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Speaker 1: Welcome to our Sevendy Morning podcast. Last week finally got

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Speaker 1: back on track four and one of my Blazing five.

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Speaker 1: We now have our j Bell waiting. But first, if

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Speaker 1: you didn't hear Friday, here's my blazing five. Let's blaze

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Speaker 1: it up. It's Collins Blazing five. Brown's a Cowboys. I'll

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Speaker 1: take Dallas minus five and a half. First, Dak Prescott

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Speaker 1: against really good competition, Rams and the Seahawks. Good numbers

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Speaker 1: this year. He's always been a good home quarterback. Since

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Speaker 1: the beginning of last year. Is quarterback rating at home

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Speaker 1: was one point eight and their offense right now number

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Speaker 1: one in the league. But this is about the Browns defense.

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Speaker 1: It's allowed seven touchdown passes of ten plus air yards

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Speaker 1: this year, most in the NFL. I think there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of points in this game, and I don't know

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Speaker 1: if Cleveland can keep up because they're more of a

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Speaker 1: running team. Cleveland's back in worries me, and what do

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Speaker 1: we know about Cleveland? They beat Cincinnati with a rookie

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Speaker 1: quarterback and Washington with kind of a rookie quarterback. If

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Speaker 1: you consider starts, how good are they Dallas? This is

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Speaker 1: a major step up in competition. For Cleveland. They went

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Speaker 1: to Seattle and got down to the last play against

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks and went down in Los Angeles. A pass

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Speaker 1: interference call is the only difference losing to the Rams.

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Speaker 1: I think Dallas is the better team. There's a lot

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Speaker 1: of point all easily swallow the five and a half

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Speaker 1: Cowboys win thirty cold said. Bears like it. I love

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Speaker 1: it Bears getting points at home. I think they're the

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Speaker 1: better team. I think Matt Naggy, the coach, wanted to

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Speaker 1: start Nick Foles three weeks ago, but the GM wouldn't

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Speaker 1: let him. Matt Naggy gets his quarterback, Nick Foles, lets

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Speaker 1: it rip, big arm, big games. This is the coaches kid.

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Speaker 1: He wants this guy, and he went and got him

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Speaker 1: in the off season. How good of the Colts. They

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Speaker 1: lost to the Jaguars and beat the crappy Vikings and

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Speaker 1: the really crappy Jets. What are they? Good? Old line,

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Speaker 1: old quarterback? And I worry because the bears d defense

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Speaker 1: is number two in the league in getting offenses off

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Speaker 1: the field on third down. I think, here I get

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Speaker 1: a clever coach who finally has his quarterback. I get points.

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Speaker 1: I'm at home. I like the folds magic to continue.

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Speaker 1: Three Bears over the Colts. Seahawks favorite pick of the week.

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Speaker 1: I love Miami plus six. Russell Wilson may save the day,

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Speaker 1: but here's why. Miami gets three days of extra prep

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Speaker 1: time because they were on Thursday night football. That is

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Speaker 1: huge because I think it's a very good coaching staff

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Speaker 1: and staff that are good take advantage of it. Seattle

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Speaker 1: as the furthest trip you can make in America after

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Speaker 1: dramatic wins. They've been in wildly dramatic wins over Dallas

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Speaker 1: and New England. Ryan Fitzpatrick is very good when comfortable,

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Speaker 1: and Seattle makes every quarterback comfortable because they have no

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Speaker 1: pass rush and the Dolphins are also playing clean football.

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Speaker 1: One of two teams in the NFL they have not

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Speaker 1: had a turnover in two weeks. Green Bay's the other

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Speaker 1: Dolphins defense can get after you. The Seahawks offensive lines

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Speaker 1: a mess. I think Russell Wilson may come in and

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Speaker 1: save the day late, but in warm, sticky weather, long

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Speaker 1: trip for Seattle. I will take the six points Seattle wins.

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Speaker 1: Chargers said Buccaneers, this is a lot of points. I'll

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Speaker 1: take Tom Brady in the Bucks minus seven. This game

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Speaker 1: is about comfort versus discomfort. Tom Brady against the Chargers defense,

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Speaker 1: that's without Ingram Derwin James. They don't take the ball

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Speaker 1: away since the beginning of last year. Derwin James is

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Speaker 1: their best defensive player, so you don't have two studs

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Speaker 1: for them. That means Tom Brady getting more comfortable at

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Speaker 1: home is comfortable. Meanwhile, Justin Herbert will face a defense

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Speaker 1: for Tampa that gets a pass rush with only four

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Speaker 1: the first or second best linebacking corp in the league.

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Speaker 1: You cannot run on the Bucks defense, number two in

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Speaker 1: yards per play all out in the NFL four and

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Speaker 1: a half yards for that is it. Justin Herbert gets

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Speaker 1: yards but has struggled in the red zone, Chargers settling

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Speaker 1: for field goals. He will be uncomfortable all day. I

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Speaker 1: believe Todd Bowles is the best current coordinator in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: and I think Tampa has the best or second best

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Speaker 1: linebacking corps. Justin Herbert, the Chargers have only one of

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Speaker 1: three teams to score twenty or less. Brady is gonna

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Speaker 1: be comfortable. Justin Herbert is gonna be uncomfortable. And it's

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Speaker 1: the defensive Tampa that will decide the game, not the offense.

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Speaker 1: It's the defense that will shut down and create turnovers

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Speaker 1: for a short field. I'll take Tampa thirty three Bills

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Speaker 1: and Raiders. This is an easy one. I'll take Buffalo

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Speaker 1: minus three. There is no home field advantage anymore, so

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Speaker 1: it's basically a neutral field. I get the better quarterback,

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Speaker 1: the better coach, and the significantly better defense. There are

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Speaker 1: a lot of people that think Buffalo is the top

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Speaker 1: four team in this league. A lot of coaches are

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Speaker 1: really on Buffalo. Their offense is number two passing the

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Speaker 1: offense the last two years. Look at the leap in

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Speaker 1: their offense Josh Allen's emergence. This is now an a

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Speaker 1: lead offense. The Raiders run defense is thirty. They can't

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Speaker 1: get you off the field. Again. Maybe if it's the

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Speaker 1: second home game for the Raiders in Vegas and it's

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Speaker 1: a wild crowd, it's different. But this is almost a

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Speaker 1: neutral field. This is a Buffalo team that is well coached,

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Speaker 1: will force will force the Raiders to play real defense

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Speaker 1: because they pressed the ball down the field. Buffalo wins

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Speaker 1: this game seven. I think it could get worse than this,

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Speaker 1: but it's at least this seven. Bills we get to

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Speaker 1: r J Bella Pregame dot Com, Fox Sports Radio. Uh,

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Speaker 1: last week I was kind of hot, felt pretty good.

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Speaker 1: In fact, there was a pick I like Cleveland over Washington,

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Speaker 1: and my friend Jason McIntyre talk me out of it,

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Speaker 1: which puts me in a bad mood. But let's not

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Speaker 1: waste any time. I'm gonna go to my picks. You're

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Speaker 1: ready to go, r J. Yeah, you're you're letting. It's

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Speaker 1: called on, I know. So let's start with this. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the Bears, whether it's three or two and

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Speaker 1: a half. And here's my reason over the Colts. First

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Speaker 1: of all, the Bears defense is second in the league

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Speaker 1: on third down percentage. They'll get an old Philip Rivers

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Speaker 1: off the field. And I have questions about the Colts.

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Speaker 1: They've beat an awful Jets team and a really bad

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Speaker 1: Vikings team and they lost to the Jaguars. How good

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Speaker 1: are they? I think I get the better clever coach

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Speaker 1: Nick Foles very good debuting last week in Naggi system.

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Speaker 1: I'll take the points and the Bears winning straight out.

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Speaker 1: What are the wise guys think? I'm gonna give you

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Speaker 1: agreement here? Now? The Coats have amazing stats. You make

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Speaker 1: a good point about strength of schedule week for the Coats.

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Speaker 1: But the stats, they've actually outgained opponents by almost five

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Speaker 1: yards in these games and by twenty eight first downs,

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Speaker 1: and they're only giving up a hundred and thirty two

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Speaker 1: yards passing per game, which is in twenty amazing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but the competition, great question. Nick Foles, it feels oh,

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Speaker 1: it was a foregone conclusion. He entered the game, he

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Speaker 1: came back. That's what he does. At the low point

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Speaker 1: for the Bears. In that game, they were sixteen to

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Speaker 1: one to win, they were sixteen to one hunderdogs, so

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Speaker 1: it was an amazing comeback. Now, think about this. You

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Speaker 1: have an undefeated Bears team playing a non undefeated team,

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Speaker 1: and the Bears are a home dog. The times that's

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Speaker 1: happened in game, whether it's been a three oh home dog,

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Speaker 1: it's only been twice in the last thirty years, So

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Speaker 1: it's is such an unusual situation. You have a three

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Speaker 1: no team that's a home dog against a non undefeated team,

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Speaker 1: which tells me, there's the Bears are getting no respect.

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Speaker 1: One thing concerns me though, if you look at it,

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Speaker 1: the Bears in the first three quarters thirty three points

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Speaker 1: total in the fourth quarter that's scored forty one. So

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Speaker 1: this has been about comebacks for them. Is that luck

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Speaker 1: or is that just finally the game plan exerting itself.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna give you agreement because I think there's value,

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Speaker 1: But I do think the Bears have to worry about

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Speaker 1: they can't always come back at the end of the game.

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Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna take the Dallas Cowboys minus five

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Speaker 1: and a half. Two reasons the Browns opponents wins over

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Speaker 1: the Bengals in Washington. This is a step up in class.

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Speaker 1: The other issue is the Browns defense. Whereas PFF ranks

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Speaker 1: they're running backs number one in their offensive line top three.

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Speaker 1: Their defense has allowed seven touchdown passes on ten plus

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Speaker 1: air yards this year, most in the NFL. They are

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Speaker 1: weak in the back end, and DOC acknowledge this weekend

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Speaker 1: he and McCarthy believe this is a passing team, and

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Speaker 1: Doc at home since the start of last year, leads

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Speaker 1: the NFL in passing yards at home and is a

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Speaker 1: top six passer rating. I don't like the Browns on

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Speaker 1: the road against a passing team. They have hit and

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Speaker 1: miss pressure all swallow the points here. Cowboys by a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: What are the wise guys think? Disagreement? For me here,

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Speaker 1: I believe that Dallas has finally proven itself. Their stats

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Speaker 1: are not indicative of the truth. Usually, if the stats

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Speaker 1: say one thing and the scoreboard says the other, I

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Speaker 1: trust the stats that eventually the stats will prevail. But

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Speaker 1: Dallas is now nineteen games in if you count last

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Speaker 1: year and this year, and they're below five. And they've

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Speaker 1: had amazing stats the entire time. They look like an

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Speaker 1: eleven win team in a sixteen game season statistically, but

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Speaker 1: they're below five. D I you know Middle cough the

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Speaker 1: guy on your podcast network who I listened to, you know,

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Speaker 1: former scout. He said, Mike Nolan is the worst defensive

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Speaker 1: coordinator in the NFL. Just he's just not qualified. As

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Speaker 1: what Middle Coff is saying. You look at this team,

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Speaker 1: could they really stand Dallas having a bad coach? Apparently

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Speaker 1: that was the problem in the past. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if Jason Garrett was bad or not, but no one

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Speaker 1: liked him. And now you look and think, well, McCarthy,

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Speaker 1: what's he good at? Call him play right? Why isn't

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Speaker 1: he call him plays? You've got to hold over from

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Speaker 1: the last half. Call him plays. It feels like a

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Speaker 1: mess in Dallas. And with the Browns, I consider them,

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Speaker 1: as you said, an elite running team. Dallas Is defense

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Speaker 1: is one of those twenty six minute defenses where if

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Speaker 1: they can play less than thirty minutes energy wise or fine,

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Speaker 1: you let them get beat up a little bit by

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Speaker 1: the Browns. I think second half is a big problem,

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Speaker 1: so a disagreement. I will say this, if the Browns

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Speaker 1: are within a touchdown in at halftime, I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: looking to bet the Browns in the second half. I

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Speaker 1: believe that's when they their physical dominance will hurt that thin,

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Speaker 1: very thin Dallas defense. Alright, agreement and disagreement one and

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Speaker 1: one My favorite bet of the week. The Miami Dolphins,

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Speaker 1: who played on Thursday, get three extra days of rest

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Speaker 1: and prep. That's big for a good coaching staff, and

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Speaker 1: I think Miami has it. Seattle travels cross country probably

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Speaker 1: loses a few hours of prep. The Dolphins offense is

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Speaker 1: one of two teams without a turnover in the last

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Speaker 1: two weeks. They're playing clean. The Packers are the other.

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Speaker 1: By the way. The Dolphins defense, though, is getting to

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Speaker 1: the quarterbacks for four sacks ten quarterback hits in week

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Speaker 1: Week three, and we know Seattle's offensive line is rated

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Speaker 1: among the league's bottom three. The Seahawks also don't create

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Speaker 1: any pass rush at all. They probably make a move

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Speaker 1: at the trading deadline. And Ryan Fitzpatrick, when comfortable, is

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Speaker 1: a very effective quarterback. I'm gonna take the six. I

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Speaker 1: think Seattle may win it late because Russell Wilson does that.

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Speaker 1: But six feels too much for a good staff and

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Speaker 1: a capable quarterback when not pressured. Very sharp play agreement here,

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Speaker 1: because this is not obvious, right, you're thinking Seattle lesson

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Speaker 1: a touchdown. A lot of barney at the bars. I

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Speaker 1: call them, They're gonna like this. They're not gonna like yours.

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Speaker 1: I like yours. Dolphins now Seattle. They've given up the

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Speaker 1: most passing yard in three games in NFL history, Fitzpatrick.

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Speaker 1: Here's the QBR rankings this year. Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson,

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Fitzpatrick number five behind those borderlined legends Josh Allen.

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Speaker 1: Perhaps okay, you mentioned it. The Eastern time zone not

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Speaker 1: usually a problem for Seattle. They've actually won ninth straight.

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Speaker 1: But this is a long trip. Think about going across

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Speaker 1: the country. Diagonal all the way down to Florida and

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Speaker 1: Seattle's off wars. Think about that New England a war,

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Speaker 1: Dallas a war, and the three and no Seattle against

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Speaker 1: the spread. They've combined though the last two games they've

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Speaker 1: covered by combining two points. So really they've played the expectations.

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Speaker 1: They've just been very football sexy games with with Russell Wilson,

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Speaker 1: I don't know how effective they've been. And we do

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Speaker 1: know for above expectation not that much. And we do know,

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Speaker 1: like you said, for Patrick, when he's comfortable. It's a

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Speaker 1: great comment, So I think he's a high schooling game.

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Speaker 1: But I'll take the points. Um, Okay, this is one

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Speaker 1: of my favorite bets, Bills at the Raiders. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the Bills minus three. And here's why. I think

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Speaker 1: the Raiders defense against the Bills is not close. Buffalo

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Speaker 1: coaching staff. I'll take Buffalo quarterback play. I'll take Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: I think the emergence behind the offensive coordinator Brian Dable

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Speaker 1: of Josh Allen is pretty remarkable. I think the Bills,

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Speaker 1: as you told me earlier, they may be one of

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Speaker 1: the top four or five teams in this league. And

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Speaker 1: you know the Raiders fly all the way back home.

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Speaker 1: There's really no home field advantage. Now you know Mark

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Speaker 1: Davis is not gonna let any fans in, which is admirable,

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Speaker 1: But then you're just telling me basically a slight edge

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Speaker 1: a neutral field. I think Buffalo has got the better defense,

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Speaker 1: the better quarterback, and I think they have a better

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Speaker 1: coaching staff. I think they win by a touchdowner more.

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Speaker 1: What are the wise guys think agreement here? So Bills

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Speaker 1: your pick agreement? Um, we mentioned this a couple of

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Speaker 1: weeks ago, and you thought it was sharp. I think

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Speaker 1: it is very important that it's now the second time

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Speaker 1: the Bills are playing a team the week after Belichick

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Speaker 1: and New England. So the Raiders are a limited team.

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Speaker 1: And and let's give some credit to Gruden, he's been

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Speaker 1: able to coach him up in certain spots that even

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Speaker 1: with their offensive limitations, they've done pretty well. But what

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Speaker 1: does Belichick do so well? He makes you play left handed,

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Speaker 1: as they say, go your second option. And I didn't

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Speaker 1: have a lot of answers the Raiders. Now Bills get

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Speaker 1: to see that game plan Belichick did, and we got

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Speaker 1: a very good coach in McDermott. I think that's a

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Speaker 1: big advantage for the Bills. Josh Allen in his career,

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Speaker 1: his three top games week one week, two week create

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's amazing, amaze where he looks like Ben Roethlisberger. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and I tell you this as a Steelers fan. That's

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Speaker 1: a hell of a compliment. And I'll say this if

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Speaker 1: you go into the next gen stats and look at

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Speaker 1: his accuracy. The first two years of his career, Josh

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Speaker 1: Allen was in the bottom five with expectations of completions

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Speaker 1: and how many completed, which is a play by play

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Speaker 1: metric that they do a great job on. He's now

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Speaker 1: in the top half of the league. He's never gonna

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Speaker 1: be the most accurate guy, but when you go from

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Speaker 1: bottom five to top half of the league, that's a big,

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Speaker 1: big step up. By the way, the Raiders, they've been

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Speaker 1: out gained in every game this season. That's interesting. And

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Speaker 1: they have exactly the same number first downs as their opponent.

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Speaker 1: This is a team at best. Bills are a juggernaut

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Speaker 1: right now. I like the Bills. One quick comment. These

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Speaker 1: teams six games combined six and oh over the total

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Speaker 1: and they've been over by combining seventy eight points a

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Speaker 1: lot of scoring probably in this game. Uh. But now

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Speaker 1: we'll have a bonus pick plus. Uh, let's go to

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Speaker 1: the Tom Brady pick. Now, I've been riding the Buccaneers

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Speaker 1: and been successful. I would prefer at this nine line

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Speaker 1: with six and a half. I am gonna roll with

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Speaker 1: Brady and the Bucks at home minus seven against the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: And here's why. Brady first of all, has been great.

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Speaker 1: He's won his last eight games against rookie quarterbacks. But

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Speaker 1: that doesn't really impress me. Um. What impresses me is

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Speaker 1: this The Bucks defense, I would make an argument is

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Speaker 1: the best in the league. Um, they're allowing four and

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Speaker 1: a half yards per play this season. Herbert is a young,

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Speaker 1: young quarterback and an experience in the NFL is eight quarters.

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Speaker 1: Todd Bowls to me has an argument as one of

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Speaker 1: the top two to three coordinators in the game today

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Speaker 1: since Kyle Shanahan became a head coach from being a coordinator.

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Speaker 1: I think Tampa gets a pass rush with only four

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Speaker 1: they don't have to blitz. I think they have the

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Speaker 1: most athletic linebackers, maybe second to the Steelers in the league.

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Speaker 1: And the Chargers are one of three teams to scored

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Speaker 1: twenty or fewer in all three games. Why Herbert's moving

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Speaker 1: the ball. But red zone is surgical. That's where veterans

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Speaker 1: and stars score and Herbert's neither. Right now, high scoring

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Speaker 1: game for Tampa, and I think Bowls creates massive mistakes

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Speaker 1: for young Justin Herbert and the defense carries the day.

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Speaker 1: I'll take Tampa minus seven. This proves one of the

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Speaker 1: corollaries of our pod, the longer calling does his analysis.

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Speaker 1: The Lass Vegas likes that biggest disagreement of the week.

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Speaker 1: Now we talk about look aheadlines, which means a week ahead,

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Speaker 1: you can see what the line is, and you know

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Speaker 1: what's nice about it. The only change calling in that

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Speaker 1: week is the one game, right, the Sunday game probably,

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Speaker 1: So the look aheadline here was Chargers four and a

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Speaker 1: half point underdogs, so it's seven now four and a half.

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Speaker 1: It was what's changed? Tampa Bay look mighty good, no

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Speaker 1: doubt as a road favorite against a devastated Denver team

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Speaker 1: by injuries. Devastated. Okay, and the Charges what oh? They

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Speaker 1: look bad against Caroline and no doubt about it. They

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Speaker 1: were minus four turnovers. That's that happens, that's lucks. You

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Speaker 1: can't overcome that but if you look at the Chargers

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Speaker 1: on this season against his Tampa Bay team, they have

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Speaker 1: a hundred and ninety more yards over their opponents than

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay does. So literally better by almost two hundred

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Speaker 1: yards compared to Tampa Bay and better by twelve first downs.

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Speaker 1: The stats for the Chargers are better than Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 1: And you mentioned Tom Brady against rookie quarterbacks. You mean

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Speaker 1: Bill Bill Belichick against rookie quarterbacks, right, Yeah, that's that

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Speaker 1: didn't blow me away. But I do think Bowls is

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Speaker 1: really terrific and your car I've actually really appreciated your

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Speaker 1: thoughts on him because people see a guy become head

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Speaker 1: coach and they struggle and think, oh, he's not a

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Speaker 1: good coach. It's a different skill set. Mike Tomlin is

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Speaker 1: a better head coach and he would be a coordinator.

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Speaker 1: Some guys are technical, some guys are leaders. Bowls is technical.

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Speaker 1: I agree with you. Last thing, Brady his qbr Now

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Speaker 1: we can I mean here is and we'll do this

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Speaker 1: every week that you picked Tampa or against them is

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Speaker 1: literally here is the all time leader board on quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: Forty three year old er with wins. Then he tested

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Speaker 1: everdy to Tom Brady two. That's the end of the list.

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Speaker 1: So literally, those are the two people in the history

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Speaker 1: of the NFL forty three year older to win a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Brady is forty three year old, or he might be Superman,

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Speaker 1: but as they say, father time, I undefeated. He's twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and qb R I really like the charges r

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Speaker 1: J Bell Pregame dot Com, straight out of Vegas, Fox

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Speaker 1: Sports Radio six and seven Eastern at r J and

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Speaker 1: Vegas Twitter account. Bonus pick time. All right, if I

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Speaker 1: had a bonus pick, I went back and forth and

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Speaker 1: it I would take Detroit plus four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Here's the reason. Usually the Saints are a clean team.

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Speaker 1: There now most penalty yards in the NFL. We expected

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Speaker 1: them to be good defensively, they're tied for seven and

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Speaker 1: scoring defense well, at least they'll score, and they offer

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Speaker 1: multiple threats offensively. There oh and three without Michael Thomas.

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Speaker 1: It's a to be announced. This is four and a

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Speaker 1: half at home for a Detroit team that is usually

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Speaker 1: in games and rarely blown out. Again, it's a number.

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Speaker 1: If it's three, I probably go Saints, but I would

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Speaker 1: take Detroit. Feeling pretty good about themselves, a coaching staff

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Speaker 1: that has to win or they're in trouble. What would

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Speaker 1: the wise guys say? I give this a slight disagreement.

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Speaker 1: A lot of sharps were like this, right, it's the

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Speaker 1: less sexy team. You know, Detroit hasn't been playing great.

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Speaker 1: Here's why I don't like it. First of all, you

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Speaker 1: make a good point about Michael Thomas. Steve Ezick on

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Speaker 1: our show has three players that are non quarterbacks worth

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Speaker 1: a point and a half. Michael Thomas is one of them,

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Speaker 1: one of the three most valuable non quarterbacks in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: All right, So that's important. But here is the key

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Speaker 1: to me to this game. In the last seven years,

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Speaker 1: Week one and two, so the very beginning of the season,

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Speaker 1: this Saints team has been amazing throughout these years generally,

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Speaker 1: but in Week one and two they've been three and

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Speaker 1: eleven straight it up, three and eleven and two and

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Speaker 1: twelve against the spread. They start slow. Now in October,

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Speaker 1: going back to two thousand and fifteen, the Saints seventeen

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Speaker 1: and oh against the spread, sixteen and one straight up.

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Speaker 1: This team, there's something about early in the year, and

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Speaker 1: there's something about when they turn that corner, they get

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Speaker 1: so so much better. Last thing, I'm gonna debunk I've

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Speaker 1: been trying to debunk it. It's like a tidal wave

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Speaker 1: against me. This Drew Brees talk. I don't care about

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Speaker 1: people who think they're scouts watching arm strength. I want

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Speaker 1: to hear how he performed. And check this out. Last

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Speaker 1: year there was talking about Drew Brees and his arm strength. Right. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Let's say we look at eighteen and nineteen and twenty

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Speaker 1: so three years and say what was the worst QBR

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Speaker 1: you've had? Right, meaning of the three years, let me

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Speaker 1: see the bad year. Okay. Patrick Mahomes his worst year

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Speaker 1: was second. Drew brees Is worst year is this year.

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Speaker 1: But he's number six in qb R. Now, everyone loves

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Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, right, he's next. His worst year was eleven.

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Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson's worst year was eighteen, Prescott's seventeen, Carson Wentz thirty.

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Speaker 1: Now think about this, these are the best quarterbacks in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, and there's only two guys, right, Mahomes and

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Speaker 1: Drew Brees that's been in the top six every year.

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Speaker 1: In fact, only two guys in the top eleven every year.

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Speaker 1: So if anyone's been super consistent, I know he's gonna

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Speaker 1: hit the wall at some point. But if this is

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Speaker 1: a bad year and he hasn't had Michael Thomas for

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Speaker 1: really he was hindered that first game, he hasn't had

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Speaker 1: him at full strength for the entire season, and he's

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Speaker 1: still got the six best QBR. I don't understand all

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Speaker 1: the arm strength stuff because I'm not an expert at that,

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Speaker 1: but his stats are as good as anyone's. How do

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Speaker 1: you complain Saints? All Right? Well, um, I was four

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Speaker 1: in one last week, so that therefore means I'm very smart. Well,

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Speaker 1: I agree about that. Well, I will say this, Um,

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Speaker 1: you know that Chargers Bucks one because I I you

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Speaker 1: know me, I don't like big numbers. I don't um

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Speaker 1: the other thing. I keep thinking about what that Chargers

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Speaker 1: Bucks game. I want to revisit it for our audience.

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Speaker 1: Brandon Ingram's out the edge, rusher Derwin James, and I

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Speaker 1: don't think their defense. I think I think they're an

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Speaker 1: injury away from being a little bit of a mess

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Speaker 1: on the defensive side too. But I do get your

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Speaker 1: argument that Brady at this point's a highly limited quarterback

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Speaker 1: who's still trying to kind of find his way around

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Speaker 1: this offense. But they've been good. They've been good for me,

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Speaker 1: and I think Justin Herbert is going to be overwhelmed

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Speaker 1: at times by bulls as schemes. But it lists listen.

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Speaker 1: Neither one's the Jets, so that's good. Well listen. Finally,

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Speaker 1: I was telling our audience actually that you finally let

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Speaker 1: go of the bag of bricks of Sam Darna. I heard, uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, right and wrong. You really threw him overboard,

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Speaker 1: and that was smart I thought. I thought Thursday, just contextually,

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Speaker 1: despite having nothing to work with, he was actually pretty good.

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Speaker 1: But in the end, it's Colin you've been saying that.

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Speaker 1: I literally have heard you say, you know, there was

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Speaker 1: that one throw in the third quarter and he almost

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Speaker 1: completed it, and I think that's the sign of him

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Speaker 1: turn it around. I mean, at what point do you

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Speaker 1: just turn it around? Well, I think you're gonna have

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Speaker 1: a decision in New York when you're the worst team

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Speaker 1: in the league's second worst and you're gonna have an

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Speaker 1: opportunity to get all two of the three and maybe

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Speaker 1: all three quarterbacks, or do you take six draft picks

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Speaker 1: with the two first you have this year and the

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Speaker 1: two first ye have next year. Lavy and Bell opts out,

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Speaker 1: So the Jets will have more first and second picks

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Speaker 1: than anybody the next two years and more cap space,

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Speaker 1: and you just defend Donald. It depends on the If

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Speaker 1: I get Urban Meyer, I keep Donald. But if I

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Speaker 1: can't get a great coach, which the Jets probably don't,

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Speaker 1: then I probably need a superstar quarterback, and I go

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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. I mean, think about his fifth year option.

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Speaker 1: They got to decide after this year. It's gonna be

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Speaker 1: my understandings upwards of thirty million dollars And think about that.

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Speaker 1: Are you paying thirty mill plus for Sam Donald a

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Speaker 1: year ahead of time when they got to decide that. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean these are again. If if I could get

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Speaker 1: the draft picks and a great Lincoln Riley, I would

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Speaker 1: stay with him. But remember the Jets could not land

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Speaker 1: Matt Rule from Baylor, and he's from New York, so

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Speaker 1: you're probably going to get a second tier coach, and

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Speaker 1: Donald with a second tier coach, you forget it now.

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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence with a second tier coach is far more

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Speaker 1: promising because I think he's the best prospect since Elway,

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Speaker 1: even better than Andrew Luck as a prospect. Well, listen,

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Speaker 1: I am we'll start that argument soon. I'm sure Trevor

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Speaker 1: Lawrence may become great. But here's what you look at.

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Speaker 1: He's played three games where he hasn't been a double

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Speaker 1: digit favor in college, so let's say three competitive games.

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Speaker 1: He's completion percentages like fifty in those games, so he's

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Speaker 1: done well, beaten up on the A, C. C. Not

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Speaker 1: so well against better players. Doesn't mean that he won't

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Speaker 1: change so far though. I think it's a lot of

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Speaker 1: measurables but not the performance. Good stuff, far Jaco talking

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Speaker 1: to you. Thank you.