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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast PODCA All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Right in the court ten seconds or maining, so it

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Speaker 2: just goes through round to the basket, under the basket.

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Speaker 3: It's the true for the wind God, a.

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Speaker 2: Miracle the water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 4: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 4: Campus Podcast. This is the weekend college Basketball Betting Preview.

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Speaker 4: I'm stucky in joining me today or my fellow BBOC

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Speaker 4: co hosts, Greg Waddell and the one and only Kai

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Speaker 4: McEwen filling in for Jim Root who is traveling this weekend.

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Speaker 4: Always happy to talk ball with Kai. Lot to get

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Speaker 4: you today rapid fire. For the weekend, We'll buy low,

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Speaker 4: sell high, We'll do our futures roundtable, add another future

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Speaker 4: to the portfolio, and just talk some hoop. It's been

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Speaker 4: a pretty, i would say, entertaining week. I feel like

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Speaker 4: so many of the high the marquee games this college

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Speaker 4: basketball season have not disappointed. Like there's been so many

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Speaker 4: absolute thrillers, and it's been one hell of a season.

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Speaker 4: I will say, before we get to kind of our

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Speaker 4: takeaways from the week, there was a decent week for

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Speaker 4: some bubble teams, I think more often than not, what

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Speaker 4: you'll see don't don't fall into the trap where like, Okay,

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Speaker 4: this team's on the bubble, they need to win. I'm

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Speaker 4: going to bet them. You could do that at times,

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Speaker 4: but sometimes you're paying a premium for that, and just

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Speaker 4: keep in mind there's a reason that team's on the bubble,

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Speaker 4: but there's There was some big wins this week for

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Speaker 4: teams on the bubble. Virginia Tech picking up the big

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Speaker 4: win at Clemson. I thought Clemson been a pretty consistent

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Speaker 4: team all year. I thought that they were. They just

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Speaker 4: were in a horrible spot right coming back from the

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Speaker 4: West Coast trip acc teams have been dreadful having to

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Speaker 4: play after going to cal Stanford they have Duke on deck.

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Speaker 4: So I thought Clemson was a little lax daisical. But

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Speaker 4: Virginia Tech definitely deserves credit for that win. And it's

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Speaker 4: a team that's been so close in so many games.

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Speaker 4: And you know, we'll say if that Boopy Miller three

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Speaker 4: quarter length shot ends up keeping them out of the tournament,

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Speaker 4: but pretty much a season saving win for Virginia Tech

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Speaker 4: and then TCU picks up a huge win over Iowa State.

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Speaker 4: Iowa State also in a tricky spot, you know, I

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Speaker 4: mean you look at their schedule coming up, it is

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Speaker 4: absolutely vicious. Two home games this weekend against top ten

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Speaker 4: teams Kansas and Houston Saturday Monday. But TCU fought picked

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Speaker 4: up a big win. If you're the committee, Kyle'll ask you,

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Speaker 4: what do you do with TCU. It's a team that

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Speaker 4: plays up. They're just like pesky they I mean, they

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Speaker 4: play hard and you know they have some David Evans

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Speaker 4: has played better of late, David Punch can can do

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Speaker 4: some things on the low block. Uh. I thought Tanner

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Speaker 4: Toulsen was huge in that game. But it's a very

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Speaker 4: hard team to figure out because I mean, this is

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Speaker 4: a team that should have won at Kansas, could have

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Speaker 4: beat Michigan. They now have wins over Iowa State, Wisconsin, Florida,

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Speaker 4: but then they're lost. They lost to New Orleans. I

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Speaker 4: no get it was that the first game of the year,

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Speaker 4: but it was at home. They lost to Notre Dame, Utah, Colorado,

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Speaker 4: So they have some bad loss on the resident. What

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Speaker 4: the hell do you do with TCU?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, their team sheets funny, it's four Q one wins

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Speaker 2: and it's Q three loss, Q four loss. The New

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Speaker 2: Orleans losses is an absolute killer. Unfortunately, it sticks with them.

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Speaker 2: There's no uh, there's no erasing it. It's gonna be

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Speaker 2: there forever for the for the committee to see. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's unfortunately. They should have beaten Notre Dame. They should

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Speaker 2: have beaten Kansas, and if you win both those games,

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Speaker 2: you're talking about a team that's definitely on the right

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Speaker 2: side the bubble. As of now, it's very bubbly. I

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Speaker 2: think WAB has them like right outside the resume metrics

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Speaker 2: on average or right outside. So they still have a

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Speaker 2: lot of work to do, and it's a very competitive

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Speaker 2: bubble this season. Probably is every single year, but this

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Speaker 2: year I'm noticing more than usual.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I would tend to agree with that. All right,

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Speaker 4: let's get to the week that was, Greg. I'll start

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Speaker 4: with you. Any key takeaway or ran or anything you

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Speaker 4: want to go.

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Speaker 2: I remember this is a safe space.

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Speaker 1: You know what pisses me off most of all. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you're ranting now, baby, I ran?

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Speaker 4: Why not?

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Speaker 2: You gotta let it out somehow.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I want to rant about what everyone's ranting about

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Speaker 5: for the second week in a row. Darren Peterson, I'm

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Speaker 5: just tired of this. In two ways for me. Number One,

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Speaker 5: he's awesome. I just want to watch him play basketball.

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Speaker 5: I don't really care about the why behind it. Every

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Speaker 5: time he's on my television screen, I want to watch

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Speaker 5: him play for forty minutes, and more often than not.

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Speaker 1: He's just not And I really don't care what the reason.

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Speaker 5: I'm just frustrated as someone that's watching all these amazing

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Speaker 5: freshmen have these monster performances. Kingston Flemings, Mikel Brown this week,

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Speaker 5: Keaton Woggler a week ago. It's like this is an

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Speaker 5: all timer freshman group. He is the best of the best,

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Speaker 5: and in limited spurts, it is special. And it just

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Speaker 5: hangs over this Kansas season, which is the second path here.

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Speaker 5: They're awesome as a team without him, and they'd be

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Speaker 5: even more awesome with him, of course they would. But

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Speaker 5: this team's won eight straight. They keep coming up clutch.

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Speaker 5: I thought they were dead in the water when the

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Speaker 5: ominous departure happened this week against Zona and they fall

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Speaker 5: down six. Nothing but credit to that team. Melvin Counsel

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Speaker 5: is a dog. I just want this to find some

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Speaker 5: resolution down the stretch, and I am so afraid it's

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Speaker 5: not going to.

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Speaker 1: By the NCAA Tournament.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, but Dungo was amazing in that game. Council kept coming.

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Speaker 4: I mean, he finished six of twenty five. The presser

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Speaker 4: after the game, he was looking at it's the the

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Speaker 4: box score and the statchuet and seeing that he shot

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Speaker 4: twenty five shots and only made six was pretty funny

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Speaker 4: with Fudunga saying, you gotta pass the rockmore, brother. But yeah,

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Speaker 4: I thought the Kansas Intior defense was amazing that game.

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Speaker 4: Maybe my best bet of the entire year, which means

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Speaker 4: it has zero chance of hitting, was I bet Kansas

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Speaker 4: thirteen to one to make the final four after they

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Speaker 4: lost to West Virginia, and they've won eight straight since.

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Speaker 4: I think it's down to like three plus three fifty.

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Speaker 4: But there's a lot of talk about this with Peterson,

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Speaker 4: so I'm rightfully so, and we'll see if he has

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Speaker 4: any I've never seen guy have more flus in one

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Speaker 4: season than Peterson. But now they're going to play on

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Speaker 4: an experimental floor in the Big twelve tournament. Maybe that's

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Speaker 4: just an excuse for him to get out of that.

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Speaker 4: But there's a lot of talks people saying that Kansas

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Speaker 4: is better without him. I can see the argument at

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Speaker 4: times for the ball movement, right, he's kind of a

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Speaker 4: bass stopper. But in order for them to reach the

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Speaker 4: alt there the overall ceiling and to beat some of

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Speaker 4: the top teams and not you know, you know, you're

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Speaker 4: not gonna be playing in fog Allan on a Monday

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Speaker 4: night where Bill Stuff doesn't lose. They need Peterson and

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Speaker 4: they need a scoring and they need him in there

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Speaker 4: for like cont newty and to figure out like how

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Speaker 4: much to use him, and then they get like this

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Speaker 4: going in and out of the lineup constantly doesn't help matters.

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Speaker 4: But I definitely would not say that you know, Kansas

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Speaker 4: is better overall without him, would you agree?

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Speaker 2: Cuh yeah, no chance, no, and uh advancedats kind of

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Speaker 2: back that up with the on off stuff if you're

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Speaker 2: into that sort of thing. Their defense is amazing, that's

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Speaker 2: why they've been staying afloat without him. But you can't

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Speaker 2: go into the tournament with with just Melvin Counsel as

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Speaker 2: your scorer so to speak. And and but then is great,

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Speaker 2: but they they will not get far if Peterson is

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Speaker 2: not in the lineup.

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Speaker 4: Yep, agreed, So yeah, Kansas on a roll right now.

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Speaker 4: I at Iowa State this week and we'll talk about

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Speaker 4: that game later. You know, at Oklahoma State home against Cincy,

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Speaker 4: and then they are home against Houston and at Arizona.

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Speaker 4: So they schedule's tough, but it's not as tough as

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Speaker 4: some of these other big twelve teams down in the

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Speaker 4: stretch of Kansas. Definitely in the conversation for a legit

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Speaker 4: Final four contender, but it's going to be all about

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Speaker 4: Peterson down the stretch and how often he plays and

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Speaker 4: when he plays. How about you, what's a key takeaway

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Speaker 4: from this week?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll be like Greg and I'll say what everyone's

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Speaker 2: been talking about. Also here Bettyaco. I'm really glad to

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Speaker 2: see him in eligible for Alabama. Nothing against him personally,

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Speaker 2: I just I wanted this can of worms closed when

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Speaker 2: you go pro and come back to college. I'm glad

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Speaker 2: that it's apparently going to end with him. And I'm

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Speaker 2: also just very disappointed in Nato. It's who is the

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Speaker 2: former high school coach for leaning into this so hard

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Speaker 2: and now he's coming out for Bettiaco and he's for

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Speaker 2: this pro back to college route. Seems like he kind

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Speaker 2: of flipped his stance this season. I don't think we

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Speaker 2: needed Bruce Pearl a chime in on the out situation.

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Speaker 2: But it's also great to hear that that Bruce Pearl

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Speaker 2: is on the side of sanity in this one. And

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Speaker 2: I'm also just curious, how does this affect instead of

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Speaker 2: a tournament perspective, when you look at teams that lost

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Speaker 2: Alabama during this stretch, or how do you grade Alabama

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Speaker 2: who got a couple wins with Betty Ackland lineup. Should

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Speaker 2: these wins be vacated? I don't think they will, but technically,

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Speaker 2: I mean, they had a pro basketball player playing for

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Speaker 2: them who was ineligible. It's just a strange situation and

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Speaker 2: I'm glad for the time being that it's kind of

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Speaker 2: put to bed.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, another one just came down way off three our

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Speaker 4: Connor Hickman for Charleston just got ruled, yeah, ineligible for

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Speaker 4: the rest of the season. But that was like he

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Speaker 4: was just not healthy. I mean he's been playing for

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Speaker 4: what since he played a Bradley for three years and

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Speaker 4: since he but that I disagree with that one. I mean,

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Speaker 4: it's there's seven games left in the season and you're

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Speaker 4: gonna come out with a ruling now, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Why we're waiting so long? I don't understand that.

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Speaker 4: Like I could see if he did this early in

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Speaker 4: the season, but I mean to do it now to

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Speaker 4: the kid, I mean, he was just too basically had

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Speaker 4: a real argument he wasn't hurting. He was hurting his

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Speaker 4: fourth year and played this whole time, and then with

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Speaker 4: seven games left in the season, he say he's ineligible.

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Speaker 4: I would say that Charleston would miss his shooting because

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Speaker 4: he's shooting. I mean in the past he shot well

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Speaker 4: from three, but no one on Charles's they can make

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Speaker 4: a three. He's shooting twenty eight percent this year, which

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Speaker 4: is like the entire team. Anyway, I'm gonna talk. I'm

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Speaker 4: gonna go more positive here, and I'm going to shout

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Speaker 4: out a team some may not be familiar with, and

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Speaker 4: we're going to the Atlantic Sun and we're gonna talk

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Speaker 4: about Austin p He is now twelve and one in

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Speaker 4: the league, in first place all alone. Corey Gibson's doing

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Speaker 4: an amazing job there. But this is more about Colin Parker,

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Speaker 4: the nai A superstar that they got. I mean, this kid,

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Speaker 4: he went against Queens, he went for thirty nine last night.

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Speaker 4: He's gone thirty nine, twenty seven, thirty thirty twenty. I mean,

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Speaker 4: he is putting up numbers. I'm also a huge fan

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Speaker 4: of their freshman point guards Arity Collins. So I really

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Speaker 4: like this Austin P team. Very exciting, but just to

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Speaker 4: see to see Parker and you know, I love when

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Speaker 4: these teams and this is what you have to do

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Speaker 4: as a mid major, as you know, the kind of

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Speaker 4: the separation in talent is growing between the top dogs

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Speaker 4: and then the mid majors and the low major because

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Speaker 4: anyone who's good is gone right away. And I think,

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Speaker 4: like in order to create a team and I'm not

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Speaker 4: saying Austin P is this team, but to create a

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Speaker 4: team that has the case, because it's going to be

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Speaker 4: so difficult to find Cinderellas anymore, like true, like a

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Speaker 4: Saint Peter's a team that can make a run just

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Speaker 4: because the top is so much better and deeper. I

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Speaker 4: think that, you know, one of the ways that you

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Speaker 4: can do that is you got to go find these

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Speaker 4: diamonds in the rough, these Nai A guys, these D

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Speaker 4: two guys, and it might just be you know, one

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Speaker 4: year of you know what we saw at Drake, right,

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Speaker 4: you have a D two coach and a bunch of

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Speaker 4: what we saw at U see San Diego. You see

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Speaker 4: San Diego, so they should have won last year. I'm

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Speaker 4: still mad about that. But shout out to Austin p

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Speaker 4: and the governors in first place in the a Sun.

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Speaker 4: Colin Parker is bawling out, all right, let's get uh,

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Speaker 4: I guess yeah, let's go to the I go. We'll

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Speaker 4: go to futures roundtable. Now. So far we've done a

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Speaker 4: good job boys, and Kyle you'll get credit since you're here.

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Speaker 4: Now we have we got Saint Louis final four eighty

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Speaker 4: to one, down to like twenty five to one. I

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Speaker 4: would say consensus. Purdue final four six to one bought

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Speaker 4: them after their little skid. They got a big win

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Speaker 4: at Nebraska, although they tried to give it away. Consensus

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Speaker 4: there I think five to one. And then we have

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Speaker 4: Virginia Final four twenty to one, which I think is

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Speaker 4: down the consensus like fifteen to one. So timing wise

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Speaker 4: didn't mess anything up. You know, we got in front

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Speaker 4: of some streaks. We haven't lost any bad games since

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Speaker 4: prices have come down. So for this week, KI curious,

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Speaker 4: did you bring your own few? I told Jim to

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Speaker 4: text you what he would have brought. Are you guys

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Speaker 4: using the same one or does he have a separate one?

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Speaker 4: Twenty years for this exercise? But does he have a

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Speaker 4: separate one? He texted do or did he forget he.

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Speaker 2: Has a separate one? He text to me, I got

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Speaker 2: one as well? Which one do you want to?

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Speaker 3: Hear?

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Speaker 4: Well? His won't be part of this, So let's just

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Speaker 4: let's unless we like, really love it and are blown away.

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Speaker 4: But I can't imagine being blown away by one of

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Speaker 4: Jim's debts. No, what was he got?

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Speaker 2: He's got Memphis toWin the American thirteen to one right now.

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Speaker 2: So his reasoning, they're only one and a half games

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Speaker 2: back of South Florida. They played them two more times.

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Speaker 2: The athletically they still have, of course, lead the elite

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Speaker 2: talent for the American caveats, they're tied with Tulsa, and

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Speaker 2: Tulsa is a tie break. Tulsa does still play at

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Speaker 2: two land and which toss, so they could lose, And then,

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Speaker 2: of course South Florida can be inconsistent, can be a

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Speaker 2: frustrating team, could definitely drop a few down the stretch.

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Speaker 2: So Jim likes Memphis to win the American.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, the the problem with that bat getting that out

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Speaker 4: now is that North they're playing they're playing right now, right, Uh,

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Speaker 4: that's gonna go and that that's like a coin flip game,

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Speaker 4: so that's gonna go a long way. And think my

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Speaker 4: few of Memphis though, is they are like they'll just

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Speaker 4: drop games that you don't expect them to. So like

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Speaker 4: I would be worried that they'll you know, they'll lose

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Speaker 4: it home to Wichita State for example, or lose it

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Speaker 4: home to U A v U A B. By the way,

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Speaker 4: they don't lose on the road. I think they're the

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Speaker 4: only they're one of the only they might be the

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Speaker 4: only team in the country that's undefeated on the road

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Speaker 4: in conference play. I doubt that's true, but maybe I

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Speaker 4: just made that up. But they haven't lost on the

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Speaker 4: roading conference play. They they want at South Florida, ECU, Tulane, UTSA,

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Speaker 4: North Texas, and Tulsa, and they have a bunch of

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Speaker 4: home losses. Very bizarre team, all right, So Jim, like,

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Speaker 4: I'm sure from a price perspective in the vari it's decent,

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Speaker 4: but they're playing North Texas now, so like there's the

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Speaker 4: price is probably going to change based on this result.

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Speaker 4: So I'm glad that we're not using that, So I'll

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Speaker 4: let you go first. Kyle with you guy.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Well, I like it's a little bit, you know,

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Speaker 2: maybe late in the game here, but Florida fifteen to

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Speaker 2: one to win the title. I'm just pretty much all

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Speaker 2: in on this team. Guard play be damned, but I

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Speaker 2: still think Boogie Flann can be the guy in March

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Speaker 2: from a backcourt perspective, rebounding, dominant Biggs and a very

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Speaker 2: very smart coach can take you a long way in

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Speaker 2: the tournament. And I think right now, when you look

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Speaker 2: at Florida compared to other teams, I think the price

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Speaker 2: pretty well in terms of betting. Right now, they're projected

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Speaker 2: as a three seed in bracket matrix. I think they're

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Speaker 2: going to be a two seed. Their resume is two

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Speaker 2: seed or going to be heading that way and down

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Speaker 2: the stretch here. They might not lose another game in

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Speaker 2: the SEC. They have Kentucky twice. I'm not super worried

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Speaker 2: about that. They have Arkansas at home, but they have

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Speaker 2: the egg teams Mississippi, Missisippi State, and they have South Carolina.

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Speaker 2: So they might win the SEC by a few games.

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Speaker 2: And I can see this future getting shorter yeah.

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Speaker 4: One game, I would be worried about Texas. That's well,

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Speaker 4: that's probably gonna depend on the fouls of that games

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Speaker 4: called there's gonna be count of thouls in that game.

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Speaker 4: Texas is one of those teams that just can beat

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Speaker 4: anyone on any given day. My pushback on Florida, I

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Speaker 4: mean yeah, I mean the bigs, the rebounding, I mean,

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Speaker 4: Chinnelo has turned into one hell of player right in

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Speaker 4: the running for Defensive Player of the Year. Like if

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Speaker 4: you look at the in the SEC this year, which

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Speaker 4: is way down, especially compared to last year, Like just

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Speaker 4: it's the top of the SEC is way down. Who

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Speaker 4: what front line in the SEC or you like Petri right,

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Speaker 4: Like what, there's not really a front line that can

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Speaker 4: go toe to toe with Florida. So my fear is

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Speaker 4: in order to win the national title when they go

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Speaker 4: up against the other elite teams in the country and

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Speaker 4: none of them are in the SEC, right, Like, I

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Speaker 4: don't think there's you can include Florida. There's not another

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Speaker 4: top ten team in the SEC. If you go up

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Speaker 4: against some of the other top ten teams that have

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Speaker 4: elite bigs, elite size that can neutralize Florida and play

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Speaker 4: with them, right, Like you take Florida against Arizona, right,

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Speaker 4: then it's going to come down to, Okay, I don't

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Speaker 4: trust Florida's back court as much, and that's when I

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Speaker 4: think that weakness shows up. That'd be my only pushback

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Speaker 4: is that, Yeah, Florida can really get away with, you know,

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Speaker 4: lacking backcourt play because their front core can be so

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Speaker 4: dominant in the SEC and it gives them such a

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Speaker 4: high floor once again the tournament. Then you're very well coached.

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Speaker 4: But just can they beat the elite of the elites

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Speaker 4: that can match them inside? That's my main question.

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Speaker 2: Good question, And we saw Florida players on a opening

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Speaker 2: day right this year and had a ten point lead

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Speaker 2: against them and they've they've ended up falling and yeah,

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Speaker 2: guard play wasn't great in that game. That's definitely their weakness.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully you can think they've improved since then. I think

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Speaker 2: they have, but it's a fair question.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, Butdargabis is Arizona with all their freshmen,

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Speaker 4: they're great.

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Speaker 5: Also if they ever get some positive shooting regression here,

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Speaker 5: I mean, Boogie flann Is shooting five for thirty seven

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Speaker 5: in conference play from three, it's absurd he was like

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Speaker 5: twenty percent in the non con shouts worse an SEC play.

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Speaker 1: I just keep waiting for that one month where they

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Speaker 1: make shots and everything looks great.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, they're shooting twenty nine three and forty ninth in

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Speaker 4: the country in three point percentage. And Body can.

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Speaker 5: Make shots like he was a high volume, prolific three

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Speaker 5: point shooter last year.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, and Lee, I granted it's it was

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Speaker 4: in the IVY League. You know, he shot thirty five

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Speaker 4: thirty six percent from three before. If their guards aren't,

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Speaker 4: you know, if Lee and Flank can just get hot

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Speaker 4: in the ornament for a couple games in a row,

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Speaker 4: then look out. But obviously that's the name concern because

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Speaker 4: the front line is as good as it gets. Greg,

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Speaker 4: what do you got?

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Speaker 5: So before you go stuck, just spoiler, I love all

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Speaker 5: three of ours. This is the first week where I'm like,

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Speaker 5: hell yeah, I want to add all three of these,

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Speaker 5: So good job boys.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take a play out of Stucky's book

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Speaker 1: though here.

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Speaker 5: I'm going to a team that we discussed at length

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Speaker 5: a week ago, and I'm going back to the well

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Speaker 5: until they're in our card.

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Speaker 1: I have Illinois fourteen to one to win the title.

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Speaker 5: I think this is the time to quote unquote by

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Speaker 5: Low on the align I back to back overtime losses

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Speaker 5: with injury situations that we think are either going to

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Speaker 5: end as soon as this weekend at home against Indiana

385
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Speaker 5: or definitely but next week by the West Coast trip.

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Speaker 5: Boswell is rumored to be back, he's back to practice.

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Speaker 5: They're acting like he could go this weekend, and Soyakovic's

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Speaker 5: thing seems like a fluke ankle injury that they're honestly

389
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Speaker 5: frustrated he didn't play against Wisconsin. They get bit, the

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Speaker 5: Badgers make sixteen threes. They they do that Giant Slayer

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Speaker 5: thing like once a month, it seems like. But I'm

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Speaker 5: still as in on this Illinois team as I was

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Speaker 5: a week ago when we strongly considered taking them to

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Speaker 5: make a run and win the Big Ten.

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Speaker 1: They've got the schedule for it here.

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Speaker 5: They have Indiana at home, USC and Ucla on the road,

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Speaker 5: but they're gonna beat up Ucla on the boards, and

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Speaker 5: then Michigan at home, Oregon and Maryland to close it.

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Speaker 5: I mean, I see five and one, potentially six to

400
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Speaker 5: oh down the stretch, even if they have one to

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Speaker 5: two games still without Boswell ors Toyakovich, this offense is

402
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Speaker 5: so lethal, it's historically great. Woggler is the dude that

403
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Speaker 5: you want to back in the backcourt in March. I

404
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Speaker 5: think they have the size and the skill in the

405
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Speaker 5: front court to really pose problems. When you think about

406
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Speaker 5: those elite title contenders Arizona, Michigan, even of Florida, maybe

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Speaker 5: the one thing they don't want to see is a

408
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Speaker 5: front court that's seven foot seven foot that can stretch

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Speaker 5: them out and shoot the way that Illinois can. I

410
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Speaker 5: think this could be the year for Brad and it's

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Speaker 5: the right time to jump.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, when Beth that I made that didn't work out

413
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Speaker 4: last week, I bought I bet talked on this show

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Speaker 4: about Saint John's win the Big East for the Yukon

415
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Speaker 4: game and then Michigan Illinois to win the Big Ten

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Speaker 4: before the Michigan State game and then they lose two

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Speaker 4: overtime games in a row. I don't even blame them

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Speaker 4: that much for Wisconsin. I mean, they had a six

419
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Speaker 4: man rotation after you know, three days after that Michigan

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Speaker 4: State overtime game on the road. I but that was tough.

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Speaker 4: They have they could still do it, but they're gonna

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Speaker 4: need help now. They need Michigan. They need to win

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Speaker 4: out pretty much if anyone followed along and then Michigan

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Speaker 4: needs to I mean, they could win out and the

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Speaker 4: Michigan needs to lose at Purdue or at Iowa, and

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Speaker 4: then Illinois obviously has to you know, un route to

427
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Speaker 4: winning out, they'd be in Michigan still alive. But man,

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Speaker 4: if they got even one of those two overtime games,

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Speaker 4: I would agree. We talked about this last week. Illinois

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Speaker 4: I think has a higher ceiling this year because they

431
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:53,600
Speaker 4: have changed. They're they're they're more well versed defensively. It's

432
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,960
Speaker 4: not just pure drop right, And I mean you can

433
00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:01,280
Speaker 4: go look at their just go to their chempund profile

434
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 4: and look every single year it's like the same exact profile,

435
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 4: and then this year it's a bit different. So they're

436
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 4: a little bit more varied on that end of the

437
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 4: floor and a little bit more versatile, which I think

438
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 4: is important in a tournament setting. So yeah, I don't

439
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 4: mind having buying in on Illinois now after two back

440
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:26,400
Speaker 4: to back losses, I'm going to go with a team

441
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:31,119
Speaker 4: we talked about last week on our live show. This

442
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:34,600
Speaker 4: team cost us our parlay. Greg sadly, I'm going to

443
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:38,560
Speaker 4: go with Tennessee to make the Final four, which maybe

444
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:40,400
Speaker 4: we should just cross that off rightway, because that's never

445
00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 4: happened Tennessee to make the Final four. And by the way, Greg,

446
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:48,440
Speaker 4: I need fifteen to one out there in Illinois, Tennessee

447
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 4: to make the Final four. Eighteen to one. So they've

448
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:56,280
Speaker 4: only lost two games over the past month, and they

449
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 4: were both to Kentucky by a bucket each after they

450
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 4: were led. I don't know what happened in both those games,

451
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 4: and then they couldn't even cover plus one and a half.

452
00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,320
Speaker 4: They couldn't they rebound, and Kentuck about twenty and they

453
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 4: couldn't grab the rebound on the front end. Miss unbelievable meltdown.

454
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 4: But we've talked about the development of Nata Ment and

455
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 4: he's been incredible. A guy looked I didn't think he

456
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 4: was going to be ready to lead a team to

457
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,720
Speaker 4: be an elite scorer. He just looked like he was

458
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 4: a year away. But his production has ramped up, and

459
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 4: I think they've started to develop some depth in the

460
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,399
Speaker 4: interior with some of their young guys. This is a

461
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 4: team with a high floor rebounding rebounding rebounding, you have

462
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:42,400
Speaker 4: a very good point guard, very senior laden point guard

463
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 4: to Kobe Gillespie, and then you have what you pretty

464
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 4: much need nowadays to make a run is you have

465
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 4: potential lottery pick and the men who can get hot,

466
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 4: make tough shots, carry you for stretches when you're cold.

467
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 4: And one of the reasons I want to buy this

468
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,880
Speaker 4: now at eighteen to one, which and by the way,

469
00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 4: if you go to like I mean, I show value

470
00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,360
Speaker 4: in this number, which is why I bought it my other.

471
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 4: I want my other just for reference. I wanted to

472
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:10,160
Speaker 4: kind of buy into Iowa State, like final four numbers

473
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:12,919
Speaker 4: is like four to one, and I there's just not

474
00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 4: much value there. But they have Houston and Camp they've

475
00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 4: lost to TACU, they have Houston Kansas at home coming

476
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,200
Speaker 4: this weekend, so like they take care of business there,

477
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 4: the odds of but one seed go up. Their odds

478
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,440
Speaker 4: are probably going to drop down. But if we look

479
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 4: at just torvik uh Torvick has Tennessee with a right

480
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,400
Speaker 4: around ten percent chance of making it to the final four,

481
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 4: and I'm not far off from that. So in eighteen

482
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:43,719
Speaker 4: to one, I think is not only a decent price.

483
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 4: Here's their schedule coming up, LSU at home, Oklahoma at home.

484
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,359
Speaker 4: They have two they have games They're at Vandy and

485
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:58,399
Speaker 4: then they host Vandy. Also they probably split, but I

486
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 4: mean that's a game where their size do some damage

487
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:04,560
Speaker 4: against Bandy, and then they have They're at Missouri home

488
00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 4: against Alabama and at South Carolina. That's the rest of

489
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 4: their schedule. I mean, they easily go six and one there.

490
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,160
Speaker 4: So I think this is the right time to buy,

491
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:19,440
Speaker 4: especially you know, ahead of two games where they're gonna

492
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 4: be double digit favorites. So yeah, give me Tennessee and

493
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 4: they're very high floor with their rebounding and the emergence

494
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:34,439
Speaker 4: of NATA men. So we have number one is going

495
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:38,200
Speaker 4: to be Hi Florida to win the national title. Number

496
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 4: two is Illinois fifteen to one, fifteen to one, and

497
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 4: then Tennessee is number three at eighteen to one. Final four.

498
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 4: So hold up one, three, two one. You're going to

499
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 4: hold up one for Florida, two for Illinois, three for Tennessee,

500
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:59,080
Speaker 4: three two one, great three.

501
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:02,080
Speaker 5: What we needed was a roster change for me to

502
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:02,840
Speaker 5: get one stock.

503
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 1: This is huge.

504
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:07,440
Speaker 4: Greg has never won this. He's on the board, so

505
00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 4: I like the vibes with this. Greg's first that Illinois

506
00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:14,640
Speaker 4: add it to the portfolio. All right, before we get

507
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 4: to the weekend, let's get a little by low Sell

508
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:22,400
Speaker 4: high Ki. I'll go to you who you look into,

509
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 4: Bilo or so high On.

510
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, you might think I'm a little crazy here. I'm

511
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 2: buying low on Ucla fellas. I know, I know. I

512
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 2: saw the face, Greg, I saw the face the sky

513
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,520
Speaker 2: Clark returns eminent. And this is a team that I

514
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:41,320
Speaker 2: thought had makeup potential in the preseason. Perhaps stupidly, but

515
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 2: I thought this was a top fifteen capable team in

516
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 2: the preseason with donovand with Tyler Bildeo. They have a

517
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 2: brutal stretch coming up, so maybe the floor. Maybe they're

518
00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:54,120
Speaker 2: not even towards the floor yet. With at Michigan at

519
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,760
Speaker 2: Michigan State, Illinois at home coming up. I'm sure Mike

520
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 2: Cronin is going to complain about that one. Somehow the

521
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 2: schedule or screwed him again. So maybe you can wait

522
00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 2: a week. But I think this team still has a

523
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 2: lot of potential, and heck if they if they don't

524
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:10,119
Speaker 2: do very well in those next three games, be a

525
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 2: very dangerous uh double digit seed in March.

526
00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, Clark back will help. I think Dent is like

527
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 4: starting to get it. I mean, there's there was a

528
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 4: time where I was like, is this gonna work? And

529
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 4: I like to him and cronin marriage, I thought was

530
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:34,679
Speaker 4: just headed for and imminent divorce. But he started to

531
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:39,000
Speaker 4: play a little bit more consistent. Billo Doe is amazing.

532
00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 4: I mean he is. He's shooting the lights out too.

533
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,119
Speaker 4: And Trent Parry. That's one of the things that has

534
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:50,160
Speaker 4: really came about with Clark's injury is the emergence of Parry,

535
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,240
Speaker 4: who is also shooting the ball really well. There's still

536
00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 4: a little a little soft inside which worries me against

537
00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:03,399
Speaker 4: me Michigan in Michigan State coming up. Oh yeah, but

538
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 4: no doubt the team has team has some potential if

539
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 4: all the pieces can can fit together. Greg, how about

540
00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 4: you who you're buying low on, selling high on?

541
00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna sell high on Louisville. I think this is

542
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:16,320
Speaker 1: the right time.

543
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,720
Speaker 5: Looking at the schedule, They've won four straight, one hundred

544
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:22,040
Speaker 5: and eighteen points, MIKEL Brown setting the scoring record for

545
00:28:22,080 --> 00:28:25,479
Speaker 5: the program this week, and just feel good vibes all around.

546
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,680
Speaker 5: Smile smile, Will Wade and hanging his head.

547
00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 1: It's about to get real. They got Baylor in Fort Worth.

548
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 5: Five of their last seven are away from the youm

549
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:38,960
Speaker 5: including away games at SMU, North Carolina, Clemson, and Miami.

550
00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 5: That North Carolina game possibly made infinitely easier. Easier depending

551
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 5: on the status of Caleb Wilson, of course, but I

552
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:47,560
Speaker 5: just don't want no part of this team in big games.

553
00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 5: I mean, you can draw a line through their schedule

554
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:53,040
Speaker 5: at this point. They win home games against non top

555
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 5: twenty five opponents, and maybe they masquerade as big wins,

556
00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 5: but anytime they have to go on the road against

557
00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 5: anybody with a pulse, or even play home games against

558
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 5: Duke and Virginia, legitimate teams that are second weekend potential teams,

559
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 5: they just haven't had anything for those teams. It's just

560
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 5: the same classic pac Helson gimmick. And I think as

561
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 5: great as mikel was this week, you're shooting thirty one

562
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:17,920
Speaker 5: percent from three on the season, I think if they

563
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,040
Speaker 5: lean heavier and heavier into that, it's unlikely to yield

564
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 5: the same result. I could see them really fizzling down

565
00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:23,760
Speaker 5: the stretch.

566
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 4: Brown was incredible in that game. Yeah, I mean, if

567
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:29,480
Speaker 4: if he could shoot the three like that more consistently.

568
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 4: Man then that offense is a jugger off, but they

569
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 4: still have some issues on the defensive end. I'm gonna

570
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 4: go with mary State. They're playing right now, so I

571
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 4: probably will. If they lose at Indiana State, I'll look dumb.

572
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 4: But this is a team over the past month that

573
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 4: is shooting thirty percent from three, three hundred and twelfth

574
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 4: in the country. It's high volume, and it's a decent

575
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 4: shooting team, and teams on low volume because they take

576
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:57,360
Speaker 4: away the three with their defensive structure, are shooting forty

577
00:29:57,400 --> 00:30:00,240
Speaker 4: one percent. It's three hundred and twelfth in the tree

578
00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 4: on offense, three hundred and forty fifth on defense, and

579
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 4: so I think they've been a bit unlucky. They get

580
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 4: a rematch with Belmont on Sunday at home. They were

581
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 4: a viscerated at Belmont. On Belmont I think was like

582
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 4: open the game, like thirteen of nineteen from three. I

583
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:21,840
Speaker 4: actually don't think it's a terrible matchup for mary State

584
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 4: in that they're gonna be able to get their shots

585
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:28,800
Speaker 4: up looming regression, they're gonna get three point looks, and

586
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:31,720
Speaker 4: Belmont's not like a heavy pick and roll offense. Which

587
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 4: is where mary State's defense really struggles. So I think

588
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 4: it's a decent matchup, decent spot and it's a team

589
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 4: that just has a bunch of looming shooting regression. And

590
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 4: maybe Belmont won't shoot fifty percent from three every game

591
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 4: the rest of the year, although they can they can

592
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 4: shoot the rock. So I'm going to invest in mary State.

593
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 4: And if you haven't checked out my guy, Doman dere freshman,

594
00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 4: I love watching him play Roman Doman guy can fill

595
00:30:56,800 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 4: it out. Any thoughts on mary end or I didn't

596
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 4: get your thoughts on the futures. Why if you liked

597
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:05,520
Speaker 4: Tennessee or Illinois more? And why?

598
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I liked Tennessee their offense. I've seen them with

599
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 2: Gillespian foul trouble and I don't I want no part

600
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,560
Speaker 2: of it. So I just think they have one player

601
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:19,000
Speaker 2: away from being first round exit, which Rick Barnes is

602
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 2: familiar with. Illinois I just think is a juggernaut. They

603
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 2: greg mission historical. I didn't realize number one O rating

604
00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 2: in kempon history right now, that's insane. As far as

605
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 2: Murray Doman is a stud I love that guy. It's

606
00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 2: frankly shocking. They've dropped several games lately. They started like

607
00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 2: eight to them in the Valley. But they are the

608
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 2: most talented team that league, and if they just figure

609
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 2: out how to play defense, shooting aggression would certainly help.

610
00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:49,800
Speaker 2: I think they can when the when the Arch Madness

611
00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 2: Tournament and h and make a run.

612
00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 4: All right, let's get to the upcoming weekend. Some good

613
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,600
Speaker 4: games on the docket before we get this Saturday. Man,

614
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 4: there was two really good spots that I had circled

615
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 4: for weeks that might have gotten ruined that I'll just

616
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 4: mentioned that. I'll mention GW against George Mason. GW is

617
00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,719
Speaker 4: they lose by like one or two every for years

618
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:17,720
Speaker 4: to George Mason. I was this George Mason team is fraudulent.

619
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 4: I wanted g I wanted GW in the rematch, but

620
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 4: now I don't know Castro status. He's obviously super important.

621
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 4: George Mason just got embarrassed. So like the spot, the injuries,

622
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:34,240
Speaker 4: and like George and GW, I think on the opening

623
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 4: line as a minus two and a half, Castro is back.

624
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 4: I'd play it, but they keep saying day there. I

625
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,680
Speaker 4: think he might be out like long term. And then

626
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:45,960
Speaker 4: I wanted Wisconsin so bad against Michigan State. They can

627
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:49,480
Speaker 4: keep them out of transition, keep them off the offensive.

628
00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 4: Glass got wrapped back. But now they win at Illinois,

629
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 4: you know, rating goes up there. But over the past

630
00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:01,000
Speaker 4: seven days, Michigan State has been resting, wiscond has played

631
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:05,920
Speaker 4: two overtime games. You had Blackwell and Boyd played like

632
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 4: forty five and forty four minutes. And Wisconsin's not going

633
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,160
Speaker 4: to score inside against Michigan State. They're gonna need to

634
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 4: hit jumpers, and if their legs are not there, then

635
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:19,560
Speaker 4: that's going to open up some transition opportunities for Michigan State.

636
00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 4: And Wisconsin's good in transition defense, but if they're not

637
00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 4: like Minnesota where they never ever allowed transition opportunities. So

638
00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 4: I fear that everything that's happened over the past couple

639
00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:32,040
Speaker 4: of weeks has ruined two games that I almost assuredly

640
00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:34,880
Speaker 4: would have bet. Greg. I know you're very in tune

641
00:33:34,920 --> 00:33:36,120
Speaker 4: with the Big Ten. Do you have any early thoughts

642
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:38,160
Speaker 4: on Sparty Wisconsin.

643
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:39,560
Speaker 1: I'm just right there with you.

644
00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 5: I had a circle that wanted Wisconsin and then they

645
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:44,920
Speaker 5: just sneak that overtime win against Illinois. Then none of

646
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,239
Speaker 5: us expected, and now I want no part of it.

647
00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 5: I mean, it's also essentially an elimination game for Michigan

648
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,400
Speaker 5: State trying to hang in that two games back of

649
00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 5: Michigan Pack, knowing they have Michigan at the end of

650
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,280
Speaker 5: the year, just feels like a game where they find

651
00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:00,720
Speaker 5: a way to destroy them on the boards. Maybe Boyd

652
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:04,240
Speaker 5: runs out of gas after playing forty five minutes against Illinois,

653
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,080
Speaker 5: but the matt certainly favors Wisconsin in that game.

654
00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 1: If they can make some shots. Yeah, that's what it's

655
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 1: gonna come down to.

656
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 4: I mean, maybe I will look at the under, but

657
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 4: then if Wisconsin's legs aren't there, maybe that hurts defense.

658
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 4: But both teams can theoretically, well, you know, there's not

659
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,319
Speaker 4: gonna be a turn like Michigan State will turned over.

660
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:24,759
Speaker 4: Wisconsin doesn't turn you over. Wisconsin doesn't turn it over.

661
00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 4: So there's not gonna be a lot of like live

662
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 4: ball turnovers. Both teams are good on the defensive glass,

663
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 4: There's not gonna be a lot of second chance opportunities,

664
00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 4: So I could see this being played more of a

665
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:41,239
Speaker 4: half court grinder, maybe an under, but that could get

666
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 4: scared as well. Do you have any thoughts there on

667
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 4: either one of those games.

668
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:47,680
Speaker 2: Not really, I lean towards SPARTI. Actually I think the

669
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 2: better team Wisconsin obviously can throw a haymaker, but I

670
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:56,640
Speaker 2: think Michigan State's gonna overcome Wisconsin's good stats and the

671
00:34:56,680 --> 00:34:58,759
Speaker 2: defensive class. Think Michigan State still has the edge there

672
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 2: and fears or you'll be the best pointer in the country.

673
00:35:01,600 --> 00:35:04,160
Speaker 2: Right now, he's been insane if he's allowed a trip.

674
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 4: That is.

675
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 5: Brad they sit on the sidelines for that one. That

676
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,800
Speaker 5: could be like a big in front of your idle moment.

677
00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:15,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely, so extra motivation from Michigan State.

678
00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 4: All right, before you move on, here's a weekly reminder

679
00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:19,879
Speaker 4: to sign up for Action Pro. Action Pro users get

680
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:23,320
Speaker 4: real time, immediate notifications when any of our action experts

681
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 4: track a pick. Whether that's Chris Raydon, Sewan Kern, or

682
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:28,239
Speaker 4: myself or any of our experts. You'll want to get

683
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 4: that notification before lines start to move. Right now, you

684
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:32,239
Speaker 4: can get twenty dollars off a year of Action Pro

685
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 4: with Promo code Pod twenty. Just go to Action network

686
00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:38,720
Speaker 4: dot com slash pro to get started. That's Promo Code

687
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,560
Speaker 4: Pod twenty for twenty dollars off an annual subscription at

688
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:45,720
Speaker 4: Actionnework dot Com slash Pro all right, rapid fire weekend

689
00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 4: for you'll go around the horn until we're out. We're

690
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:51,120
Speaker 4: out of them, I'll start. I'm going to go hoping

691
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:55,960
Speaker 4: this game is around a pick Northern Colorado. This is

692
00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:58,480
Speaker 4: a team that I'm looking to invest in. Really disappointing

693
00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:02,480
Speaker 4: start in the Big Sky, but it's kind of finding

694
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:05,520
Speaker 4: their footing here. Revenge against Portland State is making the

695
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:09,359
Speaker 4: tough trip. They're going down to flag Staff and up

696
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:13,439
Speaker 4: to altitude in Greeley. They can keep Portland State off

697
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 4: the offensive glass, which is really their best offensive recourse.

698
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:21,759
Speaker 4: And I'm just gonna trust Northern Colorado and my boy

699
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 4: Quinn Denker at home Portland State. I mean, you go

700
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,240
Speaker 4: back to what this team has done on the road.

701
00:36:29,160 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 4: They beat Weaver State in overtime. We're dead in that game.

702
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 4: Idaho State in overtime, We're dead in that game. They

703
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:40,520
Speaker 4: beat Eastern Washington by four, Idaho by three. They just

704
00:36:40,560 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 4: beat Sacramento State by one, and you go back they

705
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:49,360
Speaker 4: lost to Colorado Tulane. This team has pulled so many

706
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:51,359
Speaker 4: rabbits out of their ass. I mean they easily could

707
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:54,879
Speaker 4: have four or five losses in league play. No one

708
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,640
Speaker 4: can make a three against them either Northern Colorado at

709
00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:01,920
Speaker 4: home in Greeley. Give me you're in company, Oki, what

710
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 4: do you got? All right?

711
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:06,320
Speaker 2: No offense to Jim's American future play, but this doesn't

712
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:10,399
Speaker 2: count against it. I'm taking Utah State against Memphis. Ken

713
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 2: Pound's got at fourteen. But what a weird what a

714
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:17,400
Speaker 2: weird scheduling quirk in February, Memphis playing in North Texas

715
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,799
Speaker 2: on Thursday. It's a tight turnaround game to Saturday, going

716
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:24,160
Speaker 2: to elevation in Utah State. Who is legit, who has

717
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 2: a much better coach their zone is going to confound Memphis.

718
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 2: I think there's gonna be a ton of turnovers, and

719
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 2: Utah State's also going to win the glass battle, so

720
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 2: I think it's going to be a bit of a

721
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:35,480
Speaker 2: blowout for the Aggies.

722
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:38,319
Speaker 4: Not afraid of Penny as a dog. Penny is a

723
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:42,399
Speaker 4: big dog. Not this year, Yeah, not the same Jewice

724
00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:44,360
Speaker 4: this year? Greg, what do you got confused?

725
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:47,239
Speaker 5: Doug McDaniel cancels out Penny as a dog.

726
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:47,800
Speaker 4: I think.

727
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:52,160
Speaker 1: I'm going to go with Nebraska here.

728
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 5: I've been waiting to pounce on this Husters team that

729
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:57,520
Speaker 5: has just been through a gauntlet, right, I mean they

730
00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:00,480
Speaker 5: almost come back and get Purdue. Obviously there could be

731
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,799
Speaker 5: like an early first ten minutes lingering after effect of that.

732
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 1: But man, this team's really good. I think they're legit.

733
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:10,520
Speaker 5: I think losing single digit ballgames to Michigan, Illinois, Perdue

734
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:13,640
Speaker 5: is not necessarily an indictment on them. Now they get

735
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:17,320
Speaker 5: a Northwestern team that is on the very last leg

736
00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:20,960
Speaker 5: of their own schedule gauntlet. They've gone at Illinois, at Iowa.

737
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:24,800
Speaker 5: They lead Michigan by sixteen early in the second half.

738
00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 5: They just have to be out of gas. And I

739
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:30,000
Speaker 5: think this scheme Nebraska defensively, they force you to shoot

740
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:32,719
Speaker 5: half your shots from three. Northwestern doesn't have an answer

741
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:35,280
Speaker 5: for that. They did play once earlier this year in Evanston.

742
00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 5: Nebraska destroyed them, won that game by nineteen in Evanston.

743
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,359
Speaker 5: I just think this is a total cathartic Cornhuskers win

744
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 5: by thirty.

745
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,719
Speaker 4: Yeah. I mean Northwestern doesn't turn the ball over, which

746
00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:48,520
Speaker 4: is a good thing against Nebraska forces a ton of

747
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:50,719
Speaker 4: turnovers to the ball are going to pressure you. But

748
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 4: you need to hit threes against this Nebraska defense, and

749
00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 4: Northwestern just can't. I'm going to go Clemson against Duke.

750
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:05,840
Speaker 4: I'm thinking, can we get like twelve here, get like twelve?

751
00:39:06,520 --> 00:39:08,960
Speaker 4: They'll probably be like ten and a half, but I

752
00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:11,600
Speaker 4: think we're gonna get double digits. I don't think that

753
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:18,720
Speaker 4: people or the market realizes how important Beingangba is. I mean,

754
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:23,640
Speaker 4: he's when he's on the floor. He's arguably been Duke's

755
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 4: overall second most important player behind Boozer this year, and

756
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:32,040
Speaker 4: they just become so much harder to score on. He

757
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:38,000
Speaker 4: obviously provides just another long, long wingspan at the rim,

758
00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:39,799
Speaker 4: and this is a Clemson team that obviously wants to

759
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,960
Speaker 4: go inside. So I think I just talked about Clemson

760
00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:45,680
Speaker 4: very consistent. They're very deep, like there's a ton of depth,

761
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 4: and throw bodies at you. They can throw bodies at Boozer,

762
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,520
Speaker 4: and I think they can turn Duke over some. They can.

763
00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:54,320
Speaker 4: They do a really good job on the defensive glass,

764
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 4: which you need to do against Duke because Duke will

765
00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 4: kill you there. And I really did think they got

766
00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 4: scheduled against bout coming back from the West Coast looking

767
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:03,600
Speaker 4: ahead to this Duke game. I don't know if a

768
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:06,439
Speaker 4: was going to play, but it's it sounded like he's

769
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:09,279
Speaker 4: not going to play. From some of the quotes like

770
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:11,080
Speaker 4: just we want to make sure he's ready. He wasn't

771
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:13,600
Speaker 4: close to being ready last game a pit and this

772
00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,880
Speaker 4: is a couple of days later, so you know this

773
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,800
Speaker 4: will be a low scoring game. Clemson grinds these games down,

774
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:25,680
Speaker 4: so I think they can keep this within single digits. Okay,

775
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 4: I like it.

776
00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 2: I'm going Iron Bowl Round two, Arkansas hosting Auburn. Kim

777
00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:34,839
Speaker 2: Holme's got at seven. It's a bounce back game for them.

778
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:37,319
Speaker 2: They lost by eighteen in the jungle in round one.

779
00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 2: Just wasn't a good game for them. Keisha On Hall pretty.

780
00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:45,920
Speaker 4: Much, you just call Auburn Arkansas Iron Bowl. Oh shoot,

781
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 4: you're gonna get a lot of shot for that.

782
00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:51,400
Speaker 2: Erase it. Keep that in there for mean, it's been

783
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:54,719
Speaker 2: a long week, Arkansas, Auburn. Whatever they call this game

784
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:59,280
Speaker 2: the Battle of the A's. Does this have a name? Anyways?

785
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:00,239
Speaker 2: I think they.

786
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 4: I don't think so. My host would now, but yes,

787
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:10,719
Speaker 4: but I don't know.

788
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:16,160
Speaker 2: Anyways. I think they avenged their loss. Kishon Hall is

789
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:19,640
Speaker 2: a huge problem for them, but I think Auburn cools

790
00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:22,360
Speaker 2: off from last game against them, And of course Arkansas

791
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:24,080
Speaker 2: is much better at home nine and four against the

792
00:41:24,080 --> 00:41:26,319
Speaker 2: spread this year twelve and one straight up that they

793
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 2: win games at home. I think they exact their revenge

794
00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:30,240
Speaker 2: and win by doubles.

795
00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:34,440
Speaker 4: Arkansas is quietly playing now. It was Mississippi State and

796
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,319
Speaker 4: LSU on the road, but two road games where they

797
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:40,440
Speaker 4: went and just gave the other team no chance in

798
00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:43,759
Speaker 4: dominant fashion. Those are impressive wins. Like I get that

799
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:46,400
Speaker 4: Mississippi State and LSU were way down, but when you

800
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:48,719
Speaker 4: can go and you're off like twenty the entire game,

801
00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:53,759
Speaker 4: that you have to be impressed. Let me see what

802
00:41:53,760 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 4: else do I got here obvious spot on the calendar.

803
00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 4: I don't know if I'm going to get there. Iowa

804
00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:07,480
Speaker 4: at home after the loss at Maryland Purdue coming off

805
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 4: the overtime win against Nebraska, They're gonna throw a ton

806
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:15,160
Speaker 4: of bodies at starts. Can someone else on iowall make

807
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 4: a shot? Like That's what this is going to come

808
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:22,920
Speaker 4: down to. I mean, over the last two games, Sturtz

809
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:24,920
Speaker 4: is eight to sixteen from three. The rest of the

810
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,440
Speaker 4: team is four to thirty. So at home, I don't know.

811
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:31,360
Speaker 4: I think that they can expose produce d in some ways.

812
00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:34,680
Speaker 4: It is a great spot. They are soft inside, though,

813
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:38,040
Speaker 4: which which does scare me against Purdue. But that is

814
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:40,680
Speaker 4: one of the two obvious spots on the board. The

815
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:43,200
Speaker 4: other one is Iowa State coming off to TCU lost

816
00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 4: Kansas riding high. Greg, I think you're interested in the

817
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:47,680
Speaker 4: cyclones at home.

818
00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:50,560
Speaker 5: Give me that one. It's the spot. It's just on

819
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 5: all systems, go green light spot. This is the first

820
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:58,480
Speaker 5: of all revenge swing from when Kansas destroyed them at

821
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 5: Allen Field House earlier this year.

822
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:01,440
Speaker 4: They're up like forty four to eighteen.

823
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 5: I think in that game, could not miss. They shot

824
00:43:03,640 --> 00:43:05,360
Speaker 5: fifty percent from three. In that game, it felt like

825
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:08,239
Speaker 5: seventy percent from three in the first half. I think

826
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:10,720
Speaker 5: Iowa State is the better team. Iowa State, of course,

827
00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:15,040
Speaker 5: coming off a very disheartening effort against TCU, Kansas coming

828
00:43:15,080 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 5: off the front page headline, biggest win of the year

829
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 5: without Darren Peterson against Arizona. It's just a respect for

830
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:26,560
Speaker 5: tj Otzelberger, Ames taman Lipsey play one note, Kansas hasn't

831
00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:29,120
Speaker 5: won in Ames in three attempts. The average margin of

832
00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:32,359
Speaker 5: victory for Iowa State in those games is twelve, two blowouts.

833
00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 5: I just think it's a must play spot.

834
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:37,479
Speaker 4: I would tend o Gra'll be on I was stating

835
00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:40,240
Speaker 4: in some former fashion, I can get five maybe hopefully.

836
00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:42,279
Speaker 4: Ki what else you got?

837
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:46,760
Speaker 2: Yeah? I got another one here in c State hosting Miami.

838
00:43:48,800 --> 00:43:51,799
Speaker 2: Another spot on the board. Right, they're off the mega

839
00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:55,719
Speaker 2: loss to Louisville. Miami's off that surprising to me win

840
00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 2: against you and c great positional size battle. Lots of

841
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,480
Speaker 2: big bodies out there, gonna be fun to watch Will

842
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:04,920
Speaker 2: Wade over Jie Lucas all day. Miami can't shoot. NC

843
00:44:05,080 --> 00:44:07,120
Speaker 2: State really forces teams to beat them over the top,

844
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 2: So I like NC State. Here, Kim Palm's got a five.

845
00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 2: I'm sure they'll take money, probably take it up to seven.

846
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:15,279
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean you gotta you have to shoot to

847
00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:17,200
Speaker 4: beat NC State because they're they got to pack it

848
00:44:17,200 --> 00:44:21,040
Speaker 4: in their perimeter defense is very suspect. Miami can't shoot.

849
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 4: That's gonna be problematic. Greg. Other marquee games that you

850
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:32,240
Speaker 4: might be interested in. Here's an interesting one, Houston Kansas State.

851
00:44:33,239 --> 00:44:34,560
Speaker 4: I don't know what to make of this one. Like

852
00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:38,600
Speaker 4: Kansas State has been absolutely dreadful, and they got called

853
00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 4: out by Tang. He might be gone, like he said,

854
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:44,759
Speaker 4: this is embarrassing. Houston now hosts Kansas State. They're gonna

855
00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:48,960
Speaker 4: be laying like twenty something twenty. But Houston then as

856
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:52,040
Speaker 4: Iowa State, Arizona and Kansas on deck, like are they

857
00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:54,239
Speaker 4: fully focused with this game? Does Kansas State care? Do

858
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:56,520
Speaker 4: they even show up or do they have this is

859
00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:58,320
Speaker 4: like a prideful effort and they lose by twelve. I

860
00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 4: don't know what do you make of that game?

861
00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:04,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's honestly, I saw the Jerome Tank press conference

862
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,600
Speaker 5: and I was just like, Okay, Houston, let's go. If

863
00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:08,759
Speaker 5: Tang's fired by this game, I'll be out on this.

864
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:11,360
Speaker 5: I think that team has obviously quit on the season.

865
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:13,520
Speaker 5: I think that was obvious two weeks ago, and maybe

866
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:16,840
Speaker 5: Jerome Tang just discovered it. But to me, a team

867
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:20,239
Speaker 5: that I don't expect to respond to that whatsoever, that

868
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 5: plays a very unserious brand of basketball is running into

869
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:24,480
Speaker 5: a total buzz saw here.

870
00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:25,880
Speaker 1: I think that Houston.

871
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:29,720
Speaker 5: You know, there's been some spots in the Big Twelve

872
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:32,120
Speaker 5: this year that I think feel like look ahead spots.

873
00:45:32,239 --> 00:45:34,239
Speaker 1: I would even point to Arizona.

874
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 5: When they had Oklahoma State last weekend at home right

875
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 5: before Kansas on Monday. It's like, okay, look ahead spot,

876
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:42,160
Speaker 5: and then they were just top like thirty by halftime.

877
00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 1: That's sort of what I expect here from a Calvin Sampson.

878
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:47,440
Speaker 5: Team that is relentless, looks like they're getting better and better,

879
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:50,520
Speaker 5: and I just think will not make mistakes to let

880
00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:54,920
Speaker 5: Kansas State hang in that game. That's honestly, you're right stuck.

881
00:45:54,960 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 5: It's kind of a like no, no, no, don't do

882
00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:59,919
Speaker 5: that spot. But for me, I can't do it quickly enough.

883
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:04,359
Speaker 4: Guy Marquette Xavier two teams. The Big East is very

884
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:08,280
Speaker 4: very down this year, bad and but Marquette is playing

885
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:12,239
Speaker 4: much better of late. And I mean, Nigel James has

886
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:14,600
Speaker 4: been a positive rever league, but they've had you know,

887
00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:19,960
Speaker 4: you had guys like Adrian Stevens is playing playing a

888
00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:22,600
Speaker 4: bigger role and he's playing well lately. Like there's a

889
00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:25,920
Speaker 4: nice youth movement on Marquette. And then the same thing

890
00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 4: with Xavier. This is the team that's playing better of

891
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:30,400
Speaker 4: late as well. They took Saint John's every time. I

892
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:34,040
Speaker 4: know they were a viscerated at Connecticut, but you know,

893
00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:36,960
Speaker 4: this is the team that has shown a little bit

894
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 4: more life. So that's a pretty interesting game for two

895
00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:42,239
Speaker 4: teams that won't be in the tournament. Who do you

896
00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:42,640
Speaker 4: like there?

897
00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:45,880
Speaker 2: I like Marquette. I was sat him a lot earlier

898
00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:47,880
Speaker 2: in the year and that did not work out, obviously,

899
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:51,080
Speaker 2: But they are playing a lot better. They've they could

900
00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,480
Speaker 2: have beaten Seaton Hall and Villanova both in the road

901
00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 2: had him down. They've covered four in a row. In

902
00:46:57,200 --> 00:46:59,319
Speaker 2: the game one against Xavier, they led by as many

903
00:46:59,320 --> 00:47:02,359
Speaker 2: as thirteen. That game ended close, but they killed him

904
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:05,040
Speaker 2: on the boards and Zader shot way better from three.

905
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 2: So I expect Marquette to compete here. Ken Palm's got

906
00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:09,799
Speaker 2: a four. Would love plus four.

907
00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,239
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, Xavier's not gonna kill him on the

908
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:15,880
Speaker 4: offensive glass, and that's one of the ways that you

909
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:18,799
Speaker 4: can just completely dominate Marquette. But yeah, they're playing much

910
00:47:18,880 --> 00:47:21,440
Speaker 4: much better, much more confident group that's sort of figured

911
00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:28,120
Speaker 4: out their identity. Greg anything else for you, Virginia, Ohio State.

912
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:29,840
Speaker 4: I think he both might like Virginia here. I mean,

913
00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:32,319
Speaker 4: it's just just a fate of Ohio State and their

914
00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:33,320
Speaker 4: soft interior.

915
00:47:33,680 --> 00:47:35,320
Speaker 1: Deebler spot that there.

916
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:38,440
Speaker 5: Every time Deebler looks like he's on the inside of

917
00:47:38,520 --> 00:47:41,359
Speaker 5: the tournament bubble, I'm ready to just tell him he's

918
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 5: gonna lose.

919
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:42,520
Speaker 1: His next game.

920
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:45,359
Speaker 5: And I think Virginia dominates the boards. Like, I love

921
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:47,560
Speaker 5: this Virginia team. We've got a Final four future around

922
00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:51,760
Speaker 5: them already. I don't see much resistance from Tilly inside

923
00:47:51,760 --> 00:47:54,680
Speaker 5: for Ohio State. Here should just be a pull away

924
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:55,560
Speaker 5: overtime game.

925
00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:57,719
Speaker 1: Kai have anything to add? I think you like that too.

926
00:47:59,560 --> 00:48:02,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's it's the favorite weekend play. I just think

927
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:06,359
Speaker 2: they smoke them right. Better team, better coach, massive rebounding edge.

928
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:08,080
Speaker 2: This are the top three reasons.

929
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:09,400
Speaker 1: Yeah stuck.

930
00:48:09,440 --> 00:48:12,240
Speaker 5: Can I also shout Texas tax Zona quickly?

931
00:48:12,560 --> 00:48:12,759
Speaker 4: Yeah?

932
00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:15,640
Speaker 5: Maybe you guys can talk me off this ledge. Honestly,

933
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:17,880
Speaker 5: what do you think this opens at?

934
00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:22,319
Speaker 6: That's a good question, kemp Pom's got eleven. I mean

935
00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:26,960
Speaker 6: Arizona is off a loss. I would say, where do

936
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:29,560
Speaker 6: I think this open? I would guess ten.

937
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:32,000
Speaker 1: I was gonna say, can we get double digits?

938
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:35,840
Speaker 4: I think it's ten ish right around ten.

939
00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:36,919
Speaker 1: If we get ten?

940
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:40,960
Speaker 5: This is a simple I respect Grant mccaslan play for me.

941
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:45,239
Speaker 5: Arizona played Texas Tech three times last season. The two

942
00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:48,800
Speaker 5: losses for Texas Tech were close games, toss up type games,

943
00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:50,320
Speaker 5: and then they beat them by sixteen.

944
00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:54,280
Speaker 1: I believe at home. Look, Arizona is awesome.

945
00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:57,520
Speaker 5: They are going to respond almost certainly from the Kansas game.

946
00:48:58,040 --> 00:49:00,400
Speaker 5: But I think this Texas Tech team has up for

947
00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:03,400
Speaker 5: their big games. I mean, I can't shake the Duke comeback.

948
00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:06,200
Speaker 5: I think they got Houston and played Houston wire to

949
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:10,320
Speaker 5: wire for forty minutes both games. If this is supposed

950
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:13,759
Speaker 5: to be in Arizona blowout, I'm not sure I see it, and.

951
00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:15,680
Speaker 1: I might regret saying this.

952
00:49:16,640 --> 00:49:16,839
Speaker 2: Ah.

953
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:18,719
Speaker 1: I kind of want to sell high on Arizona.

954
00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 5: They shoot so many tough mid range shots, and they

955
00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:25,480
Speaker 5: haven't played any of the good teams in the Big Twelve,

956
00:49:25,960 --> 00:49:28,479
Speaker 5: and I think that works against all of the bad

957
00:49:28,520 --> 00:49:31,279
Speaker 5: teams in the Big Twelve. But I wonder if they're

958
00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:33,720
Speaker 5: gonna get bit more than we expect down the stretch

959
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:37,080
Speaker 5: by teams that have talent to hang, have great coaches

960
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:39,480
Speaker 5: that can kind of scheme around that and play the

961
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,680
Speaker 5: math war mccastlan will do that. His teams are gonna

962
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:46,000
Speaker 5: shoot a bunch of threes. I just think if they fall,

963
00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:47,240
Speaker 5: that's a really good number.

964
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:51,280
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean, I actually yeah, I mean I actually

965
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:53,279
Speaker 7: might even prefer I prefer the money on maybe over

966
00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 7: the spread, just because like Texas Tech is gonna bomb

967
00:49:57,600 --> 00:50:01,400
Speaker 7: threes here and Arizona has the size to kind of

968
00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:02,959
Speaker 7: just throw a top, and so they're just gonna shoot

969
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:04,120
Speaker 7: a ton of threes and if they're.

970
00:50:03,960 --> 00:50:06,319
Speaker 4: Like red hot, they can win this game. And math

971
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 4: Arizona's not going to take a ton of threes. But

972
00:50:07,960 --> 00:50:11,440
Speaker 4: if they're off, I mean, Arizona's gonna get every rebound

973
00:50:11,440 --> 00:50:14,560
Speaker 4: and kill them inside. So I feel like this game

974
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:16,759
Speaker 4: is either Texas Tech is you know, it makes it

975
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 4: seventeen threes and wins, or they get they lose by twenty.

976
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:22,560
Speaker 4: Do you have any thoughts they're kuh.

977
00:50:22,160 --> 00:50:27,360
Speaker 2: Slightly to Texas Tech. I really worry about Arizona's size

978
00:50:27,520 --> 00:50:30,520
Speaker 2: kind of bottling up top. And but to Greg's point,

979
00:50:30,520 --> 00:50:32,800
Speaker 2: I mean, Texas Tech has basically beaten Houston twice and

980
00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 2: Houston theoretically could do the same thing against Topping and

981
00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:37,560
Speaker 2: they haven't been able to do it. And Christian Anderson

982
00:50:37,600 --> 00:50:40,160
Speaker 2: is a dog. So is Jason Petty for that matter.

983
00:50:40,200 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 2: That guy is awesome too. Doubles, I would definitely in

984
00:50:43,520 --> 00:50:45,520
Speaker 2: towards a Grant Machasm team catching doubles.

985
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:50,320
Speaker 4: Yeah. My fear though, is Topping gets in foul trouble.

986
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:53,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, curtains its lights.

987
00:50:55,000 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 4: Inside because they won't be able to hang for a second.

988
00:50:58,480 --> 00:51:01,920
Speaker 4: All right. Oh, by the way, I don't I've buried

989
00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:04,960
Speaker 4: one of the leads of the of the day in

990
00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:13,000
Speaker 4: college basketball, big story out of Carolina and Caleb Wilson

991
00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:17,160
Speaker 4: hand injury. Don't know when or if he's going to

992
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 4: be back. That pretty much makes unc irrelevant if he's not,

993
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:26,120
Speaker 4: would you agree, absolutely, yeah, completely irrelevant. My hot take

994
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:27,680
Speaker 4: of the day is George is going to miss the tournament.

995
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:30,200
Speaker 4: By the way, all right, fave before we get out

996
00:51:30,200 --> 00:51:32,240
Speaker 4: of your favorite play of the weekend. Obviously line dependent,

997
00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:37,280
Speaker 4: but just as of right now, Kyle, you mentioned yours Virginia.

998
00:51:36,120 --> 00:51:40,439
Speaker 1: Correct Virginia, Greg god Husker, Southern Northwestern.

999
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:44,080
Speaker 4: And I'm going to go North Colorado, Northern Colorado in Greeley,

1000
00:51:44,520 --> 00:51:48,880
Speaker 4: give me the Bears. That'll do it for us and

1001
00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:52,080
Speaker 4: all of our coverage of the Iron Bowl here on

1002
00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 4: Big Bets on Campus. He will be back with a

1003
00:51:56,080 --> 00:52:02,440
Speaker 4: ride show on Saturday ten thirty am Eastern three episodes

1004
00:52:02,480 --> 00:52:04,600
Speaker 4: next week. Make sure you check out the guys MIDWEK

1005
00:52:04,600 --> 00:52:07,120
Speaker 4: three Men. We will have us covered early week out

1006
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:09,919
Speaker 4: of the future talk the weekend week that was Hope

1007
00:52:09,920 --> 00:52:12,160
Speaker 4: you enjoyed it. Thanks to Greg for joining me. Thanks

1008
00:52:12,200 --> 00:52:15,040
Speaker 4: to Guy for filling in for Jim. Hope Jim has

1009
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:18,920
Speaker 4: safe travels. We'll probably see him next week. Thanks to

1010
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:20,839
Speaker 4: our producers on the back end. Most prily, thanks allv

1011
00:52:20,920 --> 00:52:23,280
Speaker 4: for tuning in. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe

1012
00:52:23,320 --> 00:52:24,960
Speaker 4: to a friend on him you know the drill. Leave

1013
00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:26,359
Speaker 4: a five star review if you get an extra second

1014
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:29,040
Speaker 4: We've won you. Any money really helps us sell. Thanks

1015
00:52:29,080 --> 00:52:31,160
Speaker 4: for tuning in. We'll see you Saturday and then again

1016
00:52:31,200 --> 00:52:33,120
Speaker 4: next week. March will be here before we know it.

1017
00:52:33,239 --> 00:52:50,000
Speaker 3: Cheers.

1018
00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:56,200
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1019
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1020
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