1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,560 Speaker 1: Hi, this is newt Twenty twenty is going to be 2 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:05,080 Speaker 1: one of the most extraordinary election years of our lifetime. 3 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:08,080 Speaker 1: I want to invite you to join my Inner Circle 4 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: as we discuss each twist and turn in the presidential race. 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 1: In my members only Inner Circle Club, you'll receive special 6 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 1: flash briefings, online events, and members only audio reports from 7 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 1: me and my team. Here is a special offer for 8 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: my podcast listeners. 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Join my Inner Circle today at Newtcenter 13 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: Circle dot com slash podcast use the Code podcast at checkout. 14 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:51,840 Speaker 1: Sign up today at Newtcenter Circle dot com slash podcast 15 00:00:51,880 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 1: and use the Code podcast hurry This Offtway Spires February fourteenth. 16 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: On this episode of News World, as a lead up 17 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 1: to the presidential election next fall, I want to devote 18 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 1: an episode about where we are as a country, what 19 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:15,639 Speaker 1: we should be thinking about as we look at the future. 20 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: I think the twenty twenty election is a very important 21 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: topic and it really relates to whether or not we 22 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 1: can reframe and redevelop the United States as a productive, 23 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: unified society. We need to have a bipartisan conversation about 24 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 1: what is important to us as Americans. Let's look at 25 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: the facts. Why do some things work and others do not? 26 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: And what do we have to do to fix these issues? 27 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: As you know, I am a Republican and a conservative, 28 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: but I think the conversation has to be an American conversation, 29 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: not just a partisan conversation, because the country belongs to 30 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 1: all of us. The conversation needs to be what's working, 31 00:01:56,840 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 1: what isn't. And the fact is we cannot in an 32 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 1: extraordinary country without profound and deep reforms. And this is 33 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:08,080 Speaker 1: my first effort to describe what I think the twenty 34 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 1: twenty issues are and how our decisions this year will 35 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: impact the future of our children and grandchildren. And nineteen 36 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: thirty two, the Republican Party had been dominant basically since 37 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: the Civil War since eighteen sixty and had dominated the 38 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 1: presidential races of nineteen twenty, twenty four, and twenty eight. 39 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 1: So if you had said to somebody in nineteen thirty 40 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:51,080 Speaker 1: two that Governor Franklin Elnar Roosevelt when he won the 41 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:55,639 Speaker 1: presidency was going to bring an approach to government, an 42 00:02:55,680 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 1: approach to political ideology, a network of very smart publicists 43 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 1: and academics, and his basic approach would shape American government 44 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 1: from nineteen thirty two to two thousand and sixteen. While 45 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:20,600 Speaker 1: there would be occasional uprising against it, Barry Goldwater in 46 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:24,480 Speaker 1: sixty four being a good example, or efforts at the 47 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:28,079 Speaker 1: margin to change it. Ronald Reagan would be a good 48 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: example that in fact it wouldn't be directly taken on 49 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: in a serious way with a sustainable effort from nineteen 50 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 1: thirty two until two thousand and sixteen. Now, if you 51 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 1: can imagine that President Trump ultimately evolves what I'll call 52 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 1: for the moment Trump is m in parallel to the 53 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 1: way that Roosevelt launched the New Deal, and then as 54 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: the New Deal began to lose momentum, the combination of 55 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: President Kennedy being assassinated and President Johnson then winning a 56 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: gigantic collection landslide over Barry Goldwater led to the Great Society, 57 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: which was in a sense a deeper, bigger, more expensive, 58 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:19,280 Speaker 1: and more liberal building block on top of the New Deal, 59 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 1: so that the institutions, if you go through Washington today, 60 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: you drive past the Department of Interior built during the 61 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:31,600 Speaker 1: Roosevelt era. You drive past a building after building which 62 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 1: either Franklin down or Roosevelt or Lyndon Johnson created to 63 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: be populated by bureaucrats to run the country. So if 64 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: you imagine, and this will horrify some people, that Trumpism 65 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: took effect and had the same pattern as the New Deal, 66 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 1: you could imagine a system that would last out to 67 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:57,000 Speaker 1: about two ninety six. Not that it will be a 68 00:04:57,080 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: partisan system. After all, Eisenhower one, Nixon one, Reagan one, 69 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 1: both of the Bushes one. So it wasn't that you 70 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 1: couldn't have occasionally partisan exchanges, but they were winning within 71 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: the framework of the New Deal majority. And so I've 72 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:18,320 Speaker 1: been fascinated my entire career, going back to nineteen fifty eight, 73 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: with this question of how do you create a governing 74 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: majority and fundamentally shift the way the system operates, because 75 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 1: in the end, if you can't do that, you eventually 76 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 1: backslide and find yourself back in the old order again. 77 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:38,039 Speaker 1: And that's in a sense what we mean by the 78 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 1: deep state. And I would say, by the way, for 79 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: anybody who wants a sense of the deep state that 80 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:48,720 Speaker 1: is entertaining, amusing, and educational all at once. There are 81 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:54,360 Speaker 1: two TV series which became books, Yes Minister and Yes 82 00:05:54,440 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 1: Prime Minister, which are created by one of Margaret Thatcher's ers, 83 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:04,040 Speaker 1: who had a very jaundiced view of the deep state, 84 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:09,839 Speaker 1: and it captures so perfectly how the career civil service 85 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 1: pacifies and manipulates the elected officials that anybody who would 86 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: really like a sense of what deep states are like 87 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 1: would be well served. Even though it's a British series, 88 00:06:21,160 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: it certainly recaptures my experience in dealing with the large 89 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 1: bureaucracies in the American system. Well, all of this was 90 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 1: an outcome in a sense of FDR and of the 91 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: progressive movement, and of a sense that if you could 92 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:38,159 Speaker 1: hire enough really smart people and put them in really 93 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:41,919 Speaker 1: orderly bureaucracies, that they could somehow create a better country 94 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: and impose that better country on the American people. And 95 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:48,120 Speaker 1: that's been going on now since nineteen thirty two. So 96 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: I was fascinated because I wanted to know how would 97 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: you go about changing it. The most successful modern example 98 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 1: of that kind of change was Prime Minister Thatcher. She 99 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,479 Speaker 1: had a very single principle, and I had had the 100 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: great privilege of working with her on occasion and talking 101 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 1: with her at length. Her approach was she said, look, 102 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 1: first you win the argument and then you win the vote. 103 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 1: But in order to win the argument, you have to 104 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 1: know what you believe in. And Thatcher in that sense 105 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 1: was a remarkable person. She was just old enough that 106 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: her father had really convinced her to be Churchillian, and 107 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: she saw herself, I think in a Churchillian role of 108 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 1: Churchill was saving British liberty from Nazis. She was saving 109 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 1: British liberty from socialism in the unions, and she saw 110 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 1: it as a war. There's a remarkable book called There 111 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: Is No Alternative Why Margaret Thatcher Matters by Claire Burlynsky 112 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 1: and Berlynsky, who was a graduate student in Britain during 113 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 1: Thatcher's period and was anti Thatcher's all good graduate students were, 114 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:04,560 Speaker 1: years later, came to realize that Thatcher really was absolutely irreplaceable. 115 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: And she said it came down to two things. That 116 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 1: Thatcher really did believe that the combination of socialism and 117 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 1: big unions was going to destroy parliamentary democracy and end 118 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: freedom as we've known it in Great Britain, and so 119 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 1: she saw herself with two parallel fights. One fight was 120 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 1: intellectual and moral, and more than any elected official in 121 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 1: my lifetime, she laid out the case that socialism's just 122 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: plain immoral, that it involves theft, as she once put it, 123 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,199 Speaker 1: the problem with socialism as you run out of other 124 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:45,559 Speaker 1: people's money to spend. And she went at it with 125 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: an intensity and a toughness that the left hated fully 126 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 1: as much as the modern American left hates Donald Trump. 127 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: But she didn't back down. She knew what she believed 128 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:00,360 Speaker 1: is this marvelous moment when she has first come the 129 00:09:00,440 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: leader of the Conservatives, and for them to have a 130 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 1: woman as the leader at that point was a real 131 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 1: turning point in a real breakthrough, and tells you how 132 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 1: tough she was. And they go to their big annual conference, 133 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: her first conference as the leader, and about halfway through 134 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 1: her speech, she says, a number of you asked me 135 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 1: what our platform is, Well, let me tell you, and 136 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 1: she reaches into her purse, which must have been huge, 137 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 1: and she pulls out Hi X book on the Constitution, 138 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: which is massive, and she slams it on the table 139 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: and she said, this is our platform. And the point 140 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:41,840 Speaker 1: she was making was that Hyak who was probably the 141 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 1: most articulate and methodical intellectual taking on socialism in the 142 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 1: period after World War Two. He had written a book 143 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 1: called The Road to Serfdom, in which he said, look, 144 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: once you start down central planning, you inevitably could become 145 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 1: a serf, and the bureaucrats in become aristocrats, and they 146 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 1: have all the power and you have none. And so 147 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 1: he really tries to lay out the notion that you're 148 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: dealing with the reality that socialism is inherently destructive of 149 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:22,439 Speaker 1: a free society. Then around High x Writing, an entire 150 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:25,640 Speaker 1: school grew up a base largely on work that have 151 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 1: been done a half century earlier on what's called the 152 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 1: Austrian School of economics. And the Austrian school had a 153 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 1: very simple insight, which is at the heart of what 154 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 1: I'm about to lay out for you. They said, look, 155 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:40,160 Speaker 1: the reason you can't have central planning work is that 156 00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 1: no central planner knows enough. And the example they used 157 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,200 Speaker 1: was the fish market before the refrigerator. They said, you know, 158 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:50,560 Speaker 1: on Friday, when you went down to buy fish, it 159 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:54,439 Speaker 1: depended on what you were going to cook that night. 160 00:10:55,120 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: If you were going to cook the fish as the 161 00:10:57,360 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 1: main course in an elegant meal. You're going to pay 162 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:02,080 Speaker 1: a lot of money for the fish, and you're going 163 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 1: to buy the freshest, best fish you could find, if 164 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 1: you're in fact going to put it into a fish stew. 165 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:11,439 Speaker 1: You're going to buy a lot less expensive cut of fish, 166 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:13,679 Speaker 1: and it can be in fact a little bit older, 167 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 1: so it might have come in yesterday instead of today. 168 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:21,439 Speaker 1: And they walk through this whole notion that no bureaucrat 169 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 1: can know for you on any given day what you're 170 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 1: going to value, and that that's why the market is 171 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 1: more powerful than a bureaucracy, because the market lets you 172 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: set the terms of what you want to pay for 173 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 1: the things you want to get. Now, that concept that 174 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:45,560 Speaker 1: it is literally impossible to have a centralized bureaucracy no 175 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 1: enough to be able to make the decisions should lead 176 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:52,680 Speaker 1: you then to look around. You look at the scale 177 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: of your state Department of Education, look at the scale 178 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 1: of the Environmental Protection Agency or the Department of the Interior, 179 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:03,160 Speaker 1: trying to run a continental sized country. And so there's 180 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 1: this whole model that has grown up that in many 181 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: ways grew out of a well meaning belief that we 182 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 1: could organize with professionals, who would be wise, who would 183 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 1: make good decisions, who would not allow personal traits to interfere. Well, 184 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 1: as Thatcher understood, that was all bologny. And in fact, 185 00:12:26,480 --> 00:12:29,439 Speaker 1: in Britain they was compounded because in that era they 186 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 1: had genuine socialists who hated free enterprise, who wanted the 187 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: government to run everything, and who really did believe that 188 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 1: the government could run the auto industry, the health business, 189 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:43,560 Speaker 1: you name it, the government would do it better. And 190 00:12:43,720 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 1: she came along and she said, no, I want to 191 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: re establish a society where individuals can go out and 192 00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:53,960 Speaker 1: start companies. I want to re establish a society where 193 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,320 Speaker 1: you can work hard, you can have take on pay, 194 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: you can buy a house, you can buy a car, 195 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 1: but you are being rewarded for being an effective individual, 196 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 1: not for being part of a collectivity. And one of 197 00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 1: the things that I think made her remarkable was that 198 00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 1: she really thought a lot about what she believed. I 199 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 1: asked a really good friend of mine, Gay Gaines, who 200 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:20,440 Speaker 1: had known both Thatcher and Reagan very well, and Thatcher 201 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 1: used to come and stay with her after she retired, 202 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: and I said, what do you think of Thatcher and 203 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:31,679 Speaker 1: Reagan as public speakers? Because Reagan was very effective, very 204 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 1: attractive person, but I think in the end did not 205 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: move the country as much as Thatcher did. And this 206 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 1: is what Gay wrote me back. She said, It's so 207 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 1: hard for me to answer because I love both as people. 208 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:47,080 Speaker 1: She said Thatcher left no doubt in anyone's mind which 209 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 1: she thought, and her directness was persuasive. But Reagan was 210 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:54,679 Speaker 1: endearing and funny. He grabbed people's hearts as well as 211 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:58,480 Speaker 1: their minds. Oh dear, I'm partial to both because they 212 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 1: were both so honest and straight toward. But I will 213 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:05,960 Speaker 1: vote for Thatcher because she thought every word through so 214 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: thoroughly and passionately believed every word she spoke. Quote. Now, 215 00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:13,679 Speaker 1: why am I telling you this? Because I think if 216 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 1: you look at Trump's formal speeches, you are seeing the 217 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:25,080 Speaker 1: beginning of a Trumpism which could be directly competitive in 218 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 1: effectiveness with Thatcher or Reagan, and directly competitive with Lyndon 219 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 1: Johnson and Franklin door Roosevelt. Next, we'll look at the 220 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 1: record low numbers and unemployment and what it means for America. 221 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,920 Speaker 1: When it comes to your estate planning, Why not leave 222 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 1: behind a lasting legacy that will also make a significant impact. 223 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 1: After all, we can't take our money with us, but 224 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:01,920 Speaker 1: we can use it to improve the lives of the 225 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:06,680 Speaker 1: precious animals who call Delta Rescue home. Delta Rescue is 226 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 1: the only no kill, care for life home for more 227 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:14,800 Speaker 1: than one thousand, five hundred dogs, cats, and horses. Founder 228 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,560 Speaker 1: Leo Grillo left a career in Hollywood to devote his 229 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 1: life full time to caring for these beautiful creatures. Delta 230 00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 1: Rescue is located on a one hundred and fifteen acre 231 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:29,200 Speaker 1: mountaintop ranch in Los Angeles, beautifully landscaped and surrounded by 232 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:33,880 Speaker 1: rolling hills, the perfect sanctuary for our lost furry friends. 233 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: You know how I feel about animals. They are pure 234 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: souls who only want to give love and get love unconditionally. 235 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: What Leo Grillo's doing at Delta Rescue is beyond extraordinary, 236 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 1: helping to save and care for these innocent creatures so 237 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 1: they can live safely and in peace. For more information, 238 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: go directly to Delta Rescue dot org, slash newt and 239 00:15:56,440 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 1: request our free estate planning package. That's Delta Rescue dot org, 240 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 1: slash newt And due to the overwhelming response over the holidays, 241 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 1: the free movie The Rescuer is still featured on our website. 242 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:16,480 Speaker 1: It's an award winning documentary about Leo's two year journey 243 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 1: to rescue a family of twenty one dogs abandoned in 244 00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 1: the wilderness. Stream it for free now go to Delta 245 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:28,200 Speaker 1: Rescue dot org slash newt today make it your New 246 00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 1: Year's resolution. If you look at his speech at Davos 247 00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen and then again his speech at Davos 248 00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 1: this year, they're astonishing speeches. I mean, here's somebody who 249 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: all of the sophisticated elites around the world no is inadequate, 250 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:59,160 Speaker 1: and how can you really take him seriously? And yet 251 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 1: he goes in. He's very direct, he is very very clear, 252 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 1: and the result is that people end up suddenly confronting 253 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:11,560 Speaker 1: something they had never thought about. I'm just going to 254 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:13,320 Speaker 1: give you one or two examples, because this is the 255 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 1: beginning of a proposition that I want you to think about. 256 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 1: Trump is talking, remember to leaders from Europe, Asia, Latin 257 00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: America whose economies are a mess. He's talking to people 258 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 1: who have very high unemployment. He's talking to people who 259 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:32,640 Speaker 1: can't create any jobs. And you would think that if 260 00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:37,000 Speaker 1: facts mattered, the fact that we've created seven million new 261 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:40,119 Speaker 1: jobs since Trump became president, the fact that we have 262 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:43,879 Speaker 1: the lowest unemployment rate in modern American history three point 263 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:47,159 Speaker 1: five percent, the fact we have the lowest African American 264 00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,920 Speaker 1: unemployment rate in history. Women have a lower unemployment rate 265 00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:54,200 Speaker 1: than anytime since nineteen fifty three. And by the way, 266 00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:57,120 Speaker 1: for the first time, a majority of the workforce is female. 267 00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:01,680 Speaker 1: Latinos have the lowest unemployment numbers in history. And if 268 00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:04,399 Speaker 1: you think about it, this didn't happen as an accident. 269 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:06,679 Speaker 1: And this is really what I want to focus on, 270 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:11,159 Speaker 1: because it's the Republican challenge and the Republican opportunity. We 271 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,440 Speaker 1: actually achieve great things. We just don't know how to 272 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,000 Speaker 1: explain any of them. We don't know how to get 273 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,879 Speaker 1: across to people. You know, it's not like AOC and 274 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:25,399 Speaker 1: her friends could do what Trump did. They don't have 275 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:29,239 Speaker 1: a clue out economy works. It's not like somebody like 276 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:34,840 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren could do 277 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,280 Speaker 1: what Trump did. They actually believe things that kill jobs, 278 00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 1: They believe things that destroy the economy, They believe things 279 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 1: that raise the unemployment rate. So just consider some examples. 280 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 1: Because of Trump's leadership, the corporate tax rate went from 281 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 1: thirty five percent down to twenty one. People got bonuses. 282 00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: The tax cuts estimated to raise the average household's income 283 00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:01,040 Speaker 1: by four thousand dollars. Because we'd brought down the tax rate, 284 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,160 Speaker 1: big company suddenly said, Oh, I think I'll bring money 285 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:08,240 Speaker 1: back home from overseas. Apple alone said they'd probably invest 286 00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:11,640 Speaker 1: three hundred and fifty billion dollars in the US over 287 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 1: the next five years. Trump had a great line and said, 288 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:21,400 Speaker 1: quote regulation is stealth taxation. Well, think about that. Which 289 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,879 Speaker 1: you have is a system where we have mounds of regulations. 290 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:27,639 Speaker 1: We have so many regulations you can't imagine it. And 291 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 1: the result has been that Trump, for the first time 292 00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:34,359 Speaker 1: in my lifetime, you have a president who's actually working 293 00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:37,399 Speaker 1: at it. In his twenty eighteen speech, he said that 294 00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 1: so far they'd set out to set two regulations for 295 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,640 Speaker 1: every new one, but they actually had gotten twenty two 296 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,960 Speaker 1: killed for every new one. If you're a small business person, 297 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,359 Speaker 1: or you're a family doctor, if you're a teacher who 298 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,720 Speaker 1: liked to focus on the students, these regulations drive you crazy. 299 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:56,440 Speaker 1: And so one of the major things that made America 300 00:19:56,560 --> 00:20:00,920 Speaker 1: more competitive, enabled us to work at developing the more jobs, 301 00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 1: was that we both cut taxes and we began to 302 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:08,480 Speaker 1: thin out regulations. We also had a very aggressive pro 303 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,760 Speaker 1: energy program. And this, of course is an exact reversal 304 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,439 Speaker 1: from where the left was. Trump actually believed that it 305 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 1: was good for America to be energy independent. He believed 306 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,520 Speaker 1: it was good for us to have very dramatic investments 307 00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 1: in oil and gas so that the result would be 308 00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 1: that we are today independent of any other country in 309 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:31,880 Speaker 1: the world. We can actually provide surplus for Europeans. We're 310 00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 1: now talking about exporting liquefied natural gas to Europe and 311 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 1: direct competition with the Russians. You're talking about a very 312 00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 1: very different model. Knowing the Europeans, there's this crisis because 313 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:46,160 Speaker 1: they really would like to have jobs. They just don't 314 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,479 Speaker 1: want to do anything that creates them. They'd really like 315 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,960 Speaker 1: to have lower unemployment. They just can't do anything that 316 00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: would get them there. They really understand that their bureaucracies 317 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 1: aren't functional. They just can't deal with them. If you've 318 00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:00,560 Speaker 1: watched it all, you've seen how rapidly the French crazy. 319 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: If you in fact have any serious effort to change 320 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:10,639 Speaker 1: the French system so that the gradual, pleasant decay is 321 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:14,040 Speaker 1: better than serious reform, and that's part of what makes 322 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 1: the American system so much different that we actually do 323 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,000 Speaker 1: have a system here where on occasion we can have 324 00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:26,560 Speaker 1: a very powerful, very dramatic reform that shocks people. Now, 325 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 1: to give you a sense, total number of jobs that 326 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:32,840 Speaker 1: they currently claim has been gained under prison Trump is 327 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 1: seven million. We've gotten more and more jobs. We are 328 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:40,760 Speaker 1: actually seeing wages go up, and very opposite of what 329 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:43,679 Speaker 1: the left thinks, wages have been going up faster for 330 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 1: the bottom one fourth of people, So we're actually gradually 331 00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:52,119 Speaker 1: seeing people rising out of poverty and they're moving in 332 00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:55,280 Speaker 1: a direction that's very positive. At the same time, the 333 00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:58,000 Speaker 1: net worth of the bottom half of wage learners is 334 00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:02,399 Speaker 1: increased by forty seven percent, three times faster than the 335 00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:06,159 Speaker 1: increase for the top one percent. The fact is that 336 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:11,080 Speaker 1: we have been creating manufacturing jobs, we've been creating service jobs, 337 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 1: we've been creating healthcare jobs. But as part of that, 338 00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:18,200 Speaker 1: we've tried to focus also on reaching out and getting 339 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:21,360 Speaker 1: this into communities that don't have jobs. So they've now 340 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 1: created nearly nine thousand opportunity zones, something I first worked 341 00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 1: on with Jack kempback in the late seventies, and that 342 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 1: these are places with less regulation, lower taxes and where 343 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:34,919 Speaker 1: people can literally invest in long term investments and have 344 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:38,639 Speaker 1: zero capital gains tax. And the result is people are 345 00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:41,879 Speaker 1: starting to put money into these opportunity zones, which are 346 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:46,120 Speaker 1: all located in communities that don't have jobs. So again 347 00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 1: as an effort here to use the free market to 348 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 1: move people, to give them a chance to go to work, 349 00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 1: to give them a chance to have a better future 350 00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 1: in those poverty areas. The thirty five million Americans who 351 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,320 Speaker 1: live there have already seen their home values rise over 352 00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:05,080 Speaker 1: twenty two billion dollars. So you have a double effect here. 353 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 1: You have a better chance to get a job. The 354 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 1: job you get has a better chance to rise in 355 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 1: what it's paying you. Your investments, whether it's your home, 356 00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,600 Speaker 1: or it's your pension or your four oh one k, 357 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 1: all of those are also moving in the right direction, 358 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:22,680 Speaker 1: and the result has been we are seeing a consistent 359 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:26,159 Speaker 1: move in the right direction. I raise all this as 360 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:31,400 Speaker 1: background because here is an opportunity for conservatives in general 361 00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:35,840 Speaker 1: and Republicans in particular to make the case that this 362 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 1: is principle. This isn't happening by random luck. It's not 363 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 1: happening because of a solar eclipse. It's not happening because 364 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: of witchcraft. It's happening because we have been methodically systematically 365 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 1: freeing up Americans, focusing on the opportunity to have a 366 00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:59,040 Speaker 1: better future, and focusing on the concept that you ought 367 00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 1: to have the right to go out, work hard, create 368 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:05,280 Speaker 1: a better future and keep most of the money. Now, 369 00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: having said that, here's the challenge. The news media doesn't 370 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 1: want to cover any of this. I've spent a lot 371 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:17,160 Speaker 1: of time thinking about the problem Reagan faced compared to Thatcher, 372 00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,640 Speaker 1: and the problem of both Reagan and Thatcher faced compared 373 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:26,160 Speaker 1: to Franklin Dolnar Roosevelt. We have today a very large 374 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 1: alternative system of power is a combination of the deep 375 00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:37,680 Speaker 1: state bureaucracy, the academic professors, Hollywood, the news media, left 376 00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:41,880 Speaker 1: wing activist groups, and the Democratic Party. All of those 377 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:47,480 Speaker 1: form together a unit. In that unit, they move as 378 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,880 Speaker 1: a herd. In an inconvenient truth in two thousand and six, 379 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,320 Speaker 1: dal Gore said within the decade there will be no 380 00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,359 Speaker 1: more snow and Kilimajaro turned out not to be true. 381 00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:01,280 Speaker 1: He said, many signs just a now warning. They're moving 382 00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:04,480 Speaker 1: closer to several points. They could within as little as 383 00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:08,840 Speaker 1: ten years make it impossible for us to avoid irretrievable 384 00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 1: damage to the planet's habitability for human civilization. That's two 385 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:16,280 Speaker 1: thousand and six. Well, ten years would have been twenty 386 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,480 Speaker 1: and sixteen. The planet seems to be doing okay. There 387 00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 1: are billions of people who seem to be surviving. Gore, who, 388 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:24,800 Speaker 1: by the way, I knew in the eighties when he 389 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 1: was worried about the whole concept of nuclear winder Gores 390 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,280 Speaker 1: an example of the modern left. That is, he's a catastrophist. 391 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:36,400 Speaker 1: He's not happy unless he's miserable. Here's an example from AOC, 392 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 1: one of the most recent examples of somebody who doesn't 393 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 1: know anything but is enthusiastically energetically happy to tell you 394 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:48,639 Speaker 1: about it. Millennials and people and gen Z and all 395 00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:51,960 Speaker 1: these folks that come after us are looking up and 396 00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 1: we're like, the world is going to end in twelve 397 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,680 Speaker 1: years if we don't address climate change. I just want 398 00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:02,120 Speaker 1: to suggest to you the world won't end in twelve years. 399 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 1: That it takes somebody who's either lying or just unimaginably 400 00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:14,440 Speaker 1: stupid to believe that. She points out, for example, what's 401 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 1: not realistic is Miami not existing in a few years. 402 00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:21,200 Speaker 1: I want to reassure you Miami will exist. But it's 403 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:25,000 Speaker 1: important understand no facts matter. This is all about emotion. 404 00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:29,160 Speaker 1: Which the most recent example, which is Greta Thunberg, who 405 00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:33,480 Speaker 1: essentially is a public relations invention. In an objective world 406 00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:37,920 Speaker 1: where any kind of knowledge mattered, she wouldn't be considered 407 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:41,760 Speaker 1: a serious person. But she actually has to speak at 408 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:46,000 Speaker 1: Davos because given the left's ability to talk itself into 409 00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 1: almost anything, she's one of the new examples of sincere naive, 410 00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:55,240 Speaker 1: passionate commitment without any kind of knowledge or any kind 411 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:59,879 Speaker 1: of accountability. Now I cite all this because it's not 412 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:04,360 Speaker 1: just in the environment. For example, in nineteen eighty nine, 413 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:09,879 Speaker 1: Samuelson's Economic Textbook, which was the most widely used textbook 414 00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:16,280 Speaker 1: in American economic education, said the following quote, the Soviet 415 00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:20,199 Speaker 1: economy is proof that, contrary to what many skeptics had 416 00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 1: earlier believed, a socialist command economy can function and even thrive. 417 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:29,200 Speaker 1: Close quote they want you to heaven your head an 418 00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: image of Venezuela, Cuba, Haiti, Zimbabwe. The Soviet Union itself, 419 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,680 Speaker 1: the last time it came out was the nineteen eighty 420 00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,800 Speaker 1: nine edition, and of course the Soviet Union disappeared two 421 00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:47,879 Speaker 1: years later, and we discovered that virtually every estimate the 422 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:51,399 Speaker 1: CIA had made was wrong by it maybe a factor 423 00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 1: of two. That is, the Soviet economy was much smaller 424 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 1: than we thought. It was much weaker and much less 425 00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:03,359 Speaker 1: capable of change. Samuelson's xbook was basically an apologia for socialism. 426 00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 1: He says, for example, socialists often advocate the peaceful and 427 00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 1: gradual extension of government ownership, evolution by ballot rather than 428 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:18,520 Speaker 1: revolution by bullet. Well, watch Venezuela, Watch China, Watch Cuba. 429 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,359 Speaker 1: But I'm going through these things because there's a core 430 00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:27,320 Speaker 1: problem here. As wrong as they are, we seem to 431 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:31,080 Speaker 1: be incapable of defeating them. We seem to be incapable 432 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:36,639 Speaker 1: of taking them head on. Coming up, how political leaders 433 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:59,320 Speaker 1: are failing our biggest cities. So the question has to 434 00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: be raised, how do you organize a movement for really 435 00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:09,360 Speaker 1: dramatic change. And it's fascinating to me when cities collapse. 436 00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 1: For example, the last Republican mayor of Detroit served from 437 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:18,600 Speaker 1: nineteen fifty seven to nineteen sixty two. So as Detroit 438 00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:23,680 Speaker 1: has decayed for a period now of fifty eight years 439 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:27,920 Speaker 1: under democratic mayors, and today thirty six percent of the 440 00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,640 Speaker 1: people living in Detroit are added below the poverty level. 441 00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:37,120 Speaker 1: In Chicago, the last Republican mayor served in nineteen thirty one. 442 00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:40,920 Speaker 1: The poverty rate in Chicago is nineteen point five percent, 443 00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 1: one out of every five basically In Saint Louis, the 444 00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:50,720 Speaker 1: last Republican mayor was nineteen forty nine. In Philadelphia, the 445 00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:54,840 Speaker 1: last Republican mayor left office in fifty two. In Baltimore, 446 00:29:55,480 --> 00:30:00,000 Speaker 1: the last Republican mayor was nineteen sixty seven. In twenty 447 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 1: Baltimore saw the largest population loss in a single year 448 00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,680 Speaker 1: since two thousand and one. The city lost seventy three 449 00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 1: hundred people, one point two percent of its population in 450 00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:14,080 Speaker 1: one year. The Baltimore's son also said, quote the city's 451 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:17,320 Speaker 1: scary record of three hundred and forty three homicides in 452 00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:21,800 Speaker 1: twenty seventeen affirms the city's well known reputation as a 453 00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:25,760 Speaker 1: dangerous place to live. The city's outrageous property tax of 454 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 1: two twenty four cents per hundred dollars of property assessed 455 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:35,160 Speaker 1: value is more than double the surrounding jurisdictions. So what 456 00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:38,200 Speaker 1: you have is a dangerous city with very few jobs 457 00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:40,440 Speaker 1: of a large number of poor people with a very 458 00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,640 Speaker 1: high property tax in order to sustain the bureaucracy, who 459 00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:47,400 Speaker 1: then reelect the government. Well, it destroys the city. And remember, 460 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:50,200 Speaker 1: just in the case of Baltimore, the last Republican mayor 461 00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:53,400 Speaker 1: left in nineteen sixty seven. Now why am I raising them? 462 00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:57,560 Speaker 1: Because you go from city to city to city, and 463 00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:01,680 Speaker 1: Republicans have never successfully in modern times made the case 464 00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 1: that we need an alternative model. A good example of 465 00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 1: this is fighting crime. We knew what works to fight crime. 466 00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:12,000 Speaker 1: Riddy Giuliani applied it. He brought down the murder rate 467 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,280 Speaker 1: in New York by a remarkable degree. By the time 468 00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:19,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg had continued implementing Giuliani's model, they had brought down 469 00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:23,320 Speaker 1: the murder rate by over eighty percent. Staten Island, which 470 00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 1: has about six hundred thousand people, had so few murders 471 00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:30,160 Speaker 1: that it was statistically off the charts. There's no other 472 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 1: city of six hundred thousand comparable to how safe Staton anolous. 473 00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 1: And how did they do it? They applied very practical, 474 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:41,200 Speaker 1: very straightforward steps, starting with a theory called broken windows 475 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 1: that said, if you live in a neighborhood that has 476 00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:46,320 Speaker 1: graffiti on the wall and broken windows you're going to 477 00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:49,160 Speaker 1: get a lot more crime because you're sending a signal 478 00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:53,280 Speaker 1: that crime is okay, that disorders okay. That model was 479 00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 1: applied very relentlessly in New York and it changed things 480 00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:01,760 Speaker 1: almost literally overnight. You can read about this both in 481 00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:06,160 Speaker 1: Rudy Giuliani's book on Leadership, which is a remarkable case 482 00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 1: study of how to move a very very large bureaucracy, 483 00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 1: or in Bill Bratton's book Turnaround. Bratton was actually the 484 00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:15,760 Speaker 1: police commissioner who implemented it, and it works. Now here's 485 00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 1: the problem. Liberals hate the concept of effective policing. What 486 00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 1: we've had happened in this country is a pattern in 487 00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:28,480 Speaker 1: which minorities are told the police or your enemy, even 488 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:31,120 Speaker 1: if the police, by the way, are the same minority 489 00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:35,160 Speaker 1: as you are. So you end up with liberals who 490 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,840 Speaker 1: hate the police because they hate the law. In case 491 00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:42,280 Speaker 1: after case. Now you have elected the district attorneys who 492 00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:45,480 Speaker 1: are saying they won't enforce the law. There are principles 493 00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 1: here if you don't enforce the law, if you have 494 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 1: as New York now has a no bail policy, so 495 00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 1: that somebody can go in rob A's store, get picked up, 496 00:32:56,640 --> 00:33:00,440 Speaker 1: release themselves on their own recognisance, go back the next 497 00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,920 Speaker 1: morning and robin of the store and release themselves again 498 00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:07,200 Speaker 1: on their own recognisance. Guess what's going to happen. You're 499 00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:11,360 Speaker 1: going to have an explosion of criminals because you just 500 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 1: send a signal it's okay, we don't mind if you 501 00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:16,840 Speaker 1: rip us off. And when you start getting an explosion 502 00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:20,000 Speaker 1: of criminals who steal, then you start to get criminals 503 00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:23,240 Speaker 1: who hurt people. Now, then you start getting people get killed. 504 00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 1: And so what you're seeing happen in city after city 505 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,960 Speaker 1: is the left is creating a culture in which the 506 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:34,240 Speaker 1: police are bad, the criminals are good. The disc attorney's 507 00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:37,959 Speaker 1: job is to represent social left wing values, not to 508 00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:41,320 Speaker 1: enforce the law. By the way, they very often we'll 509 00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:43,800 Speaker 1: say they're going to decide what laws are going to enforce. Well, 510 00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:45,880 Speaker 1: what does that mean. It means if you're a liberal, 511 00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,120 Speaker 1: you're probably not going to get prosecuted. If you're a conservative, 512 00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:52,120 Speaker 1: they may well find a way to prosecute you. So 513 00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:56,400 Speaker 1: I've laid all this out to suggest the following characteristic. 514 00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 1: We are at the edge of the potential because of 515 00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 1: Trump's personal skills and because of the way the whole 516 00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:08,600 Speaker 1: fight is evolving, that we could have a principled argument 517 00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:14,759 Speaker 1: over the nature of reality, and we could have a 518 00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:19,400 Speaker 1: conversation with the American people that says, look, do you 519 00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:23,600 Speaker 1: like having the lowest unemployment rate in modern times? Well, 520 00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:25,680 Speaker 1: there's a way to keep doing that. Would you like 521 00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:28,560 Speaker 1: to be safe in your neighborhood. There's a way to 522 00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,040 Speaker 1: be doing that. Would you like to have schools where 523 00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 1: your children actually learn. There's a way to be doing that. 524 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:37,840 Speaker 1: But don't kid yourself and think that you can be 525 00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:41,160 Speaker 1: for the old order which is failing and get a 526 00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:46,399 Speaker 1: different result. And I think that a Republican party which 527 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,280 Speaker 1: looks carefully at what's working, and looks carefully at what's failing, 528 00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,200 Speaker 1: and is prepared to stand up to the news media 529 00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:57,440 Speaker 1: and prepared to have a principled conversation, not on a 530 00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:00,279 Speaker 1: narrow partisan basis, but to say to everybody, if you 531 00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,239 Speaker 1: want your children to get educated, we want to work 532 00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:05,800 Speaker 1: with you. If you want your neighborhood to be safe, 533 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,600 Speaker 1: we want to work with you. If you'd like to 534 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,200 Speaker 1: make sure that there are more jobs and better jobs 535 00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:13,640 Speaker 1: with higher incomes, we want to work with you. If 536 00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:16,160 Speaker 1: you'd like to see your four oh one K and 537 00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:18,960 Speaker 1: your pension plan go up, in value, we want to 538 00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:22,360 Speaker 1: work with you. So you could literally build an American 539 00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:27,600 Speaker 1: conversation about the nature of reality. And you then have 540 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,759 Speaker 1: to face one or two quick things. We have to 541 00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:34,719 Speaker 1: be prepared to assume that one the news media will 542 00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:38,319 Speaker 1: not help us. You have to shape arguments where the 543 00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:42,239 Speaker 1: average person listening to you and listening to the hysteria 544 00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:44,960 Speaker 1: of the news media and the hysteria of your opponent, 545 00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:49,000 Speaker 1: comes to the conclusion that reality is on your side, 546 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:53,840 Speaker 1: not their side, and it's a very important frame of reference. Second, 547 00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,080 Speaker 1: you have to understand that it's going to be an 548 00:35:56,200 --> 00:36:01,080 Speaker 1: argument Thatcher refused to read the newspapers because she knew 549 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:03,400 Speaker 1: they were no attack her every single day and she 550 00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:05,640 Speaker 1: didn't want to waste the emotional energy dealing with them, 551 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:10,200 Speaker 1: so she focused on doing her job. Very important, and 552 00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:12,279 Speaker 1: I must say one of the things I find the 553 00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:15,680 Speaker 1: most amazing about Trump is three and a half years 554 00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:18,120 Speaker 1: in getting his brains beat now day after day by 555 00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:21,440 Speaker 1: eighty five percent the news media. He cheerfully flies off 556 00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,400 Speaker 1: to Davos on the opening day of the trial in 557 00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:26,879 Speaker 1: the center. He just keeps moving forward, and I think 558 00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:31,719 Speaker 1: he measures every judge that's approved, every regulation that's repealed 559 00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:35,160 Speaker 1: every new factory that opens up as a victory in it, 560 00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:38,239 Speaker 1: so he just keeps rolling. If we can learn to 561 00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:42,320 Speaker 1: have this discussion, and we can drive it home this fall, 562 00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 1: and we can drive it home for all Americans and 563 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,840 Speaker 1: recognize it if we're right, and it's an argument about 564 00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:55,200 Speaker 1: fact and reality, that there's potentially an American coalition dramatically 565 00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:58,400 Speaker 1: bigger than the Trump coalition and dramatically bigger than the 566 00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:02,200 Speaker 1: Republican Party. But that requires us then to learn how 567 00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:04,960 Speaker 1: to think this through. We have a chance to have 568 00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,920 Speaker 1: more than an election. We have a chance to have 569 00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:13,960 Speaker 1: a reasoned resetting of American civilization based on a fact 570 00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 1: based conversation that again and again forces people to confront specific, 571 00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:26,520 Speaker 1: measurable facts and then draw conclusions. And I think if 572 00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 1: we can avoid slogans, and we can avoid this classic 573 00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:34,000 Speaker 1: negative stuff and avoid all the petty stuff, we might 574 00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:37,200 Speaker 1: be astonished by the end of this year how much 575 00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:42,279 Speaker 1: of the country wants to have low unemployment, opportunities for 576 00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:47,719 Speaker 1: salary increases, better schools, safer neighborhoods, and a chance to 577 00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:51,080 Speaker 1: create a country in which millions and millions of people 578 00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:54,040 Speaker 1: go out on their own and invent their version of 579 00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:56,759 Speaker 1: the American Dream, and I think that a lot to 580 00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:59,440 Speaker 1: learn from Franklin Roosevelt. There's a lot to learn from 581 00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:02,200 Speaker 1: Ronald Ray, There's a lot to learn from Margaret Thatcher. 582 00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:04,920 Speaker 1: And if we're willing to learn it, I think we 583 00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:09,160 Speaker 1: might be astonished what can be accomplished over the next 584 00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:16,880 Speaker 1: few years. I explore the topic of macro microeconomic issues 585 00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:21,640 Speaker 1: at Newtsintercircle dot com. It's a subscription service where I 586 00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:25,040 Speaker 1: offer insights and commentary on the issues that matter to me. 587 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:32,919 Speaker 1: Most joined today at Newtsintercircle dot com. You can read 588 00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:36,160 Speaker 1: more about the Republican Challenge in twenty twenty on our 589 00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:41,120 Speaker 1: show page at newtsworld dot com. Newtsworld is produced by 590 00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:45,040 Speaker 1: Westwood One. Our executive producer is Debbie Myers and our 591 00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:48,960 Speaker 1: producer is Guardsy Slope. Our editor is Robert Borowski, and 592 00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:53,600 Speaker 1: our researcher is Rachel Peterson. Our guest booker is Tamara Coleman. 593 00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:57,400 Speaker 1: The artwork for the show was created by Steve Penley. 594 00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:02,040 Speaker 1: The music who was composed by Joey Salvia. Special thanks 595 00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:05,279 Speaker 1: to the team at Gingwichtree sixty and Westwood Ones, John 596 00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:09,440 Speaker 1: Wardock and Robert Mothers. Please email me with your comments 597 00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:13,440 Speaker 1: at new at newtsworld dot com. If you've been enjoying Newtsworld, 598 00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:16,399 Speaker 1: I hope you'll go to Apple podcast in both rate 599 00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:19,600 Speaker 1: us with five stars and give us a review so 600 00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:25,600 Speaker 1: others can learn what it's all about. On the next 601 00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:28,440 Speaker 1: episode of Newtsworld, I'm going to talk something about the 602 00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:33,000 Speaker 1: various attacks on Chinese health, both human health and animal health. 603 00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:35,600 Speaker 1: China has had a tough time over the last year 604 00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:38,840 Speaker 1: and a half with the African swine flu almost wiping 605 00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:42,439 Speaker 1: out their huge herd of pork, and at the same 606 00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:46,200 Speaker 1: time they now have this coronavirus which probably came out 607 00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:49,320 Speaker 1: of an animal background. So join me. It's going to 608 00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:53,080 Speaker 1: be a fascinating time to look at various challenges into 609 00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:57,359 Speaker 1: the health of China, the Chinese and their animals. I'm 610 00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:09,840 Speaker 1: Newt Gingrich. This is Newtsworld, the Westwood One podcast Network.