1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast. 2 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 3: Fifteen Cuny twenty five, thirty thirty five, Toty Cody five fifty. 4 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:22,759 Speaker 4: And the kick as Block Look College Football World Stunde. 5 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, please stumble and bob the lateral turn 6 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 4: the counter of the. 7 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:35,919 Speaker 5: Job, don't you believe? Tap them off the field to night. 8 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 4: It's not the side on the dog, it's the side 9 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 4: of the fight in the roll. 10 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 6: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, brought to 11 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 6: you by bet MGM. This is the Group of five 12 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 6: Deep Dive. I'm your co host Mike Calberry is joined 13 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 6: as always by Mike Ianello and a reminder to our audience, 14 00:00:57,760 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 6: you can follow us over at the Action app. Just 15 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 6: type in BCG five Deep Dive to follow all of 16 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 6: our picks, which have been scorching hot, coming off a 17 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 6: six to one week last week, our second clean sweep 18 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 6: of the G five High five round robin in the 19 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 6: last three weeks. And I have to say this is 20 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:15,760 Speaker 6: probably my favorite episode of the whole year because I 21 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:18,279 Speaker 6: get all the positivity of how well we have been picking, 22 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 6: but also I get to finally for the very first 23 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 6: time in two years put a team in gambling jail 24 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 6: their bands. Kent State is not getting our action anymore. 25 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 6: I've had it with this coaching staff. Sean Lewis, You're 26 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 6: dead to me. Souder, You're dead to me. They're up 27 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 6: twenty one nothing as our underdog money line, parlay twenty 28 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 6: one nothing against Toledo, and they get outscored fifty two 29 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 6: to ten the rest of the way. I mean, what 30 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 6: exactly does their defense do in practice? It's like, all right, 31 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 6: you know, time for team defensive drills. Let's go play 32 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 6: pick up basketball. I hate this team. I am like 33 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 6: full Mark Wahlberg from the departed level angry for any 34 00:01:57,040 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 6: interaction Kent State related, because you know what, I look 35 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 6: at our pick last week and go six and one. 36 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 6: Were the guys doing our job? You must be the 37 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 6: other guys. That's Kent State. That's the level of the 38 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 6: Golden Flashes. I'm done with them. First team in gambling prison. 39 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 6: Here on the G five deep dive. 40 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 5: Can I talk to you for a second place. It 41 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 5: had to be done. It had to be done, and 42 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:29,360 Speaker 5: I'm so glad to say it, because look, I didn't 43 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 5: want to have to enact the ban on you so 44 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 5: I'm glad you can accountabillions in it yourself. I was 45 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 5: looking through the games this week and I literally had 46 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 5: a thought to myself when I was looking, and I said, 47 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:39,359 Speaker 5: if this son of a bitch is going to lay 48 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 5: eighteen against Akron with them again, I am I am 49 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 5: leaving the pod. So I'm glad. I'm glad you're taking accountability. 50 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 5: And I mean granted, you know they're gonna beat achrom 51 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 5: By forty this week, just just to prove a point, 52 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 5: but it had to be done there officially in time 53 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 5: out all right. 54 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:58,519 Speaker 6: Time for even more good feelings, which is our G 55 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 6: five hero segment of the week. 56 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 2: I'm going with Kyle Van Trees, that beautiful bastard, five 57 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 2: hundred and seventy eight passing yards, four tds and outright 58 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 2: upset of James Madison. 59 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 6: I brought up on the pod last week. I said, 60 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 6: is James Madison any good? 61 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: Do we know? 62 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 6: Just based on all the opponents that they played? They 63 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 6: played one really strong half of football against the quality 64 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 6: opponent that was app State in their second half comeback. 65 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,239 Speaker 6: Other than that, they've kind of been a paper tiger 66 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 6: and Georgia Southern was happy to expose them this kid 67 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 6: is just one of the best stories going in G five. 68 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 6: Lands a middling career at Buffalo, and now he's playing 69 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 6: his way into I don't know what a CFL contract. 70 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 6: He's thrown the ball all over the yard and he 71 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 6: finally has a chance to be the best athlete in 72 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 6: the Van Trees family. He's coming up on his mother, 73 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 6: Patti Van Trees. She swam at Bowling Green. Really good swimmer. 74 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 6: There go Falcons. 75 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 5: You indeed this one. 76 00:03:57,640 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 6: I certainly did. 77 00:03:58,840 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 5: The kid deserves. 78 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 6: It's gonna be for a really interesting Thanksgiving this year 79 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 6: at the Van Trees household. Love the story going on 80 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 6: in Statesborough. I think it's it's a feel good story 81 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 6: all around. Clay Hilton, you know, notable, good guy, notable, 82 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 6: not so good coach. Well, apparently now he's bringing this 83 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 6: program arounds. They're gonna be on the cusp of Bowl 84 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 6: eligibility this season. So love what Georgia Southern's doing. Who's 85 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 6: your G five hero from Week seven? 86 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:25,120 Speaker 5: I'm going to another transfer quarterback. I'm going with John 87 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 5: Reese plumbley monster game, and I know it's Temple, but 88 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 5: they drummed them four passing touchdowns, three rushing touchdowns, seven touchdowns. 89 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 5: He outscored every single team in the conference by himself 90 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 5: last week. Oh, by the way, he came out of 91 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 5: the game midway through the third quarter. He played just 92 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 5: nine series and you cf scored a touchdown on eight 93 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 5: of them. Seven of them were his monster performance. And look, 94 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 5: I know Cincinnati and Tulane are both ranked. I still 95 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 5: think UCF is winning this conference. I bet him a 96 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 5: preseason I still think that. I don't know if you've 97 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 5: changed your opinion on it or you agree with me. 98 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 5: Since he's got a tough game at SMU this week, 99 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 5: and then since he goes to the Bounce House next week, 100 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 5: which will likely decide who's you know, who gets the 101 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 5: top seed, I'm still thinking UCF win's this conference. 102 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 6: I'm with you on that. Honestly, if they had one 103 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 6: of two touchdowns not called back against Louisville, they'd be undefeated. 104 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 6: They'd probably be top fifteen for sure at this point, 105 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 6: and John Rice Palmley would be getting that Heisman buzz. 106 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 6: And I'll add one more thing. There's usual situational spots 107 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 6: where you don't need to look at any metrics, Like 108 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 6: you know, if a team's live animal mascot dies do 109 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 6: not bet against them that following Saturday. 110 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 5: Bet on them. 111 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:40,240 Speaker 6: Wait, yeah, bet on them UCF when they wear the 112 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 6: space outfits. 113 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 3: You got it. 114 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 6: That's a hammer play on UCF. So shame on us 115 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:46,679 Speaker 6: for not going, you know, backing up the bring struck 116 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:48,479 Speaker 6: on UCF last week. I think it was a little 117 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 6: bit early in the week before we realized that they 118 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 6: were playing with the space unis. Let's just hop right 119 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 6: into best bets. Let's keep the good feelings going. I'm 120 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 6: going to stay in the AAC I like Cincinnati laying 121 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 6: three at SMB you and I'm not going to do 122 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 6: a deep dive, as our podcast title would say, on 123 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:07,040 Speaker 6: this game. I'm going to keep it very simple and 124 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 6: high level. Tanner Mordecai shreds bad passing defenses as he 125 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:14,159 Speaker 6: did last week against Navy, but when he plays quote 126 00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:17,039 Speaker 6: unquote good defenses. Let's go back the last four games 127 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 6: dating back to last year TCU this year two touchdowns 128 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 6: but two picks. They end up not winning that game 129 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 6: against UCF, zero touchdowns in the interception. You go back 130 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,840 Speaker 6: to last season against Tultsan and Joe Gillespie coach defense, 131 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,679 Speaker 6: one touchdown, two i iNTS and when they played since 132 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 6: he last year he went fifteen for twenty six for 133 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 6: wait for it, sixty six passing yards. So this is 134 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,920 Speaker 6: a Cincinnati defense. I understand at Sauce Gardner and Kobe 135 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 6: Bryant are gone, it's not the same cast of characters. 136 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 6: But in terms of what I believe in the most 137 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 6: in the AAC, it's the Cincinnati defense. I believe they'll 138 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:53,280 Speaker 6: get it done. I think they can scheme to put 139 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 6: a lot of pressure on him in this game, and 140 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:58,039 Speaker 6: if SMU is not killing it through the air, they're 141 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:01,280 Speaker 6: not covering this number of three. Scared away as you know, 142 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 6: a road favorite at this key number of three, I'm 143 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 6: gonna go ahead and play for the Bearcats. 144 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:09,279 Speaker 1: After evaluating millions and leases of data in lead linked 145 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: and high league gamble troying two thousand run or Cincinnati 146 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: by two one hundred points file worthless. 147 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 6: All right, how about your best bet here in Week eight? 148 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 5: I'm gonna put my money in my mouth. As I've 149 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 5: kind of mentioned this a couple of times throughout the year, 150 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 5: I think Troy is the best team in this division. 151 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 5: I've said it all year. I'm taking Troy plus three 152 00:07:32,040 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 5: against South Alabama. I love what Caine Womack is done. 153 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 5: I think South Alabama's good. I mentioned that a couple 154 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 5: weeks two as well. But like I said, I've said 155 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 5: Troy is the best team, so I'm taking him here, 156 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 5: especially as a dog. We both agreed the winner of 157 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 5: this game wins the West. Correct. 158 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 6: Yes, I think it's absolutely locked up. It's really just 159 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:50,200 Speaker 6: a two team race out there. 160 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 5: It's this is the game. South Alabama's five to one. 161 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 5: They're only lost to UCLA, but and they already beat 162 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 5: Louisiana on the road, which is nice. But Troy's five 163 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 5: and two. They've only lost us to Ole Miss and 164 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 5: that app State on that mary, but they covered in 165 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:03,480 Speaker 5: both of those games. They're four to zero against the 166 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 5: spread as an underdog this year. Gunnard Watson's third in 167 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 5: the league in passing, but he has started with turnovers 168 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 5: and he left last week's game hurt. I think that's 169 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 5: a good thing because Jared dagy has been mixing in 170 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 5: more and more each week, and honestly, he looks better. 171 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:21,360 Speaker 5: I think this is Ja Dagie's job eventually, if not 172 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 5: for this game. I think it's one of those things 173 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:26,240 Speaker 5: where even if Watson's Watson's ninety nine percent they're holding 174 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 5: him out because they want Daggie to play. They have 175 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 5: good receivers. Ted Johnson's a freak on the outside. They've 176 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 5: been running the ball a lot better over the last 177 00:08:33,600 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 5: couple of games. That's an area they've started with over 178 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:37,319 Speaker 5: the last two years, but they haven't been doing that 179 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 5: a lot better the last three or four weeks, which 180 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 5: I like. And I just love this Troy defense. They're 181 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 5: top twenty five in the country against the pass last season, 182 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 5: their top thirty again this year. We talked about Carlton 183 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 5: Marshall all the time. He's forty tackles away from breaking 184 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:52,680 Speaker 5: the all time record. He's one of the best linebackers 185 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:55,199 Speaker 5: in the entire country, not just G five. He is 186 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 5: so good. And this defense is just elite at preventing 187 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:03,160 Speaker 5: big plays, which is something Alabama or South Alabama really 188 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:06,079 Speaker 5: relies on, especially running the ball. They're thirty fifth and 189 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:08,959 Speaker 5: explosive this but they're one hundred and fifth in success rate, 190 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 5: so that tells me they don't move the ball well, 191 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 5: but they just pick up big plays here and there. Well, 192 00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 5: Troy does not allow that, so I don't think South 193 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 5: Alabama's going to be able to run the ball very well, 194 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 5: and I just like their defense. I like Carter Bradley too, 195 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:23,319 Speaker 5: but I think this is a coin flip game. I 196 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 5: think Troy is the better team and I'll definitely take 197 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 5: the three points. 198 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 6: All of the Trojans there. We talked about it's at 199 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 6: nauseum in August. We have the probably the longest G 200 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:35,559 Speaker 6: five preview was the Sun Belt and it was a 201 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 6: team we were high on, and they've absolutely backed it up. 202 00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 6: They've gotten more out of their offense. They need to 203 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 6: take that next step and whichever quarterback ends up going, 204 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 6: they're certainly better than their offense from last year, and 205 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:47,719 Speaker 6: I agree. I think their run defense is going to 206 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 6: be able to win the day here. They just got 207 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:51,839 Speaker 6: to protect the football, all right. We will head to 208 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 6: the G five High five, which is our round robins segments. 209 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 6: As I mentioned at the top, we've been cooking in 210 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 6: this department a clean sweet into the last three weeks, 211 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 6: so I'm going to get it started and hopefully keep 212 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 6: the positive mojo going. This is a team and a 213 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 6: play you're probably gonna like. Boise State traveling to play 214 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 6: against air Force. Air Force is a short favorite, laying 215 00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 6: three Yes, Boise is three and oh in Mountain West 216 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 6: Conference play, but those wins are over New Mexico San 217 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 6: Diego State. I know how you feel personally about their 218 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 6: offense and a Jake Hayner lists Fresno State squad. For 219 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:25,599 Speaker 6: my money, the best unit on the field in this 220 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,080 Speaker 6: game is the air Force offense. Their first and rushing rate, 221 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 6: but seventh in rushing success and interestingly, the air first 222 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 6: in passing explosiveness in the entire country. When Jazik Daniels 223 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 6: tries to get behind the defense with a throw, he's 224 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 6: averaging ten yards per attempt. Now, obviously, when you look 225 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:44,599 Speaker 6: at the stats, poised very good against the run. But 226 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:48,640 Speaker 6: for my money, they've only really played one solid rushing 227 00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 6: team this year, and it was the opener against Oregon State. 228 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 6: They have one hundred and seventy eight yards nearly five 229 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,559 Speaker 6: yards per carry, and two rushing touchdowns. I think Air 230 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:58,199 Speaker 6: Force calls it back to last year they won on 231 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:00,559 Speaker 6: the smurf turf won by seven line. Next year, I 232 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 6: think they can get it done at home here. I 233 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 6: understand that they're two and two in Mountain West Conference 234 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 6: play and it may look like this is the time 235 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,439 Speaker 6: to hop on the Boise wagon, but not for me. 236 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 6: I still think their offense is a pop gun offense. 237 00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 6: I don't think they're going to be able to get 238 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 6: it done, So I'll go with the Falcons. What are 239 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 6: your thoughts on this critical game in Mountain West play? 240 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 5: This is interesting. We'll talk about my feelings on this 241 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 5: game a little later on. 242 00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 6: You know, I know that both of us were talking 243 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 6: about how difficult it is to bet on sports in October. 244 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 6: There's so few sports to really get into. So are 245 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,079 Speaker 6: you familiar that the NBA is back and that you 246 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:33,679 Speaker 6: can bet on it? 247 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:34,439 Speaker 5: Didn't know that? 248 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 6: Well, the new and improved Buckets podcasts from the Action 249 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:40,840 Speaker 6: Network will be releasing every weekday throughout the entire season, 250 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 6: so you can get all of your action. Make sure 251 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,680 Speaker 6: you get all those weekday fixes at least until Action 252 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,559 Speaker 6: hits the map. So make sure to listen into the 253 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:50,080 Speaker 6: Buckets podcast every weekday. 254 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 5: The G five High five Week High five High five, Well. 255 00:11:57,679 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 6: You have three picks here. You're doing the heavy lifting 256 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 6: for the G five High five in week eight, so 257 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 6: let's get it started once't you go back to back 258 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 6: give me two. 259 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 5: I'm going back to the well, I'm going back to 260 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:09,839 Speaker 5: an old dominion over paired with your G five Hero 261 00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:12,480 Speaker 5: of the week. Look, you know I love my boy. 262 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:18,000 Speaker 5: Hayden Wolf Wolf packed two touchdowns last week against Coastal. 263 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:20,320 Speaker 5: Obviously one of them went to Ali Jennings, who's a freak. 264 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:22,839 Speaker 5: But the most important thing we saw last week was 265 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 5: the return to full strength breakout what we saw last 266 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:29,679 Speaker 5: year Lake Watson two hundred and sixty yards and three 267 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 5: touchdowns on the ground on nineteen carries. He averaged thirteen 268 00:12:33,360 --> 00:12:37,560 Speaker 5: point six yards per carry against Coast Carolina. Georgia Southern. 269 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 5: They're one hundred and third in success rate on defense. 270 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 5: They have been torched against the run and they're really 271 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,360 Speaker 5: bad against the past two so I think they're you know, 272 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 5: old do Minion should be able to put up points 273 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:50,760 Speaker 5: on Georgia Southern. Everyone has. James Madison in that loss 274 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:53,040 Speaker 5: put up six hundred and seventy five yards against them. 275 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,719 Speaker 5: So they allowed four hundred and eighty five yards that 276 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:58,199 Speaker 5: passing per game. This year they're allowing more than six 277 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 5: yards per play. But as you mentioned, this offense is nasty. 278 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:07,240 Speaker 5: Colvin Teres is cooking. They are super explosive. They throw 279 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 5: the ball all over the place. We just saw Coastal 280 00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 5: Carolina torch Oll dominion through the air, which isn't even 281 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 5: coastal strength. These two teams are top twenty in the 282 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 5: country in success rate, are top twenty in the country 283 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 5: and seconds per play. They both play super fast, they 284 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 5: both throw the ball a ton, and both their defenses stink. 285 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 6: To give me the over, it does seem simple. What's 286 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 6: sex on the menu for a week? 287 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:35,439 Speaker 5: E Minor Nation picks up? I'm taking UTAP plus four. 288 00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 5: We're talking Minor Nation out in the West Dixson town 289 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:46,360 Speaker 5: of l past So picks up. FAU managed to beat 290 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,319 Speaker 5: Rice seventeen to fourteen to ruin my money line dog 291 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 5: after trailing fourteen to nothing. I still don't think this 292 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:54,679 Speaker 5: team is very good. UTEP's a better team, and it 293 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 5: just comes down to one key thing. Davin Harrison needs 294 00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 5: to protect the football. That's all it comes down here 295 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 5: in the minors, four losses, he has eight interceptions and 296 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 5: the team has thirteen turnovers, and they're three wins. He 297 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:10,080 Speaker 5: has no interceptions and they have just three total turnovers. 298 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:12,719 Speaker 5: They've been running the ball really well over the last 299 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 5: few weeks, the ravaging two hundred and ten yards per 300 00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 5: game on the ground, and this FA team can't stop thrown. 301 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 5: They haven't all season, and they're even worse against the pass. 302 00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:22,480 Speaker 5: They're avager defense is one hundred and tenths in the country, 303 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 5: and every single time a team gets in a scoring position, 304 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 5: they put up points on fau. UTEP is home. They're 305 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 5: at the sun Bowl, where Harrison has yet to throw 306 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:34,520 Speaker 5: an interception this year. They're coming off a buy and 307 00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 5: they're catching four points. So again, it sounds super easy, right, 308 00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 5: you protect the football. UTEP wins this game. So I'll 309 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 5: take the plus four and just pray to God hardist 310 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 5: and doesn't throw bick or three. 311 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:49,200 Speaker 6: Yeah. I was surprised once you started breaking that game down. 312 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 6: I assumed it had to be in South Florida. But 313 00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:53,520 Speaker 6: the fact that you get him at the Sun Bowl, 314 00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 6: I think that's jam packed with value. He's has played 315 00:14:56,560 --> 00:14:57,840 Speaker 6: very well the last two years. 316 00:14:57,960 --> 00:14:58,160 Speaker 5: Yeah. 317 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 6: Absolutely, I'll tell you get an under here. Memphis at 318 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 6: Tulane shockingly Memphis now or so excuse me, Tulane in 319 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:08,040 Speaker 6: the top twenty five, which is one of the best 320 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 6: stories going in college football. They still have that upset 321 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:12,680 Speaker 6: over k State, which gets better looking by the week. 322 00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 6: Fifty six and a half just seems a little bit inflated. 323 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:18,880 Speaker 6: In my opinion, tou Lane's still a run heavy team 324 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 6: and they've been relying more and more on Taij Spears 325 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:23,800 Speaker 6: in conference play. In his last four games, he's averaging 326 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 6: eighteen carries per game. And they're running into a Memphis 327 00:15:26,400 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 6: defense that what do they do well? They stop the 328 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 6: rum their twenty seventh ranked rundee in the entire country. 329 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 6: And on the other side of things, Memphis has been 330 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 6: good but not great offensively, and they haven't been as 331 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 6: explosive without Calvin austin the third. This Tulane pass defense 332 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 6: simply doesn't give up big plays. When I look at 333 00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 6: that and the potential for high wins at Yulman Stadium 334 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 6: on Saturday afternoon in New Orleans, if it gets above 335 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 6: fifteen miles an hour, this becomes a major play for me. 336 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:52,680 Speaker 6: I'm going to go ahead and play the under here. 337 00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 6: Tulane Also, in terms of streaks, for the last five 338 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,240 Speaker 6: unders have cashed for the Green Wave, So all of 339 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 6: those things, in my opinion, are trending under. I know 340 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 6: that a lot of people don't put much stock in 341 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 6: key numbers for totals, but the fact that it's sitting 342 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:09,120 Speaker 6: at a touchdown number here at fifty six and a half, 343 00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 6: and you get the key number to go under run. 344 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:13,360 Speaker 6: I think that's just a little added bonus. What are 345 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 6: your thoughts on this Memphis two lane matchup? 346 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 5: Yeah, I actually don't hate it. I'm writing this game 347 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,400 Speaker 5: up for Action Network and I have not decided yet. Well, 348 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:24,920 Speaker 5: I take I was leaning towards Tulane laying the points, 349 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 5: but I actually like the under now that you're talking 350 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 5: about it, because you mentioned this Tuiliane defense is nasty. 351 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 5: I think the Twiling defense is the best un not 352 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 5: on the field. And as you mentioned, I was dating 353 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 5: into Memphis a lot last night and they were really 354 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 5: bad against the run and pass last year, but their 355 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:41,720 Speaker 5: run defense has been much much better this year. They 356 00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 5: still stuck against the pass, which is the only thing 357 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:45,600 Speaker 5: that would make me nervous is we've seen I think 358 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 5: I think Pratt has set career highs passing in back 359 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 5: to back weeks. So the only way you run into 360 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 5: trouble here is if they just you know, lean on 361 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:57,240 Speaker 5: Pratt and just he cooks the secondary. But I agree 362 00:16:57,280 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 5: with you. If Tulane six to their script running the 363 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 5: ball and you know, I just Memphis offense to just 364 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 5: not looked right without Calvin Austin, So I don't I 365 00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 5: don't hate it at all. 366 00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 6: All right, how about the last one for the G 367 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 6: five high five. 368 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm gonna flip the script. I'm going back to 369 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 5: and over. Kind of a gross over. This is one 370 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:13,240 Speaker 5: of those ones where I love it and I don't 371 00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:15,159 Speaker 5: even know why, like even digging into numbers, I'm like, 372 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:16,840 Speaker 5: I don't know, it's just a gut. I just like it. 373 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 5: It's gross. I'm taking the Rice Louisianattack over fifty seven 374 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:25,920 Speaker 5: and a half. Law Tech's defense thinks they're one hundred 375 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 5: and second in success rate, one hundred and twenty first 376 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:33,240 Speaker 5: in defending explosiveness. Rice's defense also stinks they're one hundred 377 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 5: and fourteenth in success rate, ninetieth in explosive This and 378 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:40,880 Speaker 5: while neither offense necessarily has great numbers, Louisiana Attacks played 379 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 5: a brutal schedule. They played like two SEC teams, and 380 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 5: they put up over five hundred yards against North Texas 381 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:50,400 Speaker 5: last week, so they finally started to get going get going. 382 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:54,320 Speaker 5: And Rice didn't do much on FAU obviously, only put 383 00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 5: up fourteen points, but they averaged over five yards per play. 384 00:17:57,640 --> 00:18:00,239 Speaker 5: It was a weird game. They threw three interceptions got 385 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:03,440 Speaker 5: away from them. Both these teams are like sneaky explosive. 386 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:05,080 Speaker 5: They're not they don't move the ball well, but they 387 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 5: both can take up big plays. And both these defenses 388 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,399 Speaker 5: are really bad. I'm not sure why I like it. 389 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 5: It's just kind of a gut play and I didn't 390 00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:14,560 Speaker 5: really like anything else, So I like going for fifty 391 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:16,199 Speaker 5: seven and a half. I think both these defenses are 392 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,640 Speaker 5: bad and both of them can score. Faku. 393 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 6: We have two rice plays and back to back weeks 394 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 6: talk about a team that was, you know, flying for 395 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 6: the Owls under the radar there for a while. In 396 00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:27,920 Speaker 6: regards to our podcast, I like that they're getting a 397 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 6: little bit of shine here. I have no thoughts on 398 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,200 Speaker 6: that game. That's one of the first in that season. 399 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:33,919 Speaker 6: I have absolutely nothing to. 400 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 5: Say that you're doing. 401 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:37,760 Speaker 6: Yeah, they're teams I haven't I thought for sure you 402 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:39,439 Speaker 6: were going to go back to well with North Texas 403 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 6: and try to set a podcast record for me and 404 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:43,880 Speaker 6: Green plays. But there's still time left in the season. 405 00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:46,600 Speaker 6: We can get into it all right before we continue. 406 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:49,159 Speaker 3: As a reminder, the Big Bets on Campus podcast is 407 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:52,439 Speaker 3: probably presented by Bet MGM so kick off the new 408 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 3: Pro football season with the King of Sportsbooks. 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Promotional offers not available in 436 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:17,840 Speaker 3: Nevada and New York. 437 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 6: And now, for the least profitable portion of our program, 438 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 6: the money Line Underdog Parlay digging deeper. I think what 439 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,120 Speaker 6: we've hit like two of these outright just on their own, 440 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 6: singularly the whole season. But because of that, I'm trying 441 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,600 Speaker 6: to do a little freaky Friday role reversal. I'm going 442 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:39,040 Speaker 6: to go with Ianello's tactics, I should say which is 443 00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 6: going for the shortest dog. I'm going to go UAB 444 00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,880 Speaker 6: plus one fifteen. But before I get into it, I've 445 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 6: been on pins and needles since I brought it up 446 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,800 Speaker 6: during the G five High five segments. Are you on 447 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:50,520 Speaker 6: Boise State money line this week? 448 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 5: Yeah, Boise's day. I had a written down as my 449 00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 5: money line on Underdog. We don't talk about these ahead 450 00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 5: and time to try to keep get our honest reractions 451 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 5: two and oh since they fired offensive cordinera tim Wow 452 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:06,119 Speaker 5: scoring thirty five and forty points. They did it against 453 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 5: San Diego State and Fresno State. Those are two of 454 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,960 Speaker 5: the better defenses in the Mountain West, and there's seventeenth 455 00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:14,440 Speaker 5: in the country. And rushing success, they're ninth in the nation. 456 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 5: Letting teams average is two point nine for plays. I 457 00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:21,240 Speaker 5: think I think they can handle this air Force rushing attack. 458 00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 5: Air Force has already lost games to Wyoming and Utah State, 459 00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:26,720 Speaker 5: both stank, so I don't think Utah or Air Force 460 00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:30,159 Speaker 5: is as good as we necessarily thought they were. And 461 00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:32,920 Speaker 5: the Broncos are coming off a bye, they have extra 462 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,959 Speaker 5: time to prepare for the triple option. But most importantly 463 00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:40,359 Speaker 5: is we never win this pick. We never win our 464 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,320 Speaker 5: money line dog, and I bet air Force to win 465 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 5: the Mountain West. So this is a perfect hedge of 466 00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 5: either we finally hit a money line dog or my 467 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:50,000 Speaker 5: air Force future is in great spot. 468 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:53,159 Speaker 6: All right, So this one's unofficial. So what is your 469 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:55,160 Speaker 6: official money line underdog play? 470 00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 5: For my official play, I'm doubling down. I'm taking UTEP 471 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:01,159 Speaker 5: money line. As I mentioned, I think this game, I 472 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,639 Speaker 5: think UTEP is the better team here. I think it 473 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 5: all all comes down you can Gatvin Hardston protect the football. 474 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:11,480 Speaker 5: He has yet to throw an interception at home all season. 475 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 5: When he doesn't throw interceptions, they win. There's three to 476 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:18,320 Speaker 5: zero when he hasn't thrown a pick, and I like 477 00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,320 Speaker 5: what they've been doing in the running game, you know, 478 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:24,840 Speaker 5: I just think I don't trust FAU defensively at all. 479 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 5: And we've seen UTEP step up big and have big 480 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:32,159 Speaker 5: defensive performances here and there, so I think this is 481 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:36,159 Speaker 5: a They're one of those high variants teams given Hardison's issues, 482 00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 5: where he's a good quarterback that turns the ball over, 483 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 5: So I think if he protects the football, UTIP wins 484 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:43,200 Speaker 5: this game at home, so I will double down. I'll 485 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,040 Speaker 5: take them plus four in the high five, and i 486 00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 5: will take them plus one point fifty on the money line. 487 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:51,200 Speaker 5: For the love of God, protect the football. 488 00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 6: I'm going to take a converce USA battle between two 489 00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:57,240 Speaker 6: likely Bowl teams on Friday night, a pm kickoff on 490 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 6: CBS Sportsnet. UAB traveling to West in Kentucky, and the 491 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 6: game within the game is pretty simple. Western Kentucky wants 492 00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:07,200 Speaker 6: to pass the ball a ton. They've kept that Bailey 493 00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:09,879 Speaker 6: Zappi energy going into the Austin Reed era. They got 494 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,239 Speaker 6: Datewoo Davis, they got Corley in the perimeter. They've been 495 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 6: able to throw it all over the yard. But this 496 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,359 Speaker 6: UAB pass defense is elite, and they got a perfect 497 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 6: warm up last week against Charlotte and Chris Reynolds. Even 498 00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:23,480 Speaker 6: though Charlotte was able to cover the number four our podcast, 499 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:25,600 Speaker 6: he was not able to do much through the air. 500 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:29,040 Speaker 6: They have the fifth best passing defense in terms of 501 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:32,159 Speaker 6: yards per attempt allowed in the entire country. I think 502 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 6: they're going to ground this hill top or pass attack. 503 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,879 Speaker 6: And when they have the ball, there's no better wagon 504 00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:39,920 Speaker 6: to hit yourself too than Dwayne McBride this running game 505 00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 6: in general. It's not just McBride. They're fifth nationally five 506 00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:46,639 Speaker 6: point seven yards per carry, that's ninth best in the 507 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:48,720 Speaker 6: entire country. I think they're going to run through this 508 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,440 Speaker 6: Western Kentucky defense that's actually been pretty good. I think 509 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 6: that was the elements when we looked in the offseason. 510 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 6: We figured that their offense would take a minor step back, 511 00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 6: but their defense could never elevate into the fifties or 512 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 6: sixties in the important defensive metrics. But they've been able 513 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:04,920 Speaker 6: to do it thus far. I just think it's a 514 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 6: different animal in this game trying to bottle up Dayne McBride. 515 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:09,160 Speaker 6: They're not going to be able to get it done. 516 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:11,960 Speaker 6: So I'll take you AB plus one point fifteen, and 517 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 6: when you put our two money line plays together, that's 518 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:18,280 Speaker 6: plus four forty five at bet MGM A. 519 00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:20,600 Speaker 5: Yeah, because mcbridley he leads the country and rushing at 520 00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:22,080 Speaker 5: this point right, I think he's had over hine yards 521 00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,400 Speaker 5: in every single game. He is a absolute freak. 522 00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,000 Speaker 6: Yeah, it's basically him and Chase Brown from Illinois going 523 00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:28,840 Speaker 6: back and forth throughout the season. 524 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:32,160 Speaker 5: Yeah. His lowest output output for McBride was one hundred 525 00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:34,119 Speaker 5: and twenty yards and oh that's because he only had 526 00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:36,639 Speaker 5: twelve carries against Middle Tennessee. He averaged ten yards to 527 00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,240 Speaker 5: carry in that game. That was that was his worst 528 00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 5: performance yardage wise. 529 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 6: All right, and now for a quick rundown on all 530 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:43,879 Speaker 6: of our picks for best bets. I like since he 531 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:47,480 Speaker 6: laying three at smu ielo is on Troy plus three 532 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 6: for a G five high five. I like Air Force 533 00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 6: laying a field goal against Boise under in the Memphis 534 00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,600 Speaker 6: two laying game that total sitting at fifty six and 535 00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:57,720 Speaker 6: a half. Ianello likes over sixty five and a half 536 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 6: between Georgia Southern and Old Dominion You TEP plus four 537 00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,480 Speaker 6: and the over in the Rice La Tech game which 538 00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,720 Speaker 6: is sitting at fifty eight. As a publication. And as 539 00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:10,679 Speaker 6: for our moneyline underdog play, I like UAB plus one 540 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 6: fifteen and inlo Is double dipping on Minor Nation UTEP 541 00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,920 Speaker 6: plus one fifty on the money line that parlay together 542 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:21,399 Speaker 6: plays plus four forty five over at bet MGM. All right, 543 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,879 Speaker 6: Now for our bonus segment here, which has been very 544 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:25,679 Speaker 6: profitable for the last month, so we got to keep 545 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:27,600 Speaker 6: it going. Any games that were on the cunning room 546 00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:29,199 Speaker 6: floor for you in Week eight. 547 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:31,080 Speaker 5: You know, I don't want to say I considered it, 548 00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 5: but I did see Colin Wilson come through the app 549 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:39,399 Speaker 5: with a bowling Green plus seven at Central Michigan, and 550 00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:42,480 Speaker 5: I'll be honest, it piqued my interest and I don't 551 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:44,680 Speaker 5: hate it at all. But if you thought I was 552 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 5: going to talk say anything nice about Matt McDonald on 553 00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:49,880 Speaker 5: this podcast, you're out of your mind. But I don't 554 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 5: hate bowling Green plus seven. 555 00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:53,640 Speaker 6: Well, I'll see you for a player that you could 556 00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,600 Speaker 6: say something nice, you can say something bad because you 557 00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 6: never know who this quarterback is going to be when 558 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:02,680 Speaker 6: he takes the field. Feels trappy because UCF is playing 559 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:06,480 Speaker 6: so well. They're laying five in Greenville against East Carolina 560 00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,760 Speaker 6: and I'm referring to Holden Ailers. We're gonna get the 561 00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:11,919 Speaker 6: good Ailers, We're gonna get the bad Ailers. What does 562 00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,200 Speaker 6: your guts say at this point going into kind of 563 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 6: a critical game for UCF to make sure that they 564 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 6: keep pace in a dynamic AAC race. 565 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, it's it's probably stay away for me. Like I said, 566 00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:24,840 Speaker 5: I'm I'm just so high in UCF and I do 567 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,280 Speaker 5: love Ailers, but he just he's hard to trust. Honestly, 568 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,639 Speaker 5: I wouldn't hate the under in that game. UCF has 569 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,800 Speaker 5: been so explosive, but this defense has looked better. They've 570 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,680 Speaker 5: actually been pretty good against the run, which is not 571 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,800 Speaker 5: usually their forte. So you know, maybe they forced plumb 572 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 5: Me to throw more than he's comfortable with, although he 573 00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 5: has done that well, maybe an under just you know, 574 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 5: but I don't. I don't love it all. 575 00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,239 Speaker 6: Right for Mike Ianello, I'm Mike Calipers. This has been 576 00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:51,080 Speaker 6: the group of five deep dive under the Big Bets 577 00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 6: on Campus podcast banner brought to you by bet MGM. 578 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,680 Speaker 6: A reminder to our listeners that Colin and Stuckey will 579 00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,600 Speaker 6: be back on Thursday. Breaking down the full FBS slate. 580 00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 6: All on one hundred and thirty teams are featured there. 581 00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:04,960 Speaker 5: So no STEM thirty one, one thirty one. Don't you 582 00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,240 Speaker 5: disrespect James Madison. There's one hundred and thirty one. 583 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,359 Speaker 6: That's true. I always want to say one thirty three 584 00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,200 Speaker 6: because you know, when does Sam Houston State get in 585 00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:14,879 Speaker 6: the mix. You know, there's some teams bubbling up and 586 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,200 Speaker 6: they have transition years. I'll get it figured out. I 587 00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 6: do have a map in my office, but it is 588 00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,200 Speaker 6: the twenty twenty season, so one hundred and thirty, so 589 00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,800 Speaker 6: I appreciate the call out there. And of course on Saturday, 590 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 6: we have our Big Bets on Campus Live show. That's 591 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 6: Brett McMurphy Colin Stuckey breaking down everything that you need 592 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,520 Speaker 6: to know to make it a profitable Saturday. So enjoy 593 00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 6: week eight and hopefully we can keep the good times 594 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,400 Speaker 6: rolling here on the Big Bets on Campus Podcast