1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. I'm joined by Richardaldo, 2 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: the newly promoted vice chairman of Goldman Sachs. Richard, first 3 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 1: of all, good morning, thank you so much for joining us. 4 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 1: But look, a change of job, a change of title. 5 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: How do you feel about it? 6 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 2: I feel fantastic for the overall firm. It's a hugely 7 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 2: exciting and energizing time. If I put into a broader context, you, 8 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 2: if I think about twenty twenty three, twenty Forard is really 9 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,160 Speaker 2: nailing the firm's strategy, which we've really got set. You're 10 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 2: putting in the organizational structure, but of course people is 11 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 2: the most important thing here, and we've now put in 12 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 2: place a broad set of leaders that can really take 13 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 2: this forward, execute and deliver over the next five to 14 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,519 Speaker 2: ten years. And so that's what this is part of. 15 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 2: For myself, Yeah, I've given up my CEO responsibilities for GSI, 16 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 2: but I'm thrilled to have the remit to really operate 17 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 2: broadly around the world and spend time with our people, 18 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 2: our clients, and I'm I'm very excited about the next 19 00:00:57,880 --> 00:00:58,639 Speaker 2: next period of time. 20 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 1: So what's the one thing that Goldman has to do now? 21 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:03,400 Speaker 1: Is it talent retention more than actually getting strategy right, 22 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 1: which actually has proven to be the right thing to do. 23 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, we've just got to we've got to have the 24 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 2: right people, and we've got to have the right culture. 25 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:12,959 Speaker 2: And if we get people in culture right, Goldman Sacks 26 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 2: will continue to be a great firm. And so we 27 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:17,039 Speaker 2: focus on that day in and day out. We invest 28 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 2: in it. This is part of that investment. The other 29 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 2: thing I'd say is here we focus so much on 30 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 2: making sure that we've got a deep bench. But there's 31 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 2: no point in having a deep bench if you don't 32 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 2: use it. And this is an example of us really 33 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 2: using that bench and bringing the next generation off. And 34 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 2: there's going to be a huge amount of energy and 35 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 2: our clients will feel it, our people will feel it. 36 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 2: It's an exciting time. 37 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 1: Are you expecting to also hire a lot more given 38 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:42,680 Speaker 1: all of the animal spirits that could be unlocked in 39 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: the US? And what does it mean for the rest 40 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: of the world, including Europe? 41 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 2: Well, you know, we always try and modulate this. It's 42 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 2: easy to get carried away. None of us can predict 43 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 2: the future. Yeah, we all know how it feels right now. 44 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 2: If you're sitting here and you're talking to someone from 45 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 2: the US, it's huge optimism and enthusiasm. If you're talking 46 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 2: to someone from Europe, it's a little bit less the case. 47 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 2: And so we try and hire with a longer term view. 48 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 2: These are long term careers. We're not bringing people in 49 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 2: for the next twelve months. We're bringing people in for 50 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 2: a career. So hiring in at the bottom continues to 51 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 2: be hugely important. We do that whatever the cycle is. 52 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 2: But of course you know we're adding all the time 53 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 2: to our organization. The organization is growing. 54 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: I haven't one single person almost that's really optimistic about 55 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: the UK or Europe. 56 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 2: Are you No, The mood's not good. I mean my 57 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 2: takeaway would be and we all know the numbers, so 58 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 2: there's no point or need to rehearse them. Now. The 59 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 2: sentiment across you know, the big cap the big name 60 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 2: European industrial companies, you know that CEO community, there's an 61 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,639 Speaker 2: increasing level of frustration because obviously they can see what's 62 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,360 Speaker 2: happening in the US. Frankly, a lot of them are 63 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 2: investing significant dollars into the US, that's where the money's going. 64 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 2: But they also want to invest and grow and build 65 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 2: in the European economy, and so there's an increasing sense 66 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 2: of frustration, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see 67 00:02:59,919 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 2: that community broadly becoming much more assertive, assertive with the 68 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:09,399 Speaker 2: regulatory framework, assertive in Brussels, in their own domestic capitals, 69 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:12,959 Speaker 2: and really leaning in because I think that everybody knows 70 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 2: what the program needs to be. But I think people 71 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 2: are done with the talking. People really want to try 72 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,800 Speaker 2: and push this into action. And if there is no 73 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 2: response from the discussions, then once and I said, we'll 74 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 2: see more assertion going forward, I suspect. 75 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:29,079 Speaker 1: How do you see client behavior? Are they going to 76 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 1: spend more money? Are Europeans and international investors just going 77 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 1: to be spending more money in the US or are 78 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 1: they staying put for the moment until they figure out 79 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: what happens. 80 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 2: Both things are happening, so you the opportunity and the 81 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 2: returns are obviously they're in the US. And you know, 82 00:03:45,320 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 2: we've seen the activity of this week. That's only going 83 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 2: to encourage that behavior. So we'll continue to see capital 84 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 2: flowing in that direction. But look, Europe is a very 85 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,839 Speaker 2: very large and significant economy and people want to participate here, 86 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 2: so I think we will see more restructure, We'll see 87 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 2: more consolidation. There's a real need across Europe to build 88 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 2: global champions of scale that can compete globally. Certainly in 89 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 2: our backlog and our client discussions, your EMINE activity, big 90 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 2: strategic transactions. You know, we're seeing frankly as much of 91 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 2: that as I can remember. So I think things are 92 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:20,040 Speaker 2: going to things are going to move. 93 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: A credit credit what's your ambition there? 94 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 2: Well, as you know, we've got about one hundred and 95 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:27,039 Speaker 2: thirty one hundred and forty billion dollars of private credit 96 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:30,599 Speaker 2: sitting in our alternative asset management business and we aim 97 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 2: to double that. We want to get that through three 98 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:34,479 Speaker 2: hundred billion, and then we'll take it from there. This 99 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 2: is a This is a really important source of financing 100 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 2: for our client base and they will continue to use it. 101 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 2: We obviously managing that alternative asset platform for investors. But 102 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 2: if you're a user, if you're a corporate, you can 103 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 2: go to the bank market, you can go to the 104 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 2: public credit markets, and you can go to the private 105 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 2: cre and having that choice is important. It all ties 106 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 2: into the capital market union concept in Europe. We need 107 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 2: to develop these markets, We need to develop the securitization market. 108 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 2: Let's see what gets done. 109 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 1: I mean, what do you think Donald Trump's administration will 110 00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: unlock in terms of you know, crypto. Are you going 111 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: to see really big deregulation which would also probut private markets? 112 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:17,840 Speaker 2: Yeah. All I can say is if you if you're 113 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 2: an entrepreneur and you're getting out of bed in the 114 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 2: United States this week, you are full of optimism and 115 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 2: energy and whatever your chosen field. It may be crypto, 116 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 2: it maybe fracking, it maybe just starting a business. You're 117 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,039 Speaker 2: going to be optimistic that you can drive something forward. 118 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 2: So I wouldn't isolate it sector by sector. I think 119 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 2: the energy will be contagious and it will be contagious 120 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: across all parts of that economy. And I think that's 121 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:43,159 Speaker 2: what we're going to see. Now. We can't predict the future, 122 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:44,960 Speaker 2: as I said, so let's see how all of this 123 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 2: plays out. Obviously, the markets themselves have anticipated a lot 124 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 2: of this last year. The US market up twenty percent, 125 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:56,039 Speaker 2: was up twenty percent the year before. That market's not 126 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 2: going to grow twenty percent year in year out, So 127 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 2: you know, we need to have some sense of moderation 128 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 2: in terms of where the market is. But the underlying 129 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:06,159 Speaker 2: energy across the economy. The economic growth, you know, plus 130 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 2: two percent? Does it get to three percent? Time will tell, 131 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 2: But there's a lot of energy then. 132 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: I mean there seems too you know, equities are price 133 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,479 Speaker 1: of perfection in the US. Should that be a worry 134 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:18,240 Speaker 1: when there's a lot of talk about inflation being a 135 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 1: concern for the Fed. 136 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:22,799 Speaker 2: Well, it's judge perfection with hindsight. It depends what happens. 137 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 2: Maybe they're priced with perfection, maybe they're not. But obviously 138 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:28,479 Speaker 2: rates are a huge focus. You know, we've seen one 139 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 2: hundred racist points of road cuts over the last twelve months. 140 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 2: You know, we expect another fifty this year, maybe another 141 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 2: twenty five and twenty twenty six. But the data is 142 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 2: going to determine how that plays out. And obviously, if 143 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 2: the economy is running really hot, that's going to be 144 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 2: more difficult to have those red cuts here. The tariff discussion, 145 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:48,919 Speaker 2: we'll see how that plays out. If that is on 146 00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 2: the margin inflationary again, that'll make it more difficult for redcuts. 147 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 2: There's a lot in front of us, and so the 148 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 2: range of outcomes is as broad as it's ever been here. 149 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 2: And I think if the left tail and the right 150 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 2: tail you know, they're long and they're fatter than they've been. 151 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 2: So I think one needs to be forward leaning the 152 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 2: windows that you're back. But I think you need to 153 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 2: be a risk manager at the second time and be 154 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 2: looking left and right and make sure that you know 155 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 2: you're anticipating all the potential outcomes. They're all possible. 156 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: Is that your biggest concern is kind of bifurcation or 157 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: trying to understand, you know, the positive and the negative. 158 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 2: That's our job, you know, our job is to be 159 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 2: ready for whatever the outcome is going to be, and 160 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 2: we advise our clients in that way. We manage our 161 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 2: own risks in that way because, as we said a 162 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 2: couple of times in this discussion, the future is hard 163 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 2: to predict. 164 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 1: In terms of the announcements that we've had, I think 165 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: you've doubled the management committee. If you look at the numbers, 166 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: more women would probably be welcome. What's the secret sauce 167 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 1: on that. 168 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:57,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, we continue to drive those initiatives. You're absolutely right, 169 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:01,239 Speaker 2: it's a huge priority for the organization. Our most recent 170 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 2: partner class, which we announced at the end of last year, 171 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 2: in our European partner group, actually thirty eight percent of 172 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 2: that class was women. It was the highest number ever globally. 173 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 2: It was in the high twenties. We would love to 174 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 2: have more representation on the management committee. We will get 175 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 2: more representation on the management committee, and we're pushing people forward. 176 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 2: And I think if you if you look beyond the 177 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 2: management Committee and some of the recent announcements, you know 178 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 2: there are a lot of very very important jobs. You know, 179 00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 2: we shore going to women the leadership bench. There is 180 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 2: growing in a very very good way. We'd all like 181 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:34,079 Speaker 2: it to go faster. 182 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for joining us, Richard Nade. They 183 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 1: are the vice chairman of Goldman Sachs