WEBVTT - Shipping Containers Offer Mystery Prizes

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carole Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanibek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world of business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all furnessing the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>analyst in more than one twenty countries. You can download

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week and iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot Com.

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Well, it is Giving Tuesday,

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<v Speaker 1>and one company that is working to engage businesses and

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<v Speaker 1>people in the AIDS and COVID pandemics is Read. They

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<v Speaker 1>do it by partnering with brands which as Amazon, Apple,

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<v Speaker 1>Louis Witton, Starbucks. So many more companies here with more

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<v Speaker 1>on the work they are doing and the impact they

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<v Speaker 1>are having is Red Red President in chief operating Officer

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<v Speaker 1>Jennifer Latito. She joins us via zoom in New York City.

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<v Speaker 1>Read by the Way, their sister organization of One, which

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<v Speaker 1>was founded by Bono and other activist to and extreme

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<v Speaker 1>poverty and preventable diseases. So they really are just all

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<v Speaker 1>in on fixing what ails our world. UM, Jennifer, good

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<v Speaker 1>to have you here with Tim and myself. How are you.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm great, Thank you so much, and thank you so

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<v Speaker 1>much for having me. No, absolutely great to have you

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<v Speaker 1>here and so relevant in terms of what the world

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<v Speaker 1>continues to fight. Here. You work with UM, you know

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of brands. Tell us a bit of how

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<v Speaker 1>you work, how those partnerships ultimately ultimately end up in

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<v Speaker 1>raising a ton of money for for some really good causes. Yeah. Absolutely.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh So for fifteen years, REDD has been focused on

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<v Speaker 1>fighting HIV and AIDS UM and working with the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>companies in the world in order to do that. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>That continues to be an important priority for us. But

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<v Speaker 1>what we've realized at this point is that you're never

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<v Speaker 1>going to win the battle against HIV if you don't

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<v Speaker 1>also take on the other battle that the world is

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<v Speaker 1>facing in COVID. So we have really expanded our our

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<v Speaker 1>mission to include funding for COVID vaccines, treat and testing

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<v Speaker 1>in addition to all of them. All of the funding

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<v Speaker 1>and support that we've given for HIV, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>from a RED perspective, what's really important is we work

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<v Speaker 1>with those companies not only to generate the money, but

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<v Speaker 1>to generate the heat to get people to care, to

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<v Speaker 1>have conversations like this, how do you get people well

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<v Speaker 1>and to care in a pandemic when they're facing it

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<v Speaker 1>each and every day. Like the thing is is, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a different challenge than having someone care about something that

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<v Speaker 1>ails people half a world away, which is I think

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<v Speaker 1>away away. A lot of people thought about RED previously,

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely and it's it's it's how people have thought about HIV,

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<v Speaker 1>and unfortunately we're starting to make the same mistakes with

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<v Speaker 1>covid um. You know, I think that with HIV, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people think that is a crisis that is over.

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<v Speaker 1>It is absolutely not over um And you know, there

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<v Speaker 1>is we know how to end that, We have the

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<v Speaker 1>tools that we need to end it. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>from a RED perspective, what's really important to understand is

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<v Speaker 1>that we have to keep the heat on it um

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<v Speaker 1>because right now we're in a precarious position where we

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<v Speaker 1>do not have equitable access to vaccines. That's what this

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<v Speaker 1>campaign is aiming to do, is to get people to care,

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<v Speaker 1>to get people to look at this as a global issue. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, obviously right now the headlines are being dominated

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<v Speaker 1>by another variant. UM. That variant is because we do

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<v Speaker 1>not have vaccines and low income countries. So while we're

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<v Speaker 1>doing boosters here in the States and other places, less

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<v Speaker 1>than ten percent of low income countries have gotten their

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<v Speaker 1>first shot. So from a red perspective, our campaign, the

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<v Speaker 1>Code red campaign, is about engaging consumers, engaging customers of

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<v Speaker 1>these brands. UH to do you know whether it is

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<v Speaker 1>our rewards campaign today is Giving Tuesday. We have an

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<v Speaker 1>amazing idea which is to allow people to use their

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<v Speaker 1>credit card rewards points. They can be turned into cash

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<v Speaker 1>donations and those donations can go right to not only

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<v Speaker 1>buying the vaccines, but very importantly getting those vaccines distributed

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<v Speaker 1>where they're needed most. You know, Jennifer, when we do

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<v Speaker 1>the numbers, and we often do it here at Bloomberg,

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<v Speaker 1>about the number of people who have lost their lives

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<v Speaker 1>to COVID specifically UM, and it's just staggering in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of where we are. I think in terms of HIV,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we all thought it was more under control,

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<v Speaker 1>but when you look at some of the numbers globally,

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<v Speaker 1>I was just looking at some stats, approximately thirty seven

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<v Speaker 1>point six million people across the globe with HIV and

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<v Speaker 1>twenty of these thirty five point nine million we're adults.

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<v Speaker 1>One point seven million were children. It's just a reminder

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<v Speaker 1>we have a long way to go to really getting

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<v Speaker 1>this UM out of our system, you know, out of

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<v Speaker 1>it being a really significant problem. Absolutely, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that you know, which is why it's so important when

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<v Speaker 1>when we are very focused on COVID, to not overlook

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<v Speaker 1>the impact that we've had for you know, again, Red's

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<v Speaker 1>been doing it fifteen years, the disease has been around

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<v Speaker 1>for several decades. There has been incredible progress. UM. We

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<v Speaker 1>are seeing people, you know, AIDS is no longer a

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<v Speaker 1>death sentence if you get diagnosed with HIV. There is

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<v Speaker 1>treatment available that will stop you from passing that onto

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<v Speaker 1>your partner and most importantly, passing it along to your child,

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<v Speaker 1>so that we can see an HIV free generation in

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<v Speaker 1>our future. We will not do that if we don't

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<v Speaker 1>keep up the work that we're doing to fund the

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<v Speaker 1>HIV programs as well as now what's needed to end

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<v Speaker 1>the COVID pandemic. And again that's what this campaign is

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<v Speaker 1>meant to do engage people. You know, we have you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Read is known for our incredible products, so you can

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<v Speaker 1>now shop Read and uh, you know, I would encourage

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<v Speaker 1>everybody to go to code red dot org and you

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<v Speaker 1>can find out how to use your credit card rewards

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<v Speaker 1>points as well as shop as well as game. You

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<v Speaker 1>can even play mind graft Um, you know. And we're

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<v Speaker 1>really about making sure that we are giving customers and

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<v Speaker 1>employees of the world's biggest brands the ability to help

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<v Speaker 1>end this pandemic. Jennifer, how long do you think Red

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<v Speaker 1>will have to exist? You know, that's that's an interesting question.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, at one point we talked about like, wouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>it be amazing if we put ourselves out of business?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I think that Red is a really innovative model,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think that right now again, unfortunately, we're still

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<v Speaker 1>battling the HIV pandemic. We are now battling COVID. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know what's going to happen, if there's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be another one coming around the corner. Um. But I

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<v Speaker 1>think what's really special and unique about Red is our model.

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<v Speaker 1>So whether our mission changes, you know, I think that

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<v Speaker 1>we will continue to find ways to innovate that model

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<v Speaker 1>and ensure that we're engaging the world's biggest companies along

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<v Speaker 1>with their customers. All Right, We're gonna leave it on

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<v Speaker 1>that note. Hey, Jennifer, good luck with the mission. And

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<v Speaker 1>again code red dot org. You can find out more

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<v Speaker 1>information there and certainly shop code reddish as she talked about.

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<v Speaker 1>She is, of course, Jennifer Lotito. She's president chief operating

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<v Speaker 1>officer at Red joining us via zoom in New York City.

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<v Speaker 1>Great question that you asked, like, right, Like the goal

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<v Speaker 1>is to maybe put yourself out of business exactly, but

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<v Speaker 1>it does when I think about pandemics, Right, We've been

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<v Speaker 1>told there's going to be more. Right and if you're

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<v Speaker 1>not focusing on HIV AIDS or coronavirus US in COVID

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen malaria, right, other things that eradicated poverty. Like, there's

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<v Speaker 1>just so many issues out there. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. Well, a lot going on when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to COVID. The EU has record at least forty

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<v Speaker 1>four confirmed cases of the omicron variant in eleven countries.

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<v Speaker 1>Does say that all of the people infected are asymptomatic,

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<v Speaker 1>showing only mild symptoms. Oxford saying there's no evidence that

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<v Speaker 1>the new variant defeats the vaccine it developed with Astra

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<v Speaker 1>Zeneca and Durna, predicting vaccines will struggle while the with

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<v Speaker 1>this variant, while the World Health Organization warned that the

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<v Speaker 1>variant could feel a fresh surge in infections with severe consequences.

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<v Speaker 1>All of this happening, Carol, while the U s c

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<v Speaker 1>DC is considering tightening travel restrictions and rules, Germany taking

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<v Speaker 1>a step closer towards making vaccines compulsory. So we slew

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<v Speaker 1>of news happening around the world as a result of

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<v Speaker 1>this variant. I feel like we've been here before, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>So let's see what John Laryerman has to say. He's

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<v Speaker 1>our health team editor at bloom News on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from Boston. John lot going on, trying to understand. It's

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<v Speaker 1>confusing financial markets. It's confusing we we merror mortals. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know how do today? Isn't it? It's only Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 1>It's only Tuesday. I keep I keep telling myself that

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<v Speaker 1>because it feels much late in the week. Yeah, there's

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<v Speaker 1>so many there's a great deal of confusing news going

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<v Speaker 1>on out here. It's difficult to make sense of. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of it has to do with, um, say,

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<v Speaker 1>government trying to be extremely cautious and to a degree,

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<v Speaker 1>drugmakers as well. And yet I think that there is

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<v Speaker 1>a certain amount of confidence about, you know, the the

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<v Speaker 1>effectiveness of vaccines um and uh uh it remains to

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<v Speaker 1>be seen for the effectiveness of drugs as well. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's it's difficult to put this in all all,

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<v Speaker 1>all of it in context because there's news coming in

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<v Speaker 1>from so many different directions. But um uh so far um.

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<v Speaker 1>What the drugmakers are saying, at least most of them

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<v Speaker 1>is that they think that their vaccines will be at

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<v Speaker 1>least somewhat effective um against omicron. What does what does

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<v Speaker 1>somewhat mean though? And I don't think we really know,

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<v Speaker 1>but the the vaccine so far with the percent effective,

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<v Speaker 1>So that's a really effective vaccine, you know, you think

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<v Speaker 1>about it. That's much more effective than the blue vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>right um. Flue vaccines sometimes they tend to go between

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<v Speaker 1>thirty and effective in a given year, so it's it's there.

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<v Speaker 1>There's still they seem very effective in keeping people out

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<v Speaker 1>of the hospital. We don't know. I think I think

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<v Speaker 1>the Maderna comments earlier may have thrown a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a scare into people because they said they thought it

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<v Speaker 1>would be less effective and we would need a new vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>But that's not what the other drug makers are saying.

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<v Speaker 1>And then the other thing that you know, counterfeit knowing

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<v Speaker 1>that um is uh that in the places where O

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<v Speaker 1>Macron cases have been seen, UM, they seem to be

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<v Speaker 1>less uh severe um. And this is news that come

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<v Speaker 1>out of both the EU and South Africa, both of

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<v Speaker 1>which have excellent surveillance and excellent health care systems. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>does that mean that these are breakthrough cases in people

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<v Speaker 1>have already been vaccinated and so that's why they were severe,

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<v Speaker 1>or does it actually mean that it's a less severe virus.

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<v Speaker 1>It's very difficult to say. Or was it just the

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<v Speaker 1>population that was seen in was it younger people, children?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, people who usually don't develop uh severe cases.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's a lot of data. I mean, it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>not to say. Will never find the answer to these questions.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we will at some point. But um, what

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<v Speaker 1>have we known about you know? O Macron? I think

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<v Speaker 1>it entered the vocabulary about five days ago, right, So, um,

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<v Speaker 1>there's still a lot to find out about this. And

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<v Speaker 1>the other thing to remember is, you know, um, here

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<v Speaker 1>in the US, we still haven't seen omicron. We will,

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<v Speaker 1>there's no doubt that we will. But um, but is

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<v Speaker 1>that is that John, because we don't do the same

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<v Speaker 1>kind of sequencing that other countries do. We did a

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<v Speaker 1>story yesterday in which we sort of laid out, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>some of the issues around the surveillance system here in

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<v Speaker 1>the US. And we do a lot of sequencing, there's

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<v Speaker 1>no question we do a lot, but the intensity of it,

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<v Speaker 1>the percentage of cases that are tested in sequences sequenced

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<v Speaker 1>is lower than say, you know, some countries like of UK,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, which is the star. You know, they are

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<v Speaker 1>the world leader in this and which we probably ought

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<v Speaker 1>to be trying to catch up to. And actually South

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<v Speaker 1>Africa is a very good job with this stuff as well.

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<v Speaker 1>South Africa you know, huge health problems and have to

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<v Speaker 1>keep an eye and stuff like HIV, which huge rates

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<v Speaker 1>of So they're very good with sequencing there and that's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's every reason that that's why they found

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<v Speaker 1>owned there because they're actually keeping such close airing issues

0:12:03.840 --> 0:12:06.559
<v Speaker 1>like John Larroman, thank you so much. How team editor

0:12:06.720 --> 0:12:09.400
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News on the phone from Boston. You're listening to

0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:13.440
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes

0:12:13.559 --> 0:12:18.000
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. So call it storage wars

0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:21.200
<v Speaker 1>on steroids to some extent um supply Jayan Carnage, creating

0:12:21.240 --> 0:12:23.480
<v Speaker 1>opportunities for companies that are willing to take a chance

0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:25.520
<v Speaker 1>on some random goods. Tim, what's it gonna be? Is

0:12:25.520 --> 0:12:26.760
<v Speaker 1>it going to be a car? Or is it gonna

0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:29.920
<v Speaker 1>be pumpkin seeds? Maybe some rotting foot both, It could

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:32.240
<v Speaker 1>be all of the above. It is a fantastic story.

0:12:32.280 --> 0:12:34.679
<v Speaker 1>Joel Weber as editor at Bloomberg Business Week. He's with

0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:37.520
<v Speaker 1>us in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. Jeff Wise this

0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:39.839
<v Speaker 1>freelance contributor for Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us on

0:12:39.880 --> 0:12:43.480
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Westchester, New York. So, Joel, how is

0:12:43.520 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 1>this an industry Oh man, this story brought me so

0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:48.400
<v Speaker 1>much joy. It was like, we just keep getting a

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:51.680
<v Speaker 1>horror messages about the supply chain and how everything's broken,

0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:54.280
<v Speaker 1>and then like you get a little gym like this

0:12:54.360 --> 0:12:57.920
<v Speaker 1>that reveals that there are people who specialty is to

0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:02.079
<v Speaker 1>deal with boxes that are sort of mysterious mystery boxes.

0:13:02.120 --> 0:13:04.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's like the little mystery not just any

0:13:04.120 --> 0:13:07.520
<v Speaker 1>boxes though, right, exactly like container boxes. And it turns

0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.600
<v Speaker 1>out this is a an industry in and of itself

0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:12.640
<v Speaker 1>that we probably wouldn't write about it if there wasn't

0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:16.480
<v Speaker 1>some supply chain carnage. UM. So, Jeff, tell us about

0:13:16.480 --> 0:13:19.679
<v Speaker 1>how you found out about this amazing story. Well, I

0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:23.600
<v Speaker 1>was doing a story about ever Given and one of

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:26.160
<v Speaker 1>the aspects of the story that was kind of drew

0:13:26.160 --> 0:13:28.679
<v Speaker 1>my attention was the fact that nobody really knew what

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:30.960
<v Speaker 1>was on that ship. You know, there was something like

0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:35.680
<v Speaker 1>twenty containers, and there were there were various reports like, um,

0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 1>it had been reported that there was a life sized

0:13:39.160 --> 0:13:41.240
<v Speaker 1>train of source rex that was heading for a mini

0:13:41.240 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 1>golf course in England. Um, but like nice little details

0:13:44.880 --> 0:13:46.320
<v Speaker 1>like that, but nobody really knew what the bulk of

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:49.440
<v Speaker 1>it was. And there was this young guy Uh in

0:13:49.480 --> 0:13:54.760
<v Speaker 1>the UK who um was more talkative than most of

0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:58.960
<v Speaker 1>these these these salvage buyers, and he um kind of

0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:03.840
<v Speaker 1>became like sort of internet instant media star over in

0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 1>the the UK. He was on the local news and everything,

0:14:07.080 --> 0:14:08.720
<v Speaker 1>talking about what he had. What he had, He had

0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:11.200
<v Speaker 1>taken about twenty containers off the ship and was trying to,

0:14:11.280 --> 0:14:13.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, figure out what to do with it. Um.

0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:18.360
<v Speaker 1>He had actually ten containers five tons or something of

0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 1>raw cabbage that had been picked by farmers in China

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:26.200
<v Speaker 1>putting these containers and was destined for Europe. And then

0:14:26.200 --> 0:14:30.760
<v Speaker 1>of course it was stuck for four months the heat

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:34.960
<v Speaker 1>and has liquefied had turned into goop. And so this

0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:37.880
<v Speaker 1>is a guy who, um, you know, became the centerpiece

0:14:37.920 --> 0:14:41.240
<v Speaker 1>of my of my article for Business Week. Um. You know,

0:14:41.280 --> 0:14:44.800
<v Speaker 1>he can both turn around stuff that has some value

0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 1>left in it um, or he can take stuff that's

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:51.400
<v Speaker 1>absolutely toxic or dangerous or whatever it has to be

0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:54.640
<v Speaker 1>disposed of. Um. So he can he whatever it is,

0:14:54.680 --> 0:14:57.360
<v Speaker 1>he kind of uses his cleverness and his connections to

0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.400
<v Speaker 1>find out the best thing to do with it. And

0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:04.640
<v Speaker 1>how is the that you know in that uh you know,

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>these could be mystery boxes, it isn't it. Don't The

0:15:08.160 --> 0:15:12.160
<v Speaker 1>companies that trans transport these containers know exactly what's in

0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:17.520
<v Speaker 1>every container for the most part, Yes, Um, each container

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 1>has a manifest and it's sealed, and so there's there's

0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:22.800
<v Speaker 1>not SUPSI to be any tampering, but there's shenanigans that

0:15:22.840 --> 0:15:26.000
<v Speaker 1>go on and and sometimes the manifest is vague. In

0:15:26.000 --> 0:15:27.920
<v Speaker 1>the case of the one that I wrote about in

0:15:27.960 --> 0:15:32.440
<v Speaker 1>the story, it just said household goods bracket car and

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 1>they was what that meant? Does anybody's gass? Like what what?

0:15:34.800 --> 0:15:37.000
<v Speaker 1>What value? Do as on to that? It's like a complete,

0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, random gas. Um. But he was telling me

0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:42.760
<v Speaker 1>sometimes this wasn't in the article, but there's a trade

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 1>where people basically because you cost money to dispose of stuff,

0:15:46.760 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 1>especially dangerous stuff. So what they'll sometimes do is they'll

0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:56.040
<v Speaker 1>they'll bundle up you know correctly, um say plastic recycling

0:15:56.120 --> 0:15:58.360
<v Speaker 1>in the front of a container, and then behind that

0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 1>it's like either just junk or garbage or something hazardous

0:16:02.640 --> 0:16:04.920
<v Speaker 1>and then then you ship it, you know, to Asia

0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:07.960
<v Speaker 1>or to Africa, and then it's you know, effectively you're

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:09.920
<v Speaker 1>disposing of it. The same day I was there, he

0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:12.680
<v Speaker 1>showed me the car. He had a load of tires

0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:16.640
<v Speaker 1>that had been illegally shipped off and had been sent back,

0:16:16.760 --> 0:16:18.720
<v Speaker 1>and so he was going to dispose of that. So

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 1>I understand why someone might not claim twenty containers full

0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:27.160
<v Speaker 1>of what was formerly known as cabbage. But why why

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>would something like that car not get claimed? Like? How

0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:33.440
<v Speaker 1>how frequently does stuff just not get claimed at the port?

0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:37.680
<v Speaker 1>He is not a detective. His job is just to

0:16:37.760 --> 0:16:39.120
<v Speaker 1>figure out what to do with this stuff, and he

0:16:39.240 --> 0:16:41.760
<v Speaker 1>like the quicker he can do it, the better. So yeah,

0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:43.560
<v Speaker 1>my instinct is the same as yours. I'm like, how

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 1>do you know? But he that's not his approach, so

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:47.960
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't know, Like he has no idea what happens.

0:16:48.120 --> 0:16:49.880
<v Speaker 1>This guy could have died. He could have just like

0:16:49.880 --> 0:16:53.320
<v Speaker 1>looked at the storage charges and been, um, I don't

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:55.200
<v Speaker 1>want to deal with this anymore. But this is a

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:59.680
<v Speaker 1>real problem. You know, the containers sit there and whatever

0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:02.480
<v Speaker 1>is in it is not gaining any value, and and

0:17:02.520 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 1>the costs are mounting. I actually wound up. I was

0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:07.840
<v Speaker 1>I was over in the UK doing a couple of stories,

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:09.639
<v Speaker 1>and I wound up sharing a cab with a woman

0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:12.280
<v Speaker 1>whose son was in the furniture importation business, and she

0:17:12.359 --> 0:17:14.399
<v Speaker 1>was telling me he was looking at he might go

0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:18.000
<v Speaker 1>bankrupt because there's such a shortage of truck drivers because

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:21.280
<v Speaker 1>of Brexit. All their truck drivers left and they have

0:17:21.320 --> 0:17:24.439
<v Speaker 1>a real problem. They just can't move stuff and the

0:17:24.520 --> 0:17:27.160
<v Speaker 1>longer it sits, you know, worst. So I just had

0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:29.920
<v Speaker 1>this image of him like rubbing his hands together and like, oh,

0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:34.040
<v Speaker 1>suppledging problems, all those containers you know, sitting out there.

0:17:34.720 --> 0:17:36.439
<v Speaker 1>Is he like is he just you know, kind of

0:17:36.440 --> 0:17:42.320
<v Speaker 1>expecting kind of a windfall? Well, um, I mean it's

0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:45.560
<v Speaker 1>been good, but he but there's plenty for him to

0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:48.040
<v Speaker 1>do anyway. I mean, this is you know, what's so

0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:50.800
<v Speaker 1>interesting about this story is that you know, containers are

0:17:51.680 --> 0:17:54.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of routinized. I mean you're basically taking what used

0:17:54.200 --> 0:17:57.200
<v Speaker 1>to be every item was was individually, you know, put

0:17:57.200 --> 0:17:59.159
<v Speaker 1>on board a ship by Steven Oor's and everything has

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:04.120
<v Speaker 1>been kind of routinized into these identical boxes and moved

0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 1>by the tens of thousands through these ports and it's

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:10.520
<v Speaker 1>it's we are are all around the world part of

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:13.520
<v Speaker 1>the system that is that is brought together. And here

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:16.000
<v Speaker 1>you have these guys who are kind of breaking that

0:18:16.680 --> 0:18:18.960
<v Speaker 1>mold and there and they're and and they're sort of

0:18:19.000 --> 0:18:23.120
<v Speaker 1>taking things back to the idiosyncrasy that's kind of inherent

0:18:23.160 --> 0:18:27.120
<v Speaker 1>in all these little transactions that are packaged onto these boxes.

0:18:27.960 --> 0:18:30.159
<v Speaker 1>Which doesn't answer your question, all I I grant you,

0:18:30.240 --> 0:18:37.639
<v Speaker 1>but but is the problem getting worse. Well, the problem

0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:41.399
<v Speaker 1>is bad there. It's like we have a slightly different

0:18:41.400 --> 0:18:43.520
<v Speaker 1>problem here. We don't have Brexit, and we weren't quite

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 1>as affected by the blockage of the Suez Canal, which

0:18:46.520 --> 0:18:48.679
<v Speaker 1>had these sort of ripple knock on effects over in

0:18:48.720 --> 0:18:51.280
<v Speaker 1>Europe but not so much here. Um, but we do

0:18:51.400 --> 0:18:55.359
<v Speaker 1>have the kind of COVID backlog. The President had a

0:18:55.400 --> 0:18:59.679
<v Speaker 1>press conference last week where he specifically addressed this, um

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:03.600
<v Speaker 1>and the people that I talked to everyone has kind

0:19:03.600 --> 0:19:05.840
<v Speaker 1>of a different sense of how long this is gonna look,

0:19:06.200 --> 0:19:09.080
<v Speaker 1>but it's it was anything from eight months to two years.

0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:11.680
<v Speaker 1>This is gonna be with us. Yeah, I just think,

0:19:11.720 --> 0:19:13.600
<v Speaker 1>like a guy like this, it's just like it seems

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:19.080
<v Speaker 1>like this would be like Christmas every every month unless

0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>you're getting and it's like a six year old. It's like,

0:19:21.840 --> 0:19:24.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, anything that's wrapped up is like a surprise,

0:19:25.000 --> 0:19:31.560
<v Speaker 1>and like this is the very counterous things. Right when

0:19:31.560 --> 0:19:34.199
<v Speaker 1>things are going bad for everyone else, it's good for them, right,

0:19:34.240 --> 0:19:38.280
<v Speaker 1>the more stuff. Every time things rot or go awry,

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:40.720
<v Speaker 1>these guys are here to pick up the slack. And

0:19:40.920 --> 0:19:43.120
<v Speaker 1>I think there's you know, even when things are quote

0:19:43.160 --> 0:19:46.679
<v Speaker 1>unquote normal, things always go awry. I'll pass on the

0:19:46.720 --> 0:19:50.919
<v Speaker 1>cabbage and say yes to the Sedan, even though you

0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:54.200
<v Speaker 1>know it's so what, so what. I probably could sell

0:19:54.240 --> 0:20:00.400
<v Speaker 1>it more now than I could have. There's no title control.

0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:03.399
<v Speaker 1>You'll sell that car quickly, all right, Jeff Wise, this

0:20:03.480 --> 0:20:06.080
<v Speaker 1>is a great read. Freelance contributed to Bloomberg Business Week

0:20:06.119 --> 0:20:08.800
<v Speaker 1>in the upcoming issue of the magazine. Jil Webber, Editor

0:20:08.880 --> 0:20:14.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week in our interactive broker studio Pumpkin Seeds. No,

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:17.720
<v Speaker 1>I know, all right, you're listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:20:17.920 --> 0:20:22.439
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Radio. This is Bloomberg Business Week with

0:20:22.520 --> 0:20:27.359
<v Speaker 1>Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

0:20:27.560 --> 0:20:30.000
<v Speaker 1>Among our most read stories on the Bloomberg, this one

0:20:30.119 --> 0:20:32.920
<v Speaker 1>is about a secretive robot that is helping one investment

0:20:32.960 --> 0:20:36.280
<v Speaker 1>firm locate winners. Robots and finance. They're not new to him,

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:38.520
<v Speaker 1>but this is something different. Yeah, this is not just

0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:43.240
<v Speaker 1>about picking the winners, but it's about avoiding picking the losers. Right, right.

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:45.080
<v Speaker 1>This is the the same with investing. Right, It's not only

0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:47.240
<v Speaker 1>about gaining money, but it's about making sure you don't

0:20:47.240 --> 0:20:48.760
<v Speaker 1>lose a lot of money. It is, but there's also

0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:51.920
<v Speaker 1>a big human element involved. Unfortunately, we have a Hammond

0:20:52.040 --> 0:20:55.440
<v Speaker 1>Deals Report human Bloomberg News a human. Not last time

0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:58.439
<v Speaker 1>we check robot, although yeah, he gets scoops like a

0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>like some sort of super hero EDHAMM. Did it great

0:21:01.080 --> 0:21:03.919
<v Speaker 1>to have you with us this afternoon? Tell us about

0:21:04.119 --> 0:21:08.000
<v Speaker 1>this robot that Stripes is using and has been using.

0:21:09.119 --> 0:21:11.800
<v Speaker 1>Great to be with you guys. Um, look, I think

0:21:11.800 --> 0:21:14.199
<v Speaker 1>that's the first thing said. Yes, the robot's secretive, but

0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:18.399
<v Speaker 1>only because Strikes itself is secretive. It's a very very

0:21:18.400 --> 0:21:21.480
<v Speaker 1>private exity firm. And by that I mean they have

0:21:21.600 --> 0:21:24.159
<v Speaker 1>never done the press release, they've never done an interview.

0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:27.359
<v Speaker 1>They don't really go out and make any noise about

0:21:27.440 --> 0:21:29.639
<v Speaker 1>what they're doing. Do you know what? You know what?

0:21:30.560 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 1>You know? What's so funny? On our call this morning,

0:21:33.000 --> 0:21:35.080
<v Speaker 1>on our call when we're talking about doing this story,

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:37.960
<v Speaker 1>I said, what is Stripes? Am? I should I have

0:21:38.040 --> 0:21:42.800
<v Speaker 1>heard of this company? Like we are not really stupid? Yeah? No,

0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:45.240
<v Speaker 1>but you should have because that was where I was.

0:21:45.480 --> 0:21:48.400
<v Speaker 1>I became interested in them because some of their portfolio

0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:52.159
<v Speaker 1>companies were going public and we're having these insane I

0:21:52.240 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>p o s and becoming quite well known brands, and

0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:56.960
<v Speaker 1>I was like, well, who's this company that keeps showing

0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:58.640
<v Speaker 1>up again and again and again on the shelf hold

0:21:58.680 --> 0:22:01.720
<v Speaker 1>to Pay and no one seems to know anything about

0:22:01.800 --> 0:22:04.720
<v Speaker 1>and they're looking into them, even with Mike of Bloomberg

0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:06.440
<v Speaker 1>and all of our data. I was like, we don't

0:22:06.520 --> 0:22:08.680
<v Speaker 1>show a huge amount about them. This has got to

0:22:08.720 --> 0:22:10.480
<v Speaker 1>be an interesting story. And so I dug in and

0:22:10.560 --> 0:22:14.359
<v Speaker 1>dug in and eventually started to piece together this thing

0:22:14.440 --> 0:22:16.760
<v Speaker 1>that they have, which I think is fairly unique in

0:22:16.760 --> 0:22:19.440
<v Speaker 1>private equity, which is that they're using you know, what

0:22:19.560 --> 0:22:21.960
<v Speaker 1>has been a long term trend in hedge funds, sort

0:22:21.960 --> 0:22:25.440
<v Speaker 1>of algorithmic trading. They use using that same kind of

0:22:25.560 --> 0:22:29.399
<v Speaker 1>technology to actually source deals, and then they're using humans

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:32.320
<v Speaker 1>to go and build relationships to get into those deals

0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:35.520
<v Speaker 1>and then help manage those companies through their you know,

0:22:35.680 --> 0:22:37.920
<v Speaker 1>through their growth from early stage right away through I

0:22:38.040 --> 0:22:40.919
<v Speaker 1>p O S. And it's it's something that has obviously

0:22:41.000 --> 0:22:44.560
<v Speaker 1>worked extraordinarily well for them, at least thus far well.

0:22:44.600 --> 0:22:48.240
<v Speaker 1>And it sounds like the more data sonar, right is

0:22:48.520 --> 0:22:52.399
<v Speaker 1>it's known internally um, but the more data it accumulates,

0:22:52.520 --> 0:22:55.600
<v Speaker 1>the smarter it seems to get. And that's helping it

0:22:55.680 --> 0:23:00.119
<v Speaker 1>avoid losses right right exactly, so, and this was key

0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 1>points of the story. It was like, yes, it has

0:23:02.160 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 1>these great return numbers and you know, long term I

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:08.159
<v Speaker 1>R are that is way above what would be considered

0:23:08.200 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 1>normal in the industry. But actually the more interesting part

0:23:11.119 --> 0:23:13.120
<v Speaker 1>to me was that like, over a period of time,

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:18.520
<v Speaker 1>it's lost ratio has gone to sube, which is almost

0:23:18.600 --> 0:23:20.960
<v Speaker 1>unheard of it in investment. I mean, really, what that

0:23:21.080 --> 0:23:23.159
<v Speaker 1>means is that like if you pick twenty investments in

0:23:23.240 --> 0:23:27.240
<v Speaker 1>a fund, you're you're you're losing money on on almost

0:23:27.320 --> 0:23:30.200
<v Speaker 1>none of them. I mean, it's it's just a remarkable

0:23:30.760 --> 0:23:32.399
<v Speaker 1>thing to do. And obviously the robot is a big

0:23:32.440 --> 0:23:36.440
<v Speaker 1>part of that because it's able to refine the companies

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:38.520
<v Speaker 1>that it puts in front of the investment professionals, that

0:23:38.640 --> 0:23:41.960
<v Speaker 1>strips and and so you have what seems like a

0:23:42.119 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 1>very very good and consistent investment model for them. The

0:23:45.640 --> 0:23:47.639
<v Speaker 1>key thing that they said to me when I was

0:23:47.680 --> 0:23:49.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of digging into this, and they weren't cooperating with

0:23:50.040 --> 0:23:52.000
<v Speaker 1>me on this piece, but they did say, look, the

0:23:52.080 --> 0:23:54.760
<v Speaker 1>technology is only useful for our firm. It wouldn't be

0:23:54.840 --> 0:23:56.399
<v Speaker 1>something that anyone else could just plug it and go

0:23:56.520 --> 0:24:00.159
<v Speaker 1>and I think what that means is that the kind

0:24:00.240 --> 0:24:02.920
<v Speaker 1>of investments the robot picks are ones that actually makes

0:24:03.000 --> 0:24:07.440
<v Speaker 1>sense for the investors. That strips into their professional expertise.

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 1>It wouldn't necessarily work at any investment fund. And what

0:24:11.119 --> 0:24:13.320
<v Speaker 1>is what is the data that they're able that's that

0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:15.520
<v Speaker 1>stripes is actually and this and so in our robot

0:24:15.600 --> 0:24:18.639
<v Speaker 1>is actually able to to dig into because these are

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:21.800
<v Speaker 1>private companies, so this type of data isn't readily available.

0:24:21.880 --> 0:24:24.680
<v Speaker 1>So what does it look at? What are the inputs? Yeah,

0:24:24.680 --> 0:24:27.399
<v Speaker 1>it's a great question. I obviously was not able to

0:24:27.600 --> 0:24:29.800
<v Speaker 1>establish exactly what it looks at because that would be

0:24:29.840 --> 0:24:31.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of giving away their secret source. But it it

0:24:32.119 --> 0:24:36.240
<v Speaker 1>takes from a very wide range of different data groups

0:24:36.280 --> 0:24:38.159
<v Speaker 1>and fact sets. And some of that is, you know,

0:24:38.520 --> 0:24:41.080
<v Speaker 1>news articles like we were on private companies. A lot

0:24:41.119 --> 0:24:44.199
<v Speaker 1>of it is stuff like customer satisfaction surveys, credit cards scanned,

0:24:44.600 --> 0:24:48.840
<v Speaker 1>and sort of more granular stuff. Um. The the interesting

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:51.960
<v Speaker 1>thing is how it scores. It's from what I understand,

0:24:52.000 --> 0:24:55.080
<v Speaker 1>it has a scoring mechanism that sort of puts a tiny,

0:24:55.240 --> 0:24:58.280
<v Speaker 1>tiny proportion of the companies it looks at in the

0:24:58.400 --> 0:25:00.920
<v Speaker 1>sort of the box that says that the Stripes investors.

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:02.840
<v Speaker 1>This is you know, this is a top score for us.

0:25:03.640 --> 0:25:08.679
<v Speaker 1>What have they invested in? Cookies? Cookies there, that's right

0:25:08.720 --> 0:25:11.680
<v Speaker 1>there in Levian Bakery there. Did you get to eat

0:25:11.680 --> 0:25:15.480
<v Speaker 1>any of those for your reporting? That's something I haven't

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:21.400
<v Speaker 1>done yet, Okay, you and me, Third Avenue, Upper East Side.

0:25:21.440 --> 0:25:24.119
<v Speaker 1>I might even order some to the office in studio.

0:25:25.040 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 1>But they're in cookies. They are in Parade, which is

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:30.159
<v Speaker 1>this like fas stuff and coming underwear group. They're in

0:25:30.320 --> 0:25:33.520
<v Speaker 1>on running there in Monday. They are in Remittly, which

0:25:33.600 --> 0:25:35.159
<v Speaker 1>is the cash transfer out. They're in a lot of

0:25:35.320 --> 0:25:38.399
<v Speaker 1>different companies, and a lot of very successful companies, and

0:25:38.560 --> 0:25:40.520
<v Speaker 1>four of which went public over the summer and have

0:25:40.680 --> 0:25:43.520
<v Speaker 1>had As I say, it's sort of like rapid rapid growth,

0:25:43.600 --> 0:25:47.399
<v Speaker 1>even post idea, although that may have called off slightly today,

0:25:47.520 --> 0:25:50.320
<v Speaker 1>but along with everything else, but it's interesting when we

0:25:50.400 --> 0:25:53.879
<v Speaker 1>know that there's a lot of money chasing, especially a

0:25:53.960 --> 0:25:56.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of younger companies, it does sound like that this

0:25:56.840 --> 0:25:59.399
<v Speaker 1>is giving them a big advantage, both on the upside

0:25:59.440 --> 0:26:02.560
<v Speaker 1>but particular on the downside as well. And Hammond, thank

0:26:02.560 --> 0:26:05.359
<v Speaker 1>you so much. Blomberg News Deals reporter ed Hammond on

0:26:05.480 --> 0:26:07.560
<v Speaker 1>the phone, in New York City. I love this story.

0:26:07.680 --> 0:26:10.640
<v Speaker 1>I love living cookies. Okay, I didn't know that they've

0:26:10.720 --> 0:26:14.440
<v Speaker 1>had private equity investment. Could you just think about it? Right? Like? Uh?

0:26:14.520 --> 0:26:16.720
<v Speaker 1>And ultimately these companies go public if you get in

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:20.159
<v Speaker 1>early enough, you think about the potential for rewards. You

0:26:20.280 --> 0:26:28.760
<v Speaker 1>need the robot. You're listening to Bloomberg Radio. I'm rob Yeah,

0:26:28.760 --> 0:26:30.720
<v Speaker 1>I bet you let me drive. Oh no, no, no no,

0:26:31.200 --> 0:26:36.800
<v Speaker 1>this is not a toy night. Please, I'll do the ridings.

0:26:37.840 --> 0:26:46.119
<v Speaker 1>I want to drive. It's a good question. This is

0:26:46.200 --> 0:26:52.359
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the clothes on Bloomberg Radio. All right,

0:26:52.359 --> 0:26:55.040
<v Speaker 1>everybody just got ten minutes left in today's trading session.

0:26:55.160 --> 0:26:57.880
<v Speaker 1>We are pretty much at our lows when it comes

0:26:57.920 --> 0:26:59.800
<v Speaker 1>to the SMP and the DOLL a little bit off

0:26:59.840 --> 0:27:01.560
<v Speaker 1>of it when it comes to the NASDA. But definitely

0:27:01.880 --> 0:27:05.359
<v Speaker 1>it does feel like a recalibration when it comes to

0:27:05.480 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 1>investors as they try to make sense of J. Powell's

0:27:08.080 --> 0:27:11.120
<v Speaker 1>testimony today, because he certainly seemed a little bit hawkish.

0:27:11.480 --> 0:27:14.359
<v Speaker 1>But keep in mind rates are still low, low, low.

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:16.440
<v Speaker 1>Let's see what Aaron Cannon has to say, co founder

0:27:16.480 --> 0:27:19.399
<v Speaker 1>and chief executive officer at Clear Harbor Asset Management of

0:27:19.440 --> 0:27:22.520
<v Speaker 1>a billion in assets under management. Aaron back with us

0:27:22.600 --> 0:27:25.240
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Stanford, Connecticut. He Aaron, Uh, it's

0:27:25.280 --> 0:27:28.320
<v Speaker 1>been interesting the last week or so, certainly concerns about

0:27:28.760 --> 0:27:32.200
<v Speaker 1>the latest COVID variant, and then we had J. Powell today.

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:35.560
<v Speaker 1>What was the most significant thing you think we got

0:27:35.800 --> 0:27:40.440
<v Speaker 1>from the Fed chief? Well, certainly the pivot around the

0:27:40.520 --> 0:27:43.280
<v Speaker 1>acceleration of the taper. We knew the taper was coming,

0:27:43.359 --> 0:27:46.400
<v Speaker 1>but the notion that perhaps they would accelerate it by

0:27:47.520 --> 0:27:50.639
<v Speaker 1>two months just sort of suggest that poll has has

0:27:50.720 --> 0:27:54.280
<v Speaker 1>pivoted from a belief that inflation is transitory to now

0:27:55.200 --> 0:27:59.640
<v Speaker 1>being seemingly concerned about the sort of stickiness factor of inflation.

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:02.639
<v Speaker 1>Of course, as you have the the other headwind of

0:28:02.880 --> 0:28:06.480
<v Speaker 1>of the uncertainty factor around this new variant, and you

0:28:06.560 --> 0:28:10.320
<v Speaker 1>know the question around transmissibility and lethality and whether or

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:12.840
<v Speaker 1>not the current vaccines will will prove effective or not,

0:28:13.080 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 1>and so sort of the perfect elixir for higher volatility,

0:28:16.680 --> 0:28:20.000
<v Speaker 1>which we've really seen now over the last uh several days.

0:28:20.119 --> 0:28:23.880
<v Speaker 1>I think we bottomed on through this year and implied

0:28:23.960 --> 0:28:27.480
<v Speaker 1>volatility about fifteen and it's it's up over twenty seven today.

0:28:27.560 --> 0:28:31.320
<v Speaker 1>And as as you uh noted, to long long dated

0:28:31.359 --> 0:28:35.520
<v Speaker 1>treasuries are are lower today even though UH Paul is

0:28:35.920 --> 0:28:38.360
<v Speaker 1>seemingly concerned about inflation. So I think that sort of

0:28:38.400 --> 0:28:43.520
<v Speaker 1>suggests to me that the market is UM is maybe

0:28:43.640 --> 0:28:47.520
<v Speaker 1>believing Paul around taper, but but not so much around

0:28:47.560 --> 0:28:52.320
<v Speaker 1>the idea that he can UH convey a more aggressive

0:28:53.120 --> 0:28:56.880
<v Speaker 1>tightening UH program around a higher FED funds right in

0:28:56.920 --> 0:29:00.320
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and twenty two. So how many reckons style

0:29:01.120 --> 0:29:05.360
<v Speaker 1>these competing forces happening right now? One is Fittrick Helle's

0:29:05.400 --> 0:29:08.960
<v Speaker 1>comments about taper, and the other one is about this

0:29:09.840 --> 0:29:15.520
<v Speaker 1>transmissibility of unknown, the new variant running rampant throughout the

0:29:15.560 --> 0:29:17.840
<v Speaker 1>world right now, and the concerns around that because that

0:29:17.920 --> 0:29:20.000
<v Speaker 1>could lead to shutdowns and it could lead to a

0:29:20.040 --> 0:29:24.160
<v Speaker 1>decline in economic activity. Yeah, Tim, that's a great question,

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:28.120
<v Speaker 1>because it's it's almost odd in my mind that Paul

0:29:28.200 --> 0:29:32.920
<v Speaker 1>would decide this week to serve pivot the issue of

0:29:33.040 --> 0:29:37.120
<v Speaker 1>inflation when there's really no new inflation data this week, UM,

0:29:37.280 --> 0:29:40.160
<v Speaker 1>and two weeks ago he was a little more certainly

0:29:40.200 --> 0:29:43.840
<v Speaker 1>in the transitory camp. So I'm a bit baffled by that, UM,

0:29:44.400 --> 0:29:46.200
<v Speaker 1>And I wonder if this is akin to this sort

0:29:46.200 --> 0:29:50.160
<v Speaker 1>of UH taper tantrum of two thousand and eighteen just

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:54.600
<v Speaker 1>before Christmas. Um. With that said, the virus at least

0:29:54.600 --> 0:30:00.600
<v Speaker 1>at an anecdotal level, maybe less lethal and is more

0:30:00.680 --> 0:30:05.280
<v Speaker 1>transmissible than than the delta variant. Now that's quite normal, Um,

0:30:05.480 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 1>that this would occur, um as Um, A virus is

0:30:09.600 --> 0:30:13.600
<v Speaker 1>trying to sort of remain uh quote unquote alive in

0:30:13.680 --> 0:30:17.440
<v Speaker 1>a in a population, transmissibility tends to spread and um

0:30:18.080 --> 0:30:22.360
<v Speaker 1>lethality tends to tends to move lower, Aaron. It says

0:30:22.400 --> 0:30:26.120
<v Speaker 1>something though, right for j Powell, to Tim's point that

0:30:26.280 --> 0:30:31.320
<v Speaker 1>he was comfortable enough in you know, an environment where

0:30:31.320 --> 0:30:34.520
<v Speaker 1>over the past three days we've seen volatility in a

0:30:34.680 --> 0:30:38.000
<v Speaker 1>big way, and we've seen the concerns about the variant.

0:30:38.000 --> 0:30:40.600
<v Speaker 1>But for him to still feel confident in his testimony

0:30:40.640 --> 0:30:44.120
<v Speaker 1>and going before lawmakers to take the word transitory off

0:30:44.160 --> 0:30:47.200
<v Speaker 1>the table, to say that we might speed up the

0:30:47.320 --> 0:30:50.960
<v Speaker 1>pace at which we uh cut back on those asset purchases.

0:30:51.600 --> 0:30:54.600
<v Speaker 1>Does it speak to the underlying strength that he sees

0:30:55.080 --> 0:30:59.600
<v Speaker 1>in the economy even with all of that going on. Well, Um,

0:31:00.120 --> 0:31:02.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't know, is the short answer, Um,

0:31:02.400 --> 0:31:04.640
<v Speaker 1>But you know, I must confess I'm sort of in

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:07.720
<v Speaker 1>the camp that still believes that if it were not

0:31:07.920 --> 0:31:10.640
<v Speaker 1>for COVID, we would not have an inflation problem, and

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:13.280
<v Speaker 1>that if we do have a post COVID world, if

0:31:13.360 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 1>COVID can dissipate to the point where the global economy

0:31:16.840 --> 0:31:19.080
<v Speaker 1>can can normalize. And is that a two thousand and

0:31:19.120 --> 0:31:21.920
<v Speaker 1>two event or two three events, We do not know,

0:31:22.160 --> 0:31:24.800
<v Speaker 1>but I believe it is something for the future, that

0:31:24.960 --> 0:31:27.440
<v Speaker 1>there is an episodic or transitory or whatever term you

0:31:27.480 --> 0:31:32.600
<v Speaker 1>want to use nature to inflation and bottlenecks should subside

0:31:32.920 --> 0:31:36.880
<v Speaker 1>UM and some of the sort of structural headwinds too

0:31:37.720 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 1>uh too inflation should also rear rear their head again,

0:31:41.360 --> 0:31:42.880
<v Speaker 1>which is that you know, we do have an aging

0:31:42.920 --> 0:31:45.880
<v Speaker 1>worker population, we do have a decline in global UH

0:31:46.600 --> 0:31:51.440
<v Speaker 1>rate of population growth. More more generally, UM productivity gains

0:31:51.520 --> 0:31:56.440
<v Speaker 1>through technological advancements should prove disinflationary or continue to prove

0:31:56.520 --> 0:31:59.880
<v Speaker 1>disinflationary over time. But you know, there's also the other

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:01.760
<v Speaker 1>side of this that that I think we need to

0:32:01.800 --> 0:32:04.440
<v Speaker 1>be cognizant about, and maybe this is where Paul is

0:32:05.400 --> 0:32:07.800
<v Speaker 1>is right now, and that is there's a bit of

0:32:07.880 --> 0:32:13.080
<v Speaker 1>a deglobalization effort underway where I think a lot of

0:32:13.520 --> 0:32:18.120
<v Speaker 1>corporate um corporations are realizing that the notion notion of

0:32:18.240 --> 0:32:21.480
<v Speaker 1>just in time uh may may be less important than

0:32:21.680 --> 0:32:24.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, having you know, as the phrases just in case,

0:32:25.080 --> 0:32:28.400
<v Speaker 1>having you know, production here in the United States or

0:32:28.520 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 1>with our neighbors, and not with a nemesis economically, militarily,

0:32:32.440 --> 0:32:35.560
<v Speaker 1>and so that can be inflationary over time. And maybe

0:32:35.640 --> 0:32:38.480
<v Speaker 1>that's a sticky part of this equation. Hey, and we

0:32:38.560 --> 0:32:40.440
<v Speaker 1>just have about a minute left with you, and I'm

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:43.160
<v Speaker 1>wondering the fun days like today, you're getting calls from

0:32:43.200 --> 0:32:46.160
<v Speaker 1>clients because they're so used to seeing the stock market

0:32:46.160 --> 0:32:52.600
<v Speaker 1>at least go one way higher. Yes, I mean, to

0:32:52.680 --> 0:32:54.600
<v Speaker 1>be honest with you, our our phones have been quiet

0:32:54.640 --> 0:32:57.640
<v Speaker 1>on that front. And I think that's because we stay

0:32:57.760 --> 0:33:01.200
<v Speaker 1>in touch with our clients. We have an asset allocation

0:33:01.320 --> 0:33:04.840
<v Speaker 1>and a risk management framework that's unique to each client.

0:33:05.240 --> 0:33:07.600
<v Speaker 1>And so the idea that a client may need cash

0:33:07.720 --> 0:33:09.720
<v Speaker 1>today or tomorrow doesn't mean we run out and have

0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 1>to sell equities in this market today. That would mean

0:33:12.560 --> 0:33:15.240
<v Speaker 1>I think that we're doing something quite irresponsible in the

0:33:15.320 --> 0:33:19.040
<v Speaker 1>planning process. So I think our clients are probably reasonably

0:33:19.160 --> 0:33:22.640
<v Speaker 1>calm about where things are. They know that volatility is

0:33:22.680 --> 0:33:26.320
<v Speaker 1>a natural function of markets, but they also know that we're,

0:33:26.520 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, looking after their asset allocation and that we're

0:33:29.520 --> 0:33:34.880
<v Speaker 1>creating a risk adjusted portfolio that's specific to them both

0:33:34.960 --> 0:33:38.720
<v Speaker 1>for the short, medium and long term in their financial life. Well,

0:33:38.840 --> 0:33:41.600
<v Speaker 1>it's for me, it just feels like there's a recalibration

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:43.440
<v Speaker 1>of so many different things going on, whether it's in

0:33:43.480 --> 0:33:46.920
<v Speaker 1>the energy markets, whether it's in demand, whether it's people

0:33:47.080 --> 0:33:49.880
<v Speaker 1>leaving the workforce for good and just different things going on.

0:33:50.120 --> 0:33:53.240
<v Speaker 1>But but we're definitely seeing things play out in the market. Hey, Aaron,

0:33:53.280 --> 0:33:55.600
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Co founder, chief executive officer at

0:33:55.640 --> 0:33:58.440
<v Speaker 1>Clear Harbor Asset Management roughly one billion in assets under

0:33:58.480 --> 0:34:02.760
<v Speaker 1>management with us on the phone once again from Stamford, Connecticut.

0:34:03.640 --> 0:34:06.480
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast

0:34:06.560 --> 0:34:09.480
<v Speaker 1>on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com, and you can

0:34:09.520 --> 0:34:11.640
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0:34:11.719 --> 0:34:14.840
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0:34:14.880 --> 0:34:15.520
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