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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. All Right, here

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Speaker 1: we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Horny

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Speaker 1: Coty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: And the Kicks Black College Football.

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Speaker 1: Laura Stundus, Oh my godness, please stumble.

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Speaker 2: And bob the lateral turn a car on the inside.

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Speaker 2: Gus lad came off the.

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Speaker 1: Field to night. It's not the side of the dog

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Speaker 1: in the fight, it's the size of the fight in

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Speaker 1: the dog. Welcome back to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast.

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Speaker 1: This is the group of five Deep Dive. I'm your

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Speaker 1: host Mike Calberry is joined by my co hosts Mike Ianello.

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Speaker 1: Week one in the books, we had some winners, we

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Speaker 1: had some losers, but we paired it together quite nicely

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Speaker 1: for underdog money line parlay. Getting off on the right

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Speaker 1: foot this season with UNLV and your spicier pick. Let's

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Speaker 1: remind the audience who you went with there to get

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Speaker 1: the ball rolling for this episode.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the North Texas Mean Green the Morrison Morris Show

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Speaker 2: Channel Morris absolutely lit up the South Alabama defense. I

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Speaker 2: think he gets five total touchdowns. So yeah, that was

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Speaker 2: that was a fun one. That was a great, a

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Speaker 2: great way to start the year with the two of

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Speaker 2: us coming through like that.

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Speaker 1: Let's keep the good times rolling for a week number two.

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Speaker 1: Looking back on the week that was obviously Ashton GenZ

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Speaker 1: just went berserk. He scored six touchdowns. He single handedly

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Speaker 1: pulled Boise, passed Georgia Southern. George Southern made a close

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Speaker 1: back door cover late, but clearly his just god level.

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Speaker 1: He's like Tecmo Bowl bo Jackson at this point, like

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Speaker 1: he needs to run right through the back of the

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Speaker 1: end zone into the arms of an agent and just

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Speaker 1: get ready for the NFL Draft. But luckily I don't

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Speaker 1: think he wants to do that. Clearly didn't transfer. He

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Speaker 1: could have got a bag this past offseason. He wants

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Speaker 1: to drag them all the way to the college foot

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Speaker 1: ball playoff. What do you think of Genty's performance and

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Speaker 1: were you attempted to just to take him as the

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Speaker 1: chalk for the G five Hero of the Week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I texted you ahead of time and said, we're

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Speaker 2: kind of we had to mention gent, but I feel

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Speaker 2: like he was like a two obvious version. The point

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Speaker 2: of this segment is to shine light on everyone. You know,

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Speaker 2: everyone in National TV is talking about, you know, Travis Hunters,

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Speaker 2: and we trying to give light to the little guys

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Speaker 2: who have big games. But yeah, Jenny's getting national attention,

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Speaker 2: so we obviously had to mention him. But we feel

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Speaker 2: like he's getting enough shine, so you know, we want

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Speaker 2: to shine some light on some other people. So I'm

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Speaker 2: actually gonna do that with a whole team. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: just give my G five Hero of the Week to

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Speaker 2: the entire Central Michigan team. You wonder why, Breeze. This

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Speaker 2: was one of my favorite satellites to look for. They

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Speaker 2: had three passing touchdowns, three rushing touchdowns, a kick return touchdown,

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Speaker 2: a punt return touchdown, and a pick six full team effort,

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Speaker 2: all three phases, sixty six to ten win over Central Connecticut,

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Speaker 2: Fire up Chips. The whole squad is celebrating all three units.

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Speaker 2: I just thought that was such a fun little like

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Speaker 2: they scored every way you could.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a good pick. You're, you know, the

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Speaker 1: the head coach who wants to make sure that he's

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Speaker 1: getting the love from the entire teams. You're like, everybody,

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Speaker 1: circle up, You're all getting game balls. Just come out the.

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Speaker 2: Special teams coordinator. Everyone's drinking tonight.

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Speaker 1: For my G five Hero of the week. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go with a powerful guy who dropped down a former

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Speaker 1: first team All SEC defender at Arkansas, he spent some

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Speaker 1: time at Texas. He transfers into UNLV. Jalen Catalan is

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Speaker 1: going to anchor this running rebels secondary and he looked

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Speaker 1: the part in Game one, not one, but two picks

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Speaker 1: and one of the absolute best pick sixes you will

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Speaker 1: see this entire season. He deflected it to himself and

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Speaker 1: took it to the house and believe it was thirty

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Speaker 1: six yards out. They dominated Houston and this has been

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Speaker 1: the missing component for so many of these G five teams.

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Speaker 1: That good on offense. I mean, I've been banging the

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Speaker 1: drum for Sluka. That's not going to stop. The go

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Speaker 1: go offense looked fun mister Sluka made. You're gonna have

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Speaker 1: to strap in for the Sluka experience because he made

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Speaker 1: an outrageous throw on the run into the end zone

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Speaker 1: and he also made an outrageously bad interception in the

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Speaker 1: end zone. You're gonna get some good and bad with him,

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Speaker 1: But he looks the part to run the go go

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Speaker 1: offense defensively. Last year they got traded in all the

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Speaker 1: big games they're still giving up points in that Mountain

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Speaker 1: West title game to Poise State, but not this year.

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Speaker 1: Not on Catalan's watch. They almost pitched a shutout against

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Speaker 1: Houston on the road. So UNLV's for real, He's my

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Speaker 1: G five here of the week. What do you think

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Speaker 1: about that pick?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: I love it.

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Speaker 2: A cash strop parle i holmost with Chandler Morris is mine,

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Speaker 2: so I'm glad you mentioned him at the top with

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Speaker 2: the double the money line underdog parlay. Yeah, I'll give

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Speaker 2: you give you credit. You have been very good at

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Speaker 2: nailing these FCS transfer come ups, and it looks like

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Speaker 2: Sluka's the next to mine. Yeah, he was awesome, and

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Speaker 2: and then obviously cattal On, Yeah, he's tremendous for them.

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Speaker 1: All Right, this week, I'm gonna do a little bit

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Speaker 1: more of the heavy lifting. I'm gonna do three of

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Speaker 1: the five in the G five High five, and I

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Speaker 1: to get things started here with my best bet for

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Speaker 1: week two. You already mentioned that North Texas South Alabama game,

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Speaker 1: which is why when I saw this total at fifty

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Speaker 1: three and a half, my eyes got as big as saucers.

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Speaker 1: I was like, you gotta be kidding me. That this

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Speaker 1: number South Alabama against Ohio is sitting in the mid fifties.

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Speaker 1: I would play it all the way up to fifty seven.

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Speaker 1: Going over the total here. Listen the South Alabama game,

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Speaker 1: the opener. It featured ninety points in over eleven hundred

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Speaker 1: total yards of offense. It could have been even crazier,

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Speaker 1: by the way, had it not been for an empty

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Speaker 1: drive at the end for the Jags and then unt

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Speaker 1: kneeling the clock out with about two minutes left. The

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Speaker 1: secondary was supposed to be halfway decent, you know, in

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Speaker 1: this major appleoy coming in running the show. Defense had

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Speaker 1: so much to replace Cane Womack, the head coach, leaving

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Speaker 1: the defensive mastermind. But at least the secondary had some

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Speaker 1: known pieces and they were going to be fine, not

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Speaker 1: fine at all. They give four hundred and fifteen through

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Speaker 1: the air, three tds pass rush was nowhere to be found.

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Speaker 1: Zero sacks on forty plus dropbacks for Chandler Morris in

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Speaker 1: that game. So I think there's a chance that they

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Speaker 1: can give up let's call it thirty forty points to

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Speaker 1: Ohio in this game. And then Geo Lopez, he was

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Speaker 1: the butt of the joke in the offseason because he

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Speaker 1: had a huge bowl game and then he goes over

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Speaker 1: thirteen in the spring game. Well, he looks like the

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Speaker 1: bowl version. Four hundred and ninety four total yards, four

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Speaker 1: total touchdowns. He smashed the school record for total yards

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Speaker 1: by sixty two total yards by quarterback. Blowing past that

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Speaker 1: number is big boy work there. Ohio. Meanwhile, in their

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Speaker 1: opener featured sixty points over nine hundred yards to total

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Speaker 1: offense against Syracuse. They made Kyle McCord look like the

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Speaker 1: transfer get of the century. I know that Fran Brown,

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Speaker 1: the Syracuse had coach, agrees with them. He's trying to

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Speaker 1: give bottles of champagne to Ryan Day for how well

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Speaker 1: McCord played, But I think a lot of that had

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Speaker 1: to do with the Ohio defense that's kind of in shambles.

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Speaker 1: The good news for this total, though, is they have

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Speaker 1: an offensive heartbeat. Anthony Tias ends up leap frogging what

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Speaker 1: a lot of people thought it was gonna be Ricky

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Speaker 1: Hunt Junior's job. Well, he comes in no problem, goes

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Speaker 1: for over two hundred yards and two scores against a

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Speaker 1: power four team on the road. I think he's gonna

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Speaker 1: run through this tissue paper defense for South Alabama, perfect

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Speaker 1: weather on tap here in Athens, it looks like it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be seventy five Sonny low win situation and the

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Speaker 1: final piece here tempo tempo Tempo. South Alabama ran eighty

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Speaker 1: four plays on Saturday. Only Georgia Southern ran more plays

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Speaker 1: in Week one in the entire country, and Ohio usually

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Speaker 1: a bit more conservative. You think back to the Solis days.

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Speaker 1: They want to play defense, they want to play ball control,

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Speaker 1: they want to kind of have that ugly mucket up

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Speaker 1: mac mentality. They still ran seventy three plays, which is

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Speaker 1: the twenty first quickest tempo in week one. So I

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Speaker 1: am very confused by this total. Give me the over.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna probably play it all the way up to

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Speaker 1: fifty seven to fifty seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Gio Lopez is gonna be a find QB to watch.

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Speaker 2: Got a little gun slinger in him, Like you said,

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Speaker 2: like four hundred and thirty yards, three touchdowns. He probably

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Speaker 2: should have three picks as well. He was a little erratic. Hey,

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Speaker 2: don't be surprised if he throws a pick six in

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Speaker 2: this one. So yeah, like you're gonna get him. He's

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Speaker 2: one of those quarterbacks that teams like that he's either

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Speaker 2: gonna light it up or have it going the other way.

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Speaker 2: So I like it low total. So for me, I'm

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Speaker 2: interested how you looked at this. I kind of view

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Speaker 2: week two as it's a lot of trying to figure

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Speaker 2: out what to take from week one. Is it a

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Speaker 2: throw out the box score as an overreaction to a

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Speaker 2: bad game, or do you learn from it? And you'll

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Speaker 2: see with my theme my pick. Some of them kind

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Speaker 2: of ignoring week one and some of them I'm taking it.

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Speaker 2: One I'm ignoring is give me Arkansas State minus seven

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Speaker 2: against Tulsa. I'm not going to overreact too much to

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Speaker 2: week one. Arkansas State needed a let's call it a

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Speaker 2: miracle touchdown to beat Central Arkansas. You know, the sumb

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Speaker 2: Belt came out and said, probably shouldn't count it. But

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Speaker 2: guess what they don't ask cale, They ask how many

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Speaker 2: they want to know? I was highing this team coming in.

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Speaker 2: I'm hiding the team now and you watch that, you know,

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Speaker 2: get that game. Jaylen ran through four to three indred yards.

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Speaker 2: He had a fifty yards and a score on the ground.

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Speaker 2: He kind of did what we expect from him.

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Speaker 1: Corey Corey Rutger is back, baby, that's the headline.

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Speaker 2: And Courtney Jackson played great. Their two receivers are are studs.

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Speaker 2: The past defense was fine, they just got shredded on

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Speaker 2: the ground, but like a large chunk of that came

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Speaker 2: on an eighty eighty one yard touchdown run. Like they

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Speaker 2: kind of let up a few weird, tricky plays. And

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Speaker 2: Central Arkansas is also a top ten FCS team, so

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Speaker 2: like it. You know, if you don't watch the FCS,

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Speaker 2: it's kind of hard to differentiate the teams. That's a

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Speaker 2: good team, and they managed to, you knowquote unquote beat them.

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Speaker 2: And I'm not saying this Arkansas State defenses is good,

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Speaker 2: but Central Arkansas did only have a thirty seven percent

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Speaker 2: success rate in the game. They just had seven explosive plays,

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Speaker 2: so it's like you can't give up big plays. And

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Speaker 2: when they were on third down, Arkansas State actually played

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Speaker 2: really well and third down they really shut them down.

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Speaker 2: And then you look at this Tulsa team and Plosta's

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Speaker 2: ninety first explosiveness last year. Their team, I don't think

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Speaker 2: it's very good. Their team I don't think can pick

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Speaker 2: up big plays. Kirk Francis started at QB week one,

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Speaker 2: although both Cardi Williams and Cooper that got played. They're

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Speaker 2: kind of I don't know what they're doing there. It

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Speaker 2: seems like Francis is spilling away. I don't know why

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Speaker 2: the other two were playing. Anthony Watkins is a fine

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Speaker 2: running back, but he had just twenty carries of ten

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Speaker 2: plus yards all last season on almost two hundred carries.

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Speaker 2: So if that's Arkansas State's biggest weakness, he's not exactly

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Speaker 2: a home run burner threat. And similar to Arkansas State,

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Speaker 2: the Golden Hurricane defense is horrific. They ranked one hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifteenth and success rate one hundred and sixteenth themselves

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Speaker 2: at preventing big plays, So this is going to be

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Speaker 2: a game with explosiveness. They start up to stop the

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Speaker 2: pass and the run, and so for all the flaws

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Speaker 2: Arkansas State has, Tulsa's worse at those things, and Tulsa

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Speaker 2: doesn't have the explosiveness that Arkansas State does. You mentioned Rucker,

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Speaker 2: you mentioned Jackson, Jalen Rayner, h cross it running back

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Speaker 2: like this is a Arkanas State was eighteenth and explosive

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Speaker 2: this last year. This is a team that can pick

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Speaker 2: up big plays. This team that will pick up big

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Speaker 2: plays against Tulsa, And I don't think the Gold Hurricane

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Speaker 2: can match that. So I'm not overreacting to Week one.

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Speaker 2: Coming into this year, I thought Arkansas State was a

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Speaker 2: middle of the pack G five team and a Tulsa

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Speaker 2: is a bottom ten team in the country. So give

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Speaker 2: me Arkansas State here laying a touchdown at home. I

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Speaker 2: think too, like you know a lot, it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: said that they didn't deserve to win Week one. I

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Speaker 2: think that's motivating factor. Hey, let's leave no doubt. Let's

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Speaker 2: come here and kick the shit out of Tulsa. So

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Speaker 2: give me the Red Wolves here laying the touchdown. Butch

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Speaker 2: better have my money.

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Speaker 1: I would go even further with your assessment. Arkansas State

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Speaker 1: is exactly who we thought they were in on both

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Speaker 1: sides of the ball. Their offense is still super dynamic.

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Speaker 1: I trust them. Their defense is going to give up

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Speaker 1: explosive plays. But I think it's more like a letter grade,

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Speaker 1: you know, sliding scale, where it's like if Tulsa is

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Speaker 1: a C minus in explosiveness, they'll be a B minus

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Speaker 1: in this game. They'll get theirs, they'll get four or

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Speaker 1: five big plays. But luckily for Arkansas State, it's not

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Speaker 1: make it take it so like it's not going to

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Speaker 1: be a situation where they can't get off the field

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Speaker 1: with the defense. Every other possession they're going to have

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Speaker 1: a chance to score. I think that puts the pressure

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Speaker 1: squarely on a Tulsa team that doesn't have as many playmakers.

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Speaker 1: So really, all you need are four empty possessions, either

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Speaker 1: turnovers or punts where you get a fourth down stop

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Speaker 1: something wacky happens. Like I'm kind of with you on

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Speaker 1: this one. I think really it's kind of a gift.

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Speaker 1: The box score and how close it was against an

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Speaker 1: FCS team, I think there's gonna be a slight overreaction

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Speaker 1: in the market.

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Speaker 3: If you've ever thought about becoming an Action Pro subscriber,

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Speaker 3: now is the best time to sign up.

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Speaker 3: and projection edges from Sean Kerder and the entire Action

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Speaker 3: episode's description.

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Speaker 1: We now turn to the G five High five For

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Speaker 1: those tuning in for the first time, what we do

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Speaker 1: is we package out five picks. You can put it

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Speaker 1: together in a round robin and a parlay any way,

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Speaker 1: shape or form you want to put these picks together.

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Speaker 1: Maybe just pick your top two parlay those together the G.

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Speaker 3: Five High FIVEE High five High five.

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Speaker 1: We want to go fast through this. This is our

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Speaker 1: little hurry up tempo drill, So we're gonna get it

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Speaker 1: started with a team that got a lot of love

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Speaker 1: from Colin and Stuck on the main show. Talked about

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Speaker 1: it in the offseason. This was a team that was

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Speaker 1: a quarterback away last year and that's Sam Houston and

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Speaker 1: I gotta say I appreciate the hat tip off the

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Speaker 1: top where I usually hit those Juco kids, those FCS

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Speaker 1: kids coming up. I was not prepared for the Hunter

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Speaker 1: Watson experience. And Casey Keeler, I respect you for keeping

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Speaker 1: it under your hat. Everyone was in the dark. Everyone

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Speaker 1: assumed that it was going to be someone other than

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Speaker 1: Hunter Watson in the spot. But the former JUCO second

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Speaker 1: team All American, he won the JUCO National Championship last year.

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Speaker 1: He seems like the perfect guy to run this offense.

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Speaker 1: I watched the full game film on two X speed

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Speaker 1: to go through every single snap. Two hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: nine yards through the air, two tds, fifty seven yards

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Speaker 1: on the ground. He had a lot more rushing yards,

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Speaker 1: but he was sacked seven times, which is an issue

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Speaker 1: with them moving forward. Somebody to keep an eye on.

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Speaker 1: But he absolutely pumps life into this offense. That was

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Speaker 1: just you know, they had a weight wrapped around their

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Speaker 1: their waist and they were throwing the ocean last year

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Speaker 1: because quarterback play was horrific. What we know is that

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Speaker 1: with competent quarterback play, he can get it to his

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Speaker 1: receivers on the perimeter a Dea, Noah Smith and the

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Speaker 1: big bodied Quavez Humphries. All these guys can play their

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Speaker 1: matchup issues even when they move up to play against

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Speaker 1: a power for opponent as they are here go into

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Speaker 1: the bounce house catching twenty one points. I love it.

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Speaker 1: If you can get the hook, it opened it twenty four.

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Speaker 1: It immediately got beat down, you're gonna want to grab

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Speaker 1: it above that three touchdown threshold. But if you can

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Speaker 1: get it. I really like it here because Sam Houston

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Speaker 1: was feisty on defense too. They're flying around the ball

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Speaker 1: eight tackles for loss in their opening upset of Rice.

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Speaker 1: They also get to pick six. They only give up

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Speaker 1: forty seven yards on the ground. They put that whole

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Speaker 1: Owl's offense in a box, including Dean Connors, which was

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Speaker 1: impressive because they're up against a UCF team that we

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Speaker 1: know what they want to do. They want to run.

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Speaker 1: They want to run, they want to run. kJ Jefferson

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Speaker 1: looked really rusty in the first half of that game

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Speaker 1: from a passing perspective. He finishes seven to fourteen in

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Speaker 1: that game against New Hampshire, and he had one of

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Speaker 1: the lowest combined QBR and PFF scores in the entire

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Speaker 1: country among Power four quarterbacks. So not a great start

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Speaker 1: for him. Now. RJ. Harvey, Penny Boone, they're going to

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Speaker 1: get theirs in this game. They're absolutely going to. But

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Speaker 1: I think there's a little bit of a wrinkle here

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Speaker 1: beneath the surface that we need to talk about. Skyler Cassidy,

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Speaker 1: one of the youngest defensive coordinators in the entire country.

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Speaker 1: Where did he get his coaching start at Auburn under

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Speaker 1: gust Malzan. He sat in those meetings. He knows the philosophy,

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Speaker 1: he knows the kind of game planning that goes into

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Speaker 1: you know, at that time it was Auburn, now it's UCF.

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Speaker 1: It's the same offense. And when I look at Malzon

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Speaker 1: and I look at UCF, I love to target them

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Speaker 1: when it's closer to a coin flip, where they're catching points,

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Speaker 1: where they're a home dog. Those are the spots to

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Speaker 1: play the Golden Knights because Malzon is a double digit

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Speaker 1: home favorite against FBS teams. At UCF just three and

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Speaker 1: six against the spread, So I'm gonna go ahead and

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Speaker 1: take the points. UCF has a look ahead next week.

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Speaker 1: Conference play starts in the Big twelve against TCU. I

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Speaker 1: think that's where their focus is going to be. He's

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Speaker 1: saying all the right things in the postgame press conference

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Speaker 1: about how much of your specs Keeler, all the national

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Speaker 1: championship appearances at the FCS level, blah blah blah. His

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Speaker 1: kids are going to see a team that you know,

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Speaker 1: really struggled to get off the Matt last year beat

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Speaker 1: a Rice team that they probably don't respect. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go ahead and take the points. What are your thoughts

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Speaker 1: on the Bearcats? Has shat I gat them up? Cats,

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Speaker 1: Eat them up?

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Speaker 2: Cats?

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Speaker 1: Oh?

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Speaker 2: Man, you mentioned that the quarterback thing. That's kind of

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Speaker 2: the fun part about week one is turning on the

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Speaker 2: TV and be like, who the hell is that kid?

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Speaker 2: Like I had I had Jase Bauer in my notes

363
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Speaker 2: said I don't think we mentioned anyone but Bauer, the

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Speaker 2: central Michigan transfer, and then all of a sudden, it's like,

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Speaker 2: who Yeah. I love the nugget about the defensive coordinator aspect,

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Speaker 2: because then you also have the kind of like, all right,

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Speaker 2: if they're up twenty one late, does he want to

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Speaker 2: embarrass you know a guy who worked under him and

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Speaker 2: run it up on you know, a new defensive coordinator

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Speaker 2: that I'm sure he respects and wants to see succeed.

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Speaker 2: Like you said with the look ahead spot too. And

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Speaker 2: you know they mentioned the running backs, like them having

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Speaker 2: sets on the ground is a good thing. Like both

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Speaker 2: teams just run the ball all game, the clocks in

375
00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:52,080
Speaker 2: a run and tried to cover two three touchdowns when

376
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Speaker 2: the clocks running the whole game. Yeah, I like it.

377
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Speaker 2: I have a pick. I'm very, very curious to see

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Speaker 2: your reaction to what you think of it. This is

379
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Speaker 2: one where I am going to put a lot of

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Speaker 2: weight into what I saw Week one. Give me San

381
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Speaker 2: Jose State plus six and a half against the air Force.

382
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Speaker 2: I was really pressed with the Spartans in their opener.

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Speaker 2: You know, we had a lot of questions coming into

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Speaker 2: the ear of what this team would look like under

385
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Speaker 2: ken Neamatalolo not running the triple anymore. And they smacked

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Speaker 2: Sacramento State forty two twenty four and again, Takramento State's

387
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Speaker 2: a top ten FCS team. This is a very good program,

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Speaker 2: and the Spartans handled them with these new quarterback and

389
00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,480
Speaker 2: Brown threw forwards three hundred yards three touchdowns. Floyd Chalk

390
00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:38,560
Speaker 2: had two rushing scores. Nick Nash dominated ten catches one

391
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Speaker 2: hundred and seventy yards, two touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: He threw a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: Former quarterback I believe at Arkansas right former quarterback Justin

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Speaker 2: Lockhart is back after missing all of last season with

395
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Speaker 2: an injury.

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Speaker 1: He was one of their best receivers two years ago.

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Speaker 2: And you know your boy, Craig Stutsman the new OCA.

398
00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:55,400
Speaker 2: I was really impressed. I thought the team. I thought

399
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,840
Speaker 2: the offense looked awesome. Defense allowed to just four point

400
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Speaker 2: three yards to play. You know, we saw how good

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00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:02,760
Speaker 2: they got down the stretch the last season, so seeing

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00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:04,320
Speaker 2: them come out with a good performance was a good

403
00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:06,479
Speaker 2: science to that keep coming. And I don't think air

404
00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:08,720
Speaker 2: Force looked good at all. And this is a team

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00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:11,159
Speaker 2: that I personally was down on coming into the year.

406
00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,720
Speaker 2: I said I liked their under on the Mountain West

407
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:18,200
Speaker 2: preseason pods. And yeah, they beat Merrimack, but they managed

408
00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:21,480
Speaker 2: just two hundred and thirty seven total yards. And I

409
00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:23,399
Speaker 2: get it, they run the ball. They they had one

410
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Speaker 2: hundred and sixty six rushing yards on fifty five carries

411
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:30,159
Speaker 2: three yards a pop. That is not good the defense.

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Speaker 2: Sure they were finance Merrimack, but they were replacing all

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Speaker 2: their best players. We were talking about this. They were

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Speaker 2: during just three starters on defense, the offensive turns just

415
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Speaker 2: two and they're both the receivers. They have a new quarterback,

416
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Speaker 2: a new offensive line, all new running backs, and nothing worked.

417
00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:46,879
Speaker 2: They did not run the ball at all. I actually

418
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Speaker 2: really considered this for my money line pick. I think

419
00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:51,240
Speaker 2: San Jose State it's a better team. I think they

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Speaker 2: win the game. So again, wait, maybe air Force takes

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Speaker 2: some love, you get the seven. I would wait for

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Speaker 2: the seven because I don't think you need the six

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Speaker 2: and a half. I'll take them, but TV at the seven.

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Speaker 2: If not six and a half, I ate air Force

425
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Speaker 2: wins or I think San Jose State wins, So give

426
00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,399
Speaker 2: me the Spartans here. I was really impressive what I

427
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Speaker 2: saw from that offense.

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Speaker 1: I'm surprising that thorough breakdown. How many times has coach

429
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:16,080
Speaker 1: Ken gone against air Force like that kind of muscle

430
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Speaker 1: memory and what he can do from an ex's nose perspective,

431
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Speaker 1: like you can get a lined up.

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Speaker 2: I'm so embarrassed smitt this. I did not even think

433
00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:23,359
Speaker 2: of that.

434
00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:27,760
Speaker 1: I mean, straight up against Calhoun, Like he probably has

435
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:30,879
Speaker 1: what fifteen career games, So this is not one of

436
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:34,960
Speaker 1: those difficult to prepare for moments playing against the Service academy.

437
00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:37,200
Speaker 2: I was so focused on Stuftsman and the new offense

438
00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:39,320
Speaker 2: that at no point in my brain was I like, wait,

439
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:41,680
Speaker 2: this dude knows how to stop the triple pretty well.

440
00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:43,800
Speaker 1: You know, I didn't think about that. You did not

441
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:44,480
Speaker 1: think about that?

442
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,560
Speaker 2: All right? Change my pick take Santose State money Line.

443
00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:51,240
Speaker 1: One of at least in my opinion, most impressive losing

444
00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:55,240
Speaker 1: effort performances from Week one. Western Michigan. They were leading

445
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,800
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter at Camp Randall. They just came

446
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 1: off and we talked about this, and you kind of

447
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:04,240
Speaker 1: see it on social media as well. Even a super

448
00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:07,440
Speaker 1: casual can watch a quarter or two of a game ago, man,

449
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:10,200
Speaker 1: that team's really well coached. That's what Western Michigan put

450
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 1: on tape. They were really well coached. They were aggressive

451
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:14,639
Speaker 1: when they needed to be aggressive, and they took the

452
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,479
Speaker 1: air out of the ball when they needed to as well.

453
00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:18,440
Speaker 1: When you look at it, they had a sixteen play

454
00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:21,399
Speaker 1: touchdown drive that ate up eight minutes and forty seconds,

455
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 1: and then right off of that they had a nine

456
00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:25,280
Speaker 1: play drive that ended in a missfield goal in the

457
00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:28,120
Speaker 1: third quarter, but it shrunk the game way way down.

458
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:31,760
Speaker 1: Lance Taylor was, in my opinion, really proved himself as

459
00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,640
Speaker 1: someone who is a program builder. Last year they took

460
00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:37,480
Speaker 1: their lumps, they had issues. Now they have a quarterback

461
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,440
Speaker 1: in Hayden Wolf who we don't love, but from a

462
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:43,160
Speaker 1: game manager perspective, I trust him enough not to absolutely

463
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 1: crap his breeches and turn the ball over five times.

464
00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:49,119
Speaker 2: You're mentioning lath Taylor. I mean, putting his nuts on

465
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,600
Speaker 2: the table with that fake field goal was awesome.

466
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:54,760
Speaker 1: Gotta get a good snap though Domsky was three out

467
00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:56,280
Speaker 1: of eight a year ago. Look it's a play.

468
00:20:56,720 --> 00:21:02,320
Speaker 2: Look at this nex tops Day to get to the house. Hello,

469
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:05,720
Speaker 2: hell do you no?

470
00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 1: I think that's absolutely true. I mean, at no point

471
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 1: were they at any risk of not covering the twenty

472
00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:14,200
Speaker 1: four point spread. So seeing thirty eight and a half

473
00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:16,800
Speaker 1: against Ohio State, two things went through my mind. That

474
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:19,400
Speaker 1: seems like it's a little bit harsh on the second

475
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,639
Speaker 1: straight MAC team that the Buckeyes are facing after not

476
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:24,120
Speaker 1: covering last week. And then when I go back through

477
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:27,120
Speaker 1: Ohio State as a thirty five point favorite or higher

478
00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 1: under Ryan Day dating back to twenty nineteen, two and

479
00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:32,399
Speaker 1: six against the spread, he is not a slit their throats.

480
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,680
Speaker 1: Let's score seventy seven points. I need to you know, Pull,

481
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:38,640
Speaker 1: I know this is kind of a cheap shot James

482
00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 1: Franklin and cover as a huge favorite, you know for

483
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 1: the alumni that's not in his mL And what I

484
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,400
Speaker 1: think we know for a fact is after the first

485
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 1: week with Chip Kelly calling the place we saw a

486
00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 1: little bit of Devon Brown. I think we're gonna see

487
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 1: more of Devin Brown to make sure that they have

488
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:53,679
Speaker 1: reps there. They went all the way down to their

489
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,320
Speaker 1: third team running back James People. They were able to

490
00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 1: feed him in that game. And what's also interesting the

491
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,639
Speaker 1: first game between Ohio State and Acron twenty four total drives.

492
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:07,159
Speaker 1: You look at Wisconsin Western Michigan sixteen total drives, So

493
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 1: I think the formula is already there to shrink the

494
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:13,160
Speaker 1: game down play more conservatively. Western Michigan has the bodies

495
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 1: up front to run the ball. I know that Wisconsin's

496
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,360
Speaker 1: defense is not on the same plane as Ohio State.

497
00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 1: Ohio State arguably has the best defense in the entire country,

498
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:22,399
Speaker 1: but I don't have this fear that they're going to

499
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:24,719
Speaker 1: be put in a box and score single digits. If

500
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 1: they can get to ten or fourteen in this game,

501
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 1: it's gonna put a lot of pressure on Ohio State

502
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:30,600
Speaker 1: to go north of fifty to be able to cover

503
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 1: a number that I don't think they're motivated to cover.

504
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:35,159
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go ahead and take the Broncos. I

505
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 1: took them last week in that Friday night game, so

506
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna ride with them. And like I said,

507
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,920
Speaker 1: I believe in coaches, and Taylor has my attention, so

508
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:43,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna ride him as long as I can.

509
00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:45,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, I get obviously, I was on Lee LASTI I

510
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 2: think this is one where I mean, you're certainly not

511
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 2: gonna feel great about it, like until kickoff, but then

512
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 2: you just have to sweat the whole game.

513
00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 1: And I agree with you.

514
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:54,040
Speaker 2: Just have to hope they take the foot off the gas,

515
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 2: and I agree with you. I think I think they will.

516
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with a slightly different direction with my

517
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 2: next pick because I'm gonna do kind of the opposite,

518
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 2: and I'm going to take a power four team to

519
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 2: blow out the G five team, which we hate doing

520
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:09,480
Speaker 2: on this show. I think Oregon waxes Boise State ali

521
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 2: the eight is.

522
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:13,760
Speaker 1: It because Boise State's defense is absolute trash and apparently

523
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 1: none of their changes in the defensive coaching, you know,

524
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,560
Speaker 1: side of the ball made any difference. Because that was

525
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,439
Speaker 1: unbelievable that they wilted and did not cover with an

526
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: all timer performance from jen Z.

527
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, this line opened north of three touchdowns and was

528
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 2: bet down. I think that's just you know, Oh, Oregon

529
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:32,280
Speaker 2: was on upset or against Idaho, and you know, I

530
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 2: think that's a good way to call for them, that

531
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 2: maybe there was a little too much rap poison in

532
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 2: the offseason. That also was maybe the weirdest box score

533
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 2: of all time. Like when you really dig that game,

534
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:44,280
Speaker 2: you're like, Okay, how did Oregon not score seventy Oregon

535
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:47,200
Speaker 2: outgained them four hundred and eighty seven to two hundred

536
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:50,120
Speaker 2: and seventeen. They averaged five point six yards to play.

537
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,960
Speaker 2: They had thirty one first downs compared to ten. Dylan

538
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,400
Speaker 2: Gabriel was forty one to forty nine, three hundred eight yards,

539
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 2: two touchdowns. He did whatever he wanted. Like you said,

540
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 2: they're going to shred this Boise State defense, it is

541
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:07,199
Speaker 2: very clear this team is still mess. Genty single handedly

542
00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:09,800
Speaker 2: got them to win, but this defense made J. C.

543
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 2: French looks like Joe Montana. I mean, the Eagles themselves

544
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,240
Speaker 2: had four rushing touchdowns on the ground. Georgia Southern, you know,

545
00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 2: they were up late in the third quarter, Like this

546
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 2: was a very competitive game against Boisees against Georgia's other

547
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:22,679
Speaker 2: team that I don't think either one of us are

548
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 2: all that high on. And look, I don't expect genty

549
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 2: to be able to score six touchdowns against this Oregon defense.

550
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 1: I love him.

551
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:32,840
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say a bad thing. He'll probably have three.

552
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 2: But if Georgia Southern could put up forty five, what

553
00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:38,239
Speaker 2: the hell is Oregon gonna score? I think they put

554
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,520
Speaker 2: a fifty burgger up with ease, and after a somewhat

555
00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 2: slow Week one, I expect they'll want to, you know,

556
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 2: have a better performance here. And you know, we talked

557
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 2: about the adjusting to Week one. If I was a

558
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:52,880
Speaker 2: power rating as a guy, which I'm not, I don't

559
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:54,680
Speaker 2: know if you agree with me, I would not have

560
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:57,480
Speaker 2: downgraded Oregon at all from their first Week one game.

561
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 2: I'm downgrading Boise State significantly. We talked about Max Mattson

562
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 2: just he's not a game changer for me. He you know,

563
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:08,040
Speaker 2: he had multiple turnover really plays in that one as well.

564
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:10,280
Speaker 2: He did not look at anything special. Jenny's gonna have

565
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 2: to win the game for him by himself. And the

566
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 2: defense is way worse than I thought it was gonna be.

567
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:16,600
Speaker 2: It's very clear they did not improve at all. So

568
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,400
Speaker 2: I'm downgrading Boise pretty much, and I'm I'm not really

569
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:21,239
Speaker 2: touching Orgon. I think they came out here and make

570
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 2: a statement. I like, you know, team total. I like

571
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,200
Speaker 2: Oregon with the points. I think they smoke them, So

572
00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 2: I'll lay the eighteen and a half. I would play

573
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 2: that up to twenty one.

574
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:31,440
Speaker 1: Do you think the same game parlay with the over

575
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 1: is the way to go? That's somewhere I'm leaning.

576
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 2: I'd probably just stick with a team total if you can,

577
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 2: just hope they just kick the doors off them. But yeah,

578
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,639
Speaker 2: I like, what's the what's the total? Like fifty something

579
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:45,199
Speaker 2: and change. I think Oregon scores north and fifty themselves, so.

580
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 1: I believe it's at sixty sixty and a half.

581
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:49,040
Speaker 2: That's you need ten from Boise.

582
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:49,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that.

583
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 2: I mean, Joe Jenny's gonna like they're not gonna shut

584
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 2: genty down. He's gonna have, you know, probably a buck

585
00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,560
Speaker 2: ten and two touchdowns. But all right, then what does

586
00:25:57,600 --> 00:25:59,240
Speaker 2: Oregon need to cover his number forty eight?

587
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 1: Like? I think to do that with these to close

588
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 1: out the g five to high five, go into death

589
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:07,680
Speaker 1: Valley app State catching seventeen against the Tigers, Give me

590
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:09,679
Speaker 1: the Mountaineers. This is a lot of points for an

591
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 1: offense that continues to struggle and talking about the Clempson offense.

592
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 1: They cannot create the big play through the air. So

593
00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:19,240
Speaker 1: to give away seventeen points to a motivated Sun Belt

594
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:22,200
Speaker 1: team that has played a lot of powerful competition in

595
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 1: the last five years and really given some teams problems. Yes,

596
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,639
Speaker 1: Phil MafA when we talked about, like you know, Oregon

597
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 1: running through that Boise defense, fil MafA is going to

598
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,600
Speaker 1: dominate the ground in this game. The Mountaineers finished one

599
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 1: hundred and thirteenth against the run last year. They added

600
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 1: just one player in the front seven through the transfer portal, shocking.

601
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:41,440
Speaker 1: They gave up one hundred and eighty three yards in

602
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,879
Speaker 1: Game one to East Tennessee State on the ground. So

603
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,160
Speaker 1: I think MafA is going to eat in this game,

604
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,600
Speaker 1: go for over two bills. But the thing of it is,

605
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 1: you know, if that means eight to nine play drives

606
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,080
Speaker 1: ends in touchdowns, that's great for Clempson to feel good

607
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,440
Speaker 1: about themselves. But I do think it gives app State

608
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 1: a chance to at least play bend, but don't break

609
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 1: when you're trying to cover these big numbers. It's nice

610
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:03,720
Speaker 1: when you have some dominant playmakers that can score instantly

611
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 1: on the perimeter, and Clempson just doesn't have it, and

612
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,800
Speaker 1: I think there's a confidence issue with Clubnik. I think

613
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 1: there's real questions about this play calling firm Garrett Riley.

614
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:14,359
Speaker 1: So I also think where's Clempson's head right now? They

615
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:17,000
Speaker 1: just got dog walked by Georgia. They showed no improvement

616
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 1: in game one, as I mentioned, on the off sensive

617
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,159
Speaker 1: side of the ball, and their past defense was not

618
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,240
Speaker 1: so good Against Carson Beck. He finished with QBR of

619
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:26,879
Speaker 1: ninety one point seven, took just one sack through for

620
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,679
Speaker 1: two hundred and seventy eight yards, looked fully in command

621
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,440
Speaker 1: of that game. Now here comes Joey Aguilar, who accounted

622
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:34,360
Speaker 1: for three or more touchdowns in eight of his last

623
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 1: eleven games. Once he got going last year, he took

624
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,000
Speaker 1: off and he carried it over to game one of

625
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:42,640
Speaker 1: this season. Now, since twenty twenty, Clempson has been favored

626
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,880
Speaker 1: by seventeen or more fourteen times in Death Valley there

627
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:49,360
Speaker 1: against the spread record three and eleven. So I think

628
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 1: that also speaks there's some coaches that like to run

629
00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:54,760
Speaker 1: it up, feel good about themselves, getting huge statement wins

630
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,359
Speaker 1: where they win by forty points against the little sisters

631
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,680
Speaker 1: of the poor app State is not that to begin with.

632
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 1: But on top of it, I'm just interested in a

633
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,200
Speaker 1: you know, a dabo team that I think there's gonna

634
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:07,040
Speaker 1: be some locker room issues if they don't get things

635
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,200
Speaker 1: turned around. I know that Florida State is, you know,

636
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,639
Speaker 1: taking up all the oxygen and all the jokes and

637
00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:13,359
Speaker 1: all the means, and is that guy gonna eat dog

638
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: shit or not? I don't know when Clemson should also

639
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 1: be feeling real bad coming off a week one A

640
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 1: coach in this freaking judies all right, And I'm where

641
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:24,120
Speaker 1: I am because.

642
00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 3: I've worked my ass off every single day and I

643
00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 3: ain't gonna let some smart ass.

644
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 1: Kid get on the phone and create this though. Finally,

645
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 1: since twenty twenty, Sean Clark as a road dog six

646
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:37,200
Speaker 1: and two against the spread. That's top in the Sun

647
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 1: Belt and tie for seventh best in America in terms

648
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 1: of win percentage catching points on the road. So I'm

649
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 1: gonna go ahead with the Nears here. I like them.

650
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 1: I think they are a programmed that is ascending. I

651
00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:49,520
Speaker 1: think last year was a bit of a rebuild. They

652
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:50,720
Speaker 1: are going to be in the mix to win the

653
00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 1: Sun Belt this year. So seventeen, I think it's just

654
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 1: too many.

655
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, like it. I'm glad after I shit all over

656
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 2: Boise that year. Two picks here are defending our G

657
00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 2: five brethren against the big dogs. I'll even cheat here

658
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:04,200
Speaker 2: and I'll jump to best to the rest here. I

659
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,000
Speaker 2: also like Northern Illinois catching north of four touchdowns against

660
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 2: Utter Dame. Ryle Leonard, who is a quarterback that takes

661
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 2: seven hundred hits a game. That dude is limping from

662
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 2: the first snap on. He's going to be out of

663
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 2: this game by halftime. There's no reason to run it up.

664
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 2: Notre Dame just needs to win their eleven games. You're

665
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 2: in the playoffs. They got Purdue next week. That's an

666
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 2: in state rivalry Ryle Leonard's not playing to snap the

667
00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 2: second half. I'll take twenty nine and a half with

668
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 2: the Huskies as well.

669
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: All right for our G five underdog Parlay hit it

670
00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 1: last week, which was a great way to start the season.

671
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 1: Let's keep it going. Lead us off mine?

672
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:42,040
Speaker 2: Oh where mine?

673
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 1: All right?

674
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 2: Calvary's earmuffs. I'm going Old Dominion plus one twenty. Look,

675
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 2: let's be honest. Old Dominion should have beaten South Carolina.

676
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:54,560
Speaker 2: I know some dummy laid the points with the game Cocks,

677
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 2: but Monos outplayed him. The Monarchs out game.

678
00:29:58,160 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 1: I believe I get a mulligan on that because there

679
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:03,200
Speaker 1: was a delay and there wasn't even lightning in the area,

680
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 1: I'm sure South Carolina would have played better. Although the

681
00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:09,080
Speaker 1: last play before the lightning delay, Leonora Sellers made his

682
00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 1: play of the game where he tackled his own running

683
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 1: back on what should have been a long rushing touchdown.

684
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 1: I don't know if you saw that. That guy, I've

685
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:16,880
Speaker 1: never seen a running back look like he wanted to

686
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 1: fight his entire team more than McDowell did in that moment.

687
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:22,480
Speaker 1: So yeah, South Carolina is a stay away from me

688
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 1: for the rest of the season and continue.

689
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 2: The Monarchs out played him, they now gained him. And

690
00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:30,760
Speaker 2: then four turnovers are a difference. All Dominion fumbled twice

691
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,719
Speaker 2: inside their own ten yard line, giving South Carolina. There

692
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 2: are only two touchdowns. The game cocks two touchdown drives

693
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 2: were three yards and six yards. Other than that, the

694
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 2: Monarchs defense held South Carolina to one hundred and fourteen

695
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 2: yards passing three point one yards per carry. On the ground,

696
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 2: They had four sacks, ten tackles for loss. Sure Grant

697
00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 2: Wilson threw two picks. Well East Carolina quarterback Jake Arcia

698
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 2: through three, so jokes on him. And you know, EC

699
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 2: was just a team where I think, you know, they're

700
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 2: six and a half wintow. We talked about it. It's

701
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 2: because their schedule is a clown show. But this was

702
00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:06,000
Speaker 2: still a two win football team last year, and they

703
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 2: returned just four stars on defense, which was their strength.

704
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:11,560
Speaker 2: Their leading receiver, Chase Sowell is hurt. He didn't even

705
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:15,000
Speaker 2: play Week one. That's a big loss. And you know, look,

706
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 2: I know we joke about my Old Dominion bias and

707
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 2: my Penn State love, but that's mostly in like preseason

708
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 2: season one talks.

709
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 1: I like to root for them.

710
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 2: I think Old Million is just as good here, if

711
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,960
Speaker 2: not slightly better. They're at home, and for the record,

712
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 2: just so not everyone doesn't say, oh Penn State bias,

713
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 2: I and l O. Colin Wilson makes Old Dominion a

714
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 2: two point favorite on a neutral field according to his

715
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 2: power ratings, and now they're catching two and a half

716
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 2: points at home. So I expect a good bounce back

717
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:42,960
Speaker 2: game from Wilson here, not as much Whipsie Daisy, and

718
00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 2: I really really liked what I saw from this Monarch's defense.

719
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,960
Speaker 2: So give me old dominion plus one twenty.

720
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 1: Hashtag not so much Whips of Daisy. All right, I'm

721
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 1: gonna go from a team that you love to a

722
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 1: team that I gave plenty of love to in the offseason,

723
00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 1: and that's the Army.

724
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 2: I'm road Deny, Army many Army. Mey on me, imy

725
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 2: on me hoy.

726
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,400
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the whole United States Army here

727
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:14,760
Speaker 1: traveling down to Boca Raton to play fau there at

728
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 1: Let me see the latest number plus one forty five

729
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 1: on the money line. Let's go through it, you know,

730
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:21,600
Speaker 1: line by line here, the Awls had.

731
00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 2: An average run only what you only need one line,

732
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 2: Cam Fancer is ass.

733
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 1: Don't you steal my thunder? This is my part of

734
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 1: the money line under dog parlay.

735
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 2: All right.

736
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:33,200
Speaker 1: The Awls had an average run defense by G five

737
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 1: standards last year. They give up just a hair under

738
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty per game. They give up one

739
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy nine in the opener against Michigan State,

740
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,920
Speaker 1: but they did a really nice job limiting explosive. They

741
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 1: gave just one run over ten yards up in that

742
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 1: game to Sparty. But the reason why I love this play,

743
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:51,560
Speaker 1: as you've already mentioned, is Army is going to eat

744
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:55,480
Speaker 1: up cam Fancer this guy. I mean, it's interesting. He's

745
00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:59,120
Speaker 1: fast enough to scramble and to extend plays, but not

746
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 1: quick enough and decisive enough as a runner to really

747
00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:04,120
Speaker 1: hurt you as a dual threat. He ended up having

748
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 1: twenty five carries for sixty seven yards. Is QBR nine

749
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: point four out of one hundred. If you just randomly

750
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 1: picked two or three quarterbacks that were starting at the

751
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,800
Speaker 1: FBS level and any of them replaced him in that game,

752
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 1: they probably beat Michigan State. It was horrific his performance there,

753
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 1: with multiple opportunities to steal a huge road win against

754
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:27,840
Speaker 1: a big ten team, he doesn't do it. Now it's

755
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 1: not just can't Fancier though, Army kicks ass on the

756
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,520
Speaker 1: ground once again. Cody Worley their OC. He used under center,

757
00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 1: pistol looks, shotgun looks. All of them were in pursuit

758
00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 1: of finding ways to confuse the defense, put different defenders

759
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 1: in conflict, and be able to get his bowl of

760
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 1: a quarterback. Bryson Daily running downhill. This guy prefers to

761
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 1: run over linebackers and defensive backs, and he did it

762
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:53,560
Speaker 1: in the opener. They ran for three hundred and seventy

763
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: five yards six touchdowns against Lehigh at nearly seven yards

764
00:33:56,840 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 1: per carry. That's five straight wins for Army with Daily

765
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 1: at the quarterback, dating back to last November. So this

766
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 1: team that had lost confidence in recent years has regained it.

767
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,840
Speaker 1: And when I look at defensively, what Army does so

768
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 1: Nate Woody, their DC, a former Broyles Award nominee, has

769
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:17,160
Speaker 1: more experience in this front seven. So if Cam Fancher

770
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:19,319
Speaker 1: is running around like a chicken with his head cut off,

771
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,120
Speaker 1: they're going to get to this kid and they're going

772
00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:24,000
Speaker 1: to force them to throw some questionable passes into their secondary.

773
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:26,440
Speaker 1: And their secondary is a bit green. But I think

774
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,440
Speaker 1: there's so many G five teams that would scare me

775
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 1: with not FAU. So the bottom line is FAU and

776
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 1: this coaching staff didn't face an offense like this all

777
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:35,879
Speaker 1: of last year. In terms of what Armies bring into

778
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,520
Speaker 1: the table with all their triple option elements, and they

779
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:40,719
Speaker 1: only have a week to repair, gimme Army. I think

780
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 1: they're the better team here. I think they finally got

781
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:47,319
Speaker 1: a bit of momentum and confidence back after last year.

782
00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:49,879
Speaker 1: Nearly getting to bowl eligibility. I think they finished six

783
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 1: and six but didn't get the invite. They want this

784
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 1: one and FAU as long as Cam Fancher's QB one.

785
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 1: It's a fake job for me. Yeah, I love it.

786
00:34:57,040 --> 00:34:59,920
Speaker 2: You never have to convince me to bet against Cam Fancher.

787
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:02,319
Speaker 1: All right, that's it for me and I and Elo

788
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,439
Speaker 1: this week on the Group of five Deep Dive under

789
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:06,800
Speaker 1: the Big Bets on Campus banner or a reminder to

790
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:09,319
Speaker 1: our audience at the Big Show, the flagship program from

791
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 1: Colin and Sucky will be airing this week both on

792
00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,960
Speaker 1: YouTube over the BBOC channel. Be sure to subscribe and

793
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:17,399
Speaker 1: like also you're going to find in the exact same

794
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:20,400
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795
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,600
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796
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,080
Speaker 1: those our away. It really helps spread the word and

797
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:28,600
Speaker 1: get more people involved with everything we're doing here at

798
00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 1: the Action Network. For Mike, I know, I'm Mike Caliberies.

799
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 1: Thanks so much for listening and hopefully another profitable Saturday.

800
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 2: All the way, Action Network reminds you please gambler responsibly.

801
00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:54,280
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802
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,239
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803
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