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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast PODA.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the kick is Brock.

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Speaker 2: College Football World Stunners, Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 1: Please stumble and football the latter turn a tater on

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Speaker 1: the Exode GM the lad.

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Speaker 2: A table off the day of the night. By god,

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Speaker 2: it's not the size of the dog in the fighting,

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Speaker 2: it's the size of the fight in the all.

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Speaker 4: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 4: Campus Podcast presented by DraftKings. This is the Week thirteen

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Speaker 4: college football betting preview. I'm stuck in joining me as always,

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Speaker 4: my fellow BBOC cast Colin will not to get to today.

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Speaker 4: We'll try to cover I don't know about twenty games

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Speaker 4: on the week thirteen slate. It's crazy it's already Week thirteen,

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Speaker 4: only one more big slate left in the college football season.

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Speaker 4: But Funny Moore games to come. We'll have a conference

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Speaker 4: championship weekend all the balls. I think that's when we

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Speaker 4: do our best work, and then obviously the college football Playoff.

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Speaker 4: And don't worry, this channel and show will continue with

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Speaker 4: college basketball very shortly. More to come on that front.

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Speaker 4: Also quick reminders before we get started here. If you

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Speaker 4: use Twitter, be sure to check out at Playbook, the

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Speaker 4: new betting bot from Action You can turn your screenshot

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Speaker 4: into a bet slip. It's pretty easy. Just follow at

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Speaker 4: Playbook on Twitter for more info. But if you see

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Speaker 4: a bet you like, to say hey at Playbook, it'll

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Speaker 4: automatically generate the betslip before you save you some times,

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Speaker 4: especially if you like a parlay or player prop. Super easy,

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Speaker 4: make sure to follow check it out at Playbook. We'll

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Speaker 4: also have a quick slip link in the video and

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Speaker 4: podcast description where you can find and tail some of

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Speaker 4: the bets we discussed in today's episode, or you can

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Speaker 4: visit Action network dot com slash bet now. Additionally, quick

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Speaker 4: self promotion on the new call So the Favorites podcast,

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Speaker 4: which is returning with a brand new lineup Myself, Kendrim Middleton,

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Speaker 4: Brandon Kravitz. Episodes Tuesday's, Thursday, Sundays Bets Stories, a lot

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Speaker 4: of fun stuff all centered around the NFL went through

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Speaker 4: most of the games today. Make sure you check it

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Speaker 4: out whenever you get a chance. The Big Bets on

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Speaker 4: Campus podcast is teamed up with DraftKings sportsbook where new

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Speaker 4: All right, let's let's dive in here. We It's not

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Speaker 4: the best late that's usually happens the weekend before Thanksgiving

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Speaker 4: where you have Tinhorn weekend, a lot of the SEC

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Speaker 4: teams play, Nobody's there's a couple big swing games for

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Speaker 4: the college football playoff implications. But you know it's late

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Speaker 4: in the year. Market's getting more efficient with each passing week.

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Speaker 2: Well, I think what makes it also tougher is that

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Speaker 2: there's not a lot of like I need to go

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Speaker 2: to a bowl versus corpses. Right, everybody in the sun

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Speaker 2: belts still alive to make a bowl.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so I I mean, I spend most of my

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Speaker 4: time trying to find small edges on matchups, especially this week,

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Speaker 4: some motivational edges which we'll get into, and you know,

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Speaker 4: some injury stuff. So we'll try to hit on all

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Speaker 4: of that.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for week thirteen.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, let's go. We'll have two market games and we'll

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Speaker 4: try to hit a bunch. Let's start with USC Oregon.

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Speaker 4: It's probably the highest leverage game of the entire weekend.

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Speaker 4: The winner of this game, if USC wins, they're in

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Speaker 4: good positioning for the College Ball playoff. If Oregon wins,

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Speaker 4: maintain their standing and maybe they can afford to lose

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Speaker 4: next weekend at Washington, or maybe not, but we'll see.

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Speaker 4: But the winner of this the loser of this game

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Speaker 4: could be in trouble. The winner potentially in the driver's

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Speaker 4: seat USC. It is a must win for USC. Is

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Speaker 4: catching run nine and a half, ten total is sitting

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Speaker 4: What was the less time I saw this total? Where's

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Speaker 4: this total sitting at? Let's say fifty nine? Fifty nine

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Speaker 4: and a half and you can find some juice nine

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Speaker 4: and ass some tens, some ten and a half, but

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Speaker 4: pretty much the spread is sitting around ten. USC Star

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Speaker 4: running back Waymin Jordan did return of practice. Doesn't look

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Speaker 4: like he's gonna go to Coreyan Moore. Do we have

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Speaker 4: word on him yet? For Oregon?

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Speaker 2: We don't. And it's and he walked off the field

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Speaker 2: just fine after the last game. And all you can

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Speaker 2: get out of Dan Landing two days in a row

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Speaker 2: is he'll be okay, Well, yeah, we got that, but

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Speaker 2: is he playing right?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? So listen, I'm still not fully sold on this

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Speaker 4: Oregon team as like a legit elite team. Right, they

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Speaker 4: can beat up on cupcakes. We've seen that. Like if

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Speaker 4: you look at like when they play really bad teams,

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Speaker 4: they grade out as like the best team in the country.

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Speaker 4: But when they played Indiana, Iowa, even Wisconsin to an extent,

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Speaker 4: it hasn't been.

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Speaker 2: So what is the physical teams? Right? They they it's

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Speaker 2: the same shit every year, right, they can't win the

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Speaker 2: interior battle on the trench yep.

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Speaker 4: So I mean, and if you look at their statistical profile,

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Speaker 4: you'll see like, oh, they have the number one pass

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Speaker 4: defense on paper, but they lost to Indiana. And there

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Speaker 4: are other passing offenses. They faced Penn State, Northwestern, Oklahoma State,

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Speaker 4: Oregon State, Rutgers probably the best passing offense. They face Wisconsin, Iowa,

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Speaker 4: and Minnesota. Like most of those teams are horrendous through

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Speaker 4: the air. USC does at least have some juice in

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Speaker 4: that department. They have, arguably, outside of Ohio State, the

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Speaker 4: best wide receiver duo in the country in Lemon and Lane,

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Speaker 4: So maybe they can test this Oregon secondary. But there's

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Speaker 4: some concerning things for USC one. Lincoln Riley, his teams

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Speaker 4: never travel well and that has been the case for

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Speaker 4: USC once again this year. I mean, they probably lose

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Speaker 4: at Nebraska if i Iowa doesn't get hurt. MYEVA in

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Speaker 4: particular has not played well on the this year. I

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Speaker 4: mean at Purdue he was okay, At Illinois he was okay,

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Speaker 4: you know, at Notre Dame, I mean he's just he's

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Speaker 4: turning it over. I mean, Matt Nebraska was pretty ugly.

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Speaker 4: So this is a different team home and away. And

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Speaker 4: then my biggest fear for USC is are they going

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Speaker 4: to be able to stop Oregon's ground game? Like an

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Speaker 4: Oregon just lined it up here and just run it

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Speaker 4: down USC's throat the entire game. That would be my

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Speaker 4: biggest concern on the surface. I mean, I show a

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Speaker 4: touch of value on USC, but I don't really trust

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Speaker 4: them on the road. I do think the loss of

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Speaker 4: Jordan is so big. He just brings another element of

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Speaker 4: another dynamic element to that rushing attack, which leads to

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Speaker 4: everything else. I don't trust the USC rush defense. And

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Speaker 4: you know, part of me wants to bet, especially if

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Speaker 4: more is good to go. Part of me wants to

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Speaker 4: bet this over yep, because you've had over the past

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Speaker 4: couple of weeks. You had Oregon play at Iowa with weather,

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Speaker 4: you had Oregon play against Wisconsin with weather. You had

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Speaker 4: USC play in weather against Iowa, which is kind of

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Speaker 4: suppressed some of their offense in recent weeks. And I

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Speaker 4: think there's going to be an opportunity for both teams

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Speaker 4: to move the ball here. What are you seeing in

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Speaker 4: USC Oregon?

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Speaker 2: Well, there's some names that we really need to focus

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Speaker 2: on from the USC side, because I think Oregon has

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Speaker 2: the chance to blow this game open if there's more

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Speaker 2: injuries on the defense than what happened against Iowa. So

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Speaker 2: you can look at the numbers all you want, USC's

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Speaker 2: defensive defensively one hundred and twenty eight and rushing success

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Speaker 2: right one hundred and thirtieth in defensive lineyards. Like Jordan Davison,

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Speaker 2: I've already bet two plus tds as a prop. He's

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Speaker 2: had two tds for Oregon in two of the last

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Speaker 2: three games. It's like three to one out there. Why

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Speaker 2: not throw a quarter unit on it. I went ahead

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Speaker 2: and did it and wrote it up because I don't

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Speaker 2: think USC, no matter what is going on, is going

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Speaker 2: to be able to contain what Oregon does on the ground.

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Speaker 2: The big news is what happened in Iowa's is the

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Speaker 2: two best pieces of this USC defense both left the

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Speaker 2: game or weren't a part of the end of the

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Speaker 2: Iowa game. Kamari Ramsey, Bishop Fitzgerald, the two best safeties

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Speaker 2: on the team, both had injury against Iowa. Fitzgerald like

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Speaker 2: went into the tent and then immediately went back to

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Speaker 2: the locker room. Don't know if he's going to play here.

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Speaker 2: His backup safety Christian Pierce comes in immediately gives up

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Speaker 2: three tackles. So what you see in the in the

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Speaker 2: numbers and the analytics is that USC is really good

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Speaker 2: at tackling like top fifteen and broken tackles allowed, pff

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Speaker 2: tackling all that good stuff, but it's the second level

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Speaker 2: tackling that kind of boost that number. Well, if they're

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Speaker 2: missing the two best pieces of that secondary, which are

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Speaker 2: both safeties, that's really bad news against.

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Speaker 4: Dram He's super important though, green Dot. You saw he

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Speaker 4: missed the Illinois game with the food poisoning and their

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Speaker 4: defense fell apart.

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Speaker 2: And that could happen here and then all you know,

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Speaker 2: it's not a good sign. The defensive tackle Keishan Silver

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Speaker 2: was unable to go against Iowa. He went to the

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Speaker 2: tent and then went back to the locker room. So

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Speaker 2: I like the Oregon offense already, and I don't even

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Speaker 2: know if the Corey Moore or Gary Bryant junior is

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Speaker 2: going to be there. And does it matter because you

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Speaker 2: know Kenton Sadeka, I.

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Speaker 4: Don't think prime matters that much. He's kind of a jag.

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Speaker 4: But more More would provide some more games.

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Speaker 2: Sadiq though, like Dante, More has fallen in love with

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Speaker 2: his tight end right and I mean he's just making

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Speaker 2: circus catches now. So I think you got to watch

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Speaker 2: for those injuries in the second level of USC because

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Speaker 2: I think that's the difference of Oregon covering this game

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Speaker 2: and Organ blowing out this game.

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Speaker 5: Uh.

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Speaker 2: And then when you go to the other side, the

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Speaker 2: reason why we're probably not going to be big lovers

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Speaker 2: of Oregon in the playoff is because of what we said.

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Speaker 2: They're not physical enough in the trench. And Brian Jackson

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Speaker 2: is this running back for USC who's taking direct snaps

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Speaker 2: in the red zone and running them and himself he's

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Speaker 2: just a tank in the red zone. And Oregon just

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Speaker 2: has issues all season long, Like Minnesota just wins sixty

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Speaker 2: seven percent success right against the Ducks on the ground.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 2: And really, when you go into run concepts, USC doesn't

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Speaker 2: do it much. But here's what I'm looking for in

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Speaker 2: the playoff. Teams that run inside zone twelve personnel, two

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Speaker 2: tight ends have destroyed orgon USC's run about fifty four

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Speaker 2: sentabstitute tights inside zone and they've averaged sixty three percent.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if they have enough firepower to get

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Speaker 2: away with it in this game, but that is the

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Speaker 2: formula that's going to blow Organ out of the water

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Speaker 2: against one of these teams coming up. But I like

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Speaker 2: Oregon here, I like the over here. I like their

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Speaker 2: team total over and I think if you want to

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Speaker 2: sprinkle Jordan Davis in two touchdowns, he's done it two

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Speaker 2: of the last three games. This is a bad rush defense. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I think where Oregon is potentially gonna get got his

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Speaker 4: neck is at Washington. Now Washington has to be healthy.

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Speaker 4: The biggest difference that Washington. One of the biggest differences

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Speaker 4: between them and then the elite of the Big Ten

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Speaker 4: is they don't have depth. Right, they haven't filled out

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Speaker 4: their roster with depth yet. When they don't have when

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Speaker 4: they didn't have Carver Willis at left tackle and they

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Speaker 4: had to go to Maximus McCree, the drop off is

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Speaker 4: from here to here. Right John Mills, their star stud,

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Speaker 4: true freshman who's probably gonna be their starting left tackle

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Speaker 4: next year. He's at left guard. When he was out,

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Speaker 4: the drop off precipitous. They actually had to move him

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Speaker 4: the right tackle last week against Purdue. He did a

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Speaker 4: pretty good job, but that was against Purdue because their

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Speaker 4: right tackle as a party was out. Their center Hatchet

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Speaker 4: dealing with the hand injury as a cast, so he

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Speaker 4: can't really snap it. He gets to snap of his

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Speaker 4: other hand and then he can't really grab defensive lineman,

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Speaker 4: so they're centers out. And then because they had to

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Speaker 4: move Mills to tackle, they have a new freshman garden there,

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Speaker 4: Boston Coleman. I think they'll be back this week, but

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Speaker 4: we don't know. But if Washington's fully healthy, I think

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Speaker 4: they can beat Oregon. If they're not, it's it might

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Speaker 4: just be too shaky because the drop off between the

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Speaker 4: starters and the depth pieces on Washington is dramatic, and

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Speaker 4: Washington has been much better at home overall. I think

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Speaker 4: that's the more interesting game where Oregon could get picked off.

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Speaker 4: We'll talk about that next week. I make those injured

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Speaker 4: to watch though for UCLA, Washington might not be fully healthy,

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Speaker 4: and also we don't know a Nico for UCLA.

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Speaker 2: I make that game six right now, so I just

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Speaker 2: watch those openers. I think. I think Sunday is going

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Speaker 2: to be a big fire day for those of you

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Speaker 2: that are listening, like you know, stuck and I do

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Speaker 2: our pod early Sunday morning and then I start firing

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Speaker 2: on openers and I make this one six. I will

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Speaker 2: be looking for Washington if I.

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Speaker 4: Would love to get a seven. Yeah, love, love, All right,

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Speaker 4: let's talk a little BYU Cincinnati BYU is a two

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Speaker 4: and a half point favorite here. Total fifty six. If

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Speaker 4: you can find some.

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Speaker 2: That thing is taken off since I wrote the road

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Speaker 2: it up for Action, So Action published my article on

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Speaker 2: this on Wednesday morning and the total's gone. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I know you like that over I don't disagree your

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Speaker 4: Cincinnati is going to get Evan Pryor back. That's big,

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Speaker 4: Caleb Whitty back, that's big.

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Speaker 3: This.

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Speaker 4: I think this is a bit of an over adjustment

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Speaker 4: for BYU in the market, and the market generally fades

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Speaker 4: BYU almost every week. I mean last week BYU closed

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Speaker 4: three at home against TCU. This is a team that

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Speaker 4: was a three point dog on the RHAD at Iowa State,

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Speaker 4: a what they were a two and a half point

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Speaker 4: favorite at Arizona, an Arizona team that was just a

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Speaker 4: six and a half point dog at Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: You know, I love BYU and I make this a pick.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, So I want Cincinnati here, I want a three.

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Speaker 4: So I'm been waiting. I'm so tired of looking at

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Speaker 4: the board and this section at the top where BYU

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Speaker 4: Cincinnati is have it husted in color. We're just waiting

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Speaker 4: for a three to pop. If it gets there, I'm

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Speaker 4: on Cincy. If it doesn't I because look, and I

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Speaker 4: might do this anyway, I might be looking at since

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Speaker 4: the first half. Number one, we know that Scott's adderfield

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Speaker 4: is certainly not allergic to blowing leaves. He's one of

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Speaker 4: the best. I also know what's that th and so on? Yeah,

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Speaker 4: I mean the Arkansas is gonna gi him a run

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Speaker 4: for his money. We'll get to the Hogs. We also

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Speaker 4: know BYU on the road start slow almost every time

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Speaker 4: they have been so They've played five road games this year.

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Speaker 4: They've trailed at the half, and four of them they

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Speaker 4: ended up winning, four by a combined twenty two points.

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Speaker 4: They're plus twenty two on the road, minus seventeen in

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Speaker 4: the first half. I mean, I'm talking against Colorado, Iowa State, Arizona, right,

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Speaker 4: and then their offense wakes up on the road in

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Speaker 4: the second half. Maybe part of that is, you know, freshman,

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Speaker 4: young kid on the road. But they're consistently all year

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Speaker 4: they've started slow on the road. I expect since the

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Speaker 4: after back to back losses, their offense now at full

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Speaker 4: strength with and soresby, I think can have success against

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Speaker 4: this BYU defense. I think both offenses have major advantages,

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Speaker 4: probably just comes down to the wire here. So I

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Speaker 4: love a three. I think this is a coin flip

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Speaker 4: game as well, So that's my view on it. I

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Speaker 4: don't disagree with your overlook, but I just think this

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Speaker 4: is a big over adjustment on on BYU and I

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Speaker 4: would just love to get a three. I think this

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Speaker 4: is more of a coin flip game. I know you

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Speaker 4: love the over over. Yeah, do you want to make

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Speaker 4: your case?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, massive advantages for both of these and listen, I

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Speaker 2: didn't really take much off of BYU's power rating for

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Speaker 2: losing a Texas Tech the way they did because they

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Speaker 2: were hurt, they got healthy, they showed up against TCU,

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Speaker 2: and they absolutely went crazy and blew them out. LJ.

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Speaker 2: Martin bear Bachmeyer at six point two yards per play,

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Speaker 2: BYU scored on all five red zone trips. I mean

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Speaker 2: they're now top ten and quality drives inside zone with

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Speaker 2: eleven and twelve, but outside zone has been what's gotten

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Speaker 2: them the explosive play. So they're going to run zone

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Speaker 2: read and if you can't stop it, you're in trouble.

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati cannot They can't stop a lot, but they definitely

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Speaker 2: can't stop zone read concepts thirty eight percent against inside zone.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I expect Bear Bachmeyer up the middle all

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Speaker 2: day and when LJ. Martin comes off the tackles, that's

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Speaker 2: that's going to be a problem the bear catch.

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Speaker 4: You also can't get any pressure.

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Speaker 2: Right. This was to say they don't disrupt any offense

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Speaker 2: outside the top one hundred havoc. They don't create any

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Speaker 2: kind of pass rush. But on the other side of

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Speaker 2: the ball, Evan Pryor is like he is really. I

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Speaker 2: mean Cincinnati's last two losses, they just don't have any

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Speaker 2: juice on offense, and a lot of it is Evan

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Speaker 2: Pryor not being there. I mean, what is he four

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Speaker 2: and a half yards after first contact? He's had seventeen

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Speaker 2: explosive runs on the season. The BYU D does struggle

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Speaker 2: against inside zone. If you're going to attack BYU on defense,

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Speaker 2: it's not going to be through the air. Jay Hills

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Speaker 2: had a pretty good pass defense this entire season to

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Speaker 2: run and cover one and cover three. Sowarsby is a

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Speaker 2: great quarterback. I think he's definitely gonna get a high

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Speaker 2: draft rate and probably see him at the next level,

337
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Speaker 2: So they might be able to do some damage, especially

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Speaker 2: with Caleb Goodie back. I mean that eighteen point eight

339
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Speaker 2: yards per catch, one point eight yards per route run

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Speaker 2: goodies like a weapon that Sowarsby's really missed here these

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Speaker 2: last two losses. So I like the over for the

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Speaker 2: simple fact that I don't see resistance to either offense whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: I think it really comes down to if Evan pryor

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Speaker 2: if they're so keyed in on Evan pryor that nickel defense,

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Speaker 2: are they going to kind of loosen up and not

346
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Speaker 2: have as good of coverage for Swordsby to dice up.

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Speaker 2: So if Sorsby is passing against BYU without any hesitation

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Speaker 2: or any problems, and prior is running, maybe you take

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Speaker 2: a live number. But I agree with you start I

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Speaker 2: would take a three. And because of the number of

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Speaker 2: points I expect in this, I wrote it up at

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Speaker 2: fifty four. We're at fifty six. This thing is taking

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Speaker 2: major money.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, cross key five.

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Speaker 2: I think it's gonna keep going. I'm looking at my

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Speaker 2: number right now, it's fifty eight and a half. I

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Speaker 2: take it all the way up to fifty nine, which

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Speaker 2: is the next key. But if there's gonna be as

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Speaker 2: many points in it, you can get Cincinnati plus three

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Speaker 2: and probably at BYU at some point.

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Speaker 4: How important is this game? Well, Texas Tech is sitting

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Speaker 4: at seven to one in the conference. They have West

363
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Speaker 4: Virginia West Virginia. They've been feisty with Scotti Fox. But

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Speaker 4: you assume Texas tech'as gonna win that game. Texas Tech

365
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Speaker 4: in a Big twelve championship. If BYU wins this game

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Speaker 4: they host UCF, you think they win that game, that's

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Speaker 4: your Big twelve championship. Things get a little interesting. If

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Speaker 4: BYU loses this game, and if Cincinnati wins, right then

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Speaker 4: you're gonna have Sincey with two losses. Utah, who plays

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Speaker 4: Kansas State, should win that game. With two losses, Arizona

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Speaker 4: State host Arizona and goes to Colorado.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna look on this face the last two podcasts,

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Speaker 2: I'll just say this, I've been watching you. Whenever you

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Speaker 2: say it, you look like you're dying a bet at

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Speaker 2: Arizona State future. You've had this smirk when you said

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Speaker 2: Arizona State. Two podcasts? Are you trying about?

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Speaker 4: Do you think Jeff simm Is gonna be Texas Tech?

378
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Speaker 2: No, but I know you want I can't.

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Speaker 4: All right, so you have all these teams are two losses.

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Speaker 4: B YU Arizona State, Cincinnati, Houston, and Utah. You assume

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Speaker 4: Utah takes care of business. Yep, Houston is home against TCU.

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Speaker 4: That's a coin flippish game. Then they're at Baylor, Cincinnati

383
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Speaker 4: is home against BYU, and they close out the season

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Speaker 4: at TCU. So there's a lot that can go on here.

385
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Speaker 4: But if so if since, but if BYU wins, we're

386
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Speaker 4: pretty much getting YU Texas Tech. If BYU loses, we're

387
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Speaker 4: getting chaos. Now. The interesting thing is if Arizona State

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Speaker 4: wins out.

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Speaker 2: You go to They're.

390
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Speaker 4: Going Justin is going They're gonna win the tie breakers.

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Speaker 4: So if you have Utah futures, I think you and

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Speaker 4: I both have Utah futures. I think Colorado could get

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Speaker 4: Arizona State this week.

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Speaker 2: Now they've been bad.

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Speaker 4: If Colorado wins, and then there's a time baker, depending

396
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Speaker 4: what other stuff happen. If it's just BYU in Utah,

397
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Speaker 4: BYU is gonna go because they beat Utah. But if

398
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Speaker 4: you become a Houston fan, so if Houston beats TCU

399
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Speaker 4: and Baylor, then you have a three way tie and

400
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Speaker 4: it looks like BYU ago again, well this is tough. Yeah,

401
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:22,040
Speaker 4: it looks I don't even know Utah's path. I'm doing

402
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Speaker 4: this on the fly.

403
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Speaker 2: That's why I keep seeing them up there in the

404
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Speaker 2: cultural rankings. I'm thinking.

405
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Speaker 4: I mean, obviously UCF could beat BYU, but I high

406
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Speaker 4: do not in provo if Arizona State. Let's see if

407
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Speaker 4: Arizona State the Arizona State would it looks like would

408
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 4: win a four way tie breaker. I don't even know

409
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Speaker 4: Utah's path besides like a crazy upset, but we are

410
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Speaker 4: gonna have chaos if Cincinnati wins. If not, it's gonna

411
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Speaker 4: be boring in the Big twelve until the Big.

412
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Speaker 2: It's never most likely, it's never boring in the Big twelve.

413
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Speaker 4: That's true, There'll probably be more scenarios to come. All right,

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Speaker 4: let's get to the rundown.

415
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Speaker 2: I love Brett or Mark chirping about how string strong

416
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Speaker 2: their conferences, Like I think Utah is going to get

417
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Speaker 2: bumped from the playoff, But go ahead, Yes.

418
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Speaker 4: I don't see you time looking at.

419
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Speaker 1: All.

420
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Speaker 4: Right, let's go to the ACC. A couple games will

421
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 4: hit quickly. We have SMU hosting Louisville. Poor Louisville and

422
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Speaker 4: my Louisville futures. I mean they've lost three games this year,

423
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Speaker 4: two in overtime, one by one because of two miskicks

424
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Speaker 4: and a missed extra point. Well when they were the

425
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Speaker 4: better statistical team. But they're out of it now. Where

426
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Speaker 4: are they at mentally?

427
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Speaker 2: I don't know.

428
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Speaker 4: I'd be worried, and I've said this all year. They're

429
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Speaker 4: not the same offense without Isaac Brown. They just don't

430
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Speaker 4: have that same balance and they don't have the same

431
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Speaker 4: explosiveness in the rushing game. SMU playing better of late,

432
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Speaker 4: they're still in the mix. They're five and one in

433
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,960
Speaker 4: league play. Hits five and one in league play, Virginia

434
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,639
Speaker 4: six and one. Georgia Tech is six and one. Pretty

435
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:56,359
Speaker 4: simple here. If Georgia Tech beats PITT, Georgia Tech is

436
00:22:56,400 --> 00:23:03,440
Speaker 4: in the ACC Championship game. If Virginia beats Virginia Tech

437
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:07,640
Speaker 4: next week, it's Virginia versus Georgia Tech. If they both win,

438
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 4: because Georgia Tech plays Georgia next week, things get interesting.

439
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 4: If Pitt, a two and a half point dog, beats

440
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech and SMU can take care of business against

441
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:26,159
Speaker 4: Cal and Louisville. If that's the case, you're gonna have

442
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:31,119
Speaker 4: Virginia versus SMU. If A Tech can pull off the

443
00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:35,720
Speaker 4: upset at Virginia. That's how Miami sneaks in. So a

444
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 4: lot is on the line here, similar to the Big Twelve.

445
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 4: It's like, Okay, if Texas Tech UYU take care of business,

446
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:44,120
Speaker 4: that's who you're getting. At Georgia Tech and Virginia take

447
00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,879
Speaker 4: care of business, that's who you're getting. If not, it

448
00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 4: gets a little more interesting. So let's start SMU Louisville.

449
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:53,240
Speaker 4: I can't bet Louisville no, just because I don't know

450
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:56,480
Speaker 4: where they're at mentally, even though I think they have

451
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:58,960
Speaker 4: the better defense, I think they have the better rushing

452
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:01,720
Speaker 4: attack when especially when Brown is there, but he's not

453
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 4: just from a situational spot mentally, I do love myself,

454
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,239
Speaker 4: so Brahm as a dog, maybe over a field goal,

455
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 4: I'd consider them, But from a spot perspective, cross them off.

456
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 4: Pitt Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech has been flirting with disaster,

457
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:17,640
Speaker 4: I mean all year and they should have lost Awake.

458
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:22,640
Speaker 4: The should have lost a b C. These bad state. Yeah,

459
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 4: the big defense is not great. They have holes the office.

460
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 4: Haines King has been amazing. Buster Fassner is an amazing OC.

461
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 4: It's strength on strength when Georgia Tech is the ball

462
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:37,560
Speaker 4: against the Pitt defense. I don't like the Pitt defense

463
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,240
Speaker 4: in this particular matchup. I think can match up well.

464
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 4: And Georgia Tech's a lot to run king making plays

465
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:46,399
Speaker 4: short throws like they're add I don't know, it's like

466
00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 4: bottom five in the country. You really want to attack

467
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:52,119
Speaker 4: pit deep. That's not really Georgia Tech's mo O. So

468
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 4: I think Pitt's d can do enough here. And the

469
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,439
Speaker 4: question is which Mason Hinschel are you getting, because there

470
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 4: will be opportunities against this Tech defense to move the ball. Well,

471
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:05,719
Speaker 4: what are you seeing him either or both of these

472
00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 4: ACC games.

473
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:09,359
Speaker 2: Well, the difference the Mason Heinschel issue comes down to

474
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 2: the fact that he's a freshman, and no freshman has

475
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 2: ever survived college football with pressure. Notre Dame got twenty

476
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:17,719
Speaker 2: two pressures and forty one drop backs. And really, if

477
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:19,760
Speaker 2: you look at what Heinschel's done this season, his turner

478
00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:22,399
Speaker 2: worthy played like skyrockets up to seven percent whenever he

479
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:23,040
Speaker 2: gets pressure.

480
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 4: Yeah it's pressure. He saw that against QS. But Chack

481
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 4: doesn't really get a lot of pressure.

482
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 2: No, they know they're one hundred and thirteenth and creating

483
00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:30,600
Speaker 2: a pass rush so I think Pitt's offense is going

484
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 2: to be just fine here. But on the other side

485
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 2: of the ball, what does Georgia Tech do with Haines

486
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:37,879
Speaker 2: King and just sayings, it's all power encounter And if

487
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 2: you look at Notre if you look at what Pitt

488
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,639
Speaker 2: does best, it was a little bit of a disadvantage

489
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:44,399
Speaker 2: against that zone read of Notre Dame, but they are

490
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:48,160
Speaker 2: fantastic against power encounter. They actually create a negative play

491
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:51,399
Speaker 2: on fourteen percent of attempts by opponents. And then you

492
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:55,200
Speaker 2: look at, say, can they contain mobile quarterbacks? With Haines

493
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 2: Keem coming in there? CJ. Carr and Tommy Caslanos combined

494
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,800
Speaker 2: for nineteen rushing yards against this Pitt defense. They are

495
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,119
Speaker 2: very good at setting outside containing, They're very good at

496
00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:07,399
Speaker 2: shutting down power and counter. I like them against Georgia

497
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 2: Tech this weekend. So, and you're right that that game

498
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:12,679
Speaker 2: against Boston College, like, how big of a favorites were

499
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:16,359
Speaker 2: they fourteen seventeen up there, they had fifty nine percent

500
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:19,359
Speaker 2: post game win expectancy against and being that big of

501
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,040
Speaker 2: a favorite, and Brent Key at the end of the

502
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:23,400
Speaker 2: game was speechless because he didn't even think he should

503
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 2: have won that game. So, by the way, there's also

504
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:30,880
Speaker 2: something very interesting going on the last two box scores

505
00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:36,639
Speaker 2: with Georgia Tech. And I don't know why, but in

506
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 2: their last two games against BC and Hensey State, they're

507
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:43,119
Speaker 2: giving up eleven yards per play on third downs and

508
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 2: they're giving up eleven yards per play in third quarters. Well,

509
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 2: I don't know what that is. I don't know how,

510
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:50,920
Speaker 2: Like I've just staring these box scores, like what is

511
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:52,879
Speaker 2: the problem on third downs? And what is the problem

512
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 2: after halftime adjustment? So if you can't get the defense

513
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 2: in general, yeah, it's bad. So if you can't get

514
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:03,360
Speaker 2: Pitt at maybe waight live because third quarter is where

515
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:05,960
Speaker 2: I expect Pitt to pounce. But you can't get pressure

516
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:07,720
Speaker 2: on Hinschild, you're gonna be in trouble. So I like

517
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 2: pitting that game, Yeah, I would. Look, you're right about

518
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,560
Speaker 2: SMU though, even though the market like kind of loves Louisville.

519
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 2: Here four and a half down to two and a half,

520
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:18,680
Speaker 2: it's like SMU is coming off of a bye. Their

521
00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:21,920
Speaker 2: defense is like top fifteen and havoc and a lot

522
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:24,280
Speaker 2: of other things, and Louisville's offensive line has just been

523
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,040
Speaker 2: they can't push a pile on anybody they're outside the

524
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,120
Speaker 2: top one hundred line yard stuff, right, Like.

525
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 4: That's why they need Brown. He just can create his

526
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:35,120
Speaker 4: own explosives and he hits long runs. Yeah, and then

527
00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 4: he opens up the passing attacker. You's gotta worry about him.

528
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:39,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I agree with you. I mean, if pitt

529
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:43,160
Speaker 2: wins this game, then they're Miami victory. And you're gonna

530
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,120
Speaker 2: say that Miami is gonna go up to pitt Can

531
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,440
Speaker 2: we get a ten day forecast on Pittsburgh or here?

532
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 4: Real quick, Mario, that's gonna Mario, who says Mario acc

533
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 4: will be an interesting race for reading this.

534
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 2: Miami's gonna go up to forty one degrees.

535
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 4: Nar dog in the college football playoff. Let's let's get

536
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,199
Speaker 4: to let's go to the SEC. Here's the game I like.

537
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:10,679
Speaker 2: I like.

538
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:13,400
Speaker 4: I like Florida plus four and a half plus four

539
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:15,480
Speaker 4: at home against Tennessee.

540
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 2: Maybe at Caleb Banks back, right, So.

541
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 4: I think Vernal Brown is also gonna play. But Caleb

542
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:27,199
Speaker 4: Banks gums is out, but he's been playing hurt, so like,

543
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:30,520
Speaker 4: I mean the last month, he's been doing nothing. It

544
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 4: is Thornton is worth watching their safety. He matters. I

545
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,399
Speaker 4: think he's gonna play, but he is questionable. But getting

546
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 4: Caleb Banks back is enormous. He's a top twenty pick.

547
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,840
Speaker 4: It's probably maybe the best defensive tackle in college football.

548
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:47,880
Speaker 4: And Florida has had no pass rush Dave had. I mean,

549
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 4: if you look at a guy like Sap take PF grades,

550
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 4: they aren't the end all be all that. He was

551
00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 4: a ninety last year, he's like a sixty this year.

552
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 4: Right when Banks is in there, you gotta double him.

553
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 4: It opens up everything else for the defense line, and

554
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:04,360
Speaker 4: they're gonna blitz a lot under Roberts allows the blitzes

555
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 4: to get home, and you have to get pressure on agular.

556
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:11,600
Speaker 4: Banks is super important the other thing. So I just

557
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 4: think there's numbers two. I don't think it should be

558
00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 4: more than a field goal. We know, we know that

559
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:16,560
Speaker 4: Florida didn't quit. We saw it last week, and now

560
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 4: they're at home in the swamp against Tennessee, who.

561
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 2: Has a h I think ten is it ten times

562
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 2: in an earrow they've lost in the Swamp.

563
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 4: Ten in a row, ten and h since they've won.

564
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,240
Speaker 4: Let's see, they're seventeen and three overall since two thousand

565
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,080
Speaker 4: and five. They only lost by more than four once

566
00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 4: they're ten and l at home. And by the way,

567
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 4: since twenty fifteen, Florida home conference underdog eleven and two

568
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 4: against the spread, covering by over twelve points per game.

569
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 4: Most profitable team in college football in that role over

570
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 4: the past ten years. They've won nine of those thirteen outright.

571
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:54,720
Speaker 4: Two others they lost by less than a field goal.

572
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 4: I mean, just a few weeks ago they were catching

573
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:01,720
Speaker 4: seven on a neutral field against George and arguably should

574
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 4: have won. They had a chance to beat Ole miss

575
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,760
Speaker 4: last week they destroyed Texas at home. What has Tennessee done?

576
00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:09,680
Speaker 4: And by the way, Tennessee strength of schedules like fiftieth

577
00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 4: Florida's first first, they've had the toughest schedule in the country.

578
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 4: Tennessee coulably should have lost to Arkansas if not for

579
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 4: some turnover luck. Should have lost to Mississippi State if

580
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,840
Speaker 4: not for defensive touchdown and some overtime luck. This is

581
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,240
Speaker 4: not an elite Tennessee team, mainly because their defense is

582
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 4: not great. Florida can stop the run. Aglart is going

583
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 4: to hit some explosive passing plays, but I think he'll

584
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 4: make some mistakes. Getting Banks back is huge. This home

585
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:38,600
Speaker 4: field is super underrated still in big games. And here's

586
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 4: the thing. Lagway hasn't been great. I think he can

587
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 4: hit some big passing plays. McCoy's not gonna play again,

588
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 4: Gibson's not going to play again. But Florida can just

589
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 4: line up here and run the ball down Tennessee's throat

590
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,719
Speaker 4: the entire game. That'll help Blagway. And I mean, if

591
00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 4: you look at a Tennessee's defense bottom ten nationally in

592
00:30:56,200 --> 00:31:00,760
Speaker 4: roughh success rate, Florida top twenty on offense. And keep

593
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 4: in mind, Tennessee's played a really easy schedule for an

594
00:31:03,040 --> 00:31:05,080
Speaker 4: SEC team Florida's played. No one's played a harder schedule

595
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 4: than Florida this year. I think you get Florida's best effort.

596
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 4: I don't think this should be more than a field goal.

597
00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:11,920
Speaker 4: Give me the Gators, Chomp, chump.

598
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 2: I want to go against you, but I just I mean,

599
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 2: there's a couple of things I can't get over. First Off,

600
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 2: you're right about the pass rush. Right, if you want

601
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 2: to disrupt Joey Aguilar, you have to have a hand

602
00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 2: in his face. Maybe they get that now with Caleb Banks,

603
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:25,960
Speaker 2: but Tennessee is still a top twenty pass blocking team.

604
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,040
Speaker 2: I'm not sure if that makes the entire difference here.

605
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 4: The other kipsomen either at tight end for Tennessee.

606
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's another thing I have a problem with. Florida

607
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,280
Speaker 2: defensively is one hundred and thirty fourth, almost dead last

608
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 2: and passing downs explosives allowed Tennessee's top fifteen creating explosives

609
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 2: and passing downs. I just I see this scenario where

610
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 2: like third and eighteen becomes a touchdown for Tennessee and.

611
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 4: Tennessee's going to hit explosives to the air, There's no

612
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 4: doubt about that. But I also think you're going to

613
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 4: get the home running dog, right. Don't you agree that

614
00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 4: Florida's gonna be able to run the ball here? And

615
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 4: they don't they Tennessee's run dy is bad and Flarer's

616
00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 4: rush offense, their offensive line has not been the problem

617
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,480
Speaker 4: this year. They can run, block, and Ball is a

618
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 4: good running back, and that's just gonna set up some

619
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 4: deep shots for Lagway, which he's certainly capable hitting, and

620
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 4: getting Bernald Brown back will be big.

621
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 2: I don't have a lot of faith in Billy Gonzales either.

622
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 2: It seems like they've been running the same thing a

623
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 2: week after week, but.

624
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:23,240
Speaker 4: That might work for Tennessee.

625
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, what am I behind you now for the year?

626
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:27,440
Speaker 2: I don't. I don't. I don't want to finish behind you, and.

627
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 4: I'm ten and eight fifteen overall.

628
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 2: Let's table this till the end of the p I'm

629
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 2: having a head to head with you before the week's over.

630
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna finish losing to you. So we'll see

631
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:36,800
Speaker 2: if this is it.

632
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 4: All right, let's stay in the SEC. Missouri at Oklahoma

633
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 4: Oklahoma and must win mode. After that huge win over Alabama,

634
00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 4: they went out going to the College Football Playoff. They

635
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 4: have LSU next week, but first they play Missouri. It

636
00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 4: does not appear that boat for Buela is going to play,

637
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 4: right is That's still the.

638
00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:58,000
Speaker 2: Word on the street, mister Zowlers.

639
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:03,479
Speaker 4: Oklahoma is a They're sitting. They've been sitting between seven

640
00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 4: and ten all week right now. To call it consensus

641
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 4: eight at DraftKings, Missouri's at juice seven and a half.

642
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 4: I'm not sure if we see a seven year well

643
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 4: on one indicator book just went to seven.

644
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:22,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I saw. That's why I'm about to ask this question.

645
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 2: Should we be playing Missouri on principle alone? Just from

646
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:28,360
Speaker 2: Ou winning at Alabama coming home and like, yeah.

647
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 4: The spots streams Missouri. The problem is and Oklahoma's all

648
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 4: I mean they got out game by two hundre fift

649
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 4: the yards. Oklahma's offense is still limited. Yep, the Oklahoma

650
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:39,560
Speaker 4: offensive line will get destroyed by the Missouri defensive line here.

651
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:41,360
Speaker 2: Fifth and havoc seventh and pass rush.

652
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, and but my problem is Zoler's has been He's

653
00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:51,240
Speaker 4: not been good. Can a one dimensional offense have success

654
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 4: on the road against this Oklahoma defense which is really

655
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 4: good against the run? We've seen how to attack this

656
00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 4: Oklahoma offense, this defense when they faced like really good

657
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:05,000
Speaker 4: passing attacks. Right, Yeah, they've shown some cracks. But Missouri,

658
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 4: which is basically a service academy, now, I mean against

659
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:10,800
Speaker 4: Mississippi State last week, they put up a ton of points,

660
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 4: but what do they throw for? I mean they only

661
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 4: threw for and that Mississippi State team is gassed and

662
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 4: beat up. And well last week against Solars went eight

663
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,320
Speaker 4: to fifteen for one hundred and twelve yards.

664
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 2: So like I will say this as the kid he

665
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:24,240
Speaker 2: went for three.

666
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:26,200
Speaker 4: Hundred, I don't think he could do that against Oklahoma.

667
00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 2: Well, Zolars does not have a turnover worthy play yet,

668
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 2: so at least as a caretaker role, he you know,

669
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:33,320
Speaker 2: he hasn't made a mistake.

670
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:35,880
Speaker 4: But if I had to crow scoring game, take the

671
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:37,160
Speaker 4: dog in a good spot.

672
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 2: If I had to play Devil's advocate here a maud Hardy.

673
00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:42,600
Speaker 2: Whatever happened during that byewake? Remember he was gassed out

674
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 2: and I was wondering where the hell he has now gone?

675
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:46,600
Speaker 2: Completely ape shit? Right?

676
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 4: I mean breaking some explosive runs here.

677
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:50,239
Speaker 2: One hundred and nine against Texas A and M two

678
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,760
Speaker 2: ninety eight on the ground against Mississippi State. He averaged

679
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,120
Speaker 2: five point five yards after first contact over the last

680
00:34:55,160 --> 00:34:57,080
Speaker 2: two games, and he's forced ten miss tackles. So he

681
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:01,880
Speaker 2: drank some resurgence juice over the break, came back, and

682
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,839
Speaker 2: now he's his old self, And I'm wondering, like, did

683
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:07,040
Speaker 2: did this? Did Ale miss not just show up.

684
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:07,279
Speaker 1: And do this?

685
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 2: I know, use home field and run all over them

686
00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:11,320
Speaker 2: around the tackles, because That's what I'm on Hardy runs.

687
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 2: So I from the spot perspective, I feel like I

688
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:17,080
Speaker 2: should be betting Missouri and I make the game seven.

689
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:19,719
Speaker 2: It's not that there's that much of an edge, but

690
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 2: with this total.

691
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:24,200
Speaker 4: What are we at forty two. Yeah, I lean under too,

692
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,879
Speaker 4: just because I think both defensive lines have advantages.

693
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,400
Speaker 2: And that's that's a lot of points.

694
00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:33,799
Speaker 4: There's a lot of situation, though, worries me Missouri's kick.

695
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, you don't want to go against Tate Sandel, right,

696
00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:36,120
Speaker 2: that's your.

697
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 4: Who.

698
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 2: By the way, did you get your lou Graza or

699
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 2: not lou Graza? You're uh yeah, did you get your

700
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:47,440
Speaker 2: lu Graza vote votes in? So yeah, I'm not revealed

701
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:50,400
Speaker 2: my vote, but uh, Tate Sandel is pretty good, he is.

702
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:53,440
Speaker 2: I do you want to agree? Do you want to

703
00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 2: put in the I don't bet it now? There is

704
00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:58,879
Speaker 2: an eight out there right now, there's what one out

705
00:35:58,920 --> 00:35:59,560
Speaker 2: there in the desert?

706
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 4: Ah seven and a half juice? I mean seven a

707
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 4: round seven a half at draftings. That's fine too. Yeah, yeah,

708
00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:09,279
Speaker 4: all right, we'll put Missouri on the board. By the way,

709
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 4: I agree fifty eight to forty and one lifetime fifty

710
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 4: nine point two percent for a favorite caller is always

711
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:16,960
Speaker 4: worried about that low scoring games like points at a premium.

712
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:18,920
Speaker 4: I think Hardy can break a couple of long ones.

713
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,960
Speaker 2: Which, all right, he only may need a couple, Yeah.

714
00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:24,520
Speaker 4: Because I do think that Missouri defensive line is gonna

715
00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 4: be a problem for Oklahoma Kentucky at Vandy. Vandy's still

716
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:30,520
Speaker 4: in the college ball play out discussion. I mean, the

717
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:31,879
Speaker 4: way things are trying to we could get like six

718
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 4: SEC teams in the twelve teen field Andandy eight and

719
00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:40,319
Speaker 4: a half point favorite total fifty three ish fifty three

720
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:43,399
Speaker 4: and a half's out there, fifty three and a half

721
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 4: at DraftKings. Kentucky's playing much better ball lately, offenses clicking.

722
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:51,279
Speaker 4: Will Bandy be rejuvenated here out of the by right?

723
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:54,800
Speaker 4: I think that they they went on a brutal run

724
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:57,440
Speaker 4: and I think kind of got worn down. I don't know.

725
00:36:57,440 --> 00:36:58,839
Speaker 4: I'm close to market on here. Do you see anything

726
00:36:58,840 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 4: in Kentucky.

727
00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:01,160
Speaker 2: Vangas I'm I just I feel like it's going to

728
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:03,879
Speaker 2: be a brawl, Like I don't feel like there's gonna

729
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 2: be Kentucky's not gonna allow any explosives. Vandy's not gonna

730
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 2: try to create any. They're both gonna try to be

731
00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 2: extremely methodical. I'm just trying to look for the gotcha here.

732
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,560
Speaker 2: I mean, even Kentucky is great against rush explosives, which

733
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:17,440
Speaker 2: is Bandy's m There's a big special team's advantage to Bandy.

734
00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:21,720
Speaker 2: You know, really it's all about Kentucky defend the counter

735
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,440
Speaker 2: and the man concepts of Diego and they can. To me,

736
00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 2: this is a grind and you would take as many

737
00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:28,400
Speaker 2: points as you can get. But the number I make

738
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 2: it ten would I would love to have ten, but

739
00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:30,879
Speaker 2: it's not so.

740
00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:33,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, I got nothing there. I do think that you

741
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 4: could see a rejuvenated Bandy team, a fresher team that

742
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:38,880
Speaker 4: just kind of got worn down, which could be a

743
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 4: bit scary for Kentucky. But I'm pretty close to market.

744
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 4: Some quarterback news here air Force. I like, New Mexico

745
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:50,479
Speaker 4: need a three tho that good money on piece. Here's

746
00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 4: the thing. New Mexico is good against the run defense

747
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:56,040
Speaker 4: by top forty success rate. They cannot defend the pass

748
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,200
Speaker 4: air Force. Their quarterback Zark is out for the year.

749
00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:00,960
Speaker 4: And by the way, don't give me shit for that.

750
00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:03,759
Speaker 4: Over went out for the year in the second quarter.

751
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:05,200
Speaker 4: I didn't even realize it. So I went back and

752
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:08,359
Speaker 4: watch that game. They're back up, big drop off.

753
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:11,359
Speaker 2: This is the fairback. What's that is the full back

754
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:14,960
Speaker 2: running quarterback, the one that we're practicing preseason, who could

755
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 2: have almost won the job. It's uh, I didn't mean

756
00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:21,279
Speaker 2: to put joeper Hodgs. Kemper Hodges, kemper Hodges. That's right.

757
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:24,720
Speaker 4: So I think it's a big drop off New Mexico.

758
00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:27,399
Speaker 4: Here's the thing they're gonna cook. The air Force gets

759
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:29,640
Speaker 4: no pressure that they're slow foot in the back end.

760
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 4: New Mexico is going to be able to get their

761
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 4: run gun. They're able to They're going to hit explosives

762
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:38,080
Speaker 4: all over the place through their air They're playing still

763
00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:40,440
Speaker 4: for a Mountain West Championship plays. Air Force just eliminated

764
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:42,759
Speaker 4: from Bowl contention. I mean air Force at home has

765
00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:45,560
Speaker 4: been so disappointing this year. I mean they're alling four

766
00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:47,719
Speaker 4: against the spread at home, ten and fifteen over the

767
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:51,960
Speaker 4: past five seasons against FPS competition. But that that's the

768
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:55,440
Speaker 4: big injury news there. New Mexico wasn't impressive last week,

769
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:56,920
Speaker 4: but they turned the ball over five times. I think

770
00:38:56,960 --> 00:39:00,839
Speaker 4: you'll get Eckoll have them focused. But that's a big

771
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 4: quarterback news there. Syracuse going with the Lacrosse Pro again,

772
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:07,400
Speaker 4: highlight it with the Irish. I think they want to

773
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:10,600
Speaker 4: I think they want to name it here to talk

774
00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:13,480
Speaker 4: about Miami. Notre Dame, Yeah, Notre name doesn't have a

775
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:16,040
Speaker 4: conversation you have. They have Stanford left last home game.

776
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:20,319
Speaker 4: I don't know how h scores, so I like Notre

777
00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:20,719
Speaker 4: Dame there.

778
00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:22,480
Speaker 2: I have more on that in a segment coming up later.

779
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 2: Coastal Jelly was gonna play, I probably would have even

780
00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:28,560
Speaker 2: I probably would have even bet at more.

781
00:39:28,680 --> 00:39:32,320
Speaker 4: You know, Yeah, I mean this kid can't play. Coastal

782
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:35,960
Speaker 4: Collier is going to be out. They're not the same

783
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 4: offense without him. He gave him a lot of juice

784
00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:43,000
Speaker 4: with his legs. Weird spot though Coastal eliminated from the division.

785
00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 4: Last week, South Carolina eliminated from postseason contention in a

786
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 4: heartbreaking loss up thirty to three. No clue on that one.

787
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,920
Speaker 4: Boise State looks like they're still going with the backup

788
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:57,360
Speaker 4: who's thrown for two hundred and ten total yards in

789
00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 4: two games. They scored fourteen points over the past two games.

790
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:04,200
Speaker 4: Now they're laying over fourteen. Colorado State finally showed some

791
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,959
Speaker 4: life last week. Boise State, I think they're still alive

792
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:09,640
Speaker 4: in the Mountain West somehow. If there's chaos, but there

793
00:40:09,680 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 4: is there they are. Yeah, I don't have to look

794
00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:14,799
Speaker 4: at the points there. This Boise offense without with cut

795
00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:15,279
Speaker 4: forth Is.

796
00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,080
Speaker 2: I went into some sort of diagram of like, if

797
00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:22,480
Speaker 2: San Diego State loses this weekend and there's six two

798
00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 2: lost teams, it's bad. We can't We're not gonna be

799
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 2: able figure out the Mountain West on Sundays Pod. Let

800
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:28,439
Speaker 2: me just put it that way.

801
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:32,719
Speaker 4: Sam Houston quarterbacks out Middle Tennessee. Looks like they're going

802
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 4: to the Cogliano. Some quarterback injury news.

803
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 1: There, Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big Ten. It's

804
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 1: time to play FC yes or no?

805
00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 4: All right, let's talk a little FC yes or now?

806
00:40:57,080 --> 00:40:58,520
Speaker 4: It is tin Horn weekend.

807
00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:01,759
Speaker 3: Y'all don't remember the Georgia Southern game, do you. I

808
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 3: don't think we had a guy on that field that

809
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:05,560
Speaker 3: didn't play in the NFL in About four or five

810
00:41:05,560 --> 00:41:07,919
Speaker 3: of them were first round draft picks, and they run

811
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:09,839
Speaker 3: through our ass like shit through a ten horn man,

812
00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:11,239
Speaker 3: and we could not stop them.

813
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 4: Samford at Texas A and m in Eastern Illinois at

814
00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:18,359
Speaker 4: Babama Texas A and m As Texas, they're pretty much

815
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 4: locked into the college ball playoff spot on deck. Alabama

816
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,880
Speaker 4: as the Iron Bowl on deck. You're gonna make a

817
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 4: case for either one of these dogs.

818
00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:27,919
Speaker 2: I mean Sagurin makes Texas A and M seventy point

819
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:31,640
Speaker 2: favorites over Samford, Right, So, I'm not really sure how

820
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:33,480
Speaker 2: you could say anything that Texas A and M is

821
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:34,879
Speaker 2: going to show up and do this. But they do

822
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:37,400
Speaker 2: have the biggest game of the season coming up, is

823
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 2: it though? I mean, I made that tweet and I

824
00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 2: think I got a thousand responses when I said Texas

825
00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:43,560
Speaker 2: A and M can lose to Texas is not going

826
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:45,799
Speaker 2: to matter. It's not going to matter at all. I'm

827
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:47,239
Speaker 2: trying to look at what Texas A and M did

828
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:49,920
Speaker 2: before in these kinds of spots in Mexico State last

829
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:52,960
Speaker 2: year they won thirty eight to three, Abilene Christian thirty

830
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:55,120
Speaker 2: eight to ten two years ago. But I mean, we're

831
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 2: talking pre Alco if we go any farther. So it's

832
00:41:57,640 --> 00:42:00,359
Speaker 2: not like they've covered huge spreads. But they're not exactly

833
00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:01,880
Speaker 2: like they're not trying to bowl them out in the

834
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:03,839
Speaker 2: second half. Is what I'm looking at. Maybe a first

835
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:06,120
Speaker 2: half play on some of these ten horn games.

836
00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:10,360
Speaker 4: Denzel Boston just downgraded to Daffo by the way, for Washington,

837
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:16,120
Speaker 4: how about Eastern Illinois Alabama? I have no clue anything.

838
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 2: There, nothing for me.

839
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 4: It is that time of the year. We have the

840
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:21,240
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841
00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:25,359
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843
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844
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:34,400
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845
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:36,600
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846
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847
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848
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849
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850
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851
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856
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857
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:14,920
Speaker 1: What's that smell? It's danks?

858
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:15,560
Speaker 2: What you mean?

859
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 1: Just trash?

860
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:21,440
Speaker 4: The sweet sweet trash. The trash is a gold mine,

861
00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:24,200
Speaker 4: old mine, old just been pushing money back and forth,

862
00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:26,040
Speaker 4: and it's slightly down on trash in the air. It's

863
00:43:26,040 --> 00:43:30,399
Speaker 4: hopefully closed strong forty fifty four percent lifetime, which I'll take,

864
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:31,319
Speaker 4: but I want to be better.

865
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:33,560
Speaker 2: Let's well, I agree with you on the first one,

866
00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:35,520
Speaker 2: So go ahead, Rutgers.

867
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:40,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, taking the points here. Here's why Number one Ohio

868
00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:44,360
Speaker 4: State was just around this price range against UCLA with

869
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:47,640
Speaker 4: their backup quarterback and travel, did cover, but they needed

870
00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:50,600
Speaker 4: a touchdown in the final minute. They were minus twenty

871
00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:54,280
Speaker 4: eight and a half against Ohio didn't cover, minus twenty

872
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:58,640
Speaker 4: eight against Purdue, didn't cover. So they're what one and

873
00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:01,000
Speaker 4: two against the spread As a favorite of more than

874
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:03,359
Speaker 4: twenty eight, I have Rutgers as like four to five

875
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:05,840
Speaker 4: points better than UCLA with their backup when you account

876
00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:08,400
Speaker 4: for travel, Rutgers coming off the bye still playing for

877
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:12,080
Speaker 4: a bowl, and Rutgers has a competent offense. Now, Rutgers

878
00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:16,000
Speaker 4: defense is horrendous, horrendous, maybe the worst in power for

879
00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:19,279
Speaker 4: But what hou's Ohio State managing the season? We talked

880
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,640
Speaker 4: about this many times. Super slow, they're dead last and

881
00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 4: seconds for play now and I do, and they don't

882
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:26,919
Speaker 4: want injuries, So you know what I think they're gonna

883
00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:30,280
Speaker 4: do here. I don't think Jeremiah Smith their Carnell Tape play.

884
00:44:30,440 --> 00:44:33,160
Speaker 4: Why would they? They got Michigan on deck, then the

885
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:35,560
Speaker 4: Big Ten Championship, then the college will playoff everything that

886
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:37,879
Speaker 4: Ohio State has shown us. It's all about the long

887
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:41,080
Speaker 4: term outlook. They're managing the season. So without Smith, without Tate,

888
00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:42,920
Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be more running. That'll help the

889
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:46,480
Speaker 4: Rutgers defense. I think the Rutgers offense can and there's

890
00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:49,399
Speaker 4: been limited possesions with the Walehio State plays. You know

891
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 4: that Stanna will have like a special teams trick playoff

892
00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:56,000
Speaker 4: his sleeve. So yeah, I mean, I think they can

893
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:58,400
Speaker 4: get to like fourteen to seventeen including garbage time, and

894
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,799
Speaker 4: I just need Ohio State not get to above you know,

895
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 4: forty two with the way that they play and without

896
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:07,880
Speaker 4: potentially Smith and Tate. I'll take my chances with Rutgers

897
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 4: coming off of buy and they've dealt with so many injuries,

898
00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:11,319
Speaker 4: so that should be helpful.

899
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:13,040
Speaker 2: For them, is it. I don't want to get I'm

900
00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:15,600
Speaker 2: gonna get blasted for this, but are we sure Ohio

901
00:45:15,680 --> 00:45:19,560
Speaker 2: States run defense is like national championship level. I mean

902
00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:21,719
Speaker 2: because from a line yards and a stuff rate perspective,

903
00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:24,200
Speaker 2: I would say they're not. And Rutgers has a tougher

904
00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:27,680
Speaker 2: strength of schedule and they're sixteenth and stuff rate, I

905
00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:29,960
Speaker 2: wouldn't be surprised to see Rutgers run the ball more

906
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,520
Speaker 2: than usual. They're about fifty two percent of snaps this year,

907
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 2: and I wouldn't be surprised to see them have some

908
00:45:35,040 --> 00:45:37,279
Speaker 2: extended drives to eat some clock. I think thirty one's

909
00:45:37,560 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 2: I mean, I make it twenty nine, but I think that.

910
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:40,320
Speaker 4: Think it should be under thirty.

911
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:42,759
Speaker 2: I agree, all right on the board, Yeah, on the board,

912
00:45:42,840 --> 00:45:44,560
Speaker 2: I mean I think Rutgers is gonna eat clock anyways,

913
00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 2: and they decide to do the same thing that's all

914
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:47,480
Speaker 2: they've been.

915
00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:48,000
Speaker 4: Doing all year.

916
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 2: Yeah.

917
00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:51,200
Speaker 4: By the way, another spot this is in trash, But man,

918
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:53,880
Speaker 4: where's dukeat mentally? And is that team broken? Like the

919
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:58,239
Speaker 4: seven with unc is tempting, but Bill is so unreliable.

920
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 4: Mm hmm, you ab plus twenty one and a half. Colin,

921
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:06,279
Speaker 4: This is, first of all, I make this under three

922
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:10,839
Speaker 4: touchdowns right. Second off is goalish to spending the whole

923
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:16,160
Speaker 4: week interviewing. Third, does USF get off the bus. They

924
00:46:16,160 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 4: were in the driver's seat for the College wall playoff.

925
00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:20,680
Speaker 4: Get upset. Now they go to UAB, who can score?

926
00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:23,960
Speaker 4: Who can put up points? Now it's scary because USF

927
00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:27,280
Speaker 4: plays with so much pace and the UAB defense is awful.

928
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:30,200
Speaker 4: But I didn't even backdoor. They can get it. This

929
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:33,400
Speaker 4: team can put up points, and I'm not sure USF

930
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:35,719
Speaker 4: is focused here, like this is a dream crusher spot.

931
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 4: Second straight road game. I gotta take over three touchdowns.

932
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:39,640
Speaker 2: Not joining, not this UAB defense.

933
00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:41,399
Speaker 4: They're not taking your boy.

934
00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:43,440
Speaker 2: I love Alex Mortenson, but they're.

935
00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:45,000
Speaker 4: Fighting for him. Last week, you might look at the

936
00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:46,719
Speaker 4: box score. I mean you might look at final scoring

937
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:48,920
Speaker 4: and say, oh, they lost by thirty plus. It was

938
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:50,759
Speaker 4: dead even in the yardage they were just minus four

939
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:53,239
Speaker 4: and turnovers like they're not gonna get a stop. Like

940
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:56,160
Speaker 4: USF will get the forty five to fifty if they

941
00:46:56,239 --> 00:47:00,360
Speaker 4: really care, they'll get the fifty to fifty five. But

942
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,160
Speaker 4: I mean, I think you you UAV can get to

943
00:47:03,239 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 4: like twenty four to twenty eight.

944
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:08,880
Speaker 2: Here, I'm looking at a spreadsheet with at least fifty

945
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 2: one lines of analytics. I can barely find anything that's

946
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:14,480
Speaker 2: inside the top one thirty. Defensively, yeah, their.

947
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:16,160
Speaker 4: Defensive reround is I'm not gonna build any case for it.

948
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:17,839
Speaker 4: This is more of a spot play. But my pure

949
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:19,360
Speaker 4: number is also under three touchdowns.

950
00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:23,839
Speaker 2: Good luck with your ace, sir, and all right.

951
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:25,400
Speaker 4: Let's get even uglier, Charlotte.

952
00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 2: Oh my god, what do I make this number?

953
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:31,799
Speaker 4: How many times you can throw out the number? It's

954
00:47:31,880 --> 00:47:35,280
Speaker 4: Kirby smart as a favorite of more than thirty eight points,

955
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:37,719
Speaker 4: He's zero and fifteen against the spread, and it's not

956
00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:40,880
Speaker 4: like he's been close. He's average cover margin is minus

957
00:47:40,880 --> 00:47:43,200
Speaker 4: ten points per game. I'm gonna go back to Austin

958
00:47:43,200 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 4: P earlier this year twenty eight to three. Do you

959
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:48,960
Speaker 4: think Georgia could have beat Austin P. But here's what

960
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:52,120
Speaker 4: Here's what he does in these games. They just they

961
00:47:52,120 --> 00:47:54,799
Speaker 4: don't show anything. They just try to get the game over.

962
00:47:55,600 --> 00:47:57,879
Speaker 4: They work on certain things. I've mentioned this before. Agains

963
00:47:57,960 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 4: Kent State a few years ago. By the way, they

964
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:02,719
Speaker 4: were forty five point favorites. They won by seventeen. I

965
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:04,279
Speaker 4: bet you mass you told me how crazy I was.

966
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:06,239
Speaker 4: Re bet you mess in the same exact spot last year.

967
00:48:06,280 --> 00:48:07,400
Speaker 4: I don't off a big win to lock up the

968
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:10,719
Speaker 4: collegeball cloff Georgia Tech on deck you mass covered as

969
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:12,640
Speaker 4: a thirty eight and a half point favor They were

970
00:48:12,680 --> 00:48:16,440
Speaker 4: a touchdown less than Charlotte. Charlotte is awful. Charlotte is

971
00:48:16,440 --> 00:48:18,600
Speaker 4: horrendous and beat up and terrible. I'm not gonna say

972
00:48:18,600 --> 00:48:21,320
Speaker 4: one good thing about Trump. This is only about Georgia.

973
00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:23,319
Speaker 4: Now Georgia cares and comes out and they're like, oh,

974
00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 4: let's roll, then they're gonna win by fifty five. Okay,

975
00:48:26,440 --> 00:48:29,239
Speaker 4: that's I'm just throwing that out there. But the last

976
00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:31,760
Speaker 4: I bet I faded Georgia as a huge favorite almost

977
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 4: every time, and it's worked out. If it doesn't this time,

978
00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:34,759
Speaker 4: so be it. There was a do you want to

979
00:48:34,760 --> 00:48:38,160
Speaker 4: hear the craziest one? Georgia in twenty sixteen was a

980
00:48:38,200 --> 00:48:40,520
Speaker 4: fifty two and a half point favorite over Nicols State.

981
00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:42,839
Speaker 4: Do you know what the final score was? Twenty six

982
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 4: twenty four? Can you believe that? Go the Google right now?

983
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:51,759
Speaker 4: Nickels State Georgia twenty sixteen. You're not even gonna believe it.

984
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:53,920
Speaker 4: They won twenty six twenty four. They were fifty two

985
00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:54,680
Speaker 4: point favorites.

986
00:48:55,560 --> 00:48:56,919
Speaker 2: You know, I don't I don't have to go. I've

987
00:48:56,920 --> 00:49:00,000
Speaker 2: got air let me go through, because I'm about to

988
00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:01,400
Speaker 2: go ahead to head with you. So let me go

989
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:03,799
Speaker 2: through a few of these. All right, I can go ahead, Yeah,

990
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:05,080
Speaker 2: I can. I can do this with you. Go ahead

991
00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:06,600
Speaker 2: and write it down. I'll go ahead, write it down.

992
00:49:06,600 --> 00:49:07,239
Speaker 2: I'm gonna ahead to.

993
00:49:07,200 --> 00:49:09,399
Speaker 5: Head with you, oly Ship, We're ahead to head.

994
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:12,640
Speaker 2: I can't believe we're doing that. Twenty eight to six

995
00:49:12,680 --> 00:49:16,440
Speaker 2: against Austin p fifty nine to twenty one against UMass they.

996
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:18,160
Speaker 4: Got twenty one. They were I think they were have

997
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:19,759
Speaker 4: twenty one fourteen late first half in that.

998
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 2: Game, forty eight three against Tennessee Tech, uh, forty five

999
00:49:23,560 --> 00:49:23,880
Speaker 2: to three.

1000
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:26,760
Speaker 4: Ball State wouldn't have covered any of those numbers.

1001
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:31,200
Speaker 2: Samford thirty three to zero, in thirty nine to twenty two,

1002
00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:35,440
Speaker 2: they were forty five point I got my winner. Charleston

1003
00:49:35,560 --> 00:49:39,920
Speaker 2: Southern fifty six to seven, didn't cover. They're sixty point favors.

1004
00:49:40,239 --> 00:49:43,520
Speaker 2: UAB fifty six to seven, and twenty twenty one didn't cover.

1005
00:49:44,480 --> 00:49:47,600
Speaker 2: This is this is a sixty three seventeen against Murray

1006
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:49,719
Speaker 2: State in twenty nineteen. I don't think that's a cover.

1007
00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:51,799
Speaker 4: Nope, I wanna go ahead.

1008
00:49:52,640 --> 00:49:54,120
Speaker 2: It's a freebie for you. I'll go ahead to head

1009
00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:54,960
Speaker 2: with you. You got it down?

1010
00:49:55,160 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 4: Did you get back to twenty sixteen Nicol State?

1011
00:49:57,239 --> 00:49:59,319
Speaker 2: He let me get back to twenty sixteen? All right,

1012
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:02,640
Speaker 2: I got Nichols right here, twenty six to twenty four,

1013
00:50:03,160 --> 00:50:06,680
Speaker 2: the fifty two points, very you? Oh on, it was

1014
00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:09,480
Speaker 2: ten to seven and a half. And then Georgia really

1015
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:11,560
Speaker 2: turned on the jets and scored sixteen in the third quarter,

1016
00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:15,280
Speaker 2: twenty six to thick, scored ten in the fourth quarter

1017
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:17,279
Speaker 2: and got within two points.

1018
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:22,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, Oliver, who's the Georgia quarterback Ethon Asen?

1019
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 2: Very good?

1020
00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, Nick, I couldn't believe that. I was looking back

1021
00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:30,080
Speaker 4: at the results to check them. I was like, it

1022
00:50:30,200 --> 00:50:32,400
Speaker 4: said fifty two, and then I saw the score. I

1023
00:50:32,440 --> 00:50:34,160
Speaker 4: was like, this has to be wrong, and I went

1024
00:50:34,239 --> 00:50:34,799
Speaker 4: back to look.

1025
00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:38,400
Speaker 2: Georgia got stuffed on forty percent of carries against Nichols State.

1026
00:50:38,320 --> 00:50:40,320
Speaker 4: And Nichols State wasn't if they finished under five hundred

1027
00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:42,080
Speaker 4: the year. All right, we're going ahead to all right

1028
00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:45,880
Speaker 4: FIU against Jacksonville State, but this was at home. I

1029
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:50,000
Speaker 4: think FIU is more juice with without Keon Jenkins. I

1030
00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:51,799
Speaker 4: don't know if he's gonna play this week, but look,

1031
00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:55,080
Speaker 4: Jenkins six point two yards per attempt, five Big Times throws,

1032
00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:59,560
Speaker 4: thirteen turner worthy plays, eight a dot sixty two percent

1033
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:04,640
Speaker 4: completion pasanski seven yards per attempt, eight big time throws,

1034
00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:07,400
Speaker 4: four turnover worthy plays a twelve a dot with a

1035
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:11,080
Speaker 4: higher completion percentage. This Jacksonville State team, I'm sorry, they're

1036
00:51:11,080 --> 00:51:14,359
Speaker 4: a fraud. Like, yes, they're six to zero league play.

1037
00:51:15,000 --> 00:51:18,000
Speaker 4: Cam Cook is great. But even with cam Cook being great,

1038
00:51:19,080 --> 00:51:20,920
Speaker 4: they have one of the easiest schedules in the country.

1039
00:51:21,000 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 4: Here's where they be, Like, can we look at this

1040
00:51:23,800 --> 00:51:26,160
Speaker 4: Liberty When Liberty was a mess? They were out gained

1041
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:27,879
Speaker 4: by two hundred yards in that game, by the way,

1042
00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 4: Sam Houston by two on a walk off fifty two

1043
00:51:31,040 --> 00:51:34,200
Speaker 4: yard field goal, Delaware by fourteen. They were gifted twenty

1044
00:51:34,239 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 4: one points out game by one hundred yards, three by

1045
00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:40,760
Speaker 4: three points at Middle Tennessee even game statistically, by three

1046
00:51:40,840 --> 00:51:44,080
Speaker 4: at UTEP even game statistically, and then they won last

1047
00:51:44,080 --> 00:51:46,319
Speaker 4: week against Knisall by nine. They were out game five

1048
00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:49,680
Speaker 4: eighty to four point fifty. They got four turnovers in

1049
00:51:49,920 --> 00:51:53,560
Speaker 4: league play, they're plus nine in turnover margin, lucky on

1050
00:51:53,640 --> 00:51:56,279
Speaker 4: fourth downs. Yes, they're three and h on the road

1051
00:51:56,440 --> 00:52:01,880
Speaker 4: in league play. Here's who they be utep Sam, Houston

1052
00:52:02,880 --> 00:52:07,479
Speaker 4: and Middle Tennessee by a combined eight points. FIU playing

1053
00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:10,239
Speaker 4: for Bowl eligibility. This is a weird spot for counsel. Yeah,

1054
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:12,240
Speaker 4: I mean for Jackson was a guest. They can clinch

1055
00:52:13,080 --> 00:52:15,280
Speaker 4: a spot in the conference title. But next week against

1056
00:52:15,360 --> 00:52:17,759
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky will really decided. And who's gonna host it?

1057
00:52:18,280 --> 00:52:21,520
Speaker 4: After a big win over Kennesall, FIU is getting it

1058
00:52:21,560 --> 00:52:22,840
Speaker 4: done at home.

1059
00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:25,120
Speaker 2: You can put it on the agree. I just bet it.

1060
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:25,719
Speaker 2: Love it.

1061
00:52:26,239 --> 00:52:28,520
Speaker 4: By the way, John, there's noting Jax will say it's

1062
00:52:28,520 --> 00:52:30,520
Speaker 4: not the same team on the road past two years

1063
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:33,000
Speaker 4: seven and two against the spread at home, covered by

1064
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:34,719
Speaker 4: seven points per game on the road, four and eight

1065
00:52:34,800 --> 00:52:37,560
Speaker 4: against the spread. Well, here's the clearest one.

1066
00:52:37,840 --> 00:52:38,120
Speaker 2: It's you.

1067
00:52:38,600 --> 00:52:40,880
Speaker 4: I'm gonna put it in trash as you're.

1068
00:52:40,719 --> 00:52:42,480
Speaker 2: Taking LC against Western Kentucky.

1069
00:52:42,680 --> 00:52:45,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, LSU is a big favorite. Does that consider trash

1070
00:52:45,480 --> 00:52:48,439
Speaker 4: or now LSU is trash? Yes, that's what I'm saying.

1071
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:51,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, definitely. All right. I thought the defensive

1072
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:52,840
Speaker 2: coordinator was trash before the season started.

1073
00:52:53,200 --> 00:52:55,960
Speaker 4: So here's the thing. I think what weeks might be back,

1074
00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:58,440
Speaker 4: which is big not Smayer is not going to go.

1075
00:52:58,640 --> 00:53:02,200
Speaker 4: I'm fine with van Buren here Sarsen playing hurt all year,

1076
00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:05,239
Speaker 4: LSU hasn't been able to operate because then all have

1077
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:07,359
Speaker 4: a run game, their offensive line camp block SEC team,

1078
00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:10,440
Speaker 4: So that's not gonna be a problem against Western Kentucky.

1079
00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:12,279
Speaker 4: You can't even look at the stats for this game

1080
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,640
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky. Their strength of schedule is one hundred and

1081
00:53:15,719 --> 00:53:19,880
Speaker 4: fifty fourth that includes FCS teams on Sagarin LSU six.

1082
00:53:20,480 --> 00:53:22,399
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky. Also, I don't how much they care about

1083
00:53:22,440 --> 00:53:25,239
Speaker 4: this game. Their entire season comes down to next week.

1084
00:53:25,560 --> 00:53:28,239
Speaker 4: Do they stick guys that are hurt? Do they not

1085
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:31,719
Speaker 4: show anything? Are they spending this week preparing for Jacksonville State?

1086
00:53:32,160 --> 00:53:37,720
Speaker 4: But like Western Kentucky has played nobody, nobody this year.

1087
00:53:38,120 --> 00:53:42,600
Speaker 4: These are their wins. You want to laugh, Sam Houston,

1088
00:53:42,840 --> 00:53:47,640
Speaker 4: North Alabama, Nevada. They were out gained Missouri State, their

1089
00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:49,480
Speaker 4: quarterback got hurt at the half. It was still a

1090
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:53,400
Speaker 4: five point win. Delaware merely they should have lost to Delaware.

1091
00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:55,120
Speaker 4: They were out gained by one hundred fluki win. Bunch

1092
00:53:55,160 --> 00:53:57,880
Speaker 4: of fluky things happened. La Tech by one in overtime.

1093
00:53:58,160 --> 00:54:01,640
Speaker 4: They needed an improbable fourth down. New Mexico State and

1094
00:54:01,680 --> 00:54:04,359
Speaker 4: Middle Tennessee. That's a who They're all outside the top

1095
00:54:04,400 --> 00:54:08,000
Speaker 4: one hundred. They lost by They lost by twenty death IU.

1096
00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 4: The only team that I have even close to the

1097
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:14,759
Speaker 4: top fifty that's that's above average is Toledo on the road.

1098
00:54:14,800 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 4: They lost forty five to twenty one. There's a huge

1099
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:20,439
Speaker 4: step up in class. LSU need like you could say, okay,

1100
00:54:20,480 --> 00:54:24,520
Speaker 4: does Zelos you even care? It's at night in Baton Rouge,

1101
00:54:24,560 --> 00:54:27,000
Speaker 4: it's their last home game of the season. I think

1102
00:54:27,040 --> 00:54:28,600
Speaker 4: they show up. They need like a game where they

1103
00:54:28,600 --> 00:54:30,920
Speaker 4: can stretch their legs open it up. By the way,

1104
00:54:30,960 --> 00:54:32,920
Speaker 4: since two thousand and five, Western ducky nine and sixteen

1105
00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:35,240
Speaker 4: against the spread is a road underdog against power conference

1106
00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:38,839
Speaker 4: teams against all others thirty one and eleven. So when

1107
00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:40,879
Speaker 4: they step up in class on the road, different story.

1108
00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:42,160
Speaker 4: And I think this is just a huge shock to

1109
00:54:42,200 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 4: the system. I'm not even sure they care that much.

1110
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:47,239
Speaker 4: Like there's seasons next week. LSU should finally be able

1111
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:48,920
Speaker 4: to block a team, finally able to get a run

1112
00:54:48,960 --> 00:54:51,240
Speaker 4: game going, and their defense is going to cause issues

1113
00:54:51,239 --> 00:54:53,680
Speaker 4: for Tisdale freshman, like he's had two good starts in

1114
00:54:53,719 --> 00:54:56,799
Speaker 4: a row. They were at home against Middle Tennessee and

1115
00:54:57,040 --> 00:54:59,839
Speaker 4: New Mexico State, two of the worst teams in the country.

1116
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:03,560
Speaker 4: You're going to face this LSU defense. Give me LSU

1117
00:55:03,600 --> 00:55:04,680
Speaker 4: I make those over twenty four.

1118
00:55:06,040 --> 00:55:08,520
Speaker 2: Can you a side note here, because we're getting ready

1119
00:55:08,560 --> 00:55:10,080
Speaker 2: to This is gonna be a big topic here in

1120
00:55:10,120 --> 00:55:12,560
Speaker 2: two weeks. I can't imagine taking Conference USA in any

1121
00:55:12,600 --> 00:55:15,400
Speaker 2: bowl game, like I will not hit a single opener.

1122
00:55:16,120 --> 00:55:18,440
Speaker 2: I mean, consider that Toledo score. Right. Once we get

1123
00:55:18,440 --> 00:55:20,760
Speaker 2: to bowl season, what conference are you taking a Conference

1124
00:55:20,880 --> 00:55:23,400
Speaker 2: USA team against? None of them?

1125
00:55:23,960 --> 00:55:28,480
Speaker 4: PCC all right, I can't. I got it. I don't

1126
00:55:28,480 --> 00:55:30,279
Speaker 4: want to think about ball season. We're going to start

1127
00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:32,200
Speaker 4: tracking injuries and opt outs very soon.

1128
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:33,080
Speaker 2: That's oh.

1129
00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:40,840
Speaker 4: All right, that's trash, lsu uab Rutgers, Charlotte FIU. It

1130
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,800
Speaker 4: ain't pretty, folks. Let's go nowhere fast.

1131
00:55:45,760 --> 00:55:48,640
Speaker 5: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

1132
00:55:48,640 --> 00:55:52,759
Speaker 5: ever seen before, where the beautiful, the brutal, and the

1133
00:55:52,800 --> 00:56:20,280
Speaker 5: brave all me.

1134
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:12,920
Speaker 4: San Diego State hosting San Jose State, Sante State, and

1135
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:14,959
Speaker 4: the driver's seat in the mountain lest San Jose State.

1136
00:56:15,040 --> 00:56:17,239
Speaker 4: I don't know what's happened to them. Yeah, last week

1137
00:56:17,320 --> 00:56:19,040
Speaker 4: was the most one of the most embarrassing losses of

1138
00:56:19,080 --> 00:56:21,960
Speaker 4: the season getting destroyed by Nevada.

1139
00:56:21,640 --> 00:56:24,000
Speaker 2: Whose last place of the mountain.

1140
00:56:24,040 --> 00:56:24,680
Speaker 4: What do you see here?

1141
00:56:24,960 --> 00:56:27,600
Speaker 2: Well, San Diego sit really needs this game before they

1142
00:56:27,600 --> 00:56:29,480
Speaker 2: have a really tough trip to the ABQ next week

1143
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:32,160
Speaker 2: against New Mexico. It is senior night for San Diego State.

1144
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:37,280
Speaker 2: Hawaii dismantled San Diego State last week. The Aztecs averaged

1145
00:56:37,320 --> 00:56:39,480
Speaker 2: two yards per play in twenty four passing downs. And

1146
00:56:39,520 --> 00:56:41,719
Speaker 2: so this investigation for me has been is this a

1147
00:56:41,840 --> 00:56:44,640
Speaker 2: reflection of Hawaii on defense or is this the thing

1148
00:56:44,680 --> 00:56:46,960
Speaker 2: where Donegal is just having issues? And I think it's

1149
00:56:47,000 --> 00:56:50,000
Speaker 2: more of a Donegol problem. He's had one big time

1150
00:56:50,000 --> 00:56:52,480
Speaker 2: throw in his last four games and Santa but you know,

1151
00:56:52,520 --> 00:56:54,239
Speaker 2: this might be the antidote that he needs. Because San

1152
00:56:54,280 --> 00:56:56,560
Speaker 2: Jose State's one hundred and twenty six defensive pass EPA

1153
00:56:56,600 --> 00:56:57,680
Speaker 2: in their one hundred and thirty first.

1154
00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:00,320
Speaker 4: They fired the special teams coordinator.

1155
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:03,200
Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, Joe Plastics Social teams for Cornaria fire. Derek

1156
00:57:03,239 --> 00:57:06,160
Speaker 2: Odam got fired. So this is a really good spot

1157
00:57:06,400 --> 00:57:08,399
Speaker 2: for SANDE was they to get back up on their

1158
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:12,320
Speaker 2: feet for offensively and I think San Jose State is

1159
00:57:12,320 --> 00:57:14,719
Speaker 2: going to be able to cover because you know they

1160
00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:17,439
Speaker 2: they I think they're going to force Dnegal to pass,

1161
00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:18,840
Speaker 2: but I think San Jose State is going to get

1162
00:57:18,880 --> 00:57:20,720
Speaker 2: back up on their feet here. So over is the

1163
00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:23,600
Speaker 2: play when it comes to nowhere fast, I'm probably gonna

1164
00:57:23,600 --> 00:57:25,360
Speaker 2: come in on San Jose State at some point.

1165
00:57:25,440 --> 00:57:27,240
Speaker 4: All right, let's talk sad. We got to talk some

1166
00:57:27,280 --> 00:57:28,680
Speaker 4: markantsas football.

1167
00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:33,200
Speaker 1: Woo pig suy, absolute, dumpster fire, dumpster fire.

1168
00:57:33,240 --> 00:57:34,560
Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1169
00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:36,720
Speaker 2: of the year. Just blow a program up, give us

1170
00:57:36,720 --> 00:57:37,520
Speaker 2: a death sentence.

1171
00:57:37,960 --> 00:57:41,600
Speaker 1: Collins talking razorback football, the.

1172
00:57:41,680 --> 00:57:43,520
Speaker 4: Greatest two and eighteen.

1173
00:57:43,960 --> 00:57:46,960
Speaker 2: We have two thirty times slot again on ABC. That

1174
00:57:47,040 --> 00:57:49,160
Speaker 2: is a razorback football and forever.

1175
00:57:49,360 --> 00:57:51,440
Speaker 4: Greatest two and eighteen in the history football. They're two

1176
00:57:51,480 --> 00:57:54,840
Speaker 4: and eight with a scoring differential of plus eighteen. Yeah,

1177
00:57:54,920 --> 00:57:56,120
Speaker 4: they set the FBS.

1178
00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:58,800
Speaker 2: Record already for losses by three or less post post

1179
00:57:59,080 --> 00:58:01,760
Speaker 2: I have this in my notes ready. Auburn, Mississippi State,

1180
00:58:01,840 --> 00:58:05,200
Speaker 2: LSU Arkansas's post game win expectancy was sixty two seventy

1181
00:58:05,240 --> 00:58:07,720
Speaker 2: four and sixty four percent didn't win any of them.

1182
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:10,520
Speaker 4: Unbelievable, So I mean they'd be favored over whoever it

1183
00:58:10,520 --> 00:58:12,880
Speaker 4: goes for the group of five to the collegewalk Playoff.

1184
00:58:12,960 --> 00:58:14,000
Speaker 4: Arkansas will be favored over.

1185
00:58:13,880 --> 00:58:16,120
Speaker 2: Them, Yes, yeah, because you know what, I make this

1186
00:58:16,200 --> 00:58:18,400
Speaker 2: game seven. I was shocked, Like I was shocked that

1187
00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:21,280
Speaker 2: I made this game seven. Texas only favored by on

1188
00:58:21,320 --> 00:58:25,320
Speaker 2: their on their home field. Really, if I dropped Texas

1189
00:58:25,320 --> 00:58:27,160
Speaker 2: that much in Arkansas, I just haven't dropped at all.

1190
00:58:27,640 --> 00:58:31,000
Speaker 4: Well, here's the thing, It's this is a tricky game situationally,

1191
00:58:31,480 --> 00:58:34,360
Speaker 4: so I would think like Arkansas is still trying, Yes,

1192
00:58:34,840 --> 00:58:38,840
Speaker 4: but do they let go when? When? If did they

1193
00:58:38,920 --> 00:58:41,080
Speaker 4: let go of the rope? Right, Like, I can't go

1194
00:58:41,120 --> 00:58:43,959
Speaker 4: to a bowl so many heartbreaking losses. I've been waiting

1195
00:58:43,960 --> 00:58:45,880
Speaker 4: to get your thoughts on this. You'd be more down

1196
00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:48,240
Speaker 4: in there. I would think Texas is more at risk,

1197
00:58:48,320 --> 00:58:50,840
Speaker 4: like their season pretty much ended last week. You have

1198
00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:53,680
Speaker 4: text saying I'm a decker off that bad loss against Georgia,

1199
00:58:53,960 --> 00:58:57,280
Speaker 4: probably not going to the college football playoffs. But like,

1200
00:58:57,440 --> 00:58:58,920
Speaker 4: there's a lot of areas in this game, because if

1201
00:58:58,920 --> 00:59:01,480
Speaker 4: one team doesn't show up, it's trouble. I mean, I'm

1202
00:59:01,480 --> 00:59:04,200
Speaker 4: gonna have Arkansas on my rown robins because of the variants.

1203
00:59:03,920 --> 00:59:06,840
Speaker 2: Right, I wish I could join you on that because

1204
00:59:06,880 --> 00:59:08,520
Speaker 2: I just don't know if this team knows how to

1205
00:59:08,520 --> 00:59:11,960
Speaker 2: win a game, because to me, how this game ends just.

1206
00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:13,360
Speaker 4: Never gonna stop when they need it too.

1207
00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:15,800
Speaker 2: I think Arkansas is going to be losing by three

1208
00:59:15,960 --> 00:59:18,640
Speaker 2: or four and have a touchdown drive going and there's

1209
00:59:18,640 --> 00:59:20,240
Speaker 2: gonna be a fumble in the red zone. I mean,

1210
00:59:20,280 --> 00:59:23,320
Speaker 2: it's just been that kind of season, so needless to say, yeah,

1211
00:59:23,360 --> 00:59:26,360
Speaker 2: I am going to bet Arkansas. Here the number open

1212
00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:28,720
Speaker 2: at eleven, crash down to nine. I don't It's a

1213
00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:31,000
Speaker 2: Texas sandwich spot between Georgia and their little brother in

1214
00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:34,760
Speaker 2: Texas A and M. Plus can you find me two

1215
00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:39,360
Speaker 2: different coaches right now that are any more contrasting and

1216
00:59:39,520 --> 00:59:43,000
Speaker 2: offensive finishing drives? I got sark at one hundred and fifteenth.

1217
00:59:43,080 --> 00:59:45,840
Speaker 2: I got Patrino in the top thirty. I mean, to me,

1218
00:59:46,160 --> 00:59:48,680
Speaker 2: I have more faith than the dog in Texas is

1219
00:59:48,720 --> 00:59:52,520
Speaker 2: building scoring in scoring position than I do in the

1220
00:59:52,520 --> 00:59:55,760
Speaker 2: home team. Plus Texas there's seventy fifth and creating a

1221
00:59:55,800 --> 00:59:58,720
Speaker 2: contested catch there's seventy eight than PBUs. This defense is

1222
00:59:58,760 --> 01:00:00,200
Speaker 2: not as good as what we thought it was going

1223
01:00:00,240 --> 01:00:04,200
Speaker 2: to be. Arkansas A tailor Green, which he's doing fine.

1224
01:00:04,240 --> 01:00:06,440
Speaker 2: By the way, actually talk to Taylor Green the other day.

1225
01:00:07,800 --> 01:00:09,880
Speaker 2: He has a fifty eight percent success rate against Cover

1226
01:00:09,960 --> 01:00:13,240
Speaker 2: three and a huge EPA number against Cover three. That's

1227
01:00:13,280 --> 01:00:18,400
Speaker 2: all Kwdakowski's defense covered Nickel Nickel defense is so. Look,

1228
01:00:18,680 --> 01:00:21,800
Speaker 2: Arkansas's defense is horrible and everything. It looks like Charlotte, right,

1229
01:00:22,080 --> 01:00:25,280
Speaker 2: but they are a top fifteen and tackling. The effort

1230
01:00:25,360 --> 01:00:27,520
Speaker 2: is there. The fundamentals are there.

1231
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:29,520
Speaker 4: And you still think they care, right, and they care

1232
01:00:30,160 --> 01:00:32,160
Speaker 4: about Texas more than Texas cares that I right.

1233
01:00:32,360 --> 01:00:34,960
Speaker 2: I know for a fact one hundred percent that these

1234
01:00:34,960 --> 01:00:37,760
Speaker 2: players still care and they care about this game, and

1235
01:00:37,760 --> 01:00:39,520
Speaker 2: they're going down there to try to win this game.

1236
01:00:39,640 --> 01:00:42,360
Speaker 2: But I think that gas in that tank is gone

1237
01:00:42,440 --> 01:00:45,280
Speaker 2: during the first quarter against Drink. I think that's because

1238
01:00:45,400 --> 01:00:48,320
Speaker 2: because Petrino has been on them so hard, and I've

1239
01:00:48,360 --> 01:00:51,720
Speaker 2: heard it from three different players. There are Senior Bowl invites,

1240
01:00:52,280 --> 01:00:56,160
Speaker 2: there are combine invites, there are portal there. There's a

1241
01:00:56,280 --> 01:00:58,280
Speaker 2: dollar value in the portal I have to work on.

1242
01:00:58,880 --> 01:01:00,840
Speaker 2: I have a value assigned to me as a player.

1243
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:02,920
Speaker 2: I've heard these things over and over and over, and

1244
01:01:02,920 --> 01:01:05,240
Speaker 2: I've heard it this week. Now, when does that gas

1245
01:01:05,320 --> 01:01:08,000
Speaker 2: run out of that tank? When drink decides that he

1246
01:01:08,040 --> 01:01:09,400
Speaker 2: wants to open up and beat the ship out of

1247
01:01:09,480 --> 01:01:13,480
Speaker 2: Arkansas again, and he hits the Hardy. Yeah yeah, Hardy

1248
01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:15,600
Speaker 2: is gonna absolutely eat Arkansas life. So I think the

1249
01:01:15,640 --> 01:01:17,560
Speaker 2: gas was out of the tank. Next week, I'm just

1250
01:01:17,560 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 2: gonna trust on the board. Yeah's put on the board.

1251
01:01:19,840 --> 01:01:21,880
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna bet it now. I've been waiting for this,

1252
01:01:21,960 --> 01:01:25,320
Speaker 2: and you don't think of ten is coming? Who's betting Texas?

1253
01:01:25,680 --> 01:01:27,040
Speaker 4: Lead indicator at eight? Now?

1254
01:01:27,800 --> 01:01:29,080
Speaker 2: Who's betting Texas?

1255
01:01:29,560 --> 01:01:32,720
Speaker 4: I'll join you at some point, all right before we

1256
01:01:32,720 --> 01:01:34,680
Speaker 4: get out of here. Let's go three.

1257
01:01:34,760 --> 01:01:39,040
Speaker 1: Now, let's make it a quick three and out.

1258
01:01:39,840 --> 01:01:41,560
Speaker 4: All right, first down, Friday night lights.

1259
01:01:41,800 --> 01:01:44,680
Speaker 2: That's your gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1260
01:01:45,480 --> 01:01:50,200
Speaker 4: Let's Florida State at NC State. I have no idea

1261
01:01:50,400 --> 01:01:53,040
Speaker 4: hard to trust Florida State on the road under the

1262
01:01:53,160 --> 01:01:55,560
Speaker 4: Hawaii at you and old I like Kawai catching the

1263
01:01:55,560 --> 01:01:58,880
Speaker 4: points that really, uh yeah, if you can get three,

1264
01:01:59,000 --> 01:02:01,520
Speaker 4: I think I like on a by I mean UNLV. Hey,

1265
01:02:01,560 --> 01:02:03,200
Speaker 4: they should have lost to Utah State. They should. I

1266
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:04,680
Speaker 4: think you should have a couple more losses on theear.

1267
01:02:04,720 --> 01:02:07,680
Speaker 4: Their defense is horrendous. Why has actually been feisty away

1268
01:02:07,680 --> 01:02:10,240
Speaker 4: from the island. Finally, I make that under a field

1269
01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:12,600
Speaker 4: though I don't love it, But what do you say?

1270
01:02:12,720 --> 01:02:14,720
Speaker 2: I took Florida State inn C State under not a

1271
01:02:14,720 --> 01:02:17,000
Speaker 2: big play, guy, it's just a half unit play. I

1272
01:02:17,040 --> 01:02:19,880
Speaker 2: think I make it like fifty eight. So sixty fifty

1273
01:02:20,000 --> 01:02:22,520
Speaker 2: nine is the key whether it could be in play

1274
01:02:22,520 --> 01:02:24,840
Speaker 2: out there. There's some storms forecasted in the area, and

1275
01:02:24,960 --> 01:02:27,600
Speaker 2: n C State's offense is completely based on explosives. Their

1276
01:02:27,640 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 2: top twenty five in both Russian pass EPA. Florida State's

1277
01:02:31,000 --> 01:02:35,080
Speaker 2: defense is twentieth against rush EPA, and I just don't

1278
01:02:35,080 --> 01:02:37,480
Speaker 2: expect CJ. Bailey to have his scrambles. I don't expect

1279
01:02:37,480 --> 01:02:39,480
Speaker 2: Hollywood Smothers to have explosives. And by the way, what

1280
01:02:39,520 --> 01:02:41,400
Speaker 2: happened to Smothers last week? He had seven carries for

1281
01:02:41,520 --> 01:02:44,959
Speaker 2: negative two yards against Miami. I expect something like that.

1282
01:02:45,480 --> 01:02:48,080
Speaker 2: N C State top twenty in defensive rushing success rate.

1283
01:02:48,240 --> 01:02:50,280
Speaker 2: FSU has one of the heavier rush rates in the

1284
01:02:50,400 --> 01:02:52,640
Speaker 2: nation at sixty three percent. So I do like the

1285
01:02:52,680 --> 01:02:54,920
Speaker 2: end of there, but it's not anything large you. I

1286
01:02:54,920 --> 01:02:59,440
Speaker 2: haven't bet Hawaii UNLV UNLV. I think they have the

1287
01:02:59,520 --> 01:03:01,640
Speaker 2: edge of this game because They're a top ten team

1288
01:03:01,680 --> 01:03:03,840
Speaker 2: in rush EPA and Hawaii's one hundred and seventeenth in

1289
01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:06,200
Speaker 2: defending rush EPA. And that's where I kind of got

1290
01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:10,000
Speaker 2: that is unlv'sm on offense. Hawaii defense is also dead

1291
01:03:10,040 --> 01:03:12,920
Speaker 2: last and pass downs explosives allowed, and that's where UNLV

1292
01:03:13,080 --> 01:03:17,360
Speaker 2: kind of operates. Huge, huge middle eight difference in this game.

1293
01:03:17,400 --> 01:03:20,160
Speaker 2: So if I don't play at pregame, Mullen's fourth in

1294
01:03:20,200 --> 01:03:22,640
Speaker 2: the nation middle eight and Timmy Chang's ninety seventh, So

1295
01:03:23,360 --> 01:03:24,640
Speaker 2: I will have that in the back of my mind.

1296
01:03:24,680 --> 01:03:27,000
Speaker 2: If you don't see a UNLV pregame, I probably would

1297
01:03:27,000 --> 01:03:28,960
Speaker 2: hop in on UNLB live, especially if they're losing.

1298
01:03:29,120 --> 01:03:31,800
Speaker 4: All right, let's the UNV games are always nice, good

1299
01:03:32,040 --> 01:03:36,200
Speaker 4: live trading games. Second down, our favorite favorites.

1300
01:03:36,000 --> 01:03:37,320
Speaker 1: Called the over the Dog parway.

1301
01:03:37,320 --> 01:03:39,240
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with James Madison minus thirteen and a

1302
01:03:39,280 --> 01:03:43,520
Speaker 4: half numbers. Guys probably have this around thirteen. I'm actually

1303
01:03:43,560 --> 01:03:47,400
Speaker 4: above fourteen. I accounting for the spot. Washington State traveling

1304
01:03:47,440 --> 01:03:50,000
Speaker 4: across country by the way, Pulman to Harrisonburg is not

1305
01:03:50,080 --> 01:03:53,000
Speaker 4: an easy trip, and it's a ten am local bodyclock game.

1306
01:03:53,720 --> 01:03:56,920
Speaker 4: Washington State cannot block their pass protections awful. Well, good

1307
01:03:57,000 --> 01:03:59,160
Speaker 4: luck against jam your top ten and pressure rate. I

1308
01:03:59,160 --> 01:04:01,360
Speaker 4: don't know how Washington State scores made. They could it

1309
01:04:01,440 --> 01:04:04,320
Speaker 4: a couple explosives, you can get them against JMU, but

1310
01:04:04,680 --> 01:04:06,320
Speaker 4: they're not gonna able to finish drives. They're not gonna

1311
01:04:06,320 --> 01:04:07,960
Speaker 4: be able to sustain drives. They're not gonna be able

1312
01:04:07,960 --> 01:04:09,360
Speaker 4: to move the ball on a down to down basis.

1313
01:04:10,160 --> 01:04:12,360
Speaker 4: Washington State's defense has been feisty. But here's the thing,

1314
01:04:12,360 --> 01:04:14,280
Speaker 4: here's where I think some hidden edges in this game.

1315
01:04:14,720 --> 01:04:19,240
Speaker 4: Number one, I think Washington State's value is overinflated because

1316
01:04:19,240 --> 01:04:21,000
Speaker 4: of these spots in the schedule. Right, you had Lane

1317
01:04:21,040 --> 01:04:23,040
Speaker 4: Kiffin say didn't prepare for them. You had the La

1318
01:04:23,240 --> 01:04:26,320
Speaker 4: Tech dreadful scheduling spot when they were down to their

1319
01:04:26,320 --> 01:04:28,440
Speaker 4: third string quarterback. You had the Toledo spot.

1320
01:04:28,520 --> 01:04:28,720
Speaker 2: Right.

1321
01:04:28,760 --> 01:04:31,400
Speaker 4: These are blowout losses over teams that have a pulse,

1322
01:04:31,640 --> 01:04:34,880
Speaker 4: and it inflates Washington State's raiding and any that old

1323
01:04:34,880 --> 01:04:37,960
Speaker 4: misgame where they just didn't care. This is still a

1324
01:04:38,080 --> 01:04:43,240
Speaker 4: very limited offense. And most importantly JMU, they got disrespected

1325
01:04:43,280 --> 01:04:45,360
Speaker 4: again in the polls. They know they need to go.

1326
01:04:45,520 --> 01:04:48,040
Speaker 4: They need to put up style points completely the college

1327
01:04:48,040 --> 01:04:49,320
Speaker 4: to above. They're not going to take the foot off

1328
01:04:49,360 --> 01:04:52,280
Speaker 4: the guest last week, I mean are the total is low,

1329
01:04:52,320 --> 01:04:54,560
Speaker 4: which is an ideal for laying thirteen and a half.

1330
01:04:55,000 --> 01:04:57,080
Speaker 4: These are two slow paced teams. But last week in

1331
01:04:57,120 --> 01:05:00,440
Speaker 4: the fourth quarter they were running hurry up, no huddle

1332
01:05:01,600 --> 01:05:05,160
Speaker 4: with Sluka in there, and they were forty four to three,

1333
01:05:05,240 --> 01:05:08,680
Speaker 4: and they put up two more touchdowns. Bob knows, Chesney knows.

1334
01:05:08,720 --> 01:05:11,479
Speaker 4: And by the way, Barnett was he wasn't healthy earlier

1335
01:05:11,480 --> 01:05:13,440
Speaker 4: in the year. He's been much better. First five games

1336
01:05:13,680 --> 01:05:17,280
Speaker 4: fifty eight percent, five point seven five yards per attempt,

1337
01:05:17,720 --> 01:05:21,520
Speaker 4: two point seven yards per rush. Last five games sixty

1338
01:05:21,560 --> 01:05:25,800
Speaker 4: four percent, ten yards per attempt, six yards per rush.

1339
01:05:25,960 --> 01:05:28,840
Speaker 4: He's playing much better. I like jmu here.

1340
01:05:28,960 --> 01:05:30,720
Speaker 2: I can't disagree with you. I mean, the slide from

1341
01:05:30,720 --> 01:05:33,600
Speaker 2: the playoff committee was interesting. I'm gonna go Notre Dame.

1342
01:05:33,680 --> 01:05:35,840
Speaker 2: You already mentioned earlier. Notre Dame. They just have two

1343
01:05:35,920 --> 01:05:39,280
Speaker 2: bullet points on their schedule to prove to the College

1344
01:05:39,320 --> 01:05:41,680
Speaker 2: Football Playoff Committee. By the way, good job Hunter, your check,

1345
01:05:42,160 --> 01:05:45,240
Speaker 2: good interview. They have two bullet points left for the

1346
01:05:45,240 --> 01:05:48,960
Speaker 2: committee to review. Syracuse three and seven can't go to

1347
01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:51,080
Speaker 2: a bowl, not really anything. To play for lost by

1348
01:05:51,080 --> 01:05:53,240
Speaker 2: twenty eight to Miami, seventeen to U and see twenty

1349
01:05:53,240 --> 01:05:56,680
Speaker 2: five to Georgia Tech thirty five to duke this Ricky

1350
01:05:56,720 --> 01:05:59,760
Speaker 2: Collins kid nearly triple the amount of turnover worthy plays

1351
01:05:59,800 --> 01:06:04,080
Speaker 2: versus big time throws Syracuse near dead last and pass

1352
01:06:04,120 --> 01:06:06,680
Speaker 2: explosives allowed. This is not a good look, and Notre

1353
01:06:06,760 --> 01:06:11,480
Speaker 2: Dame really desperately needs to make sure the committee remembers

1354
01:06:11,520 --> 01:06:15,280
Speaker 2: that they deserve to be ahead of Miami, which is

1355
01:06:15,320 --> 01:06:18,760
Speaker 2: a whole dogshit conversation for another time, but I think

1356
01:06:18,800 --> 01:06:20,600
Speaker 2: Notre Dame lays it as much as they can here.

1357
01:06:21,120 --> 01:06:23,439
Speaker 4: I agree. I like both these JM you and Notre Dame.

1358
01:06:23,440 --> 01:06:27,240
Speaker 4: And then finally third down our favorite underdog.

1359
01:06:29,600 --> 01:06:34,520
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1360
01:06:34,680 --> 01:06:35,960
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

1361
01:06:36,520 --> 01:06:40,320
Speaker 4: I'm going to go with UTSA against ECU. I think

1362
01:06:40,320 --> 01:06:43,120
Speaker 4: it's a coin flip game. By the way, Jeff Trailer

1363
01:06:43,280 --> 01:06:45,840
Speaker 4: at home against Lege opponents is twenty four and oh

1364
01:06:46,040 --> 01:06:48,000
Speaker 4: that's all you need to know. And at ECU, I

1365
01:06:48,000 --> 01:06:50,480
Speaker 4: think their secondary is vulnerable. Usually say different team at

1366
01:06:50,480 --> 01:06:54,960
Speaker 4: home night and day. McCown is finally healthy, playing like it.

1367
01:06:55,440 --> 01:06:58,880
Speaker 4: This is back and forth game. Trust trailer at home,

1368
01:06:59,160 --> 01:07:02,000
Speaker 4: all the pressures on. You see you here ECU on

1369
01:07:02,040 --> 01:07:05,040
Speaker 4: the road. Okay, by the way, I mentioned these teams,

1370
01:07:05,720 --> 01:07:07,800
Speaker 4: ut stay different team at home and away. Five of

1371
01:07:07,840 --> 01:07:10,000
Speaker 4: their past seven have been on the road. Five of

1372
01:07:10,080 --> 01:07:13,600
Speaker 4: the past seven for ECU have been at home and

1373
01:07:13,640 --> 01:07:16,480
Speaker 4: their road games this year, like their road winds were

1374
01:07:16,640 --> 01:07:20,439
Speaker 4: Coastal before when Coastal was a mess and Temple which

1375
01:07:20,480 --> 01:07:23,000
Speaker 4: has no home field advantage and their entire secondary was out.

1376
01:07:23,840 --> 01:07:25,880
Speaker 4: I think UTSA gets it done at home, gets the

1377
01:07:25,880 --> 01:07:29,440
Speaker 4: buligibility trust trailer twenty four Now straight up.

1378
01:07:29,840 --> 01:07:33,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm listen. We were tapped into fading our forty

1379
01:07:33,800 --> 01:07:35,800
Speaker 2: to one ticket on Southern Miss last week. Let's tap

1380
01:07:35,840 --> 01:07:37,760
Speaker 2: into that again because the only game that matters on

1381
01:07:37,800 --> 01:07:39,960
Speaker 2: that schedule for them right now is Troy next week.

1382
01:07:40,280 --> 01:07:43,120
Speaker 2: They don't care about South Alabama. And quarterback Braylon Braxon

1383
01:07:43,240 --> 01:07:45,520
Speaker 2: listed as questionable for this game. There's no reason for

1384
01:07:45,600 --> 01:07:46,080
Speaker 2: him to play.

1385
01:07:46,200 --> 01:07:48,000
Speaker 4: Oh boy, it was ugly without him last yek I know,

1386
01:07:48,040 --> 01:07:50,920
Speaker 4: I know it it's gonna be ugly again. And lyddy, lyddy.

1387
01:07:51,200 --> 01:07:52,800
Speaker 2: I mean you should have heard Major apple White. You

1388
01:07:52,840 --> 01:07:55,760
Speaker 2: see the comments. He was like, no disrespect to Liddy.

1389
01:07:55,800 --> 01:07:57,360
Speaker 2: He can throw the ball, but it's just a completely

1390
01:07:57,400 --> 01:07:59,280
Speaker 2: different animal. And Braylan Braxon's in there. I don't think

1391
01:07:59,280 --> 01:08:01,160
Speaker 2: they're expecting to see Braxon this week. I don't think

1392
01:08:01,160 --> 01:08:03,440
Speaker 2: he's going to be there. South Alabama's won two of

1393
01:08:03,440 --> 01:08:06,920
Speaker 2: their last three. Quarterback Bishop Davenport is finally playing the

1394
01:08:06,960 --> 01:08:08,760
Speaker 2: way that I saw in the Bowl game last year

1395
01:08:08,800 --> 01:08:10,720
Speaker 2: when I thought that South Alabama was going to be

1396
01:08:10,720 --> 01:08:13,360
Speaker 2: a pretty good team this year. Him and Control Bullock

1397
01:08:13,400 --> 01:08:16,679
Speaker 2: had two rush tds against ULM last week. The Jags

1398
01:08:16,680 --> 01:08:19,160
Speaker 2: are five and zero all time against Southern Miss. And

1399
01:08:19,240 --> 01:08:21,479
Speaker 2: what this is like a rivalry but they're not talking

1400
01:08:21,479 --> 01:08:24,960
Speaker 2: about how it's a rivalry. It's a proximity rivalry. This

1401
01:08:25,040 --> 01:08:27,519
Speaker 2: game's a big deal to South Alabama, even though it's

1402
01:08:27,520 --> 01:08:29,719
Speaker 2: not been a great season, and this game means nothing

1403
01:08:29,760 --> 01:08:32,080
Speaker 2: to Southern Miss. So I'll take South Alabama.

1404
01:08:32,200 --> 01:08:35,599
Speaker 4: All right, Let's go over the board. We have agreed

1405
01:08:35,640 --> 01:08:40,400
Speaker 4: to a Missouri Rutgers FYU in Arkansas. It's an interesting

1406
01:08:40,400 --> 01:08:45,400
Speaker 4: schmortgage board had to head Charlotte Georgia putting the Kirby

1407
01:08:45,640 --> 01:08:49,760
Speaker 4: streak on the line, trash uab Rutgers, Charlotte FIU and

1408
01:08:49,920 --> 01:08:52,920
Speaker 4: LSU nine to five nine Bad Beat Voicemails, recap episode

1409
01:08:52,920 --> 01:08:56,040
Speaker 4: on Sunday, coming back on Monday. By the way, we

1410
01:08:56,080 --> 01:08:59,760
Speaker 4: will have you covered Thanksgiving work. Are asses off to

1411
01:08:59,760 --> 01:09:04,240
Speaker 4: get all NFL and college pods out by Wednesday for

1412
01:09:04,400 --> 01:09:07,719
Speaker 4: your listening pleasure, before you travel, before you do whatever

1413
01:09:07,720 --> 01:09:09,320
Speaker 4: you need to do for the holidays. We will have

1414
01:09:09,360 --> 01:09:12,919
Speaker 4: everything out for an amazing slate NFL in College starting

1415
01:09:13,360 --> 01:09:16,280
Speaker 4: you know Thursday through the entire weekend. We got you covered.

1416
01:09:16,320 --> 01:09:18,439
Speaker 4: As always, make sure you check out the Group of

1417
01:09:18,439 --> 01:09:21,639
Speaker 4: Five Guys episode is already out. Shout out to Duncan

1418
01:09:21,680 --> 01:09:25,200
Speaker 4: Breeze Live show ten thirty am Eastern Saturday. As always,

1419
01:09:25,479 --> 01:09:27,960
Speaker 4: thanks to Colin for joining me. Thanks to all of

1420
01:09:28,000 --> 01:09:30,559
Speaker 4: you for listening. Thanks to our producer David on the

1421
01:09:30,600 --> 01:09:33,000
Speaker 4: back end. Make sure you subscribe on scrat tel Friend

1422
01:09:33,040 --> 01:09:34,439
Speaker 4: to one Enemy, leave a five star of you if

1423
01:09:34,439 --> 01:09:36,120
Speaker 4: you can't really help us out, especially this time of

1424
01:09:36,120 --> 01:09:38,559
Speaker 4: the year. Thanks again for tuning in. Let's have a weekend,

1425
01:09:38,760 --> 01:09:40,280
Speaker 4: enjoy the game sketch all inter cheers.

1426
01:09:40,400 --> 01:09:41,000
Speaker 2: Peace Out.

1427
01:09:58,720 --> 01:10:03,240
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1428
01:10:03,240 --> 01:10:06,600
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is available.

1429
01:10:06,640 --> 01:10:09,200
Speaker 1: Twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler