1 00:00:00,520 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris, 2 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: joined as always by mister Bo mcbrair. One week of 3 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:12,160 Speaker 1: the FedEx Cup Playoffs down, two weeks to go. Today 4 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: we'll give you a full betting preview of the BMW 5 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 1: Championship in Castle Rock, Colorado. We'll also recap the FedEx 6 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 1: Saint Jude Championship and we will give you our one 7 00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:25,799 Speaker 1: and done picks for the week at the end of 8 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: the show. The Betting pros PGA Podcast is sponsored by 9 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: Underdog Fantasy. Underdog is the place to go for best 10 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: ball fantasy football contest, but you might not have known 11 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:39,600 Speaker 1: that Underdog is golf contest too. Visit Underdog Fantasy dot 12 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 1: com or find Underdog in the app store, and don't 13 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: forget to register with the promo code BP Golf to 14 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:49,160 Speaker 1: claim your special pick and to get a first time 15 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 1: deposit offer of up to two hundred and fifty dollars 16 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: in bonus cash. More on Underdog and It's golf contests 17 00:00:55,800 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 1: a little later. Hideki Matsuyama wins the FedEx Saint Jude 18 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 1: Championship by two shots over Xanderschoffley and Victor Hovland. It 19 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: looked like it was going to be a cakewalk for Matsuyama, 20 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: but the Japanese star gave us some drama at the end, 21 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 1: gave me some sweaty palms at the end, stumbling on 22 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,839 Speaker 1: the back nine before writing the ship just in time. 23 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: Matsuyama stepped to the twelfth tee at TPC south Wind 24 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:26,400 Speaker 1: with a five shot lead on Sunday. His next four 25 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 1: holes bogie, par bogie, double bogie. It looked like the 26 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: wheels were off Hedeki had slipped into a tie for 27 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: the lead. Those of us who bet him were sweating 28 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 1: bullets at that point, and then after a par on 29 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 1: the par five sixteenth hole, Matsuyama rolled in a twenty 30 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: six footer on number seventeen to get his lead back, 31 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 1: and then he stuck his approach in eighteen within six feet, 32 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: sank the birdie putt, hoisted the trophy. Matsuyama opened the 33 00:01:56,880 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 1: tournament with rounds of sixty five, sixty four, six four 34 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: shot an even par seventy on Sunday, but that was 35 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 1: good enough. Hideki finished seventeen under parr As mentioned earlier, 36 00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 1: Xander Schafflin Victor Hovelin finished tied for second at fifteen under. 37 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 1: Scottie Scheffler finished fourth by himself at fourteen under. Kind 38 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 1: of lurked throughout the final round, but just couldn't get 39 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: the birdie machine rolling on Sunday until it was too late. 40 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:28,279 Speaker 1: Bowe your thoughts on the fed AX Saint Jude Championship 41 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: and the big win for Hideki Matsuyama. 42 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 2: I mean, it's a great call by you there, Pat, 43 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 2: it was a great call by you down the stretch. 44 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 2: I kind of resigned the fact that Hitdeki was going 45 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:42,359 Speaker 2: to win going away because he looked that solid. Then 46 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 2: he gave me some false hope that my Victor hovelin 47 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 2: thirty five to one ticket was going to cast out 48 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 2: because for a moment there, for one hole, Victor was 49 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 2: the solo leader. And that didn't last long because then 50 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 2: Xander came up and made a birdie and then it 51 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 2: was it was all. It was all Hideki after that. 52 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 2: What a great tournament for Hideki. That was a great call, 53 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:07,399 Speaker 2: big win for big big win for the show either way. 54 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 2: I think was gonna happen either way. Where we were 55 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 2: just locked into it, it was locked in. It was 56 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 2: a great tournament. Scotty wasn't quite as sharp as he 57 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 2: usually is, which ho Hum fourth place. Yeah, ho Hum 58 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 2: played terrible for his standards. Hit a couple really fat 59 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 2: iron shots which you never see from Scotty Shuffler. But overall, 60 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:33,080 Speaker 2: great tournament. I love the fact that they trimmed the 61 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 2: field down for the playoffs because it made for really 62 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 2: exciting golf all the way down the stretch. We didn't 63 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 2: know what was gonna happen. That golf course set up 64 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 2: really well for risk reward, and Hideki was really risky 65 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 2: on eighteen. He only needed a par. He went over 66 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 2: the water off the tee. He went over the water 67 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 2: to take the aggressive line on approach. He pulled off 68 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 2: bull shots and that's a deserving champion. 69 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was surprised he took that approach after rinsing 70 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 1: his t shot on the par three on the back nine. 71 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: I think it was fourteen, so yeah. And boy, Heidecki 72 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 1: putted really well. 73 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 2: With a substitute caddie and everything that happened to him 74 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 2: in London on the way back from Paris, and he 75 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:23,160 Speaker 2: still came out there and just he was lights. 76 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 1: Out impressive and a good call by you and Hovelin. 77 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: Bo I was a little surprised when you touted him 78 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: last week, he hadn't been in great form, but he 79 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 1: did put it all together, and now he returns to 80 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:40,279 Speaker 1: the BMW Championship where he was pretty special last year. 81 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 1: We'll talk more about that in a second, and we 82 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 1: will get to the BMW Championship in just a minute. 83 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 2: But first, our friends at Underdog Fantasy are letting you 84 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 2: make picks on your favorite golfers all season long. Just 85 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 2: pick higher or lower on selected stats for two to 86 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 2: five golfers and you can win up to twenty times 87 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 2: your money in a single day. You can also make 88 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 2: rivals picks, choosing, for example, which of two golfers will 89 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 2: shoot a better score in a round. Golf picks can 90 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 2: be combined with player stats from other sports too. Go 91 00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:15,919 Speaker 2: sign up at Underdog Fantasy with the promo code BP 92 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 2: Golf to claim your special pick and to get a 93 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 2: first time deposit offer up to two hundred and fifty 94 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 2: dollars in bonus cash. 95 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:28,280 Speaker 1: And now we are onto the BMW Championship, the second 96 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 1: leg of the three leg FedEx Cup Playoffs. The seventy 97 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: nine playoff field has been trimmed down to fifty players 98 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 1: for this event and we will be down to thirty 99 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: for next week's Tour Championship. This will, as with last 100 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 1: week's event, be a no cut event. So the BMW 101 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 1: Championship will be played at Castle Pines Golf Club in 102 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:52,599 Speaker 1: Castle Rock, Colorado, just outside Denver. So par seventy two 103 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: covering eight thousand, one hundred and thirty yards, Yes, over 104 00:05:56,800 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 1: eight thousand yards in absurdly long core. In fact, this 105 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,719 Speaker 1: will be the longest layout in PGA Tour history. But 106 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 1: don't forget the golf balls travel much further than usual 107 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 1: because of the high altitude. This is a gorgeous looking 108 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 1: Jack Nicholas designed with the Rocky Mountains providing a spectacular backdrop. 109 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: Castle Pines used to host the International, a lower level 110 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:24,560 Speaker 1: tour event that used to use the modified Stableford scoring system. 111 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 1: That's the system where you gain or lose points depending 112 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 1: on your score for a hole, so the higher your score, 113 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:32,720 Speaker 1: the better. But this is going to be good old 114 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: fashioned stroke play. Now, let's get back to the elevation. 115 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: Castle Pines is more than six thousand feet above sea level, 116 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:42,039 Speaker 1: so shots are going to carry about ten percent farther 117 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: than they normally would. I don't know if the bombers 118 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:47,279 Speaker 1: are going to have a huge advantage here. Maybe a 119 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 1: small one, but I don't think the course is going 120 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: to eliminate the shorter hitters from contention. The fairways are 121 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: a little wider than average, but there is trouble awaiting 122 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:03,039 Speaker 1: errant drives, water hazards, pine trees four inch thick rough 123 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 1: So the greens at Castle Pines are a mix of 124 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 1: Bentcraft and Poa and they are fast. So no reason 125 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 1: to mention past winners of this event since this will 126 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: be the first time the BMW is being played at 127 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: Castle Pines. But for the record, Victor Hoblin is the 128 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 1: defending BMW champion. He shot a final round sixty one 129 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 1: at Olympia Fields in Chicago to beat Scottie Scheffler and 130 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: Matt Fitzpatrick by two shots. Last year, Hoblin went absolutely 131 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 1: bonkers down the stretch, shooting a seven under par twenty 132 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 1: eight on the back nine. He was completely en fuego. 133 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 1: The weather forecast for this week's tournament hies in the 134 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 1: low to mid eighties throughout the week, wins of around 135 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:47,239 Speaker 1: ten miles per hour for most of the tournament. Chances 136 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 1: for afternoon showers and thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday bow. 137 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: What is your take on the Castle Pines Golf Club. 138 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 2: Well, I'm really glad that they moved that stableford system 139 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 2: out of the PGA Tour, only bring it back at 140 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 2: my home tournament here in NorCal with the Barracuda which 141 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 2: uses it for some reason. Just why can't we just 142 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 2: have like four match play tournaments a year and then 143 00:08:11,480 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 2: the rest stroke play and get whatever the stable for 144 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 2: thing is. It doesn't belong and nobody likes it. Nobody 145 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 2: likes it, get rid of it. I'm glad that mostly 146 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 2: is gone, but we don't have a matchplay event. What's 147 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 2: wrong with that? I love match play. This golf course 148 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 2: is pretty fair if you do the math. Elevation math, 149 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 2: which I growing up in the mountains like, I kind 150 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:36,840 Speaker 2: of do the elevation math because I've played mountain golf before. 151 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 2: Is sixty five hundred to ten percent difference, So your 152 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:43,960 Speaker 2: eighty one hundred yards is actually closer to seventy three 153 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 2: hundred in practicality, which is about to or average. You're 154 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 2: looking at it all around golfer who can find fairways. 155 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:54,839 Speaker 2: Distance is an advantage here, but not a huge one. 156 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 2: It's not a bomb and gouge course, but of course, 157 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 2: your longer hitters are going to do well here, but 158 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 2: I think that putting is going to be huge on 159 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 2: this golf course. Scrambling and bogey avoidance are going to 160 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 2: be huge, so all around golfers. I mean, the got 161 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 2: fifty the best in this field. Fifty of the very 162 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 2: best are in this field. So I think anybody in 163 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 2: this field could practically win the thing, and it's it's 164 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:22,120 Speaker 2: gonna could be up to us to find the right 165 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:26,240 Speaker 2: lines at this moment and kind of judge the trends 166 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 2: on how these guys are playing, because there's been some 167 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 2: surprises the last couple of weeks, a couple of them 168 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:34,080 Speaker 2: we've called on this show where you just have to 169 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 2: kind of see that read the tea leaves on who's 170 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 2: going the right direction and who. 171 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 3: Might not be. 172 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, the cream usually does rise to the top in 173 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:45,440 Speaker 1: these types of events, But if you look at the 174 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:48,320 Speaker 1: fifty man field, I didn't see too many names where 175 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 1: I just completely discounted their chances of winning. I don't 176 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 1: think there are any of those guys. 177 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 3: Yeah. 178 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, Now, if you want a chance to score a 179 00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: sign Mari Cooper jersey for free courtesy of our friend 180 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 1: at Pristineauction dot com. All you need to do is 181 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 1: head to Bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete the form 182 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 1: in either download the Betting Pros app, leave a review 183 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:14,440 Speaker 1: for the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social 184 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 1: media channels at betting proson x and TikTok and at 185 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 1: Betting Pros NFL on Instagram. The more actions you complete, 186 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:26,240 Speaker 1: the more entries you receive. We'll be announcing a winner 187 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:28,040 Speaker 1: right here on the channel, so make sure to turn 188 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:31,560 Speaker 1: on those notifications to be alerted when new episodes are 189 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 1: up and to claim your prize. All right, let's look 190 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 1: at the odds for the BMW Championship. All odds are 191 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 1: courtesy of DraftKings. As of Monday afternoon, Scottie Scheffler is 192 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: the favorite at plus three thirty, followed by Xander Schoffley 193 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:47,440 Speaker 1: at plus five point fifty, Rory McElroy at plus twelve hundred, 194 00:10:47,440 --> 00:10:50,760 Speaker 1: and Colin Morikawa at plus fourteen hundred. Victor Hovlind and 195 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:55,080 Speaker 1: Headeki Matsuyama our plus eighteen hundred, Patrick Kantley and Lidwig 196 00:10:55,120 --> 00:10:58,559 Speaker 1: Oberg R Plus two thousand. Tommy Fleetwood is plus twenty 197 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 1: five hundred Tony plus twenty eight hundred and Wyndham Clark 198 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,560 Speaker 1: and Sam Burns are plus three thousand. Who do you 199 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 1: like from among the players with the shortest odds? 200 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 2: Bow So right off the bat. Rory McElroy is back 201 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 2: into play this week. This is a kind of a 202 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,680 Speaker 2: course that fits his eye very well. This is a 203 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 2: very It's a long golf course, which, even with the 204 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 2: elevation change, is going to be daunting for certain players. 205 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:27,679 Speaker 2: Being able to judge distance from those kinds of areas 206 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 2: is tricky, especially if you're hitting longer clubs in at 207 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 2: those distances. Rory's going to be in some more comfortable 208 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 2: numbers than the average player because he just HiT's them 209 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 2: all farther, and that kind of advantage really does carry 210 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 2: even more into this. So I like Rory, especially getting 211 00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 2: positive plus twelve hundred on a guy like that is 212 00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 2: really good. I think the scoring is going to be 213 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 2: really favorable this week. I think that these guys are 214 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 2: going low. I think they're going really low. I think 215 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:58,679 Speaker 2: this is going to be one of those birdie fests 216 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:01,959 Speaker 2: that were the playoffs get a little exciting. So I'm 217 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:04,200 Speaker 2: looking for guys that can make a ton of birdies Rory, 218 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 2: of course is in that department. Scotty is there, but 219 00:12:08,200 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 2: I just think he's too short. And when I ran 220 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 2: my model, I actually found him to be the second best, 221 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 2: not the best. Number one of my model is a 222 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 2: guy I todded last week who nearly won, and it's 223 00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 2: the defending BMW champion, Victor Hoveland. Number one in my model. 224 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 2: That's that's where I'm gonna be really heavy on because 225 00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:30,440 Speaker 2: this guy's rounding into his type of form where he's 226 00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:33,200 Speaker 2: just as good as Scotty or Xander anybody else in 227 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 2: this field, and we're getting such a soft line on 228 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 2: him in a fifty man event. I really really really 229 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 2: love Victor Hoveland this week, even more than I liked 230 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:45,439 Speaker 2: him last week. But now that I've seen what kind 231 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 2: of shape he's in, this is this is gonna be fun. 232 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, So I'm interested in Hobland for sure. 233 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:57,560 Speaker 1: After you know your call last week, and you know 234 00:12:57,679 --> 00:13:00,320 Speaker 1: the fact that you sort of picked him to urge 235 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:04,079 Speaker 1: and now you're picking him again is compelling. I can't 236 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 1: go with you and Rory bo. I mean, he was 237 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: sixty eighth in a seventy man field last week at 238 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:13,480 Speaker 1: Memphis eleven over par on his last three rounds. I 239 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: just and I still worry that there might be scar 240 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 1: tissue accumulated from that. Uh, that that painful loss. I 241 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 1: just can't do it. Man, Yeah, Scheffler, is this one 242 00:13:26,000 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 1: of our weeks where we live bat him? I mean 243 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 1: plus plus three thirty in a field this good. 244 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,600 Speaker 2: It's just yeah, we didn't get a chance last week 245 00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 2: because he was kind of hanging around the whole time 246 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 2: and he always gets over inflated when he's close to 247 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 2: the lead, So it was it was kind of a 248 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:43,960 Speaker 2: nice week off of Scotty last week. I have a 249 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 2: feeling he'll be he'll be hanging around again this week. 250 00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:48,839 Speaker 2: But if we get up to if we get lucky 251 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:51,000 Speaker 2: and he gets off to a slow start, then we 252 00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:53,080 Speaker 2: could we can hit that line and hope he turns 253 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:55,240 Speaker 2: it back around because he's never out of. 254 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 1: It, really he's not. And uh, we've been dropping fun 255 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 1: Scottie stats all year, and probably the most amazing one 256 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:06,680 Speaker 1: is that since January January, he's finished out of the 257 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 1: top ten in one tournament, the US Open. 258 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 2: It was last miscut was two years ago. 259 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:17,319 Speaker 1: It's amazing. So Xander Shoffley has recorded three straight top 260 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 1: tens and nine straight top fifteens, played well at FedEx 261 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 1: Saint Jude, tying for seconds, but plus five point fifty 262 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 1: just a little too short for you, bo. 263 00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 2: It's too short a in an event where I expect 264 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:33,160 Speaker 2: scoring to be very favorable, which kind of brings the 265 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 2: whole field into the fold. And Xander in a birdie fest, 266 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,160 Speaker 2: it's not really a style. He's a grinder. He plays 267 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 2: great when the conditions are tough. He's formidable when the 268 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 2: conditions are tough. But in a birdie fest like I 269 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 2: expect this to be, it's it's gonna be tough for 270 00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 2: him to keep pacing making birdies like he's gonna have 271 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 2: to because this field is loaded with talent and a 272 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 2: lot of the pretty much every guy from top to 273 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 2: bottom we've seen go on the complete birdie barrages to 274 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 2: win tournaments. So yeah, it's for me. It's just too 275 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 2: short of a number for Xander in an event where 276 00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 2: I expect the scoring to be like a free for all. 277 00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. Now, Hadeki Matsuyama on a roll one last week, 278 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:20,600 Speaker 1: finished third at the Olympics a few weeks ago, and 279 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: the odds have shortened though, you know, now plus eighteen hundred. 280 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 1: I got him at plus twenty eight hundred last week, 281 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:30,600 Speaker 1: and you know he went off in some spots at 282 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 1: plus twenty five hundred. I think so. Patrick Cantley has 283 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 1: won the BMW Championship back to back twenty twenty one 284 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 1: and twenty twenty two, of course in different venues. He 285 00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 1: has finished top twelve and three of his last four events, 286 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 1: so he's getting into better form. And one guy who 287 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:52,280 Speaker 1: kind of interests me here, bo Wyndham Clark, got off 288 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: to a good start this season, scuffled for a while 289 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 1: in the late spring, and now he seems to be 290 00:15:56,720 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 1: getting back into form with top fifteens in four of 291 00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: his last five events. And oh, by the way, bo 292 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 1: Wyndham Clark is a Denver native. I'm a little bit interested, Yes, sir. 293 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 2: He's right here on my betting slip, right here bet 294 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 2: slip Wyndam Clark plus three thousand. It's not just that 295 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 2: he's from Colorado. It's not just that he's playing well. 296 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 2: It's both of those things. And Castle Pines also sets 297 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 2: up for a guy like him where he's a long 298 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 2: hitter and he's an outstanding putter. This is a this 299 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 2: is a course that is fit for Wyndham Clark. His 300 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,120 Speaker 2: style of play kind of does say, hey, I grew 301 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 2: up playing at elevation because I like to bomb the 302 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 2: ball out there and then make putts from all over 303 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 2: the place. These are big greens, They're really fast. They're 304 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:47,840 Speaker 2: gonna have some nuance to them that these guys aren't 305 00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 2: used to. It's I think Wyndham Clark is live at 306 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,480 Speaker 2: thirty to one. That's a that's a great line for him, 307 00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 2: especially with how well he played cashing those bets for 308 00:16:56,840 --> 00:17:00,320 Speaker 2: us last week on the top ten market. That was 309 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 2: that was really nice to see, especially when we got 310 00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:06,200 Speaker 2: odds of sixty to one on him last week. Out 311 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 2: of complete Aya out of the Woods. 312 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 1: Agreed all right. Moving on to mid range options, Cory Connors, 313 00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:17,159 Speaker 1: Billy Horschell, and Aaron Raye are plus thirty five hundred. 314 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:20,800 Speaker 1: At plus four thousand are Sung JM. Russell, Henley, Cameron 315 00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:24,560 Speaker 1: Young and Justin Thomas. Adam Scott and Sahi Thagala are 316 00:17:24,600 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 1: plus forty five hundred. Robert McIntyre and Jason Day are 317 00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:31,440 Speaker 1: plus five thousand, and at plus fifty five hundred are 318 00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 1: Ben on Akshay Battilla, Shane Lowry, Matt Fitzpatrick and Davis Thompson. 319 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:40,720 Speaker 1: How about any of these players, Bough Just. 320 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,800 Speaker 2: One of them catches my eye, and that's will Zalatoris 321 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 2: Willie Z sixty five to one. He comes in at 322 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 2: number seven in my model because he's actually pretty average 323 00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:55,680 Speaker 2: instead of being below average at putting when you kind 324 00:17:55,680 --> 00:18:00,919 Speaker 2: of do the fast Poe bent grass greens, he ranks 325 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:02,680 Speaker 2: kind of in the middle of the pack. And if 326 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:05,560 Speaker 2: you're looking at a ball striker's paradise like this golf course, 327 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 2: with his ability to put better when the greens are 328 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:12,760 Speaker 2: fast and tricky, I think that Willie Z is live here. 329 00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 2: And that's a great line on a guy again who 330 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 2: played better last week than we've seen him play. Will's 331 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 2: alatorres is He's still a good long hitter, he's still 332 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 2: an accurate t ball player and an outstanding iron player. 333 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 2: I think Will's alatorres at that line is very interesting. 334 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 2: I think that that's a lot of firepower really far 335 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 2: down the board that I was kind of hoping would 336 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,119 Speaker 2: be there, and I was rewarded by checking it this morning. 337 00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:44,040 Speaker 1: How do you feel about Billy Horschell, who's finished top 338 00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:47,639 Speaker 1: ten in three straight events. Is this just not the 339 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 1: sort of course. I mean, he's a guy who likes 340 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 1: to grind it out on the tougher courses. Maybe too 341 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:54,600 Speaker 1: much of a birdie fest for Billy. 342 00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:58,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, and last week was kind of a Bermuda specialist 343 00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 2: call on when I did the one and done, which 344 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 2: worked out in my favor. But yeah, it's a scoring fast. 345 00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 2: It's not Bermuda Billy Horsell. He's more of your C 346 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 2: level Bermuda Corse type player. 347 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:17,639 Speaker 1: Yeah. Corey Connor's terrific ball Striker's finished top ten and 348 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 1: four of his last eight events, but of course he 349 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: is not exactly a great putter, and this is potentially 350 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 1: a very demanding putting course. Aaron Rye, a much better 351 00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,920 Speaker 1: putter than Corey Connors, won the Windham Championship two weeks ago, 352 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,280 Speaker 1: tied for sixteenth last week in Memphis, has finished top 353 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:37,960 Speaker 1: twenty and seven of his last eight. Aaron Rye is 354 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 1: in really good form. He's interesting. Now, bo, it doesn't 355 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 1: seem like this is a great event for long shots, 356 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 1: But is there anyone with odds of sixty to one 357 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,000 Speaker 1: or longer? You maybe have your eye. 358 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 2: On only one, and it's a guy who's been playing 359 00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:58,440 Speaker 2: absolutely dreadful this year. His numbers slipped to one hundred 360 00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:00,879 Speaker 2: to one. He's still a great golfer. He's just I 361 00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 2: think he's in the wrong headspace, but still has advanced 362 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 2: to this stage. Max Homa, maxhom one hundred to one, 363 00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:10,919 Speaker 2: played pretty well the first round last week, then just 364 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 2: the wheels fell off with a Friday seventy eight. He 365 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 2: seemed disinterested after that, still made the top fifty. I 366 00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:21,679 Speaker 2: think that him being kind of still in the running 367 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 2: will somehow kickstart. I mean, he's still got so much 368 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:27,880 Speaker 2: talent and in a birdie fest, Maxhoma can really make 369 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,400 Speaker 2: noise if he finds the right form off the tee. 370 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:33,160 Speaker 2: Maxhoma at one hundred to one is just a misprice 371 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 2: for what he can do. And it doesn't take a 372 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 2: lot of investment to believe in a guy to turn 373 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 2: his season around in the playoffs. So I'll take a 374 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,160 Speaker 2: shot just because I don't like to see him struggle, 375 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,920 Speaker 2: and he's he's a really good fit for this course 376 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:53,399 Speaker 2: if he can, you know, figure out what's going on 377 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:54,879 Speaker 2: in between those years. 378 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 1: It is strange to see a player of Maxhoma's caliber 379 00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:02,240 Speaker 1: at odds that long, So I can understand the appeal 380 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:07,159 Speaker 1: Max Grazerman, who's at seventy five to one. He was 381 00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,480 Speaker 1: second at the three M Open last month, second at 382 00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:13,199 Speaker 1: the Windham Championship two weeks ago, and he's finished no 383 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 1: worse than thirty third in any of his last eight events. 384 00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:19,440 Speaker 1: So Grazerman has been in pretty good form and that's 385 00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:23,359 Speaker 1: an interesting price on him. All right, But what does 386 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 1: your betting card look like as of now? 387 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 2: I got Rory McIlroy plus twelve hundred, Victor Hovlin plus 388 00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:36,160 Speaker 2: eighteen hundred, Wyndham Clark plus three thousand, Willie z at 389 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:40,240 Speaker 2: plus sixty five hundred and Max Homa plus ten thousand. 390 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,639 Speaker 1: All right, I am going to go with Colin Morikawa 391 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:47,720 Speaker 1: at plus fourteen hundred. I think this is his time, man. 392 00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:49,679 Speaker 1: I feel like he's going to be dialed in with 393 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,520 Speaker 1: the irons and it's going to help him a lot 394 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 1: on this course. Wyndham Clark plus three thousand. I think 395 00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,880 Speaker 1: we both are very much into him this week. I'm 396 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 1: with Billy Horschell at plus thirty five hundred. Not really. 397 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,120 Speaker 1: Maybe it's not the sort of course that suits him 398 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:09,879 Speaker 1: where you know, maybe the winning score is like eleven 399 00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:12,640 Speaker 1: or twelve under. But we'll see. He's been playing really 400 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:14,600 Speaker 1: well lately, and I'm going to take a flyer on 401 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:20,119 Speaker 1: Max Grazerman, both outright and a top ten at plus 402 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:23,760 Speaker 1: four hundred. Now onto the one and done competition. Bo 403 00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 1: extended his lead last week we are into the big 404 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,159 Speaker 1: money events. He had Billy Horschell, who finished tied for 405 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,439 Speaker 1: tenth and earned five hundred and twenty thousand dollars. I 406 00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:38,199 Speaker 1: had Justin Thomas Underwhelming. He tied for thirtieth, good for 407 00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty thousand dollars. Bo Is now sailed 408 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:45,159 Speaker 1: past the twelve million dollar mark for the year and 409 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:47,879 Speaker 1: leads me by just over four million dollars. It's a 410 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 1: big lead, but we do have two pretty big money 411 00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,960 Speaker 1: events left here. I picked first this week, and I'm 412 00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 1: going to go with Colin mor Kawa. Who are you taking? 413 00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 3: Bo? 414 00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 2: Don't think it hasn't gone unnoticed that you've saved some 415 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,760 Speaker 2: of your heavy hitters for the last two tournaments, most 416 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:07,200 Speaker 2: notably Scotty Scheffler, who has eighteen million dollars at the 417 00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:09,800 Speaker 2: end of his rainbow. Next week, if he doesn't completely 418 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:14,400 Speaker 2: choke it away, which can happen. Can happen? The only 419 00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,000 Speaker 2: way I lose this sole one and done season is 420 00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:21,119 Speaker 2: if Scotty Scheffler wins it all next week, so you 421 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,720 Speaker 2: got a pretty good shot at it. I think I'm 422 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 2: gonna go Sam Burns this week. I haven't used him. 423 00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:30,360 Speaker 2: He's playing great. Sam Burns is my pick, and I'll 424 00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 2: have to figure out if I have anybody left in 425 00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 2: the top thirty next week to even throw somebody out there, 426 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,200 Speaker 2: because I've burned all my big boppers, all the guys 427 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:43,879 Speaker 2: that are surprises. It's been a good season, but I 428 00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,560 Speaker 2: think that I just have to pray that Xander or 429 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 2: somebody else wins the Tour Championship next week. Otherwise you're 430 00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 2: gonna take it with Scotty. 431 00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 1: And that's all for this week's show. Thank you to 432 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,720 Speaker 1: our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy. Sign up for Underdog with the 433 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,639 Speaker 1: promo code BP Golf to claim your special pick and 434 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:02,359 Speaker 1: to get a first time to posit off for up 435 00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:04,679 Speaker 1: to two hundred and fifty dollars in bonus cash, and 436 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,200 Speaker 1: please come join Bo and I again next week when 437 00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: we will be back for our final show of the year, 438 00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:16,000 Speaker 1: previewing the Tour Championship. Until then, so long everyone, thanks. 439 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,440 Speaker 3: For listening to the betting pros. Podcast. If you love 440 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,760 Speaker 3: the show, the best freeway to support us is by 441 00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:24,639 Speaker 3: leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 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