WEBVTT - Biden in Brussels & Apple's iPhone Subscription

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where innovation, money and power COLLI

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Emily Jay. I'm Emily Chang in San Francisco, and this

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Technology. Coming up in the next hour, NATO

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<v Speaker 1>talks talk sending more troops to europe eastern border with

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<v Speaker 1>Russia and warning Puttin against the use of nuclear weapons.

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<v Speaker 1>We will have the latest from President Biden's trip to Brussels,

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<v Speaker 1>sanctions and what it all means for Russian oil. Plus

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<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Exclusive. Apple working on a hardware subscription for

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<v Speaker 1>the iPhone and other hardware products. Why buy a device

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<v Speaker 1>out right when you can just pay a monthly fee?

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<v Speaker 1>Will dial in our very own Mark German and Uber

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<v Speaker 1>will now list New York's city taxi cabs on its app.

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<v Speaker 1>This an effort to ease a driver's shortage and higher

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<v Speaker 1>fares and get a leg up on rival lift. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>get to all of that in a moment. Continuing now,

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<v Speaker 1>the war on Ukraine has now entered its second month.

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<v Speaker 1>President Biden marking that grim milestone in Brussels, meeting with

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<v Speaker 1>Natal leaders about what can be done to stop Russia's

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<v Speaker 1>unprovoked aggression. The President was asked if Russia should remain

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<v Speaker 1>in the G twenty and this is what he had

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<v Speaker 1>to say. My answer is yes, it depends on the

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<v Speaker 1>um I that was raised today, and I raised the

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<v Speaker 1>possibility if that can't be done, if Indonesia and others

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<v Speaker 1>do not agree, then we should, in my view, asked

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<v Speaker 1>to have both UM Ukraine be able to attend the meetings.

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<v Speaker 1>For more on the president's visit, we are joined now

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<v Speaker 1>by a Bloomberg Washington correspondent, Emory Hordern, who is in Brussels.

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<v Speaker 1>Emory obviously a significant statement there from President Biden. So far,

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<v Speaker 1>what has been the reaction to what he has had

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<v Speaker 1>to say and his meeting with top European leaders. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>this was really a main headline coming out of that

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<v Speaker 1>press conference the President gave at NATO following his extraordinary meeting,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's been a slew of diplomacy here in Brussels, Emily.

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<v Speaker 1>The President just wrapped up he had a NATO meeting

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<v Speaker 1>at G seven meeting, and then he went over to

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<v Speaker 1>the European Commission to address European leaders. When he says

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<v Speaker 1>that he doesn't he thinks that Russia should be vetoed

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<v Speaker 1>and disinvited from the G twenty. He said that if

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<v Speaker 1>not every G twenty nation agrees, they would ununanimous support.

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<v Speaker 1>He thinks Ukraine at the very least should be invited

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<v Speaker 1>to make sure they're there for part of these conversations.

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<v Speaker 1>After this, Emily, the President will move on to Poland overnight.

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<v Speaker 1>He'll be tomorrow morning, He'll be traveling there and I'll

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<v Speaker 1>be meeting with his counterpart as well as really seeing

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<v Speaker 1>what is happening in terms of the human toll this

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<v Speaker 1>crisis has taken. This is really going to be a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit more of an emotional day. If today was

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<v Speaker 1>really the diplomatic day, tomorrow is really an emotional day

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<v Speaker 1>and day about humanity because this crisis has caused ten

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<v Speaker 1>million Ukrainians displaced either in their own home or more

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<v Speaker 1>than three million have actually fled to bordering countries, and

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<v Speaker 1>Poland really being the ground zero for that. Now there

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<v Speaker 1>is this question about just who President Biden is going

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<v Speaker 1>to meet uh in the next twenty four hours. He was, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a little circumspect about what was coming next.

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<v Speaker 1>What do we know about who exactly he's going to meet,

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<v Speaker 1>and what the impact of those meetings will be Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>some details at the moment are not released to the

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<v Speaker 1>press obviously for some security concerns. But the President in

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<v Speaker 1>the morning, he'll still be in Brussels and he'll sit

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<v Speaker 1>down with Ursula vander Lyon and we're also are expecting

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<v Speaker 1>from the United States, and the President signaled this this

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<v Speaker 1>evening is some more details about potentially what the US

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<v Speaker 1>can do in terms of shoring up natural gas supplies

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<v Speaker 1>for Europe, because we know how dependent Europe is on

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<v Speaker 1>Russian natural gas and oil and at this moment that

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<v Speaker 1>is really the continuous lifeblood of the An economy that

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<v Speaker 1>has pretty much been saved in terms of these harsh

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<v Speaker 1>penalties and sanctions. Then when the President goes on to Poland,

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<v Speaker 1>we do know over the weekend he'll be sitting down

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<v Speaker 1>for a bilateral with this Polish counterpart, President Data. There's

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<v Speaker 1>going to be a number of issues to discuss, but

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<v Speaker 1>most top of the priority would really be the humanitarian focus,

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<v Speaker 1>given the fact that Poland is really dealing with an

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<v Speaker 1>influx of refugees and asylum seekers from Ukraine. Emory of

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<v Speaker 1>course traveling with the President, but we're going to be

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<v Speaker 1>following the President's every move. Meantime, new exclusive deals on

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<v Speaker 1>the breach of details on the breach of Octa and

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<v Speaker 1>the group behind it. Bloom Brig has learned that a

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<v Speaker 1>sixteen year old from England is believed to be the

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<v Speaker 1>mastermind behind the attack. Bloom Brig's William Turton was behind

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<v Speaker 1>that scoop, he joins us. Now, so William, just who

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<v Speaker 1>is this sixteen year old teenager who lives with his

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<v Speaker 1>mom and how did he pull this off? Well, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not naming him obviously because he's a miner, but

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<v Speaker 1>he's a very talented hacker. One person I spoke to

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<v Speaker 1>who was responding to him hacking a company said that

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<v Speaker 1>he was so fat and so proficient that at first

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<v Speaker 1>when they were observing the activity, they thought it might

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<v Speaker 1>be automated, like it was a script. But no, it

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<v Speaker 1>was just the sixteen year old kid who actually kind

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<v Speaker 1>of has like a pretty expansive online presence of him

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<v Speaker 1>dabbling and hacking. And you know, now he's probably one

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<v Speaker 1>of the most notorious cyber criminals of all time. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>he's achieved that label really quickly because this group has

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<v Speaker 1>hacked into Microsoft Octa and Video. You know, these huge targets.

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<v Speaker 1>That's been millions and millions of dollars on cybersecurity. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I haven't seen anything a cyber crime group like this

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<v Speaker 1>in many years. So now that we know who he is,

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<v Speaker 1>what could the consequences for this kind of attack be?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it's it's really interesting the laws in the UK,

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<v Speaker 1>especially with miners and these sorts of crimes, are pretty different. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's it's it's there's been actually kind of historically

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<v Speaker 1>a problem of when you have miners who are hacking,

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<v Speaker 1>kind of keeping them off the computer. This is really

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<v Speaker 1>reminiscent of the hack of Twitter that happened last year,

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<v Speaker 1>where it was a lot of miners involved in pulling

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<v Speaker 1>off the hack. Now is different because many of them

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<v Speaker 1>were in the US, and you know, they're very quickly arrested,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's it's difficult really to keep these kids away.

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<v Speaker 1>And what do we know about the actual consequences to

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<v Speaker 1>Octa and the businesses that have been affected. Of course,

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<v Speaker 1>Octa has been very clear Octa itself was not breached,

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<v Speaker 1>but there are these three sixties six other businesses that

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<v Speaker 1>were compromised, right right, Yeah, And in part of our

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<v Speaker 1>story yesterday you might have noticed we reported that the

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<v Speaker 1>hackers used their breach of Octa in order to enable

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<v Speaker 1>further hacks. Now we don't know what the details are,

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<v Speaker 1>but if you're a company like the Octa, that's basically

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<v Speaker 1>the worst case scenario. And so you know, I don't

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<v Speaker 1>think we know exactly what happened. We know what the

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<v Speaker 1>company has said so far that there were a limited

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<v Speaker 1>number of accounts actors. But still, when you're a company

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<v Speaker 1>that offers a service that does identity management, it's the

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<v Speaker 1>last thing that you want to happen, all right. Bloomberg's WILLIAMS.

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<v Speaker 1>Turton will continue to watch your reporting on this. Thank

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<v Speaker 1>you for bringing us that story meantime. It is the

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<v Speaker 1>first alliance of its kind in the United States. Uber

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<v Speaker 1>will list New York City a yellow taxis on its

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<v Speaker 1>app to help combat a driver shortage and rising fairs. Yep,

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<v Speaker 1>you heard that right. More on that next, this is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>Uber will list New York's yellow cabs on its app.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the first alliance of its kind in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States. The announcement sending Uber shares jumping Thursday. I

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<v Speaker 1>want to get more on this with Bloombergs Jackie Dabolos,

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<v Speaker 1>who covers Uber for US and this Jackie after years

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<v Speaker 1>of acrimony, no what he thought this would ever happen?

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<v Speaker 1>Why now you know? No one could have seen this coming.

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<v Speaker 1>It's been a contentious decade ever since Uber stepped onto

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<v Speaker 1>the scene in New York. And really what this means

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<v Speaker 1>is it's an acknowledgement by Uber that they can't do

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<v Speaker 1>this alone. They have said that they want to get

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<v Speaker 1>every taxi in the world on their app by and

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<v Speaker 1>it's a really ambitious school. So to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>pull it off in New York is a true sign

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<v Speaker 1>that they are going to tackle this in the US

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<v Speaker 1>head on, and it's a good sign that they might

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<v Speaker 1>get a competitive edge over Lift. So a few things

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<v Speaker 1>at play, but more so you have to think about

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<v Speaker 1>the driver's shortage. They needed a boost to supply, and

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<v Speaker 1>this is certainly going to give them that. What does

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<v Speaker 1>this mean for drivers? Uber is billing it as a

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<v Speaker 1>win for them, is it really And what does it

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<v Speaker 1>mean for fares given gas prices and inflation? More broadly, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>for sure the boost and supply, it's about fourteen thousand

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<v Speaker 1>taxis in New York that are now going to be

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<v Speaker 1>available on the Uber app. Customers can hail arrived just

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<v Speaker 1>they like they normally do, but now it could be

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<v Speaker 1>a cab waiting to pick them up. And so for

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<v Speaker 1>the cab driver, they're going to be paid in the

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<v Speaker 1>same way that other app based drivers in New York

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<v Speaker 1>are paid. They have a minimum wage that's set by

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<v Speaker 1>the city, and this differs from the metered fares that

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<v Speaker 1>they are typically used to. Now. Uber says that this

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<v Speaker 1>rate that they're paid by the city is actually better

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<v Speaker 1>on average than the metered rates. So this could be

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<v Speaker 1>a boost in earnings for New York cities cab drivers,

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<v Speaker 1>but also, you know, just more business. They saw their

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<v Speaker 1>demand for cabs decimated when ride hailing came into town,

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<v Speaker 1>and so I think from one perspective, it's not just

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<v Speaker 1>going to put more people in their cars, but also

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<v Speaker 1>maybe more money in their pockets. All Right, how times

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<v Speaker 1>have changed. Bloombergh JACKI Davilos. We'll see how this works out.

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna continue this conversation with the CEO of Hulbert himself.

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<v Speaker 1>You can tune into Bloomberg Technology Tuesday for our exclusive

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<v Speaker 1>interview with Dara Cosmash. I'm catching up with him at

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<v Speaker 1>Shop Top, one of the biggest retail conferences in the

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<v Speaker 1>world in Las Vegas. Meantime, shares of ev maker Rivian

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<v Speaker 1>rose to the highest level in three weeks. The company

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<v Speaker 1>has been in the spotlight since it's glitzy November I

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<v Speaker 1>p O, but the stock has tumbled ever since, and

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<v Speaker 1>Rivian's value has fallen from one billion dollars to just

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<v Speaker 1>forty two billion. Bloomberg News spoke with the company's CFO,

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<v Speaker 1>Claire McDonough, who says if the company can wramp up

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<v Speaker 1>production and build capacity, the share price will quote take

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<v Speaker 1>care of itself. With the war on Ukraine still raging

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<v Speaker 1>and inflation here in the US, companies and investors alike

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<v Speaker 1>contending with fall little markets. How long will it last?

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<v Speaker 1>And what is the path forward? Let's talk about it

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<v Speaker 1>all with Kathy Gow, partner at Sapphire Ventures. Kathy, what

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<v Speaker 1>are you telling your company's about how long to plan

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<v Speaker 1>for this kind of market volatility and how to navigate it? Oh, Emily,

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<v Speaker 1>It's so great to be here. First of all, as always,

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<v Speaker 1>what confusing times we live in, right everyone is trying

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<v Speaker 1>to make sense of it all, and I'm super happy

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<v Speaker 1>to be here today to share my perspective as a

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<v Speaker 1>venture investor. Now, I think the word everyone is using today,

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<v Speaker 1>including myself, to describe the current approach the market is uncertain.

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<v Speaker 1>About half of the NASDAC had valuations slashed by fifty

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<v Speaker 1>in a matter of weeks, and uncertainty is really the

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<v Speaker 1>foe of the markets. This turbulence is creating a very

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<v Speaker 1>very confusing fundraising environment for tech entrepreneurs and for investors. Frankly,

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<v Speaker 1>no one knows what's going to happen right But because

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<v Speaker 1>no one has the magic ball, there are certain ways

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<v Speaker 1>that founders can prepare themselves, even though we don't know

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<v Speaker 1>when the other shoe, so to speak, will drop or

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<v Speaker 1>how far it is to drop up. How is this

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<v Speaker 1>impacting valuations? It certainly seems like things have taken a pause,

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<v Speaker 1>if if not some companies maybe having to take a haircut.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're trying to raise money right now, well you

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<v Speaker 1>know what private markets for software companies, and I focus

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<v Speaker 1>on software companies, so other markets might be seeing different

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<v Speaker 1>things have not yet meaningfully corrected. I am hearing some

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<v Speaker 1>anecdotal stories about lower valuations and some reed trades in

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<v Speaker 1>later stage deals, but there's not been a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>discernible pattern yet. Frankly, the early stage also seems to

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<v Speaker 1>be quite insulated at this point in time, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's important to also call out that there is

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<v Speaker 1>a lag between public market movements and the private markets,

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<v Speaker 1>and we haven't felt the full impact yet in the

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<v Speaker 1>private markets now. This lag has been seen in prior

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<v Speaker 1>cycles as well, in the dot com crash during the

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<v Speaker 1>Great Recession. This time, there's also just a massive amount

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<v Speaker 1>of dry powder on the sidelines. I think over a

0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:08.880
<v Speaker 1>hundred billion was raised last year by US venture capital

0:13:08.920 --> 0:13:11.960
<v Speaker 1>firms alone. So given the amount of dry powder, do

0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:15.400
<v Speaker 1>you think that we won't necessarily see as dramatic and

0:13:15.480 --> 0:13:18.240
<v Speaker 1>impact on private markets that we would had all that

0:13:18.280 --> 0:13:23.120
<v Speaker 1>money not been raised. It's definitely a counter counter force

0:13:23.280 --> 0:13:26.200
<v Speaker 1>to what's happening in the market. But you know, my

0:13:26.200 --> 0:13:30.280
<v Speaker 1>my prediction is that we will see an impact in

0:13:30.280 --> 0:13:33.440
<v Speaker 1>the private markets first with the late stage, which we're

0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:37.680
<v Speaker 1>kind of seeing already, But usually these things take a quarter,

0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:41.040
<v Speaker 1>two quarters, maybe three quarters to see and will hit

0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:44.280
<v Speaker 1>the late stage companies first, flow into the mid sector,

0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 1>and then hit the earliest stage companies last. So what

0:13:48.720 --> 0:13:51.800
<v Speaker 1>do you see it is coming next? If you could

0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:54.480
<v Speaker 1>sort of map out the second half of the year.

0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:59.599
<v Speaker 1>What are you planning for at the end of the day. Um,

0:13:59.600 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 1>what we do at Sapphire is striving to back the

0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:09.360
<v Speaker 1>most exceptional entrepreneurs and companies of consequence and regardless of

0:14:09.360 --> 0:14:12.440
<v Speaker 1>what's happening in the markets. Following that north star of

0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:16.079
<v Speaker 1>investing in absolutely the best teams and companies I feel

0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:19.640
<v Speaker 1>will cut through the volatility in the longer term. Now,

0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:22.880
<v Speaker 1>what I'm telling my CEOs are there are certain things

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:26.040
<v Speaker 1>you can do to protect your business in case the

0:14:26.120 --> 0:14:29.200
<v Speaker 1>fundraising markets tighten up for the rest of the year.

0:14:29.560 --> 0:14:32.560
<v Speaker 1>These are things like making sure that you have enough

0:14:32.640 --> 0:14:35.080
<v Speaker 1>cash on your balance sheet right, taking care of your

0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:38.200
<v Speaker 1>current customers. It costs way more to acquire a new

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:42.480
<v Speaker 1>customer than to retain an existing customer. And also don't

0:14:42.520 --> 0:14:48.880
<v Speaker 1>forget about retaining your employees as well. Kathy cow Sapphire Ventures,

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:51.960
<v Speaker 1>thank you for sharing your perspective with us. And now

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:55.760
<v Speaker 1>that big Apple news hearing it here first, Bloomberg has

0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 1>learned the iPhone maker is working on a subscription service

0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:02.000
<v Speaker 1>for the I phone and other hardware products, a move

0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:05.360
<v Speaker 1>that could make device ownership similar to paying a monthly

0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:07.920
<v Speaker 1>app feed is according to people with knowledge of the matter,

0:15:07.960 --> 0:15:10.080
<v Speaker 1>I want to bring in bloombergs Mark German who broke

0:15:10.160 --> 0:15:14.480
<v Speaker 1>this story. Mark, How exactly would this work? Yeah, thank

0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:16.360
<v Speaker 1>you for having me. This would be no different, like

0:15:16.400 --> 0:15:19.520
<v Speaker 1>you said, than your monthly ten dollar Apple Music subscription

0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:23.000
<v Speaker 1>or fifteen dollar month Apple one Bundle subscription. Right, you'd

0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:25.600
<v Speaker 1>be paying for the phone on a monthly basis like

0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:28.320
<v Speaker 1>you might on a car least. Now, this is different

0:15:28.320 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 1>than installment programs and carry your subsidy programs today. What

0:15:31.800 --> 0:15:33.680
<v Speaker 1>Apple and the carriers allow you to do if you

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:35.680
<v Speaker 1>don't want to buy the phone out right is split

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:39.840
<v Speaker 1>up the costs, whether that's two or less for an

0:15:39.920 --> 0:15:43.920
<v Speaker 1>sc in such over twelve, eighteen, four or thirty months,

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:46.680
<v Speaker 1>depending on your carrier. This would be a set fee

0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:49.560
<v Speaker 1>that's not the cost the phone, divided by you know

0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 1>how many months they're already year or two years? So?

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:56.440
<v Speaker 1>And will this apply to not just the iPhone, but iPads, laptops,

0:15:56.480 --> 0:15:59.800
<v Speaker 1>Apple watches? How far does this go? It'll start with

0:15:59.840 --> 0:16:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the iPhone. Eventually it's possible that Apple will also expand

0:16:02.960 --> 0:16:05.600
<v Speaker 1>it expand it to other hardware as well. Part of

0:16:05.640 --> 0:16:08.520
<v Speaker 1>the program is the ability to upgrade to the new

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:11.320
<v Speaker 1>model annually as they come out. Just like if you

0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:14.400
<v Speaker 1>have an Apple TV Plus subscription or an Apple Music subscription,

0:16:14.640 --> 0:16:17.360
<v Speaker 1>you're constantly getting new features and content as part of

0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:20.160
<v Speaker 1>that monthly fee you pay. And so there's other devices

0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:21.880
<v Speaker 1>that are also on an annual kaid. It's like the

0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Apple Watch, like the iPad and the Mac in some

0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:27.680
<v Speaker 1>respects as well. So I do see this expanding over time,

0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:29.960
<v Speaker 1>and I also believe one day this could become the

0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:33.160
<v Speaker 1>preferred method of buying Apple products instead of having to

0:16:33.200 --> 0:16:36.520
<v Speaker 1>pay you know, those prices at the beginning of the purchase.

0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:39.720
<v Speaker 1>So what does that mean for Apple in terms of revenue?

0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:42.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, do you see this bringing in you know,

0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:46.200
<v Speaker 1>significantly more revenue of people aren't buying the phones outright,

0:16:46.280 --> 0:16:49.320
<v Speaker 1>but more people spring for that option because they don't

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 1>have to. Well, this is going to be just one option, right,

0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:54.000
<v Speaker 1>There's still a lot of people who are going to

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:57.400
<v Speaker 1>use the installment plans and installment programs from both Apple

0:16:57.440 --> 0:16:59.520
<v Speaker 1>and the carriers. There's a lot of people who are

0:16:59.520 --> 0:17:01.520
<v Speaker 1>still going to the phone out right. This is going

0:17:01.600 --> 0:17:03.280
<v Speaker 1>to be another option at check out when you go

0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:06.040
<v Speaker 1>to the Apple online store to tie the subscription price

0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:08.280
<v Speaker 1>to your Apple I D I think this is going

0:17:08.359 --> 0:17:11.280
<v Speaker 1>to ultimately increase revenue for Apple because instead of just

0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.520
<v Speaker 1>getting a one dollar payment once from a consumer, they

0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:18.720
<v Speaker 1>might get per month for several years, right, and they're

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.400
<v Speaker 1>going to be able to sell those phones over many

0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:24.280
<v Speaker 1>years to consumers and add up to maybe some consumers

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:26.160
<v Speaker 1>paying three or four ARS a month for a group

0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:28.439
<v Speaker 1>of Apple products and services. So I do think this

0:17:28.520 --> 0:17:30.919
<v Speaker 1>is gonna be a positive for Apple, and it's going

0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:34.640
<v Speaker 1>to mean more upgrades, more services purchases, more app downloads.

0:17:34.680 --> 0:17:37.040
<v Speaker 1>So I think overall this is a smart transition that

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:38.960
<v Speaker 1>you're going to see happening. And they're not the only

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:41.479
<v Speaker 1>one doing this, right. Google has a program called Pixel

0:17:41.520 --> 0:17:44.720
<v Speaker 1>pass Right, which is a subscription program for a combination

0:17:44.760 --> 0:17:48.040
<v Speaker 1>of their device and their services. Obviously, their devices nowhere

0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:50.600
<v Speaker 1>near as popular as the iPhone, but they're trying it.

0:17:50.880 --> 0:17:55.439
<v Speaker 1>Peloton as well. Peloton is testing a six monthly fee

0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:58.919
<v Speaker 1>for leasing their bikes. Obviously Peloton is not doing as

0:17:58.920 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 1>well as Apple, but again, these are examples of other

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:06.080
<v Speaker 1>companies moving in the same direction. When is this transition happening?

0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:09.600
<v Speaker 1>Why can people do this? So they have been working

0:18:09.600 --> 0:18:11.880
<v Speaker 1>on this for a little while now. It was originally

0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:14.080
<v Speaker 1>scheduled to launch sometime this year, at the end of

0:18:14.080 --> 0:18:16.440
<v Speaker 1>this year, so probably between the end of this year

0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 1>and sometime next year. And how quickly do you expect

0:18:19.880 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 1>Apple to ramp something like this up move from say

0:18:22.960 --> 0:18:27.400
<v Speaker 1>an iPhone to other hardware products, you know, over time, right,

0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:28.879
<v Speaker 1>I think it will start out if it works so

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.399
<v Speaker 1>with the iPhone. If they continue to generate more revenue

0:18:31.400 --> 0:18:33.600
<v Speaker 1>on the iPhone and they work without this program, then

0:18:33.640 --> 0:18:36.679
<v Speaker 1>you probably would see this, you know, rapidly expanding. I

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.919
<v Speaker 1>think it will be iPhone focused iPhone first. Given there

0:18:39.960 --> 0:18:42.920
<v Speaker 1>are so many installment and carrier plans, even Apple's own

0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:47.159
<v Speaker 1>iPhone upgrade program, Apple's Apple Card monthly installments program with

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:49.439
<v Speaker 1>Goldman sacks to the phone. So I think they're just

0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 1>continuing to add different purchasing options for the iPhone to

0:18:52.640 --> 0:18:54.800
<v Speaker 1>make it appealing to more and more people. So I

0:18:54.800 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 1>think it'll be iPhone focus for at least a little while.

0:18:58.320 --> 0:19:01.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's Mark German scoop Mark, thank you for bringing that

0:19:01.640 --> 0:19:13.160
<v Speaker 1>to us. Welcome back to Bloomberg Technology. I'm Emily Chang

0:19:13.160 --> 0:19:16.639
<v Speaker 1>in San Francisco. We're still assessing the fallout of employees

0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:19.560
<v Speaker 1>pushing back and walking out on Disney after CEO Bob

0:19:19.640 --> 0:19:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Japeck initially refused to take a position on a controversial

0:19:22.840 --> 0:19:26.199
<v Speaker 1>Florida bill, then changed course. One of my next guests

0:19:26.200 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 1>says Bob j Peck needs to go, calling him the

0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:33.439
<v Speaker 1>worst Disney leader he can remember, adding that the company

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:36.760
<v Speaker 1>needs to bring back former CEO Bob Iger. Joining me

0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:39.200
<v Speaker 1>now the man who said that, Ross Gerber, president and

0:19:39.240 --> 0:19:42.359
<v Speaker 1>CEO of Gerber Kawasaki and a Disney investor. I'm also

0:19:42.400 --> 0:19:45.040
<v Speaker 1>joined by Ivan fine Set, chief investment officer of Tiger's

0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:47.840
<v Speaker 1>Financial who has a BY rating and twelve month price

0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:51.080
<v Speaker 1>target of two dollars a share on Disney, which is

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:55.639
<v Speaker 1>the highest of all analysts tracked by Bloomberg. Gentlemen, thank

0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:57.679
<v Speaker 1>you so much for joining us. Ross, I want to

0:19:57.680 --> 0:20:00.200
<v Speaker 1>start with you. Why are you so disappointed in Bob

0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:04.800
<v Speaker 1>Peck so far? Well, first, it started with Starlett Johannesson,

0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:06.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, when he first took over, and the way

0:20:06.720 --> 0:20:11.159
<v Speaker 1>he was handling talent was just horribly done to ultimately

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:13.720
<v Speaker 1>end up giving her the same amount of money anyways,

0:20:13.720 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 1>And and when you start ruffling feathers with the most

0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:20.679
<v Speaker 1>talented people in your you know, movie business, that that

0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:22.840
<v Speaker 1>doesn't make sense. And then now we've moved on to

0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:26.920
<v Speaker 1>political issues, where Disney has always had a long history

0:20:27.000 --> 0:20:30.600
<v Speaker 1>of liberalism and and sort of educating our society about

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:34.720
<v Speaker 1>liberalism through movies and shows and animation. Um for so

0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:38.680
<v Speaker 1>long we we expose our children to new ideas through Disney.

0:20:38.760 --> 0:20:42.399
<v Speaker 1>So I found it incredibly poor leadership that an issue

0:20:42.440 --> 0:20:44.800
<v Speaker 1>as simple as the one in Florida was one that

0:20:45.359 --> 0:20:48.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, Cha Peck waffled on. And it's something that's

0:20:48.600 --> 0:20:52.840
<v Speaker 1>crucially important in our society today that we have more

0:20:52.880 --> 0:20:56.840
<v Speaker 1>acceptance of of all people, and Disney stands for that.

0:20:56.960 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 1>So the fact that this was a difficult issue for

0:20:59.440 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 1>Chapec to deal with really just makes me doubt his

0:21:02.359 --> 0:21:05.959
<v Speaker 1>ability as a leader. He should just be an operations person.

0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:07.919
<v Speaker 1>And that's what I missed about Bob Iger. He was

0:21:07.960 --> 0:21:11.359
<v Speaker 1>such a class act. He was such a gentleman and

0:21:11.560 --> 0:21:15.160
<v Speaker 1>mensch um and and just always made Disney look good

0:21:15.200 --> 0:21:18.280
<v Speaker 1>no matter how difficult the situation is. And I'm biased

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:20.040
<v Speaker 1>because I'm a big fan of Bob Iger and I

0:21:20.040 --> 0:21:22.640
<v Speaker 1>miss him, but you know, i'd love to see him back.

0:21:24.320 --> 0:21:26.600
<v Speaker 1>I didn't. What's your reaction to that, given that you're

0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:29.440
<v Speaker 1>clearly bullish, You've got such a high price target here,

0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:33.320
<v Speaker 1>and you must I believe believe Bob J. Peck is

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:37.160
<v Speaker 1>doing a good job. I do. First of all, he

0:21:37.280 --> 0:21:40.480
<v Speaker 1>became CEO and right as we were going into the

0:21:40.480 --> 0:21:44.560
<v Speaker 1>pandemic lockdown where travel was shut down, movie studios where

0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:48.440
<v Speaker 1>production was shutdown, theaters were shutdown, cruise lines were shutdown,

0:21:48.440 --> 0:21:50.520
<v Speaker 1>and the parks were shut down. And he did a

0:21:50.560 --> 0:21:55.680
<v Speaker 1>great job stewarding the company um saving cash, cutting expenses

0:21:56.560 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 1>and investing in the expansion and increased content for Disney

0:22:01.119 --> 0:22:03.879
<v Speaker 1>Plus and their directed to consumer streaming services. So he

0:22:03.920 --> 0:22:06.840
<v Speaker 1>has gone through a really difficult time. I agree with

0:22:06.960 --> 0:22:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Ross that Bob Iger was a great CEO, but I

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:14.640
<v Speaker 1>don't agree that UH in this unfortunate time that Bob J. Peck.

0:22:14.840 --> 0:22:17.200
<v Speaker 1>I think he did a great job. And he said

0:22:17.240 --> 0:22:20.199
<v Speaker 1>in his note to chare all two employees, if he

0:22:20.280 --> 0:22:24.639
<v Speaker 1>took a hard stance either on either side of this position,

0:22:25.200 --> 0:22:27.679
<v Speaker 1>that it would be used as a political weapon. And

0:22:27.720 --> 0:22:31.159
<v Speaker 1>I agree. And Disney is a company that that leads

0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:35.679
<v Speaker 1>UH in a lot of areas, especially in acceptance, but

0:22:35.760 --> 0:22:38.880
<v Speaker 1>they are not a political company and they do sidestep

0:22:39.200 --> 0:22:42.960
<v Speaker 1>controversy whenever possible, So I don't really think he I

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:45.480
<v Speaker 1>think he acted as best he could in somebody in

0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:47.879
<v Speaker 1>the situation that he's in. But the bigger picture, as

0:22:47.920 --> 0:22:50.760
<v Speaker 1>far as investors, he has so far done a great

0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:53.919
<v Speaker 1>job as the CEO in a very tough time, and

0:22:53.960 --> 0:22:56.439
<v Speaker 1>I think he will continue to do so. As the

0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:59.240
<v Speaker 1>parks you know, open and travel open to area. See

0:22:59.280 --> 0:23:03.199
<v Speaker 1>that to the extent parks have been opened, they've had

0:23:03.280 --> 0:23:07.199
<v Speaker 1>record levels of attendance, pastor record ticket prices, record in

0:23:07.320 --> 0:23:10.439
<v Speaker 1>part spending. So the company is doing well and he

0:23:10.480 --> 0:23:15.399
<v Speaker 1>has grown um Disney's direct to consumer streaming services very well.

0:23:16.320 --> 0:23:18.480
<v Speaker 1>Ivan is taking the stand on this bill though really

0:23:18.480 --> 0:23:21.320
<v Speaker 1>a political issue. I mean, Disney has been about inclusion

0:23:21.840 --> 0:23:23.960
<v Speaker 1>since you know, as far back as I can remember.

0:23:24.000 --> 0:23:27.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's a small world, after all, we're taking

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:31.000
<v Speaker 1>a position on this bill from the beginning really have

0:23:31.119 --> 0:23:35.240
<v Speaker 1>been that political at all, Yes, because it would have

0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 1>been whatever stance he took would have been used against him.

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:44.440
<v Speaker 1>But Ivan, what's wrong with taking a stance against discrimination

0:23:44.800 --> 0:23:48.159
<v Speaker 1>and having people who are for discrimination be against you?

0:23:48.240 --> 0:23:51.679
<v Speaker 1>See this is where I see leadership, Like, let me

0:23:51.680 --> 0:23:56.679
<v Speaker 1>finish Running a park is one thing and leadership is another.

0:23:56.800 --> 0:23:59.760
<v Speaker 1>I agree. If you put him in a room by

0:23:59.800 --> 0:24:04.280
<v Speaker 1>him self. He's done a great job operating Parks or

0:24:04.640 --> 0:24:08.119
<v Speaker 1>Disney Plus. But a CEO's job is to be in

0:24:08.160 --> 0:24:11.800
<v Speaker 1>the public and to represent the values of the business,

0:24:12.200 --> 0:24:15.840
<v Speaker 1>not just operate the business. That's a CEO's job, and

0:24:15.920 --> 0:24:18.080
<v Speaker 1>that's where he was and that's where he should be.

0:24:18.720 --> 0:24:22.000
<v Speaker 1>But when you're talking about leadership and being scared to

0:24:22.119 --> 0:24:27.439
<v Speaker 1>take a position on such a simple thing. It is

0:24:27.520 --> 0:24:33.240
<v Speaker 1>wrong to discriminate against gay people, especially children in school,

0:24:33.280 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 1>and to make a law to do that, and have

0:24:35.080 --> 0:24:38.720
<v Speaker 1>any confusion over this because you don't want right wingers

0:24:38.760 --> 0:24:42.280
<v Speaker 1>attacking you like this is the problem. People care about

0:24:42.280 --> 0:24:45.040
<v Speaker 1>the moral values of the CEO as much as it

0:24:45.160 --> 0:24:48.160
<v Speaker 1>identifies with that company. And now you've got people on strike,

0:24:48.359 --> 0:24:51.440
<v Speaker 1>and you've got nobody's happy with what he's done. So

0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:54.480
<v Speaker 1>so ros here's a question. Look, Bob J. Peck got

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot of pushback and then he changed course. He

0:24:57.200 --> 0:25:01.600
<v Speaker 1>didn't want to this listening tour. Isn't that leadership when

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:04.960
<v Speaker 1>you can admit that you made a mistake. Yes, I know,

0:25:06.720 --> 0:25:13.720
<v Speaker 1>not if the mistake is stupid, all right. I don't

0:25:13.760 --> 0:25:17.960
<v Speaker 1>believe his stance was stupid, and I do like people

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:22.560
<v Speaker 1>who can change their opinion based on information, So the

0:25:22.600 --> 0:25:25.080
<v Speaker 1>fact that people change their opinion on things, I don't

0:25:25.119 --> 0:25:27.920
<v Speaker 1>think it's negative. I think it's a positive. Disney has

0:25:27.960 --> 0:25:31.679
<v Speaker 1>been a supporter of the LGBTQ community for years. They

0:25:31.720 --> 0:25:35.159
<v Speaker 1>were one of the first companies to extend benefits to

0:25:35.600 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>same sex partners over twenty five years ago, and they

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:45.120
<v Speaker 1>are extremely inclusive company that produces extremely inclusive and enlightening content.

0:25:45.640 --> 0:25:47.800
<v Speaker 1>And I think he had given that. It's It's not

0:25:48.080 --> 0:25:52.199
<v Speaker 1>a a simple stance, and it happens to be. I mean,

0:25:52.280 --> 0:25:57.159
<v Speaker 1>they have a tremendous presence in Florida, but Florida has

0:25:57.240 --> 0:26:02.440
<v Speaker 1>been a very, very politically charged state, and unfortunately, I

0:26:02.840 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 1>think his first reaction of not to take an extreme

0:26:06.080 --> 0:26:08.119
<v Speaker 1>stance because it would have been used against him, and

0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:10.960
<v Speaker 1>it is being used against them now no matter what position,

0:26:11.000 --> 0:26:16.560
<v Speaker 1>And if he takes a a more progressive position toward it,

0:26:16.680 --> 0:26:19.960
<v Speaker 1>he's also being criticized. So you can't criticize him on

0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:22.959
<v Speaker 1>both sides. But as far as so, my job as

0:26:23.000 --> 0:26:26.760
<v Speaker 1>a research analyst is to focus on investment opportunities, and

0:26:26.880 --> 0:26:31.440
<v Speaker 1>as an investment opportunity, I think Disney's brand equity, it's

0:26:31.520 --> 0:26:35.359
<v Speaker 1>industry leadership, the quality of its content that direct to

0:26:35.440 --> 0:26:38.600
<v Speaker 1>consumer streaming services, and the fact that they get really

0:26:38.680 --> 0:26:42.920
<v Speaker 1>a tremendous bang for their investment in contact content dollar

0:26:43.040 --> 0:26:45.440
<v Speaker 1>because not only is it on streaming, it's in theaters,

0:26:45.520 --> 0:26:49.640
<v Speaker 1>it's on Broadway, it's in licensing, it's in driving people

0:26:49.720 --> 0:26:52.439
<v Speaker 1>to the theme parks, to their cruise ships. So they

0:26:52.520 --> 0:26:55.119
<v Speaker 1>really create a lot of value with their content. And

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:58.159
<v Speaker 1>they are and as I say, in media, content is

0:26:58.280 --> 0:27:02.800
<v Speaker 1>king and Disney is the king of So here's another question.

0:27:03.840 --> 0:27:08.440
<v Speaker 1>Ross Bob Iger has said he's gone. Any thought that

0:27:08.560 --> 0:27:12.440
<v Speaker 1>he might come back to this company is quote unquote ridiculous.

0:27:13.160 --> 0:27:18.400
<v Speaker 1>So if if Bob Iger's not coming back, who who

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:20.720
<v Speaker 1>is is the right person to lead the company if

0:27:20.800 --> 0:27:24.280
<v Speaker 1>not Bob Jpeck, or maybe we give Bob Jacobeck some

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:29.800
<v Speaker 1>more time. So Poward Schultz just came back. So you know,

0:27:29.960 --> 0:27:32.960
<v Speaker 1>you never want to say never, because I never would

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:35.800
<v Speaker 1>have suspected Howard Shultz would be back at Starbucks, which

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:39.080
<v Speaker 1>I think will be beneficial for spar Bucks. Um, I

0:27:39.160 --> 0:27:42.720
<v Speaker 1>don't know. Iger's a very young person for his age,

0:27:42.800 --> 0:27:45.200
<v Speaker 1>so he certainly has the physical ability to do this,

0:27:45.320 --> 0:27:47.520
<v Speaker 1>and I think he has moved on from Disney. But

0:27:47.640 --> 0:27:50.800
<v Speaker 1>I think the correct pick for CEO of Disney should

0:27:50.800 --> 0:27:53.400
<v Speaker 1>have been Kevin Mayer. It should still be Kevin Mayer.

0:27:53.800 --> 0:27:56.120
<v Speaker 1>Kevin Mayer has gone on to do a wonderful job

0:27:56.240 --> 0:27:59.600
<v Speaker 1>working in many different businesses. Now I've met Kevin, and

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:01.800
<v Speaker 1>I think he's one of the sharpest people in Hollywood.

0:28:01.840 --> 0:28:05.040
<v Speaker 1>He's super connected, and he has the type of personality

0:28:05.440 --> 0:28:08.160
<v Speaker 1>that could have handled this a lot better than Bob. Now,

0:28:08.880 --> 0:28:11.280
<v Speaker 1>not to say that anything I've been saying is incorrect

0:28:11.359 --> 0:28:15.880
<v Speaker 1>from an investment thesis, I actually own the stock personally

0:28:15.920 --> 0:28:19.880
<v Speaker 1>and for my firm, not i'vean actually doesn't, and I'm

0:28:19.920 --> 0:28:23.200
<v Speaker 1>an activist shareholder. And so what that means is, as

0:28:23.320 --> 0:28:25.879
<v Speaker 1>the owner of the business, I don't like what my

0:28:26.080 --> 0:28:29.360
<v Speaker 1>CEO is doing, and so I'm talking about that. That's

0:28:29.400 --> 0:28:31.879
<v Speaker 1>what I'm saying. I would like to have the CEO

0:28:31.960 --> 0:28:35.240
<v Speaker 1>of Disney really represent the values of Disney. Now, the

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:38.040
<v Speaker 1>fact that he's going on a listening tour is called

0:28:38.160 --> 0:28:42.360
<v Speaker 1>placating people. I don't think his views are any different.

0:28:42.720 --> 0:28:45.120
<v Speaker 1>He's just got to placate people. And that's my problem

0:28:45.160 --> 0:28:47.920
<v Speaker 1>with all this. Oh he's listening and all this, Come on,

0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:50.880
<v Speaker 1>all right, Ian, I'm gonna let you have the last

0:28:50.920 --> 0:28:55.440
<v Speaker 1>word here because obviously Rosh put push back on a

0:28:55.480 --> 0:28:58.959
<v Speaker 1>few things there. Yes, he's he's right about Howard Schultz,

0:28:59.080 --> 0:29:01.320
<v Speaker 1>and I think that it's good to see it Starbucks,

0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:04.400
<v Speaker 1>but I think this is a different situation. However, we

0:29:04.520 --> 0:29:07.520
<v Speaker 1>do own Disney on behalf of clients in accounts that

0:29:07.600 --> 0:29:10.680
<v Speaker 1>we manage. Our firm policy is that analysts and portfolio

0:29:10.760 --> 0:29:13.960
<v Speaker 1>managers cannot have personal positions in it. But I do

0:29:14.120 --> 0:29:15.880
<v Speaker 1>have a buy on the stock, and we do own

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:18.480
<v Speaker 1>it on behalf of clients, and it's on our focused

0:29:18.520 --> 0:29:24.160
<v Speaker 1>opportunity research list and portfolio. But the disclosure said your

0:29:24.200 --> 0:29:27.200
<v Speaker 1>firm didn't known the stock? Sorry, Uh, what we do?

0:29:27.720 --> 0:29:29.840
<v Speaker 1>I thought I was on it that we did. But um,

0:29:31.000 --> 0:29:33.640
<v Speaker 1>but I think that j Peck it'll be a learning

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:36.640
<v Speaker 1>experience for him and the company. And I think the

0:29:36.720 --> 0:29:40.960
<v Speaker 1>bigger picture is a company has responsibility to a lot

0:29:41.000 --> 0:29:46.040
<v Speaker 1>of stakeholders, not only shareholders, but employees, vendors, customers, convent

0:29:46.120 --> 0:29:49.120
<v Speaker 1>people who visit the park, and um, you know they

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:52.920
<v Speaker 1>have a broad base of clients or customers that view

0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:55.600
<v Speaker 1>their content, go to the movies, go on their cruise ships,

0:29:55.760 --> 0:29:57.600
<v Speaker 1>go to the theme park too. So he has a

0:29:57.760 --> 0:30:01.520
<v Speaker 1>big audience, a big group of stakeholders that he really

0:30:01.560 --> 0:30:04.400
<v Speaker 1>has to care for, and I think that overall he's

0:30:04.480 --> 0:30:07.880
<v Speaker 1>done and we'll do a good job. Well. Certainly, Disney

0:30:08.040 --> 0:30:12.160
<v Speaker 1>has a lot of opportunities and challenges ahead of course,

0:30:12.200 --> 0:30:15.040
<v Speaker 1>shape himself. I appreciate both of you joining us and

0:30:15.080 --> 0:30:19.000
<v Speaker 1>coming to play. Ross Gerber Ivan fine Seth will continue

0:30:19.400 --> 0:30:23.200
<v Speaker 1>this debate coming up. Bitcoin rallying, but will it last?

0:30:23.280 --> 0:30:26.480
<v Speaker 1>As the war on Ukraine rages, so does a volatility

0:30:26.800 --> 0:30:29.000
<v Speaker 1>and crypto markets. We'll talk about all that and more

0:30:29.080 --> 0:30:32.320
<v Speaker 1>with Spencer Bogart from Blockchain Capital. That is next. This

0:30:32.480 --> 0:30:44.720
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg time now for our crypto rapport, with Bitcoin

0:30:44.800 --> 0:30:47.120
<v Speaker 1>climbing and more than forty four thousand for the first

0:30:47.200 --> 0:30:49.800
<v Speaker 1>time in almost a month, breaking out of its recent

0:30:49.880 --> 0:30:53.960
<v Speaker 1>narrow trading range. This increased closely mirroring gains among US

0:30:54.040 --> 0:30:58.280
<v Speaker 1>equity indexes. But the cryptocurrency was also boosted by speculation

0:30:58.360 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 1>that Russia is mulling accepting payments, accepting it for payments,

0:31:02.680 --> 0:31:05.440
<v Speaker 1>and that the operator of the terror blockchain is buying

0:31:05.480 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 1>the digital token as a reserve. Let's talk about all

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:10.520
<v Speaker 1>that and more with my next guest, Spencer Bogart from

0:31:10.520 --> 0:31:13.160
<v Speaker 1>blockchain capital spencer, What do you think was driving the

0:31:13.240 --> 0:31:16.720
<v Speaker 1>jump today? Sure, I certainly think that all of those

0:31:16.760 --> 0:31:19.080
<v Speaker 1>headlines are having an impact here. I think there's just

0:31:19.440 --> 0:31:22.400
<v Speaker 1>broadly also a question of what type of heart assets

0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:24.960
<v Speaker 1>to people want to own in an inflationary environment, and

0:31:25.000 --> 0:31:27.960
<v Speaker 1>I think that that backdrop is also driving additional demand

0:31:28.080 --> 0:31:32.080
<v Speaker 1>for bitcoin and another heart assets. And yeah, bitcoin has

0:31:32.080 --> 0:31:34.680
<v Speaker 1>been trading in a fairly narrow range over the last

0:31:34.760 --> 0:31:38.880
<v Speaker 1>few weeks, despite being show such a big part of

0:31:38.920 --> 0:31:42.440
<v Speaker 1>the news, and you know, these global headlines that we're seeing,

0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:45.720
<v Speaker 1>why do you think that is? I think it's part

0:31:45.760 --> 0:31:48.640
<v Speaker 1>of a longer term trajectory of bitcoin just seen reduced

0:31:48.720 --> 0:31:51.440
<v Speaker 1>volatility over to time as its market cap and trading

0:31:51.520 --> 0:31:54.960
<v Speaker 1>volume and market infrastructure matures. Um. So, you know, I

0:31:55.000 --> 0:31:57.840
<v Speaker 1>think that that recently there's been some debate about what

0:31:58.040 --> 0:32:01.440
<v Speaker 1>the current market backdrop of you know, succored growth, increased

0:32:01.440 --> 0:32:04.640
<v Speaker 1>demand for horrid assets means coupled with the world of

0:32:04.880 --> 0:32:07.560
<v Speaker 1>rising interest rates where the price of money or the

0:32:07.600 --> 0:32:11.080
<v Speaker 1>cost of capital is increasing and maybe pulling out from

0:32:11.160 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 1>some of the more volatile segments of the market. So

0:32:15.800 --> 0:32:19.280
<v Speaker 1>looking at short term moves, what about the long term

0:32:19.760 --> 0:32:22.280
<v Speaker 1>what happens to bitcoin? What is bitcoin? What does the

0:32:22.320 --> 0:32:24.760
<v Speaker 1>market look like five years out? We took we talked

0:32:24.800 --> 0:32:27.320
<v Speaker 1>to Mike novograts about that galaxy digital tike a coal

0:32:27.360 --> 0:32:30.400
<v Speaker 1>glisten to what he has to say. The whole year.

0:32:30.440 --> 0:32:32.760
<v Speaker 1>I thought we'd be a thirty thousand fifty thousand range

0:32:33.720 --> 0:32:37.440
<v Speaker 1>in bitcoin risk to the upside, not the downside. Um.

0:32:37.920 --> 0:32:41.040
<v Speaker 1>But I think you know, five years out, if bitcoin

0:32:41.120 --> 0:32:44.080
<v Speaker 1>is not at five thousand, I'm wrong. On the adoption cycle,

0:32:44.760 --> 0:32:49.840
<v Speaker 1>Uh right, we see an adoption cycle that accelerates. Bitcoin

0:32:49.960 --> 0:32:52.600
<v Speaker 1>grew so much faster last year, crypto grew than the

0:32:52.680 --> 0:32:56.960
<v Speaker 1>Internet did its best years in the nineties. Spencer, is

0:32:57.000 --> 0:33:02.440
<v Speaker 1>it at five thousand dollars and five years exactly? I'm

0:33:02.440 --> 0:33:05.000
<v Speaker 1>not really sure. And look, Novo and I might agree

0:33:05.040 --> 0:33:07.760
<v Speaker 1>on many different points, but um, I agree with them here.

0:33:07.840 --> 0:33:11.160
<v Speaker 1>I think that people overthink bitcoin and crypto as a

0:33:11.240 --> 0:33:14.080
<v Speaker 1>whole um quite often. I mean, realistically, I think the

0:33:14.160 --> 0:33:16.440
<v Speaker 1>easiest thing to do here, to do well is to

0:33:16.520 --> 0:33:18.840
<v Speaker 1>have a long term time horizon. You know what's going

0:33:18.920 --> 0:33:21.680
<v Speaker 1>to happen in any particular day, week, month, or even year.

0:33:22.240 --> 0:33:24.960
<v Speaker 1>UM is extraordinarily uncertain UM, and a lot of people

0:33:25.000 --> 0:33:28.240
<v Speaker 1>I think preferred to do themselves brain damage trying to

0:33:28.320 --> 0:33:31.280
<v Speaker 1>anticipate those market moves, when I think the easier solution

0:33:31.360 --> 0:33:33.800
<v Speaker 1>here is to have a small percentage of your portfolio

0:33:34.120 --> 0:33:36.200
<v Speaker 1>and orient towards the long term, and that could be

0:33:36.600 --> 0:33:38.760
<v Speaker 1>just bitcoin or could be a basket of crypto assets.

0:33:39.360 --> 0:33:42.640
<v Speaker 1>What's your take on President Biden's executive order and the

0:33:42.840 --> 0:33:46.080
<v Speaker 1>role that crypto is playing in the war on Ukraine.

0:33:46.200 --> 0:33:48.760
<v Speaker 1>Do you think we are looking at a turning point

0:33:48.920 --> 0:33:55.720
<v Speaker 1>in history for this cryptocurrency and cryptocurrency in general. Potentially,

0:33:55.800 --> 0:33:59.320
<v Speaker 1>I certainly think the crypto is a component of this discussion.

0:33:59.800 --> 0:34:02.320
<v Speaker 1>Right think that what's been made very clear, not just

0:34:02.520 --> 0:34:04.800
<v Speaker 1>with the war in Ukraine, but I think across global

0:34:04.880 --> 0:34:07.560
<v Speaker 1>events over the past couple of years has really become

0:34:07.640 --> 0:34:12.480
<v Speaker 1>evident that money and financial services have become weaponized. And

0:34:12.840 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 1>sometimes that weaponization is used for things that UM the

0:34:17.160 --> 0:34:20.640
<v Speaker 1>would probably have broad support um and other times there's opposition.

0:34:21.080 --> 0:34:26.200
<v Speaker 1>But regardless, there is demand for a neutral a political

0:34:26.520 --> 0:34:30.120
<v Speaker 1>money and infrastructure, and that's what bitcoin and public block

0:34:30.239 --> 0:34:33.600
<v Speaker 1>gains represent. But there's also a concern that cryptocurrency and

0:34:33.640 --> 0:34:38.080
<v Speaker 1>digital assets could be weaponized, for example, that Russian oligarchs

0:34:38.120 --> 0:34:40.960
<v Speaker 1>could use it to circumvent sanctions. Does that concern you?

0:34:42.719 --> 0:34:45.760
<v Speaker 1>It does not concern me. Most of the the U S. Governments,

0:34:45.800 --> 0:34:49.680
<v Speaker 1>and for an experts on these agree that there is

0:34:49.880 --> 0:34:53.360
<v Speaker 1>no material portion of money laundering or sanctions evasion that

0:34:53.440 --> 0:34:57.200
<v Speaker 1>occurs via cryptoto um so I don't think it's a

0:34:57.239 --> 0:35:00.719
<v Speaker 1>material issue. And clearly the vast majorities it occurs in

0:35:01.040 --> 0:35:06.319
<v Speaker 1>hard assets. It's like gold or in paper U S. Dollars. Alright, Spencer, folk,

0:35:06.360 --> 0:35:08.160
<v Speaker 1>are always good to have you here. Thank you for

0:35:08.280 --> 0:35:19.520
<v Speaker 1>giving us a long term view blockchain capital, getting back

0:35:19.640 --> 0:35:21.759
<v Speaker 1>to travel, more and more people looking to get away,

0:35:21.760 --> 0:35:24.040
<v Speaker 1>and who better to talk about that and more than

0:35:24.120 --> 0:35:28.080
<v Speaker 1>the CFO of Away herself, Katherine dun Levy, who joins

0:35:28.160 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 1>us now, Catherine, thank you so much for joining us.

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:32.719
<v Speaker 1>So obviously there's a lot of conflicting things happening in

0:35:32.800 --> 0:35:34.920
<v Speaker 1>the world right now. In some places, it seems like

0:35:34.960 --> 0:35:37.480
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic is nearing an end. In China, for example,

0:35:37.520 --> 0:35:40.600
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing a spike in infections. In the United States,

0:35:40.680 --> 0:35:45.239
<v Speaker 1>you're seeing businesses reopen and this effort to try to

0:35:45.320 --> 0:35:49.200
<v Speaker 1>live with the virus no matter how badly it comes back.

0:35:49.560 --> 0:35:52.160
<v Speaker 1>How is this all impacting travel in the months and

0:35:52.280 --> 0:35:57.680
<v Speaker 1>year ahead. While travel is seeing a really terrific recovery.

0:35:57.760 --> 0:35:59.760
<v Speaker 1>You can see it in t s A throutput numbers

0:35:59.760 --> 0:36:02.959
<v Speaker 1>that are almost back to pre pandemic levels. AM Track

0:36:03.080 --> 0:36:06.680
<v Speaker 1>four million more passengers of books this year than last year,

0:36:06.719 --> 0:36:10.520
<v Speaker 1>and even road trips. More road trips are being taken

0:36:10.680 --> 0:36:14.120
<v Speaker 1>these days. So people are just wanting to get out.

0:36:14.960 --> 0:36:17.759
<v Speaker 1>And I think it's important to note Emily that the

0:36:17.920 --> 0:36:22.040
<v Speaker 1>definition of travel has really changed post pandemic. Travel can

0:36:22.080 --> 0:36:25.960
<v Speaker 1>still be a trip across the country or across the world, perhaps,

0:36:26.040 --> 0:36:28.920
<v Speaker 1>but it can just as easily be a trip or

0:36:28.960 --> 0:36:31.919
<v Speaker 1>a hike to Upstate New York, for example, walk around

0:36:31.920 --> 0:36:34.120
<v Speaker 1>the block, or even just going to the gym. People

0:36:34.239 --> 0:36:36.600
<v Speaker 1>are getting out of their house and with a way,

0:36:36.640 --> 0:36:39.840
<v Speaker 1>are making the products that are inspiring all those journeys.

0:36:40.880 --> 0:36:43.839
<v Speaker 1>Is what's happening in China a concern to you, though,

0:36:44.000 --> 0:36:47.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, obviously it's a massive country. You know, there's

0:36:47.080 --> 0:36:51.440
<v Speaker 1>a strict they're more restrictive lockdown measures. You know, what

0:36:51.520 --> 0:36:55.680
<v Speaker 1>are you taking away from that? Well? I think that again,

0:36:55.840 --> 0:37:00.360
<v Speaker 1>people view travel as a critical part of their self

0:37:00.480 --> 0:37:03.080
<v Speaker 1>care routine, and so they're going to find a way

0:37:03.160 --> 0:37:05.959
<v Speaker 1>to travel. It will just be different. They're gonna find

0:37:06.160 --> 0:37:09.640
<v Speaker 1>the ways to travel that are safe for them. So no,

0:37:09.840 --> 0:37:13.400
<v Speaker 1>it's not concerned me. How has this all impacted a

0:37:13.520 --> 0:37:16.480
<v Speaker 1>ways business? I know you've launched some new products over

0:37:16.560 --> 0:37:19.640
<v Speaker 1>the last couple of years, but you know, obviously you

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:22.880
<v Speaker 1>still need a suitcase whether you're going to driving to

0:37:22.960 --> 0:37:27.160
<v Speaker 1>a national park or flying across the country. Right so away,

0:37:27.880 --> 0:37:30.760
<v Speaker 1>we have a lot of a lot of momentum. Every

0:37:30.960 --> 0:37:35.480
<v Speaker 1>quarter and month of last year we saw an increase

0:37:35.560 --> 0:37:39.800
<v Speaker 1>in demand. In fact, in the fourth quarter of demand

0:37:39.960 --> 0:37:43.080
<v Speaker 1>exceeded pre pandemic levels. And we just closed the books

0:37:43.200 --> 0:37:45.239
<v Speaker 1>of February and I'm happy to tell you that our

0:37:45.280 --> 0:37:50.800
<v Speaker 1>revenue was up over compared to prepidemic levels. How is

0:37:50.880 --> 0:37:54.040
<v Speaker 1>a way adapting to the pandemic or what have you

0:37:54.239 --> 0:37:58.400
<v Speaker 1>learned from the last two years about maybe how to

0:37:58.480 --> 0:38:01.759
<v Speaker 1>be more nimble and next two years? Well, you know,

0:38:01.880 --> 0:38:04.720
<v Speaker 1>we just kept going during the pandemic. As you mentioned,

0:38:04.800 --> 0:38:08.239
<v Speaker 1>we launched new products of pet Carrier, we launched a

0:38:08.520 --> 0:38:11.840
<v Speaker 1>new store in Seattle, and we took the time to

0:38:12.600 --> 0:38:16.520
<v Speaker 1>write a long range plan that positions us for future

0:38:16.560 --> 0:38:20.160
<v Speaker 1>growth no matter what happens. And so we have put

0:38:20.280 --> 0:38:23.840
<v Speaker 1>in place great supply chain strategies that allow us to

0:38:24.000 --> 0:38:27.360
<v Speaker 1>build inventory and have it close to the consumer so

0:38:27.520 --> 0:38:30.000
<v Speaker 1>that no matter what happens, we will be able to

0:38:30.640 --> 0:38:35.279
<v Speaker 1>meet consumer demand. And that's exactly why our results are

0:38:35.320 --> 0:38:39.160
<v Speaker 1>so strong. And what about the rise in inflation and

0:38:39.320 --> 0:38:42.040
<v Speaker 1>gas prices and how that's going to hit consumer pocketbooks?

0:38:42.080 --> 0:38:44.560
<v Speaker 1>This travel going to be the first thing to go

0:38:45.320 --> 0:38:49.360
<v Speaker 1>or no, because people haven't been able to do it

0:38:49.480 --> 0:38:52.000
<v Speaker 1>for so long. Yeah, it's a good question, and we've

0:38:52.040 --> 0:38:55.040
<v Speaker 1>spent a lot of time talking to our consumers about that,

0:38:55.440 --> 0:38:58.320
<v Speaker 1>and what they're telling us is that again it's a

0:38:58.440 --> 0:39:01.160
<v Speaker 1>part of their self care routine and it has moved

0:39:01.400 --> 0:39:06.080
<v Speaker 1>up in their share of wallet and fort of people

0:39:06.480 --> 0:39:10.080
<v Speaker 1>expect to spend more even with the current economic and

0:39:10.640 --> 0:39:15.520
<v Speaker 1>unknown conditions for are spending more than they did um

0:39:16.880 --> 0:39:21.480
<v Speaker 1>before the pandemic on travel. All right, well, certainly going

0:39:21.560 --> 0:39:24.840
<v Speaker 1>to be an interesting set of months and year ahead.

0:39:25.080 --> 0:39:28.279
<v Speaker 1>Katherine Dunlevy, CFO of AWAY, thanks so much for joining

0:39:28.400 --> 0:39:31.000
<v Speaker 1>us to share your view and wants to come And

0:39:31.120 --> 0:39:33.520
<v Speaker 1>that does it for this edition of Bloomberg Technology. You

0:39:33.560 --> 0:39:36.160
<v Speaker 1>can join us tomorrow. We'll be joined by A. A. Kantorovich,

0:39:36.280 --> 0:39:39.399
<v Speaker 1>head of Institutional Coverage and falcon X to talk about

0:39:39.520 --> 0:39:41.960
<v Speaker 1>all things crypto and much more. And don't forget to

0:39:42.040 --> 0:39:45.040
<v Speaker 1>check out our new podcast. You'll find it on the terminal,

0:39:45.120 --> 0:39:48.280
<v Speaker 1>of course, and online. You can find it at Apple, Spotify,

0:39:48.440 --> 0:39:51.360
<v Speaker 1>I Heart, and basically wherever you get your podcasts of

0:39:51.520 --> 0:39:53.600
<v Speaker 1>Emily Chang. This is Bloomberg