WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 14) 0:00:00.800 --> 0:00:05.560 Kabooms. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 0:00:05.600 --> 0:00:09.360 week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of 0:00:09.400 --> 0:00:13.000 the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats 0:00:13.039 --> 0:00:15.920 crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the rich 0:00:15.960 --> 0:00:20.320 pill poppers in the penthouse to clearing house of hot takes, 0:00:20.400 --> 0:00:24.200 break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 0:00:24.239 --> 0:00:34.120 Mallar starts right now in the air everywhere, and welcome 0:00:34.159 --> 0:00:38.800 into the Fifth Hour with Ben Mallor and Danny G Radio. 0:00:39.000 --> 0:00:43.080 And it's unlike all the other Fifth Hours because it's Friday, 0:00:43.240 --> 0:00:48.000 and that means Benny versus the Penny. Week fourteen, he 0:00:48.840 --> 0:00:56.720 we go, welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up? It's 0:00:56.760 --> 0:01:05.600 time now Benny versus the Penny? All right, back at 0:01:05.640 --> 0:01:08.480 it again. Now before we get to the games, Danny G. 0:01:08.760 --> 0:01:12.000 We must, we must look back and see how things 0:01:12.000 --> 0:01:17.160 went last week? How did week thirto? I don't care 0:01:17.160 --> 0:01:20.880 about the penny. It's all about me And I had 0:01:20.959 --> 0:01:24.800 I had said I was due for a stinker l stink, Oh, Danny, 0:01:24.840 --> 0:01:26.480 I had pointed that out. I said, I've been winning 0:01:26.480 --> 0:01:28.880 way too many games. Eventually this is gonna bite me. 0:01:28.920 --> 0:01:33.840 And they took his and the last week, Yeah, that happened. 0:01:33.880 --> 0:01:37.480 I had some bad beats last week, some games that 0:01:37.520 --> 0:01:41.920 were heading my direction that went sideways in week thirteen. 0:01:42.720 --> 0:01:45.640 Uh and as a result of that, and I can 0:01:45.680 --> 0:01:48.480 point out the games the Commanders had attend nothing lead 0:01:48.480 --> 0:01:51.240 over the Giant side Washington, the game ended up in 0:01:51.240 --> 0:01:56.000 a tie. I lost the Jets. Uh. They had the 0:01:56.040 --> 0:01:59.919 ball late to cover at the one yard line against 0:01:59.920 --> 0:02:04.640 the Vikings. They couldn't get it and they turned it over. Yeah, 0:02:04.720 --> 0:02:07.880 I know that was pathetic. So that sucks. I did 0:02:07.920 --> 0:02:10.359 get a win. I should not have gotten the Packers. 0:02:11.160 --> 0:02:13.000 We're trying to run out the clock and they scored 0:02:13.040 --> 0:02:17.079 a touchdown against the Bears. So there was that. The 0:02:18.000 --> 0:02:20.919 Browns Texans game, I consider that a bad beat. And 0:02:20.919 --> 0:02:23.560 I'll tell you why. The Browns did not score an 0:02:23.560 --> 0:02:29.000 offensive touchdown and still won by thirteen points. And they 0:02:29.000 --> 0:02:33.040 did not their office no touchdowns. We were completely wrong 0:02:33.080 --> 0:02:36.800 about the Titans. That was that was embarrassing. That was 0:02:36.880 --> 0:02:41.160 gutless football by them. Bad job. The other game that 0:02:41.200 --> 0:02:43.359 really stood out like a sore thumb was the Cowboy 0:02:43.639 --> 0:02:47.560 wrong about the Titans. I had the Eagles. Uh, well, 0:02:47.680 --> 0:02:51.040 the the cold Cowboy game though, was going to the 0:02:51.080 --> 0:02:56.840 fourth quarter. It was AW one nineteen game, and I'm 0:02:56.919 --> 0:03:00.080 getting a bunch of points with the Colts, and and 0:03:00.400 --> 0:03:02.680 they put up the Cowboys put up thirty three points. 0:03:03.639 --> 0:03:06.720 And I still can't believe that it's a two point 0:03:06.760 --> 0:03:08.800 game going to fourth course, anyone's game and you end 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:13.880 up losing fifty four nineteen. Unbelievable, it's ridunculous. Anyway, So 0:03:13.960 --> 0:03:18.280 that was last week, and overall went six and nine 0:03:18.480 --> 0:03:20.959 against the spread. So that is my first losing week 0:03:21.840 --> 0:03:26.200 since way back in Week two of the season. That's 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:30.880 a four winning percentage. And the Penny, you know how 0:03:30.880 --> 0:03:32.720 the Penny did, Danny, how do you think the Penny did? 0:03:33.520 --> 0:03:39.920 One game over five? How about one game under five? Penny? 0:03:39.960 --> 0:03:44.320 We're fifteen games. The Penny was seven and eight against 0:03:44.680 --> 0:03:48.320 the spread. So that's ah. It beat me because I 0:03:48.400 --> 0:03:52.400 warned both you and the Penny about taking the Chargers. Yeah, 0:03:52.520 --> 0:03:57.880 well listen the charges deciding to not not play in 0:03:57.920 --> 0:04:00.000 the second half there, right, it was they were up 0:04:01.120 --> 0:04:03.760 ten or whatever it was at halftime and then did 0:04:03.800 --> 0:04:05.960 not complete the game. But anyway, all right, so the 0:04:06.040 --> 0:04:09.240 overall record on Benny versus the Penny before we get 0:04:09.280 --> 0:04:13.840 to the card this week, I Benny hundred and twelve wins, 0:04:13.880 --> 0:04:17.080 seventy eight losses and five ties. That's a five eight 0:04:17.240 --> 0:04:19.440 nine winning percential. Still good, not as good as I 0:04:19.520 --> 0:04:22.440 had been. The last couple of weeks have been blah 0:04:22.520 --> 0:04:26.520 and the penny nine three one oh two and three 0:04:27.400 --> 0:04:33.520 four seventies seven winning percentage winning for the Penny. That's 0:04:33.600 --> 0:04:38.640 a It was at nine games under five for the Penny, 0:04:38.720 --> 0:04:42.240 and I know better these numbers. That is true. But 0:04:42.279 --> 0:04:46.039 these numbers, Danny, are fact checked by Roscoe the Parrot 0:04:46.160 --> 0:04:50.279 and David in winter Park, Florida, and by Robin Vegas 0:04:50.320 --> 0:04:53.800 and several others who are making sure I'm not doctoring 0:04:53.839 --> 0:04:58.400 the books at all. But anyway, when we picked the 0:04:58.520 --> 0:05:01.159 Thursday night game, we picked had already on the radio. 0:05:01.200 --> 0:05:04.159 So let's get right into the Thursday to the to 0:05:04.200 --> 0:05:06.360 the weekend games. Here, we'll get right into it. The 0:05:06.400 --> 0:05:11.560 Sunday games, Week fourteen of the NFL. Minnesota will start 0:05:11.600 --> 0:05:15.680 with this Minnesota tendant to at Detroit five and seven. 0:05:16.400 --> 0:05:21.039 It's on Fox with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. The 0:05:21.200 --> 0:05:23.560 Vikings were originally a two and a half point favorite 0:05:23.560 --> 0:05:26.800 the Lions, though favored by two and a half in 0:05:26.839 --> 0:05:30.680 this game, and the money's pretty even at Ford Field 0:05:31.040 --> 0:05:33.839 in Detroit a dome, so the weather will not matter. 0:05:34.520 --> 0:05:38.480 The Vikings their last seven games five one and one 0:05:38.520 --> 0:05:42.359 against the spread, but Minnesota as a favorite. Some of 0:05:42.360 --> 0:05:44.240 the numbers on this game. The Vikings are two and 0:05:44.440 --> 0:05:48.680 five their last seven as an underdog, and Minnesota has 0:05:48.680 --> 0:05:52.760 failed to cover five of their last six in that situation. 0:05:52.800 --> 0:05:56.240 The Lions, though at Ford Field, have been very good 0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:59.479 for gamblers eight one and one against the spread and 0:05:59.560 --> 0:06:03.440 dance gamble for all the nonsense and all the shenani 0:06:03.480 --> 0:06:07.119 against Dan Campbell seventeen seven and won ten games above 0:06:07.200 --> 0:06:13.880 five against the spread. Over the last games in Detroit, 0:06:13.920 --> 0:06:16.479 they've covered five straight games. So there's a lot of 0:06:17.279 --> 0:06:18.800 a lot of positives if you look at some of 0:06:18.839 --> 0:06:20.520 these numbers there. I want to take the Lions again 0:06:20.520 --> 0:06:22.839 in this game, and I'll tell you why. Now. I 0:06:22.920 --> 0:06:24.880 went back and forth on this game. I was like, Wow, 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:27.440 the Vikings are tenant to the Lions are five and seven, 0:06:27.440 --> 0:06:29.880 blah blah bah blah blah blah blah blah blah, But 0:06:29.920 --> 0:06:33.000 I'm taking Detroit. These teams played back in Week three, 0:06:33.520 --> 0:06:37.440 Detroit was able to score at will against Minnesota's defense, 0:06:37.680 --> 0:06:40.320 and then the music stopped. There was that record scratch 0:06:40.400 --> 0:06:44.360 moment when Amon ross st Brown and DeAndre Swift both 0:06:44.360 --> 0:06:46.960 got hurt, but the Lions had a ten point lead, 0:06:47.320 --> 0:06:49.680 double digit lead in the fourth quarter, and then those 0:06:49.680 --> 0:06:53.960 guys got hurt. They're both back, so we assume the 0:06:54.000 --> 0:06:56.440 pedal to the medal should be there again for Detroit. 0:06:56.480 --> 0:06:59.560 Their defense is playing much better now than it was 0:06:59.680 --> 0:07:02.719 in that game against Minnesota. Aiden Hutchinson is a total 0:07:02.800 --> 0:07:06.479 stud in the middle, and the Lions have been able 0:07:06.520 --> 0:07:10.640 to contain some decent running backs like Sequon Barkley, Raheem 0:07:10.680 --> 0:07:16.040 Mostard Travis at the end as well since the bye week, 0:07:16.160 --> 0:07:19.360 so they should be able to slow down Dalvin Cook. 0:07:19.480 --> 0:07:23.240 Kirk Cousins. When he's pressured, he's terrible. The Lions get 0:07:23.240 --> 0:07:27.600 pretty good pressure against Cousins in this game. Detroit thirty 0:07:28.040 --> 0:07:36.920 and the Vikings twenty four the final and a disagreement 0:07:37.040 --> 0:07:40.720 right off the jump. Penny going with the Vikings, all right, 0:07:40.760 --> 0:07:42.440 so the penny will be oh and one I will 0:07:42.480 --> 0:07:44.480 be one to know next up that j E. T 0:07:44.920 --> 0:07:47.480 s sucks, sucks, suck. The New York Jets at seven 0:07:47.520 --> 0:07:50.840 and five, and here we go Buffalo at nine and 0:07:50.880 --> 0:07:53.440 three on CBS. The big game at CBS. Jim Nance 0:07:53.640 --> 0:07:56.640 Tony Romo will be there. The Bills opened up a 0:07:56.840 --> 0:08:00.679 nine point favorite. They're favored by nine and a half 0:08:01.240 --> 0:08:05.200 over se of the handle. The numbers we have coming 0:08:05.240 --> 0:08:10.120 in on Buffalo, no blizzard, no lake effects, snow in 0:08:10.440 --> 0:08:14.200 the high Mark Stadium, cloudy, temperatures in the thirties at 0:08:14.280 --> 0:08:19.640 least a kickoff for this game, and the Jets six 0:08:19.680 --> 0:08:23.480 and one against the spread their last seven after a 0:08:23.560 --> 0:08:26.560 straight up loss. They've been a pretty good team with 0:08:26.680 --> 0:08:31.440 Robert Sala on the road overall, and then on the 0:08:31.560 --> 0:08:33.920 last six games there four and two against the spread 0:08:34.520 --> 0:08:37.360 for the Gambles the Bills. You look at some of 0:08:37.360 --> 0:08:40.520 the numbers, they have Buffalo two and five against the 0:08:40.559 --> 0:08:43.200 spread their last seven against teams that have a winning record, 0:08:44.160 --> 0:08:47.600 and you break the game apart seven thousand different ways, 0:08:47.600 --> 0:08:49.760 I'm gonna take the Jets plus the nine and a half. 0:08:50.040 --> 0:08:52.440 The Jets just beat the Bills back in Week nine 0:08:52.480 --> 0:08:57.000 with Zach Wilson, but Buffalo they were damaged in that game. 0:08:57.040 --> 0:08:59.480 They did not have their full roster because of injuries. 0:09:00.000 --> 0:09:03.600 Have gotten some guys back. But Von Miller is out 0:09:03.640 --> 0:09:06.079 for the year. Now he's gone, he's not coming back. 0:09:06.520 --> 0:09:11.160 And the Jets have changed quarterbacks. Matt right, Matt White 0:09:11.360 --> 0:09:13.800 is the quarterback. Don't know is he is he right? 0:09:14.280 --> 0:09:16.880 I don't know because he's had two games against the 0:09:16.920 --> 0:09:20.360 Bad News Bears, he had three touchdowns Matt White and 0:09:20.600 --> 0:09:24.640 was great. And then this last week against the Jets, 0:09:25.240 --> 0:09:29.080 he he had a bug in his system, two interceptions, 0:09:29.679 --> 0:09:34.680 no touchdowns. You mentioned the issues that White had right 0:09:34.720 --> 0:09:39.640 at the goal line and the Jets Mike White, Mike White, 0:09:39.840 --> 0:09:42.640 I say, Matt White, Mike White, Mike White at the 0:09:42.679 --> 0:09:45.840 goal line. This guy right there, I mean twice for 0:09:45.920 --> 0:09:48.559 the for the Jets unable to get it done. So, uh, 0:09:48.720 --> 0:09:52.680 we'll find out which Mike White shows his cousin's name, Matt. 0:09:53.120 --> 0:09:56.000 That's the friends with his cousin, Matt. But but Mike 0:09:56.000 --> 0:10:01.319 White there. So I expect the middling performance by Mike 0:10:01.360 --> 0:10:05.240 White in this game, and he's been able to move 0:10:05.320 --> 0:10:10.520 the ball a lot between the twenties. The Jets defense 0:10:10.600 --> 0:10:13.440 is pretty good. They're number four in the NFL. Some 0:10:13.520 --> 0:10:16.640 of the numbers are adjusted value over average, whatever that means. 0:10:17.080 --> 0:10:20.880 A v O A and I go back to my 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:25.360 default position, my golden rule. Any time you get over 0:10:25.480 --> 0:10:28.839 seven points in a divisional game and a revenge game, 0:10:29.880 --> 0:10:32.040 you know you take the point. I know it's avenging 0:10:32.160 --> 0:10:34.200 for Buffalo, but I'm gonna take the points here, and 0:10:34.280 --> 0:10:37.400 Bills can still win this game by touchdown and the 0:10:37.520 --> 0:10:39.600 Jets will cover the spread. You're getting a lot of 0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:43.200 a lot of wiggle room with the Jets. Bills thirty one, 0:10:43.440 --> 0:10:51.160 Jets twenty four the final and it looks like the 0:10:51.240 --> 0:10:56.680 penny as a white fan also with the Jets. Alright, 0:10:56.720 --> 0:10:59.120 so we both agree on that. Next up, Baltimore eight 0:10:59.160 --> 0:11:03.520 and four at Pittsburgh five and seven on CBS with 0:11:03.640 --> 0:11:08.280 Kevin Harlan and Trent Green the Steelers. They opened up 0:11:08.400 --> 0:11:11.680 an underdog. Ravens were four point favorites, but now Pittsburgh 0:11:11.800 --> 0:11:13.960 is two and a half point favorites. There's a six 0:11:14.000 --> 0:11:17.079 and a half point spread change from what the original 0:11:17.120 --> 0:11:21.080 opening line was. At the former Hines Field in Pittsburgh, cloudy, 0:11:22.160 --> 0:11:26.520 typical overcast Pennsylvania day. There temperatures in the thirties at kickoff. 0:11:27.000 --> 0:11:29.240 This is an outdoor stadium, so take that for what 0:11:29.320 --> 0:11:36.920 it's worth. Baltimore, the Ravens without Lamar Jackson, I actually 0:11:36.960 --> 0:11:40.800 have a winning record since he was drafted against the 0:11:40.840 --> 0:11:43.400 spread now, not overall, but against the spread, nine and 0:11:43.600 --> 0:11:46.920 seven against the spread. And that's important because Lamar is 0:11:46.960 --> 0:11:51.320 not playing in this game and Baltimore fifteen two and 0:11:51.360 --> 0:11:54.640 one against the spread in the regular season as an 0:11:54.720 --> 0:12:02.479 underdog since the start of that season ten and nine outright, 0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:06.000 but they've been great. That is the highest cover percentage 0:12:06.000 --> 0:12:10.360 winning percentage in the NFL, and the second best team 0:12:10.520 --> 0:12:16.120 is Tennessee as an underdog. But the change here is 0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:18.439 at quarterback. I want to take the Ravens. I went 0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:21.400 back and forth on this game, and I I crunched 0:12:21.400 --> 0:12:25.000 some more numbers and I decided to take Baltimore going 0:12:25.000 --> 0:12:27.719 with backup Tyler Huntley in this game under center with 0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:30.800 Lamar out. And this means that the Ravens are gonna 0:12:30.840 --> 0:12:33.160 have to run the ball, and they have the ability 0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:36.160 to do that. Gus Edwards and Kenyan Drake and the 0:12:36.520 --> 0:12:39.760 running game have to snazz up that offense there, and 0:12:39.800 --> 0:12:43.560 I expect both teams to be stuck in the mud 0:12:43.800 --> 0:12:46.200 and a grind it out, low scoring game. I like 0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:49.400 getting some points here. And while I am a fan 0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:52.520 of Pittsburgh's defense with t J. Watt and Micky Fitzpatrick 0:12:52.600 --> 0:12:55.679 devon Bush guys like that. I like them as underdogs, 0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:58.760 I don't trust them as favorites. Kenny Picketts at three 0:12:58.800 --> 0:13:02.560 straight games without a turnover, and I'm not saying he's due, 0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:05.880 but I don't trust him. And I expect the Ravens 0:13:05.920 --> 0:13:10.240 to step up rally around Huntley, the backup quarterback here. 0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:14.720 So I will take the Steelers to actually win the game, 0:13:14.760 --> 0:13:17.920 but the Ravens to cover the spread. Steelers seventeen and 0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:25.680 the Ravens sixteen the final, and the penny is going 0:13:25.720 --> 0:13:30.280 with the Steelers, alright, so we disagree on that. Next up, 0:13:30.360 --> 0:13:35.480 Philadelphia eleven and one, top team in the NFL record wise, 0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:38.160 that the New York Giants seven four and one. It's 0:13:38.240 --> 0:13:42.960 on Fox from Jersey with Joe Davis, the old Dodger guy, 0:13:43.160 --> 0:13:48.880 and Darryl Moose Johnston ex Cowboy on the call. The 0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:53.000 Eagles opened up a six point favorite. Philadelphia favored by 0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:58.320 seven in this game in Jersey against the Giants, and 0:13:58.360 --> 0:14:00.679 the money is pretty even on this game him. The 0:14:00.760 --> 0:14:03.520 Giants though seven and one against the spread as an 0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:07.720 underdog this season, and that sounds like a good record. 0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:10.960 That is the most in the NFL, most underdog covers 0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:14.040 for any team. Of course, most teams aren't underdogs eight 0:14:14.080 --> 0:14:17.440 times like the Giants have been here. I'm gonna take 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:19.520 the Giants again. I'm gonna ride with the Jets. The 0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:22.360 Eagles are styling and profiling right now with Jalen Hurts. 0:14:22.640 --> 0:14:25.640 They just beat up the Titans and the A. J. 0:14:25.840 --> 0:14:28.800 Brown revenge game. Now they have the I ninety five 0:14:28.920 --> 0:14:33.160 blood bath rivalry game with the Giants. They are going 0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:34.800 to be dinged up to a little bit on the defense. 0:14:35.120 --> 0:14:36.960 Robert Quinn, one of the guys that got over from 0:14:37.040 --> 0:14:40.080 Chicago as his nie scope this week. That's not a 0:14:40.120 --> 0:14:43.720 good sign New York. The great former Ram, the great 0:14:43.800 --> 0:14:46.840 Robert Quinn. How dare you but New York They have 0:14:47.000 --> 0:14:51.000 started to slide a little bit. The last five games. 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:54.480 They're one three and one straight up. The only win 0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:58.720 over the Low League Texans. So that's a bad quarter 0:14:58.800 --> 0:15:01.720 of a season. And part of the issue here is 0:15:01.760 --> 0:15:04.840 that Danny Dimes is starting to play more like Danny Dimes. 0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:08.680 He's regressed and that's made things harder to trickle down 0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:12.000 with Sequon Barkley and all that, but the last month 0:15:12.120 --> 0:15:15.680 or so, Daniel Jones last five games has a passer 0:15:15.760 --> 0:15:21.160 rating right around ninety, which is not good, not good. 0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:23.440 So I think Philly will win this game. But again, 0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:26.200 you're talking about a divisional game. You're getting a touchdown. 0:15:26.800 --> 0:15:29.280 You gotta take the Giants in this game. Otherwise, don't 0:15:29.320 --> 0:15:32.480 bet the game. I'm taking the Giants here. I'll take 0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:36.680 the seven points, Eagles thirty and the Giants twenty four. 0:15:36.840 --> 0:15:44.400 The final penny is agreeing with you, going with the Giants, 0:15:45.040 --> 0:15:47.040 all right, So we're in agreement on that benny versus 0:15:47.040 --> 0:15:51.280 the penny. Next up, Cleveland five and seven at Cincinnati 0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:57.120 eight and four. It is on CBS and they have 0:15:57.320 --> 0:16:01.680 the call Greg Gumbel, who hates sports radio, and Adam Rceiletta. 0:16:02.400 --> 0:16:05.320 The Bengals opened up a four point favorite. This is 0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:08.320 all the way up to six at the former Paul 0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:12.280 Brown Stadium in the natty, cloudy temperatures in the forties 0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:15.480 of kickoff. Most people seem to think the Bengals on 0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:17.960 the right side here. Cincinnati nine and one against the 0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:21.200 spread their last ten with Joe Burrow, and even though 0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:26.120 the Browns have done very well against the Bengals, gambling wise, 0:16:26.160 --> 0:16:30.080 Cincinnati has covered eleven of the last fifteen games. I'm 0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:32.960 gonna take the Bengals in this game. I'll lay the number. 0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:34.600 That's a big number for me to lay, but I'm 0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:38.120 gonna do it. History says that Cleveland has Joe Burrow's 0:16:38.200 --> 0:16:43.160 number Joey franchises oh in four in his career against 0:16:43.240 --> 0:16:46.640 the Clevelanders. But that tells you what has happened, not 0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:52.000 what's going to happen. The Browns have lost uh, They've 0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.800 lost their moji, They've lost their way on offense, and 0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:57.400 did not even get a touchdown on offense against the 0:16:57.440 --> 0:17:00.800 Texans last week as a war crime. To Shawn Watson 0:17:00.840 --> 0:17:03.520 looked not only like a quarterback, he looked like he 0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:06.640 was drinking out of a fire hose against the worst 0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:11.280 team in the NFL, as dry as the Sahara Desert. 0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.720 The Texans offense just terrible in Cleveland. Could not do 0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:17.200 much of anything in that game. Since he should win 0:17:17.240 --> 0:17:20.480 this game by a landslide, I don't expect Watson to 0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:23.000 get much better here, as he has not played in 0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:27.560 a couple of years. So Bengals thirty one and the 0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:36.880 Browns thirteen. The final and the penny likes Deshaun Watson 0:17:36.880 --> 0:17:39.960 and the Browns. Maybe the Penny wants to give Watson 0:17:40.000 --> 0:17:42.040 a massage here. That could be the Maybe it's like 0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:43.719 a prank or something like that. I don't know, all right, 0:17:43.760 --> 0:17:48.480 Next up Jacksonville four and eight. I guess so, Jacksonville 0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:51.800 four in eight, Tennessee seven and five on CMS with 0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:56.160 Andrew Catalan and James lofton this game. Not exactly hitting 0:17:56.160 --> 0:17:59.960 the bull's eye, but we bet every game. We handicapped 0:18:00.040 --> 0:18:03.040 every game, so the Titans opened up a four point favorite. 0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:07.879 They are favored by four still and most people betting 0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:11.000 on the Tennessee Titans. This game. Light rain in Nashville 0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:16.159 in the forecast and in the fifties at kickoff. Tennessee 0:18:16.320 --> 0:18:21.120 is six and oh against the spread against losing teams 0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:24.760 this season. The Titans eight and two against the spread 0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:27.200 their last tense, so some good numbers there. Jackson goes 0:18:27.200 --> 0:18:30.000 just one in five against the number on the road 0:18:30.119 --> 0:18:34.200 this season. The Jags are my pick. I don't love 0:18:34.240 --> 0:18:36.080 the pick, but I'm taking the Jacks for a couple 0:18:36.160 --> 0:18:39.439 of reasons. I expect a much better performance, a bounce 0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:42.520 back performance. They were absolutely mocked up and down the 0:18:42.520 --> 0:18:46.280 field by Detroit last week. Trevor Lawrence he's got a 0:18:46.280 --> 0:18:48.480 bit of a toe thing. I'm hearing he's gonna play. 0:18:48.480 --> 0:18:50.240 We'll find out if that's the case. Obviously my pick 0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:54.679 will change if he's not playing. Nevertheless, uh we we 0:18:54.760 --> 0:18:58.760 believe after that kicking the nuts by the Lions last week, 0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:03.440 the Titans will will be facing a much better upon 0:19:03.480 --> 0:19:05.399 our Tennessee had their own issues last week, but the 0:19:05.400 --> 0:19:09.160 Titans secondary blows and so if Lawrence plays, he should 0:19:09.160 --> 0:19:12.240 be able to pick apart that defense with Christian Kirk 0:19:12.800 --> 0:19:16.080 and Bai Jones and make some big plays there. Tennessee 0:19:16.160 --> 0:19:19.640 has been a much better underdog team, as we talked 0:19:19.640 --> 0:19:24.200 about earlier than a favorite. And Ryan Tannehills looked terrible 0:19:24.960 --> 0:19:29.080 at quarterback, the current starter. With Derrick Henry in the backfield, 0:19:29.280 --> 0:19:32.920 the flame Heads ranked twenty nine in yards per game. 0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:36.600 The Titans were roasted by the Eagles, who said, and 0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:41.920 then they fired John Robinson. They're a head coach, so dysfunction, junction, 0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:45.600 what's your function? And I'm gonna take the Tennessee Titans 0:19:45.640 --> 0:19:48.240 to win, but the Jags to cover a close game 0:19:48.280 --> 0:19:53.040 of field goal game Titans twenty and the Jags seventeen 0:19:53.200 --> 0:20:00.480 the final, and I wish I could had talked to 0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:03.720 Penny out of going with Towne Hill, but the Penny 0:20:04.000 --> 0:20:08.040 landed on heads going with the Titans. All right, bad 0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:14.120 job by the aforementioned Penny. Next up Houston. They sucked 0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:19.200 their one ten and one at Dallas, and Dallas comes 0:20:19.200 --> 0:20:24.320 in nine and three. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez have 0:20:24.560 --> 0:20:28.520 the call as the Cowboys were a fourteen and a 0:20:28.520 --> 0:20:30.520 half point favorite. They were bet all the way up 0:20:30.600 --> 0:20:34.720 the seventeen and then that didn't pass the smell test. 0:20:35.640 --> 0:20:38.639 The latest line we have Cowboys are a sixteen and 0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:40.840 a half point favorite. How you like the cozy up 0:20:40.880 --> 0:20:43.400 to that line? Sixteen and a half. Most people think 0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:46.639 the Cowboys will cover their a national glamour team, and 0:20:46.680 --> 0:20:51.880 they're getting around of the bets in favor of Dallas 0:20:51.960 --> 0:20:53.600 at a T and T stadium in the house that 0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:57.600 Jerry Jones built, mostly cloudy temperatures in the fifties that 0:20:57.720 --> 0:21:01.800 kick off. The Cowboys are not going to be my pick. 0:21:01.800 --> 0:21:04.640 I'm gonna take the Texans in this game. Now, NFL 0:21:04.720 --> 0:21:07.320 teams that have been favored by seventeen or more twelve 0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:09.399 and three against the spread but this sixteen and a half, 0:21:09.720 --> 0:21:13.000 that half point means everything. And Dallas has been the 0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:15.280 greatest cover team in the NFL. They're winning by an 0:21:15.280 --> 0:21:17.960 average of eight and a half points so far this year. 0:21:18.119 --> 0:21:20.240 But the main thing for me is Davis Mills is 0:21:20.280 --> 0:21:23.400 coming back. And Davis Mills is a bum. But he's 0:21:23.400 --> 0:21:26.240 not as big a bum as Kyle Allen, who's wretched, 0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:30.200 who should be put out the pasture? This guy incompetent 0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:34.600 in Salvent. Quarterback Mills is at least average, and that 0:21:34.720 --> 0:21:38.200 gives Houston an opportunity to get the back door cover 0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:41.320 at you know, and you know, I mean they should 0:21:41.320 --> 0:21:44.240 get the back door cover here. Uh break down the 0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:46.800 game and go back and forth. And the Cowboys how 0:21:46.840 --> 0:21:48.520 do they spend their week? They had the fourth quarter 0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:52.439 come back. They then begged Odell Beckham to come to 0:21:52.480 --> 0:21:55.560 the team. They then hung out and realized Jerry Jones 0:21:56.119 --> 0:21:59.119 cannot allow Odell Beckham to come back and play in 0:21:59.160 --> 0:22:02.959 his situation. Anyway, I go on and on Cowboys thirty 0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:12.840 three and the Texans third, Texans seventeen. Penny going with Houston, 0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:15.680 all right, So the penny is a big Davis Mills fan, 0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:18.600 and you're going with David Mills. All right, next up 0:22:18.920 --> 0:22:22.040 late games, the late television window. Here's a matchup. It 0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:24.679 will give you goose bumps. Carolina four and eight in 0:22:24.720 --> 0:22:29.160 Seattle seven and five, unless it does it on Fox 0:22:29.200 --> 0:22:32.800 with Adam Aman and Mark Slayer at the Seahawks open 0:22:33.880 --> 0:22:36.199 seven point favorites and then people say what are we 0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:39.680 doing here? Yeah? What what's going on? In the blink 0:22:39.720 --> 0:22:40.960 of an eye, and went all the way down to 0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:42.560 three and a half. That's where it is right now. 0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:45.920 Seattle favored by three and a half in this game. 0:22:45.960 --> 0:22:49.760 Temperature in the forties, light rain in the Seattle area 0:22:50.240 --> 0:22:54.760 tis the time of the season, and looming field is 0:22:54.800 --> 0:22:57.159 the name, whatever corporate name they gave it. Carolina oh 0:22:57.320 --> 0:23:00.880 and four against the spread fire following a bye week 0:23:00.920 --> 0:23:03.840 over the past five seasons. I actually like the Panthers 0:23:03.840 --> 0:23:05.199 in this game, and I like the Panthers a lot. 0:23:05.240 --> 0:23:07.480 It's one of my better plays this weekend. So take 0:23:07.520 --> 0:23:10.760 that with a grain assault. But Seattle, they allowed the 0:23:10.960 --> 0:23:14.800 pitiful l A I am, this group of misfits on 0:23:14.840 --> 0:23:17.960 the offensive line and the backfield to run for a 0:23:18.040 --> 0:23:21.399 hundred and seventy one yards. The Rams ran for a 0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:25.800 hundred seventy one yards. Now they go against they being Carolina, 0:23:26.520 --> 0:23:31.479 a quality running team, like quality running team with the 0:23:31.560 --> 0:23:35.560 electric Deante Foreman. This is the guy. He's the guy 0:23:36.160 --> 0:23:40.280 we trust as the X factor. Foreman is averaged four 0:23:40.359 --> 0:23:43.480 point six points or four pants six yards per carry, 0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:45.560 I should say, and his eyes are gonna be lit 0:23:45.640 --> 0:23:48.160 up like the size of saucers. So I'm gonna take 0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:52.920 the Buccaneers, actually the Carolina, the Buccaneers, the Carolina Panthers 0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:55.000 who just played the Buccaneers couple weeks ago, and Seattle, 0:23:55.000 --> 0:23:57.320 who also played the Buccaneers a couple of weeks ago. 0:23:57.400 --> 0:24:00.320 But I'm gonna take Seattle and the Panthers twenty three 0:24:00.320 --> 0:24:09.000 of the final, and the penny going with the Panthers, alright, 0:24:09.040 --> 0:24:11.000 the penny going with the Panthers as well, So we 0:24:11.040 --> 0:24:14.359 agree on that. Next up, Tampa Bay at San Francisco. 0:24:14.840 --> 0:24:19.120 It is on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen. 0:24:19.240 --> 0:24:24.080 The Bucks six and sixty eight and four Niners opened 0:24:24.119 --> 0:24:26.040 up a six point favorite. They're down all the way 0:24:26.080 --> 0:24:31.399 to three and a half. Temperatures in the high fifties 0:24:31.600 --> 0:24:33.720 and it will go down to the low fifties as 0:24:33.760 --> 0:24:36.199 the afternoon goes on light rain in the forecast at 0:24:36.240 --> 0:24:40.240 Levi's Stadium, the Niners getting most of the public money 0:24:40.720 --> 0:24:46.960 they handle around. Tom Brady has been great against rookie quarterbacks, 0:24:47.000 --> 0:24:50.080 as you might imagine, twenty three and six straight up 0:24:50.119 --> 0:24:54.960 against rookie quarterbacks, but fourteen and fifteen against the spread, 0:24:55.520 --> 0:24:58.600