1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:05,840 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pizapia, and 3 00:00:05,880 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: it's time to look at the props for Week eight 4 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:12,640 Speaker 1: in the NFL. No buys. Everybody's playing, how hard they're playing, well, 5 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: that's something we could talk about, but certainly some matchups 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 1: some returns too. On Thursday Night Football we saw the 7 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: returns of Cooper Cup and Pooka and akup. We're gonna 8 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: get to a tugue of bayloa back and the return 9 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 1: of Jamis Winston as the starting quarterback in the NFL. 10 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: What a time to be alive. To help me break 11 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 1: down all of the props for week eight, the Welsh 12 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: and the Undertaker himself, mister Andrew Erickson, don't forget to 13 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app, start betting smarter, not harder, 14 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:38,239 Speaker 1: and use the prop bet cheat sheet because that's the 15 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: way you can find the best lines with the best 16 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: projections in the best places to bet them. Again, run 17 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros app or go to bettingpros dot 18 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 1: com slash props to check it out for yourself and 19 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 1: start using the tools like the prop bet cheat sheet 20 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 1: to make sure you get all your props in and 21 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 1: make sure that you are maximizing all of the money 22 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 1: you possibly can make. In Week eight in the NFL, 23 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: start here, gentlemen at the top. A tough week last 24 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: week for some of the props, but you guys are 25 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: still over five hundred for the year. So let's jump 26 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,679 Speaker 1: right in with two feet. Let's start with Bijeon Robinson 27 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: Welsh because you've got, as the kids like to say, 28 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: all the fields. 29 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 2: I've got all the fields, and you know what, I'm 30 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 2: HARKing it back to last year because what was the 31 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 2: money play every week? 32 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 3: Bijon. 33 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 2: Let's get back to basics with Bijon. Yes, that's gonna 34 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 2: get us going here. It's a nice low ish rushing 35 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 2: yard total prop this week at sixty two and a half. 36 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 2: Projections across the board are over I believe the BP 37 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 2: and PFF just doing a cross reference, are both over seventy. 38 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 2: The bucks they're averaging ninety two yards against, which isn't 39 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 2: too crazy, but it's on just seventeen carries, which is 40 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 2: an over five yard per carry mark. So you can 41 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 2: run on this team. Just teams really haven't been because 42 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 2: they've had some efficient offense, maybe playing catchup. Not this week, Bijon. 43 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 2: He has hit this number two straight weeks and four 44 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:01,279 Speaker 2: total for the year. And coming back to those yards average, 45 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 2: he's averaging four point seven yards on the ground, but 46 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 2: had fifteen or more carries over the last two weeks. 47 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: So you give me what they give up what he's 48 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 2: getting and the higher usage as far as carries go. 49 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:15,519 Speaker 3: I like this a lot plus just if you'd think 50 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 3: take a look at like. 51 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 2: The Bucks in general, if they are going to struggle 52 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 2: more on offense and there are going to be playing 53 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 2: a little bit from behind, and the Falcons are going 54 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 2: to be able to manage this more, it's even better 55 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 2: for Bijon to break a big run, get over that 56 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:31,920 Speaker 2: fifteen carry marker and smash this. We're back into Bijon 57 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 2: betting season. That's how I'm starting off the first one. 58 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 1: One of the things I like in that game too 59 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 1: is Shad White the over three and a half receptions. 60 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 1: Everybody knows I don't like betting receptions typically unless I'm 61 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 1: getting what plus money on it. You can get plus 62 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: one thirty on this, and with all those injuries in 63 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:50,079 Speaker 1: the wide receiver corps, Rashaud White's gonna work a lot 64 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:52,800 Speaker 1: more in that receiving game. I can't believe that the 65 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:54,920 Speaker 1: number is that low and you're getting plus money on it, 66 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:56,799 Speaker 1: So get in on that game. All the getting is good. 67 00:02:56,840 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 1: Bo Nicks this week is a top fifteen Fantasy quarter back. 68 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:03,079 Speaker 1: Did you know that according to the expert consensus rankings, 69 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 1: at least on Fantasy pros. But what does that mean 70 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: on the betting side of things? Andrew Erickson when it comes. 71 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 4: To bo Nicks, Yes, I was writing down breaking down 72 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 4: this Broncos Panthers game, which in the Betting Primer this 73 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 4: week I talked about potentially the worst game on the slate. 74 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 5: Do I want to bet the spread? Do I want 75 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 5: to bet the total? 76 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 4: And you always say, Joe when it comes to these 77 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 4: types of games with Bogs, spit the props, man, spit 78 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 4: the props and the. 79 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 5: Prop thats sit out to me? 80 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 4: The most was bow Knicks under twenty eight and a 81 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 4: half pass attempts because if Sean Payton doesn't have to 82 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 4: let Bonnicks throw, he won't let Bonnicks throw. So that's 83 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 4: why thinks gonna happen in to this matchup. I think 84 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 4: they're gonna run the ball thirty times. You look at 85 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 4: teams against the Carolina Panthers this year, no quarterback. Zero 86 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 4: quarterbacks have hit their passing attempts projection against the Panthers, 87 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 4: none of them. Only twice has a quarterback gone over 88 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 4: thirty pass attempts, and it was Joe Burrow and Kirk Cousins, 89 00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 4: teams that feel much better about putting the ball in 90 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 4: their quarterbacks hands. Nick is under twenty eight and a 91 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 4: half pass attempts in three of his last four games 92 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:00,839 Speaker 4: at twenty seven and a half, and in the two 93 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 4: games so far this year where the Broncos have been favored, 94 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 4: he's two and out towards the under. So in games 95 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 4: where the Broncos are supposed to win, they don't give 96 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 4: the ball to bow Nicks that much. So I'm taking 97 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 4: the under. Twin and a half past times. 98 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:16,080 Speaker 1: Friends don't let friends let bo Nicks throw the football 99 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: too much. I think that's the right idea, that's the recipe. 100 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: Right play defense, run the football, don't overexpose bo Nicks. 101 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: It seems to be working for the Denver Broncos, at 102 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 1: least for never go full ball b Neck, No, no, never. 103 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 1: I did that once in college and well it wasn't pretty. 104 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: Breece Hall the next guy we're going to talk about 105 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:35,919 Speaker 1: as the Jets Patriots play in the Belichick Bowl, so 106 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 1: that should be fun. Here some big running performances this 107 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: year on the Patriots. We've seen that a few times. 108 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: I've already bet a bunch of Breese Hall stuff, but Welsh, 109 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 1: when it comes to props for Breeze Hall, what stands 110 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 1: out the most for. 111 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:50,400 Speaker 3: You on video? What are we doing? We are going 112 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 3: with an under. 113 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 2: I had to play this under this week because his 114 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 2: rush attempt prop was. 115 00:04:57,200 --> 00:04:59,839 Speaker 3: Up at nineteen and a half, so the bet over. 116 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 3: Of course Brice could do it. 117 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 2: They've been using bris more, but Brice has not done 118 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 2: it once this season. He has not had over nineteen 119 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 2: or eighteen, I think is his tippy top of rush 120 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 2: attempts on the year. He's actually, in fact, only had 121 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 2: twenty rush attempts four times in his career. And they've 122 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 2: got Braylan Allen now, so like I know why this 123 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 2: prop went up there. Three of the last five weeks 124 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 2: against the Patriots, you've had running backs go over thirty 125 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:30,799 Speaker 2: rush attempts, So there are there's a lot of running 126 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 2: going on, but they like to get Brice into that 127 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 2: twenty two to twenty three touch range. Even in this 128 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 2: you know the new coaching staff, but there's so much 129 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 2: done on the receiving side. So obviously if the Jets 130 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:43,599 Speaker 2: were to completely, like start blowing this out, it could 131 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:46,120 Speaker 2: lead to more rush attempts from Breese Hall. But it's 132 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 2: gonna get Braylan Allen more involved, and I think Braylan 133 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 2: Allen's a guy. They're gonna continue. They'll just put you know, 134 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 2: right through the tackles and the guards. They're gonna let 135 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,040 Speaker 2: that open field stuff with Breece Hall happen. He's gonna 136 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 2: get lots of touches. He's gotten up to eighteen. We're 137 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 2: not getting to So I am slamming an under having 138 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,119 Speaker 2: done didn't do it last week. I'm playing my best 139 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 2: Andrew Erickson for Halloween here. I am going with under 140 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 2: rush attempts for Breesehall at nineteen and a half. 141 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,280 Speaker 1: Okay, I've bet the over on the seventy four and 142 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: a half with Breese Hall, and I paired it with 143 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 1: the touchdowns so I can get it into plus money there. 144 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:22,560 Speaker 1: Because obviously the juice is pretty strong on both of them. 145 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 1: So if you do that, you can get almost two 146 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: to one. So I mean, if you think Breesehall is 147 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:28,479 Speaker 1: gonna have a good day, and I do against the Patriots, 148 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 1: it's hard to think he's not gonna get close to 149 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 1: that eighty five ninety range and probably coming away with 150 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 1: a Tuddy at some point. So that pairing is a 151 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 1: nice little duo. Bet Andrew Erickson, let's go to you 152 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 1: for your second prop of the day, and let's go 153 00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:44,320 Speaker 1: to the Philadelphia Eagles in a matchup this week, and 154 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: what receiver do you have your eye on. 155 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 5: I'm going right back to Danta Smith. 156 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 4: I know I talked about him last week as an 157 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 4: over on his receiving yards and he totally bombed. He 158 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:54,160 Speaker 4: actually got I got more receiving yards than DeVonta Smith 159 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:57,279 Speaker 4: last week because he was in the negatives because Jalen. 160 00:06:56,960 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 1: Her Tyreek Hill. It was. 161 00:06:58,480 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 5: It was absolutely horrible. 162 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 4: So but I'm going right back to it because I 163 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 4: don't think my process was wrong going after Davonta Smith. 164 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 4: It just happened to be a very outlier game from 165 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 4: the Eagles passing game where they attempted fourteen passes. Jalen 166 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 4: hurts that was the lowest amount of passes he's ever 167 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 4: attempted in a game since twenty twenty one. They're not 168 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 4: gonna be able to just attempt fourteen passes against the 169 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 4: Cincinnati Bengals. There's no way that's happening. So I'm going 170 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 4: right back to Smith. Historically, when Dallas Gotter has missed time, 171 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 4: he always goes over fifty five and a half receiving yards. 172 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 5: Before last week. 173 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:29,400 Speaker 4: He went over fifty five and a half receiving yards 174 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 4: in every single game this season. He traditionally always thrives 175 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 4: when guys miss time. I don't expec Dallas card to 176 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 4: play in this matchup. You look at the Bengals defense. 177 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 4: No defense has faced more targets to number two wide 178 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 4: receivers than the Cincinnati Bengals this season. So I'm buying 179 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 4: the dip aggressively on DeVonta Smith. He's gonna have a 180 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:46,960 Speaker 4: big game, all. 181 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 1: Right, aggressively buying the dip on DeVonta Smith. Wells just 182 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: go to you for one of Andrew Erickson's favorite things, 183 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior. Now, look, the Jags were coming off 184 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 1: an actual win where the offense looked decent. Travis ATM 185 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: looking like a game time decision, So not looking good. 186 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 1: For him, which means a lot of tank Bigsby, but 187 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:08,360 Speaker 1: also an opportunity where you know, you could be in 188 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: a thing where Jordan Love and you know mister Lawrence 189 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: are gonna have to be throwing the ball a lot, 190 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 1: going back and forth each other potentially anyway, So what 191 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: does that mean for Brian Thomas Junior this week? 192 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if you really think that this game 193 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 2: is going to be hyper competitive, we can play that narrative. 194 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 2: I also think it could you know, not be hyper competitive, 195 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 2: and that still works very well for the prop that 196 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 2: I want in. Brian Thomas over receptions at four point 197 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 2: five so far. So you know, my point is is like, 198 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:35,960 Speaker 2: if they're going back and forth graate, but even if 199 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 2: the Packers are blowing them out, that means the Jaguars 200 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:40,560 Speaker 2: are going to be playing from behind and they're going 201 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 2: to be throwing to whom Brian Thomas, this is the 202 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 2: play that they have been going for multiple weeks. 203 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 3: He has hit this prop. 204 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:49,319 Speaker 2: He has gone over four point five receptions in four 205 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 2: of the last five weeks. 206 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 3: We're seeing Kirk getting face out of this offense. 207 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 2: Ingram obviously has been solid in his return and is 208 00:08:57,840 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 2: going to get his lion's share. But if you also 209 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 2: take Etan out of there, who is you know, their 210 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 2: primary third down you know, whatever role it ends up being. 211 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 2: We know Bigsby will not play on third downs, so 212 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 2: that receiving role from et and that's more receptions out. 213 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 2: But either way, it's big plays for Brian Thomas. They 214 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 2: are continuously getting those targets in and we've got four 215 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:17,440 Speaker 2: or five weeks where this has hit. This is a 216 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 2: pretty low ish number against a team that they are 217 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:24,199 Speaker 2: going to be playing from behind. I feel pretty certain 218 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 2: that they are not going to be holding big major 219 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 2: leads on the Green Bay Packers, so there's going to 220 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 2: have to be a lot of throwing. It's not going 221 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:32,719 Speaker 2: to be twenty six carries for Tank Bigsby. This is 222 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:34,559 Speaker 2: going to be a Brian Thomas game. Four and a 223 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 2: half receptions is nice and I'm taking it well. 224 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson loves the sound of that, that's for sure. 225 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 1: I mentioned Rashad White earlier in the show. Andrew Ericsson, 226 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: you're with me on this, and maybe you're smarter because 227 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 1: you're just betting the total rushing yards. But again, this 228 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:50,679 Speaker 1: is the guy that does work a lot in the 229 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 1: passing game. Bucky Irving also have that toe injury, so 230 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: we could see a lot of Vershaw White in this game, 231 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 1: and he looked really sharp to me, by far, the 232 00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 1: best he's looked all year. He's actually breaking tackles. So 233 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: let's get to your take on Rashad White for Week eight. 234 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm taking the over on the rushing yards for 235 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 4: Rashad White. Over forty three and a half the last 236 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 4: three weeks for Shod White has been efficient. It's absolutely crazy. 237 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 4: Sean Alexander was right. Apparently Rashad White does look pretty good. 238 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:15,680 Speaker 4: So five point four yards per carry over the last 239 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 4: three weeks. He hit a season high in rushing yards 240 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 4: against the same Falcons defense he's playing this week. In 241 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:23,079 Speaker 4: Week five, he had seventy two rushing yards. Every running 242 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,480 Speaker 4: back the Falcons have faced this year has gone over 243 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 4: their rushing yard prop, hitting at least seventy rushing yards. 244 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:32,560 Speaker 4: So with no Bucky Irving, no wide receivers left, yes, 245 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 4: let's establish the run. Let's feed Rashad White. As weird 246 00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 4: as that sounds, he's been much better and the matchup 247 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 4: is there for the taking for him. So I think 248 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 4: I like the rushing This is a week to bet 249 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 4: Ra shod White overs the receptions, the rushing. I like 250 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:45,320 Speaker 4: White a lot. I think they're gonna have to lean 251 00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:47,280 Speaker 4: on him, just giving all the injuries in the backfield 252 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 4: into the wide receivers. 253 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:50,560 Speaker 1: All right, we still got our touchdown calls to go. 254 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 1: We got a couple more props left for you. So 255 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 1: let's start with JSN Jackson Smith in Jigba. DK Metcalf's 256 00:10:56,920 --> 00:10:58,840 Speaker 1: health is in question, but the one thing is not 257 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: in question. While Elsh has been know smith slinging the 258 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 1: ball over the place no matter who's out there playing 259 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,679 Speaker 1: wide receivers. So what does the injury to dk mean 260 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: this week? Potentially for the props When it comes to JSN, it's. 261 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 2: Going to lead to a lot more first read, I 262 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 2: talked about that. Off of that injury, DK Metcalf dominated 263 00:11:15,960 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 2: in the first read for Seattle of it. Now you're 264 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 2: going to take that out. JSN was around a twenty 265 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 2: percent first read, Tyler Lockett is eighteen percent. Now you 266 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:26,240 Speaker 2: take twenty five percent off. It's going to lead to 267 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 2: both Lockett and Jasn getting more targets. The thing that's 268 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:31,320 Speaker 2: always kind of held back, and you could look at 269 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 2: receptions for JSN because he had that one game where 270 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 2: it was like eight catches for fifty one yards, just 271 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:39,839 Speaker 2: one del Robinson like performances. But when we go and 272 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 2: look at the receiving yards, it's fifty one and a half. 273 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:47,640 Speaker 2: Projections are wildly over this cross referencing PFF sixty seven 274 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 2: receiving yards for him, so you're talking about around a 275 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:53,760 Speaker 2: sixteen yard swing on him. He has hit this marker 276 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 2: two of the last three weeks, and two wide receivers 277 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 2: on the opposing teams versus have hit this number, so 278 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 2: two each in two games. He's the volume play. And 279 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 2: I'll tell you this was one of those. In the 280 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:09,600 Speaker 2: next prop I'm gonna do as well. These were two 281 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 2: where it was like I almost don't care what the 282 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 2: stats are saying, like give me a semi juicy number 283 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 2: and we're gonna jump on it. Because of volume, Jason 284 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:19,440 Speaker 2: is gonna have to step up. They're gonna get him 285 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,680 Speaker 2: the ball more. He's a volume target monster. And yes, 286 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 2: the wand Dell scare is there as far as target 287 00:12:25,440 --> 00:12:29,080 Speaker 2: receptions two yards, but it's under fifty five sixty, which 288 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 2: I think was a key marker. So Jaysn with that 289 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 2: heavy pass offense, receiving yards slamming it, trying to learn 290 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 2: when I can, because I love reception props. But Joe, 291 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 2: you are very very big about your receiving yards over 292 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 2: the reception. 293 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,559 Speaker 1: Always the yards because you give yourself more opportunity, right, 294 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 1: just a percentage right, and you will get that one 295 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 1: big play. You can get most of it or even 296 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 1: all of it, depending on that number. You know, you 297 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:54,360 Speaker 1: look at some of these numbers vers Center Tillman this 298 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:55,959 Speaker 1: week and some other guys too, where they're very low, 299 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 1: some of those Tampa wide receivers because the market just 300 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 1: doesn't know what it's going to look like. Advantage of 301 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 1: those You take advantage of those overs and hopefully you 302 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 1: hit on one or two of them. 303 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 2: Plus one thirty five for Tillman receptions. But I tempted. 304 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:09,920 Speaker 1: It's when you get the plus money. Like I said 305 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 1: when Rashad White, I think the three and a half 306 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 1: is ridiculous. I don't think there's any way he doesn't 307 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:15,280 Speaker 1: have five or six catches in that game. Just from 308 00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:17,720 Speaker 1: base of the need and based on what we've seen previously, 309 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:20,040 Speaker 1: when those two teams match up, that there's going to 310 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,840 Speaker 1: be a back and forth most likely of these two teams. 311 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:25,440 Speaker 1: And I think when you get plus money and a 312 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 1: good number, that's when everything comes together for those receptions, 313 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 1: and you tend to get it more with running backs 314 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 1: in those spots than you do with wide receivers most 315 00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:32,880 Speaker 1: of the time. 316 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 4: I know that we've talked a lot about receptions and 317 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:37,360 Speaker 4: receiving yards cause I think it's a really fascinating conversation 318 00:13:37,400 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 4: because even before the Thursday night game, Mike Mayer was 319 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 4: trying to figure out, right, what's the pick of the day. 320 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 4: And he's like, all right, do we go with Jefferson 321 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:46,080 Speaker 4: receptions or Jefferson receiving yards? And it didn't end up 322 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:49,000 Speaker 4: mattering because he went over everything. But I was on 323 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 4: the yard side. I said, look, Jefferson's an explosive playmaker, 324 00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 4: and I think that in the yard I think had 325 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 4: a bigger payout. So that's why I said, let's go 326 00:13:57,240 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 4: with the yards. And again it didn't end up mattering. 327 00:13:59,480 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 4: And then I think it's interesting because of the two 328 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:04,559 Speaker 4: picks that Welsh brought up here with Brian Thomas and JSN, 329 00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:07,440 Speaker 4: I guess for me, Brian Thomas is an explosive playmaker, 330 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,200 Speaker 4: so why do the receptions of the receiving yards? And 331 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:12,640 Speaker 4: then with Jasn, it's this guy ply does is catch 332 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:13,560 Speaker 4: dub off passes? 333 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:16,240 Speaker 3: Really in a short soverse of both of my beds. 334 00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 4: Well, well, no, I guess for me, it's are we 335 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 4: trying to lean towards what's more likely to hit or 336 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 4: what's more likely to give us the best payout? Like what, Joe, 337 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 4: it seems like you lean towards give me the most, 338 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 4: give me the most money for what Ericson. 339 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:30,760 Speaker 3: Was saying, it's a payout versus Yeah. 340 00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, And he's saying you're leaning more to maybe the 341 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 2: bigger payout than maybe at line of success. 342 00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:37,960 Speaker 3: Uh, even if you're reducing it a little bit. 343 00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 1: I think it's a very individual thing too, has to 344 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 1: do with the certain players, like you bring up Brian Thomas, right, 345 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 1: explosive player. I tend to just go and ignore the 346 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 1: receptions because my confidence of the Jaguars consistency of offense 347 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 1: is not great. Right, So it's circumstance, it's player, it's 348 00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:53,360 Speaker 1: the prop for the week, it's it's whatever it's juiceed 349 00:14:53,400 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 1: at or plus money at. Like, I think there's so 350 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 1: many variables in it, but I think you have to 351 00:14:57,720 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 1: take them all into account, and more often than not, 352 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 1: the receiving yards. I always find to be the more 353 00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 1: profitable and like the guy's like Justin Jefferson, you know, 354 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 1: the yards you always take because he's such a great player. 355 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: You take that he can have six catches for one 356 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty yards. You know that's Justin Jefferson. I 357 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 1: guess he's a big plays and then the game is done. 358 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 1: It's over typically and you can stash it away now. 359 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 1: It wasn't done yesterday. But again, you know, certain things 360 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 1: do happen in the game of football when we are 361 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:28,240 Speaker 1: talking about putting together some unders. Though one of my 362 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 1: one of my biggest fades was putting together the TV 363 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 1: show for Sunday for Sports Grid and Andrew. The one 364 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 1: thing that I wrote for the Busts of Week eight, 365 00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:37,640 Speaker 1: I said, Raiders running backs against the Kansaby Chiefs. Game 366 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: scripts not going their way. Chiefs really good against the 367 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 1: run typically this year, defense playing really well, and it 368 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 1: looks like you are in that same mindset as I 369 00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 1: am this week. 370 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 4: Yep, going on under an Alexander Madison, even though he 371 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:52,680 Speaker 4: has basically been the engine to whatsever left of my 372 00:15:52,720 --> 00:15:55,120 Speaker 4: flex team in Fantasy football after I picked him up 373 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 4: because Madison's been He's been good filling in as the 374 00:15:57,520 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 4: Army one, but I don't think that's going to continue 375 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 4: this week against the Kansasity Chiefs. Chief Stephen's allowing the 376 00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 4: fourth fewest rushing arts per game to running backs. Only 377 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 4: run running back they have faced the season has surpassed 378 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:09,760 Speaker 4: their rushing yards totals. So yeah, it's at forty rushing 379 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 4: yards forty and hailf rushing yards for Alexander Madison. But 380 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 4: I just have no faith that this Raiders' offense is 381 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 4: going to be able to run the ball. I think 382 00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 4: the cover, but I don't think they run the ball 383 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 4: with Alexander Madison. So even though he went over last 384 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 4: week ninety two yards and twenty three carries, maybe we 385 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 4: see more of a split with Samir White getting back 386 00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 4: and healthy. So I'm gonna take the under in an 387 00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 4: offense that I'm not really excited about. 388 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 1: All Right, One more from each of the guys. Here 389 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 1: a lot of people trying to make money. As I 390 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 1: said earlier on the Jalen mcmillans or like Shephard, where 391 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:36,360 Speaker 1: did the bucks go from here? But Welsh, you have 392 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 1: a different take. You're not going wide receiver at all, 393 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 1: you're not going for Shaun White on this one, so 394 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 1: where are you going? 395 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think they're fun, like if you 396 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 2: want to play on those, but I'm going to go 397 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 2: with Cad Aughton and I am going to go to 398 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:51,480 Speaker 2: receptions on this ten targets last week through that injury, 399 00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 2: over five catches in three of his last five weeks. 400 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,480 Speaker 2: The marker this week is four point five over receptions 401 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 2: six of eight games. Tight ends have gone over five 402 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 2: receptions against Atlanta as well as two straight weeks. So 403 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 2: we know there's no Godwin, we know there's no Evans, 404 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:11,400 Speaker 2: and we know they're going to have to move that off. 405 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:13,840 Speaker 2: We've talked about it kind of a nauseam. You guys 406 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 2: both think Rashad White's going to get a heavy dose. 407 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 2: I don't necessarily disagree with that. There's a big debate 408 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:22,160 Speaker 2: of Shepherd versus McMillan. But what wasn't a debate last 409 00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:24,480 Speaker 2: week was Kate Aughton is getting littered with targets. Baker 410 00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:28,119 Speaker 2: Mayfield loves throwing him the ball, and not that the 411 00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:31,359 Speaker 2: Alanta Falcons are just some easy giveaway for any type 412 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:34,119 Speaker 2: of tight end, but you know, like it's there just 413 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 2: teams are not throwing against. If you go and look 414 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 2: at the matchups, there's a lot of not good tight 415 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 2: end matchup teams that they've played. I think Baker Mayfield 416 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 2: is going to go eight plus targets on Kate Aughten 417 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:45,760 Speaker 2: this week. So I love the reception. You can go 418 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 2: and play your guards if you want to do that. 419 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,440 Speaker 2: Sometimes receptions they're just the smart play, and I think 420 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 2: this is a situation with that where Baker is going 421 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,120 Speaker 2: to look to his two safety nets in this game, 422 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,440 Speaker 2: if we're really truly being honest, are Rashad White and 423 00:17:57,520 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 2: Kate Aughten. Rashad White is going to be that safety 424 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 2: play when he goes first read and you know McMillan 425 00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:06,640 Speaker 2: is covered, and then if they're going to go play 426 00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,639 Speaker 2: down the middle on a second read, Kate Aughton is 427 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:11,959 Speaker 2: going to get those massive amounts of targets. So I 428 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 2: love the Caate Atton, Kate Aughton, and Jackson Smith and Jigba. 429 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,320 Speaker 2: Due to all of the injuries, where two that I 430 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,359 Speaker 2: was ready to just blind jump into for props this week. 431 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 2: And that is my final on the top five. 432 00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 1: He's gone over this in three of his last five games. 433 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 1: He went over it last week. He's just on the 434 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:29,560 Speaker 1: field a lot too sore, giving huself a lot of opportunities, 435 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,440 Speaker 1: which you know, some tight ends aren't on the field 436 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 1: as much as Kate Aulton is, so the availability of 437 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:36,359 Speaker 1: him being on the field certainly gives you a shot 438 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:38,879 Speaker 1: at this one for sure, Ericson, let's wrap up the 439 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,119 Speaker 1: props for the week before we head to the touchdown market, 440 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,199 Speaker 1: and let's talk about a quarterback situation. Justin Herbert is 441 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 1: going to be playing the New Orleans Saints, the Saints 442 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,399 Speaker 1: most likely without Derek Carr again. So what does that 443 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:51,439 Speaker 1: mean for Justin Herbert who this week? In terms of 444 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 1: fantasy productivity? He's not getting the kindest rank right now, 445 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:57,560 Speaker 1: I'm looking at it. He's ranked outside the top twenty 446 00:18:57,600 --> 00:18:59,480 Speaker 1: five QBS say it ain't, so. 447 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 4: Eric's, I mean, I got him like Q twenty two. 448 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,240 Speaker 4: So I'm I'm way ahead of the market on Justin Herbert. Now, 449 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 4: I get because it's not going to be an exciting game, 450 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 4: not a lot back and forth with the Saints probably 451 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:12,560 Speaker 4: starting Spencer Ratlers. So but when you look at this 452 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 4: passing prop for Justin Herbert, it's so low. One hundred 453 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:18,040 Speaker 4: and ninety eight and a half passing yards. And we 454 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 4: look at the Chargers since their bye week, they're plus 455 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 4: seven percent pass rate over expectation compared to negative eleven 456 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 4: percent weeks one through five, so they are throwing more. 457 00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:30,320 Speaker 4: We saw Justin Herbert throw for nearly three hundred and 458 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:33,440 Speaker 4: fifty yards on Monday Night football. To guys, I didn't 459 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:36,119 Speaker 4: even know we're on the Chargers, Jalen Rager. I didn't 460 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:38,119 Speaker 4: even know he was a Charger. And yet we have 461 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 4: Herbert dropping back to throw a little bit more as 462 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 4: I think they're trying to balance out the run with 463 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:44,879 Speaker 4: the pass. Now, I do expect them to still run 464 00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:47,159 Speaker 4: the ball a decent amount against New Orleans Saints, but 465 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:49,320 Speaker 4: the Saints are coming off extra rest, so maybe their 466 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,879 Speaker 4: defense will finally look to try to tackle a ball carrier. 467 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:53,919 Speaker 4: So maybe this game is a little bit closer, they 468 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:55,919 Speaker 4: have to throw a little bit more. There's only two 469 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:58,520 Speaker 4: quarterbacks that haven't passed for at least two hundred yards 470 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:00,920 Speaker 4: against the Saints. One of the was Bryce Young and 471 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,639 Speaker 4: the other his bon Nix. So for me, it's just 472 00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:06,439 Speaker 4: a very low bar to pass pun intended for Justin 473 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,800 Speaker 4: Herbert to get at least two hundred passing yards here, 474 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:10,920 Speaker 4: I mean, it's doesn't Herbert we're talking about. This isn't 475 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 4: a oh like, maybe this quarterback hits this number. He's 476 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 4: an elite quarterback. He's got a great arm. I think 477 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:17,360 Speaker 4: he can throw for two hundred yards against the Saints. 478 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:19,639 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the touchdown calls for the 479 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:21,639 Speaker 1: week here, and don't forget the touchdown score report at 480 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 1: betting pros dot com slash touchdown is available if you're 481 00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 1: looking for an edge and your touchdown betting. A touchdown 482 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 1: score report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds 483 00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:33,960 Speaker 1: and projections to help identify the best anytime touchdown bets 484 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 1: you can make. So head to betting pros dot com 485 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:39,359 Speaker 1: slash touchdown for the latest touchdown prop analysis today. Just 486 00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:42,480 Speaker 1: download the VP app wherever you get your apps. All right, Welsh, 487 00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 1: give me two guys scoring touchdowns in Week eight. 488 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 2: We are targeting wide receivers. Number one up d J Moore. 489 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 2: What a great matchup team gives up the most receiving 490 00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 2: touchdowns against in Washington. Caleb Williams is the top six 491 00:20:57,359 --> 00:21:00,960 Speaker 2: seven quarterback in fantasy. DJ Moore is going to be 492 00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:03,200 Speaker 2: one of the beneficiaries of that. Not just Keenan Allen, 493 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 2: Keenan Allen, as I had mentioned in Week one, like 494 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:07,119 Speaker 2: he's gonna be a red zone guy. DJ Moore is 495 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:09,240 Speaker 2: gonna break a big one and you're almost getting two 496 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 2: to one on his money. So I love that one 497 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 2: and gonna go against my San Francisco forty nine ers. 498 00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:15,560 Speaker 3: Cede Lamb is plus money. 499 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,360 Speaker 2: I mean, I know, wide receivers don't usually get negative 500 00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:23,199 Speaker 2: minus money for you know, in anytime touchdowns. That's you know, 501 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,000 Speaker 2: Derrick Henry is like minus two ninety five this week. 502 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 2: That's a running backs job. But the forty nine d 503 00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,639 Speaker 2: secondary it's bad, It's really bad. They get toasted, They 504 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 2: get toasted for big plays, they get toasted by number ones. 505 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,200 Speaker 2: And you're gonna tell me that Ceedee Lamb is gonna 506 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,040 Speaker 2: get plus money against this banged up forty nine Ers 507 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,399 Speaker 2: defense and an offense that can't stay on the field, 508 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 2: absolutely slamming Cede Lamb at plus one ten. So Lamb 509 00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:49,080 Speaker 2: and Moore are my two touchdown. 510 00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:52,080 Speaker 1: Calls, all right, So Lamb and more for the Welsh. 511 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,360 Speaker 1: I like Lamb to score because you know me, I'm 512 00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:57,880 Speaker 1: in on the Cowboys this week. How about them Cowboys? 513 00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:00,359 Speaker 1: Let's go let's see if I know, oh, I know 514 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 1: you hate it Welsh, but. 515 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:04,159 Speaker 3: Well no, just also that's just like I don't do that. 516 00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,560 Speaker 1: It just feels like the end is nine for the 517 00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 1: forty nine ers, buy can't come suit off ericson. Give 518 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:11,120 Speaker 1: me two guys and two touchdowns and we. 519 00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 4: Gate Anthony Richardson. We're all ready to write him off 520 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,040 Speaker 4: in fantasy as we should. And he's inevitaly going to 521 00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 4: score two rushing touchdowns because this is just what mobile 522 00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:20,480 Speaker 4: quarterbacks do. The last two times he's faced the Texans, 523 00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:23,160 Speaker 4: he's scored at least one rushing touchdown. So he finds 524 00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:25,200 Speaker 4: the end zone against Houston for some reason. So I'm 525 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,000 Speaker 4: going Anthony Richard plus one nine, need to score a 526 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 4: rushing Touchdown's got Jonathan Taylor back running the QB option 527 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:31,719 Speaker 4: at the goal line. It's gonna be frustrating because he's 528 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:33,760 Speaker 4: gonna be on your fantasy bench most likely. And then 529 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:37,800 Speaker 4: my other guy, long shot, Tyler Boyd plus three ten. 530 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 4: There's no DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley. I don't know what 531 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 4: he's doing on the field, but Tyler Boyd showed out 532 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 4: last week, caught five balls from Mason Rudolph you look 533 00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 4: at the Lions, they're the number one defense in terms 534 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 4: of most fantasy points allowed to slot receivers, so that 535 00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:55,520 Speaker 4: includes yards, targets, touchdowns. So if the Titans get anywhere 536 00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 4: near the end zone, I think, CALLI Boyd's gonna score. 537 00:22:58,000 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 5: So that's big plus three ten. 538 00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 1: But but I like it. I like her heads out. 539 00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,239 Speaker 1: I love the Richardson one, I really do, because you know, 540 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 1: those games between those two teams tend to get really 541 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,199 Speaker 1: hyper competitive, and those are the kind of games that 542 00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 1: you want Richardson out there in space making plays. And 543 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: I can see this one for sure. Plus one ninety 544 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 1: two is a great number on that one, all right 545 00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:18,720 Speaker 1: for me. The two guys that get touchdowns and find 546 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:22,119 Speaker 1: the end zone in Week eight, Tucker Craft, it's a 547 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,959 Speaker 1: good matchup here. The Jacksonville Jaguars are terrible against tight ends, 548 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:27,880 Speaker 1: giving up a lot of fantasy points to them this year, 549 00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 1: getting plus one ninety five on Tucker Craft two. Not 550 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,600 Speaker 1: to mention wide receiver injuries everywhere for them, right, Jayden 551 00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 1: Reid is not really healthy, Christian Watson's never healthy. It 552 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,680 Speaker 1: feels like Wix. Everybody's banged up right now. Romeo Dobbs 553 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,160 Speaker 1: like the only guy who's healthy. So give me Tucker 554 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 1: Craft and there plus one ninety five and my boy 555 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:46,760 Speaker 1: was back last week and he already got a touchdown. 556 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 1: We're gonna do it again. I think the Browns will 557 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:53,280 Speaker 1: show up get excited for this game, at least for 558 00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:56,679 Speaker 1: temporary circumstances against the Baltimore Ravens. I don't know how 559 00:23:56,680 --> 00:24:00,280 Speaker 1: long it lasts, but I feel like they are in 560 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 1: this spot. They don't have to worry about Wats todaymore 561 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:06,840 Speaker 1: Winston's here now, Cooper's gone too. It's just kind of like, 562 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 1: all right, guys, just go out there and just have 563 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 1: some fun. And we're having fun. You're handing the football 564 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,360 Speaker 1: to Nick Chubb and Nick Chubb to score a touchdown. 565 00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 1: I love it this weekending plus one p thirty on 566 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 1: that one. So give me Chub, give me Craft. That's 567 00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:20,679 Speaker 1: what I want for Week eight in the NFL. You 568 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 1: call your touchdowns though, drop your comments below. Who's going 569 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: a touchdown a week eight? I want to hear from you. 570 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,720 Speaker 1: Don't forget to subscribe to the YouTube channel of Betting Pros, 571 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:30,600 Speaker 1: and of course don't forget to ring that bell to 572 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,080 Speaker 1: that goes ding for notifications, download the Betting Pros app 573 00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:36,840 Speaker 1: today and again that's about all we could do. Use 574 00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 1: the prop bet che chee too. Use the tools are 575 00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:40,639 Speaker 1: here to help you, and so are we. So we 576 00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:44,240 Speaker 1: hope everyone has a great week eight. Enjoy the games, 577 00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 1: enjoy being profitable. That'll do it for us, But the 578 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:48,720 Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for the Welsh and 579 00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,480 Speaker 1: the Undertaker. Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey P. We'll see you 580 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:52,359 Speaker 1: next time. Kids. 581 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,240 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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