Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place
Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pizapia, and
Speaker 1: it's time to look at the props for Week eight
Speaker 1: in the NFL. No buys. Everybody's playing, how hard they're playing, well,
Speaker 1: that's something we could talk about, but certainly some matchups
Speaker 1: some returns too. On Thursday Night Football we saw the
Speaker 1: returns of Cooper Cup and Pooka and akup. We're gonna
Speaker 1: get to a tugue of bayloa back and the return
Speaker 1: of Jamis Winston as the starting quarterback in the NFL.
Speaker 1: What a time to be alive. To help me break
Speaker 1: down all of the props for week eight, the Welsh
Speaker 1: and the Undertaker himself, mister Andrew Erickson, don't forget to
Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app, start betting smarter, not harder,
Speaker 1: and use the prop bet cheat sheet because that's the
Speaker 1: way you can find the best lines with the best
Speaker 1: projections in the best places to bet them. Again, run
Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros app or go to bettingpros dot
Speaker 1: com slash props to check it out for yourself and
Speaker 1: start using the tools like the prop bet cheat sheet
Speaker 1: to make sure you get all your props in and
Speaker 1: make sure that you are maximizing all of the money
Speaker 1: you possibly can make. In Week eight in the NFL,
Speaker 1: start here, gentlemen at the top. A tough week last
Speaker 1: week for some of the props, but you guys are
Speaker 1: still over five hundred for the year. So let's jump
Speaker 1: right in with two feet. Let's start with Bijeon Robinson
Speaker 1: Welsh because you've got, as the kids like to say,
Speaker 1: all the fields.
Speaker 2: I've got all the fields, and you know what, I'm
Speaker 2: HARKing it back to last year because what was the
Speaker 2: money play every week?
Speaker 3: Bijon.
Speaker 2: Let's get back to basics with Bijon. Yes, that's gonna
Speaker 2: get us going here. It's a nice low ish rushing
Speaker 2: yard total prop this week at sixty two and a half.
Speaker 2: Projections across the board are over I believe the BP
Speaker 2: and PFF just doing a cross reference, are both over seventy.
Speaker 2: The bucks they're averaging ninety two yards against, which isn't
Speaker 2: too crazy, but it's on just seventeen carries, which is
Speaker 2: an over five yard per carry mark. So you can
Speaker 2: run on this team. Just teams really haven't been because
Speaker 2: they've had some efficient offense, maybe playing catchup. Not this week, Bijon.
Speaker 2: He has hit this number two straight weeks and four
Speaker 2: total for the year. And coming back to those yards average,
Speaker 2: he's averaging four point seven yards on the ground, but
Speaker 2: had fifteen or more carries over the last two weeks.
Speaker 2: So you give me what they give up what he's
Speaker 2: getting and the higher usage as far as carries go.
Speaker 3: I like this a lot plus just if you'd think
Speaker 3: take a look at like.
Speaker 2: The Bucks in general, if they are going to struggle
Speaker 2: more on offense and there are going to be playing
Speaker 2: a little bit from behind, and the Falcons are going
Speaker 2: to be able to manage this more, it's even better
Speaker 2: for Bijon to break a big run, get over that
Speaker 2: fifteen carry marker and smash this. We're back into Bijon
Speaker 2: betting season. That's how I'm starting off the first one.
Speaker 1: One of the things I like in that game too
Speaker 1: is Shad White the over three and a half receptions.
Speaker 1: Everybody knows I don't like betting receptions typically unless I'm
Speaker 1: getting what plus money on it. You can get plus
Speaker 1: one thirty on this, and with all those injuries in
Speaker 1: the wide receiver corps, Rashaud White's gonna work a lot
Speaker 1: more in that receiving game. I can't believe that the
Speaker 1: number is that low and you're getting plus money on it,
Speaker 1: So get in on that game. All the getting is good.
Speaker 1: Bo Nicks this week is a top fifteen Fantasy quarter back.
Speaker 1: Did you know that according to the expert consensus rankings,
Speaker 1: at least on Fantasy pros. But what does that mean
Speaker 1: on the betting side of things? Andrew Erickson when it comes.
Speaker 4: To bo Nicks, Yes, I was writing down breaking down
Speaker 4: this Broncos Panthers game, which in the Betting Primer this
Speaker 4: week I talked about potentially the worst game on the slate.
Speaker 5: Do I want to bet the spread? Do I want
Speaker 5: to bet the total?
Speaker 4: And you always say, Joe when it comes to these
Speaker 4: types of games with Bogs, spit the props, man, spit
Speaker 4: the props and the.
Speaker 5: Prop thats sit out to me?
Speaker 4: The most was bow Knicks under twenty eight and a
Speaker 4: half pass attempts because if Sean Payton doesn't have to
Speaker 4: let Bonnicks throw, he won't let Bonnicks throw. So that's
Speaker 4: why thinks gonna happen in to this matchup. I think
Speaker 4: they're gonna run the ball thirty times. You look at
Speaker 4: teams against the Carolina Panthers this year, no quarterback. Zero
Speaker 4: quarterbacks have hit their passing attempts projection against the Panthers,
Speaker 4: none of them. Only twice has a quarterback gone over
Speaker 4: thirty pass attempts, and it was Joe Burrow and Kirk Cousins,
Speaker 4: teams that feel much better about putting the ball in
Speaker 4: their quarterbacks hands. Nick is under twenty eight and a
Speaker 4: half pass attempts in three of his last four games
Speaker 4: at twenty seven and a half, and in the two
Speaker 4: games so far this year where the Broncos have been favored,
Speaker 4: he's two and out towards the under. So in games
Speaker 4: where the Broncos are supposed to win, they don't give
Speaker 4: the ball to bow Nicks that much. So I'm taking
Speaker 4: the under. Twin and a half past times.
Speaker 1: Friends don't let friends let bo Nicks throw the football
Speaker 1: too much. I think that's the right idea, that's the recipe.
Speaker 1: Right play defense, run the football, don't overexpose bo Nicks.
Speaker 1: It seems to be working for the Denver Broncos, at
Speaker 1: least for never go full ball b Neck, No, no, never.
Speaker 1: I did that once in college and well it wasn't pretty.
Speaker 1: Breece Hall the next guy we're going to talk about
Speaker 1: as the Jets Patriots play in the Belichick Bowl, so
Speaker 1: that should be fun. Here some big running performances this
Speaker 1: year on the Patriots. We've seen that a few times.
Speaker 1: I've already bet a bunch of Breese Hall stuff, but Welsh,
Speaker 1: when it comes to props for Breeze Hall, what stands
Speaker 1: out the most for.
Speaker 3: You on video? What are we doing? We are going
Speaker 3: with an under.
Speaker 2: I had to play this under this week because his
Speaker 2: rush attempt prop was.
Speaker 3: Up at nineteen and a half, so the bet over.
Speaker 3: Of course Brice could do it.
Speaker 2: They've been using bris more, but Brice has not done
Speaker 2: it once this season. He has not had over nineteen
Speaker 2: or eighteen, I think is his tippy top of rush
Speaker 2: attempts on the year. He's actually, in fact, only had
Speaker 2: twenty rush attempts four times in his career. And they've
Speaker 2: got Braylan Allen now, so like I know why this
Speaker 2: prop went up there. Three of the last five weeks
Speaker 2: against the Patriots, you've had running backs go over thirty
Speaker 2: rush attempts, So there are there's a lot of running
Speaker 2: going on, but they like to get Brice into that
Speaker 2: twenty two to twenty three touch range. Even in this
Speaker 2: you know the new coaching staff, but there's so much
Speaker 2: done on the receiving side. So obviously if the Jets
Speaker 2: were to completely, like start blowing this out, it could
Speaker 2: lead to more rush attempts from Breese Hall. But it's
Speaker 2: gonna get Braylan Allen more involved, and I think Braylan
Speaker 2: Allen's a guy. They're gonna continue. They'll just put you know,
Speaker 2: right through the tackles and the guards. They're gonna let
Speaker 2: that open field stuff with Breece Hall happen. He's gonna
Speaker 2: get lots of touches. He's gotten up to eighteen. We're
Speaker 2: not getting to So I am slamming an under having
Speaker 2: done didn't do it last week. I'm playing my best
Speaker 2: Andrew Erickson for Halloween here. I am going with under
Speaker 2: rush attempts for Breesehall at nineteen and a half.
Speaker 1: Okay, I've bet the over on the seventy four and
Speaker 1: a half with Breese Hall, and I paired it with
Speaker 1: the touchdowns so I can get it into plus money there.
Speaker 1: Because obviously the juice is pretty strong on both of them.
Speaker 1: So if you do that, you can get almost two
Speaker 1: to one. So I mean, if you think Breesehall is
Speaker 1: gonna have a good day, and I do against the Patriots,
Speaker 1: it's hard to think he's not gonna get close to
Speaker 1: that eighty five ninety range and probably coming away with
Speaker 1: a Tuddy at some point. So that pairing is a
Speaker 1: nice little duo. Bet Andrew Erickson, let's go to you
Speaker 1: for your second prop of the day, and let's go
Speaker 1: to the Philadelphia Eagles in a matchup this week, and
Speaker 1: what receiver do you have your eye on.
Speaker 5: I'm going right back to Danta Smith.
Speaker 4: I know I talked about him last week as an
Speaker 4: over on his receiving yards and he totally bombed. He
Speaker 4: actually got I got more receiving yards than DeVonta Smith
Speaker 4: last week because he was in the negatives because Jalen.
Speaker 1: Her Tyreek Hill. It was.
Speaker 5: It was absolutely horrible.
Speaker 4: So but I'm going right back to it because I
Speaker 4: don't think my process was wrong going after Davonta Smith.
Speaker 4: It just happened to be a very outlier game from
Speaker 4: the Eagles passing game where they attempted fourteen passes. Jalen
Speaker 4: hurts that was the lowest amount of passes he's ever
Speaker 4: attempted in a game since twenty twenty one. They're not
Speaker 4: gonna be able to just attempt fourteen passes against the
Speaker 4: Cincinnati Bengals. There's no way that's happening. So I'm going
Speaker 4: right back to Smith. Historically, when Dallas Gotter has missed time,
Speaker 4: he always goes over fifty five and a half receiving yards.
Speaker 5: Before last week.
Speaker 4: He went over fifty five and a half receiving yards
Speaker 4: in every single game this season. He traditionally always thrives
Speaker 4: when guys miss time. I don't expec Dallas card to
Speaker 4: play in this matchup. You look at the Bengals defense.
Speaker 4: No defense has faced more targets to number two wide
Speaker 4: receivers than the Cincinnati Bengals this season. So I'm buying
Speaker 4: the dip aggressively on DeVonta Smith. He's gonna have a
Speaker 4: big game, all.
Speaker 1: Right, aggressively buying the dip on DeVonta Smith. Wells just
Speaker 1: go to you for one of Andrew Erickson's favorite things,
Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior. Now, look, the Jags were coming off
Speaker 1: an actual win where the offense looked decent. Travis ATM
Speaker 1: looking like a game time decision, So not looking good.
Speaker 1: For him, which means a lot of tank Bigsby, but
Speaker 1: also an opportunity where you know, you could be in
Speaker 1: a thing where Jordan Love and you know mister Lawrence
Speaker 1: are gonna have to be throwing the ball a lot,
Speaker 1: going back and forth each other potentially anyway, So what
Speaker 1: does that mean for Brian Thomas Junior this week?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if you really think that this game
Speaker 2: is going to be hyper competitive, we can play that narrative.
Speaker 2: I also think it could you know, not be hyper competitive,
Speaker 2: and that still works very well for the prop that
Speaker 2: I want in. Brian Thomas over receptions at four point
Speaker 2: five so far. So you know, my point is is like,
Speaker 2: if they're going back and forth graate, but even if
Speaker 2: the Packers are blowing them out, that means the Jaguars
Speaker 2: are going to be playing from behind and they're going
Speaker 2: to be throwing to whom Brian Thomas, this is the
Speaker 2: play that they have been going for multiple weeks.
Speaker 3: He has hit this prop.
Speaker 2: He has gone over four point five receptions in four
Speaker 2: of the last five weeks.
Speaker 3: We're seeing Kirk getting face out of this offense.
Speaker 2: Ingram obviously has been solid in his return and is
Speaker 2: going to get his lion's share. But if you also
Speaker 2: take Etan out of there, who is you know, their
Speaker 2: primary third down you know, whatever role it ends up being.
Speaker 2: We know Bigsby will not play on third downs, so
Speaker 2: that receiving role from et and that's more receptions out.
Speaker 2: But either way, it's big plays for Brian Thomas. They
Speaker 2: are continuously getting those targets in and we've got four
Speaker 2: or five weeks where this has hit. This is a
Speaker 2: pretty low ish number against a team that they are
Speaker 2: going to be playing from behind. I feel pretty certain
Speaker 2: that they are not going to be holding big major
Speaker 2: leads on the Green Bay Packers, so there's going to
Speaker 2: have to be a lot of throwing. It's not going
Speaker 2: to be twenty six carries for Tank Bigsby. This is
Speaker 2: going to be a Brian Thomas game. Four and a
Speaker 2: half receptions is nice and I'm taking it well.
Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson loves the sound of that, that's for sure.
Speaker 1: I mentioned Rashad White earlier in the show. Andrew Ericsson,
Speaker 1: you're with me on this, and maybe you're smarter because
Speaker 1: you're just betting the total rushing yards. But again, this
Speaker 1: is the guy that does work a lot in the
Speaker 1: passing game. Bucky Irving also have that toe injury, so
Speaker 1: we could see a lot of Vershaw White in this game,
Speaker 1: and he looked really sharp to me, by far, the
Speaker 1: best he's looked all year. He's actually breaking tackles. So
Speaker 1: let's get to your take on Rashad White for Week eight.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm taking the over on the rushing yards for
Speaker 4: Rashad White. Over forty three and a half the last
Speaker 4: three weeks for Shod White has been efficient. It's absolutely crazy.
Speaker 4: Sean Alexander was right. Apparently Rashad White does look pretty good.
Speaker 4: So five point four yards per carry over the last
Speaker 4: three weeks. He hit a season high in rushing yards
Speaker 4: against the same Falcons defense he's playing this week. In
Speaker 4: Week five, he had seventy two rushing yards. Every running
Speaker 4: back the Falcons have faced this year has gone over
Speaker 4: their rushing yard prop, hitting at least seventy rushing yards.
Speaker 4: So with no Bucky Irving, no wide receivers left, yes,
Speaker 4: let's establish the run. Let's feed Rashad White. As weird
Speaker 4: as that sounds, he's been much better and the matchup
Speaker 4: is there for the taking for him. So I think
Speaker 4: I like the rushing This is a week to bet
Speaker 4: Ra shod White overs the receptions, the rushing. I like
Speaker 4: White a lot. I think they're gonna have to lean
Speaker 4: on him, just giving all the injuries in the backfield
Speaker 4: into the wide receivers.
Speaker 1: All right, we still got our touchdown calls to go.
Speaker 1: We got a couple more props left for you. So
Speaker 1: let's start with JSN Jackson Smith in Jigba. DK Metcalf's
Speaker 1: health is in question, but the one thing is not
Speaker 1: in question. While Elsh has been know smith slinging the
Speaker 1: ball over the place no matter who's out there playing
Speaker 1: wide receivers. So what does the injury to dk mean
Speaker 1: this week? Potentially for the props When it comes to JSN, it's.
Speaker 2: Going to lead to a lot more first read, I
Speaker 2: talked about that. Off of that injury, DK Metcalf dominated
Speaker 2: in the first read for Seattle of it. Now you're
Speaker 2: going to take that out. JSN was around a twenty
Speaker 2: percent first read, Tyler Lockett is eighteen percent. Now you
Speaker 2: take twenty five percent off. It's going to lead to
Speaker 2: both Lockett and Jasn getting more targets. The thing that's
Speaker 2: always kind of held back, and you could look at
Speaker 2: receptions for JSN because he had that one game where
Speaker 2: it was like eight catches for fifty one yards, just
Speaker 2: one del Robinson like performances. But when we go and
Speaker 2: look at the receiving yards, it's fifty one and a half.
Speaker 2: Projections are wildly over this cross referencing PFF sixty seven
Speaker 2: receiving yards for him, so you're talking about around a
Speaker 2: sixteen yard swing on him. He has hit this marker
Speaker 2: two of the last three weeks, and two wide receivers
Speaker 2: on the opposing teams versus have hit this number, so
Speaker 2: two each in two games. He's the volume play. And
Speaker 2: I'll tell you this was one of those. In the
Speaker 2: next prop I'm gonna do as well. These were two
Speaker 2: where it was like I almost don't care what the
Speaker 2: stats are saying, like give me a semi juicy number
Speaker 2: and we're gonna jump on it. Because of volume, Jason
Speaker 2: is gonna have to step up. They're gonna get him
Speaker 2: the ball more. He's a volume target monster. And yes,
Speaker 2: the wand Dell scare is there as far as target
Speaker 2: receptions two yards, but it's under fifty five sixty, which
Speaker 2: I think was a key marker. So Jaysn with that
Speaker 2: heavy pass offense, receiving yards slamming it, trying to learn
Speaker 2: when I can, because I love reception props. But Joe,
Speaker 2: you are very very big about your receiving yards over
Speaker 2: the reception.
Speaker 1: Always the yards because you give yourself more opportunity, right,
Speaker 1: just a percentage right, and you will get that one
Speaker 1: big play. You can get most of it or even
Speaker 1: all of it, depending on that number. You know, you
Speaker 1: look at some of these numbers vers Center Tillman this
Speaker 1: week and some other guys too, where they're very low,
Speaker 1: some of those Tampa wide receivers because the market just
Speaker 1: doesn't know what it's going to look like. Advantage of
Speaker 1: those You take advantage of those overs and hopefully you
Speaker 1: hit on one or two of them.
Speaker 2: Plus one thirty five for Tillman receptions. But I tempted.
Speaker 1: It's when you get the plus money. Like I said
Speaker 1: when Rashad White, I think the three and a half
Speaker 1: is ridiculous. I don't think there's any way he doesn't
Speaker 1: have five or six catches in that game. Just from
Speaker 1: base of the need and based on what we've seen previously,
Speaker 1: when those two teams match up, that there's going to
Speaker 1: be a back and forth most likely of these two teams.
Speaker 1: And I think when you get plus money and a
Speaker 1: good number, that's when everything comes together for those receptions,
Speaker 1: and you tend to get it more with running backs
Speaker 1: in those spots than you do with wide receivers most
Speaker 1: of the time.
Speaker 4: I know that we've talked a lot about receptions and
Speaker 4: receiving yards cause I think it's a really fascinating conversation
Speaker 4: because even before the Thursday night game, Mike Mayer was
Speaker 4: trying to figure out, right, what's the pick of the day.
Speaker 4: And he's like, all right, do we go with Jefferson
Speaker 4: receptions or Jefferson receiving yards? And it didn't end up
Speaker 4: mattering because he went over everything. But I was on
Speaker 4: the yard side. I said, look, Jefferson's an explosive playmaker,
Speaker 4: and I think that in the yard I think had
Speaker 4: a bigger payout. So that's why I said, let's go
Speaker 4: with the yards. And again it didn't end up mattering.
Speaker 4: And then I think it's interesting because of the two
Speaker 4: picks that Welsh brought up here with Brian Thomas and JSN,
Speaker 4: I guess for me, Brian Thomas is an explosive playmaker,
Speaker 4: so why do the receptions of the receiving yards? And
Speaker 4: then with Jasn, it's this guy ply does is catch
Speaker 4: dub off passes?
Speaker 3: Really in a short soverse of both of my beds.
Speaker 4: Well, well, no, I guess for me, it's are we
Speaker 4: trying to lean towards what's more likely to hit or
Speaker 4: what's more likely to give us the best payout? Like what, Joe,
Speaker 4: it seems like you lean towards give me the most,
Speaker 4: give me the most money for what Ericson.
Speaker 3: Was saying, it's a payout versus Yeah.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And he's saying you're leaning more to maybe the
Speaker 2: bigger payout than maybe at line of success.
Speaker 3: Uh, even if you're reducing it a little bit.
Speaker 1: I think it's a very individual thing too, has to
Speaker 1: do with the certain players, like you bring up Brian Thomas, right,
Speaker 1: explosive player. I tend to just go and ignore the
Speaker 1: receptions because my confidence of the Jaguars consistency of offense
Speaker 1: is not great. Right, So it's circumstance, it's player, it's
Speaker 1: the prop for the week, it's it's whatever it's juiceed
Speaker 1: at or plus money at. Like, I think there's so
Speaker 1: many variables in it, but I think you have to
Speaker 1: take them all into account, and more often than not,
Speaker 1: the receiving yards. I always find to be the more
Speaker 1: profitable and like the guy's like Justin Jefferson, you know,
Speaker 1: the yards you always take because he's such a great player.
Speaker 1: You take that he can have six catches for one
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty yards. You know that's Justin Jefferson. I
Speaker 1: guess he's a big plays and then the game is done.
Speaker 1: It's over typically and you can stash it away now.
Speaker 1: It wasn't done yesterday. But again, you know, certain things
Speaker 1: do happen in the game of football when we are
Speaker 1: talking about putting together some unders. Though one of my
Speaker 1: one of my biggest fades was putting together the TV
Speaker 1: show for Sunday for Sports Grid and Andrew. The one
Speaker 1: thing that I wrote for the Busts of Week eight,
Speaker 1: I said, Raiders running backs against the Kansaby Chiefs. Game
Speaker 1: scripts not going their way. Chiefs really good against the
Speaker 1: run typically this year, defense playing really well, and it
Speaker 1: looks like you are in that same mindset as I
Speaker 1: am this week.
Speaker 4: Yep, going on under an Alexander Madison, even though he
Speaker 4: has basically been the engine to whatsever left of my
Speaker 4: flex team in Fantasy football after I picked him up
Speaker 4: because Madison's been He's been good filling in as the
Speaker 4: Army one, but I don't think that's going to continue
Speaker 4: this week against the Kansasity Chiefs. Chief Stephen's allowing the
Speaker 4: fourth fewest rushing arts per game to running backs. Only
Speaker 4: run running back they have faced the season has surpassed
Speaker 4: their rushing yards totals. So yeah, it's at forty rushing
Speaker 4: yards forty and hailf rushing yards for Alexander Madison. But
Speaker 4: I just have no faith that this Raiders' offense is
Speaker 4: going to be able to run the ball. I think
Speaker 4: the cover, but I don't think they run the ball
Speaker 4: with Alexander Madison. So even though he went over last
Speaker 4: week ninety two yards and twenty three carries, maybe we
Speaker 4: see more of a split with Samir White getting back
Speaker 4: and healthy. So I'm gonna take the under in an
Speaker 4: offense that I'm not really excited about.
Speaker 1: All Right, One more from each of the guys. Here
Speaker 1: a lot of people trying to make money. As I
Speaker 1: said earlier on the Jalen mcmillans or like Shephard, where
Speaker 1: did the bucks go from here? But Welsh, you have
Speaker 1: a different take. You're not going wide receiver at all,
Speaker 1: you're not going for Shaun White on this one, so
Speaker 1: where are you going?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think they're fun, like if you
Speaker 2: want to play on those, but I'm going to go
Speaker 2: with Cad Aughton and I am going to go to
Speaker 2: receptions on this ten targets last week through that injury,
Speaker 2: over five catches in three of his last five weeks.
Speaker 2: The marker this week is four point five over receptions
Speaker 2: six of eight games. Tight ends have gone over five
Speaker 2: receptions against Atlanta as well as two straight weeks. So
Speaker 2: we know there's no Godwin, we know there's no Evans,
Speaker 2: and we know they're going to have to move that off.
Speaker 2: We've talked about it kind of a nauseam. You guys
Speaker 2: both think Rashad White's going to get a heavy dose.
Speaker 2: I don't necessarily disagree with that. There's a big debate
Speaker 2: of Shepherd versus McMillan. But what wasn't a debate last
Speaker 2: week was Kate Aughton is getting littered with targets. Baker
Speaker 2: Mayfield loves throwing him the ball, and not that the
Speaker 2: Alanta Falcons are just some easy giveaway for any type
Speaker 2: of tight end, but you know, like it's there just
Speaker 2: teams are not throwing against. If you go and look
Speaker 2: at the matchups, there's a lot of not good tight
Speaker 2: end matchup teams that they've played. I think Baker Mayfield
Speaker 2: is going to go eight plus targets on Kate Aughten
Speaker 2: this week. So I love the reception. You can go
Speaker 2: and play your guards if you want to do that.
Speaker 2: Sometimes receptions they're just the smart play, and I think
Speaker 2: this is a situation with that where Baker is going
Speaker 2: to look to his two safety nets in this game,
Speaker 2: if we're really truly being honest, are Rashad White and
Speaker 2: Kate Aughten. Rashad White is going to be that safety
Speaker 2: play when he goes first read and you know McMillan
Speaker 2: is covered, and then if they're going to go play
Speaker 2: down the middle on a second read, Kate Aughton is
Speaker 2: going to get those massive amounts of targets. So I
Speaker 2: love the Caate Atton, Kate Aughton, and Jackson Smith and Jigba.
Speaker 2: Due to all of the injuries, where two that I
Speaker 2: was ready to just blind jump into for props this week.
Speaker 2: And that is my final on the top five.
Speaker 1: He's gone over this in three of his last five games.
Speaker 1: He went over it last week. He's just on the
Speaker 1: field a lot too sore, giving huself a lot of opportunities,
Speaker 1: which you know, some tight ends aren't on the field
Speaker 1: as much as Kate Aulton is, so the availability of
Speaker 1: him being on the field certainly gives you a shot
Speaker 1: at this one for sure, Ericson, let's wrap up the
Speaker 1: props for the week before we head to the touchdown market,
Speaker 1: and let's talk about a quarterback situation. Justin Herbert is
Speaker 1: going to be playing the New Orleans Saints, the Saints
Speaker 1: most likely without Derek Carr again. So what does that
Speaker 1: mean for Justin Herbert who this week? In terms of
Speaker 1: fantasy productivity? He's not getting the kindest rank right now,
Speaker 1: I'm looking at it. He's ranked outside the top twenty
Speaker 1: five QBS say it ain't, so.
Speaker 4: Eric's, I mean, I got him like Q twenty two.
Speaker 4: So I'm I'm way ahead of the market on Justin Herbert. Now,
Speaker 4: I get because it's not going to be an exciting game,
Speaker 4: not a lot back and forth with the Saints probably
Speaker 4: starting Spencer Ratlers. So but when you look at this
Speaker 4: passing prop for Justin Herbert, it's so low. One hundred
Speaker 4: and ninety eight and a half passing yards. And we
Speaker 4: look at the Chargers since their bye week, they're plus
Speaker 4: seven percent pass rate over expectation compared to negative eleven
Speaker 4: percent weeks one through five, so they are throwing more.
Speaker 4: We saw Justin Herbert throw for nearly three hundred and
Speaker 4: fifty yards on Monday Night football. To guys, I didn't
Speaker 4: even know we're on the Chargers, Jalen Rager. I didn't
Speaker 4: even know he was a Charger. And yet we have
Speaker 4: Herbert dropping back to throw a little bit more as
Speaker 4: I think they're trying to balance out the run with
Speaker 4: the pass. Now, I do expect them to still run
Speaker 4: the ball a decent amount against New Orleans Saints, but
Speaker 4: the Saints are coming off extra rest, so maybe their
Speaker 4: defense will finally look to try to tackle a ball carrier.
Speaker 4: So maybe this game is a little bit closer, they
Speaker 4: have to throw a little bit more. There's only two
Speaker 4: quarterbacks that haven't passed for at least two hundred yards
Speaker 4: against the Saints. One of the was Bryce Young and
Speaker 4: the other his bon Nix. So for me, it's just
Speaker 4: a very low bar to pass pun intended for Justin
Speaker 4: Herbert to get at least two hundred passing yards here,
Speaker 4: I mean, it's doesn't Herbert we're talking about. This isn't
Speaker 4: a oh like, maybe this quarterback hits this number. He's
Speaker 4: an elite quarterback. He's got a great arm. I think
Speaker 4: he can throw for two hundred yards against the Saints.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the touchdown calls for the
Speaker 1: week here, and don't forget the touchdown score report at
Speaker 1: betting pros dot com slash touchdown is available if you're
Speaker 1: looking for an edge and your touchdown betting. A touchdown
Speaker 1: score report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds
Speaker 1: and projections to help identify the best anytime touchdown bets
Speaker 1: you can make. So head to betting pros dot com
Speaker 1: slash touchdown for the latest touchdown prop analysis today. Just
Speaker 1: download the VP app wherever you get your apps. All right, Welsh,
Speaker 1: give me two guys scoring touchdowns in Week eight.
Speaker 2: We are targeting wide receivers. Number one up d J Moore.
Speaker 2: What a great matchup team gives up the most receiving
Speaker 2: touchdowns against in Washington. Caleb Williams is the top six
Speaker 2: seven quarterback in fantasy. DJ Moore is going to be
Speaker 2: one of the beneficiaries of that. Not just Keenan Allen,
Speaker 2: Keenan Allen, as I had mentioned in Week one, like
Speaker 2: he's gonna be a red zone guy. DJ Moore is
Speaker 2: gonna break a big one and you're almost getting two
Speaker 2: to one on his money. So I love that one
Speaker 2: and gonna go against my San Francisco forty nine ers.
Speaker 3: Cede Lamb is plus money.
Speaker 2: I mean, I know, wide receivers don't usually get negative
Speaker 2: minus money for you know, in anytime touchdowns. That's you know,
Speaker 2: Derrick Henry is like minus two ninety five this week.
Speaker 2: That's a running backs job. But the forty nine d
Speaker 2: secondary it's bad, It's really bad. They get toasted, They
Speaker 2: get toasted for big plays, they get toasted by number ones.
Speaker 2: And you're gonna tell me that Ceedee Lamb is gonna
Speaker 2: get plus money against this banged up forty nine Ers
Speaker 2: defense and an offense that can't stay on the field,
Speaker 2: absolutely slamming Cede Lamb at plus one ten. So Lamb
Speaker 2: and Moore are my two touchdown.
Speaker 1: Calls, all right, So Lamb and more for the Welsh.
Speaker 1: I like Lamb to score because you know me, I'm
Speaker 1: in on the Cowboys this week. How about them Cowboys?
Speaker 1: Let's go let's see if I know, oh, I know
Speaker 1: you hate it Welsh, but.
Speaker 3: Well no, just also that's just like I don't do that.
Speaker 1: It just feels like the end is nine for the
Speaker 1: forty nine ers, buy can't come suit off ericson. Give
Speaker 1: me two guys and two touchdowns and we.
Speaker 4: Gate Anthony Richardson. We're all ready to write him off
Speaker 4: in fantasy as we should. And he's inevitaly going to
Speaker 4: score two rushing touchdowns because this is just what mobile
Speaker 4: quarterbacks do. The last two times he's faced the Texans,
Speaker 4: he's scored at least one rushing touchdown. So he finds
Speaker 4: the end zone against Houston for some reason. So I'm
Speaker 4: going Anthony Richard plus one nine, need to score a
Speaker 4: rushing Touchdown's got Jonathan Taylor back running the QB option
Speaker 4: at the goal line. It's gonna be frustrating because he's
Speaker 4: gonna be on your fantasy bench most likely. And then
Speaker 4: my other guy, long shot, Tyler Boyd plus three ten.
Speaker 4: There's no DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley. I don't know what
Speaker 4: he's doing on the field, but Tyler Boyd showed out
Speaker 4: last week, caught five balls from Mason Rudolph you look
Speaker 4: at the Lions, they're the number one defense in terms
Speaker 4: of most fantasy points allowed to slot receivers, so that
Speaker 4: includes yards, targets, touchdowns. So if the Titans get anywhere
Speaker 4: near the end zone, I think, CALLI Boyd's gonna score.
Speaker 5: So that's big plus three ten.
Speaker 1: But but I like it. I like her heads out.
Speaker 1: I love the Richardson one, I really do, because you know,
Speaker 1: those games between those two teams tend to get really
Speaker 1: hyper competitive, and those are the kind of games that
Speaker 1: you want Richardson out there in space making plays. And
Speaker 1: I can see this one for sure. Plus one ninety
Speaker 1: two is a great number on that one, all right
Speaker 1: for me. The two guys that get touchdowns and find
Speaker 1: the end zone in Week eight, Tucker Craft, it's a
Speaker 1: good matchup here. The Jacksonville Jaguars are terrible against tight ends,
Speaker 1: giving up a lot of fantasy points to them this year,
Speaker 1: getting plus one ninety five on Tucker Craft two. Not
Speaker 1: to mention wide receiver injuries everywhere for them, right, Jayden
Speaker 1: Reid is not really healthy, Christian Watson's never healthy. It
Speaker 1: feels like Wix. Everybody's banged up right now. Romeo Dobbs
Speaker 1: like the only guy who's healthy. So give me Tucker
Speaker 1: Craft and there plus one ninety five and my boy
Speaker 1: was back last week and he already got a touchdown.
Speaker 1: We're gonna do it again. I think the Browns will
Speaker 1: show up get excited for this game, at least for
Speaker 1: temporary circumstances against the Baltimore Ravens. I don't know how
Speaker 1: long it lasts, but I feel like they are in
Speaker 1: this spot. They don't have to worry about Wats todaymore
Speaker 1: Winston's here now, Cooper's gone too. It's just kind of like,
Speaker 1: all right, guys, just go out there and just have
Speaker 1: some fun. And we're having fun. You're handing the football
Speaker 1: to Nick Chubb and Nick Chubb to score a touchdown.
Speaker 1: I love it this weekending plus one p thirty on
Speaker 1: that one. So give me Chub, give me Craft. That's
Speaker 1: what I want for Week eight in the NFL. You
Speaker 1: call your touchdowns though, drop your comments below. Who's going
Speaker 1: a touchdown a week eight? I want to hear from you.
Speaker 1: Don't forget to subscribe to the YouTube channel of Betting Pros,
Speaker 1: and of course don't forget to ring that bell to
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Speaker 1: today and again that's about all we could do. Use
Speaker 1: the prop bet che chee too. Use the tools are
Speaker 1: here to help you, and so are we. So we
Speaker 1: hope everyone has a great week eight. Enjoy the games,
Speaker 1: enjoy being profitable. That'll do it for us, But the
Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for the Welsh and
Speaker 1: the Undertaker. Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey P. We'll see you
Speaker 1: next time. Kids.
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