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Speaker 1: The volume. This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre.

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Speaker 2: What is up Straight firefam HiT's me Jason McIntyre. Straight

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Speaker 2: Fire for Friday, December first, a final month of twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty three, and it starts with a bang. How about

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Speaker 2: Cowboys Seahawks last night? Holy cow fun game? Seahawks got

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Speaker 2: the cover and listen. I'm not one to brag, but

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Speaker 2: when you're running hot, you're running hot. College Hoops picks

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Speaker 2: only on IG only on IG stories two and oh,

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Speaker 2: that's eight and one this week feeling it and the

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Speaker 2: Bears hit on Monday Night money Line and it's just

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Speaker 2: been a great week all around. Gotta get excited. And

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Speaker 2: we close out the week with a great guest on

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Speaker 2: today's pod. You remember him from our college football preview,

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Speaker 2: Brad Powers, college football Gambler. Just excellent insight on the

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Speaker 2: weekend that will be championship weekend in college football. It's

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Speaker 2: surprisingly massive because there's four unbeaten teams heading into the weekend.

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Speaker 2: There's an FSU team that does not belong Brad and

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Speaker 2: I I think you'll enjoy that discussion. There's the case

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Speaker 2: of you know, is Alabama which is taking sharp money?

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Speaker 2: Is Alabama live to topple Georgia and then what do

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Speaker 2: you do? Does Georgia get in the playoff? What about Texas?

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Speaker 2: Texas beat Alabama? How could you leave Texas out? Like

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Speaker 2: the college football playoff, Saturday is going to be crazy.

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Speaker 2: And of course my daughter has her first volleyball tournament.

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Speaker 2: You know, we live out in southern California now, so

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Speaker 2: we're a volleyball family. You know, I tried to make

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Speaker 2: us a basketball family, but you can only force things

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Speaker 2: so much. You know, they like it, whils they're both

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Speaker 2: playing this year. I'm coaching, of course, but you know,

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Speaker 2: volleyball is fun as well, and it's indoor volleyball, not beach.

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Speaker 2: But so it's a chaotic weekend. We got the soccer

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Speaker 2: playoffs out here. There's just so much happening. But I

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Speaker 2: got to start the pod. We'll do best. That's obviously

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Speaker 2: at the end for NFL. And I talk about the

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Speaker 2: bets in college football with Brad that I've made the

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Speaker 2: big one. I am not big, but the one I'm

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Speaker 2: rooting for the most, well, well besides Michigan because I

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Speaker 2: have futures on them, is of course Louisville to beat FSU.

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Speaker 2: Stick it to the Seminoles fans. Let's start with Cowboy Seahawks.

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Speaker 2: So Dallas doesn't punt. Dallas leads seventeen to seven. Somehow

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Speaker 2: they need two fourth down stops in the final like

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Speaker 2: seven minutes to survive Seattle forty one to thirty five.

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Speaker 2: A bad Seattle team, folks, They are not good. Now, No, Now,

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Speaker 2: six and six, Dallas finally has a win over a

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Speaker 2: team that had a winning record coming into the game.

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Speaker 2: That's their first of the season. And how did they

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Speaker 2: do it?

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Speaker 1: Well?

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Speaker 2: Seattle didn't punt. Seattle wrung up four hundred yards, went

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Speaker 2: nine for fourteen on third down, twenty five first downs,

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Speaker 2: six point three yards per play. Gino Smith, who you know,

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Speaker 2: he did have an interception wasn't great, But otherwise, do

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Speaker 2: you know Smith had a pretty solid game, you know,

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Speaker 2: three hundred and thirty four yards passing, but when it

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Speaker 2: mattered most the two fourth down possessions late in the game,

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Speaker 2: they came up empty on both. Now, it wasn't helpful

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Speaker 2: that Kevin Lockett had a brutal drop wide open. Sorry

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Speaker 2: Tyler Lockett, Tyler, what I say, Kevin Lockett? I think

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Speaker 2: that's his older brother, Tyler Lockett with a bad bad

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Speaker 2: drop Smith, The Jigba had a great game. DK Metcalf

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Speaker 2: went kind of bonkers seventy three yarder in the first

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Speaker 2: quarter beatn Bland. But I think the big takeaways are one,

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Speaker 2: Seattle's just not a serious team. Like they're not a

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Speaker 2: legit contender in any way, shape or form. Whatever you

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Speaker 2: felt about them early in the season. I think at

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Speaker 2: one point they were like three and one. They had

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Speaker 2: that nice win over the Giants where they looked utterly dominant.

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Speaker 2: They're just not a serious football team. Like we could

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Speaker 2: get excited about the offensive line, the two tackles they

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Speaker 2: drafted last year. I mean, Lucas could not do anything

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Speaker 2: even slow down Michael Parsons. Michael Parson's just dominating that

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Speaker 2: game without a sack. But when it mattered most fourth

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Speaker 2: quarter what Michael Parsons just eviscerating Lucas off the edge.

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Speaker 2: And on the fourth down play to end the game,

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Speaker 2: Lucas clearly got the wrong assignment because he basically ran

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Speaker 2: away from Michael Parsons who came unmolested to the quarterback

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Speaker 2: and you know, had to throw it into the ground

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Speaker 2: on fourth down, which is such a geno Smith play.

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Speaker 2: But I think the big takeaway. Seattle is not a

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Speaker 2: like a legit contender. I don't know that they'll make

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Speaker 2: the playoffs at this point. Frankly, they have San Francisco

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Speaker 2: up next. Now San Fran' is gonna be coming off

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Speaker 2: the Philly game. There could be a little come down,

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Speaker 2: but it's in San Francisco, okay, But it gets worse

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Speaker 2: after San fran Seattle plays Philadelphia. Now, Philly's gonna beat

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Speaker 2: the tail end of a brutal stretch, so there's a

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Speaker 2: chance they get they catch him napping. And then there's

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Speaker 2: Tennessee Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's in the mix for a playoff spot,

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Speaker 2: and then Arizona. So let's say they win too. We'll

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Speaker 2: give them the Tennessee win on the road. All the

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Speaker 2: Tennessee's unbeaten at home, and I like them this weekend,

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Speaker 2: and I did like India earlier in the week, but

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Speaker 2: the injury to Taylor and some of the Tennessee numbers

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Speaker 2: have kind of sent me toward Tennessee. But let's just

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Speaker 2: give Seattle wins over Tennessee in Arizona, which is not

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Speaker 2: a gimme. That gets them to eight and nine losses

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Speaker 2: to Pittsburgh, Philly and Sanfrey. I don't think eight nine's

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Speaker 2: getting them to the playoffs, folks. The problem is green

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Speaker 2: Bay is surging. And I'm not a believer, but a

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Speaker 2: lot of people seem to think green Bay could win

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Speaker 2: this game outright against Casey and could make a run

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Speaker 2: to the playoffs if just Jordan love hotness continues. Currently,

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Speaker 2: Seattle is sitting on the sixth seventh seed, tied with Minnesota,

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Speaker 2: and it's weird because there's a clear top three. I

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Speaker 2: don't think Detroit's in the top three in the NFC,

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Speaker 2: although their record of eight and three puts them there.

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Speaker 2: But like Atlanta stinks, Viking stink, Seattle stinks. Packers are surging.

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Speaker 2: Rams who swept Seattle their surging, and you can't rule

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Speaker 2: out the Saints, although this weekend I think probably the

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Speaker 2: end of the road if they lose to Detroit, falling

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Speaker 2: to five and seven and Atlanta beats the Jets. I mean,

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Speaker 2: if the Jets beat Atlanta, which is in play, the

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Speaker 2: Saints are still alive. But I just I cannot take

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Speaker 2: Seattle seriously anymore. And I think in this offseason they're

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Speaker 2: gonna have some major questions to ask beyond quarterback. Like

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Speaker 2: I mean, the offensive line literally felt like it was

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Speaker 2: caving in on every play. How much longer can you

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Speaker 2: just throw it up to Metcalf and JSN and Locket

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Speaker 2: and just hope for greatness. So I saw a poor

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Speaker 2: performance from Seattle. I think, to a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a lesser extent, I think Dallas got somewhat exposed. Again,

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Speaker 2: this is a middling Seattle Seahawks seam Okay, they are

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Speaker 2: twenty second in DVOA defense. It looks like eighteenth in offense.

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Speaker 2: They're just not good. And they went up and down

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Speaker 2: the field and you couldn't force them to punt once.

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Speaker 2: So you could look at this two ways for Dallas. A.

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Speaker 2: Dallas passed the test, they got the win. They were

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Speaker 2: looking ahead to filling in next week, as I predicted,

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Speaker 2: and that's why I had Seattle on the points. But

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Speaker 2: if that's the case, hey Seattle, we're just looking ahead

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Speaker 2: to Dallas. Sorry, Dallas, we're just looking ahead to Philly.

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Speaker 2: We don't really care. And the defense wasn't locked in.

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Speaker 2: Blam got torched by Metcalf. I mean it feels like

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Speaker 2: he goes for interceptions a lot. But also the footwork

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Speaker 2: by Metcalf was extraordinary. But anyway, let's just say Dallas

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Speaker 2: was overlooking Seattle. They have Philly, Buffalo Miami. Next they

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Speaker 2: get Philly at home, and then they go to Buffalo

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Speaker 2: December seventeenth, so it's gonna be cold as hell outdoors,

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Speaker 2: probably looking at it like twenty five degrees snow. And

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Speaker 2: then Christmas Eve you go to Miami for a date

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Speaker 2: with the Dolphins. Followed up with a game against Detroit

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Speaker 2: in Dallas. Should be a shootout. I think that's a

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Speaker 2: good I don't know that Dallas is definitely winning that game.

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Speaker 2: The Detroit defense stinks, so Dallas will score a lot.

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Speaker 2: But we just saw Dallas got lit up. We just

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Speaker 2: saw them get lit up by Gino Smith. Do you

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Speaker 2: trust this Dallas defense? Like, what's Brock Purty gonna do

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Speaker 2: these guys in the next in the next round. Purty

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Speaker 2: already smashed them once. So I don't. I know. People

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Speaker 2: like Dallas and it was an exciting game. And now

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Speaker 2: Dallas is like averaging forty points at home. Yeah against Seattle. Washington, Uh,

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Speaker 2: Tommy DeVito and the Giants Matt Stafford for a half

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Speaker 2: and then who filled in Brett Rippon in the second half?

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Speaker 2: New England and Matt Jones, who handed them two touchdowns

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Speaker 2: Zach Wilson. Like again, I don't think you can take

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Speaker 2: away anything great from this other than the fact that, yes,

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Speaker 2: Dak once again looked pretty darn good. There were some

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Speaker 2: questions in the red zone settling for some field goals,

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Speaker 2: but overall, like, yeah, I this is a solid win

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Speaker 2: for Dallas, got the job done, did not come close

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Speaker 2: to covering the spread, and now we're on to Philadelphia

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Speaker 2: and they can lock in and maybe maybe get revenge

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Speaker 2: on the Eagles. But I'm not a total believer in

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Speaker 2: Dallas yet. I still think it's a Philly san Fran

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Speaker 2: and I've seen the title game. Would not shock me

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Speaker 2: if Dallas won the rematch against Philly. And we'll get

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Speaker 2: the best bets here after the Brad Powers interview, But

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I think San Fran's gonna put it

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Speaker 2: on Philly here. I don't think it's gonna be particularly close.

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Speaker 2: And Philly then rebounds against Dallas and maybe gets the sweep,

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Speaker 2: and that would be devastating for Dak and McCarthy, and

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Speaker 2: that's when all the seeds of doubt will be planted.

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Speaker 2: Can they win the big game? Are they gonna win

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Speaker 2: in the playoff? Is this just another year beat up

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Speaker 2: on tomato cans and when it matters most they don't

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Speaker 2: come through. Because that's what's been the case in the

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Speaker 2: postseason the last two years for the Cowboys. Football is back.

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Speaker 2: No more preseason games. The regular season is here. While

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Speaker 2: we all love watching our favorite teams on television, there

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Speaker 2: is nothing better than being in a game live and

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Speaker 2: in person. And the best way to get tickets to

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Speaker 2: any of these games is on game Time, the fastest

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Speaker 1: You know a guy, Jason likes to think he knows

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Speaker 1: everything When it comes to sports.

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Speaker 2: I know what sports fans want, but for everything he doesn't.

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Speaker 1: He knows a guy who does.

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Speaker 3: Let's just say I know a guy who knows a

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Speaker 3: guy who knows another guy.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's welcome back to straight Fire. One of

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Speaker 2: the foremost college football gambling experts in the country. Maybe

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Speaker 2: he's number one. I don't know. He's not gonna He's

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Speaker 2: not the type to do a victory lab Brad Powers

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Speaker 2: just the machine when it comes to gambling. We had

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Speaker 2: him on for the college football preview back in I

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Speaker 2: think late August, and now we have him back for

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Speaker 2: a monster championship weekend. Brad, how are you? Man?

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Speaker 3: Hey doing well? I gotta say, though, I'm very candid

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Speaker 3: not number one this year?

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Speaker 2: Jason, Wow, Well, I like the honesty. Listen, It's been

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Speaker 2: a kind of a wacky year. I think this is

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Speaker 2: the first time we've got four undefeated teams heading into

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Speaker 2: championship weekend. Is that accurate?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? And so so. I don't know one hundred percent sure,

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Speaker 3: but I think that is the case.

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Speaker 2: It's just a weird setup. We'll dig into some transfer

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Speaker 2: portal stuff in a minute, but let's start with the

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Speaker 2: Friday game. So, we're recording this on Thursday, and Brad,

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Speaker 2: I'll be honest, I watched the Oregon Washington the first game,

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Speaker 2: the first meeting, and it was pretty clear Oregon was

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Speaker 2: a better side. I just saw this at bet Chris,

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Speaker 2: Oregon minus ten. That's a little surprising to me. I

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Speaker 2: know it will be like seven and a half. But

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Speaker 2: when you see minus ten, I know some of the

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Speaker 2: you know, the number takers will just be like, give

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Speaker 2: me the ten. I'm taking Washington, But I don't know

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Speaker 2: you're out there. Why can every play every game Oregon ten?

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Speaker 2: Is it just feels steep?

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Speaker 3: No, it does, but honestly, not enough for me to

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Speaker 3: bet Washington to be be perfectly frank with you, I'm

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Speaker 3: not stunned by it. I mean I will say this,

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Speaker 3: this is no way it would have been ten five

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Speaker 3: to ten years ago in the marketplace. The market wasn't

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Speaker 3: smart enough to make a number this big. But I mean,

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Speaker 3: let's look at the two teams since that game, and

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Speaker 3: you're right, Oregon was the better team in that game,

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Speaker 3: even than Washington won by three. I think he got

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Speaker 3: a downgrade Washington significantly, even though they've won six straight games.

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Speaker 3: But this is a team that offensively, particularly their quarterback

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Speaker 3: who was the strength of the team the first six games,

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Speaker 3: Michael Pennix for whatever reason. I don't know if he's sick.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if he's injured, but you look at

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Speaker 3: his stats. He's gone from completing more than seventy percent

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Speaker 3: of his passes with a twenty to three ratio and

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Speaker 3: nearly four hundred yards per game in the first six

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Speaker 3: games last six games less than sixty percent completion percentage,

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Speaker 3: twelve touchdowns, five in or and like two hundred and

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Speaker 3: fifty yards a game. So dramatically different offense that Oregon's

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Speaker 3: gonna be facing. I've never been a fan of the

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Speaker 3: Washington defense, and Oregon's is sending. I mean, if someone

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Speaker 3: told me they have an Oregon number one in their

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Speaker 3: power rings right now, I wouldn't laugh at it, because

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Speaker 3: they're number one in yards for play margin, number one

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Speaker 3: in yards for game margin, number one in points for

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Speaker 3: game margin, and they played pretty much as similar as

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Speaker 3: strength to schedule as Georgia Michigan has.

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Speaker 2: Huh So, I want so since that game, Washington's gone downhill?

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Speaker 2: Do you think, and I don't know their coach well

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Speaker 2: enough that they have been like all right, we got it.

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Speaker 2: We're headed to the conference championship. Let's not screw this up.

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Speaker 2: And then Pennix, you factor in some of the NFL

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Speaker 2: stuff he's maybe thinking about. I'm sure agents are beating

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Speaker 2: down his door. Hey man, Heisman, guy, we got you

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Speaker 2: in the first round. Come come sign with us. I'm

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Speaker 2: sure there's external stuff, but at that, at this point,

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Speaker 2: does it go out the window. Hey, this is our season,

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Speaker 2: and maybe there's no more like, Hey, let's just coast

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Speaker 2: and get to the conference championship. Now we're here a

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Speaker 2: neutral field. It ten just seems massive. I know the

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Speaker 2: trend lines are looking great for Oregon, but Oregon kind

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Speaker 2: of had to do that off the loss, right.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but it wasn't just like a one or two

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Speaker 3: games all their little flat. Maybe you understand the Arizona

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Speaker 3: State game, the game immediately after Oregon that they were flat.

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Speaker 3: They could have lost that game. Then they almost lost

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Speaker 3: to Stamford, almost lost to five and seven Washington State

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Speaker 3: team last week, the USC game doesn't age very well

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Speaker 3: like considering what USC did down in the stretch, I

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Speaker 3: don't know. I mean, I can chog a one bad performance,

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Speaker 3: but five or six subpar I mean they have the

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Speaker 3: field to me, Jason, like TCU last year, where TCU

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Speaker 3: won like ten games by ten points or less, Washington's

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Speaker 3: won eight straight games by ten points or less. I

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Speaker 3: don't they just screamed fraud to me, even though I

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Speaker 3: like their coach, even though I like their quarterback. I

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Speaker 3: just man keep it. Also keeping mind Oregon might need

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Speaker 3: style points. They have no idea what's gonna happen on Saturday.

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Speaker 3: This game's on Friday. So I think if let's get

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Speaker 3: bnext to Heisman, let's get style points. I think if

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Speaker 3: there's an opportunity for them to get margin late in

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Speaker 3: the game, say they're only up seven, they're gonna punch

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Speaker 3: in a light TD to win by ten, to win

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Speaker 3: by fourteen, to win by seventeen.

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Speaker 2: So I hadn't thought of that. Now. Last year in

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Speaker 2: the PAC twelfth title game, it was if memory serves

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Speaker 2: USC Utah. Utah won the regular season matchup. Do you

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Speaker 2: remember who was favored in that one or no?

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Speaker 1: Uh?

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Speaker 3: USC was, but it was slight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Utah kicked their ass right, just push them all

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Speaker 2: up and down the field. I think they won by

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Speaker 2: like what twenty or something?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it was USC early in the game,

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Speaker 3: Caleb Williams gets hurt and just they completely flipped at

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Speaker 3: the end of the second quarter, and then Utah just

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Speaker 3: kicked their ass in the second half.

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Speaker 2: I just hearing your play for Oregon. I wonder do

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Speaker 2: I look at an old line Oregon minus seventeen like

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, maybe this is a bloodbath

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Speaker 2: and a real beatdown in Washington gets exposed.

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Speaker 3: Who will tell you what you can do? All lines great?

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Speaker 3: I would say this if you don't want to lay

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Speaker 3: like minus three fifty minus four hundred money line Oregon,

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Speaker 3: if you don't want to lay the New York ten

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Speaker 3: points spread, if you think Oregon's going to perform well,

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Speaker 3: I'll give you the market to bet. You bet bow

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Speaker 3: Knicks to win the Heisman at minus went seventy ish

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Speaker 3: because obviously, if Oregon performs well, bow Knicks is likely

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Speaker 3: to perform well, and if those two go hand in hand,

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Speaker 3: he's gonna win the Heisman.

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Speaker 2: Then Yeah, Michigan doesn't have anybody. Georgia doesn't have anybody.

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Speaker 3: It's just him and Jay and Daniels. That's it.

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Speaker 2: Daniels is in the clubhouse right, He's done.

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Speaker 3: It has no yep, from LSU has no other data points,

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Speaker 3: so it's all about bo Nix's performance on Friday night.

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Speaker 2: All right, Well, yeah, I think he talked me into Oregon. Damn.

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Speaker 2: I was looking for a case for Washington. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's get to we could breeze through this one. Texas

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Speaker 2: favored by fifteen. It was I think fourteen or thirteen

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Speaker 2: and a half, and it's just going up because they also,

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Speaker 2: like you said, they will need to win by margin

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Speaker 2: to impress the dumbass committee. I'll get to them later

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Speaker 2: at FSU. I don't know. Oklahoma State and Gundy. They're

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Speaker 2: pretty good as dogs I was reading, but I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think they're good this year. For me,

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Speaker 2: this is Texas or nothing. But I don't know what

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Speaker 2: do you think?

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Speaker 3: Yep, Texas are nothing for me. I'm part of the

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Speaker 3: Texas money. I mean, Number one, he just gotta starts

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Speaker 3: with powerring. My power rating has it right around fifteen,

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Speaker 3: so I'm not surprised in that regard. Second, I mean,

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma State's kind of fraudulent. I know they've had some

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Speaker 3: big time performances, but man, it's tough getting set the

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Speaker 3: South Alabama performance out of your head the UC blowout loss. Hell,

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Speaker 3: look at what they've done the last two weeks. They're

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Speaker 3: getting down double ditchit to you know, the wellbelow average

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Speaker 3: teams in Houston and BYU Texas to me takes you know,

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Speaker 3: what is Oklahoma State do best? They running football with

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Speaker 3: Ali Gordon their running back. Well, what does Texas do best?

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Speaker 3: Stop to run? They're one of the best rush defense

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Speaker 3: in the country. So if you take that away or

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Speaker 3: at least slow that down for Oklahoma State, I don't

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Speaker 3: trust Alan Bowman to keep pace with the Texas offense.

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Speaker 2: Texas for me, yeah, Michigan, Iowa. I'm sure some people

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Speaker 2: will try to say, oh, that's way too many twenty

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Speaker 2: two and a half, come on and let down off

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Speaker 2: Ohio State. I don't know, man, Michigan's just gonna choke

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Speaker 2: these guys out. Is Hardbo back for this one?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he's back for this one. So they might get

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Speaker 3: a little bumped there. They are banged up a little

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Speaker 3: bit now, you know, Zinner's out, obviously out for the year.

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Speaker 3: Cornerback mine out play. Michigan doesn't need style points unlike

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Speaker 3: Texas and Oregon. They went there in so that concerns me.

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Speaker 3: But I mean, also, it concerns me if you look

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Speaker 3: at historically, doesn't happen very often. Let's take look at

365
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Speaker 3: the total to side the total, it's only happened thirteen

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Speaker 3: times since nineteen eighty where a team's favored by more

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Speaker 3: than three touchdowns and the total is thirty seven or less,

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Speaker 3: the favorite is two and eleven, So historically not great.

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Speaker 3: That being said, this Iowa team's bad. They've only played

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Speaker 3: one team in Michigan's wheelhouse as far as a power

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Speaker 3: rating as Penn State. They lost thirty one nothing. So

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Speaker 3: I didn't get to the window on.

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Speaker 2: Iowa even just bite the two and eleven trend. By

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Speaker 2: the way, you mentioned a trend like that, and I

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Speaker 2: don't know, that's a tiny sample size, but nineteen eighty

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Speaker 2: that's going back like forty years or something almost fifty.

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Speaker 2: What do you do with trends because they're not predictive.

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Speaker 2: Surely this stuff is baked in. Like I've had people

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Speaker 2: come on and we go back and forth about like

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Speaker 2: even mentioning trends. Some people are like, man, I don't

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Speaker 2: even listen to X podcasts because they put so many

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Speaker 2: dumb trends out there. I don't know, Brad, what do

383
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Speaker 2: you do with trends? Like, how do you factor them

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Speaker 2: into your pie?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's that's a good question. I mean they're not

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Speaker 3: pretty much a non factor. I just like I looking

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Speaker 3: for historic outliers, and so that's when I look for trends. Now,

388
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Speaker 3: college football is totally different than what it continues to change.

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Speaker 3: I mean I'll look at you know, Saman's been in

390
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Speaker 3: Alabama fifteen years. What's how does he do as an underdog?

391
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Speaker 3: It never happens. I mean I like to look at

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Speaker 3: sort of stuff like that. If a coach has another

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Speaker 3: coach's number and they've been at the same school for

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Speaker 3: the last seven, eight, ten years, then I'll look at

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Speaker 3: a little bit. But you know, from the most part,

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Speaker 3: I mean maybe out of the fifty games a week,

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Speaker 3: I'm you know, contemplate one or two trends they even consider.

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Speaker 3: That's it.

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Speaker 2: You said, Saban is a dog. So let's go to

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Speaker 2: Georgia Alabama. It looks like this was five and a

401
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Speaker 2: half down to four and a half. I don't know

402
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Speaker 2: what people are seeing here. This is I already bet Georgia.

403
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Speaker 2: I guess I got a bad number. But why is

404
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Speaker 2: why is Alabama getting bet here.

405
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Speaker 3: You know, I'm not sure. Maybe it's a saving dog angle.

406
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Speaker 3: I mean I like four early in the week with Georgia.

407
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Speaker 3: Now I will say this, you play numbers, not teams.

408
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Speaker 3: I mean I would have played Alabama at seven. I

409
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Speaker 3: got to it's kind of in a dead spot. So

410
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Speaker 3: you know, it doesn't take too much to move it

411
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Speaker 3: right around five. I mean, just one group can move

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Speaker 3: even a game like this. You know, a half point

413
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Speaker 3: point it seems significant, but it really isn't between you know,

414
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Speaker 3: four and a half up to five and a half.

415
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Speaker 3: Just isn't that big of a move. So what side

416
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Speaker 3: do I think? The right side here? I actually like

417
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Speaker 3: the over believe it or not. I like the trend

418
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Speaker 3: line of Alabama's offense obviously, last four weeks has been

419
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Speaker 3: their best four week sample size. Georgia's defense, if you

420
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Speaker 3: look at them, susceptible to the run the last four weeks,

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Speaker 3: they're a low one hundred and sixty six rushing yards

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Speaker 3: per game. That's how a lot for a Georgia team

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Speaker 3: that's been giving up on an average per season last

424
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Speaker 3: week four years like seventy five eighty rushing yards per game.

425
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Speaker 3: So I'm worried about that. On the positive side for Georgia,

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Speaker 3: I think it's the best Georgia offense in this run

427
00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:55,960
Speaker 3: that they've had. It's better than the last couple of years.

428
00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:58,239
Speaker 3: They got more weapons, they're healthier than what they've been

429
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:00,680
Speaker 3: all season brock Bauers and now finally health and they've

430
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,600
Speaker 3: the injuries have helped their offense because they've discovered they've

431
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 3: had to discover other weapons with their top guys out,

432
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 3: so now they're more versatile. And I think Alabama's defense

433
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,919
Speaker 3: is not one of the best saving defenses. So I

434
00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 3: like the over And you know, if you're worried, Oh,

435
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 3: SEC Defense Championship SEC Championships game last twelve years, gone

436
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:20,200
Speaker 3: over ten times.

437
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:24,560
Speaker 2: Wow, Now I know that Milroe is starting. All everybody's

438
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 2: own excited about Milroll because of one freaking throw against Auburn.

439
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 2: I'm sure he's done some other things since that disaster

440
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 2: against Texas. But how has Georgia done against running quarterbacks.

441
00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:37,320
Speaker 2: I'm looking on their schedule, does it look like they've

442
00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:40,920
Speaker 2: faced any really elite ones. They didn't face the kid

443
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,320
Speaker 2: Jefferson from Arkansas. Will this be like a bit of

444
00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:45,119
Speaker 2: a shock to the system.

445
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:46,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, that'll be a little bit of a shock, and

446
00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 3: you kind of heard Kirby tip his hand that he's,

447
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:51,040
Speaker 3: you know, a little bit worried. You know, Milroe is

448
00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:54,000
Speaker 3: like a bigger Lamar Jackson. Oh, I think he's more

449
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 3: of like a faster Cam Newton is how I look

450
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:00,679
Speaker 3: at him. More like, So they faced a little bit

451
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,879
Speaker 3: of a mobile quarterback last week and Haines King of

452
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:06,159
Speaker 3: Georgia Tech, and uh, they struggle a little bit with it.

453
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 3: And obviously you're bigger, stronger, faster players across the board

454
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:11,600
Speaker 3: on Alabama's offense. So I'm a little bit worried. And

455
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:13,520
Speaker 3: keep in mind, you know, Georgia's did one of their

456
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,960
Speaker 3: best defenders been out the last couple games? Will be interesting.

457
00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 3: The guy the leader in the in the middle of

458
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,000
Speaker 3: the field, the middle linebackers went out, so not having

459
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:21,439
Speaker 3: the quarterback of the defense still hurt him.

460
00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 2: So do you like Milroe a lot? I mean again,

461
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,879
Speaker 2: I kind of checked out on Alabama after the loss

462
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:28,800
Speaker 2: to Texas when he I mean he was future. He

463
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 2: got bench like the next two weeks, right, yeah, it did. So,

464
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 2: Like what's changed with him? I mean, has he just

465
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 2: faced crappy opponents? Like has good defense, like Georgia.

466
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:41,200
Speaker 3: No, I mean that they faced some you know, deep

467
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 3: I mean SCC West way stronger than the SEC East.

468
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 3: I mean it's not like there's a bunch of National

469
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 3: championship type teams. But I mean as far as talented teams,

470
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 3: he's faced quite quite a few. Uh. What's changed, Well,

471
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 3: I mean he had a first year coordinator and Tommy Racing,

472
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:58,440
Speaker 3: a young guy, a lot of new faces across the board,

473
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 3: a lot of young offensive line that's kind of developed.

474
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 3: I think the offensive line improvement has probably been the

475
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,560
Speaker 3: biggest reason why he's gotten protection. So any young quarterback,

476
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:10,320
Speaker 3: if you're not protecting him, he's gonna panic. Do I

477
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,560
Speaker 3: love him, No, But I'll tell you one thing that

478
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:14,879
Speaker 3: he does really well. I mean, and I'm not overreacting

479
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 3: to the one pass against Auburn. All season long, he's

480
00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,560
Speaker 3: thrown the deep ball any as well as any quarterback

481
00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:21,200
Speaker 3: in the country.

482
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,120
Speaker 2: And Georgia, how do they defend the deep ball?

483
00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:28,320
Speaker 3: They I don't think they have the stud cornerbacks like

484
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 3: they had a couple of years ago, and they certainly

485
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 3: don't have the studs up front to get pressure. I

486
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,359
Speaker 3: think they'll struggle. I think there'll be a couple of

487
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:37,360
Speaker 3: shots to be had here.

488
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:40,159
Speaker 2: Is there some Alabama money line to be taken or no?

489
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 3: No, I don't think so. I think when it's all

490
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 3: said done, Georgia is the better team. I think I'm

491
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 3: gonna go with my gut, my gut said when I

492
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 3: saw that four early in the week, I'm gonna stick

493
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 3: with that bet that I made and later.

494
00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:57,000
Speaker 2: All right, So now the game that probably the general

495
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 2: public doesn't care much about, but for some reason, I've

496
00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:02,960
Speaker 2: dug in heels on this FSU crap. So they lose

497
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:05,639
Speaker 2: Jordan Travis, right, Yeah, and Jordan Travis was excellent and

498
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:08,439
Speaker 2: he's been contended for part of the season. And then

499
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,159
Speaker 2: they look like dog shit against Florida for half, and

500
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:12,919
Speaker 2: then they come back. You know the quarterback, I mean,

501
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:14,640
Speaker 2: he took a shot. I can't believe he came back

502
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:17,480
Speaker 2: and they get to win. Florida is really bad.

503
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:17,920
Speaker 3: Yep.

504
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,920
Speaker 2: Now they're they're favored by two and a half against Louisville.

505
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 2: First of all, you follow all this stuff super closely,

506
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 2: be honest. Is the committee gonna put them in if

507
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,160
Speaker 2: they win this game? Let's say they win seventeen thirteen

508
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:34,200
Speaker 2: against Louisville. Okay, low scoring, it probably won't be that

509
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:35,920
Speaker 2: little could. But let's say they win by four or five.

510
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 2: Whatever are they getting in? Brad?

511
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 3: I think so. I think they're getting in. I mean,

512
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 3: just now, according to their verbatim, their language, they're not

513
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,520
Speaker 3: getting in because Bill Hancock specifically said we are here

514
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 3: to put the best four teams in. Well, that's never

515
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,080
Speaker 3: been the case. I mean, if it is the if

516
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,480
Speaker 3: you're gonna put always the four best teams in, then

517
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,120
Speaker 3: you don't care about the results because you're just going

518
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,160
Speaker 3: over who would be favored over who on a neutral field.

519
00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 3: Alabama gonna make it every year. Georgian and make it

520
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,719
Speaker 3: every year. Ohio State would make it most seasons. So uh,

521
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 3: I just the precedent. I mean, it's never been done before.

522
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:08,879
Speaker 3: You're gonna leave out an unbeaten team and that you

523
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 3: know hasn't went over LSU. I know Flores stinks this year,

524
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 3: but still your scheduling and had two SEC opponents non conference.

525
00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 3: I don't know how you say to those kids thirteen

526
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 3: and oh Conference champ and you're not in because of

527
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 3: a freak injury to your quarterback. I don't know how

528
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 3: you do it. I hope they I mean do I

529
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 3: want to see Florist stay in there. No, but I

530
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 3: just think, I mean, do they deserve to be in

531
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 3: there at thirteen? And oh yeah they do? Are they

532
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 3: one of the four best teams? No, they're not even

533
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:36,440
Speaker 3: a top ten team without Jordan Travis, not even top ten,

534
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 3: not even top fifteen. If you want a hot take,

535
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 3: I got him sixteen right now out of power ratings.

536
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:44,720
Speaker 2: Wow, that's pretty hot. Now, I'll say this. Can we

537
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 2: keep saying, hey, they're undefeated and they won their conference,

538
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 2: but they did that with Jordan Travis. Without him, there's

539
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,080
Speaker 2: like a two game sable size, and then every FSU

540
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:55,879
Speaker 2: fan under the sun is on the internet yelling at

541
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,919
Speaker 2: me saying, oh car Dale jobs, what about Cardale's They

542
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 2: wont fifty nine? It was Ohio State. It's not the ACC.

543
00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:06,399
Speaker 2: I don't know what, first of all, is that you

544
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:07,160
Speaker 2: gonna win this game.

545
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 3: I had my doubts because it was a struggle last week,

546
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:13,399
Speaker 3: and I mean that was a Florida defense. Keep in

547
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,560
Speaker 3: mind that prior to that, the previous five weeks allowed

548
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:18,440
Speaker 3: forty one points per game, five over five hundred yards

549
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 3: per game, and Florida State mustter two hundred and twenty

550
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:24,439
Speaker 3: four yards. That's not good. I'm not wild about this

551
00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:25,920
Speaker 3: Louisville team. If it was a team I was a

552
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,199
Speaker 3: little bit more confident and didn't I think was generally

553
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,280
Speaker 3: a little bit overrated. I would have had a money

554
00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 3: line to that. But two and a half seems a

555
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 3: little short right now. I made it three. So I mean,

556
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 3: keep in mind, this was trading just a couple of

557
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 3: weeks ago, like nine ish.

558
00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:41,120
Speaker 2: Really so, so Jordan Travis er Sega is worth about

559
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:42,520
Speaker 2: six and a half points. Do you think that's fair?

560
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think that's pretty fair.

561
00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,080
Speaker 2: Is there a co What edges does Louisville have? Is

562
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 2: Brahm and edge or no?

563
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 3: Well, I don't know if he's an edge, but you know,

564
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 3: you look at Norvell had an edge last week in

565
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 3: the coaching where he could scheme some things out and

566
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,200
Speaker 3: you saw them throughout the course of the game get better.

567
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 3: While you know, you look at Florida. I mean a

568
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,040
Speaker 3: lot of the reason why it wasn't necessarily what Florida

569
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:05,119
Speaker 3: State did. I mean, Florida just was falling apart. The

570
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 3: undisciplined penalties and stuff. You had a guy get kicked

571
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 3: out for spitting on somebody. I mean, Louisville's gonna be

572
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 3: more buttoned up than Florida, I'll put it that way.

573
00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 3: And Brom's got this history of beating I know flor

574
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:17,679
Speaker 3: State's not there as far as the power rating, but

575
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 3: there's a nice, lofty ranking next to their name, and

576
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,280
Speaker 3: Brom has, you know, done that even back at Purdue,

577
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 3: where he beat in Ohio State. He'd beat a highly

578
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 3: ranked Michigan State. He'd bet a highly ranked Notre Dame.

579
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:30,320
Speaker 3: So he kind of plays the level of his opponent.

580
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:32,920
Speaker 3: There's not a significant edge for Norvella in this game.

581
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,840
Speaker 3: Where I worry about Louisville. What they do best is

582
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,199
Speaker 3: they stop the run. And obviously, if you want to

583
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:42,560
Speaker 3: get your young quarterback you know, some confidence, you want

584
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:45,680
Speaker 3: to be able to run the ball at least effectively

585
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 3: where he sets up play action. I'm not sure florest

586
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 3: State's gonna be able to do that in this game.

587
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 3: Another thing Louisville does. They have a guy by the

588
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 3: name of Gelatti on the outside. He's one of the

589
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 3: best pass rushers in the country. If he's able to

590
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,560
Speaker 3: get heat on Rod Amak or the quarterback, I don't

591
00:27:58,560 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 3: know if that's gonna be a good look for Flores

592
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:00,560
Speaker 3: State offense.

593
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:02,640
Speaker 2: So do you have any action? I mean, you said

594
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 2: you made it three, but bet.

595
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:06,200
Speaker 3: Now there's gonna be weather in the game, at least

596
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 3: that's what I'm hearing, maybe significant weather. I've Louisville and

597
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 3: the under is what I bet early in the week. Now,

598
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 3: I mean totals Doallas six points? The sides doubt this

599
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:18,440
Speaker 3: still open five and a half six ish, I mean

600
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:20,399
Speaker 3: it's down quite a bit. So you're a little late

601
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 3: to the party. If you want to bet under in Louisville.

602
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I took money line Louisville. I'm just I just

603
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,199
Speaker 2: want to eating interest. Uh So, let me ask you

604
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:30,359
Speaker 2: though hypothetical, and again we're not gonna go through a billion,

605
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,800
Speaker 2: just the obvious. Let's say everybody has Oregon winning. Fine,

606
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:37,399
Speaker 2: let's say Alabama shocks Georgia and every other result holds.

607
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 2: Every other favorite wins. Who you got as your final four.

608
00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 3: So every favorite wins except at Georgia.

609
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 2: Georgia.

610
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:50,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, obviously Oregon's in Michigans in those two are easy.

611
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 3: Then it gets complicated, all.

612
00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 2: Right, because Texas beat Alabama.

613
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,239
Speaker 3: Oh, they have to put Texas in. But are they

614
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 3: gonna leave an SEC team out, you think, Jason, No,

615
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 3: I think you got network. Do you think they're gonna

616
00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 3: leave out the SEC? No?

617
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 2: I think Texas at Alabama, so FS you would get shafted.

618
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:13,560
Speaker 3: Right, Yeah, I guess maybe Oregon gets shafted. And then

619
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:17,240
Speaker 3: I think about maybe Oregon gets shafted in that regard Oregon.

620
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,520
Speaker 3: We've never had something like this, but I think the

621
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,600
Speaker 3: chances of something like this happening this year are more

622
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 3: substantial than any year since maybe the year one, the

623
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 3: argument between TC and Ohio State. We've never had a

624
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 3: legitimate argument like we're gonna have on Sunday, in my opinion,

625
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 3: So I don't know. Honestly, you gotta be you gotta

626
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:36,320
Speaker 3: be comfortable enough in your own skin to say I

627
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:38,720
Speaker 3: don't know who gets in. You would hope Texas gets

628
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:41,200
Speaker 3: in because they beat Alabama and they'd be a conference

629
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 3: champion with one loss in the final seconds against the

630
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 3: Okay Oklahoma team, a ten win Oklahoma team.

631
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 2: So what matters? Well, I guess we don't know, because

632
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 2: it's a dumb ass committee. We can't just have sanity prevail.

633
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 2: But like, I don't know, Texas has a good loss,

634
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 2: they have a great win at Alabama, which is you

635
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 2: could argue is better than anybody else's win this season. Right,

636
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 2: who's got a better win?

637
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:03,840
Speaker 3: Absolutely? Now, you know nobody's gotta win like that on

638
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 3: the road. And if you other Fluke is not like

639
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,080
Speaker 3: Alabama was hurt or banged up. I mean and Texas

640
00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 3: it wasn't like they were plus five internalvers. They controlled

641
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 3: the game and when they had to run out the

642
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:14,920
Speaker 3: clock with like seven minutes left, they ran the football

643
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 3: right out of Alabama, something we just don't see in

644
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 3: the last fifteen years against the Crimson time.

645
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 2: And FSU's best win was over LSU in September, first

646
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 2: week of the season, and they had their star quarterback

647
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 2: Jordan Travis, who was amazing in that game. Was he not? Yeah,

648
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 2: he was like, oh Jesus, this guy's a future pro.

649
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 2: I just don't see the case for FSU. And I'm

650
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 2: not being a hater, I'm just being logical. Like you said,

651
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:37,520
Speaker 2: you don't want to see him in there. Give me

652
00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 2: some spreads you're seeing for like a Georgia Oregon semi

653
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 2: final that feels like it would be a major heavyweight battle.

654
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:46,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, George would be like two and a half three

655
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:48,840
Speaker 3: that's it. Yeah, that's it.

656
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 2: I mean they I know it was a couple of

657
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:51,720
Speaker 2: years ago, but wasn't it forty nine?

658
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 3: Three year If that wasn't even couple, it was last

659
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:58,280
Speaker 3: year in the opener, I mean Oregon. You know, if

660
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 3: you don't believe, I mean or laying double digest in,

661
00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:02,920
Speaker 3: I'm beating team right now. And a lot of people

662
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,600
Speaker 3: are stunned by the organ numbers. But yeah, that's it,

663
00:31:05,640 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 3: that would be it. Or I got an Oregon too,

664
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:08,560
Speaker 3: I got him ahead of Michigan.

665
00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 2: Really, so what are you not? So, by the way,

666
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 2: where are you on McCarthy?

667
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:18,600
Speaker 3: I like him. He'll be a I mean first round pick,

668
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:20,600
Speaker 3: not a top ten pick for me. That's where I'm

669
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:22,040
Speaker 3: at on him now.

670
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 2: Sometimes it's like the coach's system and the offense they

671
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,880
Speaker 2: want key on running and so we haven't really seen

672
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:30,840
Speaker 2: him unlocked. We did a little bit last year against

673
00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 2: Ohio State. Remember he had like three bomb touchdowns of

674
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,360
Speaker 2: the two hundred and fifty yards, but like normally it's

675
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,480
Speaker 2: like one hundred yards passing because that's what Michigan wants

676
00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:40,440
Speaker 2: to do, which is fine, I guess, but like he

677
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 2: almost feels undervalue to Tad No.

678
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:46,120
Speaker 3: I would agree with that. He makes the plays when

679
00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 3: he needs to, He plays within the system, He shows

680
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 3: the arm talent when he needs to. I mean that

681
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 3: pass that he threw him between the two guys, you know,

682
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:54,840
Speaker 3: at the goal line where it's you know, is it

683
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,960
Speaker 3: a stripp or is it? I mean that throw was unbelievable.

684
00:31:57,960 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 3: I mean that's top five throw I've seen all season

685
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 3: in college football between those two high out state defenders.

686
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 3: So yeah, I would say he's undervalued right now. I

687
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 3: mean I if I was an NFL franchise getting him

688
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:11,040
Speaker 3: at like pick fifteen or twenty, I mean I'd feel Okay.

689
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:12,719
Speaker 2: Now, what about bon Nicks. Where are you on him?

690
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 2: Who's he's got like seventy eight percent completions. He's like,

691
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 2: you know, twenty four years old here shortly, Yes, I

692
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 2: think sixty starts, which is some kind of record or whatever.

693
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:24,960
Speaker 2: Where are you on his NFL prospect? Like I saw

694
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 2: someone break down. They had like a checkdown, Charlie. I

695
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 2: don't know if you saw that.

696
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean he is, but I mean he also

697
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 3: you want to talk about top five throws in college football,

698
00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 3: I want he threw across his body last week against

699
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 3: the Oregon State across the field. You know, it was

700
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 3: like a sixty yard throw that he threw. How many

701
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:42,560
Speaker 3: people can do that. He can run, he's mobile, he's

702
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:45,240
Speaker 3: got experience. I don't know when the Brock parties of

703
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,160
Speaker 3: the world and stuff like that can go into the

704
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 3: right it's all about the right system, right coach, When

705
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:50,960
Speaker 3: guys like that can go in and win and be

706
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 3: on a contender like that, Uh, I think a bon

707
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 3: Nicks is perfectly cable doing something like that. Now he's

708
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:59,240
Speaker 3: not going to be drafted last like Brock perty I

709
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 3: think there's a post ability he gets, you know, late

710
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 3: first roundish.

711
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:04,880
Speaker 2: But uh, I like the kid, so, I mean like

712
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 2: Prew so much.

713
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,200
Speaker 3: I mean I he kind of like the resiliency. I

714
00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 3: mean he was basically austed at Auburn. He's responded to

715
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 3: the hell of a lot better in Oregon. Again, in

716
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 3: the right system. You've seen what he's been able to do.

717
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 3: It might be the Heisman Trophy winner.

718
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,400
Speaker 2: And you remember his first game at Oregon was such

719
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:20,719
Speaker 2: a disaster. Uh I think it was his first game

720
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:23,920
Speaker 2: right against Georgia or was that a second gey? It

721
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 2: was last year and it was not good.

722
00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:27,720
Speaker 3: I mean it was what forty nine to three. It

723
00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:29,080
Speaker 3: wasn't good for Landing or Nicks.

724
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 2: It was bad, right, And to bounce back, there's like

725
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:34,880
Speaker 2: a little a little Jalen Hurts there. You remember Jalen Hurts

726
00:33:34,920 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 2: getting you know, kind of benched at halftime than that. Yeah,

727
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 2: you know, like you don't see that a lot. And

728
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 2: I guess the last guy I want to ask you

729
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:43,960
Speaker 2: about his Quentin Ewers, who I'm just I think he

730
00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 2: throws a really nice deep ball. Now he's got a

731
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:49,240
Speaker 2: really good pro receiver, but he has been banged up.

732
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:51,240
Speaker 2: You know, he's a guy who had a mullet. He

733
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 2: like left high school early to go make money. I

734
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 2: don't know. I don't know if that stuff matters to you,

735
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 2: but I'm curious. Were you on on Quinn Yours?

736
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's a backwards tat guy. No, I'm kidding. He

737
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:06,440
Speaker 3: needs to come back another year. That's what Quinn Yours

738
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:08,839
Speaker 3: needs to do. Now. That might to the detriment of

739
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 3: your boy arch Manning, but I think Yours needs to

740
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:14,239
Speaker 3: if he goes out now, he's not going to be

741
00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 3: drafted in the first couple of rounds. He's a third

742
00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 3: rounder at best, So not a fan. He needs more experience.

743
00:34:20,840 --> 00:34:23,440
Speaker 2: Interesting. I remember that you had the Ultimate Arch. I

744
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:25,560
Speaker 2: mean it was a searing take on Arch Manning that

745
00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 2: people were fired up about. And it looks like you've

746
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 2: been proven right. I mean, Arch at one point was

747
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:32,560
Speaker 2: number three on the depth chart. That being said, does

748
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 2: he do you think he transfers if quinn Ewers comes back.

749
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 3: I think his NIL deal is too good to transfer,

750
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:41,880
Speaker 3: So I don't see it as of right now. But

751
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:45,160
Speaker 3: I gotta tell you, the transfer portal is just getting started.

752
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 3: I mean it's gonna be all time in the next

753
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 3: week or so. As far, I think a lot of

754
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 3: surprising names are going to enter it.

755
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 2: Okay, so let's start with a couple of the big

756
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:56,359
Speaker 2: ones out there. Quarterback real quick, DJ You who went

757
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,600
Speaker 2: Clemson and again like his first game against Notre Dame

758
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,439
Speaker 2: was like otherworldly, like three hundred fifty yards. Oh, they're

759
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 2: fine without Trevor Lawrence. He has been I don't want

760
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:08,080
Speaker 2: to say garbage, but he's really struggled. Oregon State's coach

761
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 2: leaves he's either going portal or NFL. I would guess portal.

762
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:14,000
Speaker 2: It has a way of Spencer Rattler.

763
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 3: No, yeah, I would take Spencer Rattler over him. Rally

764
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 3: will go pro. And I'll just tell you that their plans.

765
00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:24,160
Speaker 3: I think Ratler's going pro. DJ's got going transfer portally

766
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 3: needs another another year in college. But I don't see it.

767
00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:31,399
Speaker 3: I'm not I don't even know what. I'm not sure

768
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:33,680
Speaker 3: if he goes to a Power five school, that's how

769
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:35,440
Speaker 3: you know I'm down on a.

770
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,560
Speaker 2: Kid, all right. Riley Leonard the Duke quarterback who had

771
00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:41,320
Speaker 2: a moment earlier this year, maybe it was in September,

772
00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 2: but he like had several good games in a row.

773
00:35:43,160 --> 00:35:45,839
Speaker 2: People are seeing like Daniel Jones ish Vanilla Vic kind

774
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:47,480
Speaker 2: of action. What do you think I.

775
00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:48,959
Speaker 3: Think he goes to notre name. I think that's pretty

776
00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 3: much done. Deil.

777
00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, that seems to be the word on the street.

778
00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:55,200
Speaker 2: I mean, we like Sam Hartman a lot didn't totally

779
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:56,799
Speaker 2: pan out, by the way. I do think he has

780
00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:58,040
Speaker 2: some rock perty qualities.

781
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:00,799
Speaker 3: That's that's a good Harrison well done.

782
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:02,839
Speaker 2: You know, if somebody grabs him in the fifth round,

783
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:04,279
Speaker 2: I think that's in Again. You have to go to

784
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 2: like a Shanahan, Kevin O'Connell, somebody good. You can't go

785
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:08,320
Speaker 2: to a ship team like my Jets or the Bears.

786
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:10,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, at the very least, he could be a guy

787
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:14,160
Speaker 3: very cable backup quarterback for the next ten years. Those

788
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:15,360
Speaker 3: guys are very valuable.

789
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:17,799
Speaker 2: You can make a lot of money. Chase Daniels stuck

790
00:36:17,840 --> 00:36:20,879
Speaker 2: in the league forever. Let me go kJ Jefferson. What's

791
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 2: the word on him? Arkansas?

792
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, transfer Portal. I mean this coaches didn't do him

793
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:27,319
Speaker 3: any favors this year. He had a you know, you know,

794
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:29,800
Speaker 3: really poor OC. They ended up firing the OC in

795
00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 3: the middle of the season. So I can't put all

796
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:35,239
Speaker 3: the blame on him. It depends on what system he

797
00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:37,839
Speaker 3: gets have. Big kid, they're gonna fall in love when

798
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:39,600
Speaker 3: he goes to the you know, the Combine in a

799
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 3: couple of years. Uh, they're gonna fall in love with

800
00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:43,919
Speaker 3: his measurables. I'll put it that way.

801
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 2: And lastly, Cowherd mentioned this guy. I haven't watched enough

802
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:51,280
Speaker 2: Washington State, but cam Ward when you pull up his stats,

803
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 2: I mean, this guy's like got some massive numbers. Is

804
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:55,960
Speaker 2: he pro or Portal or staying?

805
00:36:56,440 --> 00:37:00,360
Speaker 3: Yeah? Portal probably the most coveted prospect in the horrible

806
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:03,560
Speaker 3: Right now, I'm hearing whispers of Oregon, at least as

807
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 3: of right now. So yeah, and he's the report is

808
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 3: you know he's gotten ten or twelve offers, and I

809
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 3: don't mean one hundred grand offers, I mean like a

810
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:14,400
Speaker 3: million dollar offers already.

811
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:18,359
Speaker 2: Wow, So Ohio State brings back its quarterback. McCarthy leaves,

812
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,080
Speaker 2: probably with Horble. What's your guests on Harble?

813
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:27,120
Speaker 3: I would say sixty forty staying at this point? Dang, Yeah,

814
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 3: I don't know, I haven't heard have you heard enough

815
00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 3: smoke on the Bears? I mean, that would be the

816
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:31,879
Speaker 3: job that I could see him going.

817
00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 2: I just I don't know why he'd come back after this,

818
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 2: just more dealing with the bosses.

819
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:40,280
Speaker 3: Have you seen a schedule? I mean, I mean Michigan

820
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:42,080
Speaker 3: could be you know, a good team and go seven

821
00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:43,239
Speaker 3: to five, eight and four next year.

822
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:45,520
Speaker 2: I mean'sing like twenty guys, aren't they to the pros?

823
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:46,600
Speaker 3: Yeah?

824
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 2: So could ward well, I guess he wouldn't want to

825
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:51,600
Speaker 2: go to Michigan, which is going to be super high profile.

826
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:53,600
Speaker 2: Like where's Washington State even playing next year?

827
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:56,799
Speaker 3: They got a deal both them in Oregon State to

828
00:37:56,880 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 3: play Mountain West teams, like seven eight game against Mountain

829
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:00,919
Speaker 3: West teams.

830
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:02,439
Speaker 2: If you're cam Warden, you want to be a pro.

831
00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:04,360
Speaker 2: You're not going to the Mountain West right.

832
00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:08,000
Speaker 3: No, No, you're not. H he's out. I mean he's

833
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 3: he's going to go to a high more high profile,

834
00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 3: power five.

835
00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:11,520
Speaker 2: Interesting.

836
00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:12,879
Speaker 3: He's gonna get paid good for him?

837
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:15,759
Speaker 2: And is there anyone else that I didn't mention as

838
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:18,120
Speaker 2: like a potential big name after ward and some of

839
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:19,959
Speaker 2: these others big name.

840
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:21,840
Speaker 3: Because he's a five star and all the hoople he

841
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:24,840
Speaker 3: just entered right before we recorded Dante more from UCLA

842
00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 3: just hit the portal. Oh a shock, Yeah, not a shock,

843
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:31,320
Speaker 3: but there'll be some suitors there. I mean, why is

844
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:31,800
Speaker 3: he leaving?

845
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 2: He chip Kelly stinged. I guess that's a.

846
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 3: Tough I would look him to go back east. He's

847
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:41,560
Speaker 3: from Michigan. I wouldn't be a bit surprised he goes

848
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:44,760
Speaker 3: back to the big ten somewhere. Interesting.

849
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:46,319
Speaker 2: Oh man, he did not have a good year.

850
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 3: He was terrible. Completion, he was terrible. I know he's

851
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:54,280
Speaker 3: a true freshman, but I mean he was deservedly benched.

852
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:57,360
Speaker 3: They were losing games because of him. That's how bad man.

853
00:38:57,400 --> 00:39:00,799
Speaker 2: All right, Brad Powers obviously great college footballs. I don't

854
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 2: know if you want to pop your newsletter whatever, you

855
00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:05,759
Speaker 2: want to push men. Use content's too good not to

856
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 2: be out there everywhere.

857
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:09,200
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858
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:11,799
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00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's got great stuff. Thanks a lot man, Good

862
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 2: luck this weekend and enjoy the games.

863
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Speaker 3: Right back at you, thanks for having me.

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Speaker 2: Great stuff from Brad Powers, just a good guest finger

892
00:40:57,640 --> 00:40:59,959
Speaker 2: on the Pulse of college football. I wish I could

893
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:02,960
Speaker 2: pay closer attention, but as you guys know this, you

894
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 2: can only really dig once you get the kids in

895
00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:07,360
Speaker 2: the family and all that stuff, and you're coaching, and

896
00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:10,200
Speaker 2: you just don't have time to watch every game. And

897
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:13,880
Speaker 2: I just it's impossible. So you just kind of, you know,

898
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 2: look for certain teams, certain big games focus on that

899
00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 2: drill down a little bit, and Michigan's won my one

900
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,000
Speaker 2: big play, but I have futures on them. When I

901
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,440
Speaker 2: went to Vegas to sign up for the CIRCA Contest,

902
00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 2: the one futures college football bet I had was Michigan

903
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:31,120
Speaker 2: to win the ninety. So obviously I'm all in on Michigan.

904
00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:33,919
Speaker 2: I need the Wolverines. I would love them to win,

905
00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:35,920
Speaker 2: and I also love the storyline Jim Harball going to

906
00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:39,759
Speaker 2: the NFL would be great. Speaking of NFL weird card

907
00:41:39,800 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 2: this week two and three in the contest last week,

908
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:48,839
Speaker 2: freaking Charger screwed me. Lions was brutal, and then there

909
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 2: was one other I think it was a Patriots.

910
00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:50,759
Speaker 3: Yeah.

911
00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:52,200
Speaker 2: I mean, like that could have easily been a four

912
00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:54,120
Speaker 2: in one week. If the Patriots don't vomit in the

913
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:56,640
Speaker 2: red zone, missed that field goal at the end, they

914
00:41:56,680 --> 00:42:00,080
Speaker 2: could get the push in overtime or the win. And

915
00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 2: you know, Zay Flowers goes for the touchdown run with

916
00:42:03,120 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 2: like ninety second two minutes left, whatever, nobody does that,

917
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:08,680
Speaker 2: you're supposed to go down. That's the smart move. By

918
00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 2: the way, Dallas tried that last night. Right you saw

919
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 2: that they did this almost identical play and Ceedee Lamb

920
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:18,920
Speaker 2: nearly scored and he got tackled, and then Dallas was like, oh,

921
00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 2: we'll just settle for the field goal at any rate.

922
00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:25,640
Speaker 2: NFL bets this week two totals. I fired on the

923
00:42:25,800 --> 00:42:31,880
Speaker 2: under Arizona Pittsburgh. It's at forty one. I looked there

924
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:34,720
Speaker 2: could be weather. Doesn't look like it's gonna be cold.

925
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:38,120
Speaker 2: Just might be rain. I don't know. I could just

926
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 2: see this Pittsburgh defense not conceding much while dominating on

927
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:46,239
Speaker 2: the ground the way. Its the same way the Rams did.

928
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:49,240
Speaker 2: But the Rams and McVeigh are scheming up like wide

929
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 2: open stuff off of the run, and Pittsburgh's not that advanced.

930
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:56,000
Speaker 2: They love to just hold the ball, minimize possessions and

931
00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 2: chew clock and don't I just don't see Arizona unless

932
00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 2: you hit a couple of big to Rondeo Moore, like

933
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,839
Speaker 2: everyone else is kind of banged up. So I have

934
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:06,840
Speaker 2: the Pittsburgh's side. I don't love it. I don't advocate.

935
00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:07,200
Speaker 1: No.

936
00:43:07,320 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 2: Five is kind of a dead number to five and

937
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:12,360
Speaker 2: a half now. But I took the under in that one.

938
00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:14,720
Speaker 2: I don't know if I'll go Steelers in the contest.

939
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:18,399
Speaker 2: It feels like it's gonna be mush everybody their moms.

940
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 2: Oh Pittsburgh, Oh Arizona stings. They got blasted. WHOA, Let's

941
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:25,040
Speaker 2: be real, Pittsburgh beat a crappy backup quarterback in Browning.

942
00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:28,800
Speaker 2: I'm not touching Jets Falcons in any way, shape or form.

943
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:31,640
Speaker 2: If I had to do anything, I would have gotten

944
00:43:31,680 --> 00:43:33,520
Speaker 2: the Jets at three or two and a half. But

945
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:36,560
Speaker 2: it's down to two. I'm not touching it, you know.

946
00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:38,160
Speaker 2: Truth be told, I don't want the Jets to be

947
00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 2: good at this point. So what we scratching? Clawed? Just

948
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 2: miss the playoffs. That's a lost guys. We need to

949
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 2: draft high. So I'm not doing anything there now. I

950
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:49,839
Speaker 2: did get Lions when it was three, it's now four.

951
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 2: It had hit four and a half. The problem with

952
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:54,520
Speaker 2: the Saints is Ano. They're at home. Everybody's banged up.

953
00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:58,640
Speaker 2: Rashid Shaheed, Michael Thomas and I are, and then Chris

954
00:43:58,680 --> 00:44:01,840
Speaker 2: Olave who I haven't two fantasy teams here trying to

955
00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:05,479
Speaker 2: head into the playoffs on a positive note, like if

956
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:07,400
Speaker 2: all three of their top receivers are out. I had

957
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:10,919
Speaker 2: to go pick up Lynn Bowden, the former Kentucky star

958
00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:15,720
Speaker 2: who's kind of like Kadarius Tony Light or at Perry's

959
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:17,600
Speaker 2: the other option. Like that's how desperate I am. But

960
00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:20,560
Speaker 2: I think the Lions rebound here and get the win.

961
00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 2: I just I'm not a believer in the Saints. Although

962
00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:25,880
Speaker 2: you know how this stuff works. The Lions defense is

963
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:29,920
Speaker 2: getting shredded. Derek Carr is getting crushed. Isn't this the

964
00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 2: great bounce back spot? With no receivers against the Lions,

965
00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:34,680
Speaker 2: Derek Carr will throw for like three p fifty and

966
00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:36,960
Speaker 2: it's a crazy game and the Saints win by three.

967
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 2: Just remember I said that, Okay, because that's the kind

968
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:41,520
Speaker 2: of crap that happens with the Saints. But I did

969
00:44:41,520 --> 00:44:44,160
Speaker 2: bet the Lions don't know about the contest not doing

970
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:48,000
Speaker 2: I just I can't, guys, I cannot do the Chargers anymore,

971
00:44:48,000 --> 00:44:50,840
Speaker 2: and I can't do the Patriots. So I'm sidestepping this game.

972
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:55,600
Speaker 2: We're the other ones here, Okay. I did take Carolina

973
00:44:55,680 --> 00:44:57,600
Speaker 2: at six. I see five and a half. I will

974
00:44:57,600 --> 00:45:04,280
Speaker 2: be taking Carolina in the contest. Coach bump Tampa banged up. Listen,

975
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:06,920
Speaker 2: I know Carolina hasn't covered him forever. Everybody's writing them off.

976
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:09,520
Speaker 2: This is a perfect spot, like should Baker Mayfield be

977
00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:13,919
Speaker 2: laying six? Really? So I had to go Carolina here

978
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 2: and I'll do it in the contest because also nobody

979
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:19,239
Speaker 2: else has taken them now. Early in the week, I

980
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:21,640
Speaker 2: looked at the Colts and I was like, I think

981
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:25,359
Speaker 2: I like the Colts. I think Minshew and the playoffs

982
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:29,479
Speaker 2: and Jonathan Taylor and everything's going like they were solid teams.

983
00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:32,279
Speaker 2: Shane Steichen probably my new favorite new coach in the league.

984
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 2: He's so good. And then you start looking at the times,

985
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,600
Speaker 2: You're like, wait a minute, the Titans similar Remember the

986
00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:39,680
Speaker 2: Browns home road splits. We talked about him last week,

987
00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 2: and now everybody else is on it. Well, everybody else

988
00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 2: next week is gonna be talking about this. The Titans

989
00:45:45,239 --> 00:45:48,080
Speaker 2: home road splits are crazy. All of a sudden, the Titans,

990
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 2: you look and you're like, yeah, they're not that good.

991
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:52,560
Speaker 2: Wait a minute, they're good at home? Why do they

992
00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:56,719
Speaker 2: stink on the road? These are mysterious things, Like will

993
00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 2: Levice not great? Right, we would agree with that, but

994
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 2: at home, Tennessee's plucky. Now they're only four and seven,

995
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:09,880
Speaker 2: but unbelievably in home games in Nashville. They beat the Chargers,

996
00:46:10,760 --> 00:46:14,560
Speaker 2: they smacked the Bengals twenty seven to three, they beat

997
00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:17,560
Speaker 2: the Falcons twenty eight, twenty three, and they beat Carolina

998
00:46:17,640 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 2: seventeen ten. Those aren't four great teams, but Indy's not

999
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:23,600
Speaker 2: a great team. I think Tennessee gets them here. I

1000
00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:25,440
Speaker 2: think this is a winnable game. Again, I'm not a

1001
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 2: huge believer in Levis Derek. Henry hasn't had one hundred

1002
00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 2: yard game since like before Halloween, like he's had a

1003
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 2: bad season. This to me feels like I get Vrabel

1004
00:46:39,560 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 2: picking on the young coach. I get Henry saying, you

1005
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,520
Speaker 2: know what, unleash me and the Colts coming a little

1006
00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:48,359
Speaker 2: back down to Earth. I think I'm on Tennessee here

1007
00:46:48,400 --> 00:46:50,120
Speaker 2: getting one. I think I'll do it in the contest.

1008
00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:54,680
Speaker 2: I did bet them. I did bet Tennessee. Houston and

1009
00:46:54,760 --> 00:46:58,480
Speaker 2: Denver probably the most fascinating game of the early window.

1010
00:46:58,960 --> 00:47:02,480
Speaker 2: There's only two Lake game games Rams Browns and Eagles Niners.

1011
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:06,920
Speaker 2: I took Houston minus three. I'm having a little buyer's remorse,

1012
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 2: but I still think Houston probably gets the job done

1013
00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:15,160
Speaker 2: at home. I have a total honesty I totally don't

1014
00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:20,040
Speaker 2: have a grasp on what to make of this Houston team,

1015
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:23,440
Speaker 2: Like they haven't covered as a favorite this year. The

1016
00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:26,920
Speaker 2: Denver defense is pretty darn good. But the whole turnovers.

1017
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:30,279
Speaker 2: You know, Denver's been feasting on turnovers during this five

1018
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:34,440
Speaker 2: game win streak. What's CJ. Stroud gonna start throwing picks?

1019
00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 2: Is the singletary or Pierce gonna start vomiting the ball up?

1020
00:47:39,000 --> 00:47:42,400
Speaker 2: I don't. I mean, anything's in play, but Stroud not

1021
00:47:42,440 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 2: great as a favorite. This is just a fade of

1022
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:48,200
Speaker 2: the Denver narrative and Houston three. I don't know if

1023
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:50,439
Speaker 2: I'll do it in the contest. Sam Fran any way,

1024
00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:52,400
Speaker 2: shape or form is going to be in the contest.

1025
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:53,680
Speaker 2: If it's two and a half three, I don't care.

1026
00:47:53,719 --> 00:47:55,279
Speaker 2: I bet them. I told you guys one and a half.

1027
00:47:55,360 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 2: I like Sam Fran a lot. This week. I out

1028
00:47:57,719 --> 00:47:59,759
Speaker 2: laid it on an earlier podcast. If you missed it,

1029
00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:03,200
Speaker 2: you know, sorry about your luck. Gotta be listening every day.

1030
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:06,080
Speaker 2: San Francisco for me is the side here at two.

1031
00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:10,120
Speaker 2: I think Get three they're fine again. I think there's

1032
00:48:10,160 --> 00:48:12,880
Speaker 2: a world with an exhausted Philadelphia team, and I know

1033
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:14,719
Speaker 2: that's tough to say, Jason, Come on, they're playing a

1034
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:16,200
Speaker 2: four to twenty five at home. Of course they're gonna

1035
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:22,200
Speaker 2: be am, no doubt. But if anybody knows the revenge

1036
00:48:22,239 --> 00:48:25,600
Speaker 2: angle and that could be overplayed, sure, San Francisco has

1037
00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:28,320
Speaker 2: circled this game for months, as soon as the schedule

1038
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:31,880
Speaker 2: came out. They want revenge. They knew. Listen, I was

1039
00:48:31,920 --> 00:48:33,879
Speaker 2: on Sanford in the playoff game and then Perdy goes out.

1040
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:37,440
Speaker 2: I'm like, well, that's a tough one. This is a nasty,

1041
00:48:37,640 --> 00:48:41,960
Speaker 2: angry San Francisco team. Trent Williams healthy, Deebo Samuel's healthy.

1042
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:44,280
Speaker 2: They like to take advantage of the middle of the field.

1043
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 2: That's what Shanahan does. Philadelphia is getting roasted over the

1044
00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:49,400
Speaker 2: middle of the field. Philadelphia is getting roasted great pretty

1045
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:52,759
Speaker 2: much anywhere. Their entire secondary is just getting crushed. They

1046
00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:56,520
Speaker 2: play a lot of man Perty destroys man because his

1047
00:48:56,560 --> 00:48:59,399
Speaker 2: tight end Kittle is awesome and because you can beat

1048
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:03,160
Speaker 2: just about any one on one. I don't think people

1049
00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:06,680
Speaker 2: fully grasp how bad Philly's been the last four weeks, yes,

1050
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:11,399
Speaker 2: four wins. Look at the starts they've had, and look

1051
00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:14,520
Speaker 2: at how fortunate they were in the second half. To rally.

1052
00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 2: I mean they were not great against Washington, they got

1053
00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:19,640
Speaker 2: out gained. They were not great against Dallas, they just

1054
00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:23,080
Speaker 2: held on for dear life. They were atrocious against KC

1055
00:49:23,640 --> 00:49:26,319
Speaker 2: for two quarters. They got fortunate that the Chiefs cap

1056
00:49:26,400 --> 00:49:29,400
Speaker 2: dropping passes and two red zone turnovers. And then Buffalo,

1057
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:32,719
Speaker 2: which could do a damn thing, they gave up four

1058
00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:35,800
Speaker 2: hundred year. I mean remember Buffalo at home against Denver

1059
00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:39,920
Speaker 2: could not do much. They struggled. And then Buffalo goes

1060
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 2: to Philly in the rain and is shredding like up

1061
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:46,680
Speaker 2: and down the field like it's nothing. Again. I saw

1062
00:49:46,760 --> 00:49:48,840
Speaker 2: stet the Eagles pass defense. This is how bad it is.

1063
00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:51,400
Speaker 2: They've given up twenty three touchdown passes, second worst than

1064
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:55,879
Speaker 2: the NFL. There's a Washington team that hung thirty one

1065
00:49:56,320 --> 00:49:59,279
Speaker 2: on Philly twice, and I know the Philly fans will

1066
00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:03,600
Speaker 2: be like Jay they one. Sometimes it's processed over results. Guys,

1067
00:50:03,760 --> 00:50:07,719
Speaker 2: just remember that. Okay, I would not be surprised if

1068
00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:10,960
Speaker 2: San Fran won like thirty to thirteen. They're front seven.

1069
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:14,360
Speaker 2: Made a statement. We'll see if Lane Johnson plays. I

1070
00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:18,240
Speaker 2: just the front like this idea, like the Jalen Hurts runs,

1071
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 2: which are all available all afternoon late against Buffalo. That's

1072
00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:26,600
Speaker 2: not going to be there. You think they're just running

1073
00:50:26,640 --> 00:50:29,200
Speaker 2: all over this front four and then the best lineback

1074
00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:31,839
Speaker 2: and crew in the league. We're Philadelphia won last year

1075
00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 2: in the playoff game was the deep passes, and now

1076
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 2: you've got Chase Young and Bosa coming off the edge.

1077
00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:42,880
Speaker 2: They have been dominant some all sample size together. I

1078
00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:48,200
Speaker 2: don't know, guys, I'll say Niners thirty, Eagles thirteen. I

1079
00:50:48,200 --> 00:50:51,840
Speaker 2: will one hundred percent beyond the Niners in the contest.

1080
00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:54,680
Speaker 2: I did bet Rams at four looks like a bad number.

1081
00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:56,200
Speaker 2: Lines down to three and a half now. I don't

1082
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:58,439
Speaker 2: know if that has to do with Flacco DTR. Maybe

1083
00:50:58,440 --> 00:51:01,839
Speaker 2: we've got Rams injury news, but I got a bad

1084
00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:03,840
Speaker 2: number four. I still think the Rams win now that

1085
00:51:04,160 --> 00:51:08,200
Speaker 2: the Browns did stay out West this week after playing

1086
00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:12,399
Speaker 2: Denver last week. They just with DTR like they can't

1087
00:51:12,400 --> 00:51:15,399
Speaker 2: really move the ball. But the Rams defense is susceptible.

1088
00:51:16,400 --> 00:51:18,319
Speaker 2: This Rams team, if you look at the schedule, If

1089
00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:21,280
Speaker 2: they win this, mcveih could take them to the playoffs,

1090
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:24,799
Speaker 2: which would probably be his best coaching job. I like

1091
00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:27,080
Speaker 2: the Chiefs favor by six. I know that's not gonna

1092
00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 2: be popular. Patrick Mahomes is a big favorite. I just

1093
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:32,640
Speaker 2: don't care about that stuff. Honestly, these trends, everybody loves

1094
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,920
Speaker 2: to try out trends, Like there's some trends are fine, sure,

1095
00:51:36,080 --> 00:51:37,759
Speaker 2: and we talked about them with Brad Powers, But this

1096
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,640
Speaker 2: idea that like you could bet games just because of

1097
00:51:40,680 --> 00:51:45,319
Speaker 2: a trend is insanity. Guys, like, just because at the

1098
00:51:45,400 --> 00:51:48,680
Speaker 2: roulette table black has come up fourteen times in a row,

1099
00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:51,759
Speaker 2: it doesn't mean it's coming up a fifteenth. You know

1100
00:51:52,080 --> 00:51:55,239
Speaker 2: that These trends like, I don't know. I just we've

1101
00:51:55,280 --> 00:51:57,200
Speaker 2: talked about them with a lot of the gambling guests,

1102
00:51:57,560 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 2: but I don't know. I'm just not buying that at all.

1103
00:52:00,480 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 2: I like the Chiefs here. I think they go into

1104
00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:04,520
Speaker 2: Green Bay. I think Jordan Love struggles against the man

1105
00:52:04,560 --> 00:52:07,440
Speaker 2: to man defense. I think Kansas City. I would not

1106
00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:09,359
Speaker 2: be surprised if this is a nice little statement win

1107
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:12,040
Speaker 2: from the Chiefs. First half against the Raiders, they were sluggish,

1108
00:52:12,040 --> 00:52:15,880
Speaker 2: second half totally dominated, totally, and now they go to

1109
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:18,040
Speaker 2: Green Bay. I think they handle their business. And I

1110
00:52:18,120 --> 00:52:20,600
Speaker 2: did bet the Miami Dolphins at nine and a half

1111
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:23,919
Speaker 2: against Washington. Good bounce back spot for Washington after getting

1112
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:27,719
Speaker 2: embarrassed on Thanksgiving, Ron Rivera fires the defensive coordinator. Yeah,

1113
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:31,839
Speaker 2: like that's gonna fix everything. I don't know, we'll see.

1114
00:52:30,880 --> 00:52:34,160
Speaker 2: I want to put Miami in the contest. I did

1115
00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:36,680
Speaker 2: bet them at nine and a half. This is just

1116
00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:41,359
Speaker 2: this team, to me is probably the most dangerous team

1117
00:52:41,360 --> 00:52:43,160
Speaker 2: in the AFC not named the Chiefs. That's not a

1118
00:52:43,160 --> 00:52:47,239
Speaker 2: hot take because the Ravens are their Jags. I just

1119
00:52:47,840 --> 00:52:52,520
Speaker 2: this Miami team. Just be very careful going against them.

1120
00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:54,400
Speaker 2: I know they sputtered a little bit against the Jets.

1121
00:52:54,719 --> 00:52:58,840
Speaker 2: Just think about this. The Dolphins in recent weeks have

1122
00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:02,640
Speaker 2: actually faced teams like when you face the Jets defense,

1123
00:53:02,680 --> 00:53:04,799
Speaker 2: it's not gonna be easy, right, You're gonna have to

1124
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:07,840
Speaker 2: work for everything. The Jets have forced some good quarterbacks

1125
00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:11,640
Speaker 2: into bad games. So Miami will go from Man, we

1126
00:53:11,680 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 2: had to face Kansas City rivalry game, not rivalry game.

1127
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,640
Speaker 2: We had to face the Raiders where we moved the

1128
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:23,400
Speaker 2: ball at will. We didn't punt for the first three quarters.

1129
00:53:23,400 --> 00:53:25,879
Speaker 2: We just couldn't punch it in. And then we face

1130
00:53:25,920 --> 00:53:28,239
Speaker 2: the Jets, and now we face Washington, which is the

1131
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:31,360
Speaker 2: worst secondary in the league. Pretty much. I mean, this

1132
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:34,000
Speaker 2: could be a four hundred yard game from Tua. The

1133
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:35,680
Speaker 2: only thing that's holding them back is the run game,

1134
00:53:35,680 --> 00:53:37,839
Speaker 2: which may just run all over Washington. So I do

1135
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:39,960
Speaker 2: like Miami there and on Monday Night. I think the

1136
00:53:40,080 --> 00:53:42,080
Speaker 2: Jags for sure. I think I gotta put them in

1137
00:53:42,080 --> 00:53:43,719
Speaker 2: the contest, even at nine. I just don't I think

1138
00:53:43,800 --> 00:53:47,000
Speaker 2: Jake Browning's worth more than a touchdown to the spread

1139
00:53:48,040 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 2: Joe Burrow. I mean, they just they're not good without him.

1140
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:53,360
Speaker 2: Now Browning has to go on the road. But football,

1141
00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:56,320
Speaker 2: I think that that could be ugly Jags for sure.

1142
00:53:57,200 --> 00:53:59,760
Speaker 2: Low total there, little dicey. All right, that's a lengthy

1143
00:53:59,760 --> 00:54:04,440
Speaker 2: Friday podcast everybody, A fun, exciting start to December, and

1144
00:54:04,600 --> 00:54:06,680
Speaker 2: we will be back on Monday.