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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Do us proud

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Speaker 1: read a lot? They're running a game so smoothe so sweet, splendid.

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Speaker 2: Sisting just glorious text.

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Speaker 3: Pacution, guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort,

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Speaker 3: four thousand percent of the time. How shot with that

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Speaker 3: shop of mind bog buddy, And that's why you see

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Speaker 3: your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 1: Look at his movements, the.

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Speaker 4: Most dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 1: Nobody piction them.

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Speaker 2: Up. I'm trying.

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Speaker 3: Again. The one that's left to one, the wide eyed

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Speaker 3: drill pibus how old Earth pick that happens?

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Speaker 2: Hello, everybody, Welcome back to Wonderful, the soccer betting podcast

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Speaker 2: from the Action Network, presented to you by bet three

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Speaker 2: sixty five. My name is Michael Eye Buff Joining me

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Speaker 2: as always are my friends colleagues and co hosts Anthony

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Speaker 2: Debundo out of Philadelphia and bj Cunningham coming to you

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Speaker 2: from Iowa, and gentlemen, we have ten Premier League matches

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Speaker 2: to look forward to. Plus we'll take a scamper around Europe,

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Speaker 2: pick out some best bets in the Bundesliga La Liga

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Speaker 2: Syria a league, give out our three leg money line

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Speaker 2: underdog parlay, and then wrap up with our best bets

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Speaker 2: in the Premier League for this weekend. But before we

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Speaker 2: dig into the slate, I'm here to remind you that

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Speaker 2: Wonder Goal is presented by Bet three sixty five, the

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Speaker 2: world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up with promo code action

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Speaker 2: to get Bet three six five's exclusive sign up offer

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Speaker 2: in New Jersey and Colorado. Bet one dollar on any

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Speaker 2: game and get two hundred free. Perhaps you want to

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Speaker 2: use that on Manchester City and Tottenham. That's where we'll

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Speaker 2: start this episode twelve thirty pm on Saturday at the

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Speaker 2: ETIAD City minus two seventy five odds on big favorites

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Speaker 2: over Spurs plus six fifty drus plus four to fifty.

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Speaker 2: Tottenham did the double over City last season, once with

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Speaker 2: Nuno and then once with Conte. Just a quick look

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Speaker 2: at the forum. This is all competition City win, win, draw, win, win,

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Speaker 2: draw win, Spurs win, draw, win, win, draw, win win.

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Speaker 2: Both teams off and running for the season. City's offense

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Speaker 2: creating two point four expected goles for per match in

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Speaker 2: the Premier League, but Spurs in terms of the overall

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Speaker 2: play not terribly far behind plus zero point seventy five

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Speaker 2: expectacles differential per ninety. I think it comes down. I

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Speaker 2: say this a lot when when two teams like this meet,

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Speaker 2: like you could just boil it down to this simple equation.

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Speaker 2: Is Spurs a good enough team that getting six and

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Speaker 2: a half to one on the money line is worth

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Speaker 2: a sprinkle? And I think the answer is that's yes, Anthony.

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Speaker 2: You're Spurs tragic. You're wearing a Spurs kit even though

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Speaker 2: you are a Liverpool fan. Spurs tragic, Liverpool fan, break

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Speaker 2: this one down.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I think this is you know, what

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Speaker 4: Spurs are built for in a lot of ways under Conte.

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Speaker 4: It's how they've played, and it's how they've played. You know,

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Speaker 4: maybe as a fan, I'm not too happy when they

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Speaker 4: play this way against mid table teams. When you're going

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Speaker 4: up against Manchester City. They've kind of built themselves as

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Speaker 4: a team who defends their penalty area really well, who

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Speaker 4: will seed possession in non dangerous areas, who will let

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Speaker 4: the opponent tilt the field on them, which is exactly

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Speaker 4: what City wants to do. And they will then with

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Speaker 4: their direct counter attacking ways and their passing patterns, they

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Speaker 4: will play through and take advantage of City's high press,

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Speaker 4: get in behind, create chances. And look, it's not a

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Speaker 4: coincidence that Spurs effectively did this to City in both

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Speaker 4: meetings last season. They effectively have done it for years

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Speaker 4: to City, even going back to the Marino era. You

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Speaker 4: remember back when they played you know, prior to the

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Speaker 4: pandemic in twenty twenty or Spurs beat City two to one.

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Speaker 4: Back in the twenty twenty one season. In November, Spurs

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Speaker 4: beating City to nil. So this has been a bit

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Speaker 4: of a bogey team for City. Ask any City fan,

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Speaker 4: they'll tell you. And the thing that was most encouraging

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Speaker 4: was that the last meeting, it wasn't that City you

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Speaker 4: know got you know, soccered and created a crazy amount

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Speaker 4: of chances and Spurs scored their only two shots. As

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Speaker 4: a tradition of their prior matchups, Spurs created three, four

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Speaker 4: or five big scoring chances. And yes they won it late,

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Speaker 4: but City really struggled to get high profile looks Now,

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Speaker 4: I don't think that'll necessarily be the case in this

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Speaker 4: game because City now they're Earling Holland. But we're looking

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Speaker 4: at the two best strikers in the prem right now

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Speaker 4: based on XG per ninety Earling Holland over one just

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Speaker 4: insane Harry Kane at point five to nine thus far

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Speaker 4: this season. Very impressive start for Kine, and Son has

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Speaker 4: accumulated the most expected goals in the prem without scoring.

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Speaker 4: Son does have an occasional finishing slump in him and

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Speaker 4: he's in one right now, but I'm not too worried

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Speaker 4: about that. We're Charlston's backing the goals, playing great two

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Speaker 4: goals today against Marseille and the victory. So I think

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Speaker 4: this is a very favorable matchup for Spurs to be competitive.

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Speaker 4: I love the plus one and a half at minus

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Speaker 4: one twenty and I will be sprinkling the money line

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Speaker 4: as well. I don't think they'll win this, but City's

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Speaker 4: defense still showing some flaws to me. You know, maybe

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Speaker 4: not against Sevilla, who's old and washed in the midfield

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Speaker 4: and doesn't have any good players anymore, but you look back.

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Speaker 4: I mean, there are teams have troubled this City defense

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Speaker 4: in certain areas and those are the exact areas that

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Speaker 4: Spurs can take advantage of with parisig Ra, Charleston so them.

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Speaker 4: So I like it. I think it's a great matchup

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Speaker 4: for Spurs to keep it competitive.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a city we're behind in four of their previous

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Speaker 2: six matches going into that aston Villa game, and then

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Speaker 2: they lost two points from a winning position. So it's

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Speaker 2: it's not just that they're Look, the City defense is

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Speaker 2: going to be the best in the world when we

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Speaker 2: start in April. We're going to be talking about their

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Speaker 2: expectacles against numbers being absurd and this is the best

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Speaker 2: team in terms of x G and big chances against

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Speaker 2: so whatever. But they're not there yet, and when they're

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Speaker 2: before they get there is when you want to try

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Speaker 2: to pick your spots. And I'll say it again because

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Speaker 2: I think it bears repeating Tottenham right now, third best

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Speaker 2: team in the maybe the second best team in the

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Speaker 2: Premier League, because your other team, Liverpool, they're terrible six

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Speaker 2: and a half to one on the money line. BJ

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Speaker 2: Is it that simple or am I overlooking something here? Uh?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I mean the thing about City is it's funny. I

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Speaker 3: think defensively, it's you know, if you if you watch them,

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Speaker 3: you see some of the flaws, right like you see

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Speaker 3: you watch the Newcastle match, you watch how many times

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Speaker 3: they were able to get in behind the high line

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Speaker 3: and create chances. But I mean overall on XG they're

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Speaker 3: allowing you know, half and half an expected goal per match,

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Speaker 3: so there's still like numbers wise, there's still a good defense.

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Speaker 3: But like Anthony said, like you watch them like there's

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Speaker 3: just still something weird, something kind of wrong with their defense.

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Speaker 3: I agree with everything Anthony said. I am actually gonna

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Speaker 3: instead take the under three goals at plus one five.

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Speaker 3: I agree with Anthony that Conte is probably gonna sit

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Speaker 3: deep and just look to counterattack City. It's worked in

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Speaker 3: the past, why not do it again. You look back

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Speaker 3: to the let you know, the closest time to where

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Speaker 3: Tottenham actually played a team that was going to dominate

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Speaker 3: possession in the way that City did.

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Speaker 1: It was against Liverpool towards the end of last season.

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Speaker 3: A lot of you know, I know, Klopp complained a

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Speaker 3: bunch about how Tottenham played in that match, but it worked.

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Speaker 3: So it doesn't really matter how you play as long

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Speaker 3: as it works. So I look for top them to

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Speaker 3: sit deep here. I looked for them to prevent City

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Speaker 3: from all these big, big scoring chances. I mean, Hollin's

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Speaker 3: been on fire, so I would expect taught theam to

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Speaker 3: play pretty conservative, you know, for the first at least

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Speaker 3: forty five minutes of this match. But I mean from

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Speaker 3: a projection standpoint, I only have two point six to

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Speaker 3: six goals projected. I mean toddams along under one expected

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Speaker 3: goal per match to the first six, only three big

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Speaker 3: scoring chants allowed. So the defense is playing really well

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Speaker 3: and they've already played a match against Chelsea. So for me,

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Speaker 3: I'm going under three goals at plus one oh five

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Speaker 3: and the is a decent price.

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Speaker 4: I mean, let's look at the attacks that City have

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Speaker 4: played too. You know, West ham Bourne, myth Palace, Forrest Villa, Sevilla.

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Speaker 4: That's all but one match, and I don't think any

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Speaker 4: of them would be considered above average Premier League attacks.

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Speaker 4: You could maybe make the case that Crystal Palace is

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Speaker 4: up there, and Palace scored two early goals, so the

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Speaker 4: whole game state was thrown off. They were just defending

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Speaker 4: for their lives. The only team who I think you

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Speaker 4: could argue and should at this point argue, isn't above

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Speaker 4: average attacking team is Newcastle, who created one point eight

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Speaker 4: expected goals and tore them apart. So I think they're

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Speaker 4: like you mentioned, there are little flaws that a team

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Speaker 4: of Tottenham's quality should be able to pick apart, and

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Speaker 4: I think they're going to in this matchup, and I

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Speaker 4: don't think it will be the first time. I'm fading

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Speaker 4: City in the next two weeks, so this is unfortunate.

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Speaker 4: We're gonna step on the pain train here, going.

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Speaker 1: To score right in our face.

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Speaker 2: Oh yes, probably two.

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Speaker 4: One City is fine with me, Like, I'm okay with that.

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Speaker 2: Just not a team player at all.

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Speaker 4: But I mean when Son scores his first goal. I

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Speaker 4: mean one of my friends is a big City fan here.

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Speaker 4: He saw the tweet that was like Son has accumulated

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Speaker 4: the most xgu without scoring in the prem pencil in

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Speaker 4: Sonny for two goals on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Hang on, he over performed at like six goals last year.

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Speaker 4: But he does it every single week. He does it

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Speaker 4: every year. Son has overperformed every year. He's a pro.

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Speaker 4: And the thing about it is he always scores and

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Speaker 4: seems to score bangers against Cities. So that's why, you know,

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Speaker 4: does that predictive? No, but like it is interesting and

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Speaker 4: probably going to happen. So one will score on Sunday

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Speaker 4: or Saturday rather and Spurs. We'll luck box a result here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it could be a Spurs Sun same game, parlay

190
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Speaker 2: with Sunny to score one West thing before we move

191
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Speaker 2: on to Fulham and Chelsea's both teams have played pretty

192
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Speaker 2: easy schedules. I would say Chelsea is the only kind

193
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Speaker 2: of tough one that Spurs played, but they also have

194
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Speaker 2: the spine that can cope with Holland, like Eric Dyers,

195
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Speaker 2: a physical, physical center back ro Romero and then Hoiberg

196
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Speaker 2: in the middle. Like this is a team that kind

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Speaker 2: of relishes those kind of Yeah, so I wonder if

198
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Speaker 2: Holland is kind of just has this quiet game here

199
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Speaker 2: and that turned the city back into what they were

200
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Speaker 2: last season, and that's when Tottenham really thrived. So just

201
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Speaker 2: a weird matchup thinking there, all right, this is going

202
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Speaker 2: to be a lot to unpack here. Fulham plus three

203
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Speaker 2: thirty on Saturday morning, seven thirty am, Chelsea odds on

204
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Speaker 2: minus one twenty five at bet three six five. The

205
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Speaker 2: draw here is five to one. Thomas doukle Be. Yet

206
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Speaker 2: you called it. You said on our Champions League previous.

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Speaker 1: This is the worst thing that's ever happened.

208
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Speaker 2: You said it, you said he's going to get fired.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I was enjoying fitting Chelsea the earlier than the season.

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Speaker 4: I was.

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Speaker 2: We had we share a sheet that we kind of

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Speaker 2: go down the list of every game and we all

214
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Speaker 2: write in the games that we want to talk about

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Speaker 2: the bets we're going to make. And right when Anthony

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Speaker 2: refreshed the sheet, I went to this game, jobbed down Fulham,

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Speaker 2: saw the news erased Fulham. I'm gonna be staying away

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Speaker 2: from this one now, real quick looking at the stats

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Speaker 2: before it handed over to one of you guys. Fulham

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Speaker 2: to two and two, nine goals four nine goals against

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Speaker 2: bang average really fun, but their last three matches. This

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Speaker 2: is what we were concerned about with this team coming

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Speaker 2: into the season was will their defense be able to

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Speaker 2: handle the Premier League marathon seven point six expectacles against

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Speaker 2: uh tough schedule, Arsenal, Brighton and Spurs. But kind of

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Speaker 2: a little little worrying. So the prices is not high

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Speaker 2: enough on Fulham, even at home, even with Chelsea in

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Speaker 2: bits and pieces, It's just not It's not high enough

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Speaker 2: to do it. This is still a newly promoted side

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Speaker 2: going up against one of the best teams in Europe

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Speaker 2: at plus three thirties. Not not enough for me. BJ

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Speaker 2: Penny for your thoughts here, this is sad.

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Speaker 3: I mean, we've loved Brighton so many times the market

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Speaker 3: under valued them so many times under Graham Potter because

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Speaker 3: of how great he set his teams up and now

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Speaker 3: all that's gone, like it's.

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Speaker 1: Just over gone.

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Speaker 3: Yet they have not hired Grandpa we gotta it's gonna

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Speaker 3: be announced.

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Speaker 2: By the time people listen.

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Speaker 3: Who knows, Yeah, by the time people listen will be announced.

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Speaker 3: But I mean, let's talk about Chelsea for a second.

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Speaker 3: How weird this The timing of the sacking was they

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Speaker 3: spent the most money in the Premier League during the

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Speaker 3: trans window and then six days after it shuts they

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Speaker 3: fired Tuchel.

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Speaker 1: Just strange. It makes me think that Bowlie doesn't really

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Speaker 1: have a plan right now.

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Speaker 2: I mean what soccer owner does.

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Speaker 1: There's like four yeah, and then he just ever did

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Speaker 1: have a plan.

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Speaker 3: And it's just funny because you know how out of

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Speaker 3: touch billionaires are. He just lied to everybody's face and said,

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Speaker 3: oh no, the Dino Zagara match had absolutely nothing to

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Speaker 3: do with it. So they just beat Wess and now

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Speaker 3: you're just gonna sack What if they beat him?

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Speaker 1: Five? Nothing? What you have been sacked?

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Speaker 3: No, that had been he would not As far as

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Speaker 3: this match is concerned, I have no interest in playing this.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I had Chelsea at minus won sixteen, so

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Speaker 3: you know minus one twenty five. I'm not really gonna

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Speaker 3: play that either. We can talk more about when Potter

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Speaker 3: takes over Chelsea because I think he actually does have

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Speaker 3: a lot of pieces to make his system work really well.

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Speaker 1: But I mean it's an end of an era.

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Speaker 3: You know that the Brighton era is is probably going

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Speaker 3: to come to an end unless, like I don't know

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Speaker 3: if they're gonna find another manager like him. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's just sad because nobody got more out of less

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Speaker 3: than Graham Potter in the Premier League. So he'll he'll

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Speaker 3: probably be amazing at Chelsea. You know, as an Arsenal fan,

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Speaker 3: that sucks because now they're probably gonna be awesome.

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Speaker 1: It's it's just sad. I was hoping that this would

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Speaker 1: go on forever.

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Speaker 3: But you know, all good things, all good things must

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Speaker 3: come to end and end, I guess, but it'll take

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Speaker 3: it'll take some time for him to set up Chelsea.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, as far as this match is concerned, no way.

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Speaker 3: I mean Fulham defensively, they've played three big big six sides.

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Speaker 3: They've allowed eight big scoring chances in those matches. You know,

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Speaker 3: they've They've created under one expected goal on all one

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Speaker 3: er one non penalty expected goal in those three matches

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Speaker 3: against Liverpool, Arsenal and Tottenham.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I am one thousand percent passing on this.

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Speaker 3: And I am just really really sad that that grand

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Speaker 3: Potter is gone from Brighton.

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Speaker 2: Anthony, anything for you here Fulham Chelsea?

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Speaker 3: Uh?

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Speaker 4: Well, you know I said last pod we could talk

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Speaker 4: more about Chelsea on the weekend pod, and here we are.

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Speaker 4: And I'm not sure about Potter at Chelsea. Like, I

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Speaker 4: think he'll be good, but I don't know that the

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Speaker 4: system is in place. There's nobody running, there's no director

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Speaker 4: of football, there's nobody in charge of recruitment, there's nobody.

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Speaker 1: Bringing He's bringing that guy with him?

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Speaker 4: Is he bright So that was getting an encouraging thing.

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Speaker 4: But didn't they also just lose their other guy Brighton

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Speaker 4: to Newcastle yep, So so there's a lot of.

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Speaker 2: Did it matter? I mean, look at the way they

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Speaker 2: started to sell what they did.

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Speaker 4: They didn't really add anybody though they got Purvis. Yeah, okay,

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Speaker 4: copy of right. Kind of my point though, with regards

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Speaker 4: to this Chelsea full of match you mentioned it with Fulham.

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Speaker 4: I think this is a good spot to where the

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Speaker 4: market has caught up. Fulham got a lot of steam

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Speaker 4: against Arsenal. They got a lot of steam against Spurs.

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Speaker 4: Covered the spread in both matches, probably didn't deserve the

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Speaker 4: Spurs one. But you are seeing some of the cracks

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Speaker 4: and like nobody expected them to be a top half team.

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Speaker 4: They are going to regress a little bit here now

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Speaker 4: and I don't think you're getting the best of the

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Speaker 4: market number on Chelsea to fade them. With that being said,

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Speaker 4: who's managing Chelsea on Saturday?

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Speaker 2: I think it's Anthony Barry who's been there for a while, right.

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Speaker 4: But Tukel also is like multiple of assistants were gone, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Well, it's just going to be a street care. It's

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Speaker 2: not gonna be Frank Lampard. As badly as they want him,

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Speaker 2: he's our guy.

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Speaker 4: So there are some question marks about like how do

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Speaker 4: the players respond, what were the players? How do they

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Speaker 4: feel about two col versus this outsider who just came

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Speaker 4: in and kind of shook things up and fired him, right,

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Speaker 4: So there's a lot of uncertainty at Chelsea. I don't

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Speaker 4: think you can just bank on a new manager bounce

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Speaker 4: for this team. With that being said, I also think

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Speaker 4: they're much better than a negative expected goal difference team,

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Speaker 4: so they're probably going to regress positively anyway. So when

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Speaker 4: it does happen, we can't just say, ah, it was

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Speaker 4: all two goals fall, when in reality the truth is

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Speaker 4: probably in the middle somewhere.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of Graham Potter's old team, Brighton, their odds on

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Speaker 2: on the road minus one twenty five in the South

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Speaker 2: Coast Darby, they're taken on Bournemouth plus three eighty. The

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Speaker 2: draw here is plus two sixty charity. For as much

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Speaker 2: as as much flack as Bournemuth has got this year,

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Speaker 2: they have seven points. They got two wins, that's two

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Speaker 2: more than ever did and a draw. I get the

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Speaker 2: two wins obviously one Forest.

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Speaker 4: Against non Big six matches.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's what So firsty, First Verst City, Arsenal

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Speaker 2: Liverpool zero goals for sixteen goals against on six point

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Speaker 2: eight expectacles allowed. They created under one expecta gole in

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Speaker 2: those three matches. And then against Wolves Villa and Forrest

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Speaker 2: five goals for two goals against three point four expectacles

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Speaker 2: against in one point nine four so still a minus

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Speaker 2: one and a half expectable difference across those street matches

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Speaker 2: and any factor in the Potter stuff with Brighton, And

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Speaker 2: one thing I do think people like bj can have

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Speaker 2: some faith in is this is such a well run

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Speaker 2: club that they know this has been coming. They've known

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Speaker 2: this has been coming. Everyone was assuming that Potter was

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Speaker 2: going to take the England job right after the World

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Speaker 2: Cup when Southgate's contract retired, so they.

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Speaker 1: Thought he was gonna take the Spurs job.

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Speaker 2: They had a plan for koukarea, They've had a plan

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Speaker 2: for Basuma when he left. Like, this is not a

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Speaker 2: club that kind of reacts. They are very proactive that things,

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Speaker 2: so I wantn't be too worried about that. That said,

359
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Speaker 2: like if this isn't a terrible spot for Bourne, myth,

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Speaker 2: I don't. Once again, I don't think that the number

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Speaker 2: is high enough. We're looking at a very similar line

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Speaker 2: to the one we just talked about with Chelsea and Fulham,

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Speaker 2: with the Bournemouth money line a little higher because the

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Speaker 2: draw is much lower in this one. But I wouldn't

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Speaker 2: call anybody crazy. And I bet on Bournemouth against Forrest

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Speaker 2: and Wolves won one and the one was a draw.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't call anyone crazy for taking a shot on

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Speaker 2: Bournemouth here at home against a team that just had

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Speaker 2: the Because this has been a team is all about

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Speaker 2: continuity and everyone being on the same page. They just

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Speaker 2: had that all disrupted for the first time since Potter

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Speaker 2: really came in. So that's where my head is, Anthony,

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Speaker 2: Bournemouth and Brighton. What about you?

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Speaker 4: From a number point of view, I actually have a

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Speaker 4: little bit of value on Bournemouth, which I did not

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Speaker 4: expect going into this match. This is a classic Brighton

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Speaker 4: against the bottom table, you know, team away from home.

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Speaker 4: They have struggled in these fixtures. Bournemouth have shown decent

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Speaker 4: resolve defending there, but like you mentioned, the underlying numbers

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Speaker 4: are still extremely concerning. Yes, they've scored five goals in

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Speaker 4: the three games against fellow average to below average teams,

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Speaker 4: but they've only created one point nine XG from those matches.

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Speaker 4: There's not a good attack here. They failed to create

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Speaker 4: a single more than one XG in a match this

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Speaker 4: season based on fb refs numbers. One model had them

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Speaker 4: at one last match, so that was against Forrest. So

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Speaker 4: you know you're looking at it and you're like, all right,

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Speaker 4: how does Bournemouth on the board. I'm not really seeing

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Speaker 4: too much of that against this Brighton defense, which is

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Speaker 4: still going to be excellent. I don't think they're just

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Speaker 4: going to fall apart instantly because Potter's gone. I think

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Speaker 4: you may see a gradual decline. And it also I

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Speaker 4: think from a Brighton point of view, the attack has

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Speaker 4: run really hot. I mean, does anybody really expect Brighton

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Speaker 4: to continue to produce over one and a half, expect

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Speaker 4: the goals per match to convert at the rate that

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Speaker 4: they have thus far this season. Yes, okay, they're due

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Speaker 4: for probably a good, good run of finishing, but I

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Speaker 4: don't necessarily expect that either, So I would immediately look

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Speaker 4: toward the under in this game. Problem is, I thought

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Speaker 4: i'd get two and a half because Bournemous defense has

402
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Speaker 4: been so bad. But it's a two point twenty five,

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Speaker 4: so it's just a lean to the under for me.

404
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Speaker 4: But if it gets to you know, two and a

405
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Speaker 4: half one twenty one twenty five, even minus to the under,

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Speaker 4: I would fire. Right now, it's sitting around minus on

407
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Speaker 4: forty one forty five. It's a little too steep for me,

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Speaker 4: but I would lean toward the under here otherwise I'll

409
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Speaker 4: be staying away. I don't like either side on the

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Speaker 4: money line horsepread.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Bournemouth the only team not to create a big

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Speaker 1: scoring chance yet this season.

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Speaker 2: Patient you could almost luck.

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Speaker 4: Into one of those come it'll should be able to

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Speaker 4: luck into one two.

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Speaker 3: But they they've prevented, you know, in three of there.

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Speaker 3: In those two in the matches where they haven't played

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Speaker 3: a big Sux side, they haven't allowed a big scoring

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Speaker 3: chance either.

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Speaker 2: So they're very much like a poor man's Burnley from

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Speaker 2: two or three seasons ago.

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Speaker 1: Chelsea should have hired Sean Deitsch. I'll say it, Hey.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Brighton'll hire.

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Speaker 4: Imagine if Brighton.

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Speaker 2: Hired yeahright, bright Brighton Brighton is.

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Speaker 4: I would never bet on them again.

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Speaker 2: That's your that's that's your own problem there. I would

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Speaker 2: Brighton are forty to one to be relegated. So if

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Speaker 2: you truly think that the Graham Potter situation is a disaster,

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Speaker 2: that's that's what you're looking at. I'm not not endorsing it,

431
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Speaker 2: i am. I am just letting the people know what

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Speaker 2: their odds are. Speaking of relegation, Lester at Villa Leicester

433
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Speaker 2: plus one forty at home Villa plus one eighty seven

434
00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:47,360
Speaker 2: on the road at Bet three six five. The draw

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Speaker 2: here is plus two fifty Bourne with are still the

436
00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:54,240
Speaker 2: massive favorites to be relegated. Then it's not enforced or

437
00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,960
Speaker 2: minus one fifty Leicester plus one seventy five now so

438
00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:01,320
Speaker 2: they are the third favorite, just ahead of Frank Lampard's

439
00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:04,120
Speaker 2: Everden who were two to one, Fulham plus two twenty five,

440
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,000
Speaker 2: Southampton three to one, Leeds plus three fifty and then

441
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 2: there's Villa four to one, so you could call this

442
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,919
Speaker 2: a relegation six pointer. Villa's season has not gone well

443
00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:15,880
Speaker 2: and I think that we might have saw a little

444
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:19,560
Speaker 2: smoke and mirrors coming off of the city situation. They

445
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:23,119
Speaker 2: draw one one by just parking the bus effectively, you

446
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 2: have to say they were effective. They took their chance.

447
00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 2: But that was a third straight match for Villa, granted

448
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 2: against a tough schedule west Ham Arsenal City where they

449
00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 2: created under one expected goal. They've created point two expected

450
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,359
Speaker 2: goals in their last two matches Arsenal and City. So

451
00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:45,680
Speaker 2: for all les there's problems preventing scoring chances over the

452
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 2: past couple of seasons. This isn't the offense is going

453
00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:50,640
Speaker 2: to threaten them, So I do think that there's maybe

454
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,919
Speaker 2: a smidge of value here on the Foxes. I'm just

455
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 2: not going to get involved BJ. What about you.

456
00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:58,480
Speaker 1: I think it's time to play a Lester under here.

457
00:20:58,560 --> 00:20:59,680
Speaker 1: I think this is a good spot for it.

458
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:03,520
Speaker 3: I mean they've been they've been very unfortunate defensively, sixteen goals,

459
00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 3: loud off around a little over nine expected.

460
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:07,440
Speaker 1: A lot of that has to do. It's just terrible goalkeeping.

461
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 3: I mean, Danny Ward has been a minus four point

462
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 3: four post shot x G plus minus this season, like

463
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:16,240
Speaker 3: through six massage. That's really, really, really bad. So either

464
00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:18,880
Speaker 3: he's the worst goalkeeper we've ever seen in the Premier League,

465
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:20,240
Speaker 3: or he's going to regress to.

466
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 1: Somewhere around average.

467
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 3: My bet would be on he's going to regress somewhere

468
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:27,439
Speaker 3: to round average. Now, the last match, Lester decided to

469
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:30,280
Speaker 3: play Ianacho and Pat Sendaca up top and they actually

470
00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:32,800
Speaker 3: looked a lot better rather than just throwing Vardy up

471
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,320
Speaker 3: top and not have him not getting any shots. But

472
00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:38,000
Speaker 3: with that being said, Lester is still only averaging point

473
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 3: nine to three non penalty expected goals per match, they're

474
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 3: taking under ten shots per match, and they've only created

475
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,720
Speaker 3: two big scoring chances in total on the season. So

476
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:51,639
Speaker 3: the offense has been horrible. Now, aston Villa's to your point, Michael,

477
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 3: they've been playing very defensive. I mean last season or Jerrard,

478
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:56,880
Speaker 3: they were not a good offense. They were one point

479
00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:00,600
Speaker 3: one five x g per ninety. They've created four point

480
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 3: five expected goals in six in their first six matches

481
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,920
Speaker 3: and outside of the match against Everton they haven't created

482
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 3: a big scoring chance. So I mean defensively, like they're

483
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,600
Speaker 3: solid in the midfield, and they're solid at the back,

484
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,919
Speaker 3: like they're not a horrible Premier League defensive team like

485
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,879
Speaker 3: they are top eight so far this season and box

486
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,680
Speaker 3: enters allowed, progressive passes and dribbles loud and crosses allowed

487
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,119
Speaker 3: in the penaltya a slightly above average defense in the

488
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:26,439
Speaker 3: Premier League. But with how bad both these offenses have

489
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:27,879
Speaker 3: been so far this season, I think this is a

490
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,560
Speaker 3: good time to play an under. I only have two

491
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 3: point three three goals projected, so at bet three six

492
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:33,840
Speaker 3: five you can get under two and a half goals

493
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 3: at even money. I think that's a good price to

494
00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:38,159
Speaker 3: play the first Lester under of the season.

495
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:42,159
Speaker 2: Funny thing about about Danny Ward is oftentimes during the

496
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 2: season previews people just kind of mention the goalies and

497
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,160
Speaker 2: passing in soccer, because yes, they're part of the team

498
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 2: and whatever, but there's it's so unpredictable how they'll play.

499
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,360
Speaker 2: You see it in hockey as well, and every time

500
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:56,360
Speaker 2: you listen to whether it's us other podcasts talk about

501
00:22:56,440 --> 00:23:00,960
Speaker 2: Leicester City, Danny Ward's name got brought up like he

502
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:03,560
Speaker 2: could be really bad, and then you're like, people are

503
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:06,359
Speaker 2: probably just overreacting here, and he's costing points, which is

504
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,159
Speaker 2: pretty funny because it's not that it's hard to do

505
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:10,440
Speaker 2: for a goalkeeper to do that in the Premier League,

506
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:13,560
Speaker 2: but you're getting the twenty, you know, maybe twenty of

507
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 2: the best thirty five goalies in the world in the

508
00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 2: league and he's definitely not one of them. Anthony, your

509
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 2: thoughts here. You bet Villa every week? You just keep

510
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 2: doing that.

511
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 4: I have not. I have not bet Villa the last

512
00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:24,920
Speaker 4: few weeks.

513
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 1: But club you're alive.

514
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 4: By the way, Tom Midland's club is actually decent. I mean,

515
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:33,440
Speaker 4: well won last week, that's not great, but Doors lost. Look,

516
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 4: I think my Villa six to one to finish seventh

517
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 4: is dead. I don't know what to say anymore. What

518
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,160
Speaker 4: I will say is I wanted to bet the under here.

519
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 4: I will probably bet the under if Vardy starts, but

520
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,440
Speaker 4: if it's Daca and Ionacho again, that concerns me enough

521
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,919
Speaker 4: about Lesser's attack to stay away from the under. However,

522
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 4: I am betting asked in Villa, I think they should

523
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:54,640
Speaker 4: be a favorite in this match. Look, I understand that

524
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 4: Villa have been horrible and their underline numbers are not

525
00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 4: that encouraging. They've created one expected goal in their last

526
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 4: three matches and they've conceded four point five in that

527
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 4: same timeframe. But Lester's midfield is completely broken, whereas I

528
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:10,200
Speaker 4: think Villa's issues, I continue to believe that Villa's issues

529
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,600
Speaker 4: are more solvable. I think there's more buy in with

530
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:16,199
Speaker 4: the manager, the team is less stale, and I am

531
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:19,920
Speaker 4: a much firmer believer in both the defense and somewhat

532
00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,920
Speaker 4: other less convincingly now with Martinez a believer in the

533
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 4: goalkeeper than I am compared to Lester. Also, Villa have

534
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 4: a good set piece you know, on paper would have

535
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 4: a good set piecing type team. It hasn't quite come off.

536
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,119
Speaker 4: They've had a couple of chances, one got varred off,

537
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:37,919
Speaker 4: one was ruled out of play. So they've had a

538
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 4: couple of close calls on set pieces Ward. Another big

539
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,399
Speaker 4: issue with Ward. This was a Schmichael problem, it's now

540
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:45,240
Speaker 4: a Ward problem. He's really bad at coming off the

541
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 4: line and claiming the ball, and if you're not confident

542
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:50,919
Speaker 4: in the air, that's a major issue defending set pieces.

543
00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 4: Villa do have some big bodies they can put in

544
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 4: the middle cause some problems for this lesser defense. I

545
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 4: have yet to see a solution for Leicester City's problems.

546
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:02,120
Speaker 4: I also don't think that Leonacho Vardi Daca will have

547
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:04,439
Speaker 4: the kind of space in behind they did against Brighton

548
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:06,280
Speaker 4: because Villa is not going to play that kind of

549
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,960
Speaker 4: same high line, especially on the road. So I like Villa.

550
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 4: Here another shot with the Villa syndicate. I took the

551
00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 4: drawa bet. I think they should be favored and their dog.

552
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 4: They have taken some money though this came down. They

553
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:18,399
Speaker 4: were plus two hundred. Now we're down to plus one

554
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 4: eighty one eighty five. I still like Villa on the

555
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:23,119
Speaker 4: drawn no bet line at plus money.

556
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:28,120
Speaker 2: Liverpool just got pasted by Napoli. Just pasted by Napoli

557
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,919
Speaker 2: in the Champions League. Now they are minus four hundred

558
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 2: at home against Wolverhampton ten to one at Bet three

559
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:35,720
Speaker 2: six five the draw here is five to one. This

560
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 2: is another ten am kickoff. I think everything number wise,

561
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:41,560
Speaker 2: if you're looking at like XG you're looking at big

562
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:44,480
Speaker 2: scoring chances, You're not going to see any like glaring

563
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:49,680
Speaker 2: issues with the Liverpool statistical profile. You're not like nothing

564
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:51,520
Speaker 2: that's going to say like, oh this this team is

565
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:55,040
Speaker 2: bad whatever. The one thing that is concerning is a

566
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 2: lot of that is I'm talking like overall picture. A

567
00:25:57,800 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 2: lot of that is inflated by a nine to nothing

568
00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:02,159
Speaker 2: win against Bourne, myth. And there is one thing that

569
00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,320
Speaker 2: does stick out, which is how terrible they've been pressing

570
00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,679
Speaker 2: and against pressure, which is their bread and butter. The

571
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 2: midfield is still a mess. Joe Gomez was taken for

572
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 2: milkshakes by basically everybody on Napoli today. Jrgen Klopp looks

573
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 2: like a cat on a hot tin roof. He's he

574
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 2: doesn't really know how to punch his way out of trouble.

575
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,479
Speaker 1: So I don't think that.

576
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,879
Speaker 2: And Wolves have been all right, like they've been wolves.

577
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be on it one point one better than

578
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:31,359
Speaker 2: I thought. Yeah, they've been. I think I think we

579
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 2: all were kind of saying tipping them for maybe the

580
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 2: third or fourth worst team in the league at the

581
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 2: brutal large Revolution is one year too late. One point

582
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 2: one seven goals total goals for matching Wolves matches.

583
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:48,480
Speaker 4: Boy, what you had My worst beat of the year

584
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 4: last weekend until today, which was that that Chay Adams

585
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 4: miss where all he had to do was was headed

586
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 4: into the empty net as the ball was falling onto

587
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,200
Speaker 4: his head and he whipped and then hit his arm

588
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,439
Speaker 4: and fell into the And I was watching live and

589
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 4: I was like, I didn't just have they counted the goal.

590
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:05,399
Speaker 4: I was like, that's not gonna count? Is it like

591
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,280
Speaker 4: that just happened? And then they ruled it out. The

592
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 4: Saints both teams to score. Wolves overs died right there,

593
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:12,359
Speaker 4: never to be seen again.

594
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:14,760
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be out Wolves. I think at ten to one,

595
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 2: I think is good enough. Fear just I'm Liverpool. I'm

596
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,120
Speaker 2: just going to keep probing this Liverpool team. Let's see

597
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,679
Speaker 2: where the bottom is. The market's I know, That's what

598
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:23,160
Speaker 2: I'm saying.

599
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:24,399
Speaker 1: Why want Why aren't.

600
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:25,360
Speaker 4: The market has not budged?

601
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:27,199
Speaker 2: So then why aren't you guys?

602
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,640
Speaker 1: I'll tell you why. I'll tell you why. Because Thiago's back.

603
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:32,440
Speaker 1: I mean I mentioned it early.

604
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 3: On one of the earlier podcasts like he makes such

605
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:39,359
Speaker 3: a catastrophic difference for this Liverpool team. I mentioned it

606
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:41,919
Speaker 3: the splits. Liverpool was point six to six x g

607
00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:43,960
Speaker 3: per ninety allowed with him on the field last season.

608
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:47,040
Speaker 3: Without him, there one point four early returns. This season

609
00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:49,280
Speaker 3: if you take out the nine to nothering match against Bournemouth,

610
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:53,480
Speaker 3: Liverpool's allowed six point five expected goals to Fulham, Crystal Palace, United,

611
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 3: Newcastle and Everton. Not exactly a murder's row of offenses there.

612
00:27:57,800 --> 00:27:59,920
Speaker 3: So he came on in the second half Agains Napoli

613
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 3: when the game was already completely out of hands, so

614
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:03,679
Speaker 3: you can't really put it factory. In the oh, nap

615
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,679
Speaker 3: they created like four expected goals against Liverpool. If he plays,

616
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 3: he makes Liverpool just so so much better in the

617
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 3: midfield because it just doesn't work with Jordan Headerson and

618
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:14,760
Speaker 3: James Milner, but klop just continues to go with it.

619
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 3: So I am going to play something that I haven't

620
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 3: really played for a while with Liverpool, especially without Bet.

621
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:24,400
Speaker 3: You know how shaky their defense has been. I'm gonna

622
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,480
Speaker 3: play both teams to score no at minus one fifteen

623
00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 3: because the gos back I mean Wolves is they're just

624
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 3: they're just not a good offense.

625
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 1: I don't know how else we can describe it. I

626
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: mean they're.

627
00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,440
Speaker 3: I mean we're at what, you know, only two matches

628
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 3: over one expected goal. I mean, they're One thing I

629
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,440
Speaker 3: will say about Wolves is that this could end up

630
00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,719
Speaker 3: being the type of match because if you remember this

631
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 3: match last season, uh, when I think it was happening,

632
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 3: you know, the one before that, themal A New Wolves

633
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 3: just basically packed it in for like the entire match,

634
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,800
Speaker 3: and Liverpool created like four expected goals and scored in

635
00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 3: like the ninety fifth minute to win one nothing. I

636
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:01,920
Speaker 3: think we can see something similar to that where Wolve's.

637
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:02,320
Speaker 1: Just packs it. Now.

638
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:04,360
Speaker 3: They have been like they have been a top ten

639
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 3: pressing team this season, which is not something I expected

640
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:09,440
Speaker 3: because they basically just sat in, uh and didn't press

641
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:12,800
Speaker 3: at all last year, And so that could make them

642
00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:14,880
Speaker 3: a little better defensively. I mean they're only allowing a

643
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:17,200
Speaker 3: little over one non de only expected goal per match.

644
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 3: Like it's been a good defense, and Nathaniel Collins looks

645
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 3: pretty like he's helped the defense quite a bit. So yeah,

646
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 3: I mean I have both team to score no protected

647
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:28,160
Speaker 3: at minus one fifty nine. So I'm gonna try and

648
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:30,720
Speaker 3: play both teams to score and no because I don't

649
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 3: really think I don't think Wolves is creating over one

650
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 3: expected goal if the Ago is playing. Now, if the

651
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 3: IGO's out, I'll probably just I'm probably gonna wait until

652
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 3: match time to see if he's actually playing, because you know,

653
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 3: he did come on for a few minutes, but Klopp

654
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 3: could hold him out a little longer. So both team

655
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,040
Speaker 3: to score no minus won fifteen for me is where

656
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:46,880
Speaker 3: I'm going in this one.

657
00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 2: One thing about this team is like if you remember

658
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 2: two seasons ago when Liverpool was dealing with a bunch

659
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 2: of injuries, which you know every soccer team deals with

660
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 2: injuries overseason. It's not like last year where you can

661
00:29:58,360 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 2: go a whole season and none of your guys could

662
00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 2: get with them.

663
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 4: That's rare. That wasn't really true though.

664
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 2: They struggled though they like like they didn't. They were

665
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:07,800
Speaker 2: good still, but like it's it's They're just not a

666
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 2: team that I feel like there's such a well oiled

667
00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 2: machine when everybody's in the right spot. They've lost Saudio Mane,

668
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:15,560
Speaker 2: they've lost their midfield to injury, they've lost one of

669
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 2: their center backs, to injury, Like there's just enough issues

670
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 2: here where if you're going to be dealing these numbers

671
00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 2: on them even though you're going to lose more off

672
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:25,280
Speaker 2: and then you're gonna win, Like it's just worth let's

673
00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 2: see what Let's see where it goes. So that's that's

674
00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 2: uh my handicapping strategy with the Steam right now. Worked

675
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 2: with Napoli today.

676
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:35,840
Speaker 3: And they better hope that Thogo plays because Henderson is out.

677
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:39,239
Speaker 3: I mean, you know, Oxley Chamberlain's out, Kate is out, Like,

678
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 3: they don't really have much in the midfield if the

679
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 3: AGO's not there.

680
00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:45,200
Speaker 4: Like I think this is really interesting because as much

681
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 4: as this is about the midfield, and I really do

682
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,880
Speaker 4: think it starts there. Like most Solid took two shots

683
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 4: today and they were down the whole match. Virgil van

684
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 4: Dyke did not look like has not looked like normal.

685
00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 4: Virgil van Dyke.

686
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 2: Well, the refs are calling, reps are calling him for

687
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 2: penalties for the first time.

688
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 4: Yea, it is crazy. They've conceded what four penalties this

689
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 4: year now after zero last year in the prem The

690
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 4: most interesting thing is is that And I said this

691
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 4: on last year's preview pot one of the first shows

692
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:15,080
Speaker 4: we ever did, which was, Hey, like Liverpool's core is

693
00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 4: kind of old. What if they got old and then

694
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 4: they had like an incredible season, dominated everybody, and like

695
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 4: we're the best team in the world at a point,

696
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 4: second best team in the world for sure, But now

697
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 4: it looks like they kind of got old. And that's

698
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 4: that's a major and right, And that's the biggest thing

699
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 4: with Thiago. It's not as much as Thiago is amazing,

700
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 4: he is, but like the drop off between him and

701
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 4: everybody else got a lot bigger. Now they're starting Harvey Elliot,

702
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:41,760
Speaker 4: who doesn't do a lot of defensive work. They I

703
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:44,520
Speaker 4: think they they started for Mino today because Klops worried

704
00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 4: that Nunia doesn't do a lot of defensive work. So

705
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 4: if for Mino's in there, maybe you get some.

706
00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:51,440
Speaker 1: Of that five million defensive work and not really much production.

707
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,200
Speaker 4: Nunia has fifteen shots and two matches in the prep.

708
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,760
Speaker 4: But but uh, like if they start Nunias, I think

709
00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 4: this is an interesting over game and I will probably

710
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,719
Speaker 4: be betting the over. Otherwise probably not that interested in this.

711
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 4: I do think Wolves can create some problems. Wolves losing

712
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 4: Sasaka to an a cl tear, Yeah, that's devastating. But

713
00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:14,520
Speaker 4: they signed Diego Costa, which is incredible.

714
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 1: He's going to solve all the problems.

715
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 4: In fact, Diego Costa has never gotten a red card

716
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 4: in the Premier League. Seems hard to br.

717
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 2: Man. Yes, and you know that have got a red card.

718
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 2: Who shouldn't be playing this game is Virgil van Dyke

719
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 2: for the tackle on Onana last game.

720
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 4: Let's let's move on to an orange card. I'll be

721
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:33,680
Speaker 4: looking to play the over here if anything, but we'll

722
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 4: be waiting for lineups. I thought it was very interesting

723
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 4: that that Klopp decided not to play Nunia or Jota

724
00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 4: today and stead opted for you know he was injured.

725
00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I know he but then he was. He's

726
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,719
Speaker 2: been on the bench for three games now and and

727
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 2: just I guess they're easing it back in Golden boot.

728
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 1: Take a look at looking green.

729
00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a good bet. Southampton plus one twenty five, uh,

730
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:58,400
Speaker 2: Brentford plus two ten on the road. The draw here

731
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 2: is plus two fifteen another tenny and kickoff on the

732
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:03,480
Speaker 2: season right now. Brentford two three and one fifteen goals

733
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 2: for that number surprised me, by the way. If you

734
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 2: ask me how many goals has Brentford scored the season.

735
00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 2: I probably would have said six games nine and thought that, oh,

736
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 2: that's pretty good offensive output for the team. Yeah, fifteen

737
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:17,720
Speaker 2: nine goals against, ten point two expected goals for, seven

738
00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 2: point seven against Saints two to one and three windra

739
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 2: all lost seven goals for, ten goals against, five point

740
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 2: seven and six point eight expectacles four expectacles against, respectively.

741
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,840
Speaker 2: The thing I like about this is Brentford under Thomas

742
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,960
Speaker 2: Frank has proven pretty good. They have a pension for

743
00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:39,040
Speaker 2: creating big scoring chances. Southampton under Ralph Hassan Hudul have

744
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 2: a pension for giving up big scoring chances. So it's

745
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:44,520
Speaker 2: a decent matchup. I think Brentford is a better team.

746
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 2: You're getting them in a decent number, even on the

747
00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 2: road here, So plus two ten at bet three six five,

748
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 2: I'm in back in on the b's. I feel like

749
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:54,000
Speaker 2: I haven't bet them up this season, Anthony, what do

750
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 2: you got?

751
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 4: Saints are kind of like Wolves in the sense that,

752
00:33:58,000 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 4: at least from a midfield point of view, they're feel

753
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:03,960
Speaker 4: tilt numbers and they're pressing numbers, and their ball progression

754
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 4: numbers look pretty good. Uh, they are not that of

755
00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:09,800
Speaker 4: a team who's getting absolutely you know, dominated in matches,

756
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:13,320
Speaker 4: but like Wolves attacking problems in the penalty area, Saints

757
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:16,480
Speaker 4: have had defensive problems in the penalt area. The goalie

758
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:17,680
Speaker 4: is a concern too.

759
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:18,520
Speaker 3: Uh.

760
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,160
Speaker 4: And and he's another one who's who's down there not

761
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 4: quite Danny Ward level, but but down there pretty low.

762
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:28,000
Speaker 4: So I think there is a path. It's Breadford. Nothing

763
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:29,839
Speaker 4: for me here. I have no interest in playing Saints

764
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:32,400
Speaker 4: as a home favorite. The Bees attack last year on

765
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,319
Speaker 4: the road considerably worse than it was at home. That's

766
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:37,120
Speaker 4: always a concern with the Bees going away from the

767
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:40,040
Speaker 4: Brentford Community Stadium. We love betting them there. Away from home,

768
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:42,799
Speaker 4: not quite the same overall, this is a pass for me.

769
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:45,279
Speaker 4: My number is pretty close and I don't have a

770
00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:47,319
Speaker 4: ton of interest in betting it a BJ.

771
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:50,560
Speaker 2: I don't think you've ever walked into Brentford bet you

772
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 2: didn't like So I'm assuming.

773
00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:54,920
Speaker 1: Love I love you, I love you? Are you kidding?

774
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:55,239
Speaker 3: Yeah?

775
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 1: I think I think I bet this game last Like.

776
00:34:57,160 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 2: That You like that meme? You like that meme with

777
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:02,120
Speaker 2: the gig holding the guy's hand and she's brighton and

778
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:03,359
Speaker 2: then Brentford's walking back.

779
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:07,399
Speaker 3: That's exactly what I was thinking, Michael, you read my mind. Yeah,

780
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,239
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna hop on the Thomas Frank train and

781
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 3: just pump him up and tell everybody he's the best

782
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 3: manager in the world.

783
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:12,520
Speaker 1: Yeah.

784
00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:16,960
Speaker 3: Brentford, they haven't overperformed offensively, but I mean twelve big

785
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 3: scoring chances created, They've taken eleven shots inside the six

786
00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 3: yard box and they have the highest x cheaper shot

787
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:24,759
Speaker 3: in the Premier League. The offense has been really really

788
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:26,960
Speaker 3: good and for the first time not the first time,

789
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,399
Speaker 3: but we saw them because a lot of the sex

790
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 3: she was created because they were playing from behind. You know,

791
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:34,239
Speaker 3: they went down to nothing to Leicester, they went down

792
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:36,440
Speaker 3: against Everton, they went down against Crystal Palace, and then

793
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:38,719
Speaker 3: of course they kick it into high gear. Well, they

794
00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:41,720
Speaker 3: just pasted leads. They flat out just pasted them on Saturday,

795
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 3: played with the lead, played really really well offensively, you

796
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:46,919
Speaker 3: know as the match went along they created a couple

797
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:47,800
Speaker 3: big scoring chances.

798
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:50,480
Speaker 1: But you know, really really impressive performance.

799
00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:54,839
Speaker 3: Defensively, Brentford has been a tad shakey. I mean they've

800
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 3: been doing a good job of they're allowing a ton

801
00:35:57,760 --> 00:35:59,479
Speaker 3: of shots. I think they're fifteenth in the Premier League

802
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:01,520
Speaker 3: and shots allowed ninety minutes, which is kind of concerning,

803
00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:04,520
Speaker 3: but they all only have allowed six big scoring chances,

804
00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:08,200
Speaker 3: so they're keeping those shots to relatively low quality. And

805
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:10,359
Speaker 3: they've allowed the fifth fewest crosses in the penalty area,

806
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:14,280
Speaker 3: which is key because Southampton has the second most crosses

807
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:15,960
Speaker 3: in the Premier League start the season, which I found

808
00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:18,480
Speaker 3: kind of interesting. And that's something that Brentford has actually

809
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:20,439
Speaker 3: really improved on because they were nineteenth in the Premier

810
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:22,359
Speaker 3: League and crosses loud in the penalty area last year.

811
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,279
Speaker 3: So Frank obviously saw that in the analytics and he said, no,

812
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 3: we need to do a better job of that, and

813
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,719
Speaker 3: they have done a better jobs, so credit to them. Southampton.

814
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:33,279
Speaker 3: I mean, this is still an under a one non

815
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 3: penalty expectable per ninety minute offense. Like that, it's not

816
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:39,560
Speaker 3: a great offense. I mean they have only five expected

817
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 3: goals from open play, I mean fourteenth in shots from

818
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 3: inside the penalty area. They're the worst team in the

819
00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:48,440
Speaker 3: Premier League playing through pressure. Like, yeah, they've had some

820
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:51,399
Speaker 3: some historic, you know, some good performances put in and like, yes,

821
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 3: they're better than they were over the second half of

822
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 3: last season, but let's not kid ourselves I mean this

823
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:59,279
Speaker 3: line is basically telling us that Renford would be just

824
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,000
Speaker 3: you know, it'd sentially be a pick em or Brentford

825
00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:04,040
Speaker 3: just as an ever so slight favorite on a neutral field,

826
00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 3: which is just not the case. Like Brentford it should

827
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,560
Speaker 3: be on neutral field, should be plus one twenty five

828
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:10,520
Speaker 3: plus one twenty against Southampton.

829
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:11,759
Speaker 1: So I have.

830
00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:14,560
Speaker 3: Brentford projected at plus one point fifty, So I like,

831
00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 3: I'm drawn on bad at plus one twenty.

832
00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 4: And one, encouraging Brentford. Note I think I like to

833
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 4: look at a shot distance average shot distance allowed the thing.

834
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 4: It kind of gets at shot quality without going too

835
00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:27,040
Speaker 4: far into the extremes of like a huge chance or

836
00:37:27,040 --> 00:37:30,919
Speaker 4: two that can skew the data. Brentford longest average shot

837
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 4: distance allowed in the PREM. So they're, like you mentioned BJA,

838
00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 4: keeping opponents far from their goal when they shoot up

839
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,319
Speaker 4: there with them. This should be interesting Tottenham. We know

840
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:43,840
Speaker 4: how they play. Leads are up there and Newcastle and

841
00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 4: then at the other side of things in terms of

842
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:48,960
Speaker 4: creating chances. Who has the lowest average shot distance Liverpool's first,

843
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,839
Speaker 4: Brentford a second. So they're generating the big chances, they're

844
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:53,960
Speaker 4: preventing the big chances, and I think that going up

845
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:56,160
Speaker 4: against the Saints team who now I'm talking myself into

846
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:58,640
Speaker 4: betting Brentford going up against the Saints team who do it?

847
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 4: Concedes all the big chair here. It's interesting.

848
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,280
Speaker 3: We're here for Yeah, Brentford allowed the I have allowed

849
00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 3: the second fewest shots inside the six yard box only

850
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:09,439
Speaker 3: to Arsenal, only about four shots inside the six yard box,

851
00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:12,080
Speaker 3: which is impressive stuff. So you can allow like it's

852
00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 3: the wolfst thing we talk about, Like you can have

853
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:15,439
Speaker 3: a ton of shots, but if they're all outside the box,

854
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:16,440
Speaker 3: it doesn't really mean much.

855
00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 2: A reminder, wonder Goal is presented by Bet three six five,

856
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 2: the world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up with the promo

857
00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:26,359
Speaker 2: code Action and get bet three six five's exclusive sign

858
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 2: up offer in New Jersey and Colorado. Bet one dollar

859
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,680
Speaker 2: on any game, get two hundred for free, and I'll

860
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 2: tell you what game I would bet one dollar on

861
00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:37,800
Speaker 2: for two hundred free. That's Everden on Sunday morning, nine am,

862
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:41,040
Speaker 2: traveling to the Emirates to take on Arsenal minus three

863
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:42,839
Speaker 2: hundred on the money line at Bet three six five.

864
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,560
Speaker 2: Like I said, Everdon big hundred dougs plus seven fifty.

865
00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,640
Speaker 2: The draws plus four twenty five four game on beaten

866
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 2: streak for Frank Lampard's Toffees four game on beaten streak.

867
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,839
Speaker 2: They started season zer zero to two, rattled off four

868
00:38:55,880 --> 00:39:00,319
Speaker 2: impressive draws in a row and they've allowed somehow six

869
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 2: point five spectacles in their last three matches they did

870
00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 2: go ahead and two of them. The third one was

871
00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:10,840
Speaker 2: that Liverpool Goodison Park derby and was one of the

872
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:12,759
Speaker 2: best Neil Mills you'll ever see, and I think both

873
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:15,440
Speaker 2: those both teams could say that they should have won

874
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:18,239
Speaker 2: that match. Meanwhile, Arsenal they are coming off a loss

875
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:21,400
Speaker 2: to Man United, that one hurt a little bit and

876
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:24,840
Speaker 2: they are away to Zurich on Thursday. We're recording this

877
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:27,760
Speaker 2: on Wednesday night. It's ever did or nothing, I think,

878
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:29,919
Speaker 2: and I'm going to make a case for them here.

879
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:31,840
Speaker 2: The numbers aren't going to catch up to them, but

880
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:35,360
Speaker 2: they're better than they were three weeks ago. The addition

881
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 2: of Amadu Anana and now Adrisa Ghana Gay in the

882
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,720
Speaker 2: middle just completely revamps their defense. It allows alix A Wobe,

883
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 2: who's maybe if there was a comeback player of the

884
00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:45,799
Speaker 2: Year in the Premier League, he probably would have won

885
00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:47,759
Speaker 2: it last year and if he would probably win it again,

886
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:49,359
Speaker 2: he might just be the MVP this year because he's

887
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 2: been outstanding for them in the middle of the park,

888
00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:54,320
Speaker 2: just having a focal point of the attack with Neil Mopi.

889
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 2: Even though he did what Neil Mopi does and shown

890
00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 2: from right outside the six yard box right at the keeper.

891
00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 1: On that shot.

892
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 2: Beautiful. I mean, that's what you have him for. Everyone

893
00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:09,359
Speaker 2: was like like, why did you sign if you can't finish?

894
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 2: You signed him because you like that kind of pain.

895
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 2: Anthony Gordon was great. I mean, Nathan Patterson's been really

896
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:17,520
Speaker 2: good for them. They're just getting better and the numbers

897
00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 2: will eventually start to catch up. But right now they

898
00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:23,080
Speaker 2: are and they have a tough little spot in their

899
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 2: schedule here. They just played Liverpool and they'll playing Arsenal

900
00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 2: and they got another tough one on the other side.

901
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:30,280
Speaker 2: They're gonna win for you at a big number eventually,

902
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,640
Speaker 2: and I think this could be the case. So give

903
00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:35,360
Speaker 2: me the Toffees plus seven fifty. I'm not biased, I

904
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 2: promise BJ.

905
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:37,759
Speaker 3: What about you, No, I mean I agree with you.

906
00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:40,000
Speaker 3: I mean Arsenal is overvalued here. I mean I have

907
00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:42,799
Speaker 3: them at I have Everton at plus six seventy, so

908
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:45,319
Speaker 3: bet three sixty five it's plus seven to fifty. So

909
00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:48,000
Speaker 3: I wouldn't fault to anybody for taking Everton in this match.

910
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:51,600
Speaker 3: I mean, Arsenal didn't deserve to lose to United. Probably

911
00:40:51,640 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 3: should have been a one one draw in my opinion,

912
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 3: my unbiased opinion. When we get to United, I have

913
00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 3: a whole page of notes of things that the referee

914
00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:01,800
Speaker 3: missed in the match. But I mean Arsenal looked I

915
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,400
Speaker 3: mean once the United went up, Arsenal just completely controlled

916
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,240
Speaker 3: that match from start to finish. I mean, yes, United

917
00:41:07,600 --> 00:41:09,799
Speaker 3: had a couple of counter attacking opportunities they converted on,

918
00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 3: but Arsenal was definitely more threatening. They held sixty six

919
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:15,759
Speaker 3: percent possession like they were the better team, and I

920
00:41:15,800 --> 00:41:18,600
Speaker 3: know they didn't win on XG, but every other statistical

921
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:22,479
Speaker 3: category they completely dominated United. So this is funny because

922
00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:25,680
Speaker 3: this was the match that ended the Premier League season

923
00:41:25,719 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 3: last year. I'm pretty sure I took the under after

924
00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:31,920
Speaker 3: Everton had already survived their relegation scare and Arsenal just

925
00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:34,320
Speaker 3: paced them five to one, like and Everton looked like

926
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:36,160
Speaker 3: they just didn't care about it, which I mean, you know,

927
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:38,320
Speaker 3: a huge relief from not getting relegated, Like, yeah, you

928
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:40,960
Speaker 3: can expect that. So I can't really take anything away

929
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 3: from that match. The one before that that was a

930
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:45,520
Speaker 3: goodest in part that Everton won two one and really

931
00:41:45,520 --> 00:41:48,400
Speaker 3: deserved to win over Arsenal. That was like right around

932
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:50,960
Speaker 3: the time. That was the low point for Arsenal, and

933
00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 3: then I believe it was the next match against Southampton

934
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 3: when they turned things around and they got this thing

935
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 3: going in the right direction. So not really much I

936
00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 3: could take away from either of the two matches that

937
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,400
Speaker 3: Arsenal's played against. But I mean, they're just overvalued in

938
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 3: the market. Like I mean, there's no way I'm laying

939
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,240
Speaker 3: Arsenal minus one and a half in this type of match,

940
00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 3: I might look to play an under because Arsenal's defense

941
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:13,840
Speaker 3: has been incredibly impressive. You know, even if you eliminate

942
00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:17,240
Speaker 3: the match to United match, they've played essentially four teams

943
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:19,760
Speaker 3: of you know, around Everton's.

944
00:42:19,360 --> 00:42:23,760
Speaker 1: Quality, and they have allowed very few expected goals.

945
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,400
Speaker 3: So I'm not worried about Arsenal. I think they'll be fine.

946
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:30,359
Speaker 3: Hopefully they just they win this match comfortably. But yeah,

947
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 3: they are overvalued, So if I had to play anything,

948
00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:33,440
Speaker 3: I'd probably play everything.

949
00:42:33,440 --> 00:42:35,759
Speaker 2: Just keep your eye on in the middle of the.

950
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:37,600
Speaker 1: If everything gets to plus two, I might have to

951
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:39,760
Speaker 1: play them. I'll say that you're gonna.

952
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,520
Speaker 4: Get They're not going to get there, but I would

953
00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:45,280
Speaker 4: jump into Everton's defense is kind of riding a Pickford

954
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:47,919
Speaker 4: wave more so than anything's out by the way right,

955
00:42:48,200 --> 00:42:50,520
Speaker 4: and so that's the concern. But they that's the thing

956
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 4: for me.

957
00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:54,360
Speaker 1: How many matches he played over the last two.

958
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 2: He pitched a clean sheet against Fleetwood Town a couple

959
00:42:57,520 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 2: of months ago.

960
00:42:58,160 --> 00:43:01,360
Speaker 4: Man, in that case, I change my handicap. I have

961
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 4: to take back now. I mean, look, I think this

962
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:07,000
Speaker 4: is agreed to all the points. I think Everyton's a

963
00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 4: little bit undervalued. But this means I'm gonna run the

964
00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:11,360
Speaker 4: window to bet them because you look at the regression

965
00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:13,560
Speaker 4: metrics and it suggests that the defense has run really,

966
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:17,200
Speaker 4: really well. And are we having a different conversation If

967
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 4: you know, Brentford takes a chance or two, they may

968
00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:23,120
Speaker 4: have been able to if Leeds had completed the comeback,

969
00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:25,960
Speaker 4: which x she suggests they could have. If you know

970
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,759
Speaker 4: in Liverpool the game was pretty even for me, so

971
00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:31,799
Speaker 4: maybe not, you know, playing Liverpool even right now, you

972
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:33,279
Speaker 4: know that would have looked great before the season, it

973
00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 4: looks less impressive now. So I'm not to belittle what's

974
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:37,560
Speaker 4: been a decent run for Lampard, but I think a

975
00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:40,120
Speaker 4: lot of it is driven off variance and defensive fortune,

976
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 4: and I think I'm a little concerned that that may

977
00:43:43,160 --> 00:43:45,480
Speaker 4: run out here against a pretty good attacking team. I

978
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:48,400
Speaker 4: agree Arsenal looks great in possession against Man United, and

979
00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:51,120
Speaker 4: they're going to be in possession a lot in this match,

980
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:54,799
Speaker 4: so I think that favors, you know, an Arsenal team

981
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:57,080
Speaker 4: that won't be pressured in the midfield as much. So

982
00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:00,480
Speaker 4: I do lean toward the Toffees generally, but not betting

983
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 4: this match either. It's not a great slate this weekend.

984
00:44:02,560 --> 00:44:04,839
Speaker 4: It feels like I'm passing a lot and there will

985
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 4: be slates where we're just like we don't have a ton,

986
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:07,920
Speaker 4: and this is one of them for me.

987
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:10,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, parties still out for Arsenal too, that also obviously

988
00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 1: doesn't help them.

989
00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:13,600
Speaker 2: Maybe we'll find you a bet in this one. Anthony

990
00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:16,160
Speaker 2: west Ham plus one forty five Newcastle plus one eighty

991
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:19,520
Speaker 2: the draw plus two fifty. Newcastle has been going through

992
00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:23,960
Speaker 2: their injury issues several key players. West Ham is struggling

993
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:26,319
Speaker 2: to create They're looking more like the David Moyes everyone

994
00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:29,000
Speaker 2: sumes rather than the one that showed up at west

995
00:44:29,040 --> 00:44:31,120
Speaker 2: Ham the past two seasons and a second stint. They're

996
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 2: struggling to create chances, playing decent defensive stuff though two

997
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 2: point one expectacles against total to Villis Burs and Chelsea,

998
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:41,800
Speaker 2: and a little unlucky, a lot unlucky actually, not to

999
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:43,720
Speaker 2: get a draw out of that Chelsea match, and because

1000
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 2: they got some bad far going their way. Last weekend,

1001
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:49,799
Speaker 2: by the way, was just a shambles for bar But

1002
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:52,200
Speaker 2: we'll just stick to the betting here. I think this

1003
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,120
Speaker 2: one sets up all right for bet on the draw

1004
00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:57,279
Speaker 2: plus two fifty at bet three six five, so that's

1005
00:44:57,320 --> 00:44:59,000
Speaker 2: probably where I'm going to go. I'll see how this

1006
00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:02,719
Speaker 2: Newcastle line of shakes before again involved though, Anthony, what

1007
00:45:02,840 --> 00:45:05,000
Speaker 2: do you have here? Magpies and Hammers?

1008
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:07,439
Speaker 4: Yeah, lean towards the Magpies for me. I just think

1009
00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 4: that look, the market love for new We've we've struggled

1010
00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:13,680
Speaker 4: to know what to do with this Newcastle team for

1011
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:15,920
Speaker 4: the last few years, but the underlying numbers are becoming

1012
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:18,600
Speaker 4: more and more clear that they're quite good. And I

1013
00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:21,400
Speaker 4: think we are at risk of ignoring that if we

1014
00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:23,600
Speaker 4: continue to say, well, they've only done this in this

1015
00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:27,120
Speaker 4: under Eddie Howe since January.

1016
00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:27,359
Speaker 2: Right.

1017
00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:29,920
Speaker 4: We used that because we felt like in January there

1018
00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:32,120
Speaker 4: was a problem in February and March. But it seems

1019
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:34,520
Speaker 4: to me that as they continue to add more players

1020
00:45:34,520 --> 00:45:37,319
Speaker 4: and Essak is another great ball carrier, ball progressor that

1021
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 4: they continue to get better. And look, they were very

1022
00:45:39,040 --> 00:45:41,920
Speaker 4: impressive and probably should have won against Pallace. As much

1023
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:44,080
Speaker 4: as west Ham got screwed, Newcastle kind of got screwed too.

1024
00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 4: We were all lucky to cash, or at least I agree.

1025
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:51,000
Speaker 4: I thought that was bad, although west Ham was bad too.

1026
00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:53,880
Speaker 4: It was all bad. But I think Newcastle had a

1027
00:45:53,920 --> 00:45:56,959
Speaker 4: very impressive performance, a better finishing day, and they would

1028
00:45:56,960 --> 00:46:01,839
Speaker 4: have won much comfortably west Ham. For as much as

1029
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:06,319
Speaker 4: they've played better lately, let's consider that they had a

1030
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:08,960
Speaker 4: home draw with Spurs, which was fine. They had a

1031
00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:11,520
Speaker 4: pretty fortunate win. Like their attack is still not creating

1032
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:14,759
Speaker 4: enough for me. Given what we've seen now with the

1033
00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 4: flaws in Chelsea, I think that performance becomes a little

1034
00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 4: bit less and more about Chelsea than west Ham. So

1035
00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:23,600
Speaker 4: I think Newcastle can probably do similar to what Chelsea did,

1036
00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:25,440
Speaker 4: which is just control the ball, control the ball, control

1037
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 4: the ball, win the midfield exchanges, and then this is

1038
00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 4: kind of their game to lose. I think, I think

1039
00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:32,920
Speaker 4: they're the better team, but the numbers are outright for me,

1040
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 4: so I'm passing.

1041
00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 2: It's time to party. Crystal Palace plus two fifty at

1042
00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:39,279
Speaker 2: home hosting Manchester United plus one ten. The draw here

1043
00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:42,600
Speaker 2: is plus two to fifty this one. If you've been

1044
00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 2: listening to the show, you know exactly how this is

1045
00:46:45,120 --> 00:46:46,960
Speaker 2: going to go, and we're gonna take it there. But

1046
00:46:47,000 --> 00:46:48,640
Speaker 2: I will say before we talk about how much we

1047
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 2: left Crystal Palace in the spot. Their defensive numbers are

1048
00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:54,080
Speaker 2: a little concerned. Nineteenth in the league right now in

1049
00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:57,520
Speaker 2: non penalty spectacles against eighteenth and shots for ninety allowed

1050
00:46:57,520 --> 00:47:01,840
Speaker 2: and nineteenth and big chances allowed. But they've played Arsenal,

1051
00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 2: Liverpool City, Villa, Brentford and Newcastle, so three of the

1052
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:08,759
Speaker 2: Big six. We're gonna play a fourth of the Big

1053
00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:13,000
Speaker 2: six on Sunday and plus Newcastle, who by the way,

1054
00:47:13,080 --> 00:47:15,719
Speaker 2: are two hundred to one to win the title and

1055
00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:18,400
Speaker 2: twelve to one to finish inside the top four. So

1056
00:47:18,440 --> 00:47:20,560
Speaker 2: if we really want to change our tamb On Newcastle.

1057
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:22,239
Speaker 4: Maybe not going that far.

1058
00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 2: Maybe we could talk. Maybe we could talk about that

1059
00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 2: in another episode that said the Palace defensive issues yet

1060
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:31,520
Speaker 2: concerning can you trust the Manchester United defense? I don't

1061
00:47:31,520 --> 00:47:35,040
Speaker 2: think so. BJ. I'm actually gonna go to Anthony firstcause

1062
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:36,200
Speaker 2: I know you want to get a lot off your

1063
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:40,239
Speaker 2: chest about United and how they've just completely ruined you

1064
00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:43,640
Speaker 2: this season. So before we get to that, Anthony, maybe

1065
00:47:43,680 --> 00:47:45,040
Speaker 2: you can take a more measured approach.

1066
00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:48,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I think my stance on United has

1067
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:50,880
Speaker 4: not changed all that much over the course of the season.

1068
00:47:51,520 --> 00:47:53,120
Speaker 4: We all faded them the first two weeks. We thought

1069
00:47:53,120 --> 00:47:55,360
Speaker 4: they were great matchups for Brighton and Brentford. But I

1070
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 4: think you would be remiss if you didn't acknowledge the

1071
00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:01,840
Speaker 4: improvements they've made both out of possession and in possession,

1072
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:05,440
Speaker 4: just simply by having their good players play. I mean,

1073
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,680
Speaker 4: Jayden Sancho looks like he's improved, Antony looked, I thought,

1074
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:12,799
Speaker 4: lively in his debut, Marcus Rashford returning to form after

1075
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:14,960
Speaker 4: a terrible year for a good young player. He was

1076
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:16,840
Speaker 4: a great young player who had a bad year and

1077
00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:18,920
Speaker 4: is now seeming to find himself again. They still don't

1078
00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:21,560
Speaker 4: have a striker, which is a problem. But I think

1079
00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:24,080
Speaker 4: they're They're built in a way that makes them very

1080
00:48:24,120 --> 00:48:26,320
Speaker 4: good out of possession, that makes them a very dangerous

1081
00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:28,920
Speaker 4: team in space. That makes them you know, they have

1082
00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:31,200
Speaker 4: Erickson and they have Bruno, who are two of the

1083
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:34,160
Speaker 4: best at picking out passes to find runners in behind

1084
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:37,399
Speaker 4: in the prem I think maybe Debrouna and that might

1085
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:39,640
Speaker 4: be it. I mean who else, like, I don't know,

1086
00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:40,960
Speaker 4: maybe like an Oda guard.

1087
00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:43,879
Speaker 1: He's good at that one in the Premier League.

1088
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:46,960
Speaker 4: So there's not there's not like that many flaws in

1089
00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:49,840
Speaker 4: this United team. There are flaws and they will have problems,

1090
00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:51,359
Speaker 4: and this is a match where I think they may.

1091
00:48:51,920 --> 00:48:54,120
Speaker 4: But I think as a whole on United, I think

1092
00:48:54,160 --> 00:48:57,279
Speaker 4: the market has shown that they were too high on

1093
00:48:57,320 --> 00:48:59,480
Speaker 4: them early. I think Michael found the right time to

1094
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:01,800
Speaker 4: buy low, and I think there's a legitimate improvements there

1095
00:49:01,880 --> 00:49:04,960
Speaker 4: with ten hog and how well they played out of possession.

1096
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:08,719
Speaker 4: So maybe this is not a great spot in terms

1097
00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:11,120
Speaker 4: of uh, you know, I want to buy Palace. But

1098
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:14,320
Speaker 4: I think that from a situational matchup point of view,

1099
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:16,200
Speaker 4: United will be forced to have the ball on the

1100
00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:18,560
Speaker 4: road in a hostile environment. Break down a low block

1101
00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:21,040
Speaker 4: against a Palace team who have just seen all the

1102
00:49:21,080 --> 00:49:23,440
Speaker 4: great offenses and attacks in this league and all the

1103
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:26,560
Speaker 4: great strikers and all the great teams. And United really

1104
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:28,279
Speaker 4: needs to prove to me that they can break down

1105
00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:30,879
Speaker 4: this kind of team in this matchup before I really

1106
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:33,279
Speaker 4: buy in. And therefore I'm going to take Palace plus

1107
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:36,120
Speaker 4: a quarter plus a half like them on the spread

1108
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:38,200
Speaker 4: here and yeah it's our weekly Palace bet. They know

1109
00:49:38,239 --> 00:49:40,239
Speaker 4: look great defensively, but this is at home and we

1110
00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:42,840
Speaker 4: know their home road splits. At this point. That being said,

1111
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:45,160
Speaker 4: I have to look at the United schedule. I think

1112
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:47,680
Speaker 4: there's gonna be some buyspots. Maybe we'll see. Yeah, I

1113
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:50,960
Speaker 4: think your point there about Also also rest Differential got

1114
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:55,560
Speaker 4: to mention that yep, Thursday associate DoD for United Palace

1115
00:49:55,640 --> 00:49:56,879
Speaker 4: week off big difference.

1116
00:49:56,560 --> 00:49:59,120
Speaker 1: At this point, especially everybody, especially.

1117
00:49:58,760 --> 00:50:02,399
Speaker 4: Because United has some depth issues right like there drop

1118
00:50:02,440 --> 00:50:06,560
Speaker 4: off to their good they're somewhat reserved players is big

1119
00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:09,120
Speaker 4: and I think that's a concern for them potentially long term.

1120
00:50:09,160 --> 00:50:12,600
Speaker 4: But in this match coming off Soci Dodd, if they

1121
00:50:12,640 --> 00:50:14,240
Speaker 4: win at Thursday, I mean it is a big letdown,

1122
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:16,200
Speaker 4: huge week for ten to dog beat Arsenal beat Socia

1123
00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 4: Dodd one five in a row. Tough road trip to Palace,

1124
00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:21,719
Speaker 4: perfect spot to sell a little bit, but BJ will

1125
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:24,520
Speaker 4: tell you they stink. They do not. They are top five,

1126
00:50:25,040 --> 00:50:26,800
Speaker 4: maybe sixteen easily.

1127
00:50:26,920 --> 00:50:29,280
Speaker 2: Real quick, BJ, I just want to say that, Anthony,

1128
00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:32,400
Speaker 2: you made a good point about the stylistic matchup here.

1129
00:50:32,719 --> 00:50:35,560
Speaker 2: I think that's the biggest problem for United in a

1130
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:38,760
Speaker 2: matchup with Palace. Ted hogg Is kind of his credit

1131
00:50:39,120 --> 00:50:41,160
Speaker 2: changed his tune like he's not gonna be stubborn and

1132
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 2: plan as plan A, and if plan A doesn't work,

1133
00:50:43,600 --> 00:50:46,319
Speaker 2: we're gonna stick with plan A. They've played a more

1134
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:50,440
Speaker 2: you know, Antonio Conte style over their past four wins.

1135
00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:52,799
Speaker 2: Give up the ball and we don't care if you

1136
00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:55,600
Speaker 2: have it sixty to forty, we'll hit you on the counter.

1137
00:50:55,840 --> 00:50:57,239
Speaker 2: That's not gonna happen here. I think it's a little

1138
00:50:57,280 --> 00:51:01,600
Speaker 2: more complicated here at Sellers Park, where our Eagles will

1139
00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:04,480
Speaker 2: fly on the money line. All right, BJ, Anthony and

1140
00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:06,640
Speaker 2: I will go get a cup of copy and we'll

1141
00:51:06,719 --> 00:51:08,360
Speaker 2: leave you and the listeners.

1142
00:51:07,880 --> 00:51:09,240
Speaker 1: A little okay.

1143
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:12,040
Speaker 3: So there were a couple of miss referee decisions on Sunday.

1144
00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:14,520
Speaker 3: Lesandra Martinez, she got a yellow card in the second minute.

1145
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:16,440
Speaker 3: Mctonmany should get a yellow and eighth minute for an

1146
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:18,799
Speaker 3: intentional shove. He she got a red for the wwe

1147
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:22,080
Speaker 3: move the matchup. There got taken He got taken out

1148
00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:23,960
Speaker 3: after a shot in the fifty second minute. That should

1149
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:26,000
Speaker 3: have been a penalty as well. But and I'll even

1150
00:51:26,040 --> 00:51:28,720
Speaker 3: admit that the bar decision was correct. How about that, Anthony.

1151
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:31,760
Speaker 1: But okay, here's my point about United.

1152
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:35,600
Speaker 3: I'm calling this match VIA's last stand, Michael, because uh,

1153
00:51:36,480 --> 00:51:39,720
Speaker 3: like I don't really I'm starting to kind of teeter

1154
00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:42,719
Speaker 3: on Crystal Palace, especially after the performance against Newcastle, Like

1155
00:51:42,760 --> 00:51:43,319
Speaker 3: that was bad.

1156
00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:44,719
Speaker 4: Like that was a schedule man.

1157
00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:46,600
Speaker 3: There's there's no other way to say it is that

1158
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:48,719
Speaker 3: was bad. Like they were not good at all. They

1159
00:51:48,719 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 3: should have they should have lost, and the schedule has

1160
00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:55,160
Speaker 3: been bad. Like I agreed. But United in their four

1161
00:51:55,200 --> 00:52:00,920
Speaker 3: wins have scored eight goals off of five point six expected.

1162
00:52:01,120 --> 00:52:04,839
Speaker 3: They've allowed two goals off of five expected, So four

1163
00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 3: wins are the plus point six expected goal differential. Now,

1164
00:52:08,080 --> 00:52:10,720
Speaker 3: my stance on United is that the market keeps pricing

1165
00:52:10,760 --> 00:52:12,200
Speaker 3: them like they're the third or fourth best team in

1166
00:52:12,239 --> 00:52:14,319
Speaker 3: the Premier League, which is just not true. I I

1167
00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:17,800
Speaker 3: It's just it's flat out not true. In the four wins,

1168
00:52:17,960 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 3: they've been out shot forty three to sixty one. Their

1169
00:52:20,640 --> 00:52:23,759
Speaker 3: opponents have held fifty eight percent possession. They've been out

1170
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:26,680
Speaker 3: touched in the penalty area at penalty area seventy three

1171
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:30,480
Speaker 3: to one hundred and sixty one. Box entries has been

1172
00:52:30,520 --> 00:52:35,160
Speaker 3: forty two to seventy three. Progressive passes plus dribbles two

1173
00:52:35,239 --> 00:52:37,799
Speaker 3: hundred and eighteen to three hundred and forty seven. Like,

1174
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:40,160
Speaker 3: I get it, Like they've been playing with the lead

1175
00:52:40,200 --> 00:52:43,520
Speaker 3: and they've been playing defensive, but those numbers suggest that

1176
00:52:43,760 --> 00:52:46,120
Speaker 3: something's about to fall off a cliff, Like you can't

1177
00:52:46,120 --> 00:52:47,759
Speaker 3: just keep giving up those type of numbers with the

1178
00:52:47,840 --> 00:52:50,799
Speaker 3: lead and just expect that everything's going to be fine. Like,

1179
00:52:51,440 --> 00:52:53,800
Speaker 3: I'll admit that for the first fifteen minutes against Arsenal,

1180
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:56,080
Speaker 3: they were the better side. They were controlling possession, they

1181
00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:59,040
Speaker 3: were looking really lively in attack, they were creating chances.

1182
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:02,200
Speaker 3: And then once Arsenal settle into the match, they started

1183
00:53:02,200 --> 00:53:04,880
Speaker 3: to control possession and they really started to control the

1184
00:53:04,920 --> 00:53:07,040
Speaker 3: match from that point on. So, you know, he had

1185
00:53:07,040 --> 00:53:08,920
Speaker 3: a couple he had a defensive mistake on the first one,

1186
00:53:09,040 --> 00:53:10,359
Speaker 3: and Anthony took advantage of that.

1187
00:53:10,360 --> 00:53:11,200
Speaker 1: So credit to him.

1188
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:12,719
Speaker 3: You know, they caught him in a high line and

1189
00:53:12,920 --> 00:53:16,040
Speaker 3: Rational scored the second goal. But I mean Arsenal just

1190
00:53:16,040 --> 00:53:17,040
Speaker 3: completely dominated them.

1191
00:53:17,040 --> 00:53:17,600
Speaker 1: They had over one.

1192
00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 3: Hundred progressive passes and dribbles in that match. I mean

1193
00:53:20,520 --> 00:53:23,799
Speaker 3: that's I mean, that's that's that's incredibly impressive. Me. That's

1194
00:53:23,840 --> 00:53:26,760
Speaker 3: what City basically averages every match. But still against United,

1195
00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:30,040
Speaker 3: that's not good. Now as far as Crystal Palace is concerned,

1196
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:34,480
Speaker 3: it's it's tough because they have not been good defensively

1197
00:53:34,520 --> 00:53:36,560
Speaker 3: and it has been a bad schedule. But I totally

1198
00:53:36,600 --> 00:53:39,080
Speaker 3: agree with you, Anthony, and I had this written down,

1199
00:53:39,200 --> 00:53:41,680
Speaker 3: that is, can United break down a little block? Like

1200
00:53:41,760 --> 00:53:45,600
Speaker 3: can they can they do what what's what City did? Like?

1201
00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:48,839
Speaker 3: Can if Crystal Palace goes ahead, can they do can

1202
00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:51,360
Speaker 3: they be like City and completely control the match and

1203
00:53:51,600 --> 00:53:54,960
Speaker 3: score and come and erase that type of deficit? I

1204
00:53:55,200 --> 00:53:57,160
Speaker 3: don't think so at this or we haven't seen it

1205
00:53:57,200 --> 00:53:58,960
Speaker 3: at least at this at this juncture.

1206
00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:00,560
Speaker 1: Now I will United.

1207
00:54:00,600 --> 00:54:02,680
Speaker 3: They are plus one point two expect a gold defferential

1208
00:54:02,719 --> 00:54:05,879
Speaker 3: per ninety minutes from a zero zero game state only

1209
00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,319
Speaker 3: really only about one hundred and eighty minutes for that's

1210
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:10,920
Speaker 3: not really a large sample size, but from a zero

1211
00:54:11,040 --> 00:54:12,759
Speaker 3: zero game state, they have been pretty good.

1212
00:54:13,120 --> 00:54:14,080
Speaker 1: But when they're playing with the.

1213
00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:18,400
Speaker 3: Lead, it's something that's that's teetering on the point of collapsing.

1214
00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 3: So I don't think United's going to keep up this run.

1215
00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:22,959
Speaker 3: I don't think they're gonna finish in the top four.

1216
00:54:23,440 --> 00:54:26,279
Speaker 3: There's still a lot of there's still a lot of

1217
00:54:26,360 --> 00:54:28,640
Speaker 3: problems that still need to be sorted out. But the

1218
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:31,000
Speaker 3: market just keeps pricing them like they're the third or

1219
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:32,839
Speaker 3: fourth best team in the Premier League, which is just

1220
00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 3: not the case. So I'm taking Crystal Palace. I actually

1221
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,160
Speaker 3: don't have that big of an edge on it. I

1222
00:54:38,160 --> 00:54:40,520
Speaker 3: mean United, you know, plus one fifteen on the road.

1223
00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:44,520
Speaker 3: I have this match projected pretty close to a pick them,

1224
00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:46,399
Speaker 3: you know, five thirty eight only as United at forty

1225
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 3: one percent. For everybody thinks I'm really biased out there,

1226
00:54:48,719 --> 00:54:51,839
Speaker 3: Like another projection another projection model agrees with me. Like

1227
00:54:52,160 --> 00:54:54,200
Speaker 3: for me, like there's just really not a lot to

1228
00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:57,040
Speaker 3: get like excited about for this United team, Like, yes,

1229
00:54:57,080 --> 00:54:59,759
Speaker 3: they win four matches, but they're not impressive, like they

1230
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,160
Speaker 3: like they don't do what Arsenal did for the first

1231
00:55:02,200 --> 00:55:03,960
Speaker 3: four matches of the season. You know what I mean,

1232
00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:06,480
Speaker 3: It's not like it's a man, I'm so excited.

1233
00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:08,239
Speaker 1: I'm running the window to bet United. They're on this

1234
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:09,360
Speaker 1: crazy streak that's awesome.

1235
00:55:09,440 --> 00:55:12,520
Speaker 3: Like, no, this is something that you know regression is

1236
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:14,720
Speaker 3: going to come for United, and I agree with Anthony

1237
00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:16,719
Speaker 3: that this you won't find a better spot to do it.

1238
00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:19,800
Speaker 2: Monday Night Football leads minus one thirty eight noting of

1239
00:55:19,880 --> 00:55:22,520
Speaker 2: Forest plus three fifty the draws plus two to eighty.

1240
00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:25,920
Speaker 2: I mean, this game just has chaos written all over it. Forrest.

1241
00:55:26,360 --> 00:55:27,680
Speaker 1: This is a great Monday after it is.

1242
00:55:28,120 --> 00:55:30,359
Speaker 2: It feels like it's just gonna be almost like six

1243
00:55:30,480 --> 00:55:32,600
Speaker 2: year olds playing soccer, like that kind of side where

1244
00:55:32,600 --> 00:55:34,320
Speaker 2: they just chase the ball around over and over, you know,

1245
00:55:34,360 --> 00:55:37,040
Speaker 2: and there's like no organization to it. Jesse Marsh got

1246
00:55:37,040 --> 00:55:39,640
Speaker 2: his red card. We kind of called that coming. He's

1247
00:55:39,719 --> 00:55:42,520
Speaker 2: kind of just been thrown tantrums on the sidelines. He

1248
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:45,480
Speaker 2: always is looking at it like a baseball manager who

1249
00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:47,120
Speaker 2: wants to get thrown out of the game to get

1250
00:55:47,200 --> 00:55:48,880
Speaker 2: some respect in the locker room or whatever. That's how

1251
00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:52,239
Speaker 2: I viewed it. Forrest's defensive record has been terrible, worse

1252
00:55:52,239 --> 00:55:54,719
Speaker 2: than the Premier League basically across the board. For it

1253
00:55:54,800 --> 00:55:58,160
Speaker 2: goes four to fourteen against five and a half expect

1254
00:55:58,160 --> 00:56:01,080
Speaker 2: it goes for thirteen point three against the Leads. Numbers

1255
00:56:01,080 --> 00:56:04,040
Speaker 2: is obviously much better, but I just don't think Leeds

1256
00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:07,160
Speaker 2: United should be minus one forty against any team yet

1257
00:56:07,520 --> 00:56:10,400
Speaker 2: in the Premier League. So I will be forced or nothing.

1258
00:56:10,760 --> 00:56:13,520
Speaker 2: We'll see how things shake out as we get closer

1259
00:56:13,560 --> 00:56:16,880
Speaker 2: to the game on Monday bj Real Quick Monday Night Football.

1260
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:19,840
Speaker 1: I love over three goals at plus one thirty.

1261
00:56:19,880 --> 00:56:22,319
Speaker 3: I mean Leeds has been good offensively, like they're over

1262
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:24,479
Speaker 3: one and a half non penalty expected goals per match,

1263
00:56:24,560 --> 00:56:27,640
Speaker 3: Like they're taking over thirteen shots per ninety, they have

1264
00:56:27,680 --> 00:56:29,120
Speaker 3: ten big scoring chances like that.

1265
00:56:29,239 --> 00:56:31,840
Speaker 1: They've been a good offense. They haven't played that difficult

1266
00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:32,440
Speaker 1: to schedule.

1267
00:56:32,520 --> 00:56:35,359
Speaker 3: But I mean they're playing the Nottingham Forest defense, which

1268
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:37,280
Speaker 3: is like you already mentioned, it is just complete mess.

1269
00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:40,280
Speaker 3: I mean, not only out of over thirteen expected goals,

1270
00:56:40,320 --> 00:56:44,560
Speaker 3: I mean seventeen shots per ninety, nineteen box entries per

1271
00:56:44,600 --> 00:56:47,040
Speaker 3: match like this is really really bad. And they're the

1272
00:56:47,080 --> 00:56:48,799
Speaker 3: worst pressing team in the Premier League, which is good

1273
00:56:48,840 --> 00:56:52,000
Speaker 3: nudes for Leeds because they're not very good playing through pressure. Now,

1274
00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:55,960
Speaker 3: while Leeds is good offensively, like they're defensive numbers. Like

1275
00:56:56,000 --> 00:56:57,879
Speaker 3: I already mentioned, they haven't really played a murders Row.

1276
00:56:58,160 --> 00:57:02,800
Speaker 3: Eight point three expected goals in six match is against Wolf, Southampton, Chelsea, Brentford,

1277
00:57:02,800 --> 00:57:06,400
Speaker 3: Everton and Brighton is not that great. And you know

1278
00:57:06,920 --> 00:57:10,000
Speaker 3: Nottingam Forrest hasn't been good offensively. But what I will

1279
00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:12,480
Speaker 3: say about Nottingham Forest is once they go behind, it

1280
00:57:12,640 --> 00:57:15,239
Speaker 3: just becomes complete chaos. When they're playing from behind. This

1281
00:57:15,320 --> 00:57:18,240
Speaker 3: season they're allowing around two and a half expected goals

1282
00:57:18,240 --> 00:57:20,920
Speaker 3: per ninety minutes. So to your point about this becoming chaos,

1283
00:57:20,960 --> 00:57:23,160
Speaker 3: I think it will become chaos if Leads go goes ahead,

1284
00:57:23,160 --> 00:57:25,840
Speaker 3: which they are favored to do so I have right

1285
00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:27,720
Speaker 3: on three goals projected, so if you're giving me plus

1286
00:57:27,720 --> 00:57:29,920
Speaker 3: one thirty on over three goals, I'm gonna take it

1287
00:57:29,960 --> 00:57:30,240
Speaker 3: all right.

1288
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:33,600
Speaker 2: That wraps the Premier League section. Now on to Europe.

1289
00:57:33,800 --> 00:57:35,920
Speaker 2: We'll start in the Bundesliga as we usually do. You

1290
00:57:36,000 --> 00:57:38,000
Speaker 2: tubo au on the same game. I believe in this

1291
00:57:38,040 --> 00:57:40,880
Speaker 2: one each side, So give me a quick version of

1292
00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:43,560
Speaker 2: your favorite bet in the Bundesliga. Anthony, your first.

1293
00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:46,040
Speaker 4: Yeah from a Bilow cell high perspective. Freiburg top of

1294
00:57:46,080 --> 00:57:49,240
Speaker 4: the Bundesliga table. Good for them, don't expect that to continue.

1295
00:57:49,400 --> 00:57:51,520
Speaker 4: You look at the underlying numbers dating back to last season.

1296
00:57:51,520 --> 00:57:53,480
Speaker 4: They were a good not great team in the Bundesliga,

1297
00:57:53,520 --> 00:57:56,680
Speaker 4: relying a lot on set piece fortune. Don't expect that

1298
00:57:56,720 --> 00:57:59,680
Speaker 4: to continue either. Thinking back to last season, god Block

1299
00:57:59,760 --> 00:58:03,120
Speaker 4: was a plus one hundred favorite on the road at Freiburg.

1300
00:58:03,320 --> 00:58:06,200
Speaker 4: Now Freiburg is a plus one hundred favorite at home.

1301
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:07,919
Speaker 4: So that just shows you how far the market's fallen

1302
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:10,840
Speaker 4: in this match, and that's why I like to sell

1303
00:58:11,040 --> 00:58:13,320
Speaker 4: Freiberg and buy glodboch Low. I like them plus a

1304
00:58:13,320 --> 00:58:15,560
Speaker 4: half back to Foles once again.

1305
00:58:15,480 --> 00:58:17,000
Speaker 2: BJ You're also on this one.

1306
00:58:17,240 --> 00:58:18,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the over and this one over three

1307
00:58:18,920 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 3: goals around minus one o five. Good set piece edge here.

1308
00:58:22,160 --> 00:58:24,680
Speaker 3: Freiburg best set piece team in the Bundesliga last year

1309
00:58:24,800 --> 00:58:29,120
Speaker 3: nineteen expected goals, Glodbock worst set piece defense, around seventeen allowed.

1310
00:58:29,120 --> 00:58:30,800
Speaker 3: I mean Glodpark is still a really good offense. I

1311
00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:33,280
Speaker 3: mean seven point three expected goals created in non Bayern

1312
00:58:33,360 --> 00:58:37,120
Speaker 3: Munich matches. Five big scoring chances created in those four matches,

1313
00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:41,440
Speaker 3: and you know Glodbock matches average three point three expected

1314
00:58:41,480 --> 00:58:44,560
Speaker 3: goals last season, then early indications are that has not

1315
00:58:44,640 --> 00:58:47,400
Speaker 3: changed one bit. So I like over three goals at

1316
00:58:47,400 --> 00:58:48,120
Speaker 3: minus one five.

1317
00:58:48,400 --> 00:58:50,360
Speaker 2: I'll be continuing to play all the hits Palace. I

1318
00:58:50,400 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 2: got a ten to one ticket against Liverpool and of

1319
00:58:53,240 --> 00:58:56,080
Speaker 2: course minds their plus one ninety gets half in time.

1320
00:58:56,440 --> 00:58:59,320
Speaker 2: They continue to just chug along great defensively, it should

1321
00:58:59,320 --> 00:59:01,360
Speaker 2: be able to handle this Halfenheim attack even on the

1322
00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:03,640
Speaker 2: road on to La Liga. I'll kick it off here.

1323
00:59:04,240 --> 00:59:06,680
Speaker 2: This is probably my favorite bet of the season so far.

1324
00:59:07,040 --> 00:59:11,880
Speaker 2: Cadiz Barcelona both teams to score. Yes, Cadizz iszero and

1325
00:59:11,960 --> 00:59:15,640
Speaker 2: four with Dru loss zero scored on two point two

1326
00:59:15,720 --> 00:59:20,480
Speaker 2: expected ten against Barcelona one goal against the season. So

1327
00:59:20,880 --> 00:59:23,400
Speaker 2: I'm this is how this BET's gonna go. I'm gonna

1328
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:25,240
Speaker 2: bet the both teams to score. Cadiz is gonna win one.

1329
00:59:25,280 --> 00:59:28,440
Speaker 2: Now they'll get their goal, Barcelona won't get theirs. So

1330
00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:31,360
Speaker 2: that's where I'm going in La Liga in Spain, bj

1331
00:59:31,720 --> 00:59:32,320
Speaker 2: what do you got?

1332
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:32,840
Speaker 1: Yeah?

1333
00:59:32,840 --> 00:59:34,480
Speaker 3: I like valid the lead plus half a goal at

1334
00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:37,520
Speaker 3: minus squad fifty at Droona on Friday afternoon. I mean

1335
00:59:37,560 --> 00:59:40,080
Speaker 3: this is this line's indicating that these two teams should

1336
00:59:40,160 --> 00:59:43,560
Speaker 3: be essentially even on a neutral field, which is just

1337
00:59:43,600 --> 00:59:46,320
Speaker 3: not the case because Valads Lead in the second Division

1338
00:59:46,400 --> 00:59:48,960
Speaker 3: last year had a plus point five actually differential per

1339
00:59:49,040 --> 00:59:52,320
Speaker 3: ninety Drona was only a plus point one, so if

1340
00:59:52,320 --> 00:59:54,240
Speaker 3: you factor in home field avtage, this match should actually

1341
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:55,960
Speaker 3: be a pick them. And in the two matches that

1342
00:59:56,000 --> 00:59:58,080
Speaker 3: they faced each other last season in the Second Division,

1343
00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:01,080
Speaker 3: Valids lead out created Darona four point five to two

1344
01:00:01,120 --> 01:00:04,600
Speaker 3: point seven unexpected goals. And you know, Valid Leads had

1345
01:00:04,600 --> 01:00:06,960
Speaker 3: to play a tough schedule played. You know Virial to

1346
01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:09,080
Speaker 3: be a Barcelona, but they just beat Al Mary on Monday,

1347
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:11,800
Speaker 3: got a really deserving one zero win, being able to

1348
01:00:11,840 --> 01:00:14,040
Speaker 3: actually one point three two point six. I think there's

1349
01:00:14,080 --> 01:00:16,160
Speaker 3: tremendous value and Valid the lead here. Some take them

1350
01:00:16,160 --> 01:00:18,120
Speaker 3: plus half a goal at minus one fifty.

1351
01:00:18,000 --> 01:00:19,800
Speaker 2: Anthony, anything for you in Espanya.

1352
01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:24,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I was extremely surprised to see this Virial Real

1353
01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:28,360
Speaker 4: Batiste total at two point five Bettiste. He still has

1354
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:31,400
Speaker 4: a pretty good attack. Their defense continues to be a

1355
01:00:31,400 --> 01:00:33,120
Speaker 4: bit overrated and we have a very and I think

1356
01:00:33,160 --> 01:00:34,800
Speaker 4: a lot of it is because Virio has not conceded

1357
01:00:34,800 --> 01:00:38,480
Speaker 4: this season. Somehow, they've conceded about three expected goals. They've

1358
01:00:38,480 --> 01:00:41,840
Speaker 4: played well, but how long do we really expect that

1359
01:00:41,880 --> 01:00:44,040
Speaker 4: to continue? So I'm selling this this Virial defense a

1360
01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:47,959
Speaker 4: little bit. Betist likes to play open games. Virial, much

1361
01:00:48,440 --> 01:00:51,760
Speaker 4: different than their traditional way of playing, has actually been

1362
01:00:51,800 --> 01:00:56,680
Speaker 4: willing to be open in Spain, more so than they

1363
01:00:56,680 --> 01:00:58,560
Speaker 4: are in the tournament matches where we love to bet them.

1364
01:00:58,840 --> 01:01:01,320
Speaker 4: So they do play a little bit more press and possessed.

1365
01:01:01,320 --> 01:01:04,200
Speaker 4: Both teams will play somewhat high lines in this match,

1366
01:01:04,240 --> 01:01:06,360
Speaker 4: so I think there could be room for some goals.

1367
01:01:06,440 --> 01:01:09,640
Speaker 4: La Liigo overs two and a half surprises at not

1368
01:01:09,720 --> 01:01:10,480
Speaker 4: two in three.

1369
01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:17,080
Speaker 2: Quarters from Laaligo overs Syria unders bj Anthony both becking

1370
01:01:17,480 --> 01:01:18,600
Speaker 2: some snoozers here.

1371
01:01:18,960 --> 01:01:21,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Napoli Spetzia. Both teams have scored no

1372
01:01:22,040 --> 01:01:23,760
Speaker 3: at minus one ten. I mean Napoley they did we

1373
01:01:23,840 --> 01:01:25,800
Speaker 3: You know, we've talked about the defensive pieces they've lost,

1374
01:01:25,800 --> 01:01:27,880
Speaker 3: but they are still looking really good. Only three point

1375
01:01:27,880 --> 01:01:30,560
Speaker 3: two expected goals lowed in their first five matches. They've

1376
01:01:30,560 --> 01:01:33,880
Speaker 3: only allowed a total of thirty seven shots, fifteen inside

1377
01:01:33,880 --> 01:01:35,919
Speaker 3: the penalty, are only one inside and six yard box

1378
01:01:35,960 --> 01:01:38,480
Speaker 3: all that leads siri ad. They're taking on a Specia

1379
01:01:38,560 --> 01:01:41,720
Speaker 3: team that the last season averaged under one expected goal

1380
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:44,480
Speaker 3: per match in the wide open Syria A. So far

1381
01:01:44,520 --> 01:01:46,600
Speaker 3: this season, they've only created three and a half expected

1382
01:01:46,640 --> 01:01:49,560
Speaker 3: goals through five matches. They've only taken twenty two shots

1383
01:01:49,560 --> 01:01:51,680
Speaker 3: from inside the penalty area. That's the lowest mark in

1384
01:01:51,720 --> 01:01:54,200
Speaker 3: Syria A. The reason I'm playing both teams to score no.

1385
01:01:54,480 --> 01:01:56,600
Speaker 3: At Minus one ten and not Specia under half a

1386
01:01:56,640 --> 01:01:59,480
Speaker 3: goal or a Napoli to win nail is because I

1387
01:01:59,480 --> 01:02:02,040
Speaker 3: played the exact same bet in this exact same match

1388
01:02:02,120 --> 01:02:04,959
Speaker 3: last season and Spetsia one won nothing as an eleven

1389
01:02:05,000 --> 01:02:07,160
Speaker 3: to one underdog at Napolis. Some playing both teams to

1390
01:02:07,160 --> 01:02:09,520
Speaker 3: score no at minus one ten and avoiding what happened last.

1391
01:02:09,360 --> 01:02:12,360
Speaker 2: Year, and Anthony, you've got an under for us.

1392
01:02:12,640 --> 01:02:15,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, Lazio Verona, I mean it's like the regression Bowl.

1393
01:02:15,640 --> 01:02:17,800
Speaker 4: You know, Verona had this incredible attack last year that

1394
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:20,960
Speaker 4: overperformed quite a bit. And I bet this in every

1395
01:02:20,960 --> 01:02:22,640
Speaker 4: game last year. I think I pushed one and one

1396
01:02:22,680 --> 01:02:24,600
Speaker 4: the other and I'm going to bet it again here. Look,

1397
01:02:24,640 --> 01:02:27,600
Speaker 4: Latsio created the third few it's expected goals in Syria

1398
01:02:27,720 --> 01:02:30,160
Speaker 4: like it's been really, really bad, and yeah.

1399
01:02:30,280 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 1: Saw that coming.

1400
01:02:31,280 --> 01:02:33,880
Speaker 4: They have seven goals from four but like, seven goals

1401
01:02:33,880 --> 01:02:35,600
Speaker 4: in five matches is not that good either. So even

1402
01:02:35,600 --> 01:02:37,880
Speaker 4: though they are overperforming, they're still not getting the kind

1403
01:02:37,920 --> 01:02:40,120
Speaker 4: of goals you'd expect. I continue to think that's going

1404
01:02:40,160 --> 01:02:42,960
Speaker 4: to be a problem Verona. We saw Simeone Junior scoring

1405
01:02:42,960 --> 01:02:45,000
Speaker 4: today for Napoli. What that means is he no longer

1406
01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:47,640
Speaker 4: plays for Verona. Their attack has struggled as well. They've

1407
01:02:47,680 --> 01:02:50,640
Speaker 4: only scored six and five. So we have two attacks

1408
01:02:50,680 --> 01:02:53,520
Speaker 4: that were prime for regression are in the middle of regressing,

1409
01:02:53,520 --> 01:02:55,680
Speaker 4: and we're still getting a two point seventy five total here.

1410
01:02:55,880 --> 01:02:57,959
Speaker 4: I love the under. I think it should be two under.

1411
01:02:58,000 --> 01:03:00,160
Speaker 4: I actually make it under two and a half. We're

1412
01:03:00,160 --> 01:03:02,320
Speaker 4: getting two point seven five, so you know, we're grinding

1413
01:03:02,320 --> 01:03:04,400
Speaker 4: out small edges here. But that's that's what I like

1414
01:03:04,400 --> 01:03:05,720
Speaker 4: on Siria this weekend.

1415
01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:09,240
Speaker 2: And now we can cue the French, the Parisian Jazz

1416
01:03:09,400 --> 01:03:11,880
Speaker 2: or something here for bj to take us on his

1417
01:03:12,520 --> 01:03:14,680
Speaker 2: journey with his favorite bet in league.

1418
01:03:14,720 --> 01:03:19,120
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, Strasbourg minus one fifty five against Clermont Foot.

1419
01:03:19,200 --> 01:03:21,400
Speaker 1: I mean this Claremont foot team is awful. I mean,

1420
01:03:21,400 --> 01:03:22,720
Speaker 1: they're in eighth place.

1421
01:03:23,080 --> 01:03:25,800
Speaker 3: They've created four point eight expected goals and allowed fourteen

1422
01:03:26,400 --> 01:03:27,200
Speaker 3: point three.

1423
01:03:27,280 --> 01:03:29,760
Speaker 1: Like, this is just a really really bad team. I know.

1424
01:03:29,800 --> 01:03:31,800
Speaker 3: I bet to lose against them last week. That result

1425
01:03:31,840 --> 01:03:34,400
Speaker 3: was just really annoying because until it's just completely dominated

1426
01:03:34,440 --> 01:03:36,520
Speaker 3: the match, held a ton of possession, out touched them

1427
01:03:36,520 --> 01:03:38,320
Speaker 3: in the penalty are thirty one to fourteen. It's just

1428
01:03:38,320 --> 01:03:41,040
Speaker 3: a really bad Claremont Foot team in Strasbourg. Listen, they're

1429
01:03:41,040 --> 01:03:42,680
Speaker 3: in the relegation zone right now. I think I bet

1430
01:03:42,680 --> 01:03:44,680
Speaker 3: them to finish top three. Not looking too great, but hey,

1431
01:03:44,760 --> 01:03:47,280
Speaker 3: there's a long season ahead of us. You know, it's

1432
01:03:47,320 --> 01:03:49,600
Speaker 3: a team that didn't lose anybody from last season. They

1433
01:03:49,600 --> 01:03:51,920
Speaker 3: were a top five offense by expecting goals, created the

1434
01:03:51,920 --> 01:03:54,640
Speaker 3: second most big scoring chances to PSG. So this is

1435
01:03:54,680 --> 01:03:56,880
Speaker 3: still a really good offense that just hasn't gotten going.

1436
01:03:56,960 --> 01:03:59,760
Speaker 3: So like Strasbourg minus one fifty five at home against

1437
01:04:00,160 --> 01:04:01,959
Speaker 3: Mont Footed, the worst team in league.

1438
01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:05,640
Speaker 2: On and now on to our favorite part of the program,

1439
01:04:05,720 --> 01:04:09,480
Speaker 2: our underdog three leg moneyline parlay. Before we get to that,

1440
01:04:09,560 --> 01:04:12,600
Speaker 2: just reminder, Wondergul is presented by bet three six five,

1441
01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:15,680
Speaker 2: the world's favorite sportsbook brand sign up with promo code

1442
01:04:15,680 --> 01:04:18,720
Speaker 2: Action to get bet three six fives exclusive sign up

1443
01:04:18,720 --> 01:04:21,080
Speaker 2: offer in New Jersey and Colorado. Bet one dollar on

1444
01:04:21,160 --> 01:04:24,320
Speaker 2: any game, get two hundred free. When you shared the

1445
01:04:24,360 --> 01:04:27,120
Speaker 2: doc and I saw the underdogs that were going into

1446
01:04:27,120 --> 01:04:30,440
Speaker 2: the parlay this week, I gotta say, I know this

1447
01:04:30,560 --> 01:04:31,040
Speaker 2: is the week.

1448
01:04:31,160 --> 01:04:31,840
Speaker 1: I just felt it.

1449
01:04:31,920 --> 01:04:33,400
Speaker 2: As soon as I saw the three teams that are

1450
01:04:33,400 --> 01:04:35,640
Speaker 2: in there, I knew it. I could just feel it.

1451
01:04:36,240 --> 01:04:37,800
Speaker 2: BJ what's your favorite pooch?

1452
01:04:38,120 --> 01:04:41,120
Speaker 3: Wolfsburg plus two to eighty against Frankfurt. I'm just gonna

1453
01:04:41,160 --> 01:04:43,760
Speaker 3: keep fading Frankfurt. I really don't believe they're that good

1454
01:04:43,800 --> 01:04:46,680
Speaker 3: of a team. Wolfsburg hasn't been have not been good.

1455
01:04:47,120 --> 01:04:49,320
Speaker 3: They just you know, have allowed five over five expected

1456
01:04:49,360 --> 01:04:53,040
Speaker 3: goals to Cologne and RB Leipsig last few matches. But

1457
01:04:53,480 --> 01:04:55,280
Speaker 3: you know, if you look at transfer mark dot com,

1458
01:04:55,320 --> 01:04:57,480
Speaker 3: I mean talent level, these two teams are are pretty

1459
01:04:57,520 --> 01:04:59,920
Speaker 3: much even and last season the Bundesliga is that that

1460
01:05:00,000 --> 01:05:02,360
Speaker 3: It's the case as well. So I'm getting plus two

1461
01:05:02,400 --> 01:05:05,120
Speaker 3: eighty on the road for Wolfsburg. I like this as

1462
01:05:05,160 --> 01:05:08,960
Speaker 3: a nice by low spot for them. So Wolfsburg plus two.

1463
01:05:08,800 --> 01:05:11,560
Speaker 2: Eighty for me for me going with Anthony Spurs plus

1464
01:05:11,640 --> 01:05:15,160
Speaker 2: six fifty against Man City. This is perhaps the second

1465
01:05:15,240 --> 01:05:17,480
Speaker 2: or third best team in the APL right this second.

1466
01:05:17,800 --> 01:05:20,840
Speaker 2: They play style that gives City fits, and they have

1467
01:05:20,920 --> 01:05:23,720
Speaker 2: the attacking talent to take whatever chances that they do create,

1468
01:05:23,920 --> 01:05:26,280
Speaker 2: even if City has seventy percent possession. That's kind of

1469
01:05:26,280 --> 01:05:29,280
Speaker 2: what Tottenham wants. Simply put, you're getting six and a

1470
01:05:29,320 --> 01:05:33,040
Speaker 2: half to one to bet the second or maybe third

1471
01:05:33,040 --> 01:05:35,600
Speaker 2: best team in the Premier League right now. So I

1472
01:05:36,120 --> 01:05:38,440
Speaker 2: will take a shot on Spurs at plus six fifty

1473
01:05:38,880 --> 01:05:39,560
Speaker 2: back the Bach.

1474
01:05:39,880 --> 01:05:41,800
Speaker 4: We almost hit eleven to one against Bayern a couple

1475
01:05:41,880 --> 01:05:43,680
Speaker 4: weeks ago. Now we're going to try to hit a

1476
01:05:43,680 --> 01:05:46,240
Speaker 4: plus two to forty against Freiburg. I know Bday talked

1477
01:05:46,240 --> 01:05:50,080
Speaker 4: about the set piece issues, that's definitely a concern. This

1478
01:05:50,160 --> 01:05:52,320
Speaker 4: is just a classic cell high. Freiburg, after a great

1479
01:05:52,360 --> 01:05:54,280
Speaker 4: start of the season, did the same thing. Last year.

1480
01:05:54,320 --> 01:05:57,520
Speaker 4: Wolfsburg won their first four matches, they played Glodbach and lost.

1481
01:05:57,560 --> 01:05:59,560
Speaker 4: I'm hoping to catch that same lightning and bottle once

1482
01:05:59,560 --> 01:06:01,320
Speaker 4: again with the.

1483
01:06:01,280 --> 01:06:07,080
Speaker 2: Foals Claude back Fulfsburg Tottenham Hotspur money line parlay ninety

1484
01:06:07,080 --> 01:06:08,760
Speaker 2: six to one. If you put the three of them

1485
01:06:08,760 --> 01:06:12,040
Speaker 2: together that's coming through you can you can guarantee it.

1486
01:06:12,360 --> 01:06:13,880
Speaker 2: Now we go on to our best bets in the

1487
01:06:13,880 --> 01:06:16,920
Speaker 2: Premier League for the match week coming your way beginning

1488
01:06:17,040 --> 01:06:21,080
Speaker 2: on Saturday September tenth BJ what's your favorite bet?

1489
01:06:21,240 --> 01:06:22,160
Speaker 1: Monday Night Football?

1490
01:06:22,240 --> 01:06:25,280
Speaker 3: Leads versus Naughtingam Forrest over three goals at plus one thirty.

1491
01:06:25,280 --> 01:06:27,360
Speaker 3: This leads offense has been impressive over one and a

1492
01:06:27,400 --> 01:06:29,960
Speaker 3: half non penalty expected goals per match. They've already created

1493
01:06:30,000 --> 01:06:32,720
Speaker 3: ten big scoring chants. They're averaging over thirteen shots per ninety.

1494
01:06:32,960 --> 01:06:36,040
Speaker 3: This Nottingham Forst defense is the worst in the Premier League.

1495
01:06:36,040 --> 01:06:38,320
Speaker 3: I mean they're allowing a lot over thirteen expected goals

1496
01:06:38,320 --> 01:06:41,120
Speaker 3: in their first six matches, loing over seventeen shots for

1497
01:06:41,240 --> 01:06:43,919
Speaker 3: ninety over eighteen box entries per ninety it's just bad.

1498
01:06:44,360 --> 01:06:44,600
Speaker 1: Now.

1499
01:06:44,960 --> 01:06:47,120
Speaker 3: Nine m fours has not been a good offense. But

1500
01:06:47,760 --> 01:06:50,080
Speaker 3: when they do go behind, when they playing from behind

1501
01:06:50,080 --> 01:06:52,400
Speaker 3: this season, they're allowing two and a half expected goals

1502
01:06:52,400 --> 01:06:54,680
Speaker 3: per ninety minutes. So if Leads scores first, which they

1503
01:06:54,680 --> 01:06:56,880
Speaker 3: are favored to do, this match has the potential to

1504
01:06:56,920 --> 01:06:59,520
Speaker 3: go completely off the rails. I have exactly three goals

1505
01:06:59,520 --> 01:07:01,680
Speaker 3: projected one so if you're giving me plus one thirty

1506
01:07:01,680 --> 01:07:02,480
Speaker 3: on over three goals.

1507
01:07:02,640 --> 01:07:03,360
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take it.

1508
01:07:03,880 --> 01:07:07,320
Speaker 2: I'm going with Crystal Palace plus two seventy five against

1509
01:07:07,320 --> 01:07:10,560
Speaker 2: Manchester United. After losing their first two matches the season,

1510
01:07:10,600 --> 01:07:13,200
Speaker 2: Manchester United was a crisis club. But now after four

1511
01:07:13,240 --> 01:07:16,680
Speaker 2: wins including a lucky result against Southampton and so so

1512
01:07:16,840 --> 01:07:19,720
Speaker 2: won against Leicester, two impressive wins one against Liverpool and

1513
01:07:19,760 --> 01:07:22,760
Speaker 2: won against Arsenal, everyone is back on board at Old Trafford.

1514
01:07:22,800 --> 01:07:24,720
Speaker 2: The times, the good times are back. It's like Fergie's

1515
01:07:24,720 --> 01:07:27,040
Speaker 2: back baby. But to spite that up ticket form, you

1516
01:07:27,040 --> 01:07:30,280
Speaker 2: still can't trust the United defense. Crystal Palace have slogged

1517
01:07:30,280 --> 01:07:33,320
Speaker 2: their way through one of the toughest schedules, toughest stretches

1518
01:07:33,360 --> 01:07:35,520
Speaker 2: you'll see in any Premier League schedule, So we just

1519
01:07:35,560 --> 01:07:38,600
Speaker 2: don't really know how good this team is. Judging from

1520
01:07:38,680 --> 01:07:41,440
Speaker 2: last year, we believe they're quite good. The defensive numbers

1521
01:07:41,480 --> 01:07:43,960
Speaker 2: have dipped for this season, but I think that's more

1522
01:07:44,040 --> 01:07:46,840
Speaker 2: a result of their schedule than anything else, which sets

1523
01:07:46,880 --> 01:07:49,360
Speaker 2: us up with a great by low Sell high spot

1524
01:07:49,400 --> 01:07:53,360
Speaker 2: on Palace with the eded bonus that Manchester United are

1525
01:07:53,360 --> 01:07:56,160
Speaker 2: playing at Old Trafford against we Associate Dad on Thursday,

1526
01:07:56,200 --> 01:07:58,080
Speaker 2: so it's a good rest spot for Palace as well,

1527
01:07:58,120 --> 01:08:00,200
Speaker 2: so I will be back on the Eagles as I

1528
01:08:00,280 --> 01:08:02,400
Speaker 2: always am. For my favorite bet in the Premier League,

1529
01:08:02,440 --> 01:08:03,440
Speaker 2: Anthony take.

1530
01:08:03,360 --> 01:08:06,600
Speaker 4: Us home Tottenham plus one point five minus one twenty

1531
01:08:06,640 --> 01:08:08,920
Speaker 4: on the road at Man City. First time betting the

1532
01:08:08,960 --> 01:08:13,600
Speaker 4: Lily Whites this season. Spurs matchup well here. They defend

1533
01:08:13,640 --> 01:08:15,560
Speaker 4: their box really well, they let the opponent have the

1534
01:08:15,560 --> 01:08:19,639
Speaker 4: ball and they pick out part little weaknesses in opposition defenses,

1535
01:08:19,720 --> 01:08:22,400
Speaker 4: especially in transition. I think there are holes that can

1536
01:08:22,439 --> 01:08:25,559
Speaker 4: be exploited. Newcastle did so the only above average attack

1537
01:08:25,600 --> 01:08:28,360
Speaker 4: that City has played this season. I think Spurs, with

1538
01:08:28,439 --> 01:08:31,240
Speaker 4: their ability to play without the ball are excellent and

1539
01:08:31,360 --> 01:08:35,200
Speaker 4: Kulaseewski ras Charleston, whichever one they do start alongside Son

1540
01:08:35,240 --> 01:08:38,000
Speaker 4: and Kane Son do for a goal here has created

1541
01:08:38,040 --> 01:08:40,160
Speaker 4: a ton of expected goals without scoring. Kine looks as

1542
01:08:40,200 --> 01:08:42,559
Speaker 4: good as ever. This counter attacking team has given City

1543
01:08:42,560 --> 01:08:44,679
Speaker 4: fits for years. I think they can do the same again,

1544
01:08:45,240 --> 01:08:48,240
Speaker 4: maybe even hold Cities dynamite attack and check just enough

1545
01:08:48,680 --> 01:08:49,880
Speaker 4: to stay inside the number here.

1546
01:08:50,040 --> 01:08:53,959
Speaker 2: All that wraps up this episode of Wonder Goal Segrebating

1547
01:08:53,960 --> 01:08:57,280
Speaker 2: podcast from the Action Network. Thanks we're listening, Thanks to Anthony.

1548
01:08:57,280 --> 01:08:59,439
Speaker 2: Thanks the PJ thanks to Bet three six five, our sponsor.

1549
01:08:59,560 --> 01:09:01,600
Speaker 2: We will see you guys on the other side of

1550
01:09:01,600 --> 01:09:13,280
Speaker 2: the weekend for more Champions League. Previously M