Speaker 1: Good Monday morning, everybody.
Speaker 2: Welcome to a new week and a new episode of
Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perelz. You guys
Speaker 2: can follow me across all of my socials at Sports
Speaker 2: Talk Matt and we go back to back winning days
Speaker 2: on Saturday and Sunday.
Speaker 1: We end the week.
Speaker 2: It was a losing week, but we do end the
Speaker 2: week on a good note with back to back winning days.
Speaker 2: If you were on the Discord channel, which you should
Speaker 2: be on, that's where I told you about Game one
Speaker 2: versus Game two. I wanted to fade Cam and I
Speaker 2: wanted to back Yamamoto. That was Game one that got
Speaker 2: flipped on me. So that was a mistake on the video.
Speaker 2: But on the Discord channel, I said, hey, look at
Speaker 2: we're betting game one, not Game two. Game one gets
Speaker 2: to be a win for the Dodgers. Game two they
Speaker 2: lost two to one. So hopefully you got there. That's
Speaker 2: why bettingpros dot Com slash chat is a great place
Speaker 2: to be with. There are about seventy nine thousand of
Speaker 2: you that are on our Discord channel, so I know
Speaker 2: most of you did see that, but just that's why
Speaker 2: this exists. Because if things break or things happen before
Speaker 2: or after the podcast comes out. I can alert you
Speaker 2: guys saying, hey, look at this is the bet blah
Speaker 2: blah blah, so Dodger's money line.
Speaker 1: The Spain win does not come in.
Speaker 2: Argentina loses, Spain wins one nothing, but the under comes
Speaker 2: in easily one nothing win for Spain. So a two
Speaker 2: and one day for us on Saturday, a two and
Speaker 2: one day for us on Sunday. As we head into
Speaker 2: a Monday, it has been a bad month and that
Speaker 2: has unfortunately put us into a little bit of a
Speaker 2: hole here. More than a little bit of a hole.
Speaker 2: We're back over twenty units down for the year. So
Speaker 2: we got to get roll in here a little bit.
Speaker 2: We got to start to pick up the pace and
Speaker 2: get ourselves roll in here. I'm hopefully we can get
Speaker 2: you know, have a winning August and then head into
Speaker 2: football season and really start to knuckle down and start
Speaker 2: to make some moves. I haven't really come up with
Speaker 2: my betting star yet for the fall. I have thought
Speaker 2: about being a bit more aggressive this fall. You know,
Speaker 2: we've never as this podcast has progressed. If you guys
Speaker 2: are remembering, this is now now, this sixty year of
Speaker 2: the podcast in the year seven where I used to
Speaker 2: flat wager, like, I used to bet just one unit
Speaker 2: all the time, and that prevented us from having really
Speaker 2: big losing streaks. But what it also prevented was any
Speaker 2: winning streaks to get out of that hole. So, because
Speaker 2: if you're flat wager, if you're unfamiliar flat wager, it's
Speaker 2: one unit every time. So if you're laying one fifty
Speaker 2: and you lay one unit, you win a half a unit. Okay,
Speaker 2: So instead of laying one point five to win one,
Speaker 2: you lay one to win point five. Well that's great
Speaker 2: when you lose because you're only losing one unit. So
Speaker 2: I was being very risk cautious, and by doing that,
Speaker 2: I never got myself really into a huge winning year.
Speaker 2: So like in twenty three, we won, In twenty four,
Speaker 2: we lost, in twenty five, we won, in twenty six,
Speaker 2: we're currently down. That's been the ebb and flow of
Speaker 2: this podcast, right, and it's just been the ups and
Speaker 2: the downs. As I've always said, I don't have winning
Speaker 2: days every day, and I'm winning weeks every day. I
Speaker 2: don't have winning months every month, and I don't have
Speaker 2: every winning year either. Okay, this is just an up
Speaker 2: and down. You got to see what I'm wagering. I
Speaker 2: tell you what I think, and you guys can use
Speaker 2: it to your own advantage, fade, follow, do whatever you
Speaker 2: want with it. That's the purpose of the podcast. So
Speaker 2: I don't know. I haven't come up with the Fall yet.
Speaker 2: I'm still kind of figuring out what do I want
Speaker 2: to be aggressive in fall do. We haven't done two
Speaker 2: unit bets in a long time. I mean, we haven't
Speaker 2: done that consistently. And I've thought about having one bet
Speaker 2: a day where we bet two units on and like,
Speaker 2: let's see what the record is the hard rock of
Speaker 2: the hard rock bet of the day is kind of
Speaker 2: like that. But I've always said I like the bets
Speaker 2: the same. Every bet I like the same. Somebody says
Speaker 2: you need to be a mass what your favorite play.
Speaker 1: Of the day. I don't know. I like them all
Speaker 1: the same. I don't know.
Speaker 2: Maybe there will be a couple of days where I
Speaker 2: will have a special play. Well, I will like it
Speaker 2: more than others and I will feel more confident and
Speaker 2: I maybe I don't do it every day, but maybe
Speaker 2: I bring out and I'll call it something I've thought
Speaker 2: about using, like a two unit play. The day, like
Speaker 2: something where we come up with it and be like, Okay,
Speaker 2: not every day, but on certain days, I like this number,
Speaker 2: I like this bet, I like this this opportunity, and
Speaker 2: we fire on it that may be coming. So just
Speaker 2: a little tease as to what might be happening, what
Speaker 2: might be coming down the pike in the future for
Speaker 2: us when it comes to fall. And that's how I'm
Speaker 2: going to try to attack the deficit and say, Okay,
Speaker 2: hopefully we can get hot, we can have a couple
Speaker 2: of big weeks. I mean, I know twenty unit sounds
Speaker 2: like a lot, but it really isn't when it comes
Speaker 2: to the futures and it comes to how we bet,
Speaker 2: and like, we've made.
Speaker 1: That up before pretty easily.
Speaker 2: So I don't think in the history of this podcast,
Speaker 2: I don't remember since we've been tracking it.
Speaker 1: I know we have not had back to back winning years.
Speaker 1: I know that.
Speaker 2: I don't know if in twenty two twenty one, if
Speaker 2: we won in twenty two, I don't remember. I don't
Speaker 2: think we went back that far. And then I don't
Speaker 2: think we tracked in twenty one. Really, I think we
Speaker 2: tracked it, but we didn't track it on a spreadsheet
Speaker 2: like we do now. So I don't know about the
Speaker 2: record for twenty one, for twenty or for twenty one.
Speaker 1: Twenty was only half a year.
Speaker 2: It was July twenty twenty when we started, so I
Speaker 2: don't know about twenty twenty one, twenty two.
Speaker 1: I I don't really remember. It was a while ago.
Speaker 2: But I do know we have records from twenty three,
Speaker 2: twenty four to twenty five and twenty six. So that's
Speaker 2: where we've gone. We've pingpong back and forth, winning the losing.
Speaker 2: That's just the way the nature of this thing has
Speaker 2: gone and how this podcast has gone. Got three baseball
Speaker 2: bets for us coming up here for today, but before
Speaker 2: we do that, reminder of the betting systems where this
Speaker 2: is a data backed betting trend opportunity you have with
Speaker 2: the Betting Pros app and on bettingpros dot com. It
Speaker 2: has a transparent win percentage and an ROI you can
Speaker 2: tail upcoming bets easily. There are twenty seven thousand systems
Speaker 2: and growing there are even more, so you guys can
Speaker 2: jump in on betting systems with us. We've got just
Speaker 2: one of the many tools we have available here with
Speaker 2: Betting Pros Premium for you on the app and on
Speaker 2: Betting pros dot Com. Let's start with the Phillies and
Speaker 2: Christopher Sanchez. And yes, I know Christopher Sanchez pitching against
Speaker 2: the Dodgers today, but Christopher Centres at home has a
Speaker 2: seven to one record, a point eight six ERA, a
Speaker 2: one point eighty eight batting average against only seven earned
Speaker 2: runs in seventy three to the third innings worth of work.
Speaker 1: He has been awesome.
Speaker 2: He did take the loss in the All Star Game,
Speaker 2: where he got hit up pretty good in the first
Speaker 2: inning gave up three runs. But before that he pitched
Speaker 2: against the Tigers on the road. He went seven gave
Speaker 2: up two earned runs in a four to two win.
Speaker 2: The loss to the Royals on the road was brutal,
Speaker 2: but at home, Sanchez has been tremendous. Beat the Pirates
Speaker 2: ate nothing. He went seven innings, no earned runs. Beat
Speaker 2: the Mets fifteen to three. He went six innings, one
Speaker 2: earned run. I totally understand this is the Dodgers, but
Speaker 2: given the fact that Otawni is not Hunterson healthy and
Speaker 2: they just took two of three against the Yankees, they
Speaker 2: lost yesterday. The throwing and Shehan a guy who has
Speaker 2: lost the majority of the games. He has started recently.
Speaker 2: In fact, in the month of June, the Dodgers went
Speaker 2: one in four in games started by Emmett she Hen,
Speaker 2: and in July they are zero to two in games
Speaker 2: started against Actually they've started by Emmett she Hen. He's
Speaker 2: given up only three earned runs in nine and two
Speaker 2: thirds innings worth of work. But he's getting put up.
Speaker 1: Against the best pitchers for the other team.
Speaker 2: Five to three loss to the Diamondbacks, five to two
Speaker 2: loss to the Padres. We're going to back Christopher Sanchez
Speaker 2: here today and we're gonna take Christopher Sanchez on the
Speaker 2: money line at mass one thirty six phillies to beat
Speaker 2: the Dodgers at one thirty six for one point three
Speaker 2: six units. We go to the Pirates and the Yankees
Speaker 2: coming up here for today, and it's our guy, Braxton
Speaker 2: Ashcroft Craft when he pitches one the Padres. Is that
Speaker 2: the Pirates brother are five to oho in his last
Speaker 2: five games. They win when he pitches, but they've won
Speaker 2: seven to six, seven to one, eleven, seven eleven to
Speaker 2: one in twelve four outstanding run support coming for Brexton
Speaker 2: actually Ashcraft for the Pirates. He's just been given a
Speaker 2: ton of opportunities The Pirates just took two of three
Speaker 2: from the Guardians, the Yankees losing two of three to
Speaker 2: the Dodgers. Ryan Weathers goes today for the Yankees. He
Speaker 2: has been okay at home, not outstanding. He gave up
Speaker 2: four earned runs in four innings against the Twins in
Speaker 2: his last start on Sunday, the fifth of July, a
Speaker 2: six to one loss to the Twins.
Speaker 1: He gave up two.
Speaker 2: Earned runs in one and a third innings worth of
Speaker 2: work up against the Detroit Tigers in a seven to
Speaker 2: three loss. Here, I think we get offense on both sides.
Speaker 2: Ryan Weathers has a four point one ERA and a
Speaker 2: two to five record at home this year and a
Speaker 2: two sixty two opposing batting average. He's given up ten
Speaker 2: home runs at home twenty seven earned in fifty nine
Speaker 2: and third innings worth of work.
Speaker 1: Let's keep the bats hot.
Speaker 2: I don't mind a Pirate's money line play for today,
Speaker 2: but let's go with the over for the Pirates and
Speaker 2: the Yankees over seven and a half at one point
Speaker 2: two units. That seven and a half has to do
Speaker 2: with the Yankees offense, not the Pirates offense, which is unbelievable.
Speaker 2: But let's go over seven and a half for the
Speaker 2: Pirates and the Yankees. The Daily Juice podcast is being
Speaker 2: brought to you by our friends at hard Rock bet.
Speaker 2: So some people call this time a slow period. Some
Speaker 2: people wait until football season to get involved, but hard
Speaker 2: Rock bet they call it baseball season. There is a
Speaker 2: full slate almost every single day for you to bet
Speaker 2: on with your favorite teams, favorite players, building out same
Speaker 2: game parlays, or other things, even live wagering from the
Speaker 2: first pitch to the final out. However way you like
Speaker 2: to ball, hard Rock Bets got you covered here during
Speaker 2: July and the month of August. If you think baseball's
Speaker 2: too slow, think again. We've talked about this on the podcast.
Speaker 2: The average first inning last just seventeen minutes, making it
Speaker 2: a fast bet with a yr fee or a nerfee
Speaker 2: that's yes for a run of the first inning or
Speaker 2: no for a run of the first inning. You could
Speaker 2: even parlay first inning bets for an even bigger potential
Speaker 2: payout with hard Rock bet. So. If you're ready to
Speaker 2: step into the dotter's bucks, sign up with hard Rock
Speaker 2: Bet today and place a five dollars bet. If it wins,
Speaker 2: you'll get one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets
Speaker 2: on top of your winnings. That's one point fifty into
Speaker 2: your account. So download hard Rock bet in Swing for
Speaker 2: the Fences two day, one more bet for us here
Speaker 2: in Major League Baseball, and we go to the Brewers
Speaker 2: in Jacob Miserowski on the mound for the first time
Speaker 2: to start the second half of this season. He did
Speaker 2: not pitch in the All Star Game. Jacob Miserowski at
Speaker 2: home this year has a five to one record, has
Speaker 2: a one point five to nine ERA, has a one
Speaker 2: fifty three opposing betting average. He's given up eleven earned
Speaker 2: runs in sixty two and a third innings worth of work.
Speaker 2: And what's wild is that he's given up seven home runs.
Speaker 2: Seven of the eleven earned runs have been hit on
Speaker 2: home runs. Okay, this guy does not get hit hard
Speaker 2: at home. If he does, it leaves the ballpark, but
Speaker 2: it does not really injure him long term.
Speaker 1: His last home start was bad.
Speaker 2: He went five, gave up five in a seven to
Speaker 2: two loss to the Reds, but before that against the
Speaker 2: Cubs a six to two win, went six, gave up
Speaker 2: one earned run. Against the Phillies, he won a complete
Speaker 2: game shutout for a six to nothing win against the
Speaker 2: Saint Louis Cardinals seven innings, one earned run.
Speaker 1: You get the GISTs here at home, he.
Speaker 2: Wins on the run lined, he wins and wins by
Speaker 2: more than one run. Let's get a bounce back after
Speaker 2: the loss to the Reds seven to two in his
Speaker 2: last home start. Let's take Jacob Mizarowski and this Brewers team.
Speaker 2: They're facing the Mets, who are twenty one and thirty
Speaker 2: on the road, and Freddy Peralta is going on the
Speaker 2: other side. The Mets have lost four of the last
Speaker 2: five games, in five of the last seven games started
Speaker 2: by Freddy Peralta on the road, he is a five
Speaker 2: point five to eight ERA, a two to four mark
Speaker 2: and opposing betting average of two eighty three twenty five
Speaker 2: earned run in forteen a third innings worth of work
Speaker 2: here for him for nothing, nine to three. Last two
Speaker 2: games that the Mets have lost with pra Alta on
Speaker 2: the mound, they have lost by more than one run.
Speaker 2: In fact, it's been three at the last four losses
Speaker 2: have been by more than one run. Coming up here
Speaker 2: for today, we're going with the run line for the Brewers.
Speaker 2: It's even money coming up here coming for that. By
Speaker 2: the way, my other show, Pushing the Odds, is off today.
Speaker 2: I have something to do with my family that i
Speaker 2: have to be attending with, so I'm not going to
Speaker 2: be able to be on the air today for Pushing
Speaker 2: the Odds.
Speaker 1: So no PTO today at eleven o'clock Eastern.
Speaker 2: Back tomorrow Tuesday for eleven o'clock Eastern and Kishi go
Speaker 2: over there looking for me, like where's matt He did
Speaker 2: the Daily Juice, but.
Speaker 1: No Pushing the Odds today.
Speaker 2: Pushing the Odds will come back tomorrow for me and
Speaker 2: the show, So eleven am tomorrow Tuesday will be joined,
Speaker 2: by the way, by Matthew Boyer.
Speaker 1: He is Otani's bookie. He will be on.
Speaker 2: He's the author of the new book about his whole
Speaker 2: life about everything going on. I'm gonna I think it's
Speaker 2: controlling Chaos is the name of the book I think
Speaker 2: he has written.
Speaker 1: We'll do it all on the show.
Speaker 2: But he'll join us tomorrow on the show talking about
Speaker 2: a Taani book making for celebrities and everything else. So
Speaker 2: Matthew Boyer tomorrow convicted bookie guy went to jail. He
Speaker 2: will join us coming up tomorrow on the program. At
Speaker 2: eleven am, or he'll be on eleven thirty but eleven
Speaker 2: o'clock tomorrow.
Speaker 1: For PTO Today.
Speaker 2: We're going with the Brewers on the run line even money,
Speaker 2: the Pirates of the Yankees over seven and a half
Speaker 2: in the Phillies on the money line at minus one
Speaker 2: thirty six for one point three six units.
Speaker 1: Mina is Matt Paroli.
Speaker 2: You guys involve me across all my socials at Sports
Speaker 2: Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice