1 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: What's up guys? 2 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,240 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning edition of 3 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 2: the Dalyijence Podcast with me Matt Perelt at Sports Talking 4 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 2: Matt to follow me across all socials. This podcast being 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 2: brought to you by our friends at Omah Steaks dot com. 6 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 2: The special URL code is Omaha Steaks dot com slash juice. 7 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 2: When you go and use that, they are going to 8 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: give you two packages of chicken wings and a package 9 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 2: of meatballs for free on select packages. 10 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: Don't drop the ball and. 11 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 2: Make it a game day to remember this coming big 12 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 2: weekend with a star studded collection of Omaha Steaks. Omah 13 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 2: Steaks the world's best beef naturally aids for the ultimate 14 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 2: and tenderness, juiciness and flavor. Score big points on your 15 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 2: game day party with convenient and delicious starters and more 16 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 2: from Omaha Steaks. Plus score chicken wings and meatballs for 17 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 2: free with selects packages using the code Omaha Steaks dot 18 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 2: com slash juice to get the free chicken wings and 19 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:15,320 Speaker 2: meatballs at Omaha Steaks dot com slash juice. Okay, if 20 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 2: you're watching on video, something's going on on my face. 21 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 2: I apologize. I don't know what's going on? I touched 22 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 2: I was like a scene on tonight. I touched something. 23 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 2: I touched my face and my face is like exploding 24 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 2: in like red raw pain. 25 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:31,399 Speaker 1: I don't know what this is, but bear with me. 26 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: I apologize. If you're watching this, you're like, what is 27 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: wrong with Matt's face? 28 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 2: I don't know, it's all I'm gonna go hopefully get 29 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,400 Speaker 2: this addressed for tomorrow and this will go away or 30 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 2: whatever's going on. 31 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: But I don't know. I normally I don't break out. 32 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:46,400 Speaker 2: I don't have like massive like problems with my skin normally, 33 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 2: but so it's different situation here for sure. So I apologize. 34 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 2: If you're watching this, you're like, what's going on in 35 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 2: your face? Sorry, hopefully tomorrow you'll be fixed. Kind of embarrassing, 36 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 2: but you know, it is what it is. It's Life 37 00:01:58,280 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 2: of forty six. 38 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: You know, we're doing video. We do TV on we go. 39 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:04,639 Speaker 2: So it was weird because I was on TV earlier 40 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 2: to night my face was fine, and now I'm doing 41 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 2: this video and it's not fine. 42 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: So I don't know. 43 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 2: Something strange. I touched something, touched something, and it just 44 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 2: didn't really sit well with my face for whatever reason. 45 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:18,920 Speaker 2: All right, huge college basketball slate. I don't want this 46 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 2: to be too long, so I'm gonna run through the games. 47 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 2: I got five games I'm gonna tell you about. I 48 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 2: got five plays. A lot of these games are gonna 49 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 2: be coin flips. Okay, a lot of these games are 50 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 2: gonna be tight. We could have an awesome day. We 51 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:34,079 Speaker 2: could have a miserable day. I'm not really sure. It's 52 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:37,959 Speaker 2: been sort of a Nickelin you know, paper cut losing type. 53 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:42,360 Speaker 2: We went three and three yesterday, down one point one units. 54 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 2: You're being downpoint one units the day before. We got 55 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 2: both player props right, but the we won a half 56 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 2: unit there, but the parlay missed for a half unit, 57 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 2: so we lost there. We got the over right easily 58 00:02:56,560 --> 00:03:01,080 Speaker 2: for Creighton and and Butler. Butler won the game outright, 59 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 2: they covered, so I got that right personally. But then 60 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:08,119 Speaker 2: we got the Iowa one but didn't cover my two. 61 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:13,520 Speaker 2: We laid five and we missed on what was the 62 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 2: other one that we missed on. We missed on one 63 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 2: other one that I can't remember exactly what we missed 64 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 2: on for less nights. That was, uh oh the under 65 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:25,919 Speaker 2: two forty seven? Yeah, that was again. If I bet 66 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 2: an under in the pacer game. Never again. That was 67 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 2: the one time dip my toe in the water I'll 68 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 2: never do. I was on sports grid, I hedged I 69 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 2: bet over two forty five and a half, so I 70 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 2: got out of that bet. So I didn't lose any 71 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 2: money on that play, but officially I did. So we 72 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 2: lost that So three and three player props came in 73 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,279 Speaker 2: pretty much, you know, down one point one units. 74 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 1: So we were let's see, we were up one point one, 75 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: down one point five. Yeh, we're down. 76 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: We're down like two little ower two units on the week. 77 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 2: So hopefully we have a good day here on a Saturday, 78 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 2: we can get rolling here for the month of February. 79 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 2: All right, let's start in no particular order. Auburn, Ole Miss, 80 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 2: Ole Miss at home, home dog. They're catching three and 81 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 2: a half points. This game does not factor into my 82 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 2: loser road game come back home dog trend. However, Ole 83 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 2: Miss is a completely different basketball team at home than 84 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:27,799 Speaker 2: they are on the road. Earlier this year, Ole Miss 85 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 2: went to Auburn and they lost eighty two to fifty nine. 86 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: They got killed, absolutely killed. 87 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:38,480 Speaker 2: They were down, you know, by losing game twenty by 88 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 2: twenty three points. 89 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 1: I mean, that's just awful. 90 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:43,839 Speaker 2: They lost to LSU on the road, Tennessee on the road, 91 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 2: and Auburn on the road. However, when ole Miss goes home, 92 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 2: ole Miss is a totally different basketball team. Ken Palm 93 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 2: has this as a six point win for Auburn. However, 94 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: Auburn on the road against ole Miss, sorry guess, Misissippi 95 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 2: State lost by loss by six as three point favorites 96 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 2: lost by four as three and a half point dogs. 97 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 2: Two games on the road, both losses Alabama and Missippi State. 98 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 2: Missippi State went to ole Miss in the last game 99 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,600 Speaker 2: they were one point dogs. Mississ State lost the game 100 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 2: by four. Three straight covers for ole Miss, including two 101 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:23,839 Speaker 2: at home. They beat Arkansas by twenty six, Missisppi State 102 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 2: by four. They beat A and M on the road 103 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:30,600 Speaker 2: by three. Now, the game against Auburn wasn't that long ago. 104 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 2: It was on January twentieth, right, so about two and 105 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:35,920 Speaker 2: a half weeks ago. So they know that they can't 106 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 2: get out here in just dilly dally. They got to 107 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 2: play really well. Auburn on the road is six and 108 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 2: four ats on the year. They are six and two 109 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 2: in the SEC. The two losses, both on the road, 110 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 2: five and three ole Miss ats, but they've covered the 111 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,839 Speaker 2: last three games. Like I mentioned, seven of the last 112 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 2: three games have been covered. The games they did not 113 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 2: cover at Tennessee, at LSU, at Auburn. Every other game 114 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 2: at home or neutral they covered. They covered against Troy, 115 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 2: they covered against Bryant, they covered against Florida, they covered 116 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 2: against against Vanderbilts, they covered against Arkansas, they covered against 117 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:21,840 Speaker 2: Missippi State tailor two teams, ole Miss eighteen and three. 118 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:24,279 Speaker 2: They are totally different at home than they are on 119 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 2: the road. I'm taking the home dog here. It opened 120 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,240 Speaker 2: at four and a half, it's now three and a half. 121 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:32,160 Speaker 2: Taken ole Miss plus three and a half at home 122 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 2: against Auburn. I cannot trust Auburn going against what ken 123 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 2: Pom is saying as a six point win for Auburn. 124 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 2: Auburn win by three. I'm taking the hook ole Miss 125 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:45,119 Speaker 2: plus three and a half at home for one point 126 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 2: one units at number two. Let's stay in the SEC. 127 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 2: Tennessee is at Kentucky. This is a two point win 128 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 2: according to Kenpom for the Valls. Kentucky lost their last 129 00:06:57,760 --> 00:07:02,040 Speaker 2: game at home. Everyone just was like wait, how in 130 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 2: the hectic Kentucky Loosa Florida including us ME. I bet Kentucky. 131 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 2: They lost ninety four ninety one. They've now lost two 132 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 2: of the last three games. They lost at South Carolina 133 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 2: at home against Florida. Vanderbilt is coming in here ticked off. 134 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 2: They got beat at home as fifteen point favorites over 135 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 2: South Carolina. They are furious. Rick Barnes's team is heading 136 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 2: in their furious angry one point favorites. It's Tennessee minus one. 137 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:38,360 Speaker 2: There are two big home dogs I'm going against here today, 138 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 2: and they both begin with K kay you and U 139 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 2: k This may blow up in my face, all right, 140 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 2: point blank. I like Tennessee. I've liked Tennessee all year. 141 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 2: I like their point guard play a lot. Tennessee can 142 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 2: play with Kentucky. They can play up tempa with Kentucky 143 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 2: if they want, or one hundred and second in pace. 144 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 2: I think they probably will slow it down a little bit. 145 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 2: But defensively, Tennessee is number two in efficiency, number four 146 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 2: in effective field goal percentage twenty seven and three point 147 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 2: percentage fifth and two point percentage that travels defense travels. 148 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: Kentucky at home is look very good. 149 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 2: At offensively tenth twelfth effective field goal percentage sixth and 150 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 2: three point percentage. You say, Matt, you're betting they're gonna 151 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 2: lose back to back home games. Yes, they're twenty fourth 152 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 2: in KEMPOM offensively, Tennessee. This is the problem. They have 153 00:08:34,200 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 2: got to get Dalton connect Hey say his name, neck 154 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:42,079 Speaker 2: adult number three, Dalton. The kid has scored all the points, 155 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 2: six foot six, It's all him. Ziegland's got to be 156 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 2: better today, Okay, and I think he can be. Ziegal's 157 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:51,080 Speaker 2: got to be a good point guard, control tempo, he 158 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 2: can get it done. I like Tennessee to win this game. 159 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the one here with. With Tennessee up 160 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 2: against Kentucky, I know that can be a little bit scary. 161 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 2: I fully understand people are like, Wow, Kentucky is six 162 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 2: and six ATS and Tennessee is two and seven on 163 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 2: the road ATS this year. Matt, You're backing a team 164 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 2: with a two and seven ATS record going to Rop Arena. 165 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 2: You got a w Yes, why two of the last 166 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:26,079 Speaker 2: three games have been losses by Kentucky. The loss to Vanderbilt, Sorry, 167 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 2: lost to South Carolina snapped a four game winning streak 168 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 2: for Tennessee. Tennessee on the road has had their struggles. 169 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 2: They lost Tosssippi State. I'll give you that. 170 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 1: They have lost. They beat Vanderbilt. 171 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 2: They have lost at home to South Carolina, though, which 172 00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:44,960 Speaker 2: is so crazy to go. I like a team. This 173 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 2: is a bilo spot here on Tennessee. It's a big 174 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 2: game and a big spot. And I just think Kentucky 175 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 2: isn't the same type of team. They lost by three 176 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 2: to Florida at home. They only beat Georgia by nine. 177 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:01,560 Speaker 2: They beat Missouri, But I just think losing to Florida 178 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 2: two times showed me a little bit here. Tennessee beat 179 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 2: Florida by nineteen by nineteen. Short number road favorite. I'm 180 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:15,560 Speaker 2: taking Tennessee minus one for one point one units bet 181 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 2: number three. Speaking of kys Kansas at home, this is 182 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 2: a five point win. According to KEMPOM sixty nine to 183 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 2: sixty four, the number is one Houston minus one again 184 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 2: short favorite. Houston number one team of the country. Just 185 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 2: like Tennessee, defense travels first, inefficiency first, an effective few 186 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:47,559 Speaker 2: goal percentage third, internover margin eight eighth, and three point 187 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:53,319 Speaker 2: defense first in two point defense. Offensively, yes, there can 188 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 2: be build big lulls for Houston, and it can be 189 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,719 Speaker 2: very scary for that but Kansas is not going to 190 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 2: be healthy. Kevin mccullar, junior bohem Bruise is going to 191 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 2: try to play may not play. Hunter Dickinson's got a knee. 192 00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 2: He's not going to be one hundred percent. He has 193 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 2: to be incredibly effective because he's the only guy of size. 194 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 2: He's seven too, Okay, but Houston's got guys who are 195 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 2: just six' eight and sixty seven who are super. Long 196 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 2: they don't have size, vertical but they have, wingspans they 197 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 2: have long, Arms they're extremely. Physical, Offensively, Yes houston can 198 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:36,840 Speaker 2: be you know effective field goal percentage two hundred and. 199 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 2: First why they throw the ball off the backboard and 200 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 2: they go get. 201 00:11:40,040 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 1: It that's how you can. Win Fog. 202 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 2: ALLEN i know it is extremely rare to ever See 203 00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 2: kansas be a. Dog and that's where the number is coming. 204 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 2: In it's driven this thing down from two and a 205 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 2: half down to, one all, right but this game down 206 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:54,360 Speaker 2: to one just. 207 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 1: To win the. GAME i like. IT i. 208 00:11:56,960 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 2: DO i Think houston goes in to Fog allen and 209 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:04,160 Speaker 2: get to w they're only three and six on the. Road. 210 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 2: Ats i'll give you that they're four and four in 211 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 2: The big, twelve but so Is. Kansas they're four and 212 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:11,079 Speaker 2: four in The Big. Twelve kansas Beat Oklahoma state in 213 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 2: their last game by twenty, nine but they only Beat 214 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 2: cincinnati by. Five they Beat oklahoma by, twelve which was, 215 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 2: good but they only BEAT tcu by two and they 216 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 2: were nine point favorites at. 217 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: Home on the ROAD. Byu huge. 218 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 2: Win huge win For houston on the road To, texas 219 00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 2: laying four and a, half the only one won by, 220 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 2: four but they. Won they've won At, texas and they've 221 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 2: won AT. Byu they lost AT, tcu and they lost 222 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 2: At Iowa state that's where they went to that little swoon. 223 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 1: There BUT i, mean they've won At. 224 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:45,320 Speaker 2: Xavier they've shown me they can win The Big twelve 225 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 2: on the, road and they've showed me they can win 226 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:49,199 Speaker 2: in really hostile. Environments texas is a hard place to 227 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 2: go and play For. Houston rivalry game and all, that 228 00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 2: and they went in there and they won the game by. 229 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,440 Speaker 2: FOUR byu is a hard place to. Play it's, provo 230 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 2: it's a far, travel it's not. Typical one of the 231 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 2: first games ever For houston AT byu as a conference, 232 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 2: game they won and they. Covered we were ON byu. 233 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:08,320 Speaker 2: There houston won and. COVERED i just Think houston's a better. 234 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:10,960 Speaker 2: Team i'm gonna bank On Ken palm's numbers here and 235 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 2: say it's a five point, win and just lay the 236 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:15,240 Speaker 2: one point and take the four points of value here 237 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:20,080 Speaker 2: and Take Houston cougars minus one At kansas for one 238 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 2: point one units and bet number Four North. CAROLINA i 239 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:29,199 Speaker 2: don't need to break this. Down this is just Simple 240 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:34,320 Speaker 2: carolina minus. Four we're betting, it all. Right carolina eight 241 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 2: and two over their last ten GAMES. Ats they're five 242 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 2: and four at, Home they're seven and THREE ats in THE. 243 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 2: Acc duke is just three five and ONE, ats four 244 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 2: to three and one on the road this. Year duke 245 00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 2: has won three games in a, row but they've covered 246 00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:53,880 Speaker 2: once in the last five. Games that was the last 247 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:56,559 Speaker 2: game AGAINST Va, tech laying three and a half they 248 00:13:56,600 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 2: won by. Ten that didn't cover Against, clemson didn't cover Against, 249 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:03,640 Speaker 2: louisville didn't cover against pitt and didn't cover Against Georgia 250 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 2: tech four straight games. There didn't cover Against Notre dame 251 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:11,040 Speaker 2: on the road Against Notre dame laying fourteen and a 252 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 2: half one by. Eight they covered Against, pittsburgh didn't cover Against, 253 00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 2: louisville did cover Against Virginia, tech so the two and 254 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 2: two over the last four on the, road But North 255 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 2: carolina at Home Wake forest laid eight one by twenty. 256 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:27,960 Speaker 2: One louisville didn't, cover but they, won laying twenty one 257 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:31,800 Speaker 2: one by, Sixteen syracuse laying twelve one by thirty. Six 258 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 2: oklahoma on Quasi neutrals In charlotte they laid three they 259 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 2: one by. Twelve to, ME i think this game is 260 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:42,480 Speaker 2: going to be so fun to. WATCH i cannot wait 261 00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 2: to watch this. Battle kempom has this as a six 262 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 2: point win For North. Carolina again short number it's, four 263 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,520 Speaker 2: so we're getting two points of value there With. Kempom R. 264 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 2: J davis has to be the best player on the. 265 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 2: Floor that's How North carolina wins this. Game Kyle philipowski 266 00:14:59,800 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 2: up Against, Baycott Amando baycott is gonna be. Awesome this 267 00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 2: is a heavyweight matchup down. Low BUT i think the 268 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 2: bench AND i think guys Like Cormack ryan coming in 269 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 2: and being able to stretch the defense huge. Important neither 270 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 2: team really plays a bench all that. Much they really 271 00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:23,800 Speaker 2: heavily rely on their. Starters and, Look duke is good 272 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 2: offensively ninth in efficiency twenty sixth and effective field goal 273 00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 2: percentage fourteenth and three point. Percentage but UNC's defense is 274 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,000 Speaker 2: better in a lot of these. Categories they're fourth in, 275 00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 2: efficiency thirteenth in effective field goal percentage twenty second and 276 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:41,640 Speaker 2: three point, percentage so pretty much even. There the DIFFERENCE 277 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 2: i think is the offense FOR. Unc duke's defense is 278 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 2: good thirtieth in, efficiency but nineteenth for offense For North 279 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 2: carolina effective field goal percentage one forty fifth to one thirty. 280 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 2: Six pretty much a watch, there but one hundred and 281 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 2: seventh three point defense to one hundred and eighty second 282 00:15:56,720 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 2: For North. Carolina got to hit their, threes got, Rebound 283 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 2: BUT i just think they have a chance here to 284 00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:06,520 Speaker 2: get to the foul, line hit their free. Throws where 285 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:09,160 Speaker 2: they're converting twenty two percent of their points from the 286 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 2: free throw, line that's forty fourth in college. Basketball get 287 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 2: to the, line hit your free. Throws cover this. Game 288 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 2: Dean dome will be rocking For duke And North carolina 289 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:23,680 Speaker 2: or laying the Four North carolina minus four for one 290 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 2: point one. Units and, Finally i've gone back and forth on. 291 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 2: This initially this number was four and a, half AND 292 00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 2: i Like Saint JOHN'S Msg New York yukon coming to. 293 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:39,520 Speaker 2: Town there's gonna be a ton Of connecticut fans in this. 294 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 2: Building Saint john's at home this year is six and. 295 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 2: Four connecticut is six and, three but this number is. 296 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 2: Three now come all the way. Down it's come all 297 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 2: the way down to a place WHERE i THINK i 298 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 2: can take it now AND i can jump On yukon 299 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 2: minus three Because yukon has been. 300 00:16:57,800 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 1: Rolling, Okay they're like a weird cover no cover. 301 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:07,119 Speaker 2: Streak didn't cover Against, georgetown covered Against, creighton didn't cover Against, 302 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 2: nova covered Against, xavier didn't cover Against. Providence here they 303 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 2: are With Saint. John's Saint john's has lost four a. 304 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:20,720 Speaker 2: Five they've covered one time in their last four, games 305 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 2: two times in the last, five but they lost To. 306 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 1: Creyton they, covered but they. 307 00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 2: Lost they've lost To, creighton they lost A Satan, hall 308 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 2: lost To, marquette they lost To, xavier they Beat, villanova 309 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:36,080 Speaker 2: laying three and a half at home by. TWENTY i 310 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 2: just can't swing my mind around the idea that the 311 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,159 Speaker 2: number one team in the, country number three according To, 312 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:48,400 Speaker 2: kenpom is only a three point. Favorite Ken pom has 313 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 2: it as a four point win For yukon Over Saint. 314 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:55,159 Speaker 2: JOHN'S i just Think conneticut's offense is going to be the. 315 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:58,400 Speaker 2: DIFFERENCE i mean their third in, efficiencies seventh in field goal, 316 00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 2: percentage eighty fifth and three point percentage fifth and two 317 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:06,520 Speaker 2: point percentage. Size, obviously, right they're, long they're. Big Donovan 318 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,119 Speaker 2: cleanion is a. Problem it's seven foot two monster in. 319 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 2: Interior Saint john's is, good And Jordan dingle has been. 320 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:18,640 Speaker 2: Great jenkins has been really nice for them this. Year they're, 321 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 2: fifth they're forty fourth in, efficiency but they're two hundred 322 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,800 Speaker 2: and fourteenth and effective field goal, percentage they're two hundred 323 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 2: and twenty second and three point percentage one hundred and 324 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,399 Speaker 2: eighty ninety sixth and two point percentage up against A 325 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:33,359 Speaker 2: yukon defense that's really good twenty first in, efficiency tenth 326 00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:36,160 Speaker 2: in field goal, percentage seventh and two point, percentage one 327 00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:39,359 Speaker 2: hundred and twenty fourth and three point. PERCENTAGE i just 328 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:41,120 Speaker 2: think at the end of the, day if this game 329 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:44,040 Speaker 2: was maybe on campus For Saint, john's MAYBE i might buy. 330 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 2: It but AT, Msg yukon plays are all the, time 331 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:49,400 Speaker 2: and they play home games AT, MSG i think they're 332 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 2: going to be. Fine i'm laying the Three yukon minus 333 00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:57,200 Speaker 2: three for one point one. Units all, right five plays 334 00:18:57,520 --> 00:19:01,080 Speaker 2: a bigger car than, normal four fit and one. Dog 335 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,800 Speaker 2: very much against WHAT i normally. Do but this is 336 00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 2: just WHERE i am with these. Plays it may blow 337 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 2: up in my. FACE i may go one and four 338 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:11,440 Speaker 2: and have a Horrible. Saturday it's possible because we've got 339 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:15,200 Speaker 2: coin flip games all over the. Place four of these 340 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:19,000 Speaker 2: games are one possession games or two you know three 341 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:21,119 Speaker 2: three of the games or one position. Games two of 342 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,159 Speaker 2: the games are two possession. Games so it's not like 343 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,719 Speaker 2: we're dealing with big spreads. Here this is gonna be sweat. 344 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 2: City all these. Games we're gonna be sweating. Pacing LIKE 345 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:32,480 Speaker 2: i doubt we're gonna have any easy walk to the 346 00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 2: window or a game that gets a complete, blowout and 347 00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 2: we're dead. Wrong all these games are gonna come down 348 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 2: to one or two. Possessions But i'm banking on the better. Teams, Houston, 349 00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 2: Yukon North, carolina And. Tennessee that could be your final. 350 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:48,120 Speaker 2: Four like, seriously that could be your final. Four AND 351 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:51,280 Speaker 2: i Mean North carolina's a one, Seed houston's a one, 352 00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:52,600 Speaker 2: Seed yukon's a one. 353 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:53,439 Speaker 1: Seed we're In. 354 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 2: February this is when we see the best teams, Win 355 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,520 Speaker 2: So i'm gonna bank on. It, yes winning on the 356 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:00,439 Speaker 2: road in conference plays incredibly dificult on. 357 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:02,680 Speaker 1: Short. 358 00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 2: Numbers i'm gonna take the better team on short, numbers 359 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:09,040 Speaker 2: even with Fog, allen even With. Rupp we'll see what ends. 360 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:11,400 Speaker 2: Happening But i'm gonna bank on the. Favor i'm gonna 361 00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 2: bank on the better teams on a short. Number all, 362 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 2: Right Ole miss plus three and a, Half North carolina minus, 363 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:22,159 Speaker 2: Four tennessee minus, One houston minus, One yukon minus. Three 364 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 2: five bets all for A. Saturday let's see how we 365 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 2: do on a big college football basketball day Minus Matt 366 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:32,399 Speaker 2: college Basketball, day say football college. BASKETBALL i wish it 367 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 2: was football college basketball day Minus. Matt parol's follow me 368 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 2: across all socials At Sports Talk matt every single morning 369 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:40,720 Speaker 2: The Deal news PODCAST i was being brought to you 370 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 2: by Olmah stakes dot com