1 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday morning 2 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parant 3 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt is my Twitter handle at Betting 4 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 1: Pros or Betting Pros. The bet MGM offer, it's kind 5 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: of redundant at this point. Juice one fifty the promo 6 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: code when we send up for a new account with 7 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 1: bet MGM ten buck bet winner lose, you get that 8 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 1: one to fifty into your account. New accounts not valid 9 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: in the state of Nevada. Another two in one night, 10 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 1: I mean plus one fifteen on the Rangers on the 11 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:42,479 Speaker 1: run line. So that's good, the little extra juice into 12 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 1: the into the account there. So that's a little bit 13 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:46,919 Speaker 1: of a bigger win on a two and one night. 14 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:49,160 Speaker 1: But it's just kind of how we've been rolling. I'm 15 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: not going to stop it now, but I am going 16 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 1: to do our final totals Tuesday with three games and 17 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: three totals that we're going to jump in on. Look, 18 00:00:57,480 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: at some point we're going to fall on our face, right, 19 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,560 Speaker 1: at some point we're going to wind up. You know this, 20 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:03,400 Speaker 1: this hot streak in baseball is going to come to 21 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: an end. I don't want to curse it by any means. 22 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 1: But you know, we've been doing fairly well. I'm going 23 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 1: to check the actual record here for baseball so far 24 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 1: after the two and one night, So baseball is now 25 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:20,199 Speaker 1: forty one and thirty four and so we are over 26 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: fifty four percent. We're up like to over two i 27 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 1: mean two and a half units so far in the year. 28 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 1: So you know, at some point we're going to go 29 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 1: zero and three and drop it down and probably you 30 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: know fall, maybe today's the day we do that. But 31 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 1: baseball is a wonky sport. It's a difficult sport to 32 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 1: you know, you just have to kind of like rinse 33 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:40,759 Speaker 1: and repeat on a lot of the bets. You know, 34 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 1: it gets kind of boring and monotonous and redundant. But 35 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: two in one I'll take two and one for the 36 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: rest of my life. As I've said, just give me 37 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: two and one the rest of my life, and I'm 38 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: a happy camper here. So it's going to be baseball 39 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:57,559 Speaker 1: from here on out for Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning, Thursday morning, 40 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: and then my time here as the whole to this 41 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: podcast will be over. So we're gonna go out with baseball. 42 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: We're gonna go out with Red Sox bets we're gonna 43 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 1: go out, you know, having some fun here. What you 44 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: guys are used to seeing and hearing from the Daily 45 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 1: Juice podcast, either on the video on YouTube or the 46 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: audio wherever you guys are getting your audio podcasts. So again, 47 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,920 Speaker 1: I don't know the transition, how we're supposed to transition, 48 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 1: how what I'm I'm not supposed to talk about much 49 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: as to what is going on. The only thing I 50 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: can say is DM me if you have any questions, 51 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 1: and I can tell you what's going on. That's it. 52 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 1: That's all I can do. But we've got three podcasts left, 53 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 1: so let's knock them down and let's have three winners 54 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 1: on the way out. Let's start with the Red Sox 55 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: and the Toronto Blue Jays. So this total is ten, Okay, 56 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: first five is five and a half. A little bit 57 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: perplexed by this whole thing. So ross strippling, strip stripling 58 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 1: is going for the Blue Jays. Red Sox have Michael Walka. 59 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: Red Sox lost seven to t yesterday. It snapped their 60 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: seven game win streak against or something name win streak. 61 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 1: Blue Jays throwing a guy with a four and two 62 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 1: record three point zero eight on the year at home 63 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: ERA of three point zero four. Opposing betting average a 64 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 1: little bit higher at home than on the road two 65 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: point five three, giving up a little more hits, basically 66 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 1: the same number of strikeouts, little less number of pitch 67 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 1: of innings pitch twenty nine innings, twenty two k's twenty 68 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,399 Speaker 1: three innings twenty one case, so a little bit better 69 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 1: at home, which one you'd expect for anybody pitching in 70 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 1: their home ballpark. Michael Walka, on the other side, for 71 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 1: the Red Sox has been their best pitcher. He's been really, 72 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 1: really good, and the Red Sox have been an under 73 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 1: team and that's one of the reasons why this total 74 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: being open at nine and a half was bet to 75 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: ten and the first five total being five and a 76 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: half is so interesting to me, not the little juicy 77 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: Mius one twenty. Michael walker is six and one with 78 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: a two point three four ERA. Michael Walka in his 79 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: last five starts two earned runs one three zero and 80 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: zero starts against the Angels on the road with zero 81 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: at Seattle with three has been a reliable go to pitcher. 82 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: Six and one with a two point three four ERA 83 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 1: for Boston, Okay, he's been really good at home one 84 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: point three nine ERA decent on the road three point 85 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: two seven, got five and a half runs to play 86 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 1: with here. I know this is a dangerous bet to 87 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 1: get into, but I'm taking the under under five and 88 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: a half and minus one twenty for the first five 89 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: for the Red Sox and the Blue Jays. I'm going 90 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 1: to bank on these pitchers who are going to perform 91 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 1: well hopefully tonight for us. Don't worry about these bullpens 92 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: and all the late scoring that happened. I mean, you know, 93 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,720 Speaker 1: in terms of the first five, we were lucky because 94 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: we went over first five because all seven runs got 95 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:43,719 Speaker 1: scored by the Blue Jays, well first one of the first, 96 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 1: three in the third and three in the fifth, as 97 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 1: Sea Bowl gave up seven earned runs. The rookie got 98 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 1: hit pretty hard. Gosman was really good, got the win, 99 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 1: seven innings, no earned runs. The game went. It stayed 100 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 1: under nine and a half I believe was the total 101 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: right for that game. Yeah, so it stayed under nine 102 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,279 Speaker 1: and a half and it went over first five. So 103 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:05,479 Speaker 1: we were lucky we got the first five over. Let's 104 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:08,279 Speaker 1: hopefully see you know, under five and a half maybe 105 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 1: under for the game might go over here. But Blue 106 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: Jays and the Red Sox have played a bunch of games. 107 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: A lot of these games have been low scoring three seven, five, eight, eleven, 108 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:22,919 Speaker 1: eight one nine for them, So under first five, under 109 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: five and a half first five minus one twenty for 110 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: a half a unit for the Red Sox and the 111 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: Blue Jays. Second bet full game, Okay, and we're going 112 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 1: to jump in on the Astros in the Mets. So 113 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: this is a pitching matchup, really good matchup, friand dere 114 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: Valdez against Carlos Carrasco. Friander of Valdez seven to three 115 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: to two point nine ERA, Carlos Carrasco eight and three 116 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: with a four point four to two ERA total list 117 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,720 Speaker 1: game is eight and a half. We've seen ten runs 118 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:55,720 Speaker 1: in eight runs being scored so far here in this series. 119 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 1: This is on TBS for these teams. Carlos Carrasco has 120 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:02,719 Speaker 1: been pretty good here for the New York Mets, and 121 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,160 Speaker 1: he's been one of the more reliable pitchers for them 122 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 1: in terms of like he's gone three and two over 123 00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: the last five. His games have been going over which 124 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: is a little bit concerning here for me on that, 125 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: and I'm like you know, maybe lean towards the over inness, 126 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:21,679 Speaker 1: but the Astros are such a dominant team to the under. 127 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:25,799 Speaker 1: They are still right now in terms of over unders. 128 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:30,679 Speaker 1: They are forty six, twenty three and three to the under. 129 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 1: New York Mets, on the other hand, have been a 130 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,680 Speaker 1: pretty consistent over team. They're thirty eight, thirty and six 131 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: to the over. But with Framber Valdez going, I could 132 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,880 Speaker 1: easily see this being like a four one, five two 133 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:46,159 Speaker 1: win and it stays under eight and a half for 134 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:49,479 Speaker 1: these two teams. So you know, Carrasco can spin it 135 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:52,719 Speaker 1: at times. He's been really good at times, had good 136 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: starts at times. They tend to win the games he pitches, 137 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: so he's been better in the month of May than 138 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:02,280 Speaker 1: he was in June. It's been kind of okay five three, five, 139 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 1: two and zero earned runs over the last five starts. Again, 140 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: liu it better in May, but Framber Valdez has been 141 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: very good here for the Astros, and I think he 142 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: can come up again and pitch really well. I'll go 143 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 1: full game thinking about going first five on this, but 144 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go full game on this. Under five and 145 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,240 Speaker 1: a half or under eight and a half for this 146 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 1: and hopefully frame of Bodez pitches well again three three, two, 147 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 1: one two two and one earned runs. Give it up 148 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 1: for framra Veldez last time mark six innings, three earned 149 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: runs against the Yankees on this road trip. So it's 150 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: staying in New York, going just across the town to 151 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: take on the Mets. We're going under eight and a 152 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 1: half Astros and the Mets at minus one twenty and finally, 153 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: you know, I will have a personal play here on 154 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 1: the Rangers run line at plus one point fifteen. Okay, 155 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: it's been really remarkable to watch these teams and watch 156 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 1: just how consistent in terms of the run line. Texas 157 00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: is there now the second best team in Major League 158 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 1: based ball forty two and thirty. On the run line 159 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: in Kansadity is the worst. Okay, twenty nine and forty three. 160 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 1: So I like run line at plus one fifteen. You 161 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:12,280 Speaker 1: want some extra action, I will be going on that. 162 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: But since it is a totals Tuesday, on this John 163 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 1: Gray against Jonathan Hellesley, you got ten runs, ten runs, 164 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 1: four runs in fourteen runs being scored. The total here 165 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 1: is eight and a half for this one. I don't 166 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 1: know I thought about it. I was going back and forth. 167 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: I was like, maybe we wind up taking the under 168 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:34,840 Speaker 1: in this game and think there's gonna be a great 169 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 1: pitching performance. But it's you know, June, it's in Texas. 170 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: Just feels like we're going to see runs here, you know. 171 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 1: I feel like we're going to see a bunch of 172 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:47,160 Speaker 1: runs here, and it could be one of a really 173 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 1: high scoring game. It's pretty much nine painted across the 174 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,880 Speaker 1: board here, but Caesars is at eight and a half, 175 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: over eight and a half at minus one twenty. Let's 176 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,439 Speaker 1: take that. Let's take the over eight and a half 177 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:02,839 Speaker 1: for the Rangers and the Royals here at minus one 178 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,800 Speaker 1: twenty Rangers run line, but let's go with the over 179 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 1: for a half a unit over eight and a half 180 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 1: at minus one twenty. Caesars has that right now for 181 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 1: you if you want to jump in on that. All right, 182 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: So three totals for US here, two unders in one 183 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:18,319 Speaker 1: over Red Sox, Blue Jays under five and a half 184 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:21,719 Speaker 1: first five at minus one twenty, under eight and a 185 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:24,480 Speaker 1: half Astros and the Mets at minus one twenty for 186 00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 1: the game and for the game over eight and a 187 00:09:27,040 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 1: half for the Royals and the Rangers also at minus 188 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 1: one twenty you want a little extra plus money. Rangers 189 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 1: run line at plus one fifteen's a bet that I 190 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:38,040 Speaker 1: like as well. Our final totals Tuesday. Let's end it 191 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 1: with a two in one market because there's been two 192 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 1: and one for pretty much a week and a half. 193 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 1: Now take it. Every single time Mius Matt Parolz. Follow 194 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:46,559 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every 195 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:48,959 Speaker 1: morning it's the Aljuice Podcast. I was being brought to 196 00:09:49,000 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: you by BETEMGM