WEBVTT - Elon’s Brand Dilemma 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Let me tell you

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<v Speaker 1>we have a new star.

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<v Speaker 2>A star is born Elon up On mars Juson Kennemy.

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<v Speaker 3>He is the Thomas Edison plus plus plus of our age.

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<v Speaker 4>Probably his whole life is from a position of insecurity.

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<v Speaker 3>I feel for the guy.

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<v Speaker 1>I would say ninety eight percent really appreciate what he does.

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<v Speaker 4>But those two percent that are nasty, they are I'll

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<v Speaker 4>pay in four post.

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<v Speaker 1>We were meant for great things in the United States

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<v Speaker 1>of America, and Elon reminds.

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<v Speaker 2>Us of that we don't have a fourth branch of

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<v Speaker 2>governments called Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Elon Ang, Bloomberg's weekly podcast about Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 1>It's Tuesday, March eighteenth. I'm your host, David Papadopolis. Now

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<v Speaker 1>this week has mercifully given us a bit of a

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<v Speaker 1>break from the non stop barrage of Elon Indoze news.

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<v Speaker 1>But that doesn't mean things are quiet in the Musk Empire.

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<v Speaker 1>There's been all sorts of news on the SpaceX front,

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<v Speaker 1>and we'll start off there, and then Amanda Mall will

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<v Speaker 1>join us to talk about a terrific piece you just

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<v Speaker 1>pen for BusinessWeek about the epic brand destruction. Elon has

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<v Speaker 1>unleased at Tesla to talk about everything SpaceX. We have

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<v Speaker 1>our two regulars, Max Chafkin and Dana Hall. Maxilo to you, Hello, David, Dana,

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<v Speaker 1>how are you hello?

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<v Speaker 4>Hello?

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<v Speaker 1>Now, I know that I often say on this show,

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<v Speaker 1>I know nothing about what we're about to talk about,

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<v Speaker 1>but I truly and when it comes to SpaceX, I

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<v Speaker 1>truly know nothing about this. So you guys are going

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<v Speaker 1>to help me like you're going to help our listeners. Dana,

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<v Speaker 1>the stranded astronauts up there at the space station are

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<v Speaker 1>coming home courtesy of Elon. Musk tell us about it.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, First of all, the phrase stranded is something that

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<v Speaker 3>NASA has kind of pushed back on.

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<v Speaker 1>They're stranded, they're stranded and miserable.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, I know that journalists love to say that

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<v Speaker 3>they're stranded and they're stuck, but the truth is that

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<v Speaker 3>they're doing research and they're there because they want to

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<v Speaker 3>be there. And yes, they were supposed to come home

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<v Speaker 3>on a Boeing Starliner craft. NASA made the decision not

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<v Speaker 3>to send them home on the Boeing craft, So now

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<v Speaker 3>they are coming home on a SpaceX Dragon capsule. And

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<v Speaker 3>this is a big win for Elon because it kind

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<v Speaker 3>of plays into this narrative that quote unquote SpaceX is

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<v Speaker 3>rescuing the astronauts, and yeah, I mean they are. They

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<v Speaker 3>are bringing them home, and that's a huge win for Elon.

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<v Speaker 3>And SpaceX has a brand as like the most reliable

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<v Speaker 3>way to get to and from the space station.

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<v Speaker 2>NASA has, as Dana is saying, a reliable way to

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<v Speaker 2>get astronauts to and from the International Space Station it

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<v Speaker 2>is SpaceX. It is also and separately attempting to find

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<v Speaker 2>a second way. Now that is very annoying to Elon

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<v Speaker 2>Musk since he essentially has a monopoly on this business.

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<v Speaker 2>So as they've been developing this, Musk has been at

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<v Speaker 2>pains to spin this as some kind of huge failure,

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<v Speaker 2>and it is. It is definitely a setback for Boeing.

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<v Speaker 2>But NASA could have sent these astronauts home much sooner

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<v Speaker 2>if it had wanted to. It chose not to, And

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<v Speaker 2>as Dan is saying, they chose to be there.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, fine, so you guys insist that they're not stranded,

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<v Speaker 1>but they are. We can agree that they are coming home.

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<v Speaker 1>They're not.

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<v Speaker 4>They're they're traveling now, They're they're hurtling through.

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<v Speaker 1>As we speak through the void of the sound over

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<v Speaker 1>there that I hear, is that the sound of them

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<v Speaker 1>hurtling through space.

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<v Speaker 4>By the time listeners hear this podcast, they may splash ocean.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so the astronauts are on their way home. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>they are in the capsule and they are expected to

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<v Speaker 3>splash down, like Tuesday evening. They will splash down Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 1>Around the time this podcast splashes down as you're listening.

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<v Speaker 1>A splashdown is is a term that everybody loves to

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<v Speaker 1>use with these things. Right, there's no other way to

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<v Speaker 1>come back from the space station if you're not you know,

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<v Speaker 1>beyond splashing again.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, David, you know you realize it's because they are

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<v Speaker 3>landing in the ocean. Like it's cost.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm aware of that, but is in every case it's

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<v Speaker 1>separate news. Starlink, a key division of SpaceX, is getting

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<v Speaker 1>a competitor or Max Competitive Tours. Tell us about it, all.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, Yeah, so there's a bunch of stuff happening around Starlink,

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<v Speaker 2>and in particular around Starlink. Competitors is a new spinoff

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<v Speaker 2>from Alphabet, the parent company of Google, which is called.

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<v Speaker 4>T A A RX.

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<v Speaker 2>I guess a titara is how you say, I don't

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<v Speaker 2>know how to say it. It is a high speed

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<v Speaker 2>internet company. It does not use satellites. It uses I'm

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<v Speaker 2>not etting this up. It uses lasers that are mounted

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<v Speaker 2>on towers. Apparently they can send high speed data, very

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<v Speaker 2>long rate a laser, essentially like fiber optic cables, but

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<v Speaker 2>in the sky. And this is being spun as a

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<v Speaker 2>potential Starlink competitor. This is the thing that other technology

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<v Speaker 2>company have talked about. It is not a direct competitor

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<v Speaker 2>starting What it is is another potential way to deliver

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<v Speaker 2>high speed internet to people in rural areas, which is

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<v Speaker 2>like the main use case for Starlink. Now, I want

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<v Speaker 2>to say two things. One is this is like very

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<v Speaker 2>very speculative. The company, according to the report in the Verge,

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<v Speaker 2>which is the one that we all saw, has like

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<v Speaker 2>two dozen employees. Google has been trying to find ways

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<v Speaker 2>to provide broadband internet to rural areas for a very

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<v Speaker 2>long time, with.

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<v Speaker 4>Very little success.

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<v Speaker 2>This actually had its roots in their balloon Internet program,

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<v Speaker 2>which you may or may not remember.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't.

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<v Speaker 4>That did not end well.

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<v Speaker 2>This is not how like you know you're going to

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<v Speaker 2>log on to Facebook and you need to.

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<v Speaker 1>Said that the Balloon Internet program.

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<v Speaker 2>Did not want Now I want to say this though

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<v Speaker 2>this is again very speculative, not worth banking on at

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<v Speaker 2>the moment.

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<v Speaker 1>That said, but a window into something.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, it shows you number one, that there are multiple

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<v Speaker 2>ways for companies to go after Starlink. We often talk

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<v Speaker 2>about Elon Musk kind of having a monopoly, right because

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<v Speaker 2>he has a lot of satellites, but he doesn't have

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<v Speaker 2>a monopoly on Internet access because there are other ways

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<v Speaker 2>to deliver the Internet. You can get your Internet via

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<v Speaker 2>fiber rocket cable, You can get your Internet via cell

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<v Speaker 2>phone tower. You could even conceivably get your Internet via

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<v Speaker 2>some crazy laser.

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<v Speaker 4>Things that you know. I don't know, David, make sure

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<v Speaker 4>I don't totally understand.

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<v Speaker 1>Now.

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<v Speaker 2>The other thing is there are other Starlink competitors. There

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<v Speaker 2>are a couple of companies that are sort of legacy

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<v Speaker 2>satellite providers that use older technology but also provide satellite

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<v Speaker 2>Internet service. There is also an EU company. Yeah you

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<v Speaker 2>tellt Yeah, I think it's like Eutel Sat maybe really

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<v Speaker 2>probably the most literal name.

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<v Speaker 4>For a for a company in history.

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<v Speaker 2>It is a EU based satellite provider and this company

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<v Speaker 2>is getting a lot of buzz.

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<v Speaker 1>Stock has been soaring.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's it's been up like five times over the

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<v Speaker 2>last month. Over the past month. There is there is

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<v Speaker 2>thought that Europeans may, especially European governments, may prefer to

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<v Speaker 2>do business with a European space company at a time when,

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<v Speaker 2>of course Donald Trump is you know, taking this nationalistic

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<v Speaker 2>pose and Elon Musk is so closely.

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<v Speaker 4>Allied with him.

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<v Speaker 2>So there are these other options, and I think seeing

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<v Speaker 2>these other options materialize kind of hints at the ways

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<v Speaker 2>that this bet that Elon Musk has made on Donald

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<v Speaker 2>Trump could go bad. His businesses, while very strong, have vulnerabilities.

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<v Speaker 1>So, Dana, we've obviously seen it again and again and

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<v Speaker 1>again in enormous numbers when it comes to Tesla, that

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<v Speaker 1>old customer base walking away from the company, and we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to talk about that at length again in the

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<v Speaker 1>back half of the show. Maybe some signs that a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit of that now happening potentially in the starlink space.

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<v Speaker 1>The Guardian, I should point out, had a piece that

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<v Speaker 1>came out yesterday or today citing some people who said

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<v Speaker 1>I've given up my Starlink. I would have just myself

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<v Speaker 1>slapped the bumper sticker on my Starlink and kept and

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<v Speaker 1>kept using it. But maybe some signs emerging there.

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<v Speaker 3>Sure, I mean, you know, I think what's funny is

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<v Speaker 3>that for so long, I mean in the early days,

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<v Speaker 3>like Tesla was the scrappy upstart taking on legacy Atto,

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<v Speaker 3>and you know, Starlink was the scrappy telecom company taking

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<v Speaker 3>on the big incumbents. And now that Elon is who

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<v Speaker 3>he is, doing what he's doing with the Trump administration,

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<v Speaker 3>the only way that consumers feel like they have political

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<v Speaker 3>agency to kind of fight back is to you know,

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<v Speaker 3>slap a bumper sticker or give up their product. I

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<v Speaker 3>mean that said, most people buy products because they like

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<v Speaker 3>the products, Like, yeah, you know, equally, there are a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of people that are probably upset with Jeff Bezos.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm not seeing people like vandalizing Whole Foods or canceling

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<v Speaker 3>Amazon in the big numbers that they're you know, virtue

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<v Speaker 3>signaling about their Tesla's.

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<v Speaker 1>I just don't think right the rejection is quite is

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<v Speaker 1>quite a strong, but that is a good The virtue

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<v Speaker 1>signaling term max is important because Guardian article like actually

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<v Speaker 1>came out I misspoke, it came out on Sunday.

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<v Speaker 2>The lead image is like a Scottish folks. It's not

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<v Speaker 2>exactly like he's barefoot on the beach. There must be

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<v Speaker 2>like three or four other people like.

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<v Speaker 4>This is not necessarily a huge court.

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<v Speaker 2>I do want to say, though, there are other customers

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<v Speaker 2>that are rethinking Starlink.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, we're seeing reports out of Italy.

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<v Speaker 2>Remember we talked some weeks ago about the deal that

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<v Speaker 2>Starlink was in talks with Georgia Maloney and the Italian

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<v Speaker 2>government to provide. So there's now increasing opposition in Italy

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<v Speaker 2>over this deal. It is not a done deal and

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<v Speaker 2>so and we're seeing you know, the opposition parties in

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<v Speaker 2>Italy saying, hey, we should do this with a European player,

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<v Speaker 2>not with space A. You tell set, well, yeah, assumably

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<v Speaker 2>it isn't just virtue signaling, right like there are strategic

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<v Speaker 2>reasons why countries might not want to know it has

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<v Speaker 2>it can't.

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<v Speaker 1>It certainly can't be virtue signaling in the same way

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<v Speaker 1>it is with the Tesla, because who the hell knows

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<v Speaker 1>what your internet is?

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<v Speaker 5>Is?

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<v Speaker 1>You know how you're and so it's truly you must

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<v Speaker 1>really when you get rid of it, you must truly

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<v Speaker 1>be concerned about your association with the company. If you're

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<v Speaker 1>Italy or as a customer, you'd be like you must

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<v Speaker 1>be just like I can't signal to my neighbors and

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<v Speaker 1>my friends and he you know, I can't send them

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<v Speaker 1>a message. But man, for me as a consumer, I

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<v Speaker 1>just really don't want to give him any money. That's

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<v Speaker 1>what it has to be. And we'll just see ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>how beyond that, Scotsman, how big that universe is. And

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<v Speaker 1>then over the weekend, Dana, we had an ex from

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<v Speaker 1>Elon claiming that the first SpaceX mission to Mars is

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<v Speaker 1>going to happen next year.

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<v Speaker 3>What say you, Well, he's been saying that for a

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<v Speaker 3>long time, so that's not really new. What was new

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<v Speaker 3>was that that Optimists would be on board, right, So

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<v Speaker 3>the idea is that the Optimist is going to Mars

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<v Speaker 3>before the humans.

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<v Speaker 4>You don't need a life support system, right, true.

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<v Speaker 3>So it just sort of shows once again how like

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<v Speaker 3>all of his products and all everything that he's doing,

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<v Speaker 3>it's all in the service of Mars, right Like the

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<v Speaker 3>boring company tunnels are all about Mars. Optimist is gonna

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<v Speaker 3>work on Mars, and he's excited about it because you know,

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<v Speaker 3>he's now got this relationship with Trump, Trump wants to

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<v Speaker 3>go to Mars by the end of his first term.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, this is the whole enchilada. It's all about Mars.

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<v Speaker 2>I think there's a second reason why he's talking about

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, I take Danna's point that, you know, freelon

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<v Speaker 2>Mars is the whole enchilada. But also, and we'll get

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<v Speaker 2>to this in the next segment, Tesla stock is collapsing

0:11:26.280 --> 0:11:29.800
<v Speaker 2>right now. Optimist is a Tesla product. He has used

0:11:29.880 --> 0:11:33.080
<v Speaker 2>SpaceX in the past to provide marketing Tesla. That's what

0:11:33.240 --> 0:11:35.640
<v Speaker 2>that's in part what this is. Right Saying he's gonna

0:11:35.640 --> 0:11:39.520
<v Speaker 2>send Optimists to Mars is a way to potentially remind

0:11:39.880 --> 0:11:43.760
<v Speaker 2>Tesla investors like I've got this really awesome robot called Optimists,

0:11:43.840 --> 0:11:46.360
<v Speaker 2>and you know it's gonna be worth thirty trillion dollars

0:11:46.440 --> 0:11:48.880
<v Speaker 2>or whatever. The other thing I want to say, there

0:11:48.960 --> 0:11:53.120
<v Speaker 2>is no Mars program. Not only does does starship does

0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:55.760
<v Speaker 2>it not appear to be technically ready or anywhere near

0:11:55.880 --> 0:11:58.080
<v Speaker 2>ready to do the things that Elon is saying.

0:11:58.800 --> 0:12:01.040
<v Speaker 4>NASA hasn't agreed to that. The thing that starts.

0:12:01.480 --> 0:12:05.720
<v Speaker 1>But being under Trump, if Musk really wants to go

0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:08.520
<v Speaker 1>to Mars asap is NASA. I'm not going to say yes.

0:12:09.040 --> 0:12:12.160
<v Speaker 2>I think we assume that Donald Trump will be in

0:12:12.200 --> 0:12:14.720
<v Speaker 2>favor of that. I don't think we know how the

0:12:14.720 --> 0:12:16.640
<v Speaker 2>politics of that are going to work. There are other

0:12:16.679 --> 0:12:20.959
<v Speaker 2>constituents here, there are other defense contractors, there are voters

0:12:21.000 --> 0:12:24.280
<v Speaker 2>in the states where those defense contractors operate, on many

0:12:24.320 --> 0:12:26.559
<v Speaker 2>which are red states. There's going to be a lot

0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:30.520
<v Speaker 2>of political opposition to like taking money away from one

0:12:30.600 --> 0:12:33.760
<v Speaker 2>NASA program and putting in another. And there would also

0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:36.040
<v Speaker 2>be a lot of opposition to just like taking money

0:12:36.040 --> 0:12:39.920
<v Speaker 2>away from what like Social Security employees or something. I mean,

0:12:40.000 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm not saying cut, I'm gonna say from not saying recipients.

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:48.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm saying they are cutting a huge, huge numbers of

0:12:48.440 --> 0:12:52.160
<v Speaker 2>staff from the Social Security Administration and many other administrations.

0:12:52.160 --> 0:12:54.200
<v Speaker 2>And one of the things that Elon Musk has said

0:12:54.200 --> 0:12:56.040
<v Speaker 2>he thinks that we should do with that money is

0:12:56.280 --> 0:12:57.959
<v Speaker 2>put into a MARS program. So, like, I don't know

0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:00.600
<v Speaker 2>why that's far fetched. That is that is kind of like.

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:02.480
<v Speaker 1>What he said he in that case, and that is

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:05.600
<v Speaker 1>a political a tough sell politically.

0:13:05.240 --> 0:13:05.800
<v Speaker 4>I'll say.

0:13:06.240 --> 0:13:08.400
<v Speaker 2>Now, the other thing is they would need to make

0:13:08.760 --> 0:13:11.360
<v Speaker 2>this starship do a lot more things than it has

0:13:11.400 --> 0:13:13.120
<v Speaker 2>already done. I mean, when Elon Musk went on the

0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:17.839
<v Speaker 2>Rogan podcast, there was a lengthy discussion about the heat

0:13:17.880 --> 0:13:22.120
<v Speaker 2>shield on the Starship spacecraft, and it is not working yet.

0:13:22.200 --> 0:13:25.360
<v Speaker 2>It is a novel design that they have not figured out.

0:13:25.600 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 2>And that is among several problems that are sort of novel,

0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:33.000
<v Speaker 2>including attempting to refuel this thing in space. There's a

0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:35.840
<v Speaker 2>lot of questions about how many launches it'll take.

0:13:35.679 --> 0:13:41.160
<v Speaker 1>Will there will be some sort of refueling vessel waiting

0:13:41.200 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>for it up in space something.

0:13:42.679 --> 0:13:44.959
<v Speaker 4>That is the plan. So so he's going to launch

0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:46.360
<v Speaker 4>the just to get to the Moon.

0:13:46.440 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 2>The plan is he's going to launch Starship, and then

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:52.160
<v Speaker 2>there are going to be a succession of many fuel launch.

0:13:52.000 --> 0:13:54.520
<v Speaker 1>Like water stations in a marathon, like.

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:56.160
<v Speaker 4>Water stations in America.

0:13:56.200 --> 0:13:58.679
<v Speaker 1>You know how tricky that can be. Grab the water

0:13:58.760 --> 0:13:59.200
<v Speaker 1>to watch.

0:13:59.120 --> 0:14:01.280
<v Speaker 2>Sometimes it gets dropped on you. But and in space

0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:03.920
<v Speaker 2>sometimes the fuel just gets boiled off and disappears. So

0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:07.800
<v Speaker 2>there are lots of issues. Again, it's not not to

0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:09.960
<v Speaker 2>say that these issues are going to be impossible. It's

0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:12.400
<v Speaker 2>just like acting like this is a done deal either

0:14:12.440 --> 0:14:16.880
<v Speaker 2>technically or politically, is you know, bordering on delusional.

0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:25.360
<v Speaker 1>Okay, let's move on to Tesla. Okay. We're now joined

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:28.600
<v Speaker 1>by Amanda mal a writer for Business Week. Amanda, thanks

0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:31.040
<v Speaker 1>for joining us, Thanks for having me, Amanda. You just

0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:35.480
<v Speaker 1>published today a terrific piece about Tesla and the brand

0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:39.720
<v Speaker 1>destruction that Elon has wrought there, and there was a

0:14:39.720 --> 0:14:41.560
<v Speaker 1>line that really jumped out at me and I wanted

0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:44.680
<v Speaker 1>to ask you about it. You wrote that it's nearly

0:14:44.800 --> 0:14:48.440
<v Speaker 1>impossible to think of a comparable example of a company

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:53.800
<v Speaker 1>detonating its own brand. Tell us about that. We've debated

0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 1>this a little bit on the show before, and we

0:14:55.720 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 1>were wondering what kind of historical comparisons there were, and

0:14:58.960 --> 0:15:00.960
<v Speaker 1>you found none.

0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:04.560
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, Like, I've written about consumerism and branding and marketing

0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.360
<v Speaker 5>for a long time, and what Tesla is doing with

0:15:07.720 --> 0:15:11.520
<v Speaker 5>its customer base and its market positioning and it's branding

0:15:11.600 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 5>right now is something that you know, I sort of

0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:18.840
<v Speaker 5>stumped me for an analog in the history of consumption,

0:15:19.280 --> 0:15:22.600
<v Speaker 5>because you know, brands pivot all the time. They seek

0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:25.280
<v Speaker 5>to change their markets, they seek to expand their markets,

0:15:25.280 --> 0:15:27.280
<v Speaker 5>they seek to find new kinds of customers. They do

0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:30.600
<v Speaker 5>that in all sorts of ways, but very, very rarely

0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:35.400
<v Speaker 5>is that done through telling almost their entire existing customer

0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:41.160
<v Speaker 5>base that like not own yes to essentially go, you know,

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:45.680
<v Speaker 5>f themselves. And that is quite literally what Elon has

0:15:45.680 --> 0:15:49.520
<v Speaker 5>done with the current Tesla customer base, which is overwhelmingly

0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 5>left of center people not necessarily libs or progressives, but

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:55.600
<v Speaker 5>like people who are concerned about the environment and willing

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.800
<v Speaker 5>to change their habits and make a very large purchase

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:00.960
<v Speaker 5>to sort of like put their money where their mouth.

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:04.200
<v Speaker 1>And was he fully aware do you believe at just

0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.240
<v Speaker 1>how much he was going to turn them away when

0:16:06.320 --> 0:16:09.880
<v Speaker 1>he made this pivot, or was is he surprised at all?

0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 5>I think Elon currently seems concerned about this pivot and

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:18.720
<v Speaker 5>what it's doing to Tesla sales, what it's doing to

0:16:18.760 --> 0:16:20.680
<v Speaker 5>Tesla's share price. I think you can see that in

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 5>the sort of car show that they put on at

0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:27.400
<v Speaker 5>the White House last week. I don't know what he expected, Like,

0:16:27.600 --> 0:16:29.520
<v Speaker 5>it's very hard for me to put myself in his

0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:32.760
<v Speaker 5>sort of mindset going into this, because I think any

0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:35.520
<v Speaker 5>anybody who works in branding or marketing would tell you

0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:38.600
<v Speaker 5>that this is like what would happen when you changed

0:16:38.720 --> 0:16:41.280
<v Speaker 5>the identity of the company from something that sort of

0:16:41.760 --> 0:16:45.360
<v Speaker 5>flatters the sensibilities of progressives and people who are interested

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:48.240
<v Speaker 5>in the environment and in staving off climate change to

0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 5>something that is, you know, supportive of climate change, supportive

0:16:51.320 --> 0:16:54.040
<v Speaker 5>of antagonizing that customer base.

0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:56.840
<v Speaker 1>On that antagonizing point, there was a moment on the

0:16:56.880 --> 0:17:01.040
<v Speaker 1>Stephen Colbert Show last week that kind have captured this

0:17:01.160 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 1>a bit. Let us understand that in general, the Colbert

0:17:05.440 --> 0:17:10.959
<v Speaker 1>Live audience is a progressive, wealthy, uh East Coast crowd,

0:17:11.200 --> 0:17:15.360
<v Speaker 1>give or take. I'm sure there's some tourists in all tourists,

0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 1>but are they not.

0:17:16.440 --> 0:17:19.160
<v Speaker 2>It's probably left of center, given that Colbert's left of center,

0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:23.000
<v Speaker 2>But my guess is it's like more centrist than than

0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:25.760
<v Speaker 2>like the regular cross section of New York.

0:17:25.760 --> 0:17:28.359
<v Speaker 1>All right, well, let's let's listen to that clip. Well,

0:17:28.359 --> 0:17:30.800
<v Speaker 1>there was a silver lining on the implosion of the

0:17:30.840 --> 0:17:37.159
<v Speaker 1>world economy. It's bad for Elon Musk too. Yesterday, Well.

0:17:39.440 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 4>That is not great for sales.

0:17:41.920 --> 0:17:52.880
<v Speaker 1>Wow wow, Now, Max, What struck me having watched it

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:57.119
<v Speaker 1>last week was uh, just how raw it sort of

0:17:57.160 --> 0:17:59.760
<v Speaker 1>felt from the crowd and how much Colbert and and

0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:03.800
<v Speaker 1>the with him, we're sort of shocked by the extent

0:18:03.880 --> 0:18:08.640
<v Speaker 1>of the reaction. And yeah, it's it's a thing.

0:18:09.040 --> 0:18:13.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, I think they're two misunderstandings, and Amanda

0:18:13.440 --> 0:18:16.000
<v Speaker 2>has kind of hinted at both of them. One is

0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:20.520
<v Speaker 2>the sort of misunderstanding of his own customer base and

0:18:20.560 --> 0:18:23.800
<v Speaker 2>like what they were excited about, what their politics look like,

0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:26.880
<v Speaker 2>and how they felt about Donald trumpor would feel about

0:18:26.880 --> 0:18:30.320
<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump. And the second, frankly, is a misunderstanding of

0:18:30.400 --> 0:18:34.480
<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump's voters and how enthusiastic they are to buy

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:38.600
<v Speaker 2>electric vehicles or to you know, participate in the fandom

0:18:38.640 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 2>of somebody that does what looks like to most saying

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:47.879
<v Speaker 2>people a Nazi salute, right Like, most people, including most Republicans,

0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:50.480
<v Speaker 2>do not like that stuff. They don't like the like

0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 2>trolling version of Elon Musk. And you see that in

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:56.920
<v Speaker 2>the poll numbers. Musk's poll numbers are worse than Donald

0:18:56.960 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 2>Trump's pull numbers, which is pretty amazing, honestly, considering that

0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:04.600
<v Speaker 2>Musk was a very popular figure just a couple of

0:19:04.680 --> 0:19:09.200
<v Speaker 2>years ago, beloved essentially and admired by people of both parties,

0:19:09.480 --> 0:19:12.720
<v Speaker 2>and he has managed to just like blow past even

0:19:12.800 --> 0:19:16.600
<v Speaker 2>one of the most divisive people, you know, public figures,

0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:17.479
<v Speaker 2>you know, in the world.

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:22.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, am I talking with some of my friends who

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:25.280
<v Speaker 1>are members of MAGA, and I've raised with them and

0:19:25.320 --> 0:19:28.359
<v Speaker 1>I've said, what do you think about this, you know,

0:19:28.840 --> 0:19:32.040
<v Speaker 1>buying a Tesla, And I think that the sentiment has

0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:36.200
<v Speaker 1>been no chance in hell has essentially been what I've

0:19:36.200 --> 0:19:41.520
<v Speaker 1>heard back now, Amanda on that White House lawn sales

0:19:41.600 --> 0:19:46.119
<v Speaker 1>pitch that we saw last week Musk and Trump and

0:19:46.119 --> 0:19:50.560
<v Speaker 1>there's this whole fleet of Tesla's, of all colors and

0:19:50.680 --> 0:19:54.560
<v Speaker 1>shapes and sizes. You wrote in the piece that to

0:19:54.800 --> 0:19:58.520
<v Speaker 1>you it reeks of desperation. Is that what this is

0:19:58.560 --> 0:20:01.120
<v Speaker 1>here and that it is not going to be an

0:20:01.119 --> 0:20:03.800
<v Speaker 1>elixir of sorts for the brand.

0:20:04.320 --> 0:20:06.879
<v Speaker 5>Yes, I think that when you see a stunt like that,

0:20:07.200 --> 0:20:11.119
<v Speaker 5>My reading of it was that Elon understands that, like

0:20:11.880 --> 0:20:15.880
<v Speaker 5>his his traditional consumer is not interested in associating with

0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 5>what he's now associated the brand with and what these

0:20:18.760 --> 0:20:22.960
<v Speaker 5>protests have very effectively further associated the brand with, and

0:20:23.400 --> 0:20:27.240
<v Speaker 5>he understands it seems that he needs to find some

0:20:27.280 --> 0:20:32.040
<v Speaker 5>sort of other like Polish for this situation, and so

0:20:32.520 --> 0:20:35.159
<v Speaker 5>he went to Donald Trump, which who was divisive but

0:20:35.240 --> 0:20:39.160
<v Speaker 5>extremely popular among a large swamp of the population, and

0:20:39.760 --> 0:20:43.560
<v Speaker 5>it was essentially trying to more explicitly hook Tesla up

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:46.720
<v Speaker 5>to not just his own cult of personality, but to

0:20:46.880 --> 0:20:50.800
<v Speaker 5>Donald Trump's. And I think that it probably worked for

0:20:50.880 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 5>like some small number of people who were really, really

0:20:53.520 --> 0:20:58.280
<v Speaker 5>in tune to, you know, signals coming from Trump himself.

0:20:58.400 --> 0:21:02.119
<v Speaker 5>But like most of Trump's voter are not fully bought

0:21:02.119 --> 0:21:06.440
<v Speaker 5>in ideologues to the weirdest parts of internet right wing thought.

0:21:06.800 --> 0:21:10.440
<v Speaker 5>They are regular people who, like Max SAIDs don't necessarily

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:13.040
<v Speaker 5>want to be associated with a lot of the things

0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:16.560
<v Speaker 5>that Elon Musk explicitly associates himself with. Like people who

0:21:16.560 --> 0:21:18.520
<v Speaker 5>want to own the Libs through their car purchases have

0:21:18.640 --> 0:21:20.840
<v Speaker 5>like a wealth of options. They have all kinds of

0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 5>trucks and SUVs.

0:21:22.600 --> 0:21:25.760
<v Speaker 1>And buying a Model three is not that is not

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:26.679
<v Speaker 1>how you achieve it.

0:21:26.920 --> 0:21:30.080
<v Speaker 2>I remember that ad that which we talked about. I

0:21:30.119 --> 0:21:32.760
<v Speaker 2>showed this demanda before we started taping. But Dan, I'll remember,

0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:34.960
<v Speaker 2>well America Pack ran these ads that were like, the

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:38.000
<v Speaker 2>Libs don't want you to buys to like take zin

0:21:38.320 --> 0:21:40.200
<v Speaker 2>or eat red meat or buy a truck.

0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:42.040
<v Speaker 4>And you see a picture of a truck, it's not

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:43.600
<v Speaker 4>a cyber truck. It's a gag.

0:21:44.359 --> 0:21:46.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, we Man and I were trying to figure out

0:21:46.200 --> 0:21:48.000
<v Speaker 2>what it was, but we couldn't figure out. It may

0:21:48.000 --> 0:21:50.920
<v Speaker 2>have been a rock generated truck, but in any case,

0:21:51.080 --> 0:21:54.080
<v Speaker 2>it was definitively not a cyber truck like you can

0:21:54.119 --> 0:21:55.560
<v Speaker 2>buy as a man of center piece.

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:58.600
<v Speaker 4>You can buy like a V eight, you know, or whatever.

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:00.800
<v Speaker 2>You can buy a F two fifty and on the

0:22:00.800 --> 0:22:04.680
<v Speaker 2>libs that way fifty big you can if you really

0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:07.480
<v Speaker 2>want to commit. But but in any case, like there's

0:22:07.560 --> 0:22:11.239
<v Speaker 2>just you know, it's it's just not clear that like

0:22:11.359 --> 0:22:16.320
<v Speaker 2>the pitch of Sustainable Transport has found purchase with that.

0:22:17.280 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 5>He's in a really he's in a really crowded market

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:23.240
<v Speaker 5>for symbols of owning the libs via you know, vehicular manner.

0:22:23.480 --> 0:22:25.479
<v Speaker 1>Okay, but but he does he is quite good at

0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:29.640
<v Speaker 1>owning the libs, though in general perhaps not via via

0:22:30.000 --> 0:22:33.760
<v Speaker 1>vehicle uh sales. Now, Dan, I want to raise this

0:22:33.840 --> 0:22:35.920
<v Speaker 1>with you though, because there was a Washington Post story

0:22:35.960 --> 0:22:38.400
<v Speaker 1>that came out in the last couple of days that

0:22:38.800 --> 0:22:43.040
<v Speaker 1>says that Google search increases or Internet search increases in

0:22:43.119 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 1>Red America for quote by a Tesla are way up.

0:22:47.080 --> 0:22:50.280
<v Speaker 1>And then they cite a bunch of politicians and sorts

0:22:50.400 --> 0:22:53.480
<v Speaker 1>no buyers to be They don't cite a single buyer,

0:22:53.640 --> 0:22:57.240
<v Speaker 1>but they have a bunch of politicians sort of really

0:22:57.280 --> 0:23:00.000
<v Speaker 1>pushing in the wake of the White House lawn ship

0:23:01.080 --> 0:23:05.200
<v Speaker 1>the Tesla brand. We are from where you sit your

0:23:05.280 --> 0:23:07.360
<v Speaker 1>dubious this is going to go anywhere. I mean, there

0:23:07.359 --> 0:23:09.320
<v Speaker 1>are showrooms, by the way, I looked up in red America.

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:13.160
<v Speaker 1>There are showrooms in Meridian, Idaho, and Council Bluffs, Iowa,

0:23:13.520 --> 0:23:17.320
<v Speaker 1>and Strongsville, Ohio, and Chattanooga, Tennessee. They're not rushing to

0:23:17.359 --> 0:23:19.400
<v Speaker 1>those dealerships to buy musks.

0:23:19.440 --> 0:23:21.600
<v Speaker 3>Shift to the right and the effort to kind of

0:23:21.680 --> 0:23:26.000
<v Speaker 3>pitch Tesla as a car to middle America began quite

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:28.720
<v Speaker 3>a while ago when the company moved its headquarters from

0:23:28.760 --> 0:23:33.000
<v Speaker 3>California to Texas. And you know, if you look at Tesla,

0:23:33.160 --> 0:23:36.679
<v Speaker 3>like the mission of the company is about accelerating clean energy,

0:23:36.760 --> 0:23:39.439
<v Speaker 3>but they really market the car as just being like

0:23:39.480 --> 0:23:43.000
<v Speaker 3>a cool tech car. Right. So they've been aware that

0:23:43.080 --> 0:23:45.600
<v Speaker 3>there has always been a ceiling to the number of

0:23:45.680 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 3>liberal clostal consumers who were going to buy a Tesla.

0:23:49.160 --> 0:23:51.200
<v Speaker 3>They knew that they had to kind of reach out

0:23:51.280 --> 0:23:53.720
<v Speaker 3>to red state America a long time ago, which is

0:23:53.720 --> 0:23:55.480
<v Speaker 3>part of why they moved to Texas, which is part

0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:57.399
<v Speaker 3>of why they came out with the cyber truck. But

0:23:57.440 --> 0:24:01.280
<v Speaker 3>that said, the infrastructure for EVS in Middle America is

0:24:01.280 --> 0:24:03.800
<v Speaker 3>still not as strong, and like the state incentives are

0:24:03.800 --> 0:24:06.040
<v Speaker 3>not as strong as they are in places like California

0:24:06.160 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 3>and Colorado. That said, like Texas is a big state

0:24:09.520 --> 0:24:11.440
<v Speaker 3>for EVS, and there are a lot of people who

0:24:11.480 --> 0:24:15.560
<v Speaker 3>drive Tesla's in Texas. It's all Texas and Florida. So like,

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:18.680
<v Speaker 3>I think people have the wrong impression that you know,

0:24:19.000 --> 0:24:23.560
<v Speaker 3>EV penetration is you know, blue state only. It's actually

0:24:23.920 --> 0:24:27.920
<v Speaker 3>the penetration is warm state. Texas and Florida are huge

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:32.240
<v Speaker 3>EV states. So this shift has been going on for

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:34.280
<v Speaker 3>quite some time and predates Trump selection.

0:24:34.640 --> 0:24:38.639
<v Speaker 2>You know that that made for TV infomercial thing and

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:41.560
<v Speaker 2>talking about the white on the White House lawn. You know,

0:24:41.640 --> 0:24:44.639
<v Speaker 2>I think if you watched it, it wasn't a great

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:48.040
<v Speaker 2>ad for Tesla. It was a great piece of content

0:24:48.080 --> 0:24:51.359
<v Speaker 2>for Donald Trump because well it was. It was really

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:54.200
<v Speaker 2>entertaining and really fun. It had this moment where Trump

0:24:54.240 --> 0:24:58.400
<v Speaker 2>got in the model atque computer Everything's computer. Yeah, it's

0:24:58.440 --> 0:24:59.000
<v Speaker 2>all computer.

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:02.399
<v Speaker 3>This is a different panel that I've had.

0:25:02.640 --> 0:25:05.320
<v Speaker 5>Everything's computer, that's.

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:08.320
<v Speaker 2>Beautiful and and like that was a viral moment, and

0:25:08.320 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 2>and it just really had the contours of like of

0:25:11.119 --> 0:25:13.440
<v Speaker 2>a reality show, like an episode of The Apprentice that' said,

0:25:13.520 --> 0:25:17.240
<v Speaker 2>the actual like sales pitch was kind of buried in

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:19.840
<v Speaker 2>a middle like a press conference, a bunch of Trump's antics.

0:25:20.040 --> 0:25:22.040
<v Speaker 2>And then the whole point of this thing was that

0:25:22.080 --> 0:25:25.040
<v Speaker 2>Trump was gonna buy a car, which he barely did

0:25:25.119 --> 0:25:27.200
<v Speaker 2>in the thing. You watch the thing right that Trump

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:29.360
<v Speaker 2>gets in the car, he takes a bunch of questions.

0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:31.960
<v Speaker 2>Half an hour goes by, then he starts saying his goodbyes.

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:34.680
<v Speaker 2>He says, oh, thank you, Elon, thank you. Every Then

0:25:34.680 --> 0:25:37.520
<v Speaker 2>the reporters are like, mister President, what car are you

0:25:37.520 --> 0:25:39.760
<v Speaker 2>gonna buy? And he just like flips around and kind

0:25:39.760 --> 0:25:42.240
<v Speaker 2>of casually goes like, oh, that one. And it doesn't

0:25:42.280 --> 0:25:44.800
<v Speaker 2>look like a considered purchase, doesn't look like something he's

0:25:45.080 --> 0:25:47.520
<v Speaker 2>truly excited about. And I think this gets to a

0:25:47.960 --> 0:25:50.399
<v Speaker 2>more profound problem with Elon Musk, which is that he

0:25:50.520 --> 0:25:54.320
<v Speaker 2>is now in a sort of relationship, a business relationship

0:25:54.359 --> 0:25:57.760
<v Speaker 2>with Donald Trump, who is not somebody who is really

0:25:57.840 --> 0:26:00.800
<v Speaker 2>all about kind of win win partner ships. And I

0:26:00.800 --> 0:26:03.920
<v Speaker 2>think it's pretty clear that Donald Trump is doing very

0:26:03.920 --> 0:26:05.000
<v Speaker 2>well in this partnership.

0:26:05.000 --> 0:26:05.199
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:26:05.280 --> 0:26:08.000
<v Speaker 2>After this event, the New York Times reported that Elon

0:26:08.119 --> 0:26:11.160
<v Speaker 2>Musk had agreed to give another one hundred million dollars

0:26:11.200 --> 0:26:14.000
<v Speaker 2>to donate another one hundred million dollars to Donald Trump's Superpack.

0:26:14.200 --> 0:26:17.040
<v Speaker 2>Not his own superpack, because Muscle is putting money into

0:26:17.040 --> 0:26:20.160
<v Speaker 2>that for the Wisconsin State Supreme Court, but an additional

0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:23.640
<v Speaker 2>one hundred million bucks for Trump to spend as he pleases.

0:26:23.920 --> 0:26:27.399
<v Speaker 2>Trump is doing really well here. And again I don't

0:26:27.440 --> 0:26:31.000
<v Speaker 2>know that Elon Musk got his hundred million dollars worth

0:26:31.240 --> 0:26:31.879
<v Speaker 2>in that event.

0:26:32.119 --> 0:26:34.040
<v Speaker 3>Well, the other thing that was significant about that event

0:26:34.160 --> 0:26:39.160
<v Speaker 3>was that Trump agreed that people who are vandalizing teslas

0:26:39.160 --> 0:26:42.040
<v Speaker 3>should be treated as domestic terrorists. And that is like

0:26:42.080 --> 0:26:45.879
<v Speaker 3>a huge escalation and something that everyone really needs to

0:26:45.920 --> 0:26:49.359
<v Speaker 3>pay attention to. So you're now going to see, you know,

0:26:49.440 --> 0:26:53.639
<v Speaker 3>as people get arrested for vandalizing stores, or keying cars

0:26:53.840 --> 0:26:58.119
<v Speaker 3>or setting superchargers on fire, like much more aggressive prosecution.

0:26:58.480 --> 0:27:00.600
<v Speaker 2>I thought, owners of t still, we're going to be

0:27:00.640 --> 0:27:03.760
<v Speaker 2>protected by hate crime laws. It's it's terrorism that we're going.

0:27:05.160 --> 0:27:05.840
<v Speaker 4>What what what?

0:27:05.840 --> 0:27:08.399
<v Speaker 1>What made me laugh a little bit was the quote

0:27:08.400 --> 0:27:11.359
<v Speaker 1>from the Attorney General Pam Bondi the other day where

0:27:11.359 --> 0:27:14.359
<v Speaker 1>she said, if you're going to touch a Tesla, go

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:17.159
<v Speaker 1>to a dealership, do anything, you better watch out. And

0:27:17.200 --> 0:27:21.159
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking, like that's the problem. No one's going and

0:27:21.280 --> 0:27:24.639
<v Speaker 1>touching Tesla's and going to dealerships. You need people to

0:27:24.680 --> 0:27:27.640
<v Speaker 1>go there. So it's like, of all the worries we have,

0:27:27.840 --> 0:27:28.680
<v Speaker 1>that shouldn't be one.

0:27:28.760 --> 0:27:32.119
<v Speaker 2>I mean, obviously there are, like you, questions about norms

0:27:32.160 --> 0:27:36.359
<v Speaker 2>and kind of like potential executive overreach here, but like

0:27:36.400 --> 0:27:39.439
<v Speaker 2>this just calls more attention to the protests than otherwise

0:27:39.440 --> 0:27:43.679
<v Speaker 2>than I think there like you're just saying yeah. I mean, like,

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:46.040
<v Speaker 2>I don't think this really helps e on Musk in

0:27:46.080 --> 0:27:48.639
<v Speaker 2>any way. It just it just calls attention to fact

0:27:48.880 --> 0:27:51.600
<v Speaker 2>that like if you shoul drive a Tesla, people are

0:27:51.680 --> 0:27:53.879
<v Speaker 2>are going to just be boiling mad all around you.

0:27:54.240 --> 0:27:56.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, well, Dan, I want to point out that

0:27:56.960 --> 0:28:01.280
<v Speaker 1>stock opened up. Tesla did down again this morning, testing

0:28:01.440 --> 0:28:04.240
<v Speaker 1>once again those lows that had hit last week. I

0:28:04.240 --> 0:28:06.479
<v Speaker 1>think it's been down around fifty percent or so from

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:10.040
<v Speaker 1>the peak, the immediate post election peak, and it's down

0:28:10.119 --> 0:28:13.760
<v Speaker 1>in part because of this big BYD news overnight out

0:28:13.800 --> 0:28:16.960
<v Speaker 1>of China. BYD's now got this whole new car and

0:28:17.000 --> 0:28:21.560
<v Speaker 1>this new battery that you can recharge almost as quickly

0:28:21.880 --> 0:28:24.960
<v Speaker 1>as you would put fuel in a combustion car, just

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:27.440
<v Speaker 1>five minutes. And it just strikes me. And I think

0:28:27.440 --> 0:28:30.680
<v Speaker 1>it's striking investors out there that BYD is just bringing

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:34.200
<v Speaker 1>it and innovating day in and day out, while Tesla

0:28:34.359 --> 0:28:35.359
<v Speaker 1>sort of snoozes.

0:28:35.880 --> 0:28:38.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and you're also finally seeing like the sell side

0:28:38.520 --> 0:28:42.200
<v Speaker 3>analysts wake up and cut their estimates, so that's also

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:45.880
<v Speaker 3>impacting the stock. But yeah, no, I mean, like Tesla

0:28:45.960 --> 0:28:48.800
<v Speaker 3>has real competition in China, which is where it gets

0:28:48.840 --> 0:28:52.479
<v Speaker 3>like forty percent of its sales, and BYD and you know,

0:28:52.600 --> 0:28:56.480
<v Speaker 3>like for so long the supercharging network has been Tesla's

0:28:56.480 --> 0:28:58.840
<v Speaker 3>big value add but now like the next sleep is

0:28:58.880 --> 0:29:02.600
<v Speaker 3>like even faster, and there is this sense that like

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:05.760
<v Speaker 3>the valuation is coming back to earth. The backlash against

0:29:05.760 --> 0:29:08.800
<v Speaker 3>the brand is real. As Amanda wrote so beautifully in

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:12.400
<v Speaker 3>her piece, analysts are waking up. Q one is going

0:29:12.440 --> 0:29:15.440
<v Speaker 3>to be a mess. You know, everyone's cutting their price

0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:18.400
<v Speaker 3>targets and their estimates, and you know, I think the

0:29:18.440 --> 0:29:20.880
<v Speaker 3>proxy will be worth reading too.

0:29:24.920 --> 0:29:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Okay, Now, Amanda, as Dana just summarized so well, it

0:29:28.960 --> 0:29:33.080
<v Speaker 1>is a pretty gloomy outlook out there, and for him

0:29:33.240 --> 0:29:36.000
<v Speaker 1>and for Musk in this moment, and for Tesla. You

0:29:36.040 --> 0:29:38.560
<v Speaker 1>wrote in the piece as well that Musk appears to

0:29:38.600 --> 0:29:42.320
<v Speaker 1>have completely misapprehended the symbolic value of Tesla's brand, or

0:29:42.320 --> 0:29:44.480
<v Speaker 1>at the very least, he seems to have misunderstood his

0:29:44.480 --> 0:29:48.240
<v Speaker 1>own capacity to change the nature of that value without

0:29:48.320 --> 0:29:51.200
<v Speaker 1>also diminishing it. So I ask you this the same

0:29:51.280 --> 0:29:56.120
<v Speaker 1>question I asked Dana last week. If Musk had to

0:29:56.160 --> 0:29:59.120
<v Speaker 1>do it all over again and he could know then

0:29:59.280 --> 0:30:02.000
<v Speaker 1>what he knows now, is he still a yes to

0:30:02.080 --> 0:30:02.680
<v Speaker 1>this whole thing?

0:30:03.520 --> 0:30:06.400
<v Speaker 5>I think he probably is, because I think he is

0:30:06.480 --> 0:30:08.600
<v Speaker 5>like a true believer in a diologue, in the stuff

0:30:08.640 --> 0:30:09.880
<v Speaker 5>that he is doing politically right.

0:30:10.400 --> 0:30:12.479
<v Speaker 1>The government needs to be rained in and government spending

0:30:12.520 --> 0:30:13.600
<v Speaker 1>needs to be reined in.

0:30:13.760 --> 0:30:17.720
<v Speaker 5>Yes, I think that his larger project is this.

0:30:17.840 --> 0:30:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Doge stuff drive Tesla is zero.

0:30:20.960 --> 0:30:25.920
<v Speaker 5>Yes, absolutely. I think that I think that he feel

0:30:26.080 --> 0:30:28.920
<v Speaker 5>he is sure enough in himself that he can find

0:30:28.920 --> 0:30:31.720
<v Speaker 5>some sort of financial upside, maybe not for Tesla, but

0:30:31.760 --> 0:30:33.800
<v Speaker 5>maybe but elsewhere that he will be fine.

0:30:34.240 --> 0:30:37.200
<v Speaker 1>So his break he essentially from the Tesla's stock price,

0:30:37.240 --> 0:30:39.280
<v Speaker 1>there is no breaking point in the Tesla stock price

0:30:39.280 --> 0:30:42.320
<v Speaker 1>for him. Maxis, do you have a Tesla stock price

0:30:42.320 --> 0:30:44.600
<v Speaker 1>where Musk capitulates and breaks?

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:45.880
<v Speaker 4>And I think so.

0:30:46.360 --> 0:30:48.320
<v Speaker 2>I think that Elon Musk, I think he and Donald

0:30:48.320 --> 0:30:50.280
<v Speaker 2>Trump will last through the midterm. But I think the

0:30:50.320 --> 0:30:52.959
<v Speaker 2>only thing that could stop that, but the thing that

0:30:53.000 --> 0:30:55.840
<v Speaker 2>could lead Musk to leave, or could lead that relationship

0:30:55.840 --> 0:30:58.280
<v Speaker 2>to break up, is not about Donald Trump getting sick

0:30:58.320 --> 0:31:00.600
<v Speaker 2>of kind of like Elon Musk hang around or whatever

0:31:00.640 --> 0:31:05.120
<v Speaker 2>other kind of hilarity ensues over in the executive branch.

0:31:05.240 --> 0:31:08.920
<v Speaker 2>It is the stock price of Tesla. It's like, if

0:31:08.920 --> 0:31:11.800
<v Speaker 2>it fell, it's falling about fifty percent. If it fell

0:31:11.880 --> 0:31:14.600
<v Speaker 2>another fifty fifty percent from where it is today, which

0:31:14.640 --> 0:31:17.160
<v Speaker 2>totally could happen. You look at the share price of Bid.

0:31:17.560 --> 0:31:19.680
<v Speaker 2>You're talking about how great Bid is doing. It is

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:21.360
<v Speaker 2>worth a lot less than Tesla.

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:22.000
<v Speaker 4>I looked.

0:31:22.120 --> 0:31:23.720
<v Speaker 2>I think it's you know, between one hundred and two

0:31:23.760 --> 0:31:26.800
<v Speaker 2>hundred billion. Tesla right now worth seven hundred billion. So

0:31:27.000 --> 0:31:29.480
<v Speaker 2>if that stock price were to fall further, if it

0:31:29.520 --> 0:31:32.480
<v Speaker 2>were to fall too closer to the valuation of SpaceX,

0:31:32.520 --> 0:31:35.560
<v Speaker 2>for instance, you know, round, that would make my exactlytion

0:31:36.120 --> 0:31:40.040
<v Speaker 2>below for one hundred billion. I could see Musk opting

0:31:40.160 --> 0:31:43.040
<v Speaker 2>to spend more time with his company, Like he could

0:31:43.120 --> 0:31:46.920
<v Speaker 2>basically maintain his alliance with Trump and go back to

0:31:46.960 --> 0:31:50.560
<v Speaker 2>Tesla and like solve potentially two problems at the same time.

0:31:50.640 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 2>Like at some point there are going to be diminishing returns.

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:56.200
<v Speaker 2>Those are going to start to face diminishing returns where

0:31:56.280 --> 0:32:00.000
<v Speaker 2>like it gets harder to cut costs the political backlash growth,

0:32:00.480 --> 0:32:03.840
<v Speaker 2>and also like there's no reason he couldn't say, thank you,

0:32:04.080 --> 0:32:06.120
<v Speaker 2>mister president, You're doing a great job, but I need

0:32:06.120 --> 0:32:08.080
<v Speaker 2>to focus on my company. And he could still write

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:11.000
<v Speaker 2>Trump hundreds of billions of dollars worth of checks.

0:32:11.000 --> 0:32:13.360
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely, And aren't you, by the way, already starting to

0:32:13.360 --> 0:32:16.240
<v Speaker 1>get diminishing returns from dos? I mean, certainly, as we

0:32:16.240 --> 0:32:17.920
<v Speaker 1>said at the very top of the show, they're in

0:32:17.960 --> 0:32:20.520
<v Speaker 1>the news a lot less than they used to be. Now.

0:32:20.560 --> 0:32:23.000
<v Speaker 1>Maybe that's just because Wow, they're just doing their business

0:32:23.000 --> 0:32:24.760
<v Speaker 1>now and the shock and all of the initial days

0:32:24.840 --> 0:32:28.040
<v Speaker 1>is pasted. Don't read too much into that or read

0:32:28.080 --> 0:32:30.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot into it. They're just not getting a whole

0:32:30.880 --> 0:32:31.600
<v Speaker 1>lot done at this point.

0:32:31.680 --> 0:32:33.720
<v Speaker 2>I don't think we really know like in terms of

0:32:33.760 --> 0:32:36.920
<v Speaker 2>their you know, cut attempts to cut government spending, whether

0:32:36.920 --> 0:32:39.880
<v Speaker 2>they've hit diminishing returns. I think politically they are hitting

0:32:39.880 --> 0:32:43.880
<v Speaker 2>diminishing returns. You know, the reports out recently about getting

0:32:43.960 --> 0:32:47.000
<v Speaker 2>rid of phone support for social Security, Like, you're starting

0:32:47.040 --> 0:32:49.120
<v Speaker 2>to cut into things that are.

0:32:49.520 --> 0:32:52.000
<v Speaker 4>Going to be popular with voters.

0:32:52.080 --> 0:32:55.840
<v Speaker 2>People people who need to access social Security benefits do

0:32:55.960 --> 0:32:57.800
<v Speaker 2>not you know, they happen to be most of them

0:32:57.800 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 2>happen to be very old, and they're not necessarily the

0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:03.040
<v Speaker 2>kind of person who's like super enthusiastic about talking to

0:33:03.080 --> 0:33:06.080
<v Speaker 2>a chatbot. I am not enthusiastic about talking to a chatbot.

0:33:06.280 --> 0:33:08.400
<v Speaker 2>And you know, and I'm forty two, so like I

0:33:08.400 --> 0:33:11.720
<v Speaker 2>can only imagine somebody who has less experienced how they

0:33:11.760 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 2>feel about it.

0:33:12.560 --> 0:33:14.360
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and this goes back to what you were talking

0:33:14.400 --> 0:33:17.000
<v Speaker 5>about earlier. I think about the sort of Trump is

0:33:17.040 --> 0:33:21.080
<v Speaker 5>not like a win winess business partnership guy. So he

0:33:21.920 --> 0:33:25.160
<v Speaker 5>Trump has effectively gotten Elon Musk to be the face

0:33:25.480 --> 0:33:28.000
<v Speaker 5>of a lot of the things that are going to.

0:33:27.960 --> 0:33:29.200
<v Speaker 4>Be unpopular.

0:33:30.560 --> 0:33:35.960
<v Speaker 1>That he if he were the guy with the cudgel

0:33:36.000 --> 0:33:39.000
<v Speaker 1>in his hand, he Trump, he would be taking all

0:33:39.000 --> 0:33:41.320
<v Speaker 1>that heat instead. No, Elon, you got this, dude, go

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:41.760
<v Speaker 1>for it.

0:33:42.040 --> 0:33:42.280
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:33:42.360 --> 0:33:47.200
<v Speaker 5>I think that Trump has effectively structured this whole endeavor

0:33:47.440 --> 0:33:50.920
<v Speaker 5>so that Elon Musk is the face of the stuff

0:33:50.960 --> 0:33:52.480
<v Speaker 5>that is less likely to be.

0:33:52.400 --> 0:33:55.040
<v Speaker 1>Popular as a results of eventually the fall guy, and

0:33:55.080 --> 0:33:57.959
<v Speaker 1>not only yeah, absolutely yeah, Trump can eventually ran him

0:33:58.000 --> 0:33:59.480
<v Speaker 1>and say oh no, no, no, no, we don't want to

0:33:59.480 --> 0:33:59.920
<v Speaker 1>go that far.

0:34:00.520 --> 0:34:06.080
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, never mind, you know, we were, We're looking at

0:34:06.120 --> 0:34:06.760
<v Speaker 5>it very strongly.

0:34:07.160 --> 0:34:10.040
<v Speaker 1>What did Amanda? Thank you very much for joining us.

0:34:10.160 --> 0:34:12.960
<v Speaker 1>That was a terrific piece you had out today. Tesla's

0:34:13.000 --> 0:34:16.120
<v Speaker 1>gamble on Maga customers won't work. And when you have

0:34:17.719 --> 0:34:20.480
<v Speaker 1>a news story out on mister Mosk or Tesla or

0:34:20.480 --> 0:34:22.040
<v Speaker 1>any of his other companies, you shall come back and

0:34:22.040 --> 0:34:22.879
<v Speaker 1>tell us all about it.

0:34:23.120 --> 0:34:24.680
<v Speaker 5>Thank you so much, all.

0:34:24.640 --> 0:34:28.920
<v Speaker 1>Right, Max, Dana thanks as always, Thank you for having us.

0:34:29.000 --> 0:34:29.759
<v Speaker 4>David, thank you.

0:34:36.880 --> 0:34:40.080
<v Speaker 1>This episode was produced by Stacy wang Anna Masa rakus

0:34:40.160 --> 0:34:43.240
<v Speaker 1>Is our editor, and Rayhan Harmanci our senior editor, Blake

0:34:43.280 --> 0:34:47.359
<v Speaker 1>Maple's handles engineering, and Dave Purcell fact checks. Our supervising

0:34:47.360 --> 0:34:51.200
<v Speaker 1>producer is Magnus Hendrickson. The Elining theme is written and

0:34:51.200 --> 0:34:55.480
<v Speaker 1>performed by Taka Yasuzawa and Alex Sugiira. Reddon Francis Newnham

0:34:55.520 --> 0:34:57.920
<v Speaker 1>is our executive producer, and Sage Bowman is the head

0:34:57.920 --> 0:35:02.360
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Podcasts. A thanks as always to our supporters

0:35:02.440 --> 0:35:06.360
<v Speaker 1>Joel Weber and Brad Stone. I'm David Papadopoulos. If you

0:35:06.440 --> 0:35:09.080
<v Speaker 1>have a minute, rate and review our show, it'll help

0:35:09.120 --> 0:35:13.840
<v Speaker 1>other listeners find us. See you next week.