1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of this information. 2 00:00:04,720 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree on five dollars? This is a ray up? 3 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:10,879 Speaker 1: Howbuy tackle? 4 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 2: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable, 5 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to be human? My goodness, I misspeak. 6 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 2: You guys are prone, the best, relentless, refusing to give up. 7 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:33,519 Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn? Very bless there? 8 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 2: What's the everybody? Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast. This 9 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 2: is your fantasy preview for NFL week number fourteen. I'm 10 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 2: your host, Chris Raybond of the Action Network. On today's show, 11 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 2: we're gonna discuss the Thursday Night Football DFS slate, dive 12 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 2: into the week fourteen NFL main slate, and will build 13 00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 2: US DFS lineups as well. Here to break down everything 14 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 2: with me one of the most accurate projectors and fantasy 15 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 2: rankers in the world. Odds maker Sean Turner, Shawn, what's 16 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 2: up up? 17 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 1: I'm just excited to talk about arguably the best Thursday 18 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: football matchup we've ever seen this week. So can't wait. 19 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 2: By best, you mean lowest totaled? Yeah, I don't remember 20 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 2: the last time we are a half point away from 21 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:31,960 Speaker 2: a total below thirty thirty right now. I not not 22 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 2: any lifetime. I don't think I remember, maybe because that 23 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 2: even that even that Kendall hitting game, wasn't that like 24 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 2: thirty one. 25 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:42,479 Speaker 1: Had to be? Yeah, but yeah it's not. I mean 26 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 1: this is Iowa college football. Yeah that's here, Like. 27 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,919 Speaker 2: This is heys kind of look like Iowa. 28 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 1: So are you going with the under here? Do you 29 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 1: have a take on that? 30 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 2: I usually almost always try to avoid Thursday night football, 31 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:00,640 Speaker 2: and I believe I think we got some NBA N 32 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 2: season tournament action going on on Thursday, So yeah, there's 33 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 2: no action. 34 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: You know me, I do love me some thursdayight football. 35 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 1: I'm gonna enjoy this game. Sometimes the game can be 36 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: so bad it's almost good, you know what I'm saying. 37 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 2: No, yeah, yeah, we got Yeah. I'm I'm gonna just 38 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:20,919 Speaker 2: get ready for the actual week and fade this one. 39 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 2: But I will play some DFS and that's that's I 40 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 2: think they will be a fun DFS slate because the 41 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:31,200 Speaker 2: one guy who scores a touchdown might be you know, 42 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 2: like you just had to have you got to have 43 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,639 Speaker 2: him in the captain spot. So I do think it's 44 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 2: interesting if you have heard Sean and I tucking player 45 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 2: projections this week on the Action Pod and you're coming 46 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 2: over here, welcome back. Thanks for checking it out. If not, 47 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:49,640 Speaker 2: be sure to check out the Action Network podcast where 48 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 2: we dive into our player projections for week number fourteen 49 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 2: and the props and things like that. Also five star 50 00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 2: rating and review contests. You can win a free year 51 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 2: of Action pro or if you already have, you can 52 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:07,280 Speaker 2: also win some Action Network swag. So please leave us 53 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 2: a five star writing review. If you enjoyed the show, 54 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:13,520 Speaker 2: we really appreciate it. This week's winner is sing Blaze. 55 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:17,360 Speaker 2: Sing Blaze, thank you for the rating and review. You 56 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 2: can hit up podcasts at actionnetwork dot com to claim 57 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 2: your prize. Don't forget we got the Action Network Discord 58 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 2: server for anyone who wants to join. It's free, it's 59 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 2: a lot of fun. I know Currenter's in there, very active, 60 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 2: given fantasy advice, sweat and bets, so be sure to 61 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 2: check that out link in the episode description. Let's jump 62 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 2: right in to Thursday Night Football Patriots Steelers Steelers by six. 63 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 2: The total thirty, So the projected or the implied I 64 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 2: should say, score for this game is a barn burning 65 00:03:54,240 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 2: eighteen to twelve Steeler victory. I mean, this is yuck. 66 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know how we're gonna top. So 67 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 2: last Thursday we had the fifth game in NFL history 68 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 2: without a punt. This week we may have the first 69 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 2: game in NFL history that's like a scoreless tie in overtime. 70 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 2: Just seventy minutes of scoreless football not out of the question. 71 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 2: So you can go from one extreme to the other. 72 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 2: But assuming yards are gained and points are scored, who 73 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 2: do you like to gain and score them? 74 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:42,599 Speaker 1: Maybe he's not going to gain them, but I'm going 75 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: with Chris Boswell score. 76 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 2: Captain took my play? 77 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: Okay, Oh I was joking. Uh yeah, Actually this slight. 78 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: Anybody's in play, including the kickers. Well, yes, absolutely Boswell specifically. 79 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: But I'll go with the more normal play here, Harris. 80 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: Although he did miss practice today, it could be more 81 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 1: maintenance related, so I'm not too concerned about it yet. 82 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: But something in a monitor. But you know, just when 83 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:11,479 Speaker 1: it looked like Jalen Warren, you know, the guy have 84 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 1: like in every league, look like he's gonna leap frog him. 85 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:17,040 Speaker 1: You know, Nause's put together a couple of solid games, 86 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: and he did this last year where he struggled in 87 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: the first half of the season, then the second half 88 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 1: he really turned it on. Pittsburgh leaned on him heavily, 89 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: he was way more efficient. So we're kind of seeing 90 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 1: a repeat of that this year. But I think this 91 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 1: is a game where it would make sense for them 92 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: to just lean on him. You know, it's gonna be 93 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 1: a low scoring game where Pittsburgh should be able to 94 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: lean on the run, and he is the best bet 95 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,039 Speaker 1: for a touchdown here in a game like this. You know, 96 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 1: at the total of thirty. Touchdowns are always necessary to 97 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:51,840 Speaker 1: take down a showdown slate, but they're even more at 98 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,159 Speaker 1: a premium here, so there's a chance he could score 99 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,919 Speaker 1: touchdown and be the only touchdown scorer. So I like 100 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:59,160 Speaker 1: using him in the captain slot. I think there's a 101 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:02,679 Speaker 1: ton of options, uh basically all on the Steelers side 102 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: for the captain slot. But I'm gonna go with nausea here. 103 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 2: I mean, you know me, I'm always gonna go try 104 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 2: I always not always because if there's a Dolphins game, 105 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:14,679 Speaker 2: I'm taking Tyree, but I'm gonna try to go contrari 106 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 2: in a little bit when I can. And so you 107 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 2: kind of mentioned it. I think I think the Steelers 108 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 2: are probably gonna be like, probably the three or four 109 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 2: most popular players are all gonna be Steelers because you 110 00:06:30,160 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 2: have naj you have Warren, you have Deontay, you have Pickens, 111 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,880 Speaker 2: and you have Friar Mutson. Hey maybe even maybe you know, 112 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 2: I'm sure people will mess with the defense with this 113 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:42,720 Speaker 2: Patriot team can't score. So I think there's gonna be 114 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 2: a lot very popular for the Steelers, if you ask me, 115 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:49,159 Speaker 2: a little too popular for a team that itself is 116 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 2: only projected to score eighteen. But I like Zeke in 117 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 2: the captain spot. And the reason is this Nase, Warren, Pickens, Deontay, 118 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:03,360 Speaker 2: all those guys, Like it's all like you're essentially trying 119 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:07,600 Speaker 2: to figure out how how it's gonna get split up, right, 120 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 2: Whereas there's a there's a decent chance Zeke plays ninety 121 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 2: plus percent of the snaps. He had ninety four percent 122 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 2: of the non Romandre Stevenson snaps last week. Thy Montgomery, 123 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 2: who usually is a wide receiver, played three snaps of 124 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 2: running back this week. I'm sure they'll have Jamichael Hasty active, 125 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 2: who they acquired from the Jaguars a couple of weeks ago. 126 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 2: But either way, you know, this Patriot team, they haven't 127 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 2: shown really any interest in using anyone else in the 128 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 2: backfield outside of Zeke and Stevenson. They really have been 129 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 2: it's just been a two running back team all year. 130 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 2: Uh So that you have a chance for Zeke to 131 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 2: kind of get the same workload of Nausee and Warren combined. 132 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:51,560 Speaker 2: And the Patriots are a great run defense. The Steelers 133 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 2: are kind of average, and you know, they're more of 134 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 2: a run funnel. Their top six there's six and dv 135 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 2: awagainst the past, but fifteenth against the run. So I 136 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 2: do like Ezekiel Elliott, who I think will be popular, 137 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 2: but I think a lot of people will use him 138 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:10,720 Speaker 2: in just the regular spot in their lineup because they're 139 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 2: going to have a they're going to captain a Steeler. 140 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 2: So I do think there's some value here on Zeke, 141 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 2: who could get you know, twenty twenty five touches because 142 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 2: his Patriot offense at this point, they're forced to just 143 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 2: run the offense through the running back. So seventeen carries 144 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:32,080 Speaker 2: four receptions last week, ninety two scrimmage yards. So and 145 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 2: especially on DraftKings, you might not even need to score 146 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 2: to still, you know, get to you know, twenty twenty 147 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 2: points or so. So like Zeke is a little bit 148 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 2: of a contrarian play. Not not that I think he 149 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 2: won't be popular, but I don't think he'll be as 150 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 2: poplar on the captain spot because everyone's going to try 151 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 2: to find that right mix of Steelers. So give me, 152 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 2: give me Zeke. Who do you like in a mid 153 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:55,560 Speaker 2: range value? 154 00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 1: Well, I don't know if it's mid range, but I'm 155 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 1: going Deontay Johnson. You know, he's one of the higher 156 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 1: priced players, but there's not too many great options here. 157 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:08,079 Speaker 1: He's slightly cheaper than George Pickens, and I do think 158 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:11,080 Speaker 1: he's a better play in this spot. I'm with you. 159 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 1: On my weekly ranks, I have Deontay outside of my 160 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: top forty. He's not a great play this week, but 161 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: you know he has decent chemistry with Trubisky. You know, 162 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: once Trubisky took over, he was targeting Deontay at a 163 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 1: pretty high rate. And you know, the Patriots play man 164 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 1: coverage at an above average rate. I think it was 165 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:33,439 Speaker 1: top six after last week, and Deontay he's averaging four 166 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:36,200 Speaker 1: yards route run against man, which is the third heightst 167 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 1: in the league. So you know that does give him 168 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 1: some reason to play him here. But you know it's 169 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:44,079 Speaker 1: gonna be a game where they'll they'll probably be a 170 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 1: little bit more conservative, take more shorter throws. I can't 171 00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 1: imagine them throwing it deep to Pickens too much here. 172 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:51,959 Speaker 1: So you know, out of those two, I would go 173 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:55,319 Speaker 1: with Deontay and then you could probably still afford you know, 174 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: pretty good team. I just this isn't a game you 175 00:09:57,800 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: really have to go cheap. So that's why I'm going 176 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 1: Deante as my value play. 177 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, there's it's there's a lot of options here. 178 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 2: This is a fun sway. Like I said, it, it's 179 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:09,840 Speaker 2: such a low scoring there's such a it's such a 180 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 2: low scoring projected game that it might it might there 181 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:15,319 Speaker 2: might only be one touchdown if that. I mean we 182 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 2: saw the Patriots play game last week where there were 183 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:21,200 Speaker 2: no touchdowns, just two field goals. So I mean that 184 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 2: was a game where you know, having having got Zeek 185 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 2: too would have been uh would have would have would 186 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 2: have you know, been been important. But you know, like 187 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 2: Deonta could be like your Tenan Allen uh in that 188 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 2: in that game last week. Uh for me, I'm gonna 189 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 2: I've actually I like the Steelers a lot. The Steelers 190 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 2: d in this in this spot, there's they're pretty expensive. 191 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 2: But when I look at my projections, the Steelers defense 192 00:10:45,320 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 2: is right there with all the position players this week, 193 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 2: you know, even the quarterbacks. Because New England is allowing 194 00:10:52,800 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 2: over twelve DraftKings points per game to opposing defenses. They've 195 00:10:56,960 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 2: been shut out twice, they've given up one to six 196 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 2: points three times, or they've scored one to six points 197 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 2: three times, I should say, and then they scored you know, 198 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 2: below fourteen once more between seven and thirteen. So half 199 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 2: of their games they're giving you a at least a 200 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 2: four point bonus just on points allowed alone, before accounting 201 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 2: for sacks, turnovers or anything like that. So I think 202 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 2: it's a high floor play, and on this slate, I 203 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 2: think it's actually a high ceiling play because because it's 204 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 2: such a low scoring game, if there's a special teams 205 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 2: or defensive score that could be it for this entire game. 206 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:40,000 Speaker 2: So I would this is one of the rarest spots 207 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 2: where it actually consider playing defense in the captain spot 208 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:48,560 Speaker 2: in a couple of spots, just because of how low 209 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:52,560 Speaker 2: scoring you know, we're projecting this game. So like the 210 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 2: Steelers defense here going against what it sounds like Bailey 211 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 2: Zappi with a banged up receiving core and now without 212 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 2: the guy who's been carrying him on offense. In reminder, Stevenson, 213 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:05,800 Speaker 2: we go for darkthrows. 214 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 1: To like dots. 215 00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:10,559 Speaker 2: Okay, I'm more of a you know, a corn hoole 216 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 2: man myself. 217 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:16,160 Speaker 1: I'm going with either Time Montgomery or Jamichael Hasty. I'm 218 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: not quite sure which back will be the main pass 219 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:21,840 Speaker 1: catching back, so you know, right now, I'm leaning Time 220 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 1: Montgomery just because he's been there the longest, but wouldn't 221 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:26,720 Speaker 1: shock me if Hasty ends up being, you know, the 222 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:29,320 Speaker 1: main pass down back. But maybe we have a better 223 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: idea culture to kick off. But I think targeting either 224 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 1: of these backs would just be a nice dart throw. 225 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:38,079 Speaker 1: In this game, they're more likely gonna be spelling Zeke 226 00:12:38,160 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 1: on passing downs. I think he's gonna dominate pretty much 227 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 1: every you know, early downstep. But I think just since 228 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a potential trailing game script, that should 229 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 1: help too. And you know, so one of those receiving backs. 230 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:55,439 Speaker 1: And then I don't know what's up with Malie Cunningham, 231 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 1: Like they keep saying they're gonna have a package of plays. 232 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,559 Speaker 1: Has he even had a snap a quarterback? 233 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 2: He did in his first appearance, but not in the 234 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 2: most recent one against the Chargers. Yeah, against the Raiders 235 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:09,560 Speaker 2: he did. I think it was the Raiders whatever game 236 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 2: he appeared in, like another game before this, and he 237 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:15,920 Speaker 2: did have like two or three snaps of quarterback and like, 238 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 2: but yeah, he didn't in the last game. He didn't play. Yeah, 239 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 2: an offense, I should say he's he's six. 240 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:26,439 Speaker 1: K So I mean, if we're talking dart throws and 241 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 1: just a shit slate, I mean, there's a chance they 242 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 1: put him in there. And in preseason when he was 243 00:13:32,280 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: playing quarterback, I mean, he's out there to scramble. He 244 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:37,240 Speaker 1: was just racking up rushing yards, so it wouldn't hurt. 245 00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 1: So just try something out like that, so he could 246 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 1: easily end up, you know, three or four points here, 247 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 1: maybe become the quarterback. So just a wild ass dart 248 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 1: throw he might be in consideration if they do finally 249 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:49,160 Speaker 1: give him some playing time. 250 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's actually a great point. So, whoever is the 251 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:56,320 Speaker 2: Patriots number two quarterback in this game? Because the Patriots 252 00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 2: have benched their quarterback so many times, I think, you know, 253 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,559 Speaker 2: if if it's Mac Jones. I think Mac Jones is 254 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 2: actually in play as a darth or as bad as 255 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 2: he's been. And if it's Malie Cunningham, I think, even 256 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 2: even though the prices are high for a quote unquote 257 00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:12,480 Speaker 2: dark throw, I do think, you know, in a suit 258 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 2: like this again, because we expect it to be so 259 00:14:15,559 --> 00:14:20,560 Speaker 2: low scoring, you have to consider, Okay, well, maybe you know, 260 00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:24,720 Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is up like ten or thirteen nothing and Zappi's 261 00:14:24,760 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 2: doing nothing, and they go back, you know, they bench him, 262 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 2: and maybe the backup comes in and throws a touchdown 263 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:32,280 Speaker 2: and then you know almost no oh, nobody has him. 264 00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 2: So I wouldn't limit myself to just the Patriots starting quarterback. 265 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 2: I mean, you know, it's not the projections aren't too different. 266 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 2: You know, it's like close to zero and close to 267 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 2: zero for both. But I think, yeah, I think Montgomery 268 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:48,120 Speaker 2: will be We'll get in the game ahead of Hasty 269 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 2: only because Montgomery's been active every game this year for 270 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 2: New England and he's been there. He was there last 271 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 2: year too, I believe, whereas you know, Hasty just got 272 00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 2: here a couple of weeks ago and has been a 273 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 2: healthy scratch. So I'm leaning toward time Montgomery in the spot. 274 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 1: Well, if anything, they have like five receivers that are questionable. 275 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 1: If like three or four of them are ruled out, 276 00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:11,880 Speaker 1: they might need time Montgomery as a receiver and Jamichael 277 00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: Hasty will be the past catching back. 278 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 2: That is true. That is true. So yeah, it's definitely 279 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 2: something to monitor. But assuming they have, you know, at 280 00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 2: least like four healthy receivers, I do think they would 281 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 2: you know, Montgomery would obviously be available to player receive, 282 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 2: but I do think they would use just because Hasty 283 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 2: has been a scratch. That's that's that's essentially because I 284 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 2: didn't I thought they would finally start activating three running backs, 285 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 2: true running backs when it got Hasty. But nope. But yeah, 286 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 2: like I like Montgomery. I mean because if if Montgomery, 287 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 2: let's say the receivers are hurt, then Montgomery kind of 288 00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 2: has to like two ways outside right, like doing thread upside. 289 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:54,240 Speaker 2: He has upside as a running back and he has 290 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 2: upside as as a spot receiver, so kind of like 291 00:15:57,680 --> 00:16:00,280 Speaker 2: almost like a cord Aro Patterson type. So I think 292 00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 2: he's intriguing. But for my doctor, I'm going Calvin Austin 293 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 2: a third. He is twenty four hundred, so pretty cheap 294 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 2: on DraftKings and New England. They've been pretty good recently 295 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 2: against the past, but on the year, there's still twenty 296 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 2: third in pass defense DVA, thirty second dead last against 297 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 2: non top two wide receivers. And that's not surprising because 298 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:27,440 Speaker 2: we know the Patriots have long tried to make opponents 299 00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 2: play left handed women as many of their top options 300 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 2: as possible and force you to you know, go to 301 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 2: your ancillary you know, supporting role players. And in the 302 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:42,520 Speaker 2: two games since Matt Canada was fired at offensive coordinator, 303 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 2: the Steers have doubled their deep attempt rate. Their deep 304 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 2: pass attempt rate, it has gone from eight point three 305 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 2: percent in the first ten games to sixteen point seven 306 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 2: percent in the last two without Canada. And then Mitch 307 00:16:56,920 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 2: Krubisky is attempting nearly twice as many deep passes is 308 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 2: pick It per attempt on the season Trubisky sixteen point 309 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 2: three percent deep attempt rate Trubisky eight point six. So 310 00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:19,960 Speaker 2: Calvin Austin, he has seen about a third of his 311 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:25,520 Speaker 2: targets come on the deep ball, so uh, he can 312 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 2: do that. He's also you know, he's seen a bunch 313 00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 2: of little underneath targets as well. But uh, he has 314 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 2: the speed to get deep and they are throwing downfield 315 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 2: a little bit more. And you know, I don't think 316 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 2: anyone's really expecting Calvin Austin to do anything. But if 317 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 2: he does get a seventy yard touchdown, for example, in 318 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:49,919 Speaker 2: a game where you're not really projecting many touchdowns, that 319 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 2: like kills a whole drive of potential, you know, receptions 320 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,919 Speaker 2: and yardage game for other players, so you get a 321 00:17:55,920 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 2: lot of leverage, not aside from points. If he hits, 322 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 2: you'll get a lot of leverage, more than you get 323 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:03,679 Speaker 2: from a dark on let's say like a Dallas Philly 324 00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,199 Speaker 2: type of game where you know, even if even if 325 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,400 Speaker 2: you get somebody who scores like ten to fifteen points 326 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 2: at close to minimum, they're still going to probably five 327 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,439 Speaker 2: or six guys that scored, you know, fifteen to twenty plus. 328 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:18,080 Speaker 2: So really like a guy who can just hit a 329 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 2: home run on this slate, and the Patriots don't really 330 00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:23,879 Speaker 2: have any of them. But Calvin Austin I think qualifies 331 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 2: for the Steelers. 332 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 1: I think he's the pumper turner. So if you play 333 00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 1: him and the Steelers defense, you'll get the double depth 334 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:34,439 Speaker 1: if he returns a touchdown low chances of that, but 335 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,159 Speaker 1: sometimes that's that's what it takes to take down one 336 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 1: of these showdown slates. 337 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:40,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean if you can get if that happens, 338 00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 2: and that's a twelve point touchdown right there. 339 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: That might be game over. 340 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:48,600 Speaker 2: Like that's like, this is a situation where even though 341 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 2: we're talking dark throws and cheap guys, because Calvin Austin, 342 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 2: I think he scored on a like a seventy plus 343 00:18:55,119 --> 00:19:00,240 Speaker 2: yarder earlier this year, let me double check that, Like, no, 344 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:01,359 Speaker 2: I think it was a pass. 345 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I know, yep. I had over two and 346 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 1: a half receptions and he had two for one hundred 347 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:08,160 Speaker 1: and fifty yards or whatever. 348 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:11,159 Speaker 2: No, not quite that much. But it was two for 349 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:14,679 Speaker 2: seventy two and a touchdown. But if he if he 350 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 2: does if he gets a punt return though, and you 351 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 2: have him stacked with the defense, that's a twelve point touchdown. 352 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 2: Now imagine that's the only touchdown. Yeah you have. There's 353 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 2: this is a slate where even your dart throws you 354 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,199 Speaker 2: have to consider them in the captain spot, like the 355 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 2: defense a guy like Austin because seven like, let's say 356 00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:37,919 Speaker 2: he gets seventy two. It was simple, just another seventy 357 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,880 Speaker 2: two and a touchdown like he did in weeks three 358 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 2: against the Raiders that he may be the highest scoring 359 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 2: player on the slate just with that. So yeah, this 360 00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 2: is that kind of slate where you kind of got 361 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,199 Speaker 2: to get creative here. You don't have to use all 362 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,919 Speaker 2: your salary. That's another thing I should church. All right, 363 00:19:57,040 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 2: let's let's pivot to the main slate for week fourteen. 364 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:05,680 Speaker 2: Obviously that is all the one in four pm Eastern games. 365 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 2: Who do you like? Four stacks? 366 00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 1: Well, I'll have to go with one of our obligatory 367 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,880 Speaker 1: niners stacks, so I'll take it this week. But Brock 368 00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:18,760 Speaker 1: Perty and Deebo Samuel specifically, you know, love them this week, 369 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 1: and then you could throw in George Kittle just pretty 370 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 1: and Deebo are too cheap this week just based on 371 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:27,359 Speaker 1: the matchup. Debo obviously thrives against Zone and Cilly's at 372 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,880 Speaker 1: the second highest rate, and we saw Deebo torch them 373 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:33,360 Speaker 1: just what two weeks ago. You know, people might shy 374 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 1: away for them this week just because San Francisco is 375 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 1: such a big favorite, you wouldn't expect them to throw 376 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:43,119 Speaker 1: as much, but it's still a great stack. Again. You 377 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,280 Speaker 1: could also throw in Kittle to make it a double stack, 378 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:48,400 Speaker 1: who had a slower game last time. This one could 379 00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,879 Speaker 1: be pretty shocky. So my other one is more of 380 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:55,600 Speaker 1: a true you know, large gpp dart throw stack of 381 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,399 Speaker 1: going back to my boy A and O'Connell at fifty 382 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 1: one hundred, stacking DeVante Adams, who's a bit pricey, you know, 383 00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 1: seventy five hundred, and then you could also throw in 384 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:08,440 Speaker 1: you know, Michael Mayer at twenty one hundred, or send 385 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:11,159 Speaker 1: it back with like TG Hawkins in there for a 386 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,360 Speaker 1: mini game stack. But you know, the Raiders are coming 387 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 1: out of a bye, so we could see an O'Connell 388 00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:19,879 Speaker 1: finally have a true breakout game. He's come so close 389 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:23,720 Speaker 1: to really having those the past few weeks, and it's 390 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:25,840 Speaker 1: you know, it's a tough matchup against the Vikings, so 391 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:29,439 Speaker 1: I expect this to be a very low rostered stack, 392 00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:33,680 Speaker 1: but he could break out very aggressive downfield passer when 393 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,359 Speaker 1: he needs to be, so has a shot, and you know, 394 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:37,879 Speaker 1: he's a rookie coming out of by and so is 395 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,879 Speaker 1: Michael Mayer, who you know, I don't see why they 396 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,440 Speaker 1: wouldn't expand his role Over the last few weeks. They're 397 00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:47,680 Speaker 1: evaluating for twenty twenty four anyway, very talented tight end. 398 00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 1: He's had a couple of nice games, but could be, 399 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:53,160 Speaker 1: you know, a true breakout game here. He's below three K, 400 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:56,439 Speaker 1: so a nice little three way stack here or a 401 00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 1: game stack, but very interested in stacking a tunnel before 402 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 1: like the inevitable breakout game comes. I think I like. 403 00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 2: That, and I would I would include Jacoby Myers in 404 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:10,679 Speaker 2: that conversation as well. On the season, Devontae Adams the 405 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 2: PPR wide receiver twenty three at fourteen and a half 406 00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:17,119 Speaker 2: points per game, Jacoby Myers the PPR wide receiver twenty 407 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,920 Speaker 2: four at fourteen point one point three game. So those 408 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:23,159 Speaker 2: guys have been pretty equal in terms of production, and 409 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,880 Speaker 2: Jacoby comes at a discount in terms of price and 410 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,400 Speaker 2: likely roster ship, so I wouldn't I wouldn't count him 411 00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,640 Speaker 2: out either, But I love that. I think I think 412 00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:35,360 Speaker 2: that's that's gonna That's one of those stacks that it's 413 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,800 Speaker 2: it's in a spot where you have you don't you're 414 00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 2: not really worried about the you're not worried about the 415 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:45,520 Speaker 2: weather in Vegas, yep. So uh, you know that that 416 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:47,480 Speaker 2: already gives you a leg up, even though it's a 417 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 2: low total game. Uh, you know, you could see a 418 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:51,719 Speaker 2: lot more scoring than you think because you do have 419 00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:55,200 Speaker 2: some firepower here with Justin Jefferson back. And that's one 420 00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 2: of my stacks. I mentioned on our player Projection pot 421 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:03,600 Speaker 2: over the Action Network podcast channel that I think the 422 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,199 Speaker 2: best way to invest in Justin Jefferson this week. I mean, 423 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 2: obviously you're starting him if you have him in any 424 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,120 Speaker 2: redraft leek or anything like that, but DFS, I think 425 00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:15,280 Speaker 2: he's really intriguing stacked with Josh Dobbs because there's been 426 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 2: talk of Dobbs getting benched or having a short leash, 427 00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,959 Speaker 2: and then we don't really like our projections for this 428 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:26,439 Speaker 2: whole Viking offense are a little bit muted compared to 429 00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 2: what they would be with Kirk Cousins because you can't 430 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:31,879 Speaker 2: project Dobbs for as many passing yards as Cousins was 431 00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:36,320 Speaker 2: racking up. But the potential is the ceiling is still there, 432 00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 2: and if Justin Jefferson is let's say, there's no limitations 433 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:42,720 Speaker 2: because he sat out that extra week, you know, got 434 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:46,120 Speaker 2: through to buy, there's no limitations on him. He's gonna 435 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 2: significantly raise Josh Dobbs's floor and stealing to the point 436 00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:53,480 Speaker 2: where it makes it a lot less likely he gets bench. 437 00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 2: So I think I love stacking Dobbs Jefferson this week 438 00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:00,880 Speaker 2: because everyone's gonna, I think, be worried about out the 439 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,119 Speaker 2: you know, the benching, and you know that will probably 440 00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 2: be baked into project you know, median projections, you know, 441 00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 2: him potentially getting benched. So uh DFS tournament, I think 442 00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:13,359 Speaker 2: it's the perfect time to invest in in you know, 443 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,879 Speaker 2: Adobs Jefferson stack. Just love and you got the you 444 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:22,920 Speaker 2: got the weather or the non weather factory. So love love. 445 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:25,919 Speaker 2: That's how That's how I would invest in in Jefferson 446 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:30,399 Speaker 2: and uh and then and I like what you're what 447 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:32,200 Speaker 2: you're kind of talking on the other side. That's why 448 00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:34,960 Speaker 2: I love that O'Connell stack, because I think both sides 449 00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 2: of this game are very intriguing. Because if Jefferson is 450 00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 2: balling out and and Jefferson and Dobbs are balling out, 451 00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:45,160 Speaker 2: that that means O'Connell and and and DeVante and Myers 452 00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:47,119 Speaker 2: or mayor those guys will have to put up some 453 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 2: points too. So it kind of works both ways, right, Like, 454 00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:50,960 Speaker 2: if if either one of these hits, you got some 455 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,560 Speaker 2: correlation here. So I think this game is being it's 456 00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 2: going to be a little bit underrated when it comes 457 00:24:56,880 --> 00:25:02,679 Speaker 2: to UH rostership and stacking one other one I like 458 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:06,160 Speaker 2: is kind of under the radar, or even more under 459 00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 2: the radar. Baker Mayfield stack with Mike Evans. I'm sure 460 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 2: Mike Evans will be popular, but Baker Mayfields has been 461 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:18,359 Speaker 2: pretty middling below average in terms of Fantasy but he 462 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 2: had his highest rushing yardist total of thirty two against 463 00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 2: the Falcons in the first meeting. His third highest passing 464 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:25,920 Speaker 2: total two hundred and seventy five in the first meeting 465 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:30,400 Speaker 2: against the Falcons. Aj Terrell, their top cornerback who ranks 466 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:34,160 Speaker 2: twenty eighth out of one eighteen qualifiers in PFF coverage Grade. 467 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 2: He is in a concussion protocol and more often than not, 468 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:39,960 Speaker 2: guys who are in a concusion protocol tend to miss 469 00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 2: the next week. Sometimes they come back, but there's a 470 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 2: decent chance that he'll miss. And then on the other side, 471 00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:50,159 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay's defense has been so bad that even against 472 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:54,440 Speaker 2: a team like the Falcons, Tampa Bay could could get 473 00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,679 Speaker 2: scored on and that will then force Tampa Bay to 474 00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:01,400 Speaker 2: throw on the other side. So Tampa Bay's defense since 475 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:06,240 Speaker 2: they're a week five by is bottom five in e 476 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 2: PA per Play, twenty eighth in e PA per Play. 477 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 2: So this Falcon team, especially in a game that's been 478 00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 2: going to be played indoors in Atlanta, this could be 479 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 2: another sneaky, sneaky shootout. And with so much weather projected 480 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 2: to affect you know these games. You know there's a 481 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 2: lot of totals that are in this thirty you know, 482 00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,680 Speaker 2: low thirties to a high mid to high thirties to 483 00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:33,359 Speaker 2: low forties, but I would favor the ones where weather 484 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:36,400 Speaker 2: is not going to be a factor where possible. So 485 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 2: you know this total is only thirty nine, but indoors 486 00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:45,720 Speaker 2: in Atlanta, bad Bucks defense, Mike Evans balling out and 487 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,600 Speaker 2: Baker hat did have you know we did put up 488 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 2: decent some decent yardage totals against Tampa Bay over three 489 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,240 Speaker 2: hundred total yards excuse me, against Atlanta in the first meeting. 490 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,680 Speaker 2: So like the Baker Mike Evans stack, not like not 491 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:00,639 Speaker 2: just the soulo Mike Evans as I know a lot 492 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 2: of people are gonna do, but just just correlate them 493 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 2: with Baker and see where it takes you on a 494 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,119 Speaker 2: week where you might you might need that most scoring 495 00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:12,679 Speaker 2: quarterback because again, the weather might neut a lot of 496 00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:14,479 Speaker 2: the guys people might pay up for. 497 00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it. I mean, Mike Evans is their 498 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,120 Speaker 1: passing offense right now. Godwin had zero touches. 499 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:22,440 Speaker 2: A rushing touchdown, but yeah, oh he did have. 500 00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 1: A rushing touchdown. That's nice. But and Kate Otten thirty 501 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 1: routes front didn't draw a target. I mean, this is 502 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:30,880 Speaker 1: all flown through Mike Evans and Rashad White right now. 503 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:35,719 Speaker 2: Speaking of which, let's go to dart throws. I'll have 504 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:37,439 Speaker 2: something on and in a bit. But who do you 505 00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:40,320 Speaker 2: like for dark throws? Y'all take your darts over here? 506 00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 1: Pretty seriously? Huh, Well, you know, Jake Browning's obvious at 507 00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 1: fifty two hundred. Obviously he's a great cheap play because 508 00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 1: they didn't really bump up his price after Mint Football 509 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:53,560 Speaker 1: because pricing was already out, so he's probably gonna be chalky. 510 00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:57,120 Speaker 1: So I do like for GPPs. You know, An O'Connell's 511 00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 1: one hundred dollars cheaper. I feel like just with Jake 512 00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:02,720 Speaker 1: sitting there at fifty two hundred, you know Connin is 513 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:04,800 Speaker 1: gonna be a great player, and Jams. 514 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,840 Speaker 2: So like, yeah, that's why. Yeah, that's what I like 515 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:11,800 Speaker 2: both of those, Like, yeah, exactly, like going up or 516 00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,119 Speaker 2: down by like one or two hundred either way. 517 00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, Jamis Winston's around there too, So Browning should be 518 00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:20,879 Speaker 1: highly rostered at his price. But what I'm saying is 519 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,760 Speaker 1: all these other guys are gonna be great plays as well. 520 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 1: And then at running back, I like Damian Pierce at 521 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,840 Speaker 1: five k uh. He reclaimed the lead back roll from Singletary, 522 00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 1: had a three yard touchdown run, so he's getting the 523 00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 1: goal line work. And this is a matchup, you know, 524 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:38,080 Speaker 1: against the Jets where the Texans will likely lean on 525 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 1: the run. So given the current splits, you know that's 526 00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:43,480 Speaker 1: gonna be Damian Pierce, I think, so definitely worth it 527 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 1: at five k Roshawn Johnson at forty nine hundreds. Interesting, 528 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 1: he took over the lead back over Klill Herbert last time. 529 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,200 Speaker 1: You know, even if Deontay Foreman returns, you know, I 530 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 1: think he's gonna have a big enough role to be 531 00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 1: worth forty nine hundred. You know, he should remain the 532 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,120 Speaker 1: past catching back. And this is a game where we 533 00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:04,080 Speaker 1: could see high winds, so there's just gonna be more 534 00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,920 Speaker 1: run plays, maybe more dump offs to the running backs, 535 00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 1: so that would likely be roshan so he could benefit 536 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,680 Speaker 1: from the ugly weather. So like him at forty one hundred. 537 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:16,280 Speaker 1: I already mentioned you know Jackson Smith Nijigba on our 538 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:20,080 Speaker 1: other pod at forty one hundred. Love him here. Just 539 00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:23,880 Speaker 1: been heating up since the week five by typically sees 540 00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,680 Speaker 1: way more playing time in trailing game script. So you know, 541 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:30,240 Speaker 1: Seattle's fourteen point dogs here, so should see a ton 542 00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,280 Speaker 1: of playing time. Has the better matchup in the slot. 543 00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:36,440 Speaker 1: And then I already mentioned it Michael Mayer at twenty 544 00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:38,920 Speaker 1: nine hundred at tight end coming out of the by 545 00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:43,800 Speaker 1: very talented rookie tight end. You know the Raiders, It 546 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 1: would behoove them to give him more playing time the 547 00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:48,280 Speaker 1: rest of the way, so it would make sense to 548 00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:52,320 Speaker 1: leash him a bit. He's had some you know, splashy 549 00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:54,680 Speaker 1: games in the past, but we could see a true 550 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:58,360 Speaker 1: breakout game here despite the tough matchup. I do like 551 00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:00,440 Speaker 1: him at this price point at twenty im hundred. 552 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:04,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, Mayors is jumping up my ranks. He's up to 553 00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:07,640 Speaker 2: my tight end sixteen this week, which is I'm pretty 554 00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:11,440 Speaker 2: sure the highest that I've had him all season. So 555 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 2: like mayor as well, And yeah, I think this is 556 00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:17,240 Speaker 2: this is one of those slates where, like I said, 557 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:20,479 Speaker 2: I think he really definitely want to get creative, so 558 00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:22,720 Speaker 2: like that that that's a good call on you know, yes, 559 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,960 Speaker 2: Browning is you know, great play value wise, but you know, 560 00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,160 Speaker 2: also pay attention to you know, some guys you can 561 00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:31,200 Speaker 2: get maybe a couple hundred dollars cheaper, one hundred, a 562 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 2: couple hundred dollars more expensive, because I think it's just 563 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:38,320 Speaker 2: gonna be chaos on this slated by the weather and 564 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,640 Speaker 2: all the uncertainty of the backups, and it's just just 565 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:43,720 Speaker 2: you know, it's it's one of those slates that I 566 00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,640 Speaker 2: think is wide open for me. I like Keaton Mitchell 567 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:50,040 Speaker 2: at running back. He's forty nine hundred on Drafting, fifty 568 00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:53,240 Speaker 2: nine hundred on FanDuel going against the Rams, and he's 569 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:56,520 Speaker 2: kind of right in at that wheelhouse where he's still 570 00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,480 Speaker 2: a Darth throw because he's still not even playing fifty 571 00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:02,960 Speaker 2: percent of the snaps, but he might this week. His 572 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:07,200 Speaker 2: snap rate has gone eighteen thirty six percent forty six 573 00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 2: percent over the last four weeks. Now they're coming out 574 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,360 Speaker 2: of the by and he started the last game against 575 00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 2: the who was the Chargers. Yeah, the Chargers. He started 576 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:20,280 Speaker 2: that game, led the backfield and snaps forty six percent 577 00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 2: for him. Uh Hill and Edwards had just under thirty 578 00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 2: percent each. And he led the Ravens and touches in 579 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:29,800 Speaker 2: that game as well, eleven to Gus Edwards is nine 580 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,600 Speaker 2: and Justice Hill's five. And remember that that wasn't like 581 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:37,560 Speaker 2: a just a guard. There wasn't garbage time in that game. Really, 582 00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 2: you know, Mitchell started and that game was a three 583 00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:42,280 Speaker 2: point game with under two minutes to go, and then 584 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,000 Speaker 2: Zay Flowers instead of going down U you know, runs 585 00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:47,760 Speaker 2: it in the enzone for long touchdown. But I wouldn't 586 00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:49,880 Speaker 2: sleep on Mitchell. I think this might be finally be 587 00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:53,280 Speaker 2: the week where he gets over fifty percent of the snaps, 588 00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 2: so he's treated like a true starter. You know, they're 589 00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:58,200 Speaker 2: always going to mix in I think all three of 590 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:00,680 Speaker 2: their backs. But I remember Guss was getting you know, 591 00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,840 Speaker 2: fifty five to sixty percent earlier in the year. Dobbin's 592 00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,520 Speaker 2: same thing, so I think he might see Mitchell and 593 00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 2: he's very explosive, so he can do more with less. 594 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 2: Here home favorite against the Rams, so great spot as well. 595 00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:17,520 Speaker 2: So love him coming out of the buy to rookies 596 00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:19,720 Speaker 2: coming out of the buy. Always love that another rookie, 597 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:23,720 Speaker 2: Cedric Tillman at wide receiver thirty four hundred on DK, 598 00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 2: fifty four hundred on FanDuel against Jacksonville. We saw jackson 599 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,000 Speaker 2: We saw that Jacksonville is vulnerable even to backup quarterbacks 600 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:34,760 Speaker 2: on defense. Tilman's averaging a ninety percent route participation rate 601 00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,200 Speaker 2: over his last four games. He's had five and six 602 00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:40,760 Speaker 2: targets over his last two games. And you know, thirty 603 00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:44,360 Speaker 2: two percent of his targets have been deep this year, 604 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:47,320 Speaker 2: so about a third of his targets have been downfield. 605 00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,760 Speaker 2: Flacco and him had a nineteen average depth of target, 606 00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:54,680 Speaker 2: So it looks like Flacco is going to get another 607 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:57,680 Speaker 2: start here. So we know Flacco there's one thing he 608 00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:01,080 Speaker 2: can still do, it's throwaball down the field. And Tilman 609 00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:04,640 Speaker 2: still hasn't had his true breakout games, So especially if 610 00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:07,600 Speaker 2: Mark Cooper's out, I think Tillman. You know, the joke 611 00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:10,680 Speaker 2: is obviously going to be popular if Cooper were out, 612 00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:13,440 Speaker 2: but I think Tilman in Elijah More would be. But 613 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,360 Speaker 2: I think Tilman again a rookie that hasn't really broken 614 00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:18,560 Speaker 2: out yet, but it's playing ninety percent of the snaps. 615 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:22,800 Speaker 2: Can't really get more routes for thirty four hundred on DK, 616 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,920 Speaker 2: fifty four hundred on fanduels to love him, and one 617 00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 2: more Kate Atton at tight end thirty one hundred on 618 00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:33,840 Speaker 2: DK and forty nine hundred on FanDuel at Atlanta averaging 619 00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:36,560 Speaker 2: an eight seven percent route participation rate, which we love. 620 00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 2: Ninety percent since to buy back in Week five, so 621 00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:44,960 Speaker 2: he's on the field almost every snap, and what I 622 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:46,720 Speaker 2: really like is he didn't have a catch last week, 623 00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:49,480 Speaker 2: so you know, he's a guy that you're kind of 624 00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:51,560 Speaker 2: betting on. A bounce back is probably going to be 625 00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:54,040 Speaker 2: lightly rostered because no one really wants to touch a 626 00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:56,600 Speaker 2: guy that didn't catch a single ball despite playing almost 627 00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 2: every snap. But Atlanta defensively allow on the third most 628 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,120 Speaker 2: catches per game to tight ends at six point three, 629 00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,680 Speaker 2: the third most yards per game to tight end at 630 00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,720 Speaker 2: just over sixty three, and they are bottom six and 631 00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:10,880 Speaker 2: fantasy points allowed to the position as well, So I 632 00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:12,839 Speaker 2: think this is a good matchup for Aten and last 633 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,880 Speaker 2: week they were going against Carolina and Caroline's one of 634 00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:17,719 Speaker 2: the best teams against tight end, so now Atlanta is 635 00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:19,760 Speaker 2: one of the worst. So this is a great bounce 636 00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:23,040 Speaker 2: back spot for Kate Atten. Then you can buy pretty 637 00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:26,040 Speaker 2: well here almost at min price, So I love him 638 00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:26,319 Speaker 2: as well. 639 00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:30,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love the Keaton Mitchell call because it looked 640 00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:32,680 Speaker 1: like he leap frog Gus to be the lead back 641 00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:34,719 Speaker 1: and then they had to buy. So maybe it's not 642 00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:37,440 Speaker 1: on top people's minds and his rostership might be a 643 00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,040 Speaker 1: little bit lower as a result, because if you know, 644 00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:42,600 Speaker 1: they played the very next week, I think his roster 645 00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:44,880 Speaker 1: ship would have been sky high. But hey, you know, 646 00:34:44,920 --> 00:34:46,840 Speaker 1: people had one week to forget about it. So like 647 00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:50,200 Speaker 1: getting him in this like five k range at running back, 648 00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:51,719 Speaker 1: I think it's the sweet spot this week. I think 649 00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:53,200 Speaker 1: there's some really solid options there. 650 00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:57,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, Mitchell, Pierce, Rochean Kareem Hunt is another one didn't 651 00:34:57,920 --> 00:34:59,960 Speaker 2: even mention, but he's you know, he's kind of drawn 652 00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:02,359 Speaker 2: even with Ford in terms of usage, and they could 653 00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:04,759 Speaker 2: be run heavy. So we had quite a few, quite 654 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,640 Speaker 2: a few options. All right, let's uh, let's let's go 655 00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:09,640 Speaker 2: ahead and build a lineup. My mom did pretty good 656 00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:11,279 Speaker 2: last week. It was I think it was like three 657 00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:13,440 Speaker 2: hundred something in the million Maker. It was like one 658 00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:17,040 Speaker 2: hundred ninety three points that Devo and party status can't 659 00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 2: really go wrong. I'm gonna start with a guy who 660 00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:27,520 Speaker 2: you took last week didn't really work out, but I 661 00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:29,200 Speaker 2: think he's a great play. I think he's a top 662 00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:32,000 Speaker 2: top two back, top two back once again this week. 663 00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:36,719 Speaker 2: And that's Zach Moss going against Indianapolis. So fifty nine 664 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:40,560 Speaker 2: hundred still a great price for him. I think we 665 00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:43,759 Speaker 2: both have him RB two this week. Doubt hill move 666 00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:47,680 Speaker 2: because that that Cincinnati defense has been vulnerable on the ground, 667 00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:51,520 Speaker 2: and Moss played almost every snap last week, so that 668 00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:55,040 Speaker 2: the underline usage was there, fazy the kind of dud. 669 00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:57,239 Speaker 2: Tennessee does have a pretty good run defense, one of 670 00:35:57,280 --> 00:35:59,560 Speaker 2: the best actually, although they did lose Simmons last week, 671 00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:02,600 Speaker 2: But this week Cincinnati is one of the worst. So yeah, 672 00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:04,440 Speaker 2: give me that Moss fifty nine hundred. 673 00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:06,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was, I was gonna go with him, but 674 00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:11,040 Speaker 1: I'll go with his teammate Michael Pittman at seventy three hundred. 675 00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:17,879 Speaker 2: I love it. Yeah, he he gave me a good 676 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:19,440 Speaker 2: what thirty plus last week. 677 00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:21,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't let you. I can't let you have 678 00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:21,799 Speaker 1: him again. 679 00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:26,760 Speaker 2: All right, let's see give me Brock Purtty at sixty 680 00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:28,960 Speaker 2: five hundred. I'm gonna go build a little different. I 681 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:31,520 Speaker 2: think a lot of people are gonna go to that, 682 00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:35,400 Speaker 2: like low Drake Browning range, So I'm gonna pay up 683 00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,560 Speaker 2: a little bit. But I love Pretty this week, as 684 00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:41,480 Speaker 2: I do every week anytime he has those three pass 685 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:45,680 Speaker 2: catchers healthy, plus CFC and Trent I think, and no 686 00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,360 Speaker 2: weather concerns. So yeah, give me Pretty at sixty five hundred. 687 00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:52,080 Speaker 1: Where you go next, I'm going defense. I'm getting ahead 688 00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:55,160 Speaker 1: of you on this one. I think there's a no 689 00:36:55,239 --> 00:37:00,360 Speaker 1: brainer player right now. It's the Browns at three k. Obviously, 690 00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 1: the prices came out before Lawrence's injury, so against CJ. 691 00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:06,680 Speaker 1: Bethard love him at three k. 692 00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:09,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, there, I thought about the Browns actually, but I 693 00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:14,720 Speaker 2: think there are some options here on defense. The Browns 694 00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:16,160 Speaker 2: are the I think the best value. 695 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:19,239 Speaker 1: But yeah, I'll let you figure out who the next 696 00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:23,280 Speaker 1: one is. I'm curious to hear what you think. But again, Tuesday, 697 00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:27,560 Speaker 1: my defensive projections are the least far along. I kind 698 00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:29,520 Speaker 1: of got the obvious one here, all right. 699 00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:33,279 Speaker 2: I'll go with with Keaton Mitchell at running back forty 700 00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:36,120 Speaker 2: nine hundred at home against the Rams. 701 00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:39,719 Speaker 1: I'm going to actually spend up and get the most 702 00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:44,480 Speaker 1: expensive player right now, Christ McCaffrey at ninety, and confident 703 00:37:44,520 --> 00:37:47,759 Speaker 1: in my ability to find some cheap ones to go 704 00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:52,479 Speaker 1: along with him. Kind of yeah, I got to counter 705 00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:56,000 Speaker 1: your party. Every McCaffrey rushing touchdown will be amazing for 706 00:37:56,080 --> 00:38:00,000 Speaker 1: me here. But he's like five points higher than Zach Moss, 707 00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:03,520 Speaker 1: who's my you know, my RB two here, So it's 708 00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:05,759 Speaker 1: just huge advantage having him here. 709 00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:08,439 Speaker 2: All right. For my defense, I'm gonna kind of punt 710 00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:12,600 Speaker 2: a little bit. I'm gonna go up against that road 711 00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:15,440 Speaker 2: outdoor Jared Goff and go to the Chicago Bears at 712 00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,160 Speaker 2: twenty four hundred, so one of the two cheapest defenses 713 00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:20,560 Speaker 2: on a slate. But the Bears have been surprised that 714 00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:24,880 Speaker 2: we putting up some pretty good defensive performances fourteen against Minnesota, 715 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:30,840 Speaker 2: nine against Detroit, seven against Carolina seventeen and against the 716 00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:34,800 Speaker 2: Raiders ten against Minnesota. They have quite a few solid 717 00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:38,319 Speaker 2: defensive performances this year. Now they're coming off to buy, 718 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:43,839 Speaker 2: so let's just take a chance here and go with 719 00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:47,000 Speaker 2: what we know, which is Jared Goff always struggle in 720 00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:50,680 Speaker 2: these outdoor spots. So Bears twenty four hundred, I got 721 00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:54,000 Speaker 2: sixty six just over six hundred for five more players. 722 00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:54,880 Speaker 2: Where are you going next? 723 00:38:55,200 --> 00:38:58,400 Speaker 1: All right? Well, I got about five k remaining per player, 724 00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:02,399 Speaker 1: so I gotta start down. I'll I'll take my boy 725 00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:05,560 Speaker 1: at tight end, David jok who at forty one hundred 726 00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:10,239 Speaker 1: definitely too cheap there, He's that's a little bit more 727 00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:14,720 Speaker 1: expensive than Kyle Pitts. Yeah yeah, I'll go Joku. 728 00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:19,000 Speaker 2: All right. So I got just over six hundred on 729 00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:22,120 Speaker 2: average for three all my wide receivers and tight end 730 00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:24,680 Speaker 2: and a flex. So no pass catches yet for me. 731 00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:28,879 Speaker 2: Let's go Mike Evans here, seventy seven hundred. He's only 732 00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:34,040 Speaker 2: had two games of non double digit drafting points this season. 733 00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 2: Aj Terrell might be out with that concussion. So seventy 734 00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:41,880 Speaker 2: seven hundred at Atlanta for Evans indoor game. Love it. 735 00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:43,480 Speaker 2: Where you go next? 736 00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,880 Speaker 1: I got to prevent you from having a pretty debo 737 00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:50,160 Speaker 1: stack against so I'm gonna go Debo here. I don't 738 00:39:50,160 --> 00:39:52,960 Speaker 1: mind having McCaffrey and Debo. This is more of a 739 00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,000 Speaker 1: head to head cash game format, so it kind of 740 00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:58,360 Speaker 1: raises my team's floor and kind of kind of blocks 741 00:39:58,360 --> 00:39:59,279 Speaker 1: your purty a little bit. 742 00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:03,879 Speaker 2: As long as I get as long as Perdy's balling yep, 743 00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:08,520 Speaker 2: but yeah, no, Debo is still still a little too 744 00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:12,680 Speaker 2: cheap in my opinion with sixty sixty. Yeah, I think 745 00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:15,879 Speaker 2: he deserves to be over seven, especially against his own 746 00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:20,040 Speaker 2: heavy Seattle defense that got fifty six to fifty average 747 00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:22,520 Speaker 2: for two hour receivers at tight end and a flex. 748 00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:28,799 Speaker 2: I'll go doting Kncaid here fifty five hundred against the Chiefs. 749 00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:34,480 Speaker 2: He has five or more catches in six straight games, 750 00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:39,000 Speaker 2: so like that floor for DraftKings and obviously has the ceiling. 751 00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:41,520 Speaker 2: Could be could end up being a shootout with the Chiefs. 752 00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,719 Speaker 1: Ye who'd have thought we'd been saying that a right 753 00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:51,040 Speaker 1: that could be defensive struggle. Yeah, I'm gonna go with 754 00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,600 Speaker 1: I have to start getting some cheap guys, so I'm 755 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:58,480 Speaker 1: gonna go Huber cheap here and go Johnathan Mingo at 756 00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:01,760 Speaker 1: thirty five hundred. But he's been he's been really turning 757 00:41:01,800 --> 00:41:05,160 Speaker 1: it on. I think he's pretty decent, like Flyer on 758 00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:08,680 Speaker 1: DK specifically for full PPR, but I like him at 759 00:41:08,680 --> 00:41:09,560 Speaker 1: thirty five hundred here. 760 00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:12,200 Speaker 2: I think go back to back double DIGG games, you 761 00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,560 Speaker 2: don't mind it. So I got fifty seven hundred average 762 00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:19,360 Speaker 2: for two IUR receivers and flex. Let's see, let's go 763 00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:22,480 Speaker 2: with Drake London at forty six hundred. At that price, 764 00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:24,759 Speaker 2: it's pretty much all upside. 765 00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:29,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, as uh as considering there too, way too cheap. 766 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,759 Speaker 2: Lowest price of the season for Drake in a in 767 00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:34,799 Speaker 2: a matchup against a team that's been bottom three in 768 00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:37,520 Speaker 2: pass defense since the week since week six. 769 00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:40,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was, I was considering there all go with 770 00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:46,279 Speaker 1: his teammate Jon Robinson at sixty five hundred, Tyler Algiers 771 00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:48,920 Speaker 1: kind of being like phased out a little bit. So 772 00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:52,399 Speaker 1: Bijon had some really good underline usage in Tampa Bay. Yeah, 773 00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,560 Speaker 1: their past defense has been shaky and both linebackers Devin 774 00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:59,160 Speaker 1: White and Levonte David were out last week and both 775 00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:03,200 Speaker 1: our backups got hurt too, and they Chuba Hubbard look 776 00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:07,000 Speaker 1: like prime Ladanian Tomlinson against him last week. So I 777 00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,800 Speaker 1: think this could be a blow up spot for Bijean. 778 00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:11,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I have him. I think I have him like 779 00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:15,560 Speaker 2: RB six or seven on a week, So I love him. 780 00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:17,760 Speaker 2: I have sixty two to fifty for a wide receiver 781 00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:22,319 Speaker 2: and a flex what by low on Adam Deewen sixty 782 00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:26,120 Speaker 2: three hundred, like the like the matchupigs Man coverage Thinky 783 00:42:26,120 --> 00:42:28,919 Speaker 2: bounces back this week, so I'll take him at sixty three, 784 00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:32,480 Speaker 2: So that gives me sixty one hundred for my flex. 785 00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:35,120 Speaker 1: Gotcha, Well, then I'll take my flex. Now I'll leave 786 00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:40,160 Speaker 1: my quarterback slot for last. I'll go with Jackson Smith 787 00:42:40,200 --> 00:42:43,200 Speaker 1: and Jigba at forty one hundred. Love him at that price, 788 00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:47,360 Speaker 1: and then that leaves me fifty five hundred at quarterback, 789 00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:49,480 Speaker 1: which is perfect because I have, like, you know, three 790 00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:52,240 Speaker 1: or four quarterbacks to choose from my like, so I'll. 791 00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:56,320 Speaker 2: Go with that, all right, sixty one hundred, So I 792 00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:58,319 Speaker 2: got a flex. I've got a lot of options here, 793 00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:06,839 Speaker 2: Hull Laporta, Joe Mixon, Courtland Sutton, Godwin Hockinson. I think 794 00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,680 Speaker 2: I'm between Sutton and Mixing. Let me see who I 795 00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:14,160 Speaker 2: have projected higher, Probably Mixing, especially pretty close Lean and 796 00:43:14,239 --> 00:43:18,799 Speaker 2: Sonning because I feel like it's Charger Bronco game. The 797 00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:23,759 Speaker 2: Broncos have been in some lower scoring games, but this 798 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:27,000 Speaker 2: might be more of a shootout. Let me see. Yeah, 799 00:43:27,080 --> 00:43:29,360 Speaker 2: give me Court and Sutton here. I'll go with some 800 00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:32,120 Speaker 2: touchdown upside, since I think my rest of my life 801 00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:37,239 Speaker 2: is pretty pretty decent values. Sutton been living off touchdowns, 802 00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:41,560 Speaker 2: got one in six in the last seven games. But 803 00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:43,520 Speaker 2: that's the name of the game. 804 00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,560 Speaker 1: So yep, great catches. He has an amazing catch every game. 805 00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:50,560 Speaker 1: It seems like I'm gonna I'm gonna go Jake Browning here. 806 00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:54,120 Speaker 1: Obviously he's gonna be a very highly rostered at fifty 807 00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:57,680 Speaker 1: two hundred heading in to Monday Night. He probably should 808 00:43:57,680 --> 00:44:00,160 Speaker 1: have been fifty two hundred for this week, but for 809 00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:02,360 Speaker 1: Monday Night he probably should be I would say, like 810 00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:05,320 Speaker 1: fifty six hundred. So I think I'm getting some nice 811 00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:10,040 Speaker 1: monnight football value here. So let's go with Browning. So 812 00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:11,680 Speaker 1: I have three hundred leftover. 813 00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:12,640 Speaker 2: All right, we cut your rune up. 814 00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:16,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, So I got Jake Browning at quarterback. Then I 815 00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:20,239 Speaker 1: went Christ McCaffrey and Bjeon Robinson at running back. My 816 00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:26,799 Speaker 1: wide receivers are Michael Pittman, Deebo Samuel Jonathan Mingo tight end. 817 00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:30,000 Speaker 1: I went with David and Joku, And for my flex 818 00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:33,520 Speaker 1: I went with Jackson Smith Jigba. And my defense is 819 00:44:33,600 --> 00:44:36,759 Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns going up against CJ. Bethard and the 820 00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:37,719 Speaker 1: Jaguars this week. 821 00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:41,560 Speaker 2: I got Brock Purdy at quarterback sixty five hundred against Seattle, 822 00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:44,839 Speaker 2: Zach Moss at running back fifty nine hundred at Cincinnati, 823 00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:49,000 Speaker 2: Keaton Mitchell at running back forty nine hundred hosting the Rams. 824 00:44:49,040 --> 00:44:52,200 Speaker 2: Wide receivers are Mike Evans seventy seven hundred out Atlanta, 825 00:44:52,400 --> 00:44:55,719 Speaker 2: Drake London forty six hundred against Tampa at a d 826 00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:59,959 Speaker 2: wind sixty three hundred at New Orleans tight end, Don't 827 00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:04,239 Speaker 2: Kinkid fifty five hundred at Kansas City. My flex is 828 00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:08,440 Speaker 2: Courtland Sutton sixty one hundred at the Chargers, and then 829 00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:14,280 Speaker 2: punting defense and fading Jared Goff outdoors twenty four hundred 830 00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:17,359 Speaker 2: for the Chicago Bears at home. All Right, that is 831 00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:21,320 Speaker 2: going to wrap it up for the Fantasy Flex Fantasy 832 00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:24,760 Speaker 2: Preview episode for Week four. Team for more fantasy content 833 00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:26,359 Speaker 2: from Sean and may be sure to check out our 834 00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:29,480 Speaker 2: full Player Projections episode out right now over on the 835 00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:32,239 Speaker 2: Action Network podcast channel. And don't forget we drop our 836 00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:34,920 Speaker 2: Night Shift episode every Friday where we break down the 837 00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:38,879 Speaker 2: primetime DFS slates Sunday and Monday night football. Action Network 838 00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:41,720 Speaker 2: dot Com for all of your NFL fantasy and betting 839 00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:45,719 Speaker 2: content needs, Fantasy Labs dot Com for DFS tools and models. 840 00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:48,320 Speaker 2: Don't forget the Action Network Discord server, the link is 841 00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:51,600 Speaker 2: any episode description. You can find Sean on X at 842 00:45:51,640 --> 00:45:54,200 Speaker 2: the Underscore Odds Maker, I'm at Chris Raybon. Now we're 843 00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:57,120 Speaker 2: at those same handles on the free award winning Action 844 00:45:57,440 --> 00:46:07,280 Speaker 2: Network app. Until next time, get this more. Action Network 845 00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:11,440 Speaker 2: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you 846 00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:14,680 Speaker 2: care about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty 847 00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:16,880 Speaker 2: four to seven at one eight hundred gambler