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Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

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Speaker 1: He what's up, everybody? It's me he Joe Bisavia, and

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Speaker 1: welcome to Fantasy Pros, where fantasy sports lives and where

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Speaker 1: wagering lives too, because today we've got a betting pro

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Speaker 1: show for you for MLB. That's right, it's not just

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Speaker 1: NFL anymore. No, no big changes here at Fantasy Pros.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be me, it's gonna be Dan Harris, and

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be you. And we're gonna go through win

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Speaker 1: totals in Major League Baseball for the National League teams. Today.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about what those win totals are, if

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Speaker 1: we like the overs, the unders, which ones we want

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Speaker 1: to stay away from, and where there might be some value.

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Speaker 1: And there's always value in the Fantasy Pros tools and

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Speaker 1: there's no bigger tool. Excuse me, there's no better person

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Speaker 1: to discuss the tools. I'm sorry, Dan, that came out weird,

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris, how are you? My friend? Tell us all

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Speaker 1: about what the exciting things that are happening ever a

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Speaker 1: fantasy especially on the betting side at Betting Pros.

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Speaker 2: What a slip of the tongue show. Oops, Hi everybody. Okay, So,

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Speaker 2: as you know, if you have subscribed to this show,

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Speaker 2: we have been basically exclusively a betting pro show based

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Speaker 2: on the NFL. That's all we've done. We've done it

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Speaker 2: during the NFL season. We're going to continue to do that.

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Speaker 2: Of course, during the NFL season, we'll do two shows

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Speaker 2: a week, go back to the old school way of

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Speaker 2: doing it, bringing on people from around the industry. But

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Speaker 2: now we're expanding. We've got Joe pi Zapia here if

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Speaker 2: you are if you listen to our fantasy shows, you

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Speaker 2: are familiar with him. Now. He's been our host for

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Speaker 2: a couple of weeks. He's also going to be the

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Speaker 2: host of the Betting Pro Show. It's going to be

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Speaker 2: a weekly show from here on out. We are going

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Speaker 2: to be touching for the next few weeks on MLB

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Speaker 2: because that's where we are. When we get to the NFL,

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Speaker 2: we will be talking about the NFL, but we're gonna

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Speaker 2: have guests on from around the industry doing a weekly

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Speaker 2: show talking about whatever the big event is going on

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Speaker 2: that week or you know. Obviously the different sports with NBA, NHL,

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Speaker 2: we're already into the season, so we can't do the

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Speaker 2: preseason episodes, of course, but going forward, this is a

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Speaker 2: weekly show that we will be doing beyond the NFL.

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Speaker 2: It was the Betting Pros NFL podcast. It is now

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Speaker 2: the Betting Pros Podcast, So make sure you subscribe, you

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Speaker 2: tune in every week. We're going to be here for you.

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Speaker 2: For now, for the next couple of weeks, it's going

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Speaker 2: to be baseball, which Joey p and I love. We

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Speaker 2: love to talk some baseball, so I'm ready for the

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Speaker 2: NL win totals. Baby, let's do it.

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Speaker 1: And to be fair, I am the second biggest tool

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Speaker 1: behind Dan. Okay, these are the tools that you need

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Speaker 1: right here. So all joking aside, this is something we're

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Speaker 1: very passionate about. We love it. I talk a ton

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Speaker 1: of this stuff over on Sports Careered on Television two

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Speaker 1: for the last few years, and I'm very excited to

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Speaker 1: be talking it here on Fantasy Pros. And let's start

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Speaker 1: with the National League East, and let's start with the

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Speaker 1: win total of the Atlanta Braves. Now, it's funny because

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Speaker 1: Baseball Perspectus has them somewhere on eighty two wins, which

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Speaker 1: I thought was very, very strange. But the win total

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Speaker 1: around the aggregate value and once again trying to take

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Speaker 1: all these different sites like we do here on Fantasy Pros,

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Speaker 1: on the betting side on Betting Pros and give you

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Speaker 1: kind of what the general landscape is. Yeah, it's going

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Speaker 1: to be a half different here and there, but for

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Speaker 1: the most part, you're looking at ninety one and a half,

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Speaker 1: so you're looking at the Atlanta Braves and in terms

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Speaker 1: of rotation, they did make a big addition there with

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Speaker 1: Charlie Morton, and I think that's a bigger impact than

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Speaker 1: other people do. He's a veteran stability, a guy who

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Speaker 1: you can count on for innings. That's huge right now

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Speaker 1: coming off of a season where you really don't know,

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Speaker 1: especially with the injuries they've had to Soroka and some

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Speaker 1: of those young pitchers. Ian Anderson was a revelation last year,

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Speaker 1: but there's questions about how much he can handle in

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Speaker 1: terms of workload this year. It's a great lineup Dan,

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Speaker 1: but it's a little top heavy. I think I'd be

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Speaker 1: surprised if you got the same kind of production you

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Speaker 1: got out of Darnault and out of some of the

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Speaker 1: other players in the bottom part, whether it's the Swanson's

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Speaker 1: or Darnaul's or maybe even Marcella Zuna to a certain extent,

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Speaker 1: because we saw the best of Azooa last year, but

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Speaker 1: we've seen him be a streaky player in the past.

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Speaker 1: So ninety one and a half is that number? How

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Speaker 1: do you feel about this number when it comes to

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Speaker 1: the braves.

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Speaker 2: It's a big number, it really is. And again we

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Speaker 2: you know, Joe, you look at the projection systems that

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Speaker 2: are around you mentioned it and Pacoda like they ow they've

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Speaker 2: faded the braves right like the last everybody has recently

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Speaker 2: and they just constantly go over. But ninety one is

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Speaker 2: a big number, ninety one and a half, and I

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Speaker 2: think that's something that kind of we throw around, like

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Speaker 2: ninety ninety one. It's tough. It is very tough in

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Speaker 2: Major League Baseball to get to even ninety wins. By

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Speaker 2: the way, for the for the wins, as Joe mentioned,

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Speaker 2: we're going to be using the consensus wins. So at

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros, what we do is we aggregate all the

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Speaker 2: available sports book Now I'm in New Hampshire, so the

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Speaker 2: only numbers that I can get are at Draft Kings.

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Speaker 2: But if you look at Bettingpros dot Com, and I

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Speaker 2: think it's Joe's at bettingpros dot com slash MLB wins right.

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Speaker 2: Is that the link for the link. If you want

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Speaker 2: to see the win totals for everything, you can see

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Speaker 2: it where it is in every book Now. Ninety one

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Speaker 2: and a half is everywhere, like there's no differentiation at

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Speaker 2: it at all. So the consensus line is ninety one

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Speaker 2: and a half. That's what I have at a DraftKings too.

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Speaker 2: If I'm going one where, I don't love this bet

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Speaker 2: either way. If I lean one way, it would be

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Speaker 2: towards the over for a couple of reasons. I do

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Speaker 2: like the lineup. I mean Acunya obviously leading off is fantastic.

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Speaker 2: I don't know exactly how it's gonna bear out Freeman

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Speaker 2: off the MVP. I think Ozuna maybe not quite as

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Speaker 2: good as he was last year. Darn I was getting

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Speaker 2: up there, but he is kind of legitimate. I love

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Speaker 2: Ozzie Alby's Dansby Swanson is kind of real now, like

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Speaker 2: I've been looking into him for on the fantasy side,

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Speaker 2: He's he's legit. I like what I've seen from him.

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Speaker 2: I like Austin Riley, and I like the rotation. Joe.

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Speaker 2: I really do like Charlie Morton, like he's one of

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Speaker 2: one of my guys. Ian Anderson was a guy who

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Speaker 2: at the beginning of the Fantasy season, I was like,

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Speaker 2: I'm not in on this guy.

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Speaker 1: Now I'm totally in I too, because you and I,

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Speaker 1: You and I both got to come to the Ian

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Speaker 1: Anderson world right now in the last few weeks, and

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Speaker 1: I've had that same kind of revelation. Hyeah, it's like,

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Speaker 1: you know what where he's going. It just makes a

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Speaker 1: lot of sense. But yeah, I personally feel like it's

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Speaker 1: kind of a It's again. These numbers are always right on.

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Speaker 1: That's the whole point. I would either stay away from

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Speaker 1: this one because it feels just about right. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if they're gonna bbliterate this number. And I'm a

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Speaker 1: little concerned because it is high. It's a very competitive division.

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Speaker 1: As we're gonna get you, this is the most competitive

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Speaker 1: division in the National League. Yes, that's what scares me

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Speaker 1: about going too high old for this number. If anything,

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Speaker 1: I would probably stay away. But if I had a lean,

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Speaker 1: the lean would certainly be on the over by a

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Speaker 1: hair because I do think Atlanta is that team where

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Speaker 1: they're used to success. They're used to being on top.

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Speaker 1: They are built I think for the long haul, but

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Speaker 1: I also just I do have some questions about some

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Speaker 1: of the guys. I love Max Reid, I love Morton,

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Speaker 1: I love Anderson. The rest of that rotation was still

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Speaker 1: figuring out the ball.

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Speaker 2: I like Smiley. I think if again I mentioned Smiley before,

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Speaker 2: I think if Smiley can stay healthy, which is always

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Speaker 2: a big if. And again, Soroka is probably gonna miss

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Speaker 2: what April coming back from the Achilles' hair. But the

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Speaker 2: rotation is pretty good. The bullpend though, Joe not terrible.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Will Smith's very solid, Martin is good. Mintor

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Speaker 2: bounced back. It just it is the tough division. That's

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Speaker 2: the thing about it is when you're looking at the

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Speaker 2: wind totals for any division, That's why the central is

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Speaker 2: such a fascinating place to look at, because the wind

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Speaker 2: totals are all low because they're gonna, you know, somebody

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Speaker 2: who's got to go over basically in that one. So

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Speaker 2: I think for this, I agree with you. Ninety one

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Speaker 2: and a half is a sharp number. I don't love

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Speaker 2: either way, but I kind of would lean over, And

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Speaker 2: it might be because I'm fading some of the other

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Speaker 2: teams in the division.

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Speaker 1: That might be the Marlins are at seventy and a half,

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Speaker 1: which I gotta tell you, it seemed very low to

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Speaker 1: me right off the bat. This is where I think

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Speaker 1: the first spot where I'm actually a little bit excited

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Speaker 1: about a number, because I think that pitching is much

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Speaker 1: better than people realize. I just did a little write

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Speaker 1: up on Fantasy Pros about Elie's or Hernandez. I just

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Speaker 1: got to interview Craig Mish this week, who covers the Marlins,

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Speaker 1: and I asked him, I said, so tell me who

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Speaker 1: is the guy that's getting all the balls out of

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Speaker 1: camp now with the Marlins, because you know it's always

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Speaker 1: the buzz guy. And he said, without a doubt, it's Hernandez.

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Speaker 1: And you add him in with Lopez and Sixto Sanchez.

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Speaker 1: All of a sudden, this pitching is a lot better

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Speaker 1: than people realize. If you get some bounce back from

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Speaker 1: Corey Dickerson, you get some guys like Jazz chishm to

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Speaker 1: kind of take a step up, all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: the Marlins, you know, they were a playoff team last year.

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Speaker 1: I know it was a short season. I just think

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Speaker 1: seventy and a half is very low. I think they're

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Speaker 1: closer to a five hundred team than they are to

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Speaker 1: a seventy win team. So to me, this is actually

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Speaker 1: a comfortable over I feel much more comfortable with this

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Speaker 1: number than I do with the Braves number. So you

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Speaker 1: walk me through your thoughts about them, Carlins. Do you

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Speaker 1: think this is too low? Or am I overrating this

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Speaker 1: Marlins pitching staff a little?

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Speaker 2: I think a little both. Actually I don't. I don't

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Speaker 2: think you're overrating the staff. I think the staff is

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Speaker 2: really good. Sandy al Contra also very very good there,

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Speaker 2: So I think it's a it's a solid staff. That

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Speaker 2: is what I have the least question marked about. With

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Speaker 2: the Marlins. The lineup is just kind of I don't know,

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Speaker 2: it's not.

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Speaker 1: That's what they are. They don't have that guy. They

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Speaker 1: don't have that dude. There's there's no you know, Juan

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Speaker 1: Soto in that kind of.

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Speaker 2: I've got Starling Marte, who I like but is kind

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Speaker 2: of an aging speedster at this point, right not not

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Speaker 2: somebody's So the lineup isn't great. The bullpen, they don't have,

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Speaker 2: like the strike up I mean, Y mean, Garcia maybe

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Speaker 2: is the strike up guy, but Anthony bass is fine,

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Speaker 2: Dylan Floro, It's fine, it's not great. With that said,

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Speaker 2: I agree with you. I don't think this is a

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Speaker 2: smash of the over, but I am leaning over on

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Speaker 2: it for sure. And again, the consensus line is seventy

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Speaker 2: and a half, and it's to go under. You're getting

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Speaker 2: plus money for the consentives line. It's plus one oh

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Speaker 2: five over it's minus one thirty four. And part of that,

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Speaker 2: I think is because of the fact that there are

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Speaker 2: a lot of books out there that are at seventy one.

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Speaker 2: So the consensus line is seventy and a half, but

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Speaker 2: there's a lot of books out there if you look

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Speaker 2: at seventy one and a half, so it's right on

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Speaker 2: the border in between. If you can get seventy and

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Speaker 2: a half. I agree with you, Joe. I think I

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Speaker 2: would go over here. I think they're again being a

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Speaker 2: little undervalued, but I don't really It's hard for me

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Speaker 2: to see them getting to five hundred unless that staff

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Speaker 2: stays fully healthy all year and just rocks the house,

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Speaker 2: because that is the strength of the team.

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Speaker 1: All right. Moving on to the Philadelphia Phillies. Eighty and

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Speaker 1: a half is this number. I'm gonna save our mets

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Speaker 1: for last, because I know we have so many feelings.

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Speaker 1: I know originally we're going to do that, but let's

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Speaker 1: do the Phillies next. Eighty and a half is the

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Speaker 1: number here, and this feels dead on to me. I

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Speaker 1: think this is an absolute five hundred team. I understand

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Speaker 1: they made some acquisitions in the offseason to improve the bullpen.

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Speaker 1: It's improved. I still don't think it's great as era

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Speaker 1: of the bullpen was over eight last year. That is stunning.

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Speaker 1: I mean stunning, like you just can't even wrap your

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Speaker 1: mind around it. And I get it, it's only sixty

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Speaker 1: game season. It's still atrocious even regardless, So the Phillies

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Speaker 1: are a bit of an enigma for me. I think

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Speaker 1: they are a five hundred team. They have top of

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Speaker 1: the you know tier guys, the Bryce Harpers of the world,

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Speaker 1: and they have those top two pitchers in the front

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Speaker 1: and then after that, it's a lot of questions that

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Speaker 1: back ends a bullpens question. Still, I still think it's

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Speaker 1: going to cost some games this year. It's enough for

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Speaker 1: me to run away from this number. I don't love

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Speaker 1: this Phillies number. I think they're an eighty one win

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Speaker 1: team and that's basically where they're sitting.

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Speaker 2: I like the under a little bit more because I'm

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Speaker 2: fading them this year. I really am. And by the way,

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Speaker 2: you can get eighty one and a half at Fandle.

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Speaker 2: That's the one book that I'm seeing out there on Fandle.

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Speaker 1: At the eighty one and a half. That's a more

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Speaker 1: comfortable under, I think for me.

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Speaker 2: A little more comfortable. It's funny you're like, well, one win,

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Speaker 2: one win is.

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Speaker 1: One enormous Well, one win is a big differ. It

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Speaker 1: really is.

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Speaker 2: It really is. But even at eighty and a half,

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Speaker 2: which the consensus lign is, which is where I could

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Speaker 2: get it at DraftKings and where it's basically sitting, I

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Speaker 2: still lean the under the bullpen. I mean they tried, right,

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Speaker 2: They added some some heat back there with Archie Bradley

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Speaker 2: and Jose Alvarada, and they signed Kinsler, you know, to

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Speaker 2: a minor league deal, but I'm sure it'll be in

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Speaker 2: the Major so it's better. But you know, I'm not

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Speaker 2: totally loving it. It is the staff, I mean, Nola's great,

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Speaker 2: Zach Wheeler is great, Ethlyn's Okay, Velasquez and more that's

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Speaker 2: not gonna cut it. And the lineup, I mean real

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Speaker 2: Mutto already fractured his thumb. I doubt he'll be ready

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Speaker 2: exactly on opening day, and that.

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Speaker 1: Hurts the pitching staff too. It does as we need

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Speaker 1: we need to realize. I mean, not that he's not

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Speaker 1: familiar with those guys, but yeah, you just want to

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Speaker 1: be in a rhythm with everybody going into the season,

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Speaker 1: and when you're working from behind, that could mean some

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Speaker 1: struggles in April, and that's enough to bring them down

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Speaker 1: a little bit.

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Speaker 2: And the lineup is just like whatever, Like real, Muto's great,

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Speaker 2: Harper is fantastic, but you know, McCutcheon is like a

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Speaker 2: thousand years old, and I love them, but you know,

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Speaker 2: and you know, Hoskins one of my favorite players. Again,

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Speaker 2: but none of these guys, Gregorious boem Segura, like it's

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Speaker 2: just whatever. In this division where they're gonna have to

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Speaker 2: play the Braves, they're gonna have to play the Mets.

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Speaker 2: The Marlins aren't going to be as terrible, the Nationals

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Speaker 2: aren't going to be terrible. This just strikes me as

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Speaker 2: kind of the under that I lean towards the most

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Speaker 2: here with the Phillies at eighty and a half, especially

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Speaker 2: at eighty one and.

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Speaker 1: A half, all right. Let's move on to the Washington Nationals,

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Speaker 1: which is a place where you can I think, make

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Speaker 1: some money here if you have real feelings about this

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Speaker 1: pitching staff being right. Because if this pitching staff is right,

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Speaker 1: I know they're eighty four and a half is basically

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Speaker 1: the number somewhere around there is which you're getting most places.

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Speaker 1: There's one spot where you're getting eighty three and a half,

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Speaker 1: which I would be looking for that one and to

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Speaker 1: take the over. And that's a Fox bet. And I

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Speaker 1: gotta tell you, like, I think that you can make

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Speaker 1: some money on the Nationals this year. You do have

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Speaker 1: won Soda, you still have Victor Robless, you still have

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Speaker 1: Trey Turner. There's a lot of good young players obviously

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Speaker 1: on that team. Plus you brought in Josh Bell, you

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Speaker 1: brought in schwar where both guys look really good playing

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Speaker 1: for contracts right now in the spring. They've looked very

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Speaker 1: good so far in the very early going. You just

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Speaker 1: want to see them show up to camp in good shape, ready, focus.

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Speaker 1: That's what you're looking for. And for me, Dan, I

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Speaker 1: think this is one where if the pitching is right,

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Speaker 1: They've got Brad Hand now closing out games. That is

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Speaker 1: a good solid investment. Especially if you do think a

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Speaker 1: little less of the Phillies, then maybe you should think

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Speaker 1: a little bit more than Ats.

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Speaker 2: This is a really tough one for me because I

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Speaker 2: could see them smashing the over on this. If everything

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Speaker 2: breaks right, you have basically all three, the Big three.

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Speaker 2: They all have to bounce back right. Sureser has kind

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Speaker 2: of been battling injury a little bit and saw some

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Speaker 2: sort of real downturn in his numbers last year. Corbin

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Speaker 2: lost two miles per hour on his velocity. Strasbourg barely

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Speaker 2: pitched and had the surgery for carpal tunnel syndrome. I'm

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Speaker 2: getting more optimistic on each one of them as I

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Speaker 2: dig into them even more. The back end of their

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Speaker 2: rotation is kind of gross. I mean, John Lester, John

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Speaker 2: Lester's tear.

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Speaker 1: Nobody's trying to tell me about John Lester. I do

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Speaker 1: not want to hear that. No, no, no, But.

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Speaker 2: I do agree that hand is a huge addition to

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Speaker 2: that bullpen. And you've got Rainy, You've got Harris, you've

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Speaker 2: got Hudson, and the lineup is Yeah, that's the thing.

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Speaker 2: If Schwarber kind of bounces back, and you know, we're

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Speaker 2: in best shape of you know, his life season right now.

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Speaker 2: He does look good.

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Speaker 1: It does look very good.

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Speaker 2: Bell. I'm willing to kind of buy the whole My

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Speaker 2: season got my swing got really long last year and

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Speaker 2: I kind of lost, and I let my father side

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Speaker 2: to sort of get me some bad habits. I like

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Speaker 2: him as a hitter, and when you add that with

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Speaker 2: Soto and Turner, I think it has the potential to

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Speaker 2: go over. But I'm not comfortable with I'm like, right there,

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Speaker 2: I'm like at eighty four like that. That's basically what

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Speaker 2: I think is the right number. So this is kind

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Speaker 2: of a stay away for me right now. But I

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Speaker 2: see the potential for it to go way over if

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Speaker 2: in the spring everybody looks kind of as we think.

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Speaker 1: They could look. I think that's the thing. If you're

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Speaker 1: going into that you're healthy with those three pictures and

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Speaker 1: Corvin especially looks good, I think you might want to

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Speaker 1: dabble in this one. Otherwise you could see the opposite,

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Speaker 1: because we've seen this team unravel too when those pictures

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Speaker 1: have injuries and they don't have enough in the system

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Speaker 1: and the pitching to make up for that. Now it's

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Speaker 1: time for our New York Mets. Dan ninety one wins.

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Speaker 1: Oh model, As my grandmother would say, that is a

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Speaker 1: lot of wins for the New York Mets. Now here's

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Speaker 1: the thing. Stroman's back, you got Carrasco, You've got grom

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Speaker 1: At some point, you hope to get Cinderguard. I'm not

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Speaker 1: as concerned as everybody else about Lugo and the elbow.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that's a clean up surgery that should be fine.

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Speaker 1: Go back and look at Cole Hamil's eery had his

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Speaker 1: clean up. He came back at what his best seasons.

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Speaker 1: So I'm looking at this Mets team. The addition of

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Speaker 1: Lindora Carrasco, Trevor May, They've done some really good things.

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Speaker 1: But most importantly it's the depth. It's the depth of

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Speaker 1: adding versatility and athleticism, which is something the Mets have

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Speaker 1: lacked both of for quite some time. Whether it be

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Speaker 1: a Jonathan vr At, Kevin Palar, anybody else that rhymes

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Speaker 1: with Allar, it could be Malex Smith. All these guys athletic, versatile,

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Speaker 1: and I think give them a different dynamic off the

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Speaker 1: bench that we're used to seeing. This is a faster team,

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Speaker 1: this is a deeper team, and I think the lineup

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Speaker 1: is very good this year, especially with Nimo, Dominic Smith

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Speaker 1: surrounding Confordo and Alonso. I know I'm painting a Rosie picture,

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Speaker 1: which is something that I never do as a Mets fan.

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Speaker 1: Usually it's the opposite, right, But I actually think this

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Speaker 1: is a team that's going to win ninety something games.

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Speaker 1: The question is, Dandy, you feel good about the ninety one.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's hard as a Mets fan.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying my best to be to look at this realistically,

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Speaker 1: and they are the deepest team in this division. Yes,

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Speaker 1: they are the deepest, period and I think that wins

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Speaker 1: out more often than not in the one sixty two.

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Speaker 2: Nowadays Pakoda has them and ninety four wins. I mean

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Speaker 2: ninety four. And when I first looked at this and

386
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Speaker 2: I was talking about it with my boss, who was like,

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Speaker 2: I'm smashing the under. He likes to tease me about

388
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Speaker 2: all my teams anyway. But I now lean towards the over.

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Speaker 2: Once I sort of dug into it, and again it's

390
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Speaker 2: all over the place. It's ninety and a half, it's

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Speaker 2: ninety one, it's ninety one and a half at the

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Speaker 2: various books. So for me, it's ninety and a half.

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Speaker 2: That makes a little more even enticing. I think the

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Speaker 2: big thing, Joe is you nailed it, which for the

395
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Speaker 2: first time really with the new ownership, they have depth.

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Speaker 2: They have so much depth. It's like it used to

397
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Speaker 2: be like, all right, if everything goes perfectly, we're fine,

398
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Speaker 2: but if we get one injury to the staff, then

399
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Speaker 2: we're calling up Rando like relievers to start games. You know,

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Speaker 2: you've got lou Casey and you've got Yamamoto and you

401
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Speaker 2: can survive. And you've got the defensive addition too.

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Speaker 1: They've got that eight starting pitcher thing exactly. They've got

403
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Speaker 1: a bench where if there's an injury, they've got versatil

404
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Speaker 1: where McNeil can float, Davis can float, VR plays three

405
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Speaker 1: different positions. Yeah, that's unique. You don't see a Mets

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Speaker 1: team that has that, and I think it's going to

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Speaker 1: be very refreshing. They're also going to be able to

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Speaker 1: create runs for the first time in a long time. Yes,

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Speaker 1: they've been very stationed station for many years. Lindor changes

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Speaker 1: that wholeheartedly. I mean that that is a big, big

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Speaker 1: shift for the Mets from a philosophical standpoint of how

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Speaker 1: they're built.

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Speaker 2: I love the defensive, Like you mentioned, polar Almora, the

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Speaker 2: guys who you.

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Speaker 1: Know I even mentioned because he didn't rhyme with Polar

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Speaker 1: or Volar.

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Speaker 2: But you've got especially with Don Smith, you know right now,

418
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Speaker 2: schedule to play left and you know you can get

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Speaker 2: the defense late in games. That makes a huge difference.

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Speaker 2: And the other thing really is, Joe Baseball teams are

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Speaker 2: poor right now because of their revenue. You know who's

422
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Speaker 2: not poor, Steve step Going, Steve Going. It's what I

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Speaker 2: think is really what kind of pushed me over the

424
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Speaker 2: edge is when you get to mid season and teams

425
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Speaker 2: are like looking to sell and they're looking for salary dumps.

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Speaker 2: I mean, look at Lindor. It's not like we gave

427
00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,840
Speaker 2: up a huge prospect hall for Lindor and Carrasco. We

428
00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 2: were just willing to absorb the huge salaries because now

429
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:11,840
Speaker 2: we have an ownership group that can do that. And

430
00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:14,040
Speaker 2: I think that's going to come into play mid season

431
00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:16,919
Speaker 2: when we're able to regroup. As long as we're in contention,

432
00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:19,000
Speaker 2: I think they're going to make some big addition, which

433
00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,439
Speaker 2: is why now at this point I lean towards the

434
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:24,160
Speaker 2: over even at ninety and a half, ninety one, maybe

435
00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:26,879
Speaker 2: even ninety one and a half, So I'm over. It's terrible.

436
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:28,480
Speaker 2: But at that point I.

437
00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,920
Speaker 1: Think I'm over too. That's where my lean is also. Yep,

438
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:33,600
Speaker 1: I'm moving on to the central the Chicago Cubs. There's

439
00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:37,199
Speaker 1: still some guys there, I mean, Rizzo, Biaz, you know,

440
00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,320
Speaker 1: Wilson Good. Yeah, still got Chris Bryant. There's still Kyle

441
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,159
Speaker 1: Hendrix there. But let's be honest, I mean it is.

442
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:45,440
Speaker 1: This is the opposite, right, It's thin. I like he

443
00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:47,639
Speaker 1: and half very much more than most people. But seventy

444
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:48,920
Speaker 1: eight and a half is the number here for the

445
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:51,600
Speaker 1: Cubs and Dan. I look at this as a lean

446
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,280
Speaker 1: towards the under. I just feel as though, you know,

447
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,760
Speaker 1: as the season goes on, they're going to be separating

448
00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:01,040
Speaker 1: themselves in the wrong direction from teams like the Brewers

449
00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:03,400
Speaker 1: and teams like the Cardinals, and that means that there's

450
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:04,840
Speaker 1: gonna be opportunity to get rid of some more of

451
00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:07,160
Speaker 1: these guys because they're not bringing back all these guys.

452
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,440
Speaker 1: In fact, I'd be surprised if they brought back any

453
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,040
Speaker 1: of these free agents. And the Cubs just completely wipe

454
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 1: the slate clean. We'll see if they get away with that.

455
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:15,680
Speaker 1: But what are your feelings on this seventy eight and

456
00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:16,960
Speaker 1: a half when it comes to the Cubs, because it

457
00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:18,680
Speaker 1: feels like an under to me, I feel like you're

458
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,960
Speaker 1: getting a premium number because it's a big market team

459
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:23,280
Speaker 1: at the seventy eight and a half, and I think

460
00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:25,399
Speaker 1: that is perfectly something you want to take advantage of.

461
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,080
Speaker 2: Is diddo an okay analysis?

462
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:29,840
Speaker 1: It is perfect. We could say ditto and move on

463
00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:31,080
Speaker 1: to the next team. For all that, well, I do.

464
00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,360
Speaker 2: The biggest thing I want to point out are two

465
00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:35,360
Speaker 2: points number one. I mean, there was talk about them

466
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:37,800
Speaker 2: dealing Bryant and everything like that, Like this is a

467
00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:41,879
Speaker 2: team that has every intention of dealing away pieces if

468
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:43,359
Speaker 2: they fall out of contention, which by the way, is

469
00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:45,760
Speaker 2: a big deal when you're thinking about win totals, because

470
00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,840
Speaker 2: if that does happen, then like even if they're on

471
00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,560
Speaker 2: a trajectory to go past that wind total mid season,

472
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,240
Speaker 2: if they start dealing off pieces, then you're going to

473
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:56,600
Speaker 2: be able to obviously change the trajectory. But the bigger

474
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,159
Speaker 2: thing for me, Joe is really the pitching staff. I

475
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:01,840
Speaker 2: love Kyle Hendrix. I'm like the biggest fan of Kyle

476
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,160
Speaker 2: Hendricks in the world. Who is their number two starter

477
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 2: is it is it, Jake Arietta, is it Alec? It's sad.

478
00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:11,879
Speaker 1: That's the problem. It's just it's it's not enough, and

479
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:13,960
Speaker 1: there's no pipeline to speak of right now.

480
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:15,160
Speaker 2: That pipe line is gone dry.

481
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 1: You know, the guys that you thought were going to

482
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 1: take you into that next stage, whether it be al Mora,

483
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:21,760
Speaker 1: Ian happ took a little longer to develop, Schwarbur somewhere else.

484
00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:24,200
Speaker 1: So it's a it's it's not good for the Cubs.

485
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 1: The Reds are a weird one too, because they're at

486
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 1: eighty two and a half. Yeah, I thought was a

487
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:33,359
Speaker 1: little high. Also, now, I don't you know, I saw

488
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:36,920
Speaker 1: Green pitch yesterday. He was, you know, hitting a hundred

489
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:38,880
Speaker 1: on the on the radar gun. That's cool, that's great.

490
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:40,760
Speaker 1: I don't know how much he's going to contribute. He

491
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,320
Speaker 1: still got Someday great and still got Castillo, but they

492
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:46,520
Speaker 1: basically just dismantled the bullpen. And I know Amir Garrett's there,

493
00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:48,280
Speaker 1: and I know Sims is still there. Hopefully he can

494
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,720
Speaker 1: get healthy and be ready at some point earlier in

495
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,760
Speaker 1: the season then we anticipate. But still this is a

496
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:55,840
Speaker 1: very weird I think the Reds are a very streaky

497
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 1: team on paper because you have great talent like Mustakas,

498
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,920
Speaker 1: you have Suarez, you have Castianos. But some of these

499
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,080
Speaker 1: players do have hot and cold streaks, and I think

500
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,680
Speaker 1: that does equate to about a five hundred team. But Dan,

501
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 1: I mean as much as I like Tarl Mally in

502
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,440
Speaker 1: this rotation too, it just feels like that bullpen's gonna

503
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:13,800
Speaker 1: cost them games. They feel like the Phillies of the Central.

504
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 1: To me, it's like they're top heavy, they're streaky, and

505
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,400
Speaker 1: when it matters most, closing out the game, I'm concerned

506
00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:22,159
Speaker 1: whether or not they'll be able to get that bridge

507
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 1: to the win.

508
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 2: I think you're right, I the Phillies of the Central

509
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:28,520
Speaker 2: is a great way to talk about It's not a

510
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:30,960
Speaker 2: terrible team. It's like it's kind of close.

511
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:32,479
Speaker 1: To another team that made the playoffs last year.

512
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,720
Speaker 2: That correct, But I do lean the under here and

513
00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:37,280
Speaker 2: again I like that the front of their rotation with Gray,

514
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:41,119
Speaker 2: Castillo and Mallley, but you know, Wade Miley and Michael

515
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 2: Lorenzen or whoever's gonna be there four or five just

516
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,959
Speaker 2: don't do it for me. The bullpen is questionable. Lineup's fine.

517
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,919
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Castianos, who you know, I like Suarez,

518
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 2: good Mustacas Winker, but this strikes me as a team

519
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,640
Speaker 2: they were looking at possibly deal Castillo before the season started.

520
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:57,119
Speaker 2: I don't think this is a team that really thinks

521
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,359
Speaker 2: it's in contention. This team that I think is going

522
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 2: to deal in the middle of the season when they

523
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:03,920
Speaker 2: fall out of contention, and I think they'll fall under

524
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:05,840
Speaker 2: five hundred, which means I do like the eighty two

525
00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 2: and a half under on that one, because I just

526
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 2: it's gonna shock me if this team sort of is

527
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:11,800
Speaker 2: in contention to win the division.

528
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 1: Now, it's not gonna shock me if the Brewers are there,

529
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,840
Speaker 1: because I've learned my lesson. I understand Yealwisch was hurt

530
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:18,680
Speaker 1: last year. I get it. But as long as he

531
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:20,640
Speaker 1: looks good this spring, this eighty two and a half

532
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 1: in the Brewers isn't over for me. And it's not

533
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:24,679
Speaker 1: even a lean, it's an actual wager. I just feel like,

534
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 1: you know, with Woodroof with Burns, I think they will

535
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 1: have somebody else in that rotation step up. It's hard

536
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:31,440
Speaker 1: to pick out who, but I think one of those

537
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,639
Speaker 1: guys that I think limb Limblam to me was a

538
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:36,639
Speaker 1: guy I circled too, So I'm glad you kind of

539
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 1: reiterated that. But as long as Yelwich's is good, the

540
00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 1: rest of this team will be fine because that's all

541
00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 1: they've needed. Basically, they've been able to get there. They

542
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 1: have a stunning bullpen with Hater at the back end

543
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,479
Speaker 1: there and Williams. It's just it's a it's a really

544
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:53,040
Speaker 1: much better team than people give them credit for. They

545
00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 1: add a Colton Wong, a couple of other pieces here and there.

546
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:57,040
Speaker 1: To me, this eighty two and a half, they are

547
00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,639
Speaker 1: better than a five hundred team. I don't get this,

548
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:01,119
Speaker 1: Like I look at the rest of the division and

549
00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 1: I feel like the Brewers are gonna be fighting for

550
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:04,920
Speaker 1: the top with the Cardinals and eighty two and a half.

551
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:07,440
Speaker 1: I just think that's a little, a little discounting the

552
00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:09,480
Speaker 1: Brewers in my mind, and it's time we stop doing that.

553
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,399
Speaker 2: It's weird how in sync we are with this, but

554
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:14,639
Speaker 2: hopefully that means it's right. But I this is also

555
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:16,120
Speaker 2: a bet that I.

556
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:19,400
Speaker 1: Have two smart, handsome people are in agreement. How could

557
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:20,880
Speaker 1: anyone not listen to them?

558
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,600
Speaker 2: Well, that's fair. If we ever find too smart handsome people,

559
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 2: they'll I have bet this as well at over eighty

560
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,159
Speaker 2: two and a half, and I feel really confident about it.

561
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 2: You're right, the starting staff in the back end is

562
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 2: a little questionable, but you know they'll I think they'll

563
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 2: get it done enough, mainly because I think they have

564
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 2: the bullpen to do it. And you're right. Look, Lorenzo Caine,

565
00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:44,399
Speaker 2: that we've talked a lot about on the fantasy side,

566
00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 2: is back. I think he adds a lot to that.

567
00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 2: They added Colton Wong, so defensively they get a lot better.

568
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,119
Speaker 2: I think Caston Hira is gonna bounce back. They just

569
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 2: signed this morning right before we recorded Jackie Bradley Junior

570
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,520
Speaker 2: to add to again the defensive sort of prowess that

571
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 2: they're out there. I think they're gonna. I think they're

572
00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 2: actually gonna take the division. So I don't mind a

573
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 2: future on the division winner either. But yeah, I love

574
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 2: the eighty two and a half. It's a bet that

575
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:09,880
Speaker 2: I have made and I think it's gonna rise as

576
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 2: we get into it, So I'm with you all right.

577
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,560
Speaker 1: Next on the list here we have the Saint Louis Cardinals.

578
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 1: You know, we'll finish up with Pittsburgh last. But because

579
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 1: let's talk about the ones that are actually competing here,

580
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:21,679
Speaker 1: because the Cardinals at eighty six and a half, this

581
00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 1: seems like a pretty good number for me. Once again,

582
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,200
Speaker 1: the Cardinals rotation I have a lot of questions about.

583
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 1: I still like Flierty, big fan. I love the aeronautl move.

584
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,879
Speaker 1: It helps the pitching staff, of course. I just have

585
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 1: questions about the rest of the rotation. I just do.

586
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:38,359
Speaker 1: And it's enough questions where I would lean towards the

587
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: under here. I think this is more like an eighty

588
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 1: four win team than an eighty six and a half

589
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 1: win team, And if you're getting that a six with

590
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 1: the half, I would really prefer the under there, because

591
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 1: they could have a good season to win eighty four

592
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:49,879
Speaker 1: to eighty five games. They could be in that wild

593
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:52,760
Speaker 1: card discussion around there. Yeah, but I just don't know

594
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:54,920
Speaker 1: if this is a team that's going to approach ninety games.

595
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 1: And I know Saint Louis is a great place, and

596
00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 1: I know Aeronaut is a huge addition to this team

597
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,160
Speaker 1: along with gold Shmith, and they have some good players,

598
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,119
Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, it's just the pitching for

599
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,919
Speaker 1: me where I just I think they're going to just

600
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,199
Speaker 1: benefit from this bottom feed or division when you have

601
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 1: teams like Pittsburgh and I think Chicago's gonna be bad

602
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:12,800
Speaker 1: and Cincinna's gonna be streaky, so it's gonna inflate them

603
00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:14,439
Speaker 1: a little bit. But I don't know if they can

604
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:15,720
Speaker 1: inflate them over this number.

605
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,400
Speaker 2: I agree, you know, it's weird. This is another one

606
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:21,800
Speaker 2: like the bray is where the projection systems that don't

607
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:23,880
Speaker 2: ever love the Cardinals and they seem to beat him.

608
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 2: But again Pacoda's at eighty one here, so that that's

609
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:28,480
Speaker 2: a pretty big difference. And again it bounces around the

610
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 2: consensus eighty six and a half. I'm looking at now

611
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:32,760
Speaker 2: Fox bets at the eighty five and a half fandle

612
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 2: at eighty six, So it really is a little bit different.

613
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 2: But it is the pitching. The lineup is solid, their

614
00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 2: defense is solid. Their bullpen has interesting arms in it,

615
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 2: especially if Hicks can can bounce back and everything like that.

616
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 2: But it's the staff. I mean, after Flaherty, I know

617
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:50,080
Speaker 2: everybody's like, wow, Adam Wayne Wright still getting it done.

618
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, But the peripherally, the behind the scenes numbers on waynewright,

619
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,199
Speaker 1: it's like smoking mirrors. The same thing you saw at

620
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,359
Speaker 1: Lester for the first monment the season last year, and

621
00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,320
Speaker 1: if you paid attention to that, it was gonna implode.

622
00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:01,679
Speaker 1: And it certainly imploded in September.

623
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:05,119
Speaker 2: And Carlos Martinez just can never stay healthy and Michaels

624
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 2: is just not ever there and you know, Kim fine,

625
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:12,480
Speaker 2: but you know, I just don't think the rotation there

626
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:14,840
Speaker 2: is good enough. It's really about if they can feast

627
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 2: enough on teams like the Cubs and the Pirates to

628
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:19,840
Speaker 2: make it work. And it doesn't strike me. It does

629
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:21,880
Speaker 2: strike This team is more like a five hundred team

630
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:23,159
Speaker 2: to me. So I'm with you.

631
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 1: I lean the under, and it's very rare you get

632
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:27,080
Speaker 1: a team that's going to be under sixty wins for

633
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 1: a total. The Pirates win total aggregate wise is a

634
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:34,639
Speaker 1: fifty eight and a half. And normally what you do

635
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:36,119
Speaker 1: is you look here and you say, okay, where can

636
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:37,800
Speaker 1: I find the bright spots? Where can I find where

637
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:40,679
Speaker 1: they can go over this because it's so low, the

638
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 1: bar is so low that it's actually something you can

639
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,640
Speaker 1: at times make money on. We did this a couple

640
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 1: of years ago with I think one of the Orioles teams. No,

641
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:49,879
Speaker 1: it was last year. It was obviously not last year.

642
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 1: It was a year or two ago, and you just

643
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:54,280
Speaker 1: look at a low winter and you go, there's opportunity.

644
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:56,480
Speaker 1: They're going to be better than this. They're not this bad.

645
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,040
Speaker 1: You can find that sometimes. I don't know if I

646
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,400
Speaker 1: can figure this out for Pittsburgh, I really don't. I mean,

647
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,080
Speaker 1: it is barren right now, and the guys that they

648
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:06,919
Speaker 1: have coming up are not going to be seen this

649
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,639
Speaker 1: year at all. So I just think that is a

650
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 1: bad situation. It's not bad enough that I want to

651
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 1: go under because it's too low. It's a bad risk.

652
00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 1: So this is a stay away from me.

653
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:18,639
Speaker 2: At the fifty eighth, I probably will sprinkle on the

654
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,400
Speaker 2: over just because it's so ridiculously low.

655
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 1: Basically hard to get there though, with what I mean,

656
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:27,880
Speaker 1: in the middle of the order, the.

657
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,199
Speaker 2: Worst major league team in the world right could just

658
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:33,160
Speaker 2: sort of fall into whatever. You know, however, fifty wins

659
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,359
Speaker 2: or whatever you want to do. I agree, there's not

660
00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:37,400
Speaker 2: I like, like you. I tried to make a case

661
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:38,840
Speaker 2: for it, and I was like, oh, I mean like

662
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 2: and most of the time you can. Yeah. I was like,

663
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 2: do I like Brian Hayes. I think Mitch Keller's got

664
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 2: some bounce back. I mean, if if the velocity, you know,

665
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 2: if they keep you know, Rodriguez in the bullpen and

666
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 2: Kyle Krik bounces back, maybe maybe the bullpen. But yeah,

667
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 2: you gotta really stretch to make a thing. The biggest

668
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,359
Speaker 2: thing I think and the reason why I think they

669
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:02,720
Speaker 2: could potentially get over and why if I might sprinkle

670
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:04,880
Speaker 2: a little bit on the over, is because I do

671
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,119
Speaker 2: expect the rest of the division to essentially, you know,

672
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 2: sell off mid season, in that the Cubs and the

673
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 2: Reds I think are probably going to sell off and

674
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:16,359
Speaker 2: become teams that the Pirates will be able to beat

675
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:18,639
Speaker 2: as sort of their youngsters get a little there. But

676
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 2: I agree, usually fifty eight and a half, you're like,

677
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:23,360
Speaker 2: come on, man, I mean, I mean, come on, We're

678
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:25,639
Speaker 2: not going to lose one hundred whatever. But it is

679
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 2: hard to make a case. I think if I lean

680
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,440
Speaker 2: one way just based on the pure value of the number,

681
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:30,000
Speaker 2: i'd lean over.

682
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,440
Speaker 1: All right, Arizona Diamondbacks. It's seventy four and a half.

683
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,480
Speaker 1: I'm just going to be straight up honest with you.

684
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 1: I don't have a good gauge of this Dinonbacks team.

685
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:37,439
Speaker 1: This is a team that to me has a lot

686
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,959
Speaker 1: of variables. They could play way better than people realize,

687
00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:43,840
Speaker 1: and they have the times. You know, they jettisoned all

688
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 1: their best players and they had one of their better

689
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 1: seasons in the last ten years. A few years ago.

690
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: I run away from the Diamondbacks. I don't have a

691
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 1: beat on them. I'm just not there the I love

692
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:56,280
Speaker 1: Zach Gallon. This is nothing personal against him. I just

693
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:58,800
Speaker 1: don't There's too many variables, and to me, that's not

694
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 1: a good investment no matter what the number is. So

695
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 1: even though seventy four and a half it's tempting to

696
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 1: go over, I could see where it bottoms out into

697
00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 1: the seventy four and a half. So it's a stay

698
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:07,640
Speaker 1: away from.

699
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 2: Me, Dan, I actually like the under I'm fading this

700
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:14,320
Speaker 2: team like from start, I love Gallon, you and I

701
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 2: both all over him. After that, the rotation is horrible.

702
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 2: I mean, Bumgarner, Caleb Smith, Luke Weaver, America. It's just

703
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,120
Speaker 2: not going to get it done in a division where

704
00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 2: you've got to play the Padres and the Dodgers all

705
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 2: the time, which, by the way, is another thing. You

706
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 2: have to realize that the Rockies are going to be terrible,

707
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 2: but they're going to have to play to really like

708
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 2: elite elite teams constantly, and I think it's gonna hammer it.

709
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 2: The bullpen is whatever, it's not that good. Sorrya, you

710
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,719
Speaker 2: know whatever, Clipper, it's just not that good. And the lineup,

711
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 2: you know, you know, tel Marte, Peralta, Walker, Escobar. No,

712
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,160
Speaker 2: it's just it doesn't have the goods in a place

713
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:51,320
Speaker 2: where you're gonna have to place the Dodgers and the

714
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 2: Padres all the time. So I'm going under with this one.

715
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 2: I just do. I do not like this team from

716
00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:56,000
Speaker 2: a wins total perspective.

717
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 1: So how bad are the Rockies at sixty four and

718
00:29:57,840 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 1: a half? Is this a number that you think is

719
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: too low?

720
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 2: No, I actually don't think that's too low. I think

721
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 2: it's too high. I realize that that's ridiculous because it's

722
00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 2: sixty four and a half. But this team is terrible, Joe, Like,

723
00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 2: the rotation is terrible. You know, Marquez is fine if

724
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,040
Speaker 2: he's out of Colorado Freeland every once in a while

725
00:30:16,080 --> 00:30:18,200
Speaker 2: can put up some good stuff. But sen to tell out,

726
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 2: I'm tired of waiting for John Gray. The bullpen is bad. Like,

727
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 2: kudos to Bard for the comeback, but it's really hard

728
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 2: for me to see it again.

729
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 1: You'll see Blackman move too. I get a good feed.

730
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:31,160
Speaker 2: They want to move. That's the thing. They've moved Aroonato.

731
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 2: Maybe they'll sign Story, maybe they won't. Maybe they'll move

732
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,960
Speaker 2: Story if they fall out of contention, maybe Blackman gets moved.

733
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 2: It's the lineup is barren Man. This team has no

734
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 2: interesting competing this year. They are not an analytical and

735
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 2: analytically driven team anymore. This strikes me as a team

736
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,120
Speaker 2: that's gonna be bad and then they're gonna deal and

737
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 2: they're gonna get even worse. So I'm actually under on

738
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,719
Speaker 2: both these guys, the bottom feeders of the division. I'm

739
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 2: under under sixty four and a half.

740
00:30:57,280 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 1: All right, let's do another one before we get to

741
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:00,520
Speaker 1: the big boys here in this division, because there are

742
00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 1: two big boys. Let's do the San Francisco Giants seventy

743
00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 1: five and a half. Now, this is a team that's

744
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 1: started to sprinkle in some of the youth and using

745
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,160
Speaker 1: some of these young players they have. Gossman had a

746
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 1: great season last year for them. So seventy five and

747
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 1: a half is the number here for the Giants. Your

748
00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 1: thoughts on.

749
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:18,240
Speaker 2: That, it's about right? I don't have a great lean

750
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,760
Speaker 2: on it. They've kind of had a nice, sneaky good offseason,

751
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:24,560
Speaker 2: Like I like the addition of Lostella, I like Disclafani.

752
00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 2: Posy is back, and I expect them to be able

753
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 2: to contribute. Mike Mikey Stremski's still there and good. And

754
00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 2: they got Gossman back, who I am kind of buying into.

755
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 2: I like kind of the sneaky Aaron Sanchez. They have

756
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 2: some kind of interesting bullpen pieces. But I don't know,

757
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:40,320
Speaker 2: it's just not a team to get excited about, Like

758
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 2: there's no way you don't look at this team and

759
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 2: see a path for them to really be Like, man,

760
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 2: this team's going to be like an eighty four win team.

761
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:48,000
Speaker 2: And once you get past the fact that you're like,

762
00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 2: I don't really know if you're a five hundred win team,

763
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 2: then you're like a seventy five seventy six that's about right.

764
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 2: So this is stay away from me. I don't have

765
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 2: strong feeling I can make a case for both sides,

766
00:31:57,040 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 2: so strong unders on the bottom feeders. I think San

767
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,479
Speaker 2: fran is about right where it is a seventy five

768
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 2: and a half, So stay away from me, all.

769
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 1: Right, Let's go with the big boys. Now let's start

770
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 1: with the Padres. Ninety four and a half. It's a

771
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,000
Speaker 1: lot of wins, but they added a lot of pitching.

772
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 1: This one feels about right to me. I mean, as

773
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 1: bad as this division is, I think I would lean

774
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 1: towards the over. But I gotta tell you, I think

775
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:17,360
Speaker 1: this is exactly where they are. I think they're a

776
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 1: ninety four and ninety five win team. I don't think

777
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 1: there's a lot of leeway here. I don't see them

778
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: going under ninety. I don't see things bottoming out. In fact,

779
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 1: they had a lot of injuries last year and still

780
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 1: played really good baseball despite that. So they have depth.

781
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:32,120
Speaker 1: They have better starting pitching. Two aces they added if

782
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:34,239
Speaker 1: Paddock is good too, and Lamette at some point can

783
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 1: be healthy. My goodness, this is a lot. So for me,

784
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 1: it's hard for me to get to the over because

785
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 1: it's such a high number. I would look for the

786
00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 1: lowest well not I can find. If I can find

787
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 1: one at ninety two, I would try to do that

788
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:47,160
Speaker 1: and go over. But that's about it for me. So unfortunately,

789
00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 1: like I just don't think it's in a give here,

790
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 1: and I don't think it's gonna go negative. So I

791
00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:52,960
Speaker 1: want to beat on the Padres, and I am, but

792
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be wagering on this. On this ninety

793
00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:55,800
Speaker 1: four and a half.

794
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 2: There is a ninety three and a half out there

795
00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 2: at Fox, but that's the lone one I see out there,

796
00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:00,400
Speaker 2: so you can get that.

797
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 1: That's fine, Like ninety two for me to let go, Okay,

798
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:04,440
Speaker 1: let's do this.

799
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 2: This is so chock and I hate doing it, but

800
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 2: I really like the over on the Potter.

801
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:09,680
Speaker 1: It's so chok.

802
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:13,120
Speaker 2: It's chalk, though, right because the numbers inflated, probably because

803
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 2: they're like, well, the public's gonna love this. But you

804
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 2: look at the team, Joe, It's hard for me to

805
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,480
Speaker 2: find holes in it. I mean the lineup up and

806
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 2: down right, Chrisham, brilliant, Tatist, Machado, Hosmer, fam Myers, coronin Worth. Maybe,

807
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:27,360
Speaker 2: but they've got like all the little things that you

808
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 2: look at, I'll be like, Okay, well they've also got death.

809
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 2: They signed has and Kim excuse me, and profar Right.

810
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 2: You look at their staff, they just basically they weren't

811
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,240
Speaker 2: like we're gonna rely on Dan Nelson Lamett to throw

812
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:41,160
Speaker 2: us full season. They're like, no, we're just going to

813
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:45,720
Speaker 2: trade for everybody. We've got Darvish and Snell. They added Muscrove, Paddock.

814
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:47,560
Speaker 2: You and I both kind of like as a bounce back.

815
00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,840
Speaker 2: They've got depth, They've got a really solid bullpen. I

816
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 2: don't know who's gonna close. I don't really think it

817
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 2: matters if Pomerance can kind of, you know, repeat what

818
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 2: he did. And the biggest thing, Joe, They're obviously going

819
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,880
Speaker 2: for it. They've got no problems with it. Despite everything

820
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:03,520
Speaker 2: they've done, they've still got a pretty elite farm system.

821
00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 2: So if they have to make a deal in the

822
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 2: middle of the year, they can do it. It's gonna

823
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:09,440
Speaker 2: be really fun division to watch. So for me, ninety

824
00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,480
Speaker 2: four and a half actually over is probably my favorite

825
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:13,480
Speaker 2: bet in this division.

826
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 1: Well, the rating champs at a Trevor Bauer this offseason

827
00:34:16,600 --> 00:34:18,799
Speaker 1: and their win total sits at one oh two and

828
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:21,879
Speaker 1: a half right now. I know this is gonna sound

829
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 1: crazy to you maybe, but I think this is an

830
00:34:24,040 --> 00:34:26,480
Speaker 1: over two. I think they are going to be that

831
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:28,799
Speaker 1: kind of stellar good like I think they're going now.

832
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:30,360
Speaker 1: I would try to find the number of the lowest

833
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:32,359
Speaker 1: hundreds I could find, and there are some places where

834
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:33,520
Speaker 1: it might be a little lower than the one oh

835
00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 1: two and a half. Maybe you get a one to

836
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:36,600
Speaker 1: one and a half or something like that, But one

837
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 1: oh two and a half to me is still an

838
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:40,880
Speaker 1: over I think this is around one oh five one

839
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 1: oh six. I don't think they're gonna get to the

840
00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:45,360
Speaker 1: one to ten. But we mentioned about this division. The

841
00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 1: Diamondbacks aren't good, the Rockies aren't good. The Giants are

842
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 1: working progress although competitive at times. Yeah, I just beg

843
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 1: the Dodger's still the class for me in one oh

844
00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 1: two and a half, although it's a big number, I

845
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:58,200
Speaker 1: would lean towards the over here. How about you?

846
00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, Joe. I know it's chalk, but it's

847
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 2: just to me.

848
00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:03,799
Speaker 1: But you know what, there's we always talk about this

849
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:05,480
Speaker 1: on a lot of my shows in the past. Is

850
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:08,799
Speaker 1: there's good chalk. Yeah, good chalk is great. That's called

851
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 1: a good investment. Last time I check, it's like, hey,

852
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:13,719
Speaker 1: do you want to invest in the plumbing company? Because everybody,

853
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:17,080
Speaker 1: everybody needs a toilet, you know it fixed at some point. Yes,

854
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:19,880
Speaker 1: that's a good investment. Like sometimes you just look at

855
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 1: something and it just makes sense, and you know what,

856
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 1: the Dodgers right now it's hard to find the downside,

857
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:26,480
Speaker 1: especially now adding another picture to a mix of already

858
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 1: very good pitching.

859
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:30,359
Speaker 2: You're making me feel better about my investment in our

860
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 2: local plumbing company. By the way. Yeah, that's that's the thing.

861
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:35,840
Speaker 2: There are no there's not like, how does it go

862
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:39,440
Speaker 2: wrong for this team? Like what if Bauer and Kershaw

863
00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:42,399
Speaker 2: get injured? Right, like the worst case scenario? Okay, man,

864
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:47,719
Speaker 2: Like you're sitting there with like very serviceable Tony Gonsolin, right, Like,

865
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:51,839
Speaker 2: it's just they're able to survive whatever comes their way.

866
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:55,800
Speaker 2: They've got depth, they've got money, they've got a really

867
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 2: deep bullpen. They don't just rest on their lores. Last

868
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 2: year they were on one hundred and sixteen Whin pays man, Like,

869
00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:04,399
Speaker 2: it's just it's really difficult to see this coming under

870
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 2: even Pacoda, you know, who's kind of you know conservative

871
00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 2: there at one oh four. I agree. I know. It's

872
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 2: like we're sitting here and we're like, I'm like over

873
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:14,399
Speaker 2: on the Padres, over on the Dodgers. I don't care

874
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 2: like that.

875
00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 1: That is a lot like like, yeah, the Arizona Diamondbacks

876
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:21,400
Speaker 1: and you were under on i think even Colorad the Rockies. Yeah,

877
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 1: and if that all shakes out, then you are going

878
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:24,799
Speaker 1: to have the disparity, and it does look like there's

879
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:26,919
Speaker 1: going to be a disparity. My takeaways from this show

880
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 1: Milwaukee Brewers over yeah under excuse me, over on the

881
00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 1: Marlins on over on the Washington Nationals. Those are three

882
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,359
Speaker 1: where I think there's a real opportunity. And I think

883
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 1: this is why it's a good exercise. What do you

884
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,360
Speaker 1: come away with as like your favorite pieces that you

885
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 1: talked about? For you, what are your favorites in the

886
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:44,839
Speaker 1: over or under categories?

887
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 2: For sure the Brewers that if there's one bet that

888
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:49,840
Speaker 2: I'm walking away from in this one, it is the

889
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:51,719
Speaker 2: Brewers over eighty two and a half. I think that

890
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:53,960
Speaker 2: number might rise, so I would get on it now

891
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:57,080
Speaker 2: like now basically is what I would do. I like

892
00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,920
Speaker 2: also the uh I know it's you know, wasn't was

893
00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 2: the one that you were necessarily looking at. But I

894
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 2: really like the Padres over ninety four and a half.

895
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,799
Speaker 2: I just think, again, there are so many ways for

896
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,279
Speaker 2: this to go right, and it has to be for me,

897
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:12,239
Speaker 2: a real disaster for it to go wrong. And I

898
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 2: kind of like the Marlins over seventy and a half.

899
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 2: I like you you know, it's something where you know

900
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,400
Speaker 2: I'm not. I don't think they're gonna compete for the division,

901
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:21,520
Speaker 2: but I do think given that the Phillies are gonna

902
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:23,439
Speaker 2: be a little weaker than I think people are giving

903
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,200
Speaker 2: them credit for. I like the Marlins to basically be

904
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,120
Speaker 2: more like a seventy three seventy four win team, and

905
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 2: the whole is greater than the sum of the parts.

906
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 1: All right. I want to remind everybody to go to

907
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:38,359
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash MLB wins again, that's bettingpros dot

908
00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:40,640
Speaker 1: com slash MLB wins, and you could take a look

909
00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 1: at all the different win totals from all the different

910
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:44,480
Speaker 1: sites where you can make your wagers. When Dan and

911
00:37:44,520 --> 00:37:47,320
Speaker 1: I return next time, we'll be talking about the American

912
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 1: League team's gonna be a great fun. So that'll do

913
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 1: it for us today, But the story of the game

914
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,319
Speaker 1: goes on. For Dan Harris, I'm Joe Pizabia. We'll see

915
00:37:54,320 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 1: you next time. Kids name because