1 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 1: Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan ger Dusky. 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for being here, guys. I want 3 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:10,200 Speaker 1: to remind you all that before the big story came 4 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: out about Christy Noman her husband, I said on this 5 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: podcast that a secretary was telling reporters off the record 6 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:21,599 Speaker 1: that her husband was gay. Just so you know, I 7 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 1: didn't name Christy nom because I wanted to keep that 8 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: privacy because I'm not here to out people. But the 9 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:30,640 Speaker 1: Guardian or the Daily Mail did it for me. So 10 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: but I told you guys all way ahead of time 11 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:36,159 Speaker 1: that this was happening, and that this was what she 12 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 1: was buzzing about her reporters. I wouldn't be shocked if 13 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 1: someone in her close circle was the one who passed 14 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 1: along some of that information to the Daily Mail reporters. 15 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 1: I just want to let you know that listen to 16 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: this podcast, you learn about the news a little earlier. Okay. 17 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: My main topic for today is not about Christy Noms's husband. 18 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: It is about is the rand war sinking Donald Trump 19 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: and the report publican party. That is the question I'm 20 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 1: posing to my audience now. When the bombing campaign originally 21 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 1: started five weeks ago, I, like many Republicans were somewhat supportive, 22 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,119 Speaker 1: and I said much the effect that you know, look, 23 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: Iran has funded terrorism for decades. They have They've killed Americans, 24 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,960 Speaker 1: they have threatened American troops that are stationed overseas. They've 25 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 1: threatened our allies Israel and Saudi Arabia. They have not 26 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 1: made a secret they want to make the long range 27 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 1: ballistic missiles which could char target Europe. They were absolutely 28 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: a threat to stability, not only in the region, but 29 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 1: in the world. I know Israeli intelligence has said that 30 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 1: they were trying to build a nuclear bomb. I'm not 31 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:46,319 Speaker 1: a big believer in Israeli intelligence when it comes to Iran. 32 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: They've been off quite a bit over the last few decades, 33 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: so I'm going to put that beside them. But they 34 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: did were absolutely trying to build a long range ballistic 35 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: missile program and trying to enrich uranium. And I said 36 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 1: in this program that as long as this was just 37 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 1: about bombing campaigns, most Republicans were not going to care. 38 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 1: They weren't going it wasn't going to affect their life law, 39 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:15,399 Speaker 1: you know, to most effects, and if it was very successful, 40 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 1: it would be like Venezuela with the arrest of Majuro, 41 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: which was flawless, but it wasn't going to positively impact 42 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 1: the president very much because we don't care about foreign 43 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: policy as a country. Right now, that idea that Republicans 44 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 1: are not going to care is changing, and it's changing fast. 45 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 1: We've had in this country as far as because of this, 46 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: you know, because of the war, we've had a few 47 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: terrorist attacks which have killed American civilians. We have had 48 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 1: soldiers die overseas abroad, and we most importantly though as 49 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:56,080 Speaker 1: far as political ramifications go, not human life obviously lost, 50 00:02:56,080 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 1: but political ramifications were. Seeing the price of oil, Guy Rocket, 51 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,680 Speaker 1: I got a text yesterday or the day before from 52 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: one of my aunts, big Republican Trump supporting ant, who 53 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 1: was very angry that gasolene in her town had increased 54 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:16,240 Speaker 1: by forty cents in a single day. The average price 55 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 1: of gasoline has increased by more than a dollar in 56 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 1: a month nationwide. In eleven states in this country gases 57 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: over four dollars a gallon California, Alaska, Maryland, Hawaii, Arizona, Utah, Illinois, Nevada, Idaho, Washington, 58 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 1: and Oregon. At least one of those states has a 59 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: very important US Senate election Alaska, Colorado, Florida, New York, 60 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Indiana, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, and Vermont are very 61 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: close to any four dollars. That's according to Triple A Insurance. 62 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: That is not good because despite an increasing number of 63 00:03:57,040 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 1: people using electric vehicles, gasoline is one of the fastest 64 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 1: indicators to how people feel about the economy. You see 65 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: the sign as you're passing along the highway. It is 66 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: like food prices. You see it relative to your daily 67 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: travels all the time. How gasoline is changing. You're reminded 68 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:18,919 Speaker 1: of it constantly, and polls are showing that it is 69 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 1: costing support for this war, you know, in a a 70 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 1: in a large magnitude, Pew Research found that sixty one 71 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 1: percent of Americans disapprove of the war. Thirty eight percent 72 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: approof CNN had nearly identical numbers, fifty nine percent approved, disapproving, 73 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: forty one percent approving. Quinny Pac also nearly identical numbers. 74 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 1: Fifty seven percent disapproved, thirty seven percent approof Fox News, 75 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: fifty eight percent disapproved, forty two percent disapproved CBS News, 76 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: sixty percent disapproved, forty percent approof our MG Research, fifty 77 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 1: two percent disapproved thirty nine percent approof it is overwhelming. 78 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 1: It is across the bold or it is Republican polsters 79 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: and Democrats and nonpartisan. They are finding about a fifteen 80 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:11,280 Speaker 1: point disapproval for this war overall when you add everything up. Now, 81 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 1: I know a lot of people like to say, especially 82 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: in the media, especially supporters of this war, like the 83 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,159 Speaker 1: Mark Lebin types, They say, look at the Maga, MAGA 84 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:22,720 Speaker 1: supports him. Look at you know, when you look at 85 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: MAGA Republicans, it's ninety ninety five percent support him, eighty 86 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: nine percent support him depending on the poll. That is 87 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:35,600 Speaker 1: a very how do I say this less than smart 88 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:39,880 Speaker 1: way of trying to figure out how Republican voters and 89 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: Trump voters specifically feel about this poll, because there is 90 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:47,360 Speaker 1: no being a MAGA voter. To a polster is a 91 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:51,479 Speaker 1: self indicator. So it's not like I can look at 92 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 1: your voting card or your voter registration information and cross 93 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: select that with who I'm calling when I'm doing a pollar, 94 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: who I'm texting. It's all you know. Am I MAGA supporter? Yes? 95 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 1: Or no? It's how I feel inwards. It's not in 96 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 1: my own white male Am I a millennial? Am I 97 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,919 Speaker 1: a registered Republican. Am I married? Am I single? Am I? 98 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: You know? Am I a parent? Other things work to 99 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: you know, cross check if you're telling the truth or not. 100 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: When you're doing these pole sample sized sizes and doing 101 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: the methodology, there's nothing to work with the question of 102 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 1: are you a maga Republican. It's all self you know, 103 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 1: it's all self checked. It's all what you believe inward, 104 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:35,160 Speaker 1: and it changes over time. You could be a magro 105 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:37,840 Speaker 1: Republican one day and not a Maga Republican the next day. 106 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: You can't be, you know, a man and a woman 107 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:42,479 Speaker 1: unless you're Caitlyn Jenner every day. Like you, you're one 108 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 1: fixed thing in uh when you're when you're doing the 109 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: samples and other parts of the methodology which are more accurate. 110 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:51,919 Speaker 1: I would like to look at two other indicators to 111 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: see how Trump voters actually feel. One being how do 112 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: Republicans and specifically people who voted for Donald Trump feel? 113 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 1: And this second is how do whites without a college degree? 114 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:06,559 Speaker 1: Donald Trump's strongest voting block look Republicans at the beginning 115 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:09,359 Speaker 1: of the conflict overwhelmingly support of the war. It was 116 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:13,840 Speaker 1: most Poles found it over eighty percent support Now polls 117 00:07:13,840 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 1: find between the mid seventies to the mid sixty level 118 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: support Fox New seventy four percent, Politico seventy percent. Yugo 119 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 1: found that it's sixty eight percent with twenty four percent 120 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: of Trump voters. These are Trump voters opposed in the 121 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:33,320 Speaker 1: war eight percent undecided. Among independences who voted for Trump, 122 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 1: it is even more lopsided right the independent vote, the 123 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 1: Tulsi Independence, the Latino men, the Maha RFK moms, the 124 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 1: Rogan podcast brows, the young voters, the Independence, the Latino 125 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 1: working classmen. These are people that Trump added to the 126 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 1: coalition to win the popular vote to swing states like 127 00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 1: New York and Los Angeles, California by immense numbers, and 128 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 1: you know, win every single swing state that there was. 129 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 1: Those are the people that are isolated from this war effort. 130 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: It's not people who necessarily have a cardboard cutout, you know, 131 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: Donald Trump figurine in front of their house. They're not 132 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: the ones necessarily moving. Maybe it's not the people who 133 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 1: the front front row jos who go to every single 134 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 1: one of his rallies, because it's all self identifying whether 135 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: you are a Maga Republican. But if they voted for 136 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: him in twenty twenty four. They are I don't know, 137 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 1: not less Maga or not less they were, They're new 138 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 1: to the coalition. You can't afford to lose them. And 139 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 1: I'll put out a cave at the Quinnipiac poll did 140 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 1: find it much higher at eighty six percent. I want 141 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:45,680 Speaker 1: to at least mention that. But there's a trajectory that's 142 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: very obvious. It looks at the war effort and you 143 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 1: see a downward slope over time, increasingly because independence, independence 144 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: of lean Republicans and Republican voters themselves, and Trump voters 145 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:03,920 Speaker 1: themselves are increasingly undecided moving away from the war. Similarly, 146 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 1: whites without a college degree went from supporting the war 147 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 1: effort by a double digit margin to opposing the war 148 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 1: by a double digit margin. That is Donald Trump's base. 149 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 1: It's not anything else as whites without a college degree. 150 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 1: A Republican cannot win a single office in this country, 151 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 1: a statewide office in this country without winning the bulk 152 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:31,840 Speaker 1: support sixty five seventy seventy five percent of the white 153 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: working class vote. That is the base of the Republican party. 154 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 1: That's who Republicans need to win over time and time again. 155 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: That is who is, you know, obviously the most negatively 156 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:48,040 Speaker 1: impacted by increased gas prices who really can't afford it 157 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 1: is whites without a college degree. And independent numbers are 158 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 1: at their lowest level ever for Donald Trump. For the 159 00:09:56,559 --> 00:10:00,959 Speaker 1: first time in a long time, independence having more favorable 160 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 1: opinion of the Democratic Party than the Republican Party. Remember 161 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 1: we've been going on and on this podcast, but how 162 00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 1: can Democrats win if independents view them negatively? And you know, 163 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 1: partially it's because it's a binary choice, just one or 164 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:15,559 Speaker 1: the others shops up with the one, you go to 165 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 1: the other. It's like, you know, being a divorced child 166 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:21,599 Speaker 1: with two different parents. However, they they were like, we 167 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 1: don't like the Democrats, but we might go vote for 168 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 1: them because they're not the Republicans. Now they're saying the 169 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:30,440 Speaker 1: Republicans are way worse than the Democrats. Not where you 170 00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:32,080 Speaker 1: want to be, which just not where you want to be. 171 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 1: And it gets even worse. I saw this headline and 172 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 1: I wanted to rip my hair out. This is from Axios. 173 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: This is the headline, and the headline is doing somewhre 174 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 1: This is obviously a very liberal headline that is doing 175 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:48,080 Speaker 1: a lot of work on be ethic Democrats, but the 176 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: story has some merit axios. GOP weighs health care cuts 177 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 1: to pay for Iran war. This is important. Top House 178 00:10:57,280 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 1: Republicans are looking at healthcare sets addressing fraud in federal programs, 179 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 1: as they did during last year's debate over the budget 180 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 1: law that made deep cuts to federal Medicaid spending and 181 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:11,959 Speaker 1: imposed first time work requirements. Not a bad thing, by 182 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 1: the way, there are some other items we're looking into 183 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:17,960 Speaker 1: right now, especially in the area of fraud, waste, and abuse, 184 00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 1: that we're working through with our members. House Majority Leader 185 00:11:20,280 --> 00:11:24,600 Speaker 1: Steve Scalies from Louisiana told axis House Budget Committee Chairman 186 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 1: Jody Arrington from Texas is reviving an idea that was 187 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 1: considered last year to fund the Affordable Care Act payments 188 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 1: known as cost sharing reductions. The Congressional Budget Office previously 189 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:37,160 Speaker 1: found that it would move. It would lower the overall 190 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 1: benchmark of the ACA premiums by eleven percent, but it 191 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 1: would reduce three hundred thousand more uninsured. It would cut 192 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:49,439 Speaker 1: the subsidy amount that some enrollies received, thereby increasing out 193 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:53,199 Speaker 1: of pocket premium costs while saving the government thirty billion dollars. 194 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 1: Thirty billion dollars is not going to cover this war effort. 195 00:11:56,120 --> 00:12:00,360 Speaker 1: It's just not. This war effort is about a third 196 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:03,320 Speaker 1: of what Iraq and Afghanistan were at this point, a 197 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 1: third to a fourth. There's no healthcare subsidy cuts are 198 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 1: going to do this. But I want to remind people 199 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:12,720 Speaker 1: forget about the math for a second. All of that matters. 200 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:17,319 Speaker 1: One of the most effective ways that Democrats targeted Republicans 201 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:21,200 Speaker 1: during the fight over the ice spending was what AOC said. 202 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:23,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I'll give her credit where it's due when 203 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 1: she said the GOP was cutting funds for healthcare to 204 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 1: fun ice. That is not true. But as far as 205 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:35,360 Speaker 1: campaign tactics go, when it was polled, the most effective 206 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 1: way that that it was addressed the most effective campaign tool, 207 00:12:41,040 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 1: which is why, by the way, Rama manual, because he's 208 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:46,120 Speaker 1: running for president, we're exploding the idea is saying he's 209 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 1: going to cut ice funding and move to community colleges. 210 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:52,080 Speaker 1: The idea that you are spending on iran, the idea 211 00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 1: that you're spending on ice and it could go to 212 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 1: programs that make people's lives easier and better. Whether that 213 00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 1: be true or not, it doesn't matter. I'm talking about 214 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:07,280 Speaker 1: the rhetoric. The rhetoric is extremely extremely effective. Americans by 215 00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:11,720 Speaker 1: and large do not believe President Trump is focused on 216 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:14,839 Speaker 1: the right issues. They do not believe that they should 217 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: be doing all this foreign policy intervention. They do not 218 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 1: believe the economy is working for them, nor do they 219 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:23,880 Speaker 1: believe it's getting better. And job hiring numbers are awful 220 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:28,160 Speaker 1: right now. It all comes back down to the economy 221 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 1: and gas prices, and the polls are showing that even 222 00:13:32,800 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 1: for Republicans, even for Trump's most loyal voters, whites without 223 00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 1: a college degree, this is impacting them. Now. This is 224 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 1: not just bombs anymore. This is changing the trajectory, and 225 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:46,800 Speaker 1: it shows up in the polls. Even Real Clear Politics, 226 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:50,680 Speaker 1: which has avoided publishing some polls critical or less favorable 227 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:53,439 Speaker 1: for Donald Trump, are saying he's at a worse place 228 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: now than he was at this point in twenty twenty 229 00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 1: one New York Times. He's under forty percent according to 230 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 1: Nate Silver, Who's not, you know, a genius, but he's 231 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 1: not a dummy either. Trump's SUPPRORTI is felt by five 232 00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:09,080 Speaker 1: points in the last week and is under forty percent 233 00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 1: after being relatively unchanged for the last few months. The 234 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 1: shooting in Minneapolis didn't really affect him. The venezuel arrest 235 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 1: Nicholasmondor didn't really affect him. He was always kind of 236 00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:23,960 Speaker 1: floating forty one, forty two, forty three maybe the high mark. 237 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 1: The Iran wars affecting him. Gas prices are affecting him, 238 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 1: They're affecting Republicans. The Trump administration has been extremely good 239 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 1: on some issues like immigration. His Executive Order on housing 240 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 1: is pushed for Most Favored Nation status. When it comes 241 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 1: to healthcare bills, however, it's all coming back to kitchen 242 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 1: table issues at this moment. It is what sank Joe Biden. 243 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 1: It is the biggest reason sank Joe Biden. There were 244 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: many things. It's Joe Biden. I don't want to ever 245 00:14:55,120 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 1: state him, but kitchen table issues inflation definitely help sink 246 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. And Trump is feeling the 247 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: pressure over the same exact issues right with the Iran war, 248 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:13,160 Speaker 1: with gas prices, with kitchen tables concerns. That is why 249 00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 1: he's you know, reduced our strategic petroleum reserves and that's 250 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 1: why he's moving the needle. If you've listened to what 251 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 1: him and the Trump administration are saying moving the needle 252 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 1: on Iran very quickly. On Sunday, Secretary of Rubio said 253 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 1: that the strait of her Moves will be reopened one 254 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 1: way or another. And on Monday, President Trump said if 255 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,440 Speaker 1: her Moves Straight is not immediately open for business, they're 256 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 1: going to blow up Iran's electrical plants and oil wells. 257 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 1: And then by Monday, according to The Wall Street Journal, 258 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 1: he told top aids He's willing to end the war 259 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 1: without opening the straight or four moves. Time is ticking 260 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 1: down very badly towards the midterms. It is ticking so quickly, 261 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 1: and the Iran war is not Venezuela, and Poles are 262 00:15:56,760 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 1: showing it. Independence are fleeing, young people are angry, and 263 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 1: turnout for Democrats is going to be so intense over 264 00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks. And something I haven't covered 265 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 1: that I've not been mentioning yet because I'm gonna do 266 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 1: a deep dive in Virginia the Democrat turnout, the Black 267 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: vote turnout for this referendum on congressional districts sword after 268 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:22,600 Speaker 1: not voting at all, Black vote not voting whatsoever, the 269 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 1: Black vote right now is soaring in Virginia. The referendum 270 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 1: is probably going to pass. Democrats are getting activated and 271 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 1: getting motivated and showing up after spending weeks sleeping through 272 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 1: this election. It all comes down to the economy. It 273 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 1: all comes down to what is affecting people's pocketbooks, and 274 00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 1: heran is finally starting to affect people's pocketbooks. And I'm 275 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 1: telling you he is gonna walk into George W. Bush 276 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: territory if gas prices go over five dollars a gallon. 277 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: If you want to see Donald Trump with lows like 278 00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 1: you've never seen him. Because even during the first to him, 279 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 1: even during the chaos and all the news stories and 280 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:05,680 Speaker 1: does he watch the show just guerrilla's fighting and leakers 281 00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:09,119 Speaker 1: and people getting fired, he was always not positive on 282 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,080 Speaker 1: the economy. Now he's lower on the economy than Joe 283 00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:15,439 Speaker 1: Biden was. And Harvard Harris poll found that more people 284 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:17,760 Speaker 1: think that Joe Biden was better for the economy than 285 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:22,080 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. I don't necessarily believe that poll, although it 286 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:24,320 Speaker 1: could be just the people forget, because people forget everything, 287 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:29,200 Speaker 1: But it just shows the anger and the anguish and 288 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 1: the saddest thing, the most annoying thing. As someone who 289 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 1: voted for Donald Trump every time he's been on the ballot. 290 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 1: The most annoying thing as a conservative and a Republican 291 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:41,320 Speaker 1: operative is he has had answers to address these concerns 292 00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:45,160 Speaker 1: over economic populism, the type of stuff Republicans usually don't 293 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:48,520 Speaker 1: support that got him that independent vote, that got him 294 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 1: those former Democrats that got him the Obama voters and 295 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 1: the Maha voters, and the Hispanic men and the young bros. 296 00:17:56,200 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 1: You know, most favorite status with medical bills prescripation drugs 297 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 1: rather that should be in Congress. That should be voted 298 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 1: on tomorrow. That dare the Democrats to vote against it? 299 00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:09,760 Speaker 1: In stright of trading bills people feel like Congress is 300 00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:14,000 Speaker 1: completely warped. That would pass immediately if President Trump sat 301 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 1: there and fall for I know I just said sat 302 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:17,879 Speaker 1: there and try to avoid it, but it is the truth. 303 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:22,600 Speaker 1: If he the credit card limiting credit card interest rates, 304 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:25,640 Speaker 1: I know that's not economically popular, it's politically a huge 305 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 1: win for people over and over again, and the Republican 306 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 1: Party is saying, don't do popular stuff. That's what Republicans 307 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 1: in Congress, So don't do popular stuff. That is the 308 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:35,280 Speaker 1: only thing that's going to save them at this point, 309 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:38,240 Speaker 1: and I will tell you, guys the story there's now 310 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,399 Speaker 1: there's a big lot of negative headlines. I've never actually 311 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,280 Speaker 1: said this before, and I was it's not in my script. 312 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 1: I'm just going through it in my head. There was 313 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:50,159 Speaker 1: a there was there's all the stories, all the tax 314 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 1: cuts that companies are going to get because of the big, big, 315 00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: beautiful bill. I got to go to the House Representatives, 316 00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:01,400 Speaker 1: to a top leadership Republican, one of the most senior 317 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:04,360 Speaker 1: Republicans that there was in the House, and I presented 318 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 1: him all this polling information and I said to him, 319 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:08,720 Speaker 1: on a big beautiful bill of the tax cuts, no 320 00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:12,800 Speaker 1: tax on tip, no taxes for security, huge wins, usually popular, 321 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 1: no tax over time, usually popular. You're going to win 322 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 1: over so many people, you know what. The one thing 323 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 1: you're going to lose them on tax cuts for people 324 00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:25,120 Speaker 1: who make too much money, tax cuts for corporations. If 325 00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 1: you get rid of that part of the bill and 326 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:31,040 Speaker 1: keep everything else, you actually make this a net positive 327 00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:34,040 Speaker 1: bill instead of a polling net negative bill. And he 328 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 1: looked so angry that I had presented that information to him, 329 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 1: and I just said, this is what it is. I'm 330 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:44,439 Speaker 1: not you know, I'm just here to tell you how 331 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,480 Speaker 1: the people feel right now, that they feel ripped off 332 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 1: and left out. And we left that meeting, I said, 333 00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 1: I really want you to consider what I'm saying to you. 334 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:56,119 Speaker 1: You need to have more economic populism towards the working class, 335 00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 1: towards the middle class, towards young people. And he said, 336 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 1: thank you, and have a nice day, and it went 337 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:06,239 Speaker 1: out with me. But the Congressional Republicans are not going 338 00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:08,680 Speaker 1: to do on their own. They need a leadership from Trump. 339 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:10,480 Speaker 1: And he knows this as he picked up the million 340 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,120 Speaker 1: dollar bill. That is why he became president, the million 341 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 1: dollar bill on the floor, on immigration, on trade, on populism, 342 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 1: on manufacturing, on war, and man, oh man, there are 343 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:24,879 Speaker 1: times he feels like he's shredding it little by little. 344 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 1: All right, coming up next, I want to talk about 345 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,240 Speaker 1: some other interesting data that you guys will love to 346 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:33,440 Speaker 1: know and ask me. Anything's coming up later, so stay tuned. 347 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:40,520 Speaker 1: So every year, sixty universities get together, producingly called the 348 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:45,320 Speaker 1: Cooperative Elections Study. It details American life and American politics, 349 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:47,960 Speaker 1: and it's fascinating. I covered it in my newsletter over 350 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 1: the weekend. My popular National Populist newsletter. But I want 351 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:54,160 Speaker 1: to talk about some highlights that I found so important 352 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:56,160 Speaker 1: that you guys would really appreciate, because this is not 353 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,720 Speaker 1: like a Lucy Goosey one hundred person survey. This is 354 00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:02,720 Speaker 1: like seventeen thousand people, sixty universities, lots of professors and 355 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,240 Speaker 1: students get in pulp with this. It's a really well 356 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 1: accredited report. So, first thing they said, on the politics side, 357 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 1: the only group of people, the only demographic willing to 358 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,159 Speaker 1: claim that they are Democrats, not that they're independents, not 359 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: that they're neither party, but to say openly they're Democrats. 360 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 1: Only one demographic and that's white men with a college degree. 361 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:28,360 Speaker 1: That I thought was fascinating. They also found that absolutely 362 00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:30,920 Speaker 1: this is not going to shock anybody who's ever listened 363 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 1: to my podcast or I don't know, met another person, 364 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 1: but Americans really don't like trans stuff in children. They really, 365 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,880 Speaker 1: really really don't like the trans stuff in children. Two 366 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:46,639 Speaker 1: thirds of Americans oppose any kind of transitioning drug for 367 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,919 Speaker 1: miners or any kind of transitioning surgeries for miners. The 368 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:55,240 Speaker 1: most supposed by religious groups are White Evangelicals, Orthodox Christians, Mormons, 369 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:59,240 Speaker 1: white Catholics all over seventy percent of POSE that support 370 00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:02,080 Speaker 1: for this is also passing. Support for more border guards 371 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:06,680 Speaker 1: and border wall funding is down considerably, including among Republicans, 372 00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 1: because Trump fixed the border, so people are not concerned anymore. 373 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 1: People have to have an emergency to feel like that 374 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,639 Speaker 1: they have to do something. But that is why it 375 00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:21,240 Speaker 1: is so critical that Trump builds the border this term. 376 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:25,000 Speaker 1: Because build the border wall this term. Because if three 377 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,360 Speaker 1: years go by and there's no border cross things, it's 378 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 1: not going to be an issue. In the twenty twenty 379 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:30,639 Speaker 1: eight election. People be like, what do you mean, I 380 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 1: forgot all about Biden? What happened? Then Trump fixed the border. 381 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:35,480 Speaker 1: We don't have to worry. We could elect a Democrat. 382 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,160 Speaker 1: You've got to build the border wall now, and you've 383 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,200 Speaker 1: got to really ramp up every kind of protection of 384 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 1: the border, so that way a Democrat can't you know, 385 00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:45,119 Speaker 1: Democrats not going to bulldoze the border wall. I think 386 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 1: support for abolishing zoning laws and building multi family homes 387 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 1: and communities is down. This is so interesting because when 388 00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: Mandani was elected, there's all theyse conversations about affordability and 389 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 1: housing and we and here's all these Cretans on the 390 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:03,560 Speaker 1: internet who are like, you know what would be great. 391 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 1: Let's just abolish all zoning laws. We could have a 392 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:09,040 Speaker 1: strip club next to a K through twelve school, next 393 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:10,920 Speaker 1: to a gun shop, next to someone's house, next to 394 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,919 Speaker 1: an apartment building, and we'll just rubin a neighborhood and 395 00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 1: make it completely unlivable where only transient people who rent 396 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,199 Speaker 1: will ever want to be there. That turns out is 397 00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:24,879 Speaker 1: very very unpopular specifically with this is interesting. The group 398 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,560 Speaker 1: it's most unpopular with are women who live in the 399 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:33,520 Speaker 1: suburbs and are not religious. That's usually Democrats. And I 400 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 1: wonder if it's possible, in the same way that Republicans 401 00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:41,000 Speaker 1: lord's suburban women for years over the issue of crime, 402 00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 1: if protecting zoning laws was a way to re engage 403 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:48,639 Speaker 1: with those voters. I don't know the answer to that, 404 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: but I find it very interesting. And last part of 405 00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 1: this poll that I thought you guys should know is 406 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,800 Speaker 1: that support for an assault weapons ban. I'm gonna u 407 00:23:56,880 --> 00:24:01,399 Speaker 1: use budding quotes assault weapons ban. Support for an assault 408 00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 1: weapons ban has increased among Republicans. Now, I thought at 409 00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:06,879 Speaker 1: first I saw this and I was like, this is 410 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 1: a head scratcher, and of all the data, I was 411 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 1: really confused by this, but it increases. It starts spiking 412 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four, this increasing ban for assault weapons, 413 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: and I said, what's happened since twenty twenty four that 414 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: Republicans would be acknowledging. So I don't know this to 415 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:28,200 Speaker 1: be true. I'm guessing that there are three events. One 416 00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 1: the attempted assassination of Donald Trump, two the successful attempt 417 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 1: a sorry successful assassination of Charlie Kirk and all the 418 00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:40,520 Speaker 1: trans mass shooters in schools. I think that Republicans feel 419 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:45,679 Speaker 1: especially targeted, like if Donald Trump doesn't have doesn't have 420 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:50,200 Speaker 1: the correct protection from these left wing lunatics, who does. 421 00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,800 Speaker 1: I don't know that that's true, but the data is 422 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:58,480 Speaker 1: pointing to that assault weapons bans is increasingly important supported 423 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 1: among Republicans. It's not the most importan an issue, which 424 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 1: is different, but it is an eighty twenty issue. Assault 425 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,640 Speaker 1: weapons ban is an eighty twenty issue that Democrats are 426 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,919 Speaker 1: on the popular side of, like Republicans are on the 427 00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:13,080 Speaker 1: pop side of the trans issue, another eighty twenty issue 428 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:17,760 Speaker 1: that the American public overwhelmingly is in favor of. Now, 429 00:25:17,800 --> 00:25:21,159 Speaker 1: on the trans issue, they've managed to pass a lot 430 00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:24,879 Speaker 1: of local laws on the firearms issue. There are some laws, 431 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:27,320 Speaker 1: but the Supreme Court's really been very strict about the 432 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,040 Speaker 1: Second Amendment and the rights of the Second Amendment. Well, 433 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 1: and I'm diverting from I'm transitioning from the cooperative election 434 00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:36,000 Speaker 1: study by the way, I'm going into this about other 435 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,600 Speaker 1: eighty twenty issue, the other eighty twenty issue that's emerging 436 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:41,720 Speaker 1: according to all this data. And if you listen to 437 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,360 Speaker 1: this podcast, you know I'm going to say it's AI. 438 00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:46,879 Speaker 1: And I know I feel you feel like Ryan, You're 439 00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:48,280 Speaker 1: beating a dead horse. You talk about this all the 440 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:51,040 Speaker 1: damn time. I know, I know, I know when I 441 00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,920 Speaker 1: say that this is probably going to be top three 442 00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 1: most important issues of the twenty twenty eight election, if 443 00:25:56,840 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 1: not top two, I am I feel very strong about that. 444 00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 1: A poll from Quinnipiac asked voters about a lot of 445 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,679 Speaker 1: questions about AI and this. It's interesting because they broke 446 00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:11,160 Speaker 1: this pole down based upon age rangers, because I wanted 447 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:13,960 Speaker 1: to know maybe young people feel differently than old people, 448 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,159 Speaker 1: and maybe young people are more welcoming of AI, and 449 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 1: it's you know, it's just an old person thing because 450 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 1: they don't understand it well. They asked Americans are you 451 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:24,400 Speaker 1: excited or nervous but AI, thirty five percent were excited, 452 00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:28,639 Speaker 1: sixty two percent were nervous. The only group that was 453 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,480 Speaker 1: excited where a majority was excited were people who earn 454 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:35,280 Speaker 1: more than two hundred thousand dollars a year. Among gen Z, 455 00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:39,840 Speaker 1: thirty five percent excited, sixty two percent not excited, Millennials 456 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:43,320 Speaker 1: forty one percent excited, fifty eight percent not excited. Even 457 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,200 Speaker 1: those who know a great deal about AI forty four 458 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:51,560 Speaker 1: percent excited, fifty six percent not excited. Listen eighty percent. 459 00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 1: It's an eighty percent issue. I'm going to get there. 460 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 1: When asked are you concerned with AI? Seventy seven percent 461 00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,520 Speaker 1: of gen Z, eighty one percent of millennials, seventy percent 462 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,200 Speaker 1: of people making more than two hundred thousand dollars a year, 463 00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:06,600 Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of Republicans, eighty nine percent of Democrats, 464 00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,920 Speaker 1: it's across the board. It's an eighty twenty issue. Fifty 465 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:13,960 Speaker 1: one percent of people so AI is moving faster than 466 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:16,119 Speaker 1: they expected. When the question is how much do you 467 00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:19,200 Speaker 1: trust the information AI is giving to you, twenty one 468 00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:21,480 Speaker 1: percent said all or most of the time. Seventy six 469 00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 1: percent said hardly. Ever, even those who have a great 470 00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:28,360 Speaker 1: deal of knowledge with AI. Twenty five percent said all 471 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:30,800 Speaker 1: or most of the time, Seventy one percent some are 472 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:34,480 Speaker 1: hardly ever of the time. Fifty percent of the publics 473 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 1: that they used AI in their day to day life. 474 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:40,200 Speaker 1: The idea that this is just a small in each 475 00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:42,359 Speaker 1: group of people know this is half the country now 476 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:44,920 Speaker 1: using AI, and the more they use it, the more 477 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 1: questions that they have about it. Do you think when 478 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:50,960 Speaker 1: it comes to your day to day life? Will AI 479 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:55,920 Speaker 1: do more harm than good? Fifty five percent said more harm? 480 00:27:56,080 --> 00:28:00,119 Speaker 1: Thirty four percent said more good. More harm was the 481 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:04,800 Speaker 1: majority of every age group, every political party, both sexes, 482 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:08,240 Speaker 1: people with and without a college degree, blue and white 483 00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 1: collar workers the only group once again to say that 484 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,160 Speaker 1: they that's saying the opposite that was doing more good 485 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,679 Speaker 1: than harm? Will people who make over two hundred thousand 486 00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:21,159 Speaker 1: dollars a year. It is a very small class of 487 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:24,960 Speaker 1: people based upon income that are feeling really good. When 488 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:28,120 Speaker 1: it comes to education, Will AI do more harm than good? 489 00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:34,400 Speaker 1: Twenty seven percent said good, only twenty seven percent sixty 490 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:38,240 Speaker 1: four percent in more harm, including seventy percent of Gen Z, 491 00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 1: who are the most and the only generation who has 492 00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:43,240 Speaker 1: been exposed to AI in the classroom. Millennials weren't. We 493 00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,320 Speaker 1: didn't have AI growing up, I had the organ trail. 494 00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:49,800 Speaker 1: Once again, every age group, sex, political party, all earners 495 00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 1: say more harm when it comes to education. The only 496 00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 1: silver lining for the PROAI groups is on healthcare. Forty 497 00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,560 Speaker 1: three percent of AI will be improved their healthcare forty 498 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:02,240 Speaker 1: five percent and said we'll do more harm. People believe 499 00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:06,040 Speaker 1: AI will improve medical diagnosis and help cure diseases, but 500 00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:09,480 Speaker 1: only three percent of people so they are willing to 501 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 1: trust medical scans being done by AI alone without a doctor. 502 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,120 Speaker 1: A super majority of people over eighty percent, so they 503 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:20,480 Speaker 1: want a doctor there working with AI. But here's the 504 00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:24,640 Speaker 1: most important question for politics. Do you think the government 505 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 1: is doing enough to regulate AI? Thirteen percent said yes, 506 00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 1: seventy four percent said no. It's an eighty twenty issue. Everybody, 507 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:40,360 Speaker 1: it's an eighty twenty issue. It's like the trans issue, 508 00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 1: like the gun issue, but a lot more important to people. 509 00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:46,840 Speaker 1: And I want to tell you this ahead of time, 510 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,200 Speaker 1: while everyone else is talking about which personalities are fighting 511 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,720 Speaker 1: with each other. Trump is on the wrong side of 512 00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,480 Speaker 1: this issue. Trump is absolutely on the wrong side of 513 00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:58,560 Speaker 1: this issue. When it comes to voters he is. It's 514 00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 1: literally like saying I want to have grown men shower 515 00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:04,080 Speaker 1: next to teenage girls when they declare themselves women. It's 516 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:09,360 Speaker 1: it's The polling is emphatic, and it's one of many moving. 517 00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:14,960 Speaker 1: Fifty nine percent of Republicans say the government isn't regulating 518 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:18,920 Speaker 1: AI enough. Fifty nine percent of Republicans when Trump has 519 00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,239 Speaker 1: been the AI president, twenty three percents of they are 520 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of Democrats, eighty percent of Independence say 521 00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:29,640 Speaker 1: they are not regulating enough. Even people making more than 522 00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:33,080 Speaker 1: two hundred thousand dollars a year who are favorable to 523 00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,160 Speaker 1: AI the most favorable group saying AI is going to 524 00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:40,560 Speaker 1: be good in their life, Seventy five percent say government 525 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:43,560 Speaker 1: not regularing AI enough. The most fascinating part of this 526 00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:47,760 Speaker 1: was gen Z, Millennials, gen X, and baby boomers are 527 00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,520 Speaker 1: the same. They're all the same when it comes to 528 00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:55,160 Speaker 1: the percentages regulation versus no regulation. You'd think that this 529 00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:57,959 Speaker 1: is just a scary thing for old people. Know it's 530 00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:01,239 Speaker 1: it is equal. I was my jaw dropped when I 531 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:03,720 Speaker 1: was looking at the differences in generations and there was 532 00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 1: no difference. Is astonishing because that's not true of almost 533 00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:11,320 Speaker 1: any other political issue you ask people. When it was asked, 534 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: will AI create more job opportunity or less? Seventy percent 535 00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:19,920 Speaker 1: said less. But and this is the little part where 536 00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:23,240 Speaker 1: it actually does change by generation. Sixty six percent of 537 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:26,560 Speaker 1: Baby boomer said less, sixty seven percent of Gen xers, 538 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 1: seventy one percent of millennials, it goes up to eighty 539 00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:33,760 Speaker 1: one percent by Gen Z. It gets worse as they 540 00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:37,840 Speaker 1: get younger. It should be the opposite where the youth 541 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 1: generation who's been exposed to technology is not afraid of it, 542 00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 1: is studying, it is learning, but it's not. It's the opposite. 543 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,600 Speaker 1: The more they're exposed to it, the more they are 544 00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,840 Speaker 1: running from it. Sixty one percent of Republicans, seventy eight 545 00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:53,560 Speaker 1: percent of Democrats, seventy three percent of independence, seventy three 546 00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:56,440 Speaker 1: percent of college degree older, sixty percent of people without 547 00:31:56,440 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 1: a college degree, all income brackets, all both sexes. Everybody 548 00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:05,239 Speaker 1: says this is going to destroy jobs. How concerned are 549 00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,600 Speaker 1: you that will make your job obsolete? Thirty percent of 550 00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 1: Americans said they are concerned, very concerned, or somewhat concerned. 551 00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,000 Speaker 1: Do you use AI at work? One in three people 552 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,520 Speaker 1: said yes. Only group says a majority is two hundred 553 00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:20,560 Speaker 1: thousand dollars a year. Last note or two that I 554 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:23,960 Speaker 1: think is important, fifty one percent of Americans oppose using 555 00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 1: the military disliked AI for targets. The only group that 556 00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,880 Speaker 1: opposed it are Republicans and baby boomers and myself kind of. 557 00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 1: I think they should work with people. And I know 558 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 1: a lot. I know I talk a lot about AI. 559 00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:39,720 Speaker 1: I am sure more than other conservative podcasts that some 560 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:41,640 Speaker 1: of them hardly ever talked about it. They're all talking about, 561 00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:43,960 Speaker 1: you know, Israel, and you know who hates to. And 562 00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:47,560 Speaker 1: I do not care whatsoever about personal infighting like this. 563 00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:50,480 Speaker 1: When this is on the table, call me when we 564 00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:52,600 Speaker 1: have no problems and we'll talk about it. Who hates to. 565 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:58,600 Speaker 1: But we are witnessing the one of them, one of 566 00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:03,680 Speaker 1: not only a technological change will affect everybody's life, but 567 00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:08,200 Speaker 1: also that will change our politics in the next three years. 568 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:11,960 Speaker 1: It's not this is not a faraway fantasy question. And 569 00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,840 Speaker 1: you know who knows this, the trum administration and the 570 00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 1: IA companies, because they started a new pack that will 571 00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:20,400 Speaker 1: spend a one hundred million dollars this year, led by 572 00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:25,080 Speaker 1: former Trump official Taylor Buderwitch to promote the Presence vision AI, 573 00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 1: which is advocacy for AI, which is no which is 574 00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:31,040 Speaker 1: a law to ban states from regular AI. One hundred 575 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:34,400 Speaker 1: million dollars. It's not cheap. It's a little bit of money. 576 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:36,000 Speaker 1: It's not a little bit of money that's enough to 577 00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:38,120 Speaker 1: change the Center raise, but they're spending it on AI. 578 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 1: They would not be spending this kind of AMO money if 579 00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:44,320 Speaker 1: they didn't think they were that they were losing the issue, 580 00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,880 Speaker 1: that the issue was escaping them, that they had to 581 00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:49,440 Speaker 1: stop it from being an eighty twenty issue. But I 582 00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 1: think the clock is running out, and I think that 583 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,239 Speaker 1: enough of these tech bros and these AI bros, they 584 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 1: are not around normal people enough to set and know 585 00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:03,880 Speaker 1: how crazy they sound. It's like they read the book, 586 00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,000 Speaker 1: the Frankenstein Monster book, and they rooted for the doctor 587 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:09,399 Speaker 1: to just keep making more of them. You know, it's 588 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:13,319 Speaker 1: it's it's bizarre. It's they are very bizarre behavior. It's 589 00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,719 Speaker 1: very off putting to a lot of people. And it's 590 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:18,800 Speaker 1: showing in polling and its job and unemployment numbers go 591 00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 1: up and the number of job, number of people hiring 592 00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:25,880 Speaker 1: goes down. I have to tell you, folks, it's an 593 00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,239 Speaker 1: eighty twenty issue that a lot of Republicans are on 594 00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,360 Speaker 1: the wrong side of and they should change their ways. 595 00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:37,799 Speaker 1: Now something Now, Ask Me Anything is coming up next. 596 00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:40,920 Speaker 1: Now it's the Ask Me Anything Second. If you want 597 00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:42,840 Speaker 1: a part of the Ask Me Anything Second, email me 598 00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:46,000 Speaker 1: Ryan at Numbers gamepodcast dot com. That's Ryan at Numbers 599 00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,560 Speaker 1: gamepodcast dot com. First question coming up is from Keith. 600 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:51,800 Speaker 1: He writes first time writing in but I'm a longtime 601 00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:54,800 Speaker 1: client buck listeners and Numbers Game listener. Thank you, Keith. 602 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:57,600 Speaker 1: Love the podcast with all the data and insightful analysis 603 00:34:57,640 --> 00:34:59,680 Speaker 1: on the data, along with the quality of the data 604 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 1: you bring to the table. As a retired engineer are 605 00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:04,920 Speaker 1: saying in God we trust all else must be bring data. 606 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,920 Speaker 1: That is so true. My question is this, we have 607 00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:11,360 Speaker 1: many Democrats that campaign as centrist, but they enact policies 608 00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:16,120 Speaker 1: that are nowhere near centrists and go crazy far left. Biden, Spamberger, YadA, YadA, YadA, 609 00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:19,520 Speaker 1: love or hate Trump, he is doing what he said. 610 00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:22,719 Speaker 1: Has there been any polling specifically addressing buyer's remorse with 611 00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,799 Speaker 1: the difference between what is promised and what they did 612 00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:29,440 Speaker 1: beyond just voter satisfaction as a result of this election cycle. 613 00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:33,400 Speaker 1: That is a great question. That's actually a phenomenal question. 614 00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:37,080 Speaker 1: There are multiple times that this question is polled per year, 615 00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:39,919 Speaker 1: but it's always on a national level. I've never seen 616 00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:42,920 Speaker 1: it done on a state level for a governor or 617 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,640 Speaker 1: a senator before, but it's not on a national level 618 00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:48,640 Speaker 1: all the time. And I agree with you. Spamburger ran 619 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 1: as a as a moderate and she's a crazy far left. 620 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:53,920 Speaker 1: It's probably one of the most left wing governors in 621 00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,720 Speaker 1: the country. What did Pappy Kennon say in is ninety 622 00:35:56,719 --> 00:36:02,240 Speaker 1: two culture or speech? The DNS is the world's largest 623 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:05,759 Speaker 1: drag bawl where radicals dressed up as centrist That's that 624 00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:07,799 Speaker 1: is very much how a lot of Democrats are doing 625 00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,319 Speaker 1: it in Spanburger won by a huge margin doing that. 626 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,759 Speaker 1: The numbers on Trump I did look up for you 627 00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,880 Speaker 1: so tipp which is an aplus pollster. They found in 628 00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:20,040 Speaker 1: Wisconsin nine percent of Trump voters regret voting for him. 629 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:22,680 Speaker 1: A poll from The Argument magazine found it was about 630 00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:25,320 Speaker 1: fifteen percent of Trump voters nationwide they say they regret 631 00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:27,160 Speaker 1: voting on him. It used to be a lot less. 632 00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:30,720 Speaker 1: I think. I think a couple of things. The economy 633 00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,120 Speaker 1: of the Iran war, gas prices maybe are fueling a 634 00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:37,160 Speaker 1: little bit of spike, but this fifteen percent, nine percent, 635 00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:41,640 Speaker 1: it's not unusual for when Biden was president, there was 636 00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:43,960 Speaker 1: a pole I think by Zogby that had a twenty 637 00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:48,400 Speaker 1: two percent of people who said they regret their vote. 638 00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:51,640 Speaker 1: It's usually, I mean, it depends on how popular the 639 00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:55,120 Speaker 1: president is at any time, but usually it's not. It's 640 00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:58,280 Speaker 1: a good ten to twenty percent that say they regret 641 00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:03,800 Speaker 1: their vote. And whichever partisan person in a magazine or whatnot, 642 00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,359 Speaker 1: we'll pick it up and be like, look, all these 643 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:08,839 Speaker 1: Biden voters regret their vote, or all these Trump voters 644 00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:11,439 Speaker 1: reg at their vote. It's a small percentage right now. 645 00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:13,400 Speaker 1: It's a smaller percentage for Trump that it is for Biden. 646 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,600 Speaker 1: But it has been climbing. I don't If there's any 647 00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:19,080 Speaker 1: that I see on the state level, I will report it. 648 00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:22,680 Speaker 1: I have not yet seen anything though, that indicates that. Okay, 649 00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:25,880 Speaker 1: last question for the show comes from Sean from Utah. 650 00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:28,160 Speaker 1: He writes two questions, I have become a regular listener 651 00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:30,719 Speaker 1: over the last few months. Sean, I thank you from 652 00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:32,640 Speaker 1: the bottom of my heart. I'm not sure I really 653 00:37:32,680 --> 00:37:34,920 Speaker 1: am not joking. I am grateful for all of my listeners. 654 00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,400 Speaker 1: Anyone who listens to this podcast, and I try to 655 00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:39,120 Speaker 1: make it like you can, you know, talk to me 656 00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:41,359 Speaker 1: about whatever ask me. I think there's no question that's 657 00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:43,799 Speaker 1: that stupid of a question. There's some that are questionable, 658 00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:46,759 Speaker 1: but anyway, this is not a stupid question because I 659 00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,399 Speaker 1: read it before him. With the primary season coming into 660 00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:51,600 Speaker 1: full swing, I keep wondering, what is the best states 661 00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,280 Speaker 1: primary system to get the best representative elected? In Maine 662 00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:58,640 Speaker 1: and Alaska they have the whole rank choice thing. California, Louisiana, 663 00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:00,680 Speaker 1: I do a jungle primary. Georgia I a funky one 664 00:38:00,680 --> 00:38:03,440 Speaker 1: where there's a runoff after the general. And I know 665 00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:06,000 Speaker 1: many other states use different systems. What is the best 666 00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:10,719 Speaker 1: system to colect the best person? That's really hard to 667 00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:14,600 Speaker 1: say because and I thought a lot about this after 668 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:18,000 Speaker 1: I read the question. It really depends on the character 669 00:38:18,040 --> 00:38:20,840 Speaker 1: of people running right because like Alaska's voting system was 670 00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:24,359 Speaker 1: created for Alisa Markowski to protect her right. That's how 671 00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:26,840 Speaker 1: they do the rank choice and the runoff and all 672 00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:29,880 Speaker 1: the rest of this stuff. And rank choice in Maine 673 00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:34,279 Speaker 1: was put forward because the Republicans elected governor. They got 674 00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:37,839 Speaker 1: a Republican elected governor who won. Paul la Page won 675 00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:39,640 Speaker 1: the first time with thirty eight percent of the vote, 676 00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,200 Speaker 1: because there were so many independents running and they want 677 00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:45,480 Speaker 1: to avoid these blue states, want to avoid a Republican 678 00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,840 Speaker 1: winning with a minority percentage of the vote. So I 679 00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:52,960 Speaker 1: don't think there's a very fair reason having ranked choice. Also, 680 00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:56,000 Speaker 1: ranked choice is created a lot of times by centrist 681 00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:59,800 Speaker 1: Democrats to avoid progressive Democrats from winning a nomination because 682 00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:02,719 Speaker 1: the belief is is that center split the vote and 683 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:05,280 Speaker 1: eventually enough of them will kind of come together towards 684 00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:08,120 Speaker 1: the same candidate and defeat progressives. That's actually happened in 685 00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,600 Speaker 1: New York City more than once except for the last time. 686 00:39:11,480 --> 00:39:13,320 Speaker 1: And then there are other states that do like publicly 687 00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:16,319 Speaker 1: funding campaigns, like New York does that for local and 688 00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:20,840 Speaker 1: state candidates, but now we're seeing where the Republican governor 689 00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:24,440 Speaker 1: of Republican governor candidate for New York is not eligible 690 00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:27,359 Speaker 1: for those funds. They're playing partisan politics. However, when it's 691 00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:29,040 Speaker 1: on the city council level, I know a lot of 692 00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:31,279 Speaker 1: ordinary people who don't have access to a lot of 693 00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:36,000 Speaker 1: money partake in the publicly funded program. But those states 694 00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:38,560 Speaker 1: also have tons of corruption scandals. Louisiana has tons of 695 00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,360 Speaker 1: coruption scandals. New York has tons of coruption scandals. I 696 00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:43,760 Speaker 1: guess when it comes to the integrity of the people 697 00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:47,760 Speaker 1: who are running the state, that probably does it best, 698 00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,719 Speaker 1: and I really thought hard about this is probably New Hampshire. 699 00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:53,759 Speaker 1: And they have a regular election system like anybody else, 700 00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,000 Speaker 1: but they have two things I think go for them. 701 00:39:56,080 --> 00:40:00,640 Speaker 1: One is they have so many elected representatives, four hundred 702 00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:02,960 Speaker 1: for such a small state, which means that just a 703 00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:06,879 Speaker 1: few hundred people elect your representative. There's a lot more 704 00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:10,840 Speaker 1: personal dialogue with your representative. And also, state representatives and 705 00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:13,200 Speaker 1: state centers are paid just one hundred dollars a year, 706 00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:15,840 Speaker 1: so you can't make a full time career out of 707 00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:19,160 Speaker 1: being an elected politician. You have to have a normal job. 708 00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:22,239 Speaker 1: Now that they deter people who will like to do 709 00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:23,800 Speaker 1: a full time but can't because they have to be 710 00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:27,399 Speaker 1: a nurse somewhere. But it does create a system where 711 00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:31,719 Speaker 1: there's more real representation when it comes to when it 712 00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:35,319 Speaker 1: comes to people living a normal life, because you can't 713 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:37,160 Speaker 1: be a politician and be isolated and just hang out 714 00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:40,600 Speaker 1: with donors, and you can win an election on relatively 715 00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:42,279 Speaker 1: very little money because if you just talk to five 716 00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,560 Speaker 1: hundred people, which over six months is not that hard. 717 00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:48,000 Speaker 1: You can win your state representatives. If you are from 718 00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:49,800 Speaker 1: a very large family in New Hampshire's a lot of 719 00:40:49,840 --> 00:40:52,720 Speaker 1: kids and cousins, you probably went there too. A second 720 00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:55,160 Speaker 1: question was how does the Save Act help with reducing 721 00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,960 Speaker 1: voter fraud? For example and center Mike Lee's state and 722 00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:01,400 Speaker 1: my state of Utah, the issue driver licenses to non citizens. 723 00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:03,880 Speaker 1: I don't understand why does Utah do this? Why do 724 00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:06,680 Speaker 1: they such liberal laws and some things? There are no 725 00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:10,919 Speaker 1: Democrats left in that state. It's mind boggling. Someone could 726 00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:12,719 Speaker 1: show up and vote with their voter ID and not 727 00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:14,520 Speaker 1: be assist. And what am I missing here? You're not 728 00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:17,520 Speaker 1: missing anything. This is actually the one I mean, listen. 729 00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:20,319 Speaker 1: I think the Save Act is a good idea. I 730 00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:22,640 Speaker 1: think that it's a little overblown on how much of 731 00:41:22,680 --> 00:41:25,839 Speaker 1: an impact it will have, especially in red states which 732 00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:29,400 Speaker 1: there's already heavy regulations. The one area I think it 733 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:33,040 Speaker 1: will actually really impact something positively is when it comes 734 00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:36,320 Speaker 1: to automatic voter registration, which does happen in red states 735 00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:40,400 Speaker 1: like in Georgia and in Pennsylvania and other places and 736 00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:45,439 Speaker 1: states of the gave driver's licenses to illegal aliens in 737 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:47,640 Speaker 1: that case, I think it will be a benefit, which 738 00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:50,719 Speaker 1: will mostly be in blue states. That's where I think 739 00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:53,000 Speaker 1: you're going to see some kind of change up. I 740 00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:54,839 Speaker 1: actually have a hard time figuring out how they're going 741 00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:57,960 Speaker 1: to do automatic voter registration in those states. So that's 742 00:41:58,000 --> 00:42:00,400 Speaker 1: where I think you're going to see some day difference 743 00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:01,879 Speaker 1: is in those blue states. In a lot of red 744 00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:04,400 Speaker 1: states which don't have automatic vote orginstration, don't give it 745 00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:07,600 Speaker 1: legals driver's licenses. I think the change is going to 746 00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:11,040 Speaker 1: be relatively very varies, but I think that the change 747 00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:14,080 Speaker 1: will be really big into those blue areas. So excellent question, 748 00:42:14,200 --> 00:42:16,239 Speaker 1: excellent show, guys. Thank you so much for listening to 749 00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:18,080 Speaker 1: this podcast. If you like this podcast, please like it, 750 00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:21,120 Speaker 1: subscribe to the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts. We're get your 751 00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:23,360 Speaker 1: podcasts and on YouTube, and I will see you guys 752 00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:25,440 Speaker 1: on Friday.