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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus podcast podcast. All right, here

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Speaker 1: we go.

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Speaker 2: Every Pitch is Your Pitch, the greatest show on Dirk.

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Speaker 3: God.

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Speaker 2: Now they can add college baseball to their trophy case.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus College Baseball Version.

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Speaker 3: I am Colin Wilson at Underscore callin one with the

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Speaker 3: Action Network. Joining me Brad Audrey Real Brad Audrey at

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Speaker 3: Real Brad Audrey on Twitter. He joins me, we are

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Speaker 3: both Arkansas alum we are both Arkansas and baseball fanatics,

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Speaker 3: but we're also realists. Like we we can find faults

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Speaker 3: on our team all day, Like we were pretty happy

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Speaker 3: that Lanzilli took some bench and some other guys are

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Speaker 3: getting some swings.

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Speaker 2: We're happy about our bats. But we are SEC baseball fanatics.

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Speaker 2: We like to gamble on us on baseball, not just SEC,

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Speaker 2: but hell, we'll bet on Gonzaga baseball. We'll bet on

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Speaker 2: Central Connecticut baseball. So that's what we're here for. We're

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Speaker 2: here to give you direction on where we're gonna lay

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Speaker 2: some bets on our way to Omaha, which is getting

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Speaker 2: closer and closer. Let me introduce Brad. Brad, how do

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Speaker 2: you feel after Arkansas took two of three on the

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Speaker 2: road at Auburn, we pretty much secured our super Regional spot, right,

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Speaker 2: I don't.

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Speaker 1: Know that with that week, RPI, Bandy, Kevin to town. Look,

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Speaker 1: we're going.

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Speaker 4: To host super Regional, but we've still got work.

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Speaker 2: To Yeah, And you know what's funny is I think

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Speaker 2: you and I have been pushing this off for weeks.

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Speaker 2: This is our third or fourth week doing a college

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Speaker 2: baseball pod on BBOC here. We don't think the SEC

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Speaker 2: is as strong as it used to be. And by

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Speaker 2: the way, I think you owe me money. I think

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Speaker 2: Sonny de charottet on base against Hagen Smith.

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Speaker 1: Yeah so yeah, uh yeah.

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Speaker 2: But let the people know though, Vandy is not the

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Speaker 2: Vandy that we've had from years past. There's no Kumar Rocker,

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Speaker 2: there's no lighter junior like the Vandy this weekend with Arkansas,

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Speaker 2: it's just it's not the same bandy team we've all

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Speaker 2: been used to.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, they're they're they're a little bit younger than then

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Speaker 4: what we've seen.

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Speaker 1: They don't have the a staff, they they don't have

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Speaker 1: some of the big bats, Pedro Alvarez, these guys that

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Speaker 1: tear the cover off the ball, but they're still They've

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Speaker 1: got a lot of talent, you know. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: always recruit top two or three classes of the country,

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Speaker 1: so we know what we're going up against. And they've

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Speaker 1: been you know, they won their series last weekend. All

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Speaker 1: I'm saying is I'm not trying to count my chickens.

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Speaker 4: Colin. Uh. You know, as weak as.

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Speaker 1: The SEC is, part of that is a week old Miss,

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Speaker 1: a week Mississippi State, and at any given point those

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Speaker 1: two teams can beat anyone.

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Speaker 4: In the country.

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Speaker 1: So you know, it's made for a week rp I

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Speaker 1: number and strengthen schedule number, but not an easy weekend.

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Speaker 1: You know, like you don't go out and beat the

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Speaker 1: hell out of a little miss and walk right through them.

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Speaker 1: You have to you have to earn it.

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Speaker 2: So as Brad and I throw out all these numbers

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Speaker 2: that you guys, you know, if you haven't listened before,

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Speaker 2: let us remind you that college baseball is a completely

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Speaker 2: different animal than Major League baseball. Fielding percentage is extremely important.

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Speaker 2: A double play, a six four three double play is

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Speaker 2: not that easy. At the college ranks. We look for

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Speaker 2: home runs per game, We look at slugging, we look

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Speaker 2: at you know, we look at er and whip. But

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Speaker 2: it's really important to notice when teams have, you know, closers.

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Speaker 2: As you know, Stanford's got a guy that can come

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Speaker 2: in and shut you down for four innings. Arkansas has

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Speaker 2: got one kid in the bullpen. They can come in,

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Speaker 2: but he can only go two innings before he starts

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Speaker 2: getting hit. Pick pitchers are everything. Power pitchers are everything.

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Speaker 2: We're going to get to three more power pitchers this week.

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Speaker 2: But college baseball is different than MLB, and really you

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Speaker 2: have to have pop in your bats. You have to

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Speaker 2: have strong starting pitching and that's how you get to Omaha.

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Speaker 2: And fielding percentage is just king because heirs will cost

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Speaker 2: you everything. Brad, let's get to our power pitchers to back.

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Speaker 4: Showing the curve on Holish and that's not even his

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Speaker 4: best pitch.

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Speaker 2: Want all right, we're gonna start off real quick, and

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Speaker 2: we're actually gonna be really quick on this week's segment

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Speaker 2: because in previous weeks, power pitchers to back is if

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Speaker 2: you see their names listed, you bet them. And last

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Speaker 2: weekend we told everybody you're gonna bet Friday night on

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Speaker 2: Arkansas when Connor Nolan takes it up against Auburn, who

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Speaker 2: is heavily beat up on their Friday night starter closer

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Speaker 2: was out. I mean, just all kinds of things going

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Speaker 2: with Auburn and that was an easy win for US.

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Speaker 2: UH And we have other pictures that you should bag

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Speaker 2: at Oregon State Cooper Jerpies, Garrett Horn with liberty Parker

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Speaker 2: Messick from Florida State is another one, and Jonathan Brandon Miami, Ohio.

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Speaker 2: All these are have been winners for US. So let's

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Speaker 2: talk about more power pitchers to back. Let's not spend

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Speaker 2: too much time because it is our marquee matchup, but

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Speaker 2: Justin Campbell at Oklahoma State is absolutely one of the

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Speaker 2: best pitchers in the nation. He'll be pitching this Friday night,

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Speaker 2: but seventy seven innings pitched, he's up to one hundred

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Speaker 2: and twelve strikeouts on this season. Now he's going on

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Speaker 2: Friday night and he's not going to face Texas Tech's

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Speaker 2: best who's a Saturday guy, Brad Who's HEXA Tech Saturday guy.

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Speaker 1: So the Red Raiders have Brandon bird Cell who comes

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Speaker 1: in and pitches on Saturday. You know, some coaches like

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Speaker 1: to pitch their best pitcher, not against the other team's

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Speaker 1: top pitcher, which seems like a cowardice move to me,

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Speaker 1: but you know I might here to judge. But Brandon

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Speaker 1: bird Cell seven and two on the year. His team

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Speaker 1: has a great offense, so that helps him on the hump,

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Speaker 1: and he started eleven games, sixty one innings. He's got

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Speaker 1: eighty six strikeouts, and you know, he seems to be

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Speaker 1: getting stronger as the season goes on.

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Speaker 4: Texas Tech did not start off right.

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Speaker 1: Their rps kind of weak, but I think it's a

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Speaker 1: safe bet that Oklahoma State has your guy on Friday

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Speaker 1: night if you want to make a bet, and on Saturday,

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Speaker 1: look at Brandon bird Sell and the Red Raiders.

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Speaker 4: I'm not expecting a sweep here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think the whole thing is we're going

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Speaker 2: to do this power Pitchers to back segment and the

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Speaker 2: SEC has been the bread and butter of this podcast

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Speaker 2: and it probably will continue to be. But this week

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Speaker 2: we're going to focus on outside of the SEC before

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Speaker 2: we wrap it up and get the conference play. Here

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Speaker 2: the third picture, I want to talk about a pitcher

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Speaker 2: that you always bet is for the Miami Hurricanes and Brad.

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Speaker 2: I'm actually kind of excited about the ACC tournament between

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Speaker 2: Virginia Tech, who you took a future on last week

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Speaker 2: looking pretty good. Right now, Miami's looking pretty good. We

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Speaker 2: know NC State has the pop to kind of show

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Speaker 2: up there. There's a lot of good teams in the ACC.

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Speaker 2: Carson Palmquiz, he is a lefty for the Hurricanes. Right now,

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Speaker 2: He's had sixty four innings pitch ninety two strikeouts. You know,

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Speaker 2: his on base percentage and versus some of the other

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Speaker 2: guys the bird cell of the Campbell that we mentioned

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Speaker 2: a little bit higher, but a dominant let ffty pitcher

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Speaker 2: is really hard to find. An NCAAA baseball Arkansas has

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Speaker 2: a guy that goes on Saturday night, Hagen Smith. Carson

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Speaker 2: palm Quiz is a lefty for the Hurricanes. If you

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Speaker 2: can find a lefty dominant starter, you want to bet

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Speaker 2: them every time. All right, So Brad palm Quiz, he's

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Speaker 2: converted into a starter, right He used to always be

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Speaker 2: a starter.

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Speaker 1: Hey man, twenty five appearances last season. Those we're not

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Speaker 1: all started games. So yeah, he had fourteen to fifteen

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Speaker 1: saves last season. The guy's got ice in his veins,

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Speaker 1: and you want to trust.

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Speaker 4: A starter like that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, if I'm reading this right, this guy almost had

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Speaker 2: two strikeouts per inning. Pitch last year as a closer,

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Speaker 2: So I mean, that's some pretty insane stats. So that

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Speaker 2: definitely looked for Carson Palm Quiz, the ACC Tournament and

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Speaker 2: in postseason play. All right, let's get to our marque

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Speaker 2: matchup of the weekend. Like I said, we're not going

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Speaker 2: to do much SEC on this podcast. We're going to

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Speaker 2: talk Texas Tech Oklahoma State easily the biggest marquee matchup

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Speaker 2: of the weekend. Texas Tech has offensive sticks that you're

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Speaker 2: going to see next level in Major League Baseball. Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: State right now one in the nation and road RPI

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Speaker 2: twenty first and strength of schedule, Brad, I think they're

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Speaker 2: penciled in right now as a number three overall seed

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Speaker 2: heading into postseason play. Right now. If Omaha, if the

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Speaker 2: race to Omaha was start today, we're gonna have Regionals,

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Speaker 2: the Pokes would be up there at number three. Let's

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Speaker 2: talk about this weekend. What do you see with Texas

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Speaker 2: Tech at Oklahoma State this weekend?

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Speaker 1: Well, the Red Raiders just lost their closer for the season.

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Speaker 4: Well, I don't know if it's for the season.

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Speaker 1: They lost them for a couple of weeks and they're

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Speaker 1: a team that's come in with a weak strength of schedule.

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Speaker 1: Their road RPI is seventy three. Oklahoma States is one

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Speaker 1: in the country on the road that this series is

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Speaker 1: everything in. Texas Tech is a proven program. Their coach

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Speaker 1: has gone to Omaha. I don't know how many times

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Speaker 1: here recently. It seems like I see them there every year.

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Speaker 1: They're one of the programs that you just know you're

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Speaker 1: going to see. So when you get laid in the

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Speaker 1: season and then you get a matchup like this, Uh,

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech has Jay c Yung. I mean he may

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Speaker 1: be the best player in the country. You see a

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Speaker 1: matchup like this, you see a program like Texas Tech

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Speaker 1: coming in they need it bad and I'm going I'm

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Speaker 1: going Texas Tech taking two out of three here. I

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Speaker 1: know how good Oklahoma State is. I know what they've done.

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Speaker 1: But at some point, you know, the charade must in

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Speaker 1: and we got to move back on.

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Speaker 4: And Texas Tech if they want to, if they.

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Speaker 1: Want to get moved their RPI out of forty six

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Speaker 1: or forty three wherever it is, they are gonna have

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Speaker 1: to get some of these wins.

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Speaker 4: And I think this is where they start.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And for everybody out there that's betting, like last week.

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Speaker 2: I know I tweeted out last week like listen, Connor

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Speaker 2: Nolan should be minus two fifty on Friday night against

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Speaker 2: an Auburn staff that doesn't have much going on. I think

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Speaker 2: we have the same splits here. Odds makers don't pay

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Speaker 2: enough attention to college baseball. So let me tell you

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Speaker 2: how you're supposed to bet this. Justin Campbell for Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: State is pitching on Friday night. We don't know if

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech is going to put Andrew Morris or Chase

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Speaker 2: Hampton out there, but this is an Oklahoma State slammer

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Speaker 2: on Friday. Turnaround Saturday. It's the other way around. We

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Speaker 2: think Oklahoma State is gonna throw Bryce Osmond as a

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Speaker 2: Saturday starter. I know that he's thrown on Sunday a

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Speaker 2: few times. But Brandon byrd Sell for Texas Tech is

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Speaker 2: their star pitcher and he throws on Saturday. So this

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Speaker 2: is a really easy handicap. Odds makers posted they don't

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Speaker 2: pay attention to these pictures that much. They're probably gonna

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Speaker 2: post minus one ten to minus one thirty on these teams.

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Speaker 2: But this is a slam dunk Friday Oklahoma State. You

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Speaker 2: play it to about minus three hundred. Saturday you're playing

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech with Brandon bird Sell up to about minus

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Speaker 2: three hundred, and then on Sunday, Bran, I mean, it's

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Speaker 2: just a free for all. We've got all kind of

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Speaker 2: these both these teas are struggling to find a third pitcher.

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Speaker 2: So Sunday is going to be hands off. But you're

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Speaker 2: gonna go ahead and say two out of three are

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Speaker 2: going to belong who you said, Texas Deck.

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Speaker 4: Right, Yeah, said Texas Texas. You've got to pick.

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Speaker 1: You got like you said, Friday, Friday goes Oklahoma Stateway.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Saturday is going Raiders and Sunday you just got

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Speaker 4: to pick.

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Speaker 1: And again I'm gonna I'm gonna follow the big time

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Speaker 1: program and and you know, who knows what's gonna happen.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I think it'll be a great series. And

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Speaker 1: if you want to get your bets in, get them

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Speaker 1: in on Friday at Saturday Sunday, just bet with your buddy.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I think I should say this too,

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Speaker 2: Like Texas Tech is built for their ballpark, like it

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Speaker 2: is a home run paradise. Balls fly out of their

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Speaker 2: park and crazy enough people don't believe this, but Artisas

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Speaker 2: is actually a pitcher's parked. You know, balls go to

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Speaker 2: die and left and you know right center field. It's

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Speaker 2: pretty cavernous ballpark for a home run hitter. But Texas

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Speaker 2: Tech is going on the road this weekend up to

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Speaker 2: still Water, so we'll see how they do Oklahoma States.

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Speaker 4: When you see those.

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Speaker 1: When you see those, we see Texas Tech show up

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Speaker 1: in Omaha and every game on their team is like

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Speaker 1: six five, you know, two point fifty.

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Speaker 2: Timmytry tell everybody ten Amerature, it is a pitchers park.

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Speaker 2: It is not a home run hitters park.

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Speaker 4: Right, agreed, agreed, And that's why Texas Tech has never

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Speaker 4: won it.

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Speaker 1: But my point is there in timidading looking bunch, and

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Speaker 1: I've never been intimidating bout Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 4: So here's where we are. That's why I'm That's that's

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Speaker 4: why I'm going to Texas Tech. Colin. You have your reasons.

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Speaker 2: I have by well, yeah, I mean listen when Kess

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Speaker 2: and Hurstad is going up there for argost a couple

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Speaker 2: years ago and a bunch of balls are dying at

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Speaker 2: the wall, they get, man, this TD Amerior trade up

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Speaker 2: in Omaha is a pitchers park. Uh, So we'll see

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Speaker 2: how that pans out, But this weekend's pretty easy for

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Speaker 2: the marquee matchup Oklahoma. Oklahoma State slam it on Friday

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Speaker 2: with Justin Campbell, Saturday slamming Texas Type with Brandon Birdsall.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to layoff Sunday. I'm not gonna bet a.

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Speaker 2: Brad's gonna go Texas Tech. We'll see how that plays out,

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Speaker 2: but the Big twelve is definitely under the spotlight this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma State currently slaved to be the number three overall

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Speaker 2: seed heading into Omaha. So keep your eye on the

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Speaker 2: posts this weekend. All right, Two other marquee matchups brand

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Speaker 2: last week you took a Virginia Tech Future. They look fantastic.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna host Louisville this weekend. Are you are you?

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Speaker 2: Are you riding the way with the hookies this weekend?

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Speaker 2: I mean I think you have to at this point.

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Speaker 1: Uh, you know, we've seen what the ac C can do,

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Speaker 1: and Virginia Tech seems to have whatever swagger it takes.

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Speaker 4: Right now, they're projected as a four seed. You know

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Speaker 4: it could be higher.

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Speaker 1: We'll see what you know from a tarot cards are

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Speaker 1: right in Texas Tech and knock off Oklahoma State. Maybe

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Speaker 1: v Tech sneaks in and Blacksburg's hosting a two or

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Speaker 1: three seed when it comes regional time.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, no, I think I like Virginia Tech.

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Speaker 1: Louisville seems seems to be a great ball club as well,

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Speaker 1: so board knows after NC State last year, I can't

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Speaker 1: I can't pick them when it comes to ACC baseball.

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Speaker 2: ACC is crazy. It's actually kind of like football, like

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Speaker 2: everybody finishes six and six and you never know who's

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Speaker 2: really great and then everybody's fighting.

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Speaker 1: For the Mail Bowl.

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Speaker 2: But this is baseball, and I will say the Brad

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Speaker 2: took Virginia Tech at fifty to one. Is this future

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Speaker 2: that is down to thirty to one. I still think

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Speaker 2: it has value. They're going to be a super regional host,

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Speaker 2: and especially this weekend against Louisville. Louisville is outside the

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Speaker 2: top one hundred ERA and whip. They're going to go

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Speaker 2: visit Virginia Tech, who is fourth in the nation in

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Speaker 2: home runs per game, So I'd be looking at the Hokies.

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Speaker 2: There another big one out of the ACC. Like I said,

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Speaker 2: this is an anti SEC podcast. This week Miami at

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Speaker 2: Florida State. Florida State's starting to get a little bit

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Speaker 2: of love, Brad, But I just can't bet on a

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Speaker 2: team that's one hundred and seventy seventh and fielding percentage.

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Speaker 2: I can't bet on a team that's one hundred and

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Speaker 2: sixty second on base percentage. I don't see the defense.

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Speaker 2: I don't see the sticks. Do you think Miami goes

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Speaker 2: on the road, goes up to Tallahassee and maybe sweeps

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Speaker 2: Florida State?

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Speaker 4: I believe it.

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Speaker 1: In our first show here, we get a tweet where

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Speaker 1: somebody asked you about Miami and we did not. We

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Speaker 1: didn't give them quite the love maybe they deserve. So

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to make that mistake again. Miami's been

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Speaker 1: playing very good baseball. Florida State does seem to have

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Speaker 1: a great pitching staff. But if you kid hit, you

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Speaker 1: know eventually you're going to run some problems. Been watching

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Speaker 1: it all year with Arkansas, give me, give me the Hurricanes.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I agree. Miami this year is twenty first

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Speaker 2: in the nation. And road RPI, Now, Brad and I

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Speaker 2: kind of make fun of URPI. We don't really know

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Speaker 2: how it's calculated. The n salein's on it too much

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Speaker 2: determined seeds, but road RPI is a real deal. If

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Speaker 2: you can win away from your own home base, it's

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Speaker 2: kind of like college basketball, like winning on the road

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Speaker 2: is tough, and Miami is a team that's been able

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Speaker 2: to do that. So back to the Hurricanes this weekend,

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Speaker 2: going up against Florida State. That is going to lead

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Speaker 2: us to our College World Series futures. Okay, recap, Brad

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Speaker 2: and I have taken. I took Southern miss fifty to one.

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Speaker 2: Still kind of hanging out a little bit better right now.

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Speaker 2: I've also taken Texas A and M one hundred and

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Speaker 2: fifty to one. I think that's down to fifty five

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Speaker 2: to one right now, Brad on the forty five to

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Speaker 2: one Mississippi State trained from a few weeks ago.

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Speaker 4: And talk about that anymore.

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Speaker 2: Future to be determined, right and then Jia Tech. You're

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Speaker 2: doing great with Virginia Tech. Fifty to one, down to

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Speaker 2: thirty to one. It's gonna be a maybe a top

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Speaker 2: four overall seed going into Obaha. Brad, I'm gonna go

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Speaker 2: with you, boy, you know what. I'm gonna let you

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Speaker 2: go first. I know who I'm going to take this week.

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Speaker 2: You and I are looking at the overall projected seed.

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Speaker 2: So right now before I get the Brad's pick for

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Speaker 2: the future. What we're betting this week, Tennessee is still

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Speaker 2: listening as a number one overall seed. Now, I just

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Speaker 2: want to spend twenty seconds here in Tennessee. Have the

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Speaker 2: bats finally started to cool off? Because I'm starting to

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Speaker 2: see some things in the box score where I think

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is starting to come down.

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Speaker 4: What do you think we saw it?

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Speaker 1: We saw it this weekend. We saw a team that

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Speaker 1: you know, they didn't hit twenty five home runs. They

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Speaker 1: brought in their guy that throws it at one hundred

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Speaker 1: and nine miles an hour, and he threw it to

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Speaker 1: the damn backstop like people do when they fill at

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Speaker 1: one hundred and seven miles an hour. They're not perfect.

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Speaker 1: It's baseball. You have weaknesses. You want to get hot

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Speaker 1: at the right time in the season. Tennessee started off

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Speaker 1: really hot. Who knows, who knows what will happen with

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Speaker 1: that hot head coach down there. I mean, we'll see,

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Speaker 1: we'll see. But yeah, they've they've seen it cool off

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Speaker 1: a little bit. Losing at Kentucky is not what they expected.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Tennessee losing at Kentucky's like, I mean, that opened

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Speaker 2: up my eyes I thought, you know, losing a game,

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Speaker 2: it's Auburn. You and I said that Auburn would go

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Speaker 2: in and take one, and they did. And now losing

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Speaker 2: a game to Kentucky, it's kind of like, wait a minute,

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Speaker 2: this team is mortal. I am still not a believer

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Speaker 2: in what Tennessee is doing. I have seen offenses get

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Speaker 2: this hot cool off. Really thinking of Arkansas last year,

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Speaker 2: but thinking of the overall seeds that are projected right now,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee's at number one. Oregon State, Brad, you and I

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Speaker 2: wrestled about this. Now I will give this away. Brad

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Speaker 2: and I did not take Oregon State as a future

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Speaker 2: on this podcast this week, but we both wanted it.

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Speaker 2: They're at ten to one right now. There is no

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Speaker 2: roadblocks for Oregon State from here on out. They are

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Speaker 2: projected as the number two overall seed. I think ten

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Speaker 2: to one is a great bet on them. Like we said,

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Speaker 2: Oklahoa State is number three, coming in at the fourth

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Speaker 2: overall seed projected as Virginia Tech. Then after that just

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Speaker 2: you know, Miami, Arkansas, Louisville, Auburn, handful of teams. I

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Speaker 2: think it's worth Nody. LSU is still hanging around eleven

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame's done nothing. I don't even think they've played

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Speaker 2: a weekend in a few weeks. They're at number ten

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Speaker 2: in Texas. A and M who I took one hundred

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Speaker 2: fifty to one future is still at number nine. Brad,

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Speaker 2: you got any feelings before we throw out there our

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Speaker 2: future as any of these number one or number two

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Speaker 2: projected seeds that you like.

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Speaker 1: I think we're looking at to see at Oregon State

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Speaker 1: as the number one, number two projected seat period of

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Speaker 1: the story. I mean, I don't really, it doesn't look

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Speaker 1: like you look at the schedule, there's very much that

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Speaker 1: could happen to change those two, certainly not with the

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Speaker 1: talent that they have on the rosters at least. So

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Speaker 1: after that we'll see what happens with again. I think

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Speaker 1: ogo Ahoma State's got a big game this weekend. I

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Speaker 1: think it's it's DOUBLEA pays attention to these marquee matchups.

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Speaker 1: Rkatslaw Venue will be interesting as well, just because you

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Speaker 1: know it's it's the top twenty five matchups. So Vanny

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Speaker 1: got a big win last weekend against Georgia, kind of

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Speaker 1: knocked Georgia out of there.

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Speaker 4: It's either going to be Vandy or.

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Speaker 1: Georgia as that second tier SEC team, and Vandy took that,

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Speaker 1: took that calling card zone.

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Speaker 4: Now we shall see.

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Speaker 2: Let's roll right into your future and tell us why now,

403
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Speaker 2: tell us as a guy that is not completely tied

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Speaker 2: to the university, tell us why.

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Speaker 4: I mean, yeah, I'm bandwagon. I'm bandwagon to the death

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Speaker 4: here this week, and I feel bad about it.

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Speaker 1: I do, but it's my last opportunity if I'm going

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Speaker 1: to pick Arkansas and again you're talking to the guy

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Speaker 1: who you know was crying on the.

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Speaker 4: Field watching cars and shatty drop it against Oregon State.

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Speaker 4: So you know, I believe in this team.

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Speaker 1: If they can remove Brady Slavin's from the lineup, we

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Speaker 1: have a real shot to be a good baseball team.

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Speaker 1: But so at thirteen to one right now or thirteen

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Speaker 1: plus thirteen hundred, I think that it's the We're not

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Speaker 1: going to see. These odds are only going to get

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Speaker 1: worse for me. So if I don't take it now,

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Speaker 1: we got Vandy come into town. I believe we're going

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Speaker 1: to win.

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Speaker 4: Now. If we don't win, then I'm not sure that

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Speaker 4: I believe it's a good bet.

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Speaker 1: But if we do win, then the odds are going

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Speaker 1: to get worse because we're going to move up in

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Speaker 1: the polls more, our projected seed will go up. And

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Speaker 1: you know, without fail, I mean, you still see Bandy

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Speaker 1: at plus fifteen hundred, only just because Bandy's got a

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Speaker 1: program that you know, wins, wins a lot of baseball games.

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Speaker 4: They have people with a bet so and.

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Speaker 2: Buster only likes to tweet about them a lot, right,

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Speaker 2: right exactly.

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Speaker 1: I mean at the end of the at the end

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Speaker 1: of the day, I'm placing a bet because there's not

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Speaker 1: going to be another time to bet on Arkansas this season.

434
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 4: So here I am here, I am falling my boys

435
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,040
Speaker 4: in the battle, and we'll see how goes down.

436
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:44,680
Speaker 2: Let's step out, let me step out of the box

437
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:47,080
Speaker 2: here of being two alums, because I am certainly very

438
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,399
Speaker 2: contrariying with the football and the basketball team. I'll be

439
00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:51,920
Speaker 2: contrariing here. It's hard to hate on Arkansas from what

440
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,200
Speaker 2: they do. From a defensive perspective. Their number two in

441
00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:57,280
Speaker 2: fielders defended, there's sixth in the era and twelve and

442
00:20:57,359 --> 00:21:00,159
Speaker 2: whip And why does that work? Because bomb Stadium is

443
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,359
Speaker 2: actually a pitcher's park. It's really hard to get balls

444
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:05,200
Speaker 2: over the fence and Arkansas's offense, which has struggled this year,

445
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:08,600
Speaker 2: starting to show signs of life. There's been actually you

446
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 2: can't get Dave van Horn change the lineup. He actually

447
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,680
Speaker 2: changed the lineup a little bit, started to work out.

448
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:14,320
Speaker 2: It started to be some runs on the board. The

449
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 2: Brad's right, there's no hurdles from this Arkansas team, a

450
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:18,880
Speaker 2: team that is going to be a super regional host.

451
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,920
Speaker 2: So eleven to one, I feel like Arkansas to Oregon State.

452
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,560
Speaker 2: This is last call. This is last call on numbers

453
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,880
Speaker 2: that are above eight to one. Now for me, I'm

454
00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 2: going to pivot off and take a team. I told

455
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,160
Speaker 2: everybody that I bet this team fifty to one before

456
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 2: the season even started, and I did, And now the

457
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:37,399
Speaker 2: number is even better. And I still like him. And

458
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 2: that's Dallas Baptist. Dallas Baptist is methodically dismantling teams right now.

459
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 2: Their strength of schedule is third in the nation. They're

460
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 2: twentieth in road RPI. They are extremely battle tested, and

461
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 2: if you look at other numbers, you're kind of like,

462
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,520
Speaker 2: you know, you kind of got warm fuzzies, like thirty

463
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 2: first fieldy percentage, thirty fifth in home runs per game,

464
00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:01,480
Speaker 2: Dallas Baptist right now is projected to be a number

465
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:05,880
Speaker 2: two seed interregional, and they're listed at ninety to one.

466
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,359
Speaker 2: You're gonna give me ninety to one odds on a

467
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,400
Speaker 2: number two seed that I think right now is projected

468
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,920
Speaker 2: to go up against LSU, Like I will take a

469
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 2: ninety to one into a regional and shreepoard against LSU.

470
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,600
Speaker 2: But Dallas Baptist really has a lot of things going

471
00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:22,440
Speaker 2: for There's seven and five against the RPI Top twenty five.

472
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,800
Speaker 2: They have a winning record against everybody, you know, any

473
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:28,000
Speaker 2: way you slice the RPI, they're winners. Their non conference

474
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 2: RPI second best in the nation, non conference strength of

475
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:35,120
Speaker 2: schedule first in the nation. They've played the toughest schedule

476
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:38,879
Speaker 2: outside of their week conference. Dallas Baptist, we've seen challenge

477
00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:41,720
Speaker 2: of the supers before. I'm taking a ninety to one

478
00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 2: on these guys. Brad are you Are you with me

479
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 2: on Dallas Baptists. I mean they're always of the super

480
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:46,480
Speaker 2: regional talk, Yeah, I.

481
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,480
Speaker 4: Mean they are that. They're They're a program that everybody knows,

482
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 4: you know, from over the years.

483
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 1: They their crew, well, they played good baseball down there,

484
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,160
Speaker 1: and I think I've just figured it out. Why you're

485
00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 1: having that discussion about Dallas Baptist. Here's how you get

486
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:04,440
Speaker 1: here's how you created a good RPI. You play Big

487
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 1: twelve teams midweek. Yep, Arkansas removed that from your schedule

488
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 1: this season. We have a terrible RPI. Dallas Baptist. You

489
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,560
Speaker 1: know they played Big Tee, You play Texas, you play

490
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. You know these are very beatable teams midweek

491
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 1: and you grab a couple of WS against Oklahoma Oklahoma State.

492
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,840
Speaker 1: That's how Dallas Baptist has such a great RPI. But

493
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,800
Speaker 1: all that to say, Dallas Baptists at ninety to one, man,

494
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, it's not free money because the

495
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,399
Speaker 1: odds that they win it's a long shot. But as

496
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:42,119
Speaker 1: far as long shots go, you're making a lot more

497
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 1: money off that than you know, what you did off

498
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 1: you know, just just picking a horse on Saturday, and

499
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:50,520
Speaker 1: we saw the biggest alarm shot win that we'd ever

500
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:52,960
Speaker 1: seen and we were in ninety to one.

501
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 2: Well, I think we should look at it this way. Okay,

502
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,320
Speaker 2: So Dallas Baptist is listed at ninety to one to

503
00:23:57,359 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 2: win the national championship. Can they win the national Championship?

504
00:23:59,880 --> 00:24:02,200
Speaker 2: I don't know, but ninety to one gives me a

505
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 2: lot of headroom. Right now, they would be scheduled to

506
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 2: go into Shreamport, Brad, Dallas Baptist has just as good

507
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 2: of a chance as LSU to win a regional in Shreamport.

508
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:12,480
Speaker 1: Do you agree?

509
00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 4: Yeah?

510
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 2: Agreed?

511
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 4: I mean yeah, one hundred percent.

512
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 1: I mean they're not going to be afraid going on

513
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 1: the road, uh whatever wherever they go.

514
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 4: To be honest with you, I mean, they've been around

515
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:23,920
Speaker 4: the block.

516
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:26,199
Speaker 1: So it is a very good bad you know, if

517
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 1: you're looking for if you're looking for something outside of

518
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 1: the box that you know gives you some get you

519
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 1: you know, for some really large winnings down the road,

520
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 1: if you pick it at Dallas Baptist, is you know,

521
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:38,560
Speaker 1: they've they've got a shot. Yeah.

522
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:40,560
Speaker 2: And I think what people should realize though, is like

523
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,680
Speaker 2: if you're new to college baseball and you haven't bet

524
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:47,080
Speaker 2: this before, Dallas Baptist is a season postseason team. There

525
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 2: are other teams that you may not recognize, but they're

526
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 2: actually you know, they've been around the postseason before, like

527
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,639
Speaker 2: Grand Canyon. Right now, they are slated to be a

528
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:57,840
Speaker 2: number two. Yeah, cal State Fullerton, right or not?

529
00:24:57,920 --> 00:24:58,720
Speaker 4: Even on this list.

530
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:00,520
Speaker 1: But you know, I wouldn't be surprised as they were

531
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 1: somewhere because the health State Bullertin's always there.

532
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, And when like when I see teams like Central

533
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,159
Speaker 2: Connecticut State, I mean they've been in faith Tho a

534
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 2: few times. Like some of these teams know how to

535
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:12,400
Speaker 2: play in the postseason. So you know, just don't write

536
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 2: them off because you've never heard of them before, or

537
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 2: they have a bad basketball or football team. Dallas Baptists

538
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 2: can play baseball, and I have no call. I would

539
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,080
Speaker 2: not hedge my ninety to one going into Shreamport. That's

540
00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 2: where they're projected to go into right now, So book it.

541
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:28,640
Speaker 2: Brad's going Arkansas eleven to one. This is your last

542
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 2: chance to get the Razorbacks. So the good number, I'm

543
00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,879
Speaker 2: going Dallas Baptist ninety to one, better than the fifty

544
00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:35,560
Speaker 2: to one that they opened up out at CIRCA to

545
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 2: bit start the season. Take that ninety to one all day.

546
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,639
Speaker 2: That is going to join our stable of futures. Again,

547
00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 2: just to recap, Brad thinks Texas Tech is going to

548
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:47,760
Speaker 2: win the series. I'm going to lay off and we're

549
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:51,520
Speaker 2: both going to tell you bet on Justin Campbell Friday

550
00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 2: night for Oklahoma State bet On Brandon bird Sell or

551
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 2: Texas Tech on Saturday night. I'm going to sit out Sunday.

552
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:01,320
Speaker 2: We both like Virginia Tech to sue Louisville. We both

553
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 2: like Miami to go to Florida State. If not, Sweet

554
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:07,000
Speaker 2: take the series from the seminals and that's going to

555
00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 2: do it. For this week's College Baseball podcast, Brad, we've

556
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:12,920
Speaker 2: got we've got what two three weeks left to regionals.

557
00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 2: I couldn't be more excited. You know, are you Are

558
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 2: you ready for the craziness of fourteen thousand people at

559
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 2: bomb Stadium and you know seeing some of these teams

560
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 2: come to town.

561
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:26,560
Speaker 1: Absolutely cannot wait. Yeah, that's that's the hard part of

562
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,280
Speaker 1: this time of year. You got to win otherwise you're

563
00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 1: not going to get to have those weekends.

564
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:32,199
Speaker 4: So we need to win now.

565
00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:35,359
Speaker 1: And good of luck to all the other teams out

566
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:38,440
Speaker 1: there that need to keep their ws because it's it's

567
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:40,520
Speaker 1: a lot of fun down the stretch and we'll see,

568
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 1: we'll see how it goes.

569
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:44,520
Speaker 2: Go Hogs Hogs. Yeah, Brad and I will be in

570
00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:47,800
Speaker 2: Balm Stadium for Vanderbilt Arkansas this weekend. We will catch

571
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:49,840
Speaker 2: you guys. Next week on the podcast, we are inching

572
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,959
Speaker 2: closer to the regionals, which will turn to the Supers,

573
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 2: which will eventually turn into Omaha, and we will be

574
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,800
Speaker 2: here at the Big Bets on Campus podcast to make

575
00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 2: sure you have all of your gambling needs. Go Okclhombas

576
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,639
Speaker 2: State Friday night, Go Texas Tech on Saturday night. Get

577
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 2: your Dallas Baptist and your Arkansas futures in. I'm Colin Wilson,

578
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,920
Speaker 2: who's brad Al Drain. We will see you on the

579
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 2: road the Omaha