1
00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,440
Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast.

2
00:00:04,440 --> 00:00:06,400
Speaker 2: All the way, and it is good.

3
00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:08,080
Speaker 3: All right. Here we go.

4
00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:16,360
Speaker 2: Spreading the corn ten seconds or.

5
00:00:16,400 --> 00:00:20,160
Speaker 4: Maining, so they're just gonna show under the basket. Under

6
00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:23,160
Speaker 4: the basket, it's not a seven second. It's the crew

7
00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:26,840
Speaker 4: for the wind God pick go Americle.

8
00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:32,519
Speaker 3: I'm just it's the water hit, that one from the

9
00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:33,320
Speaker 3: parking lot.

10
00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:37,640
Speaker 4: Shock it all in college basketball.

11
00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,040
Speaker 5: It's not the size on the dog in the fight,

12
00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,000
Speaker 5: it's the size of the fight in the dog.

13
00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:49,800
Speaker 3: What's up the general nation?

14
00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:54,320
Speaker 6: Welcome to the Action Network podcast. This is the Sweet

15
00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:58,520
Speaker 6: sixteen college basketball betting preview. I'm stucky with me, as

16
00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:02,720
Speaker 6: always is Mike Randall and Colin Wilson. We had a

17
00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,479
Speaker 6: crazy first week, gentlemen, are you ready to dive into

18
00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:07,560
Speaker 6: the Sweet sixteen recording?

19
00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:10,360
Speaker 5: Live next to the praying hands of Oral Roberts, but

20
00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:11,880
Speaker 5: pulling for the other team.

21
00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:13,720
Speaker 2: I'm not messing with the mojo this week.

22
00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,640
Speaker 5: Like I bet Florida and they completely no showed in

23
00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,880
Speaker 5: the last ten minutes of that game. They froze up.

24
00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,400
Speaker 5: Oral Roberts got hot. I'm not taunting the praying hands

25
00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:24,680
Speaker 5: against my alma mater Arkansas this week.

26
00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:27,520
Speaker 4: Whoo pig silly Randall.

27
00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:31,360
Speaker 7: It's about figuring out which teams are ready to die

28
00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:35,039
Speaker 7: and fade away like Tennessee, and which teams are still

29
00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:37,320
Speaker 7: going to be resilient even though they haven't been playing

30
00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,600
Speaker 7: well like a Villanova. That's the beauty of this tournament.

31
00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,080
Speaker 7: We've had great coaches, we've had mid majors, we have

32
00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:45,280
Speaker 7: upset we still got a fifteen seed. I mean, it's

33
00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,760
Speaker 7: given us everything we could want in more yep.

34
00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:50,520
Speaker 3: Look, one of the most difficult things about this year

35
00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:54,240
Speaker 3: was trying to figure out how good certain conferences were.

36
00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:57,240
Speaker 3: There was a lack of non conference play. Some of

37
00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,720
Speaker 3: the metrics might have been skewed by certain conferences playing

38
00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:02,200
Speaker 3: against each other. And I think we saw that with

39
00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:05,480
Speaker 3: the Big Ten. Maybe the ACC was a bit overrated.

40
00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:08,120
Speaker 3: We'll get to the PAC twelve. Was the PAC twelve

41
00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,320
Speaker 3: severely underrated? You don't want to take too much from

42
00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:13,600
Speaker 3: one weekend, but again, we have to take something from

43
00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:17,040
Speaker 3: what we've seen so far with these non conference results

44
00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:20,120
Speaker 3: and some of these results in the PAC twelve, the

45
00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,880
Speaker 3: Big Ten are pretty glaring. Look, we're gonna have we

46
00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:24,720
Speaker 3: have a loaded shaw, We're gonna get We're all eight

47
00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,760
Speaker 3: matchups four on Saturday four. On Sunday, we're gonna bring

48
00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:31,200
Speaker 3: in the three Man Weave Crew for their three favorite

49
00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:34,160
Speaker 3: picks of the weekend. We will get into some futures talk,

50
00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:38,200
Speaker 3: but before we get there, just what's your favorite memory

51
00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,480
Speaker 3: or note or something you just want to bitch about

52
00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:42,480
Speaker 3: and I'll read. I'll start with you and then also

53
00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:45,040
Speaker 3: rout Geers. At least they covered twice for us Man.

54
00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:47,680
Speaker 3: Oh so close to coming through against Houston.

55
00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,720
Speaker 7: Yeah, the Rutgers won't really hurt because the game went

56
00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:54,079
Speaker 7: exactly as I thought it would. It was sloppy, they

57
00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:56,880
Speaker 7: light the rock fight and then down the stretch not

58
00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:01,080
Speaker 7: boxing out on defensive rebounds, turning it out for Geo Baker,

59
00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:04,320
Speaker 7: the shop maker, that's his name here in Jersey, just

60
00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,480
Speaker 7: dribbles the ball off his leg. It just was a winnable,

61
00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,040
Speaker 7: winnable game for them. Listen still had a nice win

62
00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:12,639
Speaker 7: the first round. Played tough against Houston, but that's when

63
00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:14,960
Speaker 7: they should have had. It was nice to see teams

64
00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:19,040
Speaker 7: like in Alabama return to their form. Oregon is scalding hot,

65
00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:21,240
Speaker 7: even though they got eliminated by Oregon State. That was

66
00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,640
Speaker 7: really impressive. So all around, just a lot of things

67
00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:26,720
Speaker 7: went the way I thought they would. And we still

68
00:03:26,760 --> 00:03:31,240
Speaker 7: have teams that were fading, like a Baylor that was

69
00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:35,120
Speaker 7: fading now all of a sudden rejuvenated and playing really,

70
00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:37,480
Speaker 7: really well. So it's gonna be it's gonna be interesting

71
00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:40,360
Speaker 7: because it's very dangerous. Teams like Baylor and Creighton, who

72
00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:42,320
Speaker 7: people thought and kind of said, maybe they're going the

73
00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,200
Speaker 7: wrong way. I thought, are refreshed and replenished. Here for

74
00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:45,920
Speaker 7: the Sweet sixteen.

75
00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:48,800
Speaker 3: Colin your main takeaway or something you want to yell

76
00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:50,480
Speaker 3: about from the first weekend, then obviously you can take

77
00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,960
Speaker 3: some time to gloat about your hogs woo.

78
00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:56,200
Speaker 1: Big swey whoo, pig suy.

79
00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:57,560
Speaker 2: Well, let me go ahead and get that out of

80
00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:57,800
Speaker 2: the way.

81
00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,200
Speaker 5: I'm glad that we beat Texas second old south West

82
00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:03,720
Speaker 5: Conference team. That's a game that is a market that scream.

83
00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:06,240
Speaker 5: Texas Tech was going to win that game. Arkansas, the

84
00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:08,520
Speaker 5: higher seed, is a dog. You know, that was a

85
00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:10,880
Speaker 5: tough one and I'm glad that the Razorbacks were able

86
00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:12,520
Speaker 5: to pull that out. Good for Eric Musselman, good for

87
00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:15,200
Speaker 5: the program. I'm behind you one hundred percent all the way.

88
00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:17,839
Speaker 5: And to get to the Final four and play in

89
00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:19,400
Speaker 5: the final four, I mean There's.

90
00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:21,400
Speaker 2: Been all this talk about the PAC twelve. How about

91
00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:22,599
Speaker 2: the old Southwest Conference?

92
00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,440
Speaker 5: Arkansas may have to go through Baylor and Houston to

93
00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:28,360
Speaker 5: get to the national championship game. So I'll be keeping

94
00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:30,720
Speaker 5: my eye out for that for somebody that grew up

95
00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,800
Speaker 5: in my single digit years in the Southwest Conference.

96
00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,839
Speaker 2: But you know, I have been impressed with Loyole as execution.

97
00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:40,000
Speaker 5: One of the most major takeaways from the entire weekend

98
00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:42,400
Speaker 5: is how they are just executing on offense and defense,

99
00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:45,039
Speaker 5: like there's I don't think they've made a mistake the

100
00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:49,400
Speaker 5: entire tournament. You know, Florida State just absolutely dominating Colorado.

101
00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:50,640
Speaker 2: We're going to talk about that here.

102
00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:53,920
Speaker 5: With Michigan, UCLA's guard play able to hold off Abilene

103
00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:56,120
Speaker 5: Christian was a big note. I'm glad I'm not losing

104
00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:59,440
Speaker 5: any more money on Yukon. I'm glad I pumped them

105
00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:01,880
Speaker 5: up for a month and then they just completely got deflated.

106
00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:05,960
Speaker 5: And here we are with Villanova completely pivoting after the

107
00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:10,760
Speaker 5: Colin Gillespie injury about what their offensive identity is and

108
00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:12,920
Speaker 5: now here they are in the sweet sixteen. So I

109
00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:14,440
Speaker 5: got a player prop for that coming up.

110
00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, my biggest takele I asked for Illinois

111
00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:20,840
Speaker 3: was my my darling, my baby, and they just I

112
00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:23,360
Speaker 3: never thought that had a chance in that game. After

113
00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:25,240
Speaker 3: they got behind, I never had a glimmer of hope.

114
00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:27,800
Speaker 3: And the Big ten was apparently overrated on the loyal

115
00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:30,360
Speaker 3: Chicago I had some questions about because the valley was down,

116
00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:33,039
Speaker 3: you didn't get a lot of non conference results. But man,

117
00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:37,880
Speaker 3: they were almost flawless and really sucked the life out

118
00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:40,240
Speaker 3: of Illinois from start to finish. So people that want

119
00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:43,599
Speaker 3: to get involved in the future, now we have basically

120
00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:46,640
Speaker 3: of our futures portfolio, we're gonna have a chance, I think,

121
00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:50,040
Speaker 3: to take a shot at Gonzaga. Right we have Michigan

122
00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:54,920
Speaker 3: and Florida State left. We have Alabama left, so we're

123
00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:57,599
Speaker 3: gonna have a chance to take a shot at those.

124
00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:00,160
Speaker 3: But if you were investing in one future right now, now,

125
00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,960
Speaker 3: who would you take? I think I might go, you know,

126
00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,800
Speaker 3: I think there is some value in Houston. How healthy

127
00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:11,240
Speaker 3: is Dureau, I don't know, but I don't mind their path.

128
00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:13,360
Speaker 3: But I think I would go with Baylor. I think

129
00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,160
Speaker 3: from what I've seen, And we're gonna talk about them

130
00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:16,720
Speaker 3: at you know, if you can get them plus four

131
00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:19,039
Speaker 3: to fifty plus five. Pre COVID, I had them neck

132
00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,200
Speaker 3: and neck with Gonzaga like it depending on the night,

133
00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,760
Speaker 3: depending on the performance, one of them went to one,

134
00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:25,760
Speaker 3: one of them went to two. Their neck and neck,

135
00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:27,599
Speaker 3: and then the rest of the field was five six

136
00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:30,360
Speaker 3: points behind. From what I saw, I think Baylor is back.

137
00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:32,960
Speaker 3: You know they were. They had three weeks off from COVID.

138
00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:36,160
Speaker 3: They during really practicing. Their defensive efficiency fell off a cliff.

139
00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:38,360
Speaker 3: But I think what I've seen, they had a week

140
00:06:38,360 --> 00:06:40,120
Speaker 3: off before the tourn They're gonna have another week off now,

141
00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:42,279
Speaker 3: but it looks like their legs are back. So I

142
00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:45,040
Speaker 3: think there's actually, believe it or not, some value with Baylor.

143
00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:47,760
Speaker 3: I like their path. I think they're gonna beat Villanova,

144
00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:50,400
Speaker 3: which we'll get to next. I think that they're just

145
00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:52,799
Speaker 3: like a basically, and I love Arcialls. I have Arcansas

146
00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:54,760
Speaker 3: at the one before, but I had some questions about

147
00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:56,559
Speaker 3: Baylor as one part of it. I think that Bail

148
00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,640
Speaker 3: is just like a little bit better of a version

149
00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:01,479
Speaker 3: of our and solve and then you know, you would

150
00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:04,360
Speaker 3: get presumably Houston or in the final four. So I

151
00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:08,120
Speaker 3: like their path, so I wouldn't mind taking some Baylor

152
00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:10,680
Speaker 3: plus four to fifty plus five hundred based on what

153
00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:12,840
Speaker 3: I saw last week, and Rendall, let me throw it

154
00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:14,720
Speaker 3: to you. If you were to take one future right now,

155
00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:15,440
Speaker 3: where are you going?

156
00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:17,160
Speaker 4: It's still Bama ten to one.

157
00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:19,080
Speaker 7: I think if this tournament has played ten times, I

158
00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:20,920
Speaker 7: think Bama wins it at least twice. I think they

159
00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:23,520
Speaker 7: go They're gonna get by UCLA, no problem. Then I

160
00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:25,800
Speaker 7: think they're going to play either Michigan, who's shorthanded, or

161
00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:27,000
Speaker 7: FSU who they're better than.

162
00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:28,240
Speaker 4: They're just a better version of them.

163
00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:30,160
Speaker 7: And yeah, they're gonna have to play probably Gonzaga, and

164
00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:31,480
Speaker 7: that's going to be the game. But they get by

165
00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:33,240
Speaker 7: that that you can hedge in the finals. I like

166
00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,400
Speaker 7: Bama's defense is still their second right now in ken

167
00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,920
Speaker 7: palm and adjust the defense efficiency. They're totally healthy runers

168
00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:41,440
Speaker 7: back Primo's back, they can drive, they can shoot it.

169
00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:44,240
Speaker 7: They have that flammable ability where they can hit like

170
00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:47,680
Speaker 7: fifteen to eighteen threes, no problem. So at ten to

171
00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:50,600
Speaker 7: one odds plus one thousand, I'll still stay with Bama.

172
00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:54,679
Speaker 3: Colin, you going, you're going Hogs to keep keep getting

173
00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:55,720
Speaker 3: on the good side of muscling.

174
00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:58,600
Speaker 5: Well, this isn't uh I'm sorry if Eric Muscle Win

175
00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,320
Speaker 5: is their first time to listen, but this is isn't

176
00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:03,600
Speaker 5: a fanboy podcast. This is a gambling investing podcast, and

177
00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:06,760
Speaker 5: the best value out there right now is Loyala Chicago

178
00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:08,920
Speaker 5: to make the final four at plus one sixty or

179
00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,880
Speaker 5: better because they're projected path. Usually when you see these

180
00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:14,680
Speaker 5: like to win the region bets, it's better just to

181
00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:16,800
Speaker 5: do a roll over parlay. But not in the case

182
00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,120
Speaker 5: of Loyola Chicago. If you take them against Oregon State

183
00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:21,520
Speaker 5: their money line and then what they're projected spread is

184
00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:24,040
Speaker 5: against Houston, that number should be around plus one forty.

185
00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:27,520
Speaker 5: Plus one sixty is widely available and there's a couple

186
00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:30,280
Speaker 5: of plus two hundreds out there, So Loyol in Chicago

187
00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:32,600
Speaker 5: just to make the final four has the best value

188
00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:33,880
Speaker 5: on the board for winning the region.

189
00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,120
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to these games.

190
00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:40,960
Speaker 1: March madness has finally returned, and there's only one way

191
00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:41,760
Speaker 1: to celebrate.

192
00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:44,719
Speaker 2: Let's get gambling gambling.

193
00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:47,520
Speaker 3: We'll start on side of we going chronological order, We'll

194
00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:51,400
Speaker 3: start with the aforementioned Loyal Chicago Ramblers and Sister Gene.

195
00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,600
Speaker 3: They are six and a half seven point favorites against

196
00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:57,960
Speaker 3: the Oregon State over under one twenty five and a half. Look,

197
00:08:58,040 --> 00:08:59,920
Speaker 3: I mean, you have to pan it to the Beavers.

198
00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:02,559
Speaker 3: They have gone from needing to win the back t

199
00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:07,240
Speaker 3: Up Tournament to now injure the Sweet sixteen after beating

200
00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:11,079
Speaker 3: Tennessee and Oklahoma State by double digits. They've won five

201
00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:13,959
Speaker 3: straight games, all as underdogs I think of five or

202
00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:17,800
Speaker 3: six points or more. It seemingly came out of nowhere.

203
00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:21,080
Speaker 3: You know, it's an experienced team. They have some size inside,

204
00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:23,640
Speaker 3: They grinded offensive. They'd like to go into the post.

205
00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,920
Speaker 3: They really live at the line and on the offensive glass.

206
00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:28,720
Speaker 3: But the team really goes as their guards go. I

207
00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:32,240
Speaker 3: mean Ethan Thompson has been incredible seeing your point guard,

208
00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:35,679
Speaker 3: and Jared Lucas has been red hot from three. They

209
00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:39,120
Speaker 3: have benefited from some three point luck, I want to say.

210
00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:42,400
Speaker 3: I mean, they've just been really this doesn't profile as

211
00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:46,360
Speaker 3: an elite shooting team. And if you look over their

212
00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:49,600
Speaker 3: past five games. During their five game winning streak, they

213
00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:53,400
Speaker 3: have shot forty five of one hundred and seven from three.

214
00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:56,880
Speaker 3: That's over forty two percent, and their opponents have shot

215
00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,600
Speaker 3: just thirty of one to nineteen. That's a tad over

216
00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,600
Speaker 3: twenty five percent, So can they keep that up? I'm

217
00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:07,480
Speaker 3: not sure. I don't necessarily love this matchup for Oregon State.

218
00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:11,800
Speaker 3: How do they score besides keep rating from three, which

219
00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:13,760
Speaker 3: I don't think they can do against an excellent loyal

220
00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:16,760
Speaker 3: Chicago perimeter defense. It's very disciplined. When they get out

221
00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:19,120
Speaker 3: in transition, they don't do it often. They're very good,

222
00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:22,560
Speaker 3: but loyal Chicago elite transition defense they don't. They don't

223
00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:26,079
Speaker 3: allow anything in treasures and number one in college basketball

224
00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:29,679
Speaker 3: in allowing transitional fewest transition opportunities of any team in

225
00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:32,640
Speaker 3: the country. Oregon State, what else did they do offensive glass?

226
00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:35,080
Speaker 3: Can't do that against the litl of Chicago. Number two

227
00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:38,080
Speaker 3: in defensive rebounding percentage Oregon State, they get to the

228
00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:40,400
Speaker 3: line a lot. Can't do that against the little of

229
00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,600
Speaker 3: Chicago they ranked sixth, and free throw techo defense they

230
00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:48,000
Speaker 3: defend without falling. So I just I'm gonna find it

231
00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:50,560
Speaker 3: hard for Oregon State to consistently score unless they just

232
00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:54,520
Speaker 3: maintain this crazy shooting, which I think is more likely

233
00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,559
Speaker 3: to regress for them having a badgement, especially against this

234
00:10:57,600 --> 00:10:59,760
Speaker 3: loyal defense. The other side of the ball, I think

235
00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,040
Speaker 3: we can have some success against the pretty vulnerable defense

236
00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:05,000
Speaker 3: at the rim, Oregon Stead will run a ton of

237
00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:07,719
Speaker 3: matchup zones, funky zone looks. Oil didn't see a lot

238
00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:09,800
Speaker 3: of zone during the regular season, but they did against

239
00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:11,520
Speaker 3: Jordia Tech and they were fine. They have a week

240
00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:14,960
Speaker 3: to prepare for this kind of unique Oregon State defense,

241
00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:20,200
Speaker 3: so it's just it's hard for it. I see many

242
00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:23,680
Speaker 3: more opportunities for the Oler Chicago to score than Oregon State.

243
00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:26,240
Speaker 3: I make this number a round six. I don't really

244
00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:28,560
Speaker 3: have much interest in lang six or seven in the

245
00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:30,160
Speaker 3: game game with a total of one hundred and twenty five,

246
00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:32,080
Speaker 3: but I like the under. I like the team total

247
00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,480
Speaker 3: under for Oregon State too. I think this is a grinder.

248
00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:37,560
Speaker 3: Both these teams. Outside the top three hundred and adjusted tempo,

249
00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:40,559
Speaker 3: you're not going to see many transition opportunities, and I

250
00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:42,959
Speaker 3: think it's just a good matchup for this Loyla team,

251
00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:45,960
Speaker 3: who should be well prepared on both ends of the floor.

252
00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:48,760
Speaker 3: Rand I'll throw it to you first. What do you

253
00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:49,200
Speaker 3: see here?

254
00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:52,599
Speaker 7: I have doubts that Loyola can cover the six and

255
00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:54,520
Speaker 7: a half all the reasons you said, Stuck.

256
00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:55,120
Speaker 4: It's going to be a.

257
00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:58,480
Speaker 7: Slower game, It's going to be a slop game inside

258
00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:01,439
Speaker 7: with the defenses and Tinkles to do a nice job there.

259
00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:04,040
Speaker 7: I think the reaction is a little too much on

260
00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:05,320
Speaker 7: the win over Illinois.

261
00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:06,600
Speaker 4: Listen, rambles were great.

262
00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:09,520
Speaker 7: They won by eleven, they got up early, but I

263
00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:12,440
Speaker 7: also think they benefited from some poor decisions by Underwood.

264
00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:14,360
Speaker 7: I mean they were way too passive with Coe burn

265
00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:16,800
Speaker 7: if afraid of foul troubles just like Kroutwig was, but

266
00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:18,120
Speaker 7: Protwig was able to do stuff.

267
00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:20,360
Speaker 4: They put Io Desumo in a corner. I mean, you're

268
00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:21,719
Speaker 4: basically your player of the year.

269
00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,079
Speaker 7: Kenny, one of the top guys, was standing in the

270
00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:26,600
Speaker 7: corner doing nothing for the majority of this game until

271
00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:27,960
Speaker 7: it was out of control.

272
00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:30,760
Speaker 4: Ethan Thompson and Lucas are going to attack the basket.

273
00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,880
Speaker 7: I think a Latche and Roman Silva who's seven to

274
00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,040
Speaker 7: one and Kalulu who's six'. TEN i think they have

275
00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:38,319
Speaker 7: enough bodies they can throw At krutwig to.

276
00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:39,199
Speaker 4: Bother him a little.

277
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:42,840
Speaker 7: Bit and, listen this is still a loyala team that

278
00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:47,360
Speaker 7: struggled twice against an extremely Shorthanded drake. Team they did

279
00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:50,400
Speaker 7: lose At Indiana. State they did lose To. WISCONSIN i

280
00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:52,120
Speaker 7: know that was earlier in the. Year but WHAT i

281
00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:55,000
Speaker 7: don't get is that people are looking at Loyalists chicago

282
00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:58,280
Speaker 7: through the prism of they just Destroyed, illinois but they're

283
00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:00,720
Speaker 7: looking At Oregon state through the prism of what they did.

284
00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:01,120
Speaker 4: Earlier in the.

285
00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:03,440
Speaker 7: Year right, NOW i have no reason to believe That

286
00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,680
Speaker 7: Oregon state's going to slow down with the. SHOOTING i

287
00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:07,520
Speaker 7: think both teams are going to slop it up a little.

288
00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:09,760
Speaker 7: Bit and Basically i'm grabbing the six and a half

289
00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:11,600
Speaker 7: BECAUSE i think it's a very close. GAME i don't

290
00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:14,600
Speaker 7: think the market is Giving Oregon state enough, credit AND

291
00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:17,400
Speaker 7: i think they've now put loyal To chicago in like

292
00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,280
Speaker 7: this Almost baylor Again zaga level where like they're going

293
00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:22,800
Speaker 7: to dominate every. Game that's not going to, happen and

294
00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:24,959
Speaker 7: loyal In chicago may get. THROUGH i just think the

295
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:25,760
Speaker 7: six and a half is too.

296
00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:28,440
Speaker 3: Much, YEAH i mean to be, Fair, YEAH i do

297
00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:30,600
Speaker 3: think that you're right from a bi low cell high.

298
00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:34,439
Speaker 3: Perspective you're selling loyal potentially at its, peak and people

299
00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,560
Speaker 3: aren't Giving Oregon state as much credit as they Are.

300
00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:39,640
Speaker 3: Lola people aren't ast familiar With Oregon. State but by the,

301
00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:41,680
Speaker 3: Way Oregon state winning the Pac golf tournament now looks

302
00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:43,800
Speaker 3: a lot more impressive after we see for THE pac

303
00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:46,800
Speaker 3: twelve in THE ncaa, tournament double digit seeds in the

304
00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,160
Speaker 3: sweet sixteen are going fifteen to fifteen to one against

305
00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:51,400
Speaker 3: the spread in the sweet. Sixteen since two thousand and,

306
00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:55,240
Speaker 3: five Peraction, labs we've seen four double digit seeds reach

307
00:13:55,280 --> 00:13:58,080
Speaker 3: the final four of that, span none lower than an

308
00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:00,480
Speaker 3: eleven Seam George mason in twosand and six eleven, seed

309
00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:03,960
Speaker 3: eleven SEED vcu twenty, eleven ten seed tyrakeyse twenty, sixteen

310
00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:09,160
Speaker 3: eleven Seed Louia chicago twenty. Eighteen basically any since two

311
00:14:09,160 --> 00:14:11,120
Speaker 3: thousand and, five any against the spread metric you're looking

312
00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:14,079
Speaker 3: at for these double digit seeds in this, ROUND i guess, It.

313
00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,920
Speaker 3: Spreader it's about five hundred captain. Matchups BUT i don't

314
00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:18,720
Speaker 3: hate your. Analysis BUT i will, say we do have

315
00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:21,480
Speaker 3: someone on this podcast that seemingly has QUOTED oyl Of

316
00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:23,800
Speaker 3: chicago on that, pedestal that is in love with The.

317
00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,480
Speaker 3: Ramblers So, COLIN i assume you might give us the

318
00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:26,920
Speaker 3: other side of.

319
00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:28,960
Speaker 5: This, YEAH i, MEAN i am, TAKING i have taking The,

320
00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:30,520
Speaker 5: ramblers AND i like them to cover this.

321
00:14:30,600 --> 00:14:32,800
Speaker 2: Game and you guys you, know no. ME i look

322
00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:33,560
Speaker 2: at free throw.

323
00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,240
Speaker 5: Rates Oregon state has one of the worst defensive free

324
00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:38,680
Speaker 5: throw rates in the nation outside the top three, hundred

325
00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:42,560
Speaker 5: and that falls into A Loyal chicago team that shoots

326
00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:44,440
Speaker 5: a really good free throw. Percentage and then on the

327
00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:46,960
Speaker 5: other side of, that you, Know Loyal chicago is sixth

328
00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:49,240
Speaker 5: then defensive pre throw. Rates SO i just don't Expect

329
00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:51,800
Speaker 5: Oregon state to be at the line very. Often loyola

330
00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:54,960
Speaker 5: should be there a ton because they are an interior.

331
00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,960
Speaker 5: TEAM i know that they've been hitting from three Against Georgia.

332
00:14:57,960 --> 00:14:59,920
Speaker 5: TECH i know they've been hitting from three Against, illinois

333
00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:03,560
Speaker 5: but you, know The ramblers are running Through krutwig and

334
00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,520
Speaker 5: a handful of other players that are six six to

335
00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:08,360
Speaker 5: six eight that are just dominating the interior Organ state's

336
00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,720
Speaker 5: two hundred and thirty eighth and defensive two point. Percentage

337
00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:12,040
Speaker 5: SO i JUST i don't know how they're going to

338
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:14,400
Speaker 5: handle loyal a down. Low if you look at some

339
00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:16,600
Speaker 5: of these games that have been, played there just has

340
00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:19,320
Speaker 5: been some terrible shooting. Performances tennessee made just five to

341
00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:23,320
Speaker 5: twenty six attempted. Threes Oklahoma state Sent Oregon state to

342
00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:26,840
Speaker 5: the line thirty five times and organ sty have made

343
00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:28,680
Speaker 5: thirty two free. THROWS i, mean that's just not going

344
00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,480
Speaker 5: to happen. Again Oklahoma state shot twenty eight percent from the.

345
00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:34,160
Speaker 5: Field that's just not going to happen. Again some of

346
00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:36,440
Speaker 5: this stuff is not. Sustainable so you, know if you

347
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:39,200
Speaker 5: throw out a regular season game Against, Utah Oregon state's

348
00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,800
Speaker 5: best defensive points per possession on the season has come

349
00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:46,640
Speaker 5: in the last two, Games so it's not. Sustainable areas

350
00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:49,640
Speaker 5: that have improved For Oregon state defensive two point, percentage

351
00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:53,080
Speaker 5: kind of opponent two point, percentage not much free throw,

352
00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:56,080
Speaker 5: rate you. KNOW i, mean these are not things that

353
00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:59,200
Speaker 5: are making me want to Buy Oregon. State one item

354
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,360
Speaker 5: that is soaring for Law loyola is defensive free throw.

355
00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:03,120
Speaker 5: RATE i mentioned that they were. Six that has done

356
00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:06,040
Speaker 5: nothing but increase the entire. Year oil is going to

357
00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:08,400
Speaker 5: get everything they want in the interior And Oregon state

358
00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:10,680
Speaker 5: is going to foul. A Ton loyle is a top

359
00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:12,520
Speaker 5: one hundred and three point defense and they have a

360
00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:13,640
Speaker 5: soaring defensive free throw.

361
00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,600
Speaker 2: Rate i'm Taking loyal to six and a.

362
00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:18,640
Speaker 5: Half i'm taking a player prop On Ethan thompson under seventeen.

363
00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,520
Speaker 5: Points he isn't going to the free throw line sixteen

364
00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:24,320
Speaker 5: times again like he did Against Oklahoma. State he's only

365
00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:26,920
Speaker 5: pulled three offensive rebounds in the entire month Of. March

366
00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:29,440
Speaker 5: so if he averages four shots from three in a

367
00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:31,880
Speaker 5: game and he hits just thirty one, percent all of

368
00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:33,160
Speaker 5: his points are going to have to come from the,

369
00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,560
Speaker 5: interior And loyola is going to shut that. Down SO

370
00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,720
Speaker 5: i Like Ethan thompson under seventeen. POINTS i Like loyola

371
00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:40,440
Speaker 5: to cover, here dominate from the inside.

372
00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:44,200
Speaker 3: Out. Yeah one thing that Is Oregon state does love

373
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:47,360
Speaker 3: to live on the offensive. Glass they attack it pretty

374
00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:50,080
Speaker 3: aggressively and it's a big source to their. Offensive LIKE i,

375
00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:52,040
Speaker 3: said is number two in defensive rebounding, Right So i'm

376
00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:54,320
Speaker 3: not sure how much success a, lot but that means

377
00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:56,120
Speaker 3: that you can get out in transition against, them and

378
00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,360
Speaker 3: their their transition d is. BAD i think the nineteen

379
00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:02,960
Speaker 3: percent Coppers Senergy oil rarely gets out in. Transition they're a.

380
00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:07,560
Speaker 3: SNAIL i think they're outside the top three thirty in transition,

381
00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:09,679
Speaker 3: frequency but when they, do they are really. Good so

382
00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:13,040
Speaker 3: they might have some prime transition opportunities here to get

383
00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:15,520
Speaker 3: some easy. BUCKETS i just tend to think the number

384
00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:20,080
Speaker 3: is Right i'm going under. Here Potentially Oregon state team total.

385
00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:21,919
Speaker 3: UNDER i think the regression monster is going to Get Orgon.

386
00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:24,520
Speaker 3: State but by the, way organized defense that matchup zones.

387
00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 3: Are they give up some three, looks but they they

388
00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,240
Speaker 3: can test really. Well they just they they're three point

389
00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:47,879
Speaker 3: defense all season has been really. Strong come. Sweet let's

390
00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:50,600
Speaker 3: move on to the second, game five Fifteen eastern ON.

391
00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:54,880
Speaker 3: CDs villadova the five seed Against. Baylor The bears are

392
00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:59,320
Speaker 3: seven point favorites over under two total has risen a few. Points,

393
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,760
Speaker 3: LOOK i Doubted villanova the first two games of the,

394
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:06,040
Speaker 3: tournament and They Jay wright burned. ME i Mean Jay

395
00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:09,359
Speaker 3: wright was sixteen and, two was past EIGHTEEN ncaa tournament

396
00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:12,879
Speaker 3: games that includes two national. Titles you know they the

397
00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:14,560
Speaker 3: first game against with. IT i was really. IMPRESSED i,

398
00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:16,960
Speaker 3: mean no one has had an answer For Robinson. EARL i,

399
00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:19,760
Speaker 3: mean He's he's put up forty. COMBINED i think in

400
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 3: the first two games he was the first player Since

401
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,640
Speaker 3: Dwayne wade in two thousand and three and the two

402
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:28,240
Speaker 3: dozen Three elite eight to have at least twenty, points ten,

403
00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:34,200
Speaker 3: rebounds five assists in three. Blocks he's been unstoppable Against North. Texas,

404
00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 3: look they were down, eight they close to midway through

405
00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:39,080
Speaker 3: the first. Half Jay wright made a great defensive. Adjustment

406
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:42,080
Speaker 3: they started Doubling, hamlet but they created a lot of

407
00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:45,000
Speaker 3: mismatches with their guards in the low. Block North texas

408
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,840
Speaker 3: really didn't have an answer For, Robinson earl Or. Samuels

409
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,320
Speaker 3: BUT i just think that, LOOK i, Mean bill, no

410
00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 3: but they had The North. TEXAS i think they ran

411
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:54,639
Speaker 3: out of gas. TOO i, mean they're just a crazy

412
00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:59,439
Speaker 3: two week stretch for. Them but IF i look at

413
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:02,400
Speaker 3: this matchup, here IF i Assume baylor is, back THEN

414
00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:04,520
Speaker 3: i give some credit To villanova for what they've. SHOWN

415
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:06,640
Speaker 3: i just don't see How villanova can win this. GAME

416
00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:08,040
Speaker 3: i would make the state and a. Half, NOW i

417
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:09,800
Speaker 3: have to give some credit to right what he's gonna

418
00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,159
Speaker 3: come up with with five days. PREPARE i have to

419
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,800
Speaker 3: just leave some chance That baylor isn't at a one hundred.

420
00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:18,000
Speaker 3: PERCENT i, mean it was only two games against athletically

421
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:21,639
Speaker 3: inferior teams In hartford And. Wisconsin SO i threw my

422
00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:25,600
Speaker 3: person Through baylor at a money on play With, alabama

423
00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:30,480
Speaker 3: which we'll get to. Later BUT i Think villanova's in trouble.

424
00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,280
Speaker 3: Here their defense is really, weak especially on the. Perimeter

425
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,399
Speaker 3: that is not what you want to be Against. Baylor

426
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:38,359
Speaker 3: you can't just key on one player. EITHER i Think

427
00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 3: baylor has like four or five rotational players that are

428
00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:44,959
Speaker 3: forty percent from. THREE i Think baylor can athletically Overwhelm villanova's.

429
00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:47,800
Speaker 3: Guards plus they Have Mark vital who can match up

430
00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:52,480
Speaker 3: With Robinson. Arrow so It's baylor can attack the offensive

431
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:57,520
Speaker 3: glass and then then attackle a weak Interior villanova. DEFENSE

432
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:00,679
Speaker 3: i Think gono is really gonna Miss gillespie here to

433
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:03,639
Speaker 3: create their. Offenses Isn't North, Texas this Isn't. Winthrop this

434
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 3: is one of the two best teams in the country

435
00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:08,000
Speaker 3: when they're, right AND i think they are right. Now

436
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,720
Speaker 3: so WHILE i respect, RIGHT i can't See villanova really

437
00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:14,240
Speaker 3: winning this. GAME i think it's gonna be. Tough they're

438
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:15,399
Speaker 3: gonna have to slow it, Up they're gonna have to

439
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:16,760
Speaker 3: make a ton of. Threes it will be a high

440
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:19,000
Speaker 3: variance game with a lot of three. Pointers but they're

441
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,080
Speaker 3: gonna Miss. Collustian by the way these teams played last,

442
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,400
Speaker 3: Year baylor WON i think eighty seven to seventy eight

443
00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 3: In Myrtle. Beach The leslie HAD i think twenty nine.

444
00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 3: Points he was. Unstoppable they're really gonna miss him. HERE

445
00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:33,479
Speaker 3: i Think baylor's athleticism. Shines they overwhelmed The villanova, guards

446
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:36,040
Speaker 3: and they get plenty of looks from, three which they

447
00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:38,280
Speaker 3: could certainly make it their number one in the nation

448
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,119
Speaker 3: and three point percentage at forty one and a half

449
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 3: percent or something like. That SO i think this is

450
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:48,040
Speaker 3: a good matchup for a trending Up baylor, team AND

451
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 3: i think the market is agreeing with this line has

452
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,640
Speaker 3: been on the rise all. Week, randall what do you see?

453
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 4: Here, Yeah marcus with.

454
00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:56,840
Speaker 7: It for The action, app it was up to like

455
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,360
Speaker 7: sixty five percent of the bets On, nova now fifty three,

456
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,919
Speaker 7: percent but ninety four percent of the money's On. BAYLOR

457
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:04,239
Speaker 7: i do not see How vilenovo wins this. GAME i

458
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,440
Speaker 7: love Throwing baylor in the money Line. Parlays like you, Said,

459
00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:10,560
Speaker 7: DOUG i cannot See. Villanova the money that's coming. In

460
00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:12,600
Speaker 7: the bets that are coming in on them are based On.

461
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 4: Jay, wright great, coach two.

462
00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:15,360
Speaker 2: Titles.

463
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 7: Guys they don't have their starting point guard Against, baylor

464
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 7: who is number three in the country in defensive turnover.

465
00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 7: PERCENTAGE i know they did fine Against, winthrop that's a different,

466
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,200
Speaker 7: level a lower level. Team then they Played North, TEXAS

467
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 7: i get. It like you, said much Like Abilene. Christian

468
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 7: they had the big win and then they sort of

469
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:31,919
Speaker 7: faded in the second.

470
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 4: Game that is not going to happen.

471
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,120
Speaker 7: Here baylor shoots forty one point five percent from three

472
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:38,160
Speaker 7: point range as a team that is number.

473
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:39,760
Speaker 4: ONE i think they got past their.

474
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:43,040
Speaker 7: HURDLE i think where people are under selling how deep they.

475
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 7: ARE i, Mean Matthew mayer came in and he was

476
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 7: fantastic there Against. Wisconsin the, line for some reason With

477
00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:52,080
Speaker 7: baylor is not reflective of who they are right. Now

478
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 7: it's still the team that struggled Against Iowa. State when

479
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 7: they returned FROM, covid it was like six and a

480
00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,680
Speaker 7: half Against. Wisconsin right now it's up to seven and a.

481
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 7: HALF i wouldn't even think About villanova unless it was

482
00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:04,359
Speaker 7: like nine to nine and a half. Points the question

483
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:07,320
Speaker 7: is can they keep it single? Digits Jay wright fantastic.

484
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 7: Job Robinson earl has played out of his. Mind they

485
00:22:10,520 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 7: are going to have guys that can limit. Him they're

486
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 7: going to have to, Rebound they're going to have to

487
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 7: shoot incredibly well from. Three villanova AND i do not

488
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 7: see it happening against A baylor team THAT i think.

489
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:21,159
Speaker 4: Is now ready to.

490
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 7: Roll So i'm easily giving the points, here very comfortable

491
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:24,879
Speaker 7: With baylor winning this.

492
00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,840
Speaker 3: Game, Outright, god are you gonna make it a podcast?

493
00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 2: Consensus, WELL i do Think baylor is going to win this.

494
00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 5: Game but WHAT i was looking for in this WAS

495
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:34,440
Speaker 5: i wanted an under because the knock on The bears

496
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:37,119
Speaker 5: was a defensive defensive efficiency was just falling, off And

497
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 5: baylor ended the season on seven straight games with the

498
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 5: defensive efficiency rating of ninety seven or. Worse came out Against.

499
00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 5: Hartford hartford was seventy eight point, Seven wisconsin eighty nine point.

500
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 5: Six So baylor's really kind of struck up the defense.

501
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:53,640
Speaker 5: Again they posted their third best defensive free throw rate

502
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 5: of the season Against. Wisconsin, villanova you, know clipped their

503
00:22:56,840 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 5: highest offensive efficiency of the season Against North, Texas So

504
00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 5: i'm not sure if they're Missing, gillespie but you have

505
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 5: to Give Jay wright credit for kind of pivoting the

506
00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:08,679
Speaker 5: offense and going to the high posts and Feeding Jremiah Robinson.

507
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 2: Earl you, know.

508
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 5: The providence game After gillespie was out was the worst

509
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 5: shooting performance of the. Season but if there's one area

510
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:20,760
Speaker 5: that's really been affected by The gillespie. Injury it's. Pace

511
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 5: North texas was the slowest game of the. Season baylor

512
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 5: also just played their slowest game of the season two Against.

513
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 5: WISCONSIN a lot of that Was wisconsin's. Offense BUT i

514
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:30,720
Speaker 5: completely agree with the total being so.

515
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 2: LOW i.

516
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:32,679
Speaker 5: WAS i was shocked that it was as low as

517
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,240
Speaker 5: it was because Kin pom projects is to be one

518
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:37,200
Speaker 5: hundred and fifty point. GAME i was looking for something

519
00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:40,840
Speaker 5: around one forty. Two came out one, forty so there

520
00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,159
Speaker 5: was no play on. There but it is getting steam

521
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 5: on the over in the. Market i'm gonna let that.

522
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 5: Run i'll probably fire within a couple hours before game.

523
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,119
Speaker 5: TIME i like the under here because these are two

524
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,959
Speaker 5: teams that are progressively getting slower Of villanova's new. Offense

525
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 5: it's feeding the post and not shooting. Threes these, teams you,

526
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 5: Know baylor doesn't send you to the line for any free.

527
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 5: Points SO i like the under in this, game But

528
00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:03,840
Speaker 5: i'm willing to let the market take it a little

529
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:05,280
Speaker 5: bit higher BEFORE i.

530
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 2: Fire fair.

531
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 8: Enough this Is Action network podcast Producer Matt mitchell here

532
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 8: to tell you our friends AT betmgm have a great

533
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 8: news sign up offer for our, listeners a six one

534
00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 8: hundred dollars risk free first. Bet here's how it. Works

535
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:24,200
Speaker 8: if you don't already have an account at, betmgm just sign,

536
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,200
Speaker 8: up make your first, deposit and place that initial. Wager

537
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 8: if the bet, wins you get all the. Money if

538
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 8: it doesn't, win bet mgm will refund you in free

539
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 8: bets up to six hundred. Dollars it's that. Simple just

540
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 8: click on the link in this episode description to get.

541
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:42,600
Speaker 8: Started betmgm has been a great podcast, partner and they've

542
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,720
Speaker 8: got all the features gamblers like us, love like live

543
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:49,520
Speaker 8: betting and daily odds. Boosts plus they're compatible with, betsync

544
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 8: so when you place a wager at, betmgm be bet

545
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 8: can automatically be tracked in your action. App so open

546
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 8: an account today and make your first bet risk free

547
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,880
Speaker 8: up to six hundred. Dollars just click on the link

548
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 8: in this episode description to get. Started must be twenty

549
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:06,920
Speaker 8: one or older and physically located In, Michigan New, Jersey, Colorado,

550
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:11,200
Speaker 8: Indiana West, Virginia, Iowa, Virginia, Tennessee. Nevada For, Pennsylvania please gamble.

551
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:13,719
Speaker 8: Responsibly gambling problem called one eight hundred and five two

552
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 8: to two forty seven hundred In colorado And. Nevada one

553
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 8: eight hundred gambler In New, Jersey, pennsylvania In West, virginia

554
00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:20,840
Speaker 8: one eight hundred and nine with it In, indiana one

555
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 8: eight hundred and two seven zero seven to one one

556
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:24,760
Speaker 8: seven In, michigan one eight hundred and eight nine nine

557
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:26,879
Speaker 8: seven eight nine In. Tennessee one eight hundred bets off

558
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:28,679
Speaker 8: At iowa or one eight eight five three to two

559
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 8: thirty five hundred In. Virginia betsink not available In. Nevada

560
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 8: thanks for. Listening now back to the.

561
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:39,800
Speaker 3: Show let's move on to the game That colin will

562
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:43,080
Speaker 3: be most nervous, for and That's Oral. Roberts, hey, look

563
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 3: if You're Oregon state Or, arkansas at least you're Playing

564
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:47,840
Speaker 3: Oral roberts and The Loyal chicago on A saturday and

565
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:51,920
Speaker 3: not A. Sunday Oral roberts the fifteen, seed only the

566
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:53,879
Speaker 3: second fifteen seed ever to make it to The sweet,

567
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 3: sixteen Joining Florida Gulf. Coast no team without An eagle

568
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 3: as a mascot as a fifteen seed is made to

569
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,080
Speaker 3: The sweet. Sixteen Florida Gulf coast actually covered the closing.

570
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:05,119
Speaker 3: LINE i actually. Middled that game for those of you

571
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 3: following me back a few years ago Against florida was.

572
00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 3: Beautiful So Oral, roberts they're catching eleven and a half

573
00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 3: over under one fifty eight and a. Half we know

574
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:17,679
Speaker 3: about Or. Roberts their offense is electric in every. Sense

575
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:21,640
Speaker 3: you Have Max, asmis who leads the country in. SCORING

576
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 3: i think he's averaging thirty points per game over his last.

577
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 3: Nine and then you have a Guy kevin o'banner who

578
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 3: is the most efficient pick and pop player in the.

579
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 3: Nation he can step. OUT i think he's like forty

580
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:34,880
Speaker 3: five percent from. Three he's all he's done is score

581
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:36,520
Speaker 3: thirty and twenty eight in the two games in the

582
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 3: tournament when they Upset Ohio state And. Florida offense is

583
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:42,359
Speaker 3: electric and look they have it hasn't even been three

584
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:44,359
Speaker 3: point luck in these, games which is a lot of

585
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:47,360
Speaker 3: times what you see with these lower. SEEDS i mean

586
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 3: they're just twenty one of sixty five from. Three that's

587
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 3: thirty two point three. Percent this is a top twenty

588
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,200
Speaker 3: team nationally in three point, percent and none of their

589
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:57,159
Speaker 3: role players that have gotten going from. Three so this

590
00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 3: is just an efficient scoring. Offense their defense came in

591
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:02,919
Speaker 3: as the worse in the field by every, measure but

592
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,840
Speaker 3: they're actually since the start of the, postseason they're playing more.

593
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,439
Speaker 3: Defense the effort is there. Sometime did you see that

594
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 3: with some of these really bad defense postseason play just

595
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 3: the effort alone makes them tick up a little. Bit

596
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 3: Inefficiency these teams played earlier in the, season And arkansas

597
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 3: was a nineteen ish point home, favorite down ten and a,

598
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,879
Speaker 3: half down twelve early second, half rallied to win by.

599
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 3: Eleven they dominated the. Glass, Colin i'm sure you're gonna

600
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 3: tell us about.

601
00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:29,560
Speaker 2: This they.

602
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 3: THERE i think they out rebumhim by twenty. Six that's

603
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 3: gonna happen. Again Store roberts Or roberts is one of

604
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 3: the worst rebounding teams in the country on both sides

605
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 3: of the, ball outside the top three hundred an offensive

606
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 3: and defensive rebounding. Percentage but it's also worth, noting, well

607
00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 3: there's two things in that. Game Eric mulsom made a

608
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,960
Speaker 3: great adjustment in a halftime and he benched Van over

609
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:53,280
Speaker 3: and then it was basically not playing, now and they

610
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 3: put they just went small and it helped them Defend

611
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,439
Speaker 3: acemis And obanner at the top of the. Key and

612
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 3: Then it helped propel them to that second half run

613
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 3: where they came back in one by. Eleven, However acemus

614
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:06,840
Speaker 3: was a massive foul. Trouble he picked up his third

615
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 3: with four to go in the first half and his

616
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:11,639
Speaker 3: fourth with ten to go in the second. Half here's my.

617
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 3: CAP i, Mean arkansas should get to the. Rim it

618
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:20,240
Speaker 3: will Or roberts's like three hundred and thirtieth in rim opportunities.

619
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 3: Allowed They arkansas should dominate the. Glass If arkdall's a

620
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:25,879
Speaker 3: hot shooting, night they're gonna win this game by fifteen to.

621
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 3: Twenty but Or roberts won't come out. Scared, look they

622
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 3: played a great non conference schedule on the, road including At.

623
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 3: Arkansas this offense is firing on all. Cylinders the defense

624
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:37,879
Speaker 3: is playing a little, Better so SO i bumped them.

625
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:39,680
Speaker 3: Accordingly i've been on in the first two. ROUNDS i

626
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 3: played Or roberts plus eleven and a. Half but it's

627
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:45,920
Speaker 3: not a POSITION i tend to keep Because i'm looking

628
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:48,560
Speaker 3: For arkansas. Live why would you? Not at this, Point,

629
00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:52,680
Speaker 3: arkansas they're both. Certificates so, far they've been now double

630
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 3: digits in the first. Half let's look back at their

631
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:58,600
Speaker 3: season of their twenty four. Victories ten of them they've

632
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 3: been trailing by six or more eight minutes in to

633
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 3: the first, half at least eight minutes into the first.

634
00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:06,720
Speaker 3: Half by the, way they won those games by an

635
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:10,400
Speaker 3: average of ten. Points auburn they're down by nineteen six

636
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:14,960
Speaker 3: sixteen minutes. In they. Won colgate down fourteen seventeen minutes.

637
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 3: In they won by. Seventeen TEXAS a AND. M they're

638
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 3: now fourteen twelve minutes. In they won by. Seven Mississippi

639
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:24,160
Speaker 3: state down, thirteen twelve minutes. In they won by. Sixteen

640
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:28,240
Speaker 3: Or roberts earlier this, year down twelve seventeen into the first,

641
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 3: half one by, ELEVEN lsu down ten fifteen minutes in

642
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 3: the first, half one by, Eight Central, Arkansas Central arkansas

643
00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 3: down ten eight minutes into the first, half won by twenty.

644
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 3: Five Texas tech in the, tournament down ten ten minutes

645
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:46,880
Speaker 3: into the first, half one by, Two missouri down ten

646
00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:50,440
Speaker 3: twelve minutes into the first, half one by, Six kentucky

647
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 3: down six eight minutes into the first, half one by.

648
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 3: One nine of the ten games have been down double

649
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 3: digits in the first. Half this is the team that

650
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,800
Speaker 3: just starts. Slow So i'm taking my shot here with

651
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,360
Speaker 3: MY Orl roberts. Boys pre. Game i'll be looking to

652
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 3: Get arkansas live at some, point hopefully set up a

653
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 3: nice juicy. MIDDLE i think Ultimate arkansas is gonna win

654
00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 3: this game due to their dominance on the glass and

655
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:18,280
Speaker 3: at the rim or, obits by the, way has been

656
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:21,120
Speaker 3: better defending in, transition which is important to Gainst. Arkansas But,

657
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 3: Colin i'll go to you. First he's your. Boys do

658
00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 3: you disagree with everything ANYTHING i?

659
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:28,440
Speaker 2: Said woo pig.

660
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,360
Speaker 1: Suye conin's talking razorback.

661
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 5: Basketball, No i'm really glad to hear that you're finally

662
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 5: on the razorback, dip THE tv timeout razorback dip. Train

663
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 5: there's no sense in taking a pregame number On arkansas

664
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:45,280
Speaker 5: when they're going to spend the first ten minutes finding

665
00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:47,040
Speaker 5: out who they're going to be for the, game because

666
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 5: they're very versatile and they get to figure things out

667
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 5: and they adjust and then they just beat the hell

668
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 5: out of. People AND i think the big thing that

669
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 5: people don't realize is That Eric musselman is a great.

670
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 3: Coach, right lollly yagging as they do for the first

671
00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:02,680
Speaker 3: minutes of every, GAME lolli gag.

672
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 5: Yeah and then he starts sipping on the Diet pepsi

673
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:08,040
Speaker 5: like five hundred, times like in between, timeouts and he's

674
00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 5: just going crazy to get him back on the. Sidelines

675
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 5: so we could just tear into their. Ass and the

676
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 5: thing is is points per possession after. Timeout Eric musselman

677
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,880
Speaker 5: is top fifteen in the. Nation he is a great.

678
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 5: Coach so let's just get that out of the way

679
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:22,160
Speaker 5: and say, that, YES i do Like arkansas in this.

680
00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 5: GAME i projected at, Thirteen but why buy it at

681
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 5: minus eleven WHEN.

682
00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:26,040
Speaker 2: I KNOW i can get it?

683
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:29,280
Speaker 5: Live because AND i think people are going to, say, Okay,

684
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 5: colin where is the?

685
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 2: Dip when is the dip going to?

686
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,640
Speaker 5: HAPPEN i don't know who the starting five is going to,

687
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 5: be but if we need to focus on a certain,

688
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:42,560
Speaker 5: player it needs to Be Devonte. Davis Devo. Davis his defensive.

689
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 5: Efficiency if you go and Read Evan meha or anything

690
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 5: that looks at player efficiency, individually in the last thirty,

691
00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 5: days he has climbed into top twelve in the nation

692
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 5: in defensive. Efficiency he is the highest riser in the

693
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,760
Speaker 5: last thirty. Days he wasn't even a factor in this.

694
00:32:00,800 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 5: Game in Bud, Walton arina back In, december he played nine,

695
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 5: minutes he had one. Steal he wasn't even a. Factor

696
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 5: now he's top twelve defensive player in the, nation like

697
00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:11,360
Speaker 5: climbing up that high in the last thirty. Days so

698
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 5: when you look At asmus and what he's going to

699
00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 5: try to do as far as transition three three three,

700
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 5: three When Devo davis is in the, game that's going

701
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 5: to be the toughest defense That asmis is going to

702
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:24,520
Speaker 5: see the entire. Game so if you want to know

703
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 5: where the dip is going to be on the razorback,

704
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 5: squad look.

705
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 2: To see If Devo davis is on the.

706
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,600
Speaker 5: Court if he's not on the, court Expect Oral roberts

707
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 5: to go on a. RUN i Love Jalen, TATE i

708
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,600
Speaker 5: Love Moses, MOODY i love Jd, Nottey Moses.

709
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:39,480
Speaker 3: Moody Moses Little Rock.

710
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 2: Lightning But Devo davis is an.

711
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 5: ANIMAL i mean he is going to be all Over

712
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 5: asmis and when he's not on the, Court Oral roberts

713
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 5: should Light arkansas up from the three point. Line and

714
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 5: why DO i say That Because arkansas has been terrible

715
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:55,480
Speaker 5: at perimeter defense over a fan of the last five.

716
00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 5: Games if you look at This arkansas one hundred and

717
00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:59,680
Speaker 5: fiftieth on the season and three point, defense and that's.

718
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 5: Falling four of the last five razorback opponents have posted

719
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 5: the the highest three point percentage against The hogs the entire.

720
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,720
Speaker 5: Season Texas tech doesn't shoot threes at all and doesn't

721
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:13,320
Speaker 5: shoot him very. Well they shot fifty. Percent Oral roberts

722
00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:15,760
Speaker 5: is forty first in offensive tempo and The hogs tempo

723
00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 5: is thirty.

724
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 2: Six and The hogs love fast.

725
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 5: Opponents they saw it With, alabama they saw it With,

726
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,720
Speaker 5: georgia they saw it With South, carolina they've seen With.

727
00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 5: Auburn they love teams that love to play. Fast SO

728
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:30,360
Speaker 5: i expect o ru to take a ton of threes

729
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 5: at a lightning, pace which is going to turn into

730
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 5: a boatload Of Jalen williams who did not play In.

731
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:39,160
Speaker 2: December And Justin smith.

732
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 5: Rebounds if you like rebound, props go out there and

733
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 5: search On Justin, smith who had ten offensive rebounds in

734
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 5: this game. Before but that's going to turn into a

735
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 5: ton of rebounds For. Arkansas that's going to turn into

736
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,440
Speaker 5: a ton of quick points For. Arkansas, arkansas out of

737
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 5: every team in The sweet, sixteen will have the highest

738
00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 5: offensive shot. Quality they will get to the rim whenever they.

739
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 5: Want their threes will be. Clean there's going to be

740
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,840
Speaker 5: so many double tap rebound putbacks. HERE i took the

741
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:10,880
Speaker 5: over in this. Game NOW i projected at one sixty.

742
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 5: One there ain't much wiggle room, here and you Need

743
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 5: Oral roberts to be hitting threes the whole entire. Day

744
00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,319
Speaker 5: and WHEN i talk About Devo davis playing, defense you

745
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 5: need them to chill out a little bit if you

746
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:20,680
Speaker 5: want to get on this. Over but it's a number

747
00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:22,839
Speaker 5: THAT i think that you buy on the over until one.

748
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 5: Sixty i'm not worried About arkansas here. Whatsoever i'm a

749
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:28,399
Speaker 5: little bit nervous about what's happening at the three point.

750
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 5: Line they have had opponents tear them. Apart When Texas

751
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 5: tech is firing from all cylinders of the three point,

752
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 5: line you need to stop and. Reassess, Now Texas tech

753
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 5: plays that two three zone packed the paint Made arkansas

754
00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 5: do jumpers that ain't happening.

755
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:45,719
Speaker 2: Here So i'm not worried about the. GAME i Like

756
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:46,319
Speaker 2: arkansas to.

757
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,399
Speaker 5: Cover we're shooting free throw, rates second best free throw

758
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 5: rate we've shot as a program in the last twenty.

759
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:55,799
Speaker 5: Years If oru wants to put us on the. Line that's,

760
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:57,920
Speaker 5: fine we're shooting a great. Rate we'll hit the over with.

761
00:34:57,960 --> 00:34:59,600
Speaker 5: That if we put oor you on the. Line they're

762
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 5: the number on free throw shooting team in the. Country

763
00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 5: SO i really like the over in this. GAME i

764
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 5: really like Playing arkansas live When Devo davis is not

765
00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:13,360
Speaker 5: in the game BECAUSE i Expect ru's offensive efficiency to be.

766
00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:16,160
Speaker 5: Up So that's How i'm playing My. Hogs and Then

767
00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:18,400
Speaker 5: i'm crossing my. Fingers in The elite, Eight i'm really

768
00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:19,319
Speaker 5: gonna be sweating that.

769
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:21,960
Speaker 3: ONE I, yeah this week spot for me is like

770
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 3: under the under twelve time out or the under eight time.

771
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 3: Out it seems to be When arkansas bottoms out in

772
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 3: some of these. GAMES i think personally it's it might

773
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 3: just be that muscleman at a media timeout goes To

774
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:36,879
Speaker 3: twitter and reads some bad tweets About arkansas and then

775
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 3: gets fired up and then goes crazy on his. Team

776
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:46,440
Speaker 3: but that but This abason offensive is a. Juggernaut they

777
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:49,000
Speaker 3: can shoot the. Three they have great, SPACING i, mean

778
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:51,440
Speaker 3: acepists can shoot from the, logo and then you Have

779
00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 3: obanner picking popping hitting threes at like forty five. Percent

780
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:58,239
Speaker 3: they have great. Spacing they're gonna. Score it's just a

781
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,279
Speaker 3: matter of how many stops they can, get and they're

782
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:01,880
Speaker 3: not going to get many. Rebounds but, YEAH i, MEAN

783
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:03,839
Speaker 3: i would love to get Like arkansas under seven live

784
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 3: IF i can eight to twelve minutes into the. GAME

785
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:08,839
Speaker 3: i THINK i know what's say?

786
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:09,399
Speaker 2: You yeah?

787
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 5: AGAIN i think it's a point important to point out

788
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:15,160
Speaker 5: that Like florida was two hundred and ninetieth offensively in turnover,

789
00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:17,960
Speaker 5: rate and or you had their best day of the

790
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 5: season from a turnover and steel perspective Against, Florida that's

791
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:24,279
Speaker 5: not going to happen Against, arkansas which is WHY i

792
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:25,960
Speaker 5: don't have any problems to lay in this number or

793
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:26,360
Speaker 5: playing it.

794
00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 7: Live, randa what's say, You, Well i'm gonna go both

795
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 7: of you. GUYS i like O roberts pre. GAME i

796
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:33,960
Speaker 7: think it's too many. POINTS i also like the over

797
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:35,919
Speaker 7: for a little. Reasons colin, Said, look the one thing

798
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:38,720
Speaker 7: That Ail roberts cannot have is adis missing and o'banner

799
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 7: get in foul, trouble which means they cannot go out

800
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 7: there and there was, problems like you, said stuck in

801
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:45,680
Speaker 7: the first game and end up getting limited in the

802
00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 7: first half because they're gonna get the doors blown.

803
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:48,719
Speaker 4: Off Paul mills is going to come up with a game.

804
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:51,520
Speaker 7: Plan the three point defense By arkansas is, key which

805
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 7: is WHY i love the player props here O banner

806
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 7: three point three pointers, made one point. FIVE i, mean

807
00:36:56,600 --> 00:36:58,520
Speaker 7: look at o'banner in the last four games that he's

808
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:01,080
Speaker 7: played Four, may three, Five i've made, threes Three may,

809
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 7: threes Two may threes in a game that they're projecting

810
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:05,880
Speaker 7: to score one hundred and sixty total. POINTS i Like

811
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:07,920
Speaker 7: obanner going over that. One you can go To asmis

812
00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:10,239
Speaker 7: with two and a half as, Well But i'm with

813
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:11,879
Speaker 7: you in the in the end game and the live,

814
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 7: line the under twelve is a sweet. Spot arkansas gets off.

815
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 7: Slow everybody's Saying arkansas won't be fooled by Or roberts.

816
00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:19,720
Speaker 4: Because they've seen them. Before well, YEAH.

817
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:22,399
Speaker 7: Orl roberts has also Seen arkansas, before so they're gonna

818
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:24,640
Speaker 7: have a game plan for them as. Well he can't

819
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,160
Speaker 7: have o'banner And asmiths get in foul. TROUBLE i have

820
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:29,360
Speaker 7: no doubt That arkansas is eventually gonna pull away and

821
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 7: win this.

822
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:31,520
Speaker 4: GAME i think the eleven and a half is too.

823
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:32,879
Speaker 4: Many it's got to be high.

824
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,480
Speaker 7: SCORING i don't picture Or roberts coming out and say

825
00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 7: we're gonna slow it. Down that's not what they. Do

826
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:40,560
Speaker 7: asmis turns the corner whenever he. WANTS i don't know

827
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 7: how teams have not figured this out. Yet he catches the,

828
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:44,799
Speaker 7: ball they try to double, them he gets riped by

829
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:46,319
Speaker 7: both and gets a lay up to the. Basket every

830
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:48,839
Speaker 7: time pick and pop with A banner is. Fantastic he's

831
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 7: making those. Shots it's almost like you forget about o'banner

832
00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 7: because A smith is the leading scorer in the. Country

833
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 7: but the live line is absolutely the way to. Go

834
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 7: it's gonna be a fun. Game at entertaining, GAME i

835
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,320
Speaker 7: firmly Expect arkansas to move, on BUT i think the

836
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 7: number is a little bit too. High but, YEAH i

837
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:04,560
Speaker 7: would love to get Like arkansas minus six and a,

838
00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:07,479
Speaker 7: half something like. That Smack dad at that under. TWELVE

839
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:09,279
Speaker 7: i think that's the perfect. Play but a lot of.

840
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 4: Points obata And acenis will get.

841
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 7: Theirs but in the, End arkansas too much, muscle maybe

842
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:16,080
Speaker 7: maybe rips off his shirt there says let's, go and

843
00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:17,480
Speaker 7: all of a, sudden the train takes off for the.

844
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:21,279
Speaker 3: Razorbacks all, right finally some agreement on the live LIKE

845
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,320
Speaker 3: i like all of his disagreements so, far give different

846
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,440
Speaker 3: sides of the. Coin let's move on to the last.

847
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:37,239
Speaker 3: Game On Saturday, night eleven Seeds syracuse takes on number

848
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:40,919
Speaker 3: two Seed. Houston cougar's are six point favorites over under

849
00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:43,799
Speaker 3: one forty and a. HALF i, think, LOOK i mean

850
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:45,879
Speaker 3: we shouldn't be. Surprised srek is this year that two three.

851
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,880
Speaker 3: Zone it just causes trouble for teams that aren't used

852
00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:50,440
Speaker 3: to it in a tournament setting once they get out

853
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:52,880
Speaker 3: of conference. Play one of the Reasons bayheim is twenty

854
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:54,640
Speaker 3: and twelve against the spread in the tournaments is two

855
00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:58,000
Speaker 3: thousand and. Five so, look And Buddy bayheim has been.

856
00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 3: Unbelievable he's averaging over twenty four points per game over

857
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 3: the last nine can't miss from the Outside syracuse over

858
00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 3: the last four games as the start of THE acenc

859
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,480
Speaker 3: tournament fifty of one oh nine from three forty six. Percent.

860
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:13,239
Speaker 3: Crazy BUT i don't think this is necessarily the best

861
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:17,200
Speaker 3: matchup for. Them why, well number One sampson has five,

862
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 3: days five plus, days five full days prepare for the.

863
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 3: Zone houston's also seen zone at a top fifty eight.

864
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:26,000
Speaker 3: Nationally they play some zone teams in Conference tulane And

865
00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:30,279
Speaker 3: tulsa to throw out a, few and they've done well against.

866
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 3: Zone they have shooters as a three point heavy team

867
00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:35,759
Speaker 3: on the other side of the, ball and, look if

868
00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:38,840
Speaker 3: they're missing, shots they're going to dominate the offensive. Glass

869
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 3: they're at their top three nationally offensive rebounding. Percentage syracuse

870
00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 3: obviously in their, zone they're always vulnerable to off to offensive.

871
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:51,400
Speaker 3: Rebounds THEY'RE i think three hundred and fortieth or something

872
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 3: way down there in offensive rebounding percentage. Allowed So houston's

873
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:57,400
Speaker 3: gonna eat on the offensive glass if they're not hitting their.

874
00:39:57,400 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 3: Threes on the other, end look And houston wont to play.

875
00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 3: Slow they grind the game, down Whereas syracuse wants to

876
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 3: get out in. Transition they will have some transition opportunities

877
00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:10,839
Speaker 3: Because houston crashes the offensive glass Where syracuse has been.

878
00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:13,920
Speaker 3: Good But houston's also a really good Transition they recover very.

879
00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 3: Well perimeter, defense their isolation. Defense these are all the

880
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:20,719
Speaker 3: things That syracuse relies. On is, elite and you could

881
00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 3: say that there's a lot of variance in a single

882
00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 3: season with three point defense which is, true but not With.

883
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,759
Speaker 3: Houston their length and the way that they. PLAY i

884
00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:28,840
Speaker 3: think their twelfth and three point defense last year they

885
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:31,279
Speaker 3: were eighth the year before they were. First they have

886
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:34,879
Speaker 3: the length to Bother. Beheim syracuse might have some three

887
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:38,160
Speaker 3: point regression coming its. Way it's just not a great

888
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 3: matchup For. Syracuse but the kind of the wildcard here

889
00:40:43,239 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 3: Is drew and he's so important to What houston wants

890
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:50,399
Speaker 3: to do at the point guard. Position he also could

891
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,399
Speaker 3: fill up the stat sheets first triple double recently and

892
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 3: At houston since Bo outlaw in the early, nineties and

893
00:40:57,120 --> 00:40:58,560
Speaker 3: the drop off when he's not in there at point

894
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,719
Speaker 3: guard is, significant especially on the offense, then which we

895
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:04,160
Speaker 3: saw Against. Rutgers he has a hit. Pointer he was

896
00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:05,879
Speaker 3: able to close the game Against rutgers and they CLOSE

897
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:07,839
Speaker 3: i think go a fourteen to two. Run that's a good.

898
00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:10,600
Speaker 3: Sign but hip points usually take one to three. Weeks

899
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:12,360
Speaker 3: so how healthy is he going to. Be is it

900
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:16,200
Speaker 3: gonna flare? Up that's the big unknown. Here so for,

901
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:20,120
Speaker 3: ME i think this is a live bedding GAME i

902
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:22,600
Speaker 3: might look for to Get, houston and it should be

903
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:24,400
Speaker 3: a high variance game Right syracuse takes a lot of.

904
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:26,920
Speaker 3: Threes they give up a lot of. THREES i just

905
00:41:26,920 --> 00:41:30,560
Speaker 3: Think houston's gonna score more consistently with their offensive, rebounding

906
00:41:30,600 --> 00:41:32,440
Speaker 3: and it's just a bad matchup For. Syracuse it might

907
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 3: have some shooting regression, Coming but If drew is healthy

908
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,560
Speaker 3: And syracuse sitting some threes, Early i'll look to Grab houston,

909
00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 3: live maybe minus three or. Below on the other, hand

910
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:44,879
Speaker 3: If houston is up And drew looks like he's starting

911
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:47,280
Speaker 3: to get, HOBBLED i might take a shot On syracuse

912
00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:49,759
Speaker 3: second half a. Lot they have the offense that can

913
00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:52,759
Speaker 3: get back in at streaky, offense And houston's offense just

914
00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 3: it seems to, me will go into big funks If

915
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:58,360
Speaker 3: drew isn't fully, Healthy, randall what do you see?

916
00:41:58,480 --> 00:41:59,880
Speaker 4: Here i'm back In.

917
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:03,000
Speaker 7: SYRACUSE i have not been impressed with THE i have

918
00:42:03,120 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 7: not been impressed with The houston.

919
00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:07,120
Speaker 4: Offense if you Like, HOUSTON i get.

920
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:10,080
Speaker 7: It the argument is that they're going to be ferocious

921
00:42:10,200 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 7: on the boards Against, SYRACUSE i get, it and that

922
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 7: can totally. HAPPEN i am looking for regression From Quentin.

923
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:19,120
Speaker 7: Grimes grimes has been absolutely on. Fire thirty three Against Western,

924
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:22,960
Speaker 7: kentucky twenty one Against, cincinnati twenty one Against, memphis but

925
00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:26,080
Speaker 7: the guys the majority of his points come from three point.

926
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:28,360
Speaker 7: RANGE i just, think, Yes sampson's going to have a

927
00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:31,080
Speaker 7: week to get. Prepared so Is beheim in a zone

928
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:33,040
Speaker 7: that is operating it it's most efficient right.

929
00:42:33,080 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 4: Now jiau is.

930
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 7: Limited he was a warrior Against rutgers coming in and

931
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 7: out of the, game but they need him on. OFFENSE

932
00:42:39,840 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 7: i do not Expect Quentin grimes to give me a

933
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:44,799
Speaker 7: five for nine or four for eight performance from three point.

934
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:47,080
Speaker 7: Range his over under on three porters made in this

935
00:42:47,120 --> 00:42:48,840
Speaker 7: game is three and a. HALF i am taking the.

936
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:52,040
Speaker 7: UNDER i Think houston is going to struggle to. SCORE

937
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:55,040
Speaker 7: i Think houston de's Up syracuse, absolutely AND i don't

938
00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 7: Expect Buddy beheim to go.

939
00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 4: Off they're going to focus on.

940
00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:59,279
Speaker 7: Him but there's a lot of other. Options dolaja has

941
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:01,479
Speaker 7: done some nice. Things gurrier got hot in the last.

942
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:03,840
Speaker 7: Game SO i think the six points is too. MUCH

943
00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 7: i Think syracuse is the better all around. TEAM i

944
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:08,560
Speaker 7: love What houston has, done but they have not done

945
00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:10,319
Speaker 7: it against the elite opponents all.

946
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 4: Year they were lucky to Escape.

947
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 7: Rutgers now you're giving me six points against a team

948
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 7: that's gonna slow it.

949
00:43:15,520 --> 00:43:18,359
Speaker 4: DOWN i also like the unders at one forty point.

950
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:20,279
Speaker 4: Five it's a little bit down, now BUT i think

951
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:21,520
Speaker 4: it's a slow pace.

952
00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:24,359
Speaker 7: Game for everything you said in those, Situations i'm gonna

953
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:27,320
Speaker 7: take the. POINTS i Think beheim limits The houston offense

954
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:31,440
Speaker 7: enough And dirou's injury really does hurt The cougars offense

955
00:43:31,680 --> 00:43:33,200
Speaker 7: That syracuse could get the outright.

956
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:34,560
Speaker 4: Win BUT i think six is way too.

957
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:38,880
Speaker 3: Much, YEAH i still will always excuse my. PRONUNCIATION i

958
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:42,960
Speaker 3: always Come Dureau dureau drew a lot because he's A

959
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:46,880
Speaker 3: New orleans, kid The Claude drue with flyers. Fed what's my?

960
00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:50,120
Speaker 3: Accent people? Lot some people hate my? Accent tournament Tournament,

961
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:52,759
Speaker 3: Colin are you gonna make it another disagreement?

962
00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:55,800
Speaker 5: Here, WELL i, mean how many double screens Is daru

963
00:43:56,080 --> 00:43:58,840
Speaker 5: gonna have to eat trying to Guard Buddy. BEAHEIM i

964
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 5: think what was interesting to me was you knew you

965
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,319
Speaker 5: were going to pay attax and the prop market on

966
00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 5: how many Points Buddy beheim was going to. Score but

967
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:08,520
Speaker 5: the thing THAT i keep coming back to Is houston's

968
00:44:08,560 --> 00:44:10,880
Speaker 5: defensive free throw rate being three hundred and thirty second

969
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:11,040
Speaker 5: in the.

970
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:13,520
Speaker 2: Nation syracuse doesn't get to the line off a.

971
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:16,280
Speaker 5: Lot but, MAN i mean they shoot a great number

972
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 5: when they are at the. Line BUT i just See

973
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:22,839
Speaker 5: Buddy beheim scoring when he wants Because houston's opponents are

974
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 5: having a lot of success from the three point, line

975
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,440
Speaker 5: AND i See Buddy beheim getting on the board in

976
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:30,600
Speaker 5: almost every other. Possession and if they put him on the,

977
00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:33,200
Speaker 5: line which it looks like they, will because That houston

978
00:44:33,239 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 5: fils a. TON i just Like Buddy beaheim's props more

979
00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:38,799
Speaker 5: than anything. Else, now Both houston And syracuse have a

980
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:42,040
Speaker 5: pace that is just continuing to. Decline the Better syracuse

981
00:44:42,040 --> 00:44:45,480
Speaker 5: has gotten over the five game average, pace it's fallen

982
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:48,399
Speaker 5: from seventy three possessions to sixty two possessions per. Game

983
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:51,160
Speaker 5: the better that The orange have, gotten the slower the

984
00:44:51,200 --> 00:44:53,480
Speaker 5: games have. Been the question is which defense is going

985
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:55,919
Speaker 5: to stop the three point shooting Because syracuse's opponents are

986
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 5: just shooting the lights out right, now it's moving.

987
00:44:57,960 --> 00:44:58,759
Speaker 2: In the wrong way for The.

988
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:01,960
Speaker 5: Orange from moving average, standpoint Both West virginia And Nancy

989
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:05,239
Speaker 5: state just lit them up from the. Perimeter houston's three

990
00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:08,319
Speaker 5: point defense is also turning in the wrong. Direction they've

991
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:11,520
Speaker 5: allowed at least thirty eight percent Of, Rutgers Cleveland, State

992
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:15,680
Speaker 5: memphis twice In South florida just. Recently houston is seventh

993
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:18,919
Speaker 5: and shot quality on offense And syracuse is one hundred

994
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:19,239
Speaker 5: and thirtieth.

995
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,000
Speaker 2: Defensively SO i try to.

996
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:23,040
Speaker 5: Make cases as to WHY i want to Take, syracuse

997
00:45:23,080 --> 00:45:24,720
Speaker 5: BUT i can't do it here BECAUSE i don't believe

998
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:26,839
Speaker 5: that they can Keep houston from getting clean looks at

999
00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:29,480
Speaker 5: the rim or clean looks around the. PERIMETER i am

1000
00:45:29,600 --> 00:45:33,360
Speaker 5: thinking that this is a sneaky over. Here two offenses

1001
00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:36,359
Speaker 5: that are running slower than, usual but at the same

1002
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 5: time points per. Possession and the fact THAT i Think

1003
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 5: syracuse is going to go to the line a ton

1004
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:43,879
Speaker 5: because Of houston's defensive free throw rate has me looking

1005
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,320
Speaker 5: at possibly taking it. Over BUT i think a Buddy

1006
00:45:46,360 --> 00:45:48,719
Speaker 5: beaheim over twenty and a half points is the Way

1007
00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:49,319
Speaker 5: i'm leaning in this.

1008
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:51,440
Speaker 3: GAME i DON'T i THINK i would disagree with you

1009
00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:54,400
Speaker 3: on And. BEJA i think that that's way too high it.

1010
00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:56,320
Speaker 3: Is that's, attack that's what needs going to be. GETTING

1011
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:58,560
Speaker 3: i think that Look houston's three point. Defense they've given

1012
00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:02,680
Speaker 3: up some better than normal, performances but just the last

1013
00:46:02,680 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 3: three years they're elite their top, ten so, WELL i

1014
00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:06,440
Speaker 3: would think that regression would go in their favorite. End

1015
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 3: syriac has been like fifty percent from, three so the

1016
00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:14,040
Speaker 3: regression monster looms. Here but there are your arguments for both,

1017
00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:16,399
Speaker 3: sides all. Right before we get To, sunday we want

1018
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:18,560
Speaker 3: to tell you about our friends At Athletic Brewing, company

1019
00:46:18,560 --> 00:46:22,320
Speaker 3: makers Of america's the most flavorful non alcoholic. Beer, listen,

1020
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,359
Speaker 3: guys the final four is just around the, corner And,

1021
00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:27,080
Speaker 3: Colin mike AND i are here to help listeners like

1022
00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:30,520
Speaker 3: you make, smart rational gambling. Decisions but if you go

1023
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,239
Speaker 3: out there and get totally shit faced on a tray

1024
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:35,680
Speaker 3: Of irish car bombs and start eyeballing the, board you're

1025
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:38,759
Speaker 3: going to catch a case of theft. Regret we'll be

1026
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:41,440
Speaker 3: out there on the, lawn shareless betting stupid long shots

1027
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:43,920
Speaker 3: and screaming into our bad beat. Hotline by the, way

1028
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,520
Speaker 3: don't forget the. Call it's a recipe for. Disaster so

1029
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:48,440
Speaker 3: if you're thinking of taking it easy on the boost

1030
00:46:48,800 --> 00:46:51,800
Speaker 3: at any point This april and celebrating the return of

1031
00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:55,800
Speaker 3: spring with just some, nice level headed, Gambling Athletic brewings

1032
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:58,879
Speaker 3: award winning beers are a great. Option Because athletic makes

1033
00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:01,919
Speaker 3: great tasting beers celebrate the innovation of great craft, beer

1034
00:47:02,200 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 3: but without the. Alcohol so if you want to support the,

1035
00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:07,400
Speaker 3: show head To athletic brewm dot, com check out their

1036
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 3: selection and place in order using code action. Fifteen That's

1037
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:14,319
Speaker 3: action one. Five this gets new customers fifteen percent off

1038
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:16,279
Speaker 3: their first, order and if you order two or more six,

1039
00:47:16,360 --> 00:47:19,960
Speaker 3: packs shipping is always. Free That's Athletic brewing dot. Com

1040
00:47:20,160 --> 00:47:22,960
Speaker 3: use the code action one to five on that first

1041
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:27,600
Speaker 3: order and enjoy greape taste while keeping your gambling. Edge all,

1042
00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:31,239
Speaker 3: right let's move on To sunday two Ten eastern ON.

1043
00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:36,960
Speaker 3: Cbs five Seed creighton against one Seed. Gonzaga gonzaga thirteen

1044
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:41,520
Speaker 3: point favorite over under one fifty. Eight this is it's

1045
00:47:41,560 --> 00:47:43,000
Speaker 3: a tough game for me to. CAT i think it's

1046
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:46,400
Speaker 3: a tad. High we know The gonzaga offense is a, juggernaut.

1047
00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:49,440
Speaker 3: Right you Have sugs at, point you have kiss for naked,

1048
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:51,320
Speaker 3: threes you Have timmy on the low. Block all the

1049
00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:54,120
Speaker 3: role players seem to fit. Perfectly they get to the

1050
00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:56,080
Speaker 3: rim as much as any team in the. Country they're

1051
00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:58,880
Speaker 3: elite at the. Rim they are a transition. Juggernaut the

1052
00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:01,840
Speaker 3: number one in tred sition opportunities number one in transition

1053
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:05,200
Speaker 3: to expected field goal. PERCENTAGE i don't know how anyone

1054
00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:08,600
Speaker 3: could stop this. Offense crighton does have an underrated half court,

1055
00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:12,080
Speaker 3: defense a lot of length on the perimeter that could

1056
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 3: Give gonzaga some trouble force them into some tough. Shots

1057
00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:17,800
Speaker 3: the problem, IS i don't know how they Defend timmy

1058
00:48:18,120 --> 00:48:20,080
Speaker 3: on the, interier AND i don't know how they Stop

1059
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:23,760
Speaker 3: gonzaga in. Transition no one really. Can But creighton's forty

1060
00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:28,040
Speaker 3: percent tile in transition points per POSSESSION percentergy that's not

1061
00:48:28,160 --> 00:48:31,520
Speaker 3: great Against. Gonzaga The creighton, offense, look if you want

1062
00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:33,600
Speaker 3: to take a shot in the money, line it's a

1063
00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:36,719
Speaker 3: high variance. Offense they take a lot of, threes and

1064
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 3: when they're, good they're really.

1065
00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:40,320
Speaker 4: Good upset, alert.

1066
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:44,040
Speaker 3: But there's gonna be a lot of possessions of the,

1067
00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:46,400
Speaker 3: game so that minimizes the variants a. Bit but If

1068
00:48:46,440 --> 00:48:49,000
Speaker 3: creighton's making their threes and we get the Good, creighton

1069
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:52,279
Speaker 3: they'll probably cover this. Game if they're, not they're gonna

1070
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:54,400
Speaker 3: get blown. Out and that's what's hard for. ME i,

1071
00:48:54,400 --> 00:48:56,520
Speaker 3: Mean creighton's just tough to figure. Out they look so.

1072
00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:59,640
Speaker 3: Good one, game and then we see them lose four.

1073
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:01,880
Speaker 3: Times they lost four times to non tourney teams during the,

1074
00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:04,400
Speaker 3: year and then they lost at home The. Georgetown they

1075
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,960
Speaker 3: got trucked By georgetown in The Big East. Tournament so

1076
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:10,960
Speaker 3: they're kind of jeckle and, hide but they have some.

1077
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:14,080
Speaker 3: Length ziggarousi is an excellent point. Guard they can. SHOOT

1078
00:49:14,120 --> 00:49:16,959
Speaker 3: i think THE x factor which might decide the cover

1079
00:49:17,360 --> 00:49:21,080
Speaker 3: Is Mitch Balloch kenny make six, threes THAT'S i, mean

1080
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:23,319
Speaker 3: and they got to Get he's on that twice this

1081
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:27,480
Speaker 3: year AGAINST i Think villanova And Seaton, hall And create

1082
00:49:27,560 --> 00:49:29,719
Speaker 3: won both. Games they got to eighty five and eighty six.

1083
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:31,920
Speaker 3: POINTS i think eighty five is the where they got

1084
00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:33,759
Speaker 3: to get to to potentially win this. Game they can

1085
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,439
Speaker 3: still easily lose ninety to eighty, five but they got

1086
00:49:36,440 --> 00:49:39,440
Speaker 3: to get TO i think at least eighty. Five, BALLOCK i,

1087
00:49:39,440 --> 00:49:40,839
Speaker 3: mean who will. Go he will also have games where

1088
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:43,359
Speaker 3: he scores no points and play thirty minutes three points two.

1089
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:46,040
Speaker 3: Points so if he can go nuts from, three certainly.

1090
00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:48,279
Speaker 3: Capable they're gonna be. There so it's a tough game

1091
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:49,640
Speaker 3: for me to Cap, randall le me throw it to you.

1092
00:49:49,680 --> 00:49:50,840
Speaker 3: First what say? You?

1093
00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:52,040
Speaker 4: Yeah much Like.

1094
00:49:52,080 --> 00:49:56,600
Speaker 7: BAYLOR i Think creton got by their big hurdle having

1095
00:49:56,680 --> 00:50:01,320
Speaker 7: to defend The gauchos there with a couple seconds left

1096
00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:05,160
Speaker 7: with the entire season on the, line and escaping gave

1097
00:50:05,200 --> 00:50:07,239
Speaker 7: them new. LIFE i don't want to hear, That, oh

1098
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:10,240
Speaker 7: it's Just. Ohio ohio was, good. Folks they were rolling

1099
00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:13,560
Speaker 7: and you're right. Stuck their half court defense is very,

1100
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 7: underrated particularly against two point.

1101
00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:17,239
Speaker 4: Range they're thirty fifth in.

1102
00:50:17,200 --> 00:50:19,960
Speaker 7: The country allowing forty five percent from two point. Range

1103
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:23,040
Speaker 7: that's critical Because gonzaga is first in two point.

1104
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:24,320
Speaker 4: Offense timmy is the.

1105
00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:26,560
Speaker 7: KEY i took a flyer on him for the most

1106
00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:29,359
Speaker 7: outstanding player of The Final four because he was six to.

1107
00:50:29,400 --> 00:50:31,400
Speaker 7: ONE i think he's a key to What gonzaga is

1108
00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:32,960
Speaker 7: going to try to do here for the remainder of the.

1109
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:35,640
Speaker 7: Tournament he's got to score. INSIDE i think he can

1110
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:39,719
Speaker 7: do well. Here But creighton's, defense particularly against three, pointers

1111
00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:40,200
Speaker 7: is also.

1112
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:42,279
Speaker 4: Great it comes down to whether they're hot and they can.

1113
00:50:42,320 --> 00:50:45,080
Speaker 7: Score and the key to Is, zagarowski who at the

1114
00:50:45,120 --> 00:50:46,840
Speaker 7: beginning of the year people were talking about like a

1115
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:50,080
Speaker 7: first Team All american like. Player he did not play like,

1116
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:52,840
Speaker 7: that but recently he's been on. Fire four to seven

1117
00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 7: from three Against, ohio three of six from three Against

1118
00:50:57,200 --> 00:51:00,720
Speaker 7: Kyl Santa, barbara three of four Against, georgetown five Against

1119
00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:01,600
Speaker 7: butler at the end of the.

1120
00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:03,760
Speaker 4: Year so he's playing at a different.

1121
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:07,000
Speaker 7: Level and when your point guard like, him a, veteran

1122
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:10,080
Speaker 7: is playing at that, level everything else falls into.

1123
00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:10,759
Speaker 4: Place they are.

1124
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:14,719
Speaker 7: Talented they Have, jefferson they have guys who can make, Threes, Mahoney,

1125
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:17,160
Speaker 7: bishop they have a couple guys even come off the

1126
00:51:17,160 --> 00:51:17,879
Speaker 7: bench who can cause.

1127
00:51:17,920 --> 00:51:19,120
Speaker 4: Problems And ballock is the.

1128
00:51:19,200 --> 00:51:22,040
Speaker 7: Key he came into this season like a forty three

1129
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 7: point shooter and he was was not there for a

1130
00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:27,120
Speaker 7: long period of, time and now he's gotten hot at

1131
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:29,400
Speaker 7: the end of the. Year the issue With creighton they

1132
00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:32,040
Speaker 7: don't make their free, throws but they play solid, defense

1133
00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:35,040
Speaker 7: they know the style of. BASKETBALL i Love. GONZAGA i

1134
00:51:35,040 --> 00:51:36,759
Speaker 7: Think zaga is gonna win the. GAME i think the

1135
00:51:36,760 --> 00:51:38,799
Speaker 7: points here are too much And i'm gladly going to take.

1136
00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:40,799
Speaker 7: Them and also look for some you, know props if

1137
00:51:40,840 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 7: you want to look at specific, players Because zagarowski's prop

1138
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:45,960
Speaker 7: for three pointers made in the prior game was two

1139
00:51:45,960 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 7: and a.

1140
00:51:46,120 --> 00:51:46,759
Speaker 4: Half that was a.

1141
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:50,400
Speaker 7: Joke he had three in the first half. Easily SO i.

1142
00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:52,359
Speaker 7: AGREE i Think crayton's got to. SCORE i think they

1143
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:54,239
Speaker 7: are going to, score AND i think they're gonna cover the.

1144
00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:57,840
Speaker 3: NUMBER i Think i'm gonna. Find is there gonna be

1145
00:51:57,840 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 3: A Mitch balloch. PROP i don't. KNOW i don't really

1146
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:02,920
Speaker 3: bet proper and camp, really but for special EVENTS i

1147
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:04,799
Speaker 3: can get some. DOWN i have a feeling it's going

1148
00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:08,040
Speaker 3: to hit a couple of threes, Here, colin what do

1149
00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 3: you see? Here?

1150
00:52:08,760 --> 00:52:10,520
Speaker 5: YEAH i mean the, reason oh you didn't cover the

1151
00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:12,520
Speaker 5: game was because they Sent gonzaga to the free throw

1152
00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:15,799
Speaker 5: line twenty six times and The bulldogs made twenty three of.

1153
00:52:15,840 --> 00:52:18,000
Speaker 5: Them And crayton is forty second in defensive free throw,

1154
00:52:18,080 --> 00:52:20,440
Speaker 5: Rate SO i, mean they're just not going to SEND

1155
00:52:20,480 --> 00:52:22,120
Speaker 5: o you. There SO i Think crayton has a good

1156
00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:24,120
Speaker 5: shot to cover this big, number AND i like The,

1157
00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:27,320
Speaker 5: OVERALLSO i, mean if there's been a decline anywhere In gonzaga,

1158
00:52:27,360 --> 00:52:30,600
Speaker 5: basketball it's defensive rebounding with a moving average going from

1159
00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:33,239
Speaker 5: about forty to twenty seven when you look at it

1160
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:36,319
Speaker 5: over one hundred possessions through the past twenty. Games So

1161
00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 5: creighton cannot expose, This though's that's the. Problem is they're

1162
00:52:39,600 --> 00:52:42,640
Speaker 5: terrible in offensive, rebounding so there should be a lot

1163
00:52:42,640 --> 00:52:44,840
Speaker 5: of tap backs AND i expect there to be a

1164
00:52:44,840 --> 00:52:47,799
Speaker 5: ton of points. Here points per possession continue to fall For.

1165
00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:50,600
Speaker 5: Creighton they've been sub one oh one the last four

1166
00:52:50,640 --> 00:52:54,000
Speaker 5: games and a season worse seventy three Against. Georgetown but

1167
00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:57,319
Speaker 5: these two profiles match up with each other like they

1168
00:52:57,320 --> 00:52:59,440
Speaker 5: play the same kind of. Ball it's not like a

1169
00:52:59,520 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 5: style clash coming in. Here it's tough to See creighton

1170
00:53:02,600 --> 00:53:05,840
Speaker 5: win this game because you, KNOW i laughed because we

1171
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:09,359
Speaker 5: always Called Chad morrison college Football Gus miles on, light

1172
00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:12,960
Speaker 5: But creighton is kind of like A gonzaga. Light you,

1173
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:15,160
Speaker 5: Know gonzaga is number one in shot quality, total but

1174
00:53:15,160 --> 00:53:17,520
Speaker 5: that's all on. Offense they're actually fifty sixth then perimeter.

1175
00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:19,480
Speaker 5: D SO i Think creighton is going to be able

1176
00:53:19,520 --> 00:53:21,120
Speaker 5: to get some three pointers to go. Down they just

1177
00:53:21,120 --> 00:53:24,640
Speaker 5: can't get anything. Else you, know as far as insider

1178
00:53:24,719 --> 00:53:29,719
Speaker 5: shooting free, throws both teams adjusted tempo offense mask their overall,

1179
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,040
Speaker 5: tempo and that's when you need to fire on an

1180
00:53:32,080 --> 00:53:34,200
Speaker 5: over because when you look at the adjusted tempo, number

1181
00:53:34,600 --> 00:53:37,320
Speaker 5: you need to slice it out from the offensive and defensive.

1182
00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 5: Perspective and when you do, That crighton is forty second

1183
00:53:40,000 --> 00:53:42,719
Speaker 5: And gonzaga is. Second both of those on offense are

1184
00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:45,399
Speaker 5: higher than the overall adjusted. Tempo SO i like the over.

1185
00:53:45,440 --> 00:53:48,400
Speaker 5: HERE i think it's just going to be a similar

1186
00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:50,800
Speaker 5: To arkansas and Or. ROBERTS i think there's gonna be

1187
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:54,200
Speaker 5: a mass amount of points scored very quickly. Here and

1188
00:53:54,280 --> 00:53:57,759
Speaker 5: what should Make gonzaga sweat just a little. BIT i

1189
00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:00,759
Speaker 5: Like creighton to possibly cover herepefully it doesn't come down

1190
00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:01,200
Speaker 5: to the free throw.

1191
00:54:01,239 --> 00:54:04,800
Speaker 3: Line, yeah they. Don't craig's not particularly. Deep it's really experienced.

1192
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:06,239
Speaker 3: Team they don't want this call tight because if they

1193
00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:08,479
Speaker 3: get in foul, trouble that's troubling because and then also

1194
00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:11,600
Speaker 3: they struggle at the. Line it's JUST i Mean. TIMMY

1195
00:54:11,640 --> 00:54:13,359
Speaker 3: i don't know how they Stop. Timmy and then their

1196
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:16,719
Speaker 3: transition defense is. Worrisome but their three's got to. Go

1197
00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:20,719
Speaker 3: And zigarowski Versus sugs will be fun to, watch all,

1198
00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:24,399
Speaker 3: Right and, Look crayton's halfward defense very. Underrated look at any.

1199
00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:31,960
Speaker 3: Metrics they have a ton of, length really. Versatile all,

1200
00:54:32,040 --> 00:54:37,080
Speaker 3: right let's move on to the second game On, Sunday Florida.

1201
00:54:37,160 --> 00:54:39,360
Speaker 3: STATE i Gainst. Michigan this is down in The Michigan

1202
00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:42,359
Speaker 3: ZWANDO a two point favorite over under one forty three

1203
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:46,000
Speaker 3: and a. HALF i Played Florida state plus. THREE i

1204
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:49,200
Speaker 3: make this that closer to. ONE i would look under.

1205
00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:51,920
Speaker 3: HERE i think both defenses have some good. MATCHUPS i

1206
00:54:51,960 --> 00:54:55,480
Speaker 3: don't Expect Liver Isaiah livers to, play but this is

1207
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:58,080
Speaker 3: a good matchup For Brandon John's Florida. State, look they

1208
00:54:58,120 --> 00:55:00,480
Speaker 3: want to pressure you on. Defense they rest at the

1209
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,360
Speaker 3: top five or. Eight michigan have been good against the,

1210
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:04,400
Speaker 3: press but they've barely seen it under five percent of the.

1211
00:55:04,400 --> 00:55:07,719
Speaker 3: Time they trap you little do w in the w

1212
00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:10,320
Speaker 3: all over and they're just so. Long they have length

1213
00:55:10,360 --> 00:55:14,160
Speaker 3: and athleticism all, over and they make just life difficult for.

1214
00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:16,720
Speaker 3: YOU i think they could really disrupt This michigan, offense

1215
00:55:17,160 --> 00:55:20,080
Speaker 3: especially considering they Can they don't really need to help On,

1216
00:55:20,160 --> 00:55:22,560
Speaker 3: dickinson which all opens up a lot of The michigan. Offense,

1217
00:55:23,080 --> 00:55:25,799
Speaker 3: however because they're so, aggressive they are Vulnerable Florida state

1218
00:55:25,800 --> 00:55:29,000
Speaker 3: to offensive. Rebounds so With john's in there And, Dickinson

1219
00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:33,399
Speaker 3: michigan should get some second chance. Looks Florida state also

1220
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:35,080
Speaker 3: loves to get out in. Transition they want to play.

1221
00:55:35,120 --> 00:55:39,000
Speaker 3: Fast michigan little vulnerable in transity, vents but really good

1222
00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:43,439
Speaker 3: at preventing transition. Opportunities it's really important Against Florida. State

1223
00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:47,759
Speaker 3: they do that. WELL i think, Look wagner is a

1224
00:55:47,760 --> 00:55:51,759
Speaker 3: good matchup here For Scottie. Barnes you Have dickinson in the,

1225
00:55:51,800 --> 00:55:55,360
Speaker 3: middle and you know that his size can help combat

1226
00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:57,480
Speaker 3: some of The Florida State Florida state loves to live

1227
00:55:57,520 --> 00:56:00,400
Speaker 3: on the offensive last it's really nice and you have

1228
00:56:00,640 --> 00:56:03,360
Speaker 3: a team that's top twenty and three point shooting percentage

1229
00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:06,640
Speaker 3: and offensive rebound. Percentage But florida stated they like to

1230
00:56:06,640 --> 00:56:08,799
Speaker 3: create a lot of mismatches on the offensive then take

1231
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:12,640
Speaker 3: advantage of their athleticism and. Length their main problem is.

1232
00:56:12,680 --> 00:56:16,880
Speaker 3: Turnovers it just a ton of, turnovers sloppy, turners But

1233
00:56:16,880 --> 00:56:20,040
Speaker 3: michigan doesn't really turn you. OVER i think that is

1234
00:56:20,040 --> 00:56:21,960
Speaker 3: a big benefit Of Florida, state, who by the, way

1235
00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:24,120
Speaker 3: will also get to play in this building for a second,

1236
00:56:24,160 --> 00:56:26,680
Speaker 3: time Whereas michigan will be playing it for the first.

1237
00:56:26,680 --> 00:56:29,200
Speaker 3: Time so maybe that's an advantage the other. Team by the,

1238
00:56:29,239 --> 00:56:32,800
Speaker 3: way that that applies To syracuse playing in the same building.

1239
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:36,440
Speaker 3: Twice houston for the first, time and Then baylor is

1240
00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:40,800
Speaker 3: playing At tinkle, again But nova obviously plays At, tinkle

1241
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:43,160
Speaker 3: although it's been a house of horror. Swinging but back

1242
00:56:43,160 --> 00:56:45,600
Speaker 3: to The Michigan Florida state, LOOK i think it's gonna

1243
00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:48,560
Speaker 3: be a great, game great, game nail, biter just like

1244
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:50,120
Speaker 3: the last time these two met in the tournament when

1245
00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:52,399
Speaker 3: An amilton didn't call it time. OUT i just think

1246
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:54,680
Speaker 3: The Florida state, athleticism the way that their defense is,

1247
00:56:54,680 --> 00:56:57,920
Speaker 3: playing their length in the interior also a lot deeper

1248
00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:00,880
Speaker 3: the pressure is going to cause some problem For michigan

1249
00:57:01,440 --> 00:57:03,160
Speaker 3: Coint like close to a point foot game you could

1250
00:57:03,160 --> 00:57:05,280
Speaker 3: see going neither. Right So i'm gladly got the three

1251
00:57:05,600 --> 00:57:07,840
Speaker 3: And i'm looking at the under, Here, randall what do

1252
00:57:07,920 --> 00:57:11,280
Speaker 3: you see In Florida State michigan to our futures?

1253
00:57:11,320 --> 00:57:14,480
Speaker 7: Teams, yeah All Florida state for me at some, point

1254
00:57:14,560 --> 00:57:16,760
Speaker 7: not having your best all around, player which Is Isaiah.

1255
00:57:16,800 --> 00:57:19,560
Speaker 7: Livers it's Not Hunter, Dickinson he's been, fantastic but their

1256
00:57:19,600 --> 00:57:22,760
Speaker 7: go to guy forty three percent from beyond the arc Is.

1257
00:57:22,800 --> 00:57:25,800
Speaker 7: Livers the issue is you're now Putting Shandy brown in

1258
00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:30,000
Speaker 7: the starting lineup and you're limiting their Bench Florida state does.

1259
00:57:29,840 --> 00:57:30,400
Speaker 4: Have problems with.

1260
00:57:30,480 --> 00:57:33,280
Speaker 7: Turnovers michigan doesn't turn teams over a. LOT i Like

1261
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:37,360
Speaker 7: Florida state's. LENGTH i Think livers is essential to spacing

1262
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:40,360
Speaker 7: against a team like. THIS, lsu by the, way was

1263
00:57:40,440 --> 00:57:43,040
Speaker 7: neck and neck With michigan until that god awful foul

1264
00:57:43,240 --> 00:57:45,680
Speaker 7: On watford there with the one he called the charge

1265
00:57:45,680 --> 00:57:48,320
Speaker 7: on with four minutes. Left if they count That emma,

1266
00:57:48,400 --> 00:57:50,760
Speaker 7: one it's a one point. Game, instead he's fout out

1267
00:57:50,760 --> 00:57:53,080
Speaker 7: and we move. On SO i Love Florida. State i've

1268
00:57:53,080 --> 00:57:55,120
Speaker 7: struggled with, them but the biggest BET i made in

1269
00:57:55,120 --> 00:57:58,200
Speaker 7: the tournament was laying one and a half Against. Colorado

1270
00:57:58,200 --> 00:58:00,600
Speaker 7: you know my thoughts on. THEM i Like Florida state.

1271
00:58:00,640 --> 00:58:03,320
Speaker 7: HERE i think it's their. Time No livers is essential For.

1272
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:07,160
Speaker 7: Michigan Jowan howard's an amazing. Job dickinson's been great, inside

1273
00:58:07,160 --> 00:58:09,080
Speaker 7: but now you have some legitimate length that's going to

1274
00:58:09,120 --> 00:58:09,880
Speaker 7: bother him a little.

1275
00:58:09,880 --> 00:58:11,960
Speaker 4: Bit AND i think not spacing the.

1276
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:14,480
Speaker 7: Floora's much With livers and the lack of, depth which

1277
00:58:14,560 --> 00:58:16,880
Speaker 7: could be an issue with bout trouble here is too

1278
00:58:16,920 --> 00:58:19,600
Speaker 7: much to. Handle SO i Like Florida state gladly take the.

1279
00:58:19,640 --> 00:58:22,680
Speaker 7: POINTS i Think this is just too, much too short

1280
00:58:22,680 --> 00:58:25,400
Speaker 7: handed For michigan at this. Point nice went OVER, lsu

1281
00:58:25,600 --> 00:58:26,640
Speaker 7: BUT i think they're out after this.

1282
00:58:26,720 --> 00:58:29,600
Speaker 3: Game you, Agree, YEAH i.

1283
00:58:29,520 --> 00:58:31,720
Speaker 5: Like Florida state for a whole different set of. Reasons

1284
00:58:31,760 --> 00:58:34,320
Speaker 5: so this just enforces WHAT i already believed, in which,

1285
00:58:34,360 --> 00:58:36,440
Speaker 5: is you, Know michigan's had a steep decline in two

1286
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:38,880
Speaker 5: point percent in shooting as the season went, On but

1287
00:58:38,920 --> 00:58:40,720
Speaker 5: if you look at THAT lsu, game you would think,

1288
00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:42,720
Speaker 5: that you, Know michigan's back on top of the. World

1289
00:58:42,720 --> 00:58:45,240
Speaker 5: But i've said this all. YEAR lsu is defense. Optional

1290
00:58:45,440 --> 00:58:47,479
Speaker 5: Florida state is tenth in the nation and two point.

1291
00:58:47,480 --> 00:58:49,560
Speaker 5: Defense they're going to shut down Whatever michigan has down

1292
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:52,000
Speaker 5: in the, interior And Florida state's main area.

1293
00:58:51,840 --> 00:58:53,080
Speaker 2: Of concern is ball.

1294
00:58:53,160 --> 00:58:55,400
Speaker 5: Security the team that Knocks Florida state out is going

1295
00:58:55,480 --> 00:58:57,280
Speaker 5: to be the one that forces them to make turnovers

1296
00:58:57,400 --> 00:58:59,400
Speaker 5: because they can't take care of the. Ball But michigan

1297
00:58:59,520 --> 00:59:02,960
Speaker 5: is three hundred and thirty seventh and defensive, turnovers it's,

1298
00:59:03,080 --> 00:59:05,320
Speaker 5: terrible one of the worst in the. Nation The wolverines

1299
00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:07,640
Speaker 5: can't log any. Takeaways So i'm taking the knoles.

1300
00:59:07,680 --> 00:59:08,480
Speaker 2: HERE i like him to win.

1301
00:59:08,600 --> 00:59:13,160
Speaker 3: Outright Leonard hamilton timeout revenge. Game, hopefully though The Florida

1302
00:59:13,160 --> 00:59:16,240
Speaker 3: state is down two with two seconds or five seconds,

1303
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:19,880
Speaker 3: up The hamilton, says don't foul for us with plus

1304
00:59:19,880 --> 00:59:24,440
Speaker 3: two and a half or plus. Three, lenny It's, leonard

1305
00:59:24,840 --> 00:59:25,400
Speaker 3: LIKE i told you.

1306
00:59:25,440 --> 00:59:28,360
Speaker 4: Before, YEAH i must have forgot all.

1307
00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:30,520
Speaker 3: Right let's move on to the third game of the,

1308
00:59:30,560 --> 00:59:33,240
Speaker 3: day THE Ucla, bruds Another pack twelve. Team he would have,

1309
00:59:33,240 --> 00:59:36,040
Speaker 3: Thought we've got Three pack twelve teams on the second

1310
00:59:36,120 --> 00:59:38,920
Speaker 3: day of The sweet sixteen and only One big ten.

1311
00:59:38,960 --> 00:59:40,840
Speaker 3: Team the Only Big ten team in The sweet, Sixteen

1312
00:59:41,120 --> 00:59:43,960
Speaker 3: ucla the eleven, seed taking On. Alabama alabama out to

1313
00:59:43,960 --> 00:59:46,440
Speaker 3: his six and a half point favorite total sitting at

1314
00:59:46,480 --> 00:59:49,280
Speaker 3: one forty five and a. Half you gotta give coronin

1315
00:59:49,320 --> 00:59:53,320
Speaker 3: credit because look THIS ucla. Team they before the season,

1316
00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:56,200
Speaker 3: started they lost nixt to their point. Guard he went

1317
00:59:56,240 --> 01:00:00,720
Speaker 3: to THE G, league was highly prized. Recruit they Lost Jalen,

1318
01:00:00,800 --> 01:00:05,160
Speaker 3: hill they Lost Chris, smith and they've seemingly started to.

1319
01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:08,040
Speaker 3: Peak they did lose four straight and the regular, season

1320
01:00:08,040 --> 01:00:10,520
Speaker 3: including The coffer, swimming but they Also oregon stated overtime

1321
01:00:10,560 --> 01:00:12,480
Speaker 3: they lost TO usc at the buzzer in the game

1322
01:00:12,520 --> 01:00:17,240
Speaker 3: they trailed for total zero. Seconds but it's a team

1323
01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:19,880
Speaker 3: that's playing really. Well Johnny, jusang The kentucky transfer sat

1324
01:00:19,920 --> 01:00:22,840
Speaker 3: behind two first round, drapicks is playing out of his.

1325
01:00:22,960 --> 01:00:25,920
Speaker 3: Mind you Give Tiger campbell in that backcourt as. Well

1326
01:00:26,320 --> 01:00:30,520
Speaker 3: they had two comprehensive wins AGAINST byu And Abilene. Christian

1327
01:00:30,920 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 3: it's A nick. Croninteon they want to play. Slow one

1328
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:35,360
Speaker 3: of the guys that have been really impressed with in

1329
01:00:35,600 --> 01:00:38,600
Speaker 3: the tournament so far has Been Cody riley and his

1330
01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:42,760
Speaker 3: post defense against the seventh voarter For Abilene christian against

1331
01:00:42,800 --> 01:00:46,720
Speaker 3: the bigs OF. Byu BUT i think look AGAINST, BYU

1332
01:00:47,120 --> 01:00:49,480
Speaker 3: ucli just really took advantage of their perimeter defense in

1333
01:00:49,520 --> 01:00:52,440
Speaker 3: the pick and, roll AND byu didn't. Adjust Against Abilene,

1334
01:00:52,480 --> 01:00:55,320
Speaker 3: Christian riley did a great. Job just an athletic. Mismatch

1335
01:00:55,640 --> 01:00:58,120
Speaker 3: Jews ang one. Nuts, again this is a different. Animal,

1336
01:00:58,160 --> 01:01:01,160
Speaker 3: now Look. Alabama once aga down, transition they want to play.

1337
01:01:01,200 --> 01:01:03,160
Speaker 3: Fast it's a three in rim. Team they get your

1338
01:01:03,200 --> 01:01:05,200
Speaker 3: get to the rim or they two to three in

1339
01:01:05,240 --> 01:01:08,640
Speaker 3: the half court dribble penetration kickout for. THREE ucli does

1340
01:01:08,680 --> 01:01:12,400
Speaker 3: a tremendous job of limiting transition opportunities and they are

1341
01:01:12,400 --> 01:01:15,920
Speaker 3: elite and defending in transition point FOR. Ucla, however in

1342
01:01:16,000 --> 01:01:20,080
Speaker 3: the half court number one out on half court, Offense

1343
01:01:20,360 --> 01:01:23,000
Speaker 3: alabama can so versatile on the defensive. End if they,

1344
01:01:23,040 --> 01:01:25,040
Speaker 3: want they can Stick Herb jones on Jus. An they

1345
01:01:25,080 --> 01:01:27,320
Speaker 3: can that PERIMETER u C a is not gonna be

1346
01:01:27,320 --> 01:01:29,640
Speaker 3: able to do what they did To Michigan, state TO,

1347
01:01:29,760 --> 01:01:33,280
Speaker 3: byu To Aveleene Christian. Alabama this is an elite defense

1348
01:01:33,320 --> 01:01:36,720
Speaker 3: that can match up all over AGAINST. UCLA ucla on

1349
01:01:36,760 --> 01:01:38,440
Speaker 3: the other, end got to play two, posts two of

1350
01:01:38,440 --> 01:01:42,000
Speaker 3: the top forty post offenses in the, country And Ablien

1351
01:01:42,040 --> 01:01:45,919
Speaker 3: christian AND Byu ALABAMA i think is bottom. Five they

1352
01:01:45,960 --> 01:01:47,880
Speaker 3: never go to the. Post they don't run any offense

1353
01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:50,600
Speaker 3: to the. Post where are they going to get? EXPLOITED

1354
01:01:50,600 --> 01:01:52,360
Speaker 3: i think that their guards are going to get exploited

1355
01:01:52,440 --> 01:01:54,080
Speaker 3: in the half. Court SO i think that you, SAY

1356
01:01:54,120 --> 01:01:55,520
Speaker 3: i can do a good job of limiting them in.

1357
01:01:55,560 --> 01:02:02,080
Speaker 3: Transition but Per, SYNERGY ucla on spot up, shots which

1358
01:02:02,120 --> 01:02:07,560
Speaker 3: Are alabama lives on fifth percent tile miserable in that.

1359
01:02:07,600 --> 01:02:11,600
Speaker 3: Regard bad perimeter. Defense uc allows teams to get a

1360
01:02:11,600 --> 01:02:14,480
Speaker 3: lot of, threes and teams make a lot of, them

1361
01:02:14,480 --> 01:02:16,680
Speaker 3: and that's exactly What alabama wants to. Do SO i

1362
01:02:16,760 --> 01:02:19,720
Speaker 3: Think alabama batches up really well on both ends of

1363
01:02:19,760 --> 01:02:21,480
Speaker 3: the floor and the half. Court NOW ucla will try

1364
01:02:21,520 --> 01:02:24,440
Speaker 3: to slow this up and Keeping alabama out transition will.

1365
01:02:24,440 --> 01:02:26,720
Speaker 3: Help But, alabama, look they had a big decline in

1366
01:02:26,760 --> 01:02:29,040
Speaker 3: three point. Shooting they finally have a big. Day they

1367
01:02:29,040 --> 01:02:30,680
Speaker 3: were overdue for a big day from. Three they saw

1368
01:02:30,720 --> 01:02:32,800
Speaker 3: the ball go in the. NET i think that can

1369
01:02:32,840 --> 01:02:36,400
Speaker 3: carry over AND i Think UCLA's run ends. Here BUT

1370
01:02:36,480 --> 01:02:39,320
Speaker 3: i think the line is, fair and how good is

1371
01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:43,160
Speaker 3: The pac. Twelve i'm still trying to determine. That SO

1372
01:02:43,960 --> 01:02:45,520
Speaker 3: i threw, Back LIKE i said, BEFORE i Threw bama

1373
01:02:45,560 --> 01:02:47,800
Speaker 3: a money. Line PARTLY i think they're safe here With,

1374
01:02:48,160 --> 01:02:50,800
Speaker 3: baylor WHO i also think is safe play paid around

1375
01:02:50,800 --> 01:02:52,640
Speaker 3: even money WHEN i bet it might be a little

1376
01:02:52,800 --> 01:02:55,960
Speaker 3: heavier Now, Randall, UCLABAMA.

1377
01:02:55,880 --> 01:02:56,720
Speaker 2: I agree With.

1378
01:02:56,800 --> 01:02:59,479
Speaker 7: Alabama they're winning this, game so it's a very safe money.

1379
01:02:59,520 --> 01:03:00,680
Speaker 7: Line places, well.

1380
01:03:00,800 --> 01:03:02,280
Speaker 4: THE Ucla pac, TWELVE i get.

1381
01:03:02,280 --> 01:03:04,439
Speaker 7: It, well so Is colorado, okay and look what happened

1382
01:03:04,480 --> 01:03:06,240
Speaker 7: to them when they ended up going Against Florida. State

1383
01:03:06,480 --> 01:03:09,560
Speaker 7: mick cronin superior. Job Chris smith goes out after eight,

1384
01:03:09,600 --> 01:03:13,919
Speaker 7: games reinvents the Team Mick. Cronin cronin From cincinnati good,

1385
01:03:13,960 --> 01:03:17,160
Speaker 7: defense not what he has IN. Ucla defensive metrics aren't,

1386
01:03:17,200 --> 01:03:19,280
Speaker 7: great but the offense has actually been pretty. Good twenty

1387
01:03:19,800 --> 01:03:21,960
Speaker 7: they end up being twelve in the country in adjusted offensive.

1388
01:03:21,960 --> 01:03:26,200
Speaker 7: Efficiency alabama is at a different. Level they will break

1389
01:03:26,240 --> 01:03:28,680
Speaker 7: them down in the half. Court they just find your.

1390
01:03:28,680 --> 01:03:32,240
Speaker 7: Weakness they, dribble, drive they attack Herb, jones will, drive

1391
01:03:32,360 --> 01:03:35,240
Speaker 7: kick out To, petty kick out To, shackleford rebound inside

1392
01:03:35,240 --> 01:03:38,360
Speaker 7: By Brunner. Primo it's too many. Weapons this is going

1393
01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:39,040
Speaker 7: to get away from.

1394
01:03:39,040 --> 01:03:39,480
Speaker 4: Them you hit.

1395
01:03:39,520 --> 01:03:42,520
Speaker 7: It WITH ucla playing a certain style of team the

1396
01:03:42,600 --> 01:03:44,800
Speaker 7: last two, games this is not the. Matchup this Is

1397
01:03:44,880 --> 01:03:47,480
Speaker 7: oregon on steroids is who they're playing right. HERE i

1398
01:03:47,600 --> 01:03:50,040
Speaker 7: Like alabama to. COVER i think they pull. AWAY i

1399
01:03:50,040 --> 01:03:51,960
Speaker 7: think this could get ugly if they're really hitting their.

1400
01:03:52,000 --> 01:03:55,120
Speaker 7: Threes and the key is a team Like alabama that

1401
01:03:55,240 --> 01:03:58,200
Speaker 7: has such a high octane offense also locks down on.

1402
01:03:58,280 --> 01:04:02,120
Speaker 7: DEFENSE i don't see how you see can Stop alabama's

1403
01:04:02,160 --> 01:04:05,120
Speaker 7: offense with all the different options they have and then

1404
01:04:05,120 --> 01:04:09,520
Speaker 7: simultaneously score enough to keep pace With Alabama against That alabama,

1405
01:04:09,560 --> 01:04:11,800
Speaker 7: defense this is one of the Games i'm most comfortable.

1406
01:04:11,800 --> 01:04:12,520
Speaker 4: WITH i Love.

1407
01:04:12,560 --> 01:04:15,720
Speaker 7: ALABAMA i Love alabama to. Cover great job by mc.

1408
01:04:15,760 --> 01:04:19,080
Speaker 7: CRONIN ucla Makes sweet. Sixteen well. DONE i think it

1409
01:04:19,160 --> 01:04:21,040
Speaker 7: ends here AND i think it ends here comfortably for

1410
01:04:21,040 --> 01:04:21,520
Speaker 7: The Crimson.

1411
01:04:21,560 --> 01:04:24,120
Speaker 3: Tide. Yeah it in FAIRNESS, ucla which has not been

1412
01:04:24,160 --> 01:04:28,640
Speaker 3: a good perimeter defense all Year Michigan state six of

1413
01:04:28,640 --> 01:04:31,480
Speaker 3: eighteen from, THREE ucla nine of. EIGHTEEN ucla wins in

1414
01:04:31,520 --> 01:04:35,560
Speaker 3: overtime AGAINST, Byu ucla eight of nineteen from THREE byu

1415
01:04:35,680 --> 01:04:41,480
Speaker 3: three of seventeen Against Abilene Christian Abiie christian four of

1416
01:04:41,560 --> 01:04:45,680
Speaker 3: nineteen from, three so they've benefited from their opponents not

1417
01:04:45,720 --> 01:04:48,560
Speaker 3: being able to hit an outside. SHOT i don't Think

1418
01:04:48,600 --> 01:04:53,480
Speaker 3: alabama will have the same. Struggles colin your sec, boys

1419
01:04:53,560 --> 01:04:55,120
Speaker 3: are you backing them or are you fading?

1420
01:04:55,480 --> 01:04:57,760
Speaker 5: WELL i Think i'm gonna use everything That randall said

1421
01:04:57,760 --> 01:05:00,200
Speaker 5: to lead into What i'm gonna, bet which is the.

1422
01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:03,800
Speaker 5: Under AND ucla has an offensive tempo rank outside the

1423
01:05:03,800 --> 01:05:06,280
Speaker 5: top three, hundred and that has been slower in the

1424
01:05:06,320 --> 01:05:10,520
Speaker 5: three tournament games so. Far as For, alabama And randall

1425
01:05:10,600 --> 01:05:12,320
Speaker 5: mentioned that this could be a. Blowout if it, is

1426
01:05:12,720 --> 01:05:14,640
Speaker 5: the pace of play is not going to be, furious

1427
01:05:14,840 --> 01:05:16,400
Speaker 5: it's going to be, slow and if you look At,

1428
01:05:16,400 --> 01:05:20,440
Speaker 5: alabama their pace has dramatically dropped. Off, Maryland, iona And

1429
01:05:20,440 --> 01:05:22,880
Speaker 5: Mississippi state were the three slowest pace.

1430
01:05:22,800 --> 01:05:23,440
Speaker 2: Games on the.

1431
01:05:23,520 --> 01:05:26,320
Speaker 5: Season alabama had no problems letting The terrapins and The

1432
01:05:26,320 --> 01:05:30,160
Speaker 5: gales dictate the. Pace since Late, february the tempo has

1433
01:05:30,240 --> 01:05:32,959
Speaker 5: moved on a five game rolling average from seventy seven

1434
01:05:33,000 --> 01:05:37,080
Speaker 5: possessions to sixty nine point two for The Crimson, tide

1435
01:05:37,160 --> 01:05:41,280
Speaker 5: their games are getting massively, slower also taking a nosedive

1436
01:05:41,640 --> 01:05:44,560
Speaker 5: force turnover rate From. Alabama from the beginning of THE Sec,

1437
01:05:44,680 --> 01:05:48,000
Speaker 5: tournament the five game turnover rate has moved from twenty

1438
01:05:48,000 --> 01:05:50,760
Speaker 5: six point one to eighteen point, nine and that's not.

1439
01:05:50,800 --> 01:05:53,280
Speaker 5: Good against A Mick cronin offense that essentially wants to

1440
01:05:53,440 --> 01:05:56,000
Speaker 5: walk it up the, court your ability to stop.

1441
01:05:55,800 --> 01:05:56,600
Speaker 2: Possessions is just.

1442
01:05:56,720 --> 01:06:00,320
Speaker 5: VANISHING i Think alabama plays great, defense but it's not

1443
01:06:00,360 --> 01:06:02,800
Speaker 5: like they're taking the ball. Away possessions are getting, extended

1444
01:06:02,800 --> 01:06:04,640
Speaker 5: and AGAINST ucla that means it's going to eat up

1445
01:06:04,640 --> 01:06:07,160
Speaker 5: all the clock Against Mitt cronan's. Offense So i'm taking

1446
01:06:07,160 --> 01:06:08,800
Speaker 5: the Under i'm staying away FROM ucla.

1447
01:06:08,840 --> 01:06:09,440
Speaker 2: Completely as a.

1448
01:06:09,520 --> 01:06:11,960
Speaker 5: SIDE i agree That alabama is your your money line

1449
01:06:12,000 --> 01:06:14,360
Speaker 5: that you want to put into your. Parlays it's tough

1450
01:06:14,360 --> 01:06:17,080
Speaker 5: to say that they've improved their perimeter defense enough just

1451
01:06:17,120 --> 01:06:20,360
Speaker 5: off of Applein christian AND, Byu but if they, HAVE

1452
01:06:20,480 --> 01:06:22,160
Speaker 5: i mean that kind of helps the under. Too so

1453
01:06:22,320 --> 01:06:25,640
Speaker 5: you're banking here on the on all the trending metrics

1454
01:06:25,640 --> 01:06:29,480
Speaker 5: that SAY ucla is extremely slow and getting. Slower alabama

1455
01:06:29,560 --> 01:06:31,720
Speaker 5: is letting their opponents dictate the, pace so it's going

1456
01:06:31,760 --> 01:06:34,480
Speaker 5: to be slow. Here and the fact That alabama's not

1457
01:06:34,560 --> 01:06:37,880
Speaker 5: forcing any, turnovers which MEANS ucla is going to extend.

1458
01:06:37,920 --> 01:06:40,120
Speaker 5: Possession SO i just don't see this being an up

1459
01:06:40,160 --> 01:06:42,000
Speaker 5: and down. GAME i like the under all the way

1460
01:06:42,040 --> 01:06:44,520
Speaker 5: down to one forty. ONE ucla is going to have

1461
01:06:44,560 --> 01:06:47,440
Speaker 5: issues shooting against a tied. Defense it's seventeenth and effective

1462
01:06:47,480 --> 01:06:49,720
Speaker 5: field goal. PERCENTAGE i just did a lot of clanks,

1463
01:06:49,720 --> 01:06:51,000
Speaker 5: here maybe more boring than people.

1464
01:06:51,080 --> 01:06:54,160
Speaker 3: THINK i don't disagree, there AND i, mean, YEAH ucla

1465
01:06:54,240 --> 01:06:56,800
Speaker 3: could have some success to the offensive. Glass they're going

1466
01:06:56,800 --> 01:07:00,560
Speaker 3: to grind out, possessions kick, out start. RESET i just

1467
01:07:00,560 --> 01:07:03,040
Speaker 3: think THE albuma DEFENSE i think just matches up really well.

1468
01:07:03,040 --> 01:07:05,439
Speaker 3: Here going back To Florida State, michigan we talked about

1469
01:07:05,480 --> 01:07:08,640
Speaker 3: how The big ten is, overrated And i've Dowgraded michigan

1470
01:07:08,640 --> 01:07:10,680
Speaker 3: as a. Result LIKE i, Said, okay obviously all their

1471
01:07:10,680 --> 01:07:13,440
Speaker 3: adjusted metrics aren't as. GOOD i don't think there is as.

1472
01:07:13,480 --> 01:07:17,120
Speaker 3: Good they're as good AS i originally. Thought but do

1473
01:07:17,160 --> 01:07:20,040
Speaker 3: you think that THE acc might have been? Overrated now

1474
01:07:20,080 --> 01:07:23,320
Speaker 3: we Have Florida state And. Syracuse But syracuse is like

1475
01:07:23,360 --> 01:07:26,280
Speaker 3: a different case because of their unique, style but unc

1476
01:07:26,480 --> 01:07:29,960
Speaker 3: blown out By. Wisconsin Georgia tech lost To Loyola. Chicago

1477
01:07:29,960 --> 01:07:33,280
Speaker 3: now they were. Shorthanded Virginia tech lost To, Florida virginia

1478
01:07:33,360 --> 01:07:37,320
Speaker 3: upset By. Ohio clemson lost The. Rutgers so is that

1479
01:07:37,360 --> 01:07:39,800
Speaker 3: a concern With Florida state or how do you view

1480
01:07:39,840 --> 01:07:42,240
Speaker 3: THE acc so? Far because All Big ten's been getting

1481
01:07:42,240 --> 01:07:43,920
Speaker 3: all the talk and ACC's in the back like you

1482
01:07:43,960 --> 01:07:45,200
Speaker 3: are good, good take all the.

1483
01:07:45,240 --> 01:07:49,439
Speaker 7: ATTENTION i think people group the conference and then use

1484
01:07:49,560 --> 01:07:52,840
Speaker 7: that vision of the conference with the individual teams way too.

1485
01:07:52,960 --> 01:07:55,160
Speaker 7: MUCH i, mean how many times did we think THE

1486
01:07:55,200 --> 01:07:58,320
Speaker 7: acc was down But duke was still able to get

1487
01:07:58,360 --> 01:08:01,320
Speaker 7: through Or virginia was able to get, through would make

1488
01:08:01,320 --> 01:08:03,920
Speaker 7: a run so sure as a whole Whenever duke And

1489
01:08:04,000 --> 01:08:06,600
Speaker 7: North carolina are not among the elite in the. Conference

1490
01:08:06,840 --> 01:08:08,760
Speaker 7: then the conference of COURSE acc is going to be

1491
01:08:08,800 --> 01:08:11,280
Speaker 7: viewed AT us. Down BUT i would not let that

1492
01:08:11,320 --> 01:08:14,680
Speaker 7: Affect Florida state. Whatsoever virginia had off for the whole.

1493
01:08:14,680 --> 01:08:17,240
Speaker 7: Week they could have Beaten ohio and we wouldn't even

1494
01:08:17,320 --> 01:08:20,479
Speaker 7: talking about this right. Now Virginia tech lost player mid

1495
01:08:20,560 --> 01:08:23,320
Speaker 7: year was just. Okay Georgia tech could have got biloyal To,

1496
01:08:23,400 --> 01:08:26,360
Speaker 7: chicago AND i think could have Beaten illinois If Moses

1497
01:08:26,439 --> 01:08:29,840
Speaker 7: right had. Played SO i think there's some unfortunate circumstances

1498
01:08:29,840 --> 01:08:32,200
Speaker 7: that caused THE acc teams to, bounce AND i do

1499
01:08:32,320 --> 01:08:34,880
Speaker 7: not hold that Against Florida state, whatsoever because there have

1500
01:08:34,880 --> 01:08:35,920
Speaker 7: been times when people.

1501
01:08:35,640 --> 01:08:37,519
Speaker 4: Of poo poo THE Acc duke.

1502
01:08:37,360 --> 01:08:40,000
Speaker 7: Ends up making the final, Four virginia ends up making a.

1503
01:08:40,080 --> 01:08:43,559
Speaker 7: Run so, yeah as a, whole it's absolutely down Because duke.

1504
01:08:43,439 --> 01:08:45,439
Speaker 4: And North carolina weren't good at.

1505
01:08:45,439 --> 01:08:49,280
Speaker 7: All but For Florida, STATE i still think their potential is.

1506
01:08:49,479 --> 01:08:51,920
Speaker 7: Great AND i think because of what you, said people

1507
01:08:52,000 --> 01:08:55,280
Speaker 7: are Undervaluing Florida state because they have this pack herd

1508
01:08:55,400 --> 01:08:58,360
Speaker 7: mentality that all THE pac twelve is doing really. Well

1509
01:08:58,479 --> 01:09:01,640
Speaker 7: so let's bet Up colorado Against Florida. State, no you

1510
01:09:01,720 --> 01:09:03,800
Speaker 7: have to look at teams. INDIVIDUALS i still think the

1511
01:09:03,800 --> 01:09:04,479
Speaker 7: seminoles are really.

1512
01:09:04,479 --> 01:09:06,960
Speaker 4: Good, here it just means.

1513
01:09:07,439 --> 01:09:11,280
Speaker 3: More all, Right let's move on to the final game

1514
01:09:11,280 --> 01:09:13,080
Speaker 3: of The sweet sixteen nine to forty Five EASTERN A.

1515
01:09:13,200 --> 01:09:16,479
Speaker 3: Tbs it's A pac twelve tournam a game seven Seed

1516
01:09:16,600 --> 01:09:21,160
Speaker 3: oregon against six seed USC usc now two point favorite

1517
01:09:21,160 --> 01:09:24,240
Speaker 3: over under one thirty eight and a. Half these teams

1518
01:09:24,320 --> 01:09:27,920
Speaker 3: met in the regular season once OR usc won seventy

1519
01:09:27,960 --> 01:09:30,759
Speaker 3: two to fifty, eight And Isaiah mobley didn't even. Play

1520
01:09:31,200 --> 01:09:34,600
Speaker 3: oregon shots seven to seventeen from THREE usc ten of

1521
01:09:34,640 --> 01:09:37,320
Speaker 3: twenty one from. Three they both were over forty percent from,

1522
01:09:37,320 --> 01:09:39,880
Speaker 3: THREE usc almost fifty, percent and the game only reached

1523
01:09:39,880 --> 01:09:42,080
Speaker 3: one hundred and thirty. Points i've played under one thirty

1524
01:09:42,160 --> 01:09:44,479
Speaker 3: nine and a. Half THIS usc defense is on another.

1525
01:09:44,520 --> 01:09:46,400
Speaker 3: Level oregon's gonna have to get hot from. Three you

1526
01:09:46,400 --> 01:09:50,240
Speaker 3: can't really score inside AGAINST. Usc IF usc is making their,

1527
01:09:50,280 --> 01:09:54,280
Speaker 3: shots they are just become so dangerous and they they

1528
01:09:54,280 --> 01:09:56,439
Speaker 3: could Give gonzaga trouble if they're hitting their outside. Shots

1529
01:09:56,439 --> 01:09:59,240
Speaker 3: not they're inconsistent in that. Department their free throws are

1530
01:09:59,320 --> 01:10:02,519
Speaker 3: scary as. Hell they're awful from the. Line BUT i

1531
01:10:02,520 --> 01:10:06,120
Speaker 3: mean when they put up eighty five Against. KANSAS i

1532
01:10:06,120 --> 01:10:09,160
Speaker 3: Mean Isaiah mobley going four or five from, three eleven

1533
01:10:09,200 --> 01:10:11,599
Speaker 3: and eighteen from three is a. TEAM i don't think

1534
01:10:11,600 --> 01:10:13,759
Speaker 3: that that happens. AGAIN i think there's some shooting regress.

1535
01:10:13,800 --> 01:10:15,880
Speaker 3: There The oregon defense is gonna put pressure on these.

1536
01:10:15,920 --> 01:10:18,280
Speaker 3: Guards they're gonna go to a myriad of zone. LOOKS

1537
01:10:19,479 --> 01:10:21,680
Speaker 3: i think the two teams are very familiar with each.

1538
01:10:21,720 --> 01:10:24,080
Speaker 3: OTHER i think this turns into more of a grinder,

1539
01:10:24,080 --> 01:10:25,840
Speaker 3: again one hundred and thirty points in the first meeting

1540
01:10:26,280 --> 01:10:29,280
Speaker 3: when they both shot lights out from. Three so and,

1541
01:10:29,320 --> 01:10:32,840
Speaker 3: look you have to give credit To Dana allman is

1542
01:10:32,880 --> 01:10:36,040
Speaker 3: a phenomenal tournament. Coach you can throw things at teams

1543
01:10:36,560 --> 01:10:39,040
Speaker 3: that they're not used to, seeing different zone, looks different.

1544
01:10:39,040 --> 01:10:42,120
Speaker 3: Presses but this is you have five days to prepare, here,

1545
01:10:42,240 --> 01:10:45,000
Speaker 3: right and this is a team THAT usc is familiar.

1546
01:10:45,040 --> 01:10:48,960
Speaker 3: With so that kind of lack of familiarity quick turnaround

1547
01:10:49,560 --> 01:10:52,400
Speaker 3: that does you? Know almand kind of loses some of.

1548
01:10:52,400 --> 01:10:54,439
Speaker 3: That and he's fifteen to five and one against the

1549
01:10:54,479 --> 01:10:58,360
Speaker 3: spread in the. Tournament so, yeah back In altman has

1550
01:10:58,360 --> 01:11:01,000
Speaker 3: been very. Profitable guess What Indiana field is nine to

1551
01:11:01,080 --> 01:11:03,040
Speaker 3: zero against the. Spread in the. Tournament so these are

1552
01:11:03,120 --> 01:11:07,880
Speaker 3: both ridiculously successful coaches from. It against the spread, PERSPECTIVE

1553
01:11:07,960 --> 01:11:09,960
Speaker 3: i LEAN, usc BUT i think the, NUMBERS i, MEAN

1554
01:11:10,000 --> 01:11:13,040
Speaker 3: i MAKE usc like a between a one and two point.

1555
01:11:13,080 --> 01:11:15,160
Speaker 3: Favorite SO i don't. KNOW i think either one of

1556
01:11:15,200 --> 01:11:18,599
Speaker 3: these teams could potentially Give gonzaga some problems IF usc

1557
01:11:18,680 --> 01:11:21,559
Speaker 3: is making. Shots so they're a monster with The mobiles

1558
01:11:21,600 --> 01:11:24,840
Speaker 3: and all THEIR nba size in the, interior the way

1559
01:11:24,840 --> 01:11:27,320
Speaker 3: that that defense. Plays BUT i just think this is

1560
01:11:27,320 --> 01:11:29,080
Speaker 3: gonna be a lower scoring. GAME i took some first

1561
01:11:29,080 --> 01:11:33,400
Speaker 3: half under and some game. Under i'm not EXPECTING usc

1562
01:11:33,439 --> 01:11:37,320
Speaker 3: to shoot that. Well, Again morgan's offense won't. Explode this

1563
01:11:37,360 --> 01:11:39,800
Speaker 3: isn't The iowa. Defense, randall what do you see?

1564
01:11:39,840 --> 01:11:44,000
Speaker 7: Here ducks, Now ducks, Later ducks. Forever i'm Taking oregon

1565
01:11:44,040 --> 01:11:46,080
Speaker 7: in this. Game that first game seventy two to fifty

1566
01:11:46,080 --> 01:11:50,000
Speaker 7: AT usc blow them. Out Drew peterson And tajedi combined

1567
01:11:50,280 --> 01:11:52,519
Speaker 7: for eight of fifteen from three point.

1568
01:11:52,600 --> 01:11:55,080
Speaker 4: Range no, Way Dana, allman lets that happen.

1569
01:11:55,120 --> 01:11:58,440
Speaker 7: Again The Mobile brothers are great. Inside they're not tremendous.

1570
01:11:58,520 --> 01:12:02,439
Speaker 7: Scores they're not like twenty eight points per game. Scores

1571
01:12:02,520 --> 01:12:05,320
Speaker 7: they control the INTERIOR i think The ducks get out in.

1572
01:12:05,320 --> 01:12:08,559
Speaker 7: Transition remember in that game first, Half USC's up forty

1573
01:12:08,560 --> 01:12:10,719
Speaker 7: three to twenty. Two in that first, matchup they couldn't

1574
01:12:10,720 --> 01:12:12,640
Speaker 7: play any. BETTER i Think oregon got it back to.

1575
01:12:12,720 --> 01:12:15,839
Speaker 7: SIX i remember watching it really really. Close they're gonna control,

1576
01:12:15,840 --> 01:12:18,559
Speaker 7: Tempo they're shooting really. Well dwart is at a different

1577
01:12:18,640 --> 01:12:21,040
Speaker 7: level right. Now it's a very close. GAME i like the.

1578
01:12:21,120 --> 01:12:23,439
Speaker 7: UNDERPLAY i Think oregon is gonna play. WELL i Think

1579
01:12:23,479 --> 01:12:25,640
Speaker 7: allman is going to have a great game. Plan like you,

1580
01:12:25,640 --> 01:12:28,439
Speaker 7: Said enfield has been strong, also BUT usc does not

1581
01:12:28,520 --> 01:12:31,120
Speaker 7: make free. Throws and the only reason this game got

1582
01:12:31,120 --> 01:12:33,599
Speaker 7: out of hand is Because Edian peterson went, nuts WHICH

1583
01:12:33,640 --> 01:12:36,160
Speaker 7: i do not see happening. Again but we have Seen

1584
01:12:36,240 --> 01:12:38,840
Speaker 7: oregon come in after not playing in the first round

1585
01:12:38,840 --> 01:12:42,080
Speaker 7: BECAUSE vcu WITH covid was taken. Out they came out

1586
01:12:42,120 --> 01:12:44,519
Speaker 7: and lit Up. Iowa, now, LISTEN i Understand IOWA. Usc

1587
01:12:44,640 --> 01:12:45,840
Speaker 7: USC's defense is a lot.

1588
01:12:45,720 --> 01:12:46,920
Speaker 4: Better BUT i would have been.

1589
01:12:46,920 --> 01:12:49,320
Speaker 7: Improved they didn't. Care they got their, game they got.

1590
01:12:49,360 --> 01:12:52,519
Speaker 7: Transitioned SO i Like. Oregon their three point shooting is.

1591
01:12:52,560 --> 01:12:54,360
Speaker 7: HOT i think he'll come up with something to limit

1592
01:12:54,400 --> 01:12:56,760
Speaker 7: the bigs inside and he will not Let idi And

1593
01:12:56,760 --> 01:12:58,840
Speaker 7: peterson go. Nuts and if that is the case AND

1594
01:12:59,040 --> 01:13:01,479
Speaker 7: usc is not making their, shots like you, said, stuck

1595
01:13:01,720 --> 01:13:04,160
Speaker 7: Then oregon's gonna win this. Game So i'm banking On,

1596
01:13:04,240 --> 01:13:07,160
Speaker 7: Altman i'm banking on the ducks hot, streak the, guards

1597
01:13:07,160 --> 01:13:10,559
Speaker 7: they're totally, healthy and the familiarity and the motivation having

1598
01:13:10,600 --> 01:13:13,200
Speaker 7: lost TO usc back you, know in the first time they.

1599
01:13:13,280 --> 01:13:16,840
Speaker 5: Met oh, YEAH i think the familiarity is an angle

1600
01:13:16,920 --> 01:13:18,680
Speaker 5: for the reason to play the, under which is What

1601
01:13:18,720 --> 01:13:20,920
Speaker 5: i'm going to play. Here and you, know despite a

1602
01:13:20,960 --> 01:13:23,479
Speaker 5: healthy and hot streak here From, oregon you know in

1603
01:13:23,560 --> 01:13:25,800
Speaker 5: two point, territory they're just gonna get shut. DOWN usc

1604
01:13:25,920 --> 01:13:27,639
Speaker 5: does all their work down on the, blocks and that's

1605
01:13:27,640 --> 01:13:30,519
Speaker 5: gonna be a problem for The. Ducks AND usc just

1606
01:13:30,600 --> 01:13:33,519
Speaker 5: has a huge advantage on the offensive. Glass they should

1607
01:13:33,520 --> 01:13:35,240
Speaker 5: get all the second chance points they, want but if

1608
01:13:35,280 --> 01:13:37,759
Speaker 5: you foul, them they're not going to hit any free. Throws,

1609
01:13:37,800 --> 01:13:39,800
Speaker 5: now both these teams WHY i like the. Under both

1610
01:13:39,800 --> 01:13:42,120
Speaker 5: these teams are really low and defensive free throw rate

1611
01:13:42,720 --> 01:13:45,960
Speaker 5: twenty sixth for THE usc, defense fifty ninth for The oregon.

1612
01:13:46,000 --> 01:13:47,200
Speaker 5: Defense so there's not going to be a lot of

1613
01:13:47,240 --> 01:13:48,840
Speaker 5: going to the foul. Line if you look At orgon,

1614
01:13:49,040 --> 01:13:52,200
Speaker 5: LISTEN usc can't make their free. Throws organs two hundred

1615
01:13:52,200 --> 01:13:54,200
Speaker 5: and ninety seventh an getting to the free throw. LINE i,

1616
01:13:54,240 --> 01:13:56,920
Speaker 5: mean they are terrible at getting themselves to the charity.

1617
01:13:56,920 --> 01:14:01,040
Speaker 5: Stripe so you, know THE usc defense is they've kind

1618
01:14:01,040 --> 01:14:03,679
Speaker 5: of been in decline from the. Perimeter you, Know utah

1619
01:14:03,760 --> 01:14:07,320
Speaker 5: shot sixty, Percent colorado shot fifty. Percent kansas And drake

1620
01:14:07,360 --> 01:14:10,480
Speaker 5: both had terrible performances from the. Outside so maybe USC's

1621
01:14:10,800 --> 01:14:13,080
Speaker 5: three point defense is stepping up a little. Bit JUST

1622
01:14:13,320 --> 01:14:17,040
Speaker 5: i think every bullet point THAT i see go gravitates

1623
01:14:17,080 --> 01:14:18,920
Speaker 5: towards the. Under each one of these teams has had

1624
01:14:18,920 --> 01:14:21,160
Speaker 5: a pace fall over their last ten to twenty. Games

1625
01:14:21,320 --> 01:14:23,320
Speaker 5: you throw out The iowa, game And oregan was hovering

1626
01:14:23,360 --> 01:14:26,479
Speaker 5: around sixty four possessions a. Game USC's had a steady

1627
01:14:26,520 --> 01:14:29,400
Speaker 5: decline from seventy one possessions to sixty two possessions per.

1628
01:14:29,439 --> 01:14:32,040
Speaker 5: Game so the familiarity and the fact that the pace

1629
01:14:32,120 --> 01:14:34,680
Speaker 5: is slowing down so much for these two, teams and

1630
01:14:34,720 --> 01:14:36,240
Speaker 5: the free throw the fact that the free throw line

1631
01:14:36,280 --> 01:14:38,760
Speaker 5: is gonna be non existent For oregon AND usc can't hit.

1632
01:14:38,640 --> 01:14:40,960
Speaker 2: Anything from the free throw. LINE i like the under.

1633
01:14:40,800 --> 01:14:50,760
Speaker 6: Here what what.

1634
01:14:50,360 --> 01:14:54,360
Speaker 3: That'll wrap up our eight games as in depth as

1635
01:14:54,400 --> 01:14:56,519
Speaker 3: you will. FIND i like that we had some different.

1636
01:14:56,560 --> 01:14:59,160
Speaker 3: Perspectives we're gonna be Back, monday by the, way with

1637
01:14:59,200 --> 01:15:03,360
Speaker 3: an elite eight p but we're not completely done. Yet

1638
01:15:03,439 --> 01:15:05,640
Speaker 3: we have our weekend six, backs so start thinking of

1639
01:15:05,680 --> 01:15:07,920
Speaker 3: your favorite bet of the. Weekend let's first bring in

1640
01:15:08,560 --> 01:15:12,439
Speaker 3: the boys from a Three Man, Weave Gon Cube Jim

1641
01:15:12,520 --> 01:15:16,000
Speaker 3: root And Matt Cox Coech hoops contributors here at The Action.

1642
01:15:16,040 --> 01:15:18,280
Speaker 3: Network you can catch Three Men weave On, twitter at

1643
01:15:18,320 --> 01:15:21,719
Speaker 3: three M W, UNDERSCORE, cdb and on the Three man week.

1644
01:15:21,760 --> 01:15:24,479
Speaker 3: Podcast we're here to build a very special version of

1645
01:15:24,479 --> 01:15:27,400
Speaker 3: the weekend six pack with six picks for The sweet Sixteen.

1646
01:15:27,560 --> 01:15:32,920
Speaker 3: Slate welcome, guys Jim my, guy what's been your favorite

1647
01:15:32,960 --> 01:15:35,240
Speaker 3: gambling moment of the tournament thus?

1648
01:15:35,400 --> 01:15:38,559
Speaker 9: Far, personally for, me it is the fact That Royal

1649
01:15:38,680 --> 01:15:41,519
Speaker 9: chicago is in The sweet, sixteen and as somebody who

1650
01:15:41,680 --> 01:15:46,000
Speaker 9: bet the the future there fifteen hundred to one back In,

1651
01:15:46,040 --> 01:15:47,760
Speaker 9: May i'm.

1652
01:15:47,280 --> 01:15:48,080
Speaker 3: Very happy to see.

1653
01:15:48,080 --> 01:15:50,320
Speaker 9: That but as a, GROUP i think for us, guys

1654
01:15:50,320 --> 01:15:53,200
Speaker 9: that was The baylor first half miracle. COVER i would

1655
01:15:53,240 --> 01:15:56,400
Speaker 9: say it was looking dire up seven with about two minutes,

1656
01:15:56,479 --> 01:15:58,559
Speaker 9: left and then they went on a crazy run to

1657
01:15:58,680 --> 01:16:00,280
Speaker 9: end a half to Cover minus sports ten and a

1658
01:16:00,320 --> 01:16:03,200
Speaker 9: half win by. Sixteen it's good to see The bears

1659
01:16:03,200 --> 01:16:04,880
Speaker 9: get done as a big collective.

1660
01:16:04,880 --> 01:16:06,000
Speaker 2: Group bet that we had on that.

1661
01:16:06,040 --> 01:16:07,680
Speaker 3: One, yeah that was quite a.

1662
01:16:07,720 --> 01:16:07,960
Speaker 2: Cover.

1663
01:16:08,160 --> 01:16:11,000
Speaker 3: Kai let's kick things. Off we'll start with you what he.

1664
01:16:11,080 --> 01:16:15,599
Speaker 10: Got we're going With houston minus. Six Jim baiheim's reign

1665
01:16:15,680 --> 01:16:20,000
Speaker 10: of terror is. Over houston can and wants to shoot

1666
01:16:20,000 --> 01:16:23,040
Speaker 10: the basketball from the three point. Line syracuse is two

1667
01:16:23,040 --> 01:16:25,640
Speaker 10: to three, zone has no. Chance houston is also the

1668
01:16:25,720 --> 01:16:30,120
Speaker 10: second best offensive rebounding team by rate in the. Country

1669
01:16:30,680 --> 01:16:32,400
Speaker 10: absolute destruction.

1670
01:16:31,920 --> 01:16:32,479
Speaker 3: On this end of the.

1671
01:16:32,520 --> 01:16:35,839
Speaker 10: Floor on the other, END i don't Think syracuse scores

1672
01:16:35,920 --> 01:16:39,439
Speaker 10: easily at. All they're tenth nationally in isolation play types

1673
01:16:39,680 --> 01:16:42,240
Speaker 10: per s. Energy they score in, transition they score our

1674
01:16:42,360 --> 01:16:48,000
Speaker 10: handoffs screens for. Shooters houston destroys isolation. Teams they destroy

1675
01:16:48,080 --> 01:16:51,360
Speaker 10: transition ops and rank in the ninety ninth percentile in

1676
01:16:51,439 --> 01:16:56,120
Speaker 10: guarding shots off. Screens arrange're gonna struggle to Score houston minus.

1677
01:16:56,120 --> 01:16:57,599
Speaker 2: Six all, Right, jim you're up.

1678
01:16:57,600 --> 01:16:58,000
Speaker 3: Next what you?

1679
01:16:58,040 --> 01:17:00,840
Speaker 9: Got i'm sticking With. BAYLOR i mentioned how that first

1680
01:17:00,840 --> 01:17:03,559
Speaker 9: half went FOR. Us i'm going With baylor minus. Seven

1681
01:17:04,280 --> 01:17:07,760
Speaker 9: Colin glespie's absence didn't really matter Against, winthrop and it

1682
01:17:07,840 --> 01:17:10,640
Speaker 9: definitely didn't matter Against North, texas a team that was

1683
01:17:10,680 --> 01:17:13,320
Speaker 9: just completely out of gas, there but it's going to

1684
01:17:13,360 --> 01:17:16,240
Speaker 9: matter against the number two team in the. Country baylor

1685
01:17:16,280 --> 01:17:19,439
Speaker 9: has great ball pressure, guards Particularly Davion. Mitchell he's going

1686
01:17:19,520 --> 01:17:22,479
Speaker 9: to swallow Up Justin moore And Mark videl is one

1687
01:17:22,479 --> 01:17:25,720
Speaker 9: of the few strong matchups For Jeremiah Robinson earl the entire.

1688
01:17:25,720 --> 01:17:27,640
Speaker 9: Country he can move with him and he has the.

1689
01:17:27,680 --> 01:17:30,760
Speaker 9: Strength and honestly that The baylor defense just looked like

1690
01:17:30,840 --> 01:17:32,679
Speaker 9: it kind of was back to where we thought it would.

1691
01:17:32,720 --> 01:17:35,680
Speaker 9: Be they Held wisconsint under one point per possession and

1692
01:17:35,720 --> 01:17:38,639
Speaker 9: they completely suffocated the first round of, points So i'm

1693
01:17:38,640 --> 01:17:41,240
Speaker 9: happy to see that out Of. Baylor dolanova switchable defense

1694
01:17:41,360 --> 01:17:44,320
Speaker 9: does give me some concerns With baylor trying to create

1695
01:17:44,360 --> 01:17:46,240
Speaker 9: open shots and not really having a post threat to

1696
01:17:46,280 --> 01:17:49,160
Speaker 9: take advantage of What nova does, inside BUT i Think

1697
01:17:49,200 --> 01:17:52,879
Speaker 9: baylor's offensive rebounding will come into play there If villanova

1698
01:17:52,960 --> 01:17:53,800
Speaker 9: gets into some weak.

1699
01:17:53,840 --> 01:17:55,120
Speaker 2: Matchups SO i.

1700
01:17:55,120 --> 01:17:57,680
Speaker 9: Did take this at minus six right away as soon

1701
01:17:57,720 --> 01:18:00,759
Speaker 9: as it was. Posted but for official pod cast. TRACKING

1702
01:18:00,800 --> 01:18:03,120
Speaker 9: i think the current price of minus seven is. Fair

1703
01:18:03,320 --> 01:18:05,679
Speaker 9: so let's go with That baylor minus, seven Right.

1704
01:18:05,680 --> 01:18:08,000
Speaker 3: Sick, matt close it? Out what do you?

1705
01:18:08,000 --> 01:18:11,160
Speaker 1: GOT i have to side BEFORE i even begin my

1706
01:18:11,280 --> 01:18:14,480
Speaker 1: take here AS i look to Fade gonzaga The Almighty Juggernaut.

1707
01:18:14,840 --> 01:18:17,920
Speaker 1: Bulldogs but, Yes i'm looking At crayighton plus. Thirteen it's

1708
01:18:17,920 --> 01:18:20,160
Speaker 1: out that you can find a team that's somewhat undervalued or.

1709
01:18:20,200 --> 01:18:21,200
Speaker 2: Overvalue at this point in the.

1710
01:18:21,280 --> 01:18:23,800
Speaker 1: Year the markets are, efficient they've been sharpened out by

1711
01:18:23,840 --> 01:18:26,600
Speaker 1: the larger sample. Size, However i'm here to contend that

1712
01:18:26,640 --> 01:18:30,280
Speaker 1: The jays might have some untapped. Value look at kenpom right.

1713
01:18:30,280 --> 01:18:33,320
Speaker 1: Now The jays are ranked just inside top twenty and

1714
01:18:33,360 --> 01:18:36,760
Speaker 1: they are projected to lose by ten according to Mister pomroy's,

1715
01:18:36,800 --> 01:18:39,559
Speaker 1: MODEL i have This creighton team ranks inside the top.

1716
01:18:39,600 --> 01:18:42,320
Speaker 1: Ten they haven't played as such all. Season the offense

1717
01:18:42,360 --> 01:18:43,880
Speaker 1: has been a little bit of a. Funk they've had

1718
01:18:43,920 --> 01:18:47,040
Speaker 1: some minor injuries that have taken their. Toll but just

1719
01:18:47,120 --> 01:18:49,400
Speaker 1: last game Again, ohio we saw that offense rise to

1720
01:18:49,439 --> 01:18:51,280
Speaker 1: the elite level that we know it's capable of. Playing

1721
01:18:51,720 --> 01:18:53,559
Speaker 1: what's held the fort together for The jays this year

1722
01:18:53,600 --> 01:18:55,040
Speaker 1: has been their. Defense that's kind of WHY i like

1723
01:18:55,080 --> 01:18:57,240
Speaker 1: them Against gonzagi. HERE i know that they can defend

1724
01:18:57,640 --> 01:19:01,080
Speaker 1: across at least the outer four. Positions on the. Perimeter

1725
01:19:01,360 --> 01:19:04,400
Speaker 1: they have big long guard who can Switch Denzel, Mahoney Damon,

1726
01:19:04,439 --> 01:19:07,639
Speaker 1: jefferson two guys who are many critical matchups Against Jalen,

1727
01:19:07,680 --> 01:19:10,920
Speaker 1: Suggs corey kissperg and all. That the offensive ammunition that

1728
01:19:11,000 --> 01:19:13,479
Speaker 1: The zags. Boast the key matchup, though WHERE i have

1729
01:19:13,520 --> 01:19:16,839
Speaker 1: to watch out For Christian bishop Versus True. Timmy timmy

1730
01:19:16,880 --> 01:19:20,120
Speaker 1: calling off that monster game Against oklahoma and may have,

1731
01:19:20,160 --> 01:19:23,719
Speaker 1: bigger more size up front than The jay's. Two, however

1732
01:19:23,840 --> 01:19:26,200
Speaker 1: Where bishop can get his is on the other. End

1733
01:19:26,240 --> 01:19:30,200
Speaker 1: he's a frenetic, cutter phenomenal ball. Screener he's just constantly

1734
01:19:30,240 --> 01:19:32,479
Speaker 1: active on the. BOARDS i think he can actually Wear timmy,

1735
01:19:32,479 --> 01:19:34,920
Speaker 1: out sort of Take timmy's legs out from under him

1736
01:19:35,080 --> 01:19:37,040
Speaker 1: from The on the other, End i'm looking at that

1737
01:19:37,080 --> 01:19:39,880
Speaker 1: as the key matchup in this. Game Catching creighton plus

1738
01:19:39,960 --> 01:19:42,120
Speaker 1: thirteen feels like a ton of. VALUE i made this

1739
01:19:42,160 --> 01:19:44,840
Speaker 1: game closer to. Ten anything up to TWELVE i would.

1740
01:19:44,880 --> 01:19:46,479
Speaker 2: Endorse All, right there you have.

1741
01:19:46,560 --> 01:19:51,000
Speaker 3: It our first half of the Weekend sweet sixteen to

1742
01:19:51,040 --> 01:19:53,240
Speaker 3: six pack has been built for the guys from three.

1743
01:19:53,320 --> 01:19:55,400
Speaker 3: Men we If kaig went With houston on a six.

1744
01:19:55,520 --> 01:19:58,000
Speaker 3: Gym they were amount of Seven Matt Cox creighton plus.

1745
01:19:58,080 --> 01:19:59,640
Speaker 3: Thirteen let me throw it to, You rando what he.

1746
01:19:59,680 --> 01:20:01,920
Speaker 7: Got i'm going With Bam malay in the six and

1747
01:20:01,960 --> 01:20:05,880
Speaker 7: a half Against. Ucla alabama just is too. Talented right.

1748
01:20:05,880 --> 01:20:09,120
Speaker 7: Now ucla is playing with house. Money they've overachieved after

1749
01:20:09,200 --> 01:20:11,920
Speaker 7: Losing Chris. Smith right now for the action app fifty

1750
01:20:11,920 --> 01:20:14,479
Speaker 7: seven percent of the public is ON. UCLA i don't

1751
01:20:14,479 --> 01:20:17,720
Speaker 7: see the. VULNERABILITY i see three. POINTERS i See, SHACKLEFORD

1752
01:20:17,960 --> 01:20:21,160
Speaker 7: i See John, PETTY i see Herb jones attack in the,

1753
01:20:21,160 --> 01:20:23,400
Speaker 7: basket a deep team that's gonna get out and, run

1754
01:20:23,640 --> 01:20:27,200
Speaker 7: AND i see a Defensive crimson tie team that is

1755
01:20:27,280 --> 01:20:31,120
Speaker 7: second Per ken pom into just a defensive efficiency stifling

1756
01:20:31,400 --> 01:20:34,639
Speaker 7: a LIMITED ucla. Offense Cody riley's not gonna do much

1757
01:20:34,680 --> 01:20:38,719
Speaker 7: inside against his. Team Usang. Hakez they're gonna have trouble shooting.

1758
01:20:38,720 --> 01:20:40,240
Speaker 7: Threes pressure's gonna get to.

1759
01:20:40,240 --> 01:20:40,479
Speaker 4: Them.

1760
01:20:40,520 --> 01:20:43,479
Speaker 7: Eventually alabama goes on the run like they did the other,

1761
01:20:43,560 --> 01:20:44,200
Speaker 7: day and they just.

1762
01:20:44,280 --> 01:20:46,679
Speaker 4: Extend i'll Take Bama laang the six and a half

1763
01:20:46,720 --> 01:20:49,839
Speaker 4: against The. Bruins great, job sweet, sixteen but it ends here.

1764
01:20:50,080 --> 01:20:52,840
Speaker 3: And primo back who just adds another shooter on the.

1765
01:20:52,880 --> 01:20:55,280
Speaker 3: Outside he at a couple threes and looked good in his. Return,

1766
01:20:55,680 --> 01:20:56,479
Speaker 3: colin where you're.

1767
01:20:56,320 --> 01:20:59,080
Speaker 5: Going, yeah same, game Except i'm gonna use everything That

1768
01:20:59,160 --> 01:21:01,320
Speaker 5: randall just said to play into the under under one

1769
01:21:01,400 --> 01:21:03,519
Speaker 5: forty six, here because If alabama gets any kind of

1770
01:21:03,560 --> 01:21:05,640
Speaker 5: double digit significant, LEAD i don't think that they're going

1771
01:21:05,680 --> 01:21:07,840
Speaker 5: to be pressing. Whatsoever you get up by fifteen or,

1772
01:21:07,840 --> 01:21:10,639
Speaker 5: twenty you may just Let Mick cronin run his sub

1773
01:21:10,960 --> 01:21:14,920
Speaker 5: top three hundred tempo style. Offense will take thirty seconds

1774
01:21:14,960 --> 01:21:16,439
Speaker 5: off the clock for him just to get a field

1775
01:21:16,479 --> 01:21:19,880
Speaker 5: goal attempt. Up forced Turnovers forbama are way down since

1776
01:21:19,880 --> 01:21:23,439
Speaker 5: the start of THE sec. TOURNAMENT i mentioned earlier That, Iona,

1777
01:21:24,120 --> 01:21:27,439
Speaker 5: Maryland Mississippi, state these teams have been able to dictate

1778
01:21:27,520 --> 01:21:30,519
Speaker 5: pace Against, alabama and If alabama And alabama can hold

1779
01:21:30,520 --> 01:21:33,840
Speaker 5: their own on, DEFENSE i see some serious matchups FOR

1780
01:21:33,920 --> 01:21:36,240
Speaker 5: ucla to try to compete in this. Game and If

1781
01:21:36,280 --> 01:21:38,320
Speaker 5: alabama gets any kind of a, LEAD i don't think

1782
01:21:38,320 --> 01:21:40,120
Speaker 5: this is going to be fast paced. Whatsoever SO i

1783
01:21:40,200 --> 01:21:41,080
Speaker 5: like the under one forty.

1784
01:21:41,080 --> 01:21:42,800
Speaker 2: Six all, right Then i'll finish.

1785
01:21:42,840 --> 01:21:45,400
Speaker 3: Up i'll go with The OREGON usc under one thirty.

1786
01:21:45,560 --> 01:21:49,479
Speaker 3: Nine this look talk about a. Four they got the

1787
01:21:49,520 --> 01:21:52,040
Speaker 3: one thirty when they both shot over forty percent from.

1788
01:21:52,080 --> 01:21:54,519
Speaker 3: THREE i don't think USC's gonna shoot the way they

1789
01:21:54,520 --> 01:21:59,400
Speaker 3: did last. Week THIS usc defense is excellent. Inside This

1790
01:21:59,560 --> 01:22:02,240
Speaker 3: oregon offense is not gonna be what we saw Against.

1791
01:22:02,280 --> 01:22:05,599
Speaker 3: Iowa they generally play. SLOW i think this game will

1792
01:22:05,640 --> 01:22:08,080
Speaker 3: be on the slower. SIDE i think both teams are

1793
01:22:08,160 --> 01:22:10,439
Speaker 3: so familiar with each other that they're gonna come up

1794
01:22:10,439 --> 01:22:13,160
Speaker 3: With you're gonna see with some good zone and pressed

1795
01:22:13,160 --> 01:22:17,080
Speaker 3: looks to bother THE usc perimeter and you, know kind

1796
01:22:17,080 --> 01:22:19,320
Speaker 3: of just make it difficult for them to start the

1797
01:22:19,400 --> 01:22:22,479
Speaker 3: offense and get it. Inside and THAT usc defense is

1798
01:22:22,479 --> 01:22:25,760
Speaker 3: just playing at another. LEVEL i think this total is too,

1799
01:22:25,840 --> 01:22:28,760
Speaker 3: high so we'll go we'reg IN usc. Under all. Right

1800
01:22:28,800 --> 01:22:30,880
Speaker 3: that'll do it for. Us thank you for. Listening we

1801
01:22:30,920 --> 01:22:33,800
Speaker 3: appreciate all the. Support AS i said, earlier we'll be Back.

1802
01:22:33,920 --> 01:22:36,720
Speaker 3: Monday episode of probably Out monday, afternoon going over The

1803
01:22:36,720 --> 01:22:40,040
Speaker 3: elite eight games On monday night And tuesday. Night leave a,

1804
01:22:40,080 --> 01:22:43,240
Speaker 3: review subscribe On subscribe tell a friend telling. Enemy you

1805
01:22:43,240 --> 01:22:46,320
Speaker 3: know the. Deal we'll do giveaways next. Week hit the

1806
01:22:46,360 --> 01:22:49,080
Speaker 3: voicemail if things don't go well this. Weekend it's been

1807
01:22:49,080 --> 01:22:51,439
Speaker 3: a hell of a tournament so. Far hope to keep it.

1808
01:22:51,560 --> 01:22:54,400
Speaker 3: Rolling thanks to the guys From Three Men lead as

1809
01:22:54,400 --> 01:22:57,120
Speaker 3: always for joining and thanks the course as always To

1810
01:22:57,200 --> 01:23:00,200
Speaker 3: Mike randall And Colin. Wilson good luck this. Weekend you

1811
01:23:00,200 --> 01:23:02,000
Speaker 3: can catch us all On twitter and on The Action network.

1812
01:23:02,000 --> 01:23:04,920
Speaker 3: App we'll have tons of content covering every. Game thank

1813
01:23:04,960 --> 01:23:06,160
Speaker 3: you again for. Listening we'll catch you all.

1814
01:23:06,200 --> 01:23:09,040
Speaker 4: Later, cheers it's, Out sweet Sixteen.

1815
01:23:09,160 --> 01:23:18,120
Speaker 3: Pop we're finished talking