Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by a hard rock bat.
Speaker 1: We are part of the Volume podcast network. This is
Speaker 1: the show that makes the squares sharper and makes the
Speaker 1: wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Moleman. I am
Speaker 1: joined as always by my co host. My companion might Beff,
Speaker 1: my compadre professional better signon hunter head o S.
Speaker 2: I mean, Chad, let's get into it. How is your
Speaker 2: knight brother?
Speaker 1: Dude, look at this. It's so weird. It's so weird
Speaker 1: to root for school that in football is literally the
Speaker 1: second losing his program in NFL history. To love the school,
Speaker 1: to love the fight song so much, and to see
Speaker 1: this team that has been so historically bad. When I
Speaker 1: had gone to so many games where we'd start off
Speaker 1: the season three and zero and then we'd play Michigan,
Speaker 1: Ohio State, Iowa whoever is in that rinking ding rinky
Speaker 1: dingk Memorial Stadium and it'd be empty, extupp for me
Speaker 1: and one other guy, my buddy Matt, and like, we'd
Speaker 1: get blown out and that would be the season. And
Speaker 1: we were physically dominant on the offensive line, we were
Speaker 1: strategically brilliant. We had mistakes, we got breaks there was pageantry.
Speaker 1: The idea that there is a generation of people right
Speaker 1: now who are going to grow up thinking Indiana football
Speaker 1: is an exciting thing to experience, that Indiana tailgates on
Speaker 1: a Saturday afternoon in Bloomington, or all of a sudden
Speaker 1: something people want to go to that college game day
Speaker 1: and big noon kickoff. Are going to want to start
Speaker 1: the season at Indiana. Like, it's insanity to me the
Speaker 1: Indiana fight song being sung on national television at the
Speaker 1: end of that game. Even my wife was happy for me, Like,
Speaker 1: it's just it's it's remarkable. It's the number of texts
Speaker 1: I'm getting for congratulation. I mean, all I have to
Speaker 1: do was sit on my couch and watch the game. Amazing.
Speaker 1: Kudos to you for giving out the here's yours twenty
Speaker 1: four hours before the game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I wish I could take credit for it, but yeah,
Speaker 3: that's just following very smart people.
Speaker 2: It's smart money. But yeah, it's it's.
Speaker 3: What draw us people into college football. I know, it's
Speaker 3: a sport that gets a lot of hate because it's
Speaker 3: so top heavy, and you know, you give teams hard
Speaker 3: times because it's like, you know, if you're a diehard
Speaker 3: Arkansas fan, what is that life.
Speaker 2: You're never going to be relevant. But this is the
Speaker 2: exact scenaria why you never give up.
Speaker 3: Right, if you get the right coach with the right
Speaker 3: kind of NL money, we should start with the.
Speaker 2: Top of that. Yeah, yeah, yeah, And the coach is.
Speaker 3: The most important part anythings possible in college football. Right
Speaker 3: if you can strike getting the coach before they leave
Speaker 3: for the big time school, you can do it.
Speaker 2: You might become a big time school.
Speaker 3: He signed now for a long time, so yeah, I
Speaker 3: just I can't get over the turnaround. If he's doing
Speaker 3: this with you know, three four start two star recruits,
Speaker 3: a couple five star.
Speaker 2: Now we're gonna start rolling in. It's bizarre.
Speaker 3: Whatever college basketball school like Duke is now a team
Speaker 3: winning their conferences in football, it's Duke Indiana.
Speaker 2: It's a bizarre time right now in the college football space.
Speaker 2: I love it.
Speaker 1: Freaking bizarre world nil money transfer portal. Go hire an
Speaker 1: old coach who's proven in it, he can win the money,
Speaker 1: does the recruiting for you. There's a blueprint here that's
Speaker 1: really really fascinating, But it's not what we're talking about today, Simon,
Speaker 1: because this is the semi strip down in the room
Speaker 1: eavesdropping version of Sharp or Square. You and I are
Speaker 1: going to make our final five picks and the good
Speaker 1: news Now, this is the first Sunday with our brand
Speaker 1: new pick Them contest. We are all playing from the
Speaker 1: exact same lines. Folks. Final reminder, Final re monor. You've
Speaker 1: still got time? You can sign up now for free,
Speaker 1: make your picks and compete directly with me and Simon
Speaker 1: to earn your shot at our grand prize, a trip
Speaker 1: for two to the incredible Seminole Heartbroke Hotel and Casino
Speaker 1: in sunny South Florida. Go to Sharp or Square dot
Speaker 1: the Volume dot com. That's Sharp or Square dot the
Speaker 1: volume dot com. If you want to know me and
Speaker 1: Simon our team name Chad and Simon BFFs, because that's
Speaker 1: who we are. Are you ready my bff my brother
Speaker 1: to get into it for today Sunday Week fourteen? You're ready?
Speaker 2: Yeah, buddy?
Speaker 1: Right here we go. Games reserved in on the other day,
Speaker 1: Indy at Jacksonville. Look, I think we both come around.
Speaker 1: We're on Jacksonville at this point. I've actually bet Jacksonville
Speaker 1: on the money line. I didn't even bother with the spread.
Speaker 1: There might be massive thunderstorms and rain in this game.
Speaker 1: I don't love Trevor Lawrence in any scenario, but I'm
Speaker 1: just sort of going to lean into it. I'm going
Speaker 1: to lean into the storm. I'm going to be like
Speaker 1: you know in Caddyshack, it's not the hard. Stuff's not
Speaker 1: coming down for a while. Go Jags. I just I'm
Speaker 1: too worried about Daniel Jones. They've also got injuries that
Speaker 1: along the defensive line the Colts, which I think is
Speaker 1: impactful for them. So we're gonna stay on the Jags.
Speaker 2: Yeah, on the Jags.
Speaker 3: But it's definitely a type of game where you know
Speaker 3: you don't want to make a huge position on it
Speaker 3: because of what Shad just talked about. You're factoring an
Speaker 3: unknown factor into a game where we've seen it time
Speaker 3: and time again. It's not a strength at all for
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence to play in bad weather.
Speaker 2: I mean, just off the top of my head.
Speaker 3: The one that really pops up because I'm an Eagles fan,
Speaker 3: is that game where the Jaguars and Eagles. Jaguars dominating
Speaker 3: the game, beating the Eagles, and I think he had
Speaker 3: four fumbles he might have lost three of them against
Speaker 3: the Eagles. And the Eagles came back and won that
Speaker 3: game the second half. So I don't love it for
Speaker 3: our Trevor Lawrence belief in bet here.
Speaker 2: But the truth still holds true, which is.
Speaker 3: I think this is a Jaguars sem is going to
Speaker 3: give real problems Daniel Jones. That offense on the cold side,
Speaker 3: on the offensive side, I still think they'll be I'll
Speaker 3: take advantage of this cold secondary.
Speaker 2: So, like Jed said, it's if it's gonna be one
Speaker 2: of our five.
Speaker 3: We kind of wanted it to be perfect scenario with
Speaker 3: this Jaguars team because we both have such reservations about
Speaker 3: backing Trevor Lawrence. So this kind of gives us the
Speaker 3: out here if we do not want to put this
Speaker 3: in one of our five, just because it makes me
Speaker 3: lead confidence knowing that it's going to be a really
Speaker 3: bad weather down there.
Speaker 1: All right, well, we don't have to do it. We
Speaker 1: don't have to do it Tennessee A Cleveland another game
Speaker 1: we don't have to do. Cleveland is a three and
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. We both bet Cleveland here. You
Speaker 1: had the line of the Week on Thursday where you're
Speaker 1: just like, we seem to get so locked in on
Speaker 1: these games we talk ourselves into it, are we going
Speaker 1: to try to talk ourselves out of it? On Sunday?
Speaker 1: The line has moved from three and a half to four.
Speaker 1: There are fours in the world. It's been trending in
Speaker 1: that direction of the last twenty four hours. So I
Speaker 1: feel a little bit better that the money is starting
Speaker 1: to come in on Cleveland. I don't think it's just
Speaker 1: public money. I think it's professionals betting on the Browns.
Speaker 1: But do we like it enough to put it in?
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 3: I've dug in all week about how I just love
Speaker 3: this Browns team because it's really a bet to me
Speaker 3: on their defense. And shockingly, there are some four and
Speaker 3: a halfs popping up there. So, like Chad said, there
Speaker 3: is not just professional money. Obviously, public money is coming
Speaker 3: in here on this Browns team. And I think it's
Speaker 3: because people are seeing the weather report this morning, which
Speaker 3: is cold, freezing side where snow and rain and just
Speaker 3: bad wins right now what they're predicting for Cleveland. So
Speaker 3: it's another game where we can lean into it. Trust
Speaker 3: is defense, and we talked about they just simply got
Speaker 3: outplayed by their.
Speaker 2: Own special teams last week.
Speaker 3: This Browns team, right I think if you go back
Speaker 3: and watch it, Chaggia about the stat every drive felt
Speaker 3: like it started their own side, their own fifty for
Speaker 3: the forty nine ers, right, the foreign arows kept being
Speaker 3: to eat on the Browns forty, the Browns thirty. You know,
Speaker 3: coaches going from the Browns doing thirty and gave the
Speaker 3: four nine ers a start on their own thirty. So
Speaker 3: it's a little scary now in that shad Or Sanders
Speaker 3: is such a big favorite here chat, but I told
Speaker 3: you this to me, is not him being a big
Speaker 3: number here.
Speaker 2: This is this big number, is this defense.
Speaker 3: This is purely a defensive number, and it's all about
Speaker 3: what we were confident, right.
Speaker 2: We literally dove into this exact position.
Speaker 3: I don't know, it feels like ten years ago, but
Speaker 3: it was probably four or five weeks ago on Miami
Speaker 3: versus Brown's team in this exact spot. Yeah, Gabriel right
Speaker 3: with Gabriel, which is no different than Sanders. My model
Speaker 3: Lily has a difference of half a point between these
Speaker 3: two guys. So it's if we believe in a chat,
Speaker 3: we're simply betting a good number, which hard rock is
Speaker 3: right now in my stre and a half because this
Speaker 3: number is going to four and a half forward a
Speaker 3: lot of books, and we're banking on this defense in
Speaker 3: this weather at home. It just feels like a unique spot.
Speaker 3: So I'm still in on it. I don't know if
Speaker 3: you if you want to join me. Like I've joked
Speaker 3: about it, I am probably over one hundred on this
Speaker 3: Tennessee team these last two years, but I just feel
Speaker 3: like this is a unique spot back on this Browns team.
Speaker 1: We have no rhythm when it comes to the Tennessee
Speaker 1: Titans zero. We we cannot catch the falling knife on
Speaker 1: this team, but we have a lot of rhythm with
Speaker 1: the Browns. Yeah, and so I've I'm still on it.
Speaker 1: I've bet into it. I'm not walking away from it.
Speaker 1: Let's just commit to its. Yeah, let's own it. Because
Speaker 1: don't forget, these lines are dynamic in this contest, So
Speaker 1: you can start betting it as soon as the line's
Speaker 1: open and up until kickoff, and if you decide to
Speaker 1: make changes along the way, you're gonna have to make
Speaker 1: changes to everything. So it's part of the sort of
Speaker 1: gamification of this contest. Miami at the New York Jets,
Speaker 1: this was Chad choice to two and a half in
Speaker 1: the contest. Not the best number because it's been three
Speaker 1: for much of the week, I still love it. I
Speaker 1: bet the Jets. I bet the Jet to three. I
Speaker 1: bet the Jets of three. On Wednesday, I bet the
Speaker 1: Jets of three. I think again on Thursday, I bet
Speaker 1: the Jets money line. I'm all in on the Jets here,
Speaker 1: and maybe I'm making a mistake, maybe I'm sort of
Speaker 1: over enthusiastic, but I just don't see how a Jets
Speaker 1: team that was a two and a half point underdog
Speaker 1: on the road against the Dolphins in Week four is
Speaker 1: now still as bad as that Jets team in Week
Speaker 1: four when we've all seen the issues the Dolphins have
Speaker 1: as well, so the line hasn't changed in ten weeks.
Speaker 1: Doesn't make any sense to me.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and unfortunately, this is the one of the games
Speaker 3: that won't be affected by the colder bad whether I
Speaker 3: think it's going to get up above forty here in
Speaker 3: Jersey by kickoff, sunny skies, no rain, no snow, none
Speaker 3: of that, which is something I honestly was hoping for
Speaker 3: in this matchup. I thought I was gonna play into
Speaker 3: our favorites, especially you know, earlier in the week we
Speaker 3: were talking it was supposed to be in the twenties
Speaker 3: low thirties in this matchup, which you know, we all
Speaker 3: know the stats too. It tends to struggles exact climate.
Speaker 3: But I love it.
Speaker 2: It's it's a.
Speaker 3: Pros pros game. It's truly all the it's just pro
Speaker 3: money on the Jets. All the other money is all
Speaker 3: public money on this Miami team, and for a good reason,
Speaker 3: right Miami, they have as.
Speaker 2: Much crap as we like giving them.
Speaker 3: We thought they were deader than dead, right, They kind
Speaker 3: of given up on the season, and they've totally not
Speaker 3: turn it around, but they've at least showed up for
Speaker 3: their head coach here down the stretch right after they
Speaker 3: fired their general manager.
Speaker 2: I think they've won three of their last four.
Speaker 3: So it's a unique spot here for this Miami team
Speaker 3: that you know, I think the public is starting to
Speaker 3: finally believe in them. Where we talked about this Jets game,
Speaker 3: we were never gonna be able to avoid it.
Speaker 2: We liked the number. This probably should be closer to
Speaker 2: a pick.
Speaker 3: It's totally overaction to the public to me on this
Speaker 3: Miami side and on the flip side, Taylor, we've been
Speaker 3: on this the stats, Tyrod Taylor last eight starts seven
Speaker 3: to zero to one against the spread. It's just continually
Speaker 3: undervalued against the public, and we've been backing them along
Speaker 3: this whole stretch. So nothing's changed here, right. We like
Speaker 3: the number, like you said, perfect world. Just like last week,
Speaker 3: we would have loved to gotten this two at three
Speaker 3: and a half. That would have been a really safe,
Speaker 3: secure number. It's never gotten there. Like you said, the
Speaker 3: threes come down at two and a half. Romost every book.
Speaker 3: So we'll take down the contest and not get scared
Speaker 3: off by this number.
Speaker 1: We will not be scared off because we think the
Speaker 1: Jets are going to win this game outright, New Orleans
Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay. The line is currently eight and a half.
Speaker 1: The Saints are eight and a half point underdog. Simon,
Speaker 1: this is going to be our rock and a hard place,
Speaker 1: hard rock bet of the week.
Speaker 2: I want a rock.
Speaker 1: You talked about the Saints a bunch on Thursday. It
Speaker 1: took me a minute to come around. I am on
Speaker 1: the Saints now. I bet the Saints at plus eight
Speaker 1: and a half. I bet the Saints on the money line.
Speaker 1: Oh god, yeah, just for fun, just a little taste,
Speaker 1: not like listen, not like you know college tuition money,
Speaker 1: just like you know a burato ball Chipotle. But I
Speaker 1: just sort of feel like the Bucks have not been
Speaker 1: played up to the level that everyone thinks they are
Speaker 1: and the Saints. I'm not going into the oh the
Speaker 1: Saints are more competitive than you think, but their underlying
Speaker 1: metrics aren't as bad as you think. So I'm not
Speaker 1: uncomfortable playing the big number here in the division a
Speaker 1: game that was much more competitive than the score indicated
Speaker 1: the last time these two played.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I love it too, because it's back in
Speaker 3: this Saints team, We're either going to be in a
Speaker 3: really close, back to the word type of game where
Speaker 3: they do have an opportunity.
Speaker 1: Or it's dead in the first quarter exactly.
Speaker 3: We will either or will be down thirty to nothing
Speaker 3: in the first half and just getting totally blown out.
Speaker 2: So these are the gross ugly dogs. I like. Betting
Speaker 2: gave out that stat on Tuesday.
Speaker 3: Again, we didn't really talk much Thursday because I think,
Speaker 3: like you said, it wasn't much on your radar, but
Speaker 3: I did wildly love it. I look at this one
Speaker 3: where it's it's really the best based off just kind
Speaker 3: of like that Jets game where the public continues to
Speaker 3: undervalue the Saints team. And we've gone back now last
Speaker 3: couple of years. You know, this Saints team divisually on
Speaker 3: the road as an underdog or eight to zero against
Speaker 3: the spread. So they've had a run here these last
Speaker 3: three four years where they keep getting undervalued by the
Speaker 3: general public. They go on the road in their division,
Speaker 3: which we joke all the time, the NFC South. No
Speaker 3: one knows what's going to happen, but you can't bank
Speaker 3: on taking the dogs and a lot of these matchups, right,
Speaker 3: and we've kind of have that proven out.
Speaker 2: So you said it best.
Speaker 3: The last time they played, they got blown out, I
Speaker 3: think three to twenty three something like that. Yeah, but
Speaker 3: it was.
Speaker 1: Not a twenty three to three game. That was a
Speaker 1: The score was twenty three to three. The circumstances that
Speaker 1: led to it being twenty twenty three to three were
Speaker 1: not dominance by the box. It was flukey plays a
Speaker 1: lot of luck. They were only winning seven to three
Speaker 1: at half, and that was because of a pick six.
Speaker 1: Like nobody was playing well in that game.
Speaker 2: I would say total melt down by the Saints if
Speaker 2: you go back and watch it. But we do give
Speaker 2: some grace.
Speaker 3: That was when we think Bett Baker had an injury
Speaker 3: he didn't disclose and he was fighting through it, and they
Speaker 3: had a bunch of injuries obviously to the offense.
Speaker 2: No God would know my the snow Buck Irving.
Speaker 3: So yeah, this matchup for me, it's really just back
Speaker 3: in about the public just moving this number too much
Speaker 3: and overrating this Bucks team that yes, they're going to
Speaker 3: be better now they have a lot of other guys back,
Speaker 3: but that defense. There ain't no guy coming off the
Speaker 3: bench that's going to save this defense for this Bucks team.
Speaker 3: They have been terrible against the run and they've really
Speaker 3: struggled the season with teams that can push the ball downfield,
Speaker 3: which you know, as much as crap he's like to
Speaker 3: give shuck, he's actually been pretty.
Speaker 2: Good yeashing the ball downfield consistently.
Speaker 3: So yeah, we both love this number, and really it's
Speaker 3: about the line plus eight and a half at every book.
Speaker 3: I can't avoid it another game. I just love on
Speaker 3: this dog and I'm glad we at least have one
Speaker 3: road team. We're here backing.
Speaker 1: Warren Sap is not walking through that door.
Speaker 2: No.
Speaker 1: I put Houston plus three and a half at Kansas
Speaker 1: City on this list. Wow, This number was four and
Speaker 1: a half at a book on Saturday afternoon. I don't
Speaker 1: know if you saw that. I grab Houston at four
Speaker 1: and a half. It's now back down to three and
Speaker 1: a half at most places. I just wanted to throw
Speaker 1: it in there because we're getting the better defense in
Speaker 1: the contest. We're getting the better defense and the hook
Speaker 1: against a team that has basically played all close games
Speaker 1: this year. Whether we think the Chiefs will win a
Speaker 1: close game and there'll be some regression to the mean
Speaker 1: in a positive way, or they're going to lose a
Speaker 1: close game, getting the hook feels important to me in
Speaker 1: this contest, especially when we know the Chiefs are not
Speaker 1: going to have their starting left tackle. They might not
Speaker 1: have their starting right tackle. He was doubtful slash out
Speaker 1: on the injury list yesterday, so they're going to be
Speaker 1: playing two backup tackles for protecting Patrick Mahomes against possibly
Speaker 1: the best pass rush and definitely the best defense in
Speaker 1: the NFL Sunday night.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but again, it's so different than Dallas Lions game shot,
Speaker 3: and it's something where we joke about it. But if
Speaker 3: the line just seems off and there's something fishy and
Speaker 3: it's it's what week fourteen here, you gotta trust your
Speaker 3: instincts here, So I get what you're taking a position
Speaker 3: on Houston.
Speaker 2: Everything you said is true.
Speaker 3: I just I want people to be wary of this
Speaker 3: game because what Chad just said, why is this not keep?
Speaker 3: It was moving to three like I got a bunch
Speaker 3: of threes in the Chiefs. It was moving in the
Speaker 3: three two and a half direction. Now they're left and
Speaker 3: right tackle might be out, and it's going up the
Speaker 3: four four and a half, So be careful.
Speaker 2: I'm on the Chiefs. I guess we're just split here.
Speaker 3: Like you said, everything is very logically you said in
Speaker 3: Houston they have the best unit on the field. Obviously
Speaker 3: in this defense, they're just incredible. This this actually is
Speaker 3: a pretty good matchup with them. But I think on
Speaker 3: the flip side, this is the exact type of game Stags.
Speaker 2: Gets right against this Houston offense.
Speaker 3: So to me, it's me be the type of game
Speaker 3: that you know is gonna be one in the red zone,
Speaker 3: and I think Chiefs Mahomes they take advantage of this
Speaker 3: Houston team in the red zone. On the flip side,
Speaker 3: I think Houston continues to struggle in the red zone
Speaker 3: so I get Chad's perspective, your people, but just be careful.
Speaker 3: They're something very fishy about this number in the way
Speaker 3: it's moving where I'm on the Chiefs, but very very
Speaker 3: leaky confident. You can hear my voice. I just yeah,
Speaker 3: I don't trust this Chiefs team at all. But it's
Speaker 3: just like the lines, I'm simply playing a fishy spot
Speaker 3: on a team that historically tends to bounce back in
Speaker 3: this exact spot.
Speaker 1: I'm only on the Texas at four and a half.
Speaker 1: I'm kind of agnostic or ambivalent about it at three
Speaker 1: and a.
Speaker 2: Half and half im the Chief.
Speaker 3: Honestly, it's not scared me, but it's like, again, I
Speaker 3: just to be one of our five. It's like, man,
Speaker 3: I really wish you came in super confident, the Chief,
Speaker 3: so I can have backed you up here, But it
Speaker 3: sucks for split, so I guess we'll just avoid it.
Speaker 1: Well, look, I think we have three games we're agreed
Speaker 1: on so far, Cleveland, the Jets, and the Saints. Boy,
Speaker 1: that's a magnificent trio. That's like the Indiana University football
Speaker 1: team of the nineteen seventies trio right there.
Speaker 2: So now we got to make it so what's Alanta
Speaker 2: in this contest?
Speaker 1: Atlanta is hold on and a half. Now I think
Speaker 1: Atlanta six and a half. So this is where it
Speaker 1: gets tricky, right because Atlanta, which we which I liked
Speaker 1: a lot.
Speaker 2: That's a very very sharp, a lot of sharps. I know, like, yes,
Speaker 2: I do not see it.
Speaker 1: Drake. I I backed out of it because Drake London
Speaker 1: is not playing and I'm not going to buy into
Speaker 1: Drake London. Buffalo and Cincinnati Cincinnati six and a half,
Speaker 1: that's interesting to miss.
Speaker 2: You want that six and a half.
Speaker 1: I like Cincinnati and six and a half, all right,
Speaker 1: But but the other games that we've liked all week,
Speaker 1: Baltimore we've liked all week. It's up to six and
Speaker 1: a half in the contest.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wouldn't let that.
Speaker 3: I mean again, very smart professionals have taken the six
Speaker 3: the six and a half on Pittsburgh.
Speaker 2: So that could be my little bit hesentation. And I
Speaker 2: don't know if you saw them more.
Speaker 3: Apparently got stepped on in practice and he missed the
Speaker 3: day and he did come back I.
Speaker 2: Believe on Thursday or Friday. He did practice. But it's
Speaker 2: not again.
Speaker 3: I wish I could be more confident in betting this
Speaker 3: Ravens team, but the historical data just shows like Pittsburgh
Speaker 3: as a doll here, you're supposed to blindly bet it,
Speaker 3: but I just I can't get there.
Speaker 2: It just sucks. It's a bad number, like five and
Speaker 2: a half.
Speaker 3: I'd honestly make us put this Ravens game at six.
Speaker 2: And a half.
Speaker 3: If we can't find anything else, I'll put it in.
Speaker 3: But it's it's obviously not that good of a number.
Speaker 1: The Jags, by the way, in the contest are two
Speaker 1: and a half, so that to me changes the calculus
Speaker 1: a little bit.
Speaker 2: Drags are two and a half.
Speaker 1: In the contest.
Speaker 3: That's crazy because hard Rock is one and a half here.
Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean I could get into it this weather,
Speaker 3: though it does. I'm trying to keep perspective. It's like
Speaker 3: we're betting Trevor in the rain. But that's a great number.
Speaker 1: The other game that I want to bring up, I
Speaker 1: know we're bouncing around here, but we're looking at contest.
Speaker 1: The Las Vegas Raiders are now eight and a half
Speaker 1: against you. Okay, good, I'm glad. I listen. You mentioned
Speaker 1: the Raiders the other day. I don't want to do
Speaker 1: it but I wanted to.
Speaker 3: Respect to number what I told you I got. I
Speaker 3: got more invested in Denver's money line, So I just
Speaker 3: I don't want to.
Speaker 2: Be sweating that. All right, Well we got already used
Speaker 2: to come down. I probably gonna lose that money, but
Speaker 2: my god.
Speaker 1: We got some tough choices to make then. So like yeah, like.
Speaker 3: Again, I don't know if you're gonna like these games,
Speaker 3: like we're supposed to be betting green Bay, Like you know,
Speaker 3: we're supposed to be betting green Bay. But it's a
Speaker 3: hard spot because it's like green Bay has not covered
Speaker 3: this number at all all season. Bears have lived up
Speaker 3: like expectations. I mean, they've gone far and above what
Speaker 3: we all predicted. They've been covering machine. I just don't
Speaker 3: get why this number is not budged all week. If anything,
Speaker 3: it's going to seven at a couple of yeah, I
Speaker 3: saw that, and it's been never any amounts of Bears money.
Speaker 3: I went to the book on Tuesday. Both guys in
Speaker 3: front of me in the line, we're betting the Bears.
Speaker 3: I went to the book on Wednesday. Four different people
Speaker 3: in the line were talking about this Bears, how much
Speaker 3: I love the Bears. It's never any amount of love.
Speaker 3: I'm just saying for the general book on this Bear
Speaker 3: as well. So again, we don't have to get there.
Speaker 3: I know you don't love it because you're you went.
Speaker 1: You know I bet the Bears on the money line.
Speaker 3: Listen, I told you I made that bet that Chad
Speaker 3: bet that the Bears money line with in the inner
Speaker 3: who'siers money line?
Speaker 2: But my god, this number is it's the fishiest line
Speaker 2: of the week.
Speaker 1: Simon. Do you see this? Do you see this? You
Speaker 1: see this? Do you know what's underneath it? By the way,
Speaker 1: do you know what's underneath it? Hold on shirt all right?
Speaker 2: Showing me his nipples. People.
Speaker 1: So I got the Bears T shirt and the Indiana hoodie.
Speaker 1: I root for I root for champions, but I don't
Speaker 1: want to put put him in the contest.
Speaker 2: What's our favorite? Though? We need to get a favorite
Speaker 2: in here. Check because we last week, I know, I
Speaker 2: know we got smoked.
Speaker 1: Listen. We loved the well we have Cleveland and don't
Speaker 1: forget three and a half. Look, look, I'll say something
Speaker 1: crazy here.
Speaker 2: I say it.
Speaker 1: Okay, we love the Rams at seven and a half,
Speaker 1: and we bet it at seven and a half. It's
Speaker 1: at nine and a half because there's a bunch of
Speaker 1: injuries for the Cardinals. Why not the Rams nine and
Speaker 1: a half right now? Terrible number, But I think if
Speaker 1: they win, this's going to be a blowout.
Speaker 3: All right, I can be talking into it. I'm heavily
Speaker 3: investing in the Rams.
Speaker 2: I'll do that, all right.
Speaker 1: So we'll take a sec message here from hard reck Bet.
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Speaker 1: at it right now, Jacksonville plus two and a half,
Speaker 1: Cleveland minus three and a half, Jets plus two and
Speaker 1: a half, New Orleans plus eight and a half, la
Speaker 1: Rams minus nine and a half. Those are our five.
Speaker 1: All right, all right, well listen, listen, Chad and Simon BFFs.
Speaker 1: Just put that into the Sharper Square contest page. Everyone
Speaker 1: can go sign up sharpersquare dot the volume dot com.
Speaker 1: You still got a chance. You can find shatt at
Speaker 1: Simon bfs apps. You'll see our picks. It's all there, Simon.
Speaker 1: One more thing before we get out of here. As
Speaker 1: a native of England, I know how much you love
Speaker 1: the actual original football. Please confirm that for me.
Speaker 2: I love it.
Speaker 1: I know you do. I know when I know when
Speaker 1: you watch your favorite English Premier League team you only
Speaker 1: speak with an English accent. The pre eminent international soccer
Speaker 1: tournament will be hosted right here in America this summer.
Speaker 1: At the draw for that tournament, as I said, took
Speaker 1: place on Friday. It drew more viewers worldwide than the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Seriously, I don't know nearly as much as
Speaker 1: you do on the subject. But I do know a
Speaker 1: couple of things. The tournament has expanded, so nearly fifty
Speaker 1: countries are going to play one hundred total matches. Because
Speaker 1: of America is the host country, the US men's national
Speaker 1: team automatically qualifies, which is nice. But I hear it
Speaker 1: got big expectations. I saw the coach the other day
Speaker 1: said he had big, big expectations at hard Rock Bet.
Speaker 1: Right now, you can already bet on every single match
Speaker 1: in the first round with hundreds of markets available for
Speaker 1: every single match. Plus you'll find tons of futures like
Speaker 1: group winners, top score, MVP simon. I know you got
Speaker 1: a whole group of people like guys who tell you
Speaker 1: when to bet Indiana. What do you hear about early
Speaker 1: soccer bets people might want to find in their hard
Speaker 1: rock bed app right now?
Speaker 3: I hope maybe I can persuade you to get into
Speaker 3: it because it's in the summer. This is like the
Speaker 3: prime time through betting, these exact type of spots, like
Speaker 3: it's right around NHL NBA playoffs, and this is the
Speaker 3: tournament right this is all the different countries and sad
Speaker 3: I just talked about the viewership is insane for these
Speaker 3: types of things. Just reading off the list of where
Speaker 3: these teams, what groups these teams are going to play
Speaker 3: in the better number of the Super Bowl, it's just
Speaker 3: you can't wrap ahead around it how many people are
Speaker 3: obsessed with this exact tournament.
Speaker 2: So from the.
Speaker 3: Top, the very basic this is have you been there
Speaker 3: before to the party?
Speaker 2: Right?
Speaker 3: And just like if you want a Super Bowl football,
Speaker 3: it's easier for some reason to win another super Bowl,
Speaker 3: it's the same in this tournament. If you've done it before,
Speaker 3: it's easier to do and if you haven't, it's basically impossible.
Speaker 3: You're just if you're not nobody of the party're never
Speaker 3: going to do it. So it's very top heavy people.
Speaker 3: Off the basis, if you just want to pick a
Speaker 3: team and that's your team for the tournament, the top
Speaker 3: four Spain, England, France, Argentina, you can just pick one
Speaker 3: of them, right, if you want to do that in
Speaker 3: your future market, that's a move to make.
Speaker 2: Right now, when I look at this, there's one group
Speaker 2: of death.
Speaker 3: Unfortunately, my favorite team is in that group of death,
Speaker 3: and that is Norway. Norway, which is a team that
Speaker 3: if you don't know they have a guy named Holland
Speaker 3: he's the greatest striker in the world. Basically, he's the
Speaker 3: homes of the sport, basically al Ja and Get. He's
Speaker 3: just the best at what he does at a certain position.
Speaker 3: And in this sports, soccer, the whole game could change
Speaker 3: if you have an unnaturally gifted goal scorer because it's
Speaker 3: so hard to score in this tournament because everyone's just
Speaker 3: so tight.
Speaker 2: It's just such a big deal of these guys. So
Speaker 2: unfortunately they're in the Group of death, which is Group I.
Speaker 2: They have France.
Speaker 3: It's France, Norway and then Senegal, which if you know
Speaker 3: anything about Senegal, it's an African country that is filthy,
Speaker 3: filthy at soccer. They are pure Dallas cowboys, tons and
Speaker 3: tons of offense, no defense, and they're really fun.
Speaker 2: We're in that group. France right now is minus one eighty.
Speaker 3: You can get Norway plus two eighty at hard Rock
Speaker 3: plus two sixty if you want to bet that, and
Speaker 3: them to win it all, which overall the whole you know,
Speaker 3: cup I think they're plus three thousand.
Speaker 2: A lot of books.
Speaker 3: It's moved now to twenty five to one, so it's
Speaker 3: Norway's come down a little bit people have been hitting
Speaker 3: it even though they're in the group of death. If
Speaker 3: you are very lazy American better we've done it, people.
Speaker 3: We are in the exact group you want to bet
Speaker 3: a For the first time in my lifetime, this might
Speaker 3: be our best opportunity in the next two hundred years
Speaker 3: to win this.
Speaker 2: Twenty just because at home for us, and.
Speaker 3: They basically laid it out where we're not going to
Speaker 3: face any good teams for the first month. They've really
Speaker 3: put us on a nice spot here for the first
Speaker 3: couple of weeks. And basically the USA is in Group D.
Speaker 3: We are plus one twenty right now at hard Rock
Speaker 3: I talk to a proably makes this minus two hundred
Speaker 3: in this group. That's how bad. Again, I'm not trying
Speaker 3: to pick on USA. That's just how easy our group is,
Speaker 3: or we don't have any of these big times. South
Speaker 3: America or European teams are our hardest competition right now
Speaker 3: is not even decided yet. It could be Turkey, which
Speaker 3: again that doesn't put up a lot of fear to you,
Speaker 3: or Paraguay.
Speaker 2: Those are just not that good at teams.
Speaker 3: And then fishing out the bottom of the group is Australy.
Speaker 3: I think they're eight to one to win this group.
Speaker 3: So to me, if you're looking for a very home
Speaker 3: er bet, I don't hate it. If you want to
Speaker 3: bet the USA to win the World Cup, there is
Speaker 3: a path. I can squim my eyes and see it.
Speaker 3: Just because it's a new year, there's forty eight teams
Speaker 3: in this new tournament the way they've let it out
Speaker 3: and these a lot of these countries have not dealt
Speaker 3: with America humidity. So I can see the opportunity for America.
Speaker 3: If you want to bet them the long shot to
Speaker 3: win it all, I think you can still get them
Speaker 3: at sixty six to one or fifty to one. But
Speaker 3: to me, group play to win their group plus one twenty,
Speaker 3: there's good value there to win them group D. So
Speaker 3: really fired up for USA's prospects in this tournament.
Speaker 1: Listen, United States could be the Indiana of global soccer
Speaker 1: this year. And reminder, hard Rock Bet is your betting
Speaker 1: home for all of this summer's global soccer action. Reminder,
Speaker 1: our picks are in Chad and Simon BFFs. We're at
Speaker 1: Jacksonville plus two and a half. That's the number in
Speaker 1: the contest, where a Cleveland minus three and a half
Speaker 1: New York Jets plus two and a half, New Orleans
Speaker 1: Saints plus eight and a half, and Los Angeles Rams
Speaker 1: minus nine and a half on the road against the
Speaker 1: battered Arizona Cardinals. This has been Square part of the
Speaker 1: Volume podcast network. We will be back on Sharper Square
Speaker 1: tonight seven point thirty ish after the late afternoon America's
Speaker 1: game between the Bears and the Packers will recap all
Speaker 1: the misery and glory of the day. Watch or listen
Speaker 1: on YouTube at Sharp or Square. Like the video, subscribe
Speaker 1: to the channel. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods, whatever
Speaker 1: you get your pods, rate review, subscribe, leave us five stars,
Speaker 1: say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until next time.
Speaker 1: Love you God. This isn't going You're not at all
Speaker 1: I understand it. This is ANFL which stands for not prolonged.
Speaker 1: When you make them golls, I'll be selling groceries.