Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice
Speaker 1: and speculation and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop
Speaker 1: into the show. Now, here's your host, Paul. Welcome to
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly, not quite a super Bowl edition one
Speaker 1: week away. I am Paul Charchy and my co host
Speaker 1: today Brian Johnson, Today again every day every week. Matt, Yeah, yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: Matt and Fish dead dead. We gotta get them back
Speaker 1: on the show. We missed them. Our brethren and Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly, thank you for joining us. There's a lot
Speaker 1: to get to. Uh today we're thinking about Okay, it's
Speaker 1: the Super Bowls next week. We're gonna break down the
Speaker 1: super Bowl next week and all excruciating detail. I still
Speaker 1: need time to just like decompress from my Bengals stunning.
Speaker 1: How about that. You must be feeling pretty good. It
Speaker 1: was even a long three years you and Bengals before others,
Speaker 1: before it was cool to go Bengals. You deserve this win.
Speaker 1: You know. It's admittedly a bit of a bit, but
Speaker 1: I still for the Bengals. But real, congrats to the
Speaker 1: the long suffering fan base, and I know I'm talking
Speaker 1: to you akings fans, so you're very sympathetic to that.
Speaker 1: They'll get there some day. We get there again someday.
Speaker 1: I should say it wasn't the outcome I expected. I
Speaker 1: just thought beating Patrick Mahomes and Arrowhead that they might
Speaker 1: be a year away, that Burrow wouldn't necessarily be up
Speaker 1: to that. Uh. Patrick Mahomes bombed that second half. And
Speaker 1: this is good. Honestly, it's good for the NFL because
Speaker 1: now we've got it's not just Patrick Mahomes. You know,
Speaker 1: all roads don't go through Patrick Mahomes all the time, right,
Speaker 1: you know, we've got what seems like it is going
Speaker 1: to be an epic dog fight in the playoffs for
Speaker 1: years between Mahomes and Borrow and Josh Allen and then
Speaker 1: hopefully Justin Herbert kissed there as well, and the Chargers
Speaker 1: get elevated into this because man, this is some great
Speaker 1: quarterbacking in the a f C. Now, yeah, the a
Speaker 1: f C is loaded for years quarterback the NFC quite
Speaker 1: the opposite. Now, Tom Brady out, Rogers probably out of
Speaker 1: the conference. You go figure Tennessee, Tennessee is a possibility
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is a possibility. We'll talk about all that. So
Speaker 1: what are we doing today, Brian were here, We're two
Speaker 1: minutes into this. We haven't even talked about what we're
Speaker 1: doing today. Um, we thought it'd be fun to just
Speaker 1: already work through a week how we think a first
Speaker 1: round for next year. We'll go and what will be interesting, Brian,
Speaker 1: is much later in the in the summer, when we're
Speaker 1: doing this exercise again. We'll go back to February early
Speaker 1: February and see how much things have changed our first
Speaker 1: blush look. And there's a lot of variables with us
Speaker 1: because we don't know where players are gonna land yet.
Speaker 1: Who's gonna be ware, So you know, there's still a
Speaker 1: lot of a lot of questions, hopefully in the super
Speaker 1: Bowl either because there's a couple of couple of guys. Yeah,
Speaker 1: but hey about that. Best ball season has started. People
Speaker 1: are drafting already. I am one of them cats already.
Speaker 1: Do I love it? There's for some people there is
Speaker 1: no offseason, including the show. We're here every week Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Thank you for joining us. So we're gonna
Speaker 1: work through our first round of a far too early
Speaker 1: mock draft, and you know, I've I wanted to you,
Speaker 1: and I did art we you and I did our
Speaker 1: own mock drafts people are gonna hear. And then I
Speaker 1: did some googling to just see how it laid out
Speaker 1: compared to the competition. And as usual, we differ from
Speaker 1: many other people that are already that have already done
Speaker 1: this exercise in some fascinating ways. We'll talk through that
Speaker 1: a little bit as well. I had the first pick,
Speaker 1: Brian Yep, and the first pick is this is gonna
Speaker 1: be the consensus number one pick in virtually every single
Speaker 1: draft without variation, Jonathan Taylor. He outscored the next best
Speaker 1: fantasy scorer, Austin Ekeler, by a margin of almost and
Speaker 1: he was fifty better then the tenth ranked running back
Speaker 1: Corridorol Patterson fifty more points. And there's little reason to
Speaker 1: believe that the Colts offense will be any worse next
Speaker 1: year unless they just like Jettison Carson Wentz and then
Speaker 1: just rebuild at the quarterback position. I think is the
Speaker 1: only possible scenario where this offense gets worse. Jettison, Jettison,
Speaker 1: ng Carrison Wentz could be additioned by a subtraction. I
Speaker 1: don't get who they bring in. I mean that's not true.
Speaker 1: Wentz was people rag on Wentz way too much. He
Speaker 1: was he was capable quarterback for most of this season. Yes,
Speaker 1: it's if you're starting over, who knows who you're getting.
Speaker 1: Maybe it's Jimmy Garoppolo. Let's say it's Garoppolo. This team
Speaker 1: is like, you know what, We've got a great power,
Speaker 1: great power running game, We've got a good defense. We're
Speaker 1: gonna bring in Garoppolo for a third round pick. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's the ladder moved best. Yeah, well that's what I say. Okay, enough,
Speaker 1: Carson went You look Jonathan Taylor talk because it's too obvious. Alright,
Speaker 1: So then you were up on pick number two, and
Speaker 1: I think already at pick two, you can go like
Speaker 1: five directions on this. I know universally it's more one player,
Speaker 1: but you and I both agree that we wouldn't take
Speaker 1: that guy. Here. Who are you taking number two? I'm
Speaker 1: reaching a little bit. Uh, He's still gonna be a
Speaker 1: first round pick in pretty much every draft. But I'm
Speaker 1: taking If I'm on the clock at number two, I'm
Speaker 1: taking Austin Ekeler, who's third and fantasy points per game
Speaker 1: among running backs only Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry averaged more.
Speaker 1: Eckler was one of three amongst the along with those
Speaker 1: two other guys who average twenty plus points in PPR
Speaker 1: per game among running backs. Going into the last season,
Speaker 1: people were worried he wouldn't get goal line work right
Speaker 1: wrong and like almost all of it. Fifth among running
Speaker 1: backs and carries inside the five, he had twelve. He
Speaker 1: scored on seven of those. That's a great rate success
Speaker 1: rate receiving wise, seventy catches, six fifty yards, eight receiving touchdowns.
Speaker 1: He missed the game, he was limited in the following games,
Speaker 1: so even play a full season. But I'm not I
Speaker 1: don't consider him to be, you know, an injury concern
Speaker 1: or soft or anything like that. And uh turns twenty
Speaker 1: seven in May. Uh really a lot of tread on
Speaker 1: the tires. He was not like he's been. Yeah, for sure,
Speaker 1: so he might get his most usage in this coming
Speaker 1: season and then last not but not least. He loves
Speaker 1: fantasy football to right. You understand the importance of scoring points,
Speaker 1: which I appreciate. So Austin Ekeler number two, you know
Speaker 1: I don't have a problem with that, particularly to PPR
Speaker 1: league especially don't most people would have taken Derrick Henry here.
Speaker 1: I would not have. I just think I want to
Speaker 1: get out a year two early on Derrick Henry, and
Speaker 1: I worry that at the beginning of the ends, you know,
Speaker 1: at the beginning of the ends coming we always do,
Speaker 1: all those carries would catch up. Now, he's also a
Speaker 1: totally special guy, and we'll talk. He will be taken
Speaker 1: in the first round, so we'll talk more about him later.
Speaker 1: But I'm with you, I would not have taken him
Speaker 1: in pick number two. You took Austin Ekeler pick number three.
Speaker 1: I'm up. In our mock first round, I would go
Speaker 1: just based on what we know today in February, I
Speaker 1: would go to Vante Adams over Cooper Cup. I think
Speaker 1: there's a lot of scenarios where Adams is still valuable here.
Speaker 1: And obviously we don't know what's going on Rodgers yet,
Speaker 1: but for this moment their teammates. Now, he may be
Speaker 1: playing with Aaron Rodgers someplace, someplace he's with Aaron Rodgers.
Speaker 1: That could be Grim Bay, it could be somewhere else
Speaker 1: where they go together. Is not is a real scenario
Speaker 1: that could happen someplace as an example, if Denver does
Speaker 1: trade for Aaron Rodgers, uh, then Adams goes with him,
Speaker 1: and you would expect that like Jerry Judy or both
Speaker 1: or something would come back, would come back to the Packers.
Speaker 1: So that's possible, and that's a good outcome for Davante him.
Speaker 1: You go number three. He if he hits free agency,
Speaker 1: and I think he will, Davante Adams could be playing
Speaker 1: for another great quarterback. He can pick his destination. You know,
Speaker 1: he can decide I want to go any police he
Speaker 1: wants uh, and he could find a destination of a
Speaker 1: great quarterback. Then that would also validate Davante Adams being
Speaker 1: picked number three. He could hit free agency and he
Speaker 1: could sign for a bunch of money, just take the money.
Speaker 1: He could go Kenny Golladay on it. That would be
Speaker 1: bad if he just like goes to a bad team
Speaker 1: with the bad quarterbacks. He's there for the money and
Speaker 1: he's just like I'm taking my pay day like Kenny
Speaker 1: Golladay did. That would be a bad scenario and he
Speaker 1: would not work out and he won't stay at number three. UM.
Speaker 1: In theory, the Packers could franchise him that, but they're
Speaker 1: fifty one million over the cap. How can they franchise anybody,
Speaker 1: So I don't think they're gonna be able to franchise him.
Speaker 1: So I don't think he ends up. I don't think
Speaker 1: he ends up staying in Green Bay Um and the
Speaker 1: franchise tag anyway. So I think there's a lot of
Speaker 1: scenarios where Davante Adams remains viable at pick number three,
Speaker 1: and I would take him over Cooper Up because of
Speaker 1: the long term success that Davante Adams has had and
Speaker 1: based on what we know right now. What a great
Speaker 1: segue too, Gotta I gotta go Cooper Cup. Cooper Cup
Speaker 1: here if I'm picking forth average the most Fantasy points
Speaker 1: per game in PPR among all players, that's even quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: Something just an absolutely ridiculous season for Cup. I don't
Speaker 1: know if he can repeat these numbers, are to better them,
Speaker 1: that would surely be something else. Um turns twenty nine
Speaker 1: in June. Let's getting there. But we're talking redraft or
Speaker 1: not about his nine is just fine. He's young, he's
Speaker 1: right in his prime. A couple of concerns is Odell
Speaker 1: Beckham becoming more integrated into the offense. Uh, We've seen
Speaker 1: it through the leader part of the season, into the
Speaker 1: playoffs and certainly in the off season that will happen.
Speaker 1: Robert Woods likely to come back, but still, the Cup
Speaker 1: is just such a safe play with elite upside, and
Speaker 1: I'm happy to Stafford. Stafford is still very very viable,
Speaker 1: obviously playing in the Super Bowl, very very viable for
Speaker 1: the next several years. Does fingers crossed for all those
Speaker 1: players in the big game no one gets seriously injured.
Speaker 1: The number five player in our far too early first
Speaker 1: round mock draft is nause Harris. Now you know I
Speaker 1: don't love taking running backs in the middle of the
Speaker 1: first round because I can usually get a surefire elite
Speaker 1: wide receiver. And if it weren't you, I was drafting
Speaker 1: with Cooper, Cup would probably be here, or Davon Dandams
Speaker 1: probably be here. But um, with Adams and Cup off
Speaker 1: the board, I think Harris is at a point where
Speaker 1: I would take him. His rookie year showed every trade
Speaker 1: of an elite scoring running back. He was number one
Speaker 1: among all running backs in snap percentage, so he was
Speaker 1: on the field constantly. He was number three and opportunities
Speaker 1: per games, total touches per game, and it's it's carries.
Speaker 1: Hargargets carries and targets. He uh and we knew he
Speaker 1: could catch. We knew he could catch, but nobody expected
Speaker 1: him to lead all runners and targets. And he played
Speaker 1: seventeen games, so it showed plenty of durability. The Steelers
Speaker 1: offense was completely broken, and Nazi Harris still finished third
Speaker 1: in fantasy points scored among runners. If the Steelers offense
Speaker 1: gets better, they address their offensive line, maybe they get
Speaker 1: a quarterback who's better than Ben Roethlisberger in his last season,
Speaker 1: then Harris has the upside to be the highest scoring
Speaker 1: running back in fantasy football. Yeah, I like it. I
Speaker 1: like to pick all right, let's get pick number six
Speaker 1: in our first round mock draft. He touched on him earlier.
Speaker 1: It's still time or it is time for Derrick Henry.
Speaker 1: He's still a viable first round selection average, very viable average,
Speaker 1: the most fantasy points per game among running backs last
Speaker 1: season of courtingly played in the eight games broke his foot,
Speaker 1: came back for the divisional playoffs. Probably shouldn't have. I
Speaker 1: don't know if the game script just didn't go his
Speaker 1: way or whatever. Looked a whole lot better, but anyway
Speaker 1: did look better. At least he had that one long run,
Speaker 1: the steel will be out of his foot. He'll be fine,
Speaker 1: he'll be good to go. Come to take that out,
Speaker 1: or they leave it in. It's supposed it's it's I
Speaker 1: think it's still in there now, but it will it
Speaker 1: will be, it will be out. It's it's not. It's
Speaker 1: one of those things that they left in. No, I
Speaker 1: think I think they will take it out eventually. That was.
Speaker 1: I think I'd rather have the plate my foot because
Speaker 1: now I get the stability of the plate. I can
Speaker 1: kick guys with that. You know, it just seems like
Speaker 1: a tough guy move leave the plate in. I have
Speaker 1: two screws in my elbow since I'm fourteen years old,
Speaker 1: and yeah, what happened? I like being bionic, Uh pick
Speaker 1: up football, tackle football and you just dislocate your elbow
Speaker 1: or something. Piece of bone chipped off and they had
Speaker 1: to screw it in, big piece of bone. If I
Speaker 1: wore a cast, they said it was like broken elbow
Speaker 1: for like six to eight weeks. Go back in. They're like, oh, sorry,
Speaker 1: it was, and this is what we should have done
Speaker 1: the first time. Yeah, as a as an eighth grader,
Speaker 1: that was. That was brutal, like doubled or tripled your
Speaker 1: cast total cast time pretty much. But I'm bionic now,
Speaker 1: which is kind of cool. But that is super cool.
Speaker 1: But back to Derek, I don't even know what bionic
Speaker 1: means because you're too young to remember, like the Bionic
Speaker 1: Man and the Bionic Woman, because that was when I
Speaker 1: was a kid. I've never watched those shows a whole lot,
Speaker 1: and I'm not as young as you think I am.
Speaker 1: I wish I was. But there's also a Nintendo game
Speaker 1: Bionic Commando, I belive. Yeah, I think that's right, all right,
Speaker 1: So that's your reference point, got it? But uh, steel
Speaker 1: or not, Derrick Henry is still bionic. Turns twenty eight
Speaker 1: turned twenty eight last month. Again, I'm not worried about
Speaker 1: the foot. Dante Foreman we sort of talked about is
Speaker 1: an unrestricted free agent, so he might be there, and
Speaker 1: he's an insurance policy you can grab in later rounds.
Speaker 1: One's too excited about him, if you want to talk hand.
Speaker 1: I do like that strategy if if he stays with Tennessee.
Speaker 1: So Derrick Henry still a pretty safe pick. Uh, but
Speaker 1: he's probably gonna go earlier in most drafts. But I
Speaker 1: like him at six more than two, three four range.
Speaker 1: We're gonna take a quick break when we come back
Speaker 1: the second half of our far too early first round draft.
Speaker 1: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly Segment number two. We ran
Speaker 1: through the first six picks of the first round of
Speaker 1: our far too early mock draft. It is Jonathan Taylor,
Speaker 1: Austin Ekeler, Davante Adams, then Cooper Cup now G Harris,
Speaker 1: and rounding out the top six, Derrick Henry. Uh, most
Speaker 1: people of Derrick Henry going to we've got here Mary
Speaker 1: sliding to six. It'll be interesting to see if either
Speaker 1: of if either of us gets talked into moving Henry
Speaker 1: back up. Um, and that'll be It'll be tempting throughout
Speaker 1: the course of the summer, but I try not to
Speaker 1: yield to the pressure of the consensus. We'll see if
Speaker 1: it happens. Let's pick up on pick number seven. I
Speaker 1: would go try have as Kelsey at pick number seven.
Speaker 1: You know what I'm fond of saying, Brian. You know
Speaker 1: who's regretted drafting Travis Kelsey? No, nobody ever. Yeah. He
Speaker 1: had a quiet stretch from roughly Halloween to mid December,
Speaker 1: and during that stretch he only scored two times. But
Speaker 1: then he roared back to form from Christmas forward, including
Speaker 1: a very strong playoff run, even after scoring just two
Speaker 1: times in that in that eight weeks span, Mark Andrews
Speaker 1: barely beat him out on Fantasy points and Kelsey did
Speaker 1: have that long dry streak. And I just the other
Speaker 1: part of it is, I don't know Mark. I don't
Speaker 1: know Mark Andrews quarterback is gonna be this thing with
Speaker 1: that's lingering out there. Jamal sorry not Jamal Lamar Jackson's
Speaker 1: fifth year. He does not want to play in his
Speaker 1: rookie deal going into his fifth year, so there's going
Speaker 1: to be something that happens there and I don't know
Speaker 1: for sure how that's gonna play itself out yet. So
Speaker 1: right now, I just want the highest scoring tight end.
Speaker 1: It's the greatest position to need. Kelsey is always super safe.
Speaker 1: Yeah thirty two next season, um, which tories me a
Speaker 1: little bit. And I understand if people want to take
Speaker 1: a different, younger tight end. But at the end of
Speaker 1: the day, Kelsey's got Patrick Mahomes just I just don't
Speaker 1: see the downside. And he's a wide receiver. He his
Speaker 1: snaps are from the slaughter out wide. He's not He's
Speaker 1: like a Kyle pittslie effectively that way. Alright, pick number
Speaker 1: eight of our two early first round. Alright, another guy
Speaker 1: we hope gets through the Super Bowl unscathed, and that's
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase. I would take with the eighth pick. Last
Speaker 1: year a DP of seventy three that was wide receiver
Speaker 1: nine based off of bogus reports and training camp. From
Speaker 1: training camp if you couldn't separate, had a couple of drops.
Speaker 1: In the preseason, he was the third Chase off the
Speaker 1: board in Fantasy behind Chase Edmonds and Chase Clavable. Certainly
Speaker 1: not the case this year. H one. He was eighteen
Speaker 1: and targets among wide receivers just one. I mean, that's
Speaker 1: pretty good, but we expect more targets for him in
Speaker 1: his second year. But he finished fourth in yards and
Speaker 1: third in touchdowns at the position. His quarterback is obviously elite.
Speaker 1: They have a special connection. Uh really, if if it
Speaker 1: wasn't for Tee Higgins, I think Jamar Chase would be
Speaker 1: the consensus wide receiver one. Probably, but there's plenty to
Speaker 1: go around between Tee Higgins and Jamar Chi. Higgins may
Speaker 1: make him better because he can't afford to put role
Speaker 1: massive amounts of coverage to Jamaar Chase. Absolutely right. So
Speaker 1: I had Jamar Chase, I don't have a problem with that,
Speaker 1: and that's I would have taken him there as well.
Speaker 1: Number nine pick is a boring, safe selection in the
Speaker 1: first round. Justin Jefferson. He's proven to be an elite
Speaker 1: talent and and and more importantly and incredibly reliable fantasy producer.
Speaker 1: You don't get the crazy highlight plays that Jamar Chase
Speaker 1: has out of Justin Jefferson. But at the end of
Speaker 1: the day, like the end of every Sunday, eight catches
Speaker 1: ninety yards at a touchdown. And again I like I
Speaker 1: as we like to say, you can lose your season
Speaker 1: in the first round easier than you can make it.
Speaker 1: I like safe, high end producers. Justin Jefferson, super safe.
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins very likely. I believe to stay in Minnesota.
Speaker 1: Um nobody has said this, and I don't know this,
Speaker 1: but I believe that that was part of the deal
Speaker 1: with Kevin O'Connell was can you work with Kirk Cousins
Speaker 1: for at least one year. Remember those two have a
Speaker 1: history going back to Washington where they they Kevin O'Connell
Speaker 1: was his quarterback for its last season in Washington, and
Speaker 1: I think the answer was yes. And that was part
Speaker 1: of the reason that they hired Kevin O'Connell was they
Speaker 1: felt like O'Connell has a chance to maximize cousins in
Speaker 1: a way that the the Mike Zimmer administration did not.
Speaker 1: So anyway, plenty of plenty of good quarterbacking, a great player,
Speaker 1: a safe pick at number nine. Justin Jefferson, who did
Speaker 1: you take at pick number ten? So if I'm looking
Speaker 1: at the available players, uh, if I have the tenth pick,
Speaker 1: there are like five running backs you can make an
Speaker 1: argument for taking with the tenth pick. You don't want
Speaker 1: to start running back running back in a draft. So
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna take your running back here, because I'm
Speaker 1: gonna get one of those five guys on the way
Speaker 1: back in round two. And I'm gonna take Deebo Samuel
Speaker 1: because well, dude's amazing, amazing nearly eighteen hundred combo yards
Speaker 1: last year, rushing, receiving fourteen combined touchdown touchdowns. He didn't
Speaker 1: become the weapon he is until the second half of
Speaker 1: the season. He only had six total carries through his
Speaker 1: first eight games. Now, granted, when the carries went up,
Speaker 1: the targets went down a little bit, but which is true.
Speaker 1: But he did a lot with the image of those
Speaker 1: carries behind an amazing offensive line. Just turned twenty six
Speaker 1: years old, entering his prime years. Uh, likely Trey Lance
Speaker 1: will being upgraded quarterback. Maybe they worked out of trade
Speaker 1: for Trey Lance with the Vikings that get something like
Speaker 1: that might happen. Probably I don't think so. But debo
Speaker 1: just he's gonna between catching and rushing, He's gonna touch
Speaker 1: the ball I guaranteed twelve to fifteen times a game
Speaker 1: at least. It seems like the find a wide receiver
Speaker 1: who does that? Yeah, and uh, there's quite a cliff
Speaker 1: at wide receiver. There's a couple more that are kind
Speaker 1: of the tier of the guys we've taken that will
Speaker 1: go in the second round, But you really want to
Speaker 1: lock down a primo receiver in the first or mid
Speaker 1: second round. So they're already Niners already shopping Jimmy Garoppolo.
Speaker 1: He's gone. Tray Lance is the guy if Trey Lance.
Speaker 1: If they didn't think Trey Lance was gonna be pretty
Speaker 1: damn good, I don't think they'd be shopping Garoppolo because
Speaker 1: He's under a very team friendly deal, and they'd want
Speaker 1: to have some instulation in case Trey Lance flops. And
Speaker 1: there's a real chance, a little bit like how Patrick
Speaker 1: Mahomes got no time his first year, but they knew
Speaker 1: what they had. I mean, there's a chance right now
Speaker 1: the Niners know what they got in Trey Lance. Think
Speaker 1: of how creative they have already been with Debo with Garoppolo.
Speaker 1: But now you throw Trey Lance back there. You know,
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel has the upside of being the highest scoring
Speaker 1: player in fantasy football, which is something you rarely say
Speaker 1: about a wide receiver, but he does. Let me answer this,
Speaker 1: ask you this, what if Deebo Samuel is ruled to
Speaker 1: be a running back? What if, like cor Darrel Patterson,
Speaker 1: there is a preseason position change. If Deebo Samuel is
Speaker 1: a running back next August, are you still drafting him
Speaker 1: at ten? Yeah? Probably? Um. Some sites, you know, like Yahoo,
Speaker 1: a lot, they will give dual eligibility a lot of
Speaker 1: as they should. I don't think they will. I think
Speaker 1: there's a chance he gets running back wide receiver eligibility
Speaker 1: in Yahoo, but I don't think most sites will move
Speaker 1: Debo to running back would change for you. I see,
Speaker 1: I think he's got a little more values of wide
Speaker 1: receiver because maybe not, because you know, running back is
Speaker 1: running back to harder position to fill. Guys come and
Speaker 1: go all the time, they can hurt all the time.
Speaker 1: You might have a little more value as a running back. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's it's pretty much a coin flip. Really, it's not
Speaker 1: gonna doesn't really move the needle too much either way.
Speaker 1: From me, I think I was still take him he
Speaker 1: was a running back. I might go higher, pick number eleven.
Speaker 1: Javonte Williams, running back from Denver. The end of the
Speaker 1: first round here is super dangerous territory for running backs,
Speaker 1: and they almost never do this, and I'm probably falling
Speaker 1: into a trap, and by the time September August rolls around,
Speaker 1: I probably won't have Javontay Williams here. The end of
Speaker 1: the first round is where you're speculating on running backs,
Speaker 1: hoping that they'll be worthy of first rounders, because the
Speaker 1: guys who were proven to be worthy of first rounders
Speaker 1: already gone. This is dangerous, dangerous running back territory where
Speaker 1: nine times out of ten I go tight end, wide
Speaker 1: receiver something like that. But for Javonte Williams just, Oh,
Speaker 1: there's so much I like about this guy. First, Melvin
Speaker 1: Gordon's a free agent. He could land on any of
Speaker 1: thirty two teams. I'm assuming he's gone here. Williams absolutely
Speaker 1: past the eye test if we just you watched him
Speaker 1: raw on so many highlight plays already, and that was
Speaker 1: in a shared role. But here's some analytics for you
Speaker 1: in case you don't trust your eyes. He had a
Speaker 1: crazy three and a half yards after contact three and
Speaker 1: a half. He was second only to Jonathan Taylor in
Speaker 1: missed tackles generated, and he did it on one hundred
Speaker 1: and thirty fewer carries than Jonathan Taylor. Yeah, if he
Speaker 1: he led like every per touch metric out there for
Speaker 1: running backs, and if he had gotten a bell cow workload,
Speaker 1: he would have been RB one. He probably would have.
Speaker 1: Javonte Williams finished fifth in Pro Football Focuses Proprietary elusiveness rating,
Speaker 1: which is great for a guy that doesn't have the
Speaker 1: speed that just the pure speed. But he is a
Speaker 1: tough tackle. He gives defenders bad angles, he breaks tackles,
Speaker 1: and he's a better receiver than expected. Fifty one targets
Speaker 1: for Javonte Williams Bryan, and he caught all but eight
Speaker 1: of those throws. And I love that he had fifty
Speaker 1: one targets in a split season. So what happens if
Speaker 1: Melvin Gordon's go on and he's in his work and
Speaker 1: his workload goes instead of getting like the workload, what
Speaker 1: happens to via seventy five percent of the workload? You know? Now?
Speaker 1: Does those fifty one targets turn into eighty one targets?
Speaker 1: You know? Now? You know? Now we're in Austin Neckler
Speaker 1: total touch territory. That's what we hope for. That's the hope, right,
Speaker 1: it's worth, it's worth somewhat buying low at this point
Speaker 1: and hopes of that happening. It is concerned Gordon stays,
Speaker 1: but then obviously things change. It's worth but Williams just yeah,
Speaker 1: you know, I just I love the guys so much,
Speaker 1: I'm willing to go against my better judgment and take
Speaker 1: him here. All right, last pick the first first round
Speaker 1: of our far too early mark draft. What do you think? Yeah,
Speaker 1: with the twelfth pick, I certainly would have taken Javonte
Speaker 1: Williams with twelve or thirteen. He's like the perfect guy
Speaker 1: at the turn or early second. So I'm feeling a
Speaker 1: little sniped right now. So it's definitely a running back here.
Speaker 1: There's four or five running back so I don't think
Speaker 1: to me it would not be a running back. That's
Speaker 1: just me. All right. Well, I'm gonna go Dalvin Cook.
Speaker 1: I admittedly don't love it. Um. There's still other good
Speaker 1: running backs out there, Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, the notables
Speaker 1: that didn't land in here in a second, but I'll
Speaker 1: go Dalvin Cook. Somewhat of a down year. I missed
Speaker 1: some time with the shoulder injury, but for the most part,
Speaker 1: his lower body stayed intact. That's what I really care about.
Speaker 1: Without running back turns twenty seven in August. Uh, so
Speaker 1: he's still in his prime years. The Vikings offensive line, yeah,
Speaker 1: not good past year, right, Sure to be addressed in
Speaker 1: the draft. We've been saying that for ten years, but
Speaker 1: that they should they should, uh most certainly do that
Speaker 1: this offseason. Offensive minded head coach Kevin uh I always O'Connell.
Speaker 1: I always think of Kevin Connolly too. I don't even
Speaker 1: put that, don't even put that in my head. I
Speaker 1: don't I don't want to start paying always Okay, I'm sorry.
Speaker 1: I don't want to do that to you. So, but
Speaker 1: he's he's on his way and he's an offensive minded coach. Uh.
Speaker 1: So Dalvin Cook is who I go with. Again, I
Speaker 1: don't love it, but I think I think, uh, he
Speaker 1: has a better year than last year. I think we
Speaker 1: see more of the numbers if if he stays healthy.
Speaker 1: Uh still a very good offense he plays for. Again,
Speaker 1: if they if they can improve that offensive line, his
Speaker 1: numbers will go right along with it. Do you know
Speaker 1: he's wearing number four next year, Dalvin Cook? So a
Speaker 1: little less paint on the jersey. That's not that's gonna
Speaker 1: knock him time. He's gonna knock make him a little
Speaker 1: tick faster too. So I like that, all right. So
Speaker 1: I don't like the single digit numbers on running back.
Speaker 1: So I hate it. It frustrates me as well. Uh,
Speaker 1: let's talk about some of the guys who didn't make
Speaker 1: the first round. I am stunned at how many of
Speaker 1: the mock drafts I've seen out there already, the other
Speaker 1: people's early mock drafts that have Christian McCaffrey in the
Speaker 1: first round. Well, and by the way, like mid first round,
Speaker 1: like pick five, pick six for Christian McCaffrey. Have we
Speaker 1: learned nothing? Yeah, I mean when he plays, he's the best.
Speaker 1: But two straight years now he doesn't play a full year,
Speaker 1: right and even close to that. And yeah, I'm not
Speaker 1: like like you said earlier, you you can win. He
Speaker 1: could win you your league in the first round if
Speaker 1: he plays a full season. He hasn't been doing that,
Speaker 1: But he will lose your league if you take him
Speaker 1: in the first round and he gets hurt, which he
Speaker 1: has been. We hope, we hope he doesn't, but he's
Speaker 1: showing that's what happens. Let's stay with running backs Alvin
Speaker 1: Kmara not taken in the first round. I did not
Speaker 1: like that. The Saints team right now as of this recording,
Speaker 1: are seventy two million dollars over the cap. There is
Speaker 1: a major blood letting that's going to happen there organization. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Peyton bailed because he's a baby and he got out
Speaker 1: now and this whole teams could be set to implode.
Speaker 1: And I I don't know. And we saw Camara with
Speaker 1: you know, season with career lows and like yards per carry,
Speaker 1: just the overall effectiveness was so far down for him.
Speaker 1: You know, maybe you know, maybe the Saints find their
Speaker 1: way to a good quarterback. Maybe it's not as bad
Speaker 1: as I think, but based on what's coming, we know
Speaker 1: there's a ton of change coming and I don't know
Speaker 1: how that's going to shake out for Alvin Camara right now.
Speaker 1: In early February, agreed, what do you think on on
Speaker 1: Joe Mixon? Neither of us take took Joe Mixon. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean he's again like he was kinda I was
Speaker 1: between Cook and Mixing for the twelve pick um love
Speaker 1: Joe Mixon. He's certainly his usage Rade has been high
Speaker 1: the last four or five years, and Soma J. P
Speaker 1: Rhyan looks pretty good. I'm saying he's gonna be the
Speaker 1: starter next year. But I think we see I think
Speaker 1: they you know, it could a time share, a little
Speaker 1: more of a time shore than it's been so that
Speaker 1: that that was my concern with Mixing. And one guy
Speaker 1: who I think we could see vault into the first round,
Speaker 1: uh is A J. Brown. If Aaron Rodgers ends up
Speaker 1: in Tennessee, I'd probably take Brown. As it stands right now,
Speaker 1: with the first pick in the second round coming back
Speaker 1: after taking down Let's sorry about the other obvious wide
Speaker 1: receiver omission that neither of us picked, and I would
Speaker 1: have gone here at the end of the if I
Speaker 1: had picked twelve Tyreek Hill. Yeah, are we overreacting to
Speaker 1: a disappointing November December. He's just he has those good
Speaker 1: weeks that hurts, and he is just not consistent enough,
Speaker 1: and when he goes off, he goes off hard. And
Speaker 1: for two the two years prior to this one, he
Speaker 1: was very consistent, well mostly consistent, in a in a
Speaker 1: best ball format. I feel more comfortable to take him
Speaker 1: in the first round in a standard leagu where I
Speaker 1: gotta set my line up. But yeah, I mean he's
Speaker 1: he's not a Spike Week player, but he's kind of close.
Speaker 1: And those guys are dangerous. I I worried that we're
Speaker 1: overreacting to, you know what, We're what was ultimately some
Speaker 1: some real troubles for the Kansas City offense for you know,
Speaker 1: about six weeks in November December, when we know, over
Speaker 1: the bulk of his time, Tyreek Hill with Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 1: has been pretty damn good receiver. And I'm worried. I'm
Speaker 1: worried that I'm overreacting right now, recency bias right now,
Speaker 1: but we'll see. We got a lot of time to
Speaker 1: figure it out. Half a year. It's weird to think
Speaker 1: it's gonna half a year before we're doing this for
Speaker 1: real again. Half a year. I might be on the
Speaker 1: clock in the Best Ball Draft right now. So if
Speaker 1: you want to get out there and draft people, you
Speaker 1: can do it. It can be done right now. It's
Speaker 1: never it's never the off season, and that's why we're
Speaker 1: glad you're joined this um. Tomorrow, next week, excuse me
Speaker 1: not tomorrow, we will break down Super Bowl and excruciating
Speaker 1: detail all the from a fantasy standpoint like we always do,
Speaker 1: letter grades, all that good stuff. So that is all coming.
Speaker 1: We encourage you to to subscribe and check out next
Speaker 1: week's show as well. Our last, our last opportunity to
Speaker 1: break down real football. Should we break down? Sure, yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm sure I'll throw this Pro Bowl tidbit out there
Speaker 1: because I know they do have contests on DraftKings and
Speaker 1: it's total total bs. But go with the guys who
Speaker 1: seem least deserving to be there because the hardest, they
Speaker 1: tried the hardest and usually get the most playing time too.
Speaker 1: You don't want the starters, because the starters come out late,
Speaker 1: Go with early, come out earliest. Go with the quote
Speaker 1: unquote scrubs. They're not they're all great players of worse.
Speaker 1: But yeah, go with the lesser name guys, because he
Speaker 1: usually priced everyone the same in those contests. I'm trying.
Speaker 1: I'm trying not to play there because it playing Pro Bowl.
Speaker 1: I like the actually had a pretty good hit years
Speaker 1: ago using that angle, just going with the guys who
Speaker 1: you sum gonna come in the third quarter and they
Speaker 1: played like the whole second half. Yeah, because you know
Speaker 1: nobody wants, well, Tom Brady is not playing in it,
Speaker 1: but you know you don't want a Tom Brady level
Speaker 1: care person to blow out their knee in the Pro Bowl.
Speaker 1: I mean, you know it's all bad, but that would
Speaker 1: be worse. It's like, I think Mac Jones is in
Speaker 1: the Pro Bowl now, like he's my topic in the
Speaker 1: Pro Bowl. That's who I would be. Uh, I love it,
Speaker 1: and nobody will have Mac Jones. You know, his ownership
Speaker 1: percent is gonna be like because he didn't throw any
Speaker 1: touchdowns in the regular season, but nobody's trying to tackle
Speaker 1: anybody in the Pro Bowl, which is great. I do
Speaker 1: not play the Pro Bowl for at least like one year. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it was just an honorary mentioned thing. It was. They
Speaker 1: should go back to that. If I was a general
Speaker 1: manager or an owner, I'm like, you are not playing
Speaker 1: in this game, Like, I don't care if you don't
Speaker 1: get paid for it. I will pay you out of
Speaker 1: my own pocket to ensure not play, not play so
Speaker 1: you don't get hurt. Although oddly enough, almost nobody does
Speaker 1: get hurt. I mean, you know, there's been only a
Speaker 1: couple of cases where there's been significant injury in the
Speaker 1: Pro Bowl. Do you remember this is back in the nineties. Uh,
Speaker 1: they would do like a beach flag football. Yeah, Patriots
Speaker 1: running back Edwards I forget his first name, his name
Speaker 1: and in his career, yeah, playing beach volleyball or beach
Speaker 1: football or it was like beach flag football or dodgeball
Speaker 1: or something like that. That happened. But that was that was.
Speaker 1: It was like twenty five years ago. Times. You are
Speaker 1: older than we thought. Thanks for joining us. Everybody talking
Speaker 1: in a week. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of
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