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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Tuesday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast. Monument is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt, and we are back here being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by DraftKings and back after a four and one

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Speaker 1: night on Monday, should have been five and oh I

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Speaker 1: do not like the Callahans. We don't need to get

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Speaker 1: into it. But that was a garbage touchdown, fourth down,

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Speaker 1: under thirty seconds, up by twelve. Really, really, we're still

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Speaker 1: running offense, Brian Callahan. I know your dad did stuff

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Speaker 1: like that all the time in Nebraska, but wow, that

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Speaker 1: was something so should have been a five and no night.

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Speaker 1: Instead we lose that under the overcomes in easy Lie

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Speaker 1: comes in easy Metcalf flies over sixty four and a

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Speaker 1: half and Jared Goff threw for two touchdowns. A little

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Speaker 1: plus money on that. It's a four and one day

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Speaker 1: up basically two units to start the week. So that's

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Speaker 1: a good start. We continue to have success in football,

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Speaker 1: so that's nice to be up two units as we

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Speaker 1: head towards a Tuesday here today for US now baseball

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Speaker 1: playoffs begin today. Oh my, what a game between the

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Speaker 1: Braves and the Mets in Game one of that doubleheader yesterday. WHOA,

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Speaker 1: I've got a couple of ways we're gonna play baseball now.

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Speaker 1: I'm really bad at betting baseball individually, so I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: try to bet series a bit more than betting individually.

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Speaker 1: So we'll have things to root for and things to watch,

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Speaker 1: but not so much that we can't get out of

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Speaker 1: it if we have to. The WNBA playoffs are in

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Speaker 1: the semi finals. We got two semi final games here tonight.

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Speaker 1: The Aces are in jeopardy of going down two games

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Speaker 1: to none to the Liberty here tonight. I don't know

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Speaker 1: about that, And then the Links are down one to

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Speaker 1: the Sun. So we'll talk a bit about that those

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Speaker 1: two games. Then we'll get into a NL play a

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Speaker 1: pennant bet that I like, and give you a wild

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Speaker 1: card play that I like as well. Here for to us,

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Speaker 1: I'll only have one bet that will cast today on

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Speaker 1: a Tuesday. We had so much on a Monday. Normally

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Speaker 1: Mondays are light and Tuesdays are a little bit heavier.

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Speaker 1: Monday was heavy. We'll go a little lighter here on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: But before we do anything else, let me tell you

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Speaker 1: let's start tonight and start with the WNBA and start

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Speaker 1: with New York on the Road. Sorry, Vegas on the

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Speaker 1: Road at New York. Number open up at four and

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Speaker 1: a half, been bet down to three and a half. Look,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot going on here. I think New York

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Speaker 1: will beat Vegas in this series. Okay, I've thought it.

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Speaker 1: Vegas is back to back champs. But when you're in

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Speaker 1: the semifinals and you're up against your arch rival and

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Speaker 1: this is the arch I think this thing goes five.

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Speaker 1: So it's a two two one format. So to me,

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at this going, all right, what's the most

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Speaker 1: likely thing. This thing's gonna go five games? They split

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Speaker 1: game one, game two, right, they split. You can bet

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Speaker 1: money line if you want on Vegae on Vegas just

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Speaker 1: to win this game. But I think Asia's got a

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Speaker 1: game in her back pocket, and I think Asia can

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Speaker 1: come up with a monster game here. And I think

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Speaker 1: Asia's really poised to put one on here, like a

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Speaker 1: forty gamer here to night here shannight a forty spot

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Speaker 1: where where they just come up and do something magical.

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Speaker 1: She does something incredible, and this is gonna be a

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Speaker 1: rocking atmosphere. I think we're gonna see a ton of

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Speaker 1: big big things go down and look eighty seven to

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Speaker 1: seventy seven in game number one. Game two, I'm thinking

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Speaker 1: the Aces are gonna win, But in case I'm wrong,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take the Aces in Asia Wilson plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Okay, I think this thing will

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Speaker 1: probably close under three, probably close under three points one

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Speaker 1: possession here. But I do think I do like a

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Speaker 1: sprinkle on the Aces to win this game here tonight.

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Speaker 1: If you just want to take money line, you know

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Speaker 1: you find it as high as plus one sixty a

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Speaker 1: dit plate at certain places. I think I think the

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Speaker 1: Aces cover. I think the Aces win. It's one to

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Speaker 1: one as we head back to a game number three

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Speaker 1: that will take place back here in Vegas on the

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Speaker 1: fourth of October. Aces plus three and a half in

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Speaker 1: game number two of the Western Conference semi Finals in

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Speaker 1: the w NBA. Now to bet number two. The Links

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Speaker 1: are down one to a Connecticut Sun team that I

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Speaker 1: think they're much better than. And I'm actually really excited

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Speaker 1: to watch and see how this series plays out, because

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Speaker 1: Connecticut won the season series two games to one. The

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Speaker 1: Links won the last game seventy eight to seventy six.

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Speaker 1: The Sun won a game on the fourth of July

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Speaker 1: seventy eight, seventy three, and a game back in May

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Speaker 1: in overtime eighty three to eighty two. I'm not sure

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Speaker 1: what happens here. I don't think the Links lose this

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Speaker 1: game here tonight, but I'm not gonna lay two dollars

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Speaker 1: and I don't want to lay four and a half

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Speaker 1: points either, because, as I just said, this is a

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Speaker 1: tight series. Links won by two, Sun one by five,

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Speaker 1: Sun one by three. Okay, don't want to get involved

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Speaker 1: with this game individually. I think I'd rather come in

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Speaker 1: and take plus money on the Links to win this series,

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Speaker 1: and they may win it in five. Okay. I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying it's going to be easy. I just think ultimately

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Speaker 1: the Links are the better basketball team, and I think

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Speaker 1: the Links will wind up having a chance to win

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Speaker 1: the WNBA Championship. It's been my pick to win the

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Speaker 1: WNA Championship. I've loved Minnesota all year. We've bet a

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Speaker 1: lot with Minnesota. I just think you're going to see

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Speaker 1: the veteran leadership for this Links team rise up. They're

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Speaker 1: sixteen and four home. I think they win here. But

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Speaker 1: rather than getting involved with an individual number and be like, eh, Man,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know if the Links can

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Speaker 1: actually win this thing, and kind of get myself burned

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Speaker 1: by it. I'm just gonna come up with and look,

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Speaker 1: totals have been really hard in the playoffs because it's

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Speaker 1: playoff basketball. I mean, totals are tough. Even sides in

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Speaker 1: totals are tough. I mean just betting it in general.

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Speaker 1: Betting playoff basketball is tough just because it's playoff basketball.

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Speaker 1: I think it's easier to come in and take a

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Speaker 1: plus one thirty two shot on the Links to win

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Speaker 1: the series. Links to win the series, it's plus one

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Speaker 1: thirty two, one unit on the Links. To come back,

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Speaker 1: they gotta win three of the next five and they

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Speaker 1: win the series. Links to win the series for one

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Speaker 1: unit at plus one thirty two. Okay, so two plays

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Speaker 1: in the WNBA, one for tonight, one for the series

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Speaker 1: aces plus three and a half one point one units,

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Speaker 1: and the Links to win their series, the semi final

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Speaker 1: and to make the WNBA Championship round plus one thirty two,

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Speaker 1: one unit on that for the Links to beat the

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Speaker 1: Sun and for them to advance for one unit. Now,

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Speaker 1: Major League Baseball, we start the Wildcard round here today,

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Speaker 1: let me read you something from The Athletic which I

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Speaker 1: found me really interesting. This came out last night from

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Speaker 1: the Athletic. Since the three game Wildcard series was introduced,

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Speaker 1: the team that has won the first game has won

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Speaker 1: each series, a perfect eight for eight. Only one series

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Speaker 1: even went to a third game so far. So we're

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Speaker 1: talking about game one for the four games in the

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Speaker 1: Wildcard series here today. The winner of game one most

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Speaker 1: likely wins the series. Most likely not always, but eight

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Speaker 1: for eight so far. Trendser your friends until they're not right. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so what is the bracket? Here is your bracket for

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Speaker 1: if you're watching this ORR. If you're listening to this,

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Speaker 1: you can't see this, but if you're watching it on

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Speaker 1: your screen. Is the bracket from MLB dot com. Tigers

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Speaker 1: Astros winner plays the Guardians, Royals Orioles winner plays the Yankees.

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Speaker 1: On the national side, it's Mets, Brewers winner plays the Phillies,

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Speaker 1: Braves Padres winner plays the Dodgers. That is your bracket

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Speaker 1: for the wild Card round here, and we're talking about

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Speaker 1: game one. It's Framber against Schooble for the Tires and

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Speaker 1: the Astros. Totals today are so low, so leaping low.

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Speaker 1: It is six and a half and seven. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is this is fun. Okay, if you're a baseball fan,

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Speaker 1: get ready for white knuckle baseball. This is going to

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Speaker 1: be low scoring. You have Reagans in Burns, the total

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Speaker 1: is six and a half or seven. Schooble in Valdez

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Speaker 1: you've got six and a half or six. I mean

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Speaker 1: we're talking battles of lefties. We're talking just unbelievable offenses.

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Speaker 1: But the pitching could shut them all down. Each game

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Speaker 1: could be two to one, each game could be under

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Speaker 1: I mean, we'll see. Burns has been somewhat of an

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Speaker 1: overteam at times, but over overpitcher at times. But I

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Speaker 1: think Reagan's I think the Oriols offense, I think what

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Speaker 1: happened last year. I think their playoff experience comes through here.

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Speaker 1: I can't back the Tigers because the Tigers just barely

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Speaker 1: got into the playoffs, and the Astros just always find

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Speaker 1: a way to be in this thing, and they always

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Speaker 1: find a way to win. They're just too good. They're

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Speaker 1: annoying how good they are. The Royals can't score. I

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Speaker 1: mean that's their problem. The Royals just have absolutely no offense.

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Speaker 1: To talk about, and I know it's Bobby Witt Junior.

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Speaker 1: I understand he had thirty two home runs and thirty

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Speaker 1: one stolen bases in the nine point four War. He

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Speaker 1: was tremendous. I understand all that. The Royals era for

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Speaker 1: starting pitching tremendous. Three point five to five was great,

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Speaker 1: The Oriols was okay, it wasn't great. The bullpen for

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Speaker 1: both teams not good, not good at all. Reagan's has

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Speaker 1: been tremendous at times. Lugo has been tremendous at times.

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Speaker 1: But man, I just think even if we're talking about

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Speaker 1: a low scoring game, a two to one game, a

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Speaker 1: three to one game, I just think this Orioles team

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Speaker 1: has got something more. I don't like this Royals offense

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Speaker 1: at all. They just couldn't score. They couldn't put anything

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Speaker 1: over the course of the last month. They're lucky to

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Speaker 1: be here. I mean, frankly, the Royals are just lucky

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Speaker 1: to have played in a division with the White Sox.

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Speaker 1: That's how they got in. They were able to beat

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Speaker 1: up on a White Sox team. That's you know, that's

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Speaker 1: kind of it here. So, I mean, the Royals were

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Speaker 1: horrible last year. They bounced back, but I'm not sure

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Speaker 1: they're in the playoffs if it wasn't for playing up

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Speaker 1: against bad teams in their division and their offense just

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Speaker 1: isn't good enough. Orioles to win the series, Astros to

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Speaker 1: win the series. Parlay them, Okay, parloy them together. Fan

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Speaker 1: will let you do this. Most books will let you

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Speaker 1: do this. You can parloy them together. Astros Orioles win

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Speaker 1: their series. It's plus one one forty four, two games

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Speaker 1: or three games, it doesn't really matter. But I think

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Speaker 1: Game one could go both to the Astros and the Orioles.

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Speaker 1: Here today, I'm a little bit shakier on the Royals.

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Speaker 1: Maybe you get a Reagan's Gem, but the I think

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Speaker 1: the Orioles bounce back and win game two and win

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Speaker 1: game three. I think the Astros win today with Frambour

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Speaker 1: on the mound, just because their experience is so darn

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Speaker 1: good and what they have done. And I look the Tigers, congratulations,

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Speaker 1: what an awesome story, what an awesome run? Do they

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Speaker 1: take up breath? They made the playoffs? Is like, we're

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Speaker 1: in Wow, and you're facing the most veteran of veteran teams.

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Speaker 1: You're facing the most experienced of experienced teams. They know

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Speaker 1: how to win in the playoffs. They've been here multiple times.

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Speaker 1: They've won the division four years in a row. Just

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Speaker 1: too tall the task. Rather than getting into involved in

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Speaker 1: individual games. Rather than getting involved in individual totals, Astros

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Speaker 1: parlayed together to win the series with the Orioles plus

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Speaker 1: one forty four for one unit and one more play.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to the National League. Like I mentioned with

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Speaker 1: the Padres Padres Braves. Winner plays the Dodgers. Winner will

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Speaker 1: make the NLCS of that series. I don't need the

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Speaker 1: Padres to win the NLCS for this bet to be profitable.

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Speaker 1: I just need the Padres to beat the Dodgers, and

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Speaker 1: I think the Padres can beat the Dodgers. I'm super

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Speaker 1: excited to see what happens in this series because this

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Speaker 1: pitching staff is unbelievable. I mean, this pitching staff. You

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Speaker 1: have to stop and go, all right, where do we

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Speaker 1: see the weaknesses? Dylan Cees, Michael King, Joe Musgrove, you Darvish,

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Speaker 1: who hello? Their offense has been absolutely tremendous. The Padres

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Speaker 1: hate the Dodgers, massive rivalry. It's all been about show, hey, right,

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Speaker 1: the Braves are guess the Braves just played a doubleheader yesterday.

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Speaker 1: They were lucky to get in if the Mets, I

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Speaker 1: mean they shut the Mets out three nothing. The Mets,

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Speaker 1: they knew they were in, they were celebrating, they didn't care.

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Speaker 1: They punched on the game that should be the Dvacs,

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Speaker 1: that shouldn't be the Braves. Braves down the stretch again.

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Speaker 1: We talked about game one being really important. We talked

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Speaker 1: about how important is to win game one. I understand

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Speaker 1: all of that, but how will the offense look for

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Speaker 1: the Braves, an offense that couldn't score a lot anyway,

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Speaker 1: and now they're dead tired and they're taking on a

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Speaker 1: pitching staff that's tremendous in a lineup that can damage

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Speaker 1: you and hurt you in any stretch of the way.

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Speaker 1: So I don't think it's gonna be much. I think

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Speaker 1: the Braves get tossed pretty fast here by the Padres.

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Speaker 1: That leaves the Dodgers. Look, it's been all about Otani. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I understand all of that, But the Dodgers falling in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs has been a constant theme. This has been

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Speaker 1: just a no, I mean, a consistent theme for the

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Speaker 1: Padres for the Dodgers to lose I don't like the

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Speaker 1: pitching at all for the Dodgers, and I don't know

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Speaker 1: if they're gonna try to force something here. It looks

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Speaker 1: like they're not gonna have Kershaw in the first round.

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Speaker 1: It's just a bunch of you know, thrown together arms

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Speaker 1: right now, and they can piecemeal and get there because

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Speaker 1: our offense is so good. I just don't believe in

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Speaker 1: Major League Baseball in a year where there was just

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Speaker 1: such lack of offense, that the Dodgers are gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to slug their way to a World Series. I

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Speaker 1: just don't think it's gonna happen. Maybe Yamamoto comes back

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Speaker 1: and pitches a full game, Maybe they let them go

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Speaker 1: a full game, but maybe not. You're going to the

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Speaker 1: playoffs with Yamamoto on a pitch count, Jack Flaherty and

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Speaker 1: who Walker, Buehler, Land and Knack. Maybe you're gonna go

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Speaker 1: with bullpen games. I just can't believe that. I can't

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Speaker 1: subscribe to that. I think the Padres have an unbelievable

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Speaker 1: shot here of beating the Dodgers and knocking them out

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Speaker 1: and making the National League Championship Series. Ceese King, Darvish, Musgrove,

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Speaker 1: let's go those four guys, let's go. I think they

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Speaker 1: can beat the Dodgers. They get to the National League Pennant,

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Speaker 1: all bets are off. Okay, all bets are off. We'll

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Speaker 1: see who they wind up playing, right, it's probably the Phillies,

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Speaker 1: probably Padres. Phillies. Phillies are probably pretty good favorites. But

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Speaker 1: we'll see Phillies pitching staff lining up with the Padres

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Speaker 1: pitching staff. That's going to be unbelievable NLCS. I don't

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Speaker 1: think we'll see a huge number. And so for me

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Speaker 1: on that five to one Padres to win the National

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Speaker 1: League Pennant is five to one. Just get there. They

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Speaker 1: get to the pennant, we hedge on the other side,

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Speaker 1: we bet on either the we bet on the Phillies,

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Speaker 1: or we bet on whoever they play. Bet on the

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Speaker 1: other side will guarantee two units of profit. It's a

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Speaker 1: profit play for me. Okay, you gotta get past again.

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Speaker 1: Getting past the Dodgers is not going to be easy.

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Speaker 1: But the Padres are not going to be five to

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Speaker 1: one dogs to the Dodgers in their America in their

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Speaker 1: National League Divisional Series. It's not going to be like that.

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Speaker 1: It's not gonna be a five one number three dogs,

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Speaker 1: but they're not going to be that big of dogs.

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Speaker 1: So that's why I think you take it with a

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Speaker 1: value play here with the Padres at five to one

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Speaker 1: here for us on this okay, So a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a different type of podcast. We're taking some positions here.

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Speaker 1: We're getting ourselves kind of situated in, you know, put

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Speaker 1: into a good spot where we can attack a with

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Speaker 1: some you know, plus money positions for us. Okay, So

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Speaker 1: again to recap the place today aces plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. That's today against the Liberty in game two

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Speaker 1: of their best of five, the Links to come back

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Speaker 1: and win the series against Connecticut at plus one thirty four.

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Speaker 1: It's a full unit play on that they're down one

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Speaker 1: in a best of five against Connecticut. Game two is

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Speaker 1: tonight in Minnesota. Astros and the Orioles both to win

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Speaker 1: their series, parlaying the American League chalk to advance. That's

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Speaker 1: plus one forty four for one unit, and the Padres

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Speaker 1: to win the National League pennant at five to one.

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Speaker 1: That's a one unit play for the Padres. Essentially, that's

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Speaker 1: a bet on the Padres to beat the Dodgers. I

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Speaker 1: don't think the Braves beat the Padres. If we miss that,

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Speaker 1: we missed that, it's a one unit play on that.

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Speaker 1: But fadie if you want. My baseball plays have been horrible.

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Speaker 1: I'm not interested in betting individual games. I'm trying to

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Speaker 1: bet on the teams, and I think that we'll wind

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Speaker 1: up advancing and making some money on this. If I

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Speaker 1: do any exactas, I'll tell you guys. With World Series

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Speaker 1: exact as, I'll let you know. But as of right now,

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Speaker 1: I'm not. I haven't done anything, but I might get

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Speaker 1: involved with it, but we're going with those plays. Here

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Speaker 1: for a Tuesday min as Matt Perrault follow me across

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Speaker 1: all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning, it's the

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Speaker 1: Dale Juice Podcast, presented by DraftKings