Speaker 1: Kabooms. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
Speaker 1: week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of
Speaker 1: the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats
Speaker 1: crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the rich
Speaker 1: pill poppers in the penthouse to clearing house of hot takes,
Speaker 1: break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben
Speaker 1: Mallar starts right now in the air everywhere, and welcome
Speaker 1: into the Fifth Hour with Ben Mallor and Danny G Radio.
Speaker 1: And it's unlike all the other Fifth Hours because it's Friday,
Speaker 1: and that means Benny versus the Penny. Week fourteen, he
Speaker 1: we go, welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up? It's
Speaker 1: time now Benny versus the Penny? All right, back at
Speaker 1: it again. Now before we get to the games, Danny G.
Speaker 1: We must, we must look back and see how things
Speaker 1: went last week? How did week thirto? I don't care
Speaker 1: about the penny. It's all about me And I had
Speaker 1: I had said I was due for a stinker l stink, Oh, Danny,
Speaker 1: I had pointed that out. I said, I've been winning
Speaker 1: way too many games. Eventually this is gonna bite me.
Speaker 1: And they took his and the last week, Yeah, that happened.
Speaker 1: I had some bad beats last week, some games that
Speaker 1: were heading my direction that went sideways in week thirteen.
Speaker 1: Uh and as a result of that, and I can
Speaker 1: point out the games the Commanders had attend nothing lead
Speaker 1: over the Giant side Washington, the game ended up in
Speaker 1: a tie. I lost the Jets. Uh. They had the
Speaker 1: ball late to cover at the one yard line against
Speaker 1: the Vikings. They couldn't get it and they turned it over. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I know that was pathetic. So that sucks. I did
Speaker 1: get a win. I should not have gotten the Packers.
Speaker 1: We're trying to run out the clock and they scored
Speaker 1: a touchdown against the Bears. So there was that. The
Speaker 1: Browns Texans game, I consider that a bad beat. And
Speaker 1: I'll tell you why. The Browns did not score an
Speaker 1: offensive touchdown and still won by thirteen points. And they
Speaker 1: did not their office no touchdowns. We were completely wrong
Speaker 1: about the Titans. That was that was embarrassing. That was
Speaker 1: gutless football by them. Bad job. The other game that
Speaker 1: really stood out like a sore thumb was the Cowboy
Speaker 1: wrong about the Titans. I had the Eagles. Uh, well,
Speaker 1: the the cold Cowboy game though, was going to the
Speaker 1: fourth quarter. It was AW one nineteen game, and I'm
Speaker 1: getting a bunch of points with the Colts, and and
Speaker 1: they put up the Cowboys put up thirty three points.
Speaker 1: And I still can't believe that it's a two point
Speaker 1: game going to fourth course, anyone's game and you end
Speaker 1: up losing fifty four nineteen. Unbelievable, it's ridunculous. Anyway, So
Speaker 1: that was last week, and overall went six and nine
Speaker 1: against the spread. So that is my first losing week
Speaker 1: since way back in Week two of the season. That's
Speaker 1: a four winning percentage. And the Penny, you know how
Speaker 1: the Penny did, Danny, how do you think the Penny did?
Speaker 1: One game over five? How about one game under five? Penny?
Speaker 1: We're fifteen games. The Penny was seven and eight against
Speaker 1: the spread. So that's ah. It beat me because I
Speaker 1: warned both you and the Penny about taking the Chargers. Yeah,
Speaker 1: well listen the charges deciding to not not play in
Speaker 1: the second half there, right, it was they were up
Speaker 1: ten or whatever it was at halftime and then did
Speaker 1: not complete the game. But anyway, all right, so the
Speaker 1: overall record on Benny versus the Penny before we get
Speaker 1: to the card this week, I Benny hundred and twelve wins,
Speaker 1: seventy eight losses and five ties. That's a five eight
Speaker 1: nine winning percential. Still good, not as good as I
Speaker 1: had been. The last couple of weeks have been blah
Speaker 1: and the penny nine three one oh two and three
Speaker 1: four seventies seven winning percentage winning for the Penny. That's
Speaker 1: a It was at nine games under five for the Penny,
Speaker 1: and I know better these numbers. That is true. But
Speaker 1: these numbers, Danny, are fact checked by Roscoe the Parrot
Speaker 1: and David in winter Park, Florida, and by Robin Vegas
Speaker 1: and several others who are making sure I'm not doctoring
Speaker 1: the books at all. But anyway, when we picked the
Speaker 1: Thursday night game, we picked had already on the radio.
Speaker 1: So let's get right into the Thursday to the to
Speaker 1: the weekend games. Here, we'll get right into it. The
Speaker 1: Sunday games, Week fourteen of the NFL. Minnesota will start
Speaker 1: with this Minnesota tendant to at Detroit five and seven.
Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. The
Speaker 1: Vikings were originally a two and a half point favorite
Speaker 1: the Lions, though favored by two and a half in
Speaker 1: this game, and the money's pretty even at Ford Field
Speaker 1: in Detroit a dome, so the weather will not matter.
Speaker 1: The Vikings their last seven games five one and one
Speaker 1: against the spread, but Minnesota as a favorite. Some of
Speaker 1: the numbers on this game. The Vikings are two and
Speaker 1: five their last seven as an underdog, and Minnesota has
Speaker 1: failed to cover five of their last six in that situation.
Speaker 1: The Lions, though at Ford Field, have been very good
Speaker 1: for gamblers eight one and one against the spread and
Speaker 1: dance gamble for all the nonsense and all the shenani
Speaker 1: against Dan Campbell seventeen seven and won ten games above
Speaker 1: five against the spread. Over the last games in Detroit,
Speaker 1: they've covered five straight games. So there's a lot of
Speaker 1: a lot of positives if you look at some of
Speaker 1: these numbers there. I want to take the Lions again
Speaker 1: in this game, and I'll tell you why. Now. I
Speaker 1: went back and forth on this game. I was like, Wow,
Speaker 1: the Vikings are tenant to the Lions are five and seven,
Speaker 1: blah blah bah blah blah blah blah blah blah, But
Speaker 1: I'm taking Detroit. These teams played back in Week three,
Speaker 1: Detroit was able to score at will against Minnesota's defense,
Speaker 1: and then the music stopped. There was that record scratch
Speaker 1: moment when Amon ross st Brown and DeAndre Swift both
Speaker 1: got hurt, but the Lions had a ten point lead,
Speaker 1: double digit lead in the fourth quarter, and then those
Speaker 1: guys got hurt. They're both back, so we assume the
Speaker 1: pedal to the medal should be there again for Detroit.
Speaker 1: Their defense is playing much better now than it was
Speaker 1: in that game against Minnesota. Aiden Hutchinson is a total
Speaker 1: stud in the middle, and the Lions have been able
Speaker 1: to contain some decent running backs like Sequon Barkley, Raheem
Speaker 1: Mostard Travis at the end as well since the bye week,
Speaker 1: so they should be able to slow down Dalvin Cook.
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins. When he's pressured, he's terrible. The Lions get
Speaker 1: pretty good pressure against Cousins in this game. Detroit thirty
Speaker 1: and the Vikings twenty four the final and a disagreement
Speaker 1: right off the jump. Penny going with the Vikings, all right,
Speaker 1: so the penny will be oh and one I will
Speaker 1: be one to know next up that j E. T
Speaker 1: s sucks, sucks, suck. The New York Jets at seven
Speaker 1: and five, and here we go Buffalo at nine and
Speaker 1: three on CBS. The big game at CBS. Jim Nance
Speaker 1: Tony Romo will be there. The Bills opened up a
Speaker 1: nine point favorite. They're favored by nine and a half
Speaker 1: over se of the handle. The numbers we have coming
Speaker 1: in on Buffalo, no blizzard, no lake effects, snow in
Speaker 1: the high Mark Stadium, cloudy, temperatures in the thirties at
Speaker 1: least a kickoff for this game, and the Jets six
Speaker 1: and one against the spread their last seven after a
Speaker 1: straight up loss. They've been a pretty good team with
Speaker 1: Robert Sala on the road overall, and then on the
Speaker 1: last six games there four and two against the spread
Speaker 1: for the Gambles the Bills. You look at some of
Speaker 1: the numbers, they have Buffalo two and five against the
Speaker 1: spread their last seven against teams that have a winning record,
Speaker 1: and you break the game apart seven thousand different ways,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Jets plus the nine and a half.
Speaker 1: The Jets just beat the Bills back in Week nine
Speaker 1: with Zach Wilson, but Buffalo they were damaged in that game.
Speaker 1: They did not have their full roster because of injuries.
Speaker 1: Have gotten some guys back. But Von Miller is out
Speaker 1: for the year. Now he's gone, he's not coming back.
Speaker 1: And the Jets have changed quarterbacks. Matt right, Matt White
Speaker 1: is the quarterback. Don't know is he is he right?
Speaker 1: I don't know because he's had two games against the
Speaker 1: Bad News Bears, he had three touchdowns Matt White and
Speaker 1: was great. And then this last week against the Jets,
Speaker 1: he he had a bug in his system, two interceptions,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns. You mentioned the issues that White had right
Speaker 1: at the goal line and the Jets Mike White, Mike White,
Speaker 1: I say, Matt White, Mike White, Mike White at the
Speaker 1: goal line. This guy right there, I mean twice for
Speaker 1: the for the Jets unable to get it done. So, uh,
Speaker 1: we'll find out which Mike White shows his cousin's name, Matt.
Speaker 1: That's the friends with his cousin, Matt. But but Mike
Speaker 1: White there. So I expect the middling performance by Mike
Speaker 1: White in this game, and he's been able to move
Speaker 1: the ball a lot between the twenties. The Jets defense
Speaker 1: is pretty good. They're number four in the NFL. Some
Speaker 1: of the numbers are adjusted value over average, whatever that means.
Speaker 1: A v O A and I go back to my
Speaker 1: default position, my golden rule. Any time you get over
Speaker 1: seven points in a divisional game and a revenge game,
Speaker 1: you know you take the point. I know it's avenging
Speaker 1: for Buffalo, but I'm gonna take the points here, and
Speaker 1: Bills can still win this game by touchdown and the
Speaker 1: Jets will cover the spread. You're getting a lot of
Speaker 1: a lot of wiggle room with the Jets. Bills thirty one,
Speaker 1: Jets twenty four the final and it looks like the
Speaker 1: penny as a white fan also with the Jets. Alright,
Speaker 1: so we both agree on that. Next up, Baltimore eight
Speaker 1: and four at Pittsburgh five and seven on CBS with
Speaker 1: Kevin Harlan and Trent Green the Steelers. They opened up
Speaker 1: an underdog. Ravens were four point favorites, but now Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: is two and a half point favorites. There's a six
Speaker 1: and a half point spread change from what the original
Speaker 1: opening line was. At the former Hines Field in Pittsburgh, cloudy,
Speaker 1: typical overcast Pennsylvania day. There temperatures in the thirties at kickoff.
Speaker 1: This is an outdoor stadium, so take that for what
Speaker 1: it's worth. Baltimore, the Ravens without Lamar Jackson, I actually
Speaker 1: have a winning record since he was drafted against the
Speaker 1: spread now, not overall, but against the spread, nine and
Speaker 1: seven against the spread. And that's important because Lamar is
Speaker 1: not playing in this game and Baltimore fifteen two and
Speaker 1: one against the spread in the regular season as an
Speaker 1: underdog since the start of that season ten and nine outright,
Speaker 1: but they've been great. That is the highest cover percentage
Speaker 1: winning percentage in the NFL, and the second best team
Speaker 1: is Tennessee as an underdog. But the change here is
Speaker 1: at quarterback. I want to take the Ravens. I went
Speaker 1: back and forth on this game, and I I crunched
Speaker 1: some more numbers and I decided to take Baltimore going
Speaker 1: with backup Tyler Huntley in this game under center with
Speaker 1: Lamar out. And this means that the Ravens are gonna
Speaker 1: have to run the ball, and they have the ability
Speaker 1: to do that. Gus Edwards and Kenyan Drake and the
Speaker 1: running game have to snazz up that offense there, and
Speaker 1: I expect both teams to be stuck in the mud
Speaker 1: and a grind it out, low scoring game. I like
Speaker 1: getting some points here. And while I am a fan
Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh's defense with t J. Watt and Micky Fitzpatrick
Speaker 1: devon Bush guys like that. I like them as underdogs,
Speaker 1: I don't trust them as favorites. Kenny Picketts at three
Speaker 1: straight games without a turnover, and I'm not saying he's due,
Speaker 1: but I don't trust him. And I expect the Ravens
Speaker 1: to step up rally around Huntley, the backup quarterback here.
Speaker 1: So I will take the Steelers to actually win the game,
Speaker 1: but the Ravens to cover the spread. Steelers seventeen and
Speaker 1: the Ravens sixteen the final, and the penny is going
Speaker 1: with the Steelers, alright, so we disagree on that. Next up,
Speaker 1: Philadelphia eleven and one, top team in the NFL record wise,
Speaker 1: that the New York Giants seven four and one. It's
Speaker 1: on Fox from Jersey with Joe Davis, the old Dodger guy,
Speaker 1: and Darryl Moose Johnston ex Cowboy on the call. The
Speaker 1: Eagles opened up a six point favorite. Philadelphia favored by
Speaker 1: seven in this game in Jersey against the Giants, and
Speaker 1: the money is pretty even on this game him. The
Speaker 1: Giants though seven and one against the spread as an
Speaker 1: underdog this season, and that sounds like a good record.
Speaker 1: That is the most in the NFL, most underdog covers
Speaker 1: for any team. Of course, most teams aren't underdogs eight
Speaker 1: times like the Giants have been here. I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Giants again. I'm gonna ride with the Jets. The
Speaker 1: Eagles are styling and profiling right now with Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 1: They just beat up the Titans and the A. J.
Speaker 1: Brown revenge game. Now they have the I ninety five
Speaker 1: blood bath rivalry game with the Giants. They are going
Speaker 1: to be dinged up to a little bit on the defense.
Speaker 1: Robert Quinn, one of the guys that got over from
Speaker 1: Chicago as his nie scope this week. That's not a
Speaker 1: good sign New York. The great former Ram, the great
Speaker 1: Robert Quinn. How dare you but New York They have
Speaker 1: started to slide a little bit. The last five games.
Speaker 1: They're one three and one straight up. The only win
Speaker 1: over the Low League Texans. So that's a bad quarter
Speaker 1: of a season. And part of the issue here is
Speaker 1: that Danny Dimes is starting to play more like Danny Dimes.
Speaker 1: He's regressed and that's made things harder to trickle down
Speaker 1: with Sequon Barkley and all that, but the last month
Speaker 1: or so, Daniel Jones last five games has a passer
Speaker 1: rating right around ninety, which is not good, not good.
Speaker 1: So I think Philly will win this game. But again,
Speaker 1: you're talking about a divisional game. You're getting a touchdown.
Speaker 1: You gotta take the Giants in this game. Otherwise, don't
Speaker 1: bet the game. I'm taking the Giants here. I'll take
Speaker 1: the seven points, Eagles thirty and the Giants twenty four.
Speaker 1: The final penny is agreeing with you, going with the Giants,
Speaker 1: all right, So we're in agreement on that benny versus
Speaker 1: the penny. Next up, Cleveland five and seven at Cincinnati
Speaker 1: eight and four. It is on CBS and they have
Speaker 1: the call Greg Gumbel, who hates sports radio, and Adam Rceiletta.
Speaker 1: The Bengals opened up a four point favorite. This is
Speaker 1: all the way up to six at the former Paul
Speaker 1: Brown Stadium in the natty, cloudy temperatures in the forties
Speaker 1: of kickoff. Most people seem to think the Bengals on
Speaker 1: the right side here. Cincinnati nine and one against the
Speaker 1: spread their last ten with Joe Burrow, and even though
Speaker 1: the Browns have done very well against the Bengals, gambling wise,
Speaker 1: Cincinnati has covered eleven of the last fifteen games. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Bengals in this game. I'll lay the number.
Speaker 1: That's a big number for me to lay, but I'm
Speaker 1: gonna do it. History says that Cleveland has Joe Burrow's
Speaker 1: number Joey franchises oh in four in his career against
Speaker 1: the Clevelanders. But that tells you what has happened, not
Speaker 1: what's going to happen. The Browns have lost uh, They've
Speaker 1: lost their moji, They've lost their way on offense, and
Speaker 1: did not even get a touchdown on offense against the
Speaker 1: Texans last week as a war crime. To Shawn Watson
Speaker 1: looked not only like a quarterback, he looked like he
Speaker 1: was drinking out of a fire hose against the worst
Speaker 1: team in the NFL, as dry as the Sahara Desert.
Speaker 1: The Texans offense just terrible in Cleveland. Could not do
Speaker 1: much of anything in that game. Since he should win
Speaker 1: this game by a landslide, I don't expect Watson to
Speaker 1: get much better here, as he has not played in
Speaker 1: a couple of years. So Bengals thirty one and the
Speaker 1: Browns thirteen. The final and the penny likes Deshaun Watson
Speaker 1: and the Browns. Maybe the Penny wants to give Watson
Speaker 1: a massage here. That could be the Maybe it's like
Speaker 1: a prank or something like that. I don't know, all right,
Speaker 1: Next up Jacksonville four and eight. I guess so, Jacksonville
Speaker 1: four in eight, Tennessee seven and five on CMS with
Speaker 1: Andrew Catalan and James lofton this game. Not exactly hitting
Speaker 1: the bull's eye, but we bet every game. We handicapped
Speaker 1: every game, so the Titans opened up a four point favorite.
Speaker 1: They are favored by four still and most people betting
Speaker 1: on the Tennessee Titans. This game. Light rain in Nashville
Speaker 1: in the forecast and in the fifties at kickoff. Tennessee
Speaker 1: is six and oh against the spread against losing teams
Speaker 1: this season. The Titans eight and two against the spread
Speaker 1: their last tense, so some good numbers there. Jackson goes
Speaker 1: just one in five against the number on the road
Speaker 1: this season. The Jags are my pick. I don't love
Speaker 1: the pick, but I'm taking the Jacks for a couple
Speaker 1: of reasons. I expect a much better performance, a bounce
Speaker 1: back performance. They were absolutely mocked up and down the
Speaker 1: field by Detroit last week. Trevor Lawrence he's got a
Speaker 1: bit of a toe thing. I'm hearing he's gonna play.
Speaker 1: We'll find out if that's the case. Obviously my pick
Speaker 1: will change if he's not playing. Nevertheless, uh we we
Speaker 1: believe after that kicking the nuts by the Lions last week,
Speaker 1: the Titans will will be facing a much better upon
Speaker 1: our Tennessee had their own issues last week, but the
Speaker 1: Titans secondary blows and so if Lawrence plays, he should
Speaker 1: be able to pick apart that defense with Christian Kirk
Speaker 1: and Bai Jones and make some big plays there. Tennessee
Speaker 1: has been a much better underdog team, as we talked
Speaker 1: about earlier than a favorite. And Ryan Tannehills looked terrible
Speaker 1: at quarterback, the current starter. With Derrick Henry in the backfield,
Speaker 1: the flame Heads ranked twenty nine in yards per game.
Speaker 1: The Titans were roasted by the Eagles, who said, and
Speaker 1: then they fired John Robinson. They're a head coach, so dysfunction, junction,
Speaker 1: what's your function? And I'm gonna take the Tennessee Titans
Speaker 1: to win, but the Jags to cover a close game
Speaker 1: of field goal game Titans twenty and the Jags seventeen
Speaker 1: the final, and I wish I could had talked to
Speaker 1: Penny out of going with Towne Hill, but the Penny
Speaker 1: landed on heads going with the Titans. All right, bad
Speaker 1: job by the aforementioned Penny. Next up Houston. They sucked
Speaker 1: their one ten and one at Dallas, and Dallas comes
Speaker 1: in nine and three. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez have
Speaker 1: the call as the Cowboys were a fourteen and a
Speaker 1: half point favorite. They were bet all the way up
Speaker 1: the seventeen and then that didn't pass the smell test.
Speaker 1: The latest line we have Cowboys are a sixteen and
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. How you like the cozy up
Speaker 1: to that line? Sixteen and a half. Most people think
Speaker 1: the Cowboys will cover their a national glamour team, and
Speaker 1: they're getting around of the bets in favor of Dallas
Speaker 1: at a T and T stadium in the house that
Speaker 1: Jerry Jones built, mostly cloudy temperatures in the fifties that
Speaker 1: kick off. The Cowboys are not going to be my pick.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Texans in this game. Now, NFL
Speaker 1: teams that have been favored by seventeen or more twelve
Speaker 1: and three against the spread but this sixteen and a half,
Speaker 1: that half point means everything. And Dallas has been the
Speaker 1: greatest cover team in the NFL. They're winning by an
Speaker 1: average of eight and a half points so far this year.
Speaker 1: But the main thing for me is Davis Mills is
Speaker 1: coming back. And Davis Mills is a bum. But he's
Speaker 1: not as big a bum as Kyle Allen, who's wretched,
Speaker 1: who should be put out the pasture? This guy incompetent
Speaker 1: in Salvent. Quarterback Mills is at least average, and that
Speaker 1: gives Houston an opportunity to get the back door cover
Speaker 1: at you know, and you know, I mean they should
Speaker 1: get the back door cover here. Uh break down the
Speaker 1: game and go back and forth. And the Cowboys how
Speaker 1: do they spend their week? They had the fourth quarter
Speaker 1: come back. They then begged Odell Beckham to come to
Speaker 1: the team. They then hung out and realized Jerry Jones
Speaker 1: cannot allow Odell Beckham to come back and play in
Speaker 1: his situation. Anyway, I go on and on Cowboys thirty
Speaker 1: three and the Texans third, Texans seventeen. Penny going with Houston,
Speaker 1: all right, So the penny is a big Davis Mills fan,
Speaker 1: and you're going with David Mills. All right, next up
Speaker 1: late games, the late television window. Here's a matchup. It
Speaker 1: will give you goose bumps. Carolina four and eight in
Speaker 1: Seattle seven and five, unless it does it on Fox
Speaker 1: with Adam Aman and Mark Slayer at the Seahawks open
Speaker 1: seven point favorites and then people say what are we
Speaker 1: doing here? Yeah? What what's going on? In the blink
Speaker 1: of an eye, and went all the way down to
Speaker 1: three and a half. That's where it is right now.
Speaker 1: Seattle favored by three and a half in this game.
Speaker 1: Temperature in the forties, light rain in the Seattle area
Speaker 1: tis the time of the season, and looming field is
Speaker 1: the name, whatever corporate name they gave it. Carolina oh
Speaker 1: and four against the spread fire following a bye week
Speaker 1: over the past five seasons. I actually like the Panthers
Speaker 1: in this game, and I like the Panthers a lot.
Speaker 1: It's one of my better plays this weekend. So take
Speaker 1: that with a grain assault. But Seattle, they allowed the
Speaker 1: pitiful l A I am, this group of misfits on
Speaker 1: the offensive line and the backfield to run for a
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy one yards. The Rams ran for a
Speaker 1: hundred seventy one yards. Now they go against they being Carolina,
Speaker 1: a quality running team, like quality running team with the
Speaker 1: electric Deante Foreman. This is the guy. He's the guy
Speaker 1: we trust as the X factor. Foreman is averaged four
Speaker 1: point six points or four pants six yards per carry,
Speaker 1: I should say, and his eyes are gonna be lit
Speaker 1: up like the size of saucers. So I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, actually the Carolina, the Buccaneers, the Carolina Panthers
Speaker 1: who just played the Buccaneers couple weeks ago, and Seattle,
Speaker 1: who also played the Buccaneers a couple of weeks ago.
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna take Seattle and the Panthers twenty three
Speaker 1: of the final, and the penny going with the Panthers, alright,
Speaker 1: the penny going with the Panthers as well, So we
Speaker 1: agree on that. Next up, Tampa Bay at San Francisco.
Speaker 1: It is on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen.
Speaker 1: The Bucks six and sixty eight and four Niners opened
Speaker 1: up a six point favorite. They're down all the way
Speaker 1: to three and a half. Temperatures in the high fifties
Speaker 1: and it will go down to the low fifties as
Speaker 1: the afternoon goes on light rain in the forecast at
Speaker 1: Levi's Stadium, the Niners getting most of the public money
Speaker 1: they handle around. Tom Brady has been great against rookie quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: as you might imagine, twenty three and six straight up
Speaker 1: against rookie quarterbacks, but fourteen and fifteen against the spread,
Speaker 1: so actually a losing record for Gamblers against rookie quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: Tampa three eight won this season, tied with the Rams
Speaker 1: for the worst cover percentage in the NFL. And I
Speaker 1: am going to take despite that number, I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers here. Tom Brady fresh off the Monday night
Speaker 1: come back game, he played a half a quarter of
Speaker 1: good football. The rest of the game he sucked. And
Speaker 1: now he goes against Mr Irrelevant Brock Purdy, a guy
Speaker 1: who was born in December, and Tom Brady made his
Speaker 1: debut in the year two thousand and So here's what
Speaker 1: it comes down to. Is this the first reel real
Speaker 1: game where where the forty Niners can win with their backup.
Speaker 1: So one thing when a backup comes in off the
Speaker 1: bench and hasn't had a lot of practice time, and
Speaker 1: and and and also the other team hasn't seen the backup,
Speaker 1: but brock Purdy. Now teams know he's gonna play. The
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Bucks defense knows he's gonna play. Will he
Speaker 1: still be able to get the ball into Christian McCaffrey
Speaker 1: and Deebo Samuel's hands and let them work their magic
Speaker 1: that yaketty ah yards after a catch. I'm skeptical. I
Speaker 1: liked what I saw pretty last week, but I always
Speaker 1: am skeptical following a performance like that. Everyone's kissing your ass.
Speaker 1: Now you gotta go back out there again. And so
Speaker 1: the Niners getting over or the the Niners laying over
Speaker 1: a field goal, the Bucks getting over a field goal.
Speaker 1: So Tampa is the right side here. Forty Niners twenty
Speaker 1: four Bucks twenty three the final, and that's a cover
Speaker 1: for Tampa Bay. And the Penny thinks that all the
Speaker 1: dad jokes have been pretty great going with the Niners.
Speaker 1: Pretty pretty pretty all right. Next up for us, we've
Speaker 1: got that's see here Cansah City at Denver as everyone's
Speaker 1: still reading the Riot Act to Russell Wilson, Denver three
Speaker 1: and nine. Kansas City comes in nine and three. It's
Speaker 1: on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis. They have
Speaker 1: the call. Most of The money here is on the
Speaker 1: side of the Denver Broncos, which is surprising. The Chiefs
Speaker 1: favored by nine and a half mostly cloudy temperatures in
Speaker 1: the high thirties at kickoff with Iron Eagle and Charles
Speaker 1: Davis on the call. The Chiefs opened up a nine
Speaker 1: point for actually seven a half there up to nine
Speaker 1: and half there They opened up a seven a point
Speaker 1: fair excuse me, their favored by nine and a half.
Speaker 1: Most people think this is free money. Just bet on
Speaker 1: the Chiefs who are heck, bet on whoever you want.
Speaker 1: But it doesn't matter. You're gonna win this game either way,
Speaker 1: unless you're not. Russell Wilson under center for the Broncos
Speaker 1: five and all against the spread in his career of
Speaker 1: at least seven and a half point underdog status one
Speaker 1: and four straight up in those games, but he's only
Speaker 1: been an eight point or greater underdog twice in his career,
Speaker 1: so very rarely. This is uncharted waters for Russ Mr
Speaker 1: Unlimited and Kansas City has not been very good against
Speaker 1: conference opponents there. One in seven against the spread. That's
Speaker 1: very light. That is the last eight matchups here, and
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Broncos in this game. Russell Wilson,
Speaker 1: who's not good. I'm not betting on this game because
Speaker 1: of Russell Wilson, but you're getting later in the year.
Speaker 1: There's opportunities here to still save some face, trying to
Speaker 1: cut the damage, cut your losses if you will. And
Speaker 1: he's gonna need the defense to stop the bleeding. That's it.
Speaker 1: That's the obvious answer. He had been the devil for
Speaker 1: some time in Denver and that will not happen this week.
Speaker 1: Not likely at all that happened this week. But if
Speaker 1: he you know, if he did, that's that's fine. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Chiefs twenty seven and the Broncos
Speaker 1: twenty the final in the Penny says he's riding with
Speaker 1: you and ridiculous Russ. All right, we agree on that.
Speaker 1: So Chiefs twenty seven Broncos twenty games final. I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Broncos plus the points there, all right, last game,
Speaker 1: last game for the Sunday car then we'll get to
Speaker 1: the Monday night game. But Sunday Night Football Miami eight
Speaker 1: and four at the Chargers six and six on and
Speaker 1: be see this game flexed. It seems like a dog matchup.
Speaker 1: The Charges are average, the Dolphins lost to the Niners
Speaker 1: last week, but NBC had to make this move a
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. So Mike Tarico and Chris Collinsworth
Speaker 1: will be there. And there's a chance, Danny, that I
Speaker 1: will be at this game also. I maybe depending on
Speaker 1: the Chargers allowing me in. I don't know if they're
Speaker 1: gonna let me in or not. Are you gonna commute
Speaker 1: with Eddie Garcia? No, no, because I will be showing
Speaker 1: up to work, unlike Eddie, who will not show up
Speaker 1: to work. He does not like working. So I will
Speaker 1: be there. Eddie will not be there, but the the
Speaker 1: Dolphins game opened up and pick him. Miami is a
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite in this game at
Speaker 1: SOFI Stadium. Clear skies fifty nine degrees at kickoff, so
Speaker 1: a little cool effect. There's a chance of rain in
Speaker 1: the Greater LA area on Sunday, so it might even
Speaker 1: rain a little bit. Don't matter, there's a roof over
Speaker 1: the stadium. Miami nine and one straight up as a
Speaker 1: favorite their last ten, but only five and four against
Speaker 1: the spread and to a tongue of Ioloa eighteen twelve
Speaker 1: and one against the spread in his career ten and
Speaker 1: seven as a favorite. So he's got a winning record,
Speaker 1: not a great record, not as sexy record as a favorite.
Speaker 1: The Chargers, Uh, They're six and four against the spread
Speaker 1: their last ten as an underdog. I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: Dolphins as a small favorite here on the road. I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna shy away from this game because Miami is
Speaker 1: getting three and a half. That hook usually scares people away,
Speaker 1: but I Am not going to be intimidated by that hook.
Speaker 1: The Dolphins are the pick. Miami gonna bounce back this
Speaker 1: week to a tongue of Bolla. Was sloppy against the Niners.
Speaker 1: Miami's defense was out of sorts against Brock Purty for
Speaker 1: much of that game, and the offense are getting some
Speaker 1: guys back. I expected much cleaner performance of their second
Speaker 1: game in a row on the West Coast. The Dolphins
Speaker 1: will win this game, not because of tour, but because
Speaker 1: of the running game right behind closed doors. The Chargers
Speaker 1: are freaking out. They can't stop the run. Raheem Mostart
Speaker 1: and Jeff Wilson, the guy that got from the Niners,
Speaker 1: both of them x Niners. The Chargers have the worst
Speaker 1: rush defense in the NFL. They're allowing five point five
Speaker 1: yards per carry to their opponent. Also, the Chargers banged
Speaker 1: up on defense Derwin James with a quad injury. He
Speaker 1: may not play in this game. There's a couple of
Speaker 1: other key players out. Derwin James, though, leads all NFL
Speaker 1: defensive backs with tackles, which is also a sign that
Speaker 1: the Chargers linebackers and defensive line aren't making a lot
Speaker 1: of players there to stop the running game when Derwin
Speaker 1: James is the last line of defense and he's the
Speaker 1: one flying around making all those plays. So Dolphins thirty one,
Speaker 1: Chargers twenty four. The final is the pick, and the
Speaker 1: penny ain't s curt E. They're going with the Dolphins
Speaker 1: all night. Dolphins is the pick. Last game here, last
Speaker 1: game of the Card Week fourteen, we go to Monday
Speaker 1: Night football and it's Arizona four and eight at home
Speaker 1: hosting New England six and six on the broadcast with ABC, Slash, ESPN.
Speaker 1: Joe Buck and Troy Aikman have the call. The Patriots
Speaker 1: opened up a two point favorite. They were favored by
Speaker 1: one only one point favorite for New England in is
Speaker 1: a what is a must win game for the Patriots.
Speaker 1: They have very little margin for error at this point
Speaker 1: at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, clear skies, temperatures
Speaker 1: in the fifties that kick off. New England seven three
Speaker 1: and one against the spread after a loss since the
Speaker 1: start of last year, So the last couple of years
Speaker 1: they've been very good for gamblers coming off a loss.
Speaker 1: And Bill Belichick in his career is he's almost thirty
Speaker 1: games above five in that spot. New England four and
Speaker 1: one against Arizona under Bill Belichick against the spread. So
Speaker 1: there's all kinds of numbers here. We can toss out
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray's terrible stats. I'm gonna take the Patriots in
Speaker 1: this game. I'll lay the one point. I don't need
Speaker 1: the one point, I don't want the one point. I'll
Speaker 1: just lay the one point. So I'm gonna take the Patriots.
Speaker 1: Here's why both these teams are coming off by weeks.
Speaker 1: New England quit against the Bills before the bye. They
Speaker 1: quit before that. You know in the second Halbury that
Speaker 1: game was a bad situation there for New England. The
Speaker 1: Cardinals have been a fun house of horrors here like it.
Speaker 1: The Kyler Murray is at loggerheads with Cliff Kingsbury. Murray's
Speaker 1: not happy with DeAndre Hopkins. His mannerism scream of a
Speaker 1: guy who hates his co workers. They don't seem very
Speaker 1: happy with him. It's a mutually mutual, mutual group. They
Speaker 1: don't like each other. And I expect the MENSA member,
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick to keep Murray at bay, keep him off bounds.
Speaker 1: Even though the Patriots have had problems with mobile quarterbacks
Speaker 1: Alligai arms, Murray has not exactly been running around very
Speaker 1: much at all. So I don't know how big a
Speaker 1: factor that's going to be the only flying the ointment.
Speaker 1: And I'm gonna bet on the Patriots anyway. But Mac Jones,
Speaker 1: who's been all over the map, he'll throw for a
Speaker 1: lot of yards between the twenties. But the Patriots are
Speaker 1: tied for dead last in red zone efficiency, scoring touchdowns
Speaker 1: on just twelve of thirty two journeys into the red
Speaker 1: zone inside the twenty yard line. Now, the good news
Speaker 1: is Arizona is just what the doctor ordered. Arizona's thirty
Speaker 1: one in scoring defense. So New England much better defensively.
Speaker 1: That's the key unit in this game. Everything else is
Speaker 1: relatively even page Its offense not great, Cardinals offense not great.
Speaker 1: Patriots will win this game. Twenty three to thirteen New
Speaker 1: England into the wind column, and the penny is making
Speaker 1: it three agreements in a row to finish out the
Speaker 1: day taking the Patriots. All right, the Patriots it is.
Speaker 1: We'll get out on that, and good luck to you. Remember,
Speaker 1: may all your bets be winning. Was but dude, don't
Speaker 1: put too much. And then the reason we the benny
Speaker 1: versus penny a little shorter this week, Danny, no Packers,
Speaker 1: no Falcons, Saints, Bears, Colts and Commanders. So a bunch
Speaker 1: of teams on the bye week. And I think there's
Speaker 1: one more bye week after this, I believe, and then
Speaker 1: that's it, right, because there's three more weeks after that,
Speaker 1: so I think they put the kabash on the bye
Speaker 1: weeks after next week, so this will be the next
Speaker 1: to last week. All right, we'll get out there. Any
Speaker 1: promote Danny inning at all you want to prom you're
Speaker 1: only fans or anything else, big man. It's Friday morning
Speaker 1: as we do this, and I am gonna be in
Speaker 1: this afternoon with Covino and Rich to ride you into
Speaker 1: the weekend. Alright, So check that out on Fox Sports
Speaker 1: Radio your your local Fox Sports radio station, or download
Speaker 1: the podcast like it downloaded this podcast. Having great rest
Speaker 1: of your day, We got a whole weekend. A podcast
Speaker 1: ahead of us will get to all that, and we'll
Speaker 1: catch you next time. Us to pasta gott a murder.
Speaker 1: I gotta go,