WEBVTT - Theil’s Hedge Funds Sells Entire Nvidia Stake

0:00:02.520 --> 0:00:13.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live

0:00:13.800 --> 0:00:17.640
<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New York

0:00:17.880 --> 0:00:19.840
<v Speaker 1>and Eva Though in San Francisco.

0:00:22.239 --> 0:00:23.760
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up.

0:00:23.760 --> 0:00:27.240
<v Speaker 3>In Vidia selloff, SoftBank isn't the only company exiting the

0:00:27.320 --> 0:00:30.640
<v Speaker 3>AI MVP as a shareholder. Peter Teal's hedge fund offloads

0:00:30.840 --> 0:00:32.000
<v Speaker 3>its entire position.

0:00:32.440 --> 0:00:35.120
<v Speaker 2>Details from a thirteen F filing, plus a crypto market

0:00:35.200 --> 0:00:36.000
<v Speaker 2>sell off shows.

0:00:35.760 --> 0:00:38.440
<v Speaker 3>No sign of easing and some of the riskiest tokens.

0:00:38.240 --> 0:00:39.319
<v Speaker 2>They're bearing the brunt of it.

0:00:39.760 --> 0:00:42.640
<v Speaker 3>And Amazon is seeking to raise about twelve billion dollars

0:00:42.680 --> 0:00:46.120
<v Speaker 3>through a debt offering an industry wide race to build

0:00:46.159 --> 0:00:47.320
<v Speaker 3>AI infrastructure.

0:00:47.479 --> 0:00:49.479
<v Speaker 2>But first we check in on the markets that have

0:00:49.600 --> 0:00:50.280
<v Speaker 2>been under pressure.

0:00:50.320 --> 0:00:53.199
<v Speaker 3>We are once again questioning AI valuations. We're checking some

0:00:53.240 --> 0:00:55.840
<v Speaker 3>of the biggest winners and whether or not we're taking

0:00:55.840 --> 0:00:58.080
<v Speaker 3>money off the table. We're off flat on the day

0:00:58.280 --> 0:01:00.279
<v Speaker 3>on the NASAK one hundred. More broadly, but it's been

0:01:00.280 --> 0:01:03.240
<v Speaker 3>a volatile session thus far, as we've tried to dissect

0:01:03.280 --> 0:01:05.600
<v Speaker 3>who wins from some of the purchases, Alphabet being key

0:01:05.600 --> 0:01:07.880
<v Speaker 3>among them, and who's being sold off. Let's just dig

0:01:07.920 --> 0:01:09.800
<v Speaker 3>into some individual movers that I want to shine a

0:01:09.840 --> 0:01:12.639
<v Speaker 3>light on because thirteen f filings they tell you an awful

0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:15.800
<v Speaker 3>lot who is being bought. Alphabet is being backed by

0:01:15.840 --> 0:01:19.040
<v Speaker 3>Berkshire Hathaway. We're up five percent, a significant move that

0:01:19.080 --> 0:01:21.920
<v Speaker 3>helps them as that one hundred more broadly be training

0:01:21.959 --> 0:01:24.680
<v Speaker 3>flat even though sentiments seems to be shifting to the downside.

0:01:24.720 --> 0:01:27.000
<v Speaker 3>Sentiment on the downside. For a video ahead of its

0:01:27.000 --> 0:01:30.600
<v Speaker 3>earnings later this week, we understand that another key investor

0:01:30.600 --> 0:01:34.160
<v Speaker 3>that everyone watches this one Peter Teel of loading his

0:01:34.480 --> 0:01:37.280
<v Speaker 3>entire holding from his macro fund his hedge fund in

0:01:37.280 --> 0:01:38.880
<v Speaker 3>in video. We want to get to both of these

0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:42.080
<v Speaker 3>key stories because the Teal macro fund, as we know,

0:01:42.280 --> 0:01:45.080
<v Speaker 3>has been one that we really do focus in. At

0:01:45.120 --> 0:01:48.360
<v Speaker 3>the moment, it does still hold onto Microsoft and a

0:01:48.480 --> 0:01:51.600
<v Speaker 3>reduced stake in Tesla we understand as its main bets

0:01:51.640 --> 0:01:53.760
<v Speaker 3>all according to that filing, we want to dig into

0:01:53.800 --> 0:01:56.280
<v Speaker 3>it with a hedge fund. Reporter Emma Palmer, Now, look,

0:01:57.000 --> 0:01:59.720
<v Speaker 3>this is someone that we always follow. Peter Teel made

0:01:59.720 --> 0:02:03.600
<v Speaker 3>his foun by backing meta artists formally known as Facebook,

0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:06.800
<v Speaker 3>and now he takes key bets on publicly traded companies.

0:02:06.840 --> 0:02:09.480
<v Speaker 3>But while offload one hundred million dollars worth of Nvidia.

0:02:10.000 --> 0:02:14.359
<v Speaker 4>Yes, it's especially interesting given how concentrated his portfolio is

0:02:14.440 --> 0:02:17.000
<v Speaker 4>really only four or five stocks, So when we see

0:02:17.000 --> 0:02:20.000
<v Speaker 4>a rotation in this portfolio, it holds a lot of meaning,

0:02:20.080 --> 0:02:23.200
<v Speaker 4>even though the position itself was only about one hundred

0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:25.880
<v Speaker 4>million dollars, which in our hedge fund world isn't that

0:02:26.000 --> 0:02:28.200
<v Speaker 4>much when we look at the exposure, So you know,

0:02:28.280 --> 0:02:29.880
<v Speaker 4>this may be a reflection of a lot of the

0:02:29.919 --> 0:02:34.280
<v Speaker 4>cautions and concerns that we're seeing around the AI space. Valuations,

0:02:34.400 --> 0:02:36.760
<v Speaker 4>the amount of money that's just flooding into the space,

0:02:37.040 --> 0:02:40.440
<v Speaker 4>concerns people have about the circular nature of investments and

0:02:40.480 --> 0:02:42.760
<v Speaker 4>money in this industry, and so this could be an

0:02:42.800 --> 0:02:45.839
<v Speaker 4>expression of that. Typically, when you see a concentrated portfolio

0:02:46.080 --> 0:02:50.080
<v Speaker 4>and a shift that's notable, like editing a position entirely,

0:02:50.720 --> 0:02:55.680
<v Speaker 4>then it often suggests a directional and concerning What's.

0:02:55.440 --> 0:02:58.480
<v Speaker 3>Interesting, though, is that the overall fund in terms of

0:02:58.520 --> 0:03:01.000
<v Speaker 3>deployed money into equities gone from an excess of two

0:03:01.120 --> 0:03:04.000
<v Speaker 3>hundred million down to about only about seventy million currently deployed,

0:03:04.000 --> 0:03:06.400
<v Speaker 3>and we understand the coll so that he is still

0:03:06.400 --> 0:03:09.760
<v Speaker 3>making big bets on startups. We just had Substrate on

0:03:10.000 --> 0:03:11.919
<v Speaker 3>a couple of weeks ago, the CEO that he's now

0:03:11.960 --> 0:03:14.760
<v Speaker 3>backing to take on ASML and take on some of

0:03:14.760 --> 0:03:17.880
<v Speaker 3>the chip design and equipment makers in particular Hammer. So

0:03:18.240 --> 0:03:21.960
<v Speaker 3>do we think in similarity to SoftBank they exited five

0:03:22.000 --> 0:03:25.079
<v Speaker 3>point eight billion dollars worth of Nvidia, but that was about.

0:03:24.800 --> 0:03:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Having money to be able to reallocate other areas the

0:03:27.520 --> 0:03:28.520
<v Speaker 2>AI ecosystem.

0:03:28.720 --> 0:03:29.440
<v Speaker 3>Yes, exactly.

0:03:29.480 --> 0:03:31.600
<v Speaker 4>So when we look at these startup investors, you know,

0:03:31.639 --> 0:03:34.760
<v Speaker 4>they put a lot of money into the pre IPO space,

0:03:34.840 --> 0:03:37.560
<v Speaker 4>into these companies before they make a lot of their

0:03:37.760 --> 0:03:41.040
<v Speaker 4>gains post IPO, and so you know how they think

0:03:41.040 --> 0:03:43.320
<v Speaker 4>about the startup space and then how they think about

0:03:43.360 --> 0:03:45.560
<v Speaker 4>the public market space could be expressed a little bit

0:03:45.560 --> 0:03:49.240
<v Speaker 4>differently when we look at SoftBank, to your points, they

0:03:49.280 --> 0:03:52.280
<v Speaker 4>did make that rotation to invest more into open AI.

0:03:52.640 --> 0:03:55.000
<v Speaker 4>So the thirteen f's give us some clarity and how

0:03:55.080 --> 0:03:57.640
<v Speaker 4>these money managers think and what they do, but really

0:03:57.760 --> 0:04:00.000
<v Speaker 4>doesn't show us everything. It doesn't show us intention now,

0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:03.440
<v Speaker 4>it doesn't show us shorts, and it doesn't show us

0:04:03.480 --> 0:04:06.040
<v Speaker 4>other types of hedges against a position. So we do

0:04:06.120 --> 0:04:08.680
<v Speaker 4>have a limited point of view. We'll take that because

0:04:08.720 --> 0:04:11.720
<v Speaker 4>hedge ferns are so secretive and so private. But it

0:04:11.880 --> 0:04:15.760
<v Speaker 4>is somewhat of a very specific insight.

0:04:16.000 --> 0:04:16.839
<v Speaker 2>Great context.

0:04:17.000 --> 0:04:19.440
<v Speaker 3>What is the context around Alphabet and the buying by

0:04:19.480 --> 0:04:20.240
<v Speaker 3>Boatsha Hathaway.

0:04:20.360 --> 0:04:22.640
<v Speaker 4>Yes, so when we look at Alphabet, a huge position

0:04:22.680 --> 0:04:26.239
<v Speaker 4>for them eighteen million dollars eighteen million shares worth about

0:04:26.240 --> 0:04:29.480
<v Speaker 4>five billion dollars as of the end of the third quarter.

0:04:29.760 --> 0:04:33.919
<v Speaker 4>Now that means it is the tenth biggest holding for

0:04:34.000 --> 0:04:37.279
<v Speaker 4>Berkshire Hathaway. Sizeable, but it also gives you a sense

0:04:37.320 --> 0:04:40.000
<v Speaker 4>of just how much money this firm puts to work.

0:04:40.360 --> 0:04:43.320
<v Speaker 4>Its biggest holding is still Apple. They did trim that

0:04:43.400 --> 0:04:46.640
<v Speaker 4>steak by fifteen percent, but it still holds about a

0:04:46.720 --> 0:04:51.440
<v Speaker 4>quarter of the portfolio exposure. So it's likely less of

0:04:51.560 --> 0:04:55.160
<v Speaker 4>a directional view, perhaps more of a rotation of the

0:04:55.200 --> 0:04:58.800
<v Speaker 4>portfolio to manage its exposure. But when we see a

0:04:58.800 --> 0:05:02.280
<v Speaker 4>brand new position and a one like in Alphabet Google,

0:05:02.680 --> 0:05:05.279
<v Speaker 4>then it does suggest that there might be you know,

0:05:05.320 --> 0:05:07.719
<v Speaker 4>a lot of bullishness as to that stock.

0:05:08.320 --> 0:05:10.960
<v Speaker 3>Love having the hedge fun perspective from your hammer across

0:05:10.960 --> 0:05:13.719
<v Speaker 3>our world of Techema Palmer, we appreciate it. Meanwhile, all

0:05:13.760 --> 0:05:17.200
<v Speaker 3>eyes on in video fundamentals as a company reports earnings.

0:05:17.240 --> 0:05:20.080
<v Speaker 3>On Wednesday, Chris Larkin over e Trade from Augustanley, saying

0:05:20.080 --> 0:05:22.320
<v Speaker 3>that the monthly jobs report would normally dominate the week's

0:05:22.320 --> 0:05:25.719
<v Speaker 3>economic calendar, but with the AI trade struggling the past

0:05:25.760 --> 0:05:28.440
<v Speaker 3>couple of weeks, in Video's earnings and once again looking

0:05:28.560 --> 0:05:31.640
<v Speaker 3>like a key piece of the market's momentum, puzzle here

0:05:31.680 --> 0:05:34.040
<v Speaker 3>to break it down in King, because look, we can

0:05:34.080 --> 0:05:38.159
<v Speaker 3>see companies and hedge funds maybe selling their entire holdings

0:05:38.200 --> 0:05:41.159
<v Speaker 3>of Invidio, but the fundamentals look pretty strong right now.

0:05:41.279 --> 0:05:43.040
<v Speaker 3>In it seems yeah.

0:05:43.080 --> 0:05:45.279
<v Speaker 5>I mean, as you know, Caroline, we just had a

0:05:45.360 --> 0:05:48.719
<v Speaker 5>chat with Jensen in Washington a short time ago, and

0:05:48.839 --> 0:05:51.240
<v Speaker 5>what he was saying that that conference was like, hey,

0:05:51.480 --> 0:05:54.080
<v Speaker 5>I've got half a trillion dollars with the vorders coming

0:05:54.120 --> 0:05:58.000
<v Speaker 5>in the next few quarters. So on a fundamental basis,

0:05:58.240 --> 0:06:01.279
<v Speaker 5>at least from his perspective, thing to see here everything

0:06:01.360 --> 0:06:03.560
<v Speaker 5>is is kind of still heading up into the right.

0:06:03.680 --> 0:06:06.680
<v Speaker 3>I mean extraordinary. We're anticipating what fifty five billion dollars

0:06:06.720 --> 0:06:09.880
<v Speaker 3>worth of overall sales coming on the quarter. In there

0:06:10.040 --> 0:06:12.520
<v Speaker 3>is areas where we could perhaps get a bit more granularity,

0:06:12.560 --> 0:06:17.400
<v Speaker 3>whether it's concentration of certain end users, but also whether

0:06:17.440 --> 0:06:19.080
<v Speaker 3>we're going to get any access to China.

0:06:20.400 --> 0:06:23.160
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean the concentration thing. They keep giving us

0:06:23.160 --> 0:06:25.760
<v Speaker 5>a number, and it hovers around sort of fifty percent

0:06:25.839 --> 0:06:28.320
<v Speaker 5>of their revenue at least for the data center business

0:06:28.640 --> 0:06:32.239
<v Speaker 5>coming from sort of Microsoft, Amazon and that sort of

0:06:32.360 --> 0:06:35.600
<v Speaker 5>those hyperscalers. I think investors would like to see that

0:06:35.720 --> 0:06:38.880
<v Speaker 5>number go down as a percentage and see that AI

0:06:39.160 --> 0:06:42.040
<v Speaker 5>was being spread throughout the economy. And as you mentioned

0:06:42.040 --> 0:06:45.000
<v Speaker 5>in video, keeps saying, look, we're not banking anything from China.

0:06:45.080 --> 0:06:47.440
<v Speaker 5>We still don't know how the geopolitics is going to

0:06:47.440 --> 0:06:49.000
<v Speaker 5>work out, but he has.

0:06:48.960 --> 0:06:52.640
<v Speaker 3>Been very clear on the opportunity of sovereign AI more broadly, so,

0:06:52.680 --> 0:06:54.719
<v Speaker 3>do you think you'll get more of a global perspective

0:06:54.760 --> 0:06:58.120
<v Speaker 3>there of other end users, whether it be governments or

0:06:58.120 --> 0:06:59.400
<v Speaker 3>whether it be other enterprises.

0:07:00.320 --> 0:07:02.760
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, I think we've heard the sales pitch

0:07:02.880 --> 0:07:04.920
<v Speaker 5>over and over again. He's very good at the sales pitch,

0:07:04.960 --> 0:07:07.440
<v Speaker 5>as you know. And we've also seen a lot of

0:07:07.520 --> 0:07:10.840
<v Speaker 5>deals announced here there, and you know, Jensen's been all

0:07:10.880 --> 0:07:13.560
<v Speaker 5>over the world and that's all good, that's all trying

0:07:13.640 --> 0:07:15.520
<v Speaker 5>to create the sense of progress, but I think what

0:07:15.560 --> 0:07:18.200
<v Speaker 5>investors would like to see is that kind of translating

0:07:18.240 --> 0:07:22.000
<v Speaker 5>into something in terms of revenue that rivals one of

0:07:22.040 --> 0:07:25.160
<v Speaker 5>his big customers such as Microsoft, such as AWS such

0:07:25.160 --> 0:07:26.760
<v Speaker 5>as Meta Ian King.

0:07:27.680 --> 0:07:29.120
<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much. It's gonna be a busy week

0:07:29.160 --> 0:07:29.920
<v Speaker 2>as always for you.

0:07:30.320 --> 0:07:32.960
<v Speaker 3>Meanwhile, let's get the broader tech forew as investors, of

0:07:33.000 --> 0:07:35.000
<v Speaker 3>course are gearing up for a videos results this week.

0:07:35.080 --> 0:07:37.720
<v Speaker 3>Ja Jacobs is with US Blackrock, head of US equity ETFs.

0:07:38.040 --> 0:07:40.679
<v Speaker 3>You've had some phenomenal success with certain of the ETFs

0:07:40.680 --> 0:07:43.400
<v Speaker 3>you've offered this year alone in terms of actively managed

0:07:43.440 --> 0:07:46.280
<v Speaker 3>AI bets in video a key holding. How much of

0:07:46.320 --> 0:07:49.120
<v Speaker 3>an impact will it make on general sentiment do you think?

0:07:51.040 --> 0:07:52.600
<v Speaker 6>I don't think there's going to be a ton of

0:07:52.680 --> 0:07:55.480
<v Speaker 6>change in sentiment based offf of short term earnings or

0:07:55.560 --> 0:07:58.120
<v Speaker 6>just any individual company. We see a lot of our

0:07:58.120 --> 0:08:01.400
<v Speaker 6>investors looking at artificial intelligence has just a long term

0:08:01.480 --> 0:08:05.040
<v Speaker 6>transformational theme that they want in their portfolios. Oftentimes this

0:08:05.120 --> 0:08:07.000
<v Speaker 6>is being funded by selling out of the tech sector

0:08:07.040 --> 0:08:10.360
<v Speaker 6>and allocating to AI. So frankly, for a lot of investors,

0:08:11.040 --> 0:08:13.480
<v Speaker 6>they haven't met changed their position in the mag seven.

0:08:13.760 --> 0:08:17.280
<v Speaker 6>They're just extending to get a broader exposure to the

0:08:17.600 --> 0:08:19.440
<v Speaker 6>entire artificial intelligence value chain.

0:08:19.960 --> 0:08:22.280
<v Speaker 3>In the last couple of weeks, we have seen more

0:08:22.360 --> 0:08:25.240
<v Speaker 3>anxiety though, and you've seen downward pressure on some.

0:08:25.200 --> 0:08:26.360
<v Speaker 2>Of the biggest AI winners.

0:08:26.480 --> 0:08:29.080
<v Speaker 3>JAY. Has that changed any of the types of conversations

0:08:29.120 --> 0:08:29.600
<v Speaker 3>you're having.

0:08:31.160 --> 0:08:33.600
<v Speaker 6>No, I mean, we've continued to see inflows and to BAI,

0:08:33.640 --> 0:08:36.160
<v Speaker 6>which is our actively managed AI fund, and I think frankly,

0:08:36.440 --> 0:08:39.240
<v Speaker 6>a fair amount of investors out there have frankly been

0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:41.600
<v Speaker 6>looking for a buy the dip opportunity. They've seen this

0:08:41.720 --> 0:08:44.720
<v Speaker 6>trade continue with so much momentum over a couple of years.

0:08:45.040 --> 0:08:47.760
<v Speaker 6>Now that we're on basically the third year anniversary of

0:08:47.840 --> 0:08:50.240
<v Speaker 6>chat GBT coming out, a lot of investors have been

0:08:50.240 --> 0:08:52.440
<v Speaker 6>looking for a little bit of a buying opportunity to

0:08:52.440 --> 0:08:53.760
<v Speaker 6>get into the AI trade.

0:08:54.559 --> 0:08:55.840
<v Speaker 2>What, therefore, are.

0:08:56.160 --> 0:08:59.079
<v Speaker 3>Some of the conversations you're having in terms of nuance,

0:08:59.120 --> 0:09:01.520
<v Speaker 3>because the nuance is constantly changing. Initially it was all

0:09:01.520 --> 0:09:03.719
<v Speaker 3>about return on AI. Then it was about whether or

0:09:03.760 --> 0:09:06.280
<v Speaker 3>not enterprises are really using them effectively, whether the pilots

0:09:06.280 --> 0:09:08.719
<v Speaker 3>are working. What are the types of conversations that you're

0:09:08.760 --> 0:09:10.959
<v Speaker 3>having about to the upside down the downside when it

0:09:11.000 --> 0:09:12.680
<v Speaker 3>comes to your actively managed AI trade.

0:09:14.200 --> 0:09:16.319
<v Speaker 6>Well, we're seeing a lot of investors ask about kind

0:09:16.320 --> 0:09:18.600
<v Speaker 6>of what's going on beyond the MAG seven. There's been

0:09:18.600 --> 0:09:22.160
<v Speaker 6>a fair amount of discussions about data centers, about power infrastructure,

0:09:22.440 --> 0:09:25.200
<v Speaker 6>about some of the early adopters and artificial intelligence. So

0:09:25.559 --> 0:09:28.120
<v Speaker 6>a lot of that nuance is really about looking across

0:09:28.160 --> 0:09:31.880
<v Speaker 6>the entire value chain for opportunities, not just concentrating all

0:09:31.880 --> 0:09:33.640
<v Speaker 6>of the activity around the MAG seven.

0:09:34.200 --> 0:09:36.240
<v Speaker 3>So when you're looking at BAI, I think it's about

0:09:36.240 --> 0:09:39.199
<v Speaker 3>seven billion dollars in active in assets under management there

0:09:39.640 --> 0:09:42.840
<v Speaker 3>where are they managing to play out the entirety of

0:09:42.920 --> 0:09:45.240
<v Speaker 3>the AI trade Because, as you say, much of the

0:09:45.320 --> 0:09:48.600
<v Speaker 3>value has been gained in AI infrastructure bets, but that's

0:09:48.600 --> 0:09:51.640
<v Speaker 3>broadening out now, Well, that's right.

0:09:51.679 --> 0:09:53.480
<v Speaker 6>I think a lot of the exposure is looking at

0:09:53.480 --> 0:09:56.760
<v Speaker 6>that AI infrastructure trade that's semiconductors, but really broadly looking

0:09:56.800 --> 0:10:00.200
<v Speaker 6>across the semiconductor spectrum, that's looking at data centers. We

0:10:00.240 --> 0:10:02.839
<v Speaker 6>have some power infrastructure names in the fund. I think

0:10:02.840 --> 0:10:05.360
<v Speaker 6>as we continue to see AI evolve, it's going to

0:10:05.400 --> 0:10:10.280
<v Speaker 6>move from this CAPEX heavy infrastructure build out into more

0:10:10.320 --> 0:10:12.880
<v Speaker 6>of the models that are generating revenue. As you see

0:10:12.880 --> 0:10:15.080
<v Speaker 6>more adoption and I think we're starting to see that

0:10:15.120 --> 0:10:17.840
<v Speaker 6>in some of the earnings now about how many tokens

0:10:17.880 --> 0:10:20.880
<v Speaker 6>are being processed by some of the largest large language models.

0:10:21.000 --> 0:10:23.240
<v Speaker 6>That we're seeing a lot more companies talk about adopting

0:10:23.280 --> 0:10:26.440
<v Speaker 6>AI and their business practices. So I think over time,

0:10:26.520 --> 0:10:28.160
<v Speaker 6>over the next couple of years, we will see a

0:10:28.200 --> 0:10:31.400
<v Speaker 6>shift in the positioning from the infrastructure layer to the

0:10:31.400 --> 0:10:34.320
<v Speaker 6>model's data and applications layer of the AI value chain.

0:10:35.640 --> 0:10:40.920
<v Speaker 3>When though you do hear headline risk SoftBank selling its

0:10:41.080 --> 0:10:44.480
<v Speaker 3>entire stake and Nvidia, Peter Tel Macro Funds selling its

0:10:44.600 --> 0:10:46.720
<v Speaker 3>entire steak and in Vidia, do you suddenly get a

0:10:46.720 --> 0:10:49.240
<v Speaker 3>load more calls? Do you suddenly get a little bit

0:10:49.280 --> 0:10:51.800
<v Speaker 3>more of a questioning of the circularity of deals that

0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:52.400
<v Speaker 3>we've had of late.

0:10:53.960 --> 0:10:55.160
<v Speaker 2>No, that hasn't been the case.

0:10:55.200 --> 0:10:57.480
<v Speaker 6>And I think it's because you can look at kind

0:10:57.480 --> 0:10:59.880
<v Speaker 6>of the near term noise about who's buying or selling

0:11:00.120 --> 0:11:02.920
<v Speaker 6>or some you know, very short term earnings. The long

0:11:03.160 --> 0:11:06.040
<v Speaker 6>term trend of this theme has only been gaining stem

0:11:06.080 --> 0:11:07.880
<v Speaker 6>and so I think a lot of our investors really

0:11:07.880 --> 0:11:10.240
<v Speaker 6>look at it as has there been a structural shift

0:11:10.280 --> 0:11:13.000
<v Speaker 6>here or not? And oftentimes if you're looking at thirteen

0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:16.040
<v Speaker 6>f filings or just headlines. It could just be repositioning

0:11:16.080 --> 0:11:20.680
<v Speaker 6>within the value chain. It doesn't represent a lesser bet

0:11:20.720 --> 0:11:23.280
<v Speaker 6>on artificial intelligence as a whole. So we continue to

0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:25.679
<v Speaker 6>have a ton of conviction. Our clients have not been

0:11:25.760 --> 0:11:28.320
<v Speaker 6>terribly concerned about headlines. It's really about kind of the

0:11:28.320 --> 0:11:31.640
<v Speaker 6>continued adoption of artificial intelligence that's been driving so much

0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:33.360
<v Speaker 6>of the interest in this fond Okay.

0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:35.120
<v Speaker 3>So maybe a buying opportunity. What about some of the

0:11:35.160 --> 0:11:39.000
<v Speaker 3>cellar that you've seen in crypto. Of course significant flows

0:11:39.000 --> 0:11:41.760
<v Speaker 3>have come into your ETF when it comes to the

0:11:41.760 --> 0:11:44.560
<v Speaker 3>Bitcoin exposure, but that's come back of late. It must

0:11:44.600 --> 0:11:46.839
<v Speaker 3>be said, how is that feeling sentiment wise?

0:11:48.320 --> 0:11:50.400
<v Speaker 6>You know, kind of similar. I mean this fond ibid

0:11:50.480 --> 0:11:52.840
<v Speaker 6>is still up nearly double since we launched it just

0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:54.800
<v Speaker 6>last January, so I think, you know a lot of

0:11:54.840 --> 0:11:58.280
<v Speaker 6>early people are still quite excited. And then what's been

0:11:58.400 --> 0:12:01.880
<v Speaker 6>changing is there's been growing of availability of ibit. So

0:12:01.920 --> 0:12:04.160
<v Speaker 6>some of the major wealth platforms in the United States,

0:12:04.200 --> 0:12:07.520
<v Speaker 6>which represent trillions of dollars of assets, have just enabled

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:10.160
<v Speaker 6>their advisors to be able to buy ibit, and so frankly,

0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:11.760
<v Speaker 6>for a lot of people who are just getting into

0:12:11.800 --> 0:12:15.079
<v Speaker 6>the ecosystem. They're quite thrilled that they get to be

0:12:15.120 --> 0:12:18.280
<v Speaker 6>able to get in off of highs as they start

0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:20.920
<v Speaker 6>to think about allocating as a more structural position in

0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:22.000
<v Speaker 6>people's portfolios.

0:12:22.360 --> 0:12:24.600
<v Speaker 3>Jjks a black Root. Great to check in with you,

0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:28.200
<v Speaker 3>Thank you very much. Indeed, today, who are coming up? Well,

0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:30.840
<v Speaker 3>we're just talking about crypto. It's supposed to be crypto's

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:32.760
<v Speaker 3>year with an administration in the White House that was

0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:35.679
<v Speaker 3>more friendly to it. So why is it the digital

0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:38.480
<v Speaker 3>coins have been foiling? We'll have more on that next.

0:12:38.920 --> 0:12:40.960
<v Speaker 3>Will just check in on Amazon. We're going cross asset

0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:43.600
<v Speaker 3>for you because we're down one point nine percent on Amazon.

0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:46.400
<v Speaker 3>But that's the equity trade. The fact is it's selling

0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:49.120
<v Speaker 3>a six part bond sale. At the moment, it's first

0:12:49.240 --> 0:12:52.240
<v Speaker 3>US delominated sale in at least three years, up to

0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:54.400
<v Speaker 3>twelve billion dollars worth forty year debt.

0:12:54.480 --> 0:12:55.640
<v Speaker 2>Are just a percentage point.

0:12:55.640 --> 0:12:59.600
<v Speaker 3>Also over where theoretical US treasuries are trade. They're cashing

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:02.319
<v Speaker 3>in on the debt market, looking to put into data centers.

0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:04.439
<v Speaker 3>It would seem from New York there's a Bloomberg tech.

0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:13.040
<v Speaker 2>Crypto. It's in sell off mode.

0:13:13.240 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 3>Still, we're currently off for the month thirteen percent. On Bitcoin,

0:13:17.000 --> 0:13:19.240
<v Speaker 3>it's down twenty five percent thereabouts from its highs of

0:13:19.240 --> 0:13:21.319
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and twenty six thousand dollars where it hit

0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:24.960
<v Speaker 3>back in October. Ethereum, as you see, has been held

0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 3>harder off by twenty percent. And look the smaller crypto Dogecoin,

0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 3>which of course was initially set up as a joke,

0:13:31.240 --> 0:13:33.880
<v Speaker 3>it's also down fifteen percent in the last month alone,

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:37.079
<v Speaker 3>as people start to question really whether we can hold

0:13:37.120 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 3>on to the gains and certainly some of the leverage

0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:41.760
<v Speaker 3>that's been built into the system. Let's talk about all

0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 3>of this with Blue Moost crypto reporter Miaoshen. Now, what

0:13:45.880 --> 0:13:49.600
<v Speaker 3>is it that is driving the selling and the sentiment

0:13:49.679 --> 0:13:54.600
<v Speaker 3>lower because we all thought the administration's adoption of crypto

0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:58.120
<v Speaker 3>in many ways would just continue the asset classes rise.

0:13:58.640 --> 0:13:59.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, exactly.

0:13:59.400 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 7>I think what we're seeing today in the crypto market

0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:05.000
<v Speaker 7>is that it's still recovering from what happened in October,

0:14:05.240 --> 0:14:08.520
<v Speaker 7>where we saw this larger liquidation event happened in the

0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:12.439
<v Speaker 7>crypto If you look at like both institutional and retail investors,

0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:15.640
<v Speaker 7>we haven't seen any large firms coming out saying they

0:14:15.640 --> 0:14:17.920
<v Speaker 7>had any blow up and stuff like that. But it

0:14:17.960 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 7>does feel like sound trading shops, smaller ones might have

0:14:21.080 --> 0:14:23.760
<v Speaker 7>some issues. You can see that from the open interests

0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:28.480
<v Speaker 7>of perpetual futures market in crypto. The open interests hasn't

0:14:28.520 --> 0:14:31.960
<v Speaker 7>really recovered since the market crash in October. That tells

0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:34.800
<v Speaker 7>me something about sound trading shops may have had issues.

0:14:35.400 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 3>Yes, I mean, remind us what happened was October the

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:39.480
<v Speaker 3>nineteenth thing? It was ever the course of a weekend,

0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:41.720
<v Speaker 3>just an awful lot of leverage got pulled out the

0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:44.280
<v Speaker 3>system because a sudden jarring move in cryptom and everyone

0:14:44.320 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 3>then had this sort of well they were margin called.

0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:49.120
<v Speaker 3>It would feel like, yes, why would we not have

0:14:49.280 --> 0:14:52.800
<v Speaker 3>heard of certain blow ups? So what could have therefore

0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:55.680
<v Speaker 3>been more broadly making everyone more nervous about training that's

0:14:55.720 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 3>going forward.

0:14:57.200 --> 0:15:01.040
<v Speaker 7>I think we saw the number Obviously, the larger liquidation

0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:03.680
<v Speaker 7>numbers are in history. I think a couple of reasons

0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:07.000
<v Speaker 7>point into that. Obvious retailers are looking more leverage in

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:09.160
<v Speaker 7>the space. That's why we're seeing more sort of like

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:13.440
<v Speaker 7>cruidations events. The other thing, I think previously both most

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:17.400
<v Speaker 7>of the future's tradings are happening on centralized exchanges like

0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.720
<v Speaker 7>finance and coin bits, right, so we can really tell.

0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:22.760
<v Speaker 7>So sometimes these numbers are more like murky. You don't

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:25.800
<v Speaker 7>know exactly what happens when large liquidation events happen. But

0:15:25.880 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 7>today a lot of these tradings happens on Chin on

0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:31.840
<v Speaker 7>the blockchain directly, so there's more transparency. So the numbers

0:15:31.880 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 7>tend to look much bigger than previous cycles.

0:15:35.160 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 2>I think we're looking at certain atf flows.

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:39.560
<v Speaker 3>They've been more than fifty billion since their creation, but we'

0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:41.560
<v Speaker 3>seen about two billion pulled out in the last couple

0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 3>of months.

0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:45.320
<v Speaker 2>Where we think the most pain is it in bitcoin?

0:15:45.440 --> 0:15:48.280
<v Speaker 3>Is it the larger areas or is it some of

0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 3>the more sunning, riskier core old coins that have been

0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:53.120
<v Speaker 3>traded and whipsored a little harder?

0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 7>I think for sure from auto coins perspective, because you

0:15:56.800 --> 0:15:59.000
<v Speaker 7>can see that from the prices action, right, Like you

0:15:59.040 --> 0:16:02.960
<v Speaker 7>mentioned about those core not just doagecoin other like cryptocurrencies.

0:16:03.040 --> 0:16:04.000
<v Speaker 3>During the market.

0:16:03.760 --> 0:16:07.080
<v Speaker 7>Crash in October, sun Tooken's went down to almost zero,

0:16:07.120 --> 0:16:09.080
<v Speaker 7>which is crazy to think about, right. I think that

0:16:09.200 --> 0:16:13.200
<v Speaker 7>hurts especially retail investors because retail investors are those who

0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:15.960
<v Speaker 7>tend to buy a lot of auto coins, and they

0:16:16.000 --> 0:16:18.600
<v Speaker 7>got wiped out from that market crash, and right now

0:16:18.600 --> 0:16:20.200
<v Speaker 7>you just don't see a lot of demand from these

0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:21.280
<v Speaker 7>auto coins.

0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:22.920
<v Speaker 3>But people are still buying, Like we just had J

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 3>Jacobs and Black Croc saying for many a pullback in

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:28.240
<v Speaker 3>certain of their ets means people actually buy into it.

0:16:28.560 --> 0:16:32.520
<v Speaker 3>I'm seeing Michael Saylor, I mean obviously og crypto buyer

0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:36.680
<v Speaker 3>and treasury stocker upper of he's doubled down on.

0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:37.880
<v Speaker 2>His digital asset treasury.

0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:39.320
<v Speaker 3>It feels like so is he making the most of

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:40.360
<v Speaker 3>lower bitcoin prices.

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:43.440
<v Speaker 2>I think it's a two different source.

0:16:43.520 --> 0:16:47.160
<v Speaker 7>Right We're talking about the micro strategy micro sailors like

0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:49.760
<v Speaker 7>Bitcoin sort of like buyers, and then we have the

0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:52.600
<v Speaker 7>auto coin buyers. I think we need to separate this

0:16:52.680 --> 0:16:55.200
<v Speaker 7>to as to like driving forces. I think all the

0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:58.360
<v Speaker 7>bigcoins like because the fundamental is speaking, nothing really changed

0:16:58.400 --> 0:17:01.760
<v Speaker 7>on bitcoins specifically. There are still buyers, but I think

0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:04.000
<v Speaker 7>what's happening the market has been like sort of like

0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:07.320
<v Speaker 7>got into the bigcoin market as well. That's where we're

0:17:07.359 --> 0:17:10.640
<v Speaker 7>seeing what's happening with bitcoin. I think that's the sort

0:17:10.640 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 7>of aftermath what happened with all the coin crashes in

0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:16.400
<v Speaker 7>the October market crash, except.

0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:18.159
<v Speaker 3>Blimberg's Miyasha, and you've got to follow her all of

0:17:18.200 --> 0:17:19.360
<v Speaker 3>her work across crypto.

0:17:19.680 --> 0:17:20.560
<v Speaker 2>It's fascinating.

0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:21.159
<v Speaker 3>We thank her.

0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:22.159
<v Speaker 2>Meanwhile, coming up.

0:17:22.359 --> 0:17:25.600
<v Speaker 3>Apple set to make big changes to its iPhone designs.

0:17:25.240 --> 0:17:28.240
<v Speaker 2>And its release schedule. We're on that next. This is

0:17:28.240 --> 0:17:29.200
<v Speaker 2>a BLUEBG Tech.

0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:42.200
<v Speaker 3>Apple Well, it's set to change up not just its

0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:45.600
<v Speaker 3>iPhone designs but also its release cycle next year, releasing

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:48.280
<v Speaker 3>three high end phones next four, with mid tier phones

0:17:48.320 --> 0:17:51.000
<v Speaker 3>to follow six months later. The latest topic in this

0:17:51.040 --> 0:17:54.679
<v Speaker 3>weekend's power On newsletter. For more, Blueberg Senior Tech editor

0:17:54.800 --> 0:17:58.280
<v Speaker 3>Dana Wolman joins us, Dana, why is it so significant

0:17:58.359 --> 0:18:00.960
<v Speaker 3>that the timing would change?

0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:01.359
<v Speaker 7>So?

0:18:01.520 --> 0:18:05.080
<v Speaker 8>I think both consumers like us and also, frankly, Apple's

0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:08.760
<v Speaker 8>competitors have gotten used to Apple releasing new iPhones every

0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 8>year like clockwork in the fall, and that has certain ramifications.

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:13.680
<v Speaker 1>One.

0:18:13.760 --> 0:18:17.320
<v Speaker 8>I think consumers savvy consumers, and that's many of us

0:18:17.760 --> 0:18:20.720
<v Speaker 8>know not to necessarily replace an iPhone if they don't

0:18:20.720 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 8>have to in the months preceding what they assume will

0:18:22.880 --> 0:18:25.920
<v Speaker 8>be the launch. And Apple's competitors have moved up the

0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:29.119
<v Speaker 8>launches of their flag flagship phones, often to over the summer,

0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 8>sort of getting a jump on Apple. So this would

0:18:32.560 --> 0:18:34.480
<v Speaker 8>be a big change for the company if it does

0:18:34.520 --> 0:18:37.520
<v Speaker 8>indeed turn to a strategy where it releases new products

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 8>throughout the year, as opposed to concentrating these really powerhouse

0:18:41.840 --> 0:18:45.280
<v Speaker 8>launches in one particular season.

0:18:45.440 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 3>Season, often towards the holiday season. But now they're trying

0:18:48.080 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 3>to drip feed a little bit more day now. And

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:52.720
<v Speaker 3>what's interesting is that we are expecting some really seismic

0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 3>changes to the actual phone itself.

0:18:56.560 --> 0:18:59.280
<v Speaker 8>Yes, absolutely, And this comes on the heels of Apple

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:01.960
<v Speaker 8>introducing the iPhone Air, which Mark German said in his

0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:04.800
<v Speaker 8>newsletter really feels like a test case for something even

0:19:04.800 --> 0:19:08.600
<v Speaker 8>more ambitious, which would be Apple's upcoming foldable phone, And

0:19:08.640 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 8>that would be just the first of several new changes

0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:17.920
<v Speaker 8>to Apple's iPhone line and really just coming as part

0:19:17.960 --> 0:19:20.679
<v Speaker 8>of a larger what seems like a larger spate of

0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:24.000
<v Speaker 8>product launches. I think consumers to some extent have gotten

0:19:24.080 --> 0:19:27.280
<v Speaker 8>used to long lulls between Apple's product launches, and I

0:19:27.320 --> 0:19:29.240
<v Speaker 8>think the launches now are going to be more frequent

0:19:29.359 --> 0:19:32.680
<v Speaker 8>and just more numerous. It does seem like Apples in

0:19:32.720 --> 0:19:35.360
<v Speaker 8>a period of launching more stuff, in some cases more

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 8>ambitious products than perhaps consumers have come to expect.

0:19:39.840 --> 0:19:42.480
<v Speaker 3>And there must have been economies of scale to a

0:19:42.520 --> 0:19:45.520
<v Speaker 3>certain extent of having one big event with all the

0:19:45.560 --> 0:19:48.640
<v Speaker 3>marketing prowess around it and everyone to go and digest

0:19:48.760 --> 0:19:51.760
<v Speaker 3>rather than this constant drip feed. Was that why initially

0:19:51.800 --> 0:19:55.359
<v Speaker 3>it all came one big, particular wow moment.

0:19:57.600 --> 0:19:59.399
<v Speaker 8>I think that is certainly part of it, and I

0:19:59.440 --> 0:20:03.120
<v Speaker 8>think the holiday timing is no coincidence. As Mark wrote

0:20:03.160 --> 0:20:06.680
<v Speaker 8>in his newsletter, there were certain downsides, of course, as well,

0:20:06.720 --> 0:20:10.159
<v Speaker 8>to this strategy. It sounds like it puts some strain

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.879
<v Speaker 8>on various teams inside Apple, from marketing to engineering, and

0:20:13.920 --> 0:20:17.480
<v Speaker 8>also concentrated revenue in a certain part of the year,

0:20:17.800 --> 0:20:19.800
<v Speaker 8>which is not ideal for the company. And it sounds

0:20:19.840 --> 0:20:23.160
<v Speaker 8>like this new strategy is intended to address a number

0:20:23.160 --> 0:20:25.639
<v Speaker 8>of those pain points. And I didn't even mention the

0:20:25.800 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 8>impact that those kind of concentrated launches might have on

0:20:29.760 --> 0:20:32.119
<v Speaker 8>some of Apple's suppliers, but Mark did mention that as

0:20:32.160 --> 0:20:33.840
<v Speaker 8>well in this weekend's newsletter.

0:20:34.359 --> 0:20:36.439
<v Speaker 3>Okay, and so well, Broady, who do you think the

0:20:36.440 --> 0:20:39.479
<v Speaker 3>competition is that they've had to really align themselves. I

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:42.200
<v Speaker 3>just think of this season that's just gone almost to

0:20:42.280 --> 0:20:45.159
<v Speaker 3>front run Apple. We had Google with its announcements just

0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:45.919
<v Speaker 3>weeks before.

0:20:46.000 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 2>Samsung often tries to do it.

0:20:47.359 --> 0:20:49.919
<v Speaker 3>Is that really where some of the competitive spaces come from.

0:20:50.840 --> 0:20:53.600
<v Speaker 8>Yes, and certainly I have a very US centric point

0:20:53.600 --> 0:20:55.920
<v Speaker 8>of view. So here in the US, those would be

0:20:55.960 --> 0:20:58.800
<v Speaker 8>Apple's biggest competitors on the smartphone front. And then there's

0:20:58.840 --> 0:21:02.080
<v Speaker 8>a whole of other competitors in China, which is a

0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:07.320
<v Speaker 8>huge critical market for Apple. And and that's a market

0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:10.640
<v Speaker 8>where Apple has you know, sort of plateaued a bit

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:15.040
<v Speaker 8>and has seen rising competition from domestic players. So it

0:21:15.119 --> 0:21:17.199
<v Speaker 8>does have a lot of competition in different regions and

0:21:17.240 --> 0:21:20.000
<v Speaker 8>on different fronts and at different price points. I would add,

0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:22.520
<v Speaker 8>not all of its competition is at the premium end.

0:21:23.359 --> 0:21:27.840
<v Speaker 8>There are a whole bunch of brands, especially in Asia,

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:30.960
<v Speaker 8>that are making devices that are quite aggressively priced.

0:21:31.240 --> 0:21:33.639
<v Speaker 3>Well, said Dana Woman. Great to get the contacts. We

0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:36.760
<v Speaker 3>thank you. Now it's time for talking tech and first up.

0:21:36.760 --> 0:21:39.520
<v Speaker 3>Shares of Chinese giant c ATL fell from a major

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:41.680
<v Speaker 3>shareholder moved to cut its steak in the company. The

0:21:41.800 --> 0:21:44.720
<v Speaker 3>latest pressure facing the energy storage maker as reports grow

0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:46.560
<v Speaker 3>that the US rold makers are actually pushing to cut

0:21:46.640 --> 0:21:50.119
<v Speaker 3>impults of Chinese made Brigg components, which could hit sentiment

0:21:50.200 --> 0:21:53.480
<v Speaker 3>for c ATL further. August Sanley wrote plus Google a meta,

0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:56.000
<v Speaker 3>They're among those who have delayed their role out of

0:21:56.040 --> 0:21:59.160
<v Speaker 3>some sea Internet cables stayed to run through the Red Sea.

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:01.919
<v Speaker 3>Now this is but it's tensions and heightened security threats

0:22:02.040 --> 0:22:05.160
<v Speaker 3>have made roots more dangerous and complicated for commercial vessels.

0:22:05.400 --> 0:22:07.520
<v Speaker 2>The delays are said to be throttling.

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:11.240
<v Speaker 3>The supply of much needed broadband in underserved countries. Now

0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:14.600
<v Speaker 3>coming up, Ramp CEO Eric Glyman joins us to talk

0:22:14.640 --> 0:22:18.359
<v Speaker 3>about the startup's latest funning round as its valuation jumps again.

0:22:18.880 --> 0:22:29.920
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Tech. Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. Let's

0:22:30.000 --> 0:22:31.760
<v Speaker 3>check in on these markets. It's a big week. It's

0:22:31.760 --> 0:22:34.120
<v Speaker 3>our super Bowl. It is in video earnings coming on Wednesday.

0:22:34.160 --> 0:22:36.159
<v Speaker 3>But we're just languishing, just flat on the day as

0:22:36.160 --> 0:22:39.000
<v Speaker 3>we build up to that all important macro event, let's

0:22:39.000 --> 0:22:40.760
<v Speaker 3>call it. We're off by about a tenth of a percent.

0:22:40.920 --> 0:22:42.840
<v Speaker 3>Is people try to dissect what we're going to hear

0:22:42.840 --> 0:22:44.840
<v Speaker 3>from the key job supports as well what we're actually

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:46.800
<v Speaker 3>going to get in terms of data the FED. But

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:49.919
<v Speaker 3>at the moment, stocks retreating bonds dollar rising a little bit.

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 3>Let's move on to the individual stops that I want

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:54.680
<v Speaker 3>you to keep an eye on, though, because Alphabet higher

0:22:54.800 --> 0:22:57.680
<v Speaker 3>four percent high, it's really sustaining some of the NASDAK

0:22:57.760 --> 0:23:00.639
<v Speaker 3>today in large part because Basha Hawaway's been a buyer.

0:23:01.240 --> 0:23:04.320
<v Speaker 3>Huge amount almost five billion dollars worth of Alphabet shares

0:23:04.480 --> 0:23:06.480
<v Speaker 3>stocked up by Berkshire have the way we got in

0:23:06.520 --> 0:23:09.040
<v Speaker 3>the thirteen F filings new although in video we looked

0:23:09.040 --> 0:23:11.280
<v Speaker 3>for thirty F filings coming from Peter Teel. His macro

0:23:11.359 --> 0:23:14.000
<v Speaker 3>fund completely sold out of his position. Look, it's only

0:23:14.000 --> 0:23:16.440
<v Speaker 3>one hundred million dollars worth, not five point eight billion dollars.

0:23:16.480 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 3>We've seen soft bankhof flow the previous week. Nevertheless, people

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:22.560
<v Speaker 3>either making the most of the share price rise, booking

0:23:22.600 --> 0:23:25.760
<v Speaker 3>in profits or allocating to different types of AI trade.

0:23:25.760 --> 0:23:27.720
<v Speaker 3>We're seeing Dell off by six percent though some big

0:23:27.760 --> 0:23:30.480
<v Speaker 3>moves coming from that stock today along with HP, along

0:23:30.520 --> 0:23:34.120
<v Speaker 3>with oempers, largely because Morgan Stanley is worrying about sluggish

0:23:34.160 --> 0:23:36.560
<v Speaker 3>demand and more broadly the fact that the price of

0:23:36.600 --> 0:23:38.600
<v Speaker 3>memory tips is going higher it's going to be impacting

0:23:38.600 --> 0:23:41.439
<v Speaker 3>some of the margins. Dell a significant seller and the

0:23:41.480 --> 0:23:45.080
<v Speaker 3>double downgrade we got from Morgan Stanley. But let's talk

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:47.359
<v Speaker 3>in the private markets now, because we've got some big

0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:50.480
<v Speaker 3>news because corporate spending management platform RAMP, it's got a

0:23:50.520 --> 0:23:53.359
<v Speaker 3>new valuation and it's big. It's thirty two billion dollars

0:23:53.560 --> 0:23:56.360
<v Speaker 3>comes after a three hundred million dollar primary financing round

0:23:56.400 --> 0:23:59.560
<v Speaker 3>and an employee tender offer. Marks another huge jump in

0:23:59.600 --> 0:24:01.480
<v Speaker 3>the start up value in a short period of time.

0:24:01.920 --> 0:24:06.000
<v Speaker 3>RAMP CEO Eric Lyman joining us now. So the money,

0:24:06.280 --> 0:24:06.840
<v Speaker 3>why do you need it?

0:24:06.960 --> 0:24:07.200
<v Speaker 2>Eric?

0:24:07.640 --> 0:24:08.520
<v Speaker 9>Oh my gosh.

0:24:08.560 --> 0:24:09.440
<v Speaker 3>Well, a couple of things.

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:11.800
<v Speaker 9>First, thank you so much for having me today, and

0:24:11.840 --> 0:24:14.919
<v Speaker 9>what is a joy? We're incredibly excited to raise the

0:24:14.920 --> 0:24:17.480
<v Speaker 9>signs for a couple of reasons. First, the business is

0:24:17.520 --> 0:24:20.480
<v Speaker 9>growing even faster at scale. Ramp's customer base and the

0:24:20.480 --> 0:24:23.440
<v Speaker 9>revenue we're doing has more than doubled over the past year.

0:24:24.240 --> 0:24:26.399
<v Speaker 9>And we find the times we're living in right now,

0:24:27.119 --> 0:24:30.560
<v Speaker 9>the opportunity to invest in bringing AI to businesses around

0:24:30.600 --> 0:24:32.800
<v Speaker 9>the world to automate expense reports make it easier to

0:24:32.840 --> 0:24:35.080
<v Speaker 9>run a business and also invest furthers in this growth

0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:37.639
<v Speaker 9>made it an easy choice to invest and serve more

0:24:37.640 --> 0:24:38.359
<v Speaker 9>customers faster.

0:24:38.600 --> 0:24:42.280
<v Speaker 3>Okay, because there has been so much fits and starts

0:24:42.280 --> 0:24:45.560
<v Speaker 3>of how much Generative II is actually leading to productivity.

0:24:45.600 --> 0:24:47.800
<v Speaker 3>Many worrying about the ninety five percent of pilots that

0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:49.160
<v Speaker 3>aren't working according to MIT.

0:24:49.320 --> 0:24:50.280
<v Speaker 2>So what's working for you?

0:24:50.359 --> 0:24:53.360
<v Speaker 3>How are you showing that this is really building productivity

0:24:53.400 --> 0:24:57.239
<v Speaker 3>and or time management allocation where people can do the

0:24:57.240 --> 0:24:59.400
<v Speaker 3>work they want to do, not just file expense reports.

0:24:59.560 --> 0:25:01.959
<v Speaker 9>Something that so unique about RAMP as we measure our

0:25:01.960 --> 0:25:04.960
<v Speaker 9>own success by how much less money we've helped customer spend,

0:25:05.400 --> 0:25:07.399
<v Speaker 9>and what we find is that the average customer that

0:25:07.440 --> 0:25:09.720
<v Speaker 9>adopts RAMP is able to reduce their spend by about

0:25:09.760 --> 0:25:13.160
<v Speaker 9>five percent per year, and the media and customer using

0:25:13.280 --> 0:25:16.240
<v Speaker 9>RAMP is growing their revenue by about twelve percent per year,

0:25:16.480 --> 0:25:19.359
<v Speaker 9>which is more than double the US national average. I

0:25:19.400 --> 0:25:23.680
<v Speaker 9>think that uniqueness on ROI, on actually showing companies where

0:25:23.720 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 9>they can cut out spend, how they can automate expenses,

0:25:27.359 --> 0:25:29.320
<v Speaker 9>separate us, and I would argue makes us part of

0:25:29.320 --> 0:25:32.479
<v Speaker 9>that five percent of in that study where people are

0:25:32.480 --> 0:25:34.440
<v Speaker 9>finding is actually very very useful and.

0:25:34.359 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 3>They actually demanding real detail. I loved some of the

0:25:36.800 --> 0:25:38.880
<v Speaker 3>notes that I got that your treasury agents moved five

0:25:38.880 --> 0:25:41.600
<v Speaker 3>point five million dollars of idle cash into four percent investments.

0:25:41.720 --> 0:25:42.879
<v Speaker 2>Your policy agent.

0:25:42.640 --> 0:25:46.000
<v Speaker 3>Prevented five hundred eleven thousand out of policy transactions. Is

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:47.840
<v Speaker 3>that the granularity that people want to see?

0:25:48.040 --> 0:25:50.600
<v Speaker 9>Yes, it is because I think for a lot of companies,

0:25:51.920 --> 0:25:54.520
<v Speaker 9>really they're looking to understand. Okay, I know that time

0:25:54.600 --> 0:25:56.560
<v Speaker 9>is money. If you're a company, every hour that you're

0:25:56.600 --> 0:25:58.680
<v Speaker 9>paying someone, let's say, to do their expense reports, is

0:25:58.720 --> 0:26:01.520
<v Speaker 9>an hour that they're not selling the next customer, reporting

0:26:01.560 --> 0:26:04.800
<v Speaker 9>on the news, whatever really drives value to that business

0:26:04.880 --> 0:26:07.760
<v Speaker 9>and ramping able to show this was attempted to spend

0:26:07.760 --> 0:26:10.359
<v Speaker 9>that on a different type of program would have gone through.

0:26:10.680 --> 0:26:12.439
<v Speaker 9>This is time your people would have been doing these

0:26:12.520 --> 0:26:16.320
<v Speaker 9>low value tasks instead, that's automated. The spend didn't occur

0:26:16.359 --> 0:26:18.920
<v Speaker 9>in the first place. The categorization is done for you

0:26:19.560 --> 0:26:22.800
<v Speaker 9>makes a real difference. And for a CFO, I think

0:26:22.880 --> 0:26:25.120
<v Speaker 9>is really all that matters. It's about the bottom line

0:26:25.119 --> 0:26:26.280
<v Speaker 9>and that's what we deliver.

0:26:26.320 --> 0:26:28.360
<v Speaker 3>And it matters to the CEO because they want time

0:26:28.400 --> 0:26:30.560
<v Speaker 3>allocated in a different way. I saw that Brett Taylor

0:26:30.600 --> 0:26:32.600
<v Speaker 3>of Sierra and also the chairman of open AI was

0:26:32.840 --> 0:26:36.360
<v Speaker 3>quoted saying, you know his talent and therefore better placed

0:26:36.520 --> 0:26:38.399
<v Speaker 3>to be working on the agency wants to build, not

0:26:38.480 --> 0:26:41.040
<v Speaker 3>filing at Spenser Sports. But but you talk about that

0:26:41.080 --> 0:26:43.639
<v Speaker 3>twelve percent average revenue growth your customer base. Is that

0:26:43.640 --> 0:26:47.560
<v Speaker 3>because you are serving companies like Sierra startups rather than

0:26:48.200 --> 0:26:50.480
<v Speaker 3>the Fortune five hundred or the bigger kind of companies

0:26:50.520 --> 0:26:53.000
<v Speaker 3>that perhaps don't have the revenue growth that startups do.

0:26:53.600 --> 0:26:54.480
<v Speaker 2>It's a great question.

0:26:54.560 --> 0:26:57.200
<v Speaker 9>First, you know, I like to believe the most disciplined

0:26:57.240 --> 0:27:00.480
<v Speaker 9>and well run companies, of course, will be adopting we

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 9>think the most cutting edge tools in the market, which

0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:05.480
<v Speaker 9>is ramp that helps people just run leaner. But I

0:27:05.520 --> 0:27:08.200
<v Speaker 9>think the majority of our customers, by a long shot,

0:27:08.480 --> 0:27:15.040
<v Speaker 9>are actually traditional businesses farms, nonprofits, restaurants, hospitals, traditional businesses

0:27:15.080 --> 0:27:17.560
<v Speaker 9>that you would not expect in many ways to be

0:27:17.640 --> 0:27:20.000
<v Speaker 9>cutting edge adopters for them. They're looking for easier to

0:27:20.040 --> 0:27:22.119
<v Speaker 9>do expense reports. You know you might be used to.

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:23.760
<v Speaker 9>You know, it's the worst out of your month doing

0:27:23.800 --> 0:27:26.920
<v Speaker 9>expenses for them. They tap a card, it does itself.

0:27:27.000 --> 0:27:31.040
<v Speaker 9>They upload an invoice. Our ocr will go and automatically

0:27:31.080 --> 0:27:34.680
<v Speaker 9>categorize the transaction, set the payment date to the data

0:27:34.800 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 9>to actually due, so you're not losing a dollar out

0:27:37.000 --> 0:27:40.359
<v Speaker 9>in interest and then categorizing the transaction for you. And

0:27:40.400 --> 0:27:42.000
<v Speaker 9>so I think you know when you look at the

0:27:42.000 --> 0:27:47.159
<v Speaker 9>type of businesses, these are leaders like CBRE, Shopify, the

0:27:47.160 --> 0:27:49.520
<v Speaker 9>Boys and Girls Clubs of America, businesses of all shapes

0:27:49.560 --> 0:27:52.000
<v Speaker 9>and sizes. I actually think are looking, especially in these times,

0:27:52.040 --> 0:27:53.320
<v Speaker 9>get more from every dollar an hour.

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:55.879
<v Speaker 3>Your venture backers are a who's who lists. Basically light

0:27:55.960 --> 0:27:57.760
<v Speaker 3>speed has led this financing. But you've got co to

0:27:57.880 --> 0:28:00.480
<v Speaker 3>of an air thrive. We've got fans one so many

0:28:00.560 --> 0:28:02.159
<v Speaker 3>of them continuing to back you. But I want to

0:28:02.200 --> 0:28:04.280
<v Speaker 3>go to the talent side, because there was an opportunity

0:28:04.600 --> 0:28:08.320
<v Speaker 3>for your employees to tender their shares. How many did

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:11.040
<v Speaker 3>or how many are holding on thinking thirty two billion

0:28:11.240 --> 0:28:12.320
<v Speaker 3>isn't the end of it.

0:28:12.320 --> 0:28:15.920
<v Speaker 9>It's people at RAMP are very very excited about the momentum.

0:28:16.000 --> 0:28:19.040
<v Speaker 9>I mean, just to give you some context, RAMP is

0:28:19.160 --> 0:28:22.760
<v Speaker 9>now larger than the media and publicly traded SaaS company,

0:28:23.040 --> 0:28:25.200
<v Speaker 9>and our gross profit, which is a great measure of

0:28:25.240 --> 0:28:27.720
<v Speaker 9>our profitability, is growing ten times as fast, and so

0:28:28.359 --> 0:28:30.960
<v Speaker 9>no doubt, I think people are very very excited. There's

0:28:31.000 --> 0:28:34.040
<v Speaker 9>a lot more to deliver. The process is ongoing. But

0:28:34.119 --> 0:28:36.479
<v Speaker 9>for us, whether an employee chooses to sell or not

0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:40.400
<v Speaker 9>to sell. It's very valuable, especially in building a public company,

0:28:40.440 --> 0:28:43.000
<v Speaker 9>to know that you have the option that you can

0:28:43.080 --> 0:28:45.800
<v Speaker 9>say yes or no to selling some shares. And we

0:28:45.840 --> 0:28:46.800
<v Speaker 9>think that's a great thing.

0:28:46.920 --> 0:28:48.080
<v Speaker 2>Building a public company.

0:28:48.280 --> 0:28:51.920
<v Speaker 3>Will address that timeline next time, Ram ceo Eric Clyman's

0:28:51.920 --> 0:28:53.320
<v Speaker 3>got to catch a flight. But it's been so good

0:28:53.320 --> 0:28:55.640
<v Speaker 3>to have you in the show. Thank you very much. Indeed, meanwhile,

0:28:55.680 --> 0:28:57.800
<v Speaker 3>coming up, go back to the markets for Fionnas and

0:28:57.840 --> 0:28:59.760
<v Speaker 3>Cultus City Index, Scena market analyst.

0:29:00.200 --> 0:29:01.960
<v Speaker 2>No, we'll all thinking about as in video results.

0:29:02.000 --> 0:29:02.480
<v Speaker 3>That's next.

0:29:02.600 --> 0:29:21.640
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech. The pressure on Tech, well.

0:29:21.520 --> 0:29:24.360
<v Speaker 3>It's coming as traders are suddenly getting more selective about

0:29:24.400 --> 0:29:25.560
<v Speaker 3>the AI beneficiaries.

0:29:25.800 --> 0:29:26.880
<v Speaker 2>Two stocks that show the.

0:29:26.840 --> 0:29:31.440
<v Speaker 3>Divergence a micro core Weave and Micron now shares of

0:29:31.440 --> 0:29:34.040
<v Speaker 3>compute provider care Weave as you see, down forty four

0:29:34.040 --> 0:29:37.040
<v Speaker 3>percent in a month, while Micron has seen a twenty

0:29:37.080 --> 0:29:39.120
<v Speaker 3>four percent rise on demand for its memory chips.

0:29:39.120 --> 0:29:40.400
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Execut's reporter.

0:29:40.320 --> 0:29:43.320
<v Speaker 3>Com and Ryanicky has been writing about what seems to

0:29:43.360 --> 0:29:46.640
<v Speaker 3>be suddenly some discernment coming from the investor base. Let's

0:29:46.680 --> 0:29:48.880
<v Speaker 3>take call Weave first and foremost, it's still much higher

0:29:48.920 --> 0:29:51.320
<v Speaker 3>than it's IPO. But why are we suddenly seeing a

0:29:51.320 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 3>bit more pressure on the stock.

0:29:52.760 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so we've really switched from a capex discussion back

0:29:57.040 --> 0:30:00.560
<v Speaker 10>to an ROI return on investment discussion, and traders are

0:30:00.600 --> 0:30:03.360
<v Speaker 10>really looking for the ROI. They want to see that

0:30:03.480 --> 0:30:05.640
<v Speaker 10>all of the spending on AI is paying off and

0:30:05.640 --> 0:30:07.960
<v Speaker 10>that it's really making a difference to companies, either top

0:30:08.000 --> 0:30:10.960
<v Speaker 10>line or bottom line. And so with core Weave, that's

0:30:11.000 --> 0:30:13.200
<v Speaker 10>a little bit of the concern. You know, they're spending

0:30:13.240 --> 0:30:15.800
<v Speaker 10>a lot, are they actually seeing a return on investment?

0:30:15.800 --> 0:30:17.640
<v Speaker 10>And then the other thing with coreve is that they're

0:30:17.680 --> 0:30:19.920
<v Speaker 10>financing a lot of their growth with debt, and so

0:30:20.280 --> 0:30:23.240
<v Speaker 10>those the difference in balance sheet is something that's also

0:30:23.280 --> 0:30:25.880
<v Speaker 10>really coming into focus here with traders saying, you know,

0:30:25.960 --> 0:30:28.560
<v Speaker 10>even though they grew revenue, I think they doubled.

0:30:28.240 --> 0:30:30.720
<v Speaker 3>It in the last quarter, that debt is an.

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:32.560
<v Speaker 10>Issue and they just want to make sure that it's

0:30:32.640 --> 0:30:34.840
<v Speaker 10>going to be you know, okay going forward.

0:30:34.920 --> 0:30:37.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the same sort of concerns.

0:30:37.480 --> 0:30:40.440
<v Speaker 3>Nervousness crept in when Meta sold thirty billion dollars of bonds,

0:30:40.480 --> 0:30:42.800
<v Speaker 3>but then Alphabet gets a pass, they sold debt and

0:30:42.800 --> 0:30:45.040
<v Speaker 3>we're seeing Amazon come to the market as well. Today.

0:30:45.120 --> 0:30:48.680
<v Speaker 3>I'm interested then on the halves because Mike Cron look

0:30:48.920 --> 0:30:50.920
<v Speaker 3>memory flying off the shelves. It seems as though their

0:30:50.920 --> 0:30:52.920
<v Speaker 3>share price is rocketed this year totally.

0:30:53.000 --> 0:30:56.520
<v Speaker 10>And it's really interesting because it's it's all of this

0:30:56.680 --> 0:30:59.720
<v Speaker 10>demand that we hear about, right, there's incredible demand. People

0:30:59.720 --> 0:31:02.560
<v Speaker 10>are making these huge forecasts, but it's really balancing it

0:31:02.560 --> 0:31:04.600
<v Speaker 10>with the other pieces of the puzzle on the balance sheet,

0:31:04.600 --> 0:31:06.240
<v Speaker 10>and I think that's why we're seeing Micron do so

0:31:06.360 --> 0:31:09.640
<v Speaker 10>well as opposed to Oracle. Remember had that huge spike

0:31:09.680 --> 0:31:12.400
<v Speaker 10>when it said it had this incredible revenue forecast. But

0:31:12.880 --> 0:31:15.200
<v Speaker 10>as it's taken on more debt and some of those

0:31:15.240 --> 0:31:17.760
<v Speaker 10>other things have shifted, it's sold off all of.

0:31:17.640 --> 0:31:18.600
<v Speaker 3>That huge jump.

0:31:18.920 --> 0:31:22.200
<v Speaker 10>So I mean, as you said, Alphabet getting a big jump,

0:31:22.240 --> 0:31:24.680
<v Speaker 10>this yame, I mean Berkshire Hathaway's stake off, so probably

0:31:24.760 --> 0:31:27.440
<v Speaker 10>ducing that. But we're just seeing a huge sort of

0:31:27.480 --> 0:31:30.680
<v Speaker 10>diversion in the names that people are flocking to and

0:31:30.680 --> 0:31:31.400
<v Speaker 10>then selling off.

0:31:31.480 --> 0:31:34.040
<v Speaker 3>We want to know who's got the margin and who's

0:31:34.080 --> 0:31:36.720
<v Speaker 3>got the capital to be able to afford all the investment.

0:31:36.760 --> 0:31:39.480
<v Speaker 3>It's so good. Your writing's always brilliant common rhinicky. We

0:31:39.560 --> 0:31:43.080
<v Speaker 3>appreciate it. Meanwhile, more on the AI anxiety in the

0:31:43.080 --> 0:31:46.800
<v Speaker 3>markets that are just skittish ahead of Nvidia's numbers, fas

0:31:46.800 --> 0:31:49.720
<v Speaker 3>and cultures with us in City Index Financial Markets senior.

0:31:49.520 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 2>Analysts, we just come off this conversation in common.

0:31:53.600 --> 0:31:56.200
<v Speaker 3>Where people are deciding that they would perhaps sell some

0:31:56.240 --> 0:31:58.520
<v Speaker 3>of their previous winners and certainly ones that have taken

0:31:58.520 --> 0:31:59.120
<v Speaker 3>on a lot of debt.

0:31:59.240 --> 0:32:02.200
<v Speaker 2>Is that something you'll say, yes.

0:32:02.320 --> 0:32:05.640
<v Speaker 11>I think we are seeing that investors are becoming more

0:32:05.680 --> 0:32:09.560
<v Speaker 11>selective over where they want to invest as far as

0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:13.320
<v Speaker 11>the AI trade is concerned. I mean, previously it had

0:32:13.360 --> 0:32:15.760
<v Speaker 11>just sort of been invested in AI and anything that

0:32:15.800 --> 0:32:18.360
<v Speaker 11>really mentioned AI seem to be a winner. But I

0:32:18.360 --> 0:32:21.640
<v Speaker 11>think whereas we we're sort of seeing this AI trade mature,

0:32:22.760 --> 0:32:27.480
<v Speaker 11>investors are taking their time to become more selective, questioning,

0:32:27.680 --> 0:32:30.600
<v Speaker 11>you know, how this is going to be monetized, what

0:32:30.680 --> 0:32:34.640
<v Speaker 11>can actually be how it will be used, rather than

0:32:34.680 --> 0:32:37.040
<v Speaker 11>just jumping on the AI trade more broadly.

0:32:37.000 --> 0:32:38.840
<v Speaker 2>Should they be questioning in video.

0:32:40.640 --> 0:32:43.239
<v Speaker 11>That's a great question. I mean, you know, it's very

0:32:43.360 --> 0:32:45.520
<v Speaker 11>much in focus for our clients. This is you know,

0:32:45.600 --> 0:32:48.400
<v Speaker 11>one of the key earnings or the key earning I

0:32:48.400 --> 0:32:52.200
<v Speaker 11>would say each season. And obviously we have seen you know,

0:32:52.240 --> 0:32:55.320
<v Speaker 11>the likes of soft Bank leeder Thals selling out entirely

0:32:55.360 --> 0:32:58.560
<v Speaker 11>of then the video holdings. I do think there is

0:32:58.720 --> 0:33:01.080
<v Speaker 11>that this is a litmus tech. You know, can the

0:33:01.160 --> 0:33:04.400
<v Speaker 11>chip maker continue powering the AI rally that's really you know,

0:33:04.480 --> 0:33:09.040
<v Speaker 11>defined the broader market tech tech rally this year. I

0:33:09.080 --> 0:33:11.560
<v Speaker 11>think there are some reasons to be positive there. You know,

0:33:11.600 --> 0:33:15.680
<v Speaker 11>we heard from CEO Huang in October that there's four

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:18.560
<v Speaker 11>hundred billion dollars worth of orders for chips that are

0:33:18.640 --> 0:33:20.840
<v Speaker 11>very much at the heart of this AI boom, so

0:33:20.920 --> 0:33:24.360
<v Speaker 11>that is a strong order book. But obviously, at the

0:33:24.440 --> 0:33:28.480
<v Speaker 11>same time, we have seen really impressive rally in this

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:32.880
<v Speaker 11>share price, and we know that growth is strong but slowing.

0:33:33.800 --> 0:33:35.680
<v Speaker 11>But I think broadly speaking, I think it will be

0:33:35.760 --> 0:33:38.360
<v Speaker 11>fair to say that there is potential for that AI

0:33:38.480 --> 0:33:41.560
<v Speaker 11>rally to still continue to run further. There are concerns

0:33:41.560 --> 0:33:45.600
<v Speaker 11>obviously about that circular deals around one trillion circular deals

0:33:45.600 --> 0:33:47.760
<v Speaker 11>that we've been seeing. I think that's what the market's

0:33:47.800 --> 0:33:50.720
<v Speaker 11>nervous about. So, you know, any insight into that I

0:33:50.720 --> 0:33:51.680
<v Speaker 11>think would be helpful.

0:33:52.520 --> 0:33:55.080
<v Speaker 3>What about the concentration that comes with n Video. I

0:33:55.080 --> 0:33:57.520
<v Speaker 3>think it was last earnings report about thirty nine percent

0:33:57.560 --> 0:34:00.240
<v Speaker 3>of orders are coming from just two key hyperscalers. Is

0:34:00.240 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 3>that something that people are worrying about, not only the

0:34:02.200 --> 0:34:05.040
<v Speaker 3>secularity of deals, but the over reliance I'm just say

0:34:05.040 --> 0:34:05.760
<v Speaker 3>a few players.

0:34:07.200 --> 0:34:09.719
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I think that is going to be again, you know,

0:34:09.840 --> 0:34:13.200
<v Speaker 11>remaining a point of concern. As you mentioned, if you've

0:34:13.239 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 11>got sort of you know, fewer customers or fewer big clients,

0:34:16.760 --> 0:34:20.040
<v Speaker 11>then obviously there is a risk that is attached to that.

0:34:20.280 --> 0:34:22.879
<v Speaker 11>So you know, any broadening out of that is going

0:34:22.920 --> 0:34:25.240
<v Speaker 11>to be good news as far as the stock is concerned.

0:34:25.400 --> 0:34:27.960
<v Speaker 11>And obviously, you know, we are saying that the market

0:34:28.160 --> 0:34:30.160
<v Speaker 11>is nervous, and I think we do see this every

0:34:30.160 --> 0:34:33.920
<v Speaker 11>time we come to Nvidia earnings in recent quarters, that

0:34:33.960 --> 0:34:37.480
<v Speaker 11>there is a little bit of nervousness surrounding the numbers.

0:34:37.560 --> 0:34:39.479
<v Speaker 11>And I think that does come with reason. You can't

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:43.319
<v Speaker 11>just jump blindly into a trade, but I think there

0:34:43.400 --> 0:34:44.720
<v Speaker 11>is still reason to be positive.

0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:49.360
<v Speaker 3>Can you balance, therefore, just the level of rationality in

0:34:49.400 --> 0:34:52.440
<v Speaker 3>the market right now, and whether you give credence to

0:34:52.480 --> 0:34:54.920
<v Speaker 3>the worries over a bubble or whether actually this is

0:34:55.080 --> 0:34:59.680
<v Speaker 3>just how growth is likely to continue. Yeah, do you know.

0:34:59.760 --> 0:35:01.759
<v Speaker 11>I mean, as you point out, there have been so

0:35:01.920 --> 0:35:07.680
<v Speaker 11>many discussions surrounding are we in bubble territory comparisons.

0:35:06.840 --> 0:35:08.200
<v Speaker 2>To the dot com era?

0:35:08.920 --> 0:35:11.200
<v Speaker 11>But you know, I think that the market is still

0:35:11.920 --> 0:35:16.920
<v Speaker 11>acting rationally. It is still questioning whether you know, these

0:35:17.080 --> 0:35:21.839
<v Speaker 11>are valuations which are acceptable. And I think that does

0:35:21.920 --> 0:35:25.200
<v Speaker 11>point to a market which, as I said, is acting rationally,

0:35:25.239 --> 0:35:30.359
<v Speaker 11>which does go against that bubble narrative. But I think,

0:35:30.400 --> 0:35:32.880
<v Speaker 11>you know, we do need to be moving this forward

0:35:32.960 --> 0:35:36.200
<v Speaker 11>as well and questioning, you know, how will this be monetized,

0:35:36.600 --> 0:35:38.880
<v Speaker 11>will demand actually be met? You know, what are the

0:35:38.960 --> 0:35:42.640
<v Speaker 11>strains that could appear? So I think that is the

0:35:42.680 --> 0:35:45.440
<v Speaker 11>signs that the market is right asking the right questions.

0:35:45.520 --> 0:35:48.640
<v Speaker 3>They're asking those questions around the equity side. What about

0:35:48.719 --> 0:35:51.160
<v Speaker 3>the bond market offerings that we're seeing coming thick and fast.

0:35:51.200 --> 0:35:54.640
<v Speaker 3>How much you're seeing just a desire to begain AAI

0:35:54.800 --> 0:35:57.160
<v Speaker 3>exposure from names like an Amazon that hasn't sold dollar

0:35:57.200 --> 0:35:58.840
<v Speaker 3>dormandy and debt in three years.

0:36:00.400 --> 0:36:02.600
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, So this is really interesting and I think it

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:03.560
<v Speaker 11>does point to this.

0:36:03.480 --> 0:36:07.320
<v Speaker 2>Sort of almost insatiable demand.

0:36:08.440 --> 0:36:10.400
<v Speaker 11>I think that you know, there are reasons to be

0:36:10.840 --> 0:36:13.400
<v Speaker 11>cautious and again, you know, going back to that idea

0:36:13.440 --> 0:36:17.319
<v Speaker 11>of being making sure you question investments before jumping in

0:36:17.560 --> 0:36:19.719
<v Speaker 11>is always a good idea. And I think, you know,

0:36:20.160 --> 0:36:24.160
<v Speaker 11>creating these these the bond sort of aspect of this

0:36:24.239 --> 0:36:26.560
<v Speaker 11>trade is quite an interesting take on it.

0:36:26.960 --> 0:36:33.200
<v Speaker 2>And one that will be following closely any cause. On crypto, ah, do.

0:36:33.120 --> 0:36:35.680
<v Speaker 11>You know, Crypto is a really interesting one at the moment.

0:36:35.719 --> 0:36:38.040
<v Speaker 11>You know, I think we saw that rejection last week

0:36:38.080 --> 0:36:40.759
<v Speaker 11>about one oh seven level, but I think you know

0:36:40.800 --> 0:36:44.120
<v Speaker 11>the fact that we've taken out some really key technical levels.

0:36:44.160 --> 0:36:46.920
<v Speaker 11>The fifty week SMA was one that I was watching

0:36:47.000 --> 0:36:53.200
<v Speaker 11>very closely. We're seeing that that institutional demand has really faded.

0:36:53.320 --> 0:36:56.640
<v Speaker 11>Long term sellers, long term holders are selling, So I

0:36:56.640 --> 0:36:59.160
<v Speaker 11>think there's a lot of reason to be cautious.

0:37:00.080 --> 0:37:02.000
<v Speaker 2>That said, you know, I think the levels.

0:37:01.680 --> 0:37:04.680
<v Speaker 11>That we're holding around at the moment, that's ninety three thousand,

0:37:04.760 --> 0:37:06.799
<v Speaker 11>I think as long as that holds, and there could

0:37:06.880 --> 0:37:12.400
<v Speaker 11>be potential if we see institutional demand return for a

0:37:12.440 --> 0:37:14.439
<v Speaker 11>move higher. But I think, you know, the market still

0:37:14.440 --> 0:37:17.919
<v Speaker 11>feels a bit fragile after that massive liquidation of an

0:37:18.000 --> 0:37:22.480
<v Speaker 11>in early October, which is causing that reason for caution we.

0:37:22.640 --> 0:37:25.240
<v Speaker 3>Like you're talking technicals on simple moving averages. We appreciate

0:37:25.239 --> 0:37:27.959
<v Speaker 3>it for Ona Sinkotta, as City and x stay well.

0:37:28.400 --> 0:37:31.160
<v Speaker 3>Coming up, Ford strikes to deal with Amazon to sell

0:37:31.239 --> 0:37:33.560
<v Speaker 3>used cars on the e commerce website. We'll talk about

0:37:33.560 --> 0:37:36.280
<v Speaker 3>the reason and the impact on other online car dealers.

0:37:36.320 --> 0:37:38.120
<v Speaker 2>That's next. This is a Bloomberg tech.

0:37:54.600 --> 0:37:57.480
<v Speaker 3>Ford seaming up with Amazon to sell it's used vehicles

0:37:57.520 --> 0:38:00.319
<v Speaker 3>directly through the e commerce trant, becoming the second major

0:38:00.360 --> 0:38:04.880
<v Speaker 3>automator after Hyundai, to list cars on massive online retailer.

0:38:05.200 --> 0:38:08.200
<v Speaker 3>Let's get more, Brie Exalter reporter Keith Norton. So, Hono

0:38:08.360 --> 0:38:11.360
<v Speaker 3>went first. Now Ford is doing it? And am I

0:38:11.360 --> 0:38:13.640
<v Speaker 3>going to Amazon dot com and finding my forward there

0:38:13.719 --> 0:38:15.319
<v Speaker 3>or have they got other areas in which I'm gonna

0:38:15.320 --> 0:38:16.120
<v Speaker 3>be able to navigate?

0:38:17.040 --> 0:38:19.960
<v Speaker 12>Yeah? So I mean it's certified used vehicles from Ford.

0:38:20.040 --> 0:38:25.120
<v Speaker 12>Initially Handai does new vehicles through Amazon, and yeah, it

0:38:25.200 --> 0:38:27.920
<v Speaker 12>is your very familiar, you know, add to my cart

0:38:28.120 --> 0:38:31.680
<v Speaker 12>kind of Amazon experience. You can do the financing, you

0:38:31.719 --> 0:38:34.960
<v Speaker 12>can browse the site and pick your car, and then

0:38:35.000 --> 0:38:36.839
<v Speaker 12>you pick it up from a dealer. You do the

0:38:36.840 --> 0:38:39.600
<v Speaker 12>final paperwork at the dealer. You can do a test

0:38:39.640 --> 0:38:42.120
<v Speaker 12>drive at the dealer if you'd like to as well.

0:38:42.160 --> 0:38:45.440
<v Speaker 3>What's interesting is that it did have an impact on CarMax,

0:38:45.520 --> 0:38:48.360
<v Speaker 3>on Kavana, on others that are selling used cars and

0:38:48.440 --> 0:38:50.600
<v Speaker 3>used vehicles. How much of a significant player do you

0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:51.640
<v Speaker 3>think Amazon could become?

0:38:52.800 --> 0:38:56.160
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I mean they are Amazon, right, so if they

0:38:56.200 --> 0:38:58.799
<v Speaker 12>really get into this and that is their goal, they

0:38:58.800 --> 0:39:01.359
<v Speaker 12>could become a very significan player. So you saw those

0:39:01.400 --> 0:39:05.400
<v Speaker 12>two carbon or carmets dropped initially on the news, although

0:39:05.480 --> 0:39:08.239
<v Speaker 12>carvan is back up again. So you know, I think

0:39:08.239 --> 0:39:12.440
<v Speaker 12>it does stimulate interest in the category of online car buying,

0:39:13.000 --> 0:39:15.839
<v Speaker 12>which a lot of consumers, you know, it sounds good

0:39:15.840 --> 0:39:18.600
<v Speaker 12>to them because it reduces the hassle, reduces the time.

0:39:19.440 --> 0:39:22.600
<v Speaker 12>It's the sort of no haggle, one price selling. A

0:39:22.640 --> 0:39:25.879
<v Speaker 12>lot of people like that option as well. So it

0:39:25.960 --> 0:39:27.880
<v Speaker 12>is something that has promised.

0:39:28.480 --> 0:39:30.880
<v Speaker 2>What about new vehicles? Would they dip that toe.

0:39:30.640 --> 0:39:33.440
<v Speaker 12>That Yeah, I mean that's kind of what Ford was

0:39:33.480 --> 0:39:35.080
<v Speaker 12>telling me. You know, they're going to see how it

0:39:35.120 --> 0:39:39.440
<v Speaker 12>goes with this certified used program. And you know, these

0:39:39.480 --> 0:39:43.920
<v Speaker 12>are cars that receive multiplaying inspections. They have a manufacturer's

0:39:43.960 --> 0:39:47.440
<v Speaker 12>warranty of up to a year and twelve thousand miles

0:39:47.480 --> 0:39:50.000
<v Speaker 12>on some of them, so it is sort of new

0:39:50.040 --> 0:39:53.640
<v Speaker 12>car light, if you will. So if that goes well,

0:39:54.320 --> 0:39:57.200
<v Speaker 12>they may do as Hyundai is doing and sell new

0:39:57.239 --> 0:39:58.360
<v Speaker 12>cars on the site as well.

0:39:58.640 --> 0:40:01.400
<v Speaker 3>And mess Keith Norton is a great story. Thanks for sharing.

0:40:02.120 --> 0:40:04.400
<v Speaker 3>It's a busy day for Amazon more broadly, as it

0:40:04.440 --> 0:40:07.640
<v Speaker 3>announced its first dollar denominated bond sale in three years.

0:40:07.640 --> 0:40:09.919
<v Speaker 3>It aims to raise twelve billion dollars a six part

0:40:09.960 --> 0:40:12.880
<v Speaker 3>debt offering. The mex expense of Soaper is here to

0:40:12.920 --> 0:40:16.160
<v Speaker 3>explain why Amazon might be tapping the debt market. Have

0:40:16.160 --> 0:40:17.600
<v Speaker 3>a feeling of something about data.

0:40:17.360 --> 0:40:22.120
<v Speaker 13>Centers, Yeah, exactly. They've been spending a lot on data

0:40:22.160 --> 0:40:25.640
<v Speaker 13>centers and this is more more fuel for that. They're

0:40:25.640 --> 0:40:28.520
<v Speaker 13>coming in a little lighter than some of their competitors

0:40:28.520 --> 0:40:30.160
<v Speaker 13>in terms of the amount they're looking to raise a

0:40:30.239 --> 0:40:34.480
<v Speaker 13>twelve billion. Others have raised thirty billion, twenty five billion

0:40:35.000 --> 0:40:37.560
<v Speaker 13>when we look at like Oracle and Google and Meta.

0:40:37.920 --> 0:40:40.120
<v Speaker 13>So they're coming in a little bit light. But that

0:40:40.200 --> 0:40:41.960
<v Speaker 13>also might just be an indication that they have more

0:40:42.000 --> 0:40:45.400
<v Speaker 13>cash flow available to keep these investments going on a

0:40:45.480 --> 0:40:47.440
<v Speaker 13>running basis, and they're looking at one hundred and fifty

0:40:47.440 --> 0:40:50.239
<v Speaker 13>billion in twenty twenty six.

0:40:50.480 --> 0:40:53.920
<v Speaker 3>Onex wow, and twelve billion is but a bit of

0:40:53.960 --> 0:40:55.400
<v Speaker 3>a drop in the ocean in that respect.

0:40:55.440 --> 0:40:57.439
<v Speaker 2>But I can understand when you're able to sell forty

0:40:57.480 --> 0:40:59.040
<v Speaker 2>a debt a just a percentage point.

0:40:58.800 --> 0:41:02.200
<v Speaker 3>Over theoretical US Treasury is it looks like a relatively

0:41:02.280 --> 0:41:06.000
<v Speaker 3>cheap way of financing some of these big names. But Spencer,

0:41:06.320 --> 0:41:08.640
<v Speaker 3>where have we understood where the big expense is coming

0:41:08.680 --> 0:41:11.000
<v Speaker 3>full from Amazon in terms of the data center one.

0:41:11.000 --> 0:41:11.800
<v Speaker 2>Hundred and fifty billion.

0:41:11.880 --> 0:41:13.879
<v Speaker 3>Is it going into the land, Is it going into

0:41:13.920 --> 0:41:16.160
<v Speaker 3>the infrastructure? Is it going to building their own chips

0:41:16.200 --> 0:41:16.480
<v Speaker 3>as well?

0:41:16.520 --> 0:41:17.080
<v Speaker 2>But a bit more.

0:41:17.880 --> 0:41:20.200
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, it's going into all of the above, and they

0:41:20.239 --> 0:41:25.319
<v Speaker 13>can't build them fast enough. And a big consideration is

0:41:25.360 --> 0:41:28.160
<v Speaker 13>still power, you know, is still once they build these

0:41:28.160 --> 0:41:31.319
<v Speaker 13>facilities where they have the you know, sufficient energy to

0:41:31.400 --> 0:41:35.239
<v Speaker 13>power them. So yes, it's it is a race, and

0:41:35.280 --> 0:41:36.480
<v Speaker 13>they just want to make sure that they have the

0:41:36.520 --> 0:41:40.360
<v Speaker 13>capital available that take care take advantage of any opportunities

0:41:41.400 --> 0:41:42.399
<v Speaker 13>as they come.

0:41:42.680 --> 0:41:44.680
<v Speaker 3>It feels hard, I'm sure for those that have recently

0:41:44.680 --> 0:41:46.880
<v Speaker 3>been said that they're being like go from the company though.

0:41:48.480 --> 0:41:52.520
<v Speaker 13>Just yeah, of course, you know, Amazon recently laid off

0:41:54.320 --> 0:42:00.120
<v Speaker 13>you know, more than ten thousand workers, and yes, but

0:42:00.160 --> 0:42:02.799
<v Speaker 13>you're just going to see them constantly recalibrating. It's such

0:42:02.800 --> 0:42:06.960
<v Speaker 13>a vast business and they have so many you know,

0:42:07.080 --> 0:42:09.919
<v Speaker 13>operating lines that some are getting more efficient because of AI,

0:42:09.960 --> 0:42:11.800
<v Speaker 13>and they're letting people go, but then they're going to

0:42:11.920 --> 0:42:15.160
<v Speaker 13>keep investing in hiring in the artificial intelligence race to

0:42:15.160 --> 0:42:17.920
<v Speaker 13>make sure that that they're keeping up with their peers.

0:42:18.120 --> 0:42:20.319
<v Speaker 3>And briefly talking of AI race, it looks as though

0:42:20.719 --> 0:42:23.400
<v Speaker 3>finally Jeff Bezos might becoming a CEO at least a

0:42:23.480 --> 0:42:27.120
<v Speaker 3>co CEO again. Project Prometheus has been reported on the

0:42:27.120 --> 0:42:29.160
<v Speaker 3>New York Times, So we could be launching a startup.

0:42:30.280 --> 0:42:33.120
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, that's very interesting report, and it also just highlights

0:42:33.120 --> 0:42:38.799
<v Speaker 13>how even Bezos has to diversify in the AI race,

0:42:38.880 --> 0:42:43.359
<v Speaker 13>you know, because when these kind of technologies emerge, there's

0:42:43.400 --> 0:42:45.960
<v Speaker 13>always a question of you know, you have these big

0:42:46.040 --> 0:42:48.279
<v Speaker 13>established companies that can throw a lot of money at it,

0:42:48.600 --> 0:42:50.839
<v Speaker 13>but they also have all of these encumbrances in terms

0:42:50.840 --> 0:42:54.799
<v Speaker 13>of their existing operations and will that you know, is

0:42:54.800 --> 0:42:58.160
<v Speaker 13>it better to have a pure place startup looking at

0:42:58.480 --> 0:43:03.840
<v Speaker 13>artificial intelligence inclusively to plow ahead. And so it is

0:43:03.880 --> 0:43:07.480
<v Speaker 13>interesting to see him going going solo with a new

0:43:07.560 --> 0:43:09.080
<v Speaker 13>a new artificial intelligence startup.

0:43:09.120 --> 0:43:11.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah reports that it's going to have six billion dollars

0:43:11.080 --> 0:43:13.719
<v Speaker 3>out the gates and it's AI for engineering and manufacturing

0:43:14.120 --> 0:43:17.840
<v Speaker 3>of computers, automobiles, and spacecraft. We know we liked Blue Origin. Meanwhile,

0:43:17.840 --> 0:43:20.759
<v Speaker 3>bluebgg Spencer Sofa, thanks so much for breaking it all down.

0:43:20.760 --> 0:43:22.319
<v Speaker 2>Now that's it for this edition of Blomberg Tech.

0:43:22.360 --> 0:43:24.600
<v Speaker 3>Do not forget to check out our podcast and on

0:43:24.640 --> 0:43:27.800
<v Speaker 3>the terminal, as well as online on Apple, Spotify, an iHeart.

0:43:28.400 --> 0:43:29.680
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech.