WEBVTT - Week 7 NFL Best Bets (Ep. 61) 0:00:13.720 --> 0:00:17.280 Hey, everybody, Welcome back to another episode of the Betting 0:00:17.320 --> 0:00:20.599 Pros NFL podcast. I'm your host, Dan Harris. With me, 0:00:20.720 --> 0:00:23.759 of course, is Matt Parol. You can find us on 0:00:23.800 --> 0:00:26.439 Twitter at Dan Harris, Hadian at Sports Talk Matt, Matt, 0:00:26.440 --> 0:00:26.960 how you doing. 0:00:27.120 --> 0:00:28.560 I am great. Week seven, let's go. 0:00:29.200 --> 0:00:34.120 Let's go. Before we do, let's talk very briefly about 0:00:34.440 --> 0:00:38.599 discord and the new discord. I don't know if it's 0:00:38.600 --> 0:00:40.800 a workspace or chat or whatever you want to call it. 0:00:40.840 --> 0:00:45.080 That Betting Pros has launched as of yesterday night already. 0:00:45.080 --> 0:00:47.120 I don't know, Matt, what the count was last time, 0:00:47.120 --> 0:00:49.720 at over two hundred people. Alrighty right. 0:00:49.760 --> 0:00:52.360 It's like a real time message board, is the best 0:00:52.360 --> 0:00:53.400 way I would describe it. 0:00:53.560 --> 0:00:56.639 Correct. Go to bettingpros dot com slash chat. You can join. 0:00:56.680 --> 0:00:59.040 You know, there's no subscription, there's no fear or anything 0:00:59.080 --> 0:01:02.480 like that. Just join a bunch of people who are 0:01:02.640 --> 0:01:04.960 interested in sports betting. You have a channel for every 0:01:05.000 --> 0:01:07.160 different type of betting that you want to do, every 0:01:07.160 --> 0:01:10.080 different type of sport, and within the NFL there's something 0:01:10.120 --> 0:01:12.560 specific two week seven you can do against the spread 0:01:12.560 --> 0:01:15.200 over under different types of things that you can talk 0:01:15.200 --> 0:01:17.360 about We're in there a lot. Matt and I will 0:01:17.400 --> 0:01:20.160 both probably hold chats, would kind of ask me any things. 0:01:20.200 --> 0:01:23.360 We'll be in there on Sundays talking about everything. Again, 0:01:23.400 --> 0:01:26.440 Betting pros dot Com slash Chat, it's awesome. We literally 0:01:26.520 --> 0:01:28.759 launched it last night and non stop just messages. 0:01:28.800 --> 0:01:29.160 It's great. 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:30.919 Just people want to talk, You want to talk betting, 0:01:30.959 --> 0:01:33.760 get inside. It's really it's a phenomenal thing. So again, 0:01:33.800 --> 0:01:37.080 Betting pros dot Com slash Chat. All right, as always, 0:01:37.080 --> 0:01:39.880 we're gonna get to every game that's on the slate 0:01:40.040 --> 0:01:44.400 this weekend. But let's talk about last weekend very quickly, 0:01:44.480 --> 0:01:48.560 and how frustrated I am. I went. I made nine 0:01:48.600 --> 0:01:51.919 bats last week, Matt against the spread and went seven 0:01:51.960 --> 0:01:55.080 and two, and the two that I lost were two 0:01:55.080 --> 0:01:57.440 of the ones that found their way into the contest. 0:01:57.720 --> 0:02:00.160 Matt and I went three and two, as we you 0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:02.800 have done. Is it four straight weeks now, Matt? 0:02:03.520 --> 0:02:05.720 It feels yeah, it kind of feels like that. I mean, 0:02:06.320 --> 0:02:08.239 I don't think we've had a losing week in a while, 0:02:08.400 --> 0:02:08.760 but we. 0:02:08.800 --> 0:02:10.680 Think we start. I think we went three and two, 0:02:11.240 --> 0:02:13.239 two and three, and then we've been three and two 0:02:13.280 --> 0:02:15.680 for the last four weeks. Yeah, think, which is not horrible. 0:02:15.720 --> 0:02:16.480 I mean no. 0:02:16.680 --> 0:02:19.000 But what's interesting about the way this contest and I 0:02:19.040 --> 0:02:20.720 wrote a little bit about it on you can see 0:02:20.720 --> 0:02:22.120 it on betting Pros. You can write you see the 0:02:22.200 --> 0:02:24.400 leaderboard I put it up on the book report for 0:02:24.440 --> 0:02:28.120 this week, is that they do it by percentages. It's 0:02:28.160 --> 0:02:31.800 not necessarily done by how many picks you have. Right So, 0:02:31.919 --> 0:02:34.480 like by my count, I think we're four games over 0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:35.200 five hundred. 0:02:35.240 --> 0:02:36.040 Does that sound like to you? 0:02:36.480 --> 0:02:38.480 Yeah, we are seventeen and thirteen. 0:02:38.240 --> 0:02:41.160 So like we're just we're like two picks out of 0:02:41.160 --> 0:02:44.320 the money. Yeah, so we're not bad right now. We're 0:02:44.320 --> 0:02:46.480 in a good place. And really, if we get on 0:02:46.600 --> 0:02:48.880 any type of heater, here we go four and one, 0:02:49.040 --> 0:02:51.360 five and oh for a couple of weeks, we're gonna 0:02:51.400 --> 0:02:53.320 do a good job of jumping over a bunch of people. 0:02:53.400 --> 0:02:55.560 So I like where we are. We're lurking, but I 0:02:55.560 --> 0:02:57.800 think we're we're in decent position right now. 0:02:58.080 --> 0:02:59.880 Yeah, we're one hundred and eighty third out of six 0:03:00.440 --> 0:03:02.880 and eighty nine. So that's good. And again we really 0:03:02.880 --> 0:03:05.359 don't need to avoid it. I felt like last week 0:03:05.400 --> 0:03:08.240 felt like a missed opportunity, in part because we decided 0:03:08.280 --> 0:03:10.680 to switch at a game that we would have gotten right, 0:03:10.720 --> 0:03:13.360 which was the Dolphins laying eight and a half to 0:03:13.560 --> 0:03:17.120 the Jets for the Patriots who were laying was it 0:03:17.200 --> 0:03:17.840 nine and a half? 0:03:18.120 --> 0:03:18.320 Yeah? 0:03:18.520 --> 0:03:21.040 So that takes me to the rules for this week. Okay, yes, 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:22.799 so here are the new rules just for this week. 0:03:22.800 --> 0:03:26.280 We're gonna try this, Okay. What we decide on this 0:03:26.400 --> 0:03:31.000 podcast is what we're playing. No changing other than major 0:03:31.160 --> 0:03:32.960 major rules like a quarterback. 0:03:32.600 --> 0:03:33.520 It's COVID or something. 0:03:33.600 --> 0:03:35.840 Correct, that's the only time we're going to change it. 0:03:35.880 --> 0:03:38.400 But other than that, I think this is what happens. 0:03:38.440 --> 0:03:40.400 You talk yourself out of wagers and talk yourself out 0:03:40.400 --> 0:03:43.120 of things, and then you wind up going, man, why 0:03:43.200 --> 0:03:43.840 did I do that? 0:03:43.880 --> 0:03:44.880 Why did I change off of it? 0:03:44.880 --> 0:03:47.000 Where you and I were on it on the podcast, 0:03:47.080 --> 0:03:49.440 and then we got off of it beforehand due to 0:03:49.600 --> 0:03:52.680 we are worried about Ryan Fitzpatrick and it's it's the Jets. 0:03:52.680 --> 0:03:54.440 So we should never have gotten worried about the Jets. 0:03:54.480 --> 0:03:57.640 I mean, look, they did ben try and Fitzpatrick after 0:03:57.680 --> 0:03:59.720 this game, right, so we kind of had that right, 0:03:59.800 --> 0:04:00.640 not exactly. 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:03.440 They didn't bench him for performance. Yeah, they benched him 0:04:03.440 --> 0:04:06.280 because they want to lose. They're mad and three. 0:04:06.480 --> 0:04:08.920 All right, So let's just very briefly recap the picks 0:04:08.920 --> 0:04:10.480 that we had. Again, we were on the right side 0:04:10.520 --> 0:04:12.200 of everything. One of the games we lost was a 0:04:12.240 --> 0:04:14.280 game really that we should have won. It was the 0:04:14.320 --> 0:04:17.520 Texans getting three and a half from the Titans. That 0:04:17.640 --> 0:04:19.360 was the right side. Okay, I don't care about how 0:04:19.400 --> 0:04:21.839 it wound up going, but that was a loss. The 0:04:21.839 --> 0:04:23.919 other one was the Patriots who lost out right, we 0:04:24.000 --> 0:04:26.960 just did not have that game correct. We loved the 0:04:27.000 --> 0:04:33.240 Steelers laying three and a half to the Browns. We 0:04:33.480 --> 0:04:35.640 loved the forty nine Ers getting three and a half 0:04:35.920 --> 0:04:38.680 from the Rams, and of course you know if it's 0:04:38.720 --> 0:04:41.280 a pick against the Bills that Matt absolutely loved the 0:04:41.440 --> 0:04:44.039 Chiefs laying three and a half to the Bills. So 0:04:44.080 --> 0:04:45.960 we got all those right. Wasn't a big sweat really 0:04:46.000 --> 0:04:49.599 for any of those. So let's pick it up here. 0:04:49.720 --> 0:04:51.479 As always, we're not going to do props because they 0:04:51.480 --> 0:04:53.880 don't come out right now. But Matt has the live 0:04:53.920 --> 0:04:56.320 stream on YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. He always 0:04:56.960 --> 0:05:00.400 breaks everything down on Sunday mornings, so make sure you there. 0:05:00.520 --> 0:05:03.520 It is at eleven am. To twelve pm. All right, 0:05:03.839 --> 0:05:06.240 let's do what we like to do, which is you 0:05:06.400 --> 0:05:08.400 starting us off now? This is I will say this. 0:05:08.720 --> 0:05:12.839 Usually Matt texts me or messages me on Slack a 0:05:12.880 --> 0:05:15.479 few leans that he has just based on the lines. 0:05:15.560 --> 0:05:16.800 You did not do that this week. I don't know 0:05:16.800 --> 0:05:19.880 if that was intentional. Yes, it was, oh, okay, very good. 0:05:20.200 --> 0:05:22.520 So the reason is because I don't want to. 0:05:22.600 --> 0:05:25.080 I didn't want to skew you at all, because because 0:05:25.080 --> 0:05:26.600 we're going to pick this, this is going to be 0:05:26.640 --> 0:05:29.680 our actual five selection, so I didn't want to give 0:05:29.680 --> 0:05:31.640 you any indication. It's like where I was going to 0:05:31.640 --> 0:05:34.800 get an actual, real reaction from you based on my 0:05:34.839 --> 0:05:36.840 picks and then we can really hash this out. 0:05:36.880 --> 0:05:38.159 So I guess it was intentional. 0:05:38.400 --> 0:05:40.480 All right, Well, then start us off, Matt. What's your 0:05:40.600 --> 0:05:42.960 what's your best bet for this week? What do you have? 0:05:43.120 --> 0:05:47.080 Now? I'm going to tell you this. I believe this 0:05:47.200 --> 0:05:47.800 game is. 0:05:47.800 --> 0:05:51.599 Going to be an absolute barn burner, and maybe calling 0:05:51.640 --> 0:05:53.960 it my favorite play might be a little bit high. 0:05:54.040 --> 0:05:56.520 It's the one play I like the most because I 0:05:56.520 --> 0:05:58.320 think the game is going to be the most exciting. 0:05:59.279 --> 0:06:00.560 I'm going to lay the one and a half with 0:06:00.600 --> 0:06:02.920 the Titans and have them over the Pittsburgh Steelers at home. 0:06:03.640 --> 0:06:05.760 And I think the injury to Bush is gigantic to 0:06:05.800 --> 0:06:10.080 the linebacking corps. I think Ryan Tannehill's numbers passing between 0:06:10.080 --> 0:06:12.880 ten yards and twenty yards, he's one of the best, 0:06:12.880 --> 0:06:15.200 if not the best, in the NFL right now. I 0:06:15.279 --> 0:06:17.560 know the AJ Brown news is not good that he 0:06:17.640 --> 0:06:19.800 was out of practice today, but I think he's gonna play. 0:06:19.839 --> 0:06:22.160 It sounds like it was just like a temporary thing 0:06:22.200 --> 0:06:25.360 for him. They're gonna run the ball. I know Pittsburgh 0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:27.240 gets after the quarterback, but I think when you can 0:06:27.320 --> 0:06:30.440 run the ball like Derrick Henry, their defense is good enough. 0:06:30.480 --> 0:06:32.720 I know Big Ben's been hot here, but this is 0:06:32.760 --> 0:06:34.840 a big game for the Titans at home. I know 0:06:34.880 --> 0:06:37.400 you just just said ugh, but I think this Titans 0:06:37.400 --> 0:06:38.880 team is gonna be able to put up. I think 0:06:38.880 --> 0:06:42.520 this is a Ryan Tannehill game. Ryan Tannehill beats the 0:06:42.520 --> 0:06:43.480 Pittsburgh Steelers. 0:06:43.880 --> 0:06:45.640 Okay, so there are a couple of things. Number One, 0:06:46.000 --> 0:06:48.040 the line that we are looking at in the DK 0:06:48.160 --> 0:06:51.240 contest is the Steelers laying one and a half to 0:06:51.279 --> 0:06:51.760 the Titans. 0:06:51.839 --> 0:06:52.800 Right, yep, all right? 0:06:53.279 --> 0:06:56.000 The line the current consensus line, which you can find 0:06:56.000 --> 0:07:00.000 o where Benningbros. Dot Com is now the Titans laying 0:07:00.080 --> 0:07:02.640 one and a half to the Steelers. Now, realistically that 0:07:02.680 --> 0:07:04.240 doesn't mean all that much. 0:07:04.320 --> 0:07:06.000 Oh no, it does to me. Plus one and a 0:07:06.040 --> 0:07:07.600 half is a lot better than mine as one and 0:07:07.600 --> 0:07:08.000 a half. 0:07:08.200 --> 0:07:08.560 It is. 0:07:08.839 --> 0:07:10.800 It is, It's true, it is a better it is 0:07:10.840 --> 0:07:13.600 a better lie for sure. And now with that line, 0:07:13.600 --> 0:07:18.000 sixty one percent of experts are taking Pittsburgh. So the 0:07:18.120 --> 0:07:21.800 loss of Devin Bush is huge. Okay, it's a big 0:07:21.840 --> 0:07:23.040 loss to that defense. 0:07:23.080 --> 0:07:23.960 He's their quarterback. 0:07:24.480 --> 0:07:27.920 I get it, I understand, I understand. But you know 0:07:28.320 --> 0:07:30.640 what's also a big loss is the loss of Taylor 0:07:30.720 --> 0:07:35.200 Luan on that offensive line. I don't know. I you know, 0:07:35.320 --> 0:07:38.360 to me, Matt, and again, I watched them pretty closely. 0:07:38.400 --> 0:07:40.640 You know, they destroyed the Bills. That was fine. But 0:07:40.800 --> 0:07:43.280 last week, ma'am, they should have lost that game. They 0:07:43.280 --> 0:07:46.760 should have lost that game to a subpar Houston Texans team. 0:07:47.400 --> 0:07:49.800 I don't think the Titans are quite as good as 0:07:49.840 --> 0:07:52.239 they've shown, and maybe the Steelers aren't either. They haven't 0:07:52.240 --> 0:07:55.720 beaten that tough competition. But I don't know, man, I'll 0:07:55.760 --> 0:07:58.880 be honest when I was looking at the picks. I 0:07:59.040 --> 0:08:00.760 leaned a little bit. I don't love it, given that 0:08:00.760 --> 0:08:02.200 they're laying one and a half point, right, but I 0:08:02.280 --> 0:08:03.760 kind of like the Steelers, you. 0:08:03.760 --> 0:08:04.680 Mean, and we're not. 0:08:04.560 --> 0:08:07.480 Going dogs, all right, home dogs, man, This is the 0:08:07.520 --> 0:08:09.880 part of the season when you start looking at home dogs. 0:08:10.360 --> 0:08:12.280 Teams at home catching points matter. 0:08:12.840 --> 0:08:15.120 All right, Well, we'll put that one to the side. 0:08:15.400 --> 0:08:18.720 I have I'm not I'm not. I at first when 0:08:18.760 --> 0:08:20.480 I first looked at it, I like the Steelers. As 0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:22.400 I've dug into it a little more, especially with the 0:08:22.400 --> 0:08:24.160 line moving, and I've sort of been like, oh boy, 0:08:24.920 --> 0:08:26.760 it has made me kind of try to dig in 0:08:26.840 --> 0:08:29.000 deeper into it. And again, the loss of Bush is 0:08:29.080 --> 0:08:31.520 pretty huge in that defensive right, he's kind of the quarterback. 0:08:31.760 --> 0:08:33.240 But it is something where it's not it's not one 0:08:33.240 --> 0:08:35.200 of my favorite plays. So let's put that one to 0:08:35.240 --> 0:08:37.559 the side. My favorite play, and I can't believe you 0:08:37.559 --> 0:08:40.839 didn't lead with this is the Bucks laying two and 0:08:40.880 --> 0:08:42.199 a half to the Raiders. 0:08:42.520 --> 0:08:44.880 I mean, I know they can't. You can't touch it. 0:08:44.920 --> 0:08:46.680 You just can't play. You can't touch it because you 0:08:46.679 --> 0:08:48.000 don't know what's going to happen. They all could be 0:08:48.040 --> 0:08:51.160 all cleared, all all them, the whole offensive line could play. 0:08:51.320 --> 0:08:53.439 I mean there are rumors in Vegas a time I 0:08:53.640 --> 0:08:55.560 was taping right now on Thursday. There is a time 0:08:55.600 --> 0:08:58.520 that everyone else but Trent Brown is testing negative on 0:08:58.559 --> 0:08:59.320 the offensive line. 0:09:00.120 --> 0:09:02.320 Two but Brown is not going to play right. 0:09:02.440 --> 0:09:03.120 Yeah, but they can. 0:09:03.160 --> 0:09:05.280 They can win that game even without Brown. I mean, 0:09:05.320 --> 0:09:08.199 it's the entire offensive line, I think, to be honest, 0:09:08.240 --> 0:09:10.440 I mean Abram is as big of a loss as 0:09:10.760 --> 0:09:13.200 Brown is. I mean, you need him in that to 0:09:13.240 --> 0:09:15.920 be that thumper as a safety in the back. Without him, 0:09:15.960 --> 0:09:18.640 they're a much different defense. So I mean, I just 0:09:18.640 --> 0:09:21.080 don't think you can touch this game either side. 0:09:21.200 --> 0:09:21.600 You can't. 0:09:21.640 --> 0:09:25.080 Here's the deal, man, I'll give them the offensive line. 0:09:25.200 --> 0:09:27.720 I'll give them the offensive line. I still because the 0:09:27.760 --> 0:09:30.120 consensus line has moved to minus four in light of 0:09:30.160 --> 0:09:34.240 all the offensive line issues. I still like the Bucks. 0:09:34.480 --> 0:09:35.480 You don't like the Raiders. 0:09:35.960 --> 0:09:37.920 Dave syrifp and I went over this game about two 0:09:37.960 --> 0:09:40.800 hours ago, we would be all over the Raiders if 0:09:40.840 --> 0:09:43.240 we knew the offensive line was playing. This is a 0:09:43.320 --> 0:09:45.480 bounce back spot in a big way. This is the 0:09:45.520 --> 0:09:48.080 super Bowl for John Gordon. This is the game on 0:09:48.120 --> 0:09:50.640 the schedule that when the schedule came out here in Vegas, 0:09:50.840 --> 0:09:54.280 the number one thing everybody said was, oh my Sunday 0:09:54.360 --> 0:09:56.880 Night football John Gordon against his former team that he 0:09:56.920 --> 0:09:58.960 took to the Super Bowl and won one a title with. 0:09:59.120 --> 0:09:59.800 Are you kidding me? 0:10:00.360 --> 0:10:02.760 You have too much faith in Johnny oh Man. 0:10:03.000 --> 0:10:04.520 Look, this team's better than people think. 0:10:04.559 --> 0:10:08.480 Man, I'm telling you Waller and the Jacobs and Rugs 0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:11.200 when he's healthy, cars playing incredibly well. 0:10:11.280 --> 0:10:13.960 Isn't there pick yet? I mean one pick this year? 0:10:14.000 --> 0:10:16.600 I think it is. I mean, this defense has some questions. 0:10:16.640 --> 0:10:17.360 I'll give it to you. 0:10:17.400 --> 0:10:21.199 But on the road, this is a classic letdown spot. 0:10:21.200 --> 0:10:23.280 After beating Green Bay the way that they did, score 0:10:23.400 --> 0:10:25.199 thirty eight points, you go on the road on the 0:10:25.200 --> 0:10:29.200 West Coast. This is a classic spot where Brady plays poorly, 0:10:29.440 --> 0:10:32.640 the Bucks fall down. If I was gonna bet this, 0:10:32.760 --> 0:10:34.960 I would be all over the Raiders. But I won't 0:10:35.000 --> 0:10:37.839 touch this game, man, even once we know, even once 0:10:37.880 --> 0:10:39.320 we know, I won't touch it because of the fact 0:10:39.360 --> 0:10:42.080 that no one's practiced since Monday. But the Titans have 0:10:42.120 --> 0:10:43.880 showed practice can be overrated. 0:10:44.040 --> 0:10:47.240 It's very true that practice can be overrated, absolutely right, 0:10:47.320 --> 0:10:50.000 I just think that the Bucks are a I think 0:10:50.000 --> 0:10:52.120 their defense is really legitimate. I think you saw it 0:10:52.200 --> 0:10:54.160 last week against the Packers. That was the first time 0:10:54.200 --> 0:10:57.680 Rogers saw a really legitimate defense. And you know what happened. 0:10:57.679 --> 0:11:00.679 I think their defense I don't that harangers. Yeah, I 0:11:00.960 --> 0:11:03.080 get it. It wasn't home although you like the Packers 0:11:03.120 --> 0:11:04.360 in that game didn't talk about it. 0:11:04.360 --> 0:11:05.760 And there are up ten nothing and then all of 0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:08.040 a sudden two pick sixes, and that's when you throw 0:11:08.080 --> 0:11:11.160 two pick sixes. Well, and I don't really think the 0:11:11.200 --> 0:11:14.040 first pick six wasn't really it was on Rodgers. That 0:11:14.120 --> 0:11:16.880 was a ridiculous throw going backwards to cross his body. 0:11:16.920 --> 0:11:18.880 I mean that was a dumb throw. So yes, I 0:11:18.920 --> 0:11:20.880 mean it was on Rogers. That wasn't on the defense 0:11:20.920 --> 0:11:22.439 per se. To me, that was all on the on 0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:23.319 the on the on. 0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:27.080 The legit man. Their defense is legit even without the demand. 0:11:26.920 --> 0:11:29.760 I agree. I mean that on paper and and legitimately. 0:11:29.800 --> 0:11:31.640 I mean that they can stop the run, which is 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:33.880 first and foremost, and they can get up field, they 0:11:33.920 --> 0:11:36.160 can get after the quarterback. I look, I don't hate this. 0:11:36.200 --> 0:11:38.000 I got a bet on the over nine wins on 0:11:38.040 --> 0:11:40.840 the Bucks. I mean, I so I just cannot that 0:11:40.880 --> 0:11:41.560 game is no. 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:45.680 Their offensive line is out, like the whole offensive line 0:11:45.720 --> 0:11:47.080 is out. Does that change your opinion? 0:11:47.200 --> 0:11:49.200 Probably? Yeah, I mean it's fine. 0:11:49.480 --> 0:11:51.400 I'm not saying we have to pick it. I'm just wondering, 0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:51.640 like what. 0:11:51.760 --> 0:11:54.600 I just don't get. Here's here's what's happening. This is 0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:57.280 by the time this airs, I might be right on this. 0:11:57.280 --> 0:11:58.439 This game is not gonna get played. 0:11:59.200 --> 0:12:01.040 I think they're gonna move to Monday. 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:02.439 Potentially on Tuesday. 0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:04.200 I think the move right now where we are, they 0:12:04.200 --> 0:12:06.280 have moved it to Sunday afternoon. They've swapped it out 0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:10.040 because they can't have no potential no game on Sunday night. No, 0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:11.640 I think they're going to do the whole thing where 0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:13.440 they go to Monday, because isn't it that like the 0:12:14.040 --> 0:12:16.640 don't They Raider? They can't get cleared until Sunday morning 0:12:16.760 --> 0:12:17.400 or something like that. 0:12:17.440 --> 0:12:19.560 So the five day they have the whole offensive line 0:12:19.600 --> 0:12:23.080 and abram Or in the high risk category in the NFL. 0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:25.280 And that's that new category now where you have a 0:12:25.280 --> 0:12:28.080 five day window where you can't be around anybody, and 0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:30.760 so they can be retested Sunday morning. This dates back 0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:33.520 to Monday. They can be around Sunday morning and then 0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:36.079 test negative and then potentially they could play on Monday 0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.000 or Tuesday. But I don't think on Sunday this game 0:12:39.080 --> 0:12:42.600 is getting played. Maybe gets played on Monday, but I 0:12:42.600 --> 0:12:45.160 don't know. I mean, the Bucks have to travel, and 0:12:45.240 --> 0:12:47.640 so like when do they travel, Do they travel on Monday? 0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:49.600 They travel on Sunday. They're not going to come here 0:12:49.679 --> 0:12:51.560 unless they know for sure the game is gonna get played. 0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:54.760 True. I think that's fair. I think that's fair. All right, 0:12:54.840 --> 0:12:57.080 so we'll put that one out. You know, not a 0:12:57.080 --> 0:12:58.719 good sign that our first two or you know we're 0:12:58.720 --> 0:12:59.400 going back and forth. 0:12:59.760 --> 0:13:01.520 Is this is why I want to This makes for 0:13:01.520 --> 0:13:02.920 a better podcast. It does. 0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:06.040 And just to be clear, I'm telling you, fear not 0:13:06.360 --> 0:13:09.040 go ahead and bet on the bugs if you can 0:13:09.040 --> 0:13:11.199 get it into two and a half. Certainly it's off 0:13:11.200 --> 0:13:11.520 the book. 0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:14.079 You can't bet anywhere in America right now. It's off 0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:15.880 the forward completely. So we don't even know what the 0:13:15.880 --> 0:13:18.640 line's gonna be when if it gets put back up again. 0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:20.120 It could be seven by the time it gets put 0:13:20.160 --> 0:13:20.440 back up. 0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:22.080 We get no clues why I love it at two 0:13:22.120 --> 0:13:23.920 and a half, babe, All right, go ahead, you're up, 0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:24.959 what's your next back? 0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:25.240 All right? 0:13:25.280 --> 0:13:27.000 So then the next couple of games I'm a little 0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:28.800 bit confused and a little bit concerned about. 0:13:28.840 --> 0:13:30.160 Okay, So I'll just say it right now. 0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:34.960 I'm looking at bounce back spots, okay, and I think 0:13:35.000 --> 0:13:38.160 the Patriots are gonna be a team that are gonna 0:13:38.160 --> 0:13:41.480 be really angry. They practice for the first time on 0:13:41.600 --> 0:13:44.800 back to back days Wednesday and Thursday. That dates back 0:13:44.840 --> 0:13:48.600 to October first and seconds. The Patriots look so bad 0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:52.080 that I just can't see them getting beat by a 0:13:52.120 --> 0:13:55.240 forty nine ers team that's gonna be without without Mozart 0:13:55.400 --> 0:13:57.720 and all the injuries that they have suffered. They're coming 0:13:57.760 --> 0:13:59.160 across the country again. 0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:00.240 This is like the four the. 0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:02.600 Time for the forty nine ers coming across the country here, 0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:05.480 and I think this team for the Patriots, it's only 0:14:05.559 --> 0:14:08.640 it's under three points. Just basically win the football game. 0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:12.439 The line in the Circa contest is one and a half. 0:14:12.559 --> 0:14:14.199 I would have preferred it to be one and a 0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:16.760 half than two and a half, but I'm still comfortable 0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:19.200 under a field goal taking the Patriots to beat the 0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:20.080 forty nine ers. 0:14:20.320 --> 0:14:22.680 Okay, So I'm gonna put that in the maybe category 0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:24.560 because I don't hate it. I don't hate it. It's 0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:26.600 a weird one, Matt. I'm trying to. I mean, do 0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:29.720 we throw out last week as just the you guys 0:14:29.720 --> 0:14:32.800 didn't practice and so they just weren't really ready to play. 0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:34.160 They had more to do with the fact that the 0:14:34.200 --> 0:14:36.840 offensive line was not even a shell of what it 0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:39.920 will be coming up on Sunday. They just had just 0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:42.720 a complete and everybody was out of position. I mean, 0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:45.640 Isaiah Win can't play left tackle, okay, the guy from 0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:49.000 first round pick out of Georgia, he was on skates. 0:14:49.080 --> 0:14:50.960 Every time he was on the left edge. They just 0:14:51.040 --> 0:14:53.920 blitzed chub at him and then just he couldn't stop anybody. 0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:57.680 So and then the lack of practice. You know, Matt 0:14:57.720 --> 0:15:00.360 Chatham was a ex patriot, won three championships Works for 0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:02.640 Ness and went through this whole progression of about twenty 0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:05.480 plays about what happened with Cam Newton. And when you 0:15:05.520 --> 0:15:08.280 don't practice, you don't know where your receivers are going 0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:10.880 to be. When you're pressured, your brain's not working, it's 0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:13.000 working too fast, and you don't see where you know 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.200 your normal practice is. Okay, pressures coming from the left 0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:17.840 I have an outlet to the right. Newton played horribly. 0:15:17.920 --> 0:15:20.280 He just he flat out played awful and so yes, 0:15:20.400 --> 0:15:22.800 so today he beat up on himself saying, I was 0:15:22.840 --> 0:15:25.240 awful that that loss was on me. So I think 0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:27.520 this is going to be an energized and angry team. 0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:30.480 James White missed practice again today, so that's not great 0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:31.160 for the Patriots. 0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.280 Do we know about that? Was it personal or was 0:15:33.320 --> 0:15:34.080 it an injury or what? 0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:34.960 We don't know yet. 0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:38.040 It's just he missed practice. And I'm just concerned about COVID. 0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:40.800 Whenever someone misses practiced that I'm like, uh, are they 0:15:40.840 --> 0:15:43.840 back with COVID problems? But he miss practices isn't good. 0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:47.239 But I think the Patriots have enough in that backfield. 0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:50.240 I think Harris will continue to develop for them. You 0:15:50.280 --> 0:15:52.640 know that they they're gonna get Sony Michelle back off 0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:55.320 the COVID list, which is good. They got Burkehead as well. 0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:57.480 I just think this is a team in the forty 0:15:57.560 --> 0:15:59.600 nine or is it? It's just asking a lot and 0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:03.720 Forran Garoppolo is not played great and the Patriots know 0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:05.920 the Garoppolo. I mean, come on now, you can't lose 0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:07.200 to the guy that you traded away. 0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:10.280 I do think that this is the right side of 0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:13.240 this game, and I'm actually a little surprised a sixty 0:16:13.280 --> 0:16:15.560 four percent of the experts on bettingpros dot com are 0:16:15.600 --> 0:16:19.560 also with Patriots. It's the sharper side, you know. It 0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:23.240 is something where the classic kind of Bilo el high 0:16:23.320 --> 0:16:26.240 Rams coming off forty nine Ers who we liked against 0:16:26.280 --> 0:16:29.600 the Rams coming off that big win, that Patriots being embarrassed. 0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:32.200 But yeah, you know that they're gonna take away Kittle 0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:35.240 because that's you know, that's their thing without mostert, I 0:16:35.240 --> 0:16:37.600 don't know who's going out there, whether it's McKinnon, whether 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:40.680 it's Jamichael Hasty or Jeff Wilson, it's not the same. 0:16:40.720 --> 0:16:42.360 They're not gonna have the song. So I do think 0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:44.040 that their defense is going to be able to be good. 0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:46.680 So I'll put that in the maybe and the lean 0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:50.120 towards yes category. So that's probably one that we're gonna 0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:52.440 get in. So I like So my next game should 0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:54.080 tell you all you need to know about how I 0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:56.760 feel about the slate, which is I don't love it. 0:16:57.800 --> 0:17:02.840 But my next favorite is the Seahawks laying three and 0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:05.040 a half points to the Cardinals. Now it's a home dog, 0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:07.080 so you've got to be like, no, this is not 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:08.440 what we're talking about. Here's how I go. 0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:10.359 It's a home dog primetime now too. 0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:14.400 That's right, it is in primetime. Although that doesn't change 0:17:14.400 --> 0:17:16.440 I don't even did Arizona have fans. 0:17:16.680 --> 0:17:19.000 They cannot believe, but I think that they can have 0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:19.520 light it. 0:17:19.600 --> 0:17:22.320 Really, it doesn't matter. They can have fans, they can 0:17:22.320 --> 0:17:24.480 not have fans. I think that the car Look, we've 0:17:24.480 --> 0:17:26.680 talked about the Cardinals probably more than any other team 0:17:26.840 --> 0:17:29.520 on this because we've just bounced back and forth how 0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.240 we feel about them so many times. I don't know 0:17:32.240 --> 0:17:35.679 about you, Matt, I was not particularly impressed. I realized 0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:38.120 that they dominated the Cowboys. That was to me much 0:17:38.160 --> 0:17:42.399 more about the cowboys ineptitude than you know. Kyler Murray 0:17:42.400 --> 0:17:44.479 completed nine passes, you know what I mean. 0:17:44.480 --> 0:17:48.359 I mean all of his yards were on two passes, right, So. 0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:51.040 You know he is going to run like crazy. He's 0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:53.560 gonna be great. But you've got a short week. You've 0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:57.359 got the Seahawks coming off a bye. I get that 0:17:57.440 --> 0:18:00.320 the Cardinals have been a bit better defensively of late, 0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:04.480 but still, you know, Russell Wilson, we always talk about it. 0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:06.000 You don't want to bet against Russell Wilson. I think 0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:08.080 they come out firing here. I think this is a 0:18:08.160 --> 0:18:10.040 letdown spot for the Cardinals. So for me, I'll take 0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:11.840 even though it's, you know, the hook with the hook, 0:18:12.119 --> 0:18:14.480 I still like the Seahawks laying three and a half. 0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:15.920 All right, So let'll give you some numbers here. Okay. 0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:18.600 So Seattle's four and one against the spread so far 0:18:18.680 --> 0:18:21.480 this year. The Cardinals are four and two against the spread. 0:18:21.480 --> 0:18:25.280 They've covered their last two by pretty big margins. They 0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:27.680 were seven point favorites against the Jets and they won 0:18:27.720 --> 0:18:29.720 the game by twenty. They were one point dogs to 0:18:29.800 --> 0:18:33.160 Dallas and they won by twenty eight. So they're playing 0:18:33.160 --> 0:18:35.200 they're trending in the right direction. But if you see 0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:39.040 who the Cardinals have played here. Okay, So the win 0:18:39.119 --> 0:18:40.879 over the forty nine ers was impressive, and that was 0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:45.080 like the first like ooh, but Washington, Detroit, Carolina, the Jets, 0:18:45.080 --> 0:18:49.159 and the Cowboys, all right, that stinks out loud. That 0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:51.639 is not exactly someone I would be literally going to 0:18:51.760 --> 0:18:54.320 war with saying that they're a good football team. On 0:18:54.400 --> 0:18:56.879 top of the fact that, look, I don't think this 0:18:57.040 --> 0:19:00.280 defense is nearly as good as they are on papernumber 0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:04.240 two right now. In points allowed per game, eighteen point 0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:07.080 seven points per game. Now, that's who they're playing, right 0:19:07.200 --> 0:19:09.840 They're given up five point two yards per game. The 0:19:09.960 --> 0:19:12.280 passing attack is where I think I'd be a little 0:19:12.320 --> 0:19:15.120 bit concerned here because, as we know, eight point three 0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:18.800 yards of pass completed by Seattle, that's second best in 0:19:18.840 --> 0:19:21.800 the league. You got six point one yards given up 0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:25.600 by Arizona. I just don't think the Cardinals defense is 0:19:25.680 --> 0:19:27.600 very good, and I'm not so sure that our offense 0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:30.880 is all that good. Nah, I say, yeah, play it. 0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:32.760 This is when this is on my list, Go ahead 0:19:32.800 --> 0:19:34.040 and ink on this one. 0:19:34.240 --> 0:19:36.480 Inc. It is in Seahawks playing three and a half. 0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:38.160 And by the way, I like it, it's in prime 0:19:38.200 --> 0:19:40.399 time because you get Russell Wilson in prime That's true. 0:19:40.480 --> 0:19:40.960 I like that. 0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:44.200 That's fair, that's fair and ads. So yeah, this just again, 0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.000 this is you know, if I have to, it's sort 0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:48.880 of like the way you feel a little bit about Mahomes, 0:19:48.920 --> 0:19:52.119 Like backing Russell Wilson is just kind of a comforting feeling. 0:19:52.720 --> 0:19:56.720 But I also really don't mind going against the Cardinals 0:19:56.800 --> 0:19:58.160 right now. So who's your number three here? 0:19:58.320 --> 0:19:59.280 So my number three. 0:19:59.560 --> 0:20:02.679 I mean one was Titans, two was the Patriots, and 0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:04.080 then we get into kind of a little bit of 0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:09.159 a yuck situation. I think Cleveland against the Bengals. I 0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:13.240 believe that Cleveland beats bad teams. They don't beat good teams, 0:20:13.600 --> 0:20:15.600 and the Bengals are a bad football team. And I'm 0:20:15.640 --> 0:20:18.000 actually surprised the numbers this low at only three and 0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:20.879 a half points here, because I think Baker Mayfield's pretty angry, 0:20:21.480 --> 0:20:23.159 and he talked about being four and two and this 0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:24.560 is the worst. We feel like we're two and four, 0:20:24.640 --> 0:20:26.800 not four and two. And I just don't think the 0:20:26.840 --> 0:20:29.080 Bengals are very good, to be quite honest. And this 0:20:29.119 --> 0:20:31.639 is again a chance for the Browns to run up 0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:35.360 a score, beat up on an in state opponent. So 0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:38.359 I like Cleveland mines three and a half. 0:20:39.000 --> 0:20:42.399 So I'm on that side. I will say that, but 0:20:42.440 --> 0:20:45.359 I agree we're getting yuck. You know in this point, 0:20:45.880 --> 0:20:48.920 I am on that side. You know, the hook makes 0:20:48.960 --> 0:20:52.000 me a little nervous. Mayfield being banged up makes me 0:20:52.040 --> 0:20:54.520 a little nervous. You heard now, Jarvis Landry apparently is 0:20:54.560 --> 0:20:57.359 dealing with whatever he's got his rib injury in addition 0:20:57.400 --> 0:21:00.359 to the hip injury makes me a little nervous, but 0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:04.240 they've got to be so embarrassed. Ye at this point, right, you. 0:21:04.240 --> 0:21:05.360 Can get my trends though. 0:21:05.400 --> 0:21:08.600 I look for teams coming back off embarrassing performances, but 0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:10.800 on all of them except for the Titans, like all 0:21:10.840 --> 0:21:13.399 my pigs right now, are teams in bounce back spots, 0:21:13.600 --> 0:21:15.200 and I just think this is another one with Cleveland. 0:21:15.200 --> 0:21:17.439 They're getting blown up by thirty one points to the 0:21:17.440 --> 0:21:20.520 Steelers that I mean again, they get to take out 0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:22.360 their frustrations on a team that stinks. 0:21:23.160 --> 0:21:23.440 Yeah. 0:21:23.520 --> 0:21:28.440 I don't love divisional games generally speaking, but I am 0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:30.840 on the brown side on this one. That's a definite. 0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:33.520 Maybe that doesn't make sense, but so that's in the 0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:37.600 maybe category right now. I'm not against it. I'm not 0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:39.720 against it. We're on the same side of it, least 0:21:39.960 --> 0:21:43.399 we could say that. And we don't know about Joe Mixon, 0:21:43.720 --> 0:21:45.880 by the way, he may be out for this game. 0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:48.280 He hasn't practiced yet this week. He's got some sort 0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:51.360 of foot injury. There are no details on it, So yeah, 0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:52.840 I could see it as a bounce back spot. 0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:53.160 Again. 0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:55.840 The injuries worry me a little bit on their offense, 0:21:55.880 --> 0:21:57.680 but I do think again. You could probably ride Kareem 0:21:57.760 --> 0:21:59.880 Hunt all day every day and you'll be probably fine 0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:03.399 this one. So we'll put it in the maybe. Okay, 0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:07.840 all right, let's get to my next one. Boy, Okay, 0:22:10.800 --> 0:22:15.879 my next favorite pick is disgusting. But Panthers getting seven 0:22:15.920 --> 0:22:18.320 and a half points from the Saints. Now it's in 0:22:18.359 --> 0:22:21.800 New Orleans. That is scary. The Saints are off of bye. 0:22:21.920 --> 0:22:24.800 I don't like that. But we talked about Teddy Bridgewater 0:22:24.880 --> 0:22:27.119 where you wouldn't let me pick against him. You know, 0:22:27.440 --> 0:22:30.480 half the time Teddy does cover as an underdog. He's 0:22:30.560 --> 0:22:32.480 Teddy covers a little bit. You're getting more than the 0:22:32.520 --> 0:22:35.000 touchdown here. I do not expect Michael Thomas to play. 0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:35.840 That's the key. 0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:39.560 I'm I could be wrong, but I do not expect 0:22:39.600 --> 0:22:43.080 him to play. There are multiple things happening here with Thomas. 0:22:43.200 --> 0:22:45.640 Not only does he have this hamstring injury, but there 0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:49.080 is this weird kind of bad blood brewing. 0:22:49.000 --> 0:22:50.520 Ankle injury too. He's got both. 0:22:50.960 --> 0:22:52.639 He's coming from the angle injury. It looked like he 0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:55.359 was probably ready to be over the ankle injury, and 0:22:55.400 --> 0:22:57.679 now he's heard his hamstring as well. This does not 0:22:57.760 --> 0:22:59.800 strike me as a game that he's gonna plan. I 0:22:59.800 --> 0:23:02.560 think the Panthers are. The big thing is the Saints 0:23:02.640 --> 0:23:06.560 defense is not quite as dominant as we expect it 0:23:06.560 --> 0:23:08.640 to be now They've dealt with injuries, Marshawn Latimore hasn't 0:23:08.640 --> 0:23:10.800 played that well. I do think that the Panthers are 0:23:10.840 --> 0:23:12.639 going to be able to keep it close. It strikes 0:23:12.640 --> 0:23:14.240 me as a game I think the Saints will win 0:23:14.320 --> 0:23:16.680 with or without Thomas, but I do think that the 0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:18.880 Panthers are going to be able to put up points here. 0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:21.960 Again without the fans, New Orleans is not the same, 0:23:22.240 --> 0:23:23.640 and I do think they're gonna be able to keep 0:23:23.640 --> 0:23:26.080 it at least within a touchdown. So when I'm getting 0:23:26.080 --> 0:23:28.159 that hook over a touchdown, I'm willing to take the 0:23:28.200 --> 0:23:29.160 Panthers to cover here. 0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:31.560 If Thomas doesn't play, this can be in a maybe 0:23:31.560 --> 0:23:33.280 category for me, So I'm willing to listen to this 0:23:33.600 --> 0:23:33.879 all right. 0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:34.560 A couple of reasons. 0:23:34.640 --> 0:23:37.399 Carolina is averaging seven point eight yards per pass with 0:23:37.480 --> 0:23:40.640 Joe Brady's offense six point nine yards per pass given 0:23:40.680 --> 0:23:43.399 up by New Orleans, So you're gonna throw in this defense. 0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:45.680 You can't run in these guys three point six yards 0:23:45.680 --> 0:23:47.840 per for rush that's fourth best in the NFL right now. 0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:50.040 But the Carolina Panthers don't really run right now. Without 0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:52.360 Christian McCaffery. They're not running the ball a whole heck 0:23:52.359 --> 0:23:55.119 of a lot anyway, So they're gonna throw. This is 0:23:55.119 --> 0:23:56.960 gonna be a high scoring game, kind of a back 0:23:57.000 --> 0:23:59.720 and forth game. And you know, but one thing that's 0:23:59.760 --> 0:24:02.119 sort of surprising a little bit with New Orleans is 0:24:02.160 --> 0:24:04.919 that in the beginning of the year, you thought they 0:24:04.920 --> 0:24:07.320 were gonna be able to just put up numbers on anybody. 0:24:07.440 --> 0:24:10.359 That really hasn't happened. They're two and four against the 0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:13.600 number so far, all right, so they beat Tampa and 0:24:13.640 --> 0:24:16.399 covered in week one, but since then they're one in 0:24:16.760 --> 0:24:20.520 three against the number, and they lost to Vegas, they 0:24:20.600 --> 0:24:22.960 lost to Green Bay, and then they didn't cover last 0:24:23.000 --> 0:24:27.480 week against the Chargers here, So I am I'm willing 0:24:27.520 --> 0:24:29.719 to listen to this and if we need this, if 0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:31.680 we don't come up with five that we love, I'm 0:24:31.720 --> 0:24:33.439 willing to go with this because of the seven and 0:24:33.440 --> 0:24:35.320 a half and a Thomas injury on top of that. 0:24:35.840 --> 0:24:38.920 So what if we know that Thomas is gonna play, 0:24:39.240 --> 0:24:39.840 is it office? 0:24:40.720 --> 0:24:42.960 If Thomas plays, I'm scared of it only because he 0:24:43.040 --> 0:24:44.320 changes everything they do. 0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:47.760 He does. But if even if he plays, and again 0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:49.920 right now it's just Thursday, just reading the t I 0:24:49.920 --> 0:24:51.600 don't expect him to play. But even if he does, 0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:53.320 there's no way he's gonna be one hundred percent. There's 0:24:53.320 --> 0:24:54.640 no way he's gonna be out there for every snap. 0:24:54.680 --> 0:24:56.360 And hamstrings are so tricky. 0:24:56.040 --> 0:24:59.400 Too, exactly. Any soft tissue injury, especially for receiver is tough. 0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:01.240 By the way, I will point out the last two 0:25:01.240 --> 0:25:03.720 games that we have talked about, the Browns laying three 0:25:03.760 --> 0:25:06.560 and a half to the Bengals and the Panthers getting 0:25:06.560 --> 0:25:10.280 seven and a half from the Saints. Our experts at Penningbros. 0:25:10.280 --> 0:25:12.760 Dot Com are exactly fifty to fifty on it. Wow, 0:25:12.760 --> 0:25:15.560 exactly fifty to fifty. So again that doesn't you know, 0:25:15.640 --> 0:25:17.520 Matt and I make our own decisions. We're part of 0:25:17.560 --> 0:25:20.320 the people who put in the picks into this. But yeah, 0:25:20.359 --> 0:25:22.399 they're close. But yeah, I all right, So that's a 0:25:22.440 --> 0:25:23.080 game that I like. 0:25:23.320 --> 0:25:24.879 But I guess you know what, you can take it 0:25:24.920 --> 0:25:25.800 because it's on my list. 0:25:25.880 --> 0:25:28.320 It's further down than I thought, but I've got Carolina 0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:29.720 plus seven and a half, so you can put that 0:25:29.760 --> 0:25:30.640 in there as a yes. 0:25:30.760 --> 0:25:33.200 Okay, let's let's keep talking through. But I think these 0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:36.719 last two are both two that can definitely you know, 0:25:37.200 --> 0:25:39.439 are are under consideration. So let's go to your next one, 0:25:39.440 --> 0:25:41.800 because I'm starting to run out of games that I 0:25:42.119 --> 0:25:43.679 am like, yeah, all right, I feel this one, but 0:25:43.720 --> 0:25:44.480 go ahead, okay. 0:25:44.560 --> 0:25:47.800 So I want to know all about the Jets here, yep, 0:25:47.920 --> 0:25:49.399 tell me how you feel about your Jets. 0:25:50.040 --> 0:25:53.080 So it sounds like if Sam Darnold does not play, 0:25:53.280 --> 0:25:55.240 and it sounds like he is going to play, right, 0:25:55.280 --> 0:25:58.480 but if he didn't play this I was I wasn't 0:25:58.520 --> 0:26:00.280 even gonna bring this up because it's the Bill, and 0:26:00.320 --> 0:26:03.159 I know you hate the Bills, but I would. I 0:26:03.200 --> 0:26:06.200 would happily, even though the spread has gone down. I'd 0:26:06.240 --> 0:26:10.080 happily take the Bills laying really half against Flaca. 0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:12.000 Really no no, with Donald playing. 0:26:12.640 --> 0:26:14.680 Oh no, no, no no, that is with Flacca, with 0:26:14.720 --> 0:26:17.040 Flacco playing, I would happily take the thirteen and a 0:26:17.080 --> 0:26:20.240 half with Donald playing. It's kind of been a game 0:26:20.240 --> 0:26:22.840 where I'm not gonna let you talk me into taking 0:26:22.880 --> 0:26:24.719 the Jets, but I would. 0:26:24.800 --> 0:26:27.480 I would because I was like, it's on my list 0:26:27.720 --> 0:26:29.120 of Jets play thirteen and a half. 0:26:29.160 --> 0:26:31.040 I figure it's probably the right side. 0:26:31.119 --> 0:26:32.960 Okay, it's probably the right side. 0:26:32.960 --> 0:26:36.880 Although I will say that Jameson Crowder downgraded on Thursday too, 0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:40.520 did not practice. If Jameson Crowder is out, I don't 0:26:40.520 --> 0:26:42.240 even know what to say at this point. I don't 0:26:42.240 --> 0:26:43.920 know who they're going to. I mean, you know, he's 0:26:43.960 --> 0:26:45.680 got such a high target chair in a normal week, 0:26:46.320 --> 0:26:50.600 even with Donald I I'll probably I'll stay away. But 0:26:50.880 --> 0:26:53.200 I just, Matt, what is there about the Jets that 0:26:53.240 --> 0:26:55.240 could ever make you feel like this is a team 0:26:55.320 --> 0:26:57.720 I don't care about the point spread that I'm willing 0:26:57.760 --> 0:26:59.240 to back under any circumstance. 0:26:59.280 --> 0:27:02.480 It's the NFL. They pay their players too. 0:27:02.960 --> 0:27:05.880 Okay, so we know the bills of course looked terrible. 0:27:05.960 --> 0:27:08.879 You've been enjoying it. They haven't looked good for two games. 0:27:08.880 --> 0:27:12.159 But don't you think that this is a game where 0:27:12.520 --> 0:27:15.360 they take out all their frustrations. They are much superior team, 0:27:15.359 --> 0:27:17.560 whatever you think about them, to the Jets. Don't you 0:27:17.560 --> 0:27:18.800 think this is a game where they just take out 0:27:18.840 --> 0:27:19.640 their frustration. Yeah? 0:27:19.680 --> 0:27:21.920 Maybe, but then they pull everybody in the third quarter. 0:27:22.000 --> 0:27:23.560 In the fourth quarter of the Jets cover I mean 0:27:23.560 --> 0:27:24.560 fourteen points. 0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:25.600 Back the Jets to be able to put up a 0:27:25.640 --> 0:27:25.919 couple of. 0:27:25.920 --> 0:27:29.040 Points surest against you know, third string dudes. I mean, 0:27:29.080 --> 0:27:32.720 I mean, fourteen points in the NFL is ridiculous. It 0:27:32.800 --> 0:27:35.960 is a stupid number. That's like next week the Jets 0:27:36.000 --> 0:27:39.320 are catching twenty one from the Chiefs in points spread. 0:27:39.359 --> 0:27:41.960 Since nineteen eighty eight, when they've been twenty points or more, 0:27:42.000 --> 0:27:44.119 there's been six of them. They're one in five against 0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:44.560 the spread. 0:27:44.800 --> 0:27:45.280 I get it. 0:27:45.160 --> 0:27:47.880 It just doesn't have I mean, no matter how bad 0:27:47.880 --> 0:27:50.959 a team is, you just get garbage back door covers 0:27:50.960 --> 0:27:51.440 all the time. 0:27:51.560 --> 0:27:53.640 It's just like you're gonna fall into one. 0:27:54.080 --> 0:27:55.680 I think we maybe at the point where the Jets 0:27:55.720 --> 0:27:59.840 are able to break all models of efficiency. They're basically 0:28:00.160 --> 0:28:04.399 taking and they're terrible. I so, look, assuming Donald plays, 0:28:04.400 --> 0:28:06.600 which I am assuming right now because things are trending up, 0:28:07.440 --> 0:28:10.560 I think that the Jets are probably, you know, certainly 0:28:10.640 --> 0:28:13.040 the value lays with the Jets getting thirteen and a half, 0:28:13.119 --> 0:28:15.440 you've already seen the consensus line drop. It's already minus 0:28:15.480 --> 0:28:17.320 twelve at one point and dropped to miss eleven. Then 0:28:17.359 --> 0:28:19.560 I think the crowdter injury maybe made things a little nervous. 0:28:19.760 --> 0:28:22.800 But either way, no way. I will not. I will 0:28:22.840 --> 0:28:24.840 not back the Jets in this contest, in this game. 0:28:24.960 --> 0:28:27.160 So that's a note for me. So I'm staying away 0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:29.080 from it. If anything, if you were like Dan, I'm 0:28:29.119 --> 0:28:31.000 willing to jump on the bills here, I'm finally back 0:28:31.040 --> 0:28:32.879 on track to be like yeah, fired up, but no, 0:28:33.080 --> 0:28:36.320 even with Sam Darnold, I'm out there, all right. I've 0:28:36.320 --> 0:28:39.320 got one game, Matt the left where I like, you know, 0:28:39.400 --> 0:28:42.600 I have a couple of okay, Leans, I guess, but 0:28:43.680 --> 0:28:46.120 there's another one where I might be willing to take it. 0:28:46.120 --> 0:28:47.920 If you liked it, I'm actually just injur I'm just 0:28:47.920 --> 0:28:50.360 gonna throw it to you. How do you feel about 0:28:50.640 --> 0:28:52.840 Green Bay laying three and a half points to the 0:28:52.840 --> 0:28:53.800 Texans in Houston? 0:28:53.840 --> 0:28:56.040 I'm on the other side, you're. 0:28:55.880 --> 0:28:57.160 On You like the Texans? 0:28:57.240 --> 0:29:01.040 Yeah, okay, I like Texans at home. I think there's 0:29:02.320 --> 0:29:04.680 I know there's a bounce back spot coming potentially, but 0:29:04.800 --> 0:29:07.240 in October, if you look at the numbers for Deshaun 0:29:07.280 --> 0:29:10.160 Watson as an underdog even I mean sorry, at home 0:29:10.200 --> 0:29:13.080 in October, Deshaun Watson's played very well at home. I 0:29:13.120 --> 0:29:15.320 don't like the Texans like you like you clearly no. 0:29:15.440 --> 0:29:18.480 I mean I can't stand them personally, but if I 0:29:18.600 --> 0:29:21.080 had to bet this game, I would take the hook 0:29:21.120 --> 0:29:23.480 and take the three and a half. Okay, home dog, 0:29:23.920 --> 0:29:27.000 home dogs are have my attention here in October. 0:29:27.120 --> 0:29:29.520 Yeah, I get it. I mean I think that the 0:29:29.600 --> 0:29:31.560 Texans are going to be able to put up points. 0:29:31.600 --> 0:29:32.840 I think the Packers are going to be able to 0:29:32.880 --> 0:29:34.560 put up a lot of points. I think you're going 0:29:34.640 --> 0:29:37.520 to see them have a major bounce back game offensively 0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:39.960 given what they've been able to do to subpar defenses 0:29:40.000 --> 0:29:41.840 in the past. So I think there's a big bounce 0:29:41.880 --> 0:29:43.600 back spot for the Packers. I'm on them. I don't 0:29:43.680 --> 0:29:45.320 love it with the hook again. 0:29:45.120 --> 0:29:46.560 Well, I mean yeah, I mean I think if we 0:29:46.640 --> 0:29:48.719 got to three, I might like it better. But it's 0:29:48.760 --> 0:29:51.400 interesting because course, I mean, Houston is one in five 0:29:51.440 --> 0:29:54.959 against the spread right now and the green Bay Packers 0:29:54.960 --> 0:29:57.920 are four and one, So, I mean green Bay has 0:29:57.920 --> 0:29:59.640 done a pretty good job here out of the gate, 0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:02.160 even though it's a home dog situation. I mean it's 0:30:02.560 --> 0:30:05.520 you know, the only time that the Texans covered was 0:30:05.560 --> 0:30:08.440 against Jacksonville when they covered by sixteen. Everything else they 0:30:08.440 --> 0:30:09.520 have lost to win. 0:30:09.480 --> 0:30:12.360 And remember that game against Jacksonville, they shouldn't have covered, 0:30:12.400 --> 0:30:14.720 like if they had a kicker, right, if Jacksonville had, well. 0:30:14.600 --> 0:30:17.040 I teased did they would have covered anyone because the 0:30:17.120 --> 0:30:18.640 line was six and a half, but I teased it 0:30:18.640 --> 0:30:19.680 to eleven and a half. 0:30:19.880 --> 0:30:22.080 So my teaser what hit would have hit? Right, But 0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:23.240 they still. 0:30:23.040 --> 0:30:24.920 Would have covered even with the two field goals for Jacksonville. 0:30:24.920 --> 0:30:27.200 But it would have changed Jacksonville's approach as to how 0:30:27.240 --> 0:30:29.880 they were trying to score. But so, I mean, I 0:30:29.880 --> 0:30:33.040 don't know, Okay, maybe I I might listen. I mean, 0:30:33.480 --> 0:30:36.360 if we need it. Fading the Texans, I don't mind. Okay, 0:30:36.440 --> 0:30:38.840 I don't mind putting as you think. 0:30:38.920 --> 0:30:41.960 I do think that they they do look better since 0:30:41.960 --> 0:30:43.840 firing Bill Brown. I mean, I think you've seen a 0:30:43.880 --> 0:30:46.760 couple things, and again, their schedule lightened up, you know, basically, 0:30:47.600 --> 0:30:47.840 but this. 0:30:47.840 --> 0:30:49.360 Is a tough game though. I think Green Bay I 0:30:49.360 --> 0:30:51.360 mean yeah, I mean they were embarrassed. 0:30:51.400 --> 0:30:53.680 They're coming off a game where they're embarrassed. Their secondary 0:30:53.760 --> 0:30:56.000 is still pretty good. The Texans don't really have the 0:30:56.040 --> 0:30:58.320 type of run game that can exploit what the Packers 0:30:58.320 --> 0:30:58.640 look like. 0:30:58.720 --> 0:31:01.320 If it's my narrative right in about spots, So I 0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:03.480 mean to go back with Green Bay. I got burned 0:31:03.520 --> 0:31:05.800 last week, but I think it's a bounce back spot 0:31:05.880 --> 0:31:08.440 for sure against a pretty poor defense. 0:31:08.760 --> 0:31:10.720 Yeah, that's just kind of how I feel. I think 0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:12.000 this is a spot where they're gonna be able to 0:31:12.000 --> 0:31:14.719 put up a ton of points. There's absolutely a possibility 0:31:14.760 --> 0:31:16.440 of a backdoor cover here. But I think the Packers 0:31:16.440 --> 0:31:18.920 are going to win this game, and I think that 0:31:19.040 --> 0:31:21.720 you know, it's going to be something where it would 0:31:21.720 --> 0:31:23.640 have to probably. I feel like the only way the 0:31:23.640 --> 0:31:24.920 Texans are going to do it if it's like a 0:31:25.000 --> 0:31:27.480 last minute kind of touchdown to get within three or 0:31:27.520 --> 0:31:29.240 something like that. So for me, I feel like the 0:31:29.240 --> 0:31:31.400 Packers are the right side of this, but I'm not 0:31:31.480 --> 0:31:33.080 married to it by any means. I will say that 0:31:33.120 --> 0:31:35.960 eighty one percent of the experts it's the most heavily 0:31:36.080 --> 0:31:38.480 one sided game with a three and a half point spread, 0:31:38.800 --> 0:31:41.000 are on the Packers. Yeah, and again that that didn't 0:31:41.000 --> 0:31:42.840 factor in. I only look at this right before we 0:31:42.880 --> 0:31:45.160 start recording, so I could have it up and see, 0:31:45.160 --> 0:31:46.520 you know, whether or not it does. But I do 0:31:46.560 --> 0:31:47.840 think the Packers are the right side here. 0:31:47.880 --> 0:31:50.840 So room Bays giving up seven point two yards per 0:31:50.840 --> 0:31:52.640 pass play right, Yeah, oh I get it. 0:31:52.800 --> 0:31:55.080 Gosh, that's time. But so was Houston. Houston is giving 0:31:55.120 --> 0:31:56.080 a same point two as well. 0:31:56.240 --> 0:31:59.040 That's the thing, right exactly. I just I have less 0:31:59.200 --> 0:32:01.320 faith in Houston. And again, I think it was good 0:32:01.520 --> 0:32:03.920 for the Packers, as as Rogers said, to get their 0:32:03.960 --> 0:32:05.880 butt kicked a little bit and kind of snap them 0:32:05.920 --> 0:32:08.400 back into reality. You are not this dominant team that's 0:32:08.400 --> 0:32:11.040 going to roll over everybody, but you can roll over 0:32:11.080 --> 0:32:11.760 the Texans. 0:32:11.920 --> 0:32:13.840 I don't think you may have talked into this. I 0:32:13.840 --> 0:32:16.120 mean I think I may I may well agree with that. 0:32:16.200 --> 0:32:18.480 We'll put in the maybe maybe what else you got mad? 0:32:18.480 --> 0:32:20.959 Because I'm I'm I've got like slight leams. 0:32:21.280 --> 0:32:22.520 Go ahead, cause I hate everything else. 0:32:22.560 --> 0:32:24.360 So no, I hate everything else too, So why let's 0:32:24.360 --> 0:32:25.160 just talk about the game. 0:32:25.400 --> 0:32:27.120 Let's I hate to hate the rest of this card 0:32:27.160 --> 0:32:31.240 because there's Dallas, Washington, Detroit, Atlanta, you kid, well. 0:32:31.200 --> 0:32:33.280 Let's talk. Let's talk about what the spreads are. And 0:32:33.320 --> 0:32:35.760 I'm not giving you a side. I'm just laying out 0:32:35.800 --> 0:32:37.840 The favorites start and I'll be like, I'm on the 0:32:37.920 --> 0:32:40.640 other side. There is no side. I'm like the Lions 0:32:41.480 --> 0:32:44.480 where okay, the Falcons laying two and a half points 0:32:44.920 --> 0:32:47.200 to the Lions in Atlanta. 0:32:48.000 --> 0:32:50.360 I mean, how do you trust Atlanta to do anything? 0:32:51.600 --> 0:32:54.440 How do you I mean they're at home to below 0:32:54.440 --> 0:32:58.680 a field goal. Matt Ryan looks completely washed up. I mean, 0:32:59.240 --> 0:33:01.480 you want to go with Atlanta here? It feels like 0:33:01.560 --> 0:33:03.719 Atlanta's the right side to go on with this. But 0:33:03.760 --> 0:33:05.840 Atlanta right now is two and four against the spread. 0:33:05.840 --> 0:33:08.400 Detroit's two and three against the spread. They did cover 0:33:08.440 --> 0:33:10.680 against Jacksonville on the road last week, but it's back 0:33:10.720 --> 0:33:13.280 to back road games. Thankfully, they're back in a dome 0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:14.360 that helps the Lions. 0:33:15.960 --> 0:33:19.960 No point, that's right, that's right. I think if I 0:33:20.000 --> 0:33:23.040 was forced to, I mean, you can't, like, you can't 0:33:23.040 --> 0:33:25.200 feel comfortable backing either one of these teams no matter what. 0:33:25.280 --> 0:33:27.120 Like there's no way you want to back Matt Patricia, 0:33:27.240 --> 0:33:28.920 there's no way you want to back the Falcons. I 0:33:28.960 --> 0:33:32.400 guess I might go with the Lions. I mean, they 0:33:32.400 --> 0:33:34.200 did change things up a little bit. They got swift, 0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:36.720 more involved, they blitzed a little more last week. Things 0:33:36.760 --> 0:33:38.960 like that are good. But still no, so that's just 0:33:39.000 --> 0:33:40.760 stay away, So we're not going to go there. I 0:33:40.800 --> 0:33:42.680 do lean the lines. If I had to go one way. 0:33:43.120 --> 0:33:47.800 Washington in the contest is laying half a point to 0:33:47.920 --> 0:33:52.000 the Cowboys, and in our consensus lines, it's now the 0:33:52.080 --> 0:33:57.800 Cowboys laying one to Washington. So any feeling on that one. 0:33:57.600 --> 0:33:59.200 I would take the Cowboys miss one. 0:33:59.720 --> 0:34:02.440 Don't think, well, I'm certainly staying away from this game. 0:34:02.480 --> 0:34:03.560 I'm certainly staying away. 0:34:03.560 --> 0:34:04.920 So here, here's how we see this. 0:34:05.040 --> 0:34:07.560 So if Chase Young decides to destroy Andy Dalton for 0:34:07.600 --> 0:34:09.520 four quarters, then they're gonna have a real tough time 0:34:09.560 --> 0:34:12.200 of it. If Andy Dalton actually can hit somebody in 0:34:12.280 --> 0:34:15.160 stride and actually hit an open receiver, okay, maybe they 0:34:15.200 --> 0:34:17.560 can play. Because the Washington defense is not very good 0:34:17.640 --> 0:34:19.080 outside of their defensive front. 0:34:19.560 --> 0:34:22.080 So that's my concern. Zeke's not gonna run the ball. 0:34:22.320 --> 0:34:24.239 They're gonna They're gonna do a you know, a great 0:34:24.280 --> 0:34:26.719 job of stocking stop An Elliott, So he's not. I mean, 0:34:26.760 --> 0:34:29.120 I like, I look at Elliott's rushing props this this week, 0:34:29.120 --> 0:34:31.879 this week, saying under for him, right, But I don't 0:34:31.880 --> 0:34:34.480 know what to make of the Dallas Cowboys offense as 0:34:34.480 --> 0:34:37.480 a whole, given the secondary and then on the other side, 0:34:37.640 --> 0:34:40.120 I mean, my goodness, gracious, want a mess that a 0:34:40.239 --> 0:34:42.600 Washington team is. I mean, although they did play hard 0:34:42.600 --> 0:34:44.240 against the Giants, I mean. 0:34:44.160 --> 0:34:47.600 They did so if I if I had to choose, 0:34:47.640 --> 0:34:50.240 I would go Washington. But I'm not. I'm not putting 0:34:50.239 --> 0:34:54.120 as as kind of iffy as we feel about these 0:34:54.120 --> 0:34:56.400 other games that we're talking about. I wouldn't want to 0:34:56.480 --> 0:34:58.879 roll with Washington in the game. I just I do 0:34:58.920 --> 0:35:01.320 think that their injuries to their offensive line for the Cowboys, 0:35:01.480 --> 0:35:03.440 that Dalton is not going to have the time to 0:35:03.480 --> 0:35:05.880 find his receivers. And I agree that Zeke is not 0:35:05.880 --> 0:35:07.439 gonna be able to get too much done on the ground. 0:35:07.480 --> 0:35:09.239 There's gonna be a lot of dump offs to Zeke 0:35:09.360 --> 0:35:11.200 like there was in this past game. I just don't 0:35:11.200 --> 0:35:14.879 know if the Washington offense has enough firepower to put 0:35:14.960 --> 0:35:16.560 up the points to put the game out of reach 0:35:16.800 --> 0:35:18.680 to the extent where the Cowboys won't be able to 0:35:19.000 --> 0:35:20.879 at least keep it close and then pull it out 0:35:20.880 --> 0:35:23.000 at the end. So I don't like either side of it. 0:35:23.239 --> 0:35:24.440 If I did have a side, it would have to 0:35:24.480 --> 0:35:28.040 be Washington. But it's not saying much Chiefs slaying nine 0:35:28.080 --> 0:35:29.920 and a half to the Broncos in Denver. 0:35:30.280 --> 0:35:32.919 See if it wasn't a divisional game. If this was seven, 0:35:32.960 --> 0:35:35.359 I would take the Chiefs in two seconds. Yep, it's 0:35:35.400 --> 0:35:37.879 nine and a half in it's a divisional game, and 0:35:39.200 --> 0:35:43.520 I just what do you think, realistically, what do you 0:35:43.560 --> 0:35:45.440 think Le'Veon Bell is going to do in that offense? 0:35:45.840 --> 0:35:47.680 First of all, do we know that Bell is active 0:35:47.680 --> 0:35:48.080 in this game? 0:35:48.120 --> 0:35:50.520 Because not Yeah, but he can play. He's allowed to play. 0:35:50.840 --> 0:35:51.640 He's allowed to play. 0:35:51.680 --> 0:35:51.880 I know. 0:35:52.120 --> 0:35:54.360 I did see something like I think it was yesterday 0:35:54.400 --> 0:35:56.520 that said like Bell may not be active for this game. 0:35:57.120 --> 0:36:02.239 I don't. I look, I'm sure was disinterested when he 0:36:02.280 --> 0:36:05.400 played because the was terrible. I am confident that the 0:36:05.440 --> 0:36:08.239 team had absolutely no idea how to use him this year. 0:36:08.800 --> 0:36:12.920 I think he'll probably be rejuvenated to start, but I 0:36:13.080 --> 0:36:14.959 don't think he has that much left in the tank 0:36:15.120 --> 0:36:18.520 because he just I mean I just watching him run. 0:36:18.600 --> 0:36:20.840 Unless he literally was like I'm just not going to 0:36:20.840 --> 0:36:22.720 give a hundred percent after at all, which is possible. 0:36:23.480 --> 0:36:26.120 He just looked slow, like there were there were yards 0:36:26.200 --> 0:36:28.160 left out there when he could have gained a lot more. 0:36:28.200 --> 0:36:29.840 And again it might have just been like who cares. 0:36:29.880 --> 0:36:31.480 This team is a train wreck. I'm not going to 0:36:31.600 --> 0:36:35.200 risk myself for this, but I think he'll add something 0:36:35.239 --> 0:36:37.640 to them because I think he's better than Daryl Williams. 0:36:37.640 --> 0:36:40.400 But I don't think that he is a game chander 0:36:40.520 --> 0:36:43.719 in any way. And Clyde Edwards Hilaire looked great. I mean, 0:36:43.719 --> 0:36:46.120 he looked great last week. He's a talented running back. 0:36:46.160 --> 0:36:48.200 So does he add a little bit, Yeah, but it 0:36:48.200 --> 0:36:49.640 doesn't move the needle much for me. 0:36:49.960 --> 0:36:52.440 I would agree, And so that's why nine and a 0:36:52.480 --> 0:36:54.400 half points is. If I had to take it, I 0:36:54.400 --> 0:36:55.160 would take Denver. 0:36:56.280 --> 0:37:00.120 Yeah, I think Denver is probably the right side, but 0:37:00.600 --> 0:37:03.279 I wouldn't. I wouldn't do it like I just I mean, 0:37:03.320 --> 0:37:05.880 you saw it with Drew Locke. Good goodness, gracious, you 0:37:05.960 --> 0:37:07.799 need everything possible to lose that game? 0:37:07.920 --> 0:37:08.120 Yeah? 0:37:08.239 --> 0:37:10.640 You great for three quarters. Yeah, he did everything he 0:37:10.680 --> 0:37:12.680 was supposed to do. And then he got pushed and pressured, 0:37:12.760 --> 0:37:14.560 and then they got to crunch time. And then what 0:37:14.600 --> 0:37:16.719 did Pat Shermer decide to do by asking him to 0:37:16.719 --> 0:37:19.200 throw a ball at all, let alone just call a 0:37:19.200 --> 0:37:21.680 pass play period was ridiculous. And then him the photoball 0:37:21.840 --> 0:37:24.600 deep and allow the Patriots to intercept that football and nearly, 0:37:24.640 --> 0:37:26.520 I mean, they should have lost the game. Nineteen eighteen 0:37:26.719 --> 0:37:28.320 if that had happened, what's this line? 0:37:28.360 --> 0:37:30.440 Really? If they lost to the Patriots, what's this right? 0:37:30.920 --> 0:37:34.759 So you're you're right, yeah, I in Denver makes me 0:37:34.840 --> 0:37:37.120 a little nervous given that it's the divisional game. So 0:37:37.239 --> 0:37:38.560 I agree, we're we're kind of staying. 0:37:38.560 --> 0:37:40.440 Oh they hate the Chiefs there, man, that that's a 0:37:40.440 --> 0:37:42.640 circle game for them. They just threw all over it. 0:37:42.880 --> 0:37:46.760 All right, So Chargers laying seven and a half points 0:37:46.840 --> 0:37:50.480 to the Jaguars in lost at No wait. 0:37:50.440 --> 0:37:53.200 Is it in in La okay? Oh no, no, no, sorry 0:37:53.239 --> 0:37:56.319 this hostage. No, no, it's not. It's in cause in Jacksonville, right, 0:37:56.480 --> 0:37:58.120 because the Rams are home against the Bears. 0:37:58.000 --> 0:37:59.839 Right, the Rams are That's why I actually had it. 0:38:00.200 --> 0:38:01.840 Oh no, it's why I yeah, no, it's that. 0:38:02.760 --> 0:38:06.120 They're both playing in Los Angeles, all right. Anyway, Chargers 0:38:06.160 --> 0:38:07.680 like seven and a half points to the Jaguars in 0:38:07.800 --> 0:38:08.560 La If. 0:38:08.400 --> 0:38:09.799 I had to take it to be the Chargers, but 0:38:09.880 --> 0:38:12.160 I don't trust the Chargers right now with all their injuries, 0:38:12.560 --> 0:38:13.480 no skin. 0:38:13.360 --> 0:38:16.120 Nor do I no move on Rams laying Oh well 0:38:16.120 --> 0:38:18.239 this is the unless you're taking the Bears I know 0:38:18.320 --> 0:38:20.880 this is a paralta. The Rams laying five and a 0:38:20.920 --> 0:38:21.960 half points to the Bears. 0:38:22.040 --> 0:38:23.480 Yeah, and the contest, if I had to take it, 0:38:23.480 --> 0:38:25.040 I would I would bet the Bears. I think the 0:38:25.040 --> 0:38:26.200 Bears might win the game out right. 0:38:26.840 --> 0:38:28.239 Yeah. You know, it's funny because I was talking to 0:38:28.280 --> 0:38:29.799 some of our guys of fans pros to be fair, 0:38:30.000 --> 0:38:32.319 they want you know, they both are Bears fans. One 0:38:32.320 --> 0:38:34.279 of them is a more optimistic Bears fan than the other. 0:38:34.719 --> 0:38:37.560 But he was saying that he thought the Bears were 0:38:37.600 --> 0:38:40.279 gonna win and I and he might take them out right. 0:38:41.120 --> 0:38:41.560 I don't lie. 0:38:41.600 --> 0:38:43.080 I mean, I'm not taking either side of this game. 0:38:43.120 --> 0:38:45.960 I you know, like I've been like the foremost Bears 0:38:45.960 --> 0:38:48.440 backer of this hole right, Like, yeah, we could go. 0:38:48.480 --> 0:38:49.920 You're like, why are you trusting the Bears. We're not 0:38:49.960 --> 0:38:52.040 trusting the Bears. I'm like, no, that's fine, but this game, no, 0:38:52.160 --> 0:38:55.560 definitely not. I'm not going there. So, I mean, we 0:38:55.640 --> 0:38:58.359 have our five Matt, we don't love them. We've got 0:38:58.360 --> 0:39:00.880 the Pats lank two and a half to the Niners, 0:39:01.280 --> 0:39:03.640 which we're good with, yep. The Seahawks laying three and 0:39:03.680 --> 0:39:06.120 a half to the Cardinals, which we're both really good with. 0:39:06.200 --> 0:39:09.080 Ye Then we start getting into games that we're like, okay, maybe, 0:39:09.160 --> 0:39:11.719 which are the Browns laying three and a half to 0:39:11.800 --> 0:39:14.279 the Bengals? Done, I'm good, Okay, you're good with that. 0:39:14.600 --> 0:39:17.960 The Panthers getting seven and a half from the Saints, 0:39:18.000 --> 0:39:21.560 I'm good, okay. And really a game that you were 0:39:21.600 --> 0:39:23.319 on the other side of when we first started talking 0:39:23.320 --> 0:39:26.040 about it, the Packers laying three and a half to 0:39:26.080 --> 0:39:26.600 the Texas. 0:39:26.600 --> 0:39:31.600 So, Packers, you're more confident in the Packers covering on 0:39:31.640 --> 0:39:33.960 the road than you are the Titans getting points at home. 0:39:34.440 --> 0:39:36.480 Oh, that's right, because that's your number one game. 0:39:37.920 --> 0:39:39.279 Yeah, I'm gonna let you make that call. 0:39:39.600 --> 0:39:41.520 Yes, No, I'm making the call though. Yeah, now I'm. 0:39:41.440 --> 0:39:44.800 Making that call. I'm good, Packers, Okay, I'm good, man. 0:39:45.120 --> 0:39:47.480 This is gross okay. So again, I'll just recap that 0:39:47.520 --> 0:39:50.439 Pat's laying two and a half to the forty nine ers, 0:39:50.640 --> 0:39:53.880 Seahawks laying three and a half to the Cardinals, Panthers 0:39:54.000 --> 0:39:57.040 getting seven and a half from the Saints, Browns laying 0:39:57.080 --> 0:40:00.000 three and a half to the Bengals, and the Packers 0:40:00.080 --> 0:40:01.680 lanth three and a half to Texans. That's on me, 0:40:02.000 --> 0:40:03.959 we go South, that's on me, all right. 0:40:04.120 --> 0:40:08.240 Road favorites we're going with road favorites in the week Saday. 0:40:07.960 --> 0:40:10.160 Basically exactly what you said you didn't want to do. 0:40:10.280 --> 0:40:12.239 You're like, I'm in for home dogs this week. 0:40:12.360 --> 0:40:14.319 But it's a great I'll bet them you and we 0:40:14.360 --> 0:40:16.560 can pick them. I'm going it on both sides. 0:40:16.800 --> 0:40:18.640 All Right. I feel terrible about all this, but it's 0:40:18.680 --> 0:40:21.160 gonna be great, okay. As always follow us on Twitter 0:40:21.160 --> 0:40:23.879 at Dan Harris ati at Sports Talk Matt. We will 0:40:23.920 --> 0:40:27.480 if anything happens where we change, we will let you know. 0:40:27.560 --> 0:40:28.680 No, we can't change. Only. 0:40:29.040 --> 0:40:30.920 The only thing we can change is if there's massive 0:40:30.920 --> 0:40:32.320 COVID issues or massive injuries. 0:40:32.360 --> 0:40:32.920 That's the only one. 0:40:32.920 --> 0:40:33.440 That's what I'm saying. 0:40:33.480 --> 0:40:34.160 Yeah, that's I'm saying. 0:40:34.280 --> 0:40:36.600 If there's that, we will let you know on our 0:40:36.640 --> 0:40:39.320 Twitter feed. Do not forget to check out our new 0:40:39.560 --> 0:40:43.560 Discord channel that's at bettingpros dot com. 0:40:43.600 --> 0:40:46.400 Every primetime game, I'll be in the Daily Juice channel 0:40:46.440 --> 0:40:49.320 on Discord. I'll be there, so not for Sunday or Saturday, 0:40:49.360 --> 0:40:52.240 but the primetime Saturday Night games and Sunday Night Games, 0:40:52.320 --> 0:40:55.719 World Series, Monday nights. Anytime we got a standalone primetime game, 0:40:56.000 --> 0:40:56.760 I'll be there. 0:40:56.920 --> 0:40:59.200 At Bettingpros dot com slash Chat. I'll be in there 0:40:59.239 --> 0:41:01.640 to talk them on yourselves, talk with us, do everything 0:41:01.640 --> 0:41:04.280 you want. It's a great community right now, all different channels, 0:41:05.160 --> 0:41:06.920 and again you can find all these lines over at 0:41:06.920 --> 0:41:10.200 Benningpros dot com. And don't forget to check out Matt's 0:41:10.320 --> 0:41:13.720 Sunday morning live stream from eleven am to twelve pm 0:41:13.880 --> 0:41:16.719 Eastern Time, YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros where he 0:41:16.760 --> 0:41:18.839 goes through every game. We'll give you some props, all 0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:21.680 that good stuff. Until then, I will talk to you 0:41:21.719 --> 0:41:24.160 next week on this podcast. Good luck this weekend with 0:41:24.200 --> 0:41:38.360 all your wagers.