloomberg Podcast is Francesco Levie.

0:33:09.280 --> 0:33:11.000
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening, See you next time.