1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: Kabooms. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 2 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:09,360 Speaker 1: week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of 3 00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats 4 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the rich 5 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:20,320 Speaker 1: pill poppers in the penthouse to clearing house of hot takes, 6 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 7 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: Mallar starts right now in the air everywhere, and welcome 8 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: into the Fifth Hour with Ben Mallor and Danny G Radio. 9 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 1: And it's unlike all the other Fifth Hours because it's Friday, 10 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: and that means Benny versus the Penny. Week fourteen, he 11 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: we go, welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up? It's 12 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 1: time now Benny versus the Penny? All right, back at 13 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 1: it again. Now before we get to the games, Danny G. 14 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 1: We must, we must look back and see how things 15 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: went last week? How did week thirto? I don't care 16 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 1: about the penny. It's all about me And I had 17 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: I had said I was due for a stinker l stink, Oh, Danny, 18 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 1: I had pointed that out. I said, I've been winning 19 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 1: way too many games. Eventually this is gonna bite me. 20 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 1: And they took his and the last week, Yeah, that happened. 21 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:37,480 Speaker 1: I had some bad beats last week, some games that 22 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: were heading my direction that went sideways in week thirteen. 23 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: Uh and as a result of that, and I can 24 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: point out the games the Commanders had attend nothing lead 25 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: over the Giant side Washington, the game ended up in 26 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 1: a tie. I lost the Jets. Uh. They had the 27 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:59,919 Speaker 1: ball late to cover at the one yard line against 28 00:01:59,920 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: the Vikings. They couldn't get it and they turned it over. Yeah, 29 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 1: I know that was pathetic. So that sucks. I did 30 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 1: get a win. I should not have gotten the Packers. 31 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 1: We're trying to run out the clock and they scored 32 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:17,079 Speaker 1: a touchdown against the Bears. So there was that. The 33 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,919 Speaker 1: Browns Texans game, I consider that a bad beat. And 34 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 1: I'll tell you why. The Browns did not score an 35 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 1: offensive touchdown and still won by thirteen points. And they 36 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: did not their office no touchdowns. We were completely wrong 37 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 1: about the Titans. That was that was embarrassing. That was 38 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: gutless football by them. Bad job. The other game that 39 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:43,359 Speaker 1: really stood out like a sore thumb was the Cowboy 40 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: wrong about the Titans. I had the Eagles. Uh, well, 41 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: the the cold Cowboy game though, was going to the 42 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: fourth quarter. It was AW one nineteen game, and I'm 43 00:02:56,919 --> 00:03:00,080 Speaker 1: getting a bunch of points with the Colts, and and 44 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 1: they put up the Cowboys put up thirty three points. 45 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 1: And I still can't believe that it's a two point 46 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 1: game going to fourth course, anyone's game and you end 47 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:13,880 Speaker 1: up losing fifty four nineteen. Unbelievable, it's ridunculous. Anyway, So 48 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 1: that was last week, and overall went six and nine 49 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,959 Speaker 1: against the spread. So that is my first losing week 50 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: since way back in Week two of the season. That's 51 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 1: a four winning percentage. And the Penny, you know how 52 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 1: the Penny did, Danny, how do you think the Penny did? 53 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 1: One game over five? How about one game under five? Penny? 54 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 1: We're fifteen games. The Penny was seven and eight against 55 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: the spread. So that's ah. It beat me because I 56 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: warned both you and the Penny about taking the Chargers. Yeah, 57 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 1: well listen the charges deciding to not not play in 58 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: the second half there, right, it was they were up 59 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 1: ten or whatever it was at halftime and then did 60 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 1: not complete the game. But anyway, all right, so the 61 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 1: overall record on Benny versus the Penny before we get 62 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: to the card this week, I Benny hundred and twelve wins, 63 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:17,080 Speaker 1: seventy eight losses and five ties. That's a five eight 64 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: nine winning percential. Still good, not as good as I 65 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: had been. The last couple of weeks have been blah 66 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 1: and the penny nine three one oh two and three 67 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 1: four seventies seven winning percentage winning for the Penny. That's 68 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 1: a It was at nine games under five for the Penny, 69 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: and I know better these numbers. That is true. But 70 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:46,039 Speaker 1: these numbers, Danny, are fact checked by Roscoe the Parrot 71 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:50,279 Speaker 1: and David in winter Park, Florida, and by Robin Vegas 72 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: and several others who are making sure I'm not doctoring 73 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: the books at all. But anyway, when we picked the 74 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:01,159 Speaker 1: Thursday night game, we picked had already on the radio. 75 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:04,159 Speaker 1: So let's get right into the Thursday to the to 76 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 1: the weekend games. Here, we'll get right into it. The 77 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 1: Sunday games, Week fourteen of the NFL. Minnesota will start 78 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 1: with this Minnesota tendant to at Detroit five and seven. 79 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:21,039 Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. The 80 00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: Vikings were originally a two and a half point favorite 81 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 1: the Lions, though favored by two and a half in 82 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 1: this game, and the money's pretty even at Ford Field 83 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,839 Speaker 1: in Detroit a dome, so the weather will not matter. 84 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:38,480 Speaker 1: The Vikings their last seven games five one and one 85 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: against the spread, but Minnesota as a favorite. Some of 86 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: the numbers on this game. The Vikings are two and 87 00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 1: five their last seven as an underdog, and Minnesota has 88 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 1: failed to cover five of their last six in that situation. 89 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: The Lions, though at Ford Field, have been very good 90 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 1: for gamblers eight one and one against the spread and 91 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 1: dance gamble for all the nonsense and all the shenani 92 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:07,119 Speaker 1: against Dan Campbell seventeen seven and won ten games above 93 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: five against the spread. Over the last games in Detroit, 94 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,479 Speaker 1: they've covered five straight games. So there's a lot of 95 00:06:17,279 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 1: a lot of positives if you look at some of 96 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 1: these numbers there. I want to take the Lions again 97 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:22,839 Speaker 1: in this game, and I'll tell you why. Now. I 98 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: went back and forth on this game. I was like, Wow, 99 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 1: the Vikings are tenant to the Lions are five and seven, 100 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: blah blah bah blah blah blah blah blah blah, But 101 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:33,000 Speaker 1: I'm taking Detroit. These teams played back in Week three, 102 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 1: Detroit was able to score at will against Minnesota's defense, 103 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 1: and then the music stopped. There was that record scratch 104 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 1: moment when Amon ross st Brown and DeAndre Swift both 105 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 1: got hurt, but the Lions had a ten point lead, 106 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 1: double digit lead in the fourth quarter, and then those 107 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: guys got hurt. They're both back, so we assume the 108 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: pedal to the medal should be there again for Detroit. 109 00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 1: Their defense is playing much better now than it was 110 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,719 Speaker 1: in that game against Minnesota. Aiden Hutchinson is a total 111 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:06,479 Speaker 1: stud in the middle, and the Lions have been able 112 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: to contain some decent running backs like Sequon Barkley, Raheem 113 00:07:10,680 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 1: Mostard Travis at the end as well since the bye week, 114 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 1: so they should be able to slow down Dalvin Cook. 115 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins. When he's pressured, he's terrible. The Lions get 116 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 1: pretty good pressure against Cousins in this game. Detroit thirty 117 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: and the Vikings twenty four the final and a disagreement 118 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 1: right off the jump. Penny going with the Vikings, all right, 119 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 1: so the penny will be oh and one I will 120 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 1: be one to know next up that j E. T 121 00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:47,480 Speaker 1: s sucks, sucks, suck. The New York Jets at seven 122 00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: and five, and here we go Buffalo at nine and 123 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 1: three on CBS. The big game at CBS. Jim Nance 124 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 1: Tony Romo will be there. The Bills opened up a 125 00:07:56,840 --> 00:08:00,679 Speaker 1: nine point favorite. They're favored by nine and a half 126 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:05,200 Speaker 1: over se of the handle. The numbers we have coming 127 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 1: in on Buffalo, no blizzard, no lake effects, snow in 128 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 1: the high Mark Stadium, cloudy, temperatures in the thirties at 129 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 1: least a kickoff for this game, and the Jets six 130 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 1: and one against the spread their last seven after a 131 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 1: straight up loss. They've been a pretty good team with 132 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: Robert Sala on the road overall, and then on the 133 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: last six games there four and two against the spread 134 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: for the Gambles the Bills. You look at some of 135 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: the numbers, they have Buffalo two and five against the 136 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:43,200 Speaker 1: spread their last seven against teams that have a winning record, 137 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 1: and you break the game apart seven thousand different ways, 138 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Jets plus the nine and a half. 139 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,440 Speaker 1: The Jets just beat the Bills back in Week nine 140 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: with Zach Wilson, but Buffalo they were damaged in that game. 141 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 1: They did not have their full roster because of injuries. 142 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 1: Have gotten some guys back. But Von Miller is out 143 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:06,079 Speaker 1: for the year. Now he's gone, he's not coming back. 144 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: And the Jets have changed quarterbacks. Matt right, Matt White 145 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 1: is the quarterback. Don't know is he is he right? 146 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 1: I don't know because he's had two games against the 147 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 1: Bad News Bears, he had three touchdowns Matt White and 148 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 1: was great. And then this last week against the Jets, 149 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 1: he he had a bug in his system, two interceptions, 150 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: no touchdowns. You mentioned the issues that White had right 151 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 1: at the goal line and the Jets Mike White, Mike White, 152 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 1: I say, Matt White, Mike White, Mike White at the 153 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,840 Speaker 1: goal line. This guy right there, I mean twice for 154 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:48,559 Speaker 1: the for the Jets unable to get it done. So, uh, 155 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:52,680 Speaker 1: we'll find out which Mike White shows his cousin's name, Matt. 156 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 1: That's the friends with his cousin, Matt. But but Mike 157 00:09:56,000 --> 00:10:01,319 Speaker 1: White there. So I expect the middling performance by Mike 158 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 1: White in this game, and he's been able to move 159 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 1: the ball a lot between the twenties. The Jets defense 160 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,440 Speaker 1: is pretty good. They're number four in the NFL. Some 161 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:16,640 Speaker 1: of the numbers are adjusted value over average, whatever that means. 162 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 1: A v O A and I go back to my 163 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 1: default position, my golden rule. Any time you get over 164 00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:28,839 Speaker 1: seven points in a divisional game and a revenge game, 165 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:32,040 Speaker 1: you know you take the point. I know it's avenging 166 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:34,200 Speaker 1: for Buffalo, but I'm gonna take the points here, and 167 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 1: Bills can still win this game by touchdown and the 168 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 1: Jets will cover the spread. You're getting a lot of 169 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 1: a lot of wiggle room with the Jets. Bills thirty one, 170 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 1: Jets twenty four the final and it looks like the 171 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:56,680 Speaker 1: penny as a white fan also with the Jets. Alright, 172 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 1: so we both agree on that. Next up, Baltimore eight 173 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 1: and four at Pittsburgh five and seven on CBS with 174 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: Kevin Harlan and Trent Green the Steelers. They opened up 175 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:11,680 Speaker 1: an underdog. Ravens were four point favorites, but now Pittsburgh 176 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:13,960 Speaker 1: is two and a half point favorites. There's a six 177 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:17,079 Speaker 1: and a half point spread change from what the original 178 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 1: opening line was. At the former Hines Field in Pittsburgh, cloudy, 179 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 1: typical overcast Pennsylvania day. There temperatures in the thirties at kickoff. 180 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 1: This is an outdoor stadium, so take that for what 181 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 1: it's worth. Baltimore, the Ravens without Lamar Jackson, I actually 182 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: have a winning record since he was drafted against the 183 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 1: spread now, not overall, but against the spread, nine and 184 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 1: seven against the spread. And that's important because Lamar is 185 00:11:46,960 --> 00:11:51,320 Speaker 1: not playing in this game and Baltimore fifteen two and 186 00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 1: one against the spread in the regular season as an 187 00:11:54,720 --> 00:12:02,479 Speaker 1: underdog since the start of that season ten and nine outright, 188 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 1: but they've been great. That is the highest cover percentage 189 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:10,360 Speaker 1: winning percentage in the NFL, and the second best team 190 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 1: is Tennessee as an underdog. But the change here is 191 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:18,439 Speaker 1: at quarterback. I want to take the Ravens. I went 192 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 1: back and forth on this game, and I I crunched 193 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 1: some more numbers and I decided to take Baltimore going 194 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:27,719 Speaker 1: with backup Tyler Huntley in this game under center with 195 00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 1: Lamar out. And this means that the Ravens are gonna 196 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: have to run the ball, and they have the ability 197 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 1: to do that. Gus Edwards and Kenyan Drake and the 198 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: running game have to snazz up that offense there, and 199 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:43,560 Speaker 1: I expect both teams to be stuck in the mud 200 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,200 Speaker 1: and a grind it out, low scoring game. I like 201 00:12:46,320 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: getting some points here. And while I am a fan 202 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh's defense with t J. Watt and Micky Fitzpatrick 203 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,679 Speaker 1: devon Bush guys like that. I like them as underdogs, 204 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: I don't trust them as favorites. Kenny Picketts at three 205 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 1: straight games without a turnover, and I'm not saying he's due, 206 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: but I don't trust him. And I expect the Ravens 207 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: to step up rally around Huntley, the backup quarterback here. 208 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: So I will take the Steelers to actually win the game, 209 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 1: but the Ravens to cover the spread. Steelers seventeen and 210 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 1: the Ravens sixteen the final, and the penny is going 211 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 1: with the Steelers, alright, so we disagree on that. Next up, 212 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: Philadelphia eleven and one, top team in the NFL record wise, 213 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:38,160 Speaker 1: that the New York Giants seven four and one. It's 214 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:42,960 Speaker 1: on Fox from Jersey with Joe Davis, the old Dodger guy, 215 00:13:43,160 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 1: and Darryl Moose Johnston ex Cowboy on the call. The 216 00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:53,000 Speaker 1: Eagles opened up a six point favorite. Philadelphia favored by 217 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 1: seven in this game in Jersey against the Giants, and 218 00:13:58,360 --> 00:14:00,679 Speaker 1: the money is pretty even on this game him. The 219 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 1: Giants though seven and one against the spread as an 220 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:07,720 Speaker 1: underdog this season, and that sounds like a good record. 221 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:10,960 Speaker 1: That is the most in the NFL, most underdog covers 222 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 1: for any team. Of course, most teams aren't underdogs eight 223 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:17,440 Speaker 1: times like the Giants have been here. I'm gonna take 224 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:19,520 Speaker 1: the Giants again. I'm gonna ride with the Jets. The 225 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 1: Eagles are styling and profiling right now with Jalen Hurts. 226 00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 1: They just beat up the Titans and the A. J. 227 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 1: Brown revenge game. Now they have the I ninety five 228 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:33,160 Speaker 1: blood bath rivalry game with the Giants. They are going 229 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 1: to be dinged up to a little bit on the defense. 230 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 1: Robert Quinn, one of the guys that got over from 231 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 1: Chicago as his nie scope this week. That's not a 232 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:43,720 Speaker 1: good sign New York. The great former Ram, the great 233 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 1: Robert Quinn. How dare you but New York They have 234 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 1: started to slide a little bit. The last five games. 235 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 1: They're one three and one straight up. The only win 236 00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:58,720 Speaker 1: over the Low League Texans. So that's a bad quarter 237 00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 1: of a season. And part of the issue here is 238 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: that Danny Dimes is starting to play more like Danny Dimes. 239 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:08,680 Speaker 1: He's regressed and that's made things harder to trickle down 240 00:15:08,720 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: with Sequon Barkley and all that, but the last month 241 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 1: or so, Daniel Jones last five games has a passer 242 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: rating right around ninety, which is not good, not good. 243 00:15:21,200 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 1: So I think Philly will win this game. But again, 244 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 1: you're talking about a divisional game. You're getting a touchdown. 245 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 1: You gotta take the Giants in this game. Otherwise, don't 246 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 1: bet the game. I'm taking the Giants here. I'll take 247 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 1: the seven points, Eagles thirty and the Giants twenty four. 248 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 1: The final penny is agreeing with you, going with the Giants, 249 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 1: all right, So we're in agreement on that benny versus 250 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:51,280 Speaker 1: the penny. Next up, Cleveland five and seven at Cincinnati 251 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:57,120 Speaker 1: eight and four. It is on CBS and they have 252 00:15:57,320 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 1: the call Greg Gumbel, who hates sports radio, and Adam Rceiletta. 253 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:05,320 Speaker 1: The Bengals opened up a four point favorite. This is 254 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 1: all the way up to six at the former Paul 255 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 1: Brown Stadium in the natty, cloudy temperatures in the forties 256 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 1: of kickoff. Most people seem to think the Bengals on 257 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 1: the right side here. Cincinnati nine and one against the 258 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,200 Speaker 1: spread their last ten with Joe Burrow, and even though 259 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: the Browns have done very well against the Bengals, gambling wise, 260 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:30,080 Speaker 1: Cincinnati has covered eleven of the last fifteen games. I'm 261 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: gonna take the Bengals in this game. I'll lay the number. 262 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 1: That's a big number for me to lay, but I'm 263 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 1: gonna do it. History says that Cleveland has Joe Burrow's 264 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 1: number Joey franchises oh in four in his career against 265 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:46,640 Speaker 1: the Clevelanders. But that tells you what has happened, not 266 00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:52,000 Speaker 1: what's going to happen. The Browns have lost uh, They've 267 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 1: lost their moji, They've lost their way on offense, and 268 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: did not even get a touchdown on offense against the 269 00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 1: Texans last week as a war crime. To Shawn Watson 270 00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 1: looked not only like a quarterback, he looked like he 271 00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:06,640 Speaker 1: was drinking out of a fire hose against the worst 272 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:11,280 Speaker 1: team in the NFL, as dry as the Sahara Desert. 273 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 1: The Texans offense just terrible in Cleveland. Could not do 274 00:17:14,840 --> 00:17:17,200 Speaker 1: much of anything in that game. Since he should win 275 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 1: this game by a landslide, I don't expect Watson to 276 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 1: get much better here, as he has not played in 277 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 1: a couple of years. So Bengals thirty one and the 278 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:36,880 Speaker 1: Browns thirteen. The final and the penny likes Deshaun Watson 279 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 1: and the Browns. Maybe the Penny wants to give Watson 280 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 1: a massage here. That could be the Maybe it's like 281 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:43,719 Speaker 1: a prank or something like that. I don't know, all right, 282 00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 1: Next up Jacksonville four and eight. I guess so, Jacksonville 283 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 1: four in eight, Tennessee seven and five on CMS with 284 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:56,160 Speaker 1: Andrew Catalan and James lofton this game. Not exactly hitting 285 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: the bull's eye, but we bet every game. We handicapped 286 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 1: every game, so the Titans opened up a four point favorite. 287 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:07,879 Speaker 1: They are favored by four still and most people betting 288 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,000 Speaker 1: on the Tennessee Titans. This game. Light rain in Nashville 289 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:16,159 Speaker 1: in the forecast and in the fifties at kickoff. Tennessee 290 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 1: is six and oh against the spread against losing teams 291 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 1: this season. The Titans eight and two against the spread 292 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:27,200 Speaker 1: their last tense, so some good numbers there. Jackson goes 293 00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 1: just one in five against the number on the road 294 00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:34,200 Speaker 1: this season. The Jags are my pick. I don't love 295 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,080 Speaker 1: the pick, but I'm taking the Jacks for a couple 296 00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,439 Speaker 1: of reasons. I expect a much better performance, a bounce 297 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 1: back performance. They were absolutely mocked up and down the 298 00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 1: field by Detroit last week. Trevor Lawrence he's got a 299 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 1: bit of a toe thing. I'm hearing he's gonna play. 300 00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:50,240 Speaker 1: We'll find out if that's the case. Obviously my pick 301 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:54,679 Speaker 1: will change if he's not playing. Nevertheless, uh we we 302 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:58,760 Speaker 1: believe after that kicking the nuts by the Lions last week, 303 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:03,440 Speaker 1: the Titans will will be facing a much better upon 304 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 1: our Tennessee had their own issues last week, but the 305 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:09,160 Speaker 1: Titans secondary blows and so if Lawrence plays, he should 306 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:12,240 Speaker 1: be able to pick apart that defense with Christian Kirk 307 00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: and Bai Jones and make some big plays there. Tennessee 308 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:19,640 Speaker 1: has been a much better underdog team, as we talked 309 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:24,200 Speaker 1: about earlier than a favorite. And Ryan Tannehills looked terrible 310 00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 1: at quarterback, the current starter. With Derrick Henry in the backfield, 311 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:32,920 Speaker 1: the flame Heads ranked twenty nine in yards per game. 312 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 1: The Titans were roasted by the Eagles, who said, and 313 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:41,920 Speaker 1: then they fired John Robinson. They're a head coach, so dysfunction, junction, 314 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:45,600 Speaker 1: what's your function? And I'm gonna take the Tennessee Titans 315 00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,240 Speaker 1: to win, but the Jags to cover a close game 316 00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: of field goal game Titans twenty and the Jags seventeen 317 00:19:53,200 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 1: the final, and I wish I could had talked to 318 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:03,720 Speaker 1: Penny out of going with Towne Hill, but the Penny 319 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 1: landed on heads going with the Titans. All right, bad 320 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:14,120 Speaker 1: job by the aforementioned Penny. Next up Houston. They sucked 321 00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:19,200 Speaker 1: their one ten and one at Dallas, and Dallas comes 322 00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 1: in nine and three. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez have 323 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 1: the call as the Cowboys were a fourteen and a 324 00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 1: half point favorite. They were bet all the way up 325 00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:34,720 Speaker 1: the seventeen and then that didn't pass the smell test. 326 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:38,639 Speaker 1: The latest line we have Cowboys are a sixteen and 327 00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:40,840 Speaker 1: a half point favorite. How you like the cozy up 328 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,400 Speaker 1: to that line? Sixteen and a half. Most people think 329 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:46,639 Speaker 1: the Cowboys will cover their a national glamour team, and 330 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:51,880 Speaker 1: they're getting around of the bets in favor of Dallas 331 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: at a T and T stadium in the house that 332 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:57,600 Speaker 1: Jerry Jones built, mostly cloudy temperatures in the fifties that 333 00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 1: kick off. The Cowboys are not going to be my pick. 334 00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Texans in this game. Now, NFL 335 00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,320 Speaker 1: teams that have been favored by seventeen or more twelve 336 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,399 Speaker 1: and three against the spread but this sixteen and a half, 337 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 1: that half point means everything. And Dallas has been the 338 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 1: greatest cover team in the NFL. They're winning by an 339 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 1: average of eight and a half points so far this year. 340 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:20,240 Speaker 1: But the main thing for me is Davis Mills is 341 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:23,400 Speaker 1: coming back. And Davis Mills is a bum. But he's 342 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 1: not as big a bum as Kyle Allen, who's wretched, 343 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 1: who should be put out the pasture? This guy incompetent 344 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 1: in Salvent. Quarterback Mills is at least average, and that 345 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,200 Speaker 1: gives Houston an opportunity to get the back door cover 346 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 1: at you know, and you know, I mean they should 347 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 1: get the back door cover here. Uh break down the 348 00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 1: game and go back and forth. And the Cowboys how 349 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:48,520 Speaker 1: do they spend their week? They had the fourth quarter 350 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:52,439 Speaker 1: come back. They then begged Odell Beckham to come to 351 00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 1: the team. They then hung out and realized Jerry Jones 352 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:59,119 Speaker 1: cannot allow Odell Beckham to come back and play in 353 00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:02,959 Speaker 1: his situation. Anyway, I go on and on Cowboys thirty 354 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 1: three and the Texans third, Texans seventeen. Penny going with Houston, 355 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,680 Speaker 1: all right, So the penny is a big Davis Mills fan, 356 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 1: and you're going with David Mills. All right, next up 357 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:22,040 Speaker 1: late games, the late television window. Here's a matchup. It 358 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,679 Speaker 1: will give you goose bumps. Carolina four and eight in 359 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:29,160 Speaker 1: Seattle seven and five, unless it does it on Fox 360 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,800 Speaker 1: with Adam Aman and Mark Slayer at the Seahawks open 361 00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:36,199 Speaker 1: seven point favorites and then people say what are we 362 00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:39,680 Speaker 1: doing here? Yeah? What what's going on? In the blink 363 00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:40,960 Speaker 1: of an eye, and went all the way down to 364 00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:42,560 Speaker 1: three and a half. That's where it is right now. 365 00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,920 Speaker 1: Seattle favored by three and a half in this game. 366 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 1: Temperature in the forties, light rain in the Seattle area 367 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 1: tis the time of the season, and looming field is 368 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,159 Speaker 1: the name, whatever corporate name they gave it. Carolina oh 369 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,880 Speaker 1: and four against the spread fire following a bye week 370 00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 1: over the past five seasons. I actually like the Panthers 371 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:05,199 Speaker 1: in this game, and I like the Panthers a lot. 372 00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 1: It's one of my better plays this weekend. So take 373 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,760 Speaker 1: that with a grain assault. But Seattle, they allowed the 374 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 1: pitiful l A I am, this group of misfits on 375 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:17,960 Speaker 1: the offensive line and the backfield to run for a 376 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:21,399 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy one yards. The Rams ran for a 377 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 1: hundred seventy one yards. Now they go against they being Carolina, 378 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:31,479 Speaker 1: a quality running team, like quality running team with the 379 00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:35,560 Speaker 1: electric Deante Foreman. This is the guy. He's the guy 380 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 1: we trust as the X factor. Foreman is averaged four 381 00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:43,480 Speaker 1: point six points or four pants six yards per carry, 382 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: I should say, and his eyes are gonna be lit 383 00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:48,160 Speaker 1: up like the size of saucers. So I'm gonna take 384 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:52,920 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, actually the Carolina, the Buccaneers, the Carolina Panthers 385 00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,000 Speaker 1: who just played the Buccaneers couple weeks ago, and Seattle, 386 00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:57,320 Speaker 1: who also played the Buccaneers a couple of weeks ago. 387 00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna take Seattle and the Panthers twenty three 388 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 1: of the final, and the penny going with the Panthers, alright, 389 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:11,000 Speaker 1: the penny going with the Panthers as well, So we 390 00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:14,359 Speaker 1: agree on that. Next up, Tampa Bay at San Francisco. 391 00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:19,120 Speaker 1: It is on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen. 392 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 1: The Bucks six and sixty eight and four Niners opened 393 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,040 Speaker 1: up a six point favorite. They're down all the way 394 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:31,399 Speaker 1: to three and a half. Temperatures in the high fifties 395 00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:33,720 Speaker 1: and it will go down to the low fifties as 396 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,199 Speaker 1: the afternoon goes on light rain in the forecast at 397 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:40,240 Speaker 1: Levi's Stadium, the Niners getting most of the public money 398 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:46,960 Speaker 1: they handle around. Tom Brady has been great against rookie quarterbacks, 399 00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: as you might imagine, twenty three and six straight up 400 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:54,960 Speaker 1: against rookie quarterbacks, but fourteen and fifteen against the spread, 401 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 1: so actually a losing record for Gamblers against rookie quarterbacks. 402 00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 1: Tampa three eight won this season, tied with the Rams 403 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 1: for the worst cover percentage in the NFL. And I 404 00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,239 Speaker 1: am going to take despite that number, I'm gonna take 405 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,040 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers here. Tom Brady fresh off the Monday night 406 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,399 Speaker 1: come back game, he played a half a quarter of 407 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:16,080 Speaker 1: good football. The rest of the game he sucked. And 408 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 1: now he goes against Mr Irrelevant Brock Purdy, a guy 409 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:26,800 Speaker 1: who was born in December, and Tom Brady made his 410 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:30,399 Speaker 1: debut in the year two thousand and So here's what 411 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 1: it comes down to. Is this the first reel real 412 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 1: game where where the forty Niners can win with their backup. 413 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:40,879 Speaker 1: So one thing when a backup comes in off the 414 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: bench and hasn't had a lot of practice time, and 415 00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:47,919 Speaker 1: and and and also the other team hasn't seen the backup, 416 00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:50,119 Speaker 1: but brock Purdy. Now teams know he's gonna play. The 417 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Bucks defense knows he's gonna play. Will he 418 00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,800 Speaker 1: still be able to get the ball into Christian McCaffrey 419 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,919 Speaker 1: and Deebo Samuel's hands and let them work their magic 420 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,520 Speaker 1: that yaketty ah yards after a catch. I'm skeptical. I 421 00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:05,960 Speaker 1: liked what I saw pretty last week, but I always 422 00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:10,119 Speaker 1: am skeptical following a performance like that. Everyone's kissing your ass. 423 00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,760 Speaker 1: Now you gotta go back out there again. And so 424 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:17,560 Speaker 1: the Niners getting over or the the Niners laying over 425 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:19,800 Speaker 1: a field goal, the Bucks getting over a field goal. 426 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,960 Speaker 1: So Tampa is the right side here. Forty Niners twenty 427 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,359 Speaker 1: four Bucks twenty three the final, and that's a cover 428 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:35,119 Speaker 1: for Tampa Bay. And the Penny thinks that all the 429 00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:38,680 Speaker 1: dad jokes have been pretty great going with the Niners. 430 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 1: Pretty pretty pretty all right. Next up for us, we've 431 00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:48,400 Speaker 1: got that's see here Cansah City at Denver as everyone's 432 00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:51,880 Speaker 1: still reading the Riot Act to Russell Wilson, Denver three 433 00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,400 Speaker 1: and nine. Kansas City comes in nine and three. It's 434 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 1: on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis. They have 435 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,480 Speaker 1: the call. Most of The money here is on the 436 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:06,280 Speaker 1: side of the Denver Broncos, which is surprising. The Chiefs 437 00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:09,800 Speaker 1: favored by nine and a half mostly cloudy temperatures in 438 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:14,360 Speaker 1: the high thirties at kickoff with Iron Eagle and Charles 439 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:18,800 Speaker 1: Davis on the call. The Chiefs opened up a nine 440 00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:21,439 Speaker 1: point for actually seven a half there up to nine 441 00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:23,200 Speaker 1: and half there They opened up a seven a point 442 00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 1: fair excuse me, their favored by nine and a half. 443 00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:29,120 Speaker 1: Most people think this is free money. Just bet on 444 00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 1: the Chiefs who are heck, bet on whoever you want. 445 00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 1: But it doesn't matter. You're gonna win this game either way, 446 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 1: unless you're not. Russell Wilson under center for the Broncos 447 00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:41,080 Speaker 1: five and all against the spread in his career of 448 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:45,120 Speaker 1: at least seven and a half point underdog status one 449 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,639 Speaker 1: and four straight up in those games, but he's only 450 00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:51,359 Speaker 1: been an eight point or greater underdog twice in his career, 451 00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:55,680 Speaker 1: so very rarely. This is uncharted waters for Russ Mr 452 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:59,639 Speaker 1: Unlimited and Kansas City has not been very good against 453 00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:03,480 Speaker 1: conference opponents there. One in seven against the spread. That's 454 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:07,520 Speaker 1: very light. That is the last eight matchups here, and 455 00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:10,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Broncos in this game. Russell Wilson, 456 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:14,040 Speaker 1: who's not good. I'm not betting on this game because 457 00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:17,320 Speaker 1: of Russell Wilson, but you're getting later in the year. 458 00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 1: There's opportunities here to still save some face, trying to 459 00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:24,359 Speaker 1: cut the damage, cut your losses if you will. And 460 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:27,119 Speaker 1: he's gonna need the defense to stop the bleeding. That's it. 461 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:31,399 Speaker 1: That's the obvious answer. He had been the devil for 462 00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:35,040 Speaker 1: some time in Denver and that will not happen this week. 463 00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:40,160 Speaker 1: Not likely at all that happened this week. But if 464 00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 1: he you know, if he did, that's that's fine. So 465 00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Chiefs twenty seven and the Broncos 466 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 1: twenty the final in the Penny says he's riding with 467 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 1: you and ridiculous Russ. All right, we agree on that. 468 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,200 Speaker 1: So Chiefs twenty seven Broncos twenty games final. I'm taking 469 00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:05,080 Speaker 1: the Broncos plus the points there, all right, last game, 470 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:08,160 Speaker 1: last game for the Sunday car then we'll get to 471 00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 1: the Monday night game. But Sunday Night Football Miami eight 472 00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: and four at the Chargers six and six on and 473 00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:20,320 Speaker 1: be see this game flexed. It seems like a dog matchup. 474 00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,840 Speaker 1: The Charges are average, the Dolphins lost to the Niners 475 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 1: last week, but NBC had to make this move a 476 00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. So Mike Tarico and Chris Collinsworth 477 00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:30,400 Speaker 1: will be there. And there's a chance, Danny, that I 478 00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:34,120 Speaker 1: will be at this game also. I maybe depending on 479 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 1: the Chargers allowing me in. I don't know if they're 480 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 1: gonna let me in or not. Are you gonna commute 481 00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:41,400 Speaker 1: with Eddie Garcia? No, no, because I will be showing 482 00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,800 Speaker 1: up to work, unlike Eddie, who will not show up 483 00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:46,720 Speaker 1: to work. He does not like working. So I will 484 00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:48,479 Speaker 1: be there. Eddie will not be there, but the the 485 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:51,400 Speaker 1: Dolphins game opened up and pick him. Miami is a 486 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite in this game at 487 00:29:54,760 --> 00:30:00,280 Speaker 1: SOFI Stadium. Clear skies fifty nine degrees at kickoff, so 488 00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:03,400 Speaker 1: a little cool effect. There's a chance of rain in 489 00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:06,240 Speaker 1: the Greater LA area on Sunday, so it might even 490 00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:08,680 Speaker 1: rain a little bit. Don't matter, there's a roof over 491 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 1: the stadium. Miami nine and one straight up as a 492 00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:15,120 Speaker 1: favorite their last ten, but only five and four against 493 00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:19,320 Speaker 1: the spread and to a tongue of Ioloa eighteen twelve 494 00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,959 Speaker 1: and one against the spread in his career ten and 495 00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:26,960 Speaker 1: seven as a favorite. So he's got a winning record, 496 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,920 Speaker 1: not a great record, not as sexy record as a favorite. 497 00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:33,560 Speaker 1: The Chargers, Uh, They're six and four against the spread 498 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:35,400 Speaker 1: their last ten as an underdog. I'm gonna take the 499 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:38,320 Speaker 1: Dolphins as a small favorite here on the road. I'm 500 00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:41,080 Speaker 1: not gonna shy away from this game because Miami is 501 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 1: getting three and a half. That hook usually scares people away, 502 00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 1: but I Am not going to be intimidated by that hook. 503 00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 1: The Dolphins are the pick. Miami gonna bounce back this 504 00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:54,200 Speaker 1: week to a tongue of Bolla. Was sloppy against the Niners. 505 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,880 Speaker 1: Miami's defense was out of sorts against Brock Purty for 506 00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,920 Speaker 1: much of that game, and the offense are getting some 507 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,800 Speaker 1: guys back. I expected much cleaner performance of their second 508 00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:06,280 Speaker 1: game in a row on the West Coast. The Dolphins 509 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 1: will win this game, not because of tour, but because 510 00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:13,040 Speaker 1: of the running game right behind closed doors. The Chargers 511 00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:15,480 Speaker 1: are freaking out. They can't stop the run. Raheem Mostart 512 00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:17,720 Speaker 1: and Jeff Wilson, the guy that got from the Niners, 513 00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:20,800 Speaker 1: both of them x Niners. The Chargers have the worst 514 00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:25,120 Speaker 1: rush defense in the NFL. They're allowing five point five 515 00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:30,360 Speaker 1: yards per carry to their opponent. Also, the Chargers banged 516 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:34,000 Speaker 1: up on defense Derwin James with a quad injury. He 517 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:35,760 Speaker 1: may not play in this game. There's a couple of 518 00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,720 Speaker 1: other key players out. Derwin James, though, leads all NFL 519 00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 1: defensive backs with tackles, which is also a sign that 520 00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:46,440 Speaker 1: the Chargers linebackers and defensive line aren't making a lot 521 00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 1: of players there to stop the running game when Derwin 522 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,800 Speaker 1: James is the last line of defense and he's the 523 00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:56,080 Speaker 1: one flying around making all those plays. So Dolphins thirty one, 524 00:31:56,360 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 1: Chargers twenty four. The final is the pick, and the 525 00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,880 Speaker 1: penny ain't s curt E. They're going with the Dolphins 526 00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,280 Speaker 1: all night. Dolphins is the pick. Last game here, last 527 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:16,200 Speaker 1: game of the Card Week fourteen, we go to Monday 528 00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:20,760 Speaker 1: Night football and it's Arizona four and eight at home 529 00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 1: hosting New England six and six on the broadcast with ABC, Slash, ESPN. 530 00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:30,959 Speaker 1: Joe Buck and Troy Aikman have the call. The Patriots 531 00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,000 Speaker 1: opened up a two point favorite. They were favored by 532 00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:36,720 Speaker 1: one only one point favorite for New England in is 533 00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 1: a what is a must win game for the Patriots. 534 00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 1: They have very little margin for error at this point 535 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:49,000 Speaker 1: at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, clear skies, temperatures 536 00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:52,920 Speaker 1: in the fifties that kick off. New England seven three 537 00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:57,120 Speaker 1: and one against the spread after a loss since the 538 00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:59,080 Speaker 1: start of last year, So the last couple of years 539 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:03,200 Speaker 1: they've been very good for gamblers coming off a loss. 540 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:07,800 Speaker 1: And Bill Belichick in his career is he's almost thirty 541 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:13,200 Speaker 1: games above five in that spot. New England four and 542 00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:17,800 Speaker 1: one against Arizona under Bill Belichick against the spread. So 543 00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:19,920 Speaker 1: there's all kinds of numbers here. We can toss out 544 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray's terrible stats. I'm gonna take the Patriots in 545 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:26,480 Speaker 1: this game. I'll lay the one point. I don't need 546 00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:28,360 Speaker 1: the one point, I don't want the one point. I'll 547 00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:30,680 Speaker 1: just lay the one point. So I'm gonna take the Patriots. 548 00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:32,920 Speaker 1: Here's why both these teams are coming off by weeks. 549 00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:37,960 Speaker 1: New England quit against the Bills before the bye. They 550 00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:41,200 Speaker 1: quit before that. You know in the second Halbury that 551 00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:43,640 Speaker 1: game was a bad situation there for New England. The 552 00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:48,000 Speaker 1: Cardinals have been a fun house of horrors here like it. 553 00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:52,160 Speaker 1: The Kyler Murray is at loggerheads with Cliff Kingsbury. Murray's 554 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:56,920 Speaker 1: not happy with DeAndre Hopkins. His mannerism scream of a 555 00:33:56,920 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 1: guy who hates his co workers. They don't seem very 556 00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:03,040 Speaker 1: happy with him. It's a mutually mutual, mutual group. They 557 00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:06,600 Speaker 1: don't like each other. And I expect the MENSA member, 558 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,760 Speaker 1: Bill Belichick to keep Murray at bay, keep him off bounds. 559 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:13,440 Speaker 1: Even though the Patriots have had problems with mobile quarterbacks 560 00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 1: Alligai arms, Murray has not exactly been running around very 561 00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:20,000 Speaker 1: much at all. So I don't know how big a 562 00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:22,760 Speaker 1: factor that's going to be the only flying the ointment. 563 00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:28,000 Speaker 1: And I'm gonna bet on the Patriots anyway. But Mac Jones, 564 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:30,800 Speaker 1: who's been all over the map, he'll throw for a 565 00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:33,080 Speaker 1: lot of yards between the twenties. But the Patriots are 566 00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:39,000 Speaker 1: tied for dead last in red zone efficiency, scoring touchdowns 567 00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:42,759 Speaker 1: on just twelve of thirty two journeys into the red 568 00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:46,080 Speaker 1: zone inside the twenty yard line. Now, the good news 569 00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:50,320 Speaker 1: is Arizona is just what the doctor ordered. Arizona's thirty 570 00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:54,560 Speaker 1: one in scoring defense. So New England much better defensively. 571 00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 1: That's the key unit in this game. Everything else is 572 00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:03,000 Speaker 1: relatively even page Its offense not great, Cardinals offense not great. 573 00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:07,319 Speaker 1: Patriots will win this game. Twenty three to thirteen New 574 00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:16,800 Speaker 1: England into the wind column, and the penny is making 575 00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 1: it three agreements in a row to finish out the 576 00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:23,160 Speaker 1: day taking the Patriots. All right, the Patriots it is. 577 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:26,000 Speaker 1: We'll get out on that, and good luck to you. Remember, 578 00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:28,640 Speaker 1: may all your bets be winning. Was but dude, don't 579 00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:31,080 Speaker 1: put too much. And then the reason we the benny 580 00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:34,600 Speaker 1: versus penny a little shorter this week, Danny, no Packers, 581 00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:39,919 Speaker 1: no Falcons, Saints, Bears, Colts and Commanders. So a bunch 582 00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:43,400 Speaker 1: of teams on the bye week. And I think there's 583 00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:47,799 Speaker 1: one more bye week after this, I believe, and then 584 00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,399 Speaker 1: that's it, right, because there's three more weeks after that, 585 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:53,360 Speaker 1: so I think they put the kabash on the bye 586 00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:55,799 Speaker 1: weeks after next week, so this will be the next 587 00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:58,120 Speaker 1: to last week. All right, we'll get out there. Any 588 00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:00,359 Speaker 1: promote Danny inning at all you want to prom you're 589 00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:04,800 Speaker 1: only fans or anything else, big man. It's Friday morning 590 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,359 Speaker 1: as we do this, and I am gonna be in 591 00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:10,080 Speaker 1: this afternoon with Covino and Rich to ride you into 592 00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:13,320 Speaker 1: the weekend. Alright, So check that out on Fox Sports 593 00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:16,920 Speaker 1: Radio your your local Fox Sports radio station, or download 594 00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:20,200 Speaker 1: the podcast like it downloaded this podcast. Having great rest 595 00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:23,080 Speaker 1: of your day, We got a whole weekend. A podcast 596 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:24,719 Speaker 1: ahead of us will get to all that, and we'll 597 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:28,399 Speaker 1: catch you next time. Us to pasta gott a murder. 598 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:28,839 Speaker 1: I gotta go,