1 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday morning 2 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. 3 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 1: Great to be back with you guys here on the 4 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast. Bettingpros dot com always beat about to 5 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:24,280 Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. You guys should know by now 6 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 1: the bet MGM offer right above me here on YouTube 7 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:29,319 Speaker 1: ten dollars bet win one hundred and fifty dollars on 8 00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 1: any event juice one fifty promo code juice one fifty 9 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 1: at BETMGM betemgm dot com on the BETMGM application. Unfortunately, 10 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:42,480 Speaker 1: for the gambler who had seven hundred and twenty six 11 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: thousand dollars riding on that twenty five dollars free wager 12 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: that he had from BETMGM, he does not cash it 13 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: because well, the excuse me, Lions do not cash thelus 14 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: four hundred. Of the other thirteen legs, the biggest leg 15 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 1: he left was the Lions at plus four hundred. You 16 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 1: may have thought he might have gone with the packers there, 17 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 1: but it probably wouldn't have been as big of a payout. 18 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 1: But man, that was tough for that guy. If you 19 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: were wondering what I would have done, I was asked 20 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 1: as like five times, what I would have done. I 21 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: would have called every single person that I knew. I 22 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: would have asked them to give me every last dime 23 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:26,680 Speaker 1: that they can possibly scrounge up, and then I would 24 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 1: go to a bank. I would go to a money launderer. 25 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 1: I would go to a shark. I'd go to anybody 26 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:35,919 Speaker 1: I possibly could go to to get like three hundred 27 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: and fifty thousand dollars to go and bet on the 28 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers and try my darnedest, because three hundred 29 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: and fifty thousand dollars would have paid out I think 30 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 1: somewhere in the neighborhood of like fifty grand or something 31 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 1: like that. So you would have won fifty grand. Okay, 32 00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 1: it would have been great. You lose your twenty five bucks, 33 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: you win your fifty grand. 34 00:01:57,920 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 2: And away you go. 35 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: Because the Packers were winning that game yesterday. Everybody knew 36 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 1: the Packers were going to win that game yesterday. And 37 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: unfortunately for that gambler, that parlay does not hit. Not 38 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:10,639 Speaker 1: that shocking, not at all. We all kind of knew 39 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 1: that wasn't gonna hit, but you know, it is what 40 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 1: it is. Unfortunately, for that one gambler, but hedging hedging hedging, 41 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:19,639 Speaker 1: and it was a free wager, so there was no 42 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: offer to cash out. So that's why the guy had 43 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: to let it roll. But go find a book in 44 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 1: Vegas that would have taken it in pretty much anybody 45 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: would have taken it, you know, taken the three hundred. 46 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 2: Fifty k to pay out fifty. 47 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 1: They would have taken that bet on green Bay with 48 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,120 Speaker 1: the shocker of the Lions would have won. They would 49 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 1: have taken that bet. So unfortunately, green Bay wins and 50 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 1: that big, huge fourteen leg parlay does not cash, and 51 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:46,239 Speaker 1: so that big bet does not come in and hit 52 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 1: seven hundred and twenty six grand on the Lions. They 53 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:53,080 Speaker 1: were winning at halftime. We got that wrong. It was 54 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:55,640 Speaker 1: the only happy to bet we got wrong. Minus seven 55 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:59,119 Speaker 1: didn't come in. Over forty eight and a half comes in. 56 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:01,919 Speaker 1: Team total for the green Bay Packers comes in. We 57 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 1: go one and one on the props. So we're up 58 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: just like a little bit tonight, just a teeny tiny bit. 59 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 2: But it's a winning day. Okay, I'm not gonna scoff 60 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:09,959 Speaker 2: at it. 61 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 1: A four and three day, not a huge win by 62 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,239 Speaker 1: any means, because we're dealing with half units, not full units, 63 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 1: but it's a winning day. Four and three, two and 64 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:19,079 Speaker 1: one on the half units, one and one on the 65 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 1: prop bets. And so I mean MBS was opened like 66 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: five times. Rogers kept on missing him. He could have 67 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 1: scored like two touchdowns in that game, kept on missing him, 68 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: kept overthrowing him, throwing them ball too far. 69 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 2: That's stung. 70 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 1: So we didn't get that prop right, but we did 71 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: get the hockins and yardage prop right, so that came 72 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:38,200 Speaker 1: in that hit for us at mass one fifteen. So 73 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: all in all, a winning day, not big, but a 74 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 1: winning day here on a on a Monday. 75 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 2: So here on. 76 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 1: Tuesday, this is what we're gonna do. I've got two 77 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: bets for Week three in the NFL. I'm gonna give 78 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 1: you today. I'll explain a little bit more as to 79 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: what bets are making. But I'm betting these numbers now 80 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,120 Speaker 1: because I'm pretty sure these numbers are gonna climb, and 81 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 1: I think getting the key numbers are important to get them. 82 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 2: Locked in right now. 83 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: And just kind of hope that there's no COVID problems 84 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 1: in big issues or injuries in practice or whatnot that 85 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 1: causes these bets. And but we have time to bet 86 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 1: to buy out of them if we need to, So 87 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: just I'll. 88 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 2: Give your heads up. 89 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: There's a chance I could buy, you know, bet the 90 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 1: other side to buy out of these bets in case 91 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 1: something really big happens. But I am going to give 92 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 1: you two full unit bets and then one bet for 93 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 1: baseball for a half a unit. I'm gonna give to 94 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: you because I want to give you something actionable here 95 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 1: on a Tuesday. But it's Tuesday betting baseball, so not 96 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: really in love with it, but you know, here we 97 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:37,720 Speaker 1: are betting on baseball. 98 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:40,520 Speaker 2: Okay, So let's talk about two bets. In the NFL. 99 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 2: Let's start. 100 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Arizona at Jacksonville. This is going to 101 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:48,159 Speaker 1: be an interesting matchup because man, there's a great guy 102 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 1: on Twitter you guys should be following, and his name 103 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:52,239 Speaker 1: is Jeff Fogel. 104 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 2: Jeff does incredible work. He's based out of Austin at 105 00:04:57,640 --> 00:04:58,359 Speaker 2: Jeff Fogel. 106 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:01,040 Speaker 1: But he goes down and breaks down all these games 107 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: after they happen from an analytical standpoint, and he lets 108 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 1: you kind of see into some of the real key 109 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: stats as to what happened. Okay, so I want to 110 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: look at real quick what happened in the game for 111 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals up against the Minnesota Vikings. Arizona played 112 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: really really well at times against that Vikings defense. The 113 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:28,839 Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals they were. They outgained Minnesota four seventy four 114 00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:32,359 Speaker 1: to four, nineteen yards per play seven point nine to 115 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:36,640 Speaker 1: seven point zero, and drive points drives of sixty yards 116 00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 1: or more. They scored twenty eight points to twenty points, 117 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: and they. 118 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 2: Were much better on third down. 119 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: Their red zone touchdown prediction percentage three out of four 120 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 1: three so at seventy five percent. They scored and then 121 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:52,239 Speaker 1: the Vikes missed that very makeable kick to lose the game. 122 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 1: Tight game, but the Vikings were a team that if 123 00:05:56,800 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: it wasn't for that pick six to start the second 124 00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:04,360 Speaker 1: half that caused the Cardinals not to cover, they played 125 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:08,360 Speaker 1: really really well. Now they're on the road against Jacksonville 126 00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 1: and Jacksonville is an absolute wreck right now. Jacksonville does 127 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 1: not have a team, and this is where they're really bad. 128 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 2: Teams. 129 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,640 Speaker 1: I think, unfortunately are going to really come back down 130 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: to earth and look really bad. And I think Jacksonville 131 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:27,840 Speaker 1: is I just think they're really bad. Against Denver, they 132 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: only had three point eight yards per play against Denver, 133 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 1: they were out gained three ninety eight to one point 134 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:37,599 Speaker 1: eighty nine, in that they gave up twenty points for 135 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,360 Speaker 1: the drive points drives of sixty yards or more twenty 136 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 1: to seven ninety six yards to seventy five yards two turnovers. 137 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:49,040 Speaker 1: They were two for eleven on third down eighteen percent. 138 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 1: Jacksonville's late touchdown kind of made it look a little 139 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 1: closer than it actually was. Lawrence was fourteen of thirty 140 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,719 Speaker 1: three for two interceptions and eight one hundred and eighteen 141 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:04,560 Speaker 1: yards passing. This defense for the Arizona Cardinals can get 142 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 1: after the quarterback, and the offensive line for the Jaguars 143 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 1: is an absolute mess. They can't really run the football. 144 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence isn't looking that great, and Kyler Murray's offense 145 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 1: is going to eviscerate this team. For the Jacksonville Jaguars. 146 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 2: This number is gonna go up. 147 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 1: Okay at Circus Sports in Vegas tonight, it's minus seven 148 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 1: minus one ten on the Arizona Cardinals. This number is 149 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 1: gonna climb. It's gonna be seven and a half, it's 150 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 1: gonna be eight. It's gonna go higher. I want the 151 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 1: best of the number, and you could have maybe gotten 152 00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 1: six and a half, but this is a key number 153 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 1: that I don't want to have to buy off of. 154 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:43,320 Speaker 2: I like seven. 155 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 1: I know it's a road favored here, but I think 156 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,239 Speaker 1: Jacksonville is in a whole lot of trouble up against 157 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray because they're not gonna stop him in the 158 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 1: red zone. 159 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 2: And Murray right now, his willingness to run when in 160 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:55,679 Speaker 2: the red zone is huge. 161 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:59,360 Speaker 1: This is what caused last year the Cardinals to be 162 00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 1: so danger early in the year. Then Murray got hurt 163 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: and he didn't run as much late in the year, 164 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: and it took away a huge weapon for this offense. 165 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: His ability to get open and scramble in the red 166 00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: zone is elite and it's not something you can ever 167 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 1: prep for. He's so damn fast. Yes, that pick six 168 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 1: was horrific. They were lucky to be two to zero. 169 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 1: Not debating that point. I just think right now urban 170 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 1: Meyer is a little bit lost. We've got film now 171 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 1: on what the Jaguars are trying to do. 172 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 2: There's no Travis etn he got hurt gone for the year. 173 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 1: The wide receivers aren't getting open, and I like the 174 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: secondary for the Cardinals I love Chandler Jones and Buddha 175 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 1: Baker and what they've got for that defense. I think 176 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: this is a blowout. I think Arizona's gonna kill the 177 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars. I want seven. I'm gonna lay seven on 178 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 1: Arizona up against the Jaguars on the road. Here for 179 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:57,920 Speaker 1: one full unit. Second play for Week three in the NFL, 180 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: Patriots against the Saint and you might go, oh no, 181 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,319 Speaker 1: here comes Matt with the Patriots. 182 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:05,080 Speaker 2: Correct. Here's the thing. 183 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 1: Patriots four turnovers to none, four picks of Zach Wilson. 184 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 1: Why rookie quarterback gonna really cause some problems for any 185 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 1: quarterback who's trying to find himself up against a Belichick defense. 186 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:19,480 Speaker 2: Playing from behind. 187 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:22,320 Speaker 1: The Jets did win the yardage, but yards per play 188 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:24,800 Speaker 1: Patriots four point nine to four point six for the 189 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:28,160 Speaker 1: Jets third down conversion, the Patriots were better. Pats out 190 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:32,680 Speaker 1: rushed the Jets to one oh one. And my goodness, 191 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: was Zach Wilson just absolutely horrible When you combine the 192 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,720 Speaker 1: Jets and the Jags rookie numbers. There were thirty three 193 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 1: for sixty six with six interceptions for three hundred and 194 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 1: twenty eight yards. 195 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 2: My goodness. 196 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 1: Top two picks last week were just really, really bad, 197 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 1: and it had a lot to do with the fact 198 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 1: that the offensive lines are just pathetic for these teams. 199 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 2: Right now, the. 200 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:56,520 Speaker 1: New Orleans beat up and we were on New Orleans 201 00:09:56,520 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 1: against the Green Bay Packers. Right I'm on this on 202 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 1: the over, but the Saints have been on the road 203 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 1: for a month. The line is three minus three. The 204 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: Saints were first supposed to play at home for the 205 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 1: game that wand up in Jacksonville. They had a hurricane 206 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 1: that came through and decimated their region. They then went 207 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: on the road to play the Carolina Panthers and got 208 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 1: completely depanted and blown out by the Carolina Panthers. Jameis 209 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 1: Winston two interceptions didn't look good. The defense didn't look 210 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 1: great either. And now you're back on the road again, 211 00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 1: this time to New England to take on the Patriots, 212 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: who have played at home and New York and now 213 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 1: back at home. 214 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:41,880 Speaker 2: They haven't traveled anywhere. 215 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:45,720 Speaker 1: This is going to be an exhausted team, which look 216 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 1: I like Sean Payton a lot. But this is asking 217 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 1: a lot of this team to walk into an environment 218 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:54,360 Speaker 1: where they lost a home game already. I think Belichick 219 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 1: wants to open up zero to two on the at home. No, 220 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: and you know who's coming in in Week four. It's 221 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:04,480 Speaker 1: Tom Brady. Okay, there's just gonna be a ton of 222 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:07,640 Speaker 1: hype all around that. But the Patriots have to get sharp. 223 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,439 Speaker 1: They're gonna take the Saints really seriously. They're not gonna 224 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 1: overlook this defense, and Mac Jones sure as heck is 225 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: not gonna do that. Patriots are gonna have to run 226 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 1: the football, and look, the Panthers had some success. 227 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 2: Now. One of the things that I'm really curious about. 228 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:27,600 Speaker 1: For New England in terms of their offense is are 229 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 1: they gonna let Mac Jones throw the football down the field, 230 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:35,200 Speaker 1: because they haven't done that much this year. Carolina yards 231 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 1: per play five point two to three in their game 232 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 1: against New Orleans, third down conversion fifty three percent to 233 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:47,120 Speaker 1: eighteen percent, sixty plus yards, scoring drives seventeen to nothing. 234 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 1: They outrushed them eighty nine yards to forty eight yards, 235 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 1: two to one on turnovers, and passing eleven of twenty 236 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:58,959 Speaker 1: two eighty yards, two touchdowns when play or so two 237 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 1: interceptions when from behind. The Patriots getting a lead, it's 238 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:05,320 Speaker 1: gonna be important here, But I think this Patriot defense. 239 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: You just saw what Belichick can do. I'm not saying 240 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:09,600 Speaker 1: Jameis Winston's a rookie. Okay, he's not a rookie, not 241 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:11,959 Speaker 1: by any means. But they don't have great weapons to 242 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 1: throw the ball down the field to. And that Patriots 243 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 1: pass rush is legitimate, and they're gonna get after Jamis Winston. 244 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be a long day here. 245 00:12:20,040 --> 00:12:22,560 Speaker 1: I think Mac Jones is not gonna be allowed to 246 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 1: make big mistakes against that very opportunistic defense for the Saints. 247 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:28,959 Speaker 1: They're gonna run the football. The Saints are a hard 248 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 1: team to run against. But I think the Patriots are 249 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:34,199 Speaker 1: gonna start to allow Mac to do some things at home, 250 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,760 Speaker 1: and they're gonna start to allow him to say, all right, 251 00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: you got two straight home games here, let's get comfortable. 252 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:41,559 Speaker 2: Let's start throwing the ball down the field. 253 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 1: Let's find Nelson Aguilar, Let's find Kendrick Bourne, Let's use 254 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 1: the running backs. James White's gonna be a very big 255 00:12:48,520 --> 00:12:51,200 Speaker 1: key for this offense this year, in particular against the 256 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:54,920 Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints. Patriots are minus three. I don't want 257 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 1: this thing going to three and a half. I would 258 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,319 Speaker 1: be surprised if it moves off of three during the 259 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 1: week and goes to two and a half, it might. 260 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:05,240 Speaker 2: So if you want to wait, you can. 261 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 1: But I don't want to miss three here, okay, And 262 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 1: I think three is. 263 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 2: A very good number. It's the right number. 264 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:13,920 Speaker 1: For the Patriots. I just laid six with the Patriots. 265 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:16,960 Speaker 1: But the Saints aren't the Jets, okay. But the Patriots 266 00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 1: need to be playing well heading into that game against 267 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:24,319 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. Tampa's going to LA. It's a crazy game. 268 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 1: We'll probably have something on that later. Tampa's going from 269 00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 1: playing at home to Los Angeles to two playing in 270 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 1: New England. It's a pretty big two game, two week 271 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:36,800 Speaker 1: stretch here for Tampa Bay. Bucks are a one point 272 00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: dog on the road at the Rams in Los Angeles. 273 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 1: But I like the Patriots to lay the three with 274 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 1: New England at home against New Orleans Pats minus three. 275 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:49,960 Speaker 1: I got minus one to oh five tonight at Circus 276 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 1: Sports here in Vegas. So there may be money coming 277 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:54,880 Speaker 1: in on New Orleans, and the next move might be 278 00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:56,840 Speaker 1: to two and a half. But I don't think they're 279 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 1: gonna want to get off two and a half because 280 00:13:58,360 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 1: if Saints' money is coming in, I think you will 281 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 1: see Patriot money come back if it goes to two 282 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:05,320 Speaker 1: and a half. I think the thing probably goes back 283 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 1: up to three. I think it's possible that the line 284 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 1: closes at three and a half, but I just want 285 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 1: the three. 286 00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 2: I think it's a key number. It's important. 287 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 1: Patriots minus three at home against the New Orleans Saints, 288 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 1: and we're going Arizona minus seven up against the Jacksonville 289 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:25,320 Speaker 1: Jaguars on the road. Arizona a road favorite at minus seven. 290 00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 1: Both those bets for one unit. Both those numbers are 291 00:14:28,560 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 1: key numbers. That's why I'm betting them now because I 292 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 1: don't want to see this go to three and a 293 00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 1: half or seven and a half. And again, I'm not 294 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,600 Speaker 1: positive which way the line's gonna go, but I have 295 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:39,160 Speaker 1: a feeling that we're gonna see Patriot money and Cardinal 296 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 1: money given that the public is most likely going to 297 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:44,040 Speaker 1: jump in here and bet these numbers up the closer 298 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 1: we get to kick off. So I want Patriots minus 299 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 1: three and Arizona minus seven. Two plays two teams I 300 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 1: like a lot, and heck, I may even come back 301 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: with the Raiders play who knows? We go with my 302 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 1: three favorite teams in the NFL Patriots, Raiders, Cardinals. Why 303 00:14:57,560 --> 00:15:00,120 Speaker 1: not for Week three here in the NFL. But the 304 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 1: first two bets for the week Patriots minus three, Arizona 305 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 1: minus seven. All right, one half unit play to give 306 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 1: you for baseball today, it's on the ESPN Toronto against 307 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 1: Tampa Toronto. Tampa Bay leads the season series ten to seven. 308 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 1: Raised just won six to four. Yesterday. Tampa Bay offensively 309 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 1: went down one nothing, then they went down two nothing. 310 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: They scored three runs in the fifth and then one 311 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 1: run in the sixth, seventh, and eighth and won the 312 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: game six to four. For the game tomorrow, you've got 313 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 1: the rookie on the mound for the Blue Jays and 314 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,200 Speaker 1: Alex Manoa. And you've got Drew Rasmussen, who was acquired 315 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 1: to the trade deadline, who's been outstanding since coming over 316 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:45,720 Speaker 1: and pitching for the Tampa Bay Rays. This dude, no 317 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 1: earned runs in his last start against Toronto, one earned 318 00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 1: run against the Red Sox two times in a row, 319 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 1: then one earned run against Philadelphia, no arn runs, and 320 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 1: four innings up against up against the Baltimore Orioles. I 321 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,560 Speaker 1: just think Raised team at home and with Drew Rasmand 322 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 1: on the mound I know if you look at Alex 323 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 1: Manoa's last start up against Tampa, he also was awesome. 324 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 1: Maybe he was best start of the year. Eight innings, 325 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: one hit, no earn runs ten case, he was awesome 326 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 1: back on Monday the thirteenth time before that, give up 327 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: three runs to the Yankees, six runs to Oakland, two 328 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:24,920 Speaker 1: runs to the Detroit Tigers. The bullpen for the Toronto 329 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:27,520 Speaker 1: Blue Jays is not good, and I think if Toronto 330 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 1: can get Manoa out of there early, you get to 331 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 1: that bullpen and I think you can go to work here. 332 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 1: You're not paying a really expensive price here. On the 333 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 1: money line, it's minus one fifteen on Toronto. On Tampa 334 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 1: up against Toronto, I'm gonna lay the money line here. 335 00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:44,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the home Rays, who are forty eight 336 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 1: and twenty eight at home. Toronto's forty one and thirty five. 337 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 1: The Rays just find ways to win and find ways 338 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 1: to just They lost back to back games to the 339 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,360 Speaker 1: Tigers at home after winning the first two games. 340 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 2: But the Blue Jays need this. And I'm not saying 341 00:16:59,680 --> 00:16:59,920 Speaker 2: that the. 342 00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 1: Are trying to keep anybody out of the postseason or not, 343 00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:06,280 Speaker 1: but the standings are just fascinating. 344 00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:07,399 Speaker 2: In the American League East. 345 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 1: I look at the wild card standings right now, Tampa 346 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:11,479 Speaker 1: is gonna win the division. The Red Sox now are 347 00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 1: a game and a half up on Toronto. Red Sox 348 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:17,760 Speaker 1: are two games up on the Yankees here, and both 349 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:21,159 Speaker 1: the Yankees and Toronto have more difficult schedules than the 350 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 1: Red Sox do coming down the street, coming down the stretch. 351 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 1: Red Sox have won five games in a row, and 352 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 1: they play the Mets coming up here tonight. The other 353 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:31,280 Speaker 1: half a unit. I may come back with a play 354 00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 1: on the Mets. I'm not positive yet on that. I 355 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 1: want to kind of wait and see a little bit. 356 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: Erod scares me. Marcus Stroman' is a better pitcher than 357 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: the Erod is, so that scares me a little bit. 358 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,240 Speaker 1: But the Mets are so bad on the road. Twenty 359 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 1: nine and forty four. Red Sox are minus one forty 360 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 1: favorites to win this game. 361 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 2: So in the. 362 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,679 Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot COM's last chat to get in, 363 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:53,000 Speaker 1: or there's a link underneath me here on YouTube, you 364 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 1: guys can come on in. I may post another or 365 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: maybe a proper two for baseball. I may take the 366 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:00,159 Speaker 1: other half a unit and do something with it. But 367 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 1: first bet minus one one fifteen on the money line 368 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:08,200 Speaker 1: Toronto to beat sorry, Tampa Bay to beat Toronto tonight 369 00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 1: that games on ESPN. 370 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:11,159 Speaker 2: It's the nationally tell thevised game, which I like. 371 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,240 Speaker 1: Take the home team, take the better of the two teams, Toronto. 372 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:18,320 Speaker 1: Take the Tampa Bay Rays to win at home against 373 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,520 Speaker 1: Toronto at minus one fifteen for a half a unit, 374 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 1: and I'll figure out the other half a unit. Maybe 375 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 1: with the Red Sox and the Mets at some point 376 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:27,719 Speaker 1: they just did that thirty for thirty on the nineteen 377 00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 1: eighty six World Series where the Red Sox and it 378 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 1: was the first time in my life I had my 379 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,040 Speaker 1: heart broken. That was the worst year ever. If you're 380 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 1: a Chicago fan or a Met fan, screw you. I'm kidding, 381 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 1: But man, talk about little boy Matt Parolt's getting his 382 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:44,400 Speaker 1: heart broken. First in the Super Bowl with the Dancing 383 00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:47,879 Speaker 1: Bears coming in and the Super Bowl Shuffle and the 384 00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:51,080 Speaker 1: Patriots get annihilated by Chicago, and then the Red Sox 385 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 1: getting losing that lead three games to one and blowing 386 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: it to the New York. 387 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:55,320 Speaker 2: Mets and. 388 00:18:57,080 --> 00:19:00,199 Speaker 1: Man Buckner and everything else. It was really tough in 389 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,440 Speaker 1: the eighties. It sucked to be a Boston sports fan. 390 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 1: Things changed quickly. Things got very good for us. For 391 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 1: about twenty years. Things were instant. Things still are very 392 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: good for us. But ma'am, the eighties were not fun 393 00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:15,680 Speaker 1: at all to be a Boston sports fan. Luckily things 394 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:20,480 Speaker 1: turned and we became championship city, you know, domination. But yeah, 395 00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 1: so maybe Red Tucks and the Mets something on that. 396 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:26,280 Speaker 1: I'll figure something out, probably in the Discord channel Betting 397 00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: Pros dot com s last chat. Okay, so three plays 398 00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,640 Speaker 1: two on Week three for the NFL Patriots minus three 399 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:34,240 Speaker 1: against the Saints, Cardinals, minus seven against the Jaguars. 400 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,000 Speaker 2: Both those full unit bets, and then we're going with the. 401 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:40,040 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Rays over the Toronto Blue Jays at minus 402 00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:41,880 Speaker 1: one point fifteen for a half a unit in Major 403 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: League Baseball minus Matt Parolt. Follow me on Twitter at 404 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Each in the morning, it's the Daily 405 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 1: Juice podcast right here on Betting Pros dot com, always 406 00:19:48,840 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet MGM