1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:05,439 Speaker 1: What's up, Friendoza. Welcome back to Fantasy Pros the Baseball Podcast. 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 1: I'm your friend Chris Welsh the Welsh. You can find 3 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:10,559 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at is it the Welsh and today 4 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,320 Speaker 1: in this special episode, we're talking about the five high 5 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,639 Speaker 1: upside base Steelers heading into the season. There's a lot 6 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:19,920 Speaker 1: of room to think about what that can be. Am 7 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: I saying the top five leading bass Steelers? 8 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 2: No? Not necessarily. 9 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 1: Am I saying the top five base Steelers at the 10 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: top of your draft? 11 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 2: No? Not necessarily. 12 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,839 Speaker 1: The upside when you're taking the players already in the 13 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: first round might be kind of built in. So we're 14 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: gonna look around all different spaces of the fantasy baseball spectrum, 15 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 1: some inside the top one hundred with further upside growth, 16 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 1: and some deeper. I've got five high upside base Steelers. 17 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 1: I think we're looking at twenty plus on all of 18 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 1: these players, and maybe pushing thirty. So you're gonna wanna 19 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 1: lock in. But before you do start implementing some of 20 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: this into your draft strategy, I want you to think 21 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: about where that draft strategy is coming from. And that's 22 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 1: why I want you to go and check out the 23 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 1: mock draft simulator over at fantasypros dot com slash Draft Wizard. 24 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,400 Speaker 1: This is the perfect time to start your fantasy baseball 25 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 1: draft prep if you haven't started. 26 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:16,319 Speaker 2: The Fantasy Pros Draft Wizard is both a. 27 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 1: Fun way to spend like ten minutes and get a 28 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:23,400 Speaker 1: draft in and also useful way to practice for your drafts. Fun, fast, 29 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 1: and best of all, it's free. So go and try 30 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 1: out our draft simulator today over at fantasypros dot com 31 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 1: slash Draft Wizard or on the Fantasy Baseball Draft Wizard app. Now, 32 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: my friends, I've got a need for some speed. One 33 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: question that has kind of inserted into this entire thing, 34 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: and something to think about overall, is how baseball is 35 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: going to change as far as the base dealing goes 36 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: with an advantage that teams have. The base paths are 37 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: now about two two and a half inches on each side, 38 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: closer pitchers can't throw over as many times anymore, and 39 00:01:57,280 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 1: overall shifts have changed. So what is this going to 40 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: do baseball season? Advantage for base stealing managers do? Maybe 41 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 1: more guys are gonna run, Maybe the elite guys are 42 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: gonna run more, so you might see an overall uptick 43 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:13,119 Speaker 1: in stolen bases in general, but that doesn't mean you're 44 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: not going to want to focus. And these are players 45 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: that I think even as the tides rise, they're going 46 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: to be the ones that look the biggest because these 47 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: are some of the most impressive players. And coming in 48 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: at number five, I'm gonna tell you about the highest 49 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 1: player on this list. 50 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 2: Jazz Chisholm. I know this is the top fifty guy. 51 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 1: Where's the upside? Well, Jazz is coming off of a 52 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: year where he only still twelve bases because he played 53 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:37,239 Speaker 1: only sixty games in twenty twenty one. Though he's still 54 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: twenty three bases in one hundred and twenty four games. 55 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: He was out pacing that marker this past year before 56 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: he got hurt so much so as well, you'd like 57 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:49,519 Speaker 1: to see him get caught less. But he attempted thirty 58 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: one stolen bases in one hundred and twenty four games. 59 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:55,239 Speaker 1: You can play around with basic math, essentially every fourth 60 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 1: game he attempted to steal a base, which if you're 61 00:02:58,200 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 1: on the right side of it, that could be two 62 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: stolen base attempts in a given week, which is a 63 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: big deal if you're playing in head to head. The 64 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:06,679 Speaker 1: past year where he only played sixty games, he had 65 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 1: seventeen attempts, so. 66 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:09,960 Speaker 2: That was going up. Again. 67 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 1: The stolen based numbers looked like they were going up. 68 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:14,079 Speaker 1: The attempts were going up before he got hurt. Plus, 69 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:18,080 Speaker 1: you're gonna tag on some more power than probably anybody else. 70 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:21,359 Speaker 1: Another thing working in the favor, Derek Carti's the bat X, 71 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:25,399 Speaker 1: which was the number one singular projection system, has him 72 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 1: as the third highest stolen based projection in all of 73 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 1: baseball in twenty twenty three, and that's in only one 74 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty two games. 75 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 2: The mind can wander. 76 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: My friends Jazz Chisholm, even though he's a top fifty player, 77 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: there's a lot of upside on his return, and he 78 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 1: might be one of the few twenty five to twenty 79 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: five guys on the Earth coming in at number four. 80 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: We're gonna go way further down the list, but we're 81 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: gonna stay relatively at the same position. Actually, one of 82 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 1: my favorite players that I watched early on in his career, 83 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 1: and this will only be really truly his sophomore season. 84 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 2: It's cj Abrams. 85 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: Cj Abrams on the Fantasy he Pro's ADP, which you 86 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 1: can go and check out. It's got all the major 87 00:04:02,680 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 1: sites on it has an eightyp currently that's sitting. 88 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 2: At two point fifty three. 89 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 1: He's a starting shortstop for Washington. There's a lot of 90 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 1: room to grow and a lot of upside. Projection systems 91 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: have him around nineteen anywhere from sixteen to nineteen stolen bases, 92 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 1: which is pretty dang good. 93 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 2: But cj. 94 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 1: Abrams one of the fastest guys in the league. Actually, 95 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 1: of all baseball players. 96 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 2: Had the twentieth technically tied. 97 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: For twentieth, which really would end up putting him around 98 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 1: like the eighth because there's many players that were tied, 99 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:31,000 Speaker 1: but he comes in at twentieth as the fastest sprint 100 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: speed to ninety feet tag on top of it. In 101 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, between his time in TRIPAA with Washington, 102 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: San Diego and the major leagues, he stole twenty one bases, 103 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: which was just under one hundred and thirty games played. 104 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 1: His numbers have come down, but he had an elite 105 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: sprint speed when he was a rookie. He's only going 106 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 1: to be twenty two years old. 107 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 2: This year. 108 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 1: They've got a manufacture runs. He might be hitting at 109 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: the top of the lineup and this is how he's 110 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: going to impact the game. 111 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 2: Though no projection has him. 112 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 1: Over twenty I think there's twenty five plus in CJ 113 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: Abrams game this year, and you're getting in post two 114 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 1: point fifty. That, my friends, is upside. Coming in at 115 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: number three is actually the guy the furthest down this list. 116 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: If you look on Fantasy pros, he's got a five 117 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 1: hundred ADP because across all the sites he doesn't even register. 118 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,359 Speaker 1: He only registers on a couple. Those are around the 119 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 1: three hundreds. And we're talking about a starting outfielder in 120 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:20,600 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. 121 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 2: It's Jose Siri. 122 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 1: Jose Siri in a one hundred and four games last year 123 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:29,279 Speaker 1: had fourteen stolen bases. Every projection system bat X ATC 124 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 1: if you want to look at an aggregate, has him 125 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: for more seventeen on ATC. As a matter of fact, 126 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: we go back over to that ninety foot sprint speed 127 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 1: Jose Siri. Though he comes in at quote number twenty nine, 128 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: he's tied with CJ Abrams three point eight two seconds. 129 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 1: He is fast and he is cheap. He's got to 130 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:49,359 Speaker 1: get on base. His strikeout numbers are a little too high, 131 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 1: but he seems to have that locked up and is 132 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 1: one of the cheapest sources of stolen bases you can 133 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 1: find out there. So even if it only steals fifteen 134 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: when it's free, there's upside there. 135 00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:01,360 Speaker 2: Number two is. 136 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 1: My favorite, and if you know me, you know what 137 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 1: I'm gonna say. It's Corbyn Carroll. This is another top 138 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:10,359 Speaker 1: one hundred player ADP of eighty three according to Fantasy Pros, 139 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 1: but we've seen him go higher in some spots. 140 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 2: This is the fastest. 141 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,719 Speaker 1: Player in Major League Baseball. As a matter of fact, 142 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 1: when you go through the sprint speed to ninety feet, 143 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 1: you see point zero one differences at every corner except 144 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 1: from number one to number two, where there is point 145 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:31,839 Speaker 1: zero eight. It is the single biggest gap of any 146 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:35,080 Speaker 1: player going next to each other in all of baseball 147 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 1: is Corbyn Carroll. It's point three sixty six, which is 148 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: number one in all of baseball. He stole bases in 149 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:43,280 Speaker 1: the minors. Carrol between his time in Double A TRIPAA 150 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:48,799 Speaker 1: and the majors in twenty twenty two, still thirty three bases. 151 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 2: And not to mention his twenty seven homers. 152 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 1: As a guy that makes a lot of contact, he 153 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 1: is wildly underprojected on all projection. 154 00:06:56,880 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 2: Systems the Diamondbacks. 155 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 1: They had two to twenty plus base Steelers last year 156 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 1: in Josh Rojas and Jake McCarthy. I think Corbyn Carroll 157 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 1: could lead this team while he might also be leading off. 158 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 1: Let's make a bet for upside on the fastest player 159 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 1: in baseball on a team that was top five in 160 00:07:13,920 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 1: base stealing attempts in twenty twenty two, Corbyn Carroll. There's 161 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 1: a lot of upside there. And number one on the 162 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:24,679 Speaker 1: list is a player that put up an almost ridiculous number, 163 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 1: to say out loud, stolen bases in twenty twenty two 164 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: across the miners and a little bit in the majors. 165 00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 1: It's a Storry Ruiz, who. 166 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:33,600 Speaker 2: Is now with the Oakland A's who stole. 167 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 1: Eighty six bases, Yeah, eighty six bases at every I 168 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 1: mean the majors. He only played a couple games he 169 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: stole one base, but he stole twenty five in Triple 170 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: A with Milwaukee, twenty three at Triple A with San Diego, 171 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 1: and thirty seven with San Diego at Double A. Absurd 172 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: stolen base numbers. How about in twenty twenty one when 173 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: he stole thirty six twenty nineteen when he's still thirty 174 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: four or twenty eighteen when he stole forty nine. He 175 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 1: steals bass, friends, I think you get the point. He's 176 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:03,680 Speaker 1: on an Oakland team where he's gonna hit, probably higher 177 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 1: on the lineup. Even if he doesn't. They need to 178 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: manufacture runs. It's atrocious. 179 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 2: This is what he is built for. 180 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 1: This team traded for him, and you, my friends, can 181 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: have him. 182 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 2: For past two point fifty. 183 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 1: Yes, his ADP according to Fantasy Pros is two seventy six. 184 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 1: I usually don't like to chase stolen bases as far 185 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 1: as my drafting goes. I like to be balanced. But 186 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 1: guess what you miss out? You don't miss out a story. 187 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 1: Ruiz might have the most upside in baseball. When's the 188 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: last time we had a good fifty to sixty stolen 189 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,680 Speaker 1: base guy. It's been a while. There's now an advantage 190 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 1: to stealing bases on a team that needs to create runs. 191 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: Who traded for this player who stole eighty six the 192 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:40,680 Speaker 1: year before, across. 193 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 2: The miners and in the majors. 194 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 1: I would say it's pretty safe to say the highest 195 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:46,720 Speaker 1: upside stolen based player in all of baseball this year 196 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: is a story. Ruiz? What do you think that I 197 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 1: miss anybody. Probably I didn't say Mond to see. 198 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 2: God knows how many he plays, but he'll. 199 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:55,680 Speaker 1: Probably steal a bunch. Who do you like out of 200 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 1: this list? Who are you drafting? 201 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 2: Let us know? 202 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:00,199 Speaker 1: Hit us up Fantasy Pros. You can check out the 203 00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:02,600 Speaker 1: discord that we've got. We've got an awesome discord group. 204 00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: Go to Fantasy Pros. Check it out today, get in. 205 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 1: You can be a part of the talks. You can 206 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: have access to me and Joe. 207 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 2: Pi's a p it. We'd love to have you. Go 208 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:09,600 Speaker 2: and check it out today. 209 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: And to test those skills, go to fantasypros dot com 210 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 1: slash draft wizard. 211 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:15,720 Speaker 2: Get in on some mock drafts. Try getting some of. 212 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:17,560 Speaker 1: These base dealers. See where they go, see where you 213 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 1: can get them. You could do three drafts in like 214 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: a half an hour, and I know you could easily 215 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 1: kill a half an hour, So go and do that today. Friends, 216 00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for hanging out with me. I 217 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:27,319 Speaker 1: hope you guys enjoyed it. Find me on Twitter at 218 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 1: isit the Welsh and of course subscribe to the Fantasy 219 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 1: Pros podcast. But that will do it for this episode. 220 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 1: I will talk to you again and we will do 221 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 1: some more baseball than another episode. 222 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:37,960 Speaker 2: Goodbye friends. 223 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:42,080 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball podcast. Follow 224 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 1: us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB, and subscribe to 225 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:49,679 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy PROSMLB.