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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Super Bowl Sunday edition

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Speaker 2: of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt and we are red Hot.

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Speaker 1: That means today may not go very well. Just the way.

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Speaker 2: Things have gone. College basketball is absolutely nuclear. Two and one,

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Speaker 2: two and o two and o two oh and one

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Speaker 2: over the last four days. One bet wrong in the

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Speaker 2: last four days. And that one bet that I got

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Speaker 2: wrong was a hockey play, not a college basketball play.

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Speaker 2: There's no real college basketball to bet today. It's Super

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Speaker 2: Bowl Sunday. No one's playing really, okay, it's all about

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Speaker 2: you know, there's some NBA action and want to watch

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Speaker 2: NBA some tune up to get you ready for the

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Speaker 2: game at six pm Eastern time, three pm Pacific. But

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Speaker 2: it's all about the Super Bowl. We've got everything in play.

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Speaker 2: We got a lot going, we got a lot of

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Speaker 2: bets going. It's a big Sunday, It's the last football

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Speaker 2: game of the year. Every one is excited. We are too.

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Speaker 2: Live stream comes at you at noon Eastern time. Me

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Speaker 2: Pat Fitz, Morris, Andrew Erickson. Our favorite picks, bets and

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Speaker 2: plays broken down. Anything I'm going to add, I will

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Speaker 2: tell you about it on the live stream. I do

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Speaker 2: have more bets for you guys here today. I'm going

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Speaker 2: to recap everything that we have currently in play. We

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Speaker 2: got a lot of bets to talk about. We got

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Speaker 2: a lot of action. I love having things throughout the

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Speaker 2: entire day to get into. And yes, some of these

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Speaker 2: bets may not be available at the books you have

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Speaker 2: at your disposal. Different books, different odds, different picks, different plays.

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Speaker 2: It's the Super Bowl, though, this is the one year

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Speaker 2: where there's so many markets. Often times there's off priced numbers.

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Speaker 2: Oftentimes you may get a better price than me being

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Speaker 2: out of Vegas, me being in Vegas. All different types

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Speaker 2: of stuff. This town is unreal at the moment. I mean,

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Speaker 2: we're seeing some wi old stuff. I don't know. I

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Speaker 2: may need to go down there tomorrow night after the

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Speaker 2: game's over, just to experience what a post Super Bowl

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Speaker 2: is gonna.

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Speaker 1: Be like here in Las Vegas.

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Speaker 2: But before we give you the picks and the plays,

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Speaker 2: and I'll recap it all in case you are new

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Speaker 2: to the podcast and you're just listening today because it's

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Speaker 2: Super Bowl Sunday, you're like, I missed all the previous plays.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you the entire card.

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Speaker 2: As of last night now on the live stream at

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Speaker 2: noon Eastern on the Betting Pros YouTube channels where you're

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Speaker 2: gonna find that the live stream, there could be ads.

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Speaker 2: You also will hear Andrew in Pat's favorite plays as well,

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Speaker 2: so you can add to your own card if you

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Speaker 2: would like. Okay, we're gonna go over the mall coming

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Speaker 2: up here. I don't know how long the stream will be,

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Speaker 2: thirty minutes an hour, probably somewhere in that range. We'll

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Speaker 2: get after it on the YouTube channel for Betting Pros,

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Speaker 2: go search it. If you're watching this video right now,

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Speaker 2: same place where you're watching this video, you would be

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Speaker 2: able to watch the live stream as well. This podcast

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Speaker 2: being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot com. If

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Speaker 2: I've made you money this week, and a lot of

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Speaker 2: keep the sponsor happy. This is what we do here.

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Speaker 2: If I'm helping you win money, and you're trailing my plays.

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Speaker 2: Kick it back or I'll give you a separate way

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Speaker 2: here in just one second to do it as well.

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Speaker 1: If you don't eat meat and you.

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Speaker 2: Want to just buy a hat, great time to do it,

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Speaker 2: hoodie T shirt support the pod Bettingpros dot com slash

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Speaker 2: shop is that website Bettingpros dot com slash shop. You

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Speaker 2: can buy this hat, the Daily Juice hat. You can

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Speaker 2: buy other Daily Juice hats, T shirts and great stuff. Okay, heck,

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Speaker 2: buy me a hat, guys said, can I tip.

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Speaker 1: You for what I've won?

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Speaker 2: The god that won two gram I send you a

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Speaker 2: tip like, No, we don't do that here. My content

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Speaker 2: is free, always will be free. You want to send

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Speaker 2: me a T shirt, fine, you want to send me

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Speaker 2: a hat, fine, you want to buy half of yourself

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Speaker 2: even better?

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Speaker 1: Okay, but no tipping. No, there's no need. Okay, free pod.

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Speaker 2: I'm compensated this podcast, like I always said, So you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm here to help or here to help you fade

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Speaker 2: me if you want. But if you're fading me this week, ouch,

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Speaker 2: not so great. Tomorrow or today rather in the super

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Speaker 2: Bowl maybe not be a bad idea.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Generally speaking, there's going to be a cool down and

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Speaker 2: when you switch sports, maybe we cool down because it's

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Speaker 2: football and not basketball. But here are the plays up

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Speaker 2: to this point. If you have not been with us, Okay,

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Speaker 2: the first bet was the teaser Chiefs plus seven and

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Speaker 2: a half combined with over forty one. Okay, that's a

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Speaker 2: one point two unit play. Okay, that plus seven and

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Speaker 2: a half over forty one, Okay, you got that. At

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Speaker 2: open second bet, we came in with George Kittle over

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Speaker 2: forty nine and a half receiving yards for a half

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Speaker 2: a unit. George Kittle anytime touchdown for this is a

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Speaker 2: price on that that. We got that for plus one

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Speaker 2: eighty five for a half a unit. Shortest touchdown under

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Speaker 2: one and a half yards one point five units down.

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Speaker 2: That's the biggest prop bet of the year that I'm making,

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Speaker 2: but it's propped by to make every year in the

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Speaker 2: Super Bowl. It's my favorite bet past interference holding, ball

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Speaker 2: goes to the one in the end zone, ball goes

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Speaker 2: to the one touchdown. We win that bet. Deebo Samuel

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Speaker 2: under sixteen and a half rushing yards at minus won

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Speaker 2: ten for a half a unit. All right, now, what

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Speaker 2: are we adding? Forty nine ers minus one and a half.

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Speaker 2: This number is gonna move today. Okay, very well. The

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Speaker 2: chief money may show up and drive it back. Some

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Speaker 2: books are at two. One and a half was primarily

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Speaker 2: the number in Vegas. Now to two, back and forth,

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Speaker 2: back and forth. Okay, I don't mind laying two. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I laid one and a half. Don't mind laying two

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Speaker 2: on this, Okay, But this is a one unit play

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Speaker 2: just because it's the Super Bowl. Don't go crazy, stay disciplined, Okay,

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Speaker 2: stay within your means. Don't go nuts. This is just

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Speaker 2: another game. Yes, there's more markets, Yes we're having more

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Speaker 2: fun and there's more things to bet on.

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Speaker 1: But don't be dumb.

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Speaker 2: Okay, don't blow your whole bankroll so you can't bet

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Speaker 2: college basketball. Don't say, well, Matt, I want a grand

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Speaker 2: off of you during college basketball.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna play it all.

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Speaker 2: In the super Bowl, and then you lose it all

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Speaker 2: and I go like, you know, I've had years where

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Speaker 2: I could not hit a bet in the playoffs, and

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Speaker 2: then I turned around and I went eight to oh

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Speaker 2: in the super Bowl. Okay, I've had perfect runs in

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Speaker 2: the Super Bowl before. I've hit every single bet I

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Speaker 2: have placed. I don't think that's gonna happen here tonight.

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Speaker 2: But here, I'm gonna give you a couple of options, Okay,

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Speaker 2: a couple of things. You guys can do a couple

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Speaker 2: of picks and plays if you want to jump in

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Speaker 2: on it, but just be disciplined. Okay, Like, if I

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Speaker 2: lose every single bet I place, I think I lose

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Speaker 2: I don't know, like five units or something like, it's

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Speaker 2: not horrible. Okay, We've just had a hell of a week. Okay,

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Speaker 2: We've won I think what eight point five units so

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Speaker 2: far this week. Okay, so if I lose, if I

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Speaker 2: lose five, I mean, I'm not even down what I

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Speaker 2: won this week. Okay, so just FYI with how I

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Speaker 2: play it while I'm doing it. Okay, So there is

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Speaker 2: the plays up to this point, right, George Killer receiving yards,

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Speaker 2: George Kill any time touchdown short as TTD being under

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Speaker 2: one and a half yards, Deebo Samuel under sixteen and

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Speaker 2: a half yards rushing casey Chiefs plus seven and a

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Speaker 2: half where the teaser to the over at forty one

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Speaker 2: three more plays one point one units Niners minus one

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Speaker 2: and a half sorry five and well yeah one and

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Speaker 2: a half, well one one point five for for the Niners. Look,

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Speaker 2: here's my philosophy on this game. Okay, if the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: are winning at half time, they're gonna win the game.

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Speaker 2: I don't think the Chiefs win halftime. I think McCaffrey

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Speaker 2: is gonna have a really big game. If I was

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Speaker 2: gonna pick at MVP, I think it's gonna be Christian McCaffrey.

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Speaker 2: I think he's gonna run the ball. I think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna have an opportunity here. With a lot of play action,

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Speaker 2: Spagnola's defenses have struggled with teams that do a lot

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Speaker 2: of play action and a lot of motion, a lot

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Speaker 2: of misdirection, Okay, this is a very complicated offense to stop.

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Speaker 2: This offensive line is really good. Okay, they can road

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Speaker 2: grade you at times. Now, the Chiefs defense has been phenomenal. Okay,

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Speaker 2: but given the defenses that the offensive that I don't

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Speaker 2: know what the Ravens did last two weeks ago, I

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Speaker 2: don't understand it.

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Speaker 1: Okay, they didn't run the ball.

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Speaker 2: Niners will run the ball, and they will keep running

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Speaker 2: the ball even if they fail in the first three drives.

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Speaker 2: They will keep running the ball. They're not gonna have

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Speaker 2: Brock Purty throw the ball forty times. Okay, the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: are gonna blitz them. Party to Kittle over the middle.

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Speaker 2: That's the theory Kittle is, I think is gonna kill Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: I think Kittle is going to be a monster weapon

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Speaker 2: in this game. Think Kittle's going to play a huge role.

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Speaker 2: And you want to go with a crazy flyer, bet

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Speaker 2: George Kittle MVP. You want to go with a flyer.

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Speaker 2: So I like the Niners to win the game. Two

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Speaker 2: bets you could make if you want. And they are

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Speaker 2: both quarter unit flyers. I'll put them down being official,

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Speaker 2: just in case that they hit. The Niners to win

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Speaker 2: twenty four to twenty one is ten to one quarter unit,

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Speaker 2: ten to one. I'm gonna hedge on it a touch

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Speaker 2: and go twenty four to twenty. That's nine to one

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Speaker 2: quarter unit. Okay, exact score. If we nail this, I

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Speaker 2: am officially nuclear beyond anything I've ever been before my life.

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Speaker 1: If I get the federal score right.

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Speaker 2: I did pick the final score right two years ago.

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Speaker 2: I had it twenty three to twenty Rams over the Bengals,

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Speaker 2: twenty four to twenty twenty four to twenty one, Niners win,

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Speaker 2: Niners cover ten to one, DraftKings nine to one DraftKings

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Speaker 2: quarter unit on both plays. There for that, Niners minus

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Speaker 2: one and a half. Niners twenty four twenty Niners twenty

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Speaker 2: four to twenty one. Now two other bets to give

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Speaker 2: you the longest field goal made in the game over

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Speaker 2: forty seven and a half yards. Shop the price I

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Speaker 2: got minus won twenty five. We're gonna bet to win

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Speaker 2: a half a unit there on that. Here's the theory. Indoors.

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Speaker 2: Carlson for the Raiders has a monster leged he was

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Speaker 2: a weapon for the Raiders. So is Harrison Buckner for

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs. I think he makes a fifty plus yard

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Speaker 2: field goal in this game, and I think they'll be

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Speaker 2: okay with the letting them attempt deep field goals in

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Speaker 2: this game being indoors, like fifty eight fifty nine yard

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Speaker 2: field goal attempts. Okay, I think that's a possibility here

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Speaker 2: because the ball flies one. We are at thin air, okay,

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Speaker 2: in the desert, the ball flies two. In that building,

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Speaker 2: good kicking building, good site lines for kickers.

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Speaker 1: Buckner, I think will nail.

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Speaker 2: A fifty yarder or longer over forty seven and a

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Speaker 2: half yards for the longest made field goal in the game.

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Speaker 2: I minus won twenty five bet to win a half

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Speaker 2: a unit. I'm gonna couple that with a punt being

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Speaker 2: down inside the five yard line or closer five yard

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Speaker 2: line or in it's a plus one ninety play.

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Speaker 1: Here's my theory.

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Speaker 2: The field's been outside for a week while it's been

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Speaker 2: raining in Vegas, and I mean like unlike Vegas rain,

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Speaker 2: like a rain rain. Okay, it's somewhat of a soft

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Speaker 2: turf anyway on the ground, and I've seen the ball

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Speaker 2: deaden and die watching Raider games and.

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Speaker 1: With the field.

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Speaker 2: I walked past the field when I was going to

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Speaker 2: Opening Night, like I was like, there's the field. It

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Speaker 2: was covered, it was pouring rain. It's like this is

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Speaker 2: wild fields outside. I'm not saying the field's gonna be slippery.

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying the field is gonna be soft. I

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Speaker 2: just think the field's gonna be lush, and I think

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Speaker 2: the ball could actually hit in deaden inside the five

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Speaker 2: yard line. We're gonna go with a punt to be

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Speaker 2: downed from the five yard line or less at plus

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Speaker 2: one ninety for a half a unit. All right, those

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Speaker 2: are plays. This is how I like to do it, Okay.

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Speaker 2: I like to have something in action. Bet so we

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Speaker 2: could always be tracking throughout the entire game. Okay, So,

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Speaker 2: San Francisco Mas one and a half full game bet

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Speaker 2: kcts dot plus seven and a half over forty one

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Speaker 2: full game. Bet longest field goal made its forty seven

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Speaker 2: a half yards full game. Bet a punt down inside

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Speaker 2: the five yard line every time they punt full game

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Speaker 2: bet Dee Bill Samuel under sixty and a half rushing yards,

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Speaker 2: shortest touchdown to be under one and a half yards,

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Speaker 2: Kittle touchdown, Kiddle receiving yards all for full basically full

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Speaker 2: game bets.

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Speaker 1: All right, I prefer that rather than like a first half. Look,

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Speaker 1: you know, second.

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Speaker 2: Half under if this game is you know, seventeen ten

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Speaker 2: and a halftime or something like that, the second half

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Speaker 2: under a pre flop. Not every book will give it

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Speaker 2: to you, but some books are going under twenty three

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Speaker 2: and a half. That has been an eighteen and two

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Speaker 2: mark for the Chiefs. Everyone's going to be on it.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Everyone in the media room. Everyone that was speaking on

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Speaker 2: my other show, The Bostonian Versus the Book on Radio Row,

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Speaker 2: on Media Row, they all took the Casey Chiefs almost

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Speaker 2: to a person. I did a show on Thursday night

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Speaker 2: from Resorts World where I had nothing but professional gamblers

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Speaker 2: and bookmakers on. One person took the Chiefs. One else

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Speaker 2: was on the Niners. This is a monster pros versus

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Speaker 2: Joe's super Bowl, and I'm not saying which side's going

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Speaker 2: to be held, right, I'm just trying to middle it

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Speaker 2: all right, So I guess technically the Pros would be right.

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Speaker 2: But you know, if the Niners win by two, some

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Speaker 2: people will push I'll cash the one and a half,

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Speaker 2: I'll cash the plus seven and a half. There'll be

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Speaker 2: a question about the total how many points we get in.

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Speaker 2: But twenty four to twenty and twenty four to twenty

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Speaker 2: one gets me over forty one, which is what I

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Speaker 2: played with the teaser, but it stays under the forty

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Speaker 2: seven and a half. I do think the under is

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Speaker 2: a good bet.

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Speaker 1: I do.

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Speaker 2: I think this is going to be an under game.

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Speaker 2: I don't see a ton of offense in this game,

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Speaker 2: but we've seen previous Super Bowls going crazy. The last

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Speaker 2: bet that fell off my card was the longest enforced

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Speaker 2: touchdown being over fifteen and a half yards, sorry, the

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Speaker 2: longest enforced penalty being over fifteen and a half yards.

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Speaker 2: What scared me off is I went back to the

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Speaker 2: last time these two teams played, and I know it

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Speaker 2: doesn't matter, but there were only there was twenty five

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Speaker 2: yards of enforced penalties on Kansas City and forty five

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Speaker 2: yards of enforced penalties on the forty nine ers. Different team,

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Speaker 2: different refs, but a twenty yard penalty would be significant.

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Speaker 2: If you go back to the Patriots and the Rams,

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Speaker 2: there was sixty five yards to twenty yards Eagles in

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Speaker 2: the Patriots, five yards against the Patriots, thirty five yards

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Speaker 2: against the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: You know, so I'm just this is Super Bowl fifty four,

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Speaker 1: fifty three to two.

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Speaker 2: Just going back historically over the last couple of years,

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Speaker 2: you can say, you know, there may be different numbers

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Speaker 2: you can pull up and look at, but I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I'm concerned about betting on a zebra as to what

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Speaker 2: they will do and how they will do it. I'd

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Speaker 2: rather bet than the punters, and I think both both kickers.

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Speaker 2: Both punters are pretty good. In particular, the kicker for

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Speaker 2: the punter for the Niners is really good, so I

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Speaker 2: think he has a better shot. I think the long

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Speaker 2: goal will be kicked by Buckner. The putcher for the Niners,

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Speaker 2: I think has a good shot of downing it inside

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Speaker 2: the five yard line and pitting Patrick Mahomes deep. And

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Speaker 2: I think that could be the strategy too, by by Shanahan,

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Speaker 2: trying to keep Mahomes on a long field. So if

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Speaker 2: you want a flyer bet for fun, you could do

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Speaker 2: what you want to do with the opening kickoff to

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Speaker 2: be returned not a touchback. The problem with this is

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Speaker 2: of the fifty seven Super Bowls, forty nine of them

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Speaker 2: have had opening kickoffs returned, including twenty six of the

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Speaker 2: last thirty. But the problem is the only four to

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Speaker 2: results in touchbacks over the last three decades were all

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Speaker 2: the indoor games. This is in the indoor super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: I'm a little concerned about that bet, so why I

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Speaker 2: didn't make it. I was like, man, I've seen the

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Speaker 2: ball fly too much at Allegiance. The ball moves, and

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Speaker 2: I know Moody's not great kicking the ball off, So

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Speaker 2: the bet would be that Moody's not going to get

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Speaker 2: the ball. If the Niners, you know, win the tat

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Speaker 2: will win the coin flip and defer and have the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs go out on offense first or vice versa. The

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Speaker 2: Chiefs wins it, give us the football. We want it

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Speaker 2: for our offense. I don't know if the Niners kick off,

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Speaker 2: that would be the play. But if Buckner is the

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Speaker 2: one kicking it off, Buckner is getting the ball to

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Speaker 2: the end zone like k ball or not, you know,

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Speaker 2: the ceremonial ball or not.

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Speaker 1: I think you're gonna wind.

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Speaker 2: Up seeing that ball flying to the end zone, given

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Speaker 2: that they're playing at Allegiance Stadium. So that's why they make

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Speaker 2: that bet. But you can make it if you want.

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Speaker 2: See a lot of people bet it that the ball

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Speaker 2: will be returned is plus money, but I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to bet it. Okay, I will talk to you guys

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Speaker 2: on our live stream coming up at noon Eastern time,

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Speaker 2: nine am Pacific time. Super Bowl fifty eight Casey Chiefs

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Speaker 2: up against the San Francisco forty nine ers here in

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Speaker 2: Las Vegas for the first time ever Allegiance Stadium live

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Speaker 2: stream coming up any more picks, plays and bets I'll

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Speaker 2: tell you about. My name is Matt Peroltz, following me

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Speaker 2: on socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning del J's podcast.

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Speaker 2: I was being brought to you by olmas sakes dot

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Speaker 2: com