WEBVTT - Daybreak Weekend: Disney Earnings, Portugal Web Summit, China Singles’ Day

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg day Break Weekend, our global look at

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<v Speaker 2>the top stories in the coming week from our Daybreak

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<v Speaker 2>anchors all around the world. Straight ahead on the program,

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<v Speaker 2>some big entertainment earnings are coming out this week. We'll

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<v Speaker 2>break down what to expect from Disney and Paramount Sky Dance.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Nathan Hager in Washington.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm krolyin Hepkea in London, where we're looking ahead to

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<v Speaker 3>Portugal's Web Summit as the country pivots to tech and AI.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm dek Krisner looking ahead to Singles Day in China.

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<v Speaker 1>That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend on Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>eleven three y oh New York, Bloomberg ninety nine one, Washington, DC,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg ninety two nine, Boston, DAB Digital Radio, London, Sirius

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<v Speaker 1>XM one twenty one, and around the world on Bloomberg Radio,

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<v Speaker 1>dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app.

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<v Speaker 2>Good day to you. I'm Nathan Hager. We begin today's

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<v Speaker 2>program with a look at some upcoming earnings reports in

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<v Speaker 2>the entertainment sector. We get results this week from both

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<v Speaker 2>Walt Disney and Paramount sky Dance. For more on what

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<v Speaker 2>to expect from both these entertainment giants, we are joined

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<v Speaker 2>by Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Geita Ranganathan and Bloomberg Surveillance co

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<v Speaker 2>host Paul Sweeney, who spent a better part of his

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<v Speaker 2>career covering the media. Great to have both of you

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<v Speaker 2>with us on the weekend program. And let's start with Disney.

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<v Speaker 2>Obviously the biggest entertainment company in the world. Gita, what

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<v Speaker 2>are some of the key things we need to watch

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<v Speaker 2>from the House of Mouse this time around.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so, I think, as usual, the big thing that

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<v Speaker 5>we're watching for is the Parks segment. This is the

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<v Speaker 5>biggest segment for Disney, brings in about sixty percent of

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<v Speaker 5>their profits. So obviously, you know, any trends, any consumer trends,

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<v Speaker 5>are very very important. One of the key things that

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<v Speaker 5>you know, people have been concerned about for Disney for

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<v Speaker 5>this year is the competition from the opening of Epic

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<v Speaker 5>Universe in Florida, which happened in May. When they reported

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<v Speaker 5>last they actually showed a really good results. They were

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<v Speaker 5>able to hold their ground despite all of that competition,

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<v Speaker 5>So I think we're expecting to see more of that,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, resilient demand going into the quarter. And then

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<v Speaker 5>the other big thing that we're watching for is really

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<v Speaker 5>the streaming business. So in August, ESPN launched its streaming

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<v Speaker 5>platform for the very first time. We're going to look

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<v Speaker 5>to see if Disney management team provides any numbers in

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<v Speaker 5>terms of early adoption and just to see how that

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<v Speaker 5>launch has been going.

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<v Speaker 2>Paul, you of course follow this company very closely as well.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, I gotta admit when it comes to Disney streaming,

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<v Speaker 2>I sometimes forget about my Disney Plus subscription. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>am I part of the problem here? I mean, how

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<v Speaker 2>do you see Disney navigating the very competitive streaming universe.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I think, Nathan, it all comes down, as it

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<v Speaker 6>usually does in the media business, to content, and Disney

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<v Speaker 6>has some of the absolute best content in the world,

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<v Speaker 6>including live sports. So when you put that all together,

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<v Speaker 6>it's just a question of how you deliver that content

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<v Speaker 6>to people. And when I came up into business, it

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<v Speaker 6>was through the cable bundle, it was through satellites like DirecTV.

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<v Speaker 6>Now it's streaming, and so you just got to figure

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<v Speaker 6>out how do you most efficiently get that content to

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<v Speaker 6>your client when they want your customer, when they want

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<v Speaker 6>it where they want it, and charge a price that

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<v Speaker 6>is profitable for you, and Disney's has a great track

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<v Speaker 6>record of doing that. Netflix paved the way and streaming

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<v Speaker 6>and really showed kind of the world how this new

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<v Speaker 6>media models can be. And now what we've seen from

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<v Speaker 6>the legacy media companies over the last ten years or so,

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<v Speaker 6>as Githa writes about with her research, is these legacy

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<v Speaker 6>media companies are trying to catch up. They're trying to

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<v Speaker 6>transition from a model where the cable TV bundle was

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<v Speaker 6>really a way to go to now streaming and Disney

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<v Speaker 6>is really doing a good good job, and I think

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<v Speaker 6>the street believes that they can certainly be a really

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<v Speaker 6>big player in the streaming business.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Githor, we've talked before about how Netflix has expanded

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<v Speaker 2>its own streaming strategy with live events, getting into sports

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<v Speaker 2>as well, and now with Disney introducing its own streaming

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<v Speaker 2>sports platform with ESPN Plus, is it kind of like

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<v Speaker 2>legacy media playing catch up again?

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<v Speaker 5>Yes, a little bit of that, but you know the

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<v Speaker 5>way that they're kind of positioning ESPN, So Disney has

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<v Speaker 5>to be really careful. They're kind of walking a tightrope

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<v Speaker 5>here because remember they have the leading brand when it

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<v Speaker 5>comes to linear TV with ESPN. ESPN generates about fifteen

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<v Speaker 5>billion dollars from the linear TV model ear in and

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<v Speaker 5>ear out. You know, we're talking about affiliate fees. They

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<v Speaker 5>are the highest affiliate fee generator across the industry. They

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<v Speaker 5>charge something like ten dollars per month per subscriber, so

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<v Speaker 5>absolutely way way above competitors who charge maybe you know

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<v Speaker 5>or other channels that are at like one dollar or

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<v Speaker 5>one and a half dollars per month. So obviously they

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<v Speaker 5>have to be very careful to protect that legacy TV model,

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<v Speaker 5>but at the same time, they want to be able

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<v Speaker 5>to appeal to consumers who are outside the PATV ecosystem.

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<v Speaker 5>And there are a lot of consumers, by the way,

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<v Speaker 5>outside the PATV ecosystem. We're talking about sixty five to

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<v Speaker 5>seventy million households that do not take a PATV or

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<v Speaker 5>that do not subscribe to a PATV bundle, and so

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<v Speaker 5>it's really important to be able to, you know, provide

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<v Speaker 5>access to sports content and that's exactly what ESPN is

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<v Speaker 5>going after and we think that so far, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>they've done a really good job with that in terms

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<v Speaker 5>of putting their content out there. You talk about catchup

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<v Speaker 5>and are they a little bit late to the game. Yes,

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<v Speaker 5>maybe in terms of Disney Plus, but again with ESPN,

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<v Speaker 5>they had to be really measured, really deliberate, make sure

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<v Speaker 5>that they don't cannibalize, you know, their linear TV business,

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<v Speaker 5>which is really their cash go.

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<v Speaker 2>And Paul, you mentioned the content slate that Disney has

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<v Speaker 2>as well. We haven't even talked about what, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>their traditional business, what's coming in the box office? What

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<v Speaker 2>are we expecting there?

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<v Speaker 6>You know, it's interesting, as Githa writes in her research,

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<v Speaker 6>Disney is just in a phenomenal place from a content

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<v Speaker 6>creation perspective. They've got obviously all the Disney product that

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<v Speaker 6>has propelled the company for decades, but then they also

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<v Speaker 6>have the Star Wars stuff and the Marvel stuff, and

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<v Speaker 6>they just seem if they see something good out there

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<v Speaker 6>over the past ten or fifteen years, they went out

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<v Speaker 6>and bought it. So they have the best content in

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<v Speaker 6>the business and they usually lead box office by a

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<v Speaker 6>wide margin, although Warner Brothers is having a very good

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<v Speaker 6>year this year, so again Disney's at a spot you know.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, they bought the media assets, including the studio,

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<v Speaker 6>from Fox, so they have all of that content as well.

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<v Speaker 6>So from a content perspective, nobody really can compete against them,

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<v Speaker 6>and so they're in a great spot there, and they

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<v Speaker 6>monetize it better than anybody else, whether it's through the

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<v Speaker 6>cable bundle, through the streaming service, you know, making bringing

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<v Speaker 6>some of the content to the theme parks. That's kind

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<v Speaker 6>of been the magic of Disney as a company and

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<v Speaker 6>as a stock over the years, their ability to really

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<v Speaker 6>monetize their content as well or better than anybody else

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<v Speaker 6>out there.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, we haven't even talked about the linear networks yet.

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<v Speaker 2>They've got ABC as well, and I think this is

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<v Speaker 2>going to be the quarter since the controversy surrounding Jimmy Kimmel,

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<v Speaker 2>isn't it. Is this going to be a hindrance potentially

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<v Speaker 2>the traditional broadcast and cable networks.

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<v Speaker 5>Kitha, Yeah, So, I mean, you know, one thing that

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<v Speaker 5>all media companies, this is not just Disney, have to

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<v Speaker 5>contend with is cord cutting. Is a lot of pressure

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<v Speaker 5>with the linear TV networks. Of course, you had the

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<v Speaker 5>Jimmy Kimmel, you know, controversy. One thing that we're going

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<v Speaker 5>to be looking for when they report is whether that

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<v Speaker 5>Jimmy Kimmel's suspension actually hurt their streaming numbers because we

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<v Speaker 5>did get reports that users were kind of canceling, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>their subscriptions. Again, I don't think it's going to be material,

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<v Speaker 5>but this is something that all media companies have to

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<v Speaker 5>contend with. What is the plan that they have for

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<v Speaker 5>their networks? For Disney, ABC is a very important property

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<v Speaker 5>because it shares a lot of the sports rights with ESPN.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, they do show a lot of Monday night

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<v Speaker 5>football games. You know, they have NBA games, There's a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of college football. So you know, ABC is still

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<v Speaker 5>a very very important property to them. Yes, they have

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<v Speaker 5>a whole bunch of other cable TV networks, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>think about the whole Disney suite, you know, National Geographic,

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<v Speaker 5>all of those channels that are definitely insecular decline. But

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<v Speaker 5>so far there are no plans, at least publicly that

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<v Speaker 5>that Disney has said that they want to you know,

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<v Speaker 5>necessarily separate that business or sell that business. So again

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<v Speaker 5>we're kind of contending here with the melting ice cube.

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<v Speaker 6>And Nathan you know, interesting on the subject. Laura Martin

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<v Speaker 6>Research Channels that need them in company came out with

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<v Speaker 6>a really provocative note about a month ago, saying that

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<v Speaker 6>Disney should just shut down the ABC network, make it

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<v Speaker 6>go dark, don't sell it, just shut it down. It's

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<v Speaker 6>a declining business, and it's really the only business business

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<v Speaker 6>that is under federal regulation. And if you want to

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<v Speaker 6>get out of the way President Trump and maybe some

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<v Speaker 6>heavy handed regulation, just sell it and or just shut

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<v Speaker 6>it down. Which I thought was an interesting topic.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm really interesting. Indeed, we're speaking with Paul Sweeney,

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<v Speaker 2>host of Bloomberg Surveillance and get the wronganathen of Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's shift over to Paramount sky Dance. The first quarter

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<v Speaker 2>that they're going to be reporting as Paramount sky Dance

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<v Speaker 2>under the new ownership with David Ellison at the helm,

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of job cuts, a lot of changes. Getha,

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<v Speaker 2>How could that play into the results?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we really expect the upcoming results to be a

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<v Speaker 5>big reset in the whole Paramount sky Dance outlook. I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>this will be the new management team's first big reveal

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<v Speaker 5>off its operational of its financial plans. As you just mentioned,

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<v Speaker 5>there's to be a mix of major cost cuts to

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<v Speaker 5>improve efficiency and there'll probably be some major investments that

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<v Speaker 5>they announced to support you know, long term growth, especially

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<v Speaker 5>on both on the content side as well as on

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<v Speaker 5>the tech side. We have to remember that this was

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<v Speaker 5>a company that was undermanaged, underinvested in for years, so

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<v Speaker 5>you know, really looking forward to see what they have

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<v Speaker 5>to say. But of course, the big looming question other

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<v Speaker 5>than results is are they going to make or are

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<v Speaker 5>they going to increase their bid for Warner Brothers Discovery.

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<v Speaker 7>That is really the big.

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<v Speaker 5>Big question.

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<v Speaker 2>Absolutely I wanted to get into that with you, Paul.

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<v Speaker 2>Is Paramount Skydance is going to have to become Paramounts Skiddance,

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<v Speaker 2>Warner Brothers Discovery or whatever other names they're going to

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<v Speaker 2>have to put at the end of their title.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, you know, it's interesting they have an enterprise value

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<v Speaker 6>of thirty billion dollars in at one point in time

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<v Speaker 6>that was a big media company. In today's world, it

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<v Speaker 6>really is not, and I think, you know, it's kind

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<v Speaker 6>of a lot of folks will call it, you know,

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<v Speaker 6>substandard in size, but you take a look at Warner

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<v Speaker 6>Brothers Discovery, it is three times the size of Paramount

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<v Speaker 6>at ninety billion dollars of enterprise value.

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<v Speaker 8>So it's it's.

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<v Speaker 6>Really a big something, a big pill to swallow there.

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<v Speaker 6>So they're going to need some help.

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<v Speaker 5>Now.

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<v Speaker 6>It's nice when Larry Elson is the CEO's father that

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<v Speaker 6>lends some support there, But they're going to need some

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<v Speaker 6>partners probably if they want to pursue this. Here so

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<v Speaker 6>be aching to see how it plays. And as Githa

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<v Speaker 6>well knows, this is a company that is now officially

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<v Speaker 6>in play. I mean the CEO said it, the board

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<v Speaker 6>has said it, and so it's just a question of

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<v Speaker 6>who and when, I think at what price.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it would be fascinating to see. I given the

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<v Speaker 2>merger between Disney and Fox just a few years ago,

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<v Speaker 2>if we see yet another major media entertainment merger like this,

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<v Speaker 2>where could that position Paramount against Disney with competing giant

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<v Speaker 2>content slates.

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<v Speaker 6>KEITHA.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think it puts them really within striking distance

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<v Speaker 5>of Disney. It puts them within striking distance of even

0:11:55.800 --> 0:11:58.240
<v Speaker 5>I would say in Netflix, because they're going to have

0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:02.640
<v Speaker 5>a fantastic content. They're going to have some best best

0:12:02.679 --> 0:12:05.959
<v Speaker 5>in class, I would say IP so really really puts

0:12:05.960 --> 0:12:07.640
<v Speaker 5>them on the map because right now, if you kind

0:12:07.640 --> 0:12:11.319
<v Speaker 5>of look at Paramount, they have about eighty million streaming subscribers.

0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:14.480
<v Speaker 5>You put that together though with HBO, Max which has

0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:17.160
<v Speaker 5>about one hundred and thirty million. You already get to

0:12:17.160 --> 0:12:19.920
<v Speaker 5>two hundred million, which is above what Disney has in

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:23.840
<v Speaker 5>terms of streaming subscriptions, So definitely makes them a major player,

0:12:24.400 --> 0:12:26.480
<v Speaker 5>you know, somebody that you have to take note of,

0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:29.560
<v Speaker 5>and gives them a lot of firepower in terms of

0:12:29.600 --> 0:12:32.679
<v Speaker 5>growing both the studio business as well as the streaming platforms.

0:12:33.400 --> 0:12:38.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, really busy entertainment earnings week on tap Forest. Thanks

0:12:38.080 --> 0:12:41.200
<v Speaker 2>to both of you for this. That's Paul Sweeney, co

0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:45.240
<v Speaker 2>host of Bloomberg Surveillance and geta ronganath and media analyst

0:12:45.400 --> 0:12:49.040
<v Speaker 2>from Bloomberg Intelligence, and coming up on Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend

0:12:49.080 --> 0:12:52.320
<v Speaker 2>will preview Portugal's Web Summit, one of the largest of

0:12:52.360 --> 0:12:56.760
<v Speaker 2>its kind in Europe. I'm Nathan Hager, and this is Bloomberg.

0:13:07.800 --> 0:13:10.520
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg day Break Weekend, our global look ahead

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:12.760
<v Speaker 2>at the top stories for investors in the coming week.

0:13:13.000 --> 0:13:16.280
<v Speaker 2>I'm Nathan Hager in Washington. Up later in our program,

0:13:16.440 --> 0:13:19.520
<v Speaker 2>Singles Day in China is coming up. We'll get a preview.

0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:22.960
<v Speaker 2>But first Portugal. It's looking to accelerate the growth of

0:13:23.000 --> 0:13:26.800
<v Speaker 2>its AI, technology and startup industries. For more than a decade,

0:13:26.840 --> 0:13:29.760
<v Speaker 2>the country's been louring top international business talent through its

0:13:29.760 --> 0:13:32.800
<v Speaker 2>Golden Visa program, but now it's also playing host of

0:13:32.880 --> 0:13:36.520
<v Speaker 2>billion dollar investments from the likes of Microsoft and Nvidia

0:13:36.679 --> 0:13:39.600
<v Speaker 2>in new AI data centers. With the Web Summit in

0:13:39.679 --> 0:13:42.040
<v Speaker 2>Lisbon taking place in the next few days, we want

0:13:42.080 --> 0:13:45.400
<v Speaker 2>to get more from Bloomberg Daybreak Europe Banker Caroline Hepger

0:13:45.559 --> 0:13:46.559
<v Speaker 2>in London.

0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:51.720
<v Speaker 3>Nathan Portugal's Web Summit, which Bloomberg once dubbed the Davos

0:13:51.840 --> 0:13:54.920
<v Speaker 3>for Geeks, is one of the largest tech summits in Europe.

0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:57.959
<v Speaker 3>In the next few days, the forum in Lisbon will

0:13:58.000 --> 0:14:02.920
<v Speaker 3>hold discussions on topics ranging from AI to cybersecurity to fintech,

0:14:03.280 --> 0:14:06.320
<v Speaker 3>whilst playing host to speakers from Meta all the way

0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:10.319
<v Speaker 3>to tennis legend Maria Sharapova. It comes as the country

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:14.000
<v Speaker 3>looks to consolidate its status as a tech haven and

0:14:14.080 --> 0:14:18.559
<v Speaker 3>to court investment in its burgeoning AI and startup industries.

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:22.120
<v Speaker 3>Now in the last few weeks, investors have grown increasingly

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:27.160
<v Speaker 3>concerned though, about the prospect of stretchtech, dot valuations and

0:14:27.240 --> 0:14:31.160
<v Speaker 3>maybe even an AI bubble. In Vidias, Jensen Wong spoke

0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:34.920
<v Speaker 3>to Blueberg's Ed Ludlow and tried to calm the market's nerves.

0:14:35.480 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 8>I don't believe we're in an AI bubble, and the

0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:40.520
<v Speaker 8>reason for that is we're going through a natural transition

0:14:41.160 --> 0:14:44.080
<v Speaker 8>from an old computing model based on general purpose computing

0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 8>to accelerated computing. We also know that AI has now

0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:52.440
<v Speaker 8>become good enough because of reasoning capability, research capabilities, its

0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 8>ability to think. It's now generating tokens and now generating

0:14:56.080 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 8>intelligence that's worth paying for to the point where I'm

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 8>paying lots of it.

0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 3>That was Nvidia's Jensen Won speaking to Bloomberg's Ed Ludlow,

0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:08.800
<v Speaker 3>well as tech CEOs, then seek to reassure investors that

0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:13.239
<v Speaker 3>AI spending shows no signs of abating. Portugal is positioning

0:15:13.280 --> 0:15:17.240
<v Speaker 3>itself as one of the beneficiaries of Europe's AI build out.

0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:20.640
<v Speaker 3>How far, though, can the country's growing tech scene thrust

0:15:20.640 --> 0:15:24.840
<v Speaker 3>its economy into the twenty first century? Joining us now

0:15:24.880 --> 0:15:28.920
<v Speaker 3>is Bloomberg's Portugal bureau chief, Sofia Auto Ecosta. Sofia, good

0:15:28.960 --> 0:15:31.360
<v Speaker 3>to speak to you. So shall we start with the

0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:34.120
<v Speaker 3>Web Summit, which is one of the largest of its

0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:37.640
<v Speaker 3>kind in Europe? What do the main themes this year

0:15:37.680 --> 0:15:40.080
<v Speaker 3>that they'll be talking about actually kind of tell us

0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 3>about Portugal's priorities.

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:46.000
<v Speaker 9>It's kind of the greatest hit of the biggest talking

0:15:46.080 --> 0:15:49.600
<v Speaker 9>points across AI and tech at the moment. So we

0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 9>do have AI and ethics really exploring how to govern

0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:59.160
<v Speaker 9>this increasingly important industry in Europe and how really to

0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:02.560
<v Speaker 9>kind of align it with human values. We also have

0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:06.360
<v Speaker 9>the future of work climate, tech growth and startups, you

0:16:06.440 --> 0:16:08.880
<v Speaker 9>name it. And we do have the Finance Minister from

0:16:08.920 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 9>Portugal attending and expected to speak. So that really shows

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:16.440
<v Speaker 9>you where the priorities life for this new government that

0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:19.320
<v Speaker 9>followed the elections earlier in May this year.

0:16:19.880 --> 0:16:20.840
<v Speaker 7>That's really kind of.

0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:24.760
<v Speaker 9>Throwing investment and subsidies at this industry, trying to position

0:16:24.880 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 9>Portugal as one of the forefront economies to invest in

0:16:29.640 --> 0:16:30.800
<v Speaker 9>in the European Union.

0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:35.400
<v Speaker 3>Sophia, you've been writing about the town of Scenes, which

0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 3>is on Portugal's dramatic Atlantic coast. Then actually this could

0:16:40.440 --> 0:16:43.920
<v Speaker 3>be a data center, a tech hub, not just for

0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:47.320
<v Speaker 3>Portugal but maybe for Europe. Tell us about what's been

0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 3>happening there in terms of deals and breaking ground.

0:16:51.680 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 9>So this is really interesting because this is a very

0:16:54.680 --> 0:16:59.040
<v Speaker 9>small town, about fifteen thousand residents. I went down there.

0:16:59.080 --> 0:17:01.920
<v Speaker 9>It's about an hour and a half's drive from our

0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:07.200
<v Speaker 9>Lisbon office. And what's happening there is investment from Chinese,

0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:10.639
<v Speaker 9>US European investors and.

0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:12.080
<v Speaker 7>Quite a lot of it.

0:17:12.240 --> 0:17:15.119
<v Speaker 9>So my interest was, you know, why are billions of

0:17:15.160 --> 0:17:20.600
<v Speaker 9>dollars pouring into this really small Portuguese town And one

0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:22.960
<v Speaker 9>of them is what's set to be one of the

0:17:22.960 --> 0:17:26.640
<v Speaker 9>biggest data center projects in the European Union. And it's

0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:29.720
<v Speaker 9>one point two gigawatts. Now, Karlyn, I have no idea

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:32.359
<v Speaker 9>what what one point two gigawatts is, So just to

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:35.160
<v Speaker 9>put it in context, that's about as much as the

0:17:35.320 --> 0:17:39.200
<v Speaker 9>entire metropolis of Lisbon consumes, so it's quite a lot

0:17:39.240 --> 0:17:41.359
<v Speaker 9>of energy. Now why does this matter? I mean, this

0:17:41.400 --> 0:17:45.639
<v Speaker 9>is a big investment. It's a ten billion dollar data center.

0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:49.439
<v Speaker 9>This is huge for Portugal, and Portugal is really trying

0:17:49.480 --> 0:17:52.320
<v Speaker 9>to say, hey, we're not just tourism, even though it

0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:56.520
<v Speaker 9>accounts for about a quarter of GDP and a lot

0:17:56.560 --> 0:18:01.160
<v Speaker 9>of jobs. So incredibly important of this still for the economy,

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:05.199
<v Speaker 9>but that was important to bring the economy out of

0:18:05.200 --> 0:18:08.800
<v Speaker 9>the crisis, out of the not just the financial crisis,

0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:11.760
<v Speaker 9>but the sovereign deck crisis. But now, okay, let's invest

0:18:11.760 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 9>in the future. This is where it's at. The government

0:18:15.119 --> 0:18:18.000
<v Speaker 9>is making it easier for these companies to come here.

0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:21.600
<v Speaker 9>I spoke to the Stark Campus Data Center CEO and

0:18:21.680 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 9>he said, you know, we were welcomed with open arms.

0:18:24.880 --> 0:18:29.399
<v Speaker 9>And the Chinese battery maker calb is the fourth largest

0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:31.719
<v Speaker 9>battery maker in the world, so this is quite significant

0:18:31.760 --> 0:18:36.240
<v Speaker 9>as well. That's a two billion euro investment. They just

0:18:36.280 --> 0:18:40.800
<v Speaker 9>broke ground on their first battery factory outside of China.

0:18:40.840 --> 0:18:45.359
<v Speaker 9>They picked seeing this tiny, tiny town as the gateway

0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:49.800
<v Speaker 9>into the European Union and this was really heralded by

0:18:49.840 --> 0:18:53.240
<v Speaker 9>both sides of the political spectrum as a big step

0:18:53.280 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 9>forward for Portugal in terms of the green energy transition.

0:18:57.760 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, lots of visit is bit of population in Portugal

0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:05.439
<v Speaker 3>only just about ten million people. But the focus on

0:19:05.560 --> 0:19:08.880
<v Speaker 3>data centers, you know, raises the same question for Portugal

0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:12.479
<v Speaker 3>as across Europe, which is that the AI boom is

0:19:12.640 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 3>power hungry. There will be growing power demands. There's a

0:19:16.560 --> 0:19:19.840
<v Speaker 3>worry about whether it's going to strain Portugal's energy system.

0:19:19.920 --> 0:19:23.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean, we did see blackouts in Portugal earlier this

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:27.320
<v Speaker 3>year and that was blamed on a number of factors,

0:19:27.359 --> 0:19:29.199
<v Speaker 3>but one of them was you know the green and

0:19:29.240 --> 0:19:32.480
<v Speaker 3>clean energy system, there is the infrastructure going to be

0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 3>able to cope.

0:19:33.800 --> 0:19:36.640
<v Speaker 9>So that's the big question, and there's been a lot

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:38.919
<v Speaker 9>of discussion at the government level but also at the

0:19:38.920 --> 0:19:42.919
<v Speaker 9>company level over who really should take the lead on

0:19:43.240 --> 0:19:46.119
<v Speaker 9>investing in the grid infrastructure here.

0:19:46.440 --> 0:19:48.840
<v Speaker 7>We actually had EDP that's.

0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:52.679
<v Speaker 9>Portugal's biggest utility today, saying that it plans to allocate

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:57.159
<v Speaker 9>a significant amount of money into investing in the grid

0:19:57.640 --> 0:19:59.040
<v Speaker 9>here in Portugal, but.

0:19:59.040 --> 0:20:01.800
<v Speaker 7>Also in Spain where they have a market.

0:20:01.840 --> 0:20:04.920
<v Speaker 9>And I'll just tell you that number three point six

0:20:05.040 --> 0:20:09.920
<v Speaker 9>billion euros in electricity, grids and infrastructure through twenty twenty eight.

0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:13.159
<v Speaker 7>That's a big number, Caroline. So the problem here, or

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:13.800
<v Speaker 7>I mean, I.

0:20:13.800 --> 0:20:17.080
<v Speaker 9>Guess the issue I wouldn't call it a problem, is

0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 9>that Portugal uses renewable energy for about seventy percent of

0:20:22.040 --> 0:20:26.080
<v Speaker 9>its energy consumption, so that's a pretty big proportion, and

0:20:26.119 --> 0:20:29.480
<v Speaker 9>it still also imports a bit of energy, a lot

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:33.760
<v Speaker 9>of that from Spain. So whether to kind of reduce

0:20:33.800 --> 0:20:37.359
<v Speaker 9>the reliance on the Spanish grid, that's one question. Whether

0:20:37.440 --> 0:20:40.600
<v Speaker 9>to improve the infrastructure here and whether it makes sense

0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:43.680
<v Speaker 9>for private companies to do that and share the load

0:20:43.720 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 9>with the government these are all still questions and there's

0:20:46.560 --> 0:20:51.199
<v Speaker 9>still a lot of looking into what happened around that blackout.

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:55.159
<v Speaker 9>The Portugal does like to blame its neighbors in Spain

0:20:55.240 --> 0:20:55.479
<v Speaker 9>for that.

0:20:55.880 --> 0:21:01.120
<v Speaker 3>Indeed, in terms of startups, Portugal's also got an interesting

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:05.440
<v Speaker 3>scene there Sword Health, this startup that uses AI for

0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:09.479
<v Speaker 3>medical rehabilitation, for example, that has raised quite a lot

0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:13.480
<v Speaker 3>of money and is now more valuable than everything other

0:21:13.560 --> 0:21:17.800
<v Speaker 3>than about five listed companies in Lisbon. Is that part

0:21:17.840 --> 0:21:19.800
<v Speaker 3>of a kind of growing scene as well? If you're

0:21:19.800 --> 0:21:22.119
<v Speaker 3>seeing data centers, you're seeing all of this interest. Is

0:21:22.160 --> 0:21:25.919
<v Speaker 3>there also a bit of a growing startup scene in Portugal?

0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:29.400
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, there is, and you know, there has been an

0:21:29.400 --> 0:21:33.800
<v Speaker 9>attempt for the past decade or so to really nurture

0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:37.440
<v Speaker 9>startups in Portugal. But I think this one really grabbed

0:21:37.440 --> 0:21:40.520
<v Speaker 9>my attention, Caroline, because it was valued at three billion

0:21:40.560 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 9>dollars in a financing round last year, and this year

0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:47.240
<v Speaker 9>in June it was valued at four billion dollars, and

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:50.680
<v Speaker 9>as you said, this is this is pretty significant for Portugal.

0:21:50.880 --> 0:21:54.520
<v Speaker 9>It's one of the most valuable private companies for sure,

0:21:54.640 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 9>and one of the most valuable companies you know, full

0:21:58.160 --> 0:22:01.680
<v Speaker 9>stop in Portugal and It's also backed by Founders fund,

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:05.440
<v Speaker 9>so very high profile investors looking at this company and.

0:22:05.359 --> 0:22:07.440
<v Speaker 7>What it does is obviously quite interesting.

0:22:07.800 --> 0:22:13.560
<v Speaker 9>It's looking at pain management solutions and physical rehabilitation using AI,

0:22:13.760 --> 0:22:17.719
<v Speaker 9>obviously a buzzword for investors at the moment. But you know,

0:22:17.760 --> 0:22:21.360
<v Speaker 9>the fact that you can found these companies in Portugal,

0:22:21.680 --> 0:22:24.720
<v Speaker 9>you can also stay here not necessarily have to go

0:22:24.760 --> 0:22:27.879
<v Speaker 9>all the way to Silicon Valley to scale suggests that

0:22:28.400 --> 0:22:32.000
<v Speaker 9>the country is taking these things more seriously, is understanding

0:22:32.040 --> 0:22:35.960
<v Speaker 9>that these companies need more of an infrastructure around them,

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:39.240
<v Speaker 9>and the government actually just recently said it would cut

0:22:39.440 --> 0:22:42.760
<v Speaker 9>taxes for companies, which would be a big help as well.

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:46.800
<v Speaker 3>Okay, that's interesting in terms of what the government is

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:50.560
<v Speaker 3>hoping for and what the public in Portugal make of

0:22:50.600 --> 0:22:54.240
<v Speaker 3>all of this. Portugal still got a GDP per capita

0:22:54.280 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 3>that is amongst the lowest in Western Europe, so there

0:22:57.600 --> 0:22:59.920
<v Speaker 3>must surely be a desire for the economy to do

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:03.120
<v Speaker 3>you well, But what is the government's political ambition, what's

0:23:03.160 --> 0:23:04.600
<v Speaker 3>the response from the public.

0:23:05.359 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 9>So there's always a tension between the foreign money that's

0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:12.439
<v Speaker 9>coming into Portugal, which has obviously been hugely important for

0:23:12.480 --> 0:23:16.600
<v Speaker 9>the economy, not just these kind of investments into tech,

0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:21.880
<v Speaker 9>but also from overseas residents coming to live here. Portugal

0:23:21.920 --> 0:23:28.159
<v Speaker 9>has seen a big rise in American, Chinese, Russian citizens

0:23:28.200 --> 0:23:31.040
<v Speaker 9>coming to live here. There's a tension between that and

0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:33.640
<v Speaker 9>what it can do for the country and the country's economy.

0:23:34.640 --> 0:23:37.880
<v Speaker 9>But actually, you know what that means for the locals

0:23:37.920 --> 0:23:41.040
<v Speaker 9>who have always been here and are seeing the price

0:23:41.200 --> 0:23:45.879
<v Speaker 9>of real estate go up beyond affordable levels. The housing

0:23:45.880 --> 0:23:51.679
<v Speaker 9>affordability in Portugal has actually seen the worst decline in

0:23:51.760 --> 0:23:56.399
<v Speaker 9>the European Union in the past decades. So it's a

0:23:56.480 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 9>huge tension point for the Portuguese public here. When I

0:24:00.520 --> 0:24:03.720
<v Speaker 9>went down to Size and spoke to locals there, you know,

0:24:03.760 --> 0:24:06.359
<v Speaker 9>they said, it's all good and we respect what the

0:24:06.359 --> 0:24:09.880
<v Speaker 9>government's trying to do in bringing Chinese and American investment here.

0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:13.679
<v Speaker 9>But our buildings are, you know, crumbling. We only have

0:24:13.760 --> 0:24:20.160
<v Speaker 9>one healthcare center, the hospitals far away, the roads are cracking.

0:24:20.320 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 9>You know, where is the investment actually in locals and

0:24:24.119 --> 0:24:27.200
<v Speaker 9>in what we care about, and in creating jobs for

0:24:27.720 --> 0:24:31.600
<v Speaker 9>people who really still struggle to pay the rent and

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:36.240
<v Speaker 9>their rising energy bills and send their children to school.

0:24:36.320 --> 0:24:39.719
<v Speaker 9>So there's always that tension between local interests and what

0:24:39.760 --> 0:24:41.879
<v Speaker 9>the government is doing at the macro level, which is

0:24:41.960 --> 0:24:44.840
<v Speaker 9>attrapped as much foreign investment as it can.

0:24:45.600 --> 0:24:48.440
<v Speaker 3>Very interesting. Sophia, thank you so much for spending some

0:24:48.480 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 3>time with us. That is blimpag's Portugal bureau chief, Sofia

0:24:51.920 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 3>auto Ecosta. Of course, this comes ahead of the Web Summit,

0:24:57.320 --> 0:25:01.399
<v Speaker 3>which takes place in Portugal in the next few days,

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:05.480
<v Speaker 3>and we'll continue our full coverage and analysis of Europe's

0:25:05.520 --> 0:25:09.080
<v Speaker 3>AI build out here on Bloomberg Radio. I'm Caroline Hepga

0:25:09.119 --> 0:25:11.480
<v Speaker 3>in London. You can catch us every weekday morning for

0:25:11.560 --> 0:25:14.280
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Daybreak. You at beginning at six am in London.

0:25:14.480 --> 0:25:16.200
<v Speaker 3>That's one am on Wall Street.

0:25:16.400 --> 0:25:20.199
<v Speaker 2>Nathan, Thanks Caroline. Man coming up on Bloomberg day Break. Weekend.

0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:23.320
<v Speaker 2>Singles Day in China is approaching. We'll check in on

0:25:23.359 --> 0:25:26.600
<v Speaker 2>what's become the largest shopping day in the world. I'm

0:25:26.680 --> 0:25:40.600
<v Speaker 2>Nathan Hagar and this is Bloomberg. I'm Nathan Hager in

0:25:40.760 --> 0:25:43.199
<v Speaker 2>Washington with your global look ahead at the top stories

0:25:43.200 --> 0:25:45.680
<v Speaker 2>for investors in the coming week. Now we want to

0:25:45.720 --> 0:25:48.760
<v Speaker 2>head to China, where Singles Day will be celebrated in

0:25:48.800 --> 0:25:51.680
<v Speaker 2>the coming week. It's the unofficial holiday that's become the

0:25:51.760 --> 0:25:55.520
<v Speaker 2>largest shopping day in the world, and it's spreading across

0:25:55.640 --> 0:25:58.400
<v Speaker 2>Southeast Asia. Let's get to the host of the Daybreak

0:25:58.440 --> 0:26:01.040
<v Speaker 2>Asia podcast, Doug List for a preview.

0:26:01.600 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 4>Nathan, retailers in China are not taking any chances this year.

0:26:05.920 --> 0:26:09.600
<v Speaker 4>Many have stretched their sales to as long as five weeks. Now,

0:26:09.600 --> 0:26:12.639
<v Speaker 4>we know the Chinese economy has been struggling. Weak domestic

0:26:12.680 --> 0:26:17.000
<v Speaker 4>demand has become call it a characteristic and so e

0:26:17.040 --> 0:26:20.600
<v Speaker 4>commerce giants like Ali, Babajd dot Com are working to

0:26:20.840 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 4>entice shoppers. The question is whether they'll succeed. For a

0:26:24.560 --> 0:26:27.760
<v Speaker 4>closer look, I'm joined by Bloomberg analyst Katherine Limb. She

0:26:27.960 --> 0:26:32.120
<v Speaker 4>covers the retail and e commerce industries in Asia from

0:26:32.160 --> 0:26:34.879
<v Speaker 4>our bureau in Singapore. Catherine, thank you so much for

0:26:34.920 --> 0:26:37.040
<v Speaker 4>making time to chat with me. Can we talk about

0:26:37.040 --> 0:26:41.480
<v Speaker 4>the big picture? First? Talk to me about expectations and

0:26:41.640 --> 0:26:44.920
<v Speaker 4>the extent to which these big retail names are concerned,

0:26:44.960 --> 0:26:47.000
<v Speaker 4>perhaps about underperforming.

0:26:47.640 --> 0:26:51.680
<v Speaker 10>We had a very week third quarter in China and

0:26:51.880 --> 0:26:56.480
<v Speaker 10>that's really pushing retailers to bang the book and try

0:26:56.480 --> 0:26:59.800
<v Speaker 10>to get more out of singles Day and in fourth quarter.

0:27:00.280 --> 0:27:03.160
<v Speaker 10>And the reality is, as I speak to retailers over

0:27:03.200 --> 0:27:06.400
<v Speaker 10>the last two weeks itself, Singles Days off to a

0:27:06.440 --> 0:27:10.000
<v Speaker 10>fairly weak start. You know, we're halfway through the shopping

0:27:10.080 --> 0:27:13.840
<v Speaker 10>festival right now. I do see more promotions coming up

0:27:14.080 --> 0:27:16.720
<v Speaker 10>and keeping the fingers crossed that that's enough to really

0:27:16.760 --> 0:27:18.160
<v Speaker 10>try and push thing ahead.

0:27:18.480 --> 0:27:21.800
<v Speaker 4>So, Catherine, I'm wondering about the role of the government

0:27:21.880 --> 0:27:25.400
<v Speaker 4>in trying to make Singles Day a success. What steps,

0:27:25.400 --> 0:27:27.439
<v Speaker 4>if any, has Beijing taken.

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:32.760
<v Speaker 10>Well, we've seen the offer of you know, vouchers perks.

0:27:33.119 --> 0:27:36.960
<v Speaker 10>They are also supporting e commerce platforms and retailers to

0:27:37.080 --> 0:27:40.600
<v Speaker 10>try and come up with better service levels. But at

0:27:40.640 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 10>the end of the day, it's really the confidence of

0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:48.600
<v Speaker 10>the consumers right now, particularly if property prices as at

0:27:48.680 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 10>value still says very low incomes outlooks still stay uncertain,

0:27:53.840 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 10>it's going to be hard for consumers to want to

0:27:56.320 --> 0:28:00.240
<v Speaker 10>spend more in you know, an environment of uncertainties.

0:28:00.200 --> 0:28:04.320
<v Speaker 4>About US brands like Apple and Nike, what are the

0:28:04.359 --> 0:28:05.959
<v Speaker 4>expectations for these brands?

0:28:06.600 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 11>Now?

0:28:06.840 --> 0:28:08.920
<v Speaker 10>What isn't just thing is that you know, for these

0:28:08.960 --> 0:28:11.359
<v Speaker 10>two brands, you know, they were off to a very

0:28:11.400 --> 0:28:14.120
<v Speaker 10>week start since the beginning of the year, and we'll

0:28:14.160 --> 0:28:17.800
<v Speaker 10>actually start to see things coming up better for them

0:28:17.960 --> 0:28:22.320
<v Speaker 10>different fundamental reasons. Off a lower base, but they are

0:28:22.359 --> 0:28:25.159
<v Speaker 10>creeping up. And I'll take Nike for instance. On the

0:28:25.160 --> 0:28:27.919
<v Speaker 10>first day of Ali Baba sale, they were off to

0:28:28.119 --> 0:28:31.720
<v Speaker 10>a very weak start. They did not lead the sportswear

0:28:31.800 --> 0:28:35.080
<v Speaker 10>sales ranking as they did before in the last two years.

0:28:35.520 --> 0:28:37.639
<v Speaker 10>And you know, two weeks down the road, they've actually

0:28:37.680 --> 0:28:40.440
<v Speaker 10>creep up to being the third, nowhere near the first,

0:28:40.480 --> 0:28:44.280
<v Speaker 10>but you know, still a good you know, improvement, and

0:28:44.320 --> 0:28:46.479
<v Speaker 10>again I'm hoping to actually see more over the next

0:28:46.520 --> 0:28:47.040
<v Speaker 10>two years.

0:28:47.160 --> 0:28:49.920
<v Speaker 4>So do you think it's more likely that Chinese consumers

0:28:50.040 --> 0:28:53.120
<v Speaker 4>will favor the local brands this year, perhaps more so

0:28:53.240 --> 0:28:54.240
<v Speaker 4>than they have in the past.

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:56.640
<v Speaker 10>I don't think it's going to be that this thing

0:28:56.760 --> 0:28:59.720
<v Speaker 10>this year. It's moll about, you know, the value proposition

0:28:59.840 --> 0:29:03.080
<v Speaker 10>that on the table for the consumers. We are at

0:29:03.120 --> 0:29:08.080
<v Speaker 10>a somewhat balance point between nationalism, being very nationalistic about

0:29:08.120 --> 0:29:10.880
<v Speaker 10>local brands itself and foreign brands. At the end of

0:29:10.920 --> 0:29:13.040
<v Speaker 10>the day, it is what is on the table at

0:29:13.080 --> 0:29:15.400
<v Speaker 10>a good price, you know, for the consumers, and they

0:29:15.400 --> 0:29:18.200
<v Speaker 10>will be willing to take that if it comes to Not.

0:29:18.320 --> 0:29:21.920
<v Speaker 4>A day goes by when we're not discussing artificial intelligence,

0:29:21.960 --> 0:29:25.000
<v Speaker 4>and I'm curious about the way in which companies like

0:29:25.120 --> 0:29:29.200
<v Speaker 4>JD and Baba are using AI to drive sales this year.

0:29:29.920 --> 0:29:33.800
<v Speaker 10>Well, there's lots of you know AI shopping assistanms, lots

0:29:33.840 --> 0:29:37.240
<v Speaker 10>of marketing push, you know, just based on what you

0:29:37.440 --> 0:29:40.440
<v Speaker 10>are browsing. It's a lot more back end rather than

0:29:40.520 --> 0:29:43.600
<v Speaker 10>you know, what we see as consumers itself. But clearly,

0:29:43.760 --> 0:29:45.640
<v Speaker 10>you know, they know what we are looking at and

0:29:45.680 --> 0:29:49.880
<v Speaker 10>they are pushing these items, you know, repeatedly to the

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:53.560
<v Speaker 10>face of the consumers to try and get the conversion

0:29:53.640 --> 0:29:56.719
<v Speaker 10>rates to actually go up. So you know, this is

0:29:56.760 --> 0:30:00.280
<v Speaker 10>definitely a good period during Singles Day to test start

0:30:00.320 --> 0:30:03.920
<v Speaker 10>some of these algorithms as well as these programs, because

0:30:03.960 --> 0:30:06.640
<v Speaker 10>that's where they're going to actually try and improvise on

0:30:06.720 --> 0:30:08.320
<v Speaker 10>that for twenty twenty six.

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:11.480
<v Speaker 4>So as long as we're talking about technology, how has

0:30:11.520 --> 0:30:14.840
<v Speaker 4>the smartphone business been performing on the mainland.

0:30:15.280 --> 0:30:18.480
<v Speaker 10>Well, you know, definitely we are still seeing some form

0:30:18.520 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 10>of subsidies coming through from the government, so that's actually

0:30:21.640 --> 0:30:27.800
<v Speaker 10>helping iphoned seventeen model. So far, the platforms, whether it's

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:31.760
<v Speaker 10>JD dot Com, Ali Baba's team, or they've been actually

0:30:31.800 --> 0:30:34.560
<v Speaker 10>pushing for more sales of it, and I'll actually like

0:30:34.640 --> 0:30:38.000
<v Speaker 10>to throw in that mate one which has actually ventured

0:30:38.080 --> 0:30:41.880
<v Speaker 10>into speedy delivery or quick commerce for that matter. They

0:30:41.960 --> 0:30:46.120
<v Speaker 10>are also now being able to actually deliver new iPhones

0:30:46.200 --> 0:30:48.000
<v Speaker 10>to you, like, you know, within an hour.

0:30:49.000 --> 0:30:51.640
<v Speaker 4>So we know, Singles Days started in China and since

0:30:51.680 --> 0:30:54.680
<v Speaker 4>then it's spread to many parts of Southeast Asia. So

0:30:54.760 --> 0:30:57.280
<v Speaker 4>I'm curious away from the mainland when you look at

0:30:57.280 --> 0:31:00.440
<v Speaker 4>other jurisdictions. I know you're in Singapore, I'm also thinking

0:31:00.480 --> 0:31:04.760
<v Speaker 4>about Hong Kong, even Taiwan. Are there other jurisdictions that

0:31:05.160 --> 0:31:08.040
<v Speaker 4>are expected to perform, let's say, better than the mainland.

0:31:08.800 --> 0:31:11.400
<v Speaker 10>I think if we actually look firstly at Singles Day,

0:31:11.440 --> 0:31:13.880
<v Speaker 10>Singles Days no longer about China, and I think you're

0:31:14.120 --> 0:31:19.920
<v Speaker 10>right on that that we're also seeing Ali Express, you know, Talubau, Globo,

0:31:20.360 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 10>JD dot Com Global also launching promotions and campaigns for

0:31:24.440 --> 0:31:28.680
<v Speaker 10>this Singles Day outside of China. So are they doing better?

0:31:28.720 --> 0:31:34.120
<v Speaker 10>I think yes for certain jurisdiction like Singapore for Southeast Asia,

0:31:34.240 --> 0:31:36.880
<v Speaker 10>And it's really because we're off from a very low

0:31:36.960 --> 0:31:40.000
<v Speaker 10>base and we're starting to actually see more of those

0:31:40.280 --> 0:31:44.680
<v Speaker 10>value propositions coming through from Maidi and China products, and

0:31:44.920 --> 0:31:47.680
<v Speaker 10>you know they are actually very decent for the price

0:31:47.760 --> 0:31:49.200
<v Speaker 10>that you're actually paying for them.

0:31:49.400 --> 0:31:53.560
<v Speaker 4>So Catherine, what about experiences, whether it's entertainment or even

0:31:53.640 --> 0:31:57.400
<v Speaker 4>visiting a restaurant? Are these industries expected to do well?

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:02.160
<v Speaker 10>That has actually taken off during d long National Day holiday.

0:32:02.640 --> 0:32:05.880
<v Speaker 10>And you know, when you talk about restaurants the consumption itself,

0:32:06.440 --> 0:32:08.520
<v Speaker 10>let's not forget that. You know, there is now the

0:32:08.640 --> 0:32:14.160
<v Speaker 10>counter coming in from takeaways, food deliveries. And again, you know,

0:32:14.200 --> 0:32:17.840
<v Speaker 10>I'll go back to what I've just mentioned about the convenience,

0:32:18.240 --> 0:32:21.760
<v Speaker 10>you know, the east of it. You know, we've actually

0:32:21.760 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 10>seemed the latest catering or restaurant services sales continue to

0:32:26.960 --> 0:32:29.959
<v Speaker 10>actually slowe down. That may be a bit of uptick

0:32:30.040 --> 0:32:33.640
<v Speaker 10>in October. The overall scheme of things, I think more

0:32:33.680 --> 0:32:37.760
<v Speaker 10>people are actually you know, doing food deliveries rather than

0:32:37.800 --> 0:32:38.920
<v Speaker 10>going to the restaurants.

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:41.320
<v Speaker 4>Catherine, we'll leave it there, Thank you so very much.

0:32:41.480 --> 0:32:46.280
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg's Katherine Lim our senior analyst covering both retail and

0:32:46.520 --> 0:32:50.320
<v Speaker 4>e commerce across the APAC. From our bureau in Singapore,

0:32:50.920 --> 0:32:53.520
<v Speaker 4>we go to Hong Kong next, where the Global Financial

0:32:53.600 --> 0:32:56.600
<v Speaker 4>Leaders Investment Summer took place over the last week. That's

0:32:56.600 --> 0:32:59.960
<v Speaker 4>where we caught up with Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon.

0:33:00.600 --> 0:33:04.240
<v Speaker 4>He spoke with Bloomberg TV host Yvonne Mann and David Nglace.

0:33:04.560 --> 0:33:08.440
<v Speaker 4>The conversation started with a question about the US China

0:33:08.520 --> 0:33:09.200
<v Speaker 4>trade truths.

0:33:09.920 --> 0:33:12.600
<v Speaker 11>I think at the moment, you know, a de escalation

0:33:12.920 --> 0:33:15.040
<v Speaker 11>is a good thing, but there's obviously a lot of

0:33:15.040 --> 0:33:19.920
<v Speaker 11>work to do to really arrive at a real stable.

0:33:19.640 --> 0:33:22.640
<v Speaker 12>Deal that can endure, you know, over a period of time.

0:33:22.680 --> 0:33:25.520
<v Speaker 11>I'm encouraged by the prospect of a potential visit from

0:33:25.520 --> 0:33:28.040
<v Speaker 11>the US President that was telegraphed in the fall. But

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:30.000
<v Speaker 11>for the moment, you know, I did not think the

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:33.200
<v Speaker 11>escalation on either side was constructive, and so you know,

0:33:33.280 --> 0:33:34.800
<v Speaker 11>I much prefer a de escalation.

0:33:34.960 --> 0:33:37.320
<v Speaker 12>I think both both sides.

0:33:37.360 --> 0:33:40.440
<v Speaker 11>Really had a purpose in that meeting to talk constructively,

0:33:40.920 --> 0:33:43.520
<v Speaker 11>to have a more de escalated environment, and that allows

0:33:43.560 --> 0:33:46.520
<v Speaker 11>now for constructive conversations as.

0:33:46.400 --> 0:33:47.040
<v Speaker 12>They move forward.

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:49.680
<v Speaker 13>One year truce though between the two is that a

0:33:49.680 --> 0:33:51.200
<v Speaker 13>good or bad thing? I mean, what did to do

0:33:51.240 --> 0:33:53.480
<v Speaker 13>in terms of business sentiment when there was a twelve

0:33:53.520 --> 0:33:54.160
<v Speaker 13>month time frame?

0:33:54.200 --> 0:33:57.600
<v Speaker 11>Now it's better then, it's better than an escalation at

0:33:57.640 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 11>on reasonable levels, which is kind of where we were,

0:34:00.320 --> 0:34:03.720
<v Speaker 11>you know, over the most recent time. Trade negotiations are

0:34:03.720 --> 0:34:06.640
<v Speaker 11>complicated and there are a lot of issues on the table.

0:34:06.760 --> 0:34:10.439
<v Speaker 11>They need thoughtful responses and responses that can be durable. Yes,

0:34:10.480 --> 0:34:13.200
<v Speaker 11>there's some uncertainty because it's a one year delay at

0:34:13.200 --> 0:34:15.640
<v Speaker 11>all of this, but it's also a realistic period of

0:34:15.680 --> 0:34:17.960
<v Speaker 11>time to try to get the right kind of deal

0:34:18.040 --> 0:34:20.960
<v Speaker 11>done so both economies can move forward in a constructive way.

0:34:20.960 --> 0:34:22.800
<v Speaker 11>And look, these are the two most important economies in

0:34:22.840 --> 0:34:26.120
<v Speaker 11>the world. I think it's very important that you know,

0:34:26.200 --> 0:34:28.600
<v Speaker 11>we arrive in a better place where we can both

0:34:28.640 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 11>participate constructively with each other in the global growth of

0:34:31.719 --> 0:34:32.440
<v Speaker 11>the world.

0:34:32.719 --> 0:34:35.480
<v Speaker 14>I mean, speaking of let me borrow your phrase, participate.

0:34:35.600 --> 0:34:39.280
<v Speaker 14>There's been a resurgence in equity capital market raising here.

0:34:39.120 --> 0:34:39.720
<v Speaker 5>In Hong Kong.

0:34:40.239 --> 0:34:43.120
<v Speaker 14>A lot of the Chinese companies, tech or otherwise are

0:34:43.160 --> 0:34:45.359
<v Speaker 14>raising capital for the future. I want to get your

0:34:45.440 --> 0:34:47.160
<v Speaker 14>sense as someone who sits in New York, you travel,

0:34:47.160 --> 0:34:49.359
<v Speaker 14>of course all around the world. Is there a lot

0:34:49.400 --> 0:34:53.680
<v Speaker 14>of appetite now from US based investors to participate by

0:34:53.800 --> 0:34:57.000
<v Speaker 14>giving that capital to Chinese companies right now? In order

0:34:57.120 --> 0:34:59.959
<v Speaker 14>to do there's you know, I realize there.

0:35:00.000 --> 0:35:03.800
<v Speaker 11>An sure, there's.

0:35:02.360 --> 0:35:04.680
<v Speaker 12>More appetite for it than there was twelve months ago.

0:35:04.719 --> 0:35:09.200
<v Speaker 11>I remember actually last November sitting in a dinner in

0:35:09.239 --> 0:35:12.640
<v Speaker 11>the United States with a group of US investors and

0:35:12.719 --> 0:35:14.600
<v Speaker 11>this topic came up, and there were a couple of

0:35:14.640 --> 0:35:19.040
<v Speaker 11>investors that basically said, we all should be looking to China.

0:35:19.280 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 12>And the reason, the reason that had evolved that way

0:35:22.520 --> 0:35:23.280
<v Speaker 12>is if you look.

0:35:23.160 --> 0:35:27.120
<v Speaker 11>Last fall, the prices had gotten so cheap, the capital

0:35:27.200 --> 0:35:30.279
<v Speaker 11>flows had moved so in the other direction that you

0:35:30.440 --> 0:35:33.120
<v Speaker 11>just knew that things would come more into balance and

0:35:33.200 --> 0:35:34.040
<v Speaker 11>there'd be a recycling.

0:35:34.040 --> 0:35:35.120
<v Speaker 12>And we've seen that recycling.

0:35:35.120 --> 0:35:37.520
<v Speaker 11>You've seen a big move and prices year over year,

0:35:37.800 --> 0:35:40.000
<v Speaker 11>you've seen more foreign capital come in.

0:35:39.960 --> 0:35:41.000
<v Speaker 12>And start to participate.

0:35:41.400 --> 0:35:45.520
<v Speaker 11>That's a fundamentally different question about the big capital allocators

0:35:45.960 --> 0:35:49.280
<v Speaker 11>really fundamentally shifting their allocations up to be higher again.

0:35:49.520 --> 0:35:50.600
<v Speaker 12>So far, direct.

0:35:50.280 --> 0:35:53.319
<v Speaker 11>Investment in China has come down, and I think one

0:35:53.320 --> 0:35:55.920
<v Speaker 11>of the big questions is until we understand kind of

0:35:55.920 --> 0:36:00.839
<v Speaker 11>the trade and the geopolitical landscape, it's harder see significant

0:36:00.880 --> 0:36:04.239
<v Speaker 11>shifts back to higher levels of foreign direct investment and.

0:36:04.239 --> 0:36:05.360
<v Speaker 12>More capital allocation.

0:36:05.719 --> 0:36:07.920
<v Speaker 11>But for the moment, those flows are making for a

0:36:07.920 --> 0:36:11.200
<v Speaker 11>better IPO market here and more opportunities here.

0:36:11.680 --> 0:36:12.360
<v Speaker 12>How do you look at that?

0:36:12.400 --> 0:36:15.520
<v Speaker 13>I mean, the whole competition has kind of changed into

0:36:15.560 --> 0:36:17.600
<v Speaker 13>the dynamics, right. You have so many of these Chinese

0:36:17.680 --> 0:36:20.040
<v Speaker 13>banks now that are doing some of these deals with

0:36:20.120 --> 0:36:23.160
<v Speaker 13>Chinese companies. When it comes to going public, how does

0:36:23.200 --> 0:36:24.760
<v Speaker 13>Goldman Sachs compete.

0:36:24.800 --> 0:36:27.160
<v Speaker 11>Well, you know, goldmin Sex competes just fine, thank you

0:36:27.320 --> 0:36:29.800
<v Speaker 11>very much. When it comes to taking public companies public

0:36:29.800 --> 0:36:32.360
<v Speaker 11>on a global stage, Golden Sex is a leading position.

0:36:32.360 --> 0:36:34.760
<v Speaker 12>We've had a leading position for fifty years.

0:36:35.640 --> 0:36:38.160
<v Speaker 11>And there's always competition in the business, and you know,

0:36:38.200 --> 0:36:41.560
<v Speaker 11>we'll continue to compete, so we welcome competition. But we

0:36:41.719 --> 0:36:43.799
<v Speaker 11>have a pretty active footprint out here, as you well know.

0:36:44.120 --> 0:36:46.560
<v Speaker 11>They have a pretty active footprint around the world. And look,

0:36:46.600 --> 0:36:49.520
<v Speaker 11>one of the big advantages. I just had breakfast with.

0:36:49.680 --> 0:36:52.239
<v Speaker 12>A company here that.

0:36:52.800 --> 0:36:55.000
<v Speaker 11>It's actually a Chinese company, but the you know, the CEO,

0:36:55.120 --> 0:36:58.399
<v Speaker 11>the founder was here and why does he value Golden Sex.

0:36:58.440 --> 0:37:01.640
<v Speaker 11>He values Golden Sex because we have a sess to people, information,

0:37:01.800 --> 0:37:04.640
<v Speaker 11>capital markets all over the world, you know, not just

0:37:04.680 --> 0:37:05.839
<v Speaker 11>in a narrow portion of the world.

0:37:05.920 --> 0:37:08.680
<v Speaker 12>And so it's a competitive business. It always will be.

0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:11.040
<v Speaker 12>But I'm comfortable that we have the resources in the

0:37:11.040 --> 0:37:12.080
<v Speaker 12>position to compete.

0:37:11.800 --> 0:37:15.560
<v Speaker 14>Effectively, right and you know, you know I've been greeting up,

0:37:15.600 --> 0:37:17.719
<v Speaker 14>of course, and I understand your history. You guys have

0:37:17.760 --> 0:37:19.640
<v Speaker 14>been doing business in China very long time. You guys

0:37:19.719 --> 0:37:22.319
<v Speaker 14>took the big banks public back twenty plus years ago.

0:37:22.400 --> 0:37:25.719
<v Speaker 14>So I mean you're headed there in my understanding, after here,

0:37:25.760 --> 0:37:28.799
<v Speaker 14>you're going to China. Of course you speak with regulators,

0:37:28.800 --> 0:37:32.359
<v Speaker 14>what have you? What's your long term vision for difranchise

0:37:32.520 --> 0:37:35.040
<v Speaker 14>in Greater China? What do you want what do you

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<v Speaker 14>want your franchise to become longer?

0:37:37.320 --> 0:37:38.840
<v Speaker 11>I think you have to look at Goldman Sachs and

0:37:38.880 --> 0:37:43.000
<v Speaker 11>just think strategically that as a global firm, that when

0:37:43.040 --> 0:37:44.799
<v Speaker 11>you think about our businesses, what are our two big

0:37:44.840 --> 0:37:48.160
<v Speaker 11>businesses global banking and markets, the investment banking and trading

0:37:48.200 --> 0:37:51.440
<v Speaker 11>business and asset and wealth management. And so if you

0:37:51.440 --> 0:37:53.520
<v Speaker 11>think about how we think strategically about the firm, what

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<v Speaker 11>advantages does the firm have besides the fact that we

0:37:56.880 --> 0:38:00.680
<v Speaker 11>have at scale businesses, we're very good at the those activities,

0:38:00.719 --> 0:38:02.600
<v Speaker 11>we're leaders of those activities, and we have a right

0:38:02.640 --> 0:38:04.880
<v Speaker 11>to compete and win, you know with those activities.

0:38:05.440 --> 0:38:09.040
<v Speaker 4>That was David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs, speaking with

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<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg TV host Vonn Men and David Nglace at the

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<v Speaker 4>Global Financial Leader's Investment Summit in Hong Kong. I'm Doug Krisner.

0:38:17.239 --> 0:38:20.160
<v Speaker 4>You can catch us weekdays for the Daybreak Asia podcast.

0:38:20.560 --> 0:38:22.799
<v Speaker 4>It's available wherever you get your podcast.

0:38:23.280 --> 0:38:26.439
<v Speaker 2>Nathan, Thanks Doug, and that does it for this edition

0:38:26.520 --> 0:38:29.839
<v Speaker 2>of Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend. Join us again Monday morning at

0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:32.600
<v Speaker 2>five am Wall Street Time for the latest on markets

0:38:32.600 --> 0:38:35.319
<v Speaker 2>overseas and the news you need to start your day.

0:38:35.719 --> 0:38:39.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm Nathan Hager. Stay with us. Top stories and global

0:38:39.080 --> 0:38:50.560
<v Speaker 2>business headlines are coming up right now.