1 00:00:01,320 --> 00:00:04,640 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris 2 00:00:04,680 --> 00:00:07,480 Speaker 1: along with Bau mcbrair. We've got a betting preview of 3 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: the three m Open on tap for today. It's the 4 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:12,680 Speaker 1: second last event on the PGA Tour calendar before the 5 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: FedEx Cup playoffs. But first let's quickly touch on the 6 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: final major of the year, the Open Championship. Scotti Scheffler 7 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:23,919 Speaker 1: is your champion Golfer of the year. He wins the 8 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:27,319 Speaker 1: opening a runaway at royal Port Rush. Scotty opened with 9 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: a sixty eight on Thursday and was one shot behind 10 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: the pack. He grabbed the thirty six hole lead with 11 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: a sterling round of sixty four on Friday. He stretched 12 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:38,279 Speaker 1: that lead to four with the sixty seven on Saturday. 13 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:40,479 Speaker 1: Then he birdied three of his first five holes on 14 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: Sunday to effectively grab the claret jug with both hands. 15 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: Scotty's only hiccup on Sunday was a double bogie in 16 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,199 Speaker 1: the eighth hole when he had some trouble with a 17 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 1: fairway bunker, but by then his cushion was so big 18 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: that not even a crooked number could introduce some drama 19 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: to the proceedings. Harris English finishes second, four shots back 20 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: Chris Goderup, who had won the Scottish Open a week earlier. 21 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 1: He finished solo third at royal Port Rush, Hot tong Lee, 22 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 1: Matt Fitzpatrick and Wyndham Clark tie for fourth, and twenty 23 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: twenty four Open champion Xander Schoffley and favorite son of 24 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland Rory McElroy finishing a tie for seventh after 25 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: acquitting themselvesselves pretty well all week. Bow Your takeaways from 26 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 1: Scotti Scheffler's first Open championship victory, Well. 27 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 2: We can't call it flawless, but it was as close 28 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 2: to flawless as you're going to get for an Open championship. 29 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 2: The scoring was pretty favorable. That Royal Port Rush is 30 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 2: just a really tough golf course, so even with premium 31 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 2: scoring conditions, it wasn't that easy unless your name was 32 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 2: Scotti Scheffler. Uh, he's just so good. He's he's a machine, 33 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 2: and that's from tee to green. You expect him to 34 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 2: be the best in the field. But last the week 35 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,240 Speaker 2: before last at Scottish he was one hundred and eighteenth 36 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 2: in strokes gain putting. He finished number one in total 37 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 2: putts and number two in strokes game put in the 38 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 2: whole field at the at the Open Championship, if Scotty's 39 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 2: in the top five of putting, nobody has any chance. 40 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: Period. 41 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 2: That's just it. Like, even if Scotty's in the top forty, 42 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 2: he's probably gonna win if he's putting well enough to 43 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 2: be in the top forty, if he's putting number one 44 00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:20,359 Speaker 2: or number two in the field, it's a it's a 45 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 2: shock that he only won by four. Honestly, that's that's 46 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 2: how good he is. From Teita Green and we thought 47 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 2: for sure that he couldn't read the greens as well 48 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 2: as other stateside greens. But he figured something out. And 49 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 2: if if happy he learned how to putt, it's no 50 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 2: stopping him. Scotty Scheffler might not celebrate his win too long, 51 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 2: but he's he's gonna celebrate, And I mean, it's just 52 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:47,679 Speaker 2: it was fun to watch. He's a lot of people 53 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:51,080 Speaker 2: call him boring. I think it's the opposite. We're watching greatness, 54 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 2: and anytime we're witnessing greatness, I have to pinch myself 55 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:59,920 Speaker 2: because I get so excited to watch just how pristy 56 00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 2: his game is. From every club in the bag, his 57 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:07,400 Speaker 2: mental game is insanely strong. This guy is just he's 58 00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 2: an all time great already and it's a privilege to 59 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 2: watch that unfold at the Open Championship. 60 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: Yes, Scotty, he wasn't great on the tee all week. 61 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: He caught some good breaks. There were a couple of 62 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,280 Speaker 1: times where balls could have gone into the thick stuff 63 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 1: and bounced and stayed up in the light stuff. But man, 64 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: the distance control on his irons and wedges, the scrambling, 65 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: I mean, the gamer on the green and like you said, bo, 66 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: I mean he I know he was vexed by the 67 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 1: faescue greens at the Scottish Open. Not so much a 68 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: royal port rush. He was dialed in. It was a 69 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 1: sight to behold. Do we think it might have been 70 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: closer if we had gotten some more Scottish weather because 71 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: it looked like San Diego out there on the weekend. 72 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, And that's kind of what surprised me is that 73 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 2: Scotty Scheffler dominates when the weather is good, and I 74 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 2: think is his game strategy hasn't really played out for 75 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 2: Scottish weather or Northern Irish weather. The Open Championship is 76 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 2: usually marked by great scoring conditions when the weather's perfect 77 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:18,160 Speaker 2: and then unplayable conditions darn near when the weather's it's 78 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 2: just when the wind is up. And Royal Port Rush 79 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: is a brutally difficult golf course when the wind is up. 80 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 2: We just didn't get any wind, and so Scotti Scheffler's 81 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 2: high ball flight. He's good at flighting it down, but 82 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 2: his real strength is when he's just better than everybody 83 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 2: else at gauging distance and hitting the center of the 84 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 2: club face with his irons, and there's really no extra 85 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 2: calculus to it when there's no wind to factor in. 86 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 2: Where you might see a Tommy Fleetwood or Rory McIlroy 87 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 2: or Harry Hall kind of kick it into gear. Those 88 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,279 Speaker 2: are the Shane Lowry's of the world. Those guys need 89 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 2: inclement weather to kind of equalize the field. Against Scotti Scheffler, 90 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 2: we didn't get that, and honestly, it was his off 91 00:04:56,760 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 2: the tea game that made it a mercy kept it 92 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 2: from being a mercy. Rule Like the two thousand Open 93 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 2: Championship when Tiger blitz the field with nineteen under, it 94 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 2: reminded me of that. It was not quite as dominant, 95 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 2: but it was more of like, okay, if the wind 96 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 2: doesn't pick up. Nobody's got a chance to even catch him. 97 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 2: And even how tong Lee was just like, I'm playing 98 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 2: for second place here, I'm being realistic and that's refreshing 99 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:24,800 Speaker 2: to hear that you really did. He didn't know that 100 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 2: he wasn't going to have a chance, but he also 101 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 2: figured chances are Scotty's not going to beat himself. 102 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely not. And what a change in weather at 103 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 1: Royal Port Rush from twenty nineteen one of the saggiest 104 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 1: Open championships in history probably to you know, sun and 105 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 1: looked like they were in Fiji or something for much 106 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:49,719 Speaker 1: of that tournament. But before we move on, Scotty's performance 107 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 1: sort of rekindled the Scotty versus Tiger debate. We touched 108 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 1: on that earlier this year. Briefly, where do you think 109 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 1: Scotty stands visa v. Tiger in terms of all time 110 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 1: golf greatness? 111 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:05,040 Speaker 2: I don't think he could attain what Tiger attained. Tiger 112 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 2: completely reinvented the game of golf. Tiger saved the game 113 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 2: of golf in the mid nineties. It went from a 114 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 2: very much a fourth or fifth level sport on TV 115 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 2: to must see TV in the majors and anytime he 116 00:06:19,760 --> 00:06:24,280 Speaker 2: teed it up. So the level of greatness is probably comparable, 117 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 2: especially since Scotty's doing this against stronger competition on tougher 118 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 2: golf courses than Tiger did. At the same time, what 119 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 2: Tiger did for the sport as greatness, I count that in. 120 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 2: And I don't think Scotty has the personality or the 121 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:43,240 Speaker 2: want to to be a Tiger Woods, and that's fine. 122 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:45,839 Speaker 2: I just I want to say the game is on 123 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 2: par with Tiger, but what he's doing to invigorate the 124 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:53,599 Speaker 2: entire sport, it's just not there because it's it's not 125 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 2: that he wants to be there, and there's so many 126 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 2: other talented players that can carry that torch for Scotty, 127 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 2: and Scotty can just go out and keep winning tournaments 128 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:05,039 Speaker 2: and be ho hum family guy. That's his place in 129 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 2: the sport. And I don't fault him for it. I 130 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 2: just don't think that we need to be putting those 131 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:12,480 Speaker 2: two side by side, because if you're saying vis a 132 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 2: vis Tiger is not reachable, He's He's a seven hundred 133 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 2: yard par five into the wind. He's not reachable for anybody, 134 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 2: that's just not going to happen. And I don't think 135 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 2: Scotty is interested in reaching Tiger status, and Tiger's still Tiger. Like, 136 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 2: if Tiger showed up to a healthy to a tournament tomorrow, 137 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 2: we'd be talking all about him and not about Scotty. 138 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:36,240 Speaker 2: What does that tell you at fifteen? 139 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, it does remind me sort of the Jordan Lebron debates. 140 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: And you know, a lot of the people who bring 141 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: it up and people who sort of think that Scotty 142 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 1: is on par with Tiger were maybe, yeah, people from 143 00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: the younger generation who weren't around for the best of Tiger. 144 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: And yeah, like to me, Jordan was the competitive fires 145 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 1: burn brighter in him than an any other NBA player ever. 146 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 1: And I think he could say the same of Tiger Woods. 147 00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: And there were times when we saw it wasn't necessarily 148 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: the best players of Tiger's arab besides Tiger who gave 149 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: him the best battles. I mean, he got his best 150 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: fights from some unexpected people Rock Omediate, Bob May, Chris DeMarco. 151 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 1: But like, those guys were playing the best they had 152 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: ever played in their lives, and like it took a 153 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: heroic effort from Tiger to beat those guys, and he 154 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:33,840 Speaker 1: still managed to beat all those guys when they brought 155 00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: their finest. 156 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 2: I don't think this is quite the lightning rod of 157 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 2: topic like Lebron and MJ. Because where I see Lebron 158 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:47,320 Speaker 2: is certainly an all time great. I see him as 159 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:50,599 Speaker 2: the catalyst for that debate because he came into the 160 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 2: league as a high school graduate straight in wearing number 161 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 2: twenty three. Wanted to be like MJ. He wanted to 162 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 2: be Air Jordan. He wanted to be the next Air Jordan, 163 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 2: and he shot for the moon and for a lot 164 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 2: of people he reached that status. He read he reinvented 165 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 2: the game of basketball like MJ did in his era. 166 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:10,960 Speaker 2: So I think that those two are a lot closer 167 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,959 Speaker 2: than Scotty trying to reach a level of notoriety and 168 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 2: all that that Tiger reached through complete dominance. Like Scotty's 169 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 2: winning tournaments and he's winning majors. But it's only been 170 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:26,840 Speaker 2: three four years and Tiger did this for a decade 171 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:30,320 Speaker 2: and a half straight. Yeah, So yeah, if Scotty wants 172 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:32,559 Speaker 2: to be the legend of Tiger, he's going to keep 173 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 2: up this pace for another decade straight. Good luck. I 174 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 2: hope you do it. I don't know if he actually 175 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 2: wants to, though, you might be riding off into the 176 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 2: sunset long before that. 177 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 1: Great point, all right, closing the book on the Open Championship. 178 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,679 Speaker 1: And by the way, Ryan Girard won last week's Barracuda 179 00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 1: Championship here in the state. It's a nice win for 180 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: the twenty five year old Girard. Now we're on to 181 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 1: the three M Open. We'll get to it and the 182 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,200 Speaker 1: betting preview in just a moment, but first. 183 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 2: Download the free to Betting Pros app for iOS and Android. 184 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 2: With Sportsbooks Sinc. You can automatically track your bets across 185 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 2: all major sportsbooks in one spot. Easily monitor your bet 186 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:14,520 Speaker 2: performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, props 187 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:17,720 Speaker 2: and parlays. Go ahead and crete your own custom betting 188 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 2: systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get your 189 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 2: own seven day free trial of Betting Pros Premium by 190 00:10:24,280 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 2: downloading the app at Bettingpros dot com, slash apps using 191 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 2: code juice and activating your trial on the upgrade screen. 192 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: So after two weeks of links golf in Northern Europe, 193 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 1: we are back in the US for more familiar Parkland golf. 194 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:41,880 Speaker 1: The top players are sitting this one out in Minnesota, 195 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 1: but it's a reasonably deep field for the threem Open, 196 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:47,679 Speaker 1: and we're going to see a lot of the mid 197 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 1: level PGA tour pros teeing it up this week to 198 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: better position themselves for the FedEx Cup playoffs. The three 199 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 1: im Open will be played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota. 200 00:10:57,880 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 1: It's a par seventy one that will play at seven 201 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 1: four hundred and thirty one yards. The course was designed 202 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 1: by Arnold Palmer with input from Native Minnesota Tom Layman. 203 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:11,680 Speaker 1: TPC Twin Cities certainly isn't a difficult course by tour standards, 204 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 1: but it's not without danger. There's water water everywhere, not 205 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 1: a drop to drink. Water comes into play on fifteen 206 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:21,720 Speaker 1: holes at TPC Twin Cities. A lot of those water 207 00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 1: hazards will threaten players t shots and a lot of 208 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 1: those water hazards run down the right side of holes. 209 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:33,360 Speaker 1: Slicers beware lefty hook or lefty hookers. That's right, don't 210 00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 1: want to leave out my left time. 211 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 2: I'm not a hooker, pat Okay. 212 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: The fairways are pretty generous at TPC Twin Cities and 213 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 1: it has some big greens. We're going to see a 214 00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:47,960 Speaker 1: higher than usual percentage of greens and regulations, so chipping 215 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 1: in bunker play scrambling won't be as important this week. 216 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 1: The greens are bent grass. It's fairly long course three 217 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 1: to the part. Three of the four par threes are 218 00:11:57,920 --> 00:12:00,319 Speaker 1: longer than two hundred yards, and all three of the 219 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: par fives are between five hundred and ninety and six 220 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,440 Speaker 1: hundred yards. That includes the five hundred and ninety sixth 221 00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:11,079 Speaker 1: eighteenth five hundred and ninety six yard eighteenth hole. It's 222 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 1: a risk reward par five that plays shorter than its 223 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 1: length if players are willing to try a risky second 224 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 1: shot over a pond. Now the defending three M Open 225 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: champ as Jonathan Vegas. Johnny Vegas finished seventeen under par 226 00:12:24,160 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: last year to beat Max Grazerman by one shot. Lee 227 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 1: Hodges was a runaway winner in twenty twenty three with 228 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,079 Speaker 1: a score of twenty four under par. Tony Final was 229 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,720 Speaker 1: seventeen under to win in twenty twenty two, and Cameron 230 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:38,040 Speaker 1: Champ won in twenty twenty one. He was fifteen under. 231 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: The weather forecast for the tournament, high temperatures in the 232 00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 1: low eighties all four days chances for rain each day, 233 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: but no apparent danger of a washout. Light wins in 234 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:50,079 Speaker 1: the five to ten miles per hour range throughout the tournaments. 235 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 1: But now that we have a pretty good sample size 236 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:54,760 Speaker 1: on TPC twin Cities, what are some of the things 237 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:57,679 Speaker 1: you're keying in on this week when handicapping the field. 238 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 2: It really comes down to ball striking. The opposite of 239 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:03,720 Speaker 2: the Open Championship is where you're looking at scrambling and 240 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 2: around the green stats pretty heavily. I'm not looking at 241 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 2: those at all this week. It's about off the tee prowess. 242 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:13,800 Speaker 2: Strokes gained off the tee. Driving distances a bonus in 243 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 2: this tournament because of its length and the risk reward 244 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 2: propositions on the par fives as well as some of 245 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:23,559 Speaker 2: the longer part fours. A birdier better percentage, of course, 246 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 2: on easier golf course like this, you gotta have guys 247 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 2: that a have opportunities gained at a high rate as 248 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 2: well as be the birdier better percentage to convert those opportunities. 249 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:36,560 Speaker 2: So a lot of overlay there, and then this, because 250 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,000 Speaker 2: of all the water hazards, you got to throw in 251 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 2: some bogie avoidance trying to avoid the big number below 252 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:45,560 Speaker 2: up is it's kind of it's kind of killed a 253 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:48,840 Speaker 2: couple of potential winners like Grazerman, who I bet on 254 00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:51,439 Speaker 2: last year, who probably would have won if he didn't 255 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:54,840 Speaker 2: find some hazards, some penalty areas during his course of 256 00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 2: the of the tournament. It's it all comes down to 257 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 2: making lots of birdies and avoiding that really big crooked number, 258 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:06,559 Speaker 2: and then ball striking, ball striking, ball striking approach, game driving. 259 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 2: It's going to be really important to get from tee 260 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:12,080 Speaker 2: to green and then a hot putter. I'm looking at 261 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:14,440 Speaker 2: the last twenty four rounds of putting on bent grass 262 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 2: and that should round it out. It's a pretty straightforward 263 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 2: model this week. Not a lot of filtering. I just 264 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:23,280 Speaker 2: want to make sure that we get the hottest golfers 265 00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 2: playing the best golf right now, and the guys who 266 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,080 Speaker 2: can convert enough berties to win this thing. 267 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 1: It'll be interesting because a lot of the players with 268 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 1: shorter odds are big hitters who are not great in 269 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: the driving accuracy category. We'll take a look at those 270 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 1: odds in just a moment. Right after Bow tells you 271 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 1: about no vague. 272 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:43,520 Speaker 2: Are you looking for a smarter way to play. There's 273 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 2: a new sports trading platform that's changing the game. 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Check it 283 00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 2: out now at bettingpros dot com slash juice. That's bettingpros 284 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 2: dot com slash juice. Our colleague Mic Mayre is on 285 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 2: it every day. Is a Novic fanatic, always dropping screenshots 286 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 2: and picks in our company discord. If you have questions, 287 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 2: Mic Mayor is happy to help Pat. He's almost insufferable 288 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:38,119 Speaker 2: in that discord chat. 289 00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 1: And in otherwise too almost talk about. 290 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 2: Almost it's not just the Novig stuff. But he does win, 291 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 2: so I guess it balances out. That's right. 292 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 1: Let's dig into the odds for the three m open. 293 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: All odds are courtesy of DraftKings. As a Monday afternoon, 294 00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: Sam Burns opens as the favoritest at plus sixteen hundred. 295 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 1: Chris got her up was red hot and Sktlin in 296 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,400 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland. In the past two weeks, he's plus eighteen hundred, 297 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 1: as is Maverick McNeely, Max Grazerman and Taylor Penrith are 298 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 1: plus twenty eight hundred. Plus thirty five hundred are Michael Thorbiornson, 299 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 1: Jay Knapp, Tony Finow, Davis Thompson or Ricky Foller. And 300 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 1: the big group at plus four thousand includes Akshay Batilla, 301 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 1: Max Homa, Kurt Kitty Yama, Keith Mitchell, Milliano, Grio, Sung 302 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 1: JM and Seewu Kim. Who do you like from this group? 303 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 2: Oh? Right off the top? I did see Sam Burns 304 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:33,520 Speaker 2: recently slip to eighteen to one to be the same 305 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 2: line as Chris Gottrup. I like Chris Gottrup's form, especially 306 00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 2: his tee degreen game has never been in question. His 307 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 2: short game has really showed a resurgence, especially last two weeks. 308 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 2: He's won two point seven million dollars last two weeks. 309 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:51,160 Speaker 2: Pretty solid for a trip around the links a few times. 310 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 2: I like him in eighteen to one as the outright 311 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 2: betting favorite. His te degreen game is really going to 312 00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 2: play here, his distance will definitely play here, and he's 313 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 2: riding a hot putter. So let's let's get on the 314 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:05,360 Speaker 2: Chris Gottrup train and ride it until the wheels fall off. 315 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,080 Speaker 2: He's only what twenty four years old, He's got a 316 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 2: lot of future ahead of him. As far as other 317 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,920 Speaker 2: guys in this range, I'll hone in on another guy 318 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 2: who's a long hitter who makes a lot of birdies, 319 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 2: especially in this kype of tournament. I like Michael thorpe 320 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:24,159 Speaker 2: Jornsen but and Akhabatiya Kurk Kitdem. But these guys are 321 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 2: all in my model pretty highly ranked. But I'm gonna 322 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 2: go to Jake Napp. Jake Nap is the kind of 323 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 2: guy that thirty five to one the handicapped system for me. 324 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,399 Speaker 2: I had him more of his a twenty five to 325 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 2: one pick in this field, and to get an extra 326 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 2: ten points out of the bet really sings to me. 327 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 2: All the other guys that I like are a little 328 00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 2: too short for my liking based on how I handicapped it. 329 00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:50,200 Speaker 2: So I will stick with Jake Nap at thirty five 330 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:51,920 Speaker 2: to one to round out the favorites. 331 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:55,200 Speaker 1: Oh, you know, I'm a Jake Nap guy. BO. He's 332 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: finished inside the top thirty in each of his last 333 00:17:57,520 --> 00:18:02,080 Speaker 1: four events, including a Big Cista, Big Siesta, including a 334 00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:06,479 Speaker 1: fourth place finish at the Rocket Classic. Napp did withdraw 335 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 1: from last year's three M Classic, ostensibly due to a 336 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,439 Speaker 1: shoulder injury or because he was having a miserable third round. 337 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,840 Speaker 1: Nap is a big hitter and ranks twelfth in strokes 338 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:19,639 Speaker 1: game putting, but he does rank one hundred and sixty 339 00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:21,320 Speaker 1: first in driving accuracy. 340 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:22,600 Speaker 2: BO. 341 00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:24,359 Speaker 1: That's kind of the same deal with Chris got Her 342 00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 1: Up too. You know, got Her Up is second on 343 00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 1: tour in driving distance, one hundred and fifty seventh in 344 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 1: driving accuracy. Got Her Up is like, I wonder if 345 00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 1: there's any sort of could he be a little emotionally 346 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 1: spent after two weeks of you know, winning one and 347 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 1: contending in another, and you know, then coming back overseas. 348 00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 1: I just I feel like Jake Knapp gives you a 349 00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:54,439 Speaker 1: very similar profile of player at a much better price. 350 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:58,640 Speaker 2: It's yeah, it's it's definitely there. I like both of them. 351 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 2: I'm going to bet on both of them. I'm not 352 00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:02,919 Speaker 2: going to be over my skis investing a lot of 353 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,680 Speaker 2: money in any of these guys, but I have enough 354 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:07,640 Speaker 2: guys that I really like that I'm going to kind 355 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,320 Speaker 2: of buckshot approach it this week with small investments and 356 00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 2: a lot of guys. So with the way I'm spending 357 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:18,360 Speaker 2: my money this week, I'll take a chance on both 358 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:19,879 Speaker 2: of them. But I do get your point with the 359 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:23,159 Speaker 2: line on Nap is unbelievably good and got her up 360 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 2: as a favorite to eighteen to one. I'm just taking 361 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 2: a chance that he stays hot. He despite being not 362 00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:31,879 Speaker 2: that accurate off the tea, he still strokes gained off 363 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 2: the ta number eight in this field, that's actually number 364 00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 2: six in this field, and strokes gained off the tea. 365 00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 2: That's good enough for me. A twenty fifth and overall 366 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 2: ball striking and riding the hottest putter of his entire career. 367 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:47,440 Speaker 2: That's where I'm going there. It's just the upside's good 368 00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 2: and payoff for a betting favorite. It doesn't get much 369 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 2: better than eighteen to one. 370 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, the sand Burns couldn't crack the top forty in 371 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,920 Speaker 1: either the Scottish Open or the Open Championship, but before 372 00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 1: that he had finished top twenty and seven of his 373 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:03,080 Speaker 1: previous eight events dating back to April. Burns has made 374 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:06,680 Speaker 1: three previous appearances at the three M Open, finishing seventh, 375 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 1: thirty second and twelfth, and he does rank number one 376 00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 1: in strokes gained putting. Now, Maverick McNeely played reasonably well 377 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 1: in Europe the last two weeks, twenty second in Scotland, 378 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 1: twenty third at Royal Port Rush. He finished third at 379 00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 1: the three M last year. McNeely ranks inside the top 380 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 1: forty most strokes gained off the tee and strokes game putting. 381 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 1: What about Wyndham clarkbow heated up in Europe, eleventh at 382 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: the Scottish Open, then surged into fourth place at the 383 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 1: Open Championship with that sixty five on Sunday, But he 384 00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 1: ranks one hundred and thirty eighth in driving accuracy, one 385 00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,400 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty seventh in strokes gained on approach. 386 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:45,880 Speaker 2: Not interested at all in Wyndham Clark. He's just too 387 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 2: spray happy. He got the benefit of some light wins 388 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,000 Speaker 2: on a wide open golf course like Royal Port Rush 389 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:56,120 Speaker 2: wasn't difficult to find the fairways. It was just kind 390 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,920 Speaker 2: of like the you just only missed him if you 391 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:00,920 Speaker 2: ran through him, like you carried the ball too far. 392 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:04,359 Speaker 2: Wyndham Clark really fits that link style play better because 393 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:07,320 Speaker 2: he plays along the ground a little bit more. I 394 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,919 Speaker 2: just don't think he's accurate enough on approach for this tournament. 395 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 2: I think you'd be fine off the tee, but his 396 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:16,720 Speaker 2: approach game has not been good. So I'll take a 397 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 2: hard pass on Wyndham Clark, especially since he's just kind 398 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 2: of been streaky and in the worst way where just 399 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 2: when we think he's gonna get hot, he throws out 400 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,679 Speaker 2: a miscut by five shots and you'res like, Okay, happened. 401 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,359 Speaker 2: What happened to Wyndham Clark? All of a sudden He 402 00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:33,800 Speaker 2: went from number six in the world to twenty in 403 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:37,520 Speaker 2: like two week span. So I don't think I want 404 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:38,520 Speaker 2: anything to do with that. 405 00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:41,560 Speaker 1: Just to mention a few of these other guys. Max 406 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,200 Speaker 1: Grazerman runner up at the Three of Them Open last year. 407 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:46,280 Speaker 1: He missed the cut at the Scottish Open and the 408 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,119 Speaker 1: Open Championship, but had been playing pretty well before that. 409 00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:52,280 Speaker 1: He's one hundred and forty ninth in driving accuracy, but 410 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 1: his driving didn't really hurt him here. Last year, Taylor 411 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:58,639 Speaker 1: Pendrith missed the cut at the Open Championship. He'd been 412 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,159 Speaker 1: playing well before that too. He was fifth at the 413 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 1: three M last year, ranks seventh and strokes gained off 414 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,240 Speaker 1: the tee, but he's outside the top one hundred and 415 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 1: strokes gained putting. Emiliano Grio is a pretty good track 416 00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:11,840 Speaker 1: record in this event, with three top tens in his 417 00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:16,760 Speaker 1: last five appearance appearances plus a twenty fourth last year, 418 00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 1: and really Grio's worst The worst thing about his game 419 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 1: is is scrambling, and that weakness is sort of negated 420 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 1: here with the big greens and high greens of regulation percentage. 421 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 1: And Ricky Folerball quietly finished top twenty five of his 422 00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:34,640 Speaker 1: last eight events. His best finish other than that's over 423 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,600 Speaker 1: that stretch, though, was only a seventh at the Memorial. 424 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,280 Speaker 2: I will keep tabs on Taylor Pendrith. I hate his 425 00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 2: line right now plus twenty one hundred way too short. 426 00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 2: But if he slips, he's number three in my model. 427 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:48,120 Speaker 2: So if Pendrith gets to thirty five to one, I'll 428 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:48,720 Speaker 2: be interested. 429 00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:51,440 Speaker 1: All right, Let's look at some more of the odds. 430 00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 1: Adam Scotts plus forty five hundred, Luke Clanton, Kevin You 431 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 1: and Cameron Champ are plus five thousand, Alex Smalley, Matt Wallace, 432 00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 1: Lee Hodges, Yesters Fencing, Vince Whaley and Rico Hoye are 433 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 1: plus fifty five hundred, and at plus six thousand our 434 00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:10,719 Speaker 1: Patrick Fishburn, Nicholas Norgard, Johnny Vegas, Jacob Bridgeman, Hatong Lee, 435 00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:14,240 Speaker 1: Sam Stevens and See Thagala, And at plus sixty five 436 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 1: hundred Alex Nora and Maddy Schmidt and Peterson Coody. What 437 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:19,720 Speaker 1: about the mid range options. 438 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,520 Speaker 2: Bo Luke Clanton all the way number one in my 439 00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 2: model by a long distance. Really yeah, Luke Clinton, by 440 00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,120 Speaker 2: far number one in my model. He is no worse 441 00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:31,600 Speaker 2: than forty ninth in any stat which happens to be 442 00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:34,119 Speaker 2: bogey avoidance. He happens to be a very aggressive player, 443 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,480 Speaker 2: so not the greatest at avoiding the big number, but 444 00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,160 Speaker 2: forty ninth is still top half of the pack. He's 445 00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:41,359 Speaker 2: number one, and Birdie's are better. Gain number five an 446 00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:43,800 Speaker 2: opportunities gained, so he's given himself lots of chances and 447 00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:47,240 Speaker 2: he's converting them at an extremely high clip. Number two 448 00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 2: in ball striking twenty fourth and putting on my model 449 00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:52,720 Speaker 2: and number four on approach. He hits all the boxes 450 00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:56,880 Speaker 2: for me. There's there's just one concern that he might 451 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,800 Speaker 2: make some crooked numbers, but he's been really good at 452 00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:03,360 Speaker 2: make enough birdies to counteract that. If he could put 453 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 2: four days together rather than three, I think Luke Clinton 454 00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 2: runs away with this. Saying fifty to one is a steal. 455 00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,200 Speaker 2: I kind of had to flip a coin between him 456 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,440 Speaker 2: at fifty and Thorby Jornsen at forty and the tiebreaker 457 00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 2: with Thorby. Jornsen can't make a putt lately, so I 458 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 2: was all over that Clinton line, getting extra bit of 459 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:24,119 Speaker 2: value there. And then Patrick Fishburne another guy. It's just 460 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:27,240 Speaker 2: a great ball striker. He's number one in strokes gained 461 00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:29,600 Speaker 2: off the tee in this field, fourth and overall ball 462 00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 2: striking fifteenth and birdie or better percentage. Just great odds 463 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,359 Speaker 2: for a player that's playing really well. And then eighty 464 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,199 Speaker 2: to one. I have Kevin Roy because he's got all 465 00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,360 Speaker 2: the upside in the world. He's playing a little bit 466 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:46,159 Speaker 2: shaky on the link style, but when it comes to 467 00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 2: playing on bent grass, Kevin Roy's got some upside to burn. 468 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, interesting, you might be talking me in to Clinton 469 00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:57,480 Speaker 1: hasn't really gotten it going yet, but like you said, 470 00:24:57,520 --> 00:24:59,399 Speaker 1: there have been moments and he just can't seem to 471 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: string four rounce together in a tournament. So maybe this 472 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 1: is the week. Adam Scott at plus forty five hundred 473 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,479 Speaker 1: seems like a bargain. We're getting a big name at 474 00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,600 Speaker 1: relatively long odds. But if this event is going to 475 00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,920 Speaker 1: be largely a putting contest, and maybe it does turn 476 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:16,840 Speaker 1: into that, do we want to back Adam Scott in 477 00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 1: a putting contest? 478 00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:18,080 Speaker 3: I don't. 479 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:20,400 Speaker 2: Yeah. 480 00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:22,919 Speaker 1: Cam Champ is a pretty strong history at the three M. 481 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,679 Speaker 1: He won this event in twenty twenty one. In the 482 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:29,040 Speaker 1: two three am appearances since, he's finished sixteenth and twelve 483 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 1: Before missing the cut at the Barracuda last week, Champ 484 00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:35,479 Speaker 1: had finished top twenty and three of his previous four events, 485 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,840 Speaker 1: so he's going to keep an eye on Nora cal 486 00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:40,920 Speaker 1: hatong Lee is kind of interesting after the strong showing 487 00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: at the Open, but it seemed like he was barely 488 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 1: in control of his driver and Hatungley hits everything left 489 00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:50,040 Speaker 1: to right bo like that is kind of a scary 490 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,480 Speaker 1: proposition on a course that has so much water on 491 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 1: the right side of holes. 492 00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it's a great story though. 493 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:01,000 Speaker 1: It is. And Johnny Vegas not only did he win 494 00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 1: here last year, he also finished second here in twenty 495 00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:07,240 Speaker 1: twenty one. Maybe driving accuracy isn't that big a deal here. 496 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:09,439 Speaker 1: Johnny Vegas was one hundred and twenty eighth in that 497 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:13,440 Speaker 1: category last year. He's one hundred and fifty sixth this year. 498 00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:15,439 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk long shots, bo, who do you 499 00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 1: like at odds of seventy to one or longer? 500 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,960 Speaker 2: I jumped the gun a little bit with eighty to 501 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,280 Speaker 2: one on Kevin Roy. But I do like Hayden Springer 502 00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:27,639 Speaker 2: again this week. He finished top ten at the Barracuda. 503 00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 2: But Springer just a really solid golfer one hundred and 504 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:34,399 Speaker 2: ten to one, just an overall solid player, doesn't really 505 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:37,360 Speaker 2: have any weak spots. Chan Kim is playing really well 506 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,320 Speaker 2: right now. He's at one hundred and seventy to one, 507 00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:42,680 Speaker 2: and I'll take another norcou guy at two hundred to one. 508 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,200 Speaker 2: I actually got to chat with him at the barracudah 509 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:49,200 Speaker 2: on Saturday. Isaiah Selinda talk about a birdie making machine 510 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,119 Speaker 2: that kid can make him in bunches. He hits the 511 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 2: snot out of the ball. Yeah, Selinda is a kind 512 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,560 Speaker 2: of a fun five dollars bet to throw down two 513 00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 2: hundred to one win a thousand bucks off a five 514 00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,359 Speaker 2: dollars bet. He's already won us money at the Zurich 515 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:07,479 Speaker 2: this year, next to Kevin Vello. I just like him 516 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,880 Speaker 2: a lot. He's He's such a fun guy to have 517 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,960 Speaker 2: on tour, and I'll keep betting on him because that's 518 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:16,160 Speaker 2: just that's good. It's incentive to watch more. 519 00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:20,119 Speaker 1: All right, I'll throw out three long shots at various 520 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:23,320 Speaker 1: price points at seventy to one. Andrew Putnam, He's done 521 00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:26,000 Speaker 1: well in some recent events with lesser fields. Eighth at 522 00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,120 Speaker 1: the Rocket Classic, eleventh at the Barracuda. He was also 523 00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 1: sixth that the Canadian opened, so he can go against 524 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:35,439 Speaker 1: some stronger fields. He's finished eleventh and nineteenth in his 525 00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:38,439 Speaker 1: last two to three m appearances. One of the shortest 526 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,119 Speaker 1: hitters on tour, but Putnam does rank fourth and driving 527 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:45,720 Speaker 1: accuracy in fifteenth at Strokes Gained Potting Thriston Lawrence bo 528 00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,320 Speaker 1: the South African, pretty good driver of the ball, and. 529 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 2: He's almost made my card. He almost. 530 00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's had some good showings in America this year, 531 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:56,080 Speaker 1: twelfth at the US Open, eighth at the Rocket Classic, 532 00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:59,400 Speaker 1: and I'll throw in one deep sleeper Englishman David Skins 533 00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:02,280 Speaker 1: at two hundred to one. Skins was fourth at the 534 00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,480 Speaker 1: ESCO Championship two weeks ago, eighth at the Barracouda this 535 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:07,959 Speaker 1: past week, and he finished twenty fourth at the three 536 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:11,160 Speaker 1: M Open last year. All right, bo let's compare early 537 00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:13,199 Speaker 1: betting cards. Who do you have on yours? 538 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:15,679 Speaker 2: So I got a lot of small ones here at 539 00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 2: Chris gottr Up at eighteen to one, Jake Napp thirty 540 00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:21,400 Speaker 2: five to one, Michael Thorbjorn sent at forty to one. 541 00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:23,399 Speaker 2: If I can get him a little longer, I'm still 542 00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,240 Speaker 2: I haven't put a lot on him yet. Luke Clinton's 543 00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:29,440 Speaker 2: getting the full ladder at fifty to one, Patrick Fishburn 544 00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:32,480 Speaker 2: sixty to one, Kevin Roy eighty to one, Hayden Springer 545 00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:34,760 Speaker 2: one hundred and ten to one, Chan Kim one hundred 546 00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,840 Speaker 2: and seventy to one, and finally Isaiah Selinda two hundred 547 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:38,920 Speaker 2: to one. 548 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 1: I'm keeping my card relatively light for now. You've almost 549 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:44,920 Speaker 1: got me talked into Luke Clinton, But for now it's 550 00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,959 Speaker 1: Jake Napp at thirty five to one, emiliano'grio at forty 551 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:50,800 Speaker 1: to one horse for a course, I kind of like 552 00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,720 Speaker 1: Grio This week, Thriston Lawrence at one hundred and twenty 553 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 1: to one, and David Skins for probably two dollars at 554 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,840 Speaker 1: two hundred to one. Now for our one and done picks, 555 00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: I took Tyrrel Hatton last week. He felled on the 556 00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,440 Speaker 1: leaderboard on Sunday, finished tied for sixteenth, earning me one 557 00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:09,000 Speaker 1: thy eight hundred excuse me, one hundred and eighty five thousand, 558 00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty seven dollars. Bo took Rory McElroy. 559 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:15,560 Speaker 1: He tied for seventh, good for four hundred and fifty one, 560 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,840 Speaker 1: eight hundred and thirty three dollars. Bow UPS's lead on 561 00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 1: me to about eight hundred and fifty thousand dollars, and 562 00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,120 Speaker 1: we only have a few weeks left. Since we're not 563 00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:27,760 Speaker 1: including the Tour Championship in our competition, I'm up first 564 00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 1: this week. Bo. I have some concerns that he might 565 00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:34,440 Speaker 1: be out of gas after the two great weeks in Europe, 566 00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:36,280 Speaker 1: but I do have to go with the blazing hot 567 00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:38,440 Speaker 1: Chris Godder up. Who are you taking? 568 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 2: That's who I was gonna pick. Let's see. I want 569 00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:45,080 Speaker 2: to make sure I haven't used him. I used him. 570 00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:52,360 Speaker 2: I used him. Man, this isrough. He I burned through 571 00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 2: all my good guys. This is not great. 572 00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,480 Speaker 1: I still have Jake Nap in the bag. If you 573 00:29:57,520 --> 00:29:58,480 Speaker 1: want a double down. 574 00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's do it. Jake Nap all right, nagaham or 575 00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 2: fishburn and I don't think I want to do that. 576 00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:09,040 Speaker 1: Jake Nap for bo and Chris Godder up for me. 577 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: That's all for this week's Betting PROSPGA podcast. Please join 578 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,760 Speaker 1: us again next week when we'll be previewing the final 579 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:18,520 Speaker 1: tournament before the FEDECS Cup playoffs, the wind Them Championship. 580 00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,720 Speaker 1: Until then, so long everyone. 581 00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 582 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:25,960 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 583 00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:29,360 Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 584 00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,280 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 585 00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 586 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:50,080 Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros