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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Tuesday morning edition in the Deal Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host Matt Perolt. You can follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning we're

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Speaker 1: here on Betting pros dot com. I was being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by our great friends at bet mgm Okay.

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Speaker 1: So a couple things here out of the gate. I

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Speaker 1: liked my picks yesterday, even though we went oh one

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Speaker 1: and one. Look, when it goes to overtime, it's sort

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Speaker 1: of a coin flip. You had a power play there.

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Speaker 1: I wasn't watching the game, by the way, but I

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Speaker 1: just was following me along. It's my vacation with my family,

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Speaker 1: so I was not actually physically watching the game. I

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Speaker 1: was following it on my phone. But you know, you

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Speaker 1: get a push on the total at I had under

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Speaker 1: it goes to a push and then basically it came

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Speaker 1: down to the Canadians or the Lightning winning that game.

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Speaker 1: And look, I'll be comfortable taking a team up three

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Speaker 1: to zero hoping of bouncing in the puck. I haven't

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Speaker 1: seen the game winning goal yet, but you know, power

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Speaker 1: players start overtime, and you know, tip of the cap

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Speaker 1: Montreal one, I think you come back and bet Tampa

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Speaker 1: coming up in Game five, and I wasn't betting on

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Speaker 1: the puck line. People were asking me on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: you know, do you take Tampa on the puck line?

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Speaker 1: And ninety one percent of the money was on Tampa

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Speaker 1: on the puck line, and that was not a good bet.

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Speaker 1: I didn't like that. I thought it was going to

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Speaker 1: be a three to one to two to one type

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Speaker 1: of win. It turned into a three to two win

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Speaker 1: for the Montreal Canadians. Good job out of them to

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Speaker 1: keep themselves alive. But I'm look, this is not Toronto. Okay.

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Speaker 1: Can we please stop comparing? Here comes the comeback. Look,

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Speaker 1: it's just I don't believe it, but you know, who knows?

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Speaker 1: What do I know? I'm ice cold, And look, I'll

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Speaker 1: take a half a unit loss of a day as

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Speaker 1: like a major victory given where I have been. But

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Speaker 1: I do like I did like those plays yesterday. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so we have the start of the NBA Finals today.

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Speaker 1: I've got four plays for you guys, two on the

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Speaker 1: NBA Finals, one in baseball, and one in golf to

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Speaker 1: give you guys coming up here today. But just so

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Speaker 1: you know, I'm only putting a unit in play today.

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Speaker 1: I'm still very small and I'm still cold, and I'm

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Speaker 1: on vacation on that. So, like, I don't want to

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Speaker 1: be sweating the fact that, you know, I've got a

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Speaker 1: ton of money in play. These are all wagers, and

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Speaker 1: if you're betting my plays and you're losing, you know,

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Speaker 1: hopefully you start fading me because if you had faded me,

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Speaker 1: you would have been you would have won because that

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Speaker 1: plus money on the Canadians would have paid off pretty well.

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Speaker 1: So I don't again, I don't mind fading, but these

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Speaker 1: are the picks I like, I think you have to

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Speaker 1: start to change your mentality. When you're cold. You can

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Speaker 1: kind of be depressed for a while, and then you've

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Speaker 1: got to come back and start firing. So I'm firing

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Speaker 1: again here. I feel confident in these four plays. Even

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Speaker 1: though I'm not putting a ton of money behind it.

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Speaker 1: I'm still firing on these four plays for you guys

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Speaker 1: coming up here today. Okay, So here are the four

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Speaker 1: plays for us on the Tuesday edition of the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast. Also, wait real quick, somebody asked, you know

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Speaker 1: where you're going to try to do the discord bet

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Speaker 1: this week. I can't do the Discord the Discord Bet

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Speaker 1: this week. It just doesn't work out and I can't

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Speaker 1: take half an hour away from my vacation with my

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Speaker 1: family and just to start, you know, talking to you guys.

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Speaker 1: So I apologize. We're going to punt on that for

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Speaker 1: the week and we're going to come back here and

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Speaker 1: start up at the end of the week. It's a

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Speaker 1: big week. It's a really cool week. Not only am

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Speaker 1: I on vacation, but we've got this monster UFC event

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Speaker 1: coming up on Saturday that I cannot wait to get to.

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Speaker 1: I'll be at the press conferences on Thursday, I'll be

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Speaker 1: at the weigh ins on Friday, and I'll be at

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Speaker 1: the event on Saturday, so all in Vegas. It's the

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Speaker 1: first real mega sporting event in Vegas. It's my first

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Speaker 1: sporting event since February of twenty twenty. So I'm really

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Speaker 1: looking forward to that and I'm really excited to get

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Speaker 1: going here with that. So we'll pick up the Discord wagering,

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Speaker 1: the Discord bet coming up next week. Maybe it's good

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Speaker 1: to take a week off or five and eight on that.

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Speaker 1: And given what has been going on, I mean, baseball

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Speaker 1: yesterday just wiped people out. I've never been so happy

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Speaker 1: to skip baseball then when I skipped it on mon Monday,

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Speaker 1: because it's just baseball's a mess right now. And again

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Speaker 1: I'm coming back on with one baseball bet, but it's

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Speaker 1: kind of an automatic type of firing on a baseball bet.

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Speaker 1: But it's a tough, tough gig right now. Baseball is

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Speaker 1: a tough gig right now. I was a very happy

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Speaker 1: to avoid betting baseball on Monday. Again, my bet here

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Speaker 1: on Tuesday is very very light, but yeah, it was tough.

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Speaker 1: It was a tough day for a lot of people

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Speaker 1: yesterday beton on baseball. But okay, so here are the

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Speaker 1: plays for today. Let's start with the NBA Finals. This

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Speaker 1: was a stat that I jumped on last night. I

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Speaker 1: fired on this bet as soon as I read this stat. Okay.

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Speaker 1: Since two thousand and five, the home teams are fifteen

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Speaker 1: and one straight up and fourteen and two against the

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Speaker 1: spreading Game one of the NBA Finals, which includes the

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Speaker 1: Lakers in the bubble last year, the only home team

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Speaker 1: to lose Game one in this stretch was Miami versus

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Speaker 1: San Antonio back in twenty thirteen. This is a rested

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Speaker 1: team for the Phoenix Suns, this is Chris Paul back

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Speaker 1: after a bunch of a couple of injuries. He should

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Speaker 1: be good to go and really fired up and overly

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Speaker 1: emotional and really excited to be out there on the court.

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Speaker 1: So I looked at the Suns here and I really

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Speaker 1: looked at giving away in the first half. It's a

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Speaker 1: bet I'm going to make personally, but laying the three

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Speaker 1: and a half in the first half, the Suns have

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Speaker 1: been really good this year in the first half. We

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Speaker 1: don't know about Yannis, but jannest is probably going to

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Speaker 1: try to play and he probably won't be all that effective,

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Speaker 1: maybe a little bit rusty early. But man, I just

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Speaker 1: think that there's an opportunity there to hop on the Suns.

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Speaker 1: But just the numbers aren't great in the postseason. The

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee Bucks are four and five over their last nine

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Speaker 1: in the first half. That's not great, and the Suns

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Speaker 1: are four and four in the first half over their

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Speaker 1: last eight. So it's not like there's a big jumping

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Speaker 1: out number that I can go ahead and back to say, yes,

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Speaker 1: you guys should be on this. So personally I'll be

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Speaker 1: on this, But for a quarter unit, I laid five

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Speaker 1: and a half as soon as I saw this. As

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Speaker 1: soon as that stat popped up, I jumped on five

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Speaker 1: and a half. The number has gone up to six. Now,

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Speaker 1: I don't hate it at six, but I also don't

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Speaker 1: hate if you guys want to go ahead and buy

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Speaker 1: half a point and buy it off of six and

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Speaker 1: buy it back down to five and a half, you

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Speaker 1: probably should get it at one twenty two mins one

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Speaker 1: twenty two on this. But my play is five and

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Speaker 1: a half. The official play will be six, okay, because

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Speaker 1: that's the number generally speaking everywhere. My thought process is this,

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Speaker 1: I think the Suns are the deeper team, and I

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Speaker 1: think the Suns are going to have just an incredible

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Speaker 1: whole atmosphere to ride. I think their defense is going

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Speaker 1: to be the best defensive team that Milwaukee has seen

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Speaker 1: so far here in the postseason, and that's cool. Across

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Speaker 1: the board. Team defense, DeAndre Ayton is going to be

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Speaker 1: a really big problem. They got a legitimate big to

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Speaker 1: go up against Giannis and go up against brook Lopez.

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Speaker 1: That significance. Now, it does limit Ayton as well. I

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Speaker 1: get that, And you've got Chris Paul against True Holliday

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Speaker 1: with it, I think it's going to be tremendous, but

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Speaker 1: I think the Booker factor is big. Even if he

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Speaker 1: doesn't score as many points as you think, you might

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Speaker 1: think the Booker factor is really large. He could be

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Speaker 1: a very difficult matchup depending on where you want to

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Speaker 1: put Drew Holliday. You think you might want to put

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Speaker 1: him on Booker, well, then Chris Paul goes off, and

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Speaker 1: then vice versa. So I think there's a big advantage there.

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Speaker 1: I think the bench is just deeper and better for

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Speaker 1: the Phoenix Suns. They have more weapons coming off the bench,

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Speaker 1: they have more three points shooting coming off the bench.

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Speaker 1: And I think this is just a second unit team

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Speaker 1: that might be able to stretch out leads. Maybe the

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Speaker 1: starters get a smaller lead, second unit comes in and

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Speaker 1: they stretch out the leads for the Suns. That's why

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Speaker 1: I think the first half wagers got some real value there.

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Speaker 1: But again, the numbers just don't really bear that out

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Speaker 1: as of yet here to give that out. So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna say, officially, for a quarter unit, we're gonna take

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Speaker 1: the Phoenix Suns here defensively to hold these teams in check.

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Speaker 1: I don't hate the under either, by the way, it's rising.

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Speaker 1: It's two eighteen and a half. Let that number rise

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Speaker 1: as high as you can and then come in and

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Speaker 1: bet on the under. But officially we're going to lay

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Speaker 1: this six with the Phoenix Suns at a quarter unit

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Speaker 1: to see Chris, Paul and company come out and play

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Speaker 1: well and play hard and get a win. Quarter unit

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Speaker 1: official play now, other quarter unit in this game. A

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Speaker 1: player prop that I want to give you guys. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so Chris Middleton. This is coming straight off the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. Chris Middleton is his number is twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half right now, Okay, you can shop

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Speaker 1: around here and find whatever value you want. You want

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Speaker 1: to find on this, but you can get you know,

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Speaker 1: minus one point fifteen one twenty. I found it at

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Speaker 1: minus one fifteen here on Chris Middleton to go under

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Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half points. The prop bet cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet has got this as a six point differential. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's a pretty big difference here, and it makes sense

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Speaker 1: if you go back and look at how Chris Midlton

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Speaker 1: has played here in the postseason. Scored thirty two points

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Speaker 1: in his last game. In the previous games in which

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Speaker 1: he has scored thirty or more points in the postseason,

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Speaker 1: he scored thirty eight points against Brooklyn. The next game,

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Speaker 1: he came back and scored twenty three. He scored thirty

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Speaker 1: eight points against Atlanta. The next game, he came back

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Speaker 1: and scored eighteen. Scored thirty two points here against Atlanta

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Speaker 1: in a crucial situation. Gianni's coming back might be limiting

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Speaker 1: this a little bit. And I think the defense is

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Speaker 1: going to be able to get out on the three

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Speaker 1: point shot and make make Middleton struggle. I like under

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Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half points for Chris Middleton here

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Speaker 1: in game one for a quarter unit. Okay, So we're

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Speaker 1: laying the six with the Suns for the game at

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Speaker 1: a quarter unit, and we're laying Chris Middleton under twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half points at minus one fifteen, also

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Speaker 1: four quarter unit. All right, one baseball bet to give you, guys,

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Speaker 1: And I don't need to go too in depth with this.

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Speaker 1: The Pittsburgh Pirates are taking on well well, Chad Coole

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Speaker 1: is pitching first and foremost. Okay, he is ten and

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Speaker 1: zero to run. Yes, in the first inning. William Hill

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Speaker 1: has got this minus one ten, okay, minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: It's a quarter unit bet, William Hill for yes for

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Speaker 1: a run in the first inning between the Pittsburgh Pirates

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Speaker 1: and the Atlanta Braves. Okay, so, Ian Anderson is a

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Speaker 1: pretty good pitcher. He's not horrible five and four the

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Speaker 1: three point three five eer. He's pitched fairly well recently

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Speaker 1: for the Braves as well, so you might go, you know,

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Speaker 1: is he the one that's going to give up a

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Speaker 1: run in the first inning. That's tough. Although in its

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Speaker 1: last start, the Mets scored one run off him in

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Speaker 1: the top of the first inning, the Braves came back

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Speaker 1: and scored three for him, so maybe that continues here.

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Speaker 1: We know what Chad Coole has been doing. The dude

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Speaker 1: just has been phenomenal when it comes to runs being

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Speaker 1: scored in the first inning, either four for him or

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Speaker 1: against him, with a ten and zero mark for him.

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Speaker 1: In his last one, he was pretty nice. His team

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Speaker 1: scored two runs even though he held the Rockies scoreless.

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Speaker 1: It was a nice Pittsburgh Pirates bounce back, and they

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Speaker 1: scored a couple for him as well. And the previous

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Speaker 1: game also, the Pirates scored two runs at the top

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Speaker 1: of the first inning, so they're giving him run support.

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Speaker 1: The Pirate's kind of feeling like, all right, maybe not

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Speaker 1: our best pitcher on the mound. We need to get

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Speaker 1: out there and help him. Pirates scored five runs in

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Speaker 1: the stort against the Cleveland Indians when it was five nothing,

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Speaker 1: So you might go with Chad cool is a really

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Speaker 1: bad pitcher. Yeah, but I think the offense realizes when

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Speaker 1: he's on the mound they got to score because he's

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Speaker 1: going to give up runs. And that's what's led to

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Speaker 1: a ten and oh mark. And really the multiple runs

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Speaker 1: being scored in the first inning for the Pirates. So

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Speaker 1: maybe you want to look at over one and a

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Speaker 1: half runs if you've got that available at your book

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Speaker 1: for the Pittsburgh Pirates might not be a bad bet

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Speaker 1: to make. But we're gonna go ahead and jump on yes,

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Speaker 1: run in the first inning minus one ten for the

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Speaker 1: Pirates and their game coming up here today against the

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Speaker 1: Atlanta Brave for a quarter unit and then one more

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Speaker 1: wage to make. And again, you can put this out

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Speaker 1: whatever you want, fate or follow this, you know, however

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Speaker 1: you want to do it. But I'm just putting one

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Speaker 1: unit in play. I don't want to have more than

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Speaker 1: a U one unit, but I like all four of

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Speaker 1: these bets. Let's talk about the match happening in the

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Speaker 1: middle of nowhere between Brady and Mickelson and Bryson, Day

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Speaker 1: Shambeau and Aaron Rodgers. All right, so here's a couple

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Speaker 1: of things. This golf course, it looks like you should

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Speaker 1: be all it should be all in on Bryson. Right,

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Speaker 1: it's nearly eight thousand yards, it's at altitude. You just

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Speaker 1: grip it, you rip it, you let it fly, and

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Speaker 1: you just go ahead and blast this thing. Right. Brady

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Speaker 1: has been talking to a lot of social media. But

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Speaker 1: here's the thing about Phil Mickelson's game and what he's

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Speaker 1: doing right now. You go through this golf course a

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Speaker 1: little bit and you realize that, Okay, Phil's got a

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Speaker 1: lot of length. It's not like Bryson's gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to blast the ball past him. And the attention on Bryson,

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Speaker 1: remember what happened at the US Open. You know, he

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Speaker 1: looks shaky and then he fired his caddy right before

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Speaker 1: the last event and he missed the cut. Someone are saying, well,

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Speaker 1: maybe he's more he was true focused on this. I

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Speaker 1: just think the spotlight for this is going to be

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Speaker 1: so bright. I don't know if Bryson's used to having

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Speaker 1: everyone look at every shot and then if he messes up.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Bryson can throw up a snowman, he can

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Speaker 1: throw up a he can throw up a quad really easily. Here.

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Speaker 1: So I think at plus one sixty five, which is

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Speaker 1: at the Westgate here in Vegas, plus one sixty five

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Speaker 1: for Brady and Mickelson, I got Phil Mickelson and Tom Brady. Now,

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Speaker 1: Brady didn't play great the last time we saw him

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Speaker 1: on this event, But do we know if Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: can play with this type of intensity. It takes experience.

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Speaker 1: Brady's been in this thing before. I like experience. I

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Speaker 1: like Lefty, and I think there's a big question about

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Speaker 1: Bryson Dave Schambeau right now mentally as to where he

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Speaker 1: is and what's going on with him. I think he's

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Speaker 1: kind of in his head. His golfing game is not

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Speaker 1: that great right now. And you know that this is

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Speaker 1: you know, Brady and Mickelson are licking their chops here

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Speaker 1: for a chance to get after these guys. So I

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Speaker 1: think it's worth the flyer at a quarter unit. I'm

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Speaker 1: taking Lefty and Brady. Man, give me, I don't I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna question Bryson. I'm gonna question his abilities here as

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Speaker 1: to where he is mentally, and I'm just not sold

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Speaker 1: he's gonna be able to come out here and handle

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Speaker 1: this type of intensity and this type of pressure with

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Speaker 1: everyone watching every single shot he makes here for the match.

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Speaker 1: So give me plus money, give me the dog, Give

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Speaker 1: me Michelson and Brady at plus one sixty five for

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Speaker 1: a quarter unit. Let the public you may get a

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Speaker 1: better number than that. Let the public go off. And

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Speaker 1: oh it's Bryson, it's Bricon. Great, great, Yeah, it's Bryson. Eh.

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Speaker 1: Not feeling Bryson's game at all right now where he is,

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Speaker 1: And I love where Phil is mentally. I love that

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Speaker 1: he rises up. He is his old hat for him

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Speaker 1: now he knows how to play like this. And Brady

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Speaker 1: has the experience as well. But I'm not betting on Brady.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting on Mickelson. I think Michelson's going to bring

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Speaker 1: his game here, and I like where Michelson's game is

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Speaker 1: a lot more than I like where Bryson Day Shamboa's

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Speaker 1: mental game is right now, in particular with the soul

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Speaker 1: Caddy firing break up situation, It's just not a good

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Speaker 1: situation at all. For Bryson Day Shambell. Okay, so those

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Speaker 1: are the plays coming up here for a Tuesday four plays.

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Speaker 1: Not not a lot of money in play with only

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Speaker 1: one unit in play, but a couple of things here.

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Speaker 1: We do have a winner from the Gianice onto the

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Speaker 1: Coupo Jersey sorry on onto Basketball. Excuse me that we're

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Speaker 1: really excited. We have a winner in Michigan who was

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Speaker 1: able to grab a hold of that, which was really

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Speaker 1: cool news to have that. Cameron from Sturge's Michigan has

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Speaker 1: won the Giannis signed basketball and this month's giveaway is

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Speaker 1: an autographed Magic Johnson jersey. Yes, a autographed Magic Johnson jersey.

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Speaker 1: So if you've not left your review yet, what are

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Speaker 1: you waiting for? It's very easy. You go to Apple

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Speaker 1: or Stitcher, drop a review in, screenshot it, and go

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Speaker 1: to Betting pros dot com slash juice, fill out the form,

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Speaker 1: drop the picture in, and you're entered into every contest

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Speaker 1: we do, including this one. For an autographed Magic Johnson

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Speaker 1: jersey would look really amazing framed and hung up in

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Speaker 1: your man cave. To have that so positive negative Matt,

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Speaker 1: you suck, Matt, I love the podcast. Whatever you want

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Speaker 1: to leave for a review that's totally on you. We're

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Speaker 1: over twelve hundred reviews now, I think on Apple, which

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Speaker 1: is really cool. But we're still trying to make it

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Speaker 1: grow and get bigger and bigger, so really cool stuff

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Speaker 1: with that. So congratulations to Cameron from Michigan for winning

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Speaker 1: the Jannis basketball autographed and let's get that winner for

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Speaker 1: you guys, that autographed Magic Johnson jersey, which will be

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Speaker 1: up for the month of July here for us. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so once again the four plays. You can fade or

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Speaker 1: follow this, but here's the plays I am making so

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Speaker 1: far here today we're laying six with the Suns at

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Speaker 1: a quarter unit, Chris Middleton under twenty seven and a

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Speaker 1: half points at a quarter unit, yes for a Pirates

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Speaker 1: and Braves run in the first inning at minus one

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Speaker 1: ten for a quarter unit, and we're taking Brady and

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Speaker 1: Michelson at plus one sixty five for a quarter unit

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Speaker 1: for the match coming up here today for golf. So

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Speaker 1: some golf, baseball and basketball coming up on here for

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Speaker 1: a Tuesday. I'm Att parolt. I apologize we don't have

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Speaker 1: any audio, sorry, any video. Rather for this just an

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Speaker 1: audio example of this podcast because I went to the

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Speaker 1: Genius Bar. I was on the phone I was doing

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Speaker 1: on the phone with Apple. Then I was on a

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Speaker 1: live chat with Apple, and then I went to the

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Speaker 1: Genius Bar, which is like going to the DMV. By

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Speaker 1: the way, someone made that joke in the Discord Channel,

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Speaker 1: and I agree. I sat there for about a half

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Speaker 1: an hour until somebody came over and saw it and

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Speaker 1: basically told me that your computer needs a brand new screen.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not going to do that here in San Diego.

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Speaker 1: So it's gonna be a little while. We're not gonna

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Speaker 1: have video until I get back to Vegas. We'll pick

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Speaker 1: the video back up on Thursday, Friday and Saturday, Sunday

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Speaker 1: and probably for Monday too, and then we'll probably be

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Speaker 1: without video for a couple of days while the computer

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Speaker 1: goes into a shop next week or so for that.

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Speaker 1: So I got to get it done because we have

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Speaker 1: a new podcast coming. If you guys haven't heard that,

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Speaker 1: I'll explain that a little bit later on as we

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Speaker 1: get closer, but a new long form podcast will drop

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Speaker 1: the Discord Channel. Guys, you're aware of what I'm talking about.

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Speaker 1: But we got a brand new podcast coming that I

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Speaker 1: think you guys are going to really really like that

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Speaker 1: I'm hosting on Bettingpros dot com for people in the

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Speaker 1: industry to have conversations about sports, gambling, so on that

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Speaker 1: a little bit later on. My name is Matt Paralzi.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning it's the Daily Juice podcast right here on

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com, Brought you by BEDAMJM.