1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:12,080 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. Good morning, everybody, 2 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:18,799 Speaker 1: It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire. Wednesday September was a 3 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 1: night to remember in the McIntyre household. I can't wait 4 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: to tell you about watching the end of that Lakers 5 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: Nuggets game. Holy cow, that was fun. Quickly house cleaning 6 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: to take care of best bet at the end of 7 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,839 Speaker 1: the podcast feels like a lock. Just to tease it 8 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,840 Speaker 1: feels good. I went a little deeper than normal. Um. 9 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:39,280 Speaker 1: Shout out to Dante Jillones. I got so much great 10 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:41,639 Speaker 1: feedback on the interview with him. Thank you to those 11 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: who reached out. And there is one winner, Rob g 12 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 1: believe it or not, from last week's giveaway. I guess 13 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: this guy's loaded. He doesn't want the money either he 14 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 1: reached out and I forgot or uh he just didn't 15 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:57,319 Speaker 1: reach out because uh one one guy I know who 16 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 1: he is. He has yet to hit me up. So Bro, 17 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 1: you want that, Honey, you want that? Benjamin? Hit me 18 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 1: up on Twitter or email My emails very public Jason 19 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:10,119 Speaker 1: Raj McIntyre at yahoo dot com or you know, I'm 20 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: on the Graham. Some one of the guys found me 21 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:15,040 Speaker 1: on Facebook, so you know what to do. All right, 22 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 1: let's quickly get oh boy. Lakers lose to Denver one 23 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 1: four team one oh six. The Lakers were getting smoked 24 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 1: at the end of the third quarter, and my wife 25 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 1: had a zoom call downstairs and she says, go put 26 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:31,560 Speaker 1: the kids to bed, you know. I was like, all right, 27 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: let me make this quick and then I'll watch the 28 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 1: end of the Laker game. Probably nothing to see, but 29 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 1: I'll check it out and I go up. I'm slow 30 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: to put them to bed. The fourth quarter starts and 31 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: I start watching the end with the kids and it 32 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: was like boom, boom, Lakers, Lakers score, and I was like, 33 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 1: oh wait a minute, hold up, and I tell the kids, 34 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: all right, listen, let's stay up and just watch this. 35 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: It's starting to feel good. And my son's like, you know, Dad, 36 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 1: he's asking me all these non sports questions, and I say, listen, 37 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: put a work in it, and if the Lakers win, 38 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: I will give you some extra roadblocks time. When when 39 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 1: the Lakers win, I'll give you some extra little box time. 40 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: And he's like, okay, let's go. And the Lakers go 41 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: on this tear and my phone starts blowing up and 42 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 1: I'm like oh, here we go. I mean the Nuggets 43 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: at one point, guys had six straight possessions with turnovers. 44 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: Rondo turned into playoff Rondo. I think he had three 45 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 1: steals during that stretch and the Lakers cut it too 46 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,119 Speaker 1: three and at this point, you know, I've won my 47 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 1: I do bets for Fox Sports as well, and I 48 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: had a Lebron prop bet over forty two and a 49 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: half points rebounds that assist he had a triple double, 50 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 1: so he cleared that in the fourth quarter during the comeback, 51 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:39,679 Speaker 1: but it didn't look like the Lakers are gonna cover, 52 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: which was the best bet. That's a loss, and I'm like, listen, 53 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 1: I will take a Lakers victory. I will gladly take 54 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,959 Speaker 1: a Lakers win because I have them sweeping plus two eighty. 55 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:52,239 Speaker 1: That's down flushed down the toilet. But they make the 56 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:55,679 Speaker 1: comeback and they're down three and k CP gets an 57 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: open look on the wing and me and both my 58 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 1: kids jump. We're sitting on the edge of the bed. 59 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 1: We jumped to the edge of the bed because it 60 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 1: looks like it's online and we're like, you know, we 61 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:09,920 Speaker 1: have the hands up, like if it's gonna go in, 62 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: and would automatically had a Nuggets time out, we would 63 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 1: have just exploded and it clangs off and it was 64 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: a little bit deflating. And at that point, like I 65 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 1: was like, it all feels kind of lost. And then 66 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 1: you know, Jeremy Grant, who had the luckiest game of 67 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 1: his damn career, throws in some freak bank job and 68 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 1: Lebron hits and the Lakers cut it again. They had 69 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: it down to four, and then at this point, you know, 70 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: they become you know, um Kuzma had the ball in 71 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: the wing, had like nobody on him, and he hesitates 72 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: for the three, had to step back, shoots, it misses, 73 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 1: Lebron missed, and that was kind of it, and it 74 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 1: was a little deflating, but man, that was a thrilling quarter. 75 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 1: A couple of quick takeaways you could tell him the 76 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: first half that the Lakers just didn't they didn't want 77 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: it as bad as the Nuggets. You know, this was 78 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: a game where if the Lakers win this three oh, 79 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: nobody's ever come back down from three oh, ever, and 80 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: it would have they could step on the Denver Nuggets 81 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 1: throats tonight and they could have put them away. That's 82 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: why I predicted the Lakers win it. Clearly did not happen. 83 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: And you know when you look at the box score, 84 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 1: Anthony Davis plays forty three minutes and collects two rebounds. 85 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: He is six ft eleven and he had two rebounds. 86 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say he was drained from carrying the 87 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: Lakers in Game two and hitting the buzzer shot, but 88 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: he was over four from deep and he got too 89 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 1: freaking rebounds. He's six ft eleven now. Rob g pointed 90 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: out before the podcast started the Lakers bigs. Anthony Davis 91 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: had two rebounds, JaVale McGee had one, Dwight Howard had one. 92 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,720 Speaker 1: I mean, Denver, it looked to me like they were 93 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 1: collapsing in on Davis anytime he was in the lane, 94 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: and the Lakers were getting no second chance opportunities. They 95 00:04:56,480 --> 00:05:00,280 Speaker 1: had four offensive rebounds. Denver had nine, and then first 96 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,600 Speaker 1: role players wanted it. I mean, Jeremy Grant had twenty 97 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 1: six points. Folks, listen, when Jeremy Grant scores twenty six points, 98 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:11,599 Speaker 1: there's a good chance of now that you're beating anybody. Okay, 99 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:14,479 Speaker 1: when you're he's your third guy and he's pumping in 100 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 1: twenty six I looked up the Clippers series he had 101 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 1: by the way, Jeremy Grant had twelve points in the 102 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: third quarter. Okay, he had one game against the Clippers 103 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:25,719 Speaker 1: where he had more than twelve points, So twenty six 104 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: points easily his best in the postseason this year. I 105 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:30,919 Speaker 1: don't know if it's his career however, but Jeremy Grant 106 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: was off the hook. They got great minutes from Morris 107 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 1: off the bench. He had fourteen. Michael Porter Jr. Looked 108 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: good and then weirdly, Malone just doesn't play him down 109 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: the stretch. I know Porter Junior doesn't play d but 110 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,280 Speaker 1: I mean, come on, Porter Jr. Was good in that 111 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: first half. And then I got to give it up 112 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:48,479 Speaker 1: to Jamal Murray. I know he's Rob G's favorite player 113 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:52,919 Speaker 1: in the league. Um, Jamal Murray was a killer in overtime. 114 00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 1: And I don't want to go overboard, but Jamal Murray's 115 00:05:56,600 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 1: basically unguardable when he wants to be. Who was some 116 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 1: He put him in a blender. Alex Caruso stepped up 117 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 1: and Jamal Murray just hung and then banged one shot 118 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 1: in the lane. And I'm telling Jamal Bury ended up 119 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:11,279 Speaker 1: hitting a thirty footer and that hitting the shoulder shrug 120 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 1: on the way back down the court. Man, I'm telling 121 00:06:13,320 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 1: you this kid is a player, and reputations are earned 122 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Okay, regular season awesome, wonderful, congrats. I'm 123 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: telling you, guys, Jamal Murray has firmly established himself as 124 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: a top twenty player in the league in my opinion. 125 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: When you do it this many times against the best 126 00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 1: the league has to offer. The Clippers, you sent them 127 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: out of the bubble, and now the Lakers they could 128 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 1: not guard Jamal Murray. And I gotta say, like we 129 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: had this debate on here. Um, I think it was 130 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,279 Speaker 1: last week Jamal Murray or Chris Middleton, and I said 131 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 1: Jamal Murray in a heartbeat, and maybe we could push 132 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:54,760 Speaker 1: that out again. Gavin, our social media guru, I'm telling 133 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 1: Jamal Murray just is. He's a joy to watch. That 134 00:06:57,160 --> 00:07:00,839 Speaker 1: guy has the supreme utmost confidence of any player I've 135 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: seen who isn't of the lebron James ilk And, Um, 136 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: I guess my last note, and I don't want to 137 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 1: panic too much. Game two, nobody on the Lakers was 138 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: able to step up in crunch time other than Anthony Davis. 139 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: He had their final ten points for them. In the 140 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: last five minutes in the late Denver run the final, 141 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 1: I guess it would be like the final five minutes 142 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 1: when Denver went on a ten one run. The Lakers 143 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: could not score. And I know it's crazy to say 144 00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 1: that when you have Lebron, but you could see Denver's plan. 145 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 1: We're gonna clog the lane if you're gonna play Rondo, 146 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: We're not guarding him. They just didn't go out and 147 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 1: guard En. They put Yokich on Rondo to hide Yoki 148 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,040 Speaker 1: so he could get in the lane and prevent Lebron 149 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 1: from driving. And I think Vogel listen. Bogel was masterful 150 00:07:53,960 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter getting them back into it, but 151 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: they had no legs for the final two and a 152 00:07:57,480 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 1: half minutes. I listen. I know Lakers. Lakers fans are 153 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 1: killing Kuzma this morning. He's just getting destroyed. And I 154 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 1: don't agree with that. He missed one big shot there. Otherwise, 155 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 1: Cruzma wasn't terrible. Oh, I think you need him on 156 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 1: the floor. And I know Lakers fans do not want 157 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 1: to see Danny Green late in games. He was one 158 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 1: of four only played twenty minutes. I mean Alex Caruso 159 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 1: played those minutes, and the Nuggets aren't calling Caruso either. 160 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 1: They're saying, Alex Caruso, we will give you any three 161 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 1: point of view one Rondo and Caruso a combined over 162 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 1: seven from deep and listen, it's not panic time for 163 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: Lakers fans. The Nuggets were better down the stretch, but 164 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:35,960 Speaker 1: the scary part is they were kind of better down 165 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 1: the stretch of Game two. Last note, I don't want 166 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 1: to hear people today saying, well, Nuggets should be up 167 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,959 Speaker 1: to one, because that's garbage. That's not how it works. 168 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 1: If Anthony Davis misses the buzzer shot in Game two 169 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 1: and it's one one, the Lakers come out with a 170 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:57,680 Speaker 1: definite focus difference than they did in Game three. Okay, 171 00:08:57,800 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 1: there's zero chance that Anthony Davis grabs two rebounds. If 172 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:05,200 Speaker 1: the series is one one, the Lakers don't get blitzed inside. 173 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 1: If the Lakers if the series is wonder one heading 174 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 1: into Game three, the energy was not there because they 175 00:09:10,679 --> 00:09:14,839 Speaker 1: felt confident up to Oh now, the smart Jason should 176 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: have gambled on Denver in the first half. I'm an idiot. 177 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 1: I didn't take it. I got cocky. I thought about 178 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 1: my sweet and I paid the price. All right, Rob, 179 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna put you on the spot here, your guy, 180 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:28,439 Speaker 1: Jamal Murray. Are you ready to give him his props? 181 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:32,320 Speaker 1: Because I mean this guy twenty eight points, twelve assists, 182 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 1: eight rebounds. No, what the hell kind of question is that, Jason. 183 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:41,439 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm living and dying on this Jamal Murray 184 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: as the clown Island. I don't care if I'm the 185 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:47,719 Speaker 1: last one left here, but I'm gonna be here forever. Now. 186 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:51,080 Speaker 1: I know that he's been great in this postseason. Kudos 187 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 1: to him, he said, a couple of big shots. He's 188 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:57,559 Speaker 1: done a few ships, whatever, but let's not let's keep 189 00:09:57,600 --> 00:09:59,959 Speaker 1: it one hunted, as the kids say on the streets. 190 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: In this postseason, twenty six points a game was its 191 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 1: six assist, five rebounds, shooting a blistering from the field 192 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: from three. He's been great. You notice he's doing this 193 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: in a neutral environment where there's no fans, there's no 194 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 1: buzz in the arena, to kind of get that pressure 195 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:22,599 Speaker 1: building up because last year when he was in the 196 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 1: postseason as well, played fourteen games, just almost meaning to 197 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 1: play this round. Twenty one point so six points a game, less, 198 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: shooting so eight percent less and thirty three percent from three, 199 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 1: which is fourteen percent less. So anybody can play good 200 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 1: at the y m c A in the l A. 201 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 1: When you don't have the atmosphere of a Staples Center 202 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: crowd of nineteen thousand people screaming in your ear, you know, 203 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: it's it's easy to get that buzz going when there's 204 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 1: you're you're playing a pickup game. Was there pressure? Down 205 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:56,880 Speaker 1: three one to the Clippers at halftime, down three two 206 00:10:56,920 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 1: to the Clippers at halftime, down tied three three, and 207 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:02,640 Speaker 1: down at halftime at Game seven, there's still no pressure there. 208 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:06,080 Speaker 1: You gotta give the man as props. Look, they get 209 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:08,080 Speaker 1: credit as a team for coming back, but I would 210 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 1: argue that the Clippers gave it away just as much 211 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: as the clip as the Nuggets took it from them, 212 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:14,720 Speaker 1: because every single game it was the same story whether 213 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,839 Speaker 1: the Nuggets want or lost in that series, every game 214 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 1: the Clippers came out early, had a big lead in 215 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,319 Speaker 1: the second half. Doc Rivers, who again is the most 216 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 1: overrated coach in NBA history, refused to make any adjustments. 217 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:28,719 Speaker 1: Mike Malone's a very solid coach. He made a lot 218 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 1: of key tweaks to his team and every second half 219 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:35,120 Speaker 1: didn't matter if they want or lost. They ended up 220 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 1: winning that second half. It's just whether or not they 221 00:11:37,559 --> 00:11:39,560 Speaker 1: had the energy to sustain it ended up getting the 222 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 1: actual w. So in the Clippers case, I mean, that's 223 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: just who they were and who they are. And so 224 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 1: the Nuggets still down to to one of the Lakers. 225 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 1: I'm not concerned at all. I mean, I don't expect 226 00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 1: another game where three seven footers combined for four rebounds 227 00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 1: and the Lakers from three. So Rob g I would 228 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: assume this is what the discussion will be today for 229 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:03,719 Speaker 1: Frank Vogel and Jason Kidd and the rest of the 230 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:07,679 Speaker 1: Lakers staff. The Nuggets found out, Hey, we don't have 231 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,360 Speaker 1: to guard Caruso and Rondo when they're both on the 232 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:12,480 Speaker 1: court at the same time. Vogel likes them on the 233 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: court for defense, you know. I mean Rondo had I 234 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 1: mean three steels, Caruso had two. They were instrumental in 235 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 1: the comeback. But at the offensive end for the Lakers, 236 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,199 Speaker 1: it's tough for Anthony Davis and Lebron to work when 237 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 1: there's basically five guys with a foot in the paint. Um, 238 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,240 Speaker 1: I don't know what the solution is off the top 239 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 1: of my head, I I do wonder do you have 240 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 1: I mean, do you have to trot out Danny Green 241 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: a little bit there at the end? I don't think 242 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 1: you can consistently play Rondo and Cuso Caruso at the 243 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,440 Speaker 1: end of games because what we just saw offensively, like 244 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 1: when they give you over seven from deep, there's a 245 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 1: chance you might lose, right, And that was probably the 246 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 1: only real fourth quarter blunder by Frank Vogel. And I 247 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:01,600 Speaker 1: understand because that was the group that made the Furious comeback. 248 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:03,720 Speaker 1: So you don't want to mess it up. But KCP 249 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,680 Speaker 1: was the best backward player all last night. You know, 250 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 1: he a normal circumstances would have been the guy to 251 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:12,320 Speaker 1: close the game. He's the guy who has, you know, 252 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 1: a little bit of length to put on Jamal Murray 253 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 1: and he's the most consistent shooter that they've had in 254 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 1: this series. So I would expect in Game four the 255 00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:23,200 Speaker 1: Lakers are going to come out with a little bit 256 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 1: more intensity because we saw in the first two games 257 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:29,079 Speaker 1: when the Lakers decided that they wanted to lock in, 258 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:32,079 Speaker 1: the Nuggets had no answer for them. And that's exactly 259 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 1: what happened. Even in Game three and the fourth quarter 260 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 1: when they decided you know, we're just gonna lock in 261 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:40,600 Speaker 1: defensively and see what happens. The Nuggets had no chance 262 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:42,640 Speaker 1: against them. They just run out of gas. As the problem. 263 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:45,320 Speaker 1: I do want to say, I know Lakers fans, I 264 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:48,559 Speaker 1: see the tweets send Danny Green to Serbia. You guys 265 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:51,800 Speaker 1: are totally over him, and he has struggled a little bit. 266 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 1: I will say this, and I'm not just saying this 267 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: because he's one of my neighbors. He lives literally like 268 00:13:56,200 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 1: two streets away. I've taken my kids to school and 269 00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:02,720 Speaker 1: he's been sucking his dog in front of school. UM. 270 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: Danny Green is a veteran who's thirty three years old 271 00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 1: and has been to countless NBA finals with the San 272 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: Antonio Spurs, and he was in the finals last year 273 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,559 Speaker 1: with the Raptors. I know he wasn't great. I get that. UM. 274 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 1: I trust Danny Green taking a big shot late in 275 00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 1: a game more than I do Alex Caruso definitely more 276 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: than I do Rondo. I don't know if you can 277 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:30,359 Speaker 1: do an offensive for defensive and keep the continuity, UM, 278 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:33,440 Speaker 1: but I think if anybody's got to come out, I 279 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 1: would sooner pull Caruso, just because playoff Rondo is a 280 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 1: thing and he's amazing defensively. But I will say, rob Gi, 281 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:43,520 Speaker 1: it is frustrating as hell when Rondo misses that open three. 282 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 1: They just didn't want to guard him late and then 283 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 1: he kind of threw that elbow the offensive foul. Like 284 00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 1: I mean, it's tough to pick on him because he 285 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 1: had such a good fourth quarter defensively, But I think 286 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,600 Speaker 1: you've got to consider working Danny Green into one of 287 00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 1: those two spots if it's a close game, because we 288 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 1: know what the Nuggets are doing defensively, you have to 289 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 1: have another shooter out there. Listen, Kuzmas, I like KU's 290 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:09,800 Speaker 1: Molotty did it a buzzer shot in the bubble regular 291 00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: season to beat the Nuggets. I believe um, But I 292 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: think you just need one more shooter. I would agree 293 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 1: with that. And just to you know, put a bow 294 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 1: on this one. We're talking about the Lakers kind of 295 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 1: having no legs there in the last few minutes after 296 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 1: that big comeback, last five minutes of the game, the 297 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: Lakers had were down only three points. This is what 298 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:28,520 Speaker 1: happened in their next I think it's eight possessions. Lebron 299 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 1: James turnover, k CP missed wide open three way. I 300 00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:33,920 Speaker 1: think the Lebron was that like he tried that like 301 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 1: length of the courts, remember that, Okay, Jamal Murray picked 302 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:39,360 Speaker 1: it all. That was right. I think the joker tipped 303 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 1: it and Jamal Murray picked it up and that weren't 304 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 1: the other way. Lebron missed three. Rondo goes one of 305 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 1: two from the free throw line. Lebron missed a jump 306 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 1: shot from about midrange, remember fading away from the foul 307 00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 1: that that was what you expect Lebron. I mean he 308 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 1: had made like four of those, I think in the 309 00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 1: third and fourth quarter. But that right, Cou's with that 310 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 1: pump fake miss three, the Rondo albow, Rondo miss three, 311 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 1: and then a Coup's lay up with the minute leap. Wait, 312 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:07,800 Speaker 1: so was the k CP before that k c p 313 00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 1: O was before Lebron's miss three, because as soon as 314 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 1: they cut it down to three, you could tell that 315 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 1: they were hunting that three point shot, like, yeah, they 316 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 1: wanted that right there. We just gotta tie it and 317 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:20,600 Speaker 1: then we're gonna break the doors down, when what had 318 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:22,720 Speaker 1: been working for them was an aggressive defense and just 319 00:16:22,760 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 1: attacking the rim, and they got away with that, all right, 320 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 1: So Lakers, you know, hey, listen, we we were not 321 00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 1: big losers here because guess what Thursday night now means. 322 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:38,080 Speaker 1: You get NFL Miami Jacksonville. I know that doesn't sound 323 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 1: like a good game, but I'm telling you right now, 324 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,560 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a ton of points in that game. 325 00:16:42,560 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 1: There is no defense being played on either side. And 326 00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 1: you get Lakers Nuggets Game four, where I would assume 327 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 1: the Lakers are gonna be locked in. Um, I'll tell 328 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:53,520 Speaker 1: you right now, though, Rob G. I know you don't 329 00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 1: want to give him credit, but Jamal Murray ain't going 330 00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 1: out in a little punk. Jamal Murray will play and 331 00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 1: battle to the end. This is a team though that 332 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:04,240 Speaker 1: was down three one to the Jazz, three one to 333 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:07,840 Speaker 1: the Clippers. I maybe it's gonna be tougher to put 334 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 1: them away than I thought. And maybe I've given Jamal 335 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:12,520 Speaker 1: credit Jamal Murray too much credit here. Two quick things. 336 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:16,400 Speaker 1: Number One, Jamal Murray could have forty five points, eleven rebounds, 337 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:18,680 Speaker 1: and thirteen assists and he still go down like a punk. Okay, 338 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 1: that's number one. Number two, only one person on this 339 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: podcast at Lakers and five before this same started I'm 340 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:26,359 Speaker 1: still alive, all right? Is I think that was your 341 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 1: pick in every series really has been. You have two 342 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,239 Speaker 1: things that you're now famous for, Lakers of five and 343 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:37,000 Speaker 1: then the hashtag future Laker. That's right. Yeah, alright, So 344 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,320 Speaker 1: there we go, fun Tuesday night in sports. We'll do 345 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:43,560 Speaker 1: some NFL next, and then the Best bet here on 346 00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 1: Straight Fire. Alright. From the NBA, I want to pivot 347 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,920 Speaker 1: to the NFL real quick, a little midweek check in here, 348 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:53,879 Speaker 1: So I just want to quickly talk about Week three 349 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:57,880 Speaker 1: in the NFL and a dilemma that I'm having, and 350 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: I want to back into it by talking about this 351 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:04,399 Speaker 1: thing I've watched on Netflix called the Social Dilemma. Have 352 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,280 Speaker 1: you guys heard of this or seen it? I cannot 353 00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: recommend it enough. I watched just a snippet of it 354 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,160 Speaker 1: on Tuesday, and I was like, oh boy, this is powerful, 355 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 1: this is dangerous, and I'm not gonna give away any 356 00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:20,440 Speaker 1: spoilers obviously. It's about, um, you know, the big social 357 00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: media companies and the algorithms they've built and how they 358 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:27,879 Speaker 1: mess with your head. And there's a couple of big takeaways, 359 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:32,480 Speaker 1: and the one that ties into NFL gambling is that 360 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 1: these these products the social media apps Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Pinterest. 361 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 1: I don't know anybody who has Pinterest, at least any guys, 362 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 1: but I know my wife has Pinterest anyways, TikTok, which 363 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:50,480 Speaker 1: is a bad offender. What these apps do is it's 364 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:53,240 Speaker 1: not obvious what they do because they're messing with your head. 365 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 1: But in the long run, gradually they get they have 366 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 1: you given your entire life to social media, and it's 367 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,679 Speaker 1: pretty scary how it messes with your brain. These algorithms 368 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 1: are powerful, man, they they're really scary, and ultimately they 369 00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 1: slowly will surely start to change what you do, how 370 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 1: you think, even who you are. And one of my 371 00:19:18,840 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 1: biggest quote that I I pulled away as it pertains 372 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:25,440 Speaker 1: to sports, gambling and sports in general, is that these 373 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 1: apps can sell certainty and to be successful you have 374 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 1: to have great predictions, right, And to have great predictions, 375 00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:36,440 Speaker 1: you have to have a lot of data. And what 376 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 1: these apps do is they collect all your data every 377 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:43,360 Speaker 1: every second year on it. The algorithms are taking in 378 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 1: what you're viewing, how long you're watching this Instagram story 379 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,440 Speaker 1: versus that one, what you're clicking through, and they start 380 00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 1: knowing you better than you and it's terrifying. But the 381 00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:57,040 Speaker 1: data part is what I hung up on because I'm 382 00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:00,119 Speaker 1: always looking to get better as a sports gambler. My 383 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 1: I don't want to bore you with my gambling history, 384 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,359 Speaker 1: but I first went out to Vegas when I was 385 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 1: twenty one. Um, you know, my dad likes numbers and 386 00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:11,560 Speaker 1: he's into kind of some gambling, not super heavy, but 387 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:14,440 Speaker 1: he's into gambling. My mom has been heavy into numbers, 388 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: and she kind of, uh was able to hook me 389 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:19,560 Speaker 1: up with like a quick Vegas trip when I was 390 00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:20,920 Speaker 1: twenty one. Me and a buddy were able to go 391 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,760 Speaker 1: out there and it was incredible. I was obsessed with 392 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:27,160 Speaker 1: gambling instantly. And we came back to college and we would, 393 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 1: you know, Tuesday night college basketball is on the screen 394 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:31,840 Speaker 1: and we would have action on the game to be 395 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 1: at the bars watching and it was just awesome. You know, Um, 396 00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 1: I just got really into gamble. So I've been gambling 397 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 1: a while and now it's penetrating, you know, the general 398 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:44,919 Speaker 1: public in a way that as states are hemorrhaging money 399 00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 1: during you know the hell, that's they've got to look 400 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 1: for revenue streams. And I'm telling you, gambling is going 401 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 1: to be legal in every state here probably within the 402 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:56,679 Speaker 1: next five or six years, maybe ten years, and you 403 00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 1: want to get in early. I've I've called it the 404 00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:01,200 Speaker 1: gambling gold rush for a couple of years now, and 405 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,520 Speaker 1: NFL is obviously my bread and butter. I really live 406 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:07,080 Speaker 1: for gambling on the NFL. I love it more than anything. 407 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:10,439 Speaker 1: I kid you not. I spend a lot of my 408 00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:14,280 Speaker 1: time during the day looking at the numbers. Um. I 409 00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:17,240 Speaker 1: got a couple of friends who have models and in 410 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,639 Speaker 1: taking that in it's really fun stuff. And for Week 411 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:24,000 Speaker 1: three specifically, Okay, I'm not a big trend guy, but 412 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 1: some of the trends you've got to look at. They're interesting, 413 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:28,879 Speaker 1: and you know, small sample size matters. But this is 414 00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,760 Speaker 1: the one that jumps out in week three. And I 415 00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,040 Speaker 1: should preface this by say I'm on a good run 416 00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,120 Speaker 1: to start the season. I entered that one point four 417 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:40,919 Speaker 1: million dollar Circle gambling contest and I'm through two weeks. 418 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:44,880 Speaker 1: I'm seven two and one, so I'm in the upper echelon. 419 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,160 Speaker 1: You know, there is I think a guy who's tend 420 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,120 Speaker 1: to know some nine and ones a lot of nine 421 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 1: and ones and eight and twos or whatever. So I'm 422 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:53,439 Speaker 1: in the mix. But to the problem, is I've been 423 00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 1: here before. I've gotten off the hot starts. I was 424 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 1: in the top five, and I think thirteen and two 425 00:21:58,200 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 1: a couple of years ago when I had my best 426 00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 1: season ever. And uh, it's intoxicating and you get into it, um, 427 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:06,920 Speaker 1: but it's difficult, man, It is really difficult for seventeen weeks. 428 00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,640 Speaker 1: So you've gotta pace yourself. And I'm already stressing over 429 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:14,400 Speaker 1: week three. And here's why. Teams that start owing two 430 00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 1: against the spread right are twenty two and seven against 431 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:23,119 Speaker 1: the spread in week three over the last four years. 432 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 1: So essentially, if you start out not covering the spread, 433 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:29,480 Speaker 1: week three is usually when you bounce back. And some 434 00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:31,439 Speaker 1: of that has to do with the numbers that the 435 00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,960 Speaker 1: sports books being skewed because they want even money coming 436 00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 1: in on each side, so they always win, and they're 437 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,120 Speaker 1: gonna skew the numbers the way they think you're going 438 00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: to bet. Now. I know four seasons is small sample size, 439 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 1: but if you look at the last ten seasons again, 440 00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,679 Speaker 1: week three, teams that start owing two against the spread 441 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,960 Speaker 1: forty seven and twenty eight against the spread in week three. 442 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,960 Speaker 1: So you want to look for value in the trash 443 00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,679 Speaker 1: this week, Okay, Jason, who are the teams that have 444 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 1: started oh in two against the spread? Well, I'll toss 445 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 1: out one because it's a matchup of two teams that 446 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:09,040 Speaker 1: are owing two against the spread, the Tennessee Titans oh 447 00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:12,719 Speaker 1: and two against the spread facing the Minnesota Vikings in Minnesota. 448 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:16,119 Speaker 1: Minnesota's oh in two against the spread, And I gotta 449 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 1: be honest, everything I love about this game is screaming Tennessee. 450 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,200 Speaker 1: And I don't like Tennessee at all this year except 451 00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:26,800 Speaker 1: for this um. Minnesota is eventually going to figure it out. 452 00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:29,320 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins is a good quarterback. He is at rock 453 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 1: bottom right now. For like the last three years. He 454 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,440 Speaker 1: had a hundred and thirteen yards passing everybody. I mean, 455 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 1: I read a piece. Should we look into trading kirk Cousins? Okay? 456 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,720 Speaker 1: And then you look at well, Jason, kirk Cousins isn't good. 457 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,119 Speaker 1: He lost digs. I'm aware of that. I'm well aware 458 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,120 Speaker 1: of that. Okay. I was on the Colts last week 459 00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:48,040 Speaker 1: heavy it was a great win. However, look at the 460 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 1: Tennessee secondary. A door Jackson on I R, Malcolm Butler injured, 461 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:58,280 Speaker 1: Jonathan Joseph got hurt last week. They just uh pooked up, 462 00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:01,879 Speaker 1: picked up some guy from the practice squad who is 463 00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:03,919 Speaker 1: now maybe going to be thrust into action this week. 464 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 1: You gotta look at those early week signings. They're signing 465 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 1: some guy off the street or practice squad. Somebody's hurt. 466 00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:11,360 Speaker 1: I don't know if Joseph will play, So you're looking 467 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 1: at a Tennessee defense. By the way, they got shredded 468 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 1: by Gardner Minshew. Drew Lock had his way with the 469 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 1: Tennessee defense in that opener. I don't care that the 470 00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 1: Titans won both games. It's are they covering the spread? 471 00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: That's all I care about Tennessee right now. Thirty one 472 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,280 Speaker 1: in the NFL. On third down defense, they can't get 473 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,440 Speaker 1: off the field against Drew Lock and Gardner. Minshew. Kirk 474 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 1: Cousins is better than both those guys. So this game 475 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:38,320 Speaker 1: I had liked Tennessee. I really want them. I mean, listen, 476 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,879 Speaker 1: Minnesota missing their best defensive player and their defense stinks. 477 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:45,440 Speaker 1: Anthony Barr Uh Mike Zimmer said this week we ran 478 00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:49,560 Speaker 1: out of linebackers. On Sunday, Anthony Barr got hurt his backup. 479 00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:52,199 Speaker 1: A rookie comes in, he gets hurt. So the Vikings 480 00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 1: are trash. Okay, they're really in a bad spot. But 481 00:24:55,480 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 1: that's historically in NFL where you can find the best value. Ultimately, 482 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,159 Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna punt, but I'm still looking at Tennessee 483 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 1: because I'm an idiot. Okay, So who are the other 484 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:07,679 Speaker 1: oh and two teams against the spread? So the Cleveland, Well, 485 00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:09,560 Speaker 1: let's let's start with the New York Jets. Okay, I'm 486 00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,359 Speaker 1: not touching the Jets this week. I'm sorry. They're my team. 487 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 1: They're double digit underdogs. I think it's the first double 488 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,880 Speaker 1: digit dog we've seen this year. I'm not touching the Jets. 489 00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 1: I'm sorry for me. They're unplayable. I'm not back in 490 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,400 Speaker 1: the cold cell. I learned my lesson long time ago. 491 00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:26,400 Speaker 1: You don't take double digit favorites in the NFL all 492 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,439 Speaker 1: in the long run, you will not win. Maybe you 493 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,800 Speaker 1: win one off, but maybe you lose. So I'll take 494 00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:34,040 Speaker 1: the Colts and Survivor. Yes, I've I've in three survivor pools. 495 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:36,720 Speaker 1: Colts will be my pick, probably in all of them. Um, 496 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,840 Speaker 1: but I'm not touching the Jets. So we've eliminated Jets, Titans, 497 00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: and Vikings. Cleveland Browns our next one. That's interesting, and 498 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 1: they are big favorites at home. The Cleveland Browns our 499 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:56,040 Speaker 1: favorites at home by a touchdown against Washington. And I 500 00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:59,760 Speaker 1: gotta be honest. I mean, are you gonna jump on 501 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:02,919 Speaker 1: Acre Mayfield to cover a touchdown spread? Baker Mayfield can 502 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:05,560 Speaker 1: barely win games. Okay, the Browns got their teeth kicked 503 00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,639 Speaker 1: in by the Ravens in Week one and uh, they 504 00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 1: did not cover that hurt me on Thursday night against 505 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:15,640 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Okay, the Cleveland secondary is garbage. 506 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:19,200 Speaker 1: They're they're beat up and they're not good. And Dwayne 507 00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 1: Haskins is not a great quarterback, but he was able 508 00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:25,200 Speaker 1: to deliver on short fields against the Eagles, and he 509 00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:26,959 Speaker 1: couldn't do much until it was in a hurry up 510 00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:30,480 Speaker 1: mode at the end against Arizona. Um, can Haskins deliver 511 00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:35,680 Speaker 1: some scares against a Brown secondary that's not good? Yeah? Um, 512 00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield is not a scrambling quarterback in the vein 513 00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:42,080 Speaker 1: that Kyler Murray is. Kyler Murray was easily able to 514 00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:45,000 Speaker 1: run around Chase Young and those guys. Um, and they 515 00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:50,360 Speaker 1: lead Washington, But can they get to Baker Mayfield, who 516 00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:52,879 Speaker 1: we know is jittery in the in the pocket. He 517 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,280 Speaker 1: only likes to go one way. He jumps to his 518 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,159 Speaker 1: first read. I think Washington can reak some havocs, So 519 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 1: I don't love the Browns here, I don't love the 520 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 1: Browns is a big favorite. Okay, Well, I gotta find 521 00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:05,960 Speaker 1: the Owen two against the spread teams, right, that's where 522 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,200 Speaker 1: the value is this week. So I'm keep on going 523 00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 1: down the list. And oh, look at this. The Houston Texans. Now, 524 00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:16,520 Speaker 1: this is the game that every professional gambler has circled. 525 00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,240 Speaker 1: They've already loaded up on the Texans, driving the line 526 00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:23,960 Speaker 1: down against Pittsburgh. Um, let me see the line here. 527 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:27,919 Speaker 1: Houston is favored. I'm sorry, Houston is an underdog. The 528 00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 1: Houston Texans are underdogs against Pittsburgh, and they were six 529 00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 1: point underdogs. Professional money has driven this down to four. Well, 530 00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:40,200 Speaker 1: why the hell are people betting on the Texans? That's 531 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 1: the obvious one. Okay, Houston, they can't stop the run, 532 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,679 Speaker 1: thirty one against the run through two games, given up 533 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,320 Speaker 1: yards a game. They got run over by the Ravens. Okay, 534 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 1: they are thirtieth in time of possession. They cannot hold 535 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,639 Speaker 1: the football, they can't move the football. Deshaun Watson has 536 00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:58,600 Speaker 1: been sacked eight times. Okay, that's I think tied for 537 00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:01,199 Speaker 1: the league lead with Carson Wentz. So how are you 538 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 1: backing this team? The Pittsburgh Steelers second in the league 539 00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,760 Speaker 1: in sacks with ten. Look what they did to Drew. 540 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,199 Speaker 1: Jeff Driscoll of the Broncos got him six times. They 541 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:15,280 Speaker 1: destroyed Daniel Jones and the opener. Ah, but there's the details. 542 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:18,000 Speaker 1: Houston has faced the two best teams in the league 543 00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: Casey in Baltimore. Pittsburgh has beaten Daniel Jones and the 544 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:27,720 Speaker 1: windless Giants and a backup quarterback Jeff Driscoll and the 545 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:30,400 Speaker 1: Denver Broncos. So you have the Texans facing the two 546 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 1: best teams in the league, lost, didn't cover. And now 547 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,920 Speaker 1: the Steelers come into and oh, everybody thinks they're good, 548 00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:42,240 Speaker 1: and um, they beat two winless teams. So I think 549 00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:45,480 Speaker 1: the values on the Texans. But folks, I I cannot 550 00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:47,840 Speaker 1: make a case. And that's the problem with we three. 551 00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 1: You're supposed to make a case and hold your nose 552 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 1: and take the Houston Texans. I can't do it. That's 553 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:56,880 Speaker 1: why principle to back a Bill O'Brien joke of a 554 00:28:56,920 --> 00:29:00,760 Speaker 1: team this Pittsburgh secondary is great. Will Fuller, who's just 555 00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 1: Sawn Watson's number one guy. Zero targets last week against 556 00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,600 Speaker 1: the Ravens. Oh, he's got a hamstring injury. Probably won't play. 557 00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:11,120 Speaker 1: Come on, yeah, I can't. I can't do it. Okay, Well, 558 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:14,040 Speaker 1: you gotta find this is where the value is. I 559 00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:17,320 Speaker 1: think I found one. The Philadelphia Eagles, the team that 560 00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:20,600 Speaker 1: I watched super closely in Week two, and they let 561 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 1: me down. And I'm embarrassed my one loss in the contest. 562 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,400 Speaker 1: Last week, I was four and one and I had 563 00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:30,960 Speaker 1: the Eagles. Um, the Philadelphia Eagles. Are you ready for this? Folks? 564 00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 1: Owen two against the spread, losing outright in Washington and 565 00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:43,520 Speaker 1: then losing at home to the Rams. They're healthy, so 566 00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: what the hell is the problem? Well, they lost their 567 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:49,080 Speaker 1: safety Malcolm Jenkins. He's on the Saints and oh low, 568 00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:52,920 Speaker 1: and behold Tyler Higbee. Higgbee however you say it, Tyler Higbee, 569 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:54,960 Speaker 1: who lit me up in fantasy cost me the game. 570 00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 1: He had three touchdowns against his Philadelphia Eagles secondary. Okay, well, 571 00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 1: let's look at the bank goals their opponent. How's their 572 00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:05,320 Speaker 1: tight end situation? Oh, stinks for them? They just lost 573 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,200 Speaker 1: their tight end c j Uzama. He's out for the season. 574 00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:10,760 Speaker 1: They got some guy named Drew Sample replacing him. No 575 00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:14,360 Speaker 1: edge there for the Bengals. Joe Burrow really got beat 576 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:17,280 Speaker 1: up badly by the Browns. They should and the Browns 577 00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,440 Speaker 1: should have covered that game. Burrow ended up throwing sixty 578 00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:24,480 Speaker 1: some odd passes. He's coming off extra rest having played Thursday. Well, 579 00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:27,560 Speaker 1: he's gonna be pressured against the Eagles. Philadelphia getting pressure 580 00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 1: on past place. Third in the NFL. Okay, third in 581 00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:36,160 Speaker 1: the NFL. They're gonna get to Burrow. So can you 582 00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 1: take the Eagles after And that's one of the things. 583 00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 1: This is my after tax money. I'm betting on teams, okay, 584 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 1: and it hurts me when I think a good team 585 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 1: like the Eagles can't deliver, and I'm I'm I'm flushing 586 00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 1: my money down the drain. And folks, I'm telling you 587 00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:55,120 Speaker 1: right now, I'm leaning heavily towards backing the Philadelphia Eagles. Again, 588 00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 1: I know it sounds crazy. And that's the other thing. 589 00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 1: The public is jumping all over the Cincinnati Bengals here 590 00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:06,160 Speaker 1: and I'm again we're talking about the Cincinnati Bengals, and 591 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:09,200 Speaker 1: the public is backing an Owen two team just because 592 00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,240 Speaker 1: they covered against the Browns. Ever, was like, oh yeah, 593 00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: give me Cincinnati. That Borrow guy look pretty good. And 594 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,320 Speaker 1: it's like, okay, well, I always want to go against 595 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,800 Speaker 1: the public. They usually don't know what they're doing. But 596 00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:25,200 Speaker 1: the other reason that I'm a little concerned with the Eagles, 597 00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:28,480 Speaker 1: I'm just I know, I'm rambling here. They have a 598 00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:31,080 Speaker 1: total of three points in the second half this season, 599 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: zero against Washington and three against the Rams. Is Carson 600 00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 1: Wentz too good for that? According to Football Outsiders, Carson 601 00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:41,680 Speaker 1: Wentz is the worst starting quarterback in the NFL right now. 602 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:46,000 Speaker 1: Maybe I guess that's got to be worse than Sam Donald. Anyways, 603 00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:48,280 Speaker 1: I'm just talking you through my process. I'm not giving 604 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 1: a pick here, it's too early in the week, but 605 00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:53,440 Speaker 1: I'm leaning into the Eagles. So the other two teams 606 00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:55,920 Speaker 1: that are owing two against the spread that you have 607 00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,479 Speaker 1: to look at. There's three others, the Cowboys, who I 608 00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:03,920 Speaker 1: don't think I'm ready to talk about yet. Cowboys in Seattle. Um, 609 00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:06,640 Speaker 1: I just I'm not ready to go there. I guarantee 610 00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 1: you we'll talk about this. We have two guests coming 611 00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:11,400 Speaker 1: up later in the week. Thursday and Friday, who will 612 00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:14,320 Speaker 1: obviously talk about Cowboys Seattle. They are that's the game 613 00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:17,640 Speaker 1: of the week. Um, So I'll move on to one 614 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,920 Speaker 1: that I know I'm gonna hold my nose and probably 615 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:22,320 Speaker 1: have to take oh and two against the spread. Remember 616 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 1: that's where the value is this week. It wouldn't involve 617 00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:30,160 Speaker 1: getting behind the Detroit Lions and backing Matt Patricia, who 618 00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:33,480 Speaker 1: is such a choke artist. I mean, we know he's 619 00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:35,160 Speaker 1: toasted at the end of the season. Unless he gets 620 00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:38,719 Speaker 1: to the playoffs, he's gone and they're owing to Nobody 621 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:44,320 Speaker 1: blows the lead like Matt Patricia. Now the Detroit Lions 622 00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:48,040 Speaker 1: have they faced the Bears, who I don't think you're good, 623 00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:50,440 Speaker 1: and they dominated them for three quarters and then choked. 624 00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,920 Speaker 1: And they were up on the Packers early and then choked. 625 00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:56,959 Speaker 1: The Detroit Lions, folks, are the first team in NFL 626 00:32:57,120 --> 00:33:00,640 Speaker 1: history to lose four straight games dating to last year 627 00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:02,800 Speaker 1: obviously in which I led by ten or more points 628 00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:08,080 Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions. I joke about holding my nose and 629 00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:11,520 Speaker 1: betting on them, But this is a team that knows 630 00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,760 Speaker 1: Arizona well. Remember last year the Lions played in Arizona, 631 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:16,920 Speaker 1: and I think it was week one or week it 632 00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:19,840 Speaker 1: was week one against Kyler Marie and his debut. Detroit 633 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 1: led big and then gagged it up. Kyler Murray came 634 00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 1: back and it entered in a tie. Now, the big 635 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 1: reason I would look at Detroit is the return of 636 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 1: Kenny Golladay, who, by the way, it is like a 637 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,480 Speaker 1: top six or seven receiver in the league. He will 638 00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:34,960 Speaker 1: definitely help them as a potential backdoor team. And the 639 00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,680 Speaker 1: uh and again, what if you're getting If you're gonna 640 00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:41,000 Speaker 1: give me a high powered offense like Detroit and six points, 641 00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:45,560 Speaker 1: I I just have to take it. And again it's Arizona. 642 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,000 Speaker 1: This isn't Aaron Rodgers. Okay, this is Kyler Marie. I 643 00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,600 Speaker 1: know I've been gushy about the Cardinals, but I just 644 00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:54,080 Speaker 1: want to end on this note. The Detroit Lions secondary 645 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:56,480 Speaker 1: is beat up. And I can tell you now, as 646 00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 1: much as I want to take Detroit, it's gonna be tough. 647 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 1: If Coleman and true Fund both are out the final 648 00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 1: team in two against the spread heading into week three, 649 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,279 Speaker 1: and this is when I've really circled. You're gonna You're 650 00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:09,920 Speaker 1: gonna shake your head and be like Mac, what are 651 00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:13,600 Speaker 1: you doing? It's the Carolina Panthers. Okay, and just hear 652 00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:15,440 Speaker 1: me out. I'm not gonna go too long here. Christian 653 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:20,440 Speaker 1: McCaffrey's out. Nobody in their right mind is going to 654 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:25,240 Speaker 1: back the Carolina Panthers with Christian McCaffrey out. Nobody. Everybody 655 00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,880 Speaker 1: just saw the Chargers dearly beat the Chiefs. They just 656 00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:30,919 Speaker 1: saw it. But what they don't remember is, oh, that 657 00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,800 Speaker 1: was a divisional game. That's a rivalry game. There's good 658 00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:38,760 Speaker 1: familiarity there. The Chargers game play defensively was great against Mahomes. 659 00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:41,160 Speaker 1: I'm sure we'll see the Ravens employ it on Monday 660 00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:44,319 Speaker 1: Night Football. But that was a kitchen sinc game from 661 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:47,640 Speaker 1: the Chargers. They emptied the tank and they were demoralized 662 00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:51,440 Speaker 1: when they lost that game. We don't know who's starting 663 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,919 Speaker 1: for them, Tyrod Taylor or Justin Herbert. I thought Justin 664 00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 1: Herbert was very strong against the Chiefs, a really impressive game. 665 00:34:57,400 --> 00:34:59,799 Speaker 1: He made one really bad rookie mistake. But it's not 666 00:34:59,880 --> 00:35:03,080 Speaker 1: like the Carolina defense is any good. I mean, hell, 667 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:07,719 Speaker 1: Carolina's turnover machine on offense. Their defense is atrocious. They 668 00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:09,640 Speaker 1: cannot stop the run they've given up. I believe a 669 00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:15,160 Speaker 1: league high six rushing touchdowns this year. But folks, I 670 00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:17,440 Speaker 1: think you gotta play the Panthers at a touchdown. What 671 00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 1: you're gonna hear is real professional gamblers, the guy who 672 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,600 Speaker 1: are putting down fifty dred thousand dollars on games. They 673 00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,239 Speaker 1: don't bet teams, they bet numbers. And if you're giving 674 00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers a touchdown, and Teddy Bridgewater, who I'm sorry, 675 00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:34,399 Speaker 1: he's the better quarterback in this game, justin Herbert's too young, 676 00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:36,720 Speaker 1: but there is tape on him now. And Tyrod Taylor 677 00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,040 Speaker 1: looked terrible against the Bengals. So all of a sudden, 678 00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:42,600 Speaker 1: you're telling me the Chargers, who had to come back 679 00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:46,560 Speaker 1: and beat the Bengals in rookie Joe Burrows debut, you're 680 00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:50,080 Speaker 1: telling me the Chargers should be a touchdown favorite over anybody, 681 00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:53,920 Speaker 1: including a Carolina team that was frisky against the Raiders. 682 00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:55,480 Speaker 1: And we know the Raiders are good. They just beat 683 00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:58,040 Speaker 1: the Saints and a Carolina team that was frisky against 684 00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:00,600 Speaker 1: the Bucks and would have covered if not for Leonard 685 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:02,920 Speaker 1: four Net breaking off a fifty yard touchdown and it 686 00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,680 Speaker 1: was like a minute thirty left, which you know was 687 00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:07,000 Speaker 1: able to win me a lot of money and I 688 00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:10,560 Speaker 1: had the books in the contest. So that's my process, 689 00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:12,560 Speaker 1: and I'm sure I'm gonna get a lot of Dude, 690 00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:16,240 Speaker 1: you are crazy like this, Jason. Just hearing your thought process, 691 00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 1: this is nuts. Okay, maybe I I I nearly cashed 692 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,120 Speaker 1: in this. It was a different It was the super contest, 693 00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:27,160 Speaker 1: the one million dollar winner. I didn't almost win it, 694 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:29,959 Speaker 1: but I was in the top five for a couple 695 00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:33,839 Speaker 1: of weeks, and uh, I faded down the stretch. I'm 696 00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:38,480 Speaker 1: telling you, man, these contests get late November, Thanksgiving holiday, 697 00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:40,960 Speaker 1: you know, presents for the getting ready for Christmas, and 698 00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,120 Speaker 1: you've got a family. It's tough to focus. You've got 699 00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:47,719 Speaker 1: the Thanksgiving Day games, and it's it's it's it's really difficult. 700 00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:49,600 Speaker 1: And I know this is the first world problem talking 701 00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:53,040 Speaker 1: about a gambling contest. Um. But anyways, this is a 702 00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,480 Speaker 1: sports podcast. I've now gone, you know, way longer than 703 00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:58,160 Speaker 1: I thought. Just talking you through some of my process. 704 00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,799 Speaker 1: I think Week three is danger ris Um. I didn't 705 00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:04,440 Speaker 1: even get to talk about this game. One favorite that 706 00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:09,000 Speaker 1: I I'm sorry, I love them, Tampa Bay Buccaneers favor 707 00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:11,520 Speaker 1: by six. I know it's at altitude. I had circled 708 00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 1: this spot for Denver. But Denver's down to Jeff Drischool. 709 00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:19,520 Speaker 1: The backup quarterback would say, sax six times in three 710 00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:23,359 Speaker 1: quarters by Pittsburgh. Uh, he was hit seventeen times. By 711 00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:27,279 Speaker 1: the way, the Tampa front front four is nasty. Um. 712 00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:30,400 Speaker 1: They had five sacks at Teddy Bridgewater last week. Um. 713 00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:33,480 Speaker 1: I know Tom Brady's had troubles in the altitude at Denver. 714 00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:36,680 Speaker 1: A lot of that was against like actual, like contending 715 00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:40,440 Speaker 1: Broncos teams. Um, some people are gonna say, hey, you 716 00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:43,280 Speaker 1: gotta take the points into in Denver. I'm looking strongly 717 00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:45,200 Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay. But okay, now I really have to 718 00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:50,279 Speaker 1: stop because it's time for the best bet. The only 719 00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:53,120 Speaker 1: thing better than sitting on your couch watching the game. 720 00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:59,080 Speaker 1: He's making money while you do it. Here's your best bet, alright, 721 00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:04,600 Speaker 1: So the best bet for tonight, Wednesday, September, I'm riding 722 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:07,600 Speaker 1: with the Celtics favored by three against the Heat. Now, 723 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:09,640 Speaker 1: we didn't really preview this game, and it's been a 724 00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:14,080 Speaker 1: weird series because Miami stole the first two games, Boston 725 00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:17,160 Speaker 1: storm back with an awesome strategy change, the return of 726 00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:20,440 Speaker 1: Gordon Heyward in game three, held on and then there 727 00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:22,839 Speaker 1: was a three day break, and I tried to look 728 00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:25,279 Speaker 1: into why there was a three day break, and I 729 00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:27,680 Speaker 1: know we had theorized, and I guess some people said, oh, 730 00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:30,680 Speaker 1: they wanted to Western Conference to catch up to the East. 731 00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:34,799 Speaker 1: But the other thing I saw was that ESPN is 732 00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:40,520 Speaker 1: televising the Eastern Conference finals. ESPN had slated to play 733 00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,480 Speaker 1: this game. Obviously they were doing every other day. They 734 00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:47,200 Speaker 1: played Saturday Game three, Oh, Monday game four. Well, Monday 735 00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:51,080 Speaker 1: is Monday Night football, and obviously you're not bumping uh 736 00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:54,560 Speaker 1: Saints versus the Raiders. So what do you do. You 737 00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:57,040 Speaker 1: obviously don't want to double up two games in one night, 738 00:38:57,520 --> 00:39:01,359 Speaker 1: so ultimately they kick game four to Wednesday. Now, So 739 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:04,120 Speaker 1: this has been a crazy turn of events for Boston. 740 00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:06,840 Speaker 1: If you are a Celtics fan, you are geeked about 741 00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,000 Speaker 1: three days of rest. And here's why. There was an 742 00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:13,840 Speaker 1: extensive story written about how much Boston has leaned heavily 743 00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:17,319 Speaker 1: on its star players, not only in this series, but 744 00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:20,440 Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Are you ready for this? The Eastern 745 00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:23,799 Speaker 1: Conference playoff minutes leaders. Okay, when you look at every 746 00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:26,560 Speaker 1: team in the East in the playoffs, the top four 747 00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:31,040 Speaker 1: players are all Boston Celtics and that's not just because 748 00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:33,880 Speaker 1: they went seven against the Raptors. Remember they dusted the 749 00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:37,719 Speaker 1: sixers and four. Okay, they Jayson Tatum is number one, 750 00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:41,640 Speaker 1: Jalen Brown is to Marcus Smart three, Kimba four. Okay, 751 00:39:41,640 --> 00:39:44,200 Speaker 1: So that's not a huge shock because those four have 752 00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:47,680 Speaker 1: played massive minutes. But where the shock is is Kimba 753 00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 1: has played five hundred and thirty nine minutes in the playoffs. 754 00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:55,160 Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler is next at four hundred and thirty four, 755 00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:58,880 Speaker 1: one hundred fewer minutes. That's the gap between the top 756 00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:02,640 Speaker 1: four Celtics and everyone else. And you could kind of 757 00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:05,800 Speaker 1: see and then it lines up perfectly with why Boston 758 00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:08,680 Speaker 1: has been destroyed in the fourth quarter by Miami, a 759 00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:12,680 Speaker 1: combination in games one, two, and even Game three of 760 00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:15,480 Speaker 1: the Miami Heat resting the hell out of their players 761 00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:19,960 Speaker 1: and Boston riding its stars into the ground. Now you 762 00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:23,359 Speaker 1: look at the regular season, Miami did not have a 763 00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:27,520 Speaker 1: player ranked in the top thirty in minutes per game. 764 00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:30,440 Speaker 1: This year, they have really leaned heavily on a bench 765 00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:34,520 Speaker 1: all season long. Remember pre bubble, Myers Leonard was like 766 00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:37,000 Speaker 1: a starter. He's not getting off the bench in the bubble. 767 00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:41,280 Speaker 1: I mean, they've totally changed things. Miami's bench has been massive, 768 00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:45,720 Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler is not tired. The heat are very, very fresh, 769 00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:48,040 Speaker 1: and that's why they are able to come back in 770 00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:50,480 Speaker 1: Game one and steal it. That's why they're able to 771 00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:53,120 Speaker 1: come back in Game two and steal it from Boston. 772 00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:56,880 Speaker 1: And I think this three game rest helps the Celtics 773 00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:59,560 Speaker 1: big time. And I'm gonna go with Boston to hold 774 00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:03,200 Speaker 1: off Miami and even the series of two apiece. I've 775 00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:07,000 Speaker 1: got Boston favored by three as the best bet for 776 00:41:07,120 --> 00:41:08,600 Speaker 1: Wednesday Night in Sports