Speaker 1: Welcome in while Driving the Right episode four oh eight,
Speaker 1: our Christmas week gambling show. In this episode of What's Right,
Speaker 1: wh Nick Grit is presented to you by boost Mobile.
Speaker 1: A reminder to everyone, enjoy your holiday season and give
Speaker 1: us a gift by subscribing to the show on YouTube, iTunes, Spotify.
Speaker 1: If you want to give us a review or a like,
Speaker 1: that would be great, but the subscriptions are what help
Speaker 1: us out the absolute most. Any of the above are nice,
Speaker 1: but again, the subscription to the best. And a reminder,
Speaker 1: all our lines are from hard rock. Bet Demanse, you
Speaker 1: had a great teaser last week. I had a three
Speaker 1: and two week, but it was an extra gratifying three
Speaker 1: and two because we had three hunderdogs and all three
Speaker 1: underdogs one outright as we sat on the show, we
Speaker 1: thought they would. So let's go through those picks last week.
Speaker 1: And again I'm putting on a brave face because yes,
Speaker 1: as I talked about yesterday's show, I did tie my
Speaker 1: three underdog picks as money line picks and then added
Speaker 1: one of my losing favorite picks as a money line pick,
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay for what would have been a beautiful more
Speaker 1: than twenty to one Parlay and Baker ruined me. But
Speaker 1: the five picks last week were Titans plus three and
Speaker 1: a half at Kansas against Kansas City and Tennessee. I
Speaker 1: told you guys, the Chiefs were gonna struggle to score
Speaker 1: ten points. They scored nine and looked terrible. Tampa minus
Speaker 1: three at Carolina, one of the worst losses of the year.
Speaker 1: The end of the first half, it looked like they
Speaker 1: were gonna hold Carolina to a field goal. They gave
Speaker 1: up a touchdown, and then the end of the game
Speaker 1: Baker threw the game away. Dallas minus two against the Chargers.
Speaker 1: Bad pick was on the wrong side. Bad job by me.
Speaker 1: Jacksonville plus three at Denver, all over that one. New
Speaker 1: England plus three at Baltimore. That one. I guess you
Speaker 1: could say I got a little lucky because they were
Speaker 1: down eleven. But it's the Ravens. They love blowing big leads.
Speaker 1: That puts us on the season forty thirty eight and two.
Speaker 1: We are back above five hundred solidly again two games.
Speaker 1: And by the way, when we post my picks this week,
Speaker 1: graphically try to include in there my season long record,
Speaker 1: because while forty thirty eight and two might not sound good,
Speaker 1: compared to some of the other podcasts out there that
Speaker 1: are publishing their five weekly picks and their records on
Speaker 1: the year, folks would move mountains to be two games
Speaker 1: above five hundred, So we're feeling great about that. Demonse
Speaker 1: hit another winning teaser. We'll talk about that shortly, but
Speaker 1: before we get to this week's games, Demonsey, let me
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Speaker 1: eighty eight. Admit it. In Indiana. If you are someone
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Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,
Speaker 1: or Virginia. All right, no, Mon's a full disclosure for
Speaker 1: the audience. We are recording this on a Tuesday, so
Speaker 1: we have no injury reports there. We are firing basically
Speaker 1: almost a full week out into some of these games,
Speaker 1: So it's a little cliche. It's not always true, but
Speaker 1: a rule of NFL gambling historically has been bet favorites
Speaker 1: early and dogs late. What that means is, if you
Speaker 1: think you like a favorite, it usually makes sense to
Speaker 1: try to bet them early in the week, and if
Speaker 1: you like an underdog, it makes more sense to bet
Speaker 1: them close to closer to kickoff because lines typically move
Speaker 1: towards the favorite, So if they if you like a
Speaker 1: team that's laying six and a half, you bet at
Speaker 1: early because it's more likely to go to seven than
Speaker 1: go to six. And if you like a team that's
Speaker 1: getting three and a half, you wait because it's more
Speaker 1: likely to go to four than to three. And so
Speaker 1: we stayed true to that this week with going favorite heavy.
Speaker 1: In our actual picks, we will go over the stayaways,
Speaker 1: and some of these are gonna be quick because some
Speaker 1: of these are as simple as we don't know the
Speaker 1: injury situation of the quarterbacks. But let's go to our
Speaker 1: first stay away, Demons. One of the Christmas games.
Speaker 2: Christmas Game got Detroit at Minnesota and Minnesota six point dogs, So.
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna be Brosmer or JJ.
Speaker 1: I also don't know totally how much that matters, but
Speaker 1: my lean was Detroit. But I wonder if Detroit feels
Speaker 1: emotionally sapped from losing back to back games for the
Speaker 1: first time time in more than two years, not being
Speaker 1: eliminated from the playoffs, but damn near being eliminated from
Speaker 1: the playoffs. And so it's laying six points against a
Speaker 1: really well coached team on the road. I'm not doing it.
Speaker 1: I'm not betting Minnesota because I don't who the quarterback
Speaker 1: is staying away next. One of the most disgraceful things
Speaker 1: I've ever seen posted to sportsbooks everywhere.
Speaker 2: There another Christmas game, Uh, Denver at Kansas City. Kansas
Speaker 2: City's thirteen point dogs. What's dissing?
Speaker 1: I think this is the biggest home dog of my life.
Speaker 1: I think I'm not exaggerating. I think in the NFL,
Speaker 1: the Chiefs on Christmas might be the biggest home dog
Speaker 1: since nineteen eighty four. Like we could the old maybe
Speaker 1: the seven Patriots played some road games where they were
Speaker 1: favored by more than this. I don't know if the
Speaker 1: producers can look and see if that. If I'm right,
Speaker 1: maybe I'm dead wrong. I can't remember a team getting
Speaker 1: two touchdowns at home. I've gotta think it's the biggest
Speaker 1: home divisional dog.
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, me twice. Never mind twenty against the Jags
Speaker 2: in twenty thirteen. Denver played the Jags in twenty thirteen.
Speaker 2: Looks like Denver might have been twenty six point favorites.
Speaker 2: But that's that might be Rock or somebody lying to me.
Speaker 1: No, that can't be the first until Yeah, they don't
Speaker 1: ask AI this stuff twenties. And let me add something,
Speaker 1: I'm not including Week eighteen games like I mean the
Speaker 1: games where the but that the.
Speaker 2: Ravens were sixteen and a half point favorites over Giants
Speaker 2: in New York.
Speaker 1: Okay, So maybe it's just the biggest home divisional dog
Speaker 1: was recently too. So again maybe I'm maybe I'm whatever
Speaker 1: it is, this is disgusting. With that said, and Chris
Speaker 1: Oludukan is gonna be playing for the Chiefs. I I
Speaker 1: still though, can't bet. I obviously can't bet the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: but I can't bet Denver coming off a loss on
Speaker 1: a short week on Christmas when they have a huge
Speaker 1: game next week laying thirteen points. I'm just not doing it.
Speaker 1: So I'm staying away.
Speaker 2: Next Houston, at the Chargers charges to and a half
Speaker 2: point favorites.
Speaker 1: I looked long and hard at the Chargers. Here the
Speaker 1: Chargers coming off one of their best games of the year,
Speaker 1: but Houston's d line versus that offensive line was enough
Speaker 1: to scare me away. I can't bet on Houston right
Speaker 1: now against a good team because the all took a
Speaker 1: huge step back last week against the Raiders, so I
Speaker 1: didn't want to grab Houston. The Chargers still alive. The Chargers,
Speaker 1: how about this control their own destiny to win the division.
Speaker 1: If the Chargers beat the Texans and beat Denver in
Speaker 1: week thirteen Week eighteen, they win the division, which sneaky,
Speaker 1: would be huge for me because I bet a lot, well,
Speaker 1: not a lot of people, one guy in particular, my buddy.
Speaker 1: I don't think he'll mind me saying this. David Baker,
Speaker 1: who's a great professional poker player, also a great sports
Speaker 1: better and a huge Broncos fan. I bet him before
Speaker 1: the year Broncos not to win the division. I laid him.
Speaker 1: I think plus three point fifty. So the Chargers sniping
Speaker 1: it would be great for me. But it's just stay away.
Speaker 1: Don't trust the charge offensive line against that pass rush,
Speaker 1: don't trust the Texans offense against really anyone. Staying away.
Speaker 2: Next Baltimore at Green Bay, Green Bays two and a
Speaker 2: half point favorites.
Speaker 1: So I don't know who's playing quarterback for either team.
Speaker 1: Is this gonna be Tyler Huntley against Malik Willis, Is
Speaker 1: gonna be Lamar Jackson against Jordan Love? Is it gonna
Speaker 1: be a mixture? I don't know. Today is too early
Speaker 1: in the week. I gotta stay away.
Speaker 2: Next Arizona at Cincinnati Cincinnati seven point favorites.
Speaker 1: Thought about Cincinnati. Arizona seems to be packing it in
Speaker 1: Cincinnati was one I stared at. Ultimately stayed away because
Speaker 1: I don't think Cincinnati has earned the respect needed to
Speaker 1: be a full touchdown favorite against a team in Arizona.
Speaker 1: They're gonna throw a ball, Jacoby's gonna chuck the ball
Speaker 1: and they can score. So I'm staying away.
Speaker 2: Next New Orleans at Tennessee Tennessee's two and a half point.
Speaker 1: I liked New Orleans Tyler Shuck's playing well, but did
Speaker 1: Tenant listen? Did Tennessee? Are they going to end the
Speaker 1: year on a, you know, a little high note after
Speaker 1: beating the Chiefs? Or was that just the dead Chiefs bump?
Speaker 1: I don't know. Standaway.
Speaker 2: Next, uh Seattle at Carolina Carolina seven and a half
Speaker 2: point dogs.
Speaker 1: If Seattle wasn't on the extended rest. I think I
Speaker 1: would have jumped on Carolina Carolina getting the full seven
Speaker 1: at home, but Seattle's on the extended rest, and there
Speaker 1: is this aspect of it. This game doesn't actually matter
Speaker 1: for Carolina. It matters in this regard if Tampa were
Speaker 1: to lose to Miami, Carolina can win the division by
Speaker 1: winning this game. But if Carolina Carolina, assuming Tampa's gonna
Speaker 1: beat Miami, this game's totally meaningless to the Panthers. It's
Speaker 1: all about next week either way, they play Tampa again.
Speaker 1: So the fact that I think Carolina maybe is more
Speaker 1: focused on next week's game and Seattle's on the extra
Speaker 1: rest is gonna make me not take Carolina plus a
Speaker 1: full touchdown at home when they've been a really good
Speaker 1: home team all year.
Speaker 2: Next. Next, you got Tampa Bay at Miami. Miami's five
Speaker 2: and a half point dogs.
Speaker 1: I'm just too mad at Tampa to lay five and
Speaker 1: a half points on the road. They should win. The
Speaker 1: Miami's got Quinn Yours a quarterback. It's not whatever. I
Speaker 1: still can't believe the Bucks.
Speaker 2: Next, it's a New England at the Jets. Jets one
Speaker 2: and a half point favorites or waiting. No, no Jets are
Speaker 2: thirteen point dogs. I'm sorry.
Speaker 1: Like the everything says bet New England, but I'm such
Speaker 1: an idiot. By the way, I did a whole thing
Speaker 1: about how the Chiefs were the biggest home dog in
Speaker 1: my lifetime. They're just time for the biggest home dog
Speaker 1: this week. With what am I talking about? I'm just
Speaker 1: the Chiefs got me all forrassleed. This is also a
Speaker 1: divisional game. I'm just an idiot. The My god, that's embarrassing.
Speaker 1: I can't take the Jets under any circumstances, but I
Speaker 1: also can't take a road team in a divisional matchup
Speaker 1: laying thirteen points, So I'm staying away.
Speaker 2: Next next, he got the Jet the Giants at the Raiders.
Speaker 2: Raiders are one and a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: I don't even know if either team wants to win
Speaker 1: this game because the loser is in pole position for
Speaker 1: the number one pick and both teams are just awful,
Speaker 1: So I'm just staying away.
Speaker 2: Next Monday Night football, we got the Rams at Atlanta.
Speaker 2: Atlanta's eight point dogs.
Speaker 1: That line's exactly right. I'm sure to win by about
Speaker 1: a touchdown, so I'm staying away all right. Five picks
Speaker 1: do him quick, all lines from hard Rock Bet. The
Speaker 1: first pick to Mon's is my favorite pick of the weekend.
Speaker 2: You've got Dallas minus six and a half at Washington.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I listen. I think Josh Johnson's playing quarterback for Washington, Like,
Speaker 1: I don't know this, but I think it. And if
Speaker 1: that's the case, they just can't move the ball Dallas.
Speaker 1: I understand that. Dallas. You might feel like, oh, they're
Speaker 1: gonna be demoralized because they're eliminated from the playoffs. I
Speaker 1: don't know that. I think they've kind of felt they
Speaker 1: were eliminated from the playoffs for a while. They're gonna
Speaker 1: move the ball. Dallas is gonna blow out the Commanders.
Speaker 1: I love the Cowboys minus six and a half and
Speaker 1: Dak owned the Commanders in his career twelve and two
Speaker 1: straight up, and they've covered five in a row.
Speaker 2: Next, you got Jacksonville minus six and a half at Indy, So.
Speaker 1: Listen, Philip Rivers. Credit to him for playing obviously way
Speaker 1: way way better than I expected. But their season ended
Speaker 1: Monday night and he came back to try to make
Speaker 1: a playoff push. The Jags are playing for a lot
Speaker 1: as far as locking up the division, staying alive for
Speaker 1: the one seed. Jags have been crushing against the AFC
Speaker 1: South five and oh against the spread in their last
Speaker 1: five against the AFC South, the culture falling apart again.
Speaker 1: The Jags game and the Cowboys game are games I'm
Speaker 1: picking here. I don't know if I'll be able to
Speaker 1: pick Friday on TV because I don't know if the
Speaker 1: Lions will have moved up to, you know, above the seven.
Speaker 1: But I'll take the six and a half. Next.
Speaker 2: Next, you got Pittsburgh minus four at Cleveland. This was
Speaker 2: originally at four and a half. It's just dropped to four.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I listen. I know laying more than a field
Speaker 1: goal with Tomlin and divisional games is it hasn't been
Speaker 1: the best, But I just think Shador has been really
Speaker 1: bad and the last two weeks. It's fine for a
Speaker 1: fifth round rookie, but for a Pittsburgh team that knows
Speaker 1: we take care of business here, we get give ourselves
Speaker 1: a bye week eighteen doesn't matter, and win the division.
Speaker 1: All lay the four points with Pittsburgh. I got no
Speaker 1: problem with that.
Speaker 2: Next, Buffalo minus two and a half versus Philly.
Speaker 1: I think Buffalo is a lot better than Philly. They're
Speaker 1: at home. I'm only I'm laying less than a field goal.
Speaker 1: And listen, Philly getting Jalen Carter and Lane Johnson back
Speaker 1: this week. I think it's something Philly. Also, though they
Speaker 1: locked up the division, they're not going to be the
Speaker 1: one seed. So it's not that I think they're not
Speaker 1: gonna care, but they just they have no chance of
Speaker 1: being the one seed. They have no chance of not
Speaker 1: winning the division. So they have a slight chance at
Speaker 1: the three, at the two seed, but they can't be
Speaker 1: the four. Philly right now cannot be either one, four, five, six,
Speaker 1: or seven. They're either no matter what happens to the
Speaker 1: rest of the way, they're the two or the three seed,
Speaker 1: and they are probably the three seed. So I just
Speaker 1: think Buffalo's better, Buffalo needs the game. Buffalo's at home.
Speaker 1: I'll take Buffalo and then our one underdog, We're taking.
Speaker 2: Chicago plus three at San Francisco. This got bumped up
Speaker 2: from two and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just think the Bears run game and the
Speaker 1: Bears offense against that Niners defense, I think they can win.
Speaker 1: And I'm getting three full points. So the Bears, by
Speaker 1: the way played on Saturday. The Niners played Monday, so
Speaker 1: it's not like a mini buy, but it's a difference
Speaker 1: in that I think the Bears can win that game outright.
Speaker 1: So my five picks are Dallas minus six and a half,
Speaker 1: Jacksonville minus six and a half, Pittsburgh minus four, Buffalo
Speaker 1: minus two and a half, Chicago plus three. Again, if
Speaker 1: you're gonna bet favorites, betam early. We're doing this on Tuesday.
Speaker 1: We are betting them early. Before we get to Demandy's
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Speaker 1: do apply demands. With another winning teaser last week, and
Speaker 1: because he hit that four lager a few weeks back
Speaker 1: for our four hundredth show, he has locked up a
Speaker 1: profitable year on the teaser no matter what happens here,
Speaker 1: or at least a profitable regular season. Take us through
Speaker 1: last weeks where I gave you an a and then
Speaker 1: you cruised in.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, last week's was a three team eight point teaser.
Speaker 2: It was Tennessee up to eleven and a half that
Speaker 2: cover that they won the game, and then Buffalo minus two,
Speaker 2: which came pretty close, and then Pittsburgh up to plus
Speaker 2: fifteen and they won the game.
Speaker 1: So I forgot how close the Buffalo one did because
Speaker 1: Tennessee and Pittsburgh were so easy. But you're right, the
Speaker 1: Buffalo one was close. So what do we got this week?
Speaker 2: Pal, This week it is a three team a point
Speaker 2: teaser at plus one hundred Philly, I'm gonna tease up
Speaker 2: to ten and a half, Jacksonville teasing them up to
Speaker 2: plus one and a half in the Chicago up to
Speaker 2: plus eleven. Yeah, those are those are the spots. Hopefully
Speaker 2: the Bills don't beat the crap out of the Eagles,
Speaker 2: but uh, but yeah, I'm feeling pretty good about that.
Speaker 1: As much as I don't love you teasing through the
Speaker 1: zero with Jacksonville. I love this teaser. Yeah, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: give you an a.
Speaker 2: They gotta go out and beat the Colts.
Speaker 1: They have to be the Colts. They need the game.
Speaker 1: Philly getting double digit points, Smarticgo getting double digit points? Smart?
Speaker 1: I love it all. Right, what do we got We're
Speaker 1: not doing touchdown Geenie this week? You're no, we're not.
Speaker 1: But wait, I do have a Christmas Day thing for
Speaker 1: you guys, So go ahead.
Speaker 2: Yes, we're getting festive, Merry Christmas to everyone. And since
Speaker 2: it's around that time of the season, Saint Nick, we
Speaker 2: were curious if you had any Christmas Day parlays. We
Speaker 2: got three games on Christmas, did you have anything you
Speaker 2: wanted to put together for a Christmas Day party.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna venture into your world, Demons. Really, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: do a six point teaser.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's kind of crazy, man, though that was my landscape.
Speaker 1: It is it is your. But I so this is
Speaker 1: what I'm venturing in just for Christmas Day. Those three
Speaker 1: Christmas games. Yep, we're gonna tease Dallas. We're gonna tease
Speaker 1: all the favorites. It's a very square teaser, buddy, don't Okay,
Speaker 1: you're sharper than on this. We'regnn tee's Dallas to minus
Speaker 1: a half point, Detroit to a pick them, and Denver
Speaker 1: down to minus seven. It's a six point Christmas Day
Speaker 1: teaser at plus one forty. That's what we're doing. Good
Speaker 1: the and then so we have a we're not doing touchdown, Genie.
Speaker 1: Last week I declined the offer and it hit it, Cass,
Speaker 1: I didn't believe in Trevor. Trevor two touchdown passes and
Speaker 1: over two hundred and twenty four passing yards. It hit.
Speaker 1: So what do we have this week?
Speaker 2: So we're following the incentives this week, Donald gets a
Speaker 2: half a million for four thousand yards and a half
Speaker 2: a million for twenty eight touchdowns. He's at thirty seven
Speaker 2: hundred yards in twenty four touchdowns. The offer is two
Speaker 2: hundred plus yards for Donald and two plus touchdowns for
Speaker 2: plus one forty. Do you want.
Speaker 1: That against Carolina? Yeah, I'm gonna take it, and Hard
Speaker 1: Rock BET's gonna post it as a Nick Right exclusive.
Speaker 1: So Sam Darnold two hundred plus passing yards and two
Speaker 1: touchdowns the little Jackson, and you know what, I take
Speaker 1: it back for touchdown, Jennie, throw JSN on there at
Speaker 1: even money or minus one oh five. We'll do that
Speaker 1: as well. We're gonna hit these. I feel good about it,
Speaker 1: so I will take the offer this week because I
Speaker 1: didn't follow you guys last week. I feel like a
Speaker 1: dope because of it. So that is to our Christmas
Speaker 1: Week gambling show. We will be back on Tuesday. Hope
Speaker 1: everyone has a wonderful holidays with their family. Hopefully you
Speaker 1: get to spend time or at least talk to your
Speaker 1: loved ones. Merry Christmas everyone, Thank you the volume, Thank
Speaker 1: you to Blue Duck, Huge, thank you to our wonderful
Speaker 1: sponsors hard Rock, bet Boost and Zen. Talk to you
Speaker 1: guys on TV throughout the week and next on the
Speaker 1: pod on Tuesday, What's Right