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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: This week on Prime Cut, John middle Cough on the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys blowout over the Giants, Steve Kim former Arizona GM

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Speaker 2: on Aaron Rodgers, the injury and what's going on ahead

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Speaker 2: of that, Chad Millman, Sharp R Square, and my top

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Speaker 2: takes of the week. I'm a big believer in sustainability,

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Speaker 2: Like can you do things and repeat things over and over?

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Speaker 2: You know, always making a lot of money in your

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Speaker 2: life and having a great job is not usually sustainable.

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Speaker 2: Living below your means, investing, being frugal, spend less than

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Speaker 2: you make is sustainable. I tell my kids that all

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Speaker 2: the time. Just get into patterns, be prepared for bad times,

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Speaker 2: and so when they hit, you don't have to change

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Speaker 2: your lifestyle. And Philadelphia the way they wont tonight, dominating

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Speaker 2: the line of scrimmage, that's sustainable for sixteen weeks, weeks,

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Speaker 2: fifteen weeks. That's a great offensive line getting over the

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Speaker 2: top plays. Some teams, the smart teams like New England

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Speaker 2: just took that away. They just don't want you to

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Speaker 2: go over the top. Track meet teams. Miami tends to

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Speaker 2: be that Dolphins looks like a little bit of a

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Speaker 2: track meet team. Now their games are wildly entertaining against

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Speaker 2: the Chargers. You're not going to get that every week.

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Speaker 2: That's not sustainable. Right, Like Tyreek Hill banged up, Jalen

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Speaker 2: Waddle out, you face a team with good pressure, Tua

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Speaker 2: gets hit. He's been injury prone. But the way the

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia Eagles won tonight and it was ugly, is incredibly sustainable.

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Speaker 2: Dominate the line of scrimmage. You know this is not

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Speaker 2: college football. Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Osbourne. They

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Speaker 2: got dudes too, a couple good edge rushers. Minnesota's got

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Speaker 2: dudes too, but Philadelphia hasn't really played that well offensively.

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Speaker 2: It's very rare that you can go on the road.

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Speaker 2: Last week, the Eagles go on the road, get out

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Speaker 2: played in the second half and win tonight choppy, turbulent

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Speaker 2: first half, didn't pass the ball effective early and won.

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Speaker 2: They had a nine minute drive at one point and

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Speaker 2: didn't score. Totally sustainable. You're laying Johnson's Kelsey Jason Kelce

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Speaker 2: best center in football. Probably you can do that every weekend.

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Speaker 2: And you know, if you go back and look at

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Speaker 2: New England's dynasty and I you know, I was loaning

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Speaker 2: Connecticut during the last ten years of it, or a

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Speaker 2: big chunk of the last ten years of it. There

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Speaker 2: were the Randy Moss years where they were winning shootouts

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Speaker 2: and blowing people out. But a lot of times in

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Speaker 2: New England during that dynasty, just in the AFC, Baltimore

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Speaker 2: had better personnel many years, so did the Steelers. Colts

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Speaker 2: had equal personnel. They didn't know 's have the best teams.

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Speaker 2: But if you remember, they always got great offensive line

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Speaker 2: play with their coach Dante Scarnekia with Brady, they were

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Speaker 2: very good pre snap. They were great at getting pressure,

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Speaker 2: not always sacks, but pressure on opposing quarterbacks under Bill Belichick,

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Speaker 2: and they got turnovers. They were outplayed in a lot

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Speaker 2: of big games Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Colts, Denver, and they just

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Speaker 2: found ways to win by being very good pre snap,

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Speaker 2: good special teams, a big situational play late, sometimes a

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Speaker 2: trick play with Julian Edelman. That's sustainable New England. If

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Speaker 2: I could define their dynasty, they were the smartest team

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Speaker 2: in the league. Brady really smart, Belichick a brilliant defensive coach.

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Speaker 2: They were not always the most talented. Smart is sustainable.

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Speaker 2: The Randy Moss years are not I have real concerns

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Speaker 2: about Buffalo. Josh Allen in college at Wyoming was a

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Speaker 2: wild talented pony, just needed to be coached. Goes to

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Speaker 2: the NFL first year, out of control, talented, bit of

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Speaker 2: a mess. Brian Dables sand Paperson becomes an MVP level player,

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Speaker 2: cuts down on turnovers, mechanics improve. So I watch him

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Speaker 2: and I see a quarterback who has regressed three picks,

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Speaker 2: a fumble, not sliding. Mechanics have regressed too much. Side

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Speaker 2: arm crap, did not execute very well at the end

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Speaker 2: of I thought regulation, poor clock awareness. He skipped a

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Speaker 2: couple of passes in the game. Josh Allen looks like

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Speaker 2: he needs coaching. If you don't think coaching matters, go

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Speaker 2: look at Kyle Shanahan as a coordinator to Matt Ryan

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Speaker 2: made him MVP. All right, you look around this league

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Speaker 2: the best defensive coordinators dan Quinn Dallas. You don't think

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Speaker 2: he matters. That cowboy defense is sensational. So when I

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Speaker 2: look at Buffalo right now, they're in a bit of

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Speaker 2: a quandary. Miami is a sizzling offense, Belichick's defense is tough,

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Speaker 2: and Mac Jones is better than people subscribe to the

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Speaker 2: Jets defense matches up very well with Buffalo's O line.

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Speaker 2: Even Zach Wilson tonight, you know late in the game,

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Speaker 2: moves the ball well enough to get him in field

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Speaker 2: goal range. Buffalo has a defensive coach. Ken Dorsey had

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Speaker 2: a good reputation, but Josh Allen is back to wild.

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Speaker 2: Mechanics are regressing. Decision making was poor. I just just

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Speaker 2: I don't like what I see. Windows are small for

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Speaker 2: Super Bowls. You know, you lose a coordinator, they shrink,

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Speaker 2: you don't have a second dependable receiver. They shrink. You

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Speaker 2: have a key injury, or lose a defensive player to

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Speaker 2: free agency. They shrink. Von Miller's out shrink. So I

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Speaker 2: don't like what I see with Buffalo. I don't like

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Speaker 2: the direction they're headed in. I thought the Jets were

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Speaker 2: more composed. Getting a backup thrust into the starting role

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Speaker 2: with arguably a worse offensive line. That's that's what I saw.

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Speaker 2: A quarterback that has an offensive coach has a decided advantage.

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Speaker 2: There were multiple situational moments in that game when Mike McDaniel,

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Speaker 2: that offensive coach, dialed up wonderful, clever, smart plays for Tua,

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Speaker 2: many coming on third and long that really helps a quarterback. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 2: Brandon Staley, defensive coach, coach supposed to be a brilliant

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Speaker 2: defensive coach with good defensive personnel, has yet to figure

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Speaker 2: it out. Remember that lead they lost in the playoffs

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Speaker 2: to Jacksonville. How many third and longs do they surrender

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Speaker 2: to Tua? Brandon Staley to me, appears over his head

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Speaker 2: at the end of that game, justin Herbert Twice goes

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Speaker 2: back to throw. The Chargers are completely ill prepared as

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Speaker 2: Vic Fangio, which he's not prone to do as a

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Speaker 2: defensive coordinator, dials up big blitzes. He doesn't do that

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Speaker 2: a lot, not his style. I thought it was a

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Speaker 2: great example of a really good coaching staff, Mike McDaniel

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Speaker 2: and Vic Fangio completely working the Chargers staff. Brandon Staley,

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Speaker 2: to me, was not viewed as the logical choice Brian

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Speaker 2: dabol was, who was friends with a GM Tom Telesco.

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Speaker 2: The Spanos family took the cheaper head coach available Brandon Staley,

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Speaker 2: and I think I think he's completely, absolutely over his skis.

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Speaker 2: Go back and watch the replay of this game. Multiple

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Speaker 2: situational moments where really good coaching and Miami's side won

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Speaker 2: the game. I feel bad for Justin Herbert, but so

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Speaker 2: much of this league is where you land, what coach

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Speaker 2: you get, what owner you get, and what franchise you get.

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Speaker 2: The Chargers have so much talent, very few whiffs in

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Speaker 2: free agency or the draft. It's a stacked roster at

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Speaker 2: home favorite. But in the last two drives with each team,

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Speaker 2: you saw obvious examples of superior Miami and inferior Charger coaching.

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Speaker 2: Steve Kaim spent more than two decades with Arizona. Former

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Speaker 2: player for the Dolphins, scout worked his way to GM

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Speaker 2: for nine years, is now joining us on the Colin

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Speaker 2: Cower Podcast. So a torn achilles for Aaron Rogers, Oh no, wow,

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Speaker 2: it's not good. So a torn achilles on is that

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Speaker 2: out for the season?

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Speaker 3: Generally, Oh yeah, yeah it he'll unless something happened where

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Speaker 3: you know that it's still attached to some degree, more

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Speaker 3: than likely. And I've torn my achilles. He's it's a

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Speaker 3: nine to eleven month surgical process.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god. That is gutting.

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Speaker 3: And generally the second year coming off an achilles is

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Speaker 3: really tough because it's a it's it's even worse than that.

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Speaker 3: In my opinion, and I'm not a doctor obviously, but

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Speaker 3: you know, the a cl is a tough one to

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Speaker 3: come back from right away, but the achilles is really

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Speaker 3: really difficult.

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Speaker 2: Does it make it worse because he's an older quarterback

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Speaker 2: thirty nine.

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Speaker 3: No question about it? I mean, obviously, and I said

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Speaker 3: this at the end of my h you know, career

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Speaker 3: as a general manager, it was no secret that older

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Speaker 3: guys got hurt more often. And then now all of

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Speaker 3: a sudden, you're coming off that it's going to be

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Speaker 3: a grueling rehabilitation process, and that is also probably going

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Speaker 3: to test how much he really wants to come back

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Speaker 3: and loves it.

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Speaker 2: That's a great point I've hadn't talked at pro athletes

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Speaker 2: rehab early in your career. It's a very optimistic, hopeful process.

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Speaker 2: It's a very negative process late in a career, especially

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Speaker 2: when you've got one hundred million net worth. It's hard.

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Speaker 2: I mean, did you did you see the mental aware

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Speaker 2: on players, older players that had to overcome rehab.

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Speaker 3: Oh? Yeah, you know, it really was was grueling for

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Speaker 3: those guys in it. Like you said, a lot of

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Speaker 3: the financial stability is a big difference for those guys

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Speaker 3: because they don't technically have to get off the couch anymore.

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Speaker 3: You know, they they they had the flexibility to take

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Speaker 3: some time off and to let their body heal. In

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Speaker 3: this situation, to me, what's really deflating, as much as

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Speaker 3: the physical part would be to me a little bit

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Speaker 3: about how he's going to deal with this mentally, because

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Speaker 3: there was so much excitement being in New York getting

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Speaker 3: a fresh start, you know, being on hard knocks and

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Speaker 3: all that was made of it. And you know, he

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Speaker 3: looked like you rejuvenated guy on the hard knock to me,

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Speaker 3: So now to see him take this step setback, and

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Speaker 3: you know, who knows how it pans out for the team,

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Speaker 3: but it's obviously you know, if Zach Wilson can give

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Speaker 3: a gritty performance each week like he did tonight, that's outstanding.

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Speaker 3: But is that going to be really good enough Colin

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Speaker 3: to win enough games? Like really?

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Speaker 2: Three and Out is the podcast? Former NFL scout gun Middlecoff,

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Speaker 2: and I feel this way about Daniel Jones. If everything's

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Speaker 2: in place, he's got time to throw. The play calling works,

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Speaker 2: he didn't have to. He's not sped up against the

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Speaker 2: Vikings twice. No pass rush, he's not sped up. He

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Speaker 2: can work. But the Cowboys D line just engulfed and

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Speaker 2: overwhelmed the Giants O line after about that first drive.

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Speaker 2: You could see the Giants in the first drive running

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Speaker 2: right at the Cowboys to take away their edge, and

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Speaker 2: then eventually they fall behind. You have to throw. I

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Speaker 2: thought the Giants O line, though it's young, could sustain

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Speaker 2: some sort of you know, pocket shield for Daniel Jones.

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Speaker 2: The Giants were completely overwhelmed up front, and Daniel Jones

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Speaker 2: is just not the kind of player that can overcome that.

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Speaker 2: He just can't.

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Speaker 1: It's funny, you know, you have these strong takes for

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Speaker 1: six eight months of what you think is gonna happen,

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Speaker 1: and then week one, you know, I thought the Giants

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Speaker 1: might have a similar record last year nine or ten wins,

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Speaker 1: but be much closer to the Eagles than the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: and tonight at home, the gap looked wider. Now.

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Speaker 4: One thought I had as that game, just separated by

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Speaker 4: the snap was the Cowboys, and we'll get into the

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Speaker 4: Niners a little bit, have a similarity in the sense

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Speaker 4: they have a lot of high end players on defense.

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Speaker 4: Dan Quinn is like a three or four million dollar

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Speaker 4: a year defensive coordinator currently, and they have other guys

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Speaker 4: mainly are in their prime right, and they dominate at

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Speaker 4: the defensive line, and they have a ton of good

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Speaker 4: DBAs where if you are a little off.

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Speaker 1: They can really expose you. I mean my take coming

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Speaker 1: into the season, Colin, I don't know who. Did you

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Speaker 1: pick the Eagles for the East? I picked the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: Just trying to mix it up a little bit. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you know, I think it might just come down to

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Speaker 1: a field goal here or a fumble here between those

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Speaker 1: two teams. I think the Cowboys, now, it's hard to

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Speaker 1: judge Dak, he didn't have to do anything. Their defense

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Speaker 1: is has a chance to be the best in the league.

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Speaker 1: And anytime that's the case, I don't care what year.

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Speaker 1: If it's seventies or twenty twenty three, you've got a

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Speaker 1: chance to win a lot of games.

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Speaker 2: Had a couple people at the gym come up to

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Speaker 2: me and say, Hey, you doing sharp and square, And

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Speaker 2: I said, it's sharp or square, not sharp and square,

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Speaker 2: or I'm the or square. He's the sharp before the

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Speaker 2: or square. It's Chad Milman's CEO Action Network. All Odds

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Speaker 2: provided by DraftKings. All Right, I stunk last week but

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Speaker 2: last year was the only time I've won in Week

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Speaker 2: one in forever, So I'm ready to go bounce back

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Speaker 2: week I'm gonna be the New York Giants of squares.

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Speaker 2: I am going to bounce back. Okay, first number and

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Speaker 2: the number is telling me I'm on the wrong side.

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Speaker 2: But I like Chicago BLUs two and a half anyway. Listen,

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Speaker 2: Baker's a great story, but I think I get a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a coach edge. I think Claypool may

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Speaker 2: not play. I think Chicago really believes they can win

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Speaker 2: this division. I think Tampa's going to figure out fairly

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Speaker 2: quickly they are what they are. I think there's absolute urgency.

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Speaker 2: I think the Bears at home were humiliated. I think

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Speaker 2: they'll be totally focused. If there's any rushing props for

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Speaker 2: Justin Fields, take them. I think he's going to be

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Speaker 2: able to kind of work this defense and move around

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Speaker 2: a little. I'm gonna take Chicago plus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: It feels like that's not what the Sharps want me

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Speaker 2: to do, but I'm gonna do it anyway. Sharper Square, dude,

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Speaker 2: You're misreading it entirely. The Sharps love this play, and

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Speaker 2: they love that you're doing it. They've been calling me

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Speaker 2: insaning make sure Colin takes the Bears at plus two

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Speaker 2: and a half. This game opened at four. It's been

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Speaker 2: bet to two and a half by the wise guys.

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Speaker 2: The public is on the Buccaneers and this is.

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Speaker 5: One of those. And there's a lot of this this

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Speaker 5: week classic overreaction to what people saw in Week one

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Speaker 5: and letting that play into their decision making for week two.

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Speaker 5: And that's a mistake that a lot of people make.

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Speaker 5: There's a stat I can give you right now. Since

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Speaker 5: twenty twelve, teams that lost by double digits the Bears

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Speaker 5: playing against teams that did not lose by double digits,

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Speaker 5: so that team would have to have won the game

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Speaker 5: or lost by less than ten. That's the Buccaneers. The

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Speaker 5: team that lost by double digits on the road since

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Speaker 5: twenty twelve, twenty four to one against the spread. So

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Speaker 5: there are two teams that fit that criteria this week.

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Speaker 5: The Bears are one of them. And look, there was

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Speaker 5: so much hype on the Bears before the season began,

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Speaker 5: and there was no hype on the box. So naturally,

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Speaker 5: with the way the Bears got beat and the way

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Speaker 5: the Bucks won, there's going to be a little bit

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Speaker 5: of a flip. This script is going to be flipped.

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Speaker 5: But look the Bears offense. They had twenty two first downs,

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Speaker 5: they had more time of possession than the Packers. They

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Speaker 5: have three toneovers and four sacks. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers defense

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Speaker 5: gave up three hundred and forty four passing yards. They

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Speaker 5: gave up six yards per play, not six yards per

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Speaker 5: pass attempt, six yards per play and seven yards per

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Speaker 5: pass attempt. So Minnesota had three turnovers, including Kirk in

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Speaker 5: the red zone late in the first half. That would

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Speaker 5: have put them up seventeen to ten, and that would

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Speaker 5: have been a different a different game. So I like

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Speaker 5: what we're seeing here with the Bears as underdogs.

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Speaker 2: It's sharp.

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Speaker 5: I've played it, okay.

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Speaker 2: I don't like favorites much. I took one last week

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Speaker 2: and got burned. I'll get to that in a second.

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Speaker 2: But I do have a theory that if you have

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Speaker 2: a capable quarterback and a good coach and are humiliated

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Speaker 2: in a standalone game on TV, you'll empty the bag

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Speaker 2: following week play with great emotion and focus. Giants, It's

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Speaker 2: now minus four at DraftKings, Arizona. I like the Giants

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Speaker 2: a lot sharper square.

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Speaker 5: Play it. Play it. Play it in your survivor pools.

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Speaker 5: Don't waste your early season picks on the Bills or

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Speaker 5: the Chief, if serve anyone else, play the Giants. I

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Speaker 5: actually got this at five and feel like I got

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Speaker 5: the worst of the number. I'm a little surprised it's

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Speaker 5: moved to four, But this is one of those spots, right,

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Speaker 5: you're going to play the team that just got blown out. Look, Arizona,

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Speaker 5: they didn't win that game so much as they didn't

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Speaker 5: they didn't cover that game so much as Why by

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Speaker 5: the way, I'm counting a cover for Arizona as a win.

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Speaker 5: That's how that's how low the expectations were. But they

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Speaker 5: did play a game in which the other team practically

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Speaker 5: gave them the game. And so this is not going

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Speaker 5: to be the same scenario. Brian Dayball is a much

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Speaker 5: better coach. It's a coaching mismatch. Look, they stunk it up.

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Speaker 5: They played a team that was just much better at

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Speaker 5: that moment, a really good defense. They didn't have the

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Speaker 5: right game plan. You can come up with all the

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Speaker 5: excuses whatever you want. At the end of the day,

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Speaker 5: the scenario here is you take the Giants.

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Speaker 2: Okay, I don't love the number. I'd like it better

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Speaker 2: at three. But I'm going to take Kansas City. Andy

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Speaker 2: Rea historically off a buyer with extra time is money.

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Speaker 2: They didn't have Travis Kelcey. He's the greatest receiving tight

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Speaker 2: end ever. He'll get fifteen targets. This week. Jacksonville struggled

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Speaker 2: mightily and won. So if they'd have lost it Indy

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Speaker 2: right and being humiliated, I'd stay away. They were outplayed

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Speaker 2: in one. Okay, Kansas City's defense, I don't know about

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Speaker 2: anybody else. They got a consistent pass rush without Chris Jones.

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Speaker 2: And oh, by the way, the Lions O line is good,

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Speaker 2: and they were in Jared Goff's face. I think this

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Speaker 2: is one of these. I've seen these two teams play

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Speaker 2: twice last year. The gap is bigger. It wasn't closed

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Speaker 2: in one off season. I'm gonna take Kansas City minus

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Speaker 2: three and a half and I think they win by

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Speaker 2: a touchdown.

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Speaker 5: All right, So there's a couple of different scenarios here,

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Speaker 5: And you're right about the Chiefs and you're right about

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Speaker 5: the Lions, and that plays into a Lion Seahawks game,

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Speaker 5: which I might try to convince you to bet. But

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Speaker 5: with that game against the Lions, the Chiefs actually only

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Speaker 5: gave up fourteen offensive points. Don't forget there was a

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Speaker 5: pick six, right, No, right? And so here's where where

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Speaker 5: sort of the sentiment and what you believe about a

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Speaker 5: roster and what you as an analyst who was much

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Speaker 5: more sophisticated about football than you let people believe. Let's

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Speaker 5: that play into Okay, this game opened at two and

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Speaker 5: a half, and then it got to three, and now

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Speaker 5: it's at three and a half. So the number has

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Speaker 5: been moving against your decision right here. For me, once

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Speaker 5: it got to three and a half, it was a pass.

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Speaker 5: Like I didn't want to play Kansas City as more

337
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Speaker 5: than a field goal favorite on the road because then

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Speaker 5: you start getting into trends that go against Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 5: So the wise guys liked it at two and a half,

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Speaker 5: they liked it, Okay, at three, it's a pass. At

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Speaker 5: three and a.

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Speaker 2: Half, Okay, Well that's why we do this. I think

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Speaker 2: this is a coaching mismatch, but I'm gonna do it anyway.

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Speaker 2: I think Brandon Staley for the first time are criticizing you.

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Speaker 2: The media in LA rushed him I'm going to take

346
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Speaker 2: the Chargers minus three at Tennessee. Tannehill miss spots, didn't

347
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Speaker 2: look good. Vrabel criticized him publicly. He's a much better

348
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Speaker 2: coach than Brandon Staley. I can't believe this roster can

349
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Speaker 2: go zero and to two. I can't believe it. Chargers

350
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Speaker 2: minus three? What say you? Sharper square?

351
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Speaker 5: The first thing you said, it's a coaching mismatch, And

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Speaker 5: so why would you lean into a coach who, in

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Speaker 5: two seasons of coaching has not proven any ability to

354
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Speaker 5: put his team in a position to win with the

355
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Speaker 5: kinds of decisions that he makes. He has more talent

356
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Speaker 5: at the offense on the offensive side of the ball. Colin,

357
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Speaker 5: you preach this all the time. I listened to your

358
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Speaker 5: fabulous radio show. One of your primary theories defensive coaches

359
00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:52,160
Speaker 5: with offensive genius players is not a good match, right?

360
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Speaker 5: How many times have you said that? And so all

361
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Speaker 5: of a sudden we're leaning into Brandon Staley on the

362
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Speaker 5: road as a favorite. Again, it's a much better football

363
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Speaker 5: coach against a defensive line that's good, fierce. Jeffrey Simmons

364
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 5: is an All Pro caliber player, and Mike Rabel, by

365
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Speaker 5: the way, one of the best underdog coaches in the

366
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Speaker 5: NFL twenty four to nine and one as an underdog

367
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Speaker 5: of three or more, including this past week against the Saints.

368
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Speaker 5: There's a handful of coaches that every professional vetter is

369
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Speaker 5: thinking about when they are looking to bet. Mike Rabel,

370
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Speaker 5: John Harbaugh, Mike Tomlin, Andy Reid, Bill Belichick. Those are

371
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Speaker 5: the guys that you want to be betting on as underdogs.

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Speaker 2: I'm disgusted with myself betting this. Washington plus three and

373
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Speaker 2: a half at Denver. I had a executive, well a

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Speaker 2: scout call me on Monday. He said, Colin, He goes,

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Speaker 2: I know you like Russell. He's missing, He's there's wide

376
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Speaker 2: open people here. These are good schemes, these are good plays.

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Speaker 2: He can't see him. He's like, this offense is until

378
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Speaker 2: they get Judy. There is no juice to this offense.

379
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Speaker 2: The Raiders are not good, and the Raiders took the

380
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:12,240
Speaker 2: lead and never looked back. Washington's defense is good. They're good.

381
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Speaker 2: They're gonna keep it. All Washington games are gonna look

382
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Speaker 2: the same. They're all gonna be awful. Television. Three and

383
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 2: a half is too much. I gotta take Washington. Sharper

384
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Speaker 2: Square well, look.

385
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Speaker 5: Where this game and the Colts Texans game are battling

386
00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:29,719
Speaker 5: for their corner TV game, you know, the game at

387
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Speaker 5: the sportsbook that they put on the corner because nobody

388
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:34,080
Speaker 5: really wants to watch it, but they gotta have every

389
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Speaker 5: game on. I agree with you about Russell Wilson. I

390
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,760
Speaker 5: watched that game and I was texting with a buddy

391
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Speaker 5: and who's inside the NFL, and I was just like,

392
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Speaker 5: Sean Payn's a genius, Like he was calling such good

393
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 5: plays and they looked so much better, and it fell

394
00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:53,920
Speaker 5: apart because Russell Wilson started to lose a little bit

395
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Speaker 5: of steam, and so it's a very challenging game. I

396
00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:01,480
Speaker 5: think that Washington's roster is not a good as the

397
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Speaker 5: Las Vegas roster. I think that this is a huge

398
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Speaker 5: coaching mismatch. I think Jimmy g is better than Sam Howe,

399
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 5: and I think that I would expect a different kind

400
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,439
Speaker 5: of scheme from Sean Payton now that he's seen what

401
00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:16,440
Speaker 5: Russell can do over the course of a game when

402
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Speaker 5: other teams are adjusting. Also, I'm still a big believer

403
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:24,680
Speaker 5: in Denver's defense. I think it's a really good defense. Washington,

404
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:29,120
Speaker 5: to me, was a terrible team. If Arizona has anything

405
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,879
Speaker 5: more serviceable than a quarterback who still did not know

406
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,040
Speaker 5: the names of his teammates because he had signed two

407
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 5: weeks earlier, they probably lose that game. So for me,

408
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:40,359
Speaker 5: this game is a pass like. I'm not interested. The

409
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:43,679
Speaker 5: line has moved in Denver's direction from three to three

410
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 5: and a half. That's more of a wise guy play

411
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 5: than a public play. But I like your sentiment. I

412
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,679
Speaker 5: like that you're thinking about betting ugly betting the NFL.

413
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:57,199
Speaker 5: Winning the NFL means betting bad quarterbacks. But here you

414
00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:00,679
Speaker 5: got two bad quarterbacks and not a lot of edge.

415
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,200
Speaker 2: All right, now, talk me into a game Detroit Seattle,

416
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Speaker 2: go for it.

417
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:08,159
Speaker 5: Look, this is the other game that fits that trend

418
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 5: I mentioned before, which is twenty four to one against

419
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:13,560
Speaker 5: the spread for teams like Seattle when they are on

420
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,040
Speaker 5: the road coming off a double digit loss, playing a

421
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:19,080
Speaker 5: team that basically won or lost by less than ten

422
00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:22,359
Speaker 5: the week before. On top of that, you're getting a

423
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,480
Speaker 5: team in the Lions that has so much hype into

424
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Speaker 5: the season. They beat the super Bowl champs. They beat

425
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Speaker 5: the super Bowl champs on the road opening game, prime time.

426
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 5: Seattle loses ugly, to the rams like this is an

427
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Speaker 5: over hyped game. This is an inflation game in terms

428
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 5: the line is higher than it should be. Like, you

429
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:49,439
Speaker 5: have to take Seattle here, There's just no question about it.

430
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,360
Speaker 5: You're gonna bet a quarterback that might make you uncomfortable.

431
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:55,120
Speaker 5: You're going to be upset that the tackles aren't playing.

432
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 5: But the Troit's defense is just not as good as

433
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:02,360
Speaker 5: it should be for a team to be favored by

434
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:07,919
Speaker 5: five and a half some places six. So you gotta

435
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 5: suck it up and you gotta bet Seattle, all right.

436
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:14,680
Speaker 2: Chad Millman, c CEO Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings.

437
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 2: My friend, it's great to see a bad week for me,

438
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:23,360
Speaker 2: But you know what, Tom Brady twelve years, double digit picks,

439
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:25,359
Speaker 2: who cares LFG, Let's go.

440
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 5: You know what, it's the end of the season that matters,

441
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 5: not the beginning of the season. And I say that

442
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 5: as someone who like in my five picks that we

443
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 5: talk about, I went two and three and like it happens,

444
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 5: It's gonna happen all the time. But also you look

445
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:42,399
Speaker 5: at it, I like after that, I don't know if

446
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 5: you ever do this, but like at the end of

447
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 5: that day. The difference between one and four and two

448
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:49,880
Speaker 5: and three is everything, because two and three you can

449
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:52,560
Speaker 5: look at your picks and say, okay, I'm two and three.

450
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 5: But that Patriots game, like I analyzed that the right way.

451
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:00,520
Speaker 5: I would have been three and two not for some

452
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:02,479
Speaker 5: bad luck. So I felt better about myself.

453
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, we'll try going on five. I couldn't even look

454
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 2: myself in the mirror. It was awful. It was tough

455
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:07,680
Speaker 2: for five.

456
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 5: Did you not make any of the picks that we

457
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 5: talked about.

458
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 2: I should have made the Cleveland bet.

459
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:15,160
Speaker 3: I didn't.

460
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 2: I'm not betting. I'm I'm I'm just uh, listen, fairly bitter.

461
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 2: It's not my personality. I bounced back. I had a

462
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:25,360
Speaker 2: cocktail Tuesday night.

463
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 3: I was good.

464
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:27,600
Speaker 2: I had. I said the Jets with a better play,

465
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 2: and I said the lines over the Chiefs. So I had.

466
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:31,960
Speaker 2: I had some stuff. I didn't include those, but I

467
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:33,680
Speaker 2: did have. I thought the Jets were a better play,

468
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:35,080
Speaker 2: and I thought the Lions were a better play.

469
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 5: Listen, that is one of your greatest traits. You don't

470
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:39,920
Speaker 5: wear it, you move on quickly.

471
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 3: I like that.

472
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:42,720
Speaker 2: I don't wear it all right, buddy, good seeing you

473
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 2: taught you

474
00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 1: The volume