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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go spreading the corn ten seconds or maining,

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Speaker 1: gonna just go short off to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 3: The croup for the wind. God make a miracle.

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Speaker 2: I's up the water.

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Speaker 3: Hit that one from the parking lot. Welcome to the

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Speaker 3: Big Bets on Campus podcasted by bet MGM. I am

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Speaker 3: your host, Matthew Cox and the rest of three Man

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Speaker 3: Leave Crew, Kid you Can Jim Root are both joining

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Speaker 3: me here. The rest, including just those two, there's no

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Speaker 3: more that are part of this group. Today we're talking

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Speaker 3: about all things college basketball, coming to you every Wednesday morning,

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Speaker 3: dropping a new Big Bets on Campus episode, going to

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Speaker 3: discuss the key games of the week upcoming a deceptively

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Speaker 3: nice set of games Wednesday, Thursday and Friday before we

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Speaker 3: hit the Christmas lull, and then a quick you set

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Speaker 3: into full blown conference play which we'll have plenty of

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Speaker 3: games to talk about, drowning and content for sure. The

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Speaker 3: format today show is as usual, Power mid Major breakdowns,

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Speaker 3: the trash fan pick of the week, spotlight on teaser.

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Speaker 3: Stay tuned you'll find out. But first we talk about

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Speaker 3: the live dog of the week, our favorite section. I

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Speaker 3: think trying to pick out the live money line underdog

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Speaker 3: pick or picks of the next three a's where is mine?

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Speaker 3: Where's mind? We get a pretty good batch last week, gentlemen,

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Speaker 3: but I think our best pick by far was in

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Speaker 3: no way a genius pick. It's just involves fading Louisville

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Speaker 3: and Arkansas State completely embarrassed that team. Props to both

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Speaker 3: of you. I think I stayed away foolishly from that one.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, turns out betting Louisville and Anything is betting

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Speaker 3: against leveland Anything is a good idea. So we'll try

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Speaker 3: and target them a more live money dog. I just

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Speaker 3: don't know if we're going to have opportunities to because

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Speaker 3: they're so bad at this point. A lot of games

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Speaker 3: I ted up for us to discuss today, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

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Speaker 3: I'll just quickly run through them here for Chence, let

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Speaker 3: me know what jumps out to you. Here you see

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Speaker 3: Irvine going to New Mexico, Slew going to NC State.

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Speaker 3: On Wednesday Thursday, we have UT Arlington at Texas Tech,

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Speaker 3: Kent State at Oregon, a couple of solid majors against

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Speaker 3: I think brittle power conference teams. Maybe a little bit

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Speaker 3: mean to Texas Tech, but it's kind of where I

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Speaker 3: see them right now. And then Friday Yale going to

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Speaker 3: Kansas probably a reachmentn inclusion, but I think Kansas has

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Speaker 3: been vulnerable at home, I think we can say. And

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Speaker 3: then Cornell at Robert Morris is an interesting angle I have.

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Speaker 3: I'll pause there kai any of these jump out to

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Speaker 3: you or others that I did not include in oversight,

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Speaker 3: Gosh of your lists, Matt, I just don't know. I

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Speaker 3: don't want to fade New Mexico at home, even though

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Speaker 3: Irvine's been incredible and they have Bantwickton back in the lineup,

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Speaker 3: certainly a lot healthier. They've been amazing this season, but

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Speaker 3: New Mexico's so tough at home Slew. I don't really

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Speaker 3: want to bet on slow and trying to fade Slew

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Speaker 3: in fact, and they've They've gotten a few miraculous covers

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Speaker 3: unfortunately the last couple of games. So maybe I just

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Speaker 3: stay away from them entirely.

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Speaker 4: Texas Tech Arlington's is intriguing Matt. Philip Russell back in

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Speaker 4: the lineup for Arlington, Uh, certainly Texas Tech not a

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Speaker 4: team at least at least this season that seems like

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Speaker 4: a team that blows out mid majors, right, We've seen

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Speaker 4: that in the past with them, but I'm not sure

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Speaker 4: that's their identity this year. Then in Oregon, I'm kind

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Speaker 4: of tired of fading at home. I've done it a

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Speaker 4: few times somehow They've been covering despite having a depleted roster,

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Speaker 4: So probably staying away.

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Speaker 3: From that one as well.

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Speaker 4: I agree with a couple Jim added later in the

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Speaker 4: in this section, but I'll haulster that for now.

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Speaker 2: Jim.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, we'll focus on Matt's crew here because there are

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Speaker 5: one or two that I like here. I'm with you

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Speaker 5: on Kent State, Matt Orregan. You mentioned the battered frontline.

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Speaker 5: They're back courts a little banged up too. Keishean barthelmy miss.

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Speaker 5: Last game, they got absolutely destroyed by Syracuse, a really

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Speaker 5: really young Syracuse team in Sioux Falls. They've played a

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Speaker 5: weird neutral site game halfway across the country for each team.

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Speaker 5: I think Kent State can absolutely compete there. I'm taking

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Speaker 5: the risk. I'm taking Kent State going into the woods.

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Speaker 5: That gross court. Actually I kind of like that court,

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Speaker 5: but I'm going to jump on Kent State with you. Matt.

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Speaker 2: I sort of thought about Slew NC State.

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Speaker 5: There's the call back to what the twenty fourteen tournament

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Speaker 5: when Slew played the thrawl game for the final three

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Speaker 5: minutes of the game. It was insane and they rased

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Speaker 5: like a fifteen point deficit with a bunch of like

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Speaker 5: free throws and steals and stuff. But I'm not quite

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Speaker 5: going to go there, Matt. The one I'm definitely joining

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Speaker 5: you on is Kent State, and then, like Kai mentioned,

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Speaker 5: I've got a couple more to add. But I want

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Speaker 5: to hear you back up your favorites of this group.

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Speaker 3: You said yeah, And for the record, the Wednesday too,

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Speaker 3: for I gave out you see revying New Mexico SLEU

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Speaker 3: at NC State. I don't like either of those. I

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Speaker 3: just think you could make intriguing cases for those flu

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Speaker 3: gets a little healthier now and getting twelve against an

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Speaker 3: NC State team that can certainly play down to competition

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Speaker 3: felt intriguing to me. But I will take both of

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Speaker 3: the Thursday ones. I'm with Jimbo on Kent States. They've

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Speaker 3: been off for a bajillion years. They already made like

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Speaker 3: a quasi west coast trip to South Dakota and won,

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Speaker 3: so it's.

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Speaker 2: Not like they're, you know, the quasi West Cope, but they.

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Speaker 3: Proven they can go west on a pretty significant travel

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Speaker 3: situation and win in sort of a non conference game.

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Speaker 3: I think they can absolually do that against Oregon again,

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Speaker 3: which has which is down a lot of their key

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Speaker 3: horses in UTA, I think they go into Texas Tech

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Speaker 3: and win too. Gray Mchaals and great coach Texas Tech

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Speaker 3: without Devin Cambridge, I think they've lost a pretty key

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Speaker 3: firepower utent point of their offense. And I've seen them

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Speaker 3: twice now against San Jose State and now they end

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Speaker 3: up pulling away in that game and then most recently

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Speaker 3: against Oral Roberts, a team I think ETA is not

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Speaker 3: better than objectively barely escaped them at a home too,

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Speaker 3: and they just play slowan I think they're prone to

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Speaker 3: high variant situations where UTA, with Philip Russell at the

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Speaker 3: hell can pull it off. So that's all I got

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Speaker 3: with the money line dogs I'm always sticking with too.

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Speaker 3: I am not touching Yale Kansas, nor am I touching

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Speaker 3: for now at Robert Morris, although I thought Bobby mol

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Speaker 3: catching a touchdown at home was a little bit intreating

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Speaker 3: out that they're healthier, but Jim, what are the other

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Speaker 3: ones you threw into the mix, into the hop up?

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Speaker 2: Well, I just went for Arlington.

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Speaker 5: As you mentioned, Russell in his first game as eligible

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Speaker 5: as a two time transfer, at twenty eight points started

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Speaker 5: was the MVP of the game per Ken Pom, so

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Speaker 5: he is a massive, massive piece, definitely upgrades at Arlington team.

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Speaker 2: So I sort of buy that, Matt. What I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go with. I'm gonna stick with the team that treat

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Speaker 2: us well last week. That's Arkansas State.

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Speaker 5: I know they're not playing Louisville this week, but you

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Speaker 5: got a pretty high variant, a lot of up and

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Speaker 5: down type stuff against Belmont on the road. I just

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Speaker 5: like this Arkansas State team. They're a little healthier than

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Speaker 5: they were to start the year. They also had a

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Speaker 5: major stylistic shift with their coaching change this offseason, and

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Speaker 5: I feel like they're starting to figure it out a

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Speaker 5: little bit. So I'm gonna go with Arkansas State plus

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Speaker 5: five at Belmont on Wednesday. I'm sort of intrigued by

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Speaker 5: Wyoming on Wednesday to a weird neutral site game against

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Speaker 5: South Dakota State down in El Paso, and they might

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Speaker 5: get Mason.

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Speaker 2: Walters healthy, their their star Nai or D three. I

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Speaker 2: can't remember what.

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Speaker 4: I believe he was in AI a player of the

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Speaker 4: Year or at least two times first Seam All American.

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Speaker 3: He averaged like thirty eight game.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, and he's going to give them some real punch,

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Speaker 5: But it would be his first game off an injury

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Speaker 5: at this level, so I'm not quite gonna jump in there.

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Speaker 5: Then Idaho plus eight at Riverside on Thursday, and Miszoo

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Speaker 5: plus ten versus Illinois on Bragg Day Night Dragging Rights game. Idaho,

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Speaker 5: I'll quick just say that they compete very well against

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Speaker 5: teams of their caliber. They cannot play Power Conference competition,

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Speaker 5: they will get absolutely drilled. But against team like Riverside,

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Speaker 5: who just had a heartbreaking rivalry Crosstown loss to Cal Baptist,

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Speaker 5: I think Idaho can go and compete there. And then

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Speaker 5: Kai rivalry, speaking of which are alma mater. The Missouri

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Speaker 5: Tigers have won four to the last five vers Illinois, including.

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Speaker 2: Some years where Zoo was bad. Yeah, it really does

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Speaker 2: compete there.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 5: The gap between the two is probably as large as

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Speaker 5: it's been in recent memory because Illinois is legit. But

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Speaker 5: I think they can compete and keep that game as

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Speaker 5: a kind of a coin flip for most of the way.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I hope we get ten.

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Speaker 4: Boy, I'd be on the Tigers as a dog, but

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Speaker 4: I'm thinking win that game. Why not you kind of

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Speaker 4: throw away? Like you said that, the performance of each

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Speaker 4: team in that type of game right a big rivalrysetting.

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Speaker 4: I really like Idaho too. I don't see Riverside blowing

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Speaker 4: anybody out. Just the style they play their offense is terrible.

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Speaker 4: I think Idaho, who can actually shoot sometimes, can definitely

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Speaker 4: hang with Riverside there and maybe beat them on the road.

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Speaker 3: So I like Miszoo in Idaho. Yeah, I like Odaho.

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Speaker 3: I'm just still a little bit distraught, scarred over. My

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Speaker 3: biggest bet of the year was against Seattle. They lost

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Speaker 3: by forty, so I'm still trying to come back from

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Speaker 3: that emotionally. I think practically Jim has the right angle

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Speaker 3: with that one. I don't have the data in front

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Speaker 3: of me on the Mazoo bragging rights angle. It seems

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Speaker 3: like over the last decade plus, the ebbs and flows

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Speaker 3: of the team that's down year to year tends to

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Speaker 3: rise up and play well in that game. So I

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Speaker 3: also like it angle two, except that one year we

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Speaker 3: were terrible and lost by.

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Speaker 4: Thirty.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Quanto year two. It was a Quanto year. Oh

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Speaker 3: my goodness.

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Speaker 2: Twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 5: Illinois won eighty eight to sixty three, easily covered a

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Speaker 5: fourteen and a half point spread.

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Speaker 3: Yes, they did.

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Speaker 2: I think this more competitive.

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Speaker 3: Hey, I hope you're right. I don't. I don't quite

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Speaker 3: have the same confidence after the Seaton Hall game, but

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Speaker 3: we will see again. I have UTA and Kent State.

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Speaker 3: That is it. That's all I need.

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Speaker 2: So jim okay, I've got Arkansas State, Kent State.

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Speaker 5: Those are the Wednesday ones and Idaho Thursday the Zoo

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Speaker 5: Friday Kai just joined with a couple.

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Speaker 3: Yep, Missoo and Idaho. That's what I got, Matthew. Moving

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Speaker 3: right along to Blowout City. We called out two potential

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Speaker 3: blowout spots last week, basically just picking off two good

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Speaker 3: teams that have the DNA to be massive, awesome favorites,

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Speaker 3: which we will talk about later in today's show, Auburn

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Speaker 3: and FAU and they both mold their expective opponents. So

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Speaker 3: as we know, both teams are probably in the top

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Speaker 3: ten territory and no signs of slowing down. Kind of

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Speaker 3: a theme with the two we picked out this week,

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Speaker 3: and it's the state of Iowa. That's right. Kai. We

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Speaker 3: love Iowa, We love Iowa teams as large favorites. Both

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Speaker 3: have been awesome this year as large favorites, Iowa and

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Speaker 3: Iowa State especially, and they both some pretty juicy matchups.

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Speaker 3: I'd say to beat the doors off to low major teams.

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Speaker 3: UNBC goes into Carver Hawk Arena on Wednesday, kemp Pom

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Speaker 3: has that Iowa lanying twenty five. We know Iowa is

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Speaker 3: not good against good teams, but they are very good

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Speaker 3: against bad teams, whatever that means. However, there are rare

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Speaker 3: exceptions to that, such as last year when they lost

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Speaker 3: at home to Eastern Illinois, who fittingly is playing at

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Speaker 3: Iowa State on Thursday. But I would stay has not

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Speaker 3: shown any such immunity or vulnerability against low Kyleber competition.

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Speaker 3: While we did SeeU go into loog out Jim this

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Speaker 3: year and give Kay you a scare, I think Iowa

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Speaker 3: State wins by roughly forty to forty five.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I love Iowa first of all, and that one.

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Speaker 5: They just constantly smash bad teams at home, and UNBAC

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Speaker 5: is one of the fastest teams.

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Speaker 2: In the country.

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Speaker 5: You don't want to get into track mete with Iowa, Like,

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Speaker 5: that's just a bad, bad idea to do it. Carver

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Speaker 5: Hawkey Ken Pom has one hundred and three to seventy eight.

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Speaker 5: That's the twenty five point spread. Is Iowa in triple

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Speaker 5: digits in the projection.

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Speaker 3: It should be the biggest total of the year. I think,

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Speaker 3: I don't think I would.

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Speaker 5: Arizona Alabama and matthew a game with later good may

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Speaker 5: actually have a total ride up in that vicinity as well,

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Speaker 5: But yeah, that one's way way up there. That's so

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Speaker 5: many possessions for Iowa's talent gap to play out. I

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Speaker 5: like that one, and then yeah, Iowa State and they have.

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Speaker 5: All they've done is drill bad competition to the point

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Speaker 5: that people are getting mad about how high they're in

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Speaker 5: the net.

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Speaker 2: Jeff Goodman tweeting.

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Speaker 5: About that today on Tuesday, about how they're sixth and

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Speaker 5: they haven't been anyone besides Iowa.

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Speaker 2: It's the only good win.

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Speaker 5: They just keep blowing teams out and feel like they've

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Speaker 5: got the goods to do that again. They're kay just

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Speaker 5: that atmosphere plus their defensive intensity, and they actually seem

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Speaker 5: to make shots at home it's voted well for Iowa State.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, the possession count worries me a little bit in

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Speaker 4: that one. Eastern Illinois and Marty Simmons Eastern Allnoy's coach.

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Speaker 4: He's a bit more crafty than your average low major coach.

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Speaker 4: Matt mentioned they hung at fog Allen and really Illinois

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Speaker 4: is probably lucky to cover against them in game one.

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Speaker 4: Illinois barely covered against the East Illinoyd open the season.

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Speaker 4: But I always say it's also proven they can blow

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Speaker 4: teams out in low pssession games.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 4: They beat Green Bay by forty and sixty four possessions.

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Speaker 4: Grahambling State it was like forty five and under seventy,

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Speaker 4: so it.

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Speaker 3: Can be done.

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Speaker 4: I don't think UNBC is that bad. But if you're

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Speaker 4: going to play an eighty possession game with Iowa, which

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Speaker 4: is what it's projected, and I don't see how it

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Speaker 4: won't be an eighty possession game, I don't think they're

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Speaker 4: gonna be able to compete. So I do like the

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Speaker 4: Iowa game a bit better, even if it is twenty five.

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Speaker 5: Do you think about what do you think about Kenzaga

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Speaker 5: on Wednesday night, coming off a loss to Yukon playing

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Speaker 5: a swack team that's was just in Vegas.

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Speaker 3: For a double header.

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Speaker 2: Now they come up to Spokane.

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Speaker 5: The swack teams feel like they've kind of had their

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Speaker 5: wits end with these these by games. Seems like a

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Speaker 5: good spot for Gonzaga, more uptempo game than that Mississippi

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Speaker 5: Valley State one.

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Speaker 3: I agree. I just think Jackson State's kind of good

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Speaker 3: and like the exception to that rule I was spewing out,

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Speaker 3: did be your tigers at home? And from what it

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Speaker 3: sounded like the thing Zaga dudes. I know in Missisi

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Speaker 3: Valley State's way worse than Jackson State, but it feels

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Speaker 3: like they really just don't want to exert any sort

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Speaker 3: of like mega will against these bad teams. Like they

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Speaker 3: were vehemently walking them off the floor. He miss to

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Speaker 3: be Valleys down purpose to like try and not beat

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Speaker 3: them by too many. I can see them definitely keeping

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Speaker 3: their foot off the gas here. So I worry about

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Speaker 3: some sleep walking ass even though it does profiles a

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Speaker 3: good spot we Williams. I trust. That's it the fight

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Speaker 3: and most let's talk real games with big boys on

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Speaker 3: both sides. But before we get to the power games,

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Speaker 3: plural of the wine, a shout to our sponsor. BBOC

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Speaker 3: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. A lot of

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Speaker 3: games coming up this week slash weekend heavily or sorry,

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00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:35,240
Speaker 3: heavily tilted toward Wednesday. Got some of these quasi home

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Speaker 3: game neutral sites we talked about last week.

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Speaker 2: Oh, I could feel it.

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Speaker 3: But we lead off with the pure neutral site, Baylor

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Speaker 3: versus Duke at the God the Mecca Masson Square Garden.

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Speaker 2: That is, Kai should be neutral when's playing there, Matt,

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Speaker 2: you tell me we do they?

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Speaker 3: We do like to call that one of Duke's quasi

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Speaker 3: home courts KAI, so it might be a slight tilt

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Speaker 3: toward the Duke faithful there, but no one lives anywhere

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Speaker 3: near or New York is located, so I'll call it

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Speaker 3: a pure neutral for the sake of this discussion. Defensive

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Speaker 3: issues had plagued Baylor recently, Okay, I think it was

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Speaker 3: a team that we were sort of buying as an

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Speaker 3: elite team, but they've been gashed in some of their

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Speaker 3: big matchups this year. Duke's sort of been off the

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Speaker 3: radar quietly the last couple of weeks, Like they played

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Speaker 3: those big games in November, we haven't really seen them

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Speaker 3: in the spotlight. This is kind of their return, you know,

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Speaker 3: to prove that they might be an elite contender that

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Speaker 3: we thought they were. Tyree's Proctor aside, what's your angle

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Speaker 3: in this matchup? I'm not sure I really have one.

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Speaker 4: I see Baylor off a loss with Scott Drew, who

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Speaker 4: I think is a fantastic coach, and I.

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Speaker 3: Kind of lean their way.

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Speaker 4: I know they've kind of gotten, like you said, gashed

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Speaker 4: against good competition, but they can also outscore anybody, right.

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Speaker 4: They outscored Auburn and they outscored Florida. That's pretty darn good. Now,

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Speaker 4: Duke's been really good without Proctor, albeit they've played Charlotte

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Speaker 4: and Hofstra, not the best competition. But not Schlubs either.

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Speaker 4: At the mid major level. My gut is we're leaning

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Speaker 4: towards Baylor here. I don't really have anything strong, Jim.

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Speaker 3: I might sit it out. We'll see what the line is.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, with no Proctor's that's a real concern. With perimeter

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Speaker 5: defense like that is his biggest strength. I think everybody

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Speaker 5: was excited about him blossoming offensively and being an All American,

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Speaker 5: but really that hasn't happened. It's been more of the

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Speaker 5: defensive end where I think he's going to be missed

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Speaker 5: against top shelf competition. He went out really early in

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Speaker 5: that Georgia Tech game, like a minute in, and I

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Speaker 5: think that really affected Duke there.

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Speaker 2: Now I've had chances to prepare.

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Speaker 5: For him to not be there, and maybe he returns,

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Speaker 5: although they've said they're going to be super duper cautious

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Speaker 5: with him. But I think Baylor got their real bad,

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Speaker 5: tough regression game out of the way against Michigan State,

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Speaker 5: where they got absolutely spanked in both shooting splits and

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Speaker 5: in the paint. I think they figured out more against

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Speaker 5: Duke without that key perimeter defender. Actually du lean Baylor here, Matthew,

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Speaker 5: I just I don't think Duke has figured things out

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Speaker 5: to this point.

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Speaker 3: I agree. I'm fading Duke here. I love the spot

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00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:59,040
Speaker 3: for Baylor. Just got absolutely embarrassed by Michigan State, and

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Speaker 3: so now you catch you who is off the finals

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00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:03,400
Speaker 3: week lall, which we've seen has been a bugaboo for

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Speaker 3: some teams. Now. I remember this vividly last year Duke

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00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:08,359
Speaker 3: off their finals lull laid in a at Lake Forest.

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Speaker 3: I kind of see a similar kind of a sluggish start,

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Speaker 3: especially if you fee a little bit fat and happy

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Speaker 3: with two big wins in your back pocket the last

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Speaker 3: two out. I would lean toward the Bears despite their

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Speaker 3: defensive concerns, which I don't think I've gone away, but

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Speaker 3: in this matchup, they won't quite bite them in.

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Speaker 5: Duke shot eleven for excuse me, twenty one for forty

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Speaker 5: in those two home games without Proctor, that I think

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Speaker 5: has artificially made it look like, oh, they're fine without Proctor.

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Speaker 5: It's like, unless you're shooting fifty percent of every game,

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Speaker 5: then maybe it wouldn't look as good.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Mark Mitchell's gonna have to the show up for

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Speaker 3: this game. He certainly has been Mia and some of

380
00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:46,520
Speaker 3: their big ones Oklahoma Kai against North Carolina. We had

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Speaker 3: two more games on Wednesday at these quasi homes. This

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Speaker 3: one is at Charlotte to the Spectrum Center. I believe

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00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 3: UNC played here last year against Michigan. But yeah, so

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Speaker 3: you know, partial home edges with a pretty easy travel

385
00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,200
Speaker 3: for the tar Heels. But Oklahoma has not lost a

386
00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:03,480
Speaker 3: mass be end this year. They are undefeated. Quorter Moser

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00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:07,040
Speaker 3: Top twenty and Ken Palm. They're going to be probably

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00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 3: around to pick them to the seniors. I would say

389
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:11,199
Speaker 3: probably could argue they should be favored, but I think

390
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:12,560
Speaker 3: you kind of have to respect you and see he

391
00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:14,520
Speaker 3: has been, you know, good, and they're close to home.

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Speaker 3: Coaching mismatch question Mark, I'll just give I'll leave it

393
00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:19,600
Speaker 3: at that to you.

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00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:20,040
Speaker 2: Go ahead.

395
00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:25,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's an enormous coaching mismatch Quorter Moser versus Hubert Davis.

396
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:29,520
Speaker 4: Oklahoma Stevens has been incredible and they've played good competition.

397
00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:34,240
Speaker 4: They've beaten good competition Iowa, USC Arkansas. Now this is

398
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Speaker 4: quote unquote the most away game they've had in in

399
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,360
Speaker 4: quotation Marks, I'm not sure I'm super worried about that. Necessarily,

400
00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:44,920
Speaker 4: it's not at UNC's actual building. It is, like you mentioned,

401
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:47,440
Speaker 4: Sin er not a true road game. In fact, that

402
00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:50,399
Speaker 4: might move the line towards you and c at the opener,

403
00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 4: which I kind of like because I like Oklahoma. Here, Uh,

404
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:55,960
Speaker 4: it's a coaching mismatch for me. Like you said, it's

405
00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,840
Speaker 4: a team that can compete defensively and on the glass.

406
00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:01,520
Speaker 4: They're not going to get bullied by North Carolina inside

407
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:02,760
Speaker 4: give me the Sooners.

408
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:07,920
Speaker 5: I'm betting Carolina despite the coaching mismatch. Definitely nervous about that.

409
00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:11,520
Speaker 5: But I don't think Oklahoma has played good competition. I

410
00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:13,760
Speaker 5: think Iowa, USC, Arkansas, you could say, are three of

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00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:15,600
Speaker 5: the more disappointing teams the entire country.

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Speaker 2: Maybe that's unfair to Iowa.

413
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 3: Too.

414
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Speaker 5: Yeah, Providence, No, I'm saying Arkansas definitely is one of Yes,

415
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,080
Speaker 5: Providence is solid, but none of these teams are top

416
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:26,440
Speaker 5: forty right now in Kenpom Carolina is by far the

417
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Speaker 5: best team they played. It's going to be a hostile crowd,

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00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 5: and no one's made threes against Oklahoma twenty five point

419
00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:36,040
Speaker 5: six percent. I think that's a little bit aberrational versus

420
00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,680
Speaker 5: like a true Oh my god, they're so swarming defensively.

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00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,240
Speaker 5: They do have some good length, but I think Carolina

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00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:44,040
Speaker 5: can find open shots here. Matt, I don't feel great

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00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:46,960
Speaker 5: about it. But Carolina off two losses, I don't think

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00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 5: they as bad as they've looked in some of those.

425
00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:51,479
Speaker 5: And Oklahoma value about as high in the market as

426
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,840
Speaker 5: you're going to find. I'll take Carolina about a pick

427
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Speaker 5: on a in a home friendly crowd, even though it's

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Speaker 5: a neutral.

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00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 3: Right if it were a true Halloweenwood feel a lot

430
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 3: like the BYU versus Utah spot. I think we talked

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Speaker 3: about last week where it's like you cannot possibly have

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Speaker 3: a higher market value than BYU at that time. Oklahoma

433
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,720
Speaker 3: the same same case, and U n C one I'm with.

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00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:15,200
Speaker 3: I mean the coaching this match, you know, frightens me

435
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 3: to be to be blunt. I do think, Oh yeah,

436
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:19,159
Speaker 3: you know they played Yukon lost by eleven. I mean,

437
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:21,840
Speaker 3: you com beats everybody, so that that's like, I don't

438
00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 3: put any shame on that. And then Kentucky, you know,

439
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 3: they've clearly risen against good teams and they lost by four.

440
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,520
Speaker 3: So this is kind of my Okay, Hubert, this is

441
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:32,960
Speaker 3: your final chance to prove it that you can get

442
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:34,800
Speaker 3: a big win against a pretty legit team. They beat

443
00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:38,119
Speaker 3: Tennessee at home pretty handily, so I think maybe get

444
00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:41,280
Speaker 3: an effort of that quality. Some shots gotta be going

445
00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:42,679
Speaker 3: down there for the tar Hills, that's kind of the thing.

446
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 3: They sometimes live and die by the three ball as

447
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,359
Speaker 3: much despite having Armando Baycott in side. Give them the

448
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 3: damn ball.

449
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:48,880
Speaker 2: Yeah.

450
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 4: I just just one last point, I think, and this

451
00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:54,920
Speaker 4: is bared about this season in terms of percentage. Oklahoma

452
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:58,480
Speaker 4: usually among and poor Amos are the best transition defense,

453
00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:01,760
Speaker 4: like possible the country, and that's gonna be a huge factor,

454
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 4: I think too. They're not going to keep beaten transition,

455
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,199
Speaker 4: which is where you and C feasts and they they

456
00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 4: played a perfect game against Tennessee. Yeah, it won that

457
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:11,360
Speaker 4: game for sure.

458
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's gotta be a Baycat game. It's a bag

459
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:15,800
Speaker 3: Kat game, all right. We're going across the country here

460
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:20,359
Speaker 3: another quasi home Alabama and Arizona, two teams who we

461
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:24,120
Speaker 3: both saw I would say battle admirably but falls short

462
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:28,479
Speaker 3: against Purdue Arizona most recently there in Indianapolis, Alabama. Up

463
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 3: in Canada, our friendly neighbor to the north. Now it's

464
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:35,040
Speaker 3: Arizona's term to get the quasi home edge. Kai here

465
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 3: in phoenixcept the footprint center Pempom has a minus seven

466
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 3: against Alabama, who you know, they've been good in these

467
00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:44,119
Speaker 3: big games. They played a ton of them. It does

468
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 3: feel like maybe there's this is one where they kind

469
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:49,160
Speaker 3: of rise and catch Arizona. Maybe not at their a game,

470
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 3: but I kind of think the spot's better for Arizona, honestly,

471
00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 3: coming off that loss of Purdue, and it's really the

472
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,120
Speaker 3: only time they've looked vulnerable all year. So I like Arizona.

473
00:21:57,200 --> 00:21:58,240
Speaker 3: Nothing really complicated here to.

474
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 4: My handicapp Yeah, I guess they you can say that

475
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 4: looked vulnerable, but Herd played the best game they've played

476
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:07,120
Speaker 4: all year, and and Arizona still was in the game

477
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:09,160
Speaker 4: at the end of it. I mean, I think that's

478
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 4: pretty impressive when you can take the best team in

479
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:15,359
Speaker 4: the country, arguably their best shot, and you're still in it.

480
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,920
Speaker 4: Right FAU did that against Illinois, for instance. Seven points

481
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:20,639
Speaker 4: is a lot, but this game is going to be

482
00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 4: eighty possessions. Kim Pom Jim mentioned the total of the

483
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,119
Speaker 4: other game. One hundred and eighty three points is the

484
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:30,160
Speaker 4: projected total here. For Kimpom, I kind of buy that's

485
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:31,480
Speaker 4: going to go over. I think it's going to be

486
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,720
Speaker 4: an up and down game, a really fun NBA style

487
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,680
Speaker 4: game to watch. We know Arizona can score too, and man,

488
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,840
Speaker 4: they can defend. I think they can at least stop

489
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:45,200
Speaker 4: Alabama enough and score definitely a lot to keep Alabama

490
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 4: at bay and get the over and lean towards them

491
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 4: on the spread as well.

492
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:51,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's the difference guy. I think the fact that

493
00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 5: the Arizona defense can actually hold up. It's a number

494
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:57,440
Speaker 5: one defensive rebounding team in the country by rate, and

495
00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:00,720
Speaker 5: that's how Alabama really stayed in it at Creighton offensive

496
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,160
Speaker 5: boards against against the Blue Jays.

497
00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,399
Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna find that kind of success here.

498
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:05,919
Speaker 4: Now.

499
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:07,919
Speaker 5: They might get better looks from three than they did

500
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 5: at Creighton, where Creighton really takes that away and Alabama

501
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 5: was four for twenty two from deep. But this one

502
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:15,960
Speaker 5: like just looking at it as like oh seven wow.

503
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:18,239
Speaker 5: But the more I think about it, with the way

504
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:20,920
Speaker 5: Kai mentioned with the pace, how there's gonna be possessions

505
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 5: for it to get up over seven, I'm going with

506
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,360
Speaker 5: Arizona here, Matt, with that semi home court and off

507
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,639
Speaker 5: the loss and BAM's kind of in this ruling non

508
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 5: conference schedule that NATO's.

509
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 2: Strew up for him.

510
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,400
Speaker 3: I think they overscheduled. I'm a piers of Oates would

511
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 3: agree with that, but I mean, Ohio State, Oregon, Clemson,

512
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 3: Arkansas State, Perdue, Creighton are their last most recent games.

513
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:44,160
Speaker 3: They've not gotten a big Marquy went so I think

514
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:45,680
Speaker 3: this is kind of they go all into this one,

515
00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 3: But man, do they have enough to beat Arizona? Probably?

516
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 2: Haven't they gone all in two straight games.

517
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:53,600
Speaker 3: And they haven't gotten there? Yeah, this is probably their God,

518
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:56,760
Speaker 3: I don't know, due to neutral Creighton at Creighton, I mean, yeah, again,

519
00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 3: NATO don't schedule like this next year. I guess Zonus.

520
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,879
Speaker 2: Please do you to watch the games?

521
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:07,760
Speaker 3: Thursday? Kentucky at Louisville. This is even worth discussing? How

522
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:12,440
Speaker 3: dare you? I'm just it's a it's a pretty big rivalry,

523
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 3: like someone's say, the biggest in college basketball until Kenny

524
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,399
Speaker 3: Payne walked there not to throw in Kenny pank Kai

525
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 3: Ken Pom has this as a two touchdown favorite, Kentucky

526
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,200
Speaker 3: laying two touchdowns at the Young Center. A sliver of

527
00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 3: me wants to buy into, like the a rally around

528
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:32,720
Speaker 3: the Gipper, big effort here at home for Louisville. We

529
00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:35,119
Speaker 3: saw them play Texas close. I don't know if we

530
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,480
Speaker 3: really are impressed by that in hindsight, but we have

531
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 3: seen Louisville somewhat rise in bigger games. Did they catch

532
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:43,920
Speaker 3: a younger I don't know. Maybe not focused Kentucky team.

533
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 3: I'm reaching for grass River straws. Here is this Kentucky smash?

534
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 2: I think so?

535
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:47,919
Speaker 3: Probably right?

536
00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean that is double digits at home in

537
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:55,200
Speaker 4: a huge rivalry like this, and it's not Levi laying points,

538
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 4: which is what we like to fade Louisville with.

539
00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm a.

540
00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 4: Little bit scared, but I I also think Kentucky is

541
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,640
Speaker 4: just monumentally better. I don't think they're going to sleepwalk either.

542
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:06,880
Speaker 4: This is a massive rivalry, like you said, like Kentucky

543
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 4: wants to plow Louisville and smoke them. I'm not sure

544
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:13,520
Speaker 4: if I'm gonna bet the Cats they beat him my

545
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,600
Speaker 4: twenty three last year for just reference a little bit.

546
00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 4: Obviously that was at rep But I don't know, Jim,

547
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:22,560
Speaker 4: I'm pretty torn thirteen. It's probably just gonna be too

548
00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:25,119
Speaker 4: tough for me to take a side any Louisville spread game.

549
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:26,680
Speaker 5: Right, I was gonna say, you know it spread was

550
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 5: last year it was twenty three and a half. So

551
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 5: Louisville stuck inside the number. That's how garbage they wear. Jeez,

552
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 5: that's my one concern, Matt is. I know it's a

553
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 5: huge rivalry, but Kentucky these young freshmen, really really young team.

554
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 5: It feels like when they see a team across from them.

555
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:43,320
Speaker 3: That's just like, boy, they're bad.

556
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,119
Speaker 2: We don't need our a game. They're not able to

557
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:46,399
Speaker 2: bring it.

558
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 5: Now, this should be a hype atmosphere, which should fuel

559
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 5: Kentucky a little more than like sleepy home spot versus

560
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 5: Wilmington or whatever. But I kind of do weirdly lean

561
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 5: Louisville because of that focused thing. But I'm not gonna

562
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 5: I'm certainly not going to put any stock and betting

563
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 5: the Cardinals like it's a team that's.

564
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:06,119
Speaker 2: Way better than them. So for Kentucky, yeah, not that

565
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 2: that's a solid point for a mega young team.

566
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:11,120
Speaker 3: No, you're right, I mean Saint Joe's and we've learned

567
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:12,680
Speaker 3: that Saint Joe's is just a really good team, I think.

568
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,320
Speaker 3: But still, and in the UNC Willington game and even

569
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,960
Speaker 3: the Penn game, they were very competitive with Penn until

570
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 3: they needed a late rally to pull away there. So yeah,

571
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:21,440
Speaker 3: they have played down in competition.

572
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:23,679
Speaker 5: Kentucky got down twenty one eight to Texas and em

573
00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 5: commerce at home, like they have had horrible efforts when

574
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,399
Speaker 5: the other team isn't like a big.

575
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:31,200
Speaker 3: Power conference team. So we'll see how much they respect

576
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,879
Speaker 3: the label. I think it's basically Kentucky determines whether Kentucky

577
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:35,639
Speaker 3: covers I don't think we really has much of a

578
00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 3: say in the outcome. To put it nicely, what's we

579
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:39,720
Speaker 3: of Friday? Real quick?

580
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 2: Why let football have all the fun?

581
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 3: Let's bet Friday night lights. I'll be honest, it doesn't

582
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:49,119
Speaker 3: really excite me at all. But the preseason it probably

583
00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:53,000
Speaker 3: would have UCLA hosting Maryland, two teams that are gonna

584
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 3: be in the same conference going forward. I can't even

585
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 3: fathom that's real thing, But that's where we are in

586
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:59,879
Speaker 3: college basketball realignment. Now, Hi, the Bruins hosting the Terps,

587
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 3: which team has looked worse so far, is kind of

588
00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 3: the battle of the the sink the sinking ships is

589
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 3: kind of high to see this game.

590
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:11,639
Speaker 4: It's a good question. They both looked really bad, like

591
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,640
Speaker 4: really bad. I can't even decide who's looked worse. Both

592
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 4: are not great offensively this season, but both have played

593
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 4: good defensively. Turgon Cronin not Turgent anymore Maryland see me,

594
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:26,680
Speaker 4: Willard and Crowning sort of sort of similar minded coaches,

595
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,159
Speaker 4: right defense, Like a gritty style is what I kind

596
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 4: of think of when I think of Willard and Cronin.

597
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:32,399
Speaker 3: I don't know.

598
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 4: It's horrible travel for Maryland obviously that that's definitely a factor.

599
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 4: I think Maryland's a better team and they're gonna be

600
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 4: about a four point dog here. It seems like a

601
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:44,399
Speaker 4: wash in my head. Jim, I really can't decide yet

602
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 4: on this one.

603
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:48,120
Speaker 5: I'll probably bet the under. I just don't really see

604
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 5: how either team scores against the other. One paces a

605
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:53,120
Speaker 5: little more of a question mark, But it does feel

606
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 5: like both coaches are going to be like, we got

607
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,080
Speaker 5: to prove we can out tough these guys and it

608
00:27:57,200 --> 00:27:58,199
Speaker 5: devolves into just.

609
00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 2: A physical rock fight. Mini reminder.

610
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,600
Speaker 5: UCLA was the only team that won that Maryland All

611
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 5: last year, and they won by twenty seven. Just completely

612
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 5: embarrassed Maryland on the road going across the country. Maybe

613
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 5: there's some revenge on the Maryland minds Jamiir Young, Julian Ree,

614
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 5: Dante Scott remembering that, and this is a pretty brand

615
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:20,400
Speaker 5: new UCLA team, So Matt, I think I do lean

616
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 5: Maryland on the side, but the travel scares me a

617
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,120
Speaker 5: little bit, and I have no idea how to score

618
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 5: from the perimeter against this UCLA team, So that's mostly

619
00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 5: to sit out, probably dot some on the under.

620
00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:33,119
Speaker 3: Though this didn't make the consideration shortless for the trash

621
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:34,360
Speaker 3: Pan Pick of the Week, because I do you think

622
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 3: it's a really gross game, but I feel like, out

623
00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 3: of respect for the trash and Pick of the League,

624
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,800
Speaker 3: it should be, you know, two lesser caliber teams. Although

625
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 3: the way UCLA and Maryland are trending, I you know,

626
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 3: they could argue it could end up in this section

627
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 3: at some point. That concludes the Power Conference spotlights what's

628
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:54,000
Speaker 3: the mid major game of the week. Pretty black or

629
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 3: lackluster slay in terms of mid major showdowns except for

630
00:28:57,080 --> 00:29:01,120
Speaker 3: one stellar, shining game on Thursday, And I want to

631
00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 3: hear your quibbles about what we qualify as been majors here.

632
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 3: Saint Joe's going to Charleston is going to be an

633
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 3: absolute doozy of a game. This city will be rocking

634
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:11,800
Speaker 3: Pat Kelce and his burgeoning squad this year lost a lot,

635
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 3: but they've been playing really well out of late, despite

636
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 3: a stupid noncovered last night. But Saint Joe's has been

637
00:29:16,840 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 3: nothing sort of spectacular in games when they need to be.

638
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 3: Outside of that home loss to Commerce, not a lot

639
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 3: they have done wrong this season nine and two ared

640
00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 3: the Fighting Hawks Ki Billy Lang going down to Charleston

641
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:32,479
Speaker 3: feels like a bracketbuster type game, and it's a crucial

642
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 3: one for at large implications in this roster, and this

643
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 3: resume is certainly starting to stack up as at large caliber.

644
00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 3: What's your angle in this breakdown?

645
00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 4: There's going to be combined like seventy three point attempts

646
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:46,240
Speaker 4: in this game, and that's not hyperbole. Both teams average

647
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 4: over thirty attempts per game. Now, Saint Joe's shot a

648
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 4: lot better than Charleston, but I still believe Charleston has

649
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 4: good shooters on this team. I've been super impressed by

650
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 4: Saint Joe's. Their backcourt is truly like awesome. They kind

651
00:29:59,840 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 4: of have an at large resume right now, especially if

652
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 4: they would have gotten rid of that Commerce loss. That's

653
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 4: that's horrible, But if you win one on the road

654
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 4: against Charleston. It's another feather in your cap. That's probably

655
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:11,680
Speaker 4: a Q two win when all sudden done, and certainly

656
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 4: you want to stack those up. My one concern about

657
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:16,160
Speaker 4: this game if you're going to back San Jose is

658
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,480
Speaker 4: that shooting your aggression right. Sant Jo's defense they allow

659
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 4: a ton of three pointers. They're they're bottom five in

660
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,480
Speaker 4: the country in three point ten for EE defense, and

661
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 4: like I said, Charleston will shoot about forty three pointers

662
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 4: in this game, and if that regression comes back to

663
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 4: sort of go towards the mean, then Charleston is probably

664
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 4: gonna win this game.

665
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:35,560
Speaker 3: Job.

666
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, the variance is scary because people talk about Villanova

667
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 5: how they take a ton of threes and give up

668
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:43,680
Speaker 5: a ton, so the games are really wild swings. Saint

669
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 5: Jose is that same way, except they've made thirty seven percent.

670
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,080
Speaker 5: Their opponents have made twenty nine percent, so it hasn't

671
00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,080
Speaker 5: been swinging that much.

672
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 3: Now.

673
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 5: Part of that mat is because it's just eye testing,

674
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:57,320
Speaker 5: Like they can switch one through five almost Razero Fleming

675
00:30:57,360 --> 00:31:00,600
Speaker 5: can guard guards. That's why they're you know, they're forcing

676
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 5: teams to play a lot of ioball. There's a really

677
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 5: low defensive assists rate, and I think some of these

678
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 5: threes are really tough over the top against a longer

679
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 5: defender late in the shot clock, and they've got a

680
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 5: long possession link defensively that shows that. So I've actually

681
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 5: been really really impressed with Saint Joe's.

682
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:17,320
Speaker 2: I think their.

683
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 5: Backcourt athleticism plus Fleming, there's a little too much for

684
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 5: Charleston to handle here. I can't believe I'm doing it,

685
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,960
Speaker 5: but I'm continuing to trust Billy Lang. Team's just team's

686
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:26,320
Speaker 5: just good.

687
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 2: It's all. That's all there's to it.

688
00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:32,680
Speaker 3: I think they have they have a highest assisted assistory.

689
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 5: Jim allowed Oh okay, sorry, so yeah, to keep bottom

690
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 5: five he's on the perimeter or bottom hundred whatever.

691
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:39,959
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're gonna have. Yeah. To me, this is as

692
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 3: simple as it's a talent versus system angle, right, I

693
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 3: think one team has the better Jimmis and Joe's and

694
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:47,840
Speaker 3: the other team, Like if you really break down the

695
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,959
Speaker 3: Charleston roster, it's a lot of low mid major slash,

696
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 3: you know, Division two guys, and I'd say even a

697
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 3: more water down version what we saw last season. It's

698
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 3: just a really really good coach and a really really

699
00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 3: good approach, not to Ryan in a cheesy way. There,

700
00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 3: nice pob thank you pretty good. I'll h it's a

701
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,800
Speaker 3: stay away from me. I kind of think Charleston wins

702
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 3: this game, but I think I'm with Jim gut Wise,

703
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 3: just tougher to go against the talent and the way

704
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 3: they're playing together, which is sort of what they've been

705
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:16,960
Speaker 3: missing the last few years. Unfortunately, we now pivot to

706
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 3: the trash ban pick of the week, the trash man

707
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,600
Speaker 3: pick of the week. I'm the trash man. Just throw

708
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:27,720
Speaker 3: me the trash, your garbage, and you know it. Totally unreliable, undependent,

709
00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 3: whether that's it, you've been told off? How do you

710
00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 3: like that? We discussed against our will cal State Baker's

711
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,920
Speaker 3: field against Fresno last week, and I believe that finished

712
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 3: at one twenty, a big win for Fresno at home,

713
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:44,800
Speaker 3: sweaking by the Runners in a battle of the valley

714
00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:49,160
Speaker 3: out there in California. We had to beenwest this week

715
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:52,520
Speaker 3: for Notre Dame hosting Marist. I wanted to think that

716
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 3: you'd ever hear Notre Dame in the Trashman Pick of

717
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 3: the week section, but that's where we are right now.

718
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 3: Under the Macca Shrewsbury regime. They're playing slow, they're playing

719
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 3: ugly because they have to, and obviously, with May's coming

720
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 3: to town coach by John Dunn, defense and slow pace

721
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:10,520
Speaker 3: of play are usually going hand in hand. Any angles

722
00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 3: on this game, gentlemen, I think the under should be

723
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:16,640
Speaker 3: low one twenties and Mayris will be a shockingly short dog,

724
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 3: but maybe not so shocking given how good they've been

725
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:19,480
Speaker 3: this season.

726
00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 4: Cut. Yeah, they've been really good this season, you know,

727
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 4: compared to expectations. But who they played. They they have

728
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 4: one of the worst schedules in the country this year,

729
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 4: and that's like three hundred and fifty six and their

730
00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:33,760
Speaker 4: non con schedule, they have not played anybody, played anybody

731
00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:36,719
Speaker 4: in the top two hundred this season because Iona recently

732
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:40,920
Speaker 4: dropped out four points spread against Micah Shrewsbury. And I

733
00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:43,719
Speaker 4: know Notre Dame is not the normal Notre Dame this year,

734
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 4: but my gosh, that's short. I think Maris gives them

735
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 4: some problems with they're done. Is a mastermind on that end.

736
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:52,640
Speaker 4: But this is their first real game, I think against

737
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 4: good competition, and I would be scared to take them

738
00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 4: as a four point dog.

739
00:33:57,720 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's it's just it's too short.

740
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 5: I will probably end up betting Notre Dame on that,

741
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 5: just based on the line Mary's performance against bad, bad competition.

742
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:07,920
Speaker 2: I don't know how that translates.

743
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 5: Like, Look, this Notre Dame roster is an acc caliber

744
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 5: really right now, but it's still categorically better than everybody

745
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,680
Speaker 5: Maris has been playing. And there's the three point shooting

746
00:34:17,680 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 5: aggression angle again. Here Notre Dame's taking a ton of

747
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:23,440
Speaker 5: threes but only shooting twenty seven percent, whereas Marist is

748
00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 5: allowing kind of a lot and only allowing twenty seven percent.

749
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:29,320
Speaker 5: One could say, oh, that means they're destined to shoot

750
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:30,000
Speaker 5: twenty seven percent.

751
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:30,880
Speaker 2: That's not how I see it.

752
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 5: That's not how I believe in statistical regression. Fellas, I

753
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,760
Speaker 5: think Notre Dame knocks down some shots and despite Maris

754
00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 5: being healthier, getting Bruckner and Noah Harris backlass game likely

755
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 5: land on the Irish here, Matthew this last game right

756
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:45,880
Speaker 5: before Christmas.

757
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, common opponent though, matt common opponent here, go ahead,

758
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,480
Speaker 4: Baryln Eastern Shore. Maris beating by twenty four and Notre

759
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:57,600
Speaker 4: Dame beating by twenty So maybe not so crazy, man?

760
00:34:57,719 --> 00:35:01,280
Speaker 3: I Yeah, I's got lay with Notre dameing at Georgetown,

761
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 3: that did not go well for those who did lay

762
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 3: it with Notre Dame. So I'm gonna learn my lesson

763
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,040
Speaker 3: from that and think that this team is a favorite.

764
00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:08,600
Speaker 3: Isn't that really a great bet?

765
00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:11,560
Speaker 2: Oh, don't look at the shooting splits in that game,

766
00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:12,120
Speaker 2: don't over.

767
00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:14,919
Speaker 3: And well, don't tell me that. As as I said

768
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:16,719
Speaker 3: on my Georgetown ticket tonight, it's probably not a good open.

769
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:21,240
Speaker 3: Sounds probably better than Maris. Also, I know it's funny

770
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:23,960
Speaker 3: that we're wavering on that, but I would agree with that.

771
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 3: I think I agree with the speaking of favorites and dogs.

772
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:31,839
Speaker 3: Who's better as what? Whatever you put on a certain mask,

773
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:35,320
Speaker 3: how do you perform surprising splits is our theme for

774
00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:40,200
Speaker 3: this week's Spotlight section, always in a literative fashion, as

775
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 3: dubbed by me ferocious favorites and dynamite dogs, looking at

776
00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 3: what teams have performed best against the spread as a

777
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 3: favorite with expectations versus as a dog. We'll start with

778
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:56,719
Speaker 3: the favorites. First, Minnesota, it's seven against the spread. I've

779
00:35:56,760 --> 00:36:00,360
Speaker 3: been finally following this as like a Ben Johnson, seemed

780
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,040
Speaker 3: like they're actually kind of good when they are supposed

781
00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:04,480
Speaker 3: to be better than their and I think it's just

782
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:05,919
Speaker 3: the fact that they're healthy this year and they actually

783
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:09,479
Speaker 3: real talent, are they They're They're much more.

784
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:12,520
Speaker 5: Talent than they have I'm saying, are they healthy? Dawson

785
00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 5: Garcia has been hurt, Brakin Carrington's away from the team,

786
00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 5: and definitely they were healthier.

787
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:18,000
Speaker 3: Nice they're back to unhealthy. Yeah, I would sure this

788
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 3: plays forward. I'm not sure how this holds, but they

789
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:22,600
Speaker 3: have been healthier than they have in the last couple

790
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 3: of years. Seven to zero as a favorite, pretty shocking.

791
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,920
Speaker 3: The other three Richmond five and Oh the Atsitsi Spiders.

792
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,880
Speaker 3: Kennis saw the Awls at five zero to one and

793
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:35,719
Speaker 3: then we just talked to Maris five and oh as

794
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:37,880
Speaker 3: a favorite. As kind mentioned, probably part of why they

795
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:41,600
Speaker 3: are inflated in their uh in their kemp Pom rankings.

796
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:44,440
Speaker 3: Any real teeth any of these guys or is this

797
00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 3: sort of set up for a potential fade opportunity of

798
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:49,439
Speaker 3: these four going into conference play Color on the Corner.

799
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:52,520
Speaker 5: The episode of two point percentage splits are really impressive,

800
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 5: like they are storing very efficiently inside the arc and

801
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:59,080
Speaker 5: they are preventing teams from doing the same. That's kind

802
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:01,360
Speaker 5: of the most sustainable thing you can find. And I

803
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,560
Speaker 5: know the competition hasn't been super elig that's it. But

804
00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 5: I mean even the like the Zoo game, they got

805
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:09,440
Speaker 5: up twenty and just choked it away by not being

806
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:10,400
Speaker 5: able to handle pressure.

807
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 2: Maybe Big ten teams take advantage of that, but there.

808
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:15,279
Speaker 5: Are a lot of pressing teams in the Big Ten

809
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:17,240
Speaker 5: that can do the same thing that an SEC squad

810
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 5: can do.

811
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:19,880
Speaker 2: So yeah, Kyle, I'll let you take that.

812
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,440
Speaker 5: Maybe the competition thing is what I should be more

813
00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:25,360
Speaker 5: focused on, but it is a solid statistical split for

814
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:25,840
Speaker 5: the golfers.

815
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:26,399
Speaker 2: Yeah.

816
00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:30,160
Speaker 4: Absolutely, they're smoking the teams they should be smoking. That's

817
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 4: that's Minnesota.

818
00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:31,560
Speaker 3: Now.

819
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:33,840
Speaker 4: All four teams in this list are shocking in me,

820
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:36,480
Speaker 4: and the dogs too, Except for maybe one or two

821
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:39,279
Speaker 4: dogs there, every every single team on this list is

822
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:42,960
Speaker 4: indeed surprising. I didn't think Richmond would be as good

823
00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 4: as they are this year. Kennesaw should have been a

824
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 4: little bit down. Mayors should not be a good favorite

825
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:51,240
Speaker 4: in Minnesota. Yeah, I don't have a whole lot of reasoning.

826
00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:53,439
Speaker 4: I think schedules one of them. But man, Richmond's played

827
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 4: a good schedule and they still come out on top

828
00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:56,880
Speaker 4: mat Yeah.

829
00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:58,759
Speaker 3: It's looking of Minnesota. Some of their results, like I mean,

830
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,360
Speaker 3: even the Nebraska game of Hops is pretty impressive. So

831
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:03,359
Speaker 3: we'll keep an eye on Ben Johnson. I know he's

832
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 3: kind of the hot seat hot name in the Big

833
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 3: Ten this year, but hopefully it should have mentioned. They

834
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:11,399
Speaker 3: get some of those guys healthy and hopefully it doesn't

835
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:14,960
Speaker 3: derail their Big Ten hopes to dynamite Dogs we go.

836
00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 3: The least surprising name on this list is Merrimack at

837
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 3: six zho one, just the absolute picture poster child of

838
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 3: a dog weird defense. Can't score, muck up the game.

839
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:29,799
Speaker 3: They play it on their terms and as such they've

840
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 3: not lost against number when they've been catching points. Southern

841
00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:36,520
Speaker 3: Utah at six and one, the fighting Rob Jeters. Of course,

842
00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:38,439
Speaker 3: they have no talent. The market thought they'd be terrible.

843
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:39,719
Speaker 3: In Rob Jeters coach they have and I guess what,

844
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:41,839
Speaker 3: they're pretty good. They also have a nice little big

845
00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,480
Speaker 3: guy at Parsa Fala who's a really nice player. Still,

846
00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:46,960
Speaker 3: Rob Jeter is an excellent ball coach and should not

847
00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 3: be taken lightly. This next one surprised me. Coastal Carolina

848
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 3: at five and zero now under the direction of their

849
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 3: new interim coach. They've been kind of weirdly good as

850
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:57,359
Speaker 3: an underdog so far this year, although I've been getting

851
00:38:57,360 --> 00:38:59,880
Speaker 3: some pretty big numbers. We'll see if that holds up

852
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:04,840
Speaker 3: going forward. And then Illinois, Chicago, Portland State, Saint Thomas.

853
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,279
Speaker 3: All three of those also just kind of checked the

854
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:09,760
Speaker 3: box of like, yeah, that makes sense in my mental

855
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:13,239
Speaker 3: model of you know, U, I see Luke Yaklic not

856
00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:16,239
Speaker 3: a good favorite, but certainly always can under you know,

857
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:20,239
Speaker 3: can't expeed expectations as underdog, Portland State, you know, just

858
00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:24,640
Speaker 3: a ton of interchangeable, gritty, gutty types of athletes that

859
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:27,719
Speaker 3: can go to the glass and keep games competitively. And

860
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,959
Speaker 3: then Saint Thomas obviously under Johnny Tower kai Ry Pie.

861
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 3: He has a dog actually playing some defense this year

862
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:37,800
Speaker 3: for a change too. Some not a lot some. I

863
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:40,040
Speaker 3: actually think all the dogs make more sense in my

864
00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 3: mind than the favorites thoughts.

865
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:44,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, Saint Thomas and marymack with two that made sense

866
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:47,959
Speaker 4: to me. I expected both those teams to be scrappy dogs.

867
00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 4: Southern Utah came out of nowhere. They're they're way better

868
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,360
Speaker 4: than they should be. Credits dropped to Rob Jeter uh u,

869
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 4: I see had the potential in the preseason, but still

870
00:39:57,920 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 4: as exceeded my expectations.

871
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:00,319
Speaker 3: They have real talent.

872
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 4: The team that's smoking Mears here is Coastal Carolina. Uh

873
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:07,920
Speaker 4: Their results are just bs. They covered by a half

874
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:11,320
Speaker 4: against which Tah, two against Furman, one against Charleston the

875
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:14,320
Speaker 4: first time, and they're down by the way to the tournament.

876
00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 4: And they're down by eighteen to Charleston last night before

877
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,840
Speaker 4: covering in Winthrop, they covered by two. They're barely covering

878
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:22,560
Speaker 4: these games as dogs. I don't think they're a good

879
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:23,279
Speaker 4: bet going forward.

880
00:40:23,640 --> 00:40:24,719
Speaker 2: No, I do not at all.

881
00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,000
Speaker 5: I think they're getting a lot of teams that see

882
00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:30,520
Speaker 5: the record, and no, they're not that good. And especially

883
00:40:30,600 --> 00:40:32,320
Speaker 5: I like Coastal is very good in the last like

884
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 5: four minutes of games. They don't roll over and die.

885
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 5: They've gotten down double digits in like every single one

886
00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:41,160
Speaker 5: of these games and just haven't completely gone away. And

887
00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:43,080
Speaker 5: I think when the spreads get lower in conference that

888
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 5: they're going to be a little tougher to back there.

889
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:48,759
Speaker 5: But yeah, man, those slowdown teams with really strong defenses. U.

890
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:52,400
Speaker 5: I see Saint Thomas Merrimack. It makes a lot of sense.

891
00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:54,560
Speaker 2: One thing with U. I see, I'll slip in is.

892
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:57,239
Speaker 5: They're number one in three point percentage defense. I think

893
00:40:57,280 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 5: they're going to face a little bit of that buzzword

894
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:03,680
Speaker 5: regression coming at some point this year, but so far

895
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:06,800
Speaker 5: that defense has been mega, mega stout Fellas.

896
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:10,640
Speaker 3: That concludes today's episode of The Big Bets on Campus.

897
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 3: You will next hear from us after Christmas. Until that time,

898
00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 3: enjoy the holiday season and good luck and all of

899
00:41:19,200 --> 00:41:22,759
Speaker 3: your wagers. May the three point shooting variants ever be

900
00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:26,239
Speaker 3: in your favor and that's all we Yeah. Take Care

901
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

902
00:41:44,200 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

903
00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:50,080
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler