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Speaker 1: Good luck for the most beautiful game. Ju us prout

2
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Speaker 1: read a lot.

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Speaker 2: They're up for running a game.

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Speaker 1: So smoothe so sweet, slim existing, just glorious execution.

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Speaker 2: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort, four

6
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Speaker 2: thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: How shut with that shop of mind, bog buddy, And

8
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Speaker 1: that's why you see your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 2: Look at his movements, the most dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 2: Nobody piction them.

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Speaker 1: Shut up.

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Speaker 2: I'm trying.

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Speaker 1: Again, the one.

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Speaker 2: It's left to.

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Speaker 1: One, the wide eyed drill fibus how old Earth pick

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Speaker 1: that happens?

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Speaker 2: Hello, and welcome to Wonder Goal, the soccer betting podcast

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Speaker 2: from the Action Network. I'm Anthony Dubundo hosting this show

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Speaker 2: for the first time, joined as always by BJ Cunningham,

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Speaker 2: our favorite French league expert. But we're gonna break down

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Speaker 2: all four of the rest of the European leagues on

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Speaker 2: this podcast. Michael Leeboff joined us and hosted as he

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Speaker 2: always does for the Premier League Preview podcast which came

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Speaker 2: out late last week, and then we did a Premier

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Speaker 2: League point Total Draft pod with Alon Shapiro of the

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Speaker 2: FMLFPL pod. We each picked five teams we talked about

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Speaker 2: all twenty of the PREM. We figured, okay, we've done

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Speaker 2: enough with the PREM. We need to get into our

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Speaker 2: bread and butter, the rest of Europe, Mainland Europe, and

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Speaker 2: we're starting with the best league in the world, the

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Speaker 2: best soccer league in the world. My favorite league besides

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Speaker 2: the PREM the Bundesliga. And I know that the Bundesliga

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Speaker 2: has not performed well across Europe generally over the last

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Speaker 2: couple of years. Outside of Eintracht Frankfurt. It feels like

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Speaker 2: the league is down a little bit as a whole,

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Speaker 2: and yet there sits, of course, Bayern Munich at the

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Speaker 2: top of the table. Before we get into any picks,

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Speaker 2: I'm curious, what are your thoughts on Bayern Munich generally

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Speaker 2: going into the season losing Lewandowski and then we'll transition

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Speaker 2: into kind of who's going to come in second.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting. I don't think you can say that

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Speaker 1: Byron got better obviously after losing Lewandowski, but I mean

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Speaker 1: getting delict In is a huge, huge upgrade for them. Defensively.

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Speaker 1: They lost Soule, who you know, he was okay, not great,

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Speaker 1: and then he moves on to Dortmund. But getting delict

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Speaker 1: In is massive for their defense, and you know, I

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Speaker 1: like the addition of sadiomne If even if they don't

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Speaker 1: play with a true striker. I mean, Byron has so

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Speaker 1: many attacking pieces that are just going to overwhelm teams.

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Speaker 1: I mean they were leaps and leaps and bounds better

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Speaker 1: than anybody else in the Bundesliga last year plus fifty

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Speaker 1: one expect a gold differential. The next closest was LEPs

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Speaker 1: they got a plus twenty one. So it's a very

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Speaker 1: very big gap from Byron to the rest of the Bundesliga.

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Speaker 1: But I found it was kind of interesting. Minus five

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Speaker 1: hundred is kind of one of the lowest odds I've

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Speaker 1: seen on Byron and quite a long time. Usually they're

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Speaker 1: around minus eight hundred. Minus isn't similar to what PSG

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Speaker 1: is and link oh so, I mean, if you can

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Speaker 1: figure out a way to parlay somebody you like in

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Speaker 1: Syria Ah with Byron and maybe just short the price

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Speaker 1: a little bit, you can do that because I don't

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Speaker 1: really see any of these other teams below them even

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Speaker 1: competing with them, even if they have lost Lebadowski.

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you what, I was fully prepared to bet

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Speaker 2: Dortmund to win the Bundesliga. There was a ten to

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Speaker 2: one out there a few weeks ago and I was

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Speaker 2: looking at it and I was like, look, there's a

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Speaker 2: case here for Byron to take a step back, and

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Speaker 2: you mentioned it. Why are they so low? I mean

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Speaker 2: they lost Robert Lewandowski. He's going to score thirty thirty

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Speaker 2: five goals in the league. Now he's not, and how

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Speaker 2: do they replace that? And I like Sadio Mane. I

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Speaker 2: think he can provide some of the goal scoring punch.

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Speaker 2: It looks like based on the preseason, they're going to

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Speaker 2: play Mane and Ganabri up top together. That could help Nabri.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Nabri could be a decent gold boot shot potentially.

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Speaker 2: But there's just not a lot of certainty with Byron

79
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Speaker 2: and that's that seems unusual. And I like the lick too,

80
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Speaker 2: but he doesn't look like he's in shape and ready

81
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Speaker 2: for the start of the season. So there's definitely some

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Speaker 2: growing pains. I think potentially for Bien that makes them

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Speaker 2: a little bit vulnerable. And I was fully prepared to

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Speaker 2: say Dortmund is the team, They're ready. They made a

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Speaker 2: ton of additions. I love what Dortmund did this offseason

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Speaker 2: they added to replace Holland two guys whoever they like

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Speaker 2: in holl Air and at Ayemi. They make a huge

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Speaker 2: impact with Schlaughterbuck and Sula. Defensively, they go get Sally Oljean,

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Speaker 2: who was number one in pressing success rate in the

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Speaker 2: Bundesliga last year in the midfield five over five tackles

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Speaker 2: and interceptions for ninety. I was like, wow, you know

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Speaker 2: belling him will be back. We think Giorana can be good.

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Speaker 2: There's so much talent here. Dortmann could be the team.

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Speaker 2: But then hal Air is out now and we don't

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Speaker 2: know if he's going to play it all this year.

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Speaker 2: He has he had to have surgery. He may have

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Speaker 2: particular cancer that we don't know the reports yet. Hopefully

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Speaker 2: it's not it's benign and he'll be able to play,

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Speaker 2: but even so he's gonna miss multiple months. So now

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Speaker 2: I'm like, ugh, just when I was thinking Dortmund was

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Speaker 2: turning the corner new Man stable, they have just come

102
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Speaker 2: up short again for me to bet them. So I'm

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Speaker 2: not going to bet Dortmund, but I'm curious, are you

104
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Speaker 2: betting someone the market is is the winner without Byron

105
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Speaker 2: because Byron's so dominant. Are you betting anyone in that market.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm very interested in Arbie Leipzig at plus one

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Speaker 1: seventy five, and then honestly Leverkusen as well at plus

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Speaker 1: five point fifty. I mean, I agree, I do like

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Speaker 1: what Dormann did in this window. I just don't know

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Speaker 1: if it's going to change and make up for their

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Speaker 1: just drastic overperformance last year. I mean, you can make

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Speaker 1: the argument that hey all, well early Collins such a

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Speaker 1: good finisher, and you know he made up for that,

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Speaker 1: you know performance. They might come back down to earth

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Speaker 1: a little bit, but I mean they were almost twenty

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Speaker 1: goals better offensively than you know, what their exg was.

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Speaker 1: So if you're you know, I like a Demi, he's

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Speaker 1: a nice young striker, but if you're just basically throwing

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Speaker 1: him out there up top and saying, hey, go get

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Speaker 1: you know, twenty five thirty goals, I'm not sure he's

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Speaker 1: that type of striker at this point in his career.

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Speaker 1: He might be eventually, but right now I don't see it.

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Speaker 1: So I do agree that I liked it defensive upgrades

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Speaker 1: that they made, so but RB Lives is an interesting case.

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Speaker 1: You know, if you take out what they were under Marsh,

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Speaker 1: you know them, and what I found quite surprising is

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Speaker 1: basically you filter out basically from December on when Marsh

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Speaker 1: got fired, Dorman was about fifth or sixth and expected points.

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Speaker 1: From that point on to the end of the season,

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Speaker 1: it went obviously Byron was leaps and bounds better, but

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Speaker 1: then it went Leverkusen and then Leipzig. So I mean

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Speaker 1: you can make the argument Leverkusen in terms of talent,

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Speaker 1: might be there right there as the second best team

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Speaker 1: in the Bundesliga. They have you know who I think

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Speaker 1: should be the Golden Boot favorite at this point, and

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Speaker 1: Patrick Shick, so it's very interesting. I have I like

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Speaker 1: Lipstick at plus one seventy five, I like Leverkusen at

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Speaker 1: plus five fifty. I just really don't have any interest

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Speaker 1: in Dormant from the overperformance. And yes, maybe all these

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Speaker 1: signings will work out, and maybe you know, Bellingham and

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Speaker 1: all these guys will take the leap forward, but I

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Speaker 1: mean we all know if XG what happens as teams

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Speaker 1: and regress towards their means, So I think that's gonna

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Speaker 1: happen to Dormann, and I do believe they might fall

145
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Speaker 1: down to you know, third or fourth place. I don't

146
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Speaker 1: think it's fallen out of the top four because there's

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Speaker 1: a guys we'll talk about there's a drastic drop off

148
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Speaker 1: from the top four to the rest of the Bundesliga.

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Speaker 1: So but I do think that second place is definitely

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Speaker 1: up for grabs right now we.

151
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Speaker 2: Look at how far we've come. BJ is now advising

152
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Speaker 2: people to bet on Leverkusen. I'm in, I'm all in

153
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Speaker 2: on Leverkuz I'm gonna. I'm gonaget saying that because I

154
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Speaker 2: think we missed this last year and I think it's

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Speaker 2: something that we should be better with this year. You know,

156
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Speaker 2: we're always constantly learning as we as we go through this,

157
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Speaker 2: and constantly finding new metrics and new websites and new

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Speaker 2: data and looking at things differently. Well, the second half

159
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Speaker 2: of the season, so after the German winner break, everybody

160
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Speaker 2: plays seventeen games second half. The next seventeen games they

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Speaker 2: play everybody in the league. Once Byron was plus one

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Speaker 2: point one six x GW difference for ninety dominant won

163
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Speaker 2: the league, Cruz no problem. Second was Leverkusen. They were

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Speaker 2: plus one point one five, so they played at the

165
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Speaker 2: level of Byron. And remember they played Byron and played

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Speaker 2: him off the park in the second half of the season.

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Speaker 2: In their meeting against each other, now, Florian Vertz did

168
00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:11,360
Speaker 2: Tara's acl he's going to be out to the World Cup.

169
00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:16,160
Speaker 2: That's not great. But Musa DNB peers to be staying healthy.

170
00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:20,480
Speaker 2: He's electric. You mentioned Shick. Yes, he overperformed. I don't

171
00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:22,720
Speaker 2: think he'll do that again. But there's also an argument

172
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Speaker 2: for his floor of actual expected goals going up because

173
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Speaker 2: they added Adam Holzik the awesome and he scored double

174
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Speaker 2: edgit goals in the Czech League. You'll last three or

175
00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:38,400
Speaker 2: four years. He's young, he's fast, he's very good as

176
00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:42,679
Speaker 2: a compliment to Chick, who's more of a tall, lanky fella.

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Speaker 2: Uh and so I love everything. Leverkusen has kind of

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Speaker 2: managed to keep this core together and they had some

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Speaker 2: problems early in the season where they weren't that good

180
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Speaker 2: and they were getting lucky and they were running hot.

181
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Speaker 2: But the underlying performances really took a huge step forward

182
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Speaker 2: in the second half of the season, and if they

183
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Speaker 2: continue that, Byron takes a step back without Lewandowski. It's

184
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Speaker 2: not crazy to think that one not only could it

185
00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:15,600
Speaker 2: be a potential race. I don't think they'll win it

186
00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:19,000
Speaker 2: because they don't have a knop depth, but it's enough

187
00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,920
Speaker 2: to say, okay, if Leipzig, you know, you look at Leipzig.

188
00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:26,240
Speaker 2: They didn't spend any money. It's very strange. A Brennan Schlager,

189
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Speaker 2: who I know we both like, but that was just

190
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Speaker 2: an Adam's replacement. They haven't upgraded attack. Andrew Silva has

191
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Speaker 2: not been what we thought he would.

192
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Speaker 1: Be after coming over from Frankfort.

193
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Speaker 2: I think his numbers are probably not going to be

194
00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:39,040
Speaker 2: as bad as they were last year, but I don't

195
00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:41,320
Speaker 2: think he'll ever get to the Frankfort numbers again. So

196
00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:43,400
Speaker 2: I kind of have some questions about Leipzig.

197
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Speaker 1: Two.

198
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Speaker 2: Of course in Kucko's great, but unless they improve further,

199
00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:49,880
Speaker 2: I think Leipzig is a little bit light. And that's

200
00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:51,920
Speaker 2: why I'm back in leverkuz in five plus five point

201
00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:55,400
Speaker 2: fifty to be the winner without Byron bet. MGM has

202
00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:57,360
Speaker 2: it and I love it. I think that that's my

203
00:09:57,400 --> 00:10:00,000
Speaker 2: favorite bet in the Bundesliga. We're gonna go a little

204
00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,840
Speaker 2: further down the table though, because relegation is always fun

205
00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:06,720
Speaker 2: in Germany. I know I cashed a couple of Bilfeld

206
00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:09,520
Speaker 2: tickets last year. Thank god they're gone. Who are you

207
00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:13,680
Speaker 2: looking at a potential relegation situation this year?

208
00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:17,199
Speaker 1: I like Herzer Berlin at plus four hundred, so they

209
00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:19,160
Speaker 1: were on the brink of relegation. Last year they were

210
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Speaker 1: in the relegation playoff against Hamburger. They went down one

211
00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:24,559
Speaker 1: nothing at home in the first leg and then just

212
00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:28,120
Speaker 1: pulled off a crazy two zero result in the second

213
00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:31,520
Speaker 1: leg to stay off relegation and stay in the Bundesliga.

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Speaker 1: And this season, with Vertebremen and Shauka coming up, it's

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Speaker 1: a lot Those are two very big clubs. It's not

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Speaker 1: Grouter and Bochum coming up. So those teams have a

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Speaker 1: lot more money to throw in the market. They're a

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Speaker 1: lot more talented, so it's going to be a lot

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Speaker 1: more difficult for Berlin to stay up. I mean they

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Speaker 1: of the teams that all stayed up, they had the

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Speaker 1: worst expected goal differential of any of them, minus twenty

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Speaker 1: one point three. They averaged one point zero two x

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Speaker 1: cheaper match in the wide open bonus. They were dead

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Speaker 1: last in offensive pass per defense faction. They can't play

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Speaker 1: through pressure and in a league where everybody presses like crazy,

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Speaker 1: they are one of the teams that just sit back

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Speaker 1: and they concede. They conceded the most big scoring chances

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Speaker 1: in the Bundesliga. So what do they do to improve

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Speaker 1: all of that? Well? Nothing, They did nothing in the market.

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Speaker 1: They brought in a bunch of low level guys on

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Speaker 1: free transfers. One of their best center backs, Nicholas Stark,

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Speaker 1: has left on a free transfer to Werder Bremen. They're

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Speaker 1: still relying on thirty two year old Stephen Joviatic to

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Speaker 1: be their main striker. So I'm not sure how this

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Speaker 1: team survives another season in the Bundesliga with the current

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Speaker 1: squad that they have, so at plus four hundred, I

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Speaker 1: think it is a fantastic price for Berlin to get relegated.

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Speaker 2: It is a crowded field down there, you know. And

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Speaker 2: Osburg was the first team that I looked at based

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Speaker 2: on their numbers last year, and I and before even

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Speaker 2: looking at the market, I said, all right, who's this

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Speaker 2: year's Bilfeld like?

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Speaker 1: Should have been for me?

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Speaker 2: Horrible And I'm a little bit more friendly toward Bokum.

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Speaker 2: But again we remember what Bocham was two years ago.

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Speaker 2: We said, how is this team even promoted? And then

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Speaker 2: they ended up being actually half decent, but they're the

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Speaker 2: kind of team where you're like, okay, if they just

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Speaker 2: revert back to anything close to what they were two

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Speaker 2: years ago, Bokam could be in some trouble. But Osburg

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Speaker 2: was the first team. But of course they're the favorites

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Speaker 2: to go down. The two teams that are coming up

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Speaker 2: are not good either. Shauka is not your older brother,

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Speaker 2: Shauka Vertebremen also pretty short in terms of talent. The

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Speaker 2: one team I really wanted to get up was Hamburger.

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Speaker 2: I was rooting so hard for Hamburger. I bet on

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Speaker 2: Hamburger to co up in that match against Herta. That

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Speaker 2: would have been a bet on team. They would have

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Speaker 2: finished in the top thirteen fourteen in the league. Instead,

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Speaker 2: we have a very fun race. I don't have a

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Speaker 2: bet here. I may join you on Harta because I

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Speaker 2: do like the chances of Bochum staying up. But again,

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Speaker 2: the Bundesliga is hard because so many times there's only

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Speaker 2: two that go down, and trying to sweat out those playoffs.

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Speaker 2: It just feels like the last few years that already

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Speaker 2: in Bundesliga team has seemed to have an edge and

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure exactly what that is, but given the

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Speaker 2: Bundesliga two is down as well, it's harder to get

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Speaker 2: you know, we potentially have two spots. So I'm staying

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Speaker 2: away from the relegation market this year. I may hop

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Speaker 2: in live you'll have to tune into our Wonder Gold podcast,

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Speaker 2: where I will let you know if I end up

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Speaker 2: find somebody will jump out at some point, you know,

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Speaker 2: they'll get some good results and then we're looking at

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Speaker 2: them like, okay, that's not gonna last and we actually

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Speaker 2: I was able to double that on bible Feld at

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Speaker 2: a better number last year, so no better for me

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Speaker 2: in the relegation market. Do you have anything in the

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Speaker 2: golden boot market?

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Speaker 1: I do have one. I think we have the most

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Speaker 1: open Golden Boot race in a long long time. I

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Speaker 1: mean for the last you know, four or five six years,

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Speaker 1: it's been Lewandowski in Holland. It's like, all right, who's

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Speaker 1: gonna win the Golden Boot? And now they're both gone.

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Speaker 1: So if there was ever a year to try and

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Speaker 1: hit a long shot, I think this is the year.

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Speaker 1: And my pick's going to be Lucas Metcha from Wolf

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Speaker 1: at forty to one. He's the main focus of their

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Speaker 1: attack now that wegg Horse has gone. He was injured

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Speaker 1: for most of the second half last season, but when

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Speaker 1: he was healthy, he was a point five to five

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Speaker 1: xual per ninety minute forward that was getting three shots

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Speaker 1: per ninety minutes. And only six players from last year

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Speaker 1: in the Bundesliga that averaged over point five actually per

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Speaker 1: ninety in at least three shots per ninety is Lewandowski,

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Speaker 1: Collin Schick, Anthony Odest, allen Awi, and Metcha. Well, Holland

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Speaker 1: and Lewandowski are gone, I don't believe in Anthony Modest,

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Speaker 1: and allen Awi's also gone, so it's him and Shick.

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Speaker 1: So if he's able to actually stay healthy for a

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Speaker 1: full season, the price at forty to one, it's too

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Speaker 1: good to pass up on him. I mean he's going

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Speaker 1: to be the main goal scoring threat for you know,

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Speaker 1: Wolfsburg in general should be a top half club given

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Speaker 1: their size and in the talent level that they have,

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Speaker 1: and so I think he is by far the best

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Speaker 1: long shot on the board. I wanted also bet Shick,

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Speaker 1: but he's the second favorite at seven to one. So

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Speaker 1: for me, Metcha forty to one from Wolfsburg is my play.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the most interesting name on the board.

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Speaker 2: For me, there was Chris and Kunku at seven to one,

311
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Speaker 2: but for me, I'm just not quite sure that's enough.

312
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Speaker 2: I do think he had his breakout last season and

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Speaker 2: he could very well repeat it. He is on penalties

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Speaker 2: at Leipsig, which always helps. And Nabri at fourteen to

315
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Speaker 2: one is the other name. Somebody will score goals for Byron.

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Speaker 2: They're not buyingronal though it doesn't seem that could be

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Speaker 2: a potential option. Who's going to take penance for Byron too?

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Speaker 2: That's the other thing you kind of have to solve

319
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Speaker 2: because they're going to get a bunch and whoever's on

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Speaker 2: them may well win it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I worry about Byron in the same light as

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Speaker 1: I worry about you know, if you're betting somebody for

323
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Speaker 1: Golden Boot from the past Manchester City teams that didn't

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Speaker 1: have Holland, you wonder Okay, yeah, I love to bet

325
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Speaker 1: fall On or you know, I have Photen or Grealish

326
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Speaker 1: or nard a Silver or de bruyno. But it's the

327
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Speaker 1: goals are just spread out so much, so you could

328
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Speaker 1: have of, you know, essentially five guys score ten to

329
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Speaker 1: twelve goals and then it's like, okay, well nobody, none

330
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Speaker 1: of them getting close to the Golden boots. So I'm

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Speaker 1: kind of passing on all the Bayern you know type

332
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Speaker 1: of players. I do agree with you. If Genarvey's gonna

333
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Speaker 1: play up top, like yes, fourteen to one, for sure,

334
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Speaker 1: you have to play essentially obviously, you know Mani's the favorite,

335
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Speaker 1: so we're not going to play him at sixt to one.

336
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Speaker 1: But if Genarvy's gonna play up top, or whether it's him,

337
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Speaker 1: Sane Coleman, whoever it is, you have to play the

338
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Speaker 1: guy playing up top for the team that's going to

339
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Speaker 1: score you know, ninety.

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Speaker 2: Goals, so right, and I do think it's Nabri. I mean,

341
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Speaker 2: we'll see, we'll see, but the preseason indications are that

342
00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:38,320
Speaker 2: Many and Gannabry are going to share time there. Whoever

343
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Speaker 2: ends up on penns maybe the one that leads the

344
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Speaker 2: team and goals, and that may be how you solve it.

345
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Speaker 2: Mone decent penalty taker but not great. Maybe Thomas Muller's

346
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Speaker 2: on pens.

347
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Speaker 1: It's going to say, just with all this, Thomas Miller

348
00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:51,000
Speaker 1: will would be the one taking penalties and it will be

349
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Speaker 1: the only goals he scores all season and has like

350
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Speaker 1: twenty five assists.

351
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Speaker 2: So before we move on to another league. I saved

352
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Speaker 2: this one conversation because the three of us Michael was

353
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Speaker 2: not here, But the three of us are in agreement

354
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Speaker 2: on the one dark Corse team that may break through

355
00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:08,880
Speaker 2: get to the top four if one of the other

356
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Speaker 2: three or four falls. We're in agreement. I think generally

357
00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:15,240
Speaker 2: that there is a clear consensus top four. Gladbach is

358
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Speaker 2: not Bach, the selling brail in below, very upset, hiring

359
00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:22,840
Speaker 2: a bad manager. It's gonna be rough for glad Back.

360
00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:25,280
Speaker 2: I'm not sure what to expect from them. But there

361
00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:27,720
Speaker 2: is one team twenty five to one, and if you've

362
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Speaker 2: listened to our show before, you probably can guess who

363
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Speaker 2: it is that we're backing to finish in the top four.

364
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Speaker 1: Minds twenty five to one unbelievable price. I mean there

365
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Speaker 1: are I think there are a couple long shots that

366
00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:42,960
Speaker 1: you can make an argument that have some value to

367
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Speaker 1: get top four, but this one, I mean, by far,

368
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Speaker 1: has to be the best value. I means they finished

369
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Speaker 1: sixth in the Bundesliga plus five, expect to go the

370
00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:53,720
Speaker 1: Feranial seventh and expected points. They did lose Niokast to

371
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:55,639
Speaker 1: not even forest one of their best center backs, but

372
00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,240
Speaker 1: they still have two of their three starting center backs

373
00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:00,560
Speaker 1: and their three five two system that they use play

374
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:04,639
Speaker 1: under bo Spence. An unbelievable defensive team top five and

375
00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:08,000
Speaker 1: next year allowed shots ninety proloued number one in the

376
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 1: Bundesligue and big scoring chances allowed, and they've also top

377
00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,399
Speaker 1: three and high turner was forced and passed the per

378
00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:16,840
Speaker 1: defense back and just a really really good defensive team

379
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 1: that profiles really well against smaller sides. They're able to

380
00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:23,119
Speaker 1: dominate possession, they're a great counter attacking team when they

381
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:25,840
Speaker 1: have to play some of the bigger sides. So I mean,

382
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 1: at twenty five to one, if if you know one

383
00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:31,240
Speaker 1: of these teams like Leipzig, who could very well if

384
00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:33,600
Speaker 1: they if a couple guys get injured, could creator the

385
00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:37,679
Speaker 1: same can be said for Leverkusenendortmund, I mean, Mines is

386
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:40,080
Speaker 1: right there for the taking to take that top spot.

387
00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:41,919
Speaker 1: And I think, and this is a larger point I

388
00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:43,800
Speaker 1: want to make as we get further into these is

389
00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:46,399
Speaker 1: that Mines will not be playing in Europe and I

390
00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:49,080
Speaker 1: think that really matters this year more than any other year.

391
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:51,879
Speaker 1: With how jam packed the schedule is going to be

392
00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:54,600
Speaker 1: because of the World Cup. So these teams that can

393
00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,800
Speaker 1: just focus on their domestic league and getting as close

394
00:18:57,800 --> 00:18:59,800
Speaker 1: as they can to the top four is going to

395
00:18:59,840 --> 00:19:02,639
Speaker 1: be very important. So and you know, another point I

396
00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:04,159
Speaker 1: kind of want to make this in general, as you know,

397
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,240
Speaker 1: we're betting these things. I understand that, you know, betting

398
00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:09,040
Speaker 1: some of these other markets, you know, might be new

399
00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:11,159
Speaker 1: for some people out there if they're just listening to us, Like, oh,

400
00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:12,399
Speaker 1: I kind of just want to bet who's gonna win

401
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:15,000
Speaker 1: the title, you know, similar to college football, like that,

402
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,359
Speaker 1: there's a lot more to soccer than just who wins

403
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:19,919
Speaker 1: the title, Like the top four, the top six races

404
00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,280
Speaker 1: these teams like Mines and Hunan Berlin that can get

405
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:25,399
Speaker 1: into Europe for the first time ever, Like it matters

406
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,000
Speaker 1: to these clubs, and you know, these these teams met

407
00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:31,000
Speaker 1: Finishing sixth would be a huge deal. For Mines, finishing

408
00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:33,480
Speaker 1: fourth would be like one of the biggest things ever.

409
00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:35,760
Speaker 1: They've never really won a trophy before, so like this

410
00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:38,199
Speaker 1: is this is would be the biggest thing ever for

411
00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,520
Speaker 1: the club. So yeah, mine's twenty five to one. We're

412
00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:42,639
Speaker 1: gona probably be betting on them a ton at weekend

413
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:44,840
Speaker 1: and week out in the Bundesliga. So they are the

414
00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:46,360
Speaker 1: best long shot on the board for top four.

415
00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think they're the fifth best team, and you know,

416
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 2: you look at it. Unon Berlin was better last year marginally,

417
00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:54,639
Speaker 2: but they lose taiwold Bach is glod Boch, they have

418
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:58,280
Speaker 2: defensive issues. Iine Track's gonna be the Champions League. Wolfsburg

419
00:19:58,320 --> 00:19:59,720
Speaker 2: I think will take a step forward. I think they're

420
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 2: close too, but I think you have the fifth best team,

421
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,720
Speaker 2: and so while you probably lose this bet, most certainly

422
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 2: will if anybody falls, minds could be there to scoop

423
00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:11,480
Speaker 2: it up. So that will end our talk on the Bundesliga.

424
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:13,399
Speaker 2: We didn't mention Stuttgart, but I know we're both high on.

425
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,920
Speaker 2: Then we'll be getting into that type of markets as

426
00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:19,919
Speaker 2: we get into our first weekend preview, which we'll be

427
00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 2: dropping next Thursday or this Thursday rather just in a

428
00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:27,359
Speaker 2: few days. We will be previewing the entire Premier League slate.

429
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:30,640
Speaker 2: We will also be previewing our favorite pick from the Bundesliga.

430
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:34,639
Speaker 2: The Bundesliga begins Friday, August fifth. We are so close

431
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 2: to it, i'n track Frankfurt the Europa League champions taking

432
00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 2: on the German champions Byron should be a fun one.

433
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:43,760
Speaker 2: I will have the preview for that match as well.

434
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,959
Speaker 2: We're gonna shift gears now, we're gonna go to Spain,

435
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:50,520
Speaker 2: taking a short flight from Germany down to sunny Spain.

436
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:54,159
Speaker 2: And would you look at that? Real and Barcelona are

437
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 2: the two top teams in the league once again.

438
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:59,639
Speaker 1: Shock, Yeah, it's you know, it's interesting. I have no

439
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:01,480
Speaker 1: ine in betting either of these teams to win the league.

440
00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:04,199
Speaker 1: They're gonna probably battle it out all season long. I

441
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:08,240
Speaker 1: mean Barsa just, I mean so many additions, I just

442
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:09,160
Speaker 1: see you're a feme.

443
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, so many they can't even register.

444
00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:13,399
Speaker 1: Apparently they can afford. Now. I don't know what the

445
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:16,400
Speaker 1: end game is with Barsa, but that's for a different day.

446
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 1: You know, Real Madrid we've talked about the over performance.

447
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,159
Speaker 1: You know, if you look at expected points, Barcelona was

448
00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:24,360
Speaker 1: clearing away like the number one unexpected points last year

449
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,000
Speaker 1: in La Liga. You know, these two, I mean they're

450
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 1: gonna be one too. I mean, I just I don't

451
00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:31,920
Speaker 1: really see value in playing either of them. You know,

452
00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 1: if you want to get a better price on one

453
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:35,439
Speaker 1: of them, just you know, just wait, you know one

454
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:37,400
Speaker 1: of them falls behind a little bit to start the season,

455
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 1: you could potentially get a two or a three to

456
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 1: one on Barsa or Real Madrid. So I think what

457
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:46,000
Speaker 1: I'm more interested is is in top four relegation markets

458
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:48,120
Speaker 1: is where I'm looking at Maliga.

459
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, I think that's a toss up. You know,

460
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,399
Speaker 2: if you wanted to if they offer a you know

461
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:55,960
Speaker 2: you want to bet a plus one fifty on Barsai.

462
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,120
Speaker 2: I won't disagree with you, because I do think it's

463
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:00,280
Speaker 2: it's truly that these two teams are even for me.

464
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 2: But you know, over the course of a season, I

465
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,000
Speaker 2: think there's gonna be opportunities, like BJ said, to get

466
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,879
Speaker 2: in on bar Sub potentially later because of all the

467
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 2: new signings, whereas Real Madridez has done a very good

468
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 2: job of keeping a pretty small but cohesive group, adding

469
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:19,000
Speaker 2: a couple of key reinforcements too many, namely to help

470
00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:22,440
Speaker 2: the midfield. So let's break into the top four market

471
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,320
Speaker 2: because this is the top four market for me, that

472
00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 2: is the most interesting of all of Europe, of the

473
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,320
Speaker 2: leagues that we talk about, because I think we have

474
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 2: a couple of teams that are getting up there because

475
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 2: of name recognition with at Letti and Sevilla, and we've

476
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,120
Speaker 2: got a few teams kind of waiting in that five

477
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:43,119
Speaker 2: to seven range that might make the leap forward. Do

478
00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 2: you agree?

479
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:48,199
Speaker 1: I agree. I would say Athletti is probably still solidified

480
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,560
Speaker 1: for me as the number three team in La Liga,

481
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:54,040
Speaker 1: but that's fourth spot. I mean, boy, I think, I mean,

482
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:55,720
Speaker 1: you'll probably I know you're gonna agree with me on this.

483
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 1: I think Sylvia is going to crash hard. I mean,

484
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:02,000
Speaker 1: the over performance last year was was pretty crazy. I

485
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 1: mean twenty plus twenty three actual goal differential seventy points,

486
00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 1: only a plus five expected goal of differential and fifty

487
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 1: seven expected points, and they've lost both of their starting

488
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:15,399
Speaker 1: center backs. So I think we're going to see a

489
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:19,119
Speaker 1: big time creator on Sevilla. I love rialsociated at a

490
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 1: plus three fifty and you know we if you listen,

491
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 1: if you're a loyal listener, wonder goal, you know we

492
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:25,120
Speaker 1: we bet them at fifty to one to win the league.

493
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:27,119
Speaker 1: Last year. They raced out to a lead in the

494
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:30,040
Speaker 1: first eleven matches and then cretered only a plus three

495
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 1: actual goal of frenchial last year and finished sixth, but

496
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 1: their expected goal of differential was plus fourteen point one.

497
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 1: You know they're due for some big time positive aggression,

498
00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 1: you know. Offensively, they you know, had about fifty three

499
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,600
Speaker 1: fifty three to fifty four expected goals, about fourteen more

500
00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 1: than what their actual goal total was. And the big

501
00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 1: thing for me is they kept their core together. Alexandrieshoch

502
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,360
Speaker 1: Ole Avo. You know, these guys are still there there,

503
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:58,760
Speaker 1: they're plus they're other point six actually plus expected assist guys.

504
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:02,399
Speaker 1: And then they added some nice depth pieces, you know,

505
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:06,119
Speaker 1: like take Fusho Kubo from Mayorca and a couple other

506
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 1: guys from Celta Vigo and such. So I really really

507
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:14,320
Speaker 1: like Real Sociadad to crash the top four at plus

508
00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: three fifty. Don't hate Via Real either at plus two

509
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,720
Speaker 1: seventy five. I really just don't think that Sambia should

510
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 1: be priced ahead of those two teams. So for me,

511
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,040
Speaker 1: it's probably gonna be Via Real. I mean they obviously

512
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 1: they were an offensive juggernaut under Unyamori. I mean they

513
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:34,679
Speaker 1: were second. They out created Buyern or Barcelona last year.

514
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 1: They had more expected goals than Barcelona, so I don't

515
00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 1: expect them to do that this year. Now that the

516
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 1: Lewandowski's at Barcelona, but still it just points to that

517
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:45,879
Speaker 1: via Real is a legit team that underperformed, So them

518
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:47,880
Speaker 1: at plus two seventy five and we also see plus

519
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:49,400
Speaker 1: three fifty is what I'm going with for top four.

520
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:52,520
Speaker 2: Look, I agree on hundred percent. I will make the

521
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,440
Speaker 2: case you should bet all three teams that are outside

522
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:59,399
Speaker 2: that top three. And I'm not buying at Letti because

523
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,639
Speaker 2: the second half of last season at Leti were not

524
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:04,879
Speaker 2: good at all. And I know this is Atleti magic

525
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 2: and we have look clearly, maybe I have a bias

526
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 2: against Simeone.

527
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:10,480
Speaker 1: At this point, let me just admit it.

528
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 2: You do, I do, But they weren't good the second

529
00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:16,320
Speaker 2: half of last season. They built up. So remember the

530
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 2: conversation we had last year, which was at Leti won

531
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,840
Speaker 2: the league two years ago despite pretty mediocre numbers, and

532
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 2: then in the first half of the season, Adleti was

533
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 2: better than the year before, better than the title winning team,

534
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 2: but because they didn't run as hot, they took a

535
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:34,159
Speaker 2: step back in the table and they were kind of

536
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:38,080
Speaker 2: just hovering in that area. The defense wasn't quite the same.

537
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 2: Oh Block, looks like he is not going to continue

538
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 2: to be the best goalie in the world forever in

539
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,760
Speaker 2: terms of shot stopping, and so what we saw was

540
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:48,520
Speaker 2: he took a bit of a step back, but it

541
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 2: wasn't even underlying numbers. But the second half of the

542
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,040
Speaker 2: season they legitimately did. They were not the same ATLETI

543
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 2: that we're used to seeing, and I am now wondering

544
00:25:57,800 --> 00:25:59,920
Speaker 2: they have not done a ton of business this summer.

545
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:03,880
Speaker 2: None of these mid level Spain teams have. The drop

546
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 2: off would not need to be much for Virial and

547
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,920
Speaker 2: Larrial to then take the spots of Sevilla, who I

548
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 2: agree with you has has very danger potential here. Like

549
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 2: Little Potagy, the style looked like it got stale last year.

550
00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 2: They couldn't create chances. They haven't replaced Carlos. Now they're

551
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,800
Speaker 2: gonna need to replace Punde. You have major question marks

552
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:24,440
Speaker 2: in the midfield.

553
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:24,640
Speaker 1: Two.

554
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,239
Speaker 2: Thomas Delane's not getting any younger and so there are

555
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 2: a lot of question marks with his team. Marcia All's

556
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:34,040
Speaker 2: loan over, so you know, we don't really know what

557
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 2: to expect from Sevilla. I think they are comfortably worse

558
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 2: than Virial and Larrial, and I'm going to make the

559
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,360
Speaker 2: case they may even be worse than Rial Batisse, who

560
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 2: very quietly added aur who I think is an awesome signing. Now,

561
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:53,280
Speaker 2: Dumblay didn't work out, but Aurar was just as good,

562
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 2: if not better than indunble A in that team when

563
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:59,440
Speaker 2: they played together on that great team Leone, and I

564
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:03,560
Speaker 2: think he adds to you know, with fakir Uh, they

565
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 2: have a great attacking group. I don't know that they'll

566
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 2: keep up enough, keep out enough goals to get that

567
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:12,160
Speaker 2: top four spot. But again I'm gonna make the case

568
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 2: and I'm probably gonna throw a little bit of change

569
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,920
Speaker 2: on all three of those teams because I think there's

570
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 2: a good chance too of them getting the top four. Yeah,

571
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:21,200
Speaker 2: I'm not sure with that Lati.

572
00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, the real bettest thing dress coover performance last year

573
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:26,879
Speaker 1: has the off of them right now. I do like

574
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 1: our is a great signing because like teams like Arsenal

575
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:30,879
Speaker 1: were in on him and they really wanted him, and

576
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 1: then suddenly he just goes to Batist. So yeah, I

577
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,360
Speaker 1: don't hate that at all. Yeah, I mean the top

578
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 1: four for me, I still believer in Simone. I think

579
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 1: they're gonna be the third place, but yeah, that top four,

580
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:41,639
Speaker 1: that fourth place is definitely.

581
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 2: I mean they haven't bought a single that there there

582
00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:46,480
Speaker 2: are still good Anthony. Their Marquis summer signing. Is that

583
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:47,679
Speaker 2: what Axelvitzel and.

584
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:50,120
Speaker 1: That fine is good depth said central midfield.

585
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 2: They lose Luis Suarez, Okay, like I know, like he's

586
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:55,679
Speaker 2: not good anymore.

587
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 1: He wasn't for guy. They they they've got my guy,

588
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:00,240
Speaker 1: Alvaro Morons back.

589
00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean in the I mean he looked cooked.

590
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 2: That you've last year too, come on, he was You

591
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,879
Speaker 2: should have won. He should have though he would have

592
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,400
Speaker 2: taken it from your man Shicks. So maybe maybe it's

593
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 2: a good thing, so if but but no, in all seriousness,

594
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 2: I mean, i'd let you. Just was not the same

595
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:21,840
Speaker 2: team in the second half of last season. And I

596
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 2: understand their defense probably will not concede as many goals

597
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 2: they did last year, But I also don't think they'll

598
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 2: score quite as many goals as they did last year.

599
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 2: They were sixty five from fifty two expected last year.

600
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:35,119
Speaker 2: And again everybody hates him, but Luis Suarez scored ten goals. Again,

601
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 2: he was over ten goals. So you know, there is

602
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:40,840
Speaker 2: some question marks about this team that I continue to have.

603
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 2: You know, Griaisman provided a decent spark not sure what

604
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 2: to make of him, and so I'm I'm selling I'd

605
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 2: let to you and I'll regret it, and they'll finish

606
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 2: fourth or third like they always do. But there was

607
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:53,560
Speaker 2: also a time when it was not sure that they

608
00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 2: were going to finish third. So maybe this is the

609
00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 2: year that let you finally falls, But either way, I'm

610
00:28:58,200 --> 00:28:59,600
Speaker 2: going to be there. I'm going to bet all three

611
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 2: of those teams. La Reale, vi Real and Reale Batist

612
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 2: especially smaller on them, but I just think war could

613
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 2: really transform that team if it works. Very cheap by

614
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 2: as well, so encouraging signs. La Liga is going to

615
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 2: be a lot of fun this year. I've never said

616
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,760
Speaker 2: that before in my entire life, but I'm excited always.

617
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:18,960
Speaker 2: I'm excited for the top four race at least, and

618
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to make La Lega over is a thing.

619
00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 2: I think sometimes those books get a little too low

620
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 2: on them. But that being said, let's get down to relegation.

621
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 2: This is where you thrive. You thrive into relegation markets.

622
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 2: The both teams to score nos in the thrive in

623
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 2: the bottom half of the La Liga table. Yeah, the

624
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 2: both teams score no markets when Girona is going to

625
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:43,680
Speaker 2: be playing Catafe this year. But who's your bet to

626
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 2: be relegated from this no good bottom half of Spain.

627
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 1: Well, I've tried it for two years in a row,

628
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 1: so let's make it a third LJA plus one fifty

629
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 1: second straight season in Laalio where they've had the worst

630
00:29:56,320 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 1: expected gold differential and they've somehow survived relegation, and I

631
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,400
Speaker 1: don't think it's going to happen for a third time.

632
00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:06,360
Speaker 1: They conceded the second most expected goals sixty one, but

633
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 1: allowed fifty two. Their offense scored forty goals off of

634
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:12,080
Speaker 1: around thirty five expected and they were dead last and

635
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:15,240
Speaker 1: shots per ninety They played ultra conservative four four to two.

636
00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 1: Even went out of that formation, there's still a minus

637
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 1: point seventy five actually differential per ninety minutes worth pressing

638
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 1: team in La Liga, dead last and high turnovers forced.

639
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 1: This is just not a good team. I mean I

640
00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 1: went through their results. They only won the expected goals

641
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 1: battle in nine of their thirty eight matches. That's a

642
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 1: relegation team. So given the fact they made no significant

643
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:39,520
Speaker 1: moves in the transfer marker, because they are a small club,

644
00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 1: they don't have a lot of money to push around.

645
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 1: Plus one fifty I think is a fantastic price on

646
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:45,960
Speaker 1: Elcha to go down because there are a few teams

647
00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:49,560
Speaker 1: coming up. Al Maria specifically that has real staying power

648
00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 1: and valid Deleite has been in the league a couple times,

649
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:55,320
Speaker 1: so they're the favorite obviously to get relegated. But I

650
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 1: think there is a great chance that Elcha negative aggression

651
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:01,280
Speaker 1: finally catches up with them and they finally go down

652
00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:03,240
Speaker 1: and I can finally catch ticket on this team.

653
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 2: Should be definitely a terrible relegation battle. Hopefully Tati Castianos

654
00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 2: does well and I'll be reading for him really quickly

655
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 2: before we move on to Italy. You have a golden

656
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:16,080
Speaker 2: boot pick, Yeah, I.

657
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 1: Mean, I mean going against Lewandowski and Benzema's like a

658
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 1: scary task and I probably wouldn't I honestly, I'm probably

659
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 1: not gonna put much on this very very small but

660
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 1: Dan Juma from Vireal, you know when he got in

661
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 1: last year about you know, fifteen or sixteen nineties, he

662
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 1: had a point seven to eight x sheper ninety scoring rate,

663
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 1: averaged three and three point six shots per ninety, which

664
00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 1: was second in La Lego behind Benzima. So if he

665
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 1: plays for a full season for a Vireal team, that

666
00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:44,560
Speaker 1: could take him step forward with their core altogether. You know,

667
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:47,280
Speaker 1: he could make a play at the two big boys

668
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 1: up there. But again I'm playing it very small at

669
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: twenty five to one. I just don't think he should

670
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 1: be priced down this far on the board, given his

671
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 1: xt sheep for ninety minute scoring rate, the amount of

672
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 1: shots he's getting for Virial.

673
00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, nothing says golden boot in Spain like Arno dan

674
00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 2: j but we do love our friend from the Dutch,

675
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 2: expecting him to have a big World Cup. Let's transition.

676
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 2: Now we're done with Spain. We're sticking in a similar climate,

677
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 2: similar language, but just a bit different. Don't ever tell

678
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 2: the Italians I said that they'll kill me. But we're

679
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 2: going to Syria and we had a surprise champion last year.

680
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:23,719
Speaker 2: Everybody thought enter and you've would be at the top

681
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 2: of the table. You've really struggled early, came on strong late,

682
00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 2: finished fourth. But it was ac Milan Milan winning Syria

683
00:32:34,560 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 2: for the first time in a long time. Crazy, And

684
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 2: I know it cost me a bunch of money. I know.

685
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 2: I think I'm pretty sure it cost you a bunch

686
00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:45,000
Speaker 2: of money I had. I had inter tickets, and I'm

687
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 2: gonna be.

688
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:45,760
Speaker 1: Honest with you.

689
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,040
Speaker 2: Maybe it's out of spite. I'm going back to the

690
00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,160
Speaker 2: inter tickets. I think they're going to be better than

691
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 2: last year with Lukaku back, and they pulled off like

692
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 2: the heist of the century. Is that the heist of

693
00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 2: the century? Selling he plays like two games and then

694
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 2: you get them back. I think so, I think centry, yeah,

695
00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:09,320
Speaker 2: and so it's just like, oh, we loaned him out

696
00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 2: for one hundred million for a season, which is ridiculous,

697
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 2: but anyway, he's back, and look, this attack was dynamite

698
00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:22,120
Speaker 2: under Antonio Kante, of course, who is gone. But with

699
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 2: Lao Taro and Lukaku together, I think they're going to

700
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,080
Speaker 2: be lethal again. And look, this is simple. We go

701
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 2: by expected goals here. Last year they were the best team.

702
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 2: They haven't lost anybody significant at this point. Milan hasn't

703
00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 2: made a ton of additions where I think they've closed

704
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 2: the gap. You've a if anything has gotten worse now,

705
00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:42,600
Speaker 2: there's no reason for me to not bet enter at

706
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 2: the same number that I did in the middle of

707
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 2: last season when they were clearly the best team. I

708
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 2: bet them plus one seventy five. Where are you going

709
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:53,360
Speaker 2: and what's your general read on the Scudedo race, which

710
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,640
Speaker 2: I think of all the title races, you know, has

711
00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 2: the most depth.

712
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 1: Of course, Yeah, it's the most open race by far

713
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 1: of any of the top five leagues, because obviously, you

714
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:04,640
Speaker 1: know it's gonna be Barcelona, Real Madrid, it's gonna be

715
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:06,560
Speaker 1: a PSG, it's gonna be Byern, it's gonna probably gonna

716
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 1: be a City or Liverpool. Now you have what I

717
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:12,800
Speaker 1: believe is to be potentially three maybe four teams that

718
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 1: have potential to win the title. Now I'd be a

719
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 1: couple teams down the board, maybe not so much. But

720
00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:20,520
Speaker 1: where I'm going is, if Inter falls off a little bit,

721
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 1: I'm going to my guy, Jose Mourinho and Roma at

722
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,479
Speaker 1: twelve to one, I wouldn't play anything, you know worse

723
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:28,760
Speaker 1: than that. Twelve to one is probably my my cutoff

724
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:32,600
Speaker 1: lineup where I'd play Roma. This team last year, you know,

725
00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:34,919
Speaker 1: they get in Tammy Abraham to be their their number

726
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 1: one striker and he has a fantastic season. They keep

727
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:41,439
Speaker 1: pretty much everybody together. You know, mctarian leaves for Inter,

728
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:45,440
Speaker 1: but they just got Paula Dieballa so fantastic signing to

729
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:49,200
Speaker 1: pair along with Tammy Abraham and Listen. This was the

730
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:51,560
Speaker 1: third best team and expected goal Diffronchial last year plus

731
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:54,400
Speaker 1: twenty five point two, behind only Inter and AC Milan,

732
00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:57,279
Speaker 1: top four offense and expected goal shots for ninety big

733
00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:01,560
Speaker 1: scoring chances and listen, I I truly believe that Jose

734
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:06,000
Speaker 1: Mourinho has something working at Roma where he can potentially

735
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,839
Speaker 1: push this team towards the title. I mean they won

736
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:11,040
Speaker 1: the expected goals battle in thirty one of their thirty

737
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:13,840
Speaker 1: eight matches. That is a team that can win the title.

738
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:16,920
Speaker 1: So you know, with Inter is obviously being the favorite.

739
00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 1: The one thing I'll say is, you know Screener might

740
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 1: be leaving for PSG. If he leaves, that would hurt.

741
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:23,160
Speaker 1: I mean it would be detrimental, but it would hurt

742
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:25,520
Speaker 1: for them for sure. And if they do fall off,

743
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:28,799
Speaker 1: if they have some injuries and you want another surprise

744
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:30,719
Speaker 1: team to come up and win the title. I think

745
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 1: AC Milan was what fourteen to one last year preseason.

746
00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:37,239
Speaker 1: I think Roma can do something similar to what they

747
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 1: did last year, especially with all the signings they have

748
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:42,920
Speaker 1: in solid defense. Josep Marinho obviously one of the best

749
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:46,640
Speaker 1: managers in the world. So Roma twelve to one is

750
00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:47,840
Speaker 1: what I'm playing in Syria.

751
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:50,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I couldn't agree more on Roma. And you'll notice

752
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:52,160
Speaker 2: a theme to the rest of what I'm going to

753
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:54,399
Speaker 2: say when we talk about Italy. But you talked about

754
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,760
Speaker 2: Tammy Abraham. He underperformed by quite a bit and expected

755
00:35:57,800 --> 00:35:59,560
Speaker 2: goals last year. If he had just had an average

756
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:03,719
Speaker 2: finishing season, Roma would have been comfortably in the top four,

757
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:07,000
Speaker 2: ahead of Uve and right around where Napoli was when

758
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:09,040
Speaker 2: you look at some of the numbers. So I think

759
00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:12,520
Speaker 2: there's reason to believe that Roma will take a step forward.

760
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 2: Napoli I think takes a clear step backwards just with

761
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,760
Speaker 2: the amount that they've lost. I've never been a huge

762
00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:22,440
Speaker 2: fan of their squad in general. I was kind of

763
00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 2: selling them even last season when they were atop the league.

764
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,919
Speaker 2: They built it on a really impressive defensive record. Well

765
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 2: now they lose Coolibally who you know, BJ said on

766
00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:35,560
Speaker 2: our England pod he thought was one of the most

767
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:39,400
Speaker 2: underrated center backs in the world. I do like the

768
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 2: Zambo and decent signing. I think that's a good signing

769
00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:45,800
Speaker 2: for them, But again, you know they're replacing a decent

770
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 2: number of pieces that they lost, you know, Lorenzo and Signia,

771
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:50,600
Speaker 2: whatever you think of him and what he had left,

772
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:56,839
Speaker 2: Like his loss is somewhat impactful, Auspina leaving is somewhat impactful,

773
00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:00,239
Speaker 2: Millick leaving. So there's just like a a lot of

774
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 2: these good, not great depth pieces that were around the

775
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 2: club have disappeared now and you're looking around. You're like,

776
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:09,160
Speaker 2: all right, where are all the goals coming from? You know,

777
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:11,239
Speaker 2: And that's the biggest thing for me. I don't see

778
00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:14,520
Speaker 2: enough goals in this team. Victor oc Men is awesome.

779
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 2: After that, it's like, uh, who knows. And the other thing,

780
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:21,520
Speaker 2: of course, is that the defense is probably going to

781
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:24,360
Speaker 2: take a step back with Aspina and Kulibally leaving. So

782
00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:28,080
Speaker 2: I'm selling Napoli and I'm also selling Uve hard, which

783
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:30,359
Speaker 2: means somebody needs to take that spot in the top four.

784
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 2: For those two spots in the top four, and for me,

785
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:35,160
Speaker 2: that team is Roma. I bet them plus one fifty

786
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 2: to get into the top four. I think they are

787
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:40,840
Speaker 2: clearly the top four team. And if again, it just

788
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,440
Speaker 2: really comes down to finishing variants, and we know year

789
00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:46,640
Speaker 2: to year that that tends to be noisy. So I

790
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 2: like Roma, I'm taking the Special one and the Europa

791
00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:55,920
Speaker 2: Conference League champions to have a great season and get

792
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:57,759
Speaker 2: in the top four and get back in the Champions League.

793
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,040
Speaker 2: Get some Marino in the Champions League, because you know, so,

794
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:01,360
Speaker 2: I know a lot of Spurs fans didn't like the

795
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:03,759
Speaker 2: way that it ended with him, but he is the

796
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:07,000
Speaker 2: sport is objectively more interesting when his teams are good

797
00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:10,320
Speaker 2: and competitive and competing for high places and trophies.

798
00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:12,880
Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely. And the one big thing the theme that

799
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,080
Speaker 1: you'll you starting to hear. You know, we're getting late

800
00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:16,960
Speaker 1: into our one of our final pods here, but we

801
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 1: love teams that keep these teams that have made the

802
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:23,480
Speaker 1: big leap and they keep their core together and they

803
00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:25,440
Speaker 1: add on to that core and they get better. So

804
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 1: Roman is one of those teams for me. And the

805
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:30,120
Speaker 1: other team I really like for top four is a

806
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 1: team I know you love and near and deared your

807
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 1: hurt Atlanta at two to one for top four. I

808
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:36,839
Speaker 1: found this interesting. Five thirty eight had them at forty

809
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:39,799
Speaker 1: two percent for top four, which I was like, oh,

810
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:41,480
Speaker 1: that seems kind of high for them, But then I

811
00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 1: went and loved and I was like, oh, fourth best

812
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:46,319
Speaker 1: expected Golden rouge last year plus twenty point five. They

813
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 1: ended up finishing in eighth place, which means they won't

814
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:52,320
Speaker 1: be playing in Europe this year, which I think provides

815
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:55,320
Speaker 1: a huge advantage with we've we've already talked about the

816
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 1: jam pack schedule with the World Cup. It's going to

817
00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:01,200
Speaker 1: basically have them just focus on Syria and just that,

818
00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:03,400
Speaker 1: and that's a big advantage versus some of all the

819
00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 1: other teams above them that are playing in Europe. I mean,

820
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:07,239
Speaker 1: it's still been one of the best offenses in Syria.

821
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 1: Let's not get that convoluted. They were second in x

822
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 1: G four and shots per ninety. They were first in

823
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,799
Speaker 1: box entries first and progressive passes and carries and guess

824
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:18,399
Speaker 1: what does much like Roma, they've got their core all

825
00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:20,520
Speaker 1: back together. The only thing they have to shore up

826
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 1: is their defense. You know, they were ninth and big

827
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,799
Speaker 1: scoring chances allowed, which you know ended up putting them

828
00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:28,640
Speaker 1: seventh in next year allowed. You know, they were second

829
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,279
Speaker 1: in shots per ninety and first in precious success rate

830
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,680
Speaker 1: and ball recoveries. So it's not crazy to think that

831
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,239
Speaker 1: Adelanta can do what they've done. You know, the two

832
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 1: years prior where they actually did finish inside the top

833
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 1: four and got in the Champions League. So two to

834
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:44,120
Speaker 1: one is a decent price for ad Alanta to get

835
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:44,879
Speaker 1: back in the top four.

836
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:47,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, the only thing that kind of scares

837
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:49,239
Speaker 2: me is the age profile of the team, you know,

838
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:53,279
Speaker 2: and Darun and Freuler are on the wrong side of thirty.

839
00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:53,440
Speaker 1: Now.

840
00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:58,839
Speaker 2: Zapata, Muriel and Ilichic did not play as many minutes

841
00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:00,359
Speaker 2: as you would have hoped for them to have played

842
00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:03,040
Speaker 2: last season. They still contributed in terms of goals. I mean,

843
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 2: they were getting a goal every of the game from

844
00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:07,919
Speaker 2: Murriel end Zapata last year. But they only got about

845
00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:09,719
Speaker 2: a season's worth of production from the two of them,

846
00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:14,399
Speaker 2: and Ilichich only played nine nineties. So it really comes

847
00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:16,440
Speaker 2: down to health and they had injury issues last year.

848
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:18,960
Speaker 2: They did do some pieces, you know, they got some

849
00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,279
Speaker 2: pieces in there to get a little younger. We love

850
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:27,759
Speaker 2: Ruslan Melanofski. We like Mario Pasolich. I think that kop

851
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:29,680
Speaker 2: Miners is going to be good and he had a

852
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:31,960
Speaker 2: decent season. I think he started He's taking some of

853
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:35,880
Speaker 2: those minutes from Deran and Freuler, but they still you know,

854
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 2: something felt off about Atalanta in the second half of

855
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 2: last season. And that's the one thing that scares me

856
00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:44,320
Speaker 2: with them is that they dropped off a lot. You know,

857
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:46,279
Speaker 2: a lot of their success was built on that run

858
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:50,080
Speaker 2: in October, November, December. They will benefit I think more

859
00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:51,880
Speaker 2: than the rest of the league in terms of not

860
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,840
Speaker 2: having a ton of players at the World Cup. Of course,

861
00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:57,399
Speaker 2: remember the Euros. It was the Euros of Atalanta. While

862
00:40:57,480 --> 00:41:03,200
Speaker 2: Murriel Zapata will not be in the World Cup, they

863
00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:04,840
Speaker 2: have a couple of Italians who will not be in

864
00:41:04,880 --> 00:41:07,040
Speaker 2: the World Cup. So they have a few guys who

865
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:11,200
Speaker 2: will you know, your passlich And and Freuler and Darun.

866
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:13,920
Speaker 2: But overall, I think they benefit more than those other

867
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:17,279
Speaker 2: teams who were, you know, maybe going to have more

868
00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:20,400
Speaker 2: players going. So that's one in sting angle on Atalanta.

869
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:22,360
Speaker 2: I don't dislike them. I think I'm kind of a

870
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 2: holding pattern on them, but we will be definitely one

871
00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 2: team that I'm looking to monitor early and if we

872
00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 2: like the early returns and they look like the Atalanta

873
00:41:31,440 --> 00:41:33,279
Speaker 2: of old, that's a that's a by signal because I

874
00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:36,040
Speaker 2: do think that they could just transition this squad and

875
00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:38,840
Speaker 2: get back to maybe not the best team in Italy,

876
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:42,480
Speaker 2: but you know, third fourth, hopefully finish around there, and

877
00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 2: it just feels like they always get the bad end

878
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 2: of the variant stick when it comes to teams finishing

879
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 2: against them, So they are always underperforming in defense despite

880
00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:52,880
Speaker 2: average goalkeeper place. Maybe they'll get a good season of

881
00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:55,880
Speaker 2: luck on that end. With that being said, we need

882
00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:58,759
Speaker 2: to talk about youve before we move on. Yeah, because

883
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:01,720
Speaker 2: they're the favorite with the co favorites with inter Milan.

884
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:06,279
Speaker 2: I personally could not sell that more. And I'm not

885
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:10,720
Speaker 2: an Allegriy guy. I'm not a Villahovich guy. I love Pagla,

886
00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:13,960
Speaker 2: but he's already injured. The Bala is gone. Kieza will

887
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:16,719
Speaker 2: be back healthy, but it's a major injury. He's coming

888
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:20,399
Speaker 2: off of. Marta is gone. Like, there's not that much

889
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 2: talent at this club right now, and they lose to

890
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:24,440
Speaker 2: Lit they get Bremer okay, one for one can argue

891
00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:27,200
Speaker 2: member is better. But what do you make of the Ventus?

892
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:29,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I'm not as down as on them

893
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 1: as much as you are. They definitely shouldn't be a

894
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 1: favorite with Inner Balan and that's kind of crazy. H

895
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:38,239
Speaker 1: you have Pawa can stay healthy, you.

896
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 2: Know he's already hurt.

897
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 1: He's already hurting, you know, he's already hurt. I think

898
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 1: chiz at back is probably the biggest thing for for them,

899
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:47,239
Speaker 1: if he can return to the level of play that

900
00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:49,920
Speaker 1: he was before the a cl injury. I mean, he's

901
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,279
Speaker 1: gonna he's gonna change that team so much. And I

902
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,279
Speaker 1: I mean, we both love Bremer as a center back,

903
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:56,720
Speaker 1: you know, so I agree with you that he's probably

904
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:58,839
Speaker 1: better than de LIXI I don't think they're gonna drop

905
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:01,800
Speaker 1: off defensively just because a licks gone, but they're you know,

906
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:04,520
Speaker 1: in Vlahoviak. You know, say what you will about him.

907
00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 1: He is a good striker, you know. He maybe he's

908
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:09,800
Speaker 1: not the level of a you know, a Romulukaku or

909
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:12,560
Speaker 1: or somebody else like that, but he still has a

910
00:43:12,600 --> 00:43:15,799
Speaker 1: great threat in front of goals. So I don't I mean,

911
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:18,400
Speaker 1: I see, you've a finishing top four. The odds are

912
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 1: not there for me even close to even come like

913
00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:22,759
Speaker 1: betting a top four or to win the league. But yes,

914
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 1: they should not be favorites with Inter. I mean, Inter

915
00:43:26,320 --> 00:43:28,880
Speaker 1: was leaps and pounds better than everybody last year, and

916
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:31,080
Speaker 1: they were plus forty two expect to go to differential.

917
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:32,880
Speaker 1: The next closest was like plus twenty five, Like it

918
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:35,880
Speaker 1: wasn't even close, and then they had Lukaku. But with

919
00:43:36,040 --> 00:43:38,719
Speaker 1: that being said, you know again, you know, plus one

920
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:41,040
Speaker 1: seventy five is awfully short to play them too, and

921
00:43:41,160 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 1: in a very convoluted you know, the Syria OD is

922
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,319
Speaker 1: very similar to the Premier League, where there's a clear

923
00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:50,000
Speaker 1: like top six or seven teams and you sometimes feel

924
00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 1: like any of them can win the league. This year

925
00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:54,640
Speaker 1: maybe not so much. But yeah, Inter is a little

926
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:56,200
Speaker 1: too short for me to play. But yeah, Events should

927
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:57,719
Speaker 1: not be a favorite with Hinter.

928
00:43:58,000 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, they always end up finding their way

929
00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:01,600
Speaker 2: into the top four, and I think they'll do that again,

930
00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:03,760
Speaker 2: but I just don't think they're anywhere near Inter despite

931
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:06,880
Speaker 2: the pricing, and maybe an even better bet if you

932
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 2: can find it. I mean, there's not a ton of

933
00:44:08,640 --> 00:44:10,600
Speaker 2: markets for these leagues, just you know why we could

934
00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:13,319
Speaker 2: decide to combine them all into one pod. But if

935
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:15,239
Speaker 2: you can find an Inter, you've a head to head

936
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:18,040
Speaker 2: market and they're actually lined at even you know, like

937
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:20,279
Speaker 2: minus one ten each way, and you can take out

938
00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:24,200
Speaker 2: the variants of like Milan, Roma or Napoli doing something crazy.

939
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:27,040
Speaker 2: That would be my one of my biggest bets of

940
00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 2: the year. So you know into Milan being better than Uventus,

941
00:44:30,760 --> 00:44:32,840
Speaker 2: and it's simple. I mean they played last year and

942
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 2: they most of those games were lopsided too, and then

943
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 2: they were better over thirty eight. So I like Inter

944
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:41,719
Speaker 2: a lot. I'm still buying them. I'm buying Roma, I'm

945
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 2: selling Juventus, and I'm kind of selling Napoli. But the

946
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:46,600
Speaker 2: market is too so kind of a holding pattern on them.

947
00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:49,960
Speaker 2: In Milan I think is adequately priced. So let's go

948
00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:51,800
Speaker 2: down to the bottom of the table, because I know

949
00:44:51,880 --> 00:44:54,200
Speaker 2: you have a lot of thoughts. Oh my gosh, I'm

950
00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 2: gonna go first. If you look at emply, they came

951
00:44:56,840 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 2: out last year, they had very mediocre numbers in Syria.

952
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:03,440
Speaker 2: Beh the prior year they came up. They were pretty

953
00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 2: good early in the season relatively, and then fell off

954
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:10,680
Speaker 2: a cliff second half, were conceding goals and chances left

955
00:45:10,719 --> 00:45:15,879
Speaker 2: and right. They actually their profile defensively was a relegation team.

956
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:17,960
Speaker 2: They just scored enough to stay up. And I have

957
00:45:18,080 --> 00:45:21,160
Speaker 2: seen that movie before enough, with teams who score enough

958
00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:24,560
Speaker 2: to stay up in year one despite horrible defensive numbers,

959
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:26,919
Speaker 2: and then year two they're in here, You're huge, huge

960
00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 2: trouble because the goal scoring just drops off just enough,

961
00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:33,600
Speaker 2: and now they're just still conceding all those goals. I

962
00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:37,279
Speaker 2: think defense is more stable year to year, and so

963
00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:39,960
Speaker 2: I'm going to roll with them to go down at

964
00:45:39,960 --> 00:45:40,400
Speaker 2: two to one.

965
00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:45,520
Speaker 1: Amplies was a very hilarious case last year where they

966
00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:48,880
Speaker 1: were pretty much the worst home team in Syria A

967
00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:51,560
Speaker 1: for a large hutch season. They actually like a positive

968
00:45:51,600 --> 00:45:54,080
Speaker 1: goal expected goal defential on the road, but at home

969
00:45:54,160 --> 00:45:57,200
Speaker 1: they were like minus fifteen. So that's kind of crazy

970
00:45:57,640 --> 00:46:01,720
Speaker 1: for me. I think it's time for me. So wherever

971
00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:03,279
Speaker 1: you're listening to this, you might want to sit down,

972
00:46:03,920 --> 00:46:05,880
Speaker 1: you know, maybe get another drink or whatever, because I

973
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:07,479
Speaker 1: got a story to tell you, and it's about Salad

974
00:46:07,680 --> 00:46:10,600
Speaker 1: Nitana and it's about the great escape that they pulled

975
00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:11,319
Speaker 1: off last year.

976
00:46:11,480 --> 00:46:12,440
Speaker 2: It is a beautiful thing.

977
00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:14,719
Speaker 1: It's you can call us a grudge bet, I don't

978
00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:16,520
Speaker 1: really care. It's that's probably what it is going to be.

979
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:18,920
Speaker 1: Then be relegated a plus one twenty five. I will

980
00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:22,360
Speaker 1: never know how they escaped. So the first thirty matches

981
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:26,319
Speaker 1: last year, they had sixteen points a minus thirty seven

982
00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:29,240
Speaker 1: expected gold diffrenchial and they were thirteen points from safety

983
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 1: with eight matches left to play. I mean, at one

984
00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:35,320
Speaker 1: point in the season last year, they they didn't have

985
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:37,520
Speaker 1: an owner and they were ten days away from getting

986
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:39,319
Speaker 1: kicked out of syria A and they needed to find

987
00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 1: an owner, and they did so they were able to

988
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:45,399
Speaker 1: stay in the final eight matches. They picked up fifteen points,

989
00:46:45,440 --> 00:46:48,040
Speaker 1: which was the third post during that stretch in syria A,

990
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:51,719
Speaker 1: everyone around them just cratered and they ended up surviving

991
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:56,120
Speaker 1: by one damn point. So overall for the season, they

992
00:46:56,160 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 1: had around a minus thirty expected gold differential, which was

993
00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:02,640
Speaker 1: the second worst mark in Syria outside of Anetsia. So

994
00:47:02,719 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 1: I also had the second worst expected points. They just

995
00:47:05,239 --> 00:47:08,880
Speaker 1: sold their best midfield Edison to Atalanta. They bought a

996
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:11,319
Speaker 1: bunch of backups from bigger clubs to try and fill

997
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:15,440
Speaker 1: the void. I don't know how they survive unless the

998
00:47:15,560 --> 00:47:19,920
Speaker 1: three newly promoted clubs are just truly awful, because they

999
00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:22,440
Speaker 1: are truly the worst team I believe in syria A

1000
00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:24,880
Speaker 1: that survived from last season. So they have to be

1001
00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:26,920
Speaker 1: one of my relegation picks. I had them be relegated

1002
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 1: last year and that was one of the probably one

1003
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 1: of the worst beats I've had in a long time.

1004
00:47:31,040 --> 00:47:33,479
Speaker 1: I have another one, and this one. I'll be honest,

1005
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:35,640
Speaker 1: I gasped when I saw this. I couldn't believe it.

1006
00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:37,920
Speaker 1: Manza five to one to be relegated one of the

1007
00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:39,719
Speaker 1: newly promoted teams. They had to come up through the

1008
00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:43,600
Speaker 1: relegation playoff. They be piece of four to three like

1009
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:45,319
Speaker 1: just to get here. This is the first time they've

1010
00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:48,160
Speaker 1: been in Syria A in their club's history, which is

1011
00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:52,040
Speaker 1: over one hundred years. They're close to Tarno, to the

1012
00:47:52,080 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 1: same mounds the Turino be relegated, which I think is

1013
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:57,560
Speaker 1: just truly astonishing. I mean, last year in Syria Bay

1014
00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:02,160
Speaker 1: they had a plus point zero six expected goal differential

1015
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:05,319
Speaker 1: per ninety minutes one point five to one for one

1016
00:48:05,360 --> 00:48:08,200
Speaker 1: point four to five against. On average, since twenty seventeen,

1017
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:11,080
Speaker 1: teams coming up from the second Division Italy to Syria

1018
00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:13,799
Speaker 1: A see a thirty percent decrease and they're expected goals

1019
00:48:13,840 --> 00:48:16,279
Speaker 1: four and around a thirty seven percent increase, and they

1020
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:18,640
Speaker 1: are expected goals allowed per match. So doing some math,

1021
00:48:19,080 --> 00:48:22,320
Speaker 1: Monza is going to have projected to be a minus

1022
00:48:22,640 --> 00:48:25,400
Speaker 1: point nine to three extra per ninety extra differential per

1023
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:27,280
Speaker 1: ninety that would put them dead last in the table

1024
00:48:27,800 --> 00:48:31,960
Speaker 1: by far. They went out and got a bunch of

1025
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:35,400
Speaker 1: guys from you know, mid table clubs on loan to

1026
00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:37,319
Speaker 1: help try and fill the void. So if you look

1027
00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 1: at their transfer market profile, you'll see they're like, ah,

1028
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:43,439
Speaker 1: probably like fifth to bottom in terms of total transfer value.

1029
00:48:43,440 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 1: A lot of that's just guys on loan. So at

1030
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 1: plus five hundred, I find that crazy that they're near

1031
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:54,160
Speaker 1: to Reno to be relegated considering, you know, they barely

1032
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:57,440
Speaker 1: had a positive expected goal differential in the second Division.

1033
00:48:57,560 --> 00:49:00,400
Speaker 1: So Monza five to one for me, has to be

1034
00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:01,800
Speaker 1: one of the relegation teams.

1035
00:49:02,160 --> 00:49:04,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm looking at that now because that is interesting.

1036
00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:10,000
Speaker 2: Manza is the sixth worst odds twenty six percent though

1037
00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:12,960
Speaker 2: to get relegated, so plus five hundred still a good

1038
00:49:13,040 --> 00:49:16,680
Speaker 2: number on them. They're this relegation race really is crazy.

1039
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:18,640
Speaker 2: It's going to be crazy, Yeah, throughout the entire cities,

1040
00:49:18,640 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 2: because like I'm you could probably draw a line at

1041
00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:24,960
Speaker 2: Bolowna down and you can say Santoria, Manza, lech Apal, Kremen,

1042
00:49:25,200 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 2: Specia and Sournitana. So that's that's still seven teams that

1043
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:34,080
Speaker 2: are realistically over twenty percent to get relegated based on

1044
00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:36,319
Speaker 2: five thirty eight, and not one of them is over

1045
00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:39,840
Speaker 2: fifty percent, so I mean, of course it would be

1046
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:42,320
Speaker 2: really bad at that point, but they do not have

1047
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:44,840
Speaker 2: five thirty eight does not have spet Soururnitana as the

1048
00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:45,680
Speaker 2: worst team in the league.

1049
00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:46,520
Speaker 1: They have Spezia.

1050
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,600
Speaker 2: I have not finished my updating on the three newly

1051
00:49:50,640 --> 00:49:53,839
Speaker 2: promoted Italian teams, but I have Spezzia worse or better

1052
00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:54,600
Speaker 2: than Sournyitana.

1053
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:56,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll give you a little quick preview of the

1054
00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:58,920
Speaker 1: three points. So Leche has been here before, if you

1055
00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:02,879
Speaker 1: remember they were they got relegated during the pandemic season. Yeah, yeah,

1056
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:05,880
Speaker 1: in nineteen twenty. I was going back and looking. I

1057
00:50:05,960 --> 00:50:08,360
Speaker 1: think they allowed the most expected goals of anybody like

1058
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:10,400
Speaker 1: in a season since we started tracking them. It was

1059
00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:15,000
Speaker 1: ninety two expected goals. That was that's bad. Yeah, so,

1060
00:50:15,360 --> 00:50:16,960
Speaker 1: but they did win the league last year. They had

1061
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:20,200
Speaker 1: you know, decent expected goals numbers. Kremin Essay is an

1062
00:50:20,200 --> 00:50:25,040
Speaker 1: interesting case. They like have the lowest squad value of

1063
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:28,200
Speaker 1: anybody in Europe's top five leagues. So I mean the rightfully,

1064
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:30,680
Speaker 1: so that the favorite to get relegated and you know,

1065
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:34,600
Speaker 1: the Manza with their squad value being you know, fifteenth, fourteenth,

1066
00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:37,440
Speaker 1: it makes it kind of interesting, but again the odds

1067
00:50:37,440 --> 00:50:40,160
Speaker 1: are not reflecting that. So yeah, the relegation fight is

1068
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:42,239
Speaker 1: going to be very interesting because this last year, I

1069
00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:44,239
Speaker 1: think we was kind of a surprise to see, you know,

1070
00:50:44,320 --> 00:50:48,759
Speaker 1: Kagilaria and Genoa get relegated. So yeah, it's going to

1071
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:51,280
Speaker 1: be a crazy relegation fight in Syria.

1072
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:54,320
Speaker 2: All right, let's move to the Golden Boot. I like Tammy.

1073
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:57,200
Speaker 2: I already talked about why I like Tammy. Classic example

1074
00:50:57,239 --> 00:51:00,480
Speaker 2: of a guy underperforming despite putting up impressive goal scoring numbers.

1075
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:02,719
Speaker 2: He needs to stay healthier, but he also led the

1076
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:04,880
Speaker 2: league in posts last year. He hit six posts, so

1077
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:07,959
Speaker 2: he's not miss him by much. He's just a little

1078
00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 2: bit off, and so you know, you get a couple

1079
00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:10,640
Speaker 2: of bounces your way. Maybe if you hit him off

1080
00:51:10,680 --> 00:51:13,000
Speaker 2: the post, they still go in. You know, he could

1081
00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:14,719
Speaker 2: get a few of those and he could win the

1082
00:51:14,760 --> 00:51:18,600
Speaker 2: Golden Boot. Here. It really is a pretty open race.

1083
00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 2: If Martinez and Lukaku split their goals up. Yeah, that

1084
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:26,600
Speaker 2: was Lahovic. I'm not a buyer. Yeah, you know, zero

1085
00:51:26,600 --> 00:51:29,239
Speaker 2: point four to five x g P ninety and at

1086
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:31,800
Speaker 2: Juve everybody told me, by the way that this was

1087
00:51:31,840 --> 00:51:34,080
Speaker 2: what people told me was oh well, you know, if

1088
00:51:34,120 --> 00:51:36,440
Speaker 2: he did that at Fiorentina, imagine how good he'll be,

1089
00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:39,279
Speaker 2: you know, when he gets to go to a great

1090
00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:43,880
Speaker 2: team like Juventus. And then you look at the numbers.

1091
00:51:44,480 --> 00:51:47,279
Speaker 2: He had point six two x chip per ninety at

1092
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:50,439
Speaker 2: Fiorentina last season and he dropped too point four five

1093
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:54,520
Speaker 2: at Juventus, which is definitely intriguing. And his goals for

1094
00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:57,160
Speaker 2: ninety went down from point eight two too point five

1095
00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:59,360
Speaker 2: to nine. So again, he's still a good player. But

1096
00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:00,520
Speaker 2: that's cool.

1097
00:52:01,120 --> 00:52:03,360
Speaker 1: Let's cool. And he's not like the best striker in Syria.

1098
00:52:03,560 --> 00:52:06,280
Speaker 2: Okay, let's cool it The best striker in Syria plays

1099
00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:10,359
Speaker 2: for Napoli. Victor Ossi men another dark horse potentially. Yeah, yeah,

1100
00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:12,600
Speaker 2: I'm going to go with I'm gonna go with Tammy

1101
00:52:13,320 --> 00:52:15,080
Speaker 2: for the actual bet here.

1102
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:17,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, Ilishman's one of the favorites. He'd probably been mine too,

1103
00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:19,560
Speaker 1: now that you know Insignia's gone. You know, it takes

1104
00:52:19,560 --> 00:52:21,719
Speaker 1: away from potentially some of his goals. I'm going to

1105
00:52:21,760 --> 00:52:23,520
Speaker 1: go with a little bit of an older guy, and

1106
00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 1: you know, it's a little bit of a risk because

1107
00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:27,400
Speaker 1: he got injured last year. He's on the run. You know,

1108
00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:31,080
Speaker 1: he's thirty one years old, but duvon Zapata alount to

1109
00:52:31,160 --> 00:52:33,560
Speaker 1: sixteen to one. I think if he stays healthy as

1110
00:52:33,560 --> 00:52:37,320
Speaker 1: an absolute shot to win this only completed nineteen nineties

1111
00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:39,680
Speaker 1: last year last season, but did put up a point

1112
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:42,320
Speaker 1: seven to one actually for ninety minute scoring rate and

1113
00:52:42,360 --> 00:52:45,680
Speaker 1: average over four shots for ninety only. He and Laturo

1114
00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:48,040
Speaker 1: Martinez are the only two guys that did that in

1115
00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:51,840
Speaker 1: Syria last year. You know, like already mentioned, suddenly Martinez

1116
00:52:51,880 --> 00:52:54,640
Speaker 1: has some competition in his side for the goals. So

1117
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:57,640
Speaker 1: given the fact we got a main striker on the

1118
00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:00,319
Speaker 1: second best offense in Syria, but I expected goals year

1119
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:02,600
Speaker 1: at sixteen to one is too good to pass up.

1120
00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:05,480
Speaker 1: And like I already mentioned, Adelanta is not playing in Europe,

1121
00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:08,800
Speaker 1: so for an older guy like Zapata, who won't be used,

1122
00:53:08,960 --> 00:53:11,960
Speaker 1: you know, in an extra day throughout the season, gets

1123
00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:14,040
Speaker 1: to focus on Syria A I think it's a decent

1124
00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:15,239
Speaker 1: price for him doing Golden Boot.

1125
00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:17,680
Speaker 2: He also should be on Pens and we'll have the

1126
00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:20,960
Speaker 2: World Cup. Yeah, so that's two more reasons to like

1127
00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:24,719
Speaker 2: what you're getting out of mister Zapata. I sure it

1128
00:53:24,800 --> 00:53:27,000
Speaker 2: will be rooting for Atlanta to get back into the

1129
00:53:27,040 --> 00:53:31,279
Speaker 2: top four. Let's go to our final league, Ligan, which

1130
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 2: was very good to me. Last season, Marseille was very

1131
00:53:34,160 --> 00:53:34,560
Speaker 2: good to me.

1132
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:35,080
Speaker 1: I know that.

1133
00:53:35,160 --> 00:53:37,919
Speaker 2: I know they're back in the Champions League. Wild boo

1134
00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:41,400
Speaker 2: are masse We're going to be fading them pretty hard

1135
00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:43,520
Speaker 2: this year though. That's where I want to start with

1136
00:53:43,600 --> 00:53:46,239
Speaker 2: this conversation, because I don't think any of us think

1137
00:53:46,400 --> 00:53:50,160
Speaker 2: PSG isn't going to win Ligan. I'm excited to see

1138
00:53:50,200 --> 00:53:53,600
Speaker 2: what they look like under Christoph Gotier, where we're both

1139
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:54,239
Speaker 2: fans of him.

1140
00:53:54,480 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 1: I just want to see if they'renna play four to

1141
00:53:55,920 --> 00:53:57,440
Speaker 1: four two. It'd be so funny, yeah, I.

1142
00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:01,840
Speaker 2: And look, they they've made some decent signings. You know,

1143
00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:03,080
Speaker 2: sing would be a good addition.

1144
00:54:03,960 --> 00:54:04,160
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1145
00:54:04,440 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 2: You know, they got rid of de Maria, which I

1146
00:54:05,680 --> 00:54:07,960
Speaker 2: think isn't net positive because he just doesn't run anymore.

1147
00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 2: And they already have enough of those guys with Messi

1148
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:13,520
Speaker 2: and neymar and so I'm excited to see what PSG

1149
00:54:13,640 --> 00:54:15,480
Speaker 2: looks like. But that's more of a Champions League question

1150
00:54:16,080 --> 00:54:17,319
Speaker 2: than it is a League one question.

1151
00:54:17,680 --> 00:54:17,879
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1152
00:54:18,280 --> 00:54:20,640
Speaker 2: Uh, you know, maybe if we notice something we can

1153
00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:22,400
Speaker 2: bet on or bet against them, you know in some

1154
00:54:22,480 --> 00:54:24,239
Speaker 2: of these matchups, like we did last year early in

1155
00:54:24,239 --> 00:54:28,040
Speaker 2: the season under Pocacino. But really the conversation in legue

1156
00:54:28,080 --> 00:54:31,120
Speaker 2: On always starts with Okay, who's next, and I think

1157
00:54:31,160 --> 00:54:34,400
Speaker 2: it's again it's wide open. Marseille has the second best odds.

1158
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:36,520
Speaker 2: I think we're in agreement though that that should not

1159
00:54:36,560 --> 00:54:36,960
Speaker 2: be the case.

1160
00:54:37,640 --> 00:54:40,760
Speaker 1: No, William Slave is gone. He was their best defender

1161
00:54:40,840 --> 00:54:43,600
Speaker 1: by far, so that that's a big net negative for them.

1162
00:54:43,600 --> 00:54:46,200
Speaker 1: They haven't done really much to replace him, and I

1163
00:54:46,239 --> 00:54:49,080
Speaker 1: think the teams around them have just truly gotten better.

1164
00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:54,200
Speaker 1: I mean, Monico made some great signings to help their attack,

1165
00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:57,919
Speaker 1: to help ben Yett or they obviously lose too many,

1166
00:54:58,000 --> 00:55:00,600
Speaker 1: but they definitely have some guy around and that can

1167
00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:03,040
Speaker 1: help it out. And there's some other guy teams down

1168
00:55:03,120 --> 00:55:06,719
Speaker 1: the board that I'm actually liking quite a bit. You know,

1169
00:55:06,800 --> 00:55:10,360
Speaker 1: it's a pretty convoluted race there with Ren who you know,

1170
00:55:10,440 --> 00:55:13,359
Speaker 1: they just lost their best defender. You have Nice who

1171
00:55:13,520 --> 00:55:18,560
Speaker 1: just lost their manager. Leone has been a catastrophe defensively

1172
00:55:18,640 --> 00:55:21,000
Speaker 1: last year, didn't really do anything to get better, So

1173
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:24,840
Speaker 1: the anti luck box the anti luck box. So you

1174
00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:28,279
Speaker 1: have a kind of an open race, and you know,

1175
00:55:28,880 --> 00:55:31,080
Speaker 1: in terms of you listen, if I were to better

1176
00:55:31,120 --> 00:55:33,719
Speaker 1: team for winner. Without PSG, you would be Monaco by far.

1177
00:55:33,840 --> 00:55:36,960
Speaker 1: I mean, they're actually numbers were crazy good last year.

1178
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:41,000
Speaker 1: But you know, bet MGM has top three markets because France,

1179
00:55:41,120 --> 00:55:42,960
Speaker 1: you know, the top three teams go to the Champions League,

1180
00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:45,560
Speaker 1: not the top four. In my pick, it's gonna be

1181
00:55:45,560 --> 00:55:49,759
Speaker 1: Strasbourg at fourteen to one. They finished fourth in league

1182
00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:52,640
Speaker 1: on expected gold differential, did not lose anybody in the

1183
00:55:52,680 --> 00:55:54,360
Speaker 1: transfer market. In fact, they made some moves that I

1184
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:57,600
Speaker 1: think will improve them. Colin Dagma right back on loan

1185
00:55:57,640 --> 00:55:59,799
Speaker 1: from PSG, will you know, provide some depth for them.

1186
00:56:00,160 --> 00:56:02,759
Speaker 1: They made Lucas Parenz loan deal permanent from Marseille. He

1187
00:56:02,840 --> 00:56:05,200
Speaker 1: was one of their best defenders. And this team was

1188
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:07,600
Speaker 1: on the doorstep of a top three finish last year.

1189
00:56:07,640 --> 00:56:10,560
Speaker 1: They were on April twentieth, with five matches left to go,

1190
00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:12,719
Speaker 1: they were in third place, and then they kind of

1191
00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:14,600
Speaker 1: stumbled down the stretch in the last few matches, and

1192
00:56:14,640 --> 00:56:16,959
Speaker 1: I'd argue, you know, like I already said, the teams

1193
00:56:16,960 --> 00:56:20,800
Speaker 1: they're competing with have taken a step back outside of Monaco.

1194
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:23,880
Speaker 1: So for them to be top three at a price

1195
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:26,960
Speaker 1: of fourteen to one, I think is fantastic you know

1196
00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:29,400
Speaker 1: I'm not. I mean, Lens got got rated of all

1197
00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:31,200
Speaker 1: their good players, so they're not going to be any good.

1198
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:34,120
Speaker 1: So if you want a team that's going to break

1199
00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:37,520
Speaker 1: into the top three, I think Strasbourg at fourteen to

1200
00:56:37,640 --> 00:56:39,000
Speaker 1: one is a good price.

1201
00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:41,719
Speaker 2: Look, I love two of many and I think he's

1202
00:56:41,719 --> 00:56:44,640
Speaker 2: a great player. And I think Real Madrid made a

1203
00:56:44,680 --> 00:56:47,600
Speaker 2: great you know, obviously they spend a boatload of money.

1204
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:50,000
Speaker 2: He better be good, right but and I think that

1205
00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:52,520
Speaker 2: is a loss for Monaco, But I think that they

1206
00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:55,480
Speaker 2: will be able to cope, and I still really like

1207
00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:59,200
Speaker 2: their defense. I still really like the addition at braille

1208
00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:02,080
Speaker 2: En Below. Of course, horse from Glodbach. If you know me,

1209
00:57:02,239 --> 00:57:04,000
Speaker 2: you know I love Gladbach. You know I love braille

1210
00:57:04,040 --> 00:57:08,520
Speaker 2: Enblow and I think he's perennially underrated. He was in

1211
00:57:08,600 --> 00:57:12,840
Speaker 2: a really bad situation at Gladbach last year where the

1212
00:57:12,920 --> 00:57:15,560
Speaker 2: team kind of quit on the manager and that was

1213
00:57:15,640 --> 00:57:19,360
Speaker 2: very evident very early defensively, but remember if you look

1214
00:57:19,400 --> 00:57:21,160
Speaker 2: at some of the numbers, En Below was putting up

1215
00:57:21,160 --> 00:57:24,520
Speaker 2: good numbers. The finishing wasn't quite there, but the attack

1216
00:57:24,600 --> 00:57:29,360
Speaker 2: for Gladbach was still good despite how bad the defense was,

1217
00:57:29,560 --> 00:57:30,920
Speaker 2: and a lot of that has to do with what

1218
00:57:31,080 --> 00:57:33,760
Speaker 2: Enblo is able to do as a forward where he's

1219
00:57:33,800 --> 00:57:35,960
Speaker 2: not the kind who's going to run in behind. He

1220
00:57:36,160 --> 00:57:38,360
Speaker 2: is the come get the ball and be a part

1221
00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:42,080
Speaker 2: of your attack ball progression, create for others as well,

1222
00:57:42,640 --> 00:57:45,120
Speaker 2: and I think he can do a lot of you know,

1223
00:57:45,240 --> 00:57:48,720
Speaker 2: the too many ball progression that was actually missing with you.

1224
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:50,880
Speaker 2: They're going to be missing this year with him being gone,

1225
00:57:50,960 --> 00:57:53,320
Speaker 2: and so I love that edition. I think that was

1226
00:57:53,360 --> 00:57:57,320
Speaker 2: a great buy, and just generally speaking on them, you know,

1227
00:57:57,440 --> 00:57:59,480
Speaker 2: if you're looking at the market and you kind of

1228
00:57:59,520 --> 00:58:01,840
Speaker 2: made the case, you know, we do press elimination here.

1229
00:58:02,240 --> 00:58:06,880
Speaker 2: It wasn't just him. They added Minemino, and I think

1230
00:58:06,920 --> 00:58:08,840
Speaker 2: Minemino kind of got lost in the shuffle there. But

1231
00:58:08,920 --> 00:58:11,120
Speaker 2: he's still a good player, like he's he was productive

1232
00:58:11,200 --> 00:58:14,360
Speaker 2: prior to Liverpool and he had some good moments for Liverpool,

1233
00:58:14,400 --> 00:58:16,520
Speaker 2: but he was just never at that level. Now I

1234
00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:19,200
Speaker 2: think he's at a level where he can really shine

1235
00:58:19,440 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 2: in this league. And you know, they still have more

1236
00:58:22,120 --> 00:58:24,440
Speaker 2: money they could spend. It wouldn't shock me if they

1237
00:58:24,520 --> 00:58:27,400
Speaker 2: went out and made more signings. So you know, you

1238
00:58:27,520 --> 00:58:30,560
Speaker 2: sell your biggest player for eighty plus million and then

1239
00:58:30,600 --> 00:58:32,760
Speaker 2: you go replace him with a couple of good wingers

1240
00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:34,440
Speaker 2: who do good you know, a winger who does good

1241
00:58:34,480 --> 00:58:36,720
Speaker 2: ball progression and a forward who does good ball progression,

1242
00:58:37,200 --> 00:58:40,880
Speaker 2: and maybe you can get one more guy. We still love.

1243
00:58:40,960 --> 00:58:42,520
Speaker 2: Like I said, I still love their defense. I think

1244
00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:44,760
Speaker 2: they're clearly the second best team. I bet them plus

1245
00:58:44,800 --> 00:58:47,360
Speaker 2: three fifty to finish in the top three, and I

1246
00:58:47,640 --> 00:58:50,680
Speaker 2: think that they are going to be there come the

1247
00:58:50,920 --> 00:58:54,520
Speaker 2: end of the season. So our last thing is the

1248
00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:56,800
Speaker 2: Golden Boot. In France, I don't have anything here. This

1249
00:58:57,000 --> 00:58:59,800
Speaker 2: is like the bottom of the barrel market. I mean yeah,

1250
00:59:00,160 --> 00:59:01,920
Speaker 2: but it's probably like two books that offer this. But

1251
00:59:02,200 --> 00:59:04,840
Speaker 2: if Pape Messi and Neymar decide to just take a

1252
00:59:05,080 --> 00:59:06,640
Speaker 2: season off, who you got for golden Boot?

1253
00:59:06,880 --> 00:59:10,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, so Caesars has this. If you have Caesars and

1254
00:59:10,040 --> 00:59:14,160
Speaker 1: wherever you're you're located, killing Himbappe has a minus two

1255
00:59:14,240 --> 00:59:15,920
Speaker 1: hundred favorite for Golden Boot. I don't know if I've

1256
00:59:15,920 --> 00:59:19,240
Speaker 1: ever seen a guy be that maybe that big of

1257
00:59:19,280 --> 00:59:22,840
Speaker 1: a favorite. Maybe it was Robert Lewandowski in the Bundesliga.

1258
00:59:22,920 --> 00:59:25,880
Speaker 1: But there's a guy I kind of like, uh Musa

1259
00:59:25,920 --> 00:59:29,160
Speaker 1: di Bile from the own Unbelievable Actually per ninety minutes

1260
00:59:29,200 --> 00:59:32,480
Speaker 1: scoring great. He was auto point eight for ninety last year.

1261
00:59:33,280 --> 00:59:35,920
Speaker 1: And for guys who have for there's only four players

1262
00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:40,240
Speaker 1: who have played over twenty matches that have averaged at

1263
00:59:40,320 --> 00:59:42,800
Speaker 1: least a point eight actually P ninety, it's Robert Lewandowski,

1264
00:59:43,400 --> 00:59:47,880
Speaker 1: Arling Holland, Kareem Benzema and Musa dem Bile. Kind of

1265
00:59:47,920 --> 00:59:51,120
Speaker 1: crazy twenty one goals off of eighteen around nineteen expected

1266
00:59:51,640 --> 00:59:54,240
Speaker 1: over twenty five nineties was fourth, and shots per ninety

1267
00:59:54,360 --> 00:59:58,280
Speaker 1: and lee On three point three you know again, and

1268
00:59:58,360 --> 01:00:01,480
Speaker 1: Bob is obviously the favorite minus two hundred. But dem

1269
01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:05,120
Speaker 1: Bile is going to play consistent, open, high scoring games

1270
01:00:05,160 --> 01:00:08,040
Speaker 1: because Leyon's defense was garbage last year and it's going

1271
01:00:08,120 --> 01:00:11,000
Speaker 1: to be garbage again this year. Lacazette comes in, I

1272
01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:12,920
Speaker 1: don't really you know, he's twelve to one. He's ahead

1273
01:00:12,920 --> 01:00:15,680
Speaker 1: of den Baile. I highly doubt that he's going to

1274
01:00:15,720 --> 01:00:18,240
Speaker 1: play ahead of him. I don't see how that makes

1275
01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:22,040
Speaker 1: any sense. Also, leone, they finished in eighth place. They're

1276
01:00:22,080 --> 01:00:24,160
Speaker 1: not playing in Europe, so full attention on League on

1277
01:00:24,240 --> 01:00:27,200
Speaker 1: for den Bile should be able to start every single match.

1278
01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:31,240
Speaker 1: So sixteen to one on the xual P ninety leader

1279
01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:34,240
Speaker 1: from league on last year. I think it's a fantastic price.

1280
01:00:34,960 --> 01:00:37,360
Speaker 2: I'm just surprised you didn't manage. We managed to talk

1281
01:00:37,360 --> 01:00:39,520
Speaker 2: about France for almost ten minutes. We did not mention

1282
01:00:39,680 --> 01:00:40,720
Speaker 2: Lele that's.

1283
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:43,160
Speaker 1: That is yeah, I mean they lost, they lost a ton.

1284
01:00:43,560 --> 01:00:45,840
Speaker 2: Yeah they're there. But if you had that ticket, you

1285
01:00:46,000 --> 01:00:48,640
Speaker 2: just cashed your first bet of the season. That will

1286
01:00:48,760 --> 01:00:51,520
Speaker 2: do it. We broke down all four of the main

1287
01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:54,480
Speaker 2: leagues outside of England. We talked France, we talked Spain,

1288
01:00:54,600 --> 01:00:56,360
Speaker 2: we talked Germany, we talked Italy. We gave out a

1289
01:00:56,400 --> 01:00:58,760
Speaker 2: bunch of bets. We're taking some long shots, a couple

1290
01:00:58,800 --> 01:01:02,520
Speaker 2: of favorites. I cannot wait. The season in Europe gets

1291
01:01:02,600 --> 01:01:06,439
Speaker 2: underway on Friday. If you have not already listened, please

1292
01:01:06,520 --> 01:01:09,600
Speaker 2: go back listen to our Premier League preview podcast. We

1293
01:01:09,720 --> 01:01:11,520
Speaker 2: went through our favorite picks. We spent about an hour

1294
01:01:11,600 --> 01:01:14,320
Speaker 2: going through all those games. Then we did our point

1295
01:01:14,360 --> 01:01:17,240
Speaker 2: total draft, going through all twenty Premier League teams. We

1296
01:01:17,320 --> 01:01:19,200
Speaker 2: are forced to take an over and under on every

1297
01:01:19,240 --> 01:01:21,880
Speaker 2: single one. We drafted picks one by one. It was

1298
01:01:21,920 --> 01:01:23,400
Speaker 2: a lot of fun. We had a laun Shapiro on

1299
01:01:23,520 --> 01:01:28,480
Speaker 2: from the FMLFPL podcast. Then we have this and on Thursday.

1300
01:01:29,080 --> 01:01:32,440
Speaker 2: Our first weekend preview of the season will be out

1301
01:01:32,640 --> 01:01:36,240
Speaker 2: wherever you get your podcasts on Thursday morning. Very excited

1302
01:01:36,560 --> 01:01:38,480
Speaker 2: because then we are just one day away from the

1303
01:01:38,560 --> 01:01:42,080
Speaker 2: season beginning. We've got Arsenal and Palace, We've got Frankfurt

1304
01:01:42,520 --> 01:01:45,040
Speaker 2: and Byron. I know there's a French game that I'm

1305
01:01:45,040 --> 01:01:47,320
Speaker 2: forgetting right now, but it's going to be awesome. We've

1306
01:01:47,320 --> 01:01:49,040
Speaker 2: got our first full weekend and then we've got ten

1307
01:01:49,360 --> 01:01:53,400
Speaker 2: straight months of jam packed soccer action. Thank you all

1308
01:01:53,480 --> 01:01:56,080
Speaker 2: for listening, and if you haven't already joined, we are

1309
01:01:56,200 --> 01:01:58,920
Speaker 2: doing Fantasy Premier League this year. The link is in

1310
01:01:59,040 --> 01:02:01,960
Speaker 2: the show notes for our draft pod that we did.

1311
01:02:02,200 --> 01:02:04,080
Speaker 2: If you want to join us and have some fun

1312
01:02:04,240 --> 01:02:06,720
Speaker 2: in the prem this year, there will be prizes for

1313
01:02:06,880 --> 01:02:08,960
Speaker 2: the winners. None of us are any good at fantasy,

1314
01:02:09,080 --> 01:02:11,760
Speaker 2: so you probably beat us. That'll do it for another

1315
01:02:11,840 --> 01:02:15,480
Speaker 2: episode of Wander Goal for my co host b J Cunningham,

1316
01:02:15,560 --> 01:02:18,240
Speaker 2: I'm Anthony Dubundo Michael Leebo. We'll be back in the

1317
01:02:18,280 --> 01:02:21,360
Speaker 2: host chair for our first weekend preview Thursday,