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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pisapia and

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Speaker 1: this is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to

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Speaker 1: the props or Week fourteen in the NFL. And who

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Speaker 1: better to talk about it with than these guys with

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Speaker 1: the highest hair they could find to offset my lack

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Speaker 1: of hair. It's the Welsh everybody, Chris Welsh and of

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Speaker 1: course a undertaker himself, Andrew Erickson. As we proceed to

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Speaker 1: week fourteen, a lot of teams are missing this week,

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Speaker 1: but we still have a lot of bets to make regardless,

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Speaker 1: and speaking of those bets, if you're looking for the

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Speaker 1: guys best bet will get better, download the app because

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Speaker 1: these two yahoos are putting their best bet on there

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Speaker 1: every single week at Secrets. Don't tell anybody, but if

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Speaker 1: you have the app, you can see it for yourself.

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Speaker 1: Their best bet of the week for Week fourteen, along

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Speaker 1: with a lot of ours special analysts. And I want

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Speaker 1: to emphasize the term special here because that's what we are.

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Speaker 1: But an entertaining game last evening, at least the second

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Speaker 1: half of it for some of us, maybe less for

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Speaker 1: others got the over. That's all I cared about. Two

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Speaker 1: thumbs up. I don't Krushia Watson didn't have a touchdout

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Speaker 1: with one hundred and fourteen yards receiving, But how.

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Speaker 2: About Jade Reid not having a catch a single a

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Speaker 2: singular catch, a singular play.

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Speaker 3: He did drop, he did drop, but you know what

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Speaker 3: he did have it?

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Speaker 2: He did have I'm not going to make this about

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Speaker 2: me and him costing me a lot of money. We're

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Speaker 2: not going to do that. I am sick from my

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Speaker 2: boy Erickson right here because Erics and I were talking yesterday.

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Speaker 2: We're going through some stuff rosters, and then right before

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Speaker 2: the game, he goes, I got this parlay and I'm like,

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Speaker 2: what's the parlay? He sends me the parlay and I'm like.

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Speaker 1: Buddy, this is all seventy four niggs.

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Speaker 2: Ericson, here are the legs to it. He needed anytime

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Speaker 2: touchdown gives Montgomery smash smash he needed. I think it

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Speaker 2: was jmo yards smash, Jacob's rushing yards smash over smash,

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Speaker 2: last leg Georgian Moley passing touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: Which he hits.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and then it gets called back on a penalty

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Speaker 2: and he lost the number on that leg.

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Speaker 1: When you hit all the other one is Ericson. Like,

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Speaker 1: with two minutes left, you still had a viable one

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Speaker 1: because Jordan Love was gonna touch a football game. Why

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Speaker 1: didn't you cash out?

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Speaker 3: Because the life's too short to cash out.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, oh no, it's so what was the odds on it?

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Speaker 2: Over the odds it.

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Speaker 3: Was a plus sixteen hundred or something.

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Speaker 1: That's it. I would have thought it was even higher.

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Speaker 2: No, that was obtained. That makes me sick. I was

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Speaker 2: like sitting there and I was like, well, you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna lose, and I'm I mean hit. I did

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Speaker 2: hit my bets, by the way, hit all my bets,

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Speaker 2: but like I have a bigger fantasy thing going on

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Speaker 2: with Jayden Reid needing him. But I was like, all right, whatever,

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Speaker 2: I'm a loser and everything sucks, but Ericson's gonna smash

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Speaker 2: this and it's Josh Jacob's three touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: Well, the Bacon cut was fine because I had Jim

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Speaker 3: Patrick anytime touchdown which cash so I was good Tim Patrick.

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Speaker 1: The Tim Patrick renaissance.

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Speaker 3: Not only the Tim Patrick renaissance you met you think

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Speaker 3: about this right A couple of years ago, the Broncos

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Speaker 3: had Patrick Corland saw And and Jerry Judy and all these

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Speaker 3: guys are just like thriving without Russelling.

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Speaker 1: That's right, well, in all fairness, hold on, they're also

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Speaker 1: thriving without Hackett as a coach and some other nons

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Speaker 1: to the head like they were at some tough situations there.

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Speaker 1: Russell Wilson was part of it, but he wasn't the

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Speaker 1: only part there.

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Speaker 3: It was an elite trio. And I'm glad to see

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Speaker 3: they're all doing well. Very happy for them all a laite.

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Speaker 2: But shout out to the best bets, because I do

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Speaker 2: believe when you guys do check out the best bets.

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Speaker 2: Ericson had Sam Laporta receiving yards on the Betting pros

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Speaker 2: app right when you open it up, you just hit

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Speaker 2: your picks feed and then bam, Ericson faces right, and

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Speaker 2: he's just like Laporta, and he had it right there

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Speaker 2: for you the whole time, and it would have smashed

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Speaker 2: if you had bet it so Betting pros app like Joey.

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Speaker 1: Said, there you go. All right, let's get to the

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Speaker 1: prop bets for a week fourteen. Let's start with you Welsh.

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Speaker 1: You've got an eagle on your mind. They ain't Saquan

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Speaker 1: and eight hurts and ain't aj Brown, So who is it?

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Speaker 2: We are going DeVonta Smith. And Devanta Smith has been hurt,

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Speaker 2: which kind of stinks, so just in general for him,

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Speaker 2: but he was back in full practice this week. There's

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Speaker 2: still some questions overall. Now here's been a tricky thing.

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Speaker 2: First off, if you don't have Goddard and Calclin tears

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Speaker 2: out there, but got it, that's a good thing for

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Speaker 2: Davonte Smith. But Jonta Smith is receiving yards has been

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Speaker 2: ticking down. It was up at forty nine, went down

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Speaker 2: to forty eight. It's forty seven before I checked this show,

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Speaker 2: and it's kind of jumping in my head because projections

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Speaker 2: are pretty favorable for him. It's right around sixty. But

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Speaker 2: then as I was digging around, I found this and

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Speaker 2: I love it. I have not met this all year

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Speaker 2: on this show. We are going with a longest reception

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Speaker 2: for DeVante's Smith because it is sitting at nineteen point five.

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Speaker 2: This season, he has gone over that six of nine games.

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Speaker 2: One of the games that he missed he hit nineteen yards,

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Speaker 2: So it's going over, you know, like the yards are

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Speaker 2: kind of coming down. Projections are going over. I just

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Speaker 2: need one play for Smith. I just need one nice,

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Speaker 2: big play for him, even if we're worried. The other

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Speaker 2: thing is, if you check out our Boydepak Chona and

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Speaker 2: you're talking about injuries, there is an increased risk of

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Speaker 2: Dante's Smith like reinjuring. I think it's a ham having

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Speaker 2: a re injury about fifteen percent. So I'm taking that

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Speaker 2: equation out and I'm looking for one catch of twenty

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Speaker 2: yards for Davante Smith, who has hit the six of

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Speaker 2: nine games, and that is it against the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 2: I love this one. Dvante Smith nineteen point five longest

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Speaker 2: reception over all.

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Speaker 1: Right, speaking of wide receivers, you've got one here ericson

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Speaker 1: on tap, who is dealing with a hip issue as

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Speaker 1: of Friday. We'll see if he plays or not. But

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Speaker 1: if he does give it the college try, the Undertaker

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Speaker 1: might strike again.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Milik Neighbors under seventy three and a half receiving yards.

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Speaker 3: I don't know what this line is going to be

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Speaker 3: when Neighbors plays. If he doesn't play, I'm not exactly

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Speaker 3: sure what his situation is, but you know how many

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Speaker 3: times he's gone over this number in his last six

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Speaker 3: games zero zero. I don't know where this numbers coming from. Like,

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Speaker 3: I don't get it. Like his quarterback plays horrible. He

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Speaker 3: hasn't had the seventy three and a half receiving yards

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Speaker 3: in any of his last six games. So at this point,

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Speaker 3: we've seen enough of Milak Neighbors with this horrible quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: situation where it's gonna take him twenty targets to get

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Speaker 3: to this number, and the times he's come to closest,

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Speaker 3: he's still been under sixty nine receiving yards and seventy

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Speaker 3: one receiving yards, So throwing in the factor that he

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Speaker 3: is also banged up if he plays in this game,

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Speaker 3: I'm just gonna pound the under on his receiving yards props.

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Speaker 3: So under for me on Leak Neighbors. I don't really

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Speaker 3: care what the matchup is. Again, I'm strongly on the

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Speaker 3: under in this game overall, between the Giants and Saints.

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Speaker 3: I think that on paper, it looks like we get

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Speaker 3: to get a couple of smash spots for some of

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Speaker 3: these players. But if the game just duds out entirely,

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Speaker 3: I think we might be disappointed. So I'm gonna go

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Speaker 3: under on Leak Neighbors. Receiving yards.

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Speaker 2: We have like twelve catches on the sixty nine yard thing,

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Speaker 2: Like he's putting up ridiculous receptions and he's still not

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Speaker 2: getting the yards there is there is no yak, there's

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Speaker 2: no air yards. It's just catch fall. And he's he's

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Speaker 2: just he's like Wandall. He's turned into Wanda Robinson.

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Speaker 1: Well, you know, I think they've the giants that kind

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Speaker 1: of folded up the tents, which is why I'm curious

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Speaker 1: if he does play at all. You know, because the

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Speaker 1: less guys you got on the field with talent, the

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Speaker 1: more you can have that high pick. You might want

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Speaker 1: so watch the situation carefully. But if he does give

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Speaker 1: it a go, I'm with ericson here on the under,

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Speaker 1: not just from the trend but also the injury on

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Speaker 1: top of it. So good luck there. Hopefully fingers cross

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Speaker 1: he plays, and finger crosses, we get the under. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's go to Jerry Judy. We mentioned at the top

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Speaker 1: of the show. Now, look, he's not playing the Denver

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Speaker 1: Broncos this week, so there's a lot of me that

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Speaker 1: wanted to actually bet. You know, we're gonna come back

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Speaker 1: to this a little later. The touchdown calls later in

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Speaker 1: the program where I am in on this with you

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Speaker 1: Welsh and it is the number of receptions and you're

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Speaker 1: going over I like him for the touchdown. We're going

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Speaker 1: to talk about that later in this game here. But

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Speaker 1: can Jerry Judy continue this momentum of what he started

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Speaker 1: of of how would I put this effort? Yeah, that's it.

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Speaker 1: Effort effort from Jerry Judy on an every down basis.

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Speaker 1: It was fun to watch. Can it happened two weeks

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Speaker 1: in a row?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I think it's going John. I'm not sure about

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Speaker 2: the touchdowns. What you know, it's funny you say that

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Speaker 2: because I was looking at like David and you know

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Speaker 2: they get in the red zone, like I feel like

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Speaker 2: David and Joku just kind of like starts to light up.

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Speaker 2: But Jerry Judy has been on it. His reception prop

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Speaker 2: this week is at four and a half. But the

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Speaker 2: juice is starting to pump up, So you might have

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Speaker 2: to look around, go to betting pro so you can

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Speaker 2: find the best line. Jerry Judy has hit this number

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Speaker 2: this receiving aird prop of over four and a half

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Speaker 2: receptions five straight games. He had six against the Steelers

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Speaker 2: in their last matchup the Steelers, by the way, have

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Speaker 2: given up this number of over four and a half

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Speaker 2: receptions to number one wide receivers in four of the

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Speaker 2: last six games under Jameis Winston. He's getting a massive

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Speaker 2: amount of targets. Yes, he's got a bigger target on

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Speaker 2: his back, of course, but even PFF wide receiver cornerback

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Speaker 2: matchup ratings, I believe Judy is like the number three best.

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Speaker 2: They're going to move him around the line. He's the

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Speaker 2: number one target for Jameis Winston. This is a really

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Speaker 2: low number, which maybe is signaling a little bit like

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Speaker 2: he has such a bigger target on his back now

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Speaker 2: that he's going to get more blanket coverage. I just

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Speaker 2: don't buy it because they're going to move him around

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Speaker 2: and wins absolutely loves him. I was very surprised. There

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Speaker 2: are quite a few players I wanted lower reception props

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Speaker 2: on this week that you know. Kamara would be an example.

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Speaker 2: I want four and a half. They opened up at

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Speaker 2: five and a half. I thought Judy, hands down would

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Speaker 2: have opened up at five and a half. I believe

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Speaker 2: it will push to five and a half if you

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Speaker 2: wait too long. But you can get plus money, and

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Speaker 2: you know what, I don't even hate that that much.

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Speaker 1: Good.

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Speaker 2: Four and a half is a smash play for me.

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Speaker 3: For Judy on receptions, I have a question now again

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Speaker 3: we have to go back to the receptions receiving yards.

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Speaker 3: So why why the receptions over the receiving yards because

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Speaker 3: he's done, because he has hit it five receiving yards five.

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Speaker 3: She wik two right, great bets that both put them together?

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Speaker 3: All right, So I'm gonna play Devil's.

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Speaker 1: Put the touch out with it and get a trio too.

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Speaker 3: Good play Devil's advocate.

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Speaker 1: Well, you're the guy playing eight leg parlays. I mean,

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Speaker 1: why not put the three together? Come on, now, it's

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Speaker 1: pretty good parlay, it's.

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Speaker 3: Pretty good parlay. But I actually, actually I was thinking

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Speaker 3: about parlay and the under on his receptions and the

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Speaker 3: over on his receiving yards, and see if this actually

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Speaker 3: finally comes to a head where we actually have that

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Speaker 3: conversation where the yards hit and receptions. Don't you know

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Speaker 3: what if Joey Porter Junior does guard him more? You know,

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Speaker 3: Jerry Judy, he hasn't been the target leader like he's

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Speaker 3: been the yardage leader. That's my only pushback. Again, this

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Speaker 3: may not matter. I think every time we've had this

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Speaker 3: conversation really hasn't matter because the guys always.

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Speaker 2: Said, every time we have pushed this, this is what happens.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: If this was like five and a half, you know,

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Speaker 2: if it was five and a half receptions and then

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Speaker 2: the receiving yard total, I don't even know what it is,

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Speaker 2: like sixty three yards or something like that, Like I

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Speaker 2: would push back on it, but I think that's the line.

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Speaker 2: I think five receptions is key, and again he's hit

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Speaker 2: this in five straight. He had six receptions against the Steelers.

240
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Speaker 2: This team wants to throw the ball deep, so I

241
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Speaker 2: think that's a little caveat to maybe other players and

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Speaker 2: other teams out there that you know, My argument would be,

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Speaker 2: you have short line stuff, Judy is not getting the

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Speaker 2: ball deep, or a guy like Joey Porter's covering him

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Speaker 2: deep and they're throwing little eight yard in and outs

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Speaker 2: dunk and dunk, and all of a sudden he does

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Speaker 2: a Malik Neighbors. This team is a little bit different

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Speaker 2: because they do sling the ball, but again, I kind

249
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Speaker 2: of think it's relatively a relevant at four and a

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Speaker 2: half or the big receiving yards and how much you're

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Speaker 2: still giving up mass a big place.

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Speaker 1: I want to get that on my shirt.

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Speaker 3: Relatively irrelevant, Relatively, if the line does move to five

254
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Speaker 3: and a half, you would pivot to the yards.

255
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Speaker 2: Is that I think? Yeah, I got to see what

256
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Speaker 2: the number.

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Speaker 3: Is minus sixty nine and a half at least what

258
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Speaker 3: I'm saying minus one fifteen towards the over or sixty

259
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Speaker 3: eight and a half.

260
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Speaker 2: Sorry, I mean sixty eight and a half. I love

261
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Speaker 2: the five receptions even more. I think the yards total

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Speaker 2: is also telling us the receptions. But yeah, I might

263
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Speaker 2: pivot to the I could be honestly, if it moves

264
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Speaker 2: to five and a half, unless they give me a

265
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Speaker 2: good plus money, I might move away from the bet

266
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Speaker 2: because now I think you're taking off some of that

267
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Speaker 2: extra upside that we have here in like, you know,

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Speaker 2: the argument is, he's smashing this reception, smashes it, steelers,

269
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Speaker 2: give this up, you get to six. Now that edge

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Speaker 2: has kind of gone away. Now that's a better way

271
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Speaker 2: to put it. I think I'm losing my edge if

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Speaker 2: the yards go over seventy and the receptions go over

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Speaker 2: five and a half. Not that he won't hit it,

274
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Speaker 2: but that edge is going away.

275
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Speaker 1: All right. We just talked about Jerry Judy's renaissance. How

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Speaker 1: about Bryce Young and other guys who seems to be

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Speaker 1: going in a much better direction. Ever since ericson cut

278
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Speaker 1: Ties with the Panthers, they've been on a streak. So

279
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Speaker 1: maybe it was you the whole time, Andrew. I'm just

280
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Speaker 1: saying it's possible when you go back and look at

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Speaker 1: the tape. However, the trend has been strong for them,

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Speaker 1: and it looks like Dave Canalys has gotten this team

283
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Speaker 1: back on track. However, regardless, you're into the under on

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young on one ninety six and a half passing yards, let's.

285
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Speaker 3: Talk about it, yeah, because he's facing the Eagles this week.

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00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:27,839
Speaker 3: So that's the fade on Bryce sown. Yes, today, I

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Speaker 3: get that he's been playing much better, he's got his

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Speaker 3: confidence back up. But this Eagles defense is playing at

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Speaker 3: an elite level, number one in the NFL. So we

290
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Speaker 3: look at the quarterbacks that they have played basically since

291
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Speaker 3: their bye week, no quarterback has hit their closing line

292
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Speaker 3: passing yards projection. Every single quarterback has gone under their

293
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Speaker 3: passing yards projection against the Philadelphia Eagles. So given that

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Speaker 3: his projection on betting pros, a couple other sites have

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Speaker 3: it under two hundred passing yards. I think that's where

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Speaker 3: it's going to be. It's going to be under this

297
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Speaker 3: number here, so I'm just going to follow the trends.

298
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Speaker 3: Carolina traditionally doesn't also play as well on the road.

299
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Speaker 3: They've been scored more than fourteen points on the road

300
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Speaker 3: in any of Young's games this season, so he's been

301
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Speaker 3: playing at home the last couple of weeks, so I

302
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Speaker 3: want to keep that in mind. Hostile environment on the

303
00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:11,079
Speaker 3: road in Philadelphia against this defense. I don't love the

304
00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:12,640
Speaker 3: spot for Bryce Sung, so I think we kind of

305
00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:14,320
Speaker 3: start to see maybe a little more we stuff from

306
00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:16,360
Speaker 3: the beginning of the season. Maybe not that to extend

307
00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:19,120
Speaker 3: that pore of play, but I don't think this is

308
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Speaker 3: a smash spot for Bryce Young and the Panthers.

309
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Speaker 1: I am curious to see if it is a bit

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Speaker 1: of a letdown game though, because last week was such

311
00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:28,480
Speaker 1: a hyped game between them and the Ravens and they

312
00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:31,079
Speaker 1: came out with a victory. That sometimes you see these

313
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Speaker 1: teams kind of come out a little sluggish and don't

314
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Speaker 1: take opponents seriously, like the Carolina Panthers.

315
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Speaker 2: Just saying the only thing I just want to say

316
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Speaker 2: though with that is that offensively, it was kind of

317
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Speaker 2: pissed poor, Like, yeah, Jalen Hurts could not throw the ball.

318
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Speaker 2: I think they need to come out and re establish

319
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Speaker 2: that they can throw the ball and that they can

320
00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:48,320
Speaker 2: be a big offense. So I get what you're saying

321
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Speaker 2: from the standpoint.

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Speaker 1: Nick Arianni always makes stupid decisions for the most part.

323
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Speaker 2: Yeah, but.

324
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Speaker 1: The Eagles are going to lose. Believe me. I don't

325
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Speaker 1: think they're going to lose this game. But don't be

326
00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,560
Speaker 1: shocked if the Carolina Panthers, yet again, are not the

327
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:03,719
Speaker 1: doormat in some of these contests. They've got a sole

328
00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:06,319
Speaker 1: compliment of healthy wide receivers with feeling back and get

329
00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:08,400
Speaker 1: playing and all these guys, so like you're in a

330
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Speaker 1: spotty They got two running backs that've got bodies. They

331
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Speaker 1: you know, they haven't been worn down by the season

332
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Speaker 1: as much as some other teams because some of these

333
00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,680
Speaker 1: guys are either emerging or haven't played. So Week fourteen

334
00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:20,160
Speaker 1: in the NFL is kind of the dregs. He's like

335
00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,760
Speaker 1: the dog days of August and baseball season, but not

336
00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:24,760
Speaker 1: so much with the Carolina Panthers. Bryce Young had a

337
00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:26,760
Speaker 1: couple of weeks off. Adam THELN just came back like

338
00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:28,760
Speaker 1: get hasn't been like a big contributor in the first

339
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Speaker 1: part of the season. You just got Jonathan Brooks back

340
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Speaker 1: a few weeks ago, starting to work into that rotation.

341
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Speaker 1: I'm just saying, let's keep a close eye.

342
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Speaker 2: I just want to add to that real quick is

343
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Speaker 2: I was desperately trying to find an under that I

344
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Speaker 2: just loved, and this was the one. But then I

345
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Speaker 2: noticed Erickson had it, so I had to take it

346
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Speaker 2: out because mentioning those sites projected on a few sites

347
00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:50,800
Speaker 2: around one hundred and seventy and against his defense, this

348
00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:53,680
Speaker 2: was gonna be I have bet this and this was

349
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Speaker 2: the under I wanted, but Ericson astutely got it, so

350
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Speaker 2: I am completely backing this one.

351
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Speaker 1: All right, let's continue on to the next prop. And

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Speaker 1: remember too, you can always find great props with the

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Speaker 1: propet chia Cheep bettingpros dot Com slash Props. That's the

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Speaker 1: place you can go, or just download the app and

355
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Speaker 1: look for the propet chice Chee because that's where you'll

356
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Speaker 1: find all of these props we're talking about here. You

357
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Speaker 1: can sort them by game, you can sort them by position,

358
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Speaker 1: you can sort them by type, it's very easy to use,

359
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Speaker 1: and again you're gonna get the fantasy projections next to

360
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Speaker 1: the actual line numbers, and then of course the best

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Speaker 1: place to bet them all in one spot. So the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet is literally the cheat sheet to

363
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Speaker 1: make you money when you're betting props. So go and

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Speaker 1: do that today, right now while you're listening to this

365
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Speaker 1: or watching this, let's talk about your next one. Here

366
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Speaker 1: be Jeon Robinson, and you're looking at the receiving yards,

367
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Speaker 1: not the rushing yards. Let's talk about this number here.

368
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,560
Speaker 1: It is twenty eight and a half. The Kirk Cousins

369
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Speaker 1: return to Minnesota. It's gonna be a fun one on

370
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Speaker 1: the docket here to be watching this weekend. So where

371
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Speaker 1: do you want to go with this?

372
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Speaker 2: Bijon prop Bijon over receiving yards is a staple of

373
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Speaker 2: what we do here on this show. We just haven't

374
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Speaker 2: locked into it a ton this year. He has hit

375
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Speaker 2: this in four of his last six games. But check

376
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Speaker 2: this out. The two misses of twenty eight point five,

377
00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,720
Speaker 2: he had twenty eight yards. So I mean we're talking

378
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Speaker 2: half a yard in the two misses against Minnesota this year,

379
00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:17,000
Speaker 2: they're giving up only seventeen carries on average sixty five

380
00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,680
Speaker 2: yards on the ground to running backs, so you were like, hey,

381
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Speaker 2: you're not taking the rushing yard side, no, because they

382
00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,000
Speaker 2: have been stopping running backs in general. Bijon is going

383
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,160
Speaker 2: to have to make an impact in the receiving game.

384
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Speaker 2: And also we've talked a lot about that narrative of

385
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Speaker 2: like offensively kind of going back and forth. Minnesota is

386
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:34,720
Speaker 2: a really tough team. If this game is going to

387
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Speaker 2: be that type of shootout and you're gonna have the

388
00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:41,240
Speaker 2: Falcons even potentially playing from behind, Bijon's just gonna have

389
00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:43,200
Speaker 2: to make that impact in the receiving game. And he

390
00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,640
Speaker 2: has been doing that. I mean, we've had like over

391
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,800
Speaker 2: one hundred yard total offense of yards for multiple weeks

392
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Speaker 2: for Bijon. So I think this is going to just

393
00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,240
Speaker 2: take it out of trying to establish a massive running game,

394
00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:57,520
Speaker 2: get him his targets to low total. Kind of always

395
00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,880
Speaker 2: love anything under thirty with Bijon, and we're going to

396
00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:02,480
Speaker 2: match the over receiving yards of Vijon twenty eight and

397
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Speaker 2: a half.

398
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Speaker 1: All right, next one, here's another running back. This one's

399
00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,760
Speaker 1: from Ericsson, and wouldn't you know it, the Undertaker strikes again.

400
00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:11,760
Speaker 1: The under on ken Walker's fifty four and a half

401
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:13,879
Speaker 1: rushing yards. Ericson walked me through this one.

402
00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:16,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, so ken Walker has kind of been a disappointment

403
00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,800
Speaker 3: this year. He's not ripping off a lot of explosive runs.

404
00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:21,680
Speaker 3: A lot of it is coming down to the offensive

405
00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,320
Speaker 3: line not really opening up a lot of space. Again,

406
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:27,520
Speaker 3: this is from next gen stats. Walker's been contact before

407
00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:29,440
Speaker 3: the line of scrimmage on fifty four and a half

408
00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:31,960
Speaker 3: percent of his rush attempts. That's the highest rate of

409
00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,119
Speaker 3: any running back in the NFL. So he doesn't have

410
00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:36,560
Speaker 3: a chance. It's really not his faults, but because he's

411
00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:38,399
Speaker 3: getting tackled in contact by my line of scrimmage, he's

412
00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:41,320
Speaker 3: not breaking tackles and nearly he's a high rate. Seattle

413
00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,639
Speaker 3: has major offensive line issues, so we saw this matchup

414
00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:46,040
Speaker 3: already play out this year. Against Arizona Cardinals, ken Walker

415
00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:47,720
Speaker 3: rushed for forty one yards. Last week it was a

416
00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:49,399
Speaker 3: good spot. Against the New York Jets, he rushed for

417
00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:51,840
Speaker 3: forty nine rushing yards. So I'm going under ken walker

418
00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,119
Speaker 3: fifty three and a half rushing yards. He's dealing with

419
00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 3: another injury this week. I don't even know if he's

420
00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:58,480
Speaker 3: playing at one hundred percent. Maybe we see a little

421
00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:01,640
Speaker 3: bit more of Zach Sharboney. So again, he's been under

422
00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:04,639
Speaker 3: his projection in looking at the prop at cheat sheet

423
00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:08,000
Speaker 3: in four of his last six games. So yeah, I'm

424
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:09,359
Speaker 3: just not really excited about Kim Walker. I don't like

425
00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:11,240
Speaker 3: him a lot in fantasy this week, So it could

426
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:13,200
Speaker 3: be taken the under on his rushing yards prop.

427
00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:15,920
Speaker 1: Okay, so under on Ken Walker. We'll see if maybe

428
00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:18,000
Speaker 1: we can convince erics that have taken over sometime in

429
00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:21,000
Speaker 1: this show. Let's go back to you Welsh. The New

430
00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:25,440
Speaker 1: Orleans Saints certainly are bereft of weapons at the stage

431
00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 1: in the season. Nor Taysom Hill now too, so he's done.

432
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:33,399
Speaker 1: Noah Lave, no Shaheen. Who's left for the Saints? And

433
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:34,520
Speaker 1: how do we bet them?

434
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:38,239
Speaker 2: It's is Erickson's favorite. It is Juwan Johnson. We are

435
00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:40,679
Speaker 2: betting Juwan Johnson and we are going to go to

436
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:43,280
Speaker 2: the receptions. I do want to point something out. His

437
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:46,520
Speaker 2: receiving yard prop is very low this week, thirty one

438
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:50,439
Speaker 2: point five. So welch, why would you take receptions and

439
00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:54,080
Speaker 2: not take the yards? It's because his receptions at three

440
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:58,399
Speaker 2: and a half over is plus one thirty five some places,

441
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,320
Speaker 2: maybe one twenty five, so there's a mass juice bump.

442
00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:04,919
Speaker 2: That's why I really like that one. Eight of nine

443
00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,920
Speaker 2: games when a tight end is targeted at least four

444
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 2: times against the Giants, they catch four passes. Last week,

445
00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:16,320
Speaker 2: Johnson was targeted seven times and he caught five of them.

446
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:19,240
Speaker 2: There's no Taysom Hill, and one of the big arguing

447
00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:22,080
Speaker 2: points has been there's just nobody left. This is a

448
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,439
Speaker 2: Kamara smash pot. I will be honest with you. I

449
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,960
Speaker 2: had Kamara here yesterday in the rushing yard prop. But

450
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 2: the rushing yards are going up. It's around eighty two.

451
00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:33,600
Speaker 2: His receiving yard prop it's over like thirty three right now.

452
00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:36,320
Speaker 2: His total yards it's near one twenty. You know he's

453
00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:38,200
Speaker 2: going to get the ball. But last week they showed

454
00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:39,960
Speaker 2: us a little bit of that game plan as well,

455
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:42,360
Speaker 2: in that they're going to get Juwan Johnson the ball

456
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:45,200
Speaker 2: with Taysom Hill out. So I really like this spot

457
00:19:45,240 --> 00:19:46,880
Speaker 2: if they're going to be trying to move the ball

458
00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:50,680
Speaker 2: downfield a bit and a pretty decent matchup. He smashed

459
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,160
Speaker 2: this last week. You can do this against this team.

460
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,920
Speaker 2: Juwan Johnson big plus money on the receptions. You want

461
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:58,359
Speaker 2: to play it safe and you want to be a

462
00:19:58,400 --> 00:19:59,240
Speaker 2: little bit invested.

463
00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 1: Probably safe.

464
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:02,959
Speaker 2: It's like thirty one but three and a half receptions

465
00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:06,240
Speaker 2: even on those short dunk out type of throws with

466
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 2: big plus money. I'm in on him as like a

467
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,120
Speaker 2: streamy tight end this week. I know Ericson hates him,

468
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,879
Speaker 2: but I'm gonna go Juwan Johnson. Fitz he hates him too,

469
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:15,239
Speaker 2: everybody hates him. Let's go.

470
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:17,920
Speaker 1: I like him on the touchdown prop. I gotta say.

471
00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:20,679
Speaker 2: I think, hey, prediction, Jawan Johnson scores more points than

472
00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:22,680
Speaker 2: Jayden Reid this week.

473
00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:28,960
Speaker 1: I'll take that one he has. But Andrew, I mean,

474
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:30,560
Speaker 1: I think we're getting to the point where it is

475
00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,280
Speaker 1: just bare bones. It's MVS to the team and we're

476
00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:34,639
Speaker 1: down to like third string guys.

477
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,359
Speaker 3: But it hasn't been like that all year, basically, like

478
00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 3: every time they've tried to turn to Juwan.

479
00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:41,479
Speaker 1: It hasn't because there's been moments where guys were in

480
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,320
Speaker 1: and out and then they kept pivoting and saying, Okay,

481
00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 1: well we're gonna pivot to MVS and Taysom Hill. Now

482
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 1: we can't pivot to Taysom Hill anymore. And the one

483
00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 1: thing with Derek carr Is. It's not like he's never

484
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:52,680
Speaker 1: made Jawan Johnson useful. Even last week when Taysom Hill

485
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,680
Speaker 1: came out of that game, you saw Juwan Johnson get work.

486
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 1: He's a decent tight end. The problem is he's playing

487
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,680
Speaker 1: the pegging order behind Taysom Hill and all the gadgetry

488
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 1: you can do with him when he's on the field.

489
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 2: So that's that's what's not anymore.

490
00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:07,359
Speaker 1: So that's that problem's gone. Uh, there's a problem still

491
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:09,920
Speaker 1: playing quarterback for the Tennessee Titans, and his name is

492
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:13,520
Speaker 1: Will Levis. Uh, he's a problem for a myriad of

493
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:16,960
Speaker 1: different reasons. But let's talk about him here. Ericson, you

494
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 1: have a Will Levis prop you want to talk about,

495
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:20,680
Speaker 1: So what is it? For Week fourteen?

496
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 3: Will Levis is going to go over his passing yards

497
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 3: prop over two hundred and eleven and a half passing

498
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:26,440
Speaker 3: yards and Joe, I mean, Will Levis has played pretty

499
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,320
Speaker 3: well over the last couple weeks. Ever since again everyone's

500
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:31,120
Speaker 3: talking about that young regence. Let's use the way better

501
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 3: better where all the Will Levis all twenty two highlights.

502
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:37,960
Speaker 3: He's been playing much better ever since he was benched.

503
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:39,240
Speaker 2: You imagine quote unquote.

504
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 3: It's funny. Actually, on a lot of the Titans broadcasts,

505
00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 3: they say that he was benched, even though the Titans

506
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 3: have been clear that no, he was injured, Like that's

507
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:49,879
Speaker 3: why he wasn't playing, but whatever, Yeah, exactly injured, so

508
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:53,240
Speaker 3: quote's injured. It's It really comes down to the fact

509
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:54,720
Speaker 3: Levis has been playing better he had and he's been

510
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 3: over this number in three straight games, and the matchup

511
00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:02,239
Speaker 3: is divine against the Jacksonville Jaguars. They are like an

512
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 3: historically bad defense. I've mentioned this on the Fantasy Pro show.

513
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,680
Speaker 3: We were talking about Calvin Ridley. The Jaguars defense is

514
00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:10,439
Speaker 3: allowed the most yards for attempt to per drop back

515
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:13,959
Speaker 3: and pass rating the NFL this season. They're epa allowed

516
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,640
Speaker 3: per dropback is the second most by any defense in

517
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:19,880
Speaker 3: the Next Gen Stats era since twenty sixteen, trailing only

518
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,720
Speaker 3: the twenty twenty Detroit Lions. This is an historically horrible

519
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 3: defense and Levis has shown me enough the last couple

520
00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,000
Speaker 3: of weeks that this number is way too low. And

521
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:31,239
Speaker 3: if there's an ever a game where Callahan can hey, like,

522
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:34,239
Speaker 3: let's build will like how good can Levis actually be? Like,

523
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,679
Speaker 3: do we need to draft another quarterback? Probably, but at

524
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 3: least give Will Levis a shot to show, hey, maybe

525
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:40,400
Speaker 3: you should keep me around. Maybe this is a bad

526
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:42,280
Speaker 3: decision for them, but I think they're gonna let him

527
00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:43,919
Speaker 3: sling the ball here around because it's a matchup that

528
00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 3: he can take advantage of. We love Calvin Ridley, obviously,

529
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,200
Speaker 3: Nick Westbrookakinis can score another touchdown, making it nine and

530
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:51,800
Speaker 3: nine games, So I like Will Levis to go over

531
00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 3: his passing yards propta. I think it's also just way

532
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 3: too low, mean two hundred and eleven a half passing

533
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 3: yards hit instate games and Jacksonville's sid on defense, so

534
00:22:59,200 --> 00:22:59,399
Speaker 3: give me.

535
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 2: The only negative would be as you can also run

536
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:03,359
Speaker 2: against the Jags, and it's like if they were to

537
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,400
Speaker 2: establish some type of a running game and it takes

538
00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:07,439
Speaker 2: it out of his hands. But to your point, I

539
00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:10,320
Speaker 2: completely co signed. This was my prediction. If you remember

540
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 2: on the Prediction show that we just transitioned they'll buy

541
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:16,479
Speaker 2: sell trade anymore. Ericson Worman myself was I had two

542
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:19,199
Speaker 2: point fifty on Levis with two touchdowns as a prediction

543
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,440
Speaker 2: early early in the week. So I love this one.

544
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 1: All right, Let's go on with the last ones before

545
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 1: we get to the touchdown calls here, Welsh, it's a

546
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 1: forty nine er. I can't believe you're even going this

547
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 1: route after was this like self mutilation at this point?

548
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,240
Speaker 1: I don't even know what's going on here, So let's

549
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 1: talk about it. Let's talk about which one it is.

550
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:37,880
Speaker 1: And if you're going over under.

551
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,000
Speaker 2: If I hated myself, I would be taking Deebo Samuel

552
00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 2: receiving yards. That's if I really hated myself. No, I

553
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 2: love yourself, you go, Juwan Jennings. Juan Jennings is love,

554
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:53,440
Speaker 2: Deebo Samuel is strife. That's what it goes with. Juwan Jennings.

555
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:56,440
Speaker 2: Fifty five and a half receiving yards is the marker

556
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:58,159
Speaker 2: this week. And I know everybody's scared. A lot of

557
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:00,359
Speaker 2: people are getting like hyper focused on the show and

558
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 2: stuff of Rock Purty. Last week's game kind of messes

559
00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:06,439
Speaker 2: stuff up. But you know, listen with Juwan Jennings in general,

560
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 2: he has been the guy. He has beat this number

561
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,679
Speaker 2: in three of his last five games, if you do

562
00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 2: not count the Snow game, which by the way, he

563
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 2: had five targets. But if you don't count that, twenty

564
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 2: nine targets in the previous three games, not counting the

565
00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 2: Snow game. Now we just come back over the last

566
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 2: three weeks. In general, this is on Fantasy Points, he

567
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 2: had a thirty nine point nine percent air yard share,

568
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:36,080
Speaker 2: a thirty five percent first read percentage, and Ericson and

569
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:37,560
Speaker 2: I were kind of going back and forth about this

570
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:39,880
Speaker 2: because I said, it's Juwan Jennings week, and he said, well,

571
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:43,080
Speaker 2: the Bears in the X receiver. Here's a semi positive.

572
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,560
Speaker 2: You've seen Jennings play out of the slot thirty six

573
00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 2: percent of the time over the last three weeks, so

574
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:51,199
Speaker 2: they're moving him around. He's the number one target for

575
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,919
Speaker 2: this team. There's a little bit of question about like

576
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 2: how successful they're going to be with running and Garndo

577
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:58,200
Speaker 2: and their comfortability. I think that also leads to Debo

578
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:02,680
Speaker 2: kind of playing more in the backfield. Bears defense has played. Okay,

579
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:05,679
Speaker 2: I love this spot for Juwan Jennings. I think it's

580
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:07,840
Speaker 2: a super low number. He almost hit this last week.

581
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 2: I think he had fifty six yards in the Snow

582
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 2: game last week. Juwan Jennings suh mash on the receiving yards.

583
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:16,760
Speaker 1: I gotta say I'm geting a little worried about Purty

584
00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 1: coming out of this game. Too at some point, like

585
00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:20,639
Speaker 1: it just I don't think Pretty's healthy. I think he

586
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 1: gave it everything he had last week in the snow

587
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,080
Speaker 1: to try to stay relevant, and then all the injuries

588
00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 1: of McCaffrey and Mason and everything, and I.

589
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,159
Speaker 2: Don't know he's thrown around him. I mean, Grant Cohen's

590
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 2: out there just being like, oh our parcels wabbly is

591
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 2: he healthy? Like whatever that nonsense. But like Perty's out there,

592
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 2: he's running practices.

593
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:39,680
Speaker 1: We're good, We're for now, for now. How you feel

594
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:41,679
Speaker 1: about that, Bet, we have out of bounds. I feeling

595
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:42,159
Speaker 1: good about that.

596
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,200
Speaker 2: Our fingernail, Bet, I feel pretty I feel pretty good.

597
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:47,119
Speaker 2: I mean I was able to get you at two

598
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 2: and a half.

599
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 1: I know I really should have held out a little lot,

600
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:50,640
Speaker 1: I mean more for like the three and a half

601
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 1: or four and a half, considering the number one six

602
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:54,040
Speaker 1: and a half what started and then it went to five.

603
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,040
Speaker 2: I am feeling pretty good, though. I do want to

604
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:59,080
Speaker 2: point out this is to your point, there's a wild

605
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:00,959
Speaker 2: stat in god him forgetting who said it? I just

606
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,280
Speaker 2: saw apologies to whatever. No, this wasn't you, but it

607
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 2: was Brock. Perty had like the best completion percentage of

608
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:12,120
Speaker 2: any quarterback on the road and has the worst completion

609
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 2: percentage the home of all quarters. It's like some weird

610
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 2: wild staff. He is atrocious at home, amazing on the road.

611
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 2: So this works a little counter to what I'm saying here,

612
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:24,320
Speaker 2: but my main point is, like the offense, it centers

613
00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 2: around George Kittle a little bit. This is Juwan Jennings.

614
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 2: This is Juan Jennings.

615
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: Matchup here, all right, Juwan Jennings, it is. Let's go.

616
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:34,680
Speaker 1: So you got all of the Jawans. You got Jawan

617
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 1: Johnson and Juwan Jennings all the same, different spelling, but

618
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 1: you're all over all the Juwan.

619
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 2: I had to really think about how I was saying it,

620
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:43,720
Speaker 2: because I was gonna say Juwan Johnson here, and I'm

621
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:44,359
Speaker 2: very proud of it.

622
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 3: Welsh does have a funny way of loving Jawan Johnson

623
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:48,800
Speaker 3: because he did spell that Juwan's first name wrong and

624
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 3: correctly on the show.

625
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 1: He did, Oh yeah, I probably do you really love him?

626
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 3: If you can't even get his name, I'll fix it.

627
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 2: I spell it wrong.

628
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, you spelled it ju You swapped.

629
00:26:59,880 --> 00:27:00,520
Speaker 3: The you and the A.

630
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 1: I think that's all right.

631
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's okay. He was probably on the other one, well, yeah,

632
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 2: I spelled Juwan Jennings right now.

633
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:08,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, we know, I mean, we know you're gonna do

634
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 1: that one, right, It's Jawan Johnson. Were worried about it,

635
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 1: all right? Last one here ericson the minus man for

636
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,880
Speaker 1: MVP is Josh Allen. The passing yard numbers to forty

637
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 1: and a half here going over or under this Sunday over.

638
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,280
Speaker 3: I think that this is where Josh Allen basically cements

639
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 3: his MVP status if it's not already in the ground,

640
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 3: because you're having Saquon Barkley, I believe plays earlier because

641
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 3: of the Carolina Panthers game in the Eagles game is

642
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 3: a one o'clock game, and this is a late window game.

643
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,240
Speaker 3: So you're gonna see Saquon Barkley go off against Carolina

644
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:41,160
Speaker 3: and everyone's gonna.

645
00:27:40,920 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 2: Be go, oh like Seque's MVP.

646
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:44,119
Speaker 3: And then Josh Allen's gonna throw for four touchdowns at

647
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 3: three passing yards against the Los Angeles Rams defense. I'm

648
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,119
Speaker 3: gonna tell you the headline from Monday from Sunday is

649
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,440
Speaker 3: going to be why didn't the Bills build a dome

650
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:55,360
Speaker 3: instead of a outdoor stadium? Because you're gonna see Josh

651
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:58,400
Speaker 3: Allen in the Dome go absolutely nuclear, as Derek Brown

652
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 3: likes to say, since week seven, al and history, I

653
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,200
Speaker 3: think nuclear.

654
00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 2: I also struggle struggle with the and Jack buarers apparently.

655
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, sorry, I quickly spelled it.

656
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:12,840
Speaker 3: But since week seven, Josh Allen has thrown for two

657
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 3: hundred and forty plus yards in four of his last

658
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 3: six games. Obviously in the snow last week that wasn't

659
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:21,280
Speaker 3: the case. But the passwaight over expectation has been positive

660
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 3: for Buffalo. So they've really kind of played their spots

661
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:24,680
Speaker 3: when it comes to, hey, we want to run the

662
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:26,280
Speaker 3: football in this matchup, we want to throw the football

663
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 3: on this matchup. I think this is a match where

664
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:29,399
Speaker 3: they're gonna want to throw the football. You look at

665
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,359
Speaker 3: the Rams, secondary's absolutely dreadful, bottom three in terms of

666
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,399
Speaker 3: EPA per dropback or pass attempt on deep balls. I

667
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 3: think this spot we're like, hey, Josh Allen, like, let's

668
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 3: get some momentum with these receivers, with especially some of

669
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 3: these new guys who are coming back into lineup. Amari

670
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 3: Cooper really hasn't had that marquis Amari Cooper game, but

671
00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 3: I think that he's gonna go off in this spot.

672
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,000
Speaker 3: So if he's going off, Josh Allen's obviously gonna be

673
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:50,240
Speaker 3: along for the ride, hopefully getting Dedalton king K back,

674
00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:52,520
Speaker 3: getting on Coleman back. I think this where they build

675
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 3: this passing game that really hasn't had a chance to

676
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 3: really hit its stride. I think this is where they started.

677
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go over on Josh. I think he's

678
00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 3: gonna have a monster game, all.

679
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 1: Right, a monster game solidifying as MVP. I'd like that

680
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,400
Speaker 1: because I got Allen at three to one before I

681
00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 1: kept into the plus one twenty five last weekend and

682
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:09,920
Speaker 1: then the minus this week after the big Snow game.

683
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 1: So it feels like Josh Allen's to lose, and I

684
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,479
Speaker 1: hope you're right. I hope this isn't a weird letdown

685
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 1: game for them too, where they struggle a little bit

686
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 1: and then kind of get it together in the second half.

687
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 1: We shall see. It could be a lot of weird

688
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 1: football in Week fourteen. I got all the feels, as

689
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 1: the kids like to say, I got the feels about

690
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 1: the touchdowns too. Let's get to those, and don't forget

691
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 1: about the touchdown school report at bettingpros dot com. Slash

692
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 1: touchdown if you're looking for an edge and betting touchdowns,

693
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:34,240
Speaker 1: and I think that you are. Our Touchdown Score report

694
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 1: compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections

695
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:41,480
Speaker 1: to help you identify the best anytime touchdown bets on

696
00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:43,959
Speaker 1: the board. So head to betting pros dot com slash

697
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:47,200
Speaker 1: touchdown for the latest touchdown prop analysis Today. I am

698
00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 1: gonna go with Jerry Judy. I'm gonna hope that he remembered, hey,

699
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 1: when I put effort, I'm a good football player. I

700
00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 1: used to be really good once upon a time Alabama

701
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,360
Speaker 1: and look at me now. Look mom, I'm a wide

702
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 1: receiver in the fil I'm a big boy and it's

703
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:04,280
Speaker 1: a big number. Plus two ten. I really like this one.

704
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go there and just to put the

705
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:09,000
Speaker 1: knife in the heart of the Welsh Keenan Allen plus

706
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,520
Speaker 1: one fifty. In fact, I hope he catches two, and

707
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 1: I hope those nails are real pretty for me on

708
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:16,280
Speaker 1: Monday when we do out of bounds on the Fantasy

709
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,760
Speaker 1: Pro side of things, because the Caleb Williams fingernail bet

710
00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:22,200
Speaker 1: is going to be there. The dead coach bounce is real,

711
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 1: and Keenan Allen, it gets in the touchdown against your

712
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:27,440
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. Wells, where are you going for your

713
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 1: touchdown calls?

714
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,400
Speaker 2: This man, I haven't wanted the Niners to win more. Now.

715
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 2: People don't understand the bet, by the way, because I

716
00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 2: don't think we actually said it is. Whoever loses has

717
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 2: to do a Caleb Williams painted fingernails on Out of Bounds,

718
00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:42,760
Speaker 2: which is brand new on the Fantasy Pros YouTube channel,

719
00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 2: and it's incredible. With the edits, it's like nothing you've seen.

720
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 1: We're good pros stuff.

721
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're brilliant, but one of us is gonna have

722
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:54,800
Speaker 2: painted nails on Monday, so make sure you're tuned into that. Yeah, oh,

723
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 2: I'm sorry. Well, what we're doing, we're doing touchdown calls. Well,

724
00:30:57,720 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 2: I've got a deeper one with the forty nine ers.

725
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 2: I'm actually gonat with that one because you're going Keenan Allen.

726
00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 2: Remember when I was doing the like hate yourself, love

727
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:05,720
Speaker 2: your self type of thing. A little bit of hate

728
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:07,880
Speaker 2: myself here because I'm going with Deebo Samuel because he

729
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 2: is plus money at plus one seventy five. Why would

730
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:12,920
Speaker 2: I do that to myself when he looks like a

731
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:15,600
Speaker 2: shell of a receiver because it's going to be a

732
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,600
Speaker 2: running back this week, everyone is very hyper hyper focused

733
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 2: on Isaac Garndo. Isaac Grendo is minus money for a

734
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:25,080
Speaker 2: scoring touchdown. They have not been able to establish anything

735
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 2: with Debo. They can't do the little ender round thing.

736
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,560
Speaker 2: They can't get any separation deep. So what just goes

737
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 2: straight line in this is what Debo has done before.

738
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 2: They have no other running backs and in cases like

739
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 2: this in the past, Deebo has been more involved in

740
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 2: the running game. To the people that yell why he

741
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,160
Speaker 2: hasn't been, he hasn't been. You might be right, but

742
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 2: this is the spot where they will and would do it.

743
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna guess when the Niners get inside the five,

744
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 2: which there'll be a couple times in this one, they're

745
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:53,040
Speaker 2: going to go to not just Garndo, but they're going

746
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 2: to give Debo an opportunity. He gets a touchdown. At

747
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,600
Speaker 2: plus one seventy five, almost two to one. My other one,

748
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,160
Speaker 2: one of my favorites this week, it's Tyrone Tracy. He

749
00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:03,800
Speaker 2: is plus money at plus one twenty five. Saints have

750
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:07,680
Speaker 2: given up check us out fourteen touchdowns to running backs

751
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:10,720
Speaker 2: this season. Thirteen are on the ground, and they've given

752
00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 2: up a touchdown to running backs in seven of the

753
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 2: last eight games. Tyrone Tracy mount out.

754
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 1: All right, so there you go. You've got Tracy and

755
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel Welsh. I mean Deebo Samuel again. It's the

756
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 1: it's the self inflicted pain that I worried about.

757
00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:35,000
Speaker 3: Check in on, you get my picks?

758
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, let's go by the way.

759
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, hold on, great call ericson you want to say

760
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:44,240
Speaker 2: I'm a massive kiss. Wait till you get a load

761
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 2: of this.

762
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 3: All right, We'll save that one for the last because

763
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 3: that was that that is the grand finale. So my

764
00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:51,480
Speaker 3: first one is Jonathan Brooks, rookie running back for the

765
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,479
Speaker 3: Carolina Panthers. Half of his touches came in the red

766
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 3: zone last week, So if Carolina ends up scoring at

767
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 3: any point, I think it's actually gonna be Brooks and

768
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 3: not you Buhabbert that finds the en zone. He can

769
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 3: do it as a receiver. He's explosive, so he can

770
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 3: rip off a big play and plus four fifty. I

771
00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:07,600
Speaker 3: think that this is more about the chances of the

772
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:10,080
Speaker 3: Carolina is just scoring a touchdown in general, versus what

773
00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:11,840
Speaker 3: his role in the offense actually is so I think

774
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 3: that these odds are just too long for a player

775
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 3: that saw a ton of red zone usage last week

776
00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 3: and looked explosive. So Jonathan Brooks at plus four to

777
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,600
Speaker 3: fifty ever they like, And then the massochist in me

778
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 3: Kyle Pitts talking about self inflicted wounds plus three twenty

779
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 3: to score a touchdown against the Minnesota Vikings. But I

780
00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 3: am I'm not paying attention to Oh Kyle Pits the player,

781
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 3: he's so bad.

782
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:31,240
Speaker 2: He sucks.

783
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:33,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's not that great. But you know, I follow

784
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,640
Speaker 3: the usage. I'm a slave to the numbers. He had

785
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 3: two targets last week? Where were they both in the

786
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:38,880
Speaker 3: red zone?

787
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:39,360
Speaker 1: Right? Like?

788
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:41,360
Speaker 3: This is the process. This is why I bet Tim

789
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 3: Patrick anytime touchdown because he had red zone targets before

790
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,440
Speaker 3: last night's game and he got two touchdowns. So I'm

791
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 3: just following the process here with Kyle Pitts, He's facing

792
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 3: the Minnesota Vikings. No team has allowed more targets to

793
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 3: tight ends all season than the Minnesota Vikings. I love

794
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 3: Kirk Cousins in this matchup. You know who's allowed the

795
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 3: highest passing touchdown rate versus Rutchings touchdown rate the Minnesota Vikings.

796
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 3: If they're gonna be scoring touchdowns, are gonna be going

797
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:05,680
Speaker 3: through the air. So I can see right now people

798
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 3: Kyle Pits rolling their eyes at Kyle Pitts. Well, you

799
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:11,239
Speaker 3: know what, this man is fine the end zone. He

800
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:13,080
Speaker 3: may only have one catch, but it's gonna be in

801
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:13,759
Speaker 3: the end zone. Dude.

802
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 2: I was just about to say, he's one catch for

803
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:18,360
Speaker 2: six yards and is.

804
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 3: Gonna get away to have the Mike Evans stout live

805
00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:21,799
Speaker 3: where he's like two to two and two.

806
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:24,000
Speaker 1: I love too too too. I love the two too two.

807
00:34:24,040 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 1: That's the best. All right, drop your touchdown calls below.

808
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: Who are you going with in week fourteen? We will

809
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 1: have to see over here. Make sure you subscribe to

810
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:33,560
Speaker 1: the YouTube channel of Betting Pros, the fastest growing YouTube

811
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 1: channel in the betting space. Baby, that's us because we

812
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:38,759
Speaker 1: got you on lockdown and I'm excited for the rest

813
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:40,360
Speaker 1: of December and the end of the January man, the

814
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,319
Speaker 1: college football playoffs, the NFL playoffs, It's gonna be good

815
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 1: times around these parts. We want you to be with us,

816
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:47,400
Speaker 1: So make sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel, and

817
00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:50,240
Speaker 1: of course, wherever you get your podcast, make sure Betting

818
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: Pros is on that list. That'll do it for us,

819
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,120
Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for the

820
00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:56,840
Speaker 1: Welsh and the Undertaker. I'm Joey P. We'll see you

821
00:34:56,880 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 1: next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the Be Prose podcast.

822
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,680
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823
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824
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825
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826
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:16,600
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros