1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:06,480 Speaker 1: What two three brights down in the middle of the 2 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: family tie? Hello's football? Who's got it down in the 3 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: one yard line? 4 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:23,759 Speaker 2: How about that? That is the ultimate kabash and. 5 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 1: We are underway. 6 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 3: Hello everyone, Welcome back to another episode of the Action 7 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 3: Network NFL podcast. I am Matthew Friedman, the editor in 8 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,160 Speaker 3: chief of Fantasy Labs. It is finally here, the last 9 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 3: episode of the pod before the Super Bowl. Of course, 10 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 3: after the Super Bowl, we will still have some shows 11 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 3: in which we look back at twenty eighteen and look 12 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 3: ahead to twenty nineteen. Last episode, Sean Corner and I 13 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 3: looked at our favorite Super Bowl fifty three props. It 14 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 3: was Propapalooza. For this episode, sponsored by the Way by 15 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 3: Audible and Mack Weldon, we are breaking down the Super 16 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,920 Speaker 3: Bowl from a sports betting and daily fantasy perspective and 17 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 3: joining me none other than Chris Rayvon, a senior editor 18 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:04,559 Speaker 3: and analyst at the Action Network and they co host 19 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 3: of I'll Take That Bet on ESPN Plus. Chris, it 20 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 3: has been a couple of weeks. How are you doing 21 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 3: I am doing good. 22 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 4: I actually got to see all the guys recorded the 23 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:15,759 Speaker 4: Favorites podcast. 24 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:17,199 Speaker 2: Live a couple of days ago. So that was fun. 25 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 2: So they all say hi and excited to get back at. 26 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: It with you. 27 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:23,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, don't mention those people because we have a rivalry 28 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 3: with them. It's this podcast versus that podcast, and I 29 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 3: feel betrayed that you would even attend the live recording 30 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:34,399 Speaker 3: of that podcast. But whatever, they're they're good guys, They're 31 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 3: in the company. 32 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 4: I feel like, I feel like we need a live podcast, 33 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 4: like why why Chad Millman and Jeff Schwartz and Paul 34 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:42,559 Speaker 4: and Duka, Like who are they? 35 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 1: Like? Yeah, who are these guys? 36 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:46,320 Speaker 2: We're carrying this thing? 37 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: Yes exactly, Okay, I shouldn't mention that. 38 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 3: At the end of the show, Chris is going to 39 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 3: run through a few of his favorite Super Bowl props, 40 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 3: speaking of which, in the Action Network app, we have 41 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 3: some Super Bowl prop contest which are free to participate 42 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 3: in with thousands of dollars in prizes paid out to 43 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 3: multiple winners. To get in the contest, go to my 44 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 3: Action Dot app slash Pod Contest forty five. That is 45 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 3: Myaction Dot app slash Pod Contest forty five. And of 46 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:17,360 Speaker 3: course you can follow Chris in the Action Network app 47 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 3: at Chris Raybond. You can use the app also to 48 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 3: get real time NFL odds and to track your bets. Chris, 49 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 3: let's jump into it. It's the Super Bowl. Super Bowl 50 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 3: fifty three. Very excited for this matchup. I think some 51 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 3: people maybe weren't as excited about this matchup when you 52 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 3: know the conference championships were over. But I think it's 53 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 3: gonna be good. Kickoff is at six thirty pm Eastern. 54 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 3: We have the Rams in the Patriots. Patriots favored by 55 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 3: two and a half a fifty six point five over under. 56 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:45,800 Speaker 1: The spread opened. 57 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 3: At Rams minus one or a pick at most books. 58 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:53,399 Speaker 3: Very quickly, it moved to Patriots minus two and now 59 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 3: two and a half and it's been sitting at the 60 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 3: two and a half for about ten days. I should 61 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 3: say we were recording this on Wednesday. The over under 62 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 3: opened at fifty eight and a half and it's been 63 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 3: bet down to fifty six point five. Seventy eight percent 64 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 3: of the ticket seventy nine percent of the money is 65 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 3: on the Patriots. But most books have not yet tested 66 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,880 Speaker 3: minus three to see if they get Rams money. Maybe 67 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 3: they are all waiting till later in the week to 68 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 3: go to minus three. But right now it looks as 69 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 3: if Vegas and the sportsbooks are fine with needing the Rams, 70 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 3: and generally books try to avoid being in that position 71 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 3: of needing a side in such a high volume game. 72 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 3: So that is something that is notable. On the Favorites podcast. 73 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 3: The aforementioned Favorites podcast, Bob Scucci said that their numbers 74 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 3: had the RAMS at minus one, which is why they 75 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 3: opened there. Our power rankings also have the RAMS at 76 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 3: minus one, So it seems that there is value on 77 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 3: Los Angeles. Almost all of the sharp people I know 78 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 3: are just waiting to bet on the Rams of plus three, 79 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 3: and we can talk about that later. Forty eight percent 80 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 3: of the tickets, fifty four percent of the money is 81 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 3: on the under, which seems to be where the Sharps 82 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 3: have landed. We have the Pats in their ninth Super 83 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 3: Bowl of the Brady Belichie era, their third and three years. 84 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 3: The Rams have fully emerged from the Jeff Fisher era 85 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 3: under head coach Sean McVay, who in two years with 86 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 3: the team has transformed it into one of the best 87 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 3: in the league. There is so much to talk about 88 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 3: with this game, Chris, What should we talk about first? 89 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 4: Well, I think we got to go because, especially with 90 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 4: these coaching matchups, you know, Wade Phillips versus Josh McDaniels 91 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 4: and Belichick. 92 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: And versus Sean McVay. 93 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 4: I think we got to start, you know, we got 94 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:28,240 Speaker 4: to break down each team's offense versus the defense and 95 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 4: kind of figure out what. 96 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 2: These coaches are going to do. So let's start with 97 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:32,839 Speaker 2: the Rams offense. 98 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 4: And of course I think you have to start with 99 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 4: the quarterback in Jared Goff here because he struggles versus 100 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:42,280 Speaker 4: man coverage. Ian Hardits of the Action Network actually tweeted 101 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 4: out a stat that in nine games for GoF versus 102 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 4: teams that play you know, zone defense at a top 103 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 4: twelve to eight, GoF is averaging eight point five yards 104 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 4: per attempt. But then in five games where GoF has 105 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 4: faced a team that is top twelve in man coverage rate, 106 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:05,040 Speaker 4: he drops to six point nine yards per a time. 107 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 2: So night and day for Goff, you know, when he's 108 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 2: playing man. 109 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 4: In the Patriots, they play a ton of man and 110 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,359 Speaker 4: the reason is they have a lot of guys that 111 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 4: can cover. When you talk about Stefan Gilmore, j C. 112 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:19,919 Speaker 4: Jackson has looked really strong. You still have both mccordy, 113 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 4: so great secondary for New England. So I think that's 114 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:25,919 Speaker 4: a concern for Jared Goff. And then you start to 115 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,599 Speaker 4: look at the Cooper cup splits, which I think are 116 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 4: kind of it kind of relates a little bit. But 117 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 4: with Cooper cup, the Rams have a fifty four percent 118 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 4: success rate. Without cup, that drops to forty eight percent. 119 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:44,119 Speaker 4: So that fifty four percent, that's that's third, that forty 120 00:05:44,120 --> 00:05:47,160 Speaker 4: eight percent, that's middle of the pack, that's thirteen another 121 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 4: concern for him. And then it's not even that it 122 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 4: doesn't even stop there under pressure GoF with cup seventy 123 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:58,479 Speaker 4: seven point seven passer rating without cup forty six point 124 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:01,800 Speaker 4: eight passer rating under pressure for Jared Goff just four 125 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 4: point eighty five yards per attempt for golf without cup 126 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 4: under pressure that is going. 127 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:08,719 Speaker 2: To be used. 128 00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:11,039 Speaker 4: I think that Bill Belichick is gonna look at this, 129 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,159 Speaker 4: and I think he is going to bring a few 130 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 4: more blitzes than he would normally bring. Like what do 131 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 4: you think, Like, how do you think Belichick is gonna 132 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 4: look at Jerrek Goff in this game? 133 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:21,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a really good question. 134 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 3: I honestly have no idea because Belichick he does so 135 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:29,240 Speaker 3: many different things. And I was listening to a podcast 136 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 3: talking about how Belichick basically uses the first half of 137 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 3: the season to experiment with what he does defensively, so 138 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:40,599 Speaker 3: that later in the season, whenever they need to kind 139 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:44,159 Speaker 3: of have multiple looks and kind of even change within 140 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,839 Speaker 3: a game what it is that they are doing, they 141 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 3: have already done it in games before, and so I 142 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 3: think that is what we should expect to see. We 143 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:55,919 Speaker 3: should expect to see a lot of different looks, basically 144 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 3: like everything that has been in the Patriots repertoire up 145 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:01,600 Speaker 3: to this point and the season, like we are going 146 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 3: to see snippets. I think of all of that in 147 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 3: this game to give GoF as many different looks as possible, 148 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 3: because he's still a young quarterback, and you know, I 149 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 3: think there's the possibility almost to overwhelm him with different 150 00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 3: looks along the front line and then you know, different 151 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:21,600 Speaker 3: zone coverages. 152 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm with you. 153 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 3: I will be interested to see what Belichick does defensively 154 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 3: to try to get GoF out of his rhythm. But 155 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 3: as you mentioned, just kind of their default for the 156 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 3: Patriots is to run man coverage and that is where 157 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 3: GoF has struggled. So I think we should assume that 158 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 3: most of the time we're going to see that but 159 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 3: I still think there will be a lot of different 160 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 3: looks intermingled in there to throw GoF. 161 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:48,680 Speaker 4: Off absolutely and you know, just going back to that, 162 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:52,679 Speaker 4: so with cupping the lineup, you know, GoF two point 163 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 4: sixty seven seconds to throw, and then with Cup out 164 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 4: that jumps up to two point seven to six, so 165 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,640 Speaker 4: he's holding the ball a little bit more. The play 166 00:08:00,640 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 4: action pass game hasn't been as successful for him either 167 00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 4: without Cup. With Cup in the lineup, thirty eight point 168 00:08:06,880 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 4: five percent of his throws work play action, and he 169 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 4: averaged a league high eleven point six yards per ten 170 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:14,240 Speaker 4: on play action when Cup was there. 171 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 2: And that's because Cup, you know, running underneath routes. That 172 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 2: just kind of opens up everything else you can do 173 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 2: as well. 174 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 4: And I think with Reynolds is a whole different kind 175 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 4: of receiver and it kind of changes things up a little. 176 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 2: You could pay more attention to Wood, so you. 177 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 3: Know, in some way, and this isn't exactly accurate, but 178 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:34,200 Speaker 3: like Cooks and Woods and Cup all have different overlapping 179 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 3: skill sets, like each of them have their own strengths, 180 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:39,320 Speaker 3: but each of those guys could play in the slot 181 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 3: if needed. Each of those guys can play out wide 182 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:45,080 Speaker 3: if needed, and Reynolds really isn't that type of receiver, 183 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:49,840 Speaker 3: so it makes the offense less multi dimensional. So that 184 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 3: is one thing that the absence of Cooper Cup even 185 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 3: if you don't think that he's a great slot receiver 186 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,440 Speaker 3: or a great athlete in general, his presence on the 187 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 3: field enables the just to do more things. 188 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:02,679 Speaker 2: Absolutely. 189 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 4: So, yeah, let's talk about cooks and woods, because I 190 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 4: think that this is another fascinating kind of what will 191 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 4: Belichick do thing, And I think it starts with with 192 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 4: Stefan Gilmour because he has been just amazing this season. 193 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,079 Speaker 2: According to Pro Football Focus, he's. 194 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 4: Been targeted one hundred times, has given up forty four 195 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 4: catches ninety four yards after the catch all season. 196 00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:27,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, one hundred targets, and he's been doing a lot 197 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 3: of it on an island. He has had very little 198 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 3: help on what he's been doing. He's yeah, as you mentioned, 199 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:34,079 Speaker 3: he's just he's been impressive. 200 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 4: Like he had eighteen path breakups during the regular season. 201 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:39,720 Speaker 4: That was first in the league. No one else had 202 00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 4: more than thirteen. Like, he has been a straight monster. 203 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,680 Speaker 4: And what's crazy is when he's gone, he's played in 204 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 4: the slot a little bit and even in the slot 205 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 4: only thirteen of twenty six completions and a fifty seven 206 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 4: point one passer rating allowed, so he hasn't fallen off 207 00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 4: at all even when he's moved inside. So whether it's Woods, 208 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 4: I think I think that he's going to end up 209 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 4: following Woods around a lot. 210 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:04,800 Speaker 2: That's just my hunch. 211 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 4: I think that because he's now going into the slot 212 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 4: and Woods is a guy that are going to the slot. 213 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 4: I think what Belichick will likely do is something similar 214 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:14,320 Speaker 4: to what he did against Tyreek Hill. 215 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 2: You had guys like j C. 216 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:21,160 Speaker 4: Jackson crossing and those guys kind of on Hill safety 217 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 4: help over the top at all times. Mccordy was on 218 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 4: him some and you're essentially doubling, you know, that kind 219 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 4: of guy that the speed guy in every play. 220 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 2: So I think he might do that with Cooks, trust. 221 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:34,439 Speaker 4: Gilmore to follow Woods around whether it's inside or outside, 222 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 4: and then Reynolds will be the guy that will be 223 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:41,440 Speaker 4: most often kind of singled up. So I think that's 224 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 4: kind of where what Belichick will kind of lean on 225 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:47,840 Speaker 4: the most. And you know, it's if you look at 226 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 4: what the Patriots have done down the stretch, so they 227 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 4: had to buy late in the year you know, they 228 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 4: come back in week twelve and they faced quite a 229 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 4: few duos that you could you could. 230 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 2: Say are pretty elite. 231 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,559 Speaker 4: I mean they faced Adam Thielen and StepN Diggs. 232 00:11:03,800 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 2: Those guys did nothing against against the Patriots. 233 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:09,920 Speaker 4: I mean, you know, Gigs had five catches forty nine 234 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 4: yards and the wind was I don't have his exact 235 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 4: numbers in front of me, but it was it was 236 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 4: just bad for him as well. I think he scored 237 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 4: a touchdown, but the yardage was not there at all. 238 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 4: Then you had Juju Smith Schuster and Antonio Brown, and 239 00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:26,680 Speaker 4: Antonio went four for forty nine and a touch Juju 240 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 4: went four for forty so. And then you go to 241 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 4: the playoffs and you have Keenan Allen gets two catches, 242 00:11:31,679 --> 00:11:34,079 Speaker 4: Yes he gets one of the one on a big play, 243 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:36,720 Speaker 4: but you know, two catches seventy five yards. 244 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 2: You have Mike Williams five of eleven for sixty eight yards. 245 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:42,600 Speaker 2: You know another you know, stop in the one two. 246 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 4: And then you go to the Chiefs game, Kelsey three catches, 247 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 4: twenty three yards and a touchdown, Tyreek Hill three targets, 248 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 4: one catch, forty two yards. 249 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 3: So, and Watkins got his in that game but I mean, 250 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:57,240 Speaker 3: if you had to, if you're the Patriots and you're 251 00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 3: thinking which one of these guys are we going to 252 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:04,600 Speaker 3: allow production to, it would be Watkins out of those three, right. 253 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 4: And in this situation, it's like Watkins is if you're 254 00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:10,559 Speaker 4: kind of comparing, you know who would be who? Watkins 255 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 4: is obviously a lot better than than Josh Reynolds, and 256 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 4: so you're not even He's not even going to be 257 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:18,960 Speaker 4: as much as a threat. So what the Patriots have 258 00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:21,439 Speaker 4: been able to do against top guys is impressive. I 259 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 4: think that they are going to be able to kind 260 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:27,040 Speaker 4: of limit these RAMS receivers more so than in most 261 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 4: teams that we've seen this year. And that kind of 262 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 4: leads me to, Okay, well, what are the RAMS going 263 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:34,239 Speaker 4: to do? They're going to have to attack these linebackers 264 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 4: for the Patriots. You know, Kyle van Noy and Landon Roberts, 265 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 4: Dante Hi Tower High Tower allowing one hundred and fifteen 266 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 4: point four passer rating per PFF. Van Noise up there 267 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:46,839 Speaker 4: at one hundred point two and Roberts is at ninety 268 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:48,880 Speaker 4: eight point seven. So I think those are the guys 269 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:50,559 Speaker 4: that you want to attack. I think we're going to 270 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 4: have to see you know, Todd Gurley, like, where where 271 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:56,520 Speaker 4: are you on? You know, Todd Gurley, CJ Anderson and 272 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:57,319 Speaker 4: that whole split. 273 00:12:57,679 --> 00:12:59,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Gurley is going to get more of 274 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 3: the than he's gotten in the past two games. The 275 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,840 Speaker 3: thing that I'm thinking about with this matchup, specifically with 276 00:13:06,160 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 3: New England's defense, they've been playing more dime recently to 277 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,800 Speaker 3: kind of limit the exposure of those linebackers who, like 278 00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 3: they know, they're just not good in coverage. You have 279 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:19,560 Speaker 3: Harmon playing at free safety, and you have Chung playing 280 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 3: as the dimebacker there, and at this point, when High 281 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:25,960 Speaker 3: Tower is still on the field in that formation, they're 282 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 3: using him basically as a pass rusher. It's kind of 283 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 3: like this interesting hybrid approach that they have. So I 284 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:35,679 Speaker 3: don't even know how often when the Rams are in 285 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:38,679 Speaker 3: three receiver sets and they use that as their base formation, 286 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 3: you know, like ninety percent of the time when they 287 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 3: are in those sets. I don't even know how much 288 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 3: opportunity they're really going to get to attack the Patriots 289 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:51,760 Speaker 3: linebackers because they're just like the guys who are the 290 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:55,439 Speaker 3: massive liability aren't out there to the extent that they 291 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:59,319 Speaker 3: had been previously in the year. So yeah, I'm interested 292 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 3: in that, man. I have to tell you, like, if 293 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,880 Speaker 3: I didn't know that at this point, like the books 294 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 3: basically are betting on the Rams, I would be really 295 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 3: tempted to take the Patriots because, like I don't see 296 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 3: the Rams being as good as the Chiefs were, you know, 297 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 3: like they don't have the weapons. Like Tyreek Hill is 298 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 3: better than Brandon Cooks, you know, Woods as playing Woods 299 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 3: in the slot is kind of like a lesser version 300 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:28,320 Speaker 3: I know, it's not really the same thing, but a 301 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 3: lesser version of Kelsey who basically plays as a big 302 00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 3: bodied slot receiver. Watkins is better than Reynolds, you know, 303 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 3: like I just and Mahomes is better than golf Damian Williams. 304 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 3: I mean, it's hard to say that he's better than Gury, 305 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 3: but like we don't we just we kind of don't 306 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:47,800 Speaker 3: know what we're going to get out of Girly, and 307 00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 3: Williams has been a productive back when he's been out there. 308 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,520 Speaker 3: So like the Patriots were able to find a way 309 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 3: to at least I mean, they didn't shut down at 310 00:14:57,320 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 3: that Kansas City offense, but they came pretty close to 311 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 3: doing it for three quarters before just giving up a 312 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 3: whole bunch of points in the fourth quarter, and we 313 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 3: could see something like that here. But like, I was 314 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 3: impressed by what I saw out of the Patriots defense 315 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 3: in that game. And I don't know how the Rams 316 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 3: are going to do a better job than what Kansas 317 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 3: City did two weeks ago, you know what I mean, I. 318 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:20,360 Speaker 4: Do, And I'm actually glad you brought that up because 319 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 4: that leads me right into what I think is going 320 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 4: to have to be Sean mcvay's trump card here. Like, 321 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 4: I think I've thought about this a lot, and I 322 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 4: think there's one thing that Sean McVay can do to 323 00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 4: kind of slow all this down. Because what's crazy about 324 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 4: Gilmore too, is that he actually started covering Kelsey in 325 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 4: the second half of that I guess, so like that was 326 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 4: another reason they were using so much time, was to 327 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 4: get a corner on Kelsey because they have jac Jackson 328 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 4: on him too. So here's what I think that Sean 329 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 4: McVay needs to do. We know you kind of mentioned it. 330 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 4: The Rams are a predominantly three wide receiver, one tight end, 331 00:15:56,640 --> 00:16:00,280 Speaker 4: one running back team. They ran that personnel for the 332 00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 4: season at a rate of eighty nine percent. They only 333 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 4: ran two tight end looks on eight percent of their 334 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 4: offensive snaps. However, Lo and Behold last week that number 335 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 4: jumped up to twenty five percent. I think that Sean 336 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,200 Speaker 4: McVay is going to look at this matchup and kind 337 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 4: of look at everything we just said, how good the 338 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:26,040 Speaker 4: New England secondary has been, how well they match up 339 00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 4: in man coverage, but how exploitable their linebackers are, and 340 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:33,840 Speaker 4: he's going to say, I need to keep this team 341 00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 4: in base defense. Yeah, at all times, whether I'm throwing 342 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:42,640 Speaker 4: or whether I'm running. Because number one to beat the Patriots. 343 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 4: The five teams that have beat the Patriots this year, 344 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:47,040 Speaker 4: they've been able to run all over them one hundred 345 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 4: and fifty two yard average and eighty eight yards on 346 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 4: six point eight yards per carry in the first half. 347 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 2: So it's not just like. 348 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: A gain, right. 349 00:16:57,480 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 2: I think what they need to do. 350 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 4: I think what they're going to do is that they're 351 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:04,639 Speaker 4: gonna use Gurley and Anderson one two personnel, higgb and 352 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:06,679 Speaker 4: Everett on the field for a ton of snaps. I 353 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,200 Speaker 4: think Reynolds is gonna play fewer snaps, and I think 354 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:11,879 Speaker 4: that they're gonna try to attack up the middle because 355 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:15,160 Speaker 4: that's where the Patriots were weakest. They were twenty seventh 356 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 4: and adjusted vineyards four point nine one up the middle 357 00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:19,719 Speaker 4: according to Football Outsiders. 358 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:21,240 Speaker 2: And so I think that you're gonna use C. J. 359 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:23,359 Speaker 4: Anderson with that, And I think you're gonna get Girly 360 00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:26,239 Speaker 4: in the past game on these linebackers, and I think 361 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:29,080 Speaker 4: you're gonna get Higbee and Everett as well. And I 362 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 4: think Everett actually may be a key player in this 363 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:33,880 Speaker 4: game because he has. 364 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 2: Some explosive in explosive element. 365 00:17:36,040 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 4: To his game and we saw him rumble against the 366 00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:40,480 Speaker 4: Saints for a big game in the clutch. So I 367 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 4: think that I think that that's how mcveig's gonna do it. 368 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:44,199 Speaker 2: Like what do you think, Like what do you think? 369 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:45,800 Speaker 4: Do you think how likely do you think it is 370 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:48,920 Speaker 4: that McVeigh that this is like the highest two tight 371 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:53,280 Speaker 4: end personnel percentage for the Rams of the season this 372 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:54,359 Speaker 4: week in the Super Bowl. 373 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:55,400 Speaker 1: That's a good point. 374 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 3: It wouldn't surprise me because, as you mentioned, that would 375 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:02,159 Speaker 3: really counter act what the Patriots want to do defensively, 376 00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 3: and that is to have their best eleven players on 377 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 3: the field, and that means that they have to be 378 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:09,520 Speaker 3: heavy at defensive back. But if they do that, they 379 00:18:09,560 --> 00:18:13,159 Speaker 3: cannot defend the run the way that they probably need to, 380 00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 3: so they I mean, actually it is a good question. 381 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 3: Would they just sacrifice the run. That is something that 382 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,960 Speaker 3: I could see Belichick doing, just you know, if the 383 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 3: Rams want to run the ball, letting them run the 384 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:29,640 Speaker 3: ball and still playing against the pass first, because I mean, 385 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 3: that's kind of the smarter way to do it. 386 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:34,959 Speaker 2: I think that he would think about it. 387 00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 4: But the Rams are so good running like this is 388 00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 4: not just like a team that's like a Soco running 389 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:42,960 Speaker 4: team that you let run because you know at some 390 00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:44,840 Speaker 4: point they're going to have to pass. Like this is 391 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,000 Speaker 4: this is the best running team, This is the best 392 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:49,960 Speaker 4: run blocking offensive line. So I don't know that he's 393 00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:51,520 Speaker 4: going to want to and I don't think he's going 394 00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 4: to want to let them kind of play ball control either. 395 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 4: So I think he actually is going to have to 396 00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 4: kind of, you know, match their personnel, and it's going 397 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,440 Speaker 4: to come down to execution. I think that's what's every 398 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:04,360 Speaker 4: time we've seen the Patriots in a Super Bowl, it's 399 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 4: been a close game, and I think one of the 400 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:08,480 Speaker 4: reasons is when you have two weeks to prepare and 401 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:10,400 Speaker 4: you're kind of it's like I have this theory. It's 402 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 4: like it's like steel sharp and steel. It's like, when 403 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:15,280 Speaker 4: you're watching and game planning for Belichick for two weeks, 404 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:17,440 Speaker 4: you have no choice but to get better and kind 405 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 4: and so. 406 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,720 Speaker 2: It kind of ends up being less about some of these. 407 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 4: Coaching things and strategic tactics and just about execution, because 408 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 4: I think at the end of the day, I don't 409 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 4: think you can win the way the Rams have been 410 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 4: running with cj. 411 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 2: Anders. 412 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:32,720 Speaker 4: I don't think you can let them just start just 413 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,680 Speaker 4: running for four or five yards every time. I think 414 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 4: one of the underrated things that Belichick did actually though 415 00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 4: against Kansas City, you kind of hit it like he 416 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,720 Speaker 4: had an amazing game plan against Kansas City, not only 417 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,679 Speaker 4: against the past, but New England was really struggling up 418 00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:47,040 Speaker 4: the middle. And so what he did was he took 419 00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:50,639 Speaker 4: Trey Flowers. Trey Flowers played a season high twenty seven 420 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:54,200 Speaker 4: snaps at defensive tackle, and he is one of their 421 00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 4: better run defenders. And so what that did was that 422 00:19:56,320 --> 00:20:00,639 Speaker 4: allowed John Simon now to play more snaps at defensive end, 423 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:03,120 Speaker 4: and he has an eighty one point one run defensive 424 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 4: rating from Pro Football Focus. So I don't think it 425 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,480 Speaker 4: will be quite as easy for the Rams to run. 426 00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:12,159 Speaker 4: But I think Anderson, Gurley, Higbee Everett are gonna be 427 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 4: like the major guys in this game. I don't think 428 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:17,840 Speaker 4: you're gonna see a big game from from Cook's or Woods, all. 429 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 3: Right, anymore to touch on when it comes to the 430 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,919 Speaker 3: Rams offense versus New England defense. 431 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 4: You know, oh, just real quick, you know, since I 432 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 4: know there's gonna be all the chatter about Todd Gurley 433 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:35,040 Speaker 4: versus Anderson, and Anderson really has outplayed Gurley since he 434 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 4: joined the team. If you if you look at some 435 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:42,840 Speaker 4: of the numbers, I think the yards, the yards after 436 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 4: contact really kind of tell the story. 437 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,880 Speaker 2: Because Anderson was averaging only two. 438 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:53,080 Speaker 4: Point five four yards after contact with Carolina according to PFF. 439 00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:55,520 Speaker 4: But when he comes to the Rams, all of a sudden, 440 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:58,280 Speaker 4: you know, that jumps way up and that's it, and 441 00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:00,919 Speaker 4: all of a sudden, it's over six point four, two 442 00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:02,840 Speaker 4: point nine six, two point nine six, and two point 443 00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:07,400 Speaker 4: one in the four games. So he's declining, but he's 444 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:11,320 Speaker 4: been getting more yards after contact than Girly. However, every 445 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:13,879 Speaker 4: game it seems like anderson His yards for carry has 446 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:16,399 Speaker 4: gone down from the previous game. His yards after context 447 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 4: has gone down from the previous game. His PFF rating 448 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:21,439 Speaker 4: has gone down from the previous game. Like, I wonder, 449 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,400 Speaker 4: we talked about it a couple weeks ago. He looks 450 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:28,160 Speaker 4: bigger than he did earlier. I wonder if he's wearing 451 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:30,760 Speaker 4: down with it after all those you know, twenty kind 452 00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 4: of like out of nowhere. 453 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean he came in with fresh legs, you know, 454 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,880 Speaker 3: because he hadn't been used for almost the entire season. Now, 455 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 3: it would make sense that if he's not as conditioned 456 00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,439 Speaker 3: as he had been previously, and he's been used heavily, 457 00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:46,320 Speaker 3: it would make sense for him to be wearing down. 458 00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:47,000 Speaker 1: Yeah. 459 00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:51,040 Speaker 4: And at the same time, Gurley hasn't been quite right either, 460 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 4: because so for the season, his overall PFF grade, and 461 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 4: the reason I'm looking at PF grades is I'm just 462 00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 4: trying week We can obviously look at the raw numbers, 463 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 4: but I'm trying to get a sense of, like, is 464 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,879 Speaker 4: there really something to him not playing as well? Right, So, 465 00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:08,159 Speaker 4: his PFF grade for the season overall seventy seven point seven, 466 00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 4: but he has not earned a grade above seventy since 467 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:14,679 Speaker 4: Week eight, Yeah, in any game, and he bottomed out 468 00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:17,600 Speaker 4: at forty five point three last week. So he Gurley 469 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:20,960 Speaker 4: has just not been playing well. The numbers were there 470 00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:23,240 Speaker 4: for most of the regular season, but he did see 471 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:27,000 Speaker 4: a reduction in worklow even before Anderson came. So he 472 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 4: has been getting outplayed and that is really why Sean 473 00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,399 Speaker 4: McVay has turned away from him. But again in this game, 474 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:34,200 Speaker 4: I think you're going to see a ton of time girl. 475 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 3: All right, we're going to talk about the Patriots offense 476 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:42,440 Speaker 3: in the Rams defense. Right after I talked about Audible. 477 00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 3: There's ever been a better time to start listening than 478 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,679 Speaker 3: right now on Audible. With Audible, you get access to 479 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:53,119 Speaker 3: an unbeatable selection of audiobooks, including bestsellers, motivation, mysteries, thrillers, memoirs, 480 00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:56,399 Speaker 3: and more. Audible has the largest selection of audiobooks on 481 00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,479 Speaker 3: the planet, and now with Audible Originals, the selection has 482 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,359 Speaker 3: gotten and more custom with content made for members. Chris, 483 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 3: I'm going to put you on the spot. What is 484 00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:06,680 Speaker 3: your favorite book. 485 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:10,199 Speaker 2: Of all time? It would have to be Antifragive by 486 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:10,920 Speaker 2: not See to leave. 487 00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 3: Okay, Well, you know what, I'm sure it is on 488 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:17,800 Speaker 3: Audible because everything is on Audible. Audible members can choose 489 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:21,959 Speaker 3: three titles every month, one audiobook and two Audible originals 490 00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:25,880 Speaker 3: that you can't hear anywhere else. Audible members also get 491 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,959 Speaker 3: access to exclusive audio fitness programs to start the new 492 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 3: year off on the right foot. 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Get started with a thirty day trial. 500 00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,560 Speaker 3: When you go to audible dot com slash action or 501 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:56,119 Speaker 3: text action to five hundred five hundred and listen for 502 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,720 Speaker 3: a change that is Audible A U, D I, B 503 00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:02,359 Speaker 3: L E dot com slash action or text action A 504 00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 3: C t IO N to five hundred five hundred. Okay, Chris, 505 00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:11,920 Speaker 3: talk to me about this Patriots offense versus the Rams defense. 506 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 4: With the Patriots, I think what you have to start 507 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:20,720 Speaker 4: with is Tom Brady versus interior pressure. Because so I 508 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:22,439 Speaker 4: think Ryan Collins were at a few weeks ago when 509 00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,680 Speaker 4: they were playing the Chargers, you know, did an article 510 00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:27,439 Speaker 4: talking about how Brady has struggled under pressure this year 511 00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:29,840 Speaker 4: is down to his passer ratings down to twenty first 512 00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 4: in the league after we finished number one a year ago. 513 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:34,960 Speaker 2: But where those struggles. 514 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:39,200 Speaker 4: Have really manifested themselves is interior pressure. Edge pressure hasn't 515 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:42,560 Speaker 4: really done anything to Brady one eighteen point seven passer rating, 516 00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 4: but interior sixty three point one. 517 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 2: And that's per NFL research. 518 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,200 Speaker 4: And so the Rams defense, and this is kind of 519 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:51,359 Speaker 4: where it flips because you kind of. 520 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 2: Hit on it. 521 00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:54,680 Speaker 4: It's hard to get behind the Rams at all when 522 00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 4: you just talk about their offense going against the Patriots. 523 00:24:57,520 --> 00:25:00,399 Speaker 4: But it's a little bit of the same story coming 524 00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,119 Speaker 4: back the other way because the Rams defense weeds the 525 00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:06,280 Speaker 4: NFL an interior pressure eight at sixteen point six percent. 526 00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:08,399 Speaker 2: Aaron Donald led the. 527 00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:11,679 Speaker 4: NFL with one hundred and six pressures, led the NFL 528 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:15,119 Speaker 4: with twenty one sacks. His twenty quarterback hits tied for third, 529 00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:19,800 Speaker 4: tied for eighth with fifty stops. Like Aaron Donald is 530 00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:22,879 Speaker 4: a force in the middle in the interior, you also 531 00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 4: have endomikinsu. When you have interior pressure, it's tough to 532 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:29,800 Speaker 4: scheme around it because it's just it's simply you know, 533 00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,879 Speaker 4: if the pocket's breaking down from right in front of you. 534 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,120 Speaker 4: You can't step up into the pocket. You know, Tom 535 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:38,000 Speaker 4: Brady not a very mobile guy, So I don't know 536 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:39,720 Speaker 4: how like if they're going to move the pocket or 537 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 4: do any bootlegs or anything like that. But he's been 538 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,680 Speaker 4: making a women just getting the ball out really quickly 539 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:47,720 Speaker 4: in the postseason. You know, Pro Football Focus has him 540 00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:50,720 Speaker 4: on at two point one eight seconds to throw, which 541 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 4: is extremely fast on average. So you know, I think 542 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,480 Speaker 4: the interior pressure, if the rams can get there, I 543 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,439 Speaker 4: think that you're gonna see Brady, you know, look mortal. 544 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,679 Speaker 4: And that's kind of what's been the story for teams 545 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:04,439 Speaker 4: that have beat him. In the Super Bowl. You had 546 00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:06,639 Speaker 4: the Giants a couple of times with just putting their 547 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:08,640 Speaker 4: four best pass rushers on the field, so they got 548 00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:10,679 Speaker 4: some they got pressure not only on the edge but 549 00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 4: on the inside. 550 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:14,040 Speaker 2: And then you had the Philadelphia Eagles. 551 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 4: Of course they have Fletcher Cocks and so you know 552 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:18,680 Speaker 4: they were able to kind of cause some disruption as well. 553 00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 4: So I think that's really going to be the key 554 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:22,120 Speaker 4: to slowing down Tom Brady. 555 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:22,600 Speaker 2: What do you think? 556 00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:27,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree. Where he has struggled is the interior pressure. 557 00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:31,240 Speaker 3: For me, I'm interested in how, I mean, how these 558 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,560 Speaker 3: pass catchers are going to match up and how important 559 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:38,160 Speaker 3: that might be in the game, like whether that will 560 00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:41,040 Speaker 3: actually kind of matter or not, Like, well, the Patriots 561 00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 3: look to kind of neutralize the effectiveness of the interior 562 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,679 Speaker 3: pass rush and of the coverage by just running the 563 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:52,600 Speaker 3: ball and doing the quick passes to James White. You know, 564 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,360 Speaker 3: do they basically have the game plan that we've seen 565 00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 3: them have in previous weeks, Because I do think that 566 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:03,480 Speaker 3: Donald into probably get to Brady Fowler is a wild card, 567 00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:06,439 Speaker 3: you know, like he's some games he's great and then 568 00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,040 Speaker 3: some games he's not, and so we just we kind 569 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,800 Speaker 3: of don't know. But if he's on his game, he 570 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 3: could really compliment what Donald and Sue are doing in 571 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,439 Speaker 3: the interior. And then Roby Coleman has been good in 572 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:20,800 Speaker 3: the slot as a defender this year, so like Roby 573 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 3: Coleman against Edelman. Edelman will still be productive, but I 574 00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:28,399 Speaker 3: think Roby Coleman could be good enough, you know, just 575 00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:32,159 Speaker 3: to win enough enough of the matchups to you know, 576 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 3: turn some of those third downs into fourth downs instead 577 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,440 Speaker 3: of first downs, to leave I think is really important. 578 00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:41,000 Speaker 3: I don't know how they're going to use him. I 579 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 3: could see him actually matching up a little bit with 580 00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:46,800 Speaker 3: Gronk sometimes. But even if that doesn't happen, I think 581 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 3: Joyner and Johnson as the safeties who would be covering Gronk. 582 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:53,639 Speaker 3: I think both of them are pretty good. And you know, 583 00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 3: I think it's possible that Gronk could kind of have 584 00:27:56,240 --> 00:28:00,800 Speaker 3: like a hashtag retirement, you know, game type of one 585 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 3: final peak performance, but likes, he's not the Gronk that 586 00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,200 Speaker 3: he was last year, you know, and last year's Gronk 587 00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:09,240 Speaker 3: wasn't even the guy he had been the year before that. 588 00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:13,119 Speaker 3: So it's hard to know really what the Patriots are 589 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:16,320 Speaker 3: going to do. But it's hard to say with Brady like, oh, 590 00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,280 Speaker 3: if they have to throw the ball, this isn't going 591 00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:21,960 Speaker 3: to be a good situation, because they've had enough success 592 00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 3: in the past throwing the ball to make you believe 593 00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,760 Speaker 3: that they can do it. But I think the negative 594 00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:29,480 Speaker 3: thing for the Patriots in this game is to have 595 00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:32,320 Speaker 3: to rely on passing the ball. I think if they 596 00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:36,399 Speaker 3: have to rely on Gronk and Edelman, I think that 597 00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:37,920 Speaker 3: really hurts their chances. 598 00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:39,240 Speaker 2: To win absolutely. 599 00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:41,520 Speaker 4: And you know, the Rams defense, we should probably talk 600 00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:44,520 Speaker 4: about just how you know, their run defense twenty eighth 601 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:48,120 Speaker 4: in DVA during the regular season, and then we get 602 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:51,479 Speaker 4: to the postseason and they just flip a switch, and 603 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:53,400 Speaker 4: you know, they they they alluded to it. You know, 604 00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 4: I was reading some quotes from from Wade Phillips and 605 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 4: a bunch of the guys, and they were saying how 606 00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 4: a lot of it was motivation, but also they, you know, 607 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 4: Wade Phillips is kind of selling out a little bit 608 00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:06,080 Speaker 4: more to stop the run. He's putting guys more defenders 609 00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 4: in the box on a more frequent basis. And you know, 610 00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:12,560 Speaker 4: so the Rams what they do is they go and 611 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:16,120 Speaker 4: they hold the Cowboys to twenty one carries for forty 612 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:19,120 Speaker 4: eight yards. That's two point three yards per carry, and 613 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 4: then the Saints get the twenty two carries for fifty yards. 614 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:27,040 Speaker 4: That's two point two seven. So it's really a night 615 00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 4: and day switch. And the Patriots, you know themselves, on 616 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 4: the other und, they've actually played really good run defense too. 617 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,640 Speaker 4: Should probably mention that in the postseason as well, but 618 00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:37,120 Speaker 4: they've only faced twenty two carries, so that's gonna that's 619 00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:38,480 Speaker 4: another thing kind of way big. 620 00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:38,719 Speaker 2: I think. 621 00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 4: I think whoever wins the toss is definitely receiving. So 622 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 4: if you could find a prop one like on that, 623 00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:48,000 Speaker 4: I would definitely I would definitely bet receiving because I 624 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 4: think both of these teams are gonna want to get 625 00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 4: the ball first and established control of the game with 626 00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 4: the run. But it's tough to fully know what Bill 627 00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:59,720 Speaker 4: Belichick is planning to do. But I do think that 628 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,280 Speaker 4: you are going to see all lo out of that 629 00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:04,719 Speaker 4: quick passing game to James White, because again Tom Brady 630 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,920 Speaker 4: has just that's that's been his bread and butter. It's 631 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:12,080 Speaker 4: been that quick release and when he releases the ball 632 00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:16,280 Speaker 4: in under two and a half seconds, his passer rating 633 00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 4: is one oh two point four. When he releases an 634 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,000 Speaker 4: under two point five seconds during the regular season, then 635 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 4: when he released an over two point five, it drops 636 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 4: all the way to ninety two point seven. So that's 637 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:29,920 Speaker 4: about a ten ten point drop in passer rating when 638 00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,800 Speaker 4: he's holding onto the ball for two point five seconds longer. 639 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:35,680 Speaker 4: So I think that you are going to continue to 640 00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:39,080 Speaker 4: see that that quick game to James White, and I 641 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:40,880 Speaker 4: think that the receivers are going to struggle because a 642 00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:43,720 Speaker 4: kid to Lee has just been a difference maker. If 643 00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 4: you look at the numbers with and without him on 644 00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,360 Speaker 4: the field, they're kind of astonishing. And this is even 645 00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 4: taking into account the fact that they did play somewhat 646 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 4: of an easier schedule when he was in. But overall, 647 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:58,520 Speaker 4: with threeve in the lineup, the Rams opponents have hit 648 00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,280 Speaker 4: their implied point total. And this is an assist to 649 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:03,880 Speaker 4: your research here, they hit their implied total in only 650 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:06,720 Speaker 4: four of ten games. They're going under by an average 651 00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:08,920 Speaker 4: of two point four points per game. And that's with 652 00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 4: Tuleab in the lineup. Now, in the eight games without 653 00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,920 Speaker 4: to Leave, opponents have hit their implied point total against 654 00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:19,120 Speaker 4: the Rams in six of eight and they've gone over 655 00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:22,200 Speaker 4: by an average of seven point two. 656 00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 1: Oh man, yeah, night in the day. 657 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:26,560 Speaker 4: And yeah, and here's an interesting one too, because I'm 658 00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:29,120 Speaker 4: sure we'll get to this later. But the over under, 659 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:33,400 Speaker 4: So with Tuleib, the over is only three six and one, 660 00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,400 Speaker 4: and it's going under by an average of one point 661 00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:39,600 Speaker 4: four points. Without to leave, the over five and three 662 00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 4: going over by an average of. 663 00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 2: Fourteen point one points per game. So, I mean, yeah, 664 00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:48,320 Speaker 2: it's amazing. 665 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:51,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, here's a difference maker, and it's I mean, 666 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:55,760 Speaker 3: for defenses, it's what do you have on the outside 667 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,760 Speaker 3: to be able to cover guys and then what type 668 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,959 Speaker 3: of pressure can you bring? And I think the Rams 669 00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 3: defense has it in the right places. Like I think 670 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 3: to Leave is good enough to be able to shut 671 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 3: down whoever it is that he's defending. I think Roby 672 00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:15,000 Speaker 3: Coleman is good enough to be able to limit Edelman enough. 673 00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:19,280 Speaker 3: And I mean Peters is so inconsistent, but like he 674 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:21,080 Speaker 3: could have a great game out of nowhere, you know 675 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 3: what I mean. He could also get burned for two touchdowns, 676 00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:25,640 Speaker 3: but like he could have a great game, and then 677 00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 3: they have that interior pass rush and then yeah, you've 678 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:33,000 Speaker 3: mentioned their defensive coordinator too. I mean Wade Phillips, Like 679 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,400 Speaker 3: I feel conflicted about him as like a Cowboys fan. 680 00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:36,920 Speaker 3: I don't think he was a great head coach, but 681 00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:39,160 Speaker 3: like he's a great defensive coordinator, Like I think, like 682 00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:42,400 Speaker 3: Hall of Fame caliber defensive coordinator. He's like one of 683 00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,680 Speaker 3: the few guys who has really proven wherever he's gone 684 00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:48,440 Speaker 3: to be able to transform a defense. And so as 685 00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:51,440 Speaker 3: good as Belichick is on the defensive side of the ball, 686 00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:54,640 Speaker 3: like I think Wade Phillips is almost as good. 687 00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:55,720 Speaker 1: He has a. 688 00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 3: Lot of players there who are good. And I think 689 00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:00,600 Speaker 3: he can do a lot of things with them. So 690 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:03,200 Speaker 3: for me, it's just a question of, like can they 691 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,960 Speaker 3: come up with I mean, you know, the Patriots are 692 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,040 Speaker 3: going to on the defensive side of the ball, come 693 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 3: up with some way of really trying to neutralize the 694 00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 3: Rams offense. Can the Rams defense do the same thing? 695 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,600 Speaker 3: Can they come up with some idea that the Patriots 696 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:19,520 Speaker 3: didn't see coming? You know, it's like, oh, you know, 697 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:21,760 Speaker 3: who knew that tale was going to be man on 698 00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:24,640 Speaker 3: man with Edelman the whole game or like whatever it is. 699 00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,800 Speaker 3: But like, can they come up with whatever? Like that 700 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:31,560 Speaker 3: X factor is that throws enough of a wrench in 701 00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:35,000 Speaker 3: the machine of the Patriots offense where it slows them 702 00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:37,400 Speaker 3: down for a couple of series. You know, like can 703 00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:38,880 Speaker 3: they make that adjustment? 704 00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:42,440 Speaker 4: I think they can because you know, we talked last week, 705 00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:47,360 Speaker 4: and I mean my real main reason for being on 706 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:49,640 Speaker 4: the Rams at all last week was the fact that 707 00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:53,000 Speaker 4: I thought Wade Phillips could out coach Sean Payton essentially, 708 00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:56,320 Speaker 4: like I thought, and I mean the Saints were invisible 709 00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:58,800 Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter, Like, yes, there was a blone call, 710 00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,760 Speaker 4: there was a forty three yard completion again which should 711 00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:05,440 Speaker 4: have been picked and like not even it's not even 712 00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 4: really an opinion, like it should have at least been 713 00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,359 Speaker 4: incomplete if you got picked. And that's that's not even 714 00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:12,719 Speaker 4: an opinion. Like next Gen Stats has a they calculate 715 00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:14,359 Speaker 4: completion probability. 716 00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,359 Speaker 1: Right right, and it was it was an. 717 00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,120 Speaker 4: Under forty percent chance of being complete. I believe it 718 00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 4: was the lowest of the game for Breeze. And besides that, 719 00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,680 Speaker 4: that was forty three of Breeze's fifty nine yards in 720 00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:27,040 Speaker 4: the fourth quarter and overtime. 721 00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:29,360 Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara only. 722 00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:32,239 Speaker 4: One catch for eight yards after the third quarter, and 723 00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:36,160 Speaker 4: the fact that the way they were defending Kamara actually 724 00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 4: probably is what helped them luck into that note call 725 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:41,880 Speaker 4: in the first place, because I wrote about this in 726 00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,919 Speaker 4: an article entitled the Can we stop pretending the Rams 727 00:34:44,920 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 4: don't deserve to be in the right? Yeah, And you 728 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:50,040 Speaker 4: know it was if you look at what happened on 729 00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:54,200 Speaker 4: that play and Domakan su leaks out into the flat 730 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,759 Speaker 4: because he thinks he has to like disrupt Kamara in 731 00:34:57,800 --> 00:34:59,520 Speaker 4: some way because that's what they've been doing, essentially give 732 00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:02,520 Speaker 4: him the Marshall fault treatment, realizes that it's it's. 733 00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:03,839 Speaker 2: Not Kamara, it's Tommy Lee. 734 00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,520 Speaker 4: Lewis and like because he had leaked down to the 735 00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:09,239 Speaker 4: flat is just right in the passing lane, makes Drew 736 00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 4: Brees lost it instead of having a more direct line 737 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 4: of flight on the throw to Lewis. And and because 738 00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:17,399 Speaker 4: the ball sails, all you know, all hell breaks loose 739 00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:20,200 Speaker 4: and Roby Coleman somehow beats Louis to the ball even 740 00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:22,720 Speaker 4: though he was clearly beat on the play, and they'll 741 00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:24,919 Speaker 4: call it and it's an incompletion and here we are. 742 00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:27,920 Speaker 4: So you know, even when Wade Philips, you know it 743 00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,759 Speaker 4: isn't directly doing something. You know, his impact is on 744 00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,359 Speaker 4: the game in a number of ways. And I think 745 00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:35,080 Speaker 4: that you know, he's not a guy that's going to 746 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:37,520 Speaker 4: come up with crazy wrinkles, but he knows what he 747 00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 4: has to do to put his guys in a position 748 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:42,879 Speaker 4: to succeed. I think I think he will do that again. 749 00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 4: And just going back to Tlee real quick, I mean, 750 00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:49,600 Speaker 4: you mentioned Roby Coleman, and you mentioned Marcus Peters, and 751 00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 4: I got more. 752 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:51,640 Speaker 2: I got more to leave swip for you. 753 00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:57,920 Speaker 4: Because Marcus Peters, without to lead, allowed thirty five or 754 00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:01,040 Speaker 4: forty seven for five hundred and seventy two yards. 755 00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:04,000 Speaker 2: That's a one hundred and forty one point four passer 756 00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,319 Speaker 2: rating Pro Football. For that's without to lead, right with 757 00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:07,960 Speaker 2: to leave in. 758 00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:11,240 Speaker 4: The lineup twenty four thirty eight for three to eleven, 759 00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:16,880 Speaker 4: one touchdown, two picks, seventy five point seven passer rating. Now, 760 00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:20,640 Speaker 4: what's the reason for that Number one to Peters doesn't 761 00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:22,960 Speaker 4: have to then go in and shadow number one guys, 762 00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:25,480 Speaker 4: because he did that a couple of times. Also, he 763 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:27,839 Speaker 4: can he can play his side, and he can play 764 00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:30,319 Speaker 4: awfu a little more, you know, And that's where he's 765 00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,120 Speaker 4: really at his best, when he's jumping routes and being 766 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:34,799 Speaker 4: able to play off and he's not really up at 767 00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:37,880 Speaker 4: the line of squiggage where his kind of aggressive habits 768 00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:39,719 Speaker 4: will get him into trouble. So I mean, also he 769 00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 4: doesn't have as much communication responsibility, right, so you. 770 00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:44,400 Speaker 2: Know, it's night and day. 771 00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:47,239 Speaker 4: And then Roby Coleman, you know, without to lead, he 772 00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:52,239 Speaker 4: gave up three touchdowns on fourteen receptions no interceptions. But 773 00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:55,080 Speaker 4: but then when with Talib's on the field, Roby Coleman 774 00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:58,440 Speaker 4: only twenty seven of forty six two hundred eleven yards, 775 00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:02,239 Speaker 4: one touchdown, one pick, sixty eight point three passer rating. 776 00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:05,000 Speaker 4: So like Roby Coleman was one of the best corners 777 00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:07,480 Speaker 4: in the league with to leave on the field. Without him, 778 00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,040 Speaker 4: he was just a guy who gives up too many touchdowns. 779 00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:13,200 Speaker 4: So completely night and day, the Patriots don't really have 780 00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:16,640 Speaker 4: the receiving count without Josh Gordon to kind of counteract that. 781 00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:18,040 Speaker 2: So I think they're going to. 782 00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:20,640 Speaker 4: Kind of be forced to go to James White, Rex 783 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:22,680 Speaker 4: Burkehead and Gronkowski. 784 00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:24,560 Speaker 2: I think is going to have to make plays as well. 785 00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:27,239 Speaker 4: And Edelman probably won't have quite as big of a 786 00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:29,239 Speaker 4: game as he had against the Chiefs because why do you. 787 00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:30,360 Speaker 2: Think Bob Sutton got fired? 788 00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:32,720 Speaker 4: I mean, I mean it was just they were playing 789 00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:35,400 Speaker 4: cover two on like key third down plays when Edelman 790 00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:37,280 Speaker 4: was just running right to the middle of the field, 791 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,760 Speaker 4: like you have to play cover one Robert or something 792 00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,520 Speaker 4: like similar to that in that situation and take away 793 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,640 Speaker 4: that that middle of the field, and they just couldn't 794 00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 4: do it. The Chiefs couldn't figure out how to with 795 00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:49,360 Speaker 4: with the stack releases, they couldn't figure out how to 796 00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:51,759 Speaker 4: how to track Edelman. There was one play where both 797 00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:53,560 Speaker 4: Chiefs corners like ran with the I think it was 798 00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:56,080 Speaker 4: Doorset or whoever it was, the other receiver and just 799 00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:57,759 Speaker 4: left Edelman wide. 800 00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:59,120 Speaker 2: Open running up across the middle. 801 00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:01,280 Speaker 4: So I don't think that what happened with with Roby, 802 00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:03,440 Speaker 4: Coleman and Juib, you know, on the field kind of 803 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:05,719 Speaker 4: being able to communicate. So I think the Patriots by 804 00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,120 Speaker 4: default almost you have to expect, I think a. 805 00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:11,239 Speaker 2: James White game and a Burkhead game and a Grand game. 806 00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:14,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean we kind of I won't even say 807 00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:16,640 Speaker 3: dancing around it. But like, I mean, like one of 808 00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 3: the big themes that is kind of emerging to me 809 00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,040 Speaker 3: through this conversation is that we both really like the 810 00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 3: way these defenses stack up against the offenses. So for me, 811 00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:27,400 Speaker 3: you know, that lends to the under and you know, 812 00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:30,120 Speaker 3: I see on the sheet that we have here, we're 813 00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:31,799 Speaker 3: both on the same side of this. We both like 814 00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:35,400 Speaker 3: the rams at plus three, which some threes are starting 815 00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,400 Speaker 3: to pop up out there. On one book there's plus 816 00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,000 Speaker 3: three minus one twenty, but across the industry, for the 817 00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:43,880 Speaker 3: most part, it's two and a half. Some bookmakers have 818 00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:46,680 Speaker 3: said that they anticipate they probably will go to three, 819 00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:49,840 Speaker 3: and it would make sense given the wealth of Patriots 820 00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,799 Speaker 3: money that they have taken so far. But yeah, you 821 00:38:52,840 --> 00:38:54,520 Speaker 3: and I are both right there. We're waiting for the 822 00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:57,920 Speaker 3: plus three on the RAMS and we're looking under fifty 823 00:38:57,960 --> 00:38:58,600 Speaker 3: six and a half. 824 00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:00,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think I just want it to everybody 825 00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:01,000 Speaker 2: out there. 826 00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:03,040 Speaker 4: You know, depending on when you listen to this, you know, 827 00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:06,040 Speaker 4: there might be a plus three available at your book. 828 00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:09,799 Speaker 4: There might not, but I would recommend that if you're 829 00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:12,200 Speaker 4: looking to bet on the Rams. And I do think 830 00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:14,880 Speaker 4: that's the sharper side, just because again you know you 831 00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:18,040 Speaker 4: mentioned it Friedman. We have them as a slight favorite. 832 00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:19,960 Speaker 4: The books had him as a slight favorite. I think 833 00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:22,080 Speaker 4: it's a toss up game and you want to take 834 00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:23,759 Speaker 4: the value here, and I think it's going to be 835 00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:26,279 Speaker 4: more of a struggle than we think. But what you 836 00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:28,520 Speaker 4: really want to do is you want to wait until 837 00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:31,960 Speaker 4: right up until kickoff if you can't find that that three. 838 00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:36,239 Speaker 4: Because about fifteen percent of all NFL games and with 839 00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,800 Speaker 4: a margin of three, whereas only about eight percent combined 840 00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:41,439 Speaker 4: and with a margin of one or two. 841 00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:43,480 Speaker 2: And then you look at the Super Bowls. There's only 842 00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:45,359 Speaker 2: been one Super Bowl. 843 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:48,240 Speaker 4: In history that has actually been decided by a margin 844 00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:52,520 Speaker 4: of less than three points, but there have been six 845 00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:56,359 Speaker 4: Super Bowls that have been decided by exactly three. So 846 00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:59,680 Speaker 4: you really want to wait till the last minute if 847 00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:01,799 Speaker 4: you can't find that three, because what's probably going to 848 00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:05,160 Speaker 4: happen at many books is that there's going to be 849 00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:09,720 Speaker 4: kind of a last second. You know, casual recreational betters 850 00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:12,200 Speaker 4: tend to lay their wages closer to the game time, 851 00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:14,840 Speaker 4: and we see all this money, about eighty percent of 852 00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,040 Speaker 4: the money coming in on the Patriots, and so I 853 00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:19,839 Speaker 4: think what's going to happen is you're gonna see these 854 00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:21,279 Speaker 4: books probably be forced to. 855 00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:25,040 Speaker 2: Move it to three at some point before kickoff. 856 00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:27,359 Speaker 4: And so I would really recommend that if you if 857 00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,160 Speaker 4: you don't see it now, just be patient and try 858 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,480 Speaker 4: to find that at three. And if not, if you 859 00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:35,640 Speaker 4: really are feeling the rams, check the money line too, 860 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:38,680 Speaker 4: because you might be better Again, only one Super Bowl 861 00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:40,879 Speaker 4: has ever been decided by less than three. Obviously small 862 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,120 Speaker 4: sample size, only fifty two of them, but still I 863 00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:46,440 Speaker 4: think you might be better off just taking better value 864 00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:48,080 Speaker 4: taking the RAMS on the money line. 865 00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:48,279 Speaker 2: There. 866 00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:50,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, that was exactly what I was going 867 00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:53,000 Speaker 3: to say. If you'd like the rams and the plus 868 00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:55,880 Speaker 3: three doesn't come, look to the money line. I'm in 869 00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:59,399 Speaker 3: this situation where I actually have Patriots futures to win 870 00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:02,319 Speaker 3: the Super Bowl. So I think I'm probably in a 871 00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:04,920 Speaker 3: situation where I will I think I will bet the 872 00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:08,799 Speaker 3: Rams plus three and I hope that the Patriots win 873 00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:11,120 Speaker 3: by one or two, and if I don't get the 874 00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,200 Speaker 3: plus three, I think I'm probably sitting it out. 875 00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:15,560 Speaker 2: Yeah. Now, same here. I actually do have some Patriots 876 00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:17,480 Speaker 2: futures as well. That's I feel like you have to 877 00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:21,120 Speaker 2: every year. And I think also the same applies to 878 00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:21,719 Speaker 2: the over under. 879 00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:24,359 Speaker 4: Getting back to like waiting, because I think right now 880 00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:28,160 Speaker 4: we're still seeing the over under dropping and I think. 881 00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:28,680 Speaker 2: That is sharp. 882 00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:32,480 Speaker 4: But again, there's gonna be a lot of recreational wagers 883 00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,560 Speaker 4: placed on this game, you know, in droves reading up 884 00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:39,239 Speaker 4: to the kickoff, and we know from experience that the 885 00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:43,440 Speaker 4: public really tends to favor favorites and overs at at 886 00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,680 Speaker 4: a rate that's usually about three quarters toward, you know, 887 00:41:46,719 --> 00:41:48,759 Speaker 4: toward the favorite and the over or more. And so 888 00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:51,600 Speaker 4: what you're probably going to see is that over under 889 00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:54,239 Speaker 4: is going to start to to creep back up. 890 00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:56,040 Speaker 2: So I do think the under is a sharp play. 891 00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,560 Speaker 4: But at this point I think I would also do 892 00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:01,160 Speaker 4: the same thing, wait until golf, hope that it ticks 893 00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:03,839 Speaker 4: up another half point point or so by that time, 894 00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:06,319 Speaker 4: and then wait till the last minute to bet the under. 895 00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:08,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that. I think that's a good idea. 896 00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:10,560 Speaker 3: And that's I mean, I grabbed it at fifty seven 897 00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:12,399 Speaker 3: and a half the under a fifty seven and a half, 898 00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:15,040 Speaker 3: and you know, it wouldn't be surprising if that's ultimately 899 00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:16,960 Speaker 3: where it ended, if it did creep backup to fifty 900 00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:19,960 Speaker 3: seven and a half fifty eight. Okay, I have another 901 00:42:20,040 --> 00:42:22,680 Speaker 3: ad read after that. We're going to talk with Chris 902 00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:25,839 Speaker 3: about the slate from the DFS perspective and also get 903 00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,880 Speaker 3: his favorite props. But right now, it is my favorite 904 00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:30,560 Speaker 3: time of the day. It's the time when I get 905 00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:32,680 Speaker 3: to talk about how good I look in my Mac 906 00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:36,320 Speaker 3: Welding clothes. Sure, it probably helps that I recently trimmed 907 00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,480 Speaker 3: my beard and got a haircut for the first time 908 00:42:38,520 --> 00:42:41,719 Speaker 3: in football season, but really ninety five percent of my 909 00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:45,520 Speaker 3: undoubted attractiveness comes down to my Mac weld and wardrobe. 910 00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:48,160 Speaker 3: Let me tell you about Mac Weldon. 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Mack Weldon will be the most 920 00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:18,400 Speaker 3: comfortable underwear socks, shirts, undershirts, hoodies, and sweatpants that you 921 00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:20,560 Speaker 3: will ever wear. I know that because right now I 922 00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:24,000 Speaker 3: am wearing one hundred percent Mac Weldon in this underwear. 923 00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:26,759 Speaker 3: Let me tell you about mac Weldon underwear. It has 924 00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:30,640 Speaker 3: silver built into it, so it's naturally anti microbial, which 925 00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:33,600 Speaker 3: means that it eliminates odor, so you know, you don't stink, 926 00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:36,040 Speaker 3: which is, you know, a good thing. The underwear is 927 00:43:36,040 --> 00:43:38,000 Speaker 3: so comfortable that if you don't like it, Mac Weldon 928 00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,600 Speaker 3: will give you a refund, no questions asked, and you 929 00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:43,360 Speaker 3: don't even have to return the underwear. These clothes are 930 00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:45,719 Speaker 3: good for working out, going out, just everyday life. My 931 00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:48,360 Speaker 3: personal favorite is the hoodie. It is my version of 932 00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:50,560 Speaker 3: the power suit because I work from home, but really 933 00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:53,279 Speaker 3: I love everything that I've gotten from the Mac. So 934 00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:55,040 Speaker 3: what I'm saying is that you need to get yourself 935 00:43:55,120 --> 00:43:57,600 Speaker 3: some mac Weldon. For twenty percent off your first order, 936 00:43:57,880 --> 00:44:01,400 Speaker 3: visit macweldon dot com and enter the promo code action 937 00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:05,920 Speaker 3: at checkout. Chris, Let's talk some daily fantasy. Let's talk 938 00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,799 Speaker 3: about the props that you are liking. Let's start with 939 00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:11,160 Speaker 3: these quarterbacks, Brady and Goff. 940 00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:12,120 Speaker 1: What do you think. 941 00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,239 Speaker 4: I think you still gotta go with Tom in the 942 00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:19,480 Speaker 4: captain spot on Showdown because you know, as much as 943 00:44:19,480 --> 00:44:22,239 Speaker 4: I don't like the matchups for either of these quarterbacks 944 00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:25,400 Speaker 4: or really anybody much anybody in this game. 945 00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:26,920 Speaker 2: You know Tom has been there before. 946 00:44:27,520 --> 00:44:29,560 Speaker 4: He's a guy that because he gets the ball out 947 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:32,200 Speaker 4: so quick, you kind of count on, you know, some 948 00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:37,120 Speaker 4: baseline of efficiency to be there, whereas you know, GoF 949 00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:39,560 Speaker 4: you don't know exactly what what you're going to get. 950 00:44:39,600 --> 00:44:42,480 Speaker 4: There's a lot more variables. We know Belichick is probably 951 00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,080 Speaker 4: going to throw throw throw some things at him that 952 00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:47,560 Speaker 4: he hasn't seen, as you mentioned. And I also think, 953 00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:51,239 Speaker 4: you know the Rams, Todd Gurley and CJ. Anderson, they 954 00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:55,160 Speaker 4: could be a huge factor on the ground, Whereas I 955 00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:58,520 Speaker 4: think Tom Brady either way, you know, even we've seen 956 00:44:58,640 --> 00:45:01,719 Speaker 4: him put up big games, even with Sony Michelle going on. 957 00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:06,040 Speaker 4: So I think for me, it's Brady in the captain spots, 958 00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:08,960 Speaker 4: and then I think you can go. You can go 959 00:45:09,040 --> 00:45:11,600 Speaker 4: a couple of different ways. If you got Brady in 960 00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:14,279 Speaker 4: the captain spot. I think the way I'm probably going 961 00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:17,120 Speaker 4: in that scenario is I'm going Jared Goff because you 962 00:45:17,160 --> 00:45:19,840 Speaker 4: still want the other quarterback, you know, still one of 963 00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:21,799 Speaker 4: the highest projected players in the game. You gotta have 964 00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:25,280 Speaker 4: girl in there, and I want James White and Sony 965 00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:27,600 Speaker 4: Michelle and that we you have to punt the last spot, 966 00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:29,680 Speaker 4: and that what I would probably do, and what I 967 00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:31,759 Speaker 4: think I'm gonna do is go James Devlin. We've seen 968 00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:35,719 Speaker 4: him involved at the goal line and that's all you're 969 00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:37,920 Speaker 4: really looking for with these cheap guys. I think we 970 00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:40,200 Speaker 4: talked about it last week with Josh Hill. He ended 971 00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:42,880 Speaker 4: up getting hurt. That really didn't quite work out Garrek 972 00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:44,759 Speaker 4: Griffin though we kind of saw what it could have 973 00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:46,799 Speaker 4: been with Josh Hill. So I think you kind of 974 00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,000 Speaker 4: do the same thing here with Devlin and you plant 975 00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:52,239 Speaker 4: it there. I think there's one kind of other way 976 00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:54,799 Speaker 4: you could go with lineup building, though you could go 977 00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:59,080 Speaker 4: James White in the captain spot and that saves you 978 00:45:59,120 --> 00:46:02,280 Speaker 4: a little go and then from there you could. 979 00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:06,560 Speaker 2: Go Brady Goff Gurly and Everett. 980 00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:10,200 Speaker 4: And I think you know, that's another line of construction 981 00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,759 Speaker 4: that I think, you know, I don't hate it. Excuse me, 982 00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,439 Speaker 4: Michelle and Michelle and Everett. Yeah, the catch fine, Yeah, 983 00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:20,360 Speaker 4: Michelle and Everett. So yeah, Brady GoF Gurley, Michelle Everett. 984 00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:22,600 Speaker 4: And that kind of gives you a little more out 985 00:46:22,600 --> 00:46:25,279 Speaker 4: of that last spot. And I do think that with 986 00:46:25,400 --> 00:46:27,680 Speaker 4: the way this game sets up, that Gerald Everett is 987 00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:30,880 Speaker 4: going to be involved. So I do kind of like 988 00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:32,560 Speaker 4: that that one as well, just because I think it 989 00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:34,800 Speaker 4: gives you a little more upside there. Devlin, you're obviously 990 00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:37,800 Speaker 4: you're really just hoping for a goal line volture touchdown, 991 00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:41,200 Speaker 4: which is probably twenty five percent chance or even less 992 00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:44,080 Speaker 4: than that. I should just look at his season numbers. 993 00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:46,600 Speaker 4: So I think those are the two line of constructions 994 00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:47,759 Speaker 4: you want to go. Do you have any kind of 995 00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,240 Speaker 4: preference in terms of which way you would lean. 996 00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:52,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I probably want to try to avoid 997 00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:56,400 Speaker 3: Devlin And I say that you score like two touchdowns, 998 00:46:56,600 --> 00:46:59,000 Speaker 3: but you know, I think I probably want to try 999 00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:01,440 Speaker 3: to avoid Devlin because I think with the and I 1000 00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:04,279 Speaker 3: talked about this with Sean Corner on the last part 1001 00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:07,960 Speaker 3: we did, he has a prop that he likes under 1002 00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:12,120 Speaker 3: Devlin's total yardage with the return of Rex Burkehead, some 1003 00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:14,880 Speaker 3: of the previous plays that might have gone to Devlin 1004 00:47:14,960 --> 00:47:17,480 Speaker 3: are now going to Burkehead, and so I'm just a 1005 00:47:17,520 --> 00:47:20,400 Speaker 3: little more hesitant on him. But I do understand the 1006 00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:22,920 Speaker 3: idea of wanting to get Brady in the captain spot. 1007 00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:26,080 Speaker 3: So I'm thinking if there's another construction that you could 1008 00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:28,080 Speaker 3: come up with where you still get Brady in the 1009 00:47:28,120 --> 00:47:30,080 Speaker 3: captain spot, but you don't have to go all the 1010 00:47:30,120 --> 00:47:32,759 Speaker 3: way down to Devlin. But that's that's kind of hard 1011 00:47:32,760 --> 00:47:33,319 Speaker 3: to come up with. 1012 00:47:35,200 --> 00:47:37,480 Speaker 4: It's like these showdowns late, It's like you'd actually be 1013 00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:41,120 Speaker 4: surprised how successful you can be kind of punting these 1014 00:47:41,160 --> 00:47:42,919 Speaker 4: last slots, because a lot of times, what you're really 1015 00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:44,880 Speaker 4: trying to do is just get these You're trying to 1016 00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:46,600 Speaker 4: get the quarterbacks and the running backs. And now with 1017 00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:49,759 Speaker 4: this game, it's kind of complicated because you have two 1018 00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:51,799 Speaker 4: running backs for the Rams and you really have three 1019 00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:55,200 Speaker 4: for the Patriots. I mean, Rex Burkehead. You know, he's 1020 00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:56,920 Speaker 4: a guy that you kind of want to get in 1021 00:47:56,920 --> 00:47:59,160 Speaker 4: there too, and you really can't. And you can't even 1022 00:47:59,160 --> 00:48:01,960 Speaker 4: really get Anderson either, So there it's it's kind of tough, 1023 00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:03,799 Speaker 4: and that's kind of why I kind of came up 1024 00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:06,560 Speaker 4: with the white one as an alternative, and I think 1025 00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:08,880 Speaker 4: I I think I actually might end up waning that 1026 00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:12,240 Speaker 4: way a little bit, only because you know, I don't 1027 00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:16,080 Speaker 4: think that this is like a Monster Brady game necessarily. 1028 00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:18,080 Speaker 2: I don't think it's a Monster Pass game. You know. 1029 00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:19,920 Speaker 4: I like the under I think this will be a 1030 00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:22,239 Speaker 4: little bit more of a struggle than maybe we would think, 1031 00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:24,960 Speaker 4: for you know, a Tom Brady offense and and the 1032 00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:26,000 Speaker 4: Rams offense as well. 1033 00:48:26,080 --> 00:48:28,319 Speaker 2: So going White in the captain spot is fine. 1034 00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:31,359 Speaker 4: I think he'll be again heavily involved because it's gonna 1035 00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:32,320 Speaker 4: be tough on the outside. 1036 00:48:32,320 --> 00:48:34,840 Speaker 2: The Patriots really don't have the receivers to uh to. 1037 00:48:35,120 --> 00:48:37,840 Speaker 4: Contend with to leave, and then Peters kind of playing 1038 00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:39,680 Speaker 4: in his rightful spot is going to be tough for 1039 00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:42,720 Speaker 4: a guy like Dorset to win against. 1040 00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:45,320 Speaker 3: All right, let's uh, let's talk a little bit about 1041 00:48:45,320 --> 00:48:49,080 Speaker 3: some props. I've been writing a lot of prop pieces 1042 00:48:49,080 --> 00:48:52,120 Speaker 3: for the Super Bowl. As I mentioned last podcast, we 1043 00:48:52,160 --> 00:48:55,480 Speaker 3: had Sean Corner on to talk about his favorite player props, 1044 00:48:55,880 --> 00:48:58,239 Speaker 3: and Chris, I want to bring you in to the 1045 00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:02,080 Speaker 3: conversation so we can get your favorite props for Super 1046 00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:05,160 Speaker 3: Bowl fifty three, some player props, maybe some of the 1047 00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:06,240 Speaker 3: entertainment props. 1048 00:49:06,320 --> 00:49:07,879 Speaker 1: What is catching your eye right now? 1049 00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:12,520 Speaker 4: Well, I'll start off with one that Sony Michelle. There's 1050 00:49:12,560 --> 00:49:16,200 Speaker 4: a prop out there. His receptions zero point five, so 1051 00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:19,319 Speaker 4: essentially no right or will he not? 1052 00:49:19,560 --> 00:49:19,880 Speaker 2: Now? 1053 00:49:20,600 --> 00:49:23,680 Speaker 4: For the season, he has quart a pass in seven games. 1054 00:49:23,680 --> 00:49:25,440 Speaker 4: He has not quarter pass in eight games. But if 1055 00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:28,759 Speaker 4: you look at I've actually run the correlations on this 1056 00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:32,200 Speaker 4: and to try to find the most appropriate sample size 1057 00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:36,239 Speaker 4: for different volume stats, and it turns out that for 1058 00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:39,359 Speaker 4: pretty much across the board, you're kind of looking at 1059 00:49:39,360 --> 00:49:41,960 Speaker 4: somewhere in that five to six game range in terms 1060 00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:46,320 Speaker 4: of what's most predictive. And over the last six games, 1061 00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:50,720 Speaker 4: Michelle has only been targeted once. And so I really 1062 00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:54,640 Speaker 4: liked the under on that point five receptions. I'm seeing 1063 00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:58,000 Speaker 4: it at minus one forty, but I'd actually go a 1064 00:49:58,040 --> 00:50:00,279 Speaker 4: little bit higher than that as well. I just that 1065 00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:02,680 Speaker 4: there's a really there's not a there's not a very 1066 00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:06,440 Speaker 4: strong chance that Michelle is going to get to get targeted. 1067 00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:09,000 Speaker 4: That's just not what he's been that's not what he's 1068 00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:11,600 Speaker 4: been asked for whatever reason this year, you know, especially 1069 00:50:11,640 --> 00:50:13,680 Speaker 4: now you know Burkehead's back, and that kind of coincides 1070 00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:14,480 Speaker 4: with Burkhead as well. 1071 00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:17,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's exactly what I was thinking. The return of 1072 00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:21,560 Speaker 3: Burkehead really SAPs the ability that Michelle has to get 1073 00:50:21,600 --> 00:50:25,640 Speaker 3: those just kind of like vestigial random targets that that 1074 00:50:25,840 --> 00:50:27,600 Speaker 3: you know, like they're not really even thinking of like, 1075 00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:29,759 Speaker 3: oh we need to target Michelle, It's just something that 1076 00:50:29,840 --> 00:50:31,399 Speaker 3: randomly happens during the game. 1077 00:50:31,640 --> 00:50:34,760 Speaker 1: Those aren't going to him anymore. Those are going to Burkehead. 1078 00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:37,719 Speaker 4: Absolutely, and so you know, and and just for comparison, 1079 00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:41,080 Speaker 4: you know, over those last six games, Michelle targeted once. 1080 00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:44,840 Speaker 2: James Devlin's actually been targeted four. 1081 00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:47,879 Speaker 1: Times in different painful If there. 1082 00:50:47,880 --> 00:50:49,840 Speaker 4: Is a problem like who's more likely to catch a 1083 00:50:49,880 --> 00:50:52,680 Speaker 4: pass between Devwin or or Michelle, I haven't seen that 1084 00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:57,160 Speaker 4: out there, but that's all how would also go. Uh so, yeah, 1085 00:50:57,200 --> 00:50:59,600 Speaker 4: so that's one and then another one kind of goes 1086 00:50:59,600 --> 00:51:00,359 Speaker 4: back to what we. 1087 00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:03,360 Speaker 2: Talked about before. I like Brandon cooks under five and 1088 00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:04,400 Speaker 2: a half receptions. 1089 00:51:04,440 --> 00:51:06,880 Speaker 4: I just think when you look at what the Patriots 1090 00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:09,800 Speaker 4: have been able to do down the stretch against receivers, 1091 00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:11,120 Speaker 4: especially against these kind. 1092 00:51:11,080 --> 00:51:12,480 Speaker 2: Of big play guys. 1093 00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:15,399 Speaker 4: They got burned by Tyreek Hill earlier in the year, 1094 00:51:15,680 --> 00:51:20,000 Speaker 4: and then they also had some struggles against Corey Davis, 1095 00:51:20,040 --> 00:51:22,359 Speaker 4: and it just seems like when they went into that 1096 00:51:22,480 --> 00:51:25,880 Speaker 4: buy and they came out of it, they just weren't 1097 00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:28,920 Speaker 4: giving up that type of production to these playmakers anymore. 1098 00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:31,880 Speaker 4: I mean, you had Robbie Anderson, they faced him a 1099 00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:35,720 Speaker 4: couple of times. He catches two passes on five targets 1100 00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:38,480 Speaker 4: for twenty two yards. In the first meeting in week seventeen, 1101 00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:42,279 Speaker 4: when he was a very popular DFS play catches three 1102 00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:46,440 Speaker 4: passes on eight targets for twenty four yards. Mentioned Antonio 1103 00:51:46,520 --> 00:51:49,279 Speaker 4: Brown four catches for forty. 1104 00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:51,239 Speaker 2: Nine yards and a touchdown for him. 1105 00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:54,480 Speaker 4: You had Adam Feeln only five catches twenty eight yards 1106 00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:57,960 Speaker 4: in a touchdown. Judrew four catches blow his average. I mean, 1107 00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:00,600 Speaker 4: Tyreek Hill the one catch last week, keenan al On 1108 00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:03,480 Speaker 4: the two catches the week before. Just a lot of guys, 1109 00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:06,799 Speaker 4: main playmakers for their team have not been able to 1110 00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:08,960 Speaker 4: get a lot of volume I don't like the yardage 1111 00:52:08,960 --> 00:52:10,640 Speaker 4: one as much because I think that there's always a 1112 00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:13,160 Speaker 4: chance that even on low volume, Cooks can make a 1113 00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:16,000 Speaker 4: big play and he's fast enough to run by somebody, 1114 00:52:16,160 --> 00:52:18,040 Speaker 4: or there could be a blown coverage or something like that. 1115 00:52:18,120 --> 00:52:20,640 Speaker 4: But I think that with the RAMS probably focusing a 1116 00:52:20,640 --> 00:52:22,560 Speaker 4: little bit on the run game, and with the way 1117 00:52:22,600 --> 00:52:25,320 Speaker 4: Belichick is likely going to defend Cooks, I feel pretty 1118 00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:28,360 Speaker 4: confident that he's not going to catch six balls. 1119 00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:31,520 Speaker 1: Okay, any others that you have in mind right now? 1120 00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:34,239 Speaker 4: Yeah, So an entertainment prop that I really like, and 1121 00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:36,399 Speaker 4: I've been talking about this on I'll take that bet 1122 00:52:36,440 --> 00:52:37,200 Speaker 4: a couple of times. 1123 00:52:37,200 --> 00:52:38,759 Speaker 2: But there's a prop out there. 1124 00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:42,120 Speaker 4: Will Andre three thousand joined Big Boy on stage for 1125 00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:43,000 Speaker 4: the halftime show. 1126 00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:45,880 Speaker 2: No is minus four hundred, Yes is plus two fifty. 1127 00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:47,960 Speaker 4: You got to wait a little bit for No. But 1128 00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:51,160 Speaker 4: I really think that's a strong No. Number one, Andre 1129 00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:54,399 Speaker 4: three thousand. We were always wondering when is more music 1130 00:52:54,440 --> 00:52:57,120 Speaker 4: coming out? The reason he's not really he doesn't like 1131 00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:59,719 Speaker 4: to be in the limelight. He said as much in 1132 00:52:59,760 --> 00:53:04,120 Speaker 4: a GQ interview in twenty seventeen. Actually described struggling with 1133 00:53:04,920 --> 00:53:08,799 Speaker 4: social anxiety symptoms and on top of that, you just 1134 00:53:08,840 --> 00:53:12,120 Speaker 4: have the whole kind of social issues, you know, in 1135 00:53:12,160 --> 00:53:15,440 Speaker 4: the hip hop community and whatnot with you know, kind 1136 00:53:15,480 --> 00:53:20,600 Speaker 4: of the negative, negative reactions to artists white Big Boy 1137 00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:23,279 Speaker 4: and White Travis Scott even accepting to do that the 1138 00:53:23,320 --> 00:53:25,120 Speaker 4: halftime show in the first place. 1139 00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:27,479 Speaker 2: So I think I don't think there's any way that. 1140 00:53:27,400 --> 00:53:30,399 Speaker 4: Andre three thousand is like inserting himself into that mess. 1141 00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:32,680 Speaker 4: This is a guy who once turned down a super 1142 00:53:32,680 --> 00:53:36,680 Speaker 4: Bowl halftime show because they wanted to cut his song short, 1143 00:53:36,680 --> 00:53:39,239 Speaker 4: because that's what they do at super Bowls. They're not 1144 00:53:39,239 --> 00:53:40,839 Speaker 4: going to let you play as a full, like five 1145 00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:44,360 Speaker 4: minute song. And he literally refused to do a show, 1146 00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:46,839 Speaker 4: a halftime show, just because of that. So I think 1147 00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:49,640 Speaker 4: there's no way that he is going to make a 1148 00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:50,600 Speaker 4: surprise appearance. 1149 00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:51,680 Speaker 1: I love it. 1150 00:53:52,000 --> 00:53:54,480 Speaker 3: I am taking notes, and I am betting that right 1151 00:53:54,520 --> 00:53:55,880 Speaker 3: after we get off of this podcast. 1152 00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:59,440 Speaker 1: All right, Chris, good show. It's it's the end. I 1153 00:53:59,400 --> 00:54:01,080 Speaker 1: want to say, it's end of an era. It's just 1154 00:54:01,120 --> 00:54:03,320 Speaker 1: it's the end of the season. You know, it's a 1155 00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:05,040 Speaker 1: we got through it good. 1156 00:54:05,080 --> 00:54:07,279 Speaker 4: I mean we had we had a very interesting show here. 1157 00:54:07,280 --> 00:54:09,759 Speaker 4: I mean you mentioned getting haircuts before me. 1158 00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:13,680 Speaker 3: Yes, what are the odds that I would have mentioned 1159 00:54:13,719 --> 00:54:14,920 Speaker 3: getting a haircut before you. 1160 00:54:15,120 --> 00:54:17,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know, but Na, man, it's been good 1161 00:54:17,680 --> 00:54:19,480 Speaker 4: and UH been loving talking to you. 1162 00:54:19,640 --> 00:54:21,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna keep doing the show. So yeah, we're 1163 00:54:21,520 --> 00:54:23,520 Speaker 2: not going anywhere. I'm just gonna be more focused. 1164 00:54:23,560 --> 00:54:26,120 Speaker 4: Like you said, we'll do talk about futures and you 1165 00:54:26,120 --> 00:54:28,440 Speaker 4: will obviously recap the Super Bowl probably, but yeah, we'll 1166 00:54:28,440 --> 00:54:30,239 Speaker 4: talk about futures and all that good stuff, getting to 1167 00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,480 Speaker 4: more Fantasy beast Ball and all that good stuff. 1168 00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:34,680 Speaker 3: All right, So for the rest of this week, you 1169 00:54:34,719 --> 00:54:38,040 Speaker 3: have the Slate Breakdown coming out at Fantasy Labs. Any 1170 00:54:38,080 --> 00:54:40,400 Speaker 3: other pieces you were planning on putting out before the 1171 00:54:40,440 --> 00:54:40,960 Speaker 3: Super Bowl. 1172 00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:42,319 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I'm gonna have a bunch. 1173 00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:44,759 Speaker 4: I'm gonna have one on a keep to Leave and 1174 00:54:44,840 --> 00:54:46,360 Speaker 4: kind of his effect, a little more of what I 1175 00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:50,120 Speaker 4: talked about. Gonna have one on the w TWEE TF 1176 00:54:50,239 --> 00:54:53,359 Speaker 4: Rankins that I did last week. Going to have one 1177 00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:55,680 Speaker 4: just breaking down all of my favorite props, so I'll 1178 00:54:55,719 --> 00:54:58,799 Speaker 4: put more in than just these three. And one on 1179 00:54:59,160 --> 00:55:01,879 Speaker 4: just how the Patriot it have been scheming to take 1180 00:55:02,000 --> 00:55:04,239 Speaker 4: like not only one because we've always known. 1181 00:55:04,160 --> 00:55:05,879 Speaker 2: The Patriots to take one guy out of the game. 1182 00:55:06,000 --> 00:55:07,560 Speaker 4: But the fact that they've been able to take two 1183 00:55:07,600 --> 00:55:10,200 Speaker 4: guys out of the game multiple times down the stretch, 1184 00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:12,120 Speaker 4: I think is highly fascinating. 1185 00:55:12,120 --> 00:55:13,879 Speaker 2: So I'll have something on that as well. So look 1186 00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:14,800 Speaker 2: out for all of those. 1187 00:55:15,320 --> 00:55:17,160 Speaker 3: All right, that is going to do it. For this 1188 00:55:17,239 --> 00:55:21,080 Speaker 3: episode of the Action Network NFL podcast, Please rate interview 1189 00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:25,080 Speaker 3: the show on iTunes, Subscribe, unsubscribe, and resubscribe for Chris 1190 00:55:25,160 --> 00:55:34,640 Speaker 3: raybaughon I'm Matthew Friedman, Mattathie Oracle, see you again next episode.