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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Wednesday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice podcast with me mapp we

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Speaker 1: al you guys can help me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt every morning here wherever you get your audio,

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Speaker 1: I don't know ten platforms maybe twelve fourteen platforms for audio,

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Speaker 1: you guys get the video on just one on YouTube.

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Speaker 1: Bro was being brought to you by bet mgm. The

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Speaker 1: offers above me on YouTube ten dollars to win one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars on any event. Use not promo

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Speaker 1: co juice one fifty yet bet MGM juice one fifteen

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Speaker 1: new users, betmgm dot com, bet mgmapp you bet ten bucks.

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Speaker 1: You went a buck fifty instantly when you are a

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Speaker 1: new user, promo co juice one fifty. All right, so

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Speaker 1: we went one in one yesterday. Rams minus seven comes

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Speaker 1: in more than that in a second. And then the

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Speaker 1: Ken State bet was not good. That was just crazy.

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Speaker 1: The overs are I think nine and two now in

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Speaker 1: Bowl games nine and two unbelievable. It is offense, offense, offense,

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Speaker 1: no defense. More on that here. In just one seconds

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Speaker 1: we threw a flyer bet. I couldn't make my mind

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Speaker 1: up with props. I mean, there were just so many

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Speaker 1: players who were out it was so difficult to handicap

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Speaker 1: and quantify, like what exactly was going to happen in

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Speaker 1: those games last night? So I mean Cooper Cup scoring

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Speaker 1: a touchdown? Duh, right, he had two, he had a

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Speaker 1: big game. No shock, there was no value in that.

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Speaker 1: I mean, bet MGM had a Cooper Cup anytime touchdown

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Speaker 1: at minus two to twenty five. Okay, Like, give you

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Speaker 1: a break. So I threw a hail Mary with people's

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Speaker 1: no with Seals Jones Ricky Seals Jones to score a

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Speaker 1: touchdown at plus four sixty that didn't hit unfortunately, but

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Speaker 1: hey whatever, it was a quarter unit so down like

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Speaker 1: point three units, so really nothing, not a lot of

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Speaker 1: blood there at all. Really a one in one day

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Speaker 1: but one and two officially like point three units. So

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Speaker 1: nothing to be angry about. But another losing day. So

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Speaker 1: we've kind of gone Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday four in

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Speaker 1: a row. Right, That's not what we like, So hopefully

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Speaker 1: we'll turn things around here. I am not betting the NBA.

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Speaker 1: The NHL just went on their COVID pause and did

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Speaker 1: you see what happened with college basketball? Yesterday. Did you

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Speaker 1: see how many games got canceled? It's an impossible sport

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Speaker 1: to bet. All sports right now are relatively impossible to bet.

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Speaker 1: But we do have a bowl game, so Army versus

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Speaker 1: Missouri in the Armed Forces Bowl happening in Texas. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so let's talk about Army a little bit here in

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Speaker 1: the post loss to Navy. On the year, let's just

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Speaker 1: look at point spread against the spread on the season,

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Speaker 1: Army is a very interesting six and six against the

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Speaker 1: spread Missouri three and nine. This number was three and

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Speaker 1: a half for a long time. I was about to

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Speaker 1: bet it, but I was wondering, maybe it goes back

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Speaker 1: down the three and I'd like Army minus three, So

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Speaker 1: I waited. Mistake this number spiked today or yesterday? Why? Well,

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Speaker 1: from all I can see, there is something going on

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Speaker 1: inside of the Missouri's football program that we may or

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Speaker 1: may not know. But everyone big is on Army. So

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Speaker 1: I told you in the Discord channel to jump on

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Speaker 1: this at minus six and a half. So I didn't

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Speaker 1: want to wait to seven. It was gonna get to seven.

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Speaker 1: Didn't want to wait to go over there. I wanted

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Speaker 1: under seven, get six and a half. I bet this

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Speaker 1: at minus six and a half. And here's why. Army

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Speaker 1: on the road away from home four and two against

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Speaker 1: the spread. Army after games that they lose against the

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Speaker 1: spread have been pretty good. Now. They lost three games

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Speaker 1: in a row in the middle part of the year,

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Speaker 1: but they played Wake Forest and lost as three point

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Speaker 1: dogs at home, lost by fourteen. They bounced back and

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Speaker 1: they won the next game against air Force neutral Field,

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Speaker 1: won by seven. This is coming off of a loss

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Speaker 1: again it's Navy where they were seven point favorites and

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Speaker 1: they lost by four. Obviously, Army Navy throw things out,

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Speaker 1: crazy game. But Missouri is one in four on the

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Speaker 1: road against the spread three and nine, and Missouri did

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Speaker 1: get a little hot down the stretch, but the end

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Speaker 1: of the year with a loss by seventeen is fourteen

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Speaker 1: and a half point dogs on the road at Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: last ten, three and seven against the number. Yeah, they

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Speaker 1: were a little okay last five three and two, but

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Speaker 1: the numbers aren't aren't great here for a Missouri team

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Speaker 1: that really is just happened to be back in a

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Speaker 1: bowl game. So look at Missouri's defense. This is all

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Speaker 1: going to come down to Armies offense against Missouri's defense.

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Speaker 1: Army's offense averages thirty point nine points per game, fortieth

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Speaker 1: best in the country. Army runs the ball like we know,

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Speaker 1: number two running offense in the country, two hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventy four yards on the ground triple option. They average

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Speaker 1: four point seven yards per rush. Missouri gives up and

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Speaker 1: get ready for this, Missouri gives up five point three

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Speaker 1: yards per rush. They give up up two hundred and

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Speaker 1: twenty three yards per game on the ground. That's one

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Speaker 1: hundred and twentieth in all of FBS. Five point three

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Speaker 1: yards per rush is one hundred and fifteenth. They get

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Speaker 1: run on a ton fifty eight percent of the time

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Speaker 1: teams are running, and we know Army runs the ball

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Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the time. Now Army can throw

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Speaker 1: the ball because of the triple option. They're a little

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Speaker 1: bit freak a little little more less finasse, little freakier

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Speaker 1: than Navy. Eleven point one yards per completion is number

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Speaker 1: one in the country for Army. Eight point two yards

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Speaker 1: per completion given up for this Missouri defense, it's one

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Speaker 1: hundred and two. They give up two hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: eight yards per game. It's not really relevant here because

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Speaker 1: Army only throws the ball for about one hundred yards

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Speaker 1: per game. But when they're passing, they're very good. They

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Speaker 1: complete about fifty three percent of their pass plays. They

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Speaker 1: go and do it when it's there, and they make

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Speaker 1: big plays in the passing attack. Okay, Army's angry. This

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Speaker 1: is a big game. Okay. When you play in the

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Speaker 1: Armed Forces Bowl and you're a military academy, it's a

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Speaker 1: big game. Okay, it's a big Bowl game. You don't

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Speaker 1: want to lose this and you're playing a team from

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Speaker 1: the SEC. Now, is it a good team from the SEC? No,

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Speaker 1: but it's still a team from the SEC. All right,

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Speaker 1: Army minus three and a half, I would have preferred

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Speaker 1: I bet it at six and a half half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Army minus six and a half. Don't hate it all

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Speaker 1: that much. At six and a half. I do think

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Speaker 1: they're in the game by double digits. Okay. And here

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Speaker 1: is where I'm going with the second half unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: team total at DraftKings right now, Army over thirty and

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Speaker 1: a half points scored at minus one zho five. Let's

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Speaker 1: go back to the numbers. Army is averaging on average

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Speaker 1: thirty point nine points per game. Missouri gives up thirty

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Speaker 1: five point three points per game on average one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twelve. I don't think Missouri is gonna keep this

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Speaker 1: game close, in fact, but to a total of fifty four,

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Speaker 1: I'm a little concerned. Army's defense isn't bad just twenty

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Speaker 1: three points per game given up twenty seven points scored

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Speaker 1: per game by Missouri. So to worry about Missouri keeping

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Speaker 1: up and scoring, I don't know. And you might go, well,

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Speaker 1: you know, Missouri's got time to prepare for the triple option. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: but Army's angry, and Army is going to and they're

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Speaker 1: difficult to face. I don't care who you are. If

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Speaker 1: you don't stop the normal run, you're gonna have a

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Speaker 1: tough time stopping the Army. You run, okay, Army is

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Speaker 1: gonna run the football and they're gonna run it all

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Speaker 1: over you. Six and a half is a big number,

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Speaker 1: I know, but I'm going Army minus six and a

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Speaker 1: half and I'm going Army team total over thirty and

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Speaker 1: a half, also for a half a unit. The only

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Speaker 1: way Missouri covers this number, in my opinion, is if

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Speaker 1: Missouri scores a ton of points, and look, maybe they do.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they can exploit some of the weakness is that

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Speaker 1: Navy exploited. Maybe they can put points up. That's fine.

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Speaker 1: If a total is gonna hit here, you know, you

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Speaker 1: start with Army having thirty points and then you've got

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Speaker 1: twenty four points here. Basically what the line says at

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Speaker 1: fifty four being a total, you got thirty points from

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Speaker 1: Army and twenty four points for Missouri. Line is six

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Speaker 1: and a half, right, So what we need is really

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Speaker 1: thirty three points out of Army. If we don't cover,

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Speaker 1: it would be like a thirty three to twenty seven

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Speaker 1: type of game, so the over would come in. But

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Speaker 1: I just don't think that's gonna happen. I think Army

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Speaker 1: does score thirty three points over thirty points, and I'm

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Speaker 1: not so sure Missouri scores seventeen, Okay, I think this

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Speaker 1: is like a thirty to seventeen type final. I think

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Speaker 1: Army comes up with a big win. It's a big

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Speaker 1: Bowl game. They're angry, they're mad about losing the Navy

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Speaker 1: and the year on a high note. Win the Armed

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Speaker 1: Forces Bowl with a lot of cadets and Army, military, Navy,

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Speaker 1: Air Force, a lot of people in the stands watching this.

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Speaker 1: This is a powl game that maybe Missouri's like, oh gosh, okay,

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Speaker 1: we're in the Armed Forces Bowl. Not for army. They're interested,

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Speaker 1: they're excited. Lay the six and a half Army minus

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Speaker 1: six and a half and team total Army over thirty

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Speaker 1: and a half, both those for a half of unit

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Speaker 1: for one unit in play. Okay. Heading towards the Christmas holiday,

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Speaker 1: no more NHL. NBA is just trying to get there.

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Speaker 1: We'll have some plays in the NBA, but any NFL

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Speaker 1: football comes back on Thursday. More Bowl games on Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

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Speaker 1: A lot of football coming at you over the next

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Speaker 1: couple of days. Mine's map parrots following me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast, always being brought to you by BETHAMGM