1 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Law. 2 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:08,200 Speaker 2: Are plaintiff's leries involved in a kind of competition in Congress? 3 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:10,320 Speaker 2: Force a judicial code on the justices? 4 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: Interviews with prominent attorneys in Bloomberg Legal Experts. 5 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 2: My guest is former federal prosecutor Robert Mint Joining me 6 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: is Bloomberg Law reporter Kyle Janner. 7 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: And analysis of important legal issues, cases and headlines. 8 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:25,440 Speaker 2: Is it unusual a grand jury like this to suspect 9 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 2: people aren't telling the truth? One of the first times 10 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 2: the Justice Department has called for the breakup of a 11 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:31,160 Speaker 2: major company. 12 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Law with June Grasso from Bloomberg Radio. 13 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 3: Welcome to Bloomberg Law. I Bloomberg Radio. I'm Madison Mills 14 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 3: in for June Grasso. This week former President Trump pleading 15 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 3: not guilty in a Miami court Tuesday, this after becoming 16 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:52,560 Speaker 3: the first president in history charged with committing federal crimes, 17 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 3: then heading up to New Jersey for some fundraising. Plus 18 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 3: we're going to cover that Microsoft Activision deal later in 19 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 3: the show, facing more headwhen this time in the United States. 20 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 3: We're going to break it down with our senior litigation 21 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 3: analyst from Bloomberg Intelligence. But first we got to kick 22 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 3: it off with the former president. Moments after getting booked fingerprinted, 23 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 3: he went back to campaigning, stopping at a cafe in 24 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:17,759 Speaker 3: Miami before heading to Jersey for that fundraising event. There, 25 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 3: he said that President Biden is the one whose legal 26 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 3: troubles should be in the spotlight. Take a listen. 27 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 4: I will appoint a real special prosecutor to go after 28 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 4: the most corrupt president in the history of the United 29 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 4: States of America, Joe Biden and the entire Biden crime family. 30 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 4: Name a special prosecutor. 31 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: All right. 32 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 3: So that was former President Trump speaking last night from 33 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 3: New Jersey. So let's go to our fantastic politics roundtable. 34 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 3: We've got Wendy Benjaminson here at Bloomberg News senior editor, 35 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 3: and we've got Kaylee Lines, who was on the ground 36 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 3: for us in Miami yesterday. So Kaylee, I want to 37 00:01:57,880 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 3: start with you. First of all, where are you. 38 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 5: I'm back in Washington. 39 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 3: Okay, you're back in Washington. Just because we haven't had 40 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 3: a chance to cover this on the show last week, 41 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 3: give me a recap of what happened yesterday and how 42 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 3: it was for you being there on the ground. 43 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 5: Very hot, yes, very very hot. Indeed, that is my 44 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 5: primary takeaway, and the rest of the day really frankly 45 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 5: played out as we expected, at least from a legal perspective. 46 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:25,080 Speaker 5: President Trump in the early afternoon showed up to the 47 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 5: courthouse and he was arrested and processed just like anyone 48 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 5: else who has been charged with a federal crime. He 49 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 5: had his fingerprint taken, not a mugshot, and then he 50 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,679 Speaker 5: appeared before the judge and he actually himself didn't talk 51 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 5: very much, we understand, according to people who were in 52 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 5: the room, but he pleaded thirty seven counts, not guilty 53 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 5: to all of those. He then left the courthouse, as 54 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 5: you said, Maddie, he met with supporters in Miami at 55 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 5: Cafe Versai, a very popular Cuban restaurant, then went on 56 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 5: to New Jersey. I think what was perhaps most surprising 57 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 5: to me about the day was Miami's police chief had 58 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 5: said they could see up to fifty thousand protesters there 59 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 5: at the court house on arrarenement day. I saw maybe 60 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:04,920 Speaker 5: a couple hundred. It really was not the scene that 61 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 5: I think a lot of us had anticipated going in. 62 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:09,920 Speaker 3: Well, it's always and you said this on the air yesterday, 63 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 3: Kaylee's copying you, but it's always so funny when the 64 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:18,080 Speaker 3: media presence is bigger than the protest presence at these events. Yeah, recovering, Wendy. 65 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 3: I want to bring you in here though, And I 66 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 3: loved what you said yesterday too. You said He's stopping 67 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:26,080 Speaker 3: over for a coffee and a Cuban right after getting booked. 68 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 3: I mean, what is your takeaway after having a day 69 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 3: to kind of process this, what's the big takeaway for you? 70 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 6: I think from a politics standpoint, the thing that's striking 71 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 6: me the most is how this should be manna from 72 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:43,240 Speaker 6: heaven for the rest of the GOP field. In all 73 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 6: the years I've covered politics and all of American history, 74 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 6: which aren't all that different time spans, there is there 75 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 6: is a you know, anytime, I mean, getting indicted is 76 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 6: like the best thing that could happen to your opponent 77 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 6: if you are running against him. In this case, they 78 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 6: are trying so hard not to offend Trump's base that 79 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:12,960 Speaker 6: they are not really you know, going after him. It's 80 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 6: not like he's chumming the water for sharks. He's still 81 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 6: this guy They've got a tiptoe around, even though he's 82 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:20,159 Speaker 6: under federal indictment. 83 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:23,480 Speaker 3: Well, I also want to get your take not just 84 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 3: on the response that we're getting from the other folks 85 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 3: running for president here, but also the former Trump camp 86 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 3: in Washington. Here's what Senator McConnell had to say yesterday, 87 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:37,040 Speaker 3: given that the former president is facing a federal indictment 88 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 3: and these serious allegations, could you. 89 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 4: Still support him if he becomes the nominee even if 90 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 4: he's convicted. 91 00:04:44,320 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 7: Look, the Republican campaign for the nomination is We've already 92 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 7: been going on for six months, going to be going 93 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 7: on for a year longer. And I'm just simply not 94 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:59,479 Speaker 7: going to comment on the candidates. We've got a bunch 95 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 7: of them. Yeah, I'm just simply gonna stay out of it, 96 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 7: all right. 97 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:07,400 Speaker 3: So he's staying out of it, Kaylee, talk to me 98 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 3: about what the other responses are looking like, not just 99 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 3: from again, the other folks running for president here, but 100 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 3: the folks in Congress and the ones who previously were 101 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:18,599 Speaker 3: part of the Trump camp. 102 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 5: Well, it really depends on where you're looking, because obviously 103 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:23,799 Speaker 5: you have Mitch McConnell and frankly a lot of people 104 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:25,599 Speaker 5: in the Senate who want to stay far away from this. 105 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 5: They aren't stepping up to defend him in the same 106 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 5: way you are seeing in the House, for example, with 107 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 5: Speaker McCarthy and some of these other kind of hardline 108 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:36,359 Speaker 5: on the right side people stepping up kind of reiterating 109 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:38,919 Speaker 5: the messaging we've heard from President Trump repeatedly that this 110 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 5: is a weaponization of the Justice Department, that there's a 111 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 5: two tiered justice system. What I really thought was interesting, though, 112 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:47,239 Speaker 5: in terms of the twenty twenty four candidates, was former 113 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:50,279 Speaker 5: President Trump's own Vice president Mike Pence, who of course 114 00:05:50,320 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 5: also is seeking the nomination, was on another network earlier 115 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 5: this morning saying he cannot defend what is alleged, and 116 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 5: I think that in particular is really striking. 117 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 3: Right, really interesting to continue to hear his comments about 118 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 3: it as well. Of course, I also want to get 119 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 3: to what we heard from Trump last night. As we 120 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:13,280 Speaker 3: played earlier some sound from him, and the crowd started 121 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 3: chanting lock him up alongside Trump last night, Wendy, does 122 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 3: that become the defining campaign slogan for Trump in this 123 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 3: campaign cycle? 124 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 6: It sure seems like he's trying to throw all the 125 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:31,000 Speaker 6: attention back on Biden and this what about ism that 126 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 6: you know, somehow these cases are similar when they're so 127 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 6: simply completely different, and you know, nothing has been proven 128 00:06:40,839 --> 00:06:43,800 Speaker 6: yet about Hunt, whether Joe Biden was involved in Hunter 129 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:48,479 Speaker 6: Biden's you know, schemes. But this is something the Republicans 130 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:50,479 Speaker 6: want to do. They just want to well, I should 131 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 6: say Trump's base wants to do. They want and actually 132 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 6: some of the Republican candidates who all are saying, yes, 133 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 6: Trump did something wrong, but the Justice Department is too political. 134 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 6: That's what they're going for. They're throwing it back on 135 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:06,719 Speaker 6: the Biden administration to say no, I'm not corrupt, You're corrupt. 136 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:10,200 Speaker 6: And you know, it's getting to be a little schoolyardy 137 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 6: to be frank. 138 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 3: Well, Kayley, speaking of the schoolyard vibes, this is not 139 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 3: the last of Trump's legal battles. Talk to me about 140 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 3: what else is going on with him. 141 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 5: Well, of course, in this case in particular, we could 142 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 5: see this drag on for a really long time. Things 143 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 5: obviously formally kicked off in Miami yesterday with this arraignment, 144 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 5: but now it moves from Miami to West Palm Beach, 145 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 5: where it's going to be overseen, at least for the 146 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 5: time being, by Judge Elen Cannon, who is a Trump 147 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 5: appointee who had already been involved in this investigation in 148 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 5: regard to the appointment of a special Master got a 149 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 5: lot of flak for ruling in Trump's favor in that case, 150 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 5: so it really will be up to her to decide 151 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 5: how speedily this moves along, because we know that the 152 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 5: former president has a reputation of elongating his legal battles, 153 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 5: and he could very well run this up to November 154 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 5: twenty twenty four or even beyond it. But of course, 155 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 5: in the time in between, we also could see other 156 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 5: indictments coming down. There is a non zero risk of 157 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 5: that happening, because he's still under active investigation by both 158 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 5: the special Counsel Jack Smith, who indicted him in this 159 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 5: case regarding his involvement in January sixth the storming of 160 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 5: the capital efforts to overturn the results of the twenty 161 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 5: twenty election. He is also being looked at by the 162 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 5: District Attorney in Fulton County, Georgia, again related to his 163 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:24,880 Speaker 5: attempts to overturn the results of the election in that state. 164 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 5: We could actually see something out of that Georgia prosecutor 165 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:30,680 Speaker 5: as early as August, so less than two months from now. 166 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 5: Unclear what the timeline is in terms of the other 167 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:37,320 Speaker 5: investigation by Jack Smith. But this just kind of goes 168 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 5: to show you that his legal difficulties are stacking up, 169 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 5: because of course he's already been indicted in Manhattan earlier 170 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 5: this year and was found liable for sexual assault in 171 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 5: a civil case as well. 172 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 6: And if I could just jump in something that got 173 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:53,959 Speaker 6: missed in all the news yesterday was the judge and 174 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 6: the aging Carrol case decided to let her proceed with 175 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:04,840 Speaker 6: a new in her ongoing attack. She wants more money 176 00:09:05,040 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 6: from Donald Trump. Eugene Carroll does because he continued in 177 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 6: the CNN town hall to repeat the same things that 178 00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 6: a jury had already decided were defamatory, and so she 179 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:18,600 Speaker 6: wants even more money from him every time he says 180 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 6: those things. 181 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:23,320 Speaker 3: Well, and given that it sounds likely that that effort 182 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 3: from her would be successful, Yes, Wendy. 183 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 6: It could be. I just think what's going on here 184 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 6: is like we're all trying to figure out how this 185 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 6: will work, and I feel like we're all on a ship, 186 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 6: you know, piloted by Christopher Columbus that's about to drop 187 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 6: off the edge of the flat earth. You know, we 188 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 6: have no idea. This has never been this has never 189 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 6: happened before. We have no idea what it's like for 190 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 6: a presidential front runner to be under federal indictment and 191 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 6: possibly under multiple state indictments. We have no idea what 192 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 6: it would be like for to elect a president who 193 00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 6: has been If he is I mean, if he's acquitted, 194 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 6: then we go back to normal, the normal world. But 195 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 6: while we're in bizarro land, you know, we have no 196 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 6: idea what's how this will all play out. What if 197 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:11,319 Speaker 6: he's convicted and elected. It's highly unlikely, but who knows 198 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 6: these days. It's just a very weird period in American history. 199 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 3: Well, Wendy, I feel like I've asked you every day 200 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 3: for the past two weeks. What happens if he is 201 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:26,960 Speaker 3: elected president? And Ken pardon himself? What happens if he's 202 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 3: running from jail? Like the amount of what ifs that 203 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 3: we never thought we would be asking ourselves and each 204 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:37,680 Speaker 3: other definitely never never cease to amaze me. Wendy Benjaminson, 205 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 3: thank you so much for joining us Bloomberg News senior editor, 206 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 3: and of course Kaylee Lines fresh out of that trip 207 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 3: to Florida to cover this for us on the ground 208 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 3: in Miami. Always great to speak with both of you. 209 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 3: Things for making time stick with us here on Bloomberg Law, 210 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 3: because coming up we're going to talk about that Microsoft 211 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 3: Activision deal and the roadblocks still facing those folks. This 212 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 3: is Bloomberg Law. I'm Madison Mills with us. 213 00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Law with June Grasso from Bloomberg Radio. 214 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 3: Him Madison Mills in for June Grasso. This week for 215 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,600 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Law. We've been focused quite a bit on former 216 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:21,680 Speaker 3: President Trump and his own legal battles, but we're gonna 217 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:25,679 Speaker 3: spotlight some of the battles happening with current politicians, specifically 218 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 3: in the House of Representatives, because Republicans somewhat paralyzed amid 219 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 3: in fighting stalling some votes. We're gonna get to the 220 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 3: House GOP feud with Zach Cohen. He's Bloomberg Government's Congress 221 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:39,839 Speaker 3: reporter and he joins us by phone. Zach, thanks so 222 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 3: much for hopping on with us. What's going on in 223 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 3: the House. I've been so focused on Miami this week. 224 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:47,720 Speaker 3: I need an update on Washington. 225 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 8: Yeah, no, and what is actually decent in Washington. There 226 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 8: you go. They've managed to move ahead with sort of this, 227 00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 8: as you mentioned, sort of a disagreement or a feud, 228 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:59,400 Speaker 8: if you will, between House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and his 229 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:03,000 Speaker 8: leadership team and about a dozen House Republicans from the 230 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 8: more conservative wing of the party that essentially for a 231 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 8: week stalled any floor action on anything other than the 232 00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:12,320 Speaker 8: most consensus of bills. And so that's been resolved in 233 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 8: they're voting today. They are voted in today out a 234 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,840 Speaker 8: number of bills, key Republican messaging items that they were 235 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 8: hoping to get done last week. And so now the 236 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:23,960 Speaker 8: question is can they sort of maintain that truth not 237 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 8: just next week when they're still in session, but for 238 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:27,439 Speaker 8: the rest of the year and they'll lead up to 239 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,439 Speaker 8: the twenty twenty four elections when this Republican majority will 240 00:12:30,480 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 8: have to defend that rather meager majority. 241 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 3: Again, well, Zach, you cover Congress, You know this space 242 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:41,560 Speaker 3: incredibly Well did this feel unique to you or is 243 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:43,640 Speaker 3: this just politics as usual? 244 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 8: It was very unique. The fact that members of the 245 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 8: majority had the votes to sink what's called the rule 246 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 8: on the House floor, which basically sets the terms of 247 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 8: floor debate. That hasn't happened in twenty years before this, 248 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 8: And so the fact that members of the party were 249 00:12:57,320 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 8: able to stand up to their own leadership and say 250 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,840 Speaker 8: no we're not going to allow you to move the 251 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 8: bills that you want to move today was rather extraordinary, 252 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:09,439 Speaker 8: and what it really boiled down to, these folks did 253 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:11,840 Speaker 8: agree with the actual substance of the bills that they 254 00:13:11,840 --> 00:13:14,560 Speaker 8: were voting on, but they wanted another vote on a 255 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 8: bill that would subject certain pistols to certain rifle regulations. 256 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:22,320 Speaker 8: And there's this ongoing negotiation around spending levels, which is 257 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:25,000 Speaker 8: something that they thought that the debt ceiling agreement that 258 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 8: McCarthy had reached with the White House was a little 259 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,400 Speaker 8: bit too high, and so they wanted that number to 260 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:32,959 Speaker 8: be brought down and they got that, and so we'll 261 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 8: see if they sort of continue to flex those muscles. 262 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:37,440 Speaker 8: But again, this is rather unusual. 263 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 3: And it would you read it as sort of a 264 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,319 Speaker 3: referendum on McCarthy's leadership. 265 00:13:42,040 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 8: There's this interesting new rule that basically says any member 266 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 8: of the House Republican Conference can sort of unilaterally call 267 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:51,800 Speaker 8: up a vote that would subject McCarthy to another vote 268 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 8: for speaker, which obviously we remember took a historically long 269 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,520 Speaker 8: time in January to get done. So we could see 270 00:13:57,520 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 8: that happen again. If these folks really wanted to give 271 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 8: McCarthy a hard time. I think what they're essentially saying 272 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 8: here is, look, we could do that. Again. They haven't 273 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 8: explicitly said that, but they're saying that they have the 274 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:09,320 Speaker 8: votes to really go up with the works if they 275 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 8: don't like what McCarthy does. And so they're using really 276 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,960 Speaker 8: different tools in the procedural toolbox to make their message known, 277 00:14:16,280 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 8: not just to McCarthy obviously, but to their own constituents 278 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 8: who are looking for really conservative policies out of Washington. 279 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 3: It makes me wonder, if you know this cohort has 280 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 3: such a choke hold on McCarthy, is he kind of 281 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 3: just a figurehead at this point that has to continue 282 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 3: to walk this tight rope just to maintain his position 283 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 3: as speaker. 284 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 8: There's an old adage in Washington that leadership is followership, 285 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 8: and this is something that obviously not just Kevin McCarthy, 286 00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 8: but you know, Chuck Schumer, Mitch McConnell, and Nancy Pelosi 287 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 8: will all tell you that you're only as powerful a 288 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 8: leader as a number of votes behind you within your party. 289 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 8: And so McCarthy not only has to contend with this 290 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 8: more conservative wing of his party, but he's also got 291 00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 8: a number of moderates who won really tight rate in 292 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 8: twenty twenty two that delivered that majority, and you're not 293 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 8: going to hear from them as much, but especially folks 294 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 8: from maybe New York or California and somebody the bluer states, 295 00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 8: But they're also really critical to that majority, and so 296 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:13,800 Speaker 8: McCarthy has to find a way to balance between the 297 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 8: two of them. And it just seems the conservative size 298 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:18,400 Speaker 8: is going to be a little louder about their demands. 299 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 3: And to what extent, Zach, is this sign of what's 300 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 3: to become increasingly worse, for lack of a better word, 301 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 3: overtime in terms of the partisanship that we're seen in 302 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:37,360 Speaker 3: the country happening amongst our lawmakers inside Congress. 303 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 8: It really does speak to a growing partisanship. I think 304 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 8: you're right about that. There are members of both parties 305 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 8: that have taken particularly strident policy positions and are willing 306 00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 8: to use the sort of tools of Congress in order 307 00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 8: to extract those concessions from the people who actually call 308 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 8: the shots. And so obviously the conservative part of the 309 00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:58,800 Speaker 8: House Republican Conference have been the most public about this, 310 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 8: especially over the last six months. And I think the 311 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 8: really key question, honestly will be over the next couple 312 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 8: of months. If they do that on spending bills as well, 313 00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 8: the government does run out of money September thirtieth, and 314 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 8: if that or rather authorization to spend money by the 315 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 8: end of the fiscal year, and so if they don't 316 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 8: come to some sort of agreement by then, you could 317 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 8: see a government shut down in early October, and that 318 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 8: will be where the rubber hits the road. Can you 319 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 8: get enough support from both Democrats and Republicans on both 320 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 8: ends of Pennsylvania Avenue from Congress to the White House 321 00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 8: to say, here's how we're going to spend our money 322 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 8: over the next year, and that's where it's really going 323 00:16:31,400 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 8: to be tricky. 324 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 3: So that makes me think that we are going to 325 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 3: have the same debt ceiling trauma that we just had 326 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 3: over and over again, based on your description of the 327 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,480 Speaker 3: government shut down on spending as well. 328 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 8: Yeah, I remember the debt ceiling is only raised until 329 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 8: about twenty twenty five. Whether that's the second term of 330 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 8: the Biden administration or the Trump administration, that deadline's going 331 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 8: to come up again, and depending on the configuration of 332 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 8: the government, could be a very different compromise than what 333 00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:01,120 Speaker 8: McCarthy and Biden came to and that's spend decisions that 334 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 8: government appropriations, which is being worked out right now in committee. 335 00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 8: That's going to come to the floor and come to 336 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 8: a head sometime over the next few months. And that's 337 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 8: going to you know, not just on you know, overall 338 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 8: spending levels, but on really critical details, things like how 339 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 8: much do you spend on border security or the military, 340 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 8: or on healthcare services. You know, the Nancy Pelosi speaker 341 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 8: Pelosi likes to say, show me a budget, I'll show 342 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 8: you your values. And so it's it's sort of a 343 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:29,640 Speaker 8: very existential debate, especially because so much of what Congress 344 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 8: does is spend tax payer dollars. 345 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 3: Well, talk to me about what that budget and value 346 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 3: system looked like with these bills that the GOP did 347 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:41,920 Speaker 3: end up grinding out. What did these bills entail. 348 00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 8: So the at least on the debt ceiling, the first 349 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 8: bill that they passed out was a lot of many 350 00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 8: more cuts to especially domestic spending than what they ended 351 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:57,679 Speaker 8: up agreeing to between McCarthy and Biden. It ended up passing, 352 00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 8: but mostly with Democratic votes out of Congress. And so 353 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:05,280 Speaker 8: now what they're talking about is actually capping spending at 354 00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 8: fiscal twenty twenty two levels. Basically, in Layman's terms, spending 355 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:14,639 Speaker 8: the same nominal dollars that were spent last year on 356 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:16,840 Speaker 8: the next year. Now we all know inflation has been 357 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 8: rather rampant, and so in real terms, it's a cut 358 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:23,199 Speaker 8: to basically everything. Part of the debt sealing compromise was 359 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,880 Speaker 8: that defense would at least get a three percent increase. 360 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:28,880 Speaker 8: But if they can't come to an agreement on either 361 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:31,679 Speaker 8: defense or non defense spending, there would be actually an 362 00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:35,880 Speaker 8: across the board cut in both real and nominal dollars, 363 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:40,919 Speaker 8: and so that could mean government services, military preparation, all 364 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 8: of that would probably take a hit. This pocket of 365 00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:49,240 Speaker 8: the House Republican conference is more than anything else, concerned 366 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:53,440 Speaker 8: about debt deficit concerns. They're worried about the growing national debt. 367 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 8: They're worried about how much is borrowed in the form 368 00:18:56,400 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 8: of bonds that are sold both in the US and abroad, 369 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,840 Speaker 8: and so that is their top line concern and everything 370 00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:06,200 Speaker 8: else is kind of secondary. But there if you ask 371 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:08,640 Speaker 8: members of Congress, okay, what should be cut in the interim, 372 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 8: that makes it a lot trickier, and so Democrats will say, 373 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,359 Speaker 8: we need to be able to fund these programs. And 374 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 8: that's the debate that's happening right now in these appropriations committees, both, 375 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:19,639 Speaker 8: I should say, in the House and the Senate. 376 00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:23,320 Speaker 3: Final minute with you, Zach, what's the next shooter drop 377 00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:26,480 Speaker 3: when it comes to the debate over this legislation and 378 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:29,200 Speaker 3: spending on that legislation. What's the next big site. 379 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 5: Going to be? 380 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 8: The House appropriations committees are meeting this week, I believe, 381 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:37,120 Speaker 8: on military construction, veterans affairs, things like that, and then 382 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 8: they've got eleven other bills that they'll have to agree on, 383 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,400 Speaker 8: and the key question will be can they get those 384 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:46,479 Speaker 8: across the House floor? Probably not this week, and then 385 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 8: they're gone for a two week recess, but maybe when 386 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 8: they come back before the August recess. Those couple of 387 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 8: weeks will be really critical to understanding whether the House 388 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:56,119 Speaker 8: Repoking Conference is unified as it goes into negotiations with 389 00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:59,639 Speaker 8: especially Senate Democrats over general government spending. 390 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 3: A lot to cover down there for us, Zach, thank 391 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 3: you so much for joining us and taking a break 392 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:06,960 Speaker 3: from that coverage to walk us through all of it. 393 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:10,199 Speaker 3: That was at Bloomberg Government Congress reporter Zach Cohen. You 394 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 3: can find his story about the House GOP floor feud 395 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 3: on the Bloomberg terminal and at bloomberg dot com. Stick 396 00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:17,680 Speaker 3: with us, This is Bloomberg