WEBVTT - Georgia Runoff Elections for U.S. Senate

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Karl Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>we're bringing you the latest news from the world's of

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<v Speaker 1>sure to watch us too on YouTube by searching Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Global News. Let's bring in our guest, Dr William Hazltine

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<v Speaker 1>back with us. He has been a go to voice

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<v Speaker 1>for US many times throughout the pandemic. He's chairman and

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<v Speaker 1>president of Access Health International, founded more than a dozen

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<v Speaker 1>biotech companies, including Human Genome. His autobiography release last year,

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<v Speaker 1>My Lifelong Fight Against Disease UM, Dr Hazeltine, So good

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<v Speaker 1>to have you back with us. Um, how are you

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<v Speaker 1>and how do you make sense of some of the

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<v Speaker 1>recent round of headlines that have to do with both

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<v Speaker 1>COVID and the vaccine. Well, I'm fine, thank goodness, and

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<v Speaker 1>my family is fine and we're looking forward to a

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<v Speaker 1>better year than we've had. With respect to the headlines,

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<v Speaker 1>they're very upsetting because we see an epidemic out of

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<v Speaker 1>control in many countries, and when they try to control,

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<v Speaker 1>at the moment they release it, the infections popping back up.

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<v Speaker 1>Unless you were able to control this infection early on,

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<v Speaker 1>like China and a few other countries, did, you're really

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<v Speaker 1>in the soup for a long time, And thank goodness,

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<v Speaker 1>we have vaccines. Have you gotten On the other hand, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>have I got the vaccine? Not yet. Now I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>not eligible yet, but we're all waiting for the vaccines.

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<v Speaker 1>I can tell you, excuse me that the first story.

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<v Speaker 1>The second story, of course, is virus variation. All of

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<v Speaker 1>those who who worked with HIV. This is like our

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<v Speaker 1>old ghost coming back to haunt us. And it's just

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<v Speaker 1>a very serious situation because the IRUs obviously is changing

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<v Speaker 1>in response to immune pressure. Whether or not it's getting

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<v Speaker 1>around the vaccines, I think it's only a matter of time.

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<v Speaker 1>It may already have done so. And the optimism that

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<v Speaker 1>people have that it's not gotten around the vaccines already

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<v Speaker 1>is I think misplaced. Let me tell you the reason

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<v Speaker 1>I think that there was a patient in Great Britain

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<v Speaker 1>who had a prolonged infection because the patient was a

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<v Speaker 1>new suppressed twenty three samples of virus were taken during

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<v Speaker 1>the patient's treatment. The treatment with convalescent SARAH. That's people

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<v Speaker 1>who successfully fought off the virus. That patient got three

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<v Speaker 1>successive rounds, and over time, because they were sampling frequently,

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<v Speaker 1>you could see variations arise and the virus became resistant

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<v Speaker 1>to convalescent SIA. If it becomes resistance the convalescent SIRA,

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<v Speaker 1>that means it can get around our natural immunity. And

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<v Speaker 1>we can get around our natural immunity. It's very likely

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<v Speaker 1>you can get around our artificial immunity that we create

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<v Speaker 1>with vaccine. What what are you talking to that this

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<v Speaker 1>would this would be the case with MR and A

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines and other ways that vaccines have and are being developed.

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<v Speaker 1>And just have about seconds and then we'll come back.

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<v Speaker 1>Go ahead, please, any vaccine I'm telling about any vaccine. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and in just this last barty seconds, the strains that

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<v Speaker 1>the variants are they usually stronger, tougher to deal with,

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<v Speaker 1>or not necessarily just quickly, then the idea that they're

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<v Speaker 1>weaker is wrong. They are not necessarily weaker in some

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<v Speaker 1>cases they're more potent, I be more transmissible, uh and

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<v Speaker 1>wrote higher tighters, higher concentrations and people who are at

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<v Speaker 1>So there's very worrying observations out there today. I have

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<v Speaker 1>to say we went to break. Tim and I were

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<v Speaker 1>talking in the break dr hazeltine, and it felt pretty

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<v Speaker 1>ominous here and what you had to say at variants

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<v Speaker 1>and kind of where we go from here when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to COVID. So it made me feel like we

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<v Speaker 1>never get out of it. Help me set the record straight.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that fair or is it just a case that

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to take longer. How do you see it?

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<v Speaker 1>I see this as a constant battle against this virus,

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<v Speaker 1>likely fight against US virus. I don't think it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to paralyze our economies and keep us in the house

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<v Speaker 1>as it does now. I think we'll have effective measures,

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<v Speaker 1>will have much faster diagnostics to know who's infected. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>have a whole series of drugs that we can take

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<v Speaker 1>that can help us get over this and save us

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<v Speaker 1>if we do get infected. And we'll have vaccines that

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<v Speaker 1>will probably have to renew, whether it's every year, every

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<v Speaker 1>two years, every three years, we're gonna have to be

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<v Speaker 1>renewing our vaccines to keep up with the virus changing.

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<v Speaker 1>But we will get this under control in a way

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<v Speaker 1>that lets our lives go on. But it won't be easy.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got to be vigilant. We've got to replace complacency

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<v Speaker 1>with vigilance. What is the best historical precedence for this?

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<v Speaker 1>If we think about modern modern public health, when have

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<v Speaker 1>we gotten through something like this? Well, we've gotten through

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<v Speaker 1>it in the nineteen eighteen flu, the nineteen fifty seven

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<v Speaker 1>fifty eight flu, and we've gotten through it for the

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<v Speaker 1>HIV pandemic. I think most people forget that that virus

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<v Speaker 1>has killed upwards of thirty five million people in the world,

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<v Speaker 1>and that is h much more than this is killed.

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<v Speaker 1>And yet we've got another control. So modern science is

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<v Speaker 1>capable of doing this. People have to cooperate, which they're

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<v Speaker 1>not doing particularly well, especially with the last Christmas. But

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<v Speaker 1>this these are this is infectious diseases we can control,

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<v Speaker 1>but we cannot let down our vigilance. We can't assume

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<v Speaker 1>that a vaccine is going to be the panacea. We've

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<v Speaker 1>got to combine that with good public health measures and

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<v Speaker 1>continued intensive research such as going on right now. Your

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<v Speaker 1>autobiography where you talk about, you know, your fight, your

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<v Speaker 1>lifelonge lifelong fight against disease. You've seen so much. We

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<v Speaker 1>talk about polio age, COVID nineteen, you cover it all.

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<v Speaker 1>How does COVID nineteen even compare, How is it different?

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<v Speaker 1>How has it kind of just changed your mind thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about some of the healthcare kind of foods that are

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<v Speaker 1>out there for us as we move forward. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think what woke me up with the HIV is

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<v Speaker 1>that this is a brand new virus that came out

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<v Speaker 1>of almost nowhere. We just didn't see it coming. After that,

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<v Speaker 1>we have seen many of us have seen these viruses coming,

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<v Speaker 1>and we've warned about a time and time again. They've

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<v Speaker 1>been uh, all sorts of war games planned. We knew

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<v Speaker 1>what would happen. There's a movie called Contagion which basically

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<v Speaker 1>outline is exactly what's happening to us right now with COVID.

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<v Speaker 1>The only differences. So it's basically we know that these

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<v Speaker 1>are coming, we know they're continually coming, and we just

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<v Speaker 1>have to make sure that we have very good surveillance.

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<v Speaker 1>We dropped the ball as a country very seriously, both

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<v Speaker 1>with diagnostics, with public health natures of control. And we're

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<v Speaker 1>even dropping the ball right now with actually not creating vaccines,

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<v Speaker 1>with vaccine distribution. We've got to up our game all

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<v Speaker 1>across the board to take account of what nature is,

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<v Speaker 1>the reality of nature, not what we'd like nature to be.

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<v Speaker 1>What's a realistic vision of life after this pandemic? You

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<v Speaker 1>say the vaccine will not will not be a panacea? Um,

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<v Speaker 1>are we going to be wearing masks in two years?

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's a good idea to wear masks in winter,

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<v Speaker 1>not necessarily in the summer. You know, most of Asia

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<v Speaker 1>wears masks all winter long. That's sensible because it's not

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<v Speaker 1>just this virus, it's influenza viruses, it's old viruses, it's

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<v Speaker 1>all sorts of things. So I think we'll be wearing

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<v Speaker 1>masks more than we will. I think we'll be paying

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more attention to our vaccination schedules, will be

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<v Speaker 1>paying a lot more attention to what the scientists are

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<v Speaker 1>saying about what the threats are that are out there.

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<v Speaker 1>And I hope that our public health UH system. I

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<v Speaker 1>just realize that this is a national and international problem.

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<v Speaker 1>We can't treat it on a state by state level.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got to treat it on a national but we

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<v Speaker 1>have to have national policies which are uniform across the

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<v Speaker 1>country because what happens in one state doesn't stay in

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<v Speaker 1>that state. What happens in one country doesn't stay in

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<v Speaker 1>that country. We've learned that. And if there's anything I

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<v Speaker 1>hope comes out of this is a need for continued

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<v Speaker 1>vigilance and continued improvement in our public health measure, global

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<v Speaker 1>cooperation and no doubt about it. Um. Dr Hazeltine, nice

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<v Speaker 1>to hear from you. I'm glad you your family are well.

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<v Speaker 1>Please stay safe. Dr William Hazeltine, Chairman and President of

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<v Speaker 1>Access Health International. His autobiography released this year, My Lifelong

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<v Speaker 1>Fight against Disease from Polly Owned AIDS to COVID nineteen.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Needless to say, a lot going on today. We know

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<v Speaker 1>that if you check the calendar, you'll be reminded to

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<v Speaker 1>Tim that the clock is ticking on getting an eleventh

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<v Speaker 1>hour pardon from President Trump. TikTok. Yeah, Look, you're two

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<v Speaker 1>weeks away from a new president. But get it done.

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<v Speaker 1>What I like that parton you better get it So

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<v Speaker 1>reporting for Bloomberg Business Week is Bloomberg News legal reporter

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<v Speaker 1>David Yaffie Bellny. He is with us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from Washington. David, Hey, nice to have you here with

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<v Speaker 1>Tim and myself. Time is kind of running out, But

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<v Speaker 1>that doesn't mean we might not see a few more

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<v Speaker 1>presidential pardons. Is that fair to say? Yeah, that's certainly

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<v Speaker 1>the case. Um right. The week before before Christmas, Trump

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<v Speaker 1>issued forty nine pardons and commutations to various people, including

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<v Speaker 1>close associates of his, of his former operatives who worked

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<v Speaker 1>for him, his son in law, it's father, Charles Kushner,

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<v Speaker 1>and he's widely expected to issue another round of those

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<v Speaker 1>in the next couple of weeks before he leaves office.

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<v Speaker 1>Who would those pardons go to. Well, there's a whole

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<v Speaker 1>array of sort of white collar prisoners and kind of

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<v Speaker 1>politically connected prisoners all over the country who are kind

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<v Speaker 1>of jockeying for his attention, trying to curry favor with

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<v Speaker 1>the types of right wing TV hosts and radio hosts

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<v Speaker 1>who who President Trump listens to. U. They're they're a

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<v Speaker 1>lobbyists all over Washington who are making the case for

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<v Speaker 1>for particular prisoners. Um I spoke to the family of

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<v Speaker 1>a of a former New York businessman named um Shalom

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<v Speaker 1>weiss Um who was was sentenced to basically a life

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<v Speaker 1>sentence in prison for money laundering in the early two thousand's.

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<v Speaker 1>And he's got a lobbyist working for him in Washington.

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<v Speaker 1>His his nephew is attempting to contact the legislators and

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<v Speaker 1>getting them to put in the good word with the president,

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<v Speaker 1>sending tweets out to everybody he can think of. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's the type of full court press that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>all sorts of federal prisoners are are undertaking these days

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<v Speaker 1>in the in the waning days of the Trump administration, David,

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<v Speaker 1>I have to say, what I love about this story

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<v Speaker 1>or what I kind of scratched my head about, is like,

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<v Speaker 1>what is the process actually for for giving out pardons?

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<v Speaker 1>And to be fair, um, a lot of pardons were

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<v Speaker 1>given out during the Obama administration, the George W. Bush,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean a little perspective in terms of what we're seeing.

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<v Speaker 1>It feels like a lot from Trump, But we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>this before in other administrations. Correct sure. In fact, if

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<v Speaker 1>you look at the numbers, has actually issued way fewer

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<v Speaker 1>pardons and communications than than previous presidents. The difference is

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<v Speaker 1>that the clemency grants that Trump is giving out or

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<v Speaker 1>going to people who are politically connected or able to

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<v Speaker 1>get his attention through lobbying, rather than to people who

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<v Speaker 1>have applied to the Justice Department, had their petitions vetted

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<v Speaker 1>by government lawyers and sort of gone through that bureaucratic

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<v Speaker 1>process which is designed to basically, um, you know, figure

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<v Speaker 1>out who's sort of most most deserving of clemency. And

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<v Speaker 1>no doubt there were there were major problems with that.

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<v Speaker 1>Well from this is the other thing that's scratching my head,

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<v Speaker 1>but I thought there was a process like you had

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of check certain boxes before it could even

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<v Speaker 1>be considered. But obviously the president um has gone around that.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, are there any kind of really rules and

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<v Speaker 1>standards for this or is there a lot of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>is there criteria or is there a lot of wiggle

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<v Speaker 1>room here? So the the official, the official processes. You're

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<v Speaker 1>a federal prisoner, you apply for clemency to the Justice Department.

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<v Speaker 1>The Office of the Pardon Attorney evaluates your clemency petition,

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<v Speaker 1>gets in touch with the judge who sentenced you, with

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<v Speaker 1>the prosecutor who prosecuted you, and makes the determination, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>should we recommend you for for clemency. The Pardon Office

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<v Speaker 1>will look at a lot of different criteria including, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>behavior in UM during the time that you've been in prison, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, whether you've expressed remorse for the crimes that

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<v Speaker 1>you committed, a whole wide set of criteria like that.

0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:27.719
<v Speaker 1>Then the Pardon Office makes a recommendation to high ups

0:12:27.720 --> 0:12:30.360
<v Speaker 1>in the Justice Department who sort of vet the files

0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:32.160
<v Speaker 1>and decide which ones they're going to send over to

0:12:32.200 --> 0:12:34.720
<v Speaker 1>the White House for the President to make it make

0:12:34.760 --> 0:12:37.839
<v Speaker 1>a decision on whether to grant clemoncy. That's the way

0:12:37.880 --> 0:12:40.080
<v Speaker 1>that the process is traditionally worked. What what Trump has

0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:42.840
<v Speaker 1>done is basically cut the Justice Department out of the equation,

0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 1>established a kind of a white head sort of informal

0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:50.040
<v Speaker 1>White House panel that takes recommendations from anybody and everybody.

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:53.120
<v Speaker 1>You know. Kim Kardashian of course, famously was able to

0:12:53.120 --> 0:12:56.720
<v Speaker 1>successfully lobby the President to pardon somebody whose case she

0:12:56.800 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 1>was interested in, UM and so so really the abbying

0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:02.920
<v Speaker 1>is like focused directly at the White House now, and

0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:06.520
<v Speaker 1>that kind of standard process of the Justice Department has

0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:08.760
<v Speaker 1>been kind of cast aside and to be clear, this

0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:14.160
<v Speaker 1>is totally legal. Yeah, yeah, no, absolutely, the president. There

0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:16.720
<v Speaker 1>are there are very few limits on the president's pardon power.

0:13:16.760 --> 0:13:19.559
<v Speaker 1>It's not a it's not a requirement that he only

0:13:19.640 --> 0:13:22.160
<v Speaker 1>pardoned people who have been vetted by the Justice Department.

0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:24.880
<v Speaker 1>It's just that's that's the norm of how it's worked

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:27.640
<v Speaker 1>for decades in Washington. And there are isolated examples of

0:13:27.640 --> 0:13:31.960
<v Speaker 1>other presidents circumventing that that process. Um. But but Trump

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:34.679
<v Speaker 1>is really the first president in living memory who has

0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:38.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of systematically undermined it, um and abandoned any sort

0:13:38.640 --> 0:13:42.920
<v Speaker 1>of pretense of kind of fairness and uhpends your vigorous

0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:45.880
<v Speaker 1>bureaucratic review. Okay, So what's the latest on pardons for

0:13:45.960 --> 0:13:49.120
<v Speaker 1>family members, for himself, um and for for you know,

0:13:49.240 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 1>other people who are close to the president and the

0:13:51.120 --> 0:13:55.920
<v Speaker 1>president's administration. Is that still possible? Um, it's certainly still possible. Albums.

0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:58.280
<v Speaker 1>He'll have the power to do it until his term

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:01.600
<v Speaker 1>ends on January. UM. There's obviously been a lot of

0:14:01.640 --> 0:14:05.120
<v Speaker 1>speculation about the prospect that he could issue preemptive pardons

0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:09.199
<v Speaker 1>to his children, to Jared Kushner, which would basically say,

0:14:09.240 --> 0:14:12.120
<v Speaker 1>you know this, this person is shielded from any future

0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:14.800
<v Speaker 1>criminal charges at the federal level that might be brought

0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:18.320
<v Speaker 1>against them. Um, there's a whole legal debate about whether

0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 1>it's actually constitutional for the president to pardon himself. Um,

0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:24.680
<v Speaker 1>that question is sort of unsettled legally. The Supreme Court

0:14:24.720 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 1>has never had the chance to weigh in on it.

0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:28.840
<v Speaker 1>So it's something that Trump could do, and it's something

0:14:28.920 --> 0:14:33.120
<v Speaker 1>that would only get overturned if if federal prosecutors actually

0:14:33.160 --> 0:14:36.800
<v Speaker 1>brought charges against him after he leaves office, which is unlikely. UM,

0:14:36.960 --> 0:14:39.160
<v Speaker 1>So you know, we're kind of in an uncertain phase

0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:41.720
<v Speaker 1>now where it's not clear whether he's going to issue

0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:44.240
<v Speaker 1>those pardons. There's certainly a chance that he might, and

0:14:44.400 --> 0:14:46.960
<v Speaker 1>whether the whole up in court afterwards is sort of

0:14:46.960 --> 0:14:53.000
<v Speaker 1>another questions, just another um level chapter. Well, I just

0:14:53.000 --> 0:14:58.240
<v Speaker 1>wonder how this change is precedent for presidents moving forward, right, Like, yeah, yeah,

0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:01.800
<v Speaker 1>will it David, Well, I mean, that's a that's a

0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:04.480
<v Speaker 1>that's a difficult question to answer. I mean, of course,

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 1>the fear from people who really value the traditional norms

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:13.680
<v Speaker 1>of Washington and the traditional process for um, granting clemency

0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:16.080
<v Speaker 1>to prisoners, fear that you know, this will give a

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:19.000
<v Speaker 1>license to future presidents to deviate from that that process

0:15:19.000 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 1>in alternative ways. But you know, there's no guarantee of that.

0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:24.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean the expectations that Joe Biden will revert something

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:27.480
<v Speaker 1>similar to that kind of traditional process that I outlined earlier,

0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:29.760
<v Speaker 1>in which the Justice part and evaluates petitions and makes

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:32.600
<v Speaker 1>recommendations to the White House. Um. But you know, I

0:15:32.640 --> 0:15:35.240
<v Speaker 1>mean that that process had its own flaws, and what

0:15:35.360 --> 0:15:37.720
<v Speaker 1>this could also do is create an opportunity for Biden

0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 1>or for future presidents to sort of rejigger the process

0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 1>in ways that don't kind of corrupt it with relentless lobbying,

0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 1>but make it move faster and allow more deserving people

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:52.320
<v Speaker 1>to receive clemency. Yeah, I don't know that this is

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:54.320
<v Speaker 1>like one of those things I pull out a bottle

0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:56.560
<v Speaker 1>of wine, have a great debate with your friends over

0:15:56.760 --> 0:15:59.000
<v Speaker 1>presidential parts, because part of me is like, I just

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:01.240
<v Speaker 1>don't quite get it, why we need it. And then

0:16:01.760 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, I've done some reading on the history of it,

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:06.680
<v Speaker 1>and it's you know, initially for people who you know,

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:10.640
<v Speaker 1>guys who committed treason, So that to me sounds egregious

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 1>to do we partner not necessarily your son in law's dad.

0:16:14.080 --> 0:16:17.960
<v Speaker 1>It's what you're saying. Yeah, there's that too, Like it

0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:20.240
<v Speaker 1>just feels like, do we need to have a presidential pardon.

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:22.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm not quite sure that you know of it. I

0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>guess I understand it. Maybe I don't know, but um,

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:27.320
<v Speaker 1>like I said, good, maybe a couple bottles of wine

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:29.720
<v Speaker 1>then you have a good debate. David, Thank you so much.

0:16:29.760 --> 0:16:32.240
<v Speaker 1>David Yaffie Bellini, legal reporter or Bloomberg News on the

0:16:32.240 --> 0:16:34.200
<v Speaker 1>phone from Washington, d C. Do you think they make sense?

0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:37.520
<v Speaker 1>I think it's antiquated. Yeah, I do too. I think

0:16:37.840 --> 0:16:40.840
<v Speaker 1>I think our forefathers were like, listen, you know, at

0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:42.200
<v Speaker 1>some point you folks have to like look at these

0:16:42.240 --> 0:16:44.000
<v Speaker 1>rules and get rid of someone. There's no check on it,

0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:47.280
<v Speaker 1>and that's the thing. Yeah, it's very it seems very

0:16:47.320 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 1>like it's from a monarchy or something. Yeah, I agree

0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 1>with you, all right, I'm with you on that one.

0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:53.680
<v Speaker 1>All Right, we'll see if we get any kind of

0:16:53.680 --> 0:16:57.040
<v Speaker 1>feedback on that. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:16:57.080 --> 0:17:00.600
<v Speaker 1>Messer from Bloomberg Radio. So it's already one for the

0:17:00.640 --> 0:17:03.040
<v Speaker 1>record books, record turnout for a runoff, our can amount

0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 1>of money raised for the congressional races. Of course, Tim

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:08.760
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about the Georgia Senate runoff races happening as

0:17:08.800 --> 0:17:12.400
<v Speaker 1>we speak today today, Like we're finally got here, right,

0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:16.680
<v Speaker 1>finally finally and we know so much really hinges off

0:17:16.720 --> 0:17:19.440
<v Speaker 1>of the outcome of these races. Yeah, Look, it's all

0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:22.760
<v Speaker 1>about how much power President Biden and the Biden administration has.

0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:25.360
<v Speaker 1>It has implications for Americans when it comes to stimulus

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:28.960
<v Speaker 1>and the economic recovery to the coronavirus pandemic. It'll stay

0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 1>with us for a long time. So let's get into

0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:32.359
<v Speaker 1>it and find out what's going on. Our team covering

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:35.480
<v Speaker 1>it is Bloomberg Government reporter Emily Wilkins on the ground

0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:40.080
<v Speaker 1>in Atlanta, Georgia. Bloomberg News national political correspondent Gregory Cordy.

0:17:40.160 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 1>He's on the phone in Washington. D c Um, Emily,

0:17:42.880 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 1>let's kick it off with you. What are you seeing?

0:17:45.280 --> 0:17:48.600
<v Speaker 1>What's the turnout look like? What are you hearing when

0:17:48.600 --> 0:17:51.160
<v Speaker 1>it comes to maybe the early count versus the later

0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:55.320
<v Speaker 1>count phill Us in So we just left the phone

0:17:55.520 --> 0:17:57.360
<v Speaker 1>in place, and I talked to one of the workers

0:17:57.400 --> 0:17:59.720
<v Speaker 1>there and she said, that's the number of people that

0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:02.360
<v Speaker 1>she seeing today for the rob is about the same

0:18:02.400 --> 0:18:05.440
<v Speaker 1>as what she saw in November for the general election.

0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:07.720
<v Speaker 1>As you mentioned, we did see more than three million

0:18:07.760 --> 0:18:10.360
<v Speaker 1>people go ahead and vote in early voting, So we're

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:13.120
<v Speaker 1>not seeing giant lines today at this point. In fact,

0:18:13.119 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 1>one of George's top election officials said that from his data,

0:18:17.080 --> 0:18:20.560
<v Speaker 1>the laytime for most polling places was under a single minute,

0:18:20.960 --> 0:18:23.680
<v Speaker 1>So there seems to be uh people are moving through

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:26.160
<v Speaker 1>the system today. Doesn't seem to be too too many

0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 1>major delays that we've heard about at this point. So far,

0:18:29.320 --> 0:18:31.080
<v Speaker 1>so good. It sounds like I'm Emily, what about when

0:18:31.080 --> 0:18:33.160
<v Speaker 1>it comes to results. When do you think we'll start

0:18:33.160 --> 0:18:37.600
<v Speaker 1>to see results? So the poets closed at seven pm.

0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:39.960
<v Speaker 1>That's when votes are going to begin to be counted.

0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:42.080
<v Speaker 1>As we see things come in, We're going to be

0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:45.840
<v Speaker 1>doing in person votes first. Those are expected to uh

0:18:45.960 --> 0:18:48.800
<v Speaker 1>plant in favor of the Republicans. So at the end

0:18:48.800 --> 0:18:51.000
<v Speaker 1>of the night it might look like the two Republicans

0:18:51.080 --> 0:18:53.840
<v Speaker 1>David Fordue and Kelly Leffler are upposite bit on their

0:18:53.880 --> 0:18:57.479
<v Speaker 1>Democratic opponents. But when the absentee bells begin to get counted,

0:18:57.720 --> 0:19:01.040
<v Speaker 1>we expect that margin to narrow pretty sign sacntly. Although

0:19:01.080 --> 0:19:03.159
<v Speaker 1>we're not going to as but we don't expect to

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:05.160
<v Speaker 1>call a winner tonight. We're hoping that we can call

0:19:05.240 --> 0:19:07.919
<v Speaker 1>one within the next traveled days. We're not expecting to

0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:10.159
<v Speaker 1>have to wait the ten days that we had to

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 1>wait for Georgia to be called for the November three election. Gregory,

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:16.359
<v Speaker 1>I want to bring you in here and talk about

0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:20.880
<v Speaker 1>implications of this, uh, not just for for Americans, but

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:24.679
<v Speaker 1>but also for President Biden when he becomes president in

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:27.840
<v Speaker 1>just a couple of weeks. How important is this race

0:19:27.880 --> 0:19:31.520
<v Speaker 1>in Georgia to the Biden administration. Yeah, this is a

0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:35.440
<v Speaker 1>really extraordinary circumstance because you know, we have runoff races,

0:19:35.520 --> 0:19:37.560
<v Speaker 1>especially in the South. Law of southern states do it

0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:40.879
<v Speaker 1>if neither Canada gets a majority in the general election.

0:19:41.440 --> 0:19:44.840
<v Speaker 1>But never before in history we had two Senate races

0:19:44.840 --> 0:19:47.359
<v Speaker 1>from the same state, both up for grabs. And not

0:19:47.400 --> 0:19:51.679
<v Speaker 1>only that, but these races will decide control of the Senate.

0:19:51.800 --> 0:19:54.520
<v Speaker 1>Now that the Democrats have a little bit more of

0:19:54.520 --> 0:19:57.320
<v Speaker 1>an uptill crime here because they have to elect both

0:19:57.520 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 1>Rapiel Warnock and John ass Off to get it to

0:20:01.880 --> 0:20:05.000
<v Speaker 1>essentially a fifty fifty tie in the Senate. And then

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:09.080
<v Speaker 1>only then can the Vice president elect Kamala Harris when

0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:13.920
<v Speaker 1>she's sworn in cast the tiebreaking vote in favor of Democrats,

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:17.880
<v Speaker 1>and that will really, uh have a big impact on

0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:21.440
<v Speaker 1>how Joe Biden approaches the first one days of his presidency.

0:20:21.480 --> 0:20:24.679
<v Speaker 1>If he has the majority, you can afford to look

0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:29.119
<v Speaker 1>for some of the bigger, broader, bolder proposals that he

0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:32.119
<v Speaker 1>outlined the campaign, things like repealing the Trump tax cuts,

0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:37.040
<v Speaker 1>raising them animum wage a something that resembles uh, but

0:20:37.119 --> 0:20:40.639
<v Speaker 1>it's not exactly the Green New Deal. UH. As far

0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:43.400
<v Speaker 1>as environmental legislation, if he doesn't have control of the Senate,

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:47.680
<v Speaker 1>then he's got to look to things like infrastructure, COVID relief,

0:20:48.119 --> 0:20:52.840
<v Speaker 1>cyber security, maybe criminal justice. UH. And so it'll be

0:20:52.880 --> 0:20:56.400
<v Speaker 1>a much more moderate agenda because I'll have to look

0:20:56.400 --> 0:20:59.480
<v Speaker 1>for Republican votes. It's also gregory, you know, might delay

0:20:59.560 --> 0:21:03.159
<v Speaker 1>the process us of things, including you know, Biden's nominations

0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:06.159
<v Speaker 1>for cabinet positions. I mean, it could just you know,

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:09.200
<v Speaker 1>if it ultimately ends up with the Republicans in control

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:12.640
<v Speaker 1>of this and it just could slow this process down. Yeah,

0:21:12.680 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 1>there's still a lot of really sore feelings, especially among Republicans,

0:21:16.520 --> 0:21:20.880
<v Speaker 1>about how some of President Trump's nominees were treated. UH.

0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:23.280
<v Speaker 1>And a lot of his nominees. You know, I'm thinking

0:21:23.320 --> 0:21:27.439
<v Speaker 1>of Education Secretary Bepsy divoce Uh Mike Penns had to

0:21:27.480 --> 0:21:30.719
<v Speaker 1>cast the tie breaking vote to get her confirmed. And

0:21:30.760 --> 0:21:33.920
<v Speaker 1>so if that trend continues and a lot of Joe

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:37.800
<v Speaker 1>Biden's nominees for cabinet posts are confirmed on party line votes, boy,

0:21:37.840 --> 0:21:42.040
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be awfully close. And even if they're

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:45.480
<v Speaker 1>not voted down, the majority leader has the power to

0:21:45.640 --> 0:21:48.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of slow things down, to refer things to committee,

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:52.000
<v Speaker 1>to not bring up votes the floor right away, and

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:55.440
<v Speaker 1>that could hamper the smooth transition to a Biden president. Yeah,

0:21:55.480 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 1>we weren't joking when we said all eyes are on Georgia, Emily.

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:00.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you think about what happened in george

0:22:00.000 --> 0:22:01.679
<v Speaker 1>over just over the last couple of days, We've had

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:04.639
<v Speaker 1>the president down there, We've had the president elect in

0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Georgia rallying on behalf of Democrats, and then of course

0:22:07.920 --> 0:22:10.919
<v Speaker 1>we had the infamous call between the President and the

0:22:10.960 --> 0:22:14.600
<v Speaker 1>Secretary of State and other Georgia official elections officials that

0:22:14.720 --> 0:22:17.960
<v Speaker 1>leaked to the Washington Post over the weekend, putting pressure

0:22:18.160 --> 0:22:20.880
<v Speaker 1>on officials there to find the votes. In the words

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:24.200
<v Speaker 1>of the President how has that specter played over with

0:22:24.320 --> 0:22:27.680
<v Speaker 1>voters in Georgia over the last couple of days. So

0:22:27.680 --> 0:22:30.000
<v Speaker 1>as soon as that story got late, Democrats kind of

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:33.280
<v Speaker 1>jumped on it right away. Vice President Life Paris was

0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:36.119
<v Speaker 1>down at a rally in Susannah. She called it an

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:38.679
<v Speaker 1>abuse of power. John also said it was a direct

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>attack on our democracy to Democrats have come out really

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:44.640
<v Speaker 1>strong on that. It remains to be seen exactly what

0:22:44.720 --> 0:22:48.040
<v Speaker 1>impact it's going to have on Republicans. Certainly, there are

0:22:48.080 --> 0:22:51.159
<v Speaker 1>some Republicans, particularly in Washington, who we've seen, you know,

0:22:51.240 --> 0:22:54.160
<v Speaker 1>criticized the phone call. But what strikes me is as

0:22:54.160 --> 0:22:57.679
<v Speaker 1>I talked to Republican voters here in Georgia, most of

0:22:57.720 --> 0:23:00.239
<v Speaker 1>them agree with the president in that they believe that's

0:23:00.240 --> 0:23:03.040
<v Speaker 1>the November third election had a lot of fraud. They

0:23:03.080 --> 0:23:05.320
<v Speaker 1>have a lot of sincerns about it. And even though

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:08.399
<v Speaker 1>where did we have no convincing evidence that there was

0:23:08.440 --> 0:23:11.119
<v Speaker 1>fraud in that November third election, there's a lot of

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:14.200
<v Speaker 1>belief here that that's an issue. And so voters to

0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:18.119
<v Speaker 1>hear the calls, they might not sort of fully understand

0:23:18.160 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 1>that Trump is trying to overturn a legitimate election. They

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:24.439
<v Speaker 1>might agree with the president. Hey, Emily, just quickly thirty

0:23:24.440 --> 0:23:27.320
<v Speaker 1>seconds here. So what's driving people most to the polls?

0:23:27.520 --> 0:23:29.880
<v Speaker 1>Is it concerns about fraud and making sure that their

0:23:29.920 --> 0:23:33.840
<v Speaker 1>vote is uh, you know, represented, and the count? Is

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:36.280
<v Speaker 1>it the economy? Is it the virus? What is it?

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Just very quickly, I can do this in five seconds.

0:23:39.040 --> 0:23:42.040
<v Speaker 1>It's control of the Senate. Control of the Senate, Washington.

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:47.840
<v Speaker 1>You're my hero. Now. You did that so well, Emily Wilkins.

0:23:47.920 --> 0:23:50.679
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much. Bloomberg government reporter on the ground

0:23:50.720 --> 0:23:53.640
<v Speaker 1>in Atlanta, love this story to buy. Bloomberg News national

0:23:53.640 --> 0:23:57.800
<v Speaker 1>political correspondent Gregory Cordy talking about like this is really significant.

0:23:57.880 --> 0:23:59.359
<v Speaker 1>This will, as we sat at the top of our

0:23:59.400 --> 0:24:03.320
<v Speaker 1>broadcast him, will determine the distractory of so much for

0:24:03.359 --> 0:24:05.480
<v Speaker 1>the Biden administration. Yeah, it was really surprising to learn

0:24:05.480 --> 0:24:07.359
<v Speaker 1>from Gregory Cordy earlier when he would join us on

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Quick Take today, was that Biden will be the first

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 1>president in years if they lose to actually um not

0:24:13.200 --> 0:24:15.680
<v Speaker 1>have a co Congress that he controls, which is significant.

0:24:15.720 --> 0:24:17.960
<v Speaker 1>And catch tim on Quicktake. You can find that on

0:24:18.040 --> 0:24:25.840
<v Speaker 1>ROCCU and Apple TV and so much more. Mac journal. Yeah,

0:24:25.920 --> 0:24:30.960
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive, no no, no, honey, please,

0:24:31.040 --> 0:24:37.680
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the vel I want to drive. Just drive

0:24:37.920 --> 0:24:52.360
<v Speaker 1>by the question. This is the drive to the Globe community. Thanks,

0:24:52.400 --> 0:24:55.680
<v Speaker 1>We'll try us. Dawn on Bloomberg Radio, all right, just

0:24:55.680 --> 0:24:58.280
<v Speaker 1>spend eleven minutes ago until we wrap up this trading day.

0:24:58.359 --> 0:25:00.400
<v Speaker 1>Let's get to the drive to the close day. Adeed's

0:25:00.440 --> 0:25:03.399
<v Speaker 1>back with us, managing principal and senior portfolio Strategies at

0:25:03.440 --> 0:25:08.080
<v Speaker 1>Pepack Private Wealth Management. A billion dollars in assets under management.

0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 1>David with us on the phone from Semit, New Jersey. David,

0:25:11.119 --> 0:25:14.359
<v Speaker 1>Happy New Year. Nice to have you here. I'm back

0:25:14.400 --> 0:25:16.959
<v Speaker 1>with us. How are you. There's a lot going on

0:25:17.760 --> 0:25:21.840
<v Speaker 1>doing well. Um, you know, it was about today yesterday,

0:25:21.880 --> 0:25:24.840
<v Speaker 1>but we're back on track today. So we are constructively

0:25:24.880 --> 0:25:27.560
<v Speaker 1>optimistic going forward. Thank you. So which day is right?

0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Yesterday or today? Ultimately, you know, I think there's a

0:25:33.000 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 1>two key fundamentals that are still in play. First of

0:25:36.080 --> 0:25:39.320
<v Speaker 1>all is the vaccine. We had the problems last year

0:25:39.359 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 1>because of the worst pandemic since two thousand and eighteen,

0:25:42.400 --> 0:25:46.000
<v Speaker 1>and since then, of course we've gotten two vaccines that

0:25:46.080 --> 0:25:49.960
<v Speaker 1>have been approved efficacy. Um. A third is over in

0:25:50.000 --> 0:25:53.600
<v Speaker 1>the continent Astrosenica. That will come here eventually, we expect

0:25:53.600 --> 0:25:56.399
<v Speaker 1>to see further. So ultimately, I think we're still going

0:25:56.440 --> 0:25:59.800
<v Speaker 1>to have a tremendous tail wind from the get out

0:25:59.800 --> 0:26:03.639
<v Speaker 1>of home trade as people re engage with the economy.

0:26:03.840 --> 0:26:07.440
<v Speaker 1>As slowly these vaccines are jabbed into arms and people

0:26:07.480 --> 0:26:10.800
<v Speaker 1>get back to normal. That's theme. One thing too, is

0:26:11.400 --> 0:26:15.280
<v Speaker 1>unbelievable support from policymakers. It starts right with the Federal Reserve,

0:26:15.560 --> 0:26:18.640
<v Speaker 1>which have pinned rates down to zero, and there's no

0:26:18.720 --> 0:26:21.400
<v Speaker 1>sign that desk can change anytime soon. So we're back

0:26:21.400 --> 0:26:24.439
<v Speaker 1>in a situation where if you want to at least

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:27.080
<v Speaker 1>equal the rate of inflation, you've got to do something

0:26:27.080 --> 0:26:29.439
<v Speaker 1>more creative than being in a bank account. And so

0:26:29.560 --> 0:26:33.280
<v Speaker 1>this is continuing sturge into stocks. I think slowly is

0:26:33.320 --> 0:26:34.879
<v Speaker 1>the key word that you use when it comes to

0:26:34.880 --> 0:26:38.720
<v Speaker 1>the vaccine rollout here. Um, what is the market expecting

0:26:38.800 --> 0:26:42.160
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to how quickly these shots can get

0:26:42.160 --> 0:26:44.560
<v Speaker 1>in arms, Because at the way it's going right now,

0:26:44.760 --> 0:26:46.320
<v Speaker 1>this is going to take a long time and it

0:26:46.440 --> 0:26:50.440
<v Speaker 1>is not encouraging. Well to me make a great point.

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:54.719
<v Speaker 1>Quite frankly, I'm worried most about mutations, and what scared

0:26:54.760 --> 0:26:57.199
<v Speaker 1>me more was what we heard down in South Africa

0:26:57.200 --> 0:27:00.640
<v Speaker 1>where they apparently have some sort of variation that may

0:27:00.920 --> 0:27:03.960
<v Speaker 1>require re engineering if some of the vaccines. In terms

0:27:03.960 --> 0:27:06.560
<v Speaker 1>of the rollout, I think it's just gonna take a

0:27:06.600 --> 0:27:08.400
<v Speaker 1>little while to get it right. I mean, right now

0:27:08.400 --> 0:27:11.400
<v Speaker 1>we're being very cautious to make sure the neediest among

0:27:11.560 --> 0:27:13.840
<v Speaker 1>us get it first. But at a certain point I

0:27:13.880 --> 0:27:16.399
<v Speaker 1>think it will be a free for all as supply

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:20.600
<v Speaker 1>lines ramp up and we can't have um. For example,

0:27:20.640 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>the fiser uh falling compound be wasted because people who

0:27:25.240 --> 0:27:27.960
<v Speaker 1>really should be taking it for whatever reason can't get

0:27:28.000 --> 0:27:30.000
<v Speaker 1>it or don't want to take it. So I think

0:27:30.040 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 1>that will ramp up UM. It's just a question of time,

0:27:33.840 --> 0:27:35.919
<v Speaker 1>all right. So question of time UM, and we can

0:27:35.960 --> 0:27:39.040
<v Speaker 1>never really market time well, although I do feel like

0:27:39.080 --> 0:27:41.560
<v Speaker 1>there might be some indications throughout the year to give

0:27:41.560 --> 0:27:43.480
<v Speaker 1>you an idea of, you know, whether or not we'll

0:27:43.480 --> 0:27:46.959
<v Speaker 1>see market sell off or market rally. So having said that, David,

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:49.960
<v Speaker 1>how do you position yourself? Where are you finding opportunities

0:27:50.000 --> 0:27:54.600
<v Speaker 1>specifically right now? Absolutely so, Really, Carol, it's still a

0:27:54.600 --> 0:27:57.479
<v Speaker 1>tale of two markets. On the one hand, you've got

0:27:57.560 --> 0:28:00.560
<v Speaker 1>the over US and trading at some of the priciest

0:28:00.680 --> 0:28:03.919
<v Speaker 1>levels ever close to twenty three times next year's earnings,

0:28:03.960 --> 0:28:08.280
<v Speaker 1>and that assumes we get twenty pick up um in

0:28:08.640 --> 0:28:13.439
<v Speaker 1>earnings from this year from two thousand one. Having said that,

0:28:14.880 --> 0:28:18.440
<v Speaker 1>of all the components of the SMP company lost money

0:28:18.520 --> 0:28:22.040
<v Speaker 1>last year, which means we are rolling up our sleeves

0:28:22.119 --> 0:28:25.600
<v Speaker 1>in looking We're staying diversified, of course, but we're looking

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:28.879
<v Speaker 1>to those two hundreds to see which are well positioned

0:28:28.920 --> 0:28:32.440
<v Speaker 1>in terms of franchises, in terms of business model, and

0:28:32.520 --> 0:28:36.360
<v Speaker 1>will benefit from the reopening of this economy and continued

0:28:36.400 --> 0:28:39.040
<v Speaker 1>low interest rates. So that's what we're working on. We're

0:28:39.080 --> 0:28:42.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think a key um visual for people is

0:28:42.600 --> 0:28:46.080
<v Speaker 1>to is to consider the Russell one thousand growth, which

0:28:46.120 --> 0:28:48.560
<v Speaker 1>was up close to thirty eight percent last year, versus

0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>the Russell one thousand value, which is just above the

0:28:51.840 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>flat line. That's a huge disparity. I think it closes

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:57.920
<v Speaker 1>in favor of value over the next twelve eighteen months.

0:28:58.160 --> 0:29:00.120
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk bitcoin here because this was the

0:29:00.240 --> 0:29:02.160
<v Speaker 1>story when I woke up yesterday morning, and it seems

0:29:02.200 --> 0:29:05.200
<v Speaker 1>to be sort of ignored today. Um, that decline that

0:29:05.240 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 1>we saw yesterday, it was the biggest decline that we've

0:29:07.200 --> 0:29:11.320
<v Speaker 1>seen since March, still bitcoin recovering most of it almost

0:29:11.320 --> 0:29:14.120
<v Speaker 1>back at record that we saw over the weekend. Um,

0:29:14.160 --> 0:29:19.600
<v Speaker 1>how do you position bitcoin in your investment portfolios, in

0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:23.520
<v Speaker 1>your client's portfolios, in your strategy, To be perfectly asked

0:29:23.560 --> 0:29:26.880
<v Speaker 1>with you, we don't and and and I'll tell you why.

0:29:27.240 --> 0:29:30.280
<v Speaker 1>First of all, I don't know how to value that. Um,

0:29:30.320 --> 0:29:32.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, there is no cash flow. You can't uh

0:29:33.200 --> 0:29:36.600
<v Speaker 1>net present value a stream of cash flows. So uh,

0:29:36.680 --> 0:29:38.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, is it is it worth a hundred thousand?

0:29:38.680 --> 0:29:41.240
<v Speaker 1>Is it worth ten thousand? I can't tell you. Second,

0:29:41.240 --> 0:29:43.960
<v Speaker 1>of course, we do like to find things that have

0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:47.920
<v Speaker 1>some sort of dividend or interest component. Historically, over the

0:29:48.040 --> 0:29:50.600
<v Speaker 1>last hundred years, half your return in the market has

0:29:50.680 --> 0:29:54.440
<v Speaker 1>come from dividends. Of course, bitcoin pays none of that. Third,

0:29:54.480 --> 0:29:57.760
<v Speaker 1>of course, is legalty. I mean there's a lot of

0:29:57.760 --> 0:30:01.400
<v Speaker 1>things people want which are hell back. If anyone thinks

0:30:01.440 --> 0:30:04.440
<v Speaker 1>that the government can't stop what is a great product.

0:30:04.760 --> 0:30:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Look at what happened, for example, to Aunt Financial and China.

0:30:07.880 --> 0:30:11.000
<v Speaker 1>I decided no, jack Ma, you can't take that company public,

0:30:11.440 --> 0:30:14.960
<v Speaker 1>and it disappeared. Look at things like cannabis here it's

0:30:15.040 --> 0:30:18.520
<v Speaker 1>been held back because the government regulation. Ultimately governments I

0:30:18.520 --> 0:30:22.520
<v Speaker 1>don't think can have currencies that can't be controlled by them,

0:30:22.560 --> 0:30:24.960
<v Speaker 1>that can't be stimulated by them. And of course, but

0:30:25.240 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 1>that is if it's a concurrency, right, we still don't know.

0:30:28.240 --> 0:30:30.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, our in house analysts looks at it is

0:30:30.800 --> 0:30:33.560
<v Speaker 1>kind of a collectible of some sorts, you know, and

0:30:33.560 --> 0:30:36.960
<v Speaker 1>there's supplied demand restraints that provide support from the price.

0:30:37.000 --> 0:30:40.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, it's not your typical investment. But

0:30:40.440 --> 0:30:43.480
<v Speaker 1>having said that, there are things like John bonds and

0:30:43.520 --> 0:30:45.920
<v Speaker 1>that Nana yield that used to be considered exotic and

0:30:46.000 --> 0:30:48.920
<v Speaker 1>now their mainstream. So it makes me a little wary

0:30:49.000 --> 0:30:53.120
<v Speaker 1>that who knows what the future might be for bitcoin? Well, absolutely,

0:30:53.120 --> 0:30:56.080
<v Speaker 1>who does know. It's all probability game. But of course

0:30:56.360 --> 0:30:59.160
<v Speaker 1>it will not necessarily be bitcoined. There's a series of

0:30:59.240 --> 0:31:02.440
<v Speaker 1>other crypto currencies. And what I thought was very interesting

0:31:02.560 --> 0:31:06.480
<v Speaker 1>is yesterday one of the federal regulators gave permission to

0:31:06.640 --> 0:31:13.840
<v Speaker 1>banks to do business using cryptocurrencies with respect to stable coins,

0:31:13.920 --> 0:31:16.880
<v Speaker 1>and so I said, what stable coins? Exactly? What stable

0:31:16.920 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 1>coins mean cryptocurrencies which are tied to something like dollars, euros,

0:31:21.200 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 1>or gold. So I definitely think that there is a

0:31:24.880 --> 0:31:29.480
<v Speaker 1>great future for electronic trading of money movement or value movement.

0:31:29.720 --> 0:31:32.000
<v Speaker 1>I just don't know whether there's going to be bitcoin,

0:31:32.400 --> 0:31:36.520
<v Speaker 1>and given the popularity of it that in my thirty

0:31:36.600 --> 0:31:39.280
<v Speaker 1>years of doing that, that is a yellow flag, if

0:31:39.280 --> 0:31:41.040
<v Speaker 1>not a red flag right there with the way it's

0:31:41.040 --> 0:31:43.239
<v Speaker 1>moving around. I'm gonna say, David, is we're living in

0:31:43.320 --> 0:31:47.120
<v Speaker 1>strange times. There's a lot of disruption going on. Um

0:31:47.120 --> 0:31:49.640
<v Speaker 1>we shall see, David Diets, thank you so much, Managing

0:31:49.680 --> 0:31:53.080
<v Speaker 1>Principal Senior Profilios Tragisic at Pepack Private Wealth Management eight

0:31:53.080 --> 0:31:56.880
<v Speaker 1>billion uh in assets under management. Jennings on the phone

0:31:56.880 --> 0:31:58.880
<v Speaker 1>from seven A, Jersey, thanks so much for listening to

0:31:59.320 --> 0:32:02.680
<v Speaker 1>Business Being Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or at

0:32:02.720 --> 0:32:04.880
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0:32:04.920 --> 0:32:07.840
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0:32:08.040 --> 0:32:10.160
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0:32:10.200 --> 0:32:11.920
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