1 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:06,600 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,719 Speaker 1: dot Com, the radio, plus mobile lapt and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash. AM Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,919 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pla to move lawer today for Tesla Motors 5 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,680 Speaker 1: down two point six percent after the US National Highway 6 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: Traffic Safety Administration said it is looking into a potential 7 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: suspension issue on the model S Sedan. Stock's edge lowers 8 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:32,479 Speaker 1: investors evaluate the gauges run toward a record amid lingering 9 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: concerns about the impact of lackluster of global growth. SMP 10 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: five hundred, indecks down three a drop of two tenths 11 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 1: of one percent to one fifteen down. Industrials down nineteen points, 12 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: a drop of point one percent. As stacked down three 13 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. Ten year up seven thirty seconds, 14 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,200 Speaker 1: had yield one point six seven percent, Gold up seven 15 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent, up ninety to twelve seventy one. 16 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: Crewde down one and a half percent. Fifty's forty five 17 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,479 Speaker 1: cents for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate Crude. I'm 18 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 1: Charlie Pelton. That's a Bloomberg Business flash. You're listening to 19 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:13,279 Speaker 1: taking stock with Kathleen's and pin Box on Bloomberg Radio. 20 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:18,680 Speaker 1: The hedge fund industry, large head funds, small hedge funds, 21 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 1: multi strategy hedge funds, how do they all compete and 22 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 1: how do they gain the attention of potential investors. Don Steinbruger, 23 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 1: managing partner Agecroft Partners, joins us now. He's based in Richmond, Virginia, 24 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: and you can follow him on Twitter at don Steinbruger. 25 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 1: Don thanks very much for being here. It's great to 26 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: be here, all right, So tell me about gaining the edge. 27 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:44,320 Speaker 1: This was a conference that you recently spoke at and 28 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: you talked about the competition that exists in the hedge 29 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: fund industry. But I gotta think this's always but this 30 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 1: always competition for every industry. What makes this time unique, Well, 31 00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: you know, there's a lot of people that would like 32 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 1: to be a hedge fund because there's all sorts of 33 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 1: stories of hedge funds with big houses in the Hamptons 34 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: and flying around private debt jets and getting invited to 35 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:10,639 Speaker 1: you know, uh, parties that have movie stars at them. 36 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: But the reality is it's a very very competitive business ers. 37 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:16,959 Speaker 1: I estimate fifteen thousand hedge funds. And what makes things 38 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 1: even worse is most of the money is going to 39 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: the largest managers. Six of managers have less than a 40 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: hundred million. Only five percent of assets are going to 41 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 1: managers with less than a hundred million. So nine thousand 42 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 1: hedge funds are competing for five percent of flows. And 43 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,639 Speaker 1: to make matters worse, you know, if you're a professional 44 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: hedge fund investor, you use a funnel approach to select 45 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,640 Speaker 1: hedge funds. You're contacted by thousands a year. You meet 46 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 1: with three to four hundred a year, you do follow 47 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 1: up meetings with fifty, and you hire two. So if 48 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: you have any flaws in your product or how you 49 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: present your your your your process, you're just eliminated from competition. 50 00:02:56,600 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 1: What about the We can certainly understand the enthusis has 51 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: them in the desire, you know, so you get a 52 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 1: little money into your bell, you start the hedge funds. 53 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 1: But it's not just about desire. It's also about skill experience. 54 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 1: How does that shake out right now? Since there's been 55 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:12,919 Speaker 1: such a proliferation of hedge funds and then the last 56 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:14,639 Speaker 1: couple of years, a lot of them are doing so well. 57 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: So out of the fifteen thousand I think only ten 58 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 1: to fift are worth the value that uh they charge. 59 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: You know, they typically charge two and twenty, but a 60 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 1: lot of them are now discounting fees. And in order 61 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 1: to evaluate a hedge fund, what's important is don't just 62 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 1: look at their performance. You know, most professional hedge fund 63 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: investors use performances as screen and if you think about it, 64 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 1: if you fall in the top ten percent performing hedge funds, 65 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: you're among the top one thousand, five hundred. So professional 66 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 1: hedge fund investors will also look at the organization to 67 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: look at depth and breadth of the investment team. You know, 68 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 1: what is ther bios, what's their work experience, the look 69 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 1: at the investment process and try to identify what inefficiency 70 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 1: in the market this hedge funds going after what their 71 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 1: differential with vantages to capture that inefficiency. Risk controls are 72 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: really important. Obviously, performance is important. Service providers, you know, 73 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 1: who's auditing the fund, who's their lawyer. All of those 74 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: things are important, and to get hired, you gotta rank 75 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 1: well across each of those. If you have a weakness, 76 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: you're just gonna get eliminated from competition. But if you're 77 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: already in the business, then you kind of know all this, 78 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 1: don't you. I mean, you know who the standard or 79 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: the accepted legal advisor is, who the accountants are, what 80 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 1: are some of the answers. Where do we go for 81 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 1: answers if you're trying to evaluate where to invest your 82 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:39,040 Speaker 1: money using these vehicles, these these funds. Well, first of all, 83 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 1: there's a lot of hedge funds that don't know how 84 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: people evaluate them. Um. But you know, if if you're 85 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:49,280 Speaker 1: evaluating the hedge fund, uh, there's a lot of consultants 86 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,919 Speaker 1: that can help you. You really shouldn't allocate to a 87 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 1: hedge fund and unless you completely understand what their investment 88 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 1: processes and what their edges, and you should take those 89 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: things I just told you and create a spreadsheet and 90 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: make sure that you ask the questions and evaluate in 91 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:08,159 Speaker 1: each in each of those metrics. And if you aren't 92 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 1: able to do that, rely on someone who can who 93 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 1: can help you pick hedge funds. But is anybody worth 94 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: the the what is it two percentage points? That? I 95 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 1: mean the hedge funds came in at the top of 96 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: their cycle, right, and they've charged really big fees. That 97 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:26,479 Speaker 1: means they have to really outperform for people to do 98 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: more than break even at this point in time. Done, 99 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 1: do you think it would be incumbent on most of 100 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: them to to pare that down a bit make them 101 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 1: more affordable in their form, more in line with realistic expectations. Well, 102 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:41,280 Speaker 1: first of all, I said, I thought ten to fiftcent 103 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:44,119 Speaker 1: of hedge funds added value above the fees they charge. 104 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: If I look at the mutual fund industry, I think 105 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:48,720 Speaker 1: it's a lower percent. I think maybe five percent of 106 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 1: mutual funds are actually worth the fees they charge. Now, 107 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: hedge funds do charge a higher fee, which means a 108 00:05:53,880 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 1: better generate higher return to generate higher net return of expenses. 109 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 1: But you know that there are certain strategies you just 110 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 1: can't replicate with E T f s or index funds. 111 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: So a hedge fund is a structure, it is not 112 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:09,000 Speaker 1: a strategy. Within the hedge fund industry, there are a 113 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:12,960 Speaker 1: lot of different strategies that add diversification for to a portfolio. 114 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:16,479 Speaker 1: You know, one strategy that's uh in demand right now 115 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,040 Speaker 1: is direct lending. You know, you have all these banks 116 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: that have stopped lending too small and midsized companies. So 117 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:24,480 Speaker 1: the yields you can get on direct loans or you know, 118 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 1: high single digits, which is well above marketable fixed income securities. 119 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: You know, another strategy that's kind of interesting is UM 120 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:35,719 Speaker 1: UH C tas or commodity trading advisors that focus on trends. 121 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 1: Why are they interesting because when the market sells off, 122 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: you know, go back to two thousand and eight. You know, 123 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 1: if you're a pension fund and you had all your 124 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:45,719 Speaker 1: money in UH with various equity managers, both in the 125 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:49,159 Speaker 1: US overseas emerging market, you had bond managers. When the 126 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 1: markets sold off, correlations between all those managers went up 127 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 1: and they lost a lot of money. So are looking 128 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 1: for strategies that will help diversify C t A s 129 00:06:58,160 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 1: do that matter of factor correlation? If they're trend following 130 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 1: tends to be moving the opposite direction, they tend to 131 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 1: get negatively correlated if you have a long UH prolonged 132 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 1: sell off in the marketplace. Reinsurance is an interesting strategy 133 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: UM basically focusing on catastrophe. These are funds that basically 134 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 1: are collecting premiums. And let's say they're collecting fourteen to 135 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: sixteen percent premium and they subtract out their payments. They're 136 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: typically focusing on a seven to eight percent return. Don't 137 00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 1: steinberga thank you so very much for taking time out 138 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 1: for us today. Managing partner at Agecroft Partners saying better 139 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 1: choose carefully, Not at all hedge funds are worth the fees. 140 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 1: This is taking stock on Bloomberg Radio. Coming up Bloomberg 141 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 1: Laws brought to you by Deutsch Atkins PC. 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